id author title date pages extension mime words sentences flesch summary cache txt cord-027758-vgr6ht3a Wang, Tianbing A four-compartment model for the COVID-19 infection—implications on infection kinetics, control measures, and lockdown exit strategies 2020-05-28 .txt text/plain 4475 229 55 OBJECTIVE: To analyse the impact and repercussions of the surge in healthcare demand in response to the COVID-19 pandemic, assess the potential effectiveness of various infection/disease control measures, and make projections on the best approach to exit from the current lockdown. The model captures the effectiveness of various disease suppression measures in three modifiable factors: (a) the per capita contact rate (β) that can be lowered by means of social distancing, (b) infection probability upon contacting infectious individuals that can be lowered by wearing facemasks, personal hygiene, etc., and (c) the population of infectious individuals in contact with the susceptible population, which can be lowered by quarantine. Analysing the different lockdown exit strategies showed that a lockdown exit strategy with a combination of social separation/general facemask use may work, but this needs to be supported by intense monitoring which would allow re-introduction/tightening of the control measures if the number of new infected subjects increases again. ./cache/cord-027758-vgr6ht3a.txt ./txt/cord-027758-vgr6ht3a.txt