id author title date pages extension mime words sentences flesch summary cache txt cord-342983-7o0slu0z Killeen, G. F. A simple arithmetic rationale for crushing the epidemic curve of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) instead of flattening it 2020-05-10 .txt text/plain 2328 103 43 Here is presented a simple set of arithmetic modelling analyses that explain why preferable crush the "curve strategies", to eliminate transmission within months, would require only a modest amount of additional containment effort when compared to "flatten the curve" strategies that allow epidemics to persist at a steady, supposedly manageable level for years, decades or even indefinitely. Here is presented a simple arithmetic rationale for why preferable crush the curve strategies, to eliminate transmission within months, would require only a modest amount of additional containment effort when compared to flatten the curve strategies that allow epidemics to persist at a steady, supposedly manageable level for years, decades or even indefinitely. 2 From this assumed starting point, a country that contains its epidemic sufficiently to flatten the curve to a plateau, so that the rate of incidence of new infections remains constant, would have achieved a controlled reproductive number (Rc) of exactly 1.0 ( Figure 1A ). ./cache/cord-342983-7o0slu0z.txt ./txt/cord-342983-7o0slu0z.txt