id	sid	tid	token	lemma	pos
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	1	1	key	key	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	2	1	:	:	:
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	2	2	cord-290719-ab71pz6v	cord-290719-ab71pz6v	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	2	3	authors	author	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	2	4	:	:	:
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	2	5	Bogacz	Bogacz	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	2	6	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	2	7	Rafal	Rafal	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	2	8	title	title	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	2	9	:	:	:
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	3	1	Estimating	estimate	VBG
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	3	2	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	3	3	probability	probability	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	3	4	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	3	5	New	New	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	3	6	Zealand	Zealand	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	3	7	regions	region	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	3	8	being	be	VBG
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	3	9	free	free	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	3	10	from	from	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	3	11	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	3	12	using	use	VBG
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	3	13	a	a	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	3	14	stochastic	stochastic	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	3	15	SEIR	seir	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	3	16	model	model	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	3	17	date	date	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	3	18	:	:	:
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	3	19	2020	2020	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	3	20	-	-	HYPH
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	3	21	04	04	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	3	22	-	-	SYM
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	3	23	21	21	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	3	24	journal	journal	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	3	25	:	:	:
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	3	26	nan	nan	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	3	27	DOI	DOI	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	3	28	:	:	:
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	3	29	10.1101/2020.04.20.20073304	10.1101/2020.04.20.20073304	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	3	30	sha	sha	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	3	31	:	:	:
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	3	32	3aac304f75bc79ed9d97563fa14181df307c8a33	3aac304f75bc79ed9d97563fa14181df307c8a33	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	3	33	doc_id	doc_id	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	3	34	:	:	:
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	3	35	290719	290719	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	3	36	cord_uid	cord_uid	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	3	37	:	:	:
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	3	38	ab71pz6v	ab71pz6v	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	4	1	This	this	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	4	2	report	report	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	4	3	describes	describe	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	4	4	a	a	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	4	5	method	method	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	4	6	for	for	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	4	7	estimating	estimate	VBG
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	4	8	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	4	9	probability	probability	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	4	10	that	that	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	4	11	there	there	EX
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	4	12	are	be	VBP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	4	13	no	no	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	4	14	infected	infected	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	4	15	or	or	CC
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	4	16	pre	pre	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	4	17	-	-	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	4	18	symptomatic	symptomatic	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	4	19	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	4	20	in	in	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	4	21	a	a	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	4	22	populations	population	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	4	23	on	on	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	4	24	a	a	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	4	25	basis	basis	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	4	26	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	4	27	historical	historical	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	4	28	data	datum	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	4	29	describing	describe	VBG
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	4	30	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	4	31	number	number	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	4	32	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	4	33	cases	case	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	4	34	in	in	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	4	35	consecutive	consecutive	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	4	36	days	day	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	4	37	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	5	1	The	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	5	2	method	method	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	5	3	involves	involve	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	5	4	fitting	fit	VBG
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	5	5	a	a	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	5	6	stochastic	stochastic	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	5	7	version	version	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	5	8	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	5	9	Susceptible	susceptible	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	5	10	Exposed	expose	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	5	11	Infected	Infected	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	5	12	Recovered	recovered	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	5	13	model	model	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	5	14	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	5	15	and	and	CC
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	5	16	using	use	VBG
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	5	17	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	5	18	model	model	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	5	19	to	to	TO
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	5	20	calculate	calculate	VB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	5	21	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	5	22	probability	probability	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	5	23	that	that	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	5	24	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	5	25	number	number	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	5	26	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	5	27	both	both	CC
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	5	28	exposed	expose	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	5	29	and	and	CC
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	5	30	infected	infect	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	5	31	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	5	32	is	be	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	5	33	equal	equal	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	5	34	to	to	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	5	35	0	0	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	5	36	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	6	1	The	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	6	2	model	model	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	6	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	6	4	used	use	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	6	5	to	to	TO
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	6	6	predict	predict	VB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	6	7	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	6	8	current	current	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	6	9	probabilities	probability	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	6	10	for	for	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	6	11	all	all	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	6	12	District	District	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	6	13	Health	Health	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	6	14	Boards	Boards	NNPS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	6	15	in	in	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	6	16	New	New	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	6	17	Zealand	Zealand	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	6	18	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	7	1	These	these	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	7	2	probabilities	probability	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	7	3	are	be	VBP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	7	4	highly	highly	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	7	5	correlated	correlate	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	7	6	with	with	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	7	7	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	7	8	number	number	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	7	9	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	7	10	days	day	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	7	11	with	with	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	7	12	no	no	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	7	13	new	new	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	7	14	cases	case	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	7	15	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	7	16	COVID-19	covid-19	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	7	17	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	8	1	As	as	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	8	2	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	8	3	number	number	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	8	4	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	8	5	new	new	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	8	6	cases	case	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	8	7	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	8	8	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	8	9	declines	decline	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	8	10	in	in	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	8	11	New	New	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	8	12	Zealand	Zealand	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	8	13	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	8	14	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	8	15	government	government	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	8	16	is	be	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	8	17	faced	face	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	8	18	with	with	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	8	19	a	a	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	8	20	decision	decision	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	8	21	when	when	WRB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	8	22	to	to	TO
