id	author	title	date	pages	extension	mime	words	sentences	flesch	summary	cache	txt
cord-353587-5e0kxjlt	Aggarwal, Shruti	COVID-19 and cataract surgery backlog in Medicare beneficiaries	2020-07-17		.txt	text/plain	3156	174	52	PURPOSE: To forecast the volume of cataract surgery in Medicare beneficiaries in the United States in 2020 and to estimate the surgical backlog that may be created due to COVID-19. In this investigation, our goals were (1) to model the volume of cataract surgery in Medicare beneficiaries in 2020 in light of to estimate the surgical backlog that might have been created due to elective surgery suspension and subsequent ramp-up. It was assumed that once the elective surgical suspension period is over, there would be a ramp-up period, and the volume of cataract surgeries performed would not immediately revert back to 100% of the prepandemic forecast. Once elective surgical suspension is lifted and surgeries resume, the Monte Carlo simulation revealed that under the optimistic scenario, it would take 4 months to revert to 90% of the prepandemic forecasted volume (performing at least 280 000 cases per month).	./cache/cord-353587-5e0kxjlt.txt	./txt/cord-353587-5e0kxjlt.txt