id sid tid token lemma pos cord-029725-px209lf0 1 1 key key NN cord-029725-px209lf0 1 2 : : : cord-029725-px209lf0 2 1 cord-029725-px209lf0 cord-029725-px209lf0 NFP cord-029725-px209lf0 3 1 authors author NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 3 2 : : : cord-029725-px209lf0 3 3 Anand Anand NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 3 4 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 3 5 Nikhil Nikhil NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 3 6 ; ; : cord-029725-px209lf0 3 7 Sabarinath Sabarinath NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 3 8 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 3 9 A. a. NN cord-029725-px209lf0 3 10 ; ; : cord-029725-px209lf0 3 11 Geetha Geetha NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 3 12 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 3 13 S. S. NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 3 14 ; ; : cord-029725-px209lf0 3 15 Somanath Somanath NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 3 16 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 3 17 S. S. NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 3 18 title title NN cord-029725-px209lf0 3 19 : : : cord-029725-px209lf0 4 1 Predicting predict VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 4 2 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 4 3 Spread Spread NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 4 4 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 4 5 COVID-19 COVID-19 `` cord-029725-px209lf0 4 6 Using use VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 4 7 [ [ -LRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 4 8 Formula formula NN cord-029725-px209lf0 4 9 : : : cord-029725-px209lf0 4 10 see see VB cord-029725-px209lf0 4 11 text text NN cord-029725-px209lf0 4 12 ] ] -RRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 5 1 Model model NN cord-029725-px209lf0 5 2 Augmented augment VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 5 3 to to TO cord-029725-px209lf0 5 4 Incorporate incorporate VB cord-029725-px209lf0 5 5 Quarantine Quarantine NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 5 6 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 5 7 Testing Testing NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 5 8 date date NN cord-029725-px209lf0 6 1 : : : cord-029725-px209lf0 6 2 2020 2020 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 6 3 - - HYPH cord-029725-px209lf0 6 4 07 07 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 6 5 - - HYPH cord-029725-px209lf0 6 6 24 24 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 6 7 journal journal NN cord-029725-px209lf0 6 8 : : : cord-029725-px209lf0 7 1 Trans Trans NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 7 2 Indian Indian NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 7 3 Natl Natl NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 7 4 DOI DOI NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 7 5 : : : cord-029725-px209lf0 7 6 10.1007 10.1007 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 7 7 / / SYM cord-029725-px209lf0 7 8 s41403 s41403 NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 7 9 - - HYPH cord-029725-px209lf0 7 10 020 020 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 7 11 - - HYPH cord-029725-px209lf0 7 12 00151 00151 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 7 13 - - SYM cord-029725-px209lf0 7 14 5 5 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 8 1 sha sha NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 8 2 : : : cord-029725-px209lf0 8 3 b053b94a174763b98bb3cb5f79a5556d615b171d b053b94a174763b98bb3cb5f79a5556d615b171d NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 8 4 doc_id doc_id CD cord-029725-px209lf0 8 5 : : : cord-029725-px209lf0 8 6 29725 29725 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 8 7 cord_uid cord_uid NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 8 8 : : : cord-029725-px209lf0 9 1 px209lf0 px209lf0 NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 10 1 India India NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 10 2 imposed impose VBD cord-029725-px209lf0 10 3 a a DT cord-029725-px209lf0 10 4 nationwide nationwide JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 10 5 lockdown lockdown NN cord-029725-px209lf0 10 6 from from IN cord-029725-px209lf0 10 7 25th 25th JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 10 8 March March NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 10 9 2020 2020 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 10 10 onwards onwards RB cord-029725-px209lf0 10 11 to to TO cord-029725-px209lf0 10 12 combat combat VB cord-029725-px209lf0 10 13 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 10 14 spread spread NN cord-029725-px209lf0 10 15 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 10 16 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 10 17 pandemic pandemic NN cord-029725-px209lf0 10 18 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 11 1 To to TO cord-029725-px209lf0 11 2 model model VB cord-029725-px209lf0 11 3 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 11 4 spread spread NN cord-029725-px209lf0 11 5 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 11 6 a a DT cord-029725-px209lf0 11 7 disease disease NN cord-029725-px209lf0 11 8 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 11 9 to to TO cord-029725-px209lf0 11 10 predict predict VB cord-029725-px209lf0 11 11 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-029725-px209lf0 11 12 future future JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 11 13 course course NN cord-029725-px209lf0 11 14 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 11 15 epidemiologists epidemiologist NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 11 16 make make VBP cord-029725-px209lf0 11 17 use use NN cord-029725-px209lf0 11 18 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 11 19 compartmental compartmental JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 11 20 models model NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 11 21 such such JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 11 22 as as IN cord-029725-px209lf0 11 23 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 11 24 [ [ -LRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 11 25 Formula formula NN cord-029725-px209lf0 11 26 : : : cord-029725-px209lf0 11 27 see see VB cord-029725-px209lf0 11 28 text text NN cord-029725-px209lf0 11 29 ] ] -RRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 11 30 model model NN cord-029725-px209lf0 11 31 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 12 1 In in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 12 2 order order NN cord-029725-px209lf0 12 3 to to TO cord-029725-px209lf0 12 4 address address VB cord-029725-px209lf0 12 5 some some DT cord-029725-px209lf0 12 6 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 12 7 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 12 8 assumptions assumption NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 12 9 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 12 10 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 12 11 standard standard JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 12 12 [ [ -LRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 12 13 Formula formula NN cord-029725-px209lf0 12 14 : : : cord-029725-px209lf0 12 15 see see VB cord-029725-px209lf0 12 16 text text NN cord-029725-px209lf0 12 17 ] ] -RRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 12 18 model model NN cord-029725-px209lf0 12 19 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 12 20 a a DT cord-029725-px209lf0 12 21 new new JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 12 22 modified modify VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 12 23 version version NN cord-029725-px209lf0 12 24 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 12 25 [ [ -LRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 12 26 Formula formula NN cord-029725-px209lf0 12 27 : : : cord-029725-px209lf0 12 28 see see VB cord-029725-px209lf0 12 29 text text NN cord-029725-px209lf0 12 30 ] ] -RRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 12 31 model model NN cord-029725-px209lf0 12 32 is be VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 12 33 proposed propose VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 12 34 in in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 12 35 this this DT cord-029725-px209lf0 12 36 paper paper NN cord-029725-px209lf0 12 37 that that WDT cord-029725-px209lf0 12 38 takes take VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 12 39 into into IN cord-029725-px209lf0 12 40 account account NN cord-029725-px209lf0 12 41 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 12 42 percentage percentage NN cord-029725-px209lf0 12 43 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 12 44 infected infected JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 12 45 individuals individual NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 12 46 who who WP cord-029725-px209lf0 12 47 are be VBP cord-029725-px209lf0 12 48 tested test VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 12 49 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 12 50 quarantined quarantine VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 12 51 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 13 1 This this DT cord-029725-px209lf0 13 2 approach approach NN cord-029725-px209lf0 13 3 helps help VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 13 4 overcome overcome VB cord-029725-px209lf0 13 5 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 13 6 assumption assumption NN cord-029725-px209lf0 13 7 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 13 8 homogenous homogenous JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 13 9 mixing mixing NN cord-029725-px209lf0 13 10 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 13 11 population population NN cord-029725-px209lf0 13 12 which which WDT cord-029725-px209lf0 13 13 is be VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 13 14 inherent inherent JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 13 15 to to IN cord-029725-px209lf0 13 16 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 13 17 conventional conventional JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 13 18 [ [ -LRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 13 19 Formula formula NN cord-029725-px209lf0 13 20 : : : cord-029725-px209lf0 13 21 see see VB cord-029725-px209lf0 13 22 text text NN cord-029725-px209lf0 13 23 ] ] -RRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 13 24 model model NN cord-029725-px209lf0 13 25 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 14 1 Using use VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 14 2 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 14 3 available available JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 14 4 data datum NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 14 5 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 14 6 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 14 7 number number NN cord-029725-px209lf0 14 8 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 14 9 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 14 10 positive positive JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 14 11 cases case NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 14 12 reported report VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 14 13 in in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 14 14 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 14 15 state state NN cord-029725-px209lf0 14 16 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 14 17 Kerala Kerala NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 14 18 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 14 19 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 14 20 in in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 14 21 India India NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 14 22 till till IN cord-029725-px209lf0 14 23 26th 26th JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 14 24 April April NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 14 25 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 14 26 2020 2020 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 14 27 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 14 28 12th 12th NN cord-029725-px209lf0 15 1 May May NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 15 2 2020 2020 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 15 3 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 15 4 respectively respectively RB cord-029725-px209lf0 15 5 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 15 6 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 15 7 parameter parameter NN cord-029725-px209lf0 15 8 estimation estimation NN cord-029725-px209lf0 15 9 problem problem NN cord-029725-px209lf0 15 10 is be VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 15 11 converted convert VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 15 12 into into IN cord-029725-px209lf0 15 13 an an DT cord-029725-px209lf0 15 14 optimization optimization NN cord-029725-px209lf0 15 15 problem problem NN cord-029725-px209lf0 15 16 with with IN cord-029725-px209lf0 15 17 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 15 18 help help NN cord-029725-px209lf0 15 19 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 15 20 a a DT cord-029725-px209lf0 15 21 least least JJS cord-029725-px209lf0 15 22 squared squared JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 15 23 cost cost NN cord-029725-px209lf0 15 24 function function NN cord-029725-px209lf0 15 25 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 16 1 The the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 16 2 optimization optimization NN cord-029725-px209lf0 16 3 problem problem NN cord-029725-px209lf0 16 4 is be VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 16 5 then then RB cord-029725-px209lf0 16 6 solved solve VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 16 7 using use VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 16 8 differential differential JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 16 9 evolution evolution NN cord-029725-px209lf0 16 10 optimizer optimizer NN cord-029725-px209lf0 16 11 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 17 1 The the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 17 2 impact impact NN cord-029725-px209lf0 17 3 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 17 4 lockdown lockdown NN cord-029725-px209lf0 17 5 is be VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 17 6 quantified quantify VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 17 7 by by IN cord-029725-px209lf0 17 8 comparing compare VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 17 9 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 17 10 rising rise VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 17 11 trend trend NN cord-029725-px209lf0 17 12 in in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 17 13 infections infection NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 17 14 before before IN cord-029725-px209lf0 17 15 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 17 16 during during IN cord-029725-px209lf0 17 17 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 17 18 lockdown lockdown NN cord-029725-px209lf0 17 19 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 18 1 Using use VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 18 2 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 18 3 estimated estimate VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 18 4 set set NN cord-029725-px209lf0 18 5 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 18 6 parameters parameter NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 18 7 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 18 8 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 18 9 model model NN cord-029725-px209lf0 18 10 predicts predict VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 18 11 that that IN cord-029725-px209lf0 18 12 in in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 18 13 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 18 14 state state NN cord-029725-px209lf0 18 15 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 18 16 Kerala Kerala NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 18 17 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 18 18 by by IN cord-029725-px209lf0 18 19 using use VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 18 20 certain certain JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 18 21 interventions intervention NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 18 22 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 18 23 pandemic pandemic NN cord-029725-px209lf0 18 24 can can MD cord-029725-px209lf0 18 25 be be VB cord-029725-px209lf0 18 26 successfully successfully RB cord-029725-px209lf0 18 27 controlled control VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 18 28 latest late JJS cord-029725-px209lf0 18 29 by by IN cord-029725-px209lf0 18 30 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 18 31 first first JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 18 32 week week NN cord-029725-px209lf0 18 33 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 18 34 July July NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 18 35 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 18 36 whereas whereas IN cord-029725-px209lf0 18 37 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 18 38 [ [ -LRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 18 39 Formula formula NN cord-029725-px209lf0 18 40 : : : cord-029725-px209lf0 18 41 see see VB cord-029725-px209lf0 18 42 text text NN cord-029725-px209lf0 18 43 ] ] -RRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 18 44 value value NN cord-029725-px209lf0 18 45 for for IN cord-029725-px209lf0 18 46 India India NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 18 47 is be VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 18 48 still still RB cord-029725-px209lf0 18 49 greater great JJR cord-029725-px209lf0 18 50 than than IN cord-029725-px209lf0 18 51 1 1 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 18 52 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 18 53 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 18 54 hence hence RB cord-029725-px209lf0 18 55 lifting lift VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 18 56 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 18 57 lockdown lockdown NN cord-029725-px209lf0 18 58 from from IN cord-029725-px209lf0 18 59 all all DT cord-029725-px209lf0 18 60 regions region NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 18 61 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 18 62 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 18 63 country country NN cord-029725-px209lf0 18 64 is be VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 18 65 not not RB cord-029725-px209lf0 18 66 advisable advisable JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 18 67 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 19 1 COrona COrona NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 19 2 VIrus VIrus NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 19 3 Disease Disease NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 19 4 has have VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 19 5 presented present VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 19 6 an an DT cord-029725-px209lf0 19 7 out out NN cord-029725-px209lf0 19 8 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 19 9 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 19 10 ordinary ordinary JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 19 11 challenge challenge NN cord-029725-px209lf0 19 12 before before IN cord-029725-px209lf0 19 13 us -PRON- PRP cord-029725-px209lf0 19 14 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 20 1 As as IN cord-029725-px209lf0 20 2 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 20 3 12th 12th JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 20 4 May May NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 20 5 2020 2020 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 20 6 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 20 7 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 20 8 disease disease NN cord-029725-px209lf0 20 9 has have VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 20 10 infected infect VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 20 11 more more JJR cord-029725-px209lf0 20 12 than than IN cord-029725-px209lf0 20 13 four four CD cord-029725-px209lf0 20 14 million million CD cord-029725-px209lf0 20 15 people people NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 20 16 globally globally RB cord-029725-px209lf0 20 17 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 20 18 claimed claim VBD cord-029725-px209lf0 20 19 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 20 20 lives life NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 20 21 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 20 22 almost almost RB cord-029725-px209lf0 20 23 three three CD cord-029725-px209lf0 20 24 hundred hundred CD cord-029725-px209lf0 20 25 thousand thousand CD cord-029725-px209lf0 20 26 individuals individual NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 20 27 ( ( -LRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 20 28 Situation situation NN cord-029725-px209lf0 20 29 report-113 report-113 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 20 30 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 20 31 2020 2020 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 20 32 ) ) -RRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 20 33 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 21 1 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 21 2 is be VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 21 3 caused cause VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 21 4 by by IN cord-029725-px209lf0 21 5 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 21 6 novel novel JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 21 7 corona corona NN cord-029725-px209lf0 21 8 virus virus NN cord-029725-px209lf0 21 9 SARS SARS NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 21 10 - - HYPH cord-029725-px209lf0 21 11 CoV-2 CoV-2 NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 21 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 21 13 Report report NN cord-029725-px209lf0 21 14 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 21 15 WHO WHO NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 21 16 2020 2020 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 21 17 ) ) -RRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 21 18 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 22 1 Currently currently RB cord-029725-px209lf0 22 2 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 22 3 there there EX cord-029725-px209lf0 22 4 is be VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 22 5 no no DT cord-029725-px209lf0 22 6 clinically clinically RB cord-029725-px209lf0 22 7 proven prove VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 22 8 medicine medicine NN cord-029725-px209lf0 22 9 to to TO cord-029725-px209lf0 22 10 treat treat VB cord-029725-px209lf0 22 11 this this DT cord-029725-px209lf0 22 12 ailment ailment NN cord-029725-px209lf0 23 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 23 2 Sanders Sanders NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 23 3 et et NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 23 4 al al NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 23 5 . . NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 23 6 2020 2020 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 23 7 ) ) -RRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 23 8 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 24 1 Optimistic optimistic JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 24 2 researchers researcher NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 24 3 suggest suggest VBP cord-029725-px209lf0 24 4 that that IN cord-029725-px209lf0 24 5 a a DT cord-029725-px209lf0 24 6 clinically clinically RB cord-029725-px209lf0 24 7 proven prove VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 24 8 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 24 9 tested test VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 24 10 vaccine vaccine NN cord-029725-px209lf0 24 11 is be VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 24 12 at at IN cord-029725-px209lf0 24 13 least least JJS cord-029725-px209lf0 24 14 1 1 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 24 15 - - SYM cord-029725-px209lf0 24 16 2 2 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 24 17 years year NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 24 18 away away RB cord-029725-px209lf0 25 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 25 2 Ferguson Ferguson NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 25 3 et et NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 25 4 al al NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 25 5 . . NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 25 6 2020 2020 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 25 7 ) ) -RRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 25 8 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 26 1 As as IN cord-029725-px209lf0 26 2 per per IN cord-029725-px209lf0 26 3 WHO WHO NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 26 4 guidelines guideline NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 26 5 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 26 6 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 26 7 only only JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 26 8 way way NN cord-029725-px209lf0 26 9 to to TO cord-029725-px209lf0 26 10 combat combat VB cord-029725-px209lf0 26 11 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 26 12 contain contain VB cord-029725-px209lf0 26 13 this this DT cord-029725-px209lf0 26 14 pandemic pandemic NN cord-029725-px209lf0 26 15 is be VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 26 16 to to TO cord-029725-px209lf0 26 17 maintain maintain VB cord-029725-px209lf0 26 18 personal personal JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 26 19 hygiene hygiene NN cord-029725-px209lf0 26 20 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 26 21 observe observe VB cord-029725-px209lf0 26 22 strict strict JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 26 23 social social JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 26 24 distancing distancing NN cord-029725-px209lf0 26 25 measures measure NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 26 26 ( ( -LRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 26 27 Ferguson Ferguson NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 26 28 et et NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 26 29 al al NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 26 30 . . NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 26 31 2020 2020 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 26 32 ) ) -RRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 26 33 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 27 1 This this DT cord-029725-px209lf0 27 2 strategy strategy NN cord-029725-px209lf0 27 3 is be VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 27 4 widely widely RB cord-029725-px209lf0 27 5 adopted adopt VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 27 6 across across IN cord-029725-px209lf0 27 7 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 27 8 world world NN cord-029725-px209lf0 27 9 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 27 10 many many JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 27 11 countries country NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 27 12 have have VBP cord-029725-px209lf0 27 13 imposed impose VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 27 14 nationwide nationwide JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 27 15 lockdowns lockdown NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 27 16 ( ( -LRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 27 17 Situation situation NN cord-029725-px209lf0 27 18 report-91 report-91 NN cord-029725-px209lf0 27 19 2020 2020 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 27 20 ) ) -RRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 27 21 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 28 1 The the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 28 2 first first JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 28 3 case case NN cord-029725-px209lf0 28 4 in in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 28 5 India India NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 28 6 was be VBD cord-029725-px209lf0 28 7 reported report VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 28 8 on on IN cord-029725-px209lf0 28 9 30th 30th JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 28 10 January January NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 28 11 2020 2020 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 29 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 29 2 Situation situation NN cord-029725-px209lf0 29 3 report-3 report-3 RB cord-029725-px209lf0 29 4 2020 2020 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 29 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 29 6 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 30 1 As as IN cord-029725-px209lf0 30 2 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 30 3 12th 12th JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 30 4 May May NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 30 5 2020 2020 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 30 6 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 30 7 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 30 8 cases case NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 30 9 have have VBP cord-029725-px209lf0 30 10 risen rise VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 30 11 to to IN cord-029725-px209lf0 30 12 more more JJR cord-029725-px209lf0 30 13 than than IN cord-029725-px209lf0 30 14 seventy seventy CD cord-029725-px209lf0 30 15 thousand thousand CD cord-029725-px209lf0 30 16 in in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 30 17 number number NN cord-029725-px209lf0 30 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 30 19 Ministry Ministry NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 30 20 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 30 21 Health Health NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 30 22 & & CC cord-029725-px209lf0 30 23 Family Family NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 30 24 Welfare Welfare NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 30 25 2020 2020 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 30 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 30 27 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 31 1 Government Government NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 31 2 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 31 3 India India NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 31 4 took take VBD cord-029725-px209lf0 31 5 an an DT cord-029725-px209lf0 31 6 active active JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 31 7 step step NN cord-029725-px209lf0 31 8 towards towards IN cord-029725-px209lf0 31 9 containing contain VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 31 10 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 31 11 spread spread NN cord-029725-px209lf0 31 12 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 31 13 this this DT cord-029725-px209lf0 31 14 disease disease NN cord-029725-px209lf0 31 15 by by IN cord-029725-px209lf0 31 16 initially initially RB cord-029725-px209lf0 31 17 imposing impose VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 31 18 a a DT cord-029725-px209lf0 31 19 21-day 21-day CD cord-029725-px209lf0 31 20 nationwide nationwide JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 31 21 lockdown lockdown NN cord-029725-px209lf0 31 22 from from IN cord-029725-px209lf0 31 23 25th 25th JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 31 24 March March NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 31 25 2020 2020 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 31 26 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 31 27 later later RB cord-029725-px209lf0 31 28 extending extend VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 31 29 it -PRON- PRP cord-029725-px209lf0 31 30 for for IN cord-029725-px209lf0 31 31 2 2 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 31 32 more more JJR cord-029725-px209lf0 31 33 weeks week NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 31 34 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 32 1 This this DT cord-029725-px209lf0 32 2 measure measure NN cord-029725-px209lf0 32 3 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 32 4 abundant abundant JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 32 5 precaution precaution NN cord-029725-px209lf0 32 6 has have VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 32 7 helped help VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 32 8 to to TO cord-029725-px209lf0 32 9 suppress suppress VB cord-029725-px209lf0 32 10 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 32 11 frequency frequency NN cord-029725-px209lf0 32 12 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 32 13 magnitude magnitude NN cord-029725-px209lf0 32 14 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 32 15 social social JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 32 16 contacts contact NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 32 17 within within IN cord-029725-px209lf0 32 18 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 32 19 country country NN cord-029725-px209lf0 33 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 33 2 Situation situation NN cord-029725-px209lf0 33 3 report-91 report-91 NN cord-029725-px209lf0 33 4 2020 2020 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 33 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 33 6 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 34 1 This this DT cord-029725-px209lf0 34 2 quarantine quarantine NN cord-029725-px209lf0 34 3 period period NN cord-029725-px209lf0 34 4 is be VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 34 5 also also RB cord-029725-px209lf0 34 6 accompanied accompany VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 34 7 with with IN cord-029725-px209lf0 34 8 continuous continuous JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 34 9 contact contact NN cord-029725-px209lf0 34 10 tracing tracing NN cord-029725-px209lf0 34 11 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 34 12 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 34 13 increasing increase VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 34 14 infected infected JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 34 15 patients patient NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 34 16 by by IN cord-029725-px209lf0 34 17 local local JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 34 18 government government NN cord-029725-px209lf0 34 19 authorities authority NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 34 20 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 34 21 functioning function VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 34 22 at at IN cord-029725-px209lf0 34 23 war war NN cord-029725-px209lf0 34 24 - - HYPH cord-029725-px209lf0 34 25 footing footing NN cord-029725-px209lf0 34 26 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 34 27 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 34 28 health health NN cord-029725-px209lf0 34 29 care care NN cord-029725-px209lf0 34 30 system system NN cord-029725-px209lf0 34 31 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 35 1 Epidemiology epidemiology NN cord-029725-px209lf0 35 2 is be VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 35 3 a a DT cord-029725-px209lf0 35 4 branch branch NN cord-029725-px209lf0 35 5 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 35 6 medicine medicine NN cord-029725-px209lf0 35 7 that that WDT cord-029725-px209lf0 35 8 deals deal VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 35 9 with with IN cord-029725-px209lf0 35 10 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 35 11 incidence incidence NN cord-029725-px209lf0 35 12 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 35 13 distribution distribution NN cord-029725-px209lf0 35 14 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 35 15 possible possible JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 35 16 control control NN cord-029725-px209lf0 35 17 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 35 18 diseases disease NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 35 19 in in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 35 20 a a DT cord-029725-px209lf0 35 21 population population NN cord-029725-px209lf0 35 22 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 36 1 Epidemiological epidemiological JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 36 2 models model NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 36 3 such such JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 36 4 as as IN cord-029725-px209lf0 36 5 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 36 6 SIR SIR NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 36 7 model model NN cord-029725-px209lf0 36 8 are be VBP cord-029725-px209lf0 36 9 widely widely RB cord-029725-px209lf0 36 10 used use VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 36 11 to to TO cord-029725-px209lf0 36 12 model model VB cord-029725-px209lf0 36 13 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 36 14 spread spread NN cord-029725-px209lf0 36 15 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 36 16 diseases disease NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 36 17 in in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 36 18 a a DT cord-029725-px209lf0 36 19 population population NN cord-029725-px209lf0 36 20 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 37 1 The the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 37 2 standard standard JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 37 3 SIR SIR NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 37 4 model model NN cord-029725-px209lf0 37 5 works work VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 37 6 with with IN cord-029725-px209lf0 37 7 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 37 8 assumption assumption NN cord-029725-px209lf0 37 9 that that IN cord-029725-px209lf0 37 10 there there EX cord-029725-px209lf0 37 11 is be VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 37 12 continuous continuous JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 37 13 contact contact NN cord-029725-px209lf0 37 14 between between IN cord-029725-px209lf0 37 15 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 37 16 infected infected JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 37 17 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 37 18 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 37 19 population population NN cord-029725-px209lf0 37 20 ( ( -LRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 37 21 Adamu Adamu NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 37 22 et et NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 37 23 al al NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 37 24 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 37 25 2019 2019 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 37 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 37 27 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 38 1 This this DT cord-029725-px209lf0 38 2 assumption assumption NN cord-029725-px209lf0 38 3 is be VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 38 4 violated violate VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 38 5 in in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 38 6 a a DT cord-029725-px209lf0 38 7 scenario scenario NN cord-029725-px209lf0 38 8 wherein wherein WRB cord-029725-px209lf0 38 9 restrictions restriction NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 38 10 such such JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 38 11 as as IN cord-029725-px209lf0 38 12 quarantine quarantine NN cord-029725-px209lf0 38 13 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 38 14 social social JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 38 15 distancing distancing NN cord-029725-px209lf0 38 16 are be VBP cord-029725-px209lf0 38 17 enforced enforce VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 38 18 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 38 19 in in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 38 20 which which WDT cord-029725-px209lf0 38 21 case case NN cord-029725-px209lf0 38 22 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 38 23 portion portion NN cord-029725-px209lf0 38 24 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 38 25 infected infected JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 38 26 population population NN cord-029725-px209lf0 38 27 which which WDT cord-029725-px209lf0 38 28 is be VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 38 29 quarantined quarantine VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 38 30 will will MD cord-029725-px209lf0 38 31 not not RB cord-029725-px209lf0 38 32 be be VB cord-029725-px209lf0 38 33 contributing contribute VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 38 34 in in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 38 35 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 38 36 spread spread NN cord-029725-px209lf0 38 37 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 38 38 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 38 39 disease disease NN cord-029725-px209lf0 38 40 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 39 1 Several several JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 39 2 authors author NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 39 3 have have VBP cord-029725-px209lf0 39 4 made make VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 39 5 modifications modification NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 39 6 to to IN cord-029725-px209lf0 39 7 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 39 8 existing exist VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 39 9 SIR SIR NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 39 10 model model NN cord-029725-px209lf0 39 11 to to TO cord-029725-px209lf0 39 12 make make VB cord-029725-px209lf0 39 13 more more RBR cord-029725-px209lf0 39 14 accurate accurate JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 39 15 predictions prediction NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 39 16 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 40 1 Peng Peng NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 40 2 et et NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 40 3 al al NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 40 4 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 41 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 41 2 2020 2020 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 41 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 41 4 has have VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 41 5 developed develop VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 41 6 a a DT cord-029725-px209lf0 41 7 7-variable 7-variable CD cord-029725-px209lf0 41 8 SEIR SEIR NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 41 9 model model NN cord-029725-px209lf0 41 10 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 41 11 which which WDT cord-029725-px209lf0 41 12 was be VBD cord-029725-px209lf0 41 13 used use VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 41 14 to to TO cord-029725-px209lf0 41 15 model model VB cord-029725-px209lf0 41 16 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 41 17 outbreak outbreak NN cord-029725-px209lf0 41 18 in in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 41 19 China China NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 41 20 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 42 1 Lopez Lopez NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 42 2 et et NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 42 3 al al NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 42 4 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 43 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 43 2 2020 2020 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 43 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 43 4 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 43 5 have have VBP cord-029725-px209lf0 43 6 used use VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 43 7 a a DT cord-029725-px209lf0 43 8 model model NN cord-029725-px209lf0 43 9 similar similar JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 43 10 to to IN cord-029725-px209lf0 43 11 Peng Peng NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 43 12 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 43 13 to to TO cord-029725-px209lf0 43 14 predict predict VB cord-029725-px209lf0 43 15 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 43 16 outbreak outbreak NN cord-029725-px209lf0 43 17 in in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 43 18 Italy Italy NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 43 19 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 43 20 Spain Spain NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 43 21 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 44 1 Stochastic stochastic JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 44 2 models model NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 44 3 can can MD cord-029725-px209lf0 44 4 also also RB cord-029725-px209lf0 44 5 be be VB cord-029725-px209lf0 44 6 used use VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 44 7 to to TO cord-029725-px209lf0 44 8 make make VB cord-029725-px209lf0 44 9 predictions prediction NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 44 10 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 44 11 such such JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 44 12 as as IN cord-029725-px209lf0 44 13 Aravind Aravind NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 44 14 et et NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 44 15 al al NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 44 16 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 45 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 45 2 2020 2020 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 45 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 45 4 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 45 5 where where WRB cord-029725-px209lf0 45 6 a a DT cord-029725-px209lf0 45 7 stochastic stochastic JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 45 8 model model NN cord-029725-px209lf0 45 9 is be VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 45 10 used use VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 45 11 to to TO cord-029725-px209lf0 45 12 predict predict VB cord-029725-px209lf0 45 13 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 45 14 outbreak outbreak NN cord-029725-px209lf0 45 15 in in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 45 16 India India NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 45 17 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 46 1 In in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 46 2 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 46 3 same same JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 46 4 study study NN cord-029725-px209lf0 46 5 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 46 6 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 46 7 R r NN cord-029725-px209lf0 46 8 0 0 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 46 9 value value NN cord-029725-px209lf0 46 10 for for IN cord-029725-px209lf0 46 11 India India NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 46 12 was be VBD cord-029725-px209lf0 46 13 estimated estimate VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 46 14 between between IN cord-029725-px209lf0 46 15 1.4 1.4 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 46 16 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 46 17 1.85 1.85 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 46 18 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 47 1 In in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 47 2 this this DT cord-029725-px209lf0 47 3 paper paper NN cord-029725-px209lf0 47 4 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 47 5 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 47 6 growth growth NN cord-029725-px209lf0 47 7 characteristics characteristic NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 47 8 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 47 9 this this DT cord-029725-px209lf0 47 10 disease disease NN cord-029725-px209lf0 47 11 using use VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 47 12 an an DT cord-029725-px209lf0 47 13 augmented augment VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 47 14 SIR SIR NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 47 15 model model NN cord-029725-px209lf0 47 16 are be VBP cord-029725-px209lf0 47 17 discussed discuss VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 47 18 in in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 47 19 detail detail NN cord-029725-px209lf0 47 20 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 48 1 The the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 48 2 standard standard JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 48 3 SIR SIR NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 48 4 model model NN cord-029725-px209lf0 48 5 is be VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 48 6 tweaked tweak VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 48 7 to to TO cord-029725-px209lf0 48 8 study study VB cord-029725-px209lf0 48 9 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 48 10 effect effect NN cord-029725-px209lf0 48 11 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 48 12 testing testing NN cord-029725-px209lf0 48 13 by by IN cord-029725-px209lf0 48 14 introducing introduce VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 48 15 categorization categorization NN cord-029725-px209lf0 48 16 for for IN cord-029725-px209lf0 48 17 quarantined quarantine VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 48 18 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 48 19 unquarantined unquarantine VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 48 20 individuals individual NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 48 21 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 49 1 The the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 49 2 growth growth NN cord-029725-px209lf0 49 3 trend trend NN cord-029725-px209lf0 49 4 for for IN cord-029725-px209lf0 49 5 pre pre JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 49 6 - - JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 49 7 lockdown lockdown JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 49 8 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 49 9 post post JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 49 10 - - JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 49 11 lockdown lockdown JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 49 12 scenarios scenario NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 49 13 is be VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 49 14 assessed assess VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 49 15 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 49 16 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 49 17 necessary necessary JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 49 18 parameters parameter NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 49 19 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 49 20 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 49 21 SIR SIR NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 49 22 model model NN cord-029725-px209lf0 49 23 have have VBP cord-029725-px209lf0 49 24 been be VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 49 25 estimated estimate VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 49 26 separately separately RB cord-029725-px209lf0 49 27 for for IN