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	8	23	reduce	reduce	VB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	8	24	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	8	25	restrictions	restriction	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	8	26	and	and	CC
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	8	27	release	release	VB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	8	28	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	8	29	country	country	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	8	30	or	or	CC
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	8	31	its	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	8	32	parts	part	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	8	33	from	from	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	8	34	lockdown	lockdown	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	8	35	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	9	1	To	to	TO
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	9	2	assist	assist	VB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	9	3	in	in	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	9	4	such	such	PDT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	9	5	a	a	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	9	6	decision	decision	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	9	7	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	9	8	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	9	9	may	may	MD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	9	10	be	be	VB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	9	11	helpful	helpful	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	9	12	to	to	TO
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	9	13	know	know	VB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	9	14	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	9	15	estimate	estimate	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	9	16	for	for	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	9	17	a	a	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	9	18	probability	probability	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	9	19	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	9	20	a	a	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	9	21	particular	particular	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	9	22	region	region	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	9	23	being	be	VBG
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	9	24	free	free	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	9	25	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	9	26	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	9	27	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	10	1	This	this	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	10	2	report	report	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	10	3	presents	present	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	10	4	a	a	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	10	5	method	method	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	10	6	for	for	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	10	7	estimating	estimate	VBG
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	10	8	such	such	PDT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	10	9	a	a	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	10	10	probability	probability	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	10	11	on	on	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	10	12	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	10	13	basis	basis	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	10	14	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	10	15	a	a	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	10	16	simple	simple	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	10	17	model	model	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	10	18	and	and	CC
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	10	19	presents	present	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	10	20	results	result	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	10	21	for	for	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	10	22	individual	individual	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	10	23	District	District	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	10	24	Health	Health	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	10	25	Boards	Boards	NNPS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	10	26	(	(	-LRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	10	27	DHB	DHB	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	10	28	)	)	-RRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	10	29	in	in	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	10	30	New	New	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	10	31	Zealand	Zealand	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	10	32	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	11	1	A	a	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	11	2	simple	simple	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	11	3	model	model	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	11	4	is	be	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	11	5	employed	employ	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	11	6	which	which	WDT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	11	7	makes	make	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	11	8	several	several	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	11	9	simplifying	simplify	VBG
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	11	10	assumptions	assumption	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	11	11	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	12	1	Although	although	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	12	2	these	these	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	12	3	assumptions	assumption	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	12	4	may	may	MD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	12	5	not	not	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	12	6	be	be	VB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	12	7	satisfied	satisfied	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	12	8	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	12	9	they	-PRON-	PRP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	12	10	make	make	VBP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	12	11	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	12	12	model	model	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	12	13	mathematically	mathematically	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	12	14	tractable	tractable	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	12	15	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	12	16	and	and	CC
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	12	17	thus	thus	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	12	18	allows	allow	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	12	19	estimation	estimation	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	12	20	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	12	21	its	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	12	22	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	12	23	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	13	1	In	in	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	13	2	particular	particular	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	13	3	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	13	4	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	13	5	model	model	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	13	6	makes	make	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	13	7	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	13	8	following	follow	VBG
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	13	9	assumptions	assumption	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	13	10	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	14	1	•	•	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	15	1	Since	since	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	15	2	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	15	3	Ministry	Ministry	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	15	4	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	15	5	Health	Health	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	15	6	reports	report	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	15	7	daily	daily	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	15	8	numbers	number	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	15	9	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	15	10	new	new	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	15	11	cases	case	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	15	12	in	in	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	15	13	each	each	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	15	14	DHB	DHB	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	15	15	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	15	16	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	15	17	model	model	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	15	18	treats	treat	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	15	19	each	each	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	15	20	DHB	DHB	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	15	21	as	as	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	15	22	a	a	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	15	23	separate	separate	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	15	24	population	population	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	15	25	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	15	26	thus	thus	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	15	27	assuming	assume	VBG
