id author title date pages extension mime words sentences flesch summary cache txt work_5hjjhz5pybejjlvzhtbeyjbvcq P. D. Magnus Realist Ennui and the Base Rate Fallacy* 2004 19 .pdf application/pdf 8591 609 63 The no-miracles argument and the pessimistic induction are arguably the main considerations for and against scientific realism. Wholesale realism seeks to explain the success of science in general; wholesale anti-realism seeks to explain the history of science in general. most powerful wholesale arguments in the literature, the no-miracles argument for scientific realism and the pessimistic induction for anti-realism. Reflections on the history of science motivate the anti-realist argument. By pointing to apparently successful but false theories, anti-realists Anti-realists, meanwhile, can keep finding successful false theories. Consider, then, a realist who finds realism appealing because of a pretheoretic intuition that the success of science could not be a miracle. Imagine, if you will, what the literature on scientific realism would be like if we set aside no-miracles arguments and What Fine calls piecemeal realism is thus only an ersatz retail argument; the particular case is offered as a proxy for all of science. ./cache/work_5hjjhz5pybejjlvzhtbeyjbvcq.pdf ./txt/work_5hjjhz5pybejjlvzhtbeyjbvcq.txt