id sid tid token lemma pos cord-314273-xhnv5cje 1 1 key key JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 2 1 : : : cord-314273-xhnv5cje 2 2 cord-314273-xhnv5cje cord-314273-xhnv5cje NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 2 3 authors author NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 2 4 : : : cord-314273-xhnv5cje 2 5 Lytras Lytras NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 2 6 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 2 7 Theodore Theodore NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 2 8 ; ; : cord-314273-xhnv5cje 2 9 Panagiotakopoulos Panagiotakopoulos NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 2 10 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 2 11 Georgios Georgios NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 2 12 ; ; : cord-314273-xhnv5cje 2 13 Tsiodras Tsiodras NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 2 14 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 2 15 Sotirios Sotirios NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 2 16 title title NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 2 17 : : : cord-314273-xhnv5cje 3 1 Estimating estimate VBG cord-314273-xhnv5cje 3 2 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 3 3 ascertainment ascertainment NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 3 4 rate rate NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 3 5 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 3 6 SARS SARS NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 3 7 - - HYPH cord-314273-xhnv5cje 3 8 CoV-2 CoV-2 NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 3 9 infection infection NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 3 10 in in IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 3 11 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 3 12 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 3 13 China China NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 3 14 : : : cord-314273-xhnv5cje 3 15 implications implication NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 3 16 for for IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 3 17 management management NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 3 18 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 3 19 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 3 20 global global JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 3 21 outbreak outbreak NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 3 22 date date NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 3 23 : : : cord-314273-xhnv5cje 3 24 2020 2020 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 3 25 - - HYPH cord-314273-xhnv5cje 3 26 03 03 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 3 27 - - SYM cord-314273-xhnv5cje 3 28 26 26 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 3 29 journal journal NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 3 30 : : : cord-314273-xhnv5cje 3 31 nan nan NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 3 32 DOI DOI NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 3 33 : : : cord-314273-xhnv5cje 3 34 10.1101/2020.03.24.20042218 10.1101/2020.03.24.20042218 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 4 1 sha sha NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 4 2 : : : cord-314273-xhnv5cje 5 1 39b5d3fced2a54878510037943e1a740adeb7804 39b5d3fced2a54878510037943e1a740adeb7804 LS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 5 2 doc_id doc_id CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 5 3 : : : cord-314273-xhnv5cje 5 4 314273 314273 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 5 5 cord_uid cord_uid NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 5 6 : : : cord-314273-xhnv5cje 6 1 xhnv5cje xhnv5cje . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 7 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 7 2 sought seek VBD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 7 3 to to TO cord-314273-xhnv5cje 7 4 estimate estimate VB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 7 5 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 7 6 ascertainment ascertainment NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 7 7 ratio ratio NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 7 8 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 7 9 SARS SARS NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 7 10 - - HYPH cord-314273-xhnv5cje 7 11 CoV-2 CoV-2 NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 7 12 infection infection NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 7 13 in in IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 7 14 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 7 15 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 7 16 China China NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 7 17 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 7 18 using use VBG cord-314273-xhnv5cje 7 19 a a DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 7 20 modified modify VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 7 21 Bayesian Bayesian NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 7 22 SEIR SEIR NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 7 23 model model NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 7 24 with with IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 7 25 publicly publicly RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 7 26 reported report VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 7 27 case case NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 7 28 data datum NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 7 29 . . . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 8 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 8 2 estimated estimate VBD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 8 3 it -PRON- PRP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 8 4 at at IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 8 5 0.465 0.465 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 8 6 % % NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 8 7 ( ( -LRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 8 8 95%CI 95%ci CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 8 9 : : : cord-314273-xhnv5cje 8 10 0.464 0.464 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 8 11 - - HYPH cord-314273-xhnv5cje 8 12 0.466 0.466 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 8 13 % % NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 8 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 8 15 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 8 16 implying imply VBG cord-314273-xhnv5cje 8 17 that that IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 8 18 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 8 19 outbreak outbreak NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 8 20 in in IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 8 21 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 8 22 was be VBD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 8 23 abated abate VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 8 24 by by IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 8 25 depletion depletion NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 8 26 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 8 27 susceptibles susceptible NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 8 28 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 8 29 rather rather RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 8 30 than than IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 8 31 public public JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 8 32 health health NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 8 33 action action NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 8 34 alone alone RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 8 35 . . . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 9 1 This this DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 9 2 suggests suggest VBZ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 9 3 a a DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 9 4 high high JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 9 5 - - HYPH cord-314273-xhnv5cje 9 6 transmissibility transmissibility NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 9 7 / / SYM cord-314273-xhnv5cje 9 8 low low JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 9 9 - - HYPH cord-314273-xhnv5cje 9 10 severity severity NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 9 11 profile profile NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 9 12 for for IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 9 13 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 9 14 current current JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 9 15 pandemic pandemic NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 9 16 and and CC cord-314273-xhnv5cje 9 17 raises raise VBZ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 9 18 doubt doubt NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 9 19 about about IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 9 20 whether whether IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 9 21 suppression suppression NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 9 22 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 9 23 rather rather RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 9 24 than than IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 9 25 mitigation mitigation NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 9 26 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 9 27 is be VBZ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 9 28 a a DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 9 29 feasible feasible JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 9 30 goal goal NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 9 31 . . . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 10 1 The the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 10 2 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 10 3 disease disease NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 10 4 2019 2019 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 10 5 ( ( -LRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 10 6 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 10 7 ) ) -RRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 10 8 outbreak outbreak NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 10 9 originated originate VBD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 10 10 at at IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 10 11 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 10 12 end end NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 10 13 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 10 14 2019 2019 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 10 15 in in IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 10 16 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 10 17 city city NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 10 18 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 10 19 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 10 20 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 10 21 China China NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 10 22 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 10 23 and and CC cord-314273-xhnv5cje 10 24 is be VBZ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 10 25 currently currently RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 10 26 sweeping sweep VBG cord-314273-xhnv5cje 10 27 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 10 28 globe globe NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 10 29 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 10 30 with with IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 10 31 more more JJR cord-314273-xhnv5cje 10 32 than than IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 10 33 370,000 370,000 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 10 34 confirmed confirm VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 10 35 cases case NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 10 36 and and CC cord-314273-xhnv5cje 10 37 16,000 16,000 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 10 38 deaths death NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 10 39 . . . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 11 1 With with IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 11 2 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 11 3 outbreak outbreak NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 11 4 having have VBG cord-314273-xhnv5cje 11 5 already already RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 11 6 turned turn VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 11 7 into into IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 11 8 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 11 9 latest late JJS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 11 10 global global JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 11 11 pandemic pandemic NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 11 12 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 11 13 one one CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 11 14 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 11 15 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 11 16 key key JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 11 17 unknowns unknown NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 11 18 that that WDT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 11 19 will will MD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 11 20 determine determine VB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 11 21 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 11 22 public public JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 11 23 health health NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 11 24 impact impact NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 11 25 is be VBZ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 11 26 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 11 27 Infection Infection NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 11 28 Fatality fatality NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 11 29 Rate rate NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 11 30 ( ( -LRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 11 31 IFR IFR NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 11 32 ) ) -RRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 11 33 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 11 34 i.e. i.e. FW cord-314273-xhnv5cje 11 35 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 11 36 number number NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 11 37 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 11 38 deaths death NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 11 39 as as IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 11 40 a a DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 11 41 proportion proportion NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 11 42 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 11 43 all all DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 11 44 persons person NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 11 45 infected infect VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 11 46 with with IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 11 47 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 11 48 SARS SARS NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 11 49 - - HYPH cord-314273-xhnv5cje 11 50 CoV-2 CoV-2 NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 11 51 novel novel JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 11 52 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 11 53 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 11 54 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 11 55 causative causative JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 11 56 pathogen pathogen NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 11 57 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 11 58 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 11 59 . . . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 12 1 The the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 12 2 IFR IFR NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 12 3 is be VBZ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 12 4 expected expect VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 12 5 to to TO cord-314273-xhnv5cje 12 6 be be VB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 12 7 much much RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 12 8 lower low JJR cord-314273-xhnv5cje 12 9 than than IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 12 10 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 12 11 Case Case NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 12 12 Fatality fatality NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 12 13 Rate rate NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 12 14 ( ( -LRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 12 15 CFR CFR NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 12 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 12 17 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 12 18 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 12 19 proportion proportion NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 12 20 among among IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 12 21 confirmed confirm VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 12 22 cases case NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 12 23 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 12 24 if if IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 12 25 many many JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 12 26 SARS SARS NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 12 27 - - HYPH cord-314273-xhnv5cje 12 28 CoV-2 CoV-2 NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 12 29 infections infection NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 12 30 with with IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 12 31 mild mild JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 12 32 or or CC cord-314273-xhnv5cje 12 33 no no DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 12 34 symptoms symptom NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 12 35 are be VBP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 12 36 not not RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 12 37 being be VBG cord-314273-xhnv5cje 12 38 ascertained ascertain VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 12 39 [ [ -LRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 12 40 1 1 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 12 41 ] ] -RRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 12 42 . . . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 13 1 A a DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 13 2 low low JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 13 3 ascertainment ascertainment NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 13 4 rate rate NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 13 5 has have VBZ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 13 6 been be VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 13 7 previously previously RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 13 8 suggested suggest VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 13 9 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 13 10 based base VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 13 11 on on IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 13 12 epidemic epidemic NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 13 13 modelling modelling NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 13 14 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 13 15 exported export VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 13 16 cases case NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 13 17 : : : cord-314273-xhnv5cje 13 18 between between IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 13 19 1.8 1.8 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 13 20 % % NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 13 21 and and CC cord-314273-xhnv5cje 13 22 14 14 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 13 23 % % NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 13 24 in in IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 13 25 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 13 26 [ [ -LRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 13 27 2 2 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 13 28 ] ] -RRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 13 29 [ [ -LRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 13 30 3 3 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 13 31 ] ] -RRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 13 32 [ [ -LRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 13 33 4 4 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 13 34 ] ] -RRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 13 35 [ [ -LRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 13 36 5 5 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 13 37 ] ] -RRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 13 38 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 13 39 28.4 28.4 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 13 40 % % NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 13 41 in in IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 13 42 Italy Italy NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 13 43 [ [ -LRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 13 44 6 6 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 13 45 ] ] -RRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 13 46 and and CC cord-314273-xhnv5cje 13 47 just just RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 13 48 0.23 0.23 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 13 49 % % NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 13 50 in in IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 13 51 Iran Iran NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 13 52 [ [ -LRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 13 53 7 7 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 13 54 ] ] -RRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 13 55 . . . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 14 1 After after IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 14 2 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 14 3 lockdown lockdown NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 14 4 that that WDT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 14 5 came come VBD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 14 6 into into IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 14 7 force force NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 14 8 on on IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 14 9 23 23 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 14 10 January January NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 14 11 2020 2020 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 14 12 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 14 13 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 14 14 approximates approximate VBZ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 14 15 a a DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 14 16 closed closed JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 14 17 population population NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 14 18 in in IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 14 19 which which WDT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 14 20 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 14 21 outbreak outbreak NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 14 22 appears appear VBZ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 14 23 to to TO cord-314273-xhnv5cje 14 24 have have VB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 14 25 run run VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 14 26 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 14 27 course course NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 14 28 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 14 29 with with IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 14 30 cases case NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 14 31 on on IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 14 32 a a DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 14 33 steady steady JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 14 34 decline decline NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 14 35 since since IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 14 36 mid mid NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 14 37 - - NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 14 38 February February NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 14 39 . . . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 15 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 15 2 sought seek VBD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 15 3 to to TO cord-314273-xhnv5cje 15 4 estimate estimate VB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 15 5 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 15 6 ascertainment ascertainment NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 15 7 rate rate NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 15 8 by by IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 15 9 applying apply VBG cord-314273-xhnv5cje 15 10 epidemic epidemic NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 15 11 modelling modelling NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 15 12 to to IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 15 13 publicly publicly RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 15 14 reported report VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 15 15 confirmed confirm VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 15 16 COVID-19 covid-19 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 15 17 cases case NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 15 18 in in IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 15 19 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 15 20 ; ; : cord-314273-xhnv5cje 15 21 a a DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 15 22 secondary secondary JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 15 23 objective objective NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 15 24 was be VBD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 15 25 to to TO cord-314273-xhnv5cje 15 26 estimate estimate VB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 15 27 other other JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 15 28 epidemic epidemic NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 15 29 parameters parameter NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 15 30 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 15 31 including include VBG cord-314273-xhnv5cje 15 32 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 15 33 basic basic JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 15 34 reproduction reproduction NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 15 35 number number NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 15 36 R0 R0 NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 15 37 . . . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 16 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 16 2 downloaded download VBD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 16 3 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 16 4 most most RBS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 16 5 recent recent JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 16 6 confirmed confirm VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 16 7 case case NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 16 8 data datum NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 16 9 from from IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 16 10 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 16 11 using use VBG cord-314273-xhnv5cje 16 12 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 16 13 R r NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 16 14 package package NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 16 15 ' ' `` cord-314273-xhnv5cje 16 16 nCov2019 ncov2019 NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 16 17 ' ' '' cord-314273-xhnv5cje 16 18 [ [ -LRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 16 19 8 8 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 16 20 ] ] -RRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 16 21 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 16 22 for for IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 16 23 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 16 24 period period NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 16 25 between between IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 16 26 3 3 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 16 27 January January NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 16 28 and and CC cord-314273-xhnv5cje 16 29 9 9 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 16 30 March March NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 16 31 2020 2020 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 16 32 . . . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 17 1 On on IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 17 2 12 12 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 17 3 February February NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 17 4 there there EX cord-314273-xhnv5cje 17 5 was be VBD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 17 6 a a DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 17 7 spike spike NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 17 8 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 17 9 13,436 13,436 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 17 10 retroactively retroactively RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 17 11 reported report VBD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 17 12 confirmed confirm VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 17 13 cases case NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 17 14 due due JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 17 15 to to IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 17 16 a a DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 17 17 change change NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 17 18 in in IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 17 19 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 17 20 case case NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 17 21 definition definition NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 17 22 ; ; : cord-314273-xhnv5cje 17 23 we -PRON- PRP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 17 24 addressed address VBD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 17 25 this this DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 17 26 by by IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 17 27 linearly linearly RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 17 28 interpolating interpolate VBG cord-314273-xhnv5cje 17 29 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 17 30 new new JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 17 31 confirmed confirm VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 17 32 cases case NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 17 33 for for IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 17 34 that that DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 17 35 date date NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 17 36 and and CC cord-314273-xhnv5cje 17 37 distributing distribute VBG cord-314273-xhnv5cje 17 38 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 17 39 remainder remainder NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 17 40 to to IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 17 41 all all DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 17 42 previous previous JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 17 43 dates date NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 17 44 in in IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 17 45 proportion proportion NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 17 46 to to IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 17 47 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 17 48 number number NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 17 49 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 17 50 cases case NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 17 51 already already RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 17 52 reported report VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 17 53 . . . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 18 1 The the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 18 2 median median JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 18 3 incubation incubation NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 18 4 period period NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 18 5 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 18 6 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 18 7 has have VBZ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 18 8 been be VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 18 9 estimated estimate VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 18 10 at at IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 18 11 approximately approximately RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 18 12 5 5 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 18 13 - - SYM cord-314273-xhnv5cje 18 14 6 6 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 18 15 days day NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 18 16 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 18 17 with with IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 18 18 a a DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 18 19 range range NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 18 20 between between IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 18 21 1 1 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 18 22 - - SYM cord-314273-xhnv5cje 18 23 14 14 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 18 24 days day NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 18 25 [ [ -LRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 18 26 9 9 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 18 27 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 18 28 10 10 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 18 29 ] ] -RRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 18 30 . . . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 19 1 According accord VBG cord-314273-xhnv5cje 19 2 to to IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 19 3 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 19 4 WHO WHO NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 19 5 - - HYPH cord-314273-xhnv5cje 19 6 China China NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 19 7 joint joint JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 19 8 mission mission NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 19 9 report report NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 19 10 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 19 11 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 19 12 median median JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 19 13 time time NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 19 14 from from IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 19 15 symptom symptom NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 19 16 onset onset NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 19 17 to to IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 19 18 laboratory laboratory NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 19 19 confirmation confirmation NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 19 20 in in IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 19 21 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 19 22 decreased decrease VBD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 19 23 from from IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 19 24 15 15 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 19 25 days day NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 19 26 ( ( -LRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 19 27 range range VBP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 19 28 10 10 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 19 29 - - SYM cord-314273-xhnv5cje 19 30 21 21 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 19 31 ) ) -RRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 19 32 in in IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 19 33 " " `` cord-314273-xhnv5cje 19 34 early early JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 19 35 January January NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 19 36 " " '' cord-314273-xhnv5cje 19 37 to to IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 19 38 5 5 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 19 39 days day NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 19 40 ( ( -LRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 19 41 3 3 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 19 42 ) ) -RRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 19 43 ( ( -LRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 19 44 4 4 LS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 19 45 ) ) -RRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 19 46 ( ( -LRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 19 47 5 5 LS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 19 48 ) ) -RRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 19 49 ( ( -LRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 19 50 6 6 LS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 19 51 ) ) -RRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 19 52 ( ( -LRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 19 53 7 7 LS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 19 54 ) ) -RRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 19 55 ( ( -LRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 19 56 8) 8) NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 19 57 ( ( -LRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 19 58 9 9 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 19 59 ) ) -RRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 19 60 in in IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 19 61 " " `` cord-314273-xhnv5cje 19 62 early early JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 19 63 February February NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 19 64 " " '' cord-314273-xhnv5cje 19 65 [ [ -LRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 19 66 11 11 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 19 67 ] ] -RRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 19 68 . . . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 20 1 To to TO cord-314273-xhnv5cje 20 2 reflect reflect VB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 20 3 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 20 4 above above JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 20 5 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 20 6 we -PRON- PRP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 20 7 modelled model VBD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 20 8 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 20 9 time time NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 20 10 between between IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 20 11 case case NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 20 12 reporting reporting NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 20 13 and and CC cord-314273-xhnv5cje 20 14 symptom symptom NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 20 15 onset onset NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 20 16 with with IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 20 17 a a DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 20 18 Weibull Weibull NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 20 19 distribution distribution NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 20 20 with with IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 20 21 a a DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 20 22 shape shape NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 20 23 / / SYM cord-314273-xhnv5cje 20 24 scale scale NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 20 25 parameter parameter NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 20 26 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 20 27 8/15.7 8/15.7 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 20 28 on on IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 20 29 January January NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 20 30 10 10 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 20 31 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 20 32 decreasing decrease VBG cord-314273-xhnv5cje 20 33 linearly linearly RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 20 34 to to IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 20 35 4/5.5 4/5.5 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 20 36 on on IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 20 37 February February NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 20 38 10 10 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 20 39 and and CC cord-314273-xhnv5cje 20 40 after after RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 20 41 . . . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 21 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 21 2 similarly similarly RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 21 3 modelled model VBD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 21 4 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 21 5 time time NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 21 6 between between IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 21 7 case case NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 21 8 reporting reporting NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 21 9 and and CC cord-314273-xhnv5cje 21 10 case case NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 21 11 exposure exposure NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 21 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 21 13 infection infection NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 21 14 with with IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 21 15 SARS SARS NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 21 16 - - HYPH cord-314273-xhnv5cje 21 17 CoV-2 CoV-2 NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 21 18 ) ) -RRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 21 19 with with IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 21 20 a a DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 21 21 Weibull Weibull NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 21 22 distribution distribution NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 21 23 with with IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 21 24 shape shape NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 21 25 / / SYM cord-314273-xhnv5cje 21 26 scale scale NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 21 27 . . . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 22 1 CC CC NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 22 2 - - : cord-314273-xhnv5cje 22 3 BY by IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 22 4 4.0 4.0 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 22 5 International international JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 22 6 license license NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 23 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 23 2 is be VBZ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 23 3 made make VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 23 4 available available JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 23 5 under under IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 23 6 a a DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 23 7 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 23 8 . . . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 24 1 is be VBZ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 24 2 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 24 3 author author NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 24 4 / / SYM cord-314273-xhnv5cje 24 5 funder funder NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 24 6 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 24 7 who who WP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 24 8 has have VBZ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 24 9 granted grant VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 24 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 24 11 a a DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 24 12 license license NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 24 13 to to TO cord-314273-xhnv5cje 24 14 display display VB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 24 15 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 24 16 preprint preprint NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 24 17 in in IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 24 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 24 19 which which WDT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 24 20 was be VBD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 24 21 not not RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 24 22 certified certify VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 24 23 by by IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 24 24 peer peer NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 24 25 review review NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 24 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 24 27 preprint preprint NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 25 1 The the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 25 2 copyright copyright NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 25 3 holder holder NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 25 4 for for IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 25 5 this this DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 25 6 this this DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 25 7 version version NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 25 8 posted post VBD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 25 9 March March NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 25 10 26 26 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 25 11 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 25 12 2020 2020 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 25 13 . . . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 25 14 . . . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 26 1 4.4/22.3 4.4/22.3 LS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 26 2 decreasing decrease VBG cord-314273-xhnv5cje 26 3 linearly linearly RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 26 4 to to IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 26 5 2.6/12.1 2.6/12.1 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 26 6 ( ( -LRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 26 7 Figure figure NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 26 8 1 1 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 26 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 26 10 . . . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 27 1 These these DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 27 2 distributions distribution NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 27 3 were be VBD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 27 4 used use VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 27 5 to to TO cord-314273-xhnv5cje 27 6 reconstruct reconstruct VB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 27 7 estimated estimate VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 27 8 epidemic epidemic NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 27 9 curves curve NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 27 10 by by IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 27 11 infection infection NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 27 12 date date NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 27 13 and and CC cord-314273-xhnv5cje 27 14 by by IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 27 15 symptom symptom NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 27 16 onset onset NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 27 17 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 27 18 up up IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 27 19 until until IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 27 20 February February NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 27 21 23 23 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 27 22 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 27 23 discarding discard VBG cord-314273-xhnv5cje 27 24 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 27 25 last last JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 27 26 two two CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 27 27 weeks week NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 27 28 available available JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 27 29 . . . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 28 1 To to IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 28 2 these these DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 28 3 data datum NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 28 4 we -PRON- PRP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 28 5 subsequently subsequently RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 28 6 fitted fit VBD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 28 7 a a DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 28 8 discrete discrete JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 28 9 - - HYPH cord-314273-xhnv5cje 28 10 time time NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 28 11 SEIR seir NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 28 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 28 13 Susceptible susceptible JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 28 14 - - HYPH cord-314273-xhnv5cje 28 15 Exposed expose VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 28 16 - - HYPH cord-314273-xhnv5cje 28 17 Infected Infected NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 28 18 - - HYPH cord-314273-xhnv5cje 28 19 Removed remove VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 28 20 ) ) -RRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 28 21 model model NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 28 22 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 28 23 modified modify VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 28 24 for for IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 28 25 underascertainment underascertainment NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 28 26 and and CC cord-314273-xhnv5cje 28 27 fitted fit VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 28 28 in in IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 28 29 a a DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 28 30 Bayesian bayesian JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 28 31 framework framework NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 28 32 . . . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 29 1 The the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 29 2 model model NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 29 3 assumes assume VBZ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 29 4 that that IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 29 5 cases case NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 29 6 are be VBP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 29 7 observed observe VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 29 8 from from IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 29 9 only only RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 29 10 a a DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 29 11 fraction fraction NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 29 12 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 29 13 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 29 14 population population NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 29 15 ( ( -LRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 29 16 i.e. i.e. FW cord-314273-xhnv5cje 29 17 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 29 18 ascertainment ascertainment NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 29 19 rate rate NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 29 20 ) ) -RRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 29 21 that that WDT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 29 22 is be VBZ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 29 23 stable stable JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 29 24 over over IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 29 25 time time NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 29 26 . . . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 30 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 30 2 further further RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 30 3 assumed assume VBD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 30 4 that that IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 30 5 cases case NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 30 6 are be VBP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 30 7 isolated isolate VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 30 8 upon upon IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 30 9 confirmation confirmation NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 30 10 and and CC cord-314273-xhnv5cje 30 11 are be VBP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 30 12 thus thus RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 30 13 removed remove VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 30 14 from from IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 30 15 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 30 16 " " `` cord-314273-xhnv5cje 30 17 Infected infected JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 30 18 " " '' cord-314273-xhnv5cje 30 19 pool pool NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 30 20 at at IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 30 21 that that DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 30 22 time time NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 30 23 . . . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 1 Transition transition NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 2 probabilities probability NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 3 at at IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 4 time time NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 5 t t NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 6 between between IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 7 S S NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 8 - - HYPH cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 9 E E NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 10 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 11 E e NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 12 - - NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 13 I I NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 14 and and CC cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 15 I I NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 16 - - HYPH cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 17 R R NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 18 are be VBP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 19 1-exp(-β*It-1 1-exp(-β*it-1 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 20 / / SYM cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 21 N n CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 23 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 24 1-exp(-κ 1-exp(-κ CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 25 ) ) -RRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 26 and and CC cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 27 1exp(-γ 1exp(-γ CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 28 ) ) -RRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 29 respectively respectively RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 30 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 31 where where WRB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 32 It-1 It-1 NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 33 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 34 total total JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 35 number number NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 36 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 37 all all DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 38 infected infect VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 39 at at IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 40 time time NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 41 t-1 t-1 NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 42 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 43 N N NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 44 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 45 population population NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 46 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 47 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 48 ( ( -LRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 49 11 11 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 50 million million CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 51 people people NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 52 ) ) -RRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 53 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 54 β β FW cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 55 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 56 contact contact NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 57 rate rate NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 58 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 59 γ γ NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 60 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 61 removal removal NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 62 rate rate NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 63 and and CC cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 64 κ κ NFP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 65 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 66 incubation incubation NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 67 rate rate NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 68 ( ( -LRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 69 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 70 inverse inverse NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 71 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 72 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 73 incubation incubation NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 74 period period NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 75 ) ) -RRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 31 76 . . . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 32 1 In in IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 32 2 this this DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 32 3 model model NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 32 4 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 32 5 β β NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 32 6 / / SYM cord-314273-xhnv5cje 32 7 γ γ NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 32 8 equals equal VBZ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 32 9 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 32 10 basic basic JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 32 11 reproduction reproduction NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 32 12 number number NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 32 13 R0 R0 NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 32 14 and and CC cord-314273-xhnv5cje 32 15 ( ( -LRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 32 16 1 1 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 32 17 / / SYM cord-314273-xhnv5cje 32 18 κ κ NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 32 19 + + CC cord-314273-xhnv5cje 32 20 1/2γ 1/2γ NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 32 21 ) ) -RRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 32 22 equals equal VBZ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 32 23 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 32 24 serial serial JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 32 25 interval interval NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 32 26 [ [ -LRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 32 27 12 12 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 32 28 ] ] -RRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 32 29 . . . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 33 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 33 2 used use VBD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 33 3 non non JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 33 4 - - JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 33 5 informative informative JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 33 6 Uniform(0,10 uniform(0,10 NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 33 7 ) ) -RRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 33 8 priors prior NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 33 9 for for IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 33 10 β β NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 33 11 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 33 12 γ γ NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 33 13 and and CC cord-314273-xhnv5cje 33 14 κ κ NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 33 15 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 33 16 and and CC cord-314273-xhnv5cje 33 17 Uniform(0,1 Uniform(0,1 NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 33 18 ) ) -RRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 33 19 for for IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 33 20 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 33 21 ascertainment ascertainment NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 33 22 rate rate NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 33 23 . . . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 1 Four four CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 2 sensitivity sensitivity NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 3 analyses analysis NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 4 were be VBD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 5 performed perform VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 6 : : : cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 7 ( ( -LRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 8 1 1 LS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 10 a a DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 11 model model NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 12 with with IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 13 a a DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 14 variable variable JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 15 contact contact NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 16 rate rate NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 17 in in IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 18 three three CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 19 roughly roughly RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 20 equal equal JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 21 periods period NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 22 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 23 i.e. i.e. FW cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 24 until until IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 25 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 26 lockdown lockdown NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 27 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 28 until until IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 29 10 10 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 30 February February NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 31 and and CC cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 32 until until IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 33 23 23 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 34 February February NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 35 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 36 ( ( -LRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 37 2 2 LS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 38 ) ) -RRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 39 variable variable JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 40 contact contact NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 41 rate rate NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 42 and and CC cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 43 an an DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 44 assumed assume VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 45 10 10 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 46 % % NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 47 ascertainment ascertainment NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 48 rate rate NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 49 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 50 ( ( -LRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 51 3 3 LS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 52 ) ) -RRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 53 assuming assume VBG cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 54 a a DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 55 85 85 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 56 % % NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 57 drop drop NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 58 in in IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 59 contact contact NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 60 rate rate NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 61 after after IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 62 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 63 lockdown lockdown NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 64 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 65 as as IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 66 recently recently RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 67 suggested suggest VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 68 [ [ -LRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 69 13 13 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 70 ] ] -RRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 71 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 72 and and CC cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 73 ( ( -LRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 74 4 4 LS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 75 ) ) -RRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 76 a a DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 77 simplified simplify VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 78 SIR SIR NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 79 model model NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 80 ( ( -LRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 81 rather rather RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 82 than than IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 83 SEIR SEIR NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 84 ) ) -RRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 34 85 . . . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 35 1 All all DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 35 2 analyses analysis NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 35 3 were be VBD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 35 4 done do VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 35 5 with with IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 35 6 R r NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 35 7 and and CC cord-314273-xhnv5cje 35 8 JAGS JAGS NNPS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 35 9 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 35 10 using use VBG cord-314273-xhnv5cje 35 11 4 4 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 35 12 chains chain NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 35 13 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 35 14 20000 20000 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 35 15 iterations iteration NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 35 16 each each DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 35 17 and and CC cord-314273-xhnv5cje 35 18 another another DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 35 19 5000 5000 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 35 20 as as IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 35 21 burn burn NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 35 22 - - HYPH cord-314273-xhnv5cje 35 23 in in NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 35 24 . . . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 36 1 Model model NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 36 2 estimates estimate NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 36 3 are be VBP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 36 4 presented present VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 36 5 as as IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 36 6 posterior posterior JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 36 7 medians median NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 36 8 and and CC cord-314273-xhnv5cje 36 9 95 95 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 36 10 % % NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 36 11 Credible credible JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 36 12 Intervals Intervals NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 36 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 36 14 CrI CrI NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 36 15 ) ) -RRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 36 16 . . . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 37 1 The the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 37 2 full full JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 37 3 analysis analysis NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 37 4 code code NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 37 5 is be VBZ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 37 6 available available JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 37 7 on on IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 37 8 GitHub GitHub NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 37 9 : : : cord-314273-xhnv5cje 38 1 https://github.com/thlytras/nCoVasc https://github.com/thlytras/nCoVasc NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 38 2 . . . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 39 1 A a DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 39 2 total total NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 39 3 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 39 4 49,948 49,948 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 39 5 confirmed confirm VBD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 39 6 COVID-19 covid-19 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 39 7 cases case NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 39 8 were be VBD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 39 9 reported report VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 39 10 in in IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 39 11 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 39 12 until until IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 39 13 9 9 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 39 14 March March NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 39 15 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 39 16 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 39 17 whom whom WP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 39 18 46,159 46,159 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 39 19 were be VBD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 39 20 reported report VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 39 21 until until IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 39 22 February February NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 39 23 23 23 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 39 24 . . . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 40 1 Figure figure NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 40 2 2 2 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 40 3 illustrates illustrate VBZ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 40 4 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 40 5 confirmed confirm VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 40 6 cases case NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 40 7 and and CC cord-314273-xhnv5cje 40 8 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 40 9 estimated estimate VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 40 10 epidemic epidemic NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 40 11 curves curve NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 40 12 by by IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 40 13 symptom symptom NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 40 14 onset onset NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 40 15 and and CC cord-314273-xhnv5cje 40 16 infection infection NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 40 17 date date NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 40 18 . . . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 41 1 All all DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 41 2 model model NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 41 3 results result VBZ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 41 4 for for IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 41 5 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 41 6 main main JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 41 7 and and CC cord-314273-xhnv5cje 41 8 sensitivity sensitivity NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 41 9 analyses analysis NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 41 10 are be VBP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 41 11 detailed detail VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 41 12 on on IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 41 13 Table Table NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 41 14 1 1 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 41 15 . . . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 42 1 The the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 42 2 ascertainment ascertainment NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 42 3 rate rate NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 42 4 was be VBD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 42 5 estimated estimate VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 42 6 at at IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 42 7 just just RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 42 8 0.465 0.465 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 42 9 % % NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 42 10 ( ( -LRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 42 11 95 95 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 42 12 % % NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 42 13 CrI cri NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 42 14 0.464 0.464 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 42 15 - - : cord-314273-xhnv5cje 42 16 0.466 0.466 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 42 17 % % NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 42 18 ) ) -RRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 42 19 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 42 20 meaning mean VBG cord-314273-xhnv5cje 42 21 that that IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 42 22 for for IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 42 23 every every DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 42 24 confirmed confirm VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 42 25 case case NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 42 26 in in IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 42 27 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 42 28 there there RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 42 29 had have VBD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 42 30 been be VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 42 31 approximately approximately RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 42 32 200 200 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 42 33 SARS SARS NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 42 34 - - HYPH cord-314273-xhnv5cje 42 35 CoV-2 CoV-2 NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 42 36 infections infection NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 42 37 that that WDT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 42 38 were be VBD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 42 39 not not RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 42 40 detected detect VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 42 41 . . . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 43 1 The the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 43 2 R0 R0 NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 43 3 was be VBD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 43 4 estimated estimate VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 43 5 at at IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 43 6 3.07 3.07 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 43 7 ( ( -LRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 43 8 95 95 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 43 9 % % NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 43 10 CrI cri NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 43 11 3.02 3.02 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 43 12 - - HYPH cord-314273-xhnv5cje 43 13 3.11 3.11 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 43 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 43 15 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 43 16 and and CC cord-314273-xhnv5cje 43 17 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 43 18 incubation incubation NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 43 19 period period NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 43 20 and and CC cord-314273-xhnv5cje 43 21 serial serial JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 43 22 interval interval NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 43 23 at at IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 43 24 4.4 4.4 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 43 25 and and CC cord-314273-xhnv5cje 43 26 8.8 8.8 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 43 27 days day NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 43 28 respectively respectively RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 43 29 ; ; : cord-314273-xhnv5cje 43 30 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 43 31 latter latter JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 43 32 remained remain VBD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 43 33 identical identical JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 43 34 in in IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 43 35 sensitivity sensitivity NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 43 36 analyses analysis NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 43 37 . . . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 44 1 is be VBZ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 44 2 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 44 3 author author NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 44 4 / / SYM cord-314273-xhnv5cje 44 5 funder funder NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 44 6 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 44 7 who who WP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 44 8 has have VBZ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 44 9 granted grant VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 44 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 44 11 a a DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 44 12 license license NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 44 13 to to TO cord-314273-xhnv5cje 44 14 display display VB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 44 15 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 44 16 preprint preprint NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 44 17 in in IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 44 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 44 19 which which WDT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 44 20 was be VBD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 44 21 not not RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 44 22 certified certify VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 44 23 by by IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 44 24 peer peer NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 44 25 review review NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 44 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 45 1 preprint preprint NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 46 1 Assuming assume VBG cord-314273-xhnv5cje 46 2 a a DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 46 3 variable variable JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 46 4 contact contact NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 46 5 rate rate NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 46 6 over over IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 46 7 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 46 8 study study NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 46 9 period period NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 46 10 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 46 11 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 46 12 R0 R0 NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 46 13 estimate estimate NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 46 14 would would MD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 46 15 be be VB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 46 16 as as RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 46 17 high high JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 46 18 as as IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 46 19 5.33 5.33 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 46 20 until until IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 46 21 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 46 22 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 46 23 lockdown lockdown NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 46 24 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 46 25 falling fall VBG cord-314273-xhnv5cje 46 26 to to IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 46 27 2.09 2.09 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 46 28 until until IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 46 29 10 10 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 46 30 February February NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 46 31 then then RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 46 32 up up RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 46 33 again again RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 46 34 to to IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 46 35 3.83 3.83 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 46 36 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 46 37 with with IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 46 38 an an DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 46 39 ascertainment ascertainment NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 46 40 rate rate NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 46 41 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 46 42 0.48 0.48 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 46 43 % % NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 46 44 . . . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 47 1 A a DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 47 2 nearly nearly RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 47 3 identical identical JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 47 4 rate rate NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 47 5 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 47 6 0.51 0.51 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 47 7 % % NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 47 8 was be VBD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 47 9 obtained obtain VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 47 10 with with IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 47 11 a a DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 47 12 simplified simplified JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 47 13 SIR SIR NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 47 14 model model NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 47 15 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 47 16 and and CC cord-314273-xhnv5cje 47 17 a a DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 47 18 slightly slightly RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 47 19 higher high JJR cord-314273-xhnv5cje 47 20 rate rate NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 47 21 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 47 22 0.93 0.93 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 47 23 % % NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 47 24 assuming assume VBG cord-314273-xhnv5cje 47 25 an an DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 47 26 85 85 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 47 27 % % NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 47 28 drop drop NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 47 29 in in IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 47 30 contact contact NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 47 31 rate rate NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 47 32 after after IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 47 33 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 47 34 lockdown lockdown NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 47 35 . . . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 48 1 On on IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 48 2 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 48 3 other other JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 48 4 hand hand NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 48 5 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 48 6 if if IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 48 7 one one PRP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 48 8 assumes assume VBZ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 48 9 a a DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 48 10 fixed fix VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 48 11 ascertainment ascertainment NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 48 12 rate rate NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 48 13 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 48 14 10 10 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 48 15 % % NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 48 16 and and CC cord-314273-xhnv5cje 48 17 a a DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 48 18 variable variable JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 48 19 contact contact NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 48 20 rate rate NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 48 21 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 48 22 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 48 23 R0 R0 NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 48 24 would would MD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 48 25 need need VB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 48 26 to to TO cord-314273-xhnv5cje 48 27 be be VB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 48 28 as as RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 48 29 low low JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 48 30 as as IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 48 31 0.85 0.85 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 48 32 right right RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 48 33 after after IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 48 34 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 48 35 lockdown lockdown NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 48 36 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 48 37 and and CC cord-314273-xhnv5cje 48 38 yet yet RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 48 39 lower low JJR cord-314273-xhnv5cje 48 40 to to IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 48 41 0.45 0.45 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 48 42 after after IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 48 43 10 10 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 48 44 February February NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 48 45 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 48 46 in in IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 48 47 order order NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 48 48 to to TO cord-314273-xhnv5cje 48 49 fit fit VB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 48 50 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 48 51 data datum NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 48 52 ( ( -LRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 48 53 Table table NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 48 54 1 1 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 48 55 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 48 56 sensitivity sensitivity NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 48 57 analysis analysis NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 48 58 2 2 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 48 59 ) ) -RRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 48 60 . . . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 49 1 The the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 49 2 projected project VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 49 3 course course NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 49 4 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 49 5 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 49 6 epidemic epidemic NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 49 7 in in IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 49 8 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 49 9 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 49 10 under under IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 49 11 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 49 12 main main JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 49 13 analysis analysis NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 49 14 model model NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 49 15 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 49 16 is be VBZ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 49 17 shown show VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 49 18 in in IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 49 19 Figure Figure NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 49 20 3 3 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 49 21 . . . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 50 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 50 2 estimate estimate VBP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 50 3 that that IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 50 4 half half PDT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 50 5 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 50 6 population population NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 50 7 was be VBD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 50 8 already already RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 50 9 infected infect VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 50 10 by by IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 50 11 27 27 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 50 12 January January NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 50 13 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 50 14 and and CC cord-314273-xhnv5cje 50 15 by by IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 50 16 23 23 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 50 17 February February NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 50 18 only only RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 50 19 585,000 585,000 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 50 20 susceptibles susceptible NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 50 21 remained remain VBD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 50 22 ( ( -LRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 50 23 95 95 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 50 24 % % NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 50 25 CrI cri NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 50 26 555,000 555,000 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 50 27 - - HYPH cord-314273-xhnv5cje 50 28 617,000 617,000 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 50 29 ) ) -RRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 50 30 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 50 31 meaning mean VBG cord-314273-xhnv5cje 50 32 94.7 94.7 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 50 33 % % NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 50 34 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 50 35 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 50 36 population population NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 50 37 had have VBD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 50 38 been be VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 50 39 infected infect VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 50 40 . . . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 51 1 Assuming assume VBG cord-314273-xhnv5cje 51 2 a a DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 51 3 85 85 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 51 4 % % NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 51 5 drop drop NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 51 6 in in IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 51 7 contact contact NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 51 8 rate rate NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 51 9 after after IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 51 10 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 51 11 lockdown lockdown NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 51 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 51 13 sensitivity sensitivity NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 51 14 analysis analysis NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 51 15 3 3 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 51 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 51 17 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 51 18 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 51 19 same same JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 51 20 percentage percentage NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 51 21 drops drop NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 51 22 to to IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 51 23 52.7 52.7 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 51 24 % % NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 51 25 ( ( -LRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 51 26 95 95 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 51 27 % % NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 51 28 CrI cri NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 51 29 51.0 51.0 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 51 30 - - HYPH cord-314273-xhnv5cje 51 31 54.4 54.4 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 51 32 % % NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 51 33 ) ) -RRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 51 34 . . . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 52 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 52 2 has have VBZ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 52 3 been be VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 52 4 suggested suggest VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 52 5 that that IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 52 6 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 52 7 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 52 8 outbreak outbreak NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 52 9 in in IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 52 10 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 52 11 was be VBD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 52 12 controlled control VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 52 13 via via IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 52 14 non non JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 52 15 - - JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 52 16 pharmaceutical pharmaceutical JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 52 17 measures measure NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 52 18 and and CC cord-314273-xhnv5cje 52 19 bold bold JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 52 20 public public JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 52 21 health health NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 52 22 action action NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 52 23 that that WDT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 52 24 " " `` cord-314273-xhnv5cje 52 25 changed change VBD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 52 26 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 52 27 course course NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 52 28 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 52 29 a a DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 52 30 rapidly rapidly RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 52 31 escalating escalate VBG cord-314273-xhnv5cje 52 32 epidemic epidemic NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 52 33 " " '' cord-314273-xhnv5cje 52 34 [ [ -LRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 52 35 11 11 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 52 36 ] ] -RRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 52 37 . . . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 53 1 Our -PRON- PRP$ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 53 2 modelling modelling NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 53 3 suggests suggest VBZ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 53 4 another another DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 53 5 plausible plausible JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 53 6 scenario scenario NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 53 7 : : : cord-314273-xhnv5cje 53 8 that that IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 53 9 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 53 10 large large JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 53 11 majority majority NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 53 12 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 53 13 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 53 14 population population NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 53 15 was be VBD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 53 16 infected infect VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 53 17 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 53 18 with with IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 53 19 consequent consequent JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 53 20 depletion depletion NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 53 21 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 53 22 susceptibles susceptible NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 53 23 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 53 24 and and CC cord-314273-xhnv5cje 53 25 only only RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 53 26 a a DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 53 27 very very RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 53 28 small small JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 53 29 percentage percentage NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 53 30 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 53 31 infections infection NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 53 32 were be VBD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 53 33 ascertained ascertain VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 53 34 . . . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 54 1 Otherwise otherwise RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 54 2 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 54 3 if if IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 54 4 ascertainment ascertainment NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 54 5 is be VBZ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 54 6 assumed assume VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 54 7 higher high JJR cord-314273-xhnv5cje 54 8 or or CC cord-314273-xhnv5cje 54 9 not not RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 54 10 taken take VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 54 11 into into IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 54 12 account account NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 54 13 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 54 14 very very RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 54 15 large large JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 54 16 reductions reduction NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 54 17 in in IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 54 18 transmissibility transmissibility NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 54 19 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 54 20 SARS SARS NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 54 21 - - HYPH cord-314273-xhnv5cje 54 22 CoV-2 CoV-2 NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 54 23 are be VBP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 54 24 needed need VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 54 25 to to TO cord-314273-xhnv5cje 54 26 account account VB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 54 27 for for IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 54 28 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 54 29 observed observed JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 54 30 data datum NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 54 31 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 54 32 with with IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 54 33 about about RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 54 34 80 80 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 54 35 % % NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 54 36 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 54 37 infections infection NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 54 38 prevented prevent VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 54 39 immediately immediately RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 54 40 after after IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 54 41 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 54 42 lockdown lockdown NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 54 43 and and CC cord-314273-xhnv5cje 54 44 90 90 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 54 45 % % NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 54 46 after after IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 54 47 February February NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 54 48 10 10 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 54 49 . . . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 55 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 55 2 should should MD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 55 3 be be VB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 55 4 emphasized emphasize VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 55 5 that that IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 55 6 in in IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 55 7 no no DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 55 8 way way NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 55 9 do do VBP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 55 10 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 55 11 results result NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 55 12 diminish diminish VB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 55 13 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 55 14 value value NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 55 15 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 55 16 non non JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 55 17 - - JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 55 18 pharmaceutical pharmaceutical JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 55 19 public public JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 55 20 health health NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 55 21 interventions intervention NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 55 22 in in IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 55 23 mitigating mitigate VBG cord-314273-xhnv5cje 55 24 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 55 25 outbreak outbreak NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 55 26 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 55 27 nor nor CC cord-314273-xhnv5cje 55 28 do do VBP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 55 29 they -PRON- PRP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 55 30 underestimate underestimate VB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 55 31 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 55 32 immense immense JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 55 33 efforts effort NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 55 34 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 55 35 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 55 36 Chinese chinese JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 55 37 people people NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 55 38 . . . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 56 1 Their -PRON- PRP$ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 56 2 bold bold JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 56 3 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 56 4 large large JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 56 5 - - HYPH cord-314273-xhnv5cje 56 6 scale scale NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 56 7 action action NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 56 8 undoubtedly undoubtedly RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 56 9 alleviated alleviate VBD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 56 10 an an DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 56 11 already already RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 56 12 very very RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 56 13 difficult difficult JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 56 14 situation situation NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 56 15 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 56 16 and and CC cord-314273-xhnv5cje 56 17 likely likely RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 56 18 succeeded succeed VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 56 19 in in IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 56 20 " " `` cord-314273-xhnv5cje 56 21 flattening flatten VBG cord-314273-xhnv5cje 56 22 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 56 23 curve curve NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 56 24 " " '' cord-314273-xhnv5cje 56 25 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 56 26 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 56 27 pandemic pandemic NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 56 28 to to IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 56 29 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 56 30 maximum maximum JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 56 31 possible possible JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 56 32 extent extent NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 56 33 . . . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 57 1 Accounting account VBG cord-314273-xhnv5cje 57 2 for for IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 57 3 case case NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 57 4 ascertainment ascertainment NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 57 5 is be VBZ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 57 6 crucial crucial JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 57 7 for for IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 57 8 accurately accurately RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 57 9 assessing assess VBG cord-314273-xhnv5cje 57 10 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 57 11 true true JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 57 12 nature nature NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 57 13 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 57 14 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 57 15 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 57 16 pandemic pandemic NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 57 17 . . . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 58 1 An an DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 58 2 ascertainment ascertainment NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 58 3 rate rate NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 58 4 as as RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 58 5 low low JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 58 6 as as IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 58 7 0.5 0.5 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 58 8 % % NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 58 9 in in IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 58 10 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 58 11 suggests suggest VBZ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 58 12 that that IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 58 13 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 58 14 IFR IFR NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 58 15 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 58 16 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 58 17 SARS SARS NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 58 18 - - HYPH cord-314273-xhnv5cje 58 19 CoV-2 CoV-2 NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 58 20 virus virus NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 58 21 is be VBZ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 58 22 orders order NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 58 23 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 58 24 magnitude magnitude NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 58 25 lower low JJR cord-314273-xhnv5cje 58 26 than than IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 58 27 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 58 28 CFR CFR NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 58 29 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 58 30 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 58 31 ( ( -LRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 58 32 although although IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 58 33 some some DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 58 34 underascertainment underascertainment NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 58 35 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 58 36 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 58 37 deaths death NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 58 38 should should MD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 58 39 be be VB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 58 40 taken take VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 58 41 into into IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 58 42 account account NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 58 43 as as RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 58 44 well well RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 58 45 ) ) -RRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 58 46 . . . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 59 1 Together together RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 59 2 with with IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 59 3 a a DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 59 4 R0 R0 NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 59 5 estimate estimate NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 59 6 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 59 7 3.07 3.07 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 59 8 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 59 9 it -PRON- PRP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 59 10 would would MD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 59 11 make make VB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 59 12 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 59 13 . . . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 60 1 CC CC NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 60 2 - - : cord-314273-xhnv5cje 60 3 BY by IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 60 4 4.0 4.0 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 60 5 International international JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 60 6 license license NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 61 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 61 2 is be VBZ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 61 3 made make VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 61 4 available available JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 61 5 under under IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 61 6 a a DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 61 7 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 61 8 . . . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 62 1 is be VBZ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 62 2 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 62 3 author author NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 62 4 / / SYM cord-314273-xhnv5cje 62 5 funder funder NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 62 6 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 62 7 who who WP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 62 8 has have VBZ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 62 9 granted grant VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 62 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 62 11 a a DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 62 12 license license NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 62 13 to to TO cord-314273-xhnv5cje 62 14 display display VB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 62 15 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 62 16 preprint preprint NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 62 17 in in IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 62 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 62 19 which which WDT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 62 20 was be VBD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 62 21 not not RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 62 22 certified certify VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 62 23 by by IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 62 24 peer peer NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 62 25 review review NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 62 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 62 27 preprint preprint NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 63 1 The the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 63 2 copyright copyright NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 63 3 holder holder NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 63 4 for for IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 63 5 this this DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 63 6 this this DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 63 7 version version NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 63 8 posted post VBD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 63 9 March March NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 63 10 26 26 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 63 11 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 63 12 2020 2020 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 63 13 . . . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 63 14 . . . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 64 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.24.20042218 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.24.20042218 NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 64 2 doi doi NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 64 3 : : : cord-314273-xhnv5cje 65 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 65 2 preprint preprint VBP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 65 3 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 65 4 archetype archetype NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 65 5 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 65 6 a a DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 65 7 high high JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 65 8 - - HYPH cord-314273-xhnv5cje 65 9 transmissibility transmissibility NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 65 10 / / SYM cord-314273-xhnv5cje 65 11 low low JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 65 12 - - HYPH cord-314273-xhnv5cje 65 13 severity severity NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 65 14 pandemic pandemic NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 65 15 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 65 16 whose whose WP$ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 65 17 high high JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 65 18 impact impact NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 65 19 is be VBZ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 65 20 driven drive VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 65 21 by by IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 65 22 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 65 23 sheer sheer JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 65 24 number number NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 65 25 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 65 26 infections infection NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 65 27 rather rather RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 65 28 than than IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 65 29 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 65 30 virulence virulence NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 65 31 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 65 32 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 65 33 pathogen pathogen NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 65 34 [ [ -LRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 65 35 14 14 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 65 36 ] ] -RRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 65 37 . . . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 66 1 Our -PRON- PRP$ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 66 2 result result NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 66 3 further further RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 66 4 implies imply VBZ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 66 5 a a DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 66 6 very very RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 66 7 large large JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 66 8 amount amount NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 66 9 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 66 10 transmission transmission NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 66 11 from from IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 66 12 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 66 13 or or CC cord-314273-xhnv5cje 66 14 minimally minimally RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 66 15 symptomatic symptomatic JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 66 16 persons person NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 66 17 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 66 18 raising raise VBG cord-314273-xhnv5cje 66 19 doubts doubt NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 66 20 about about IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 66 21 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 66 22 feasibility feasibility NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 66 23 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 66 24 suppressing suppress VBG cord-314273-xhnv5cje 66 25 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 66 26 much much RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 66 27 less less RBR cord-314273-xhnv5cje 66 28 containing contain VBG cord-314273-xhnv5cje 66 29 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 66 30 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 66 31 COVID-19 covid-19 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 66 32 pandemic pandemic NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 66 33 [ [ -LRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 66 34 15 15 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 66 35 ] ] -RRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 66 36 . . . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 67 1 Currently currently RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 67 2 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 67 3 World World NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 67 4 Health Health NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 67 5 Organization Organization NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 67 6 ( ( -LRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 67 7 WHO who WP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 67 8 ) ) -RRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 67 9 still still RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 67 10 advocates advocate VBZ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 67 11 for for IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 67 12 a a DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 67 13 " " `` cord-314273-xhnv5cje 67 14 containment containment NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 67 15 strategy strategy NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 67 16 " " '' cord-314273-xhnv5cje 67 17 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 67 18 with with IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 67 19 laboratory laboratory NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 67 20 testing testing NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 67 21 for for IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 67 22 every every DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 67 23 suspected suspect VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 67 24 case case NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 67 25 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 67 26 isolation isolation NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 67 27 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 67 28 confirmed confirm VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 67 29 cases case NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 67 30 ( ( -LRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 67 31 including include VBG cord-314273-xhnv5cje 67 32 mild mild JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 67 33 cases case NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 67 34 ) ) -RRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 67 35 in in IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 67 36 health health NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 67 37 facilities facility NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 67 38 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 67 39 and and CC cord-314273-xhnv5cje 67 40 tracing trace VBG cord-314273-xhnv5cje 67 41 all all DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 67 42 contacts contact NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 67 43 [ [ -LRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 67 44 16 16 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 67 45 ] ] -RRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 67 46 . . . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 68 1 Laboratory laboratory NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 68 2 testing testing NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 68 3 is be VBZ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 68 4 indeed indeed RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 68 5 a a DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 68 6 priority priority NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 68 7 for for IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 68 8 surveillance surveillance NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 68 9 purposes purpose NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 68 10 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 68 11 and and CC cord-314273-xhnv5cje 68 12 also also RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 68 13 for for IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 68 14 severely severely RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 68 15 ill ill JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 68 16 patients patient NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 68 17 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 68 18 healthcare healthcare NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 68 19 workers worker NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 68 20 and and CC cord-314273-xhnv5cje 68 21 other other JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 68 22 selected select VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 68 23 groups group NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 68 24 [ [ -LRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 68 25 17 17 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 68 26 ] ] -RRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 68 27 . . . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 69 1 Given give VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 69 2 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 69 3 findings finding NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 69 4 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 69 5 however however RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 69 6 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 69 7 exhaustive exhaustive JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 69 8 testing testing NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 69 9 and and CC cord-314273-xhnv5cje 69 10 contact contact NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 69 11 tracing tracing NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 69 12 are be VBP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 69 13 probably probably RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 69 14 not not RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 69 15 optimal optimal JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 69 16 at at IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 69 17 this this DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 69 18 point point NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 69 19 in in IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 69 20 countries country NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 69 21 with with IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 69 22 ongoing ongoing JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 69 23 epidemics epidemic NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 69 24 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 69 25 and and CC cord-314273-xhnv5cje 69 26 risk risk NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 69 27 detracting detract VBG cord-314273-xhnv5cje 69 28 from from IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 69 29 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 69 30 only only JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 69 31 eminently eminently RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 69 32 achievable achievable JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 69 33 end end NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 69 34 goal goal NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 69 35 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 69 36 which which WDT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 69 37 is be VBZ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 69 38 mitigation mitigation NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 69 39 : : : cord-314273-xhnv5cje 69 40 " " `` cord-314273-xhnv5cje 69 41 flattening flatten VBG cord-314273-xhnv5cje 69 42 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 69 43 curve curve NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 69 44 " " '' cord-314273-xhnv5cje 69 45 as as RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 69 46 much much RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 69 47 as as IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 69 48 possible possible JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 69 49 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 69 50 reducing reduce VBG cord-314273-xhnv5cje 69 51 stress stress NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 69 52 on on IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 69 53 healthcare healthcare NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 69 54 facilities facility NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 69 55 and and CC cord-314273-xhnv5cje 69 56 protecting protect VBG cord-314273-xhnv5cje 69 57 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 69 58 vulnerable vulnerable JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 69 59 . . . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 70 1 That that DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 70 2 is be VBZ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 70 3 what what WP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 70 4 is be VBZ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 70 5 likely likely RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 70 6 occurring occur VBG cord-314273-xhnv5cje 70 7 in in IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 70 8 other other JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 70 9 lockeddown lockeddown JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 70 10 areas area NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 70 11 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 70 12 China China NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 70 13 right right RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 70 14 now now RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 70 15 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 70 16 with with IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 70 17 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 70 18 virus virus NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 70 19 on on IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 70 20 a a DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 70 21 slow slow JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 70 22 and and CC cord-314273-xhnv5cje 70 23 stealthy stealthy JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 70 24 progression progression NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 70 25 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 70 26 rather rather RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 70 27 than than IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 70 28 on on IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 70 29 a a DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 70 30 freeze freeze NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 70 31 . . . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 71 1 Given give VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 71 2 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 71 3 severity severity NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 71 4 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 71 5 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 71 6 pandemic pandemic NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 71 7 threat threat NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 71 8 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 71 9 no no DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 71 10 effort effort NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 71 11 should should MD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 71 12 be be VB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 71 13 spared spare VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 71 14 and and CC cord-314273-xhnv5cje 71 15 no no DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 71 16 public public JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 71 17 health health NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 71 18 intervention intervention NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 71 19 discounted discount VBD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 71 20 a a DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 71 21 priori priori FW cord-314273-xhnv5cje 71 22 . . . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 72 1 But but CC cord-314273-xhnv5cje 72 2 at at IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 72 3 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 72 4 same same JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 72 5 time time NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 72 6 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 72 7 it -PRON- PRP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 72 8 is be VBZ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 72 9 crucial crucial JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 72 10 to to TO cord-314273-xhnv5cje 72 11 set set VB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 72 12 realistic realistic JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 72 13 priorities priority NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 72 14 and and CC cord-314273-xhnv5cje 72 15 realistic realistic JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 72 16 expectations expectation NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 72 17 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 72 18 as as RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 72 19 well well RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 72 20 as as IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 72 21 allocate allocate VB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 72 22 resources resource NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 72 23 optimally optimally RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 72 24 while while IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 72 25 advocating advocate VBG cord-314273-xhnv5cje 72 26 for for IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 72 27 more more JJR cord-314273-xhnv5cje 72 28 . . . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 73 1 Our -PRON- PRP$ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 73 2 estimated estimate VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 73 3 ascertainment ascertainment NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 73 4 rate rate NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 73 5 is be VBZ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 73 6 on on IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 73 7 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 73 8 lower low JJR cord-314273-xhnv5cje 73 9 end end NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 73 10 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 73 11 previously previously RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 73 12 published publish VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 73 13 estimates estimate NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 73 14 for for IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 73 15 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 73 16 [ [ -LRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 73 17 4 4 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 73 18 ] ] -RRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 73 19 . . . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 74 1 Regardless regardless RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 74 2 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 74 3 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 74 4 precise precise JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 74 5 rate rate NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 74 6 though though RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 74 7 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 74 8 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 74 9 main main JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 74 10 conclusion conclusion NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 74 11 about about IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 74 12 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 74 13 feasibility feasibility NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 74 14 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 74 15 " " `` cord-314273-xhnv5cje 74 16 containment containment NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 74 17 / / SYM cord-314273-xhnv5cje 74 18 suppression suppression NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 74 19 " " '' cord-314273-xhnv5cje 74 20 ( ( -LRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 74 21 or or CC cord-314273-xhnv5cje 74 22 lack lack NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 74 23 thereof thereof RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 74 24 ) ) -RRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 75 1 still still RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 75 2 holds hold VBZ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 75 3 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 75 4 as as IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 75 5 also also RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 75 6 evidenced evidence VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 75 7 by by IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 75 8 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 75 9 rapid rapid JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 75 10 worldwide worldwide JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 75 11 spread spread NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 75 12 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 75 13 SARS SARS NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 75 14 - - HYPH cord-314273-xhnv5cje 75 15 CoV-2 CoV-2 NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 75 16 . . . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 76 1 Our -PRON- PRP$ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 76 2 result result NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 76 3 also also RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 76 4 highlights highlight VBZ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 76 5 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 76 6 urgent urgent JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 76 7 need need NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 76 8 for for IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 76 9 seroprevalence seroprevalence NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 76 10 surveys survey NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 76 11 in in IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 76 12 different different JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 76 13 populations population NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 76 14 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 76 15 to to TO cord-314273-xhnv5cje 76 16 formally formally RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 76 17 elucidate elucidate VB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 76 18 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 76 19 true true JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 76 20 prevalence prevalence NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 76 21 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 76 22 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 76 23 infection infection NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 76 24 and and CC cord-314273-xhnv5cje 76 25 guide guide VB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 76 26 further further JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 76 27 management management NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 76 28 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 76 29 this this DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 76 30 new new JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 76 31 global global JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 76 32 pandemic pandemic NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 76 33 . . . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 77 1 Striving strive VBG cord-314273-xhnv5cje 77 2 for for IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 77 3 more more RBR cord-314273-xhnv5cje 77 4 timely timely JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 77 5 data data NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 77 6 remains remain VBZ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 77 7 essential essential JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 77 8 for for IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 77 9 optimal optimal JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 77 10 public public JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 77 11 health health NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 77 12 decisions decision NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 77 13 . . . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 78 1 is be VBZ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 78 2 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 78 3 author author NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 78 4 / / SYM cord-314273-xhnv5cje 78 5 funder funder NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 78 6 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 78 7 who who WP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 78 8 has have VBZ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 78 9 granted grant VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 78 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 78 11 a a DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 78 12 license license NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 78 13 to to TO cord-314273-xhnv5cje 78 14 display display VB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 78 15 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 78 16 preprint preprint NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 78 17 in in IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 78 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 78 19 which which WDT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 78 20 was be VBD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 78 21 not not RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 78 22 certified certify VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 78 23 by by IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 78 24 peer peer NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 78 25 review review NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 78 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 79 1 preprint preprint NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 79 2 is be VBZ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 79 3 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 79 4 author author NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 79 5 / / SYM cord-314273-xhnv5cje 79 6 funder funder NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 79 7 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 79 8 who who WP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 79 9 has have VBZ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 79 10 granted grant VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 79 11 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 79 12 a a DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 79 13 license license NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 79 14 to to TO cord-314273-xhnv5cje 79 15 display display VB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 79 16 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 79 17 preprint preprint NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 79 18 in in IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 79 19 ( ( -LRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 79 20 which which WDT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 79 21 was be VBD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 79 22 not not RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 79 23 certified certify VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 79 24 by by IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 79 25 peer peer NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 79 26 review review NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 79 27 ) ) -RRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 80 1 preprint preprint NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 80 2 is be VBZ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 80 3 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 80 4 author author NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 80 5 / / SYM cord-314273-xhnv5cje 80 6 funder funder NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 80 7 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 80 8 who who WP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 80 9 has have VBZ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 80 10 granted grant VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 80 11 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 80 12 a a DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 80 13 license license NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 80 14 to to TO cord-314273-xhnv5cje 80 15 display display VB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 80 16 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 80 17 preprint preprint NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 80 18 in in IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 80 19 ( ( -LRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 80 20 which which WDT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 80 21 was be VBD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 80 22 not not RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 80 23 certified certify VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 80 24 by by IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 80 25 peer peer NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 80 26 review review NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 80 27 ) ) -RRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 80 28 preprint preprint NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 81 1 The the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 81 2 copyright copyright NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 81 3 holder holder NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 81 4 for for IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 81 5 this this DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 81 6 this this DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 81 7 version version NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 81 8 posted post VBD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 81 9 March March NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 81 10 26 26 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 81 11 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 81 12 2020 2020 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 81 13 . . . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 81 14 . . . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 82 1 is be VBZ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 82 2 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 82 3 author author NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 82 4 / / SYM cord-314273-xhnv5cje 82 5 funder funder NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 82 6 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 82 7 who who WP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 82 8 has have VBZ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 82 9 granted grant VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 82 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 82 11 a a DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 82 12 license license NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 82 13 to to TO cord-314273-xhnv5cje 82 14 display display VB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 82 15 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 82 16 preprint preprint NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 82 17 in in IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 82 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 82 19 which which WDT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 82 20 was be VBD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 82 21 not not RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 82 22 certified certify VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 82 23 by by IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 82 24 peer peer NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 82 25 review review NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 82 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 83 1 preprint preprint NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 83 2 _SP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 84 1 Communicating communicate VBG cord-314273-xhnv5cje 84 2 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 84 3 Risk Risk NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 84 4 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 84 5 Death Death NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 84 6 from from IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 84 7 Novel Novel NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 84 8 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 84 9 Disease Disease NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 84 10 ( ( -LRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 84 11 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 84 12 ) ) -RRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 85 1 Novel novel JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 85 2 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 85 3 2019-nCoV 2019-ncov CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 85 4 : : : cord-314273-xhnv5cje 86 1 early early JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 86 2 estimation estimation NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 86 3 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 86 4 epidemiological epidemiological JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 86 5 parameters parameter NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 86 6 and and CC cord-314273-xhnv5cje 86 7 epidemic epidemic NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 86 8 predictions prediction NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 86 9 . . . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 87 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 87 2 The the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 87 3 Rate rate NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 87 4 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 87 5 Underascertainment Underascertainment NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 87 6 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 87 7 Novel Novel NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 87 8 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 87 9 ( ( -LRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 87 10 2019-nCoV 2019-ncov CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 87 11 ) ) -RRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 87 12 Infection infection NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 87 13 : : : cord-314273-xhnv5cje 87 14 Estimation estimation NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 87 15 Using use VBG cord-314273-xhnv5cje 87 16 Japanese japanese JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 87 17 Passengers Passengers NNPS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 87 18 Data Data NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 87 19 on on IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 87 20 Evacuation Evacuation NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 87 21 Flights Flights NNPS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 87 22 Estimating estimate VBG cord-314273-xhnv5cje 87 23 clinical clinical JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 87 24 severity severity NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 87 25 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 87 26 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 87 27 from from IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 87 28 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 87 29 transmission transmission NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 87 30 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 87 31 in in IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 87 32 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 87 33 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 87 34 China China NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 87 35 Substantial substantial JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 87 36 undocumented undocumented JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 87 37 infection infection NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 87 38 facilitates facilitate VBZ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 87 39 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 87 40 rapid rapid JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 87 41 dissemination dissemination NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 87 42 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 87 43 novel novel JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 87 44 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 87 45 ( ( -LRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 87 46 SARS SARS NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 87 47 - - HYPH cord-314273-xhnv5cje 87 48 CoV2 CoV2 NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 87 49 ) ) -RRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 87 50 Estimation Estimation NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 87 51 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 87 52 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 87 53 outbreak outbreak NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 87 54 size size NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 87 55 in in IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 87 56 Italy Italy NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 87 57 based base VBN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 87 58 on on IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 87 59 international international JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 87 60 case case NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 87 61 exportations exportation NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 87 62 . . . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 88 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 88 2 Estimation Estimation NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 88 3 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 88 4 COVID-2019 COVID-2019 NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 88 5 burden burden NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 88 6 and and CC cord-314273-xhnv5cje 88 7 potential potential NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 88 8 for for IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 88 9 international international JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 88 10 dissemination dissemination NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 88 11 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 88 12 infection infection NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 88 13 from from IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 88 14 Iran Iran NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 88 15 . . . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 89 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 89 2 Open open JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 89 3 - - HYPH cord-314273-xhnv5cje 89 4 source source NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 89 5 analytics analytic NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 89 6 tools tool NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 89 7 for for IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 89 8 studying study VBG cord-314273-xhnv5cje 89 9 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 89 10 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 89 11 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 89 12 outbreak outbreak NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 89 13 . . . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 90 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 90 2 Incubation Incubation NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 90 3 period period NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 90 4 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 90 5 2019 2019 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 90 6 novel novel JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 90 7 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 90 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 90 9 2019-nCoV 2019-ncov CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 90 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 90 11 infections infection NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 90 12 among among IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 90 13 travellers traveller NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 90 14 from from IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 90 15 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 90 16 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 90 17 China China NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 90 18 Early Early NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 90 19 Transmission Transmission NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 90 20 Dynamics Dynamics NNPS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 90 21 in in IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 90 22 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 90 23 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 90 24 China China NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 90 25 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 90 26 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 90 27 Novel Novel NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 90 28 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 90 29 - - HYPH cord-314273-xhnv5cje 90 30 Infected Infected NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 90 31 Pneumonia Pneumonia NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 90 32 Report Report NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 90 33 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 90 34 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 90 35 WHO WHO NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 90 36 - - HYPH cord-314273-xhnv5cje 90 37 China China NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 90 38 Joint Joint NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 90 39 Mission Mission NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 90 40 on on IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 90 41 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 90 42 Disease Disease NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 90 43 Epidemic Epidemic NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 90 44 modelling modelling NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 90 45 : : : cord-314273-xhnv5cje 90 46 an an DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 90 47 introduction introduction NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 90 48 . . . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 91 1 Cambridge Cambridge NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 91 2 Age Age NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 91 3 profile profile NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 91 4 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 91 5 susceptibility susceptibility NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 91 6 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 91 7 mixing mixing NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 91 8 , , , cord-314273-xhnv5cje 91 9 and and CC cord-314273-xhnv5cje 91 10 social social JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 91 11 distancing distancing NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 91 12 shape shape NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 91 13 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 91 14 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 91 15 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 91 16 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 91 17 novel novel JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 91 18 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 91 19 disease disease NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 91 20 2019 2019 CD cord-314273-xhnv5cje 91 21 outbreak outbreak NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 91 22 in in IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 91 23 China China NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 91 24 . . . cord-314273-xhnv5cje 92 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 92 2 Novel Novel NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 92 3 framework framework NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 92 4 for for IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 92 5 assessing assess VBG cord-314273-xhnv5cje 92 6 epidemiologic epidemiologic JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 92 7 effects effect NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 92 8 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 92 9 influenza influenza NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 92 10 epidemics epidemic NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 92 11 and and CC cord-314273-xhnv5cje 92 12 pandemics pandemic NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 93 1 Substantial substantial JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 93 2 undocumented undocumented JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 93 3 infection infection NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 93 4 facilitates facilitate VBZ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 93 5 the the DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 93 6 rapid rapid JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 93 7 dissemination dissemination NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 93 8 of of IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 93 9 novel novel JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 93 10 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 93 11 ( ( -LRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 93 12 SARS SARS NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 93 13 - - HYPH cord-314273-xhnv5cje 93 14 CoV2 CoV2 NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 93 15 ) ) -RRB- cord-314273-xhnv5cje 94 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 94 2 gratefully gratefully RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 94 3 acknowledge acknowledge VBP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 94 4 Dr. Dr. NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 94 5 Vana Vana NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 94 6 Sypsa Sypsa NNP cord-314273-xhnv5cje 94 7 for for IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 94 8 providing provide VBG cord-314273-xhnv5cje 94 9 very very RB cord-314273-xhnv5cje 94 10 useful useful JJ cord-314273-xhnv5cje 94 11 comments comment NNS cord-314273-xhnv5cje 94 12 on on IN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 94 13 this this DT cord-314273-xhnv5cje 94 14 manuscript manuscript NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 94 15 None none NN cord-314273-xhnv5cje 94 16 Funding Funding NNP