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	15	28	that	that	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	15	29	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	15	30	do	do	VBP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	15	31	not	not	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	15	32	move	move	VB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	15	33	between	between	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	15	34	DHB	DHB	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	15	35	(	(	-LRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	15	36	following	follow	VBG
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	15	37	government	government	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	15	38	instructions	instruction	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	15	39	not	not	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	15	40	to	to	TO
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	15	41	travel	travel	VB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	15	42	)	)	-RRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	15	43	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	16	1	•	•	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	17	1	The	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	17	2	model	model	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	17	3	assumes	assume	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	17	4	that	that	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	17	5	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	17	6	behaviour	behaviour	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	17	7	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	17	8	people	people	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	17	9	is	be	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	17	10	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	17	11	same	same	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	17	12	in	in	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	17	13	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	17	14	whole	whole	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	17	15	New	New	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	17	16	Zealand	Zealand	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	17	17	and	and	CC
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	17	18	throughout	throughout	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	17	19	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	17	20	analysed	analyse	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	17	21	period	period	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	17	22	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	18	1	Thus	thus	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	18	2	a	a	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	18	3	single	single	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	18	4	set	set	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	18	5	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	18	6	model	model	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	18	7	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	18	8	is	be	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	18	9	fit	fit	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	18	10	to	to	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	18	11	data	datum	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	18	12	from	from	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	18	13	25	25	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	18	14	March	March	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	18	15	2020	2020	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	18	16	(	(	-LRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	18	17	when	when	WRB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	18	18	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	18	19	lockdown	lockdown	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	18	20	was	be	VBD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	18	21	introduced	introduce	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	18	22	in	in	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	18	23	New	New	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	18	24	Zealand	Zealand	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	18	25	)	)	-RRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	18	26	to	to	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	18	27	18	18	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	18	28	April	April	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	18	29	2020	2020	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	18	30	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	19	1	•	•	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	20	1	Since	since	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	20	2	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	20	3	number	number	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	20	4	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	20	5	infected	infected	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	20	6	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	20	7	in	in	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	20	8	New	New	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	20	9	Zealand	Zealand	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	20	10	is	be	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	20	11	a	a	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	20	12	small	small	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	20	13	fraction	fraction	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	20	14	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	20	15	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	20	16	entire	entire	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	20	17	population	population	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	20	18	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	20	19	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	20	20	model	model	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	20	21	assumes	assume	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	20	22	that	that	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	20	23	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	20	24	number	number	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	20	25	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	20	26	susceptible	susceptible	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	20	27	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	20	28	is	be	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	20	29	constant	constant	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	20	30	within	within	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	20	31	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	20	32	analysed	analysed	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	20	33	period	period	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	20	34	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	21	1	•	•	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	22	1	The	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	22	2	model	model	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	22	3	assumes	assume	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	22	4	that	that	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	22	5	infected	infected	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	22	6	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	22	7	are	be	VBP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	22	8	eventually	eventually	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	22	9	identified	identify	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	22	10	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	22	11	and	and	CC
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	22	12	from	from	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	22	13	this	this	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	22	14	time	time	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	22	15	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	22	16	become	become	VBP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	22	17	fully	fully	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	22	18	isolated	isolate	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	22	19	and	and	CC
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	22	20	no	no	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	22	21	longer	longer	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	22	22	infect	infect	VBP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	22	23	others	other	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	22	24	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	23	1	•	•	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	24	1	Since	since	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	24	2	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	24	3	incubation	incubation	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	24	4	period	period	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	24	5	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	24	6	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	24	7	is	be	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	24	8	around	around	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	24	9	5	5	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	24	10	days	day	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	24	11	[	[	-LRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	24	12	1	1	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	24	13	]	]	-RRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	24	14	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	24	15	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	24	16	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	24	17	who	who	WP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	24	18	come	come	VBP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	24	19	in	in	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	24	20	contact	contact	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	24	21	with	with	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	24	22	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	24	23	virus	virus	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	24	24	first	first	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	24	25	enter	enter	VBP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	24	26	a	a	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	24	27	presymptomatic	presymptomatic	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	24	28	phase	phase	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	24	29	lasting	last	VBG
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	24	30	on	on	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	24	31	average	average	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	24	32	5	5	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	24	33	days	day	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	24	34	to	to	TO
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	24	35	which	which	WDT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	24	36	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	24	37	refer	refer	VBP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	24	38	as	as	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	24	39	an	an	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	24	40	"	"	``