cord-029725-px209lf0 49 28 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 49 29 state state NN cord-029725-px209lf0 49 30 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 49 31 Kerala Kerala NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 49 32 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 49 33 India India NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 49 34 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 49 35 as as IN cord-029725-px209lf0 49 36 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 49 37 authors author NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 49 38 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 49 39 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-029725-px209lf0 49 40 affiliated affiliate VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 49 41 institution institution NN cord-029725-px209lf0 49 42 are be VBP cord-029725-px209lf0 49 43 located locate VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 49 44 in in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 49 45 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 49 46 Indian indian JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 49 47 state state NN cord-029725-px209lf0 49 48 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 49 49 Kerala Kerala NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 49 50 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 50 1 The the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 50 2 following following JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 50 3 section section NN cord-029725-px209lf0 50 4 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 50 5 this this DT cord-029725-px209lf0 50 6 paper paper NN cord-029725-px209lf0 50 7 describes describe VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 50 8 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 50 9 standard standard JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 50 10 SIR SIR NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 50 11 model model NN cord-029725-px209lf0 50 12 along along IN cord-029725-px209lf0 50 13 with with IN cord-029725-px209lf0 50 14 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-029725-px209lf0 50 15 assumption assumption NN cord-029725-px209lf0 50 16 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 50 17 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 50 18 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 50 19 proposal proposal NN cord-029725-px209lf0 50 20 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 50 21 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 50 22 modified modify VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 50 23 SIR SIR NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 50 24 model model NN cord-029725-px209lf0 50 25 is be VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 50 26 later later RB cord-029725-px209lf0 50 27 presented present VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 50 28 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 51 1 The the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 51 2 methodology methodology NN cord-029725-px209lf0 51 3 used use VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 51 4 in in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 51 5 this this DT cord-029725-px209lf0 51 6 study study NN cord-029725-px209lf0 51 7 as as RB cord-029725-px209lf0 51 8 well well RB cord-029725-px209lf0 51 9 as as IN cord-029725-px209lf0 51 10 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 51 11 results result NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 51 12 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 51 13 predictions prediction NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 51 14 for for IN cord-029725-px209lf0 51 15 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 51 16 state state NN cord-029725-px209lf0 51 17 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 51 18 Kerala Kerala NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 51 19 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 51 20 India India NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 51 21 are be VBP cord-029725-px209lf0 51 22 presented present VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 51 23 in in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 51 24 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 51 25 later later JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 51 26 sections section NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 51 27 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 52 1 The the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 52 2 standard standard JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 52 3 SIR SIR NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 52 4 model model NN cord-029725-px209lf0 52 5 divides divide VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 52 6 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 52 7 entire entire JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 52 8 population population NN cord-029725-px209lf0 52 9 into into IN cord-029725-px209lf0 52 10 three three CD cord-029725-px209lf0 52 11 compartments compartment NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 52 12 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 52 13 namely namely RB cord-029725-px209lf0 52 14 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 52 15 S s NN cord-029725-px209lf0 52 16 : : : cord-029725-px209lf0 52 17 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 52 18 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 52 19 I -PRON- PRP cord-029725-px209lf0 52 20 : : : cord-029725-px209lf0 52 21 infected infect VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 52 22 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 52 23 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 52 24 R r NN cord-029725-px209lf0 52 25 : : : cord-029725-px209lf0 52 26 removed remove VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 52 27 or or CC cord-029725-px209lf0 52 28 recovered recover VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 52 29 ( ( -LRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 52 30 Adamu Adamu NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 52 31 et et NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 52 32 al al NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 52 33 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 52 34 2019 2019 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 52 35 ) ) -RRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 52 36 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 53 1 A a DT cord-029725-px209lf0 53 2 set set NN cord-029725-px209lf0 53 3 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 53 4 ordinary ordinary JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 53 5 differential differential JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 53 6 equations equation NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 53 7 are be VBP cord-029725-px209lf0 53 8 then then RB cord-029725-px209lf0 53 9 used use VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 53 10 to to TO cord-029725-px209lf0 53 11 solve solve VB cord-029725-px209lf0 53 12 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 53 13 disease disease NN cord-029725-px209lf0 53 14 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 53 15 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 53 16 propagate propagate VB cord-029725-px209lf0 53 17 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 53 18 model model NN cord-029725-px209lf0 53 19 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 54 1 The the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 54 2 disease disease NN cord-029725-px209lf0 54 3 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 54 4 equations equation NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 54 5 are be VBP cord-029725-px209lf0 54 6 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 54 7 where where WRB cord-029725-px209lf0 54 8 S S NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 54 9 is be VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 54 10 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 54 11 number number NN cord-029725-px209lf0 54 12 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 54 13 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 54 14 people people NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 54 15 in in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 54 16 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 54 17 population population NN cord-029725-px209lf0 54 18 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 54 19 i.e. i.e. FW cord-029725-px209lf0 54 20 number number NN cord-029725-px209lf0 54 21 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 54 22 people people NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 54 23 who who WP cord-029725-px209lf0 54 24 are be VBP cord-029725-px209lf0 54 25 healthy healthy JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 54 26 but but CC cord-029725-px209lf0 54 27 are be VBP cord-029725-px209lf0 54 28 likely likely JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 54 29 to to TO cord-029725-px209lf0 54 30 fall fall VB cord-029725-px209lf0 54 31 ill ill RB cord-029725-px209lf0 54 32 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 54 33 I -PRON- PRP cord-029725-px209lf0 54 34 is be VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 54 35 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 54 36 number number NN cord-029725-px209lf0 54 37 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 54 38 people people NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 54 39 who who WP cord-029725-px209lf0 54 40 are be VBP cord-029725-px209lf0 54 41 infected infect VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 54 42 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 54 43 infectious infectious JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 54 44 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 55 1 Upon upon IN cord-029725-px209lf0 55 2 interacting interact VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 55 3 with with IN cord-029725-px209lf0 55 4 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 55 5 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 55 6 population population NN cord-029725-px209lf0 55 7 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 55 8 these these DT cord-029725-px209lf0 55 9 people people NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 55 10 are be VBP cord-029725-px209lf0 55 11 likely likely JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 55 12 to to TO cord-029725-px209lf0 55 13 infect infect VB cord-029725-px209lf0 55 14 them -PRON- PRP cord-029725-px209lf0 55 15 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 55 16 R r NN cord-029725-px209lf0 55 17 is be VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 55 18 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 55 19 number number NN cord-029725-px209lf0 55 20 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 55 21 people people NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 55 22 who who WP cord-029725-px209lf0 55 23 have have VBP cord-029725-px209lf0 55 24 recovered recover VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 55 25 or or CC cord-029725-px209lf0 55 26 removed remove VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 55 27 from from IN cord-029725-px209lf0 55 28 considerations consideration NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 55 29 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 56 1 This this DT cord-029725-px209lf0 56 2 group group NN cord-029725-px209lf0 56 3 consists consist VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 56 4 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 56 5 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 56 6 number number NN cord-029725-px209lf0 56 7 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 56 8 people people NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 56 9 who who WP cord-029725-px209lf0 56 10 were be VBD cord-029725-px209lf0 56 11 infected infect VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 56 12 once once RB cord-029725-px209lf0 56 13 upon upon IN cord-029725-px209lf0 56 14 a a DT cord-029725-px209lf0 56 15 time time NN cord-029725-px209lf0 56 16 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 56 17 but but CC cord-029725-px209lf0 56 18 have have VBP cord-029725-px209lf0 56 19 recovered recover VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 56 20 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 56 21 will will MD cord-029725-px209lf0 56 22 neither neither CC cord-029725-px209lf0 56 23 get get VB cord-029725-px209lf0 56 24 infected infect VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 56 25 nor nor CC cord-029725-px209lf0 56 26 infect infect VB cord-029725-px209lf0 56 27 again again RB cord-029725-px209lf0 56 28 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 56 29 N N NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 56 30 is be VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 56 31 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 56 32 total total JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 56 33 number number NN cord-029725-px209lf0 56 34 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 56 35 people people NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 56 36 in in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 56 37 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 56 38 population population NN cord-029725-px209lf0 56 39 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 57 1 The the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 57 2 rate rate NN cord-029725-px209lf0 57 3 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 57 4 change change NN cord-029725-px209lf0 57 5 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 57 6 infected infected JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 57 7 population population NN cord-029725-px209lf0 57 8 dI di NN cord-029725-px209lf0 57 9 dt dt NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 57 10 depends depend VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 57 11 on on IN cord-029725-px209lf0 57 12 two two CD cord-029725-px209lf0 57 13 primary primary JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 57 14 factors factor NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 57 15 : : : cord-029725-px209lf0 57 16 1 1 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 57 17 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 58 1 The the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 58 2 number number NN cord-029725-px209lf0 58 3 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 58 4 people people NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 58 5 falling fall VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 58 6 ill ill JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 58 7 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 58 8 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 58 9 2 2 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 58 10 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 59 1 The the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 59 2 number number NN cord-029725-px209lf0 59 3 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 59 4 people people NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 59 5 recovering recover VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 59 6 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 60 1 The the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 60 2 number number NN cord-029725-px209lf0 60 3 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 60 4 people people NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 60 5 falling fall VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 60 6 ill ill JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 60 7 is be VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 60 8 dictated dictate VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 60 9 by by IN cord-029725-px209lf0 60 10 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 60 11 level level NN cord-029725-px209lf0 60 12 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 60 13 interactions interaction NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 60 14 between between IN cord-029725-px209lf0 60 15 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 60 16 infected infected JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 60 17 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 60 18 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 60 19 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 60 20 population population NN cord-029725-px209lf0 60 21 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 60 22 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 60 23 is be VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 60 24 related relate VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 60 25 by by IN cord-029725-px209lf0 60 26 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 60 27 constant constant NN cord-029725-px209lf0 60 28 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 60 29 which which WDT cord-029725-px209lf0 60 30 stands stand VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 60 31 for for IN cord-029725-px209lf0 60 32 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 60 33 rate rate NN cord-029725-px209lf0 60 34 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 60 35 spread spread NN cord-029725-px209lf0 60 36 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 60 37 infection infection NN cord-029725-px209lf0 60 38 by by IN cord-029725-px209lf0 60 39 an an DT cord-029725-px209lf0 60 40 infected infected JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 60 41 person person NN cord-029725-px209lf0 60 42 per per IN cord-029725-px209lf0 60 43 day day NN cord-029725-px209lf0 60 44 when when WRB cord-029725-px209lf0 60 45 he -PRON- PRP cord-029725-px209lf0 60 46 / / SYM cord-029725-px209lf0 60 47 she -PRON- PRP cord-029725-px209lf0 60 48 interacts interact VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 60 49 with with IN cord-029725-px209lf0 60 50 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 60 51 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 60 52 population population NN cord-029725-px209lf0 60 53 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 61 1 The the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 61 2 number number NN cord-029725-px209lf0 61 3 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 61 4 people people NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 61 5 recovering recover VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 61 6 is be VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 61 7 dictated dictate VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 61 8 by by IN cord-029725-px209lf0 61 9 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 61 10 rate rate NN cord-029725-px209lf0 61 11 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 61 12 recovery recovery NN cord-029725-px209lf0 61 13 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 62 1 Despite despite IN cord-029725-px209lf0 62 2 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-029725-px209lf0 62 3 popular popular JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 62 4 usage usage NN cord-029725-px209lf0 62 5 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 62 6 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 62 7 SIR SIR NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 62 8 model model NN cord-029725-px209lf0 62 9 makes make VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 62 10 several several JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 62 11 assumptions assumption NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 62 12 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 63 1 Some some DT cord-029725-px209lf0 63 2 important important JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 63 3 assumptions assumption NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 63 4 are be VBP cord-029725-px209lf0 63 5 : : : cord-029725-px209lf0 63 6 ( ( -LRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 63 7 1 1 LS cord-029725-px209lf0 63 8 ) ) -RRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 63 9 It -PRON- PRP cord-029725-px209lf0 63 10 assumes assume VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 63 11 that that IN cord-029725-px209lf0 63 12 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 63 13 total total JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 63 14 population population NN cord-029725-px209lf0 63 15 does do VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 63 16 not not RB cord-029725-px209lf0 63 17 change change VB cord-029725-px209lf0 63 18 much much JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 63 19 with with IN cord-029725-px209lf0 63 20 time time NN cord-029725-px209lf0 63 21 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 64 1 i.e. i.e. FW cord-029725-px209lf0 64 2 dS dS NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 64 3 dt dt NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 64 4 + + CC cord-029725-px209lf0 64 5 dI di NN cord-029725-px209lf0 64 6 dt dt NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 64 7 + + CC cord-029725-px209lf0 64 8 dR dR NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 64 9 dt dt NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 64 10 = = NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 64 11 0 0 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 64 12 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 65 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 65 2 2 2 LS cord-029725-px209lf0 65 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 66 1 The the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 66 2 model model NN cord-029725-px209lf0 66 3 assumes assume VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 66 4 that that IN cord-029725-px209lf0 66 5 each each DT cord-029725-px209lf0 66 6 person person NN cord-029725-px209lf0 66 7 in in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 66 8 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 66 9 population population NN cord-029725-px209lf0 66 10 has have VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 66 11 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 66 12 same same JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 66 13 health health NN cord-029725-px209lf0 66 14 characteristics characteristic NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 66 15 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 66 16 i.e. i.e. FW cord-029725-px209lf0 66 17 same same JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 66 18 immunity immunity NN cord-029725-px209lf0 66 19 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 66 20 same same JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 66 21 immuno immuno JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 66 22 - - NN cord-029725-px209lf0 66 23 response response NN cord-029725-px209lf0 66 24 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 66 25 etc etc FW cord-029725-px209lf0 66 26 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 67 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 67 2 3 3 LS cord-029725-px209lf0 67 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 68 1 Every every DT cord-029725-px209lf0 68 2 person person NN cord-029725-px209lf0 68 3 in in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 68 4 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 68 5 population population NN cord-029725-px209lf0 68 6 interacts interact VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 68 7 with with IN cord-029725-px209lf0 68 8 one one CD cord-029725-px209lf0 68 9 another another DT cord-029725-px209lf0 68 10 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 69 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 69 2 4 4 LS cord-029725-px209lf0 69 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 70 1 All all DT cord-029725-px209lf0 70 2 infected infected JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 70 3 people people NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 70 4 are be VBP cord-029725-px209lf0 70 5 infectious infectious JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 70 6 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 70 7 are be VBP cord-029725-px209lf0 70 8 spreading spread VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 70 9 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 70 10 disease disease NN cord-029725-px209lf0 70 11 among among IN cord-029725-px209lf0 70 12 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 70 13 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 70 14 population population NN cord-029725-px209lf0 70 15 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 71 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 71 2 5 5 LS cord-029725-px209lf0 71 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 72 1 The the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 72 2 natural natural JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 72 3 history history NN cord-029725-px209lf0 72 4 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 72 5 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 72 6 diseases disease NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 72 7 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 72 8 i.e. i.e. FW cord-029725-px209lf0 72 9 latency latency NN cord-029725-px209lf0 72 10 period period NN cord-029725-px209lf0 72 11 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 72 12 incubation incubation NN cord-029725-px209lf0 72 13 period period NN cord-029725-px209lf0 72 14 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 72 15 etc etc FW cord-029725-px209lf0 72 16 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 73 1 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 73 2 is be VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 73 3 not not RB cord-029725-px209lf0 73 4 considered consider VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 73 5 in in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 73 6 this this DT cord-029725-px209lf0 73 7 model model NN cord-029725-px209lf0 73 8 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 