id author title date pages extension mime words sentences flesch summary cache txt cord-343966-bfon094h Djaparidze, L. SARS-CoV-2 waves in Europe: A 2-stratum SEIRS model solution 2020-10-13 .txt text/plain 9878 605 61 Almost every other finding in this paper also came from this tool: Immune level estimation sensitivity analysis (e.g. change Ro and fit); Estimating the spreading day if only one non-communitarian spreader is assumed (i.e. change initial spreading day until fitted initial spreaders is 1); Finding that Do=2 coupled with Eo=5 can explain the multiple valleys after lockdowns observed in the 1-day moving average daily death curves (i.e. fitting a dozen of different pairs of Do and Eo); Include lack of IgG in asymptomatic when predicting reported serology ratio (i.e. add TAK variable and equation); Estimate the proportion of asymptomatic for <60 and >60 (i.e. change proportions and fit until predicted asymptomatic to symptomatic ratio in Spain matches the reported = 1); Estimate that the proportion of SARS-CoV-2 positive reported deaths that are "with" the virus is 15% (i.e. add testing positive period parameter and yearly probability of dying for other causes to the predicted sars-cov2 positive deaths and lower IFR_vul until predicted serology ratio matches again); Estimate the minimum value of IFR_vul to have another wave in Brussels or the maximum that avoids the low one in Stockholm (i.e. change IFR_vul and fit until the second wave appears or disappears); Hypothesize that an early wave of a D614 like variant can be the cause of low mortality in most locations in Asia (i.e. fit with an hypothetical lower IFR_vul competing strain and then simulate setting the dominant spreading event 60 days earlier). ./cache/cord-343966-bfon094h.txt ./txt/cord-343966-bfon094h.txt