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	24	41	exposed	expose	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	24	42	state	state	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	24	43	"	"	''
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	24	44	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	24	45	and	and	CC
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	24	46	only	only	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	24	47	then	then	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	24	48	became	become	VBD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	24	49	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	24	50	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	25	1	Given	give	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	25	2	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	25	3	above	above	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	25	4	assumptions	assumption	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	25	5	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	25	6	results	result	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	25	7	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	25	8	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	25	9	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	25	10	need	need	VBP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	25	11	to	to	TO
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	25	12	be	be	VB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	25	13	treated	treat	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	25	14	with	with	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	25	15	caution	caution	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	25	16	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	26	1	Nevertheless	nevertheless	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	26	2	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	26	3	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	26	4	us	-PRON-	PRP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	26	5	hoped	hope	VBD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	26	6	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	26	7	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	26	8	presented	present	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	26	9	method	method	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	26	10	may	may	MD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	26	11	be	be	VB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	26	12	also	also	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	26	13	refined	refine	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	26	14	for	for	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	26	15	more	more	RBR
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	26	16	realistic	realistic	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	26	17	set	set	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	26	18	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	26	19	assumptions	assumption	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	26	20	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	27	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	27	2	considered	consider	VBD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	27	3	a	a	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	27	4	stochastic	stochastic	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	27	5	version	version	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	27	6	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	27	7	Susceptible	susceptible	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	27	8	Exposed	expose	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	27	9	Infected	infect	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	27	10	Recovered	recover	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	27	11	(	(	-LRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	27	12	SEIR	SEIR	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	27	13	)	)	-RRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	27	14	model	model	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	27	15	[	[	-LRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	27	16	2	2	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	27	17	]	]	-RRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	27	18	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	28	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	28	2	assumes	assume	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	28	3	that	that	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	28	4	each	each	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	28	5	individual	individual	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	28	6	can	can	MD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	28	7	be	be	VB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	28	8	in	in	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	28	9	one	one	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	28	10	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	28	11	4	4	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	28	12	states	state	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	28	13	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	28	14	and	and	CC
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	28	15	move	move	VB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	28	16	between	between	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	28	17	as	as	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	28	18	illustrated	illustrate	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	28	19	in	in	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	28	20	Figure	Figure	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	28	21	1A	1a	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	28	22	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	29	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	29	2	denote	denote	VBP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	29	3	by	by	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	29	4	E	e	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	29	5	t	t	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	30	1	and	and	CC
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	30	2	I	-PRON-	PRP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	30	3	t	t	VBP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	30	4	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	30	5	number	number	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	30	6	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	30	7	presymptomatic	presymptomatic	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	30	8	and	and	CC
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	30	9	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	30	10	people	people	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	30	11	on	on	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	30	12	day	day	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	30	13	t	t	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	30	14	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	30	15	and	and	CC
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	30	16	by	by	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	30	17	∆E	∆E	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	30	18	t	t	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	31	1	and	and	CC
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	31	2	∆I	∆I	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	31	3	t	t	VBP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	31	4	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	31	5	number	number	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	31	6	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	31	7	people	people	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	31	8	becoming	become	VBG
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	31	9	presymptomatic	presymptomatic	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	31	10	or	or	CC
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	31	11	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	31	12	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	32	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	32	2	do	do	VBP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	32	3	not	not	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	32	4	have	have	VB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	32	5	data	datum	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	32	6	on	on	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	32	7	these	these	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	32	8	variables	variable	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	32	9	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	32	10	so	so	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	32	11	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	32	12	assume	assume	VBP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	32	13	they	-PRON-	PRP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	32	14	are	be	VBP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	32	15	hidden	hide	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	32	16	to	to	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	32	17	us	-PRON-	PRP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	33	1	and	and	CC
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	33	2	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	33	3	will	will	MD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	33	4	infer	infer	VB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	33	5	their	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	33	6	values	value	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	33	7	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	34	1	On	on	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	34	2	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	34	3	other	other	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	34	4	hand	hand	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	34	5	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	34	6	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	34	7	denote	denote	VBP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	34	8	by	by	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	34	9	∆R	∆R	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	34	10	t	t	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	34	11	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	34	12	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	34	13	number	number	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	34	14	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	34	15	people	people	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	34	16	being	be	VBG
