id author title date pages extension mime words sentences flesch summary cache txt cord-333216-fdwmsnz9 Gonzalez, J. E. ESTIMATING PREVALENCE AND TIME COURSE OF SARS-CoV-2 BASED ON NEW HOSPITAL ADMISSIONS AND PCR TESTS 2020-08-17 .txt text/plain 3670 202 54 Data posted in the COVID 19 tracking website for RT-PCR (PCR) results and hospital admissions are used to estimate the prevalence of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic in the United States (1). A higher recovered population mitigates the current positive value attainable by limiting the infectivity rate Re. This approach provides an alternate source of information on the pandemic's full time course since the serological testing only views a narrow time slice of its history due to the transient nature of the antibody response and its graduated expression dependency on the severity of the disease. This paper relies on the integration of % PCR positive test results over time, cycle-corrected for the length of disease, and coupled with hospital admissions to control for PCR testing sample bias, to estimate the kinetics and prevalence over the time course of the pandemic in the United States. Figure 4A shows the time course comparison of the SARS-CoV-2 United States infected population obtained from PCR tests and NHA. ./cache/cord-333216-fdwmsnz9.txt ./txt/cord-333216-fdwmsnz9.txt