id author title date pages extension mime words sentences flesch summary cache txt cord-324518-a346cjx4 Zhang, Zhibin The outbreak pattern of the SARS cases in Asia 2004 .txt text/plain 1935 118 54 The increase rate of SARS cases is expected to decrease with the cumulative SARS cases, as described by the traditional logistical model, which is widely used in population dynamic studies. The maximum instantaneous rate of increase, basic reproductive number, and maximum cumulative SARS cases were also calculated by using the logistic model. The outbreak pattern of cumulative SARS cases is likely of a logistic type because at the initial stage, it grows exponentially, later due to the increasing control effort by people and/or due to depletion of susceptible individuals, the infection will be slowed down. significant and negative linear "density dependency" of the instantaneous rate of increase on the cumulative cases of SARS indicates that the outbreak pattern of SARS can be well described by the logistic model( Fig. 1(a) and (b) ). ./cache/cord-324518-a346cjx4.txt ./txt/cord-324518-a346cjx4.txt