id	author	title	date	pages	extension	mime	words	sentences	flesch	summary	cache	txt
work_g3ylzantznbhthtztwy3iwodvi	K. Steele	Climate Models, Calibration, and Confirmation	2013	33	.pdf	application/pdf	12068	792	56	Werndl, Charlotte and Steele, Katie (2013) Climate models, calibration, and confirmation. evidence both to calibrate or tune climate models and also to confirm Section 6 discusses the worry that past data are irrelevant for model adequacy in the future and hence cannot be used for calibration or confirmation. Section 7 discusses a different sense of incremental confirmation that climate scientists may have in mind: non-comparative confirmation, which concerns our confidence in a model tout court, i.e. relative to its entire complement. In standard Bayesian terms, the confirmation of one base-model hypothesis, e.g., L, with respect to another, e.g., Q, depends on the likelihood ratio was used to calibrate/confirm base-model hypotheses concerning past climate behaviour, whereas in the Knutti et al. that double-counting is bad and that separate data must be used for calibration and confirmation of base-model hypotheses—is by no means obviously	./cache/work_g3ylzantznbhthtztwy3iwodvi.pdf	./txt/work_g3ylzantznbhthtztwy3iwodvi.txt