74 1 Assumptions assumption NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 74 2 ( ( -LRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 74 3 3 3 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 74 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 74 5 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 74 6 ( ( -LRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 74 7 4 4 LS cord-029725-px209lf0 74 8 ) ) -RRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 74 9 can can MD cord-029725-px209lf0 74 10 result result VB cord-029725-px209lf0 74 11 in in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 74 12 significant significant JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 74 13 overestimation overestimation NN cord-029725-px209lf0 74 14 in in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 74 15 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 74 16 total total JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 74 17 number number NN cord-029725-px209lf0 74 18 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 74 19 cases case NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 74 20 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 75 1 In in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 75 2 order order NN cord-029725-px209lf0 75 3 to to TO cord-029725-px209lf0 75 4 address address VB cord-029725-px209lf0 75 5 assumption assumption NN cord-029725-px209lf0 75 6 4 4 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 75 7 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 75 8 this this DT cord-029725-px209lf0 75 9 paper paper NN cord-029725-px209lf0 75 10 presents present VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 75 11 a a DT cord-029725-px209lf0 75 12 modified modify VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 75 13 SIR SIR NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 75 14 model model NN cord-029725-px209lf0 75 15 that that WDT cord-029725-px209lf0 75 16 takes take VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 75 17 into into IN cord-029725-px209lf0 75 18 account account NN cord-029725-px209lf0 75 19 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 75 20 effect effect NN cord-029725-px209lf0 75 21 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 75 22 quarantining quarantine VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 75 23 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 75 24 infected infected JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 75 25 people people NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 75 26 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 76 1 In in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 76 2 order order NN cord-029725-px209lf0 76 3 to to TO cord-029725-px209lf0 76 4 accommodate accommodate VB cord-029725-px209lf0 76 5 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 76 6 quarantine quarantine NN cord-029725-px209lf0 76 7 effect effect NN cord-029725-px209lf0 76 8 into into IN cord-029725-px209lf0 76 9 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 76 10 SIR SIR NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 76 11 model model NN cord-029725-px209lf0 76 12 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 76 13 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 76 14 infected infected JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 76 15 population population NN cord-029725-px209lf0 76 16 ( ( -LRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 76 17 I i NN cord-029725-px209lf0 76 18 ) ) -RRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 76 19 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 76 20 is be VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 76 21 broken break VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 76 22 into into IN cord-029725-px209lf0 76 23 two two CD cord-029725-px209lf0 76 24 subgroups subgroup NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 76 25 ( ( -LRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 76 26 shown show VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 76 27 in in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 76 28 Fig Fig NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 76 29 . . NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 76 30 1 1 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 76 31 ) ) -RRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 76 32 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 76 33 namely namely RB cord-029725-px209lf0 76 34 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 76 35 Quarantined quarantine VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 76 36 : : : cord-029725-px209lf0 77 1 Consists consist VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 77 2 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 77 3 people people NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 77 4 who who WP cord-029725-px209lf0 77 5 are be VBP cord-029725-px209lf0 77 6 infected infect VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 77 7 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 77 8 have have VBP cord-029725-px209lf0 77 9 been be VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 77 10 tested test VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 77 11 positive positive JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 77 12 for for IN cord-029725-px209lf0 77 13 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 77 14 disease disease NN cord-029725-px209lf0 77 15 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 78 1 Once once IN cord-029725-px209lf0 78 2 they -PRON- PRP cord-029725-px209lf0 78 3 are be VBP cord-029725-px209lf0 78 4 quarantined quarantine VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 78 5 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 78 6 they -PRON- PRP cord-029725-px209lf0 78 7 no no RB cord-029725-px209lf0 78 8 longer longer RB cord-029725-px209lf0 78 9 pose pose VBP cord-029725-px209lf0 78 10 a a DT cord-029725-px209lf0 78 11 risk risk NN cord-029725-px209lf0 78 12 to to IN cord-029725-px209lf0 78 13 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 78 14 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 78 15 population population NN cord-029725-px209lf0 78 16 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 79 1 Unquarantined unquarantined JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 79 2 : : : cord-029725-px209lf0 80 1 Consists consist VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 80 2 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 80 3 people people NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 80 4 who who WP cord-029725-px209lf0 80 5 are be VBP cord-029725-px209lf0 80 6 infected infect VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 80 7 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 80 8 have have VBP cord-029725-px209lf0 80 9 still still RB cord-029725-px209lf0 80 10 not not RB cord-029725-px209lf0 80 11 been be VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 80 12 tested test VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 80 13 for for IN cord-029725-px209lf0 80 14 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 80 15 diseases disease NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 80 16 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 81 1 This this DT cord-029725-px209lf0 81 2 group group NN cord-029725-px209lf0 81 3 is be VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 81 4 still still RB cord-029725-px209lf0 81 5 interacting interact VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 81 6 with with IN cord-029725-px209lf0 81 7 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 81 8 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 81 9 population population NN cord-029725-px209lf0 81 10 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 81 11 poses pose VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 81 12 a a DT cord-029725-px209lf0 81 13 risk risk NN cord-029725-px209lf0 81 14 to to IN cord-029725-px209lf0 81 15 them -PRON- PRP cord-029725-px209lf0 81 16 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 82 1 The the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 82 2 two two CD cord-029725-px209lf0 82 3 groups group NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 82 4 can can MD cord-029725-px209lf0 82 5 be be VB cord-029725-px209lf0 82 6 correlated correlate VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 82 7 using use VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 82 8 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 82 9 factor factor NN cord-029725-px209lf0 82 10 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 82 11 testing testing NN cord-029725-px209lf0 82 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 82 13 ft ft NN cord-029725-px209lf0 82 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 82 15 which which WDT cord-029725-px209lf0 82 16 stands stand VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 82 17 for for IN cord-029725-px209lf0 82 18 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 82 19 fraction fraction NN cord-029725-px209lf0 82 20 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 82 21 infected infected JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 82 22 people people NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 82 23 who who WP cord-029725-px209lf0 82 24 are be VBP cord-029725-px209lf0 82 25 tested test VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 82 26 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 82 27 quarantined quarantine VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 82 28 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 83 1 If if IN cord-029725-px209lf0 83 2 ft ft NN cord-029725-px209lf0 83 3 increases increase NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 83 4 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 83 5 then then RB cord-029725-px209lf0 83 6 more more RBR cord-029725-px209lf0 83 7 infected infected JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 83 8 people people NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 83 9 will will MD cord-029725-px209lf0 83 10 get get VB cord-029725-px209lf0 83 11 quarantined quarantine VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 83 12 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 83 13 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 83 14 hence hence RB cord-029725-px209lf0 83 15 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 83 16 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 83 17 spread spread NN cord-029725-px209lf0 83 18 can can MD cord-029725-px209lf0 83 19 be be VB cord-029725-px209lf0 83 20 controlled control VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 83 21 as as IN cord-029725-px209lf0 83 22 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 83 23 bulk bulk NN cord-029725-px209lf0 83 24 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 83 25 infected infected JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 83 26 people people NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 83 27 can can MD cord-029725-px209lf0 83 28 no no RB cord-029725-px209lf0 83 29 longer longer RB cord-029725-px209lf0 83 30 infect infect VB cord-029725-px209lf0 83 31 others other NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 83 32 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 84 1 The the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 84 2 modified modify VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 84 3 SIR SIR NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 84 4 equations equation NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 84 5 are be VBP cord-029725-px209lf0 84 6 as as RB cord-029725-px209lf0 84 7 such such JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 84 8 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 84 9 The the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 84 10 rate rate NN cord-029725-px209lf0 84 11 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 84 12 change change NN cord-029725-px209lf0 84 13 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 84 14 infected infected JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 84 15 population population NN cord-029725-px209lf0 84 16 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 84 17 dI di FW cord-029725-px209lf0 84 18 dt dt NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 84 19 is be VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 84 20 broken break VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 84 21 into into IN cord-029725-px209lf0 84 22 two two CD cord-029725-px209lf0 84 23 parts part NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 84 24 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 84 25 dQ dQ NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 84 26 dt dt NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 84 27 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 84 28 dUQ dUQ NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 84 29 dt dt NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 84 30 referring refer VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 84 31 to to IN cord-029725-px209lf0 84 32 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 84 33 rate rate NN cord-029725-px209lf0 84 34 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 84 35 change change NN cord-029725-px209lf0 84 36 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 84 37 quarantined quarantine VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 84 38 population population NN cord-029725-px209lf0 84 39 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 84 40 unquarantined unquarantined JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 84 41 population population NN cord-029725-px209lf0 84 42 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 84 43 respectively respectively RB cord-029725-px209lf0 84 44 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 85 1 Separate separate JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 85 2 recovery recovery NN cord-029725-px209lf0 85 3 rates rate NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 85 4 have have VBP cord-029725-px209lf0 85 5 been be VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 85 6 considered consider VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 85 7 here here RB cord-029725-px209lf0 85 8 for for IN cord-029725-px209lf0 85 9 quarantined quarantine VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 85 10 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 85 11 unquarantined unquarantined JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 85 12 population population NN cord-029725-px209lf0 85 13 owing owe VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 85 14 to to IN cord-029725-px209lf0 85 15 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 85 16 fact fact NN cord-029725-px209lf0 85 17 that that IN cord-029725-px209lf0 85 18 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 85 19 quarantined quarantine VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 85 20 population population NN cord-029725-px209lf0 85 21 may may MD cord-029725-px209lf0 85 22 be be VB cord-029725-px209lf0 85 23 receiving receive VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 85 24 better well JJR cord-029725-px209lf0 85 25 medical medical JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 85 26 assistance assistance NN cord-029725-px209lf0 85 27 at at IN cord-029725-px209lf0 85 28 hospitals hospital NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 85 29 in in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 85 30 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 85 31 presence presence NN cord-029725-px209lf0 85 32 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 85 33 professionals professional NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 85 34 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 86 1 However however RB cord-029725-px209lf0 86 2 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 86 3 due due IN cord-029725-px209lf0 86 4 to to IN cord-029725-px209lf0 86 5 lack lack NN cord-029725-px209lf0 86 6 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 86 7 data datum NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 86 8 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 86 9 both both CC cord-029725-px209lf0 86 10 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 86 11 recovery recovery NN cord-029725-px209lf0 86 12 rates rate NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 86 13 are be VBP cord-029725-px209lf0 86 14 assumed assume VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 86 15 to to TO cord-029725-px209lf0 86 16 be be VB cord-029725-px209lf0 86 17 same same JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 86 18 in in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 86 19 this this DT cord-029725-px209lf0 86 20 study study NN cord-029725-px209lf0 86 21 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 86 22 i.e. i.e. FW cord-029725-px209lf0 86 23 The the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 86 24 basic basic JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 86 25 reproduction reproduction NN cord-029725-px209lf0 86 26 number number NN cord-029725-px209lf0 86 27 R r NN cord-029725-px209lf0 86 28 0 0 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 86 29 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 86 30 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 86 31 effective effective JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 86 32 reproduction reproduction NN cord-029725-px209lf0 86 33 number number NN cord-029725-px209lf0 86 34 R r NN cord-029725-px209lf0 86 35 eff eff NN cord-029725-px209lf0 86 36 are be VBP cord-029725-px209lf0 86 37 indicative indicative JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 86 38 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 86 39 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 86 40 number number NN cord-029725-px209lf0 86 41 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 86 42 secondary secondary JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 86 43 infections infection NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 86 44 caused cause VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 86 45 by by IN cord-029725-px209lf0 86 46 a a DT cord-029725-px209lf0 86 47 single single JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 86 48 infected infected JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 86 49 person person NN cord-029725-px209lf0 86 50 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 87 1 In in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 87 2 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 87 3 standard standard JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 87 4 SIR SIR NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 87 5 model model NN cord-029725-px209lf0 87 6 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 87 7 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 87 8 basic basic JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 87 9 reproduction reproduction NN cord-029725-px209lf0 87 10 number number NN cord-029725-px209lf0 87 11 R r NN cord-029725-px209lf0 87 12 0 0 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 87 13 is be VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 87 14 defined define VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 87 15 as as IN cord-029725-px209lf0 87 16 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 87 17 ratio ratio NN cord-029725-px209lf0 87 18 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 87 19 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 87 20 rate rate NN cord-029725-px209lf0 87 21 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 87 22 spread spread NN cord-029725-px209lf0 87 23 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 87 24 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 87 25 rate rate NN cord-029725-px209lf0 87 26 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 87 27 recovery recovery NN cord-029725-px209lf0 87 28 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 87 29 i.e. i.e. FW cord-029725-px209lf0 87 30 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 88 1 The the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 88 2 equation equation NN cord-029725-px209lf0 88 3 for for IN cord-029725-px209lf0 88 4 basic basic JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 88 5 reproduction reproduction NN cord-029725-px209lf0 88 6 ratio ratio NN cord-029725-px209lf0 88 7 can can MD cord-029725-px209lf0 88 8 now now RB cord-029725-px209lf0 88 9 be be VB cord-029725-px209lf0 88 10 modified modify VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 88 11 to to IN cord-029725-px209lf0 88 12 During during IN cord-029725-px209lf0 88 13 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 88 14 beginning beginning NN cord-029725-px209lf0 88 15 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 88 16 an an DT cord-029725-px209lf0 88 17 outbreak outbreak NN cord-029725-px209lf0 88 18 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 88 19 S s NN cord-029725-px209lf0 88 20 N n NN cord-029725-px209lf0 88 21 ∼ ∼ NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 88 22 1 1 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 88 23 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 89 1 hence hence RB cord-029725-px209lf0 89 2 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 89 3 equation equation NN cord-029725-px209lf0 89 4 for for IN cord-029725-px209lf0 89 5 R r NN cord-029725-px209lf0 89 6 0 0 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 89 7 can can MD cord-029725-px209lf0 89 8 be be VB cord-029725-px209lf0 89 9 written write VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 89 10 as as IN cord-029725-px209lf0 89 11 This this DT cord-029725-px209lf0 89 12 equation equation NN cord-029725-px209lf0 89 13 offers offer VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 89 14 some some DT cord-029725-px209lf0 89 15 very very RB cord-029725-px209lf0 89 16 intuitive intuitive JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 89 17 results result NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 89 18 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 90 1 In in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 90 2 order order NN cord-029725-px209lf0 90 3 to to TO cord-029725-px209lf0 90 4 control control VB cord-029725-px209lf0 90 5 an an DT cord-029725-px209lf0 90 6 outbreak outbreak NN cord-029725-px209lf0 90 7 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 90 8 a a DT cord-029725-px209lf0 90 9 disease disease NN cord-029725-px209lf0 90 10 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 90 11 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 90 12 basic basic JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 90 13 reproductive reproductive JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 90 14 number number NN cord-029725-px209lf0 90 15 R r NN cord-029725-px209lf0 90 16 0 0 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 90 17 should should MD cord-029725-px209lf0 90 18 be be VB cord-029725-px209lf0 90 19 less less JJR cord-029725-px209lf0 90 20 than than IN cord-029725-px209lf0 90 21 1 1 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 91 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 91 2 R r NN cord-029725-px209lf0 91 3 0 0 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 91 4 < < XX cord-029725-px209lf0 91 5 1 1 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 91 6 ) ) -RRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 91 7 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 91 8 which which WDT cord-029725-px209lf0 91 9 can can MD cord-029725-px209lf0 91 10 be be VB cord-029725-px209lf0 91 11 achieved achieve VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 91 12 in in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 91 13 three three CD cord-029725-px209lf0 91 14 possible possible JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 91 15 ways way NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 91 16 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 91 17 Increase increase VB cord-029725-px209lf0 91 18 in in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 91 19 ft ft NN cord-029725-px209lf0 91 20 ( ( -LRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 91 21 factor factor NN cord-029725-px209lf0 91 22 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 91 23 testing testing NN cord-029725-px209lf0 91 24 ) ) -RRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 92 1 If if IN cord-029725-px209lf0 92 2 testing testing NN cord-029725-px209lf0 92 3 is be VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 92 4 ramped ramp VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 92 5 up up RP cord-029725-px209lf0 92 6 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 92 7 more more JJR cord-029725-px209lf0 92 8 number number NN cord-029725-px209lf0 92 9 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 92 10 infected infected JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 92 11 people people NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 92 12 are be VBP cord-029725-px209lf0 92 13 tested test VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 92 14 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 92 15 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 92 16 number number NN cord-029725-px209lf0 92 17 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 92 18 unquarantined unquarantine VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 92 19 people people NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 92 20 will will MD cord-029725-px209lf0 92 21 reduce reduce VB cord-029725-px209lf0 92 22 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 92 23 thereby thereby RB cord-029725-px209lf0 92 24 controlling control VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 92 25 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 92 26 spread spread NN cord-029725-px209lf0 92 27 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 92 28 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 92 29 disease disease NN cord-029725-px209lf0 92 30 among among IN cord-029725-px209lf0 92 31 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 92 32 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 92 33 population