id	author	title	date	pages	extension	mime	words	sentences	flesch	summary	cache	txt
cord-327096-m87tapjp	Peng, Liangrong	Epidemic analysis of COVID-19 in China by dynamical modeling	2020-02-18		.txt	text/plain	4341	279	60	As shown in Fig. 3e-f , the predicted total infected cases at the end of epidemic, as well as the the inflection point, at which the basic reproduction number is less than 1 6 , both show a positive correlation with the infection rate β and the quarantined time δ −1 and a negative correlation with the protection rate α. 16.20023465 doi: medRxiv preprint of COVID-19 since its onset in Mainland * , Hubei * , and Wuhan (Beijing and Shanghai are not considered due to their too small numbers of infected cases on Jan. 20th). Based on detailed analysis of the public data of NHC of China from Jan. 20th to Feb. 9th, we estimate several key parameters for COVID-19, like the latent time, the quarantine time and the basic reproduction number in a relatively reliable way, and predict the inflection point, possible ending time and final total infected cases for Hubei, Wuhan, Beijing, Shanghai, etc.	./cache/cord-327096-m87tapjp.txt	./txt/cord-327096-m87tapjp.txt