id author title date pages extension mime words sentences flesch summary cache txt cord-102269-lfdvl78a Singer, B. J. The effect of the definition of 'pandemic' on quantitative assessments of infectious disease outbreak risk 2020-10-05 .txt text/plain 3001 181 52 title: The effect of the definition of 'pandemic' on quantitative assessments of infectious disease outbreak risk Critically, we show that using different definitions alters the projected effects on the pandemic risk of key parameters such as inter-regional travel rates, degree of pre-existing immunity, and heterogeneity of transmission rates between regions. In this study, we examine how alternative definitions of 'pandemic' affect 24 quantitative estimates of pandemic risk assessed early in an infectious disease outbreak. This : Pandemic probability for a range of between-region transmission rates and a range of pandemic definitions in terms of number of regions experiencing epidemics. The third question was "How is the risk of a pandemic affected by differences between regions?" In figure is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in (which was not certified by peer review) preprint ./cache/cord-102269-lfdvl78a.txt ./txt/cord-102269-lfdvl78a.txt