population NN cord-029725-px209lf0 92 34 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 93 1 Reduction reduction NN cord-029725-px209lf0 93 2 in in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 93 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 93 4 rate rate NN cord-029725-px209lf0 93 5 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 93 6 spread spread NN cord-029725-px209lf0 93 7 ) ) -RRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 94 1 By by IN cord-029725-px209lf0 94 2 employing employ VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 94 3 social social JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 94 4 distancing distance VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 94 5 measures measure NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 94 6 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 94 7 personal personal JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 94 8 protective protective JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 94 9 measures measure NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 94 10 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 94 11 such such JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 94 12 as as IN cord-029725-px209lf0 94 13 wearing wear VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 94 14 masks mask NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 94 15 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 94 16 regularly regularly RB cord-029725-px209lf0 94 17 washing wash VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 94 18 hands hand NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 94 19 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 94 20 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 94 21 rate rate NN cord-029725-px209lf0 94 22 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 94 23 spread spread NN cord-029725-px209lf0 94 24 can can MD cord-029725-px209lf0 94 25 be be VB cord-029725-px209lf0 94 26 controlled control VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 94 27 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 95 1 Increase increase VB cord-029725-px209lf0 95 2 in in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 95 3 ν ν NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 95 4 ( ( -LRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 95 5 rate rate NN cord-029725-px209lf0 95 6 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 95 7 recovery recovery NN cord-029725-px209lf0 95 8 ) ) -RRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 96 1 By by IN cord-029725-px209lf0 96 2 ensuring ensure VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 96 3 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 96 4 presence presence NN cord-029725-px209lf0 96 5 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 96 6 sufficient sufficient JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 96 7 amount amount NN cord-029725-px209lf0 96 8 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 96 9 medicines medicine NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 96 10 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 96 11 adequate adequate JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 96 12 healthcare healthcare NN cord-029725-px209lf0 96 13 equipment equipment NN cord-029725-px209lf0 96 14 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 96 15 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 96 16 rate rate NN cord-029725-px209lf0 96 17 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 96 18 recovery recovery NN cord-029725-px209lf0 96 19 can can MD cord-029725-px209lf0 96 20 be be VB cord-029725-px209lf0 96 21 increased increase VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 96 22 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 97 1 The the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 97 2 presence presence NN cord-029725-px209lf0 97 3 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 97 4 factor factor NN cord-029725-px209lf0 97 5 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 97 6 testing testing NN cord-029725-px209lf0 97 7 ( ( -LRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 97 8 ft ft NN cord-029725-px209lf0 97 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 97 10 in in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 97 11 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 97 12 SIR SIR NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 97 13 model model NN cord-029725-px209lf0 97 14 greatly greatly RB cord-029725-px209lf0 97 15 affects affect VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 97 16 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 97 17 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 97 18 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 97 19 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 97 20 model model NN cord-029725-px209lf0 97 21 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 98 1 Shown show VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 98 2 in in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 98 3 Fig Fig NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 98 4 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 99 1 2a 2a NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 99 2 is be VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 99 3 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 99 4 variation variation NN cord-029725-px209lf0 99 5 in in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 99 6 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 99 7 spread spread NN cord-029725-px209lf0 99 8 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 99 9 a a DT cord-029725-px209lf0 99 10 disease disease NN cord-029725-px209lf0 99 11 in in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 99 12 a a DT cord-029725-px209lf0 99 13 sample sample NN cord-029725-px209lf0 99 14 population population NN cord-029725-px209lf0 99 15 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 99 16 10,000 10,000 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 99 17 people people NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 99 18 for for IN cord-029725-px209lf0 99 19 different different JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 99 20 values value NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 99 21 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 99 22 ft ft NN cord-029725-px209lf0 99 23 while while IN cord-029725-px209lf0 99 24 keeping keep VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 99 25 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 99 26 rate rate NN cord-029725-px209lf0 99 27 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 99 28 spread spread NN cord-029725-px209lf0 99 29 per per IN cord-029725-px209lf0 99 30 infected infected JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 99 31 person person NN cord-029725-px209lf0 99 32 per per IN cord-029725-px209lf0 99 33 day day NN cord-029725-px209lf0 99 34 ( ( -LRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 99 35 ) ) -RRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 99 36 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 99 37 recovery recovery NN cord-029725-px209lf0 99 38 ratio ratio NN cord-029725-px209lf0 99 39 ( ( -LRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 99 40 ) ) -RRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 99 41 constant constant JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 99 42 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 100 1 The the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 100 2 higher high JJR cord-029725-px209lf0 100 3 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 100 4 value value NN cord-029725-px209lf0 100 5 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 100 6 ft ft NN cord-029725-px209lf0 101 1 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 101 2 i.e. i.e. FW cord-029725-px209lf0 101 3 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 101 4 higher high JJR cord-029725-px209lf0 101 5 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 101 6 number number NN cord-029725-px209lf0 101 7 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 101 8 infected infected JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 101 9 people people NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 101 10 who who WP cord-029725-px209lf0 101 11 are be VBP cord-029725-px209lf0 101 12 quarantined quarantine VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 101 13 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 101 14 better well RBR cord-029725-px209lf0 101 15 controlled control VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 101 16 is be VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 101 17 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 101 18 epidemic epidemic NN cord-029725-px209lf0 101 19 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 102 1 If if IN cord-029725-px209lf0 102 2 only only RB cord-029725-px209lf0 102 3 30 30 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 102 4 % % NN cord-029725-px209lf0 102 5 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 102 6 all all DT cord-029725-px209lf0 102 7 infected infected JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 102 8 people people NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 102 9 are be VBP cord-029725-px209lf0 102 10 tested test VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 102 11 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 102 12 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 102 13 active active JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 102 14 cases case NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 102 15 can can MD cord-029725-px209lf0 102 16 rise rise VB cord-029725-px209lf0 102 17 to to IN cord-029725-px209lf0 102 18 3000 3000 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 102 19 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 102 20 which which WDT cord-029725-px209lf0 102 21 may may MD cord-029725-px209lf0 102 22 be be VB cord-029725-px209lf0 102 23 challenging challenging JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 102 24 for for IN cord-029725-px209lf0 102 25 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 102 26 health health NN cord-029725-px209lf0 102 27 system system NN cord-029725-px209lf0 102 28 to to TO cord-029725-px209lf0 102 29 deal deal VB cord-029725-px209lf0 102 30 with with IN cord-029725-px209lf0 102 31 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 103 1 If if IN cord-029725-px209lf0 103 2 testing testing NN cord-029725-px209lf0 103 3 is be VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 103 4 increased increase VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 103 5 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 103 6 50 50 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 103 7 % % NN cord-029725-px209lf0 103 8 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 103 9 all all DT cord-029725-px209lf0 103 10 infected infected JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 103 11 people people NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 103 12 are be VBP cord-029725-px209lf0 103 13 tested test VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 103 14 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 103 15 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 103 16 maximum maximum JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 103 17 number number NN cord-029725-px209lf0 103 18 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 103 19 active active JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 103 20 cases case NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 103 21 can can MD cord-029725-px209lf0 103 22 be be VB cord-029725-px209lf0 103 23 reduced reduce VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 103 24 to to IN cord-029725-px209lf0 103 25 1800 1800 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 103 26 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 104 1 And and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 104 2 if if IN cord-029725-px209lf0 104 3 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 104 4 testing testing NN cord-029725-px209lf0 104 5 is be VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 104 6 further further RB cord-029725-px209lf0 104 7 increased increase VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 104 8 to to IN cord-029725-px209lf0 104 9 80 80 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 104 10 % % NN cord-029725-px209lf0 104 11 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 104 12 all all DT cord-029725-px209lf0 104 13 infected infect VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 104 14 Fig Fig NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 104 15 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 104 16 1 1 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 104 17 Categorization categorization NN cord-029725-px209lf0 104 18 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 104 19 infected infected JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 104 20 individuals individual NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 104 21 based base VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 104 22 on on IN cord-029725-px209lf0 104 23 factor factor NN cord-029725-px209lf0 104 24 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 104 25 testing test VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 104 26 people people NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 104 27 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 104 28 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 104 29 maximum maximum JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 104 30 number number NN cord-029725-px209lf0 104 31 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 104 32 active active JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 104 33 cases case NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 104 34 can can MD cord-029725-px209lf0 104 35 be be VB cord-029725-px209lf0 104 36 brought bring VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 104 37 down down RP cord-029725-px209lf0 104 38 to to IN cord-029725-px209lf0 104 39 500 500 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 104 40 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 105 1 This this DT cord-029725-px209lf0 105 2 showcases showcase VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 105 3 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 105 4 importance importance NN cord-029725-px209lf0 105 5 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 105 6 testing testing NN cord-029725-px209lf0 105 7 in in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 105 8 controlling control VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 105 9 a a DT cord-029725-px209lf0 105 10 pandemic pandemic NN cord-029725-px209lf0 105 11 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 106 1 Figure figure NN cord-029725-px209lf0 106 2 2b 2b CD cord-029725-px209lf0 106 3 shows show VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 106 4 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 106 5 variation variation NN cord-029725-px209lf0 106 6 in in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 106 7 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 106 8 spread spread NN cord-029725-px209lf0 106 9 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 106 10 a a DT cord-029725-px209lf0 106 11 disease disease NN cord-029725-px209lf0 106 12 in in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 106 13 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 106 14 same same JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 106 15 sample sample NN cord-029725-px209lf0 106 16 population population NN cord-029725-px209lf0 106 17 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 106 18 10,000 10,000 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 106 19 people people NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 106 20 for for IN cord-029725-px209lf0 106 21 different different JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 106 22 values value NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 106 23 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 106 24 while while IN cord-029725-px209lf0 106 25 keeping keep VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 106 26 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 106 27 factor factor NN cord-029725-px209lf0 106 28 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 106 29 testing testing NN cord-029725-px209lf0 106 30 ( ( -LRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 106 31 ft ft NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 106 32 ) ) -RRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 106 33 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 106 34 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 106 35 recovery recovery NN cord-029725-px209lf0 106 36 ratio ratio NN cord-029725-px209lf0 106 37 ( ( -LRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 106 38 ) ) -RRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 106 39 constant constant JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 106 40 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 107 1 As as IN cord-029725-px209lf0 107 2 explained explain VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 107 3 earlier early RBR cord-029725-px209lf0 107 4 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 107 5 is be VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 107 6 an an DT cord-029725-px209lf0 107 7 indicator indicator NN cord-029725-px209lf0 107 8 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 107 9 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 107 10 levels level NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 107 11 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 107 12 interaction interaction NN cord-029725-px209lf0 107 13 among among IN cord-029725-px209lf0 107 14 a a DT cord-029725-px209lf0 107 15 population population NN cord-029725-px209lf0 107 16 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 107 17 i.e. i.e. FW cord-029725-px209lf0 107 18 higher high JJR cord-029725-px209lf0 107 19 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 107 20 value value NN cord-029725-px209lf0 107 21 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 107 22 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 107 23 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 107 24 higher high JJR cord-029725-px209lf0 107 25 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 107 26 levels level NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 107 27 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 107 28 social social JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 107 29 interaction interaction NN cord-029725-px209lf0 107 30 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 108 1 If if IN cord-029725-px209lf0 108 2 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 108 3 interactions interaction NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 108 4 between between IN cord-029725-px209lf0 108 5 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 108 6 population population NN cord-029725-px209lf0 108 7 are be VBP cord-029725-px209lf0 108 8 reduced reduce VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 108 9 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 108 10 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 108 11 spread spread NN cord-029725-px209lf0 108 12 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 108 13 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 108 14 disease disease NN cord-029725-px209lf0 108 15 can can MD cord-029725-px209lf0 108 16 be be VB cord-029725-px209lf0 108 17 controlled control VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 108 18 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 109 1 For for IN cord-029725-px209lf0 109 2 a a DT cord-029725-px209lf0 109 3 value value NN cord-029725-px209lf0 109 4 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 109 5 1.2 1.2 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 109 6 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 109 7 where where WRB cord-029725-px209lf0 109 8 each each DT cord-029725-px209lf0 109 9 infected infected JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 109 10 person person NN cord-029725-px209lf0 109 11 spreads spread VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 109 12 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 109 13 disease disease NN cord-029725-px209lf0 109 14 to to IN cord-029725-px209lf0 109 15 1.2 1.2 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 109 16 people people NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 109 17 every every DT cord-029725-px209lf0 109 18 day day NN cord-029725-px209lf0 109 19 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 109 20 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 109 21 number number NN cord-029725-px209lf0 109 22 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 109 23 active active JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 109 24 cases case NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 109 25 can can MD cord-029725-px209lf0 109 26 rise rise VB cord-029725-px209lf0 109 27 to to IN cord-029725-px209lf0 109 28 beyond beyond IN cord-029725-px209lf0 109 29 3000 3000 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 109 30 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 110 1 If if IN cord-029725-px209lf0 110 2 with with IN cord-029725-px209lf0 110 3 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 110 4 help help NN cord-029725-px209lf0 110 5 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 110 6 social social JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 110 7 distancing distancing NN cord-029725-px209lf0 110 8 measures measure NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 110 9 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 110 10 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 110 11 value value NN cord-029725-px209lf0 110 12 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 110 13 is be VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 110 14 reduced reduce VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 110 15 to to IN cord-029725-px209lf0 110 16 0.8 0.8 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 110 17 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 110 18 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 110 19 maximum maximum JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 110 20 number number NN cord-029725-px209lf0 110 21 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 110 22 active active JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 110 23 cases case NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 110 24 can can MD cord-029725-px209lf0 110 25 be be VB cord-029725-px209lf0 110 26 reduced reduce VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 110 27 to to IN cord-029725-px209lf0 110 28 1500 1500 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 110 29 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 111 1 If if IN cord-029725-px209lf0 111 2 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 111 3 government government NN cord-029725-px209lf0 111 4 poses pose VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 111 5 stricter strict JJR cord-029725-px209lf0 111 6 social social JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 111 7 distancing distance VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 111 8 measures measure NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 111 9 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 111 10 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 111 11 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 111 12 value value NN cord-029725-px209lf0 111 13 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 111 14 is be VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 111 15 further further RB cord-029725-px209lf0 111 16 brought bring VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 111 17 down down RP cord-029725-px209lf0 111 18 to to IN cord-029725-px209lf0 111 19 0.5 0.5 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 111 20 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 111 21 then then RB cord-029725-px209lf0 111 22 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 111 23 maximum maximum JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 111 24 number number NN cord-029725-px209lf0 111 25 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 111 26 active active JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 111 27 cases case NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 111 28 can can MD cord-029725-px209lf0 111 29 be be VB cord-029725-px209lf0 111 30 kept keep VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 111 31 below below IN cord-029725-px209lf0 111 32 500 500 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 111 33 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 112 1 The the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 112 2 parameters parameter NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 112 3 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 112 4 are be VBP cord-029725-px209lf0 112 5 estimated estimate VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 112 6 from from IN cord-029725-px209lf0 112 7 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 112 8 available available JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 112 9 data datum NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 112 10 on on IN cord-029725-px209lf0 112 11 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 112 12 number number NN cord-029725-px209lf0 112 13 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 112 14 positive positive JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 112 15 cases case NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 112 16 ( ( -LRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 112 17 Crowd crowd NN cord-029725-px209lf0 112 18 Source Source NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 112 19 2020 2020 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 112 20 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 112 21 Our -PRON- PRP$ cord-029725-px209lf0 112 22 world world NN cord-029725-px209lf0 112 