id author title date pages extension mime words sentences flesch summary cache txt work_7t65sh4j2vcfljpmpgqsbeyriy Richard Bradley Climate Change Assessments: Confidence, Probability, and Decision 2017 28 .pdf application/pdf 10980 711 58 inform rational decisions, we hope ultimately to improve climate change decisionmaking and to make IPCC findings more useful to consumers of the reports. uncertainty of (at least roughly) the kind conveyed by IPCC confidence assessments when those assessments qualify probabilities. this set as containing those probability functions that the decision maker regards 4The use of sets of probability functions to represent imprecise belief states has been advocated by, among others, Good (1952), Levi (1974, 1986), Jeffrey (1992), Kaplan (1996), Gilboa a decision maker with a set of probability functions should choose. probability intervals only so broad as to ensure the decision-maker is confident ordinal notion of confidence, requiring only that the set of probability measures decision maker's confidence that the "true" probability measure is contained in stakes to a level of confidence and thus to the set of probability measures that their ./cache/work_7t65sh4j2vcfljpmpgqsbeyriy.pdf ./txt/work_7t65sh4j2vcfljpmpgqsbeyriy.txt