id author title date pages extension mime words sentences flesch summary cache txt cord-267548-7mcfehzc Mizumoto, Kenji Estimating Risk for Death from Coronavirus Disease, China, January–February 2020 2020-06-17 .txt text/plain 2727 118 47 We estimated the time-delay adjusted risk for death from COVID-19 in Wuhan, as well as for China excluding Wuhan, to assess the severity of the epidemic in the country. The elevated death risk estimates are probably associated with a breakdown of the healthcare system, indicating that enhanced public health interventions, including social distancing and movement restrictions, should be implemented to bring the COVID-19 epidemic under control. S ince the first case of coronavirus disease (COVwas identified in December 2019 in the city of Wuhan in the Hubei Province of China, the novel virus (severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 [SARS-CoV-2]) has continued to spread around the world, resulting in several thousand reported cases in multiple countries. During the course of the outbreak, our model-based posterior estimates of time-delay adjusted CFR have much higher values than the observed crude CFR, except for the early stage in Wuhan and the later stage in China excluding Hubei Province. ./cache/cord-267548-7mcfehzc.txt ./txt/cord-267548-7mcfehzc.txt