23 in in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 112 24 data datum NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 112 25 2020 2020 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 112 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 112 27 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 113 1 The the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 113 2 above above JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 113 3 problem problem NN cord-029725-px209lf0 113 4 is be VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 113 5 then then RB cord-029725-px209lf0 113 6 converted convert VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 113 7 into into IN cord-029725-px209lf0 113 8 a a DT cord-029725-px209lf0 113 9 parameter parameter NN cord-029725-px209lf0 113 10 estimation estimation NN cord-029725-px209lf0 113 11 problem problem NN cord-029725-px209lf0 113 12 by by IN cord-029725-px209lf0 113 13 formulating formulate VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 113 14 a a DT cord-029725-px209lf0 113 15 cost cost NN cord-029725-px209lf0 113 16 function function NN cord-029725-px209lf0 113 17 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 113 18 using use VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 113 19 a a DT cord-029725-px209lf0 113 20 differential differential JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 113 21 evolution evolution NN cord-029725-px209lf0 113 22 optimizer optimizer NN cord-029725-px209lf0 113 23 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 114 1 Assume assume VB cord-029725-px209lf0 114 2 Y Y NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 114 3 D d NN cord-029725-px209lf0 114 4 to to TO cord-029725-px209lf0 114 5 be be VB cord-029725-px209lf0 114 6 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 114 7 time time NN cord-029725-px209lf0 114 8 series series NN cord-029725-px209lf0 114 9 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 114 10 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 114 11 number number NN cord-029725-px209lf0 114 12 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 114 13 reported report VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 114 14 cases case NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 114 15 obtained obtain VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 114 16 from from IN cord-029725-px209lf0 114 17 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 114 18 data datum NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 114 19 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 114 20 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 114 21 Y Y NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 114 22 M M NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 114 23 to to TO cord-029725-px209lf0 114 24 be be VB cord-029725-px209lf0 114 25 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 114 26 same same JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 114 27 parameter parameter NN cord-029725-px209lf0 114 28 predicted predict VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 114 29 by by IN cord-029725-px209lf0 114 30 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 114 31 model model NN cord-029725-px209lf0 114 32 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 115 1 The the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 115 2 cost cost NN cord-029725-px209lf0 115 3 function function NN cord-029725-px209lf0 115 4 can can MD cord-029725-px209lf0 115 5 then then RB cord-029725-px209lf0 115 6 be be VB cord-029725-px209lf0 115 7 written write VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 115 8 as as IN cord-029725-px209lf0 115 9 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 115 10 sum sum NN cord-029725-px209lf0 115 11 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 115 12 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 115 13 squared squared JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 115 14 difference difference NN cord-029725-px209lf0 115 15 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 115 16 all all DT cord-029725-px209lf0 115 17 data datum NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 115 18 points point NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 115 19 as as IN cord-029725-px209lf0 115 20 explained explain VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 115 21 in in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 115 22 Eq Eq NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 115 23 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 116 1 10 10 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 116 2 : : : cord-029725-px209lf0 116 3 where where WRB cord-029725-px209lf0 116 4 N N NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 116 5 is be VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 116 6 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 116 7 total total JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 116 8 number number NN cord-029725-px209lf0 116 9 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 116 10 data datum NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 116 11 points point NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 116 12 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 117 1 Differential differential JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 117 2 evolution evolution NN cord-029725-px209lf0 117 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 117 4 DE DE NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 117 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 117 6 is be VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 117 7 an an DT cord-029725-px209lf0 117 8 evolutionary evolutionary JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 117 9 heuristicsbased heuristicsbased JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 117 10 optimization optimization NN cord-029725-px209lf0 117 11 technique technique NN cord-029725-px209lf0 117 12 developed develop VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 117 13 by by IN cord-029725-px209lf0 117 14 Storn Storn NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 117 15 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 117 16 Price Price NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 117 17 in in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 117 18 1997 1997 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 117 19 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 118 1 The the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 118 2 method method NN cord-029725-px209lf0 118 3 iteratively iteratively RB cord-029725-px209lf0 118 4 tries try VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 118 5 to to TO cord-029725-px209lf0 118 6 improve improve VB cord-029725-px209lf0 118 7 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 118 8 solution solution NN cord-029725-px209lf0 118 9 estimates estimate NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 118 10 by by IN cord-029725-px209lf0 118 11 regularly regularly RB cord-029725-px209lf0 118 12 creating create VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 118 13 new new JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 118 14 candidate candidate NN cord-029725-px209lf0 118 15 solutions solution NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 118 16 via via IN cord-029725-px209lf0 118 17 combining combine VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 118 18 existing exist VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 118 19 ones one NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 118 20 according accord VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 118 21 to to IN cord-029725-px209lf0 118 22 a a DT cord-029725-px209lf0 118 23 simple simple JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 118 24 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 118 25 formula formula NN cord-029725-px209lf0 118 26 ( ( -LRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 118 27 Storn Storn NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 118 28 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 118 29 Price Price NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 118 30 1997 1997 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 118 31 ) ) -RRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 118 32 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 119 1 The the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 119 2 simulations simulation NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 119 3 were be VBD cord-029725-px209lf0 119 4 carried carry VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 119 5 out out RP cord-029725-px209lf0 119 6 in in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 119 7 Python Python NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 119 8 3.6 3.6 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 119 9 © © IN cord-029725-px209lf0 119 10 using use VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 119 11 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 119 12 in in RB cord-029725-px209lf0 119 13 - - HYPH cord-029725-px209lf0 119 14 built build VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 119 15 differential differential JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 119 16 evolution evolution NN cord-029725-px209lf0 119 17 routine routine NN cord-029725-px209lf0 119 18 provided provide VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 119 19 by by IN cord-029725-px209lf0 119 20 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 119 21 Scipy Scipy NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 119 22 © © NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 119 23 package package NN cord-029725-px209lf0 119 24 version version NN cord-029725-px209lf0 119 25 1.1.0 1.1.0 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 119 26 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 120 1 By by IN cord-029725-px209lf0 120 2 26th 26th JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 120 3 April April NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 120 4 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 120 5 Kerala Kerala NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 120 6 had have VBD cord-029725-px209lf0 120 7 witnessed witness VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 120 8 a a DT cord-029725-px209lf0 120 9 total total NN cord-029725-px209lf0 120 10 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 120 11 458 458 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 120 12 confirmed confirm VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 120 13 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 120 14 positive positive JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 120 15 cases case NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 120 16 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 120 17 with with IN cord-029725-px209lf0 120 18 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 120 19 highest high JJS cord-029725-px209lf0 120 20 rise rise NN cord-029725-px209lf0 120 21 seen see VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 120 22 on on IN cord-029725-px209lf0 120 23 28th 28th JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 120 24 March March NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 120 25 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 120 26 2020 2020 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 120 27 after after IN cord-029725-px209lf0 120 28 which which WDT cord-029725-px209lf0 120 29 a a DT cord-029725-px209lf0 120 30 steady steady JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 120 31 decline decline NN cord-029725-px209lf0 120 32 in in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 120 33 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 120 34 cases case NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 120 35 was be VBD cord-029725-px209lf0 120 36 observed observe VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 120 37 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 121 1 The the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 121 2 technique technique NN cord-029725-px209lf0 121 3 presented present VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 121 4 in in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 121 5 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 121 6 above above JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 121 7 section section NN cord-029725-px209lf0 121 8 was be VBD cord-029725-px209lf0 121 9 used use VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 121 10 to to TO cord-029725-px209lf0 121 11 estimate estimate VB cord-029725-px209lf0 121 12 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 121 13 β β NN cord-029725-px209lf0 121 14 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 121 15 ft ft JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 121 16 values value NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 121 17 before before IN cord-029725-px209lf0 121 18 lockdown lockdown NN cord-029725-px209lf0 121 19 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 121 20 during during IN cord-029725-px209lf0 121 21 lockdown lockdown NN cord-029725-px209lf0 121 22 using use VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 121 23 data datum NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 121 24 available available JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 121 25 till till IN cord-029725-px209lf0 121 26 26th 26th JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 121 27 April April NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 121 28 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 121 29 2020 2020 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 121 30 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 121 31 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 121 32 following following JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 121 33 estimates estimate NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 121 34 were be VBD cord-029725-px209lf0 121 35 obtained obtain VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 121 36 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 122 1 As as IN cord-029725-px209lf0 122 2 shown show VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 122 3 in in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 122 4 Table Table NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 122 5 1 1 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 122 6 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 122 7 before before IN cord-029725-px209lf0 122 8 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 122 9 enforcement enforcement NN cord-029725-px209lf0 122 10 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 122 11 lockdown lockdown NN cord-029725-px209lf0 122 12 on on IN cord-029725-px209lf0 122 13 25th 25th JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 122 14 March March NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 122 15 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 122 16 2020 2020 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 122 17 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 122 18 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 122 19 basic basic JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 122 20 reproductive reproductive JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 122 21 number number NN cord-029725-px209lf0 122 22 ( ( -LRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 122 23 R r NN cord-029725-px209lf0 122 24 0 0 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 122 25 ) ) -RRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 122 26 in in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 122 27 Kerala Kerala NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 122 28 is be VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 122 29 estimated estimate VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 122 30 to to TO cord-029725-px209lf0 122 31 be be VB cord-029725-px209lf0 122 32 1.9 1.9 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 122 33 with with IN cord-029725-px209lf0 122 34 only only RB cord-029725-px209lf0 122 35 32 32 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 122 36 % % NN cord-029725-px209lf0 122 37 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 122 38 all all DT cord-029725-px209lf0 122 39 infected infected JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 122 40 people people NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 122 41 tested test VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 122 42 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 123 1 After after IN cord-029725-px209lf0 123 2 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 123 3 enforcement enforcement NN cord-029725-px209lf0 123 4 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 123 5 lockdown lockdown NN cord-029725-px209lf0 123 6 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 123 7 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 123 8 R r NN cord-029725-px209lf0 123 9 0 0 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 123 10 appears appear VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 123 11 to to TO cord-029725-px209lf0 123 12 have have VB cord-029725-px209lf0 123 13 reduced reduce VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 123 14 to to IN cord-029725-px209lf0 123 15 0.92 0.92 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 123 16 with with IN cord-029725-px209lf0 123 17 testing testing NN cord-029725-px209lf0 123 18 improved improve VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 123 19 to to IN cord-029725-px209lf0 123 20 ~ ~ CD cord-029725-px209lf0 123 21 50 50 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 123 22 % % NN cord-029725-px209lf0 123 23 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 123 24 which which WDT cord-029725-px209lf0 123 25 indicates indicate VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 123 26 a a DT cord-029725-px209lf0 123 27 receding recede VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 123 28 epidemic epidemic NN cord-029725-px209lf0 123 29 in in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 123 30 Kerala Kerala NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 123 31 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 124 1 As as IN cord-029725-px209lf0 124 2 shown show VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 124 3 in in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 124 4 Fig Fig NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 124 5 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 125 1 3 3 LS cord-029725-px209lf0 125 2 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 125 3 a a DT cord-029725-px209lf0 125 4 significant significant JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 125 5 match match NN cord-029725-px209lf0 125 6 can can MD cord-029725-px209lf0 125 7 be be VB cord-029725-px209lf0 125 8 seen see VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 125 9 between between IN cord-029725-px209lf0 125 10 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 125 11 model model NN cord-029725-px209lf0 125 12 predictions prediction NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 125 13 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 125 14 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 125 15 actual actual JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 125 16 data datum NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 125 17 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 125 18 with with IN cord-029725-px209lf0 125 19 a a DT cord-029725-px209lf0 125 20 mean mean JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 125 21 absolute absolute JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 125 22 percentage percentage NN cord-029725-px209lf0 125 23 error error NN cord-029725-px209lf0 125 24 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 125 25 13.9 13.9 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 125 26 % % NN cord-029725-px209lf0 125 27 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 126 1 Given give VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 126 2 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 126 3 current current JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 126 4 situation situation NN cord-029725-px209lf0 126 5 in in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 126 6 Kerala Kerala NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 126 7 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 126 8 several several JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 126 9 different different JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 126 10 scenarios scenario NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 126 11 were be VBD cord-029725-px209lf0 126 12 simulated simulate VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 126 13 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 127 1 In in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 127 2 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 127 3 following follow VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 127 4 figures figure NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 127 5 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 127 6 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 127 7 coloured coloured JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 127 8 region region NN cord-029725-px209lf0 127 9 indicates indicate VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 127 10 a a DT cord-029725-px209lf0 127 11 lockdown lockdown NN cord-029725-px209lf0 127 12 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 128 1 If if IN cord-029725-px209lf0 128 2 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 128 3 lockdown lockdown NN cord-029725-px209lf0 128 4 is be VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 128 5 opened open VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 128 6 on on IN cord-029725-px209lf0 128 7 3rd 3rd JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 128 8 May May NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 128 9 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 128 10 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 128 11 existing exist VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 128 12 testing testing NN cord-029725-px209lf0 128 13 levels level NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 128 14 are be VBP cord-029725-px209lf0 128 15 maintained maintain VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 128 16 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 128 17 then then RB cord-029725-px209lf0 128 18 assuming assume VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 128 19 a a DT cord-029725-px209lf0 128 20 level level NN cord-029725-px209lf0 128 21 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 128 22 interaction interaction NN cord-029725-px209lf0 128 23 similar similar JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 128 24 to to IN cord-029725-px209lf0 128 25 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 128 26 pre pre JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 128 27 - - JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 128 28 lockdown lockdown JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 128 29 period period NN cord-029725-px209lf0 128 30 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 128 31 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 128 32 number number NN cord-029725-px209lf0 128 33 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 128 34 cases case NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 128 35 in in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 128 36 Kerala Kerala NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 128 37 can can MD cord-029725-px209lf0 128 38 be be VB cord-029725-px209lf0 128 39 expected expect VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 128 40 to to TO cord-029725-px209lf0 128 41 increase increase VB cord-029725-px209lf0 128 42 ( ( -LRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 128 43 shown show VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 128 44 in in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 128 45 Fig Fig NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 128 46 . . NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 128 47 4 4 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 128 48 ) ) -RRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 128 49 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 129 1 If if IN cord-029725-px209lf0 129 2 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 129 3 government government NN cord-029725-px209lf0 129 4 opens open VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 129 5 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 129 6 lockdown lockdown NN cord-029725-px209lf0 129 7 on on IN cord-029725-px209lf0 129 8 3rd 3rd JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 129 9 May May NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 129 10 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 129 11 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 129 12 at at IN cord-029725-px209lf0 129 13 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 129 14 same same JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 129 15 time time NN cord-029725-px209lf0 129 16 increases increase VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 129 17 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 129 18 testing testing NN cord-029725-px209lf0 129 19 levels level NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 129 20 to to IN cord-029725-px209lf0 129 21 80 80 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 129 22 % % NN cord-029725-px209lf0 129 23 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 129 24 then then RB cord-029725-px209lf0 129 25 assuming assume VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 129 26 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 129 27 same same JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 129 28 level level NN cord-029725-px209lf0 129 29 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 129 30 interactions interaction NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 129 31 as as IN cord-029725-px209lf0 129 32 