id	author	title	date	pages	extension	mime	words	sentences	flesch	summary	cache	txt
cord-256633-vls23fu5	Dimeglio, Chloé	The SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence is the key factor for deconfinement in France	2020-04-29		.txt	text/plain	1336	88	63	We have designed a model for predicting the evolution of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic in France, which is based on seroprevalence and makes it possible to anticipate the deconfinement strategy. We have designed a model for predicting the evolution of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic in France, which is based on seroprevalence and makes it possible to anticipate the deconfinement strategy. Our statistical model for predicting the spread of SARS-CoV-2 in France is based on a diffusion and transmission coefficient that varies with an individual's age, the likelihood of contagion, and two administration parameters (confinement and quarantine). Figures 1.b, 1 .c, 1.d, 1.e showed predictions of new cases per day depending on the SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence before and after the containment phase. Our data indicate that seroprevalence must reach approximately 50% after total deconfinement on May 11 or a gradual exit phase over several months starting on May 11 if an infection rebound is to be avoided (Figure 1 .d, 1.e and Figure 2 .b).	./cache/cord-256633-vls23fu5.txt	./txt/cord-256633-vls23fu5.txt