id	author	title	date	pages	extension	mime	words	sentences	flesch	summary	cache	txt
cord-190296-erpoh5he	Schaback, Robert	On COVID-19 Modelling	2020-05-11		.txt	text/plain	9445	639	75	This contribution starts in section 2 with a rather elementary reconciliation of the standard SIR model for epidemics, featuring the central notions like Basic Reproduction Number, Herd Immunity Threshold, and Doubling Time, together with some critical remarks on their abuse in the media. To run this hidden model with constant N = S + M + H + C, one needs initial values and good estimates for β and γ, which are not the ones of the Johns Hopkins Data Model of section 3.3. These yield estimates for the parameters of the full SIR model that replace the earlier time series from the Johns Hopkins Data Model in section 3.3. Note that the only ingredients beside the Johns Hopkins data are the number k for the k-day rule, the Infection Fatality Rate γ IF from the literature, and the backlog m for estimation of constants from time series.	./cache/cord-190296-erpoh5he.txt	./txt/cord-190296-erpoh5he.txt