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 129 33 pre pre JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 129 34 - - JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 129 35 lockdown lockdown JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 129 36 period period NN cord-029725-px209lf0 129 37 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 129 38 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 129 39 model model NN cord-029725-px209lf0 129 40 predicts predict VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 129 41 that that IN cord-029725-px209lf0 129 42 Kerala Kerala NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 129 43 will will MD cord-029725-px209lf0 129 44 stop stop VB cord-029725-px209lf0 129 45 seeing see VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 129 46 new new JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 129 47 cases case NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 129 48 by by IN cord-029725-px209lf0 129 49 20th 20th JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 129 50 May May NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 129 51 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 129 52 2020 2020 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 129 53 as as IN cord-029725-px209lf0 129 54 shown show VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 129 55 in in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 129 56 Fig Fig NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 129 57 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 130 1 5 5 LS cord-029725-px209lf0 130 2 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 131 1 Increasing increase VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 131 2 testing testing NN cord-029725-px209lf0 131 3 levels level NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 131 4 rapidly rapidly RB cord-029725-px209lf0 131 5 can can MD cord-029725-px209lf0 131 6 pose pose VB cord-029725-px209lf0 131 7 several several JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 131 8 logistical logistical JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 131 9 constraints constraint NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 131 10 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 131 11 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 131 12 thereby thereby RB cord-029725-px209lf0 131 13 can can MD cord-029725-px209lf0 131 14 not not RB cord-029725-px209lf0 131 15 be be VB cord-029725-px209lf0 131 16 expected expect VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 131 17 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 132 1 Instead instead RB cord-029725-px209lf0 132 2 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 132 3 if if IN cord-029725-px209lf0 132 4 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 132 5 government government NN cord-029725-px209lf0 132 6 decides decide VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 132 7 to to TO cord-029725-px209lf0 132 8 opt opt VB cord-029725-px209lf0 132 9 for for IN cord-029725-px209lf0 132 10 a a DT cord-029725-px209lf0 132 11 2-month 2-month JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 132 12 long long JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 132 13 lockdown lockdown NN cord-029725-px209lf0 132 14 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 132 15 while while IN cord-029725-px209lf0 132 16 gradually gradually RB cord-029725-px209lf0 132 17 increasing increase VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 132 18 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 132 19 testing testing NN cord-029725-px209lf0 132 20 to to IN cord-029725-px209lf0 132 21 60 60 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 132 22 % % NN cord-029725-px209lf0 132 23 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 132 24 then then RB cord-029725-px209lf0 132 25 assuming assume VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 132 26 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 132 27 same same JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 132 28 level level NN cord-029725-px209lf0 132 29 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 132 30 interactions interaction NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 132 31 as as IN cord-029725-px209lf0 132 32 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 132 33 pre pre JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 132 34 - - JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 132 35 lockdown lockdown JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 132 36 period period NN cord-029725-px209lf0 132 37 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 132 38 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 132 39 model model NN cord-029725-px209lf0 132 40 predicts predict VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 132 41 that that IN cord-029725-px209lf0 132 42 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 132 43 pandemic pandemic NN cord-029725-px209lf0 132 44 can can MD cord-029725-px209lf0 132 45 be be VB cord-029725-px209lf0 132 46 completely completely RB cord-029725-px209lf0 132 47 controlled control VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 132 48 in in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 132 49 Kerala Kerala NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 132 50 by by IN cord-029725-px209lf0 132 51 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 132 52 first first JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 132 53 week week NN cord-029725-px209lf0 132 54 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 132 55 July July NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 132 56 ( ( -LRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 132 57 as as IN cord-029725-px209lf0 132 58 shown show VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 132 59 in in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 132 60 Fig Fig NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 132 61 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 132 62 6 6 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 132 63 ) ) -RRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 132 64 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 133 1 Having have VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 133 2 a a DT cord-029725-px209lf0 133 3 long long JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 133 4 lockdown lockdown NN cord-029725-px209lf0 133 5 can can MD cord-029725-px209lf0 133 6 severely severely RB cord-029725-px209lf0 133 7 affect affect VB cord-029725-px209lf0 133 8 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 133 9 socio socio JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 133 10 - - JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 133 11 economic economic JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 133 12 activities activity NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 133 13 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 133 14 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 133 15 state state NN cord-029725-px209lf0 133 16 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 133 17 therefore therefore RB cord-029725-px209lf0 133 18 a a DT cord-029725-px209lf0 133 19 possible possible JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 133 20 option option NN cord-029725-px209lf0 133 21 for for IN cord-029725-px209lf0 133 22 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 133 23 government government NN cord-029725-px209lf0 133 24 can can MD cord-029725-px209lf0 133 25 be be VB cord-029725-px209lf0 133 26 to to TO cord-029725-px209lf0 133 27 enforce enforce VB cord-029725-px209lf0 133 28 intermittent intermittent JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 133 29 or or CC cord-029725-px209lf0 133 30 staggered staggered JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 133 31 lockdowns lockdown NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 133 32 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 134 1 Considered consider VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 134 2 here here RB cord-029725-px209lf0 134 3 is be VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 134 4 a a DT cord-029725-px209lf0 134 5 scenario scenario NN cord-029725-px209lf0 134 6 where where WRB cord-029725-px209lf0 134 7 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 134 8 lockdown lockdown NN cord-029725-px209lf0 134 9 is be VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 134 10 opened open VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 134 11 on on IN cord-029725-px209lf0 134 12 3rd 3rd JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 134 13 May May NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 134 14 for for IN cord-029725-px209lf0 134 15 1 1 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 134 16 week week NN cord-029725-px209lf0 134 17 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 134 18 after after IN cord-029725-px209lf0 134 19 which which WDT cord-029725-px209lf0 134 20 a a DT cord-029725-px209lf0 134 21 20-day 20-day CD cord-029725-px209lf0 134 22 lockdown lockdown NN cord-029725-px209lf0 134 23 is be VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 134 24 re re VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 134 25 - - VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 134 26 imposed impose VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 134 27 followed follow VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 134 28 by by IN cord-029725-px209lf0 134 29 another another DT cord-029725-px209lf0 134 30 1 1 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 134 31 week week NN cord-029725-px209lf0 134 32 relief relief NN cord-029725-px209lf0 134 33 period period NN cord-029725-px209lf0 134 34 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 134 35 then then RB cord-029725-px209lf0 134 36 another another DT cord-029725-px209lf0 134 37 20-day 20-day CD cord-029725-px209lf0 134 38 lockdown lockdown NN cord-029725-px209lf0 134 39 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 135 1 In in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 135 2 such such PDT cord-029725-px209lf0 135 3 a a DT cord-029725-px209lf0 135 4 scenario scenario NN cord-029725-px209lf0 135 5 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 135 6 assuming assume VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 135 7 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 135 8 existing exist VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 135 9 levels level NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 135 10 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 135 11 testing testing NN cord-029725-px209lf0 135 12 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 135 13 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 135 14 model model NN cord-029725-px209lf0 135 15 predicts predict VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 135 16 that that IN cord-029725-px209lf0 135 17 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 135 18 cases case NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 135 19 in in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 135 20 Kerala Kerala NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 135 21 can can MD cord-029725-px209lf0 135 22 be be VB cord-029725-px209lf0 135 23 controlled control VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 135 24 by by IN cord-029725-px209lf0 135 25 26th 26th JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 135 26 June June NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 135 27 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 135 28 2020 2020 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 135 29 ( ( -LRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 135 30 as as IN cord-029725-px209lf0 135 31 shown show VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 135 32 in in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 135 33 Fig Fig NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 135 34 . . NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 135 35 7 7 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 135 36 ) ) -RRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 135 37 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 136 1 Another another DT cord-029725-px209lf0 136 2 possible possible JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 136 3 option option NN cord-029725-px209lf0 136 4 for for IN cord-029725-px209lf0 136 5 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 136 6 government government NN cord-029725-px209lf0 136 7 could could MD cord-029725-px209lf0 136 8 be be VB cord-029725-px209lf0 136 9 to to TO cord-029725-px209lf0 136 10 open open VB cord-029725-px209lf0 136 11 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 136 12 lockdown lockdown NN cord-029725-px209lf0 136 13 on on IN cord-029725-px209lf0 136 14 3rd 3rd JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 136 15 May May NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 136 16 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 136 17 but but CC cord-029725-px209lf0 136 18 with with IN cord-029725-px209lf0 136 19 social social JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 136 20 distancing distancing NN cord-029725-px209lf0 136 21 measures measure NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 136 22 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 137 1 Here here RB cord-029725-px209lf0 137 2 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 137 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-029725-px209lf0 137 4 have have VBP cord-029725-px209lf0 137 5 assumed assume VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 137 6 that that IN cord-029725-px209lf0 137 7 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 137 8 level level NN cord-029725-px209lf0 137 9 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 137 10 interactions interaction NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 137 11 after after IN cord-029725-px209lf0 137 12 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 137 13 lockdown lockdown NN cord-029725-px209lf0 137 14 to to TO cord-029725-px209lf0 137 15 be be VB cord-029725-px209lf0 137 16 an an DT cord-029725-px209lf0 137 17 average average NN cord-029725-px209lf0 137 18 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 137 19 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 137 20 level level NN cord-029725-px209lf0 137 21 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 137 22 interactions interaction NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 137 23 before before IN cord-029725-px209lf0 137 24 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 137 25 during during IN cord-029725-px209lf0 137 26 lockdown lockdown NN cord-029725-px209lf0 137 27 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 137 28 i.e. i.e. FW cord-029725-px209lf0 137 29 : : : cord-029725-px209lf0 137 30 where where WRB cord-029725-px209lf0 137 31 AL AL NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 137 32 is be VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 137 33 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 137 34 rate rate NN cord-029725-px209lf0 137 35 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 137 36 spread spread NN cord-029725-px209lf0 137 37 after after IN cord-029725-px209lf0 137 38 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 137 39 lockdown lockdown NN cord-029725-px209lf0 137 40 is be VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 137 41 lifted lift VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 137 42 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 137 43 BL BL NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 137 44 is be VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 137 45 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 137 46 rate rate NN cord-029725-px209lf0 137 47 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 137 48 spread spread NN cord-029725-px209lf0 137 49 before before IN cord-029725-px209lf0 137 50 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 137 51 lockdown lockdown NN cord-029725-px209lf0 137 52 was be VBD cord-029725-px209lf0 137 53 imposed impose VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 137 54 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 137 55 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 137 56 L L NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 137 57 is be VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 137 58 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 137 59 rate rate NN cord-029725-px209lf0 137 60 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 137 61 spread spread NN cord-029725-px209lf0 137 62 during during IN cord-029725-px209lf0 137 63 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 137 64 lockdown lockdown NN cord-029725-px209lf0 137 65 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 138 1 In in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 138 2 such such PDT cord-029725-px209lf0 138 3 a a DT cord-029725-px209lf0 138 4 scenario scenario NN cord-029725-px209lf0 138 5 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 138 6 assuming assume VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 138 7 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 138 8 present present JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 138 9 levels level NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 138 10 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 138 11 testing testing NN cord-029725-px209lf0 138 12 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 138 13 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 138 14 model model NN cord-029725-px209lf0 138 15 predicts predict VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 138 16 that that IN cord-029725-px209lf0 138 17 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 138 18 number number NN cord-029725-px209lf0 138 19 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 138 20 cases case NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 138 21 in in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 138 22 Kerala Kerala NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 138 23 can can MD cord-029725-px209lf0 138 24 be be VB cord-029725-px209lf0 138 25 controlled control VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 138 26 by by IN cord-029725-px209lf0 138 27 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 138 28 first first JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 138 29 week week NN cord-029725-px209lf0 138 30 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 138 31 June June NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 138 32 ( ( -LRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 138 33 as as IN cord-029725-px209lf0 138 34 shown show VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 138 35 in in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 138 36 Fig Fig NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 138 37 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 138 38 8 8 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 138 39 ) ) -RRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 138 40 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 139 1 Unlike unlike IN cord-029725-px209lf0 139 2 Kerala Kerala NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 139 3 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 139 4 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 139 5 COVID-19-positive covid-19-positive JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 139 6 cases case NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 139 7 in in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 139 8 India India NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 139 9 are be VBP cord-029725-px209lf0 139 10 still still RB cord-029725-px209lf0 139 11 on on IN cord-029725-px209lf0 139 12 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 139 13 rise rise NN cord-029725-px209lf0 139 14 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 140 1 As as IN cord-029725-px209lf0 140 2 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 140 3 12th 12th JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 140 4 May May NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 140 5 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 140 6 2020 2020 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 140 7 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 140 8 there there EX cord-029725-px209lf0 140 9 are be VBP cord-029725-px209lf0 140 10 ~ ~ NFP cord-029725-px209lf0 140 11 70,000 70,000 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 140 12 positive positive JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 140 13 cases case NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 140 14 ; ; : cord-029725-px209lf0 140 15 hence hence RB cord-029725-px209lf0 140 16 removal removal NN cord-029725-px209lf0 140 17 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 140 18 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 140 19 lockdown lockdown NN cord-029725-px209lf0 140 20 is be VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 140 21 out out IN cord-029725-px209lf0 140 22 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 140 23 question question NN cord-029725-px209lf0 140 24 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 141 1 Figure figure NN cord-029725-px209lf0 141 2 9 9 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 141 3 shows show VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 141 4 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 141 5 comparison comparison NN cord-029725-px209lf0 141 6 between between IN cord-029725-px209lf0 141 7 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 141 8 model model NN cord-029725-px209lf0 141 9 's 's POS cord-029725-px209lf0 141 10 prediction prediction NN cord-029725-px209lf0 141 11 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 141 12 actual actual JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 141 13 data datum NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 141 14 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 142 1 Data datum NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 142 2 till till IN cord-029725-px209lf0 143 1 12th 12th NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 143 2 May May NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 143 3 were be VBD cord-029725-px209lf0 143 4 used use VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 143 5 to to TO cord-029725-px209lf0 143 6 estimate estimate VB cord-029725-px209lf0 143 7 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 143 8 parameters parameter NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 143 9 R r NN cord-029725-px209lf0 143 10 0 0 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 143 11 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 143 12 ft ft RB cord-029725-px209lf0 143 13 before before RB cord-029725-px209lf0 143 14 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 143 15 during during IN cord-029725-px209lf0 143 16 lockdown lockdown NN cord-029725-px209lf0 143 17 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 144 1 The the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 144 2 estimated estimate VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 144 3 parameters parameter NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 144 4 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 144 5 with with IN cord-029725-px209lf0 144 6 a a DT cord-029725-px209lf0 144 7 mean mean JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 144 8 absolute absolute JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 144 9 percentage percentage NN cord-029725-px209lf0 144 10 error error NN cord-029725-px209lf0 144 11 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 144 12 26.3 26.3 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 144 13 % % NN cord-029725-px209lf0 144 14 are be VBP cord-029725-px209lf0 144 15 given give VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 144 16 below below RB cord-029725-px209lf0 144 17 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 145 1 As as IN cord-029725-px209lf0 145 2 shown show VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 145 3 in in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 145 4 Table Table NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 145 5 2 2 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 145 6 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 145 7 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 145 8 R r NN cord-029725-px209lf0 145 9 0 0 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 145 10 value value NN cord-029725-px209lf0 145 11 for for IN cord-029725-px209lf0 145 12 India India NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 145 13 appears appear VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 145 14 to to TO cord-029725-px209lf0 145 15 have have VB cord-029725-px209lf0 145 16 come come VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 145 17 down down RP cord-029725-px209lf0 145 18 from from IN cord-029725-px209lf0 145 19 2.01 2.01 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 145 20 before before IN cord-029725-px209lf0 145 21 lockdown lockdown NN cord-029725-px209lf0 145 22 to to IN cord-029725-px209lf0 145 23 1.44 1.44 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 145 24 during during IN cord-029725-px209lf0 145 25 lockdown lockdown NN cord-029725-px209lf0 145 26 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 145 27 but but CC cord-029725-px209lf0 145 28 is be VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 145 29 still still RB cord-029725-px209lf0 145 30 not not RB cord-029725-px209lf0 145 31 low low JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 145 32 enough enough RB cord-029725-px209lf0 145 33 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 146 1 The the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 146 2 current current JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 146 3 estimates estimate NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 146 4 also also RB cord-029725-px209lf0 146 5 indicate indicate VBP cord-029725-px209lf0 146 6 that that IN cord-029725-px209lf0 146 7 India India NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 146 8 is be VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 