id author title date pages extension mime words sentences flesch summary cache txt cord-155015-w3k7r5z9 Arazi, R. Discontinuous transitions of social distancing 2020-08-16 .txt text/plain 3537 320 66 To understand social distancing dynamics it is important to combine basic epidemiology models for viral unfold (like SIR) with game theory tools, such as a utility function that quantifies individual or government forecast for epidemic damage and economy cost as the functions of social distancing. The work proceeds with the presentation of the SIR model with induced transitions (SIRIT), almost analytical treatment of this model, the calibration of an epidemic and economy parameters of the model using time series of active cases and causalities during the 1st wave of COVID-19 in Austria, Israel, and Germany, followed by a discussion of obtained results and their implications. The work introduces SIRIT, a standard Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model extended with a utility function that predicts induced transitions (IT) of social distancing. The fit of the first social distancing transitions (deviations from SIR model) after COVID-19 climax in Austria, Germany, and Israel, but, demonstrates that β remains constant during the transitions. ./cache/cord-155015-w3k7r5z9.txt ./txt/cord-155015-w3k7r5z9.txt