146 9 testing test VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 146 10 70 70 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 146 11 % % NN cord-029725-px209lf0 146 12 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 146 13 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-029725-px209lf0 146 14 infected infected JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 146 15 people people NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 146 16 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 147 1 If if IN cord-029725-px209lf0 147 2 this this DT cord-029725-px209lf0 147 3 scenario scenario NN cord-029725-px209lf0 147 4 continues continue VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 147 5 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 147 6 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 147 7 model model NN cord-029725-px209lf0 147 8 predicts predict VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 147 9 that that IN cord-029725-px209lf0 147 10 India India NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 147 11 can can MD cord-029725-px209lf0 147 12 _SP cord-029725-px209lf0 147 13 For for IN cord-029725-px209lf0 147 14 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 147 15 state state NN cord-029725-px209lf0 147 16 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 147 17 Kerala Kerala NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 147 18 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 147 19 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 147 20 estimated estimate VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 147 21 values value NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 147 22 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 147 23 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 147 24 ft ft NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 147 25 indicate indicate VBP cord-029725-px209lf0 147 26 that that IN cord-029725-px209lf0 147 27 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 147 28 pandemic pandemic NN cord-029725-px209lf0 147 29 is be VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 147 30 receding recede VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 147 31 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 147 32 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 147 33 with with IN cord-029725-px209lf0 147 34 a a DT cord-029725-px209lf0 147 35 few few JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 147 36 careful careful JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 147 37 decisions decision NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 147 38 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 147 39 it -PRON- PRP cord-029725-px209lf0 147 40 can can MD cord-029725-px209lf0 147 41 be be VB cord-029725-px209lf0 147 42 completely completely RB cord-029725-px209lf0 147 43 controlled control VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 147 44 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 148 1 If if IN cord-029725-px209lf0 148 2 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 148 3 lockdown lockdown NN cord-029725-px209lf0 148 4 is be VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 148 5 lifted lift VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 148 6 on on IN cord-029725-px209lf0 148 7 3rd 3rd JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 148 8 May May NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 148 9 without without IN cord-029725-px209lf0 148 10 any any DT cord-029725-px209lf0 148 11 protective protective JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 148 12 measures measure NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 148 13 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 148 14 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 148 15 numbers number NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 148 16 will will MD cord-029725-px209lf0 148 17 start start VB cord-029725-px209lf0 148 18 rising rise VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 148 19 again again RB cord-029725-px209lf0 148 20 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 149 1 In in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 149 2 such such PDT cord-029725-px209lf0 149 3 a a DT cord-029725-px209lf0 149 4 scenario scenario NN cord-029725-px209lf0 149 5 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 149 6 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 149 7 following follow VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 149 8 possible possible JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 149 9 options option NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 149 10 can can MD cord-029725-px209lf0 149 11 be be VB cord-029725-px209lf0 149 12 explored explore VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 149 13 in in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 149 14 Kerala Kerala NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 149 15 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 149 16 namely namely RB cord-029725-px209lf0 149 17 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 149 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 149 19 1 1 LS cord-029725-px209lf0 149 20 ) ) -RRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 149 21 Lift lift VB cord-029725-px209lf0 149 22 lockdown lockdown NN cord-029725-px209lf0 149 23 by by IN cord-029725-px209lf0 149 24 rapidly rapidly RB cord-029725-px209lf0 149 25 increasing increase VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 149 26 testing testing NN cord-029725-px209lf0 149 27 to to IN cord-029725-px209lf0 149 28 80 80 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 149 29 % % NN cord-029725-px209lf0 149 30 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 150 1 In in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 150 2 such such PDT cord-029725-px209lf0 150 3 a a DT cord-029725-px209lf0 150 4 case case NN cord-029725-px209lf0 150 5 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 150 6 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 150 7 spread spread NN cord-029725-px209lf0 150 8 can can MD cord-029725-px209lf0 150 9 be be VB cord-029725-px209lf0 150 10 controlled control VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 150 11 by by IN cord-029725-px209lf0 150 12 May May NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 150 13 20th 20th NN cord-029725-px209lf0 150 14 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 151 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 151 2 2 2 LS cord-029725-px209lf0 151 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 151 4 Extend extend VB cord-029725-px209lf0 151 5 lockdown lockdown NN cord-029725-px209lf0 151 6 to to IN cord-029725-px209lf0 151 7 2 2 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 151 8 months month NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 151 9 while while IN cord-029725-px209lf0 151 10 gradually gradually RB cord-029725-px209lf0 151 11 increasing increase VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 151 12 testing testing NN cord-029725-px209lf0 151 13 to to IN cord-029725-px209lf0 151 14 60 60 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 151 15 % % NN cord-029725-px209lf0 151 16 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 151 17 in in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 151 18 which which WDT cord-029725-px209lf0 151 19 case case NN cord-029725-px209lf0 151 20 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 151 21 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 151 22 spread spread NN cord-029725-px209lf0 151 23 can can MD cord-029725-px209lf0 151 24 be be VB cord-029725-px209lf0 151 25 controlled control VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 151 26 by by IN cord-029725-px209lf0 151 27 first first JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 151 28 week week NN cord-029725-px209lf0 151 29 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 151 30 July July NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 151 31 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 152 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 152 2 3 3 LS cord-029725-px209lf0 152 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 152 4 Intermittent intermittent JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 152 5 or or CC cord-029725-px209lf0 152 6 staggered stagger VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 152 7 lockdown lockdown NN cord-029725-px209lf0 153 1 while while IN cord-029725-px209lf0 153 2 maintaining maintain VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 153 3 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 153 4 current current JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 153 5 levels level NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 153 6 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 153 7 testing testing NN cord-029725-px209lf0 153 8 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 153 9 in in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 153 10 which which WDT cord-029725-px209lf0 153 11 case case NN cord-029725-px209lf0 153 12 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 153 13 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 153 14 spread spread NN cord-029725-px209lf0 153 15 can can MD cord-029725-px209lf0 153 16 be be VB cord-029725-px209lf0 153 17 controlled control VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 153 18 by by IN cord-029725-px209lf0 153 19 26th 26th JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 153 20 June June NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 153 21 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 154 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 154 2 4 4 LS cord-029725-px209lf0 154 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 154 4 Lifting lift VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 154 5 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 154 6 lockdown lockdown NN cord-029725-px209lf0 154 7 on on IN cord-029725-px209lf0 154 8 3rd 3rd JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 154 9 May May NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 154 10 while while IN cord-029725-px209lf0 154 11 ensuring ensure VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 154 12 adequate adequate JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 154 13 social social JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 154 14 distancing distancing NN cord-029725-px209lf0 154 15 measures measure NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 154 16 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 154 17 in in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 154 18 which which WDT cord-029725-px209lf0 154 19 case case NN cord-029725-px209lf0 154 20 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 154 21 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 154 22 spread spread NN cord-029725-px209lf0 154 23 can can MD cord-029725-px209lf0 154 24 be be VB cord-029725-px209lf0 154 25 controlled control VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 154 26 by by IN cord-029725-px209lf0 154 27 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 154 28 first first JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 154 29 week week NN cord-029725-px209lf0 154 30 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 154 31 June June NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 154 32 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 155 1 In in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 155 2 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 155 3 case case NN cord-029725-px209lf0 155 4 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 155 5 India India NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 155 6 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 155 7 estimates estimate NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 155 8 show show VBP cord-029725-px209lf0 155 9 that that IN cord-029725-px209lf0 155 10 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 155 11 R r NN cord-029725-px209lf0 155 12 0 0 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 155 13 value value NN cord-029725-px209lf0 155 14 during during IN cord-029725-px209lf0 155 15 lockdown lockdown NN cord-029725-px209lf0 155 16 has have VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 155 17 come come VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 155 18 down down RB cord-029725-px209lf0 155 19 to to IN cord-029725-px209lf0 155 20 1.44 1.44 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 155 21 from from IN cord-029725-px209lf0 155 22 2.01 2.01 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 155 23 before before IN cord-029725-px209lf0 155 24 lockdown lockdown NN cord-029725-px209lf0 155 25 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 156 1 Although although IN cord-029725-px209lf0 156 2 improved improve VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 156 3 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 156 4 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 156 5 existing exist VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 156 6 R r NN cord-029725-px209lf0 156 7 0 0 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 156 8 value value NN cord-029725-px209lf0 156 9 is be VBZ cord-029725-px209lf0 156 10 not not RB cord-029725-px209lf0 156 11 low low JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 156 12 enough enough RB cord-029725-px209lf0 156 13 to to TO cord-029725-px209lf0 156 14 call call VB cord-029725-px209lf0 156 15 off off RP cord-029725-px209lf0 156 16 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 156 17 lockdown lockdown NN cord-029725-px209lf0 156 18 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 156 19 hence hence RB cord-029725-px209lf0 156 20 removal removal NN cord-029725-px209lf0 156 21 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 156 22 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 156 23 country country NN cord-029725-px209lf0 156 24 - - HYPH cord-029725-px209lf0 156 25 wide wide JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 156 26 lockdown lockdown NN cord-029725-px209lf0 156 27 must must MD cord-029725-px209lf0 156 28 not not RB cord-029725-px209lf0 156 29 be be VB cord-029725-px209lf0 156 30 considered consider VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 156 31 at at IN cord-029725-px209lf0 156 32 present present JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 156 33 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 156 34 _SP cord-029725-px209lf0 157 1 Mathematical mathematical JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 157 2 modelling modelling NN cord-029725-px209lf0 157 3 using use VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 157 4 improved improve VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 157 5 SIR SIR NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 157 6 model model NN cord-029725-px209lf0 157 7 with with IN cord-029725-px209lf0 157 8 more more RBR cord-029725-px209lf0 157 9 realistic realistic JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 157 10 assumptions assumption NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 157 11 2020 2020 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 157 12 ) ) -RRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 157 13 epidemic epidemic NN cord-029725-px209lf0 157 14 landscape landscape NN cord-029725-px209lf0 157 15 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 157 16 forecasting forecasting NN cord-029725-px209lf0 157 17 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 157 18 SARS SARS NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 157 19 - - HYPH cord-029725-px209lf0 157 20 CoV-2 CoV-2 NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 157 21 in in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 157 22 India India NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 157 23 Report-9 Report-9 NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 157 24 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 157 25 impact impact NN cord-029725-px209lf0 157 26 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 157 27 non non JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 157 28 - - JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 157 29 pharmaceutical pharmaceutical JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 157 30 interventions intervention NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 157 31 ( ( -LRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 157 32 NPIs NPIs NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 157 33 ) ) -RRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 157 34 to to TO cord-029725-px209lf0 157 35 reduce reduce VB cord-029725-px209lf0 157 36 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 157 37 mortality mortality NN cord-029725-px209lf0 157 38 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 157 39 healthcare healthcare NN cord-029725-px209lf0 157 40 demand demand NN cord-029725-px209lf0 157 41 . . . cord-029725-px209lf0 158 1 Imperial Imperial NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 158 2 College College NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 159 1 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 159 2 response response NN cord-029725-px209lf0 159 3 team team NN cord-029725-px209lf0 159 4 Modified modify VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 159 5 SEIR SEIR NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 159 6 model model NN cord-029725-px209lf0 159 7 to to TO cord-029725-px209lf0 159 8 predict predict VB cord-029725-px209lf0 159 9 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 159 10 outbreak outbreak NN cord-029725-px209lf0 159 11 in in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 159 12 Spain Spain NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 159 13 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 159 14 Italy Italy NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 159 15 : : : cord-029725-px209lf0 159 16 simulating simulate VBG cord-029725-px209lf0 159 17 control control NN cord-029725-px209lf0 159 18 scenarios scenario NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 159 19 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 159 20 multi multi JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 159 21 scale scale NN cord-029725-px209lf0 159 22 epidemics epidemic NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 159 23 District District NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 159 24 Wise wise JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 159 25 list list NN cord-029725-px209lf0 159 26 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 159 27 reported report VBN cord-029725-px209lf0 159 28 Cases case NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 159 29 Our -PRON- PRP$ cord-029725-px209lf0 159 30 world world NN cord-029725-px209lf0 159 31 in in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 159 32 data datum NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 159 33 : : : cord-029725-px209lf0 159 34 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 159 35 Source Source NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 159 36 Data Data NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 159 37 Epidemic Epidemic NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 159 38 analysis analysis NN cord-029725-px209lf0 159 39 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 159 40 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 159 41 in in IN cord-029725-px209lf0 159 42 China China NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 159 43 by by IN cord-029725-px209lf0 159 44 dynamic dynamic JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 159 45 modelling modelling NN cord-029725-px209lf0 159 46 Report Report NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 159 47 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 159 48 WHO WHO NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 159 49 - - HYPH cord-029725-px209lf0 159 50 China China NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 159 51 joint joint JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 159 52 mission mission NN cord-029725-px209lf0 159 53 on on IN cord-029725-px209lf0 159 54 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 159 55 Disease Disease NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 159 56 2019 2019 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 159 57 ( ( -LRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 159 58 2020 2020 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 159 59 ) ) -RRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 160 1 World World NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 160 2 Health Health NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 160 3 Organization Organization NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 160 4 Situation Situation NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 161 1 Report-113 report-113 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 161 2 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 161 3 Disease Disease NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 161 4 World World NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 161 5 Health Health NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 161 6 Organization Organization NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 161 7 Situation Situation NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 161 8 Report-3 Report-3 NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 161 9 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 161 10 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 161 11 Disease Disease NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 161 12 2019 2019 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 161 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 161 14 2020 2020 CD cord-029725-px209lf0 161 15 ) ) -RRB- cord-029725-px209lf0 162 1 World World NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 162 2 Health Health NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 162 3 Organization Organization NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 162 4 Differential Differential NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 162 5 evolution evolution NN cord-029725-px209lf0 162 6 - - : cord-029725-px209lf0 162 7 a a DT cord-029725-px209lf0 162 8 simple simple JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 162 9 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 162 10 efficient efficient JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 162 11 adaptive adaptive JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 162 12 scheme scheme NN cord-029725-px209lf0 162 13 for for IN cord-029725-px209lf0 162 14 global global JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 162 15 optimization optimization NN cord-029725-px209lf0 162 16 over over IN cord-029725-px209lf0 162 17 continuous continuous JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 162 18 spaces space NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 163 1 The the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 163 2 authors author NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 163 3 would would MD cord-029725-px209lf0 163 4 like like VB cord-029725-px209lf0 163 5 to to TO cord-029725-px209lf0 163 6 express express VB cord-029725-px209lf0 163 7 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-029725-px209lf0 163 8 sincere sincere JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 163 9 thanks thank NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 163 10 to to IN cord-029725-px209lf0 163 11 Mustafa Mustafa NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 163 12 Shahid Shahid NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 163 13 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 163 14 VSSC VSSC NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 163 15 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 163 16 ISRO ISRO NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 163 17 ; ; : cord-029725-px209lf0 163 18 Ramesh Ramesh NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 163 19 Mettu Mettu NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 163 20 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 163 21 VSSC VSSC NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 163 22 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 163 23 ISRO ISRO NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 163 24 ; ; : cord-029725-px209lf0 163 25 Rani Rani NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 163 26 Radhakrishnan Radhakrishnan NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 163 27 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 163 28 VSSC VSSC NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 163 29 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 163 30 ISRO ISRO NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 163 31 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 163 32 Harish Harish NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 163 33 C.S C.S NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 163 34 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 163 35 VSSC VSSC NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 163 36 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 163 37 ISRO ISRO NNP cord-029725-px209lf0 163 38 , , , cord-029725-px209lf0 163 39 for for IN cord-029725-px209lf0 163 40 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-029725-px209lf0 163 41 valuable valuable JJ cord-029725-px209lf0 163 42 comments comment NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 163 43 that that WDT cord-029725-px209lf0 163 44 helped help VBD cord-029725-px209lf0 163 45 shape shape VB cord-029725-px209lf0 163 46 this this DT cord-029725-px209lf0 163 47 study study NN cord-029725-px209lf0 163 48 and and CC cord-029725-px209lf0 163 49 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-029725-px209lf0 163 50 contributions contribution NNS cord-029725-px209lf0 163 51 during during IN cord-029725-px209lf0 163 52 the the DT cord-029725-px209lf0 163 53 preparation preparation NN cord-029725-px209lf0 163 54 of of IN cord-029725-px209lf0 163 55 this this DT cord-029725-px209lf0 163 56 manuscript manuscript NN cord-029725-px209lf0 163 57 . . .