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	34	17	reported	report	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	34	18	as	as	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	34	19	a	a	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	34	20	new	new	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	34	21	case	case	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	34	22	on	on	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	34	23	day	day	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	34	24	t	t	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	34	25	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	34	26	and	and	CC
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	34	27	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	34	28	assume	assume	VBP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	34	29	that	that	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	34	30	this	this	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	34	31	observed	observed	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	34	32	number	number	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	34	33	corresponds	correspond	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	34	34	to	to	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	34	35	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	34	36	amount	amount	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	34	37	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	34	38	people	people	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	34	39	moving	move	VBG
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	34	40	to	to	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	34	41	state	state	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	34	42	R	r	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	34	43	where	where	WRB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	34	44	they	-PRON-	PRP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	34	45	no	no	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	34	46	longer	longer	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	34	47	infect	infect	VBP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	34	48	others	other	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	34	49	(	(	-LRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	34	50	as	as	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	34	51	they	-PRON-	PRP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	34	52	become	become	VBP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	34	53	fully	fully	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	34	54	isolated	isolate	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	34	55	)	)	-RRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	34	56	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	35	1	Thus	thus	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	35	2	in	in	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	35	3	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	35	4	presented	present	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	35	5	model	model	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	35	6	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	35	7	cases	case	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	35	8	reported	report	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	35	9	correspond	correspond	VBP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	35	10	to	to	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	35	11	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	35	12	moving	move	VBG
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	35	13	to	to	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	35	14	state	state	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	35	15	R	r	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	35	16	rather	rather	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	35	17	than	than	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	35	18	I	-PRON-	PRP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	35	19	as	as	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	35	20	typically	typically	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	35	21	assumed	assume	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	35	22	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	35	23	because	because	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	35	24	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	35	25	assume	assume	VBP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	35	26	that	that	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	35	27	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	35	28	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	35	29	are	be	VBP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	35	30	more	more	RBR
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	35	31	likely	likely	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	35	32	to	to	TO
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	35	33	infect	infect	VB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	35	34	others	other	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	35	35	when	when	WRB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	35	36	they	-PRON-	PRP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	35	37	are	be	VBP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	35	38	unaware	unaware	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	35	39	that	that	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	35	40	they	-PRON-	PRP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	35	41	have	have	VBP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	35	42	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	35	43	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	35	44	rather	rather	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	35	45	than	than	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	35	46	after	after	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	35	47	diagnosis	diagnosis	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	35	48	when	when	WRB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	35	49	they	-PRON-	PRP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	35	50	become	become	VBP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	35	51	particularly	particularly	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	35	52	careful	careful	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	35	53	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	36	1	Indeed	indeed	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	36	2	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	36	3	James	James	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	36	4	et	et	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	36	5	al	al	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	36	6	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	37	1	recently	recently	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	37	2	wrote	write	VBD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	37	3	that	that	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	37	4	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	37	5	control	control	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	37	6	measures	measure	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	37	7	that	that	WDT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	37	8	specifically	specifically	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	37	9	target	target	VB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	37	10	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	37	11	cases	case	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	37	12	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	37	13	such	such	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	37	14	as	as	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	37	15	isolation	isolation	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	37	16	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	37	17	"	"	''
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	37	18	could	could	MD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	37	19	be	be	VB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	37	20	modelled	model	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	37	21	by	by	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	37	22	a	a	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	37	23	larger	large	JJR
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	37	24	reduction	reduction	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	37	25	in	in	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	37	26	transmission	transmission	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	37	27	rates	rate	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	37	28	for	for	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	37	29	confirmed	confirmed	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	37	30	cases	case	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	37	31	"	"	``
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	37	32	[	[	-LRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	37	33	3	3	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	37	34	]	]	-RRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	37	35	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	38	1	Here	here	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	38	2	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	38	3	for	for	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	38	4	simplicity	simplicity	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	38	5	assume	assume	VBP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	38	6	that	that	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	38	7	this	this	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	38	8	transmission	transmission	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	38	9	rate	rate	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	38	10	is	be	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	38	11	reduced	reduce	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	38	12	to	to	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	38	13	0	0	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	38	14	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	39	1	The	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	39	2	changes	change	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	39	3	in	in	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	39	4	model	model	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	39	5	variables	variable	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	39	6	over	over	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	39	7	time	time	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	39	8	are	be	VBP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	39	9	given	give	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	39	10	by	by	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	39	11	:	:	:
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	39	12	The	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	39	13	model	model	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	39	14	assumes	assume	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	39	15	that	that	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	39	16	every	every	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	39	17	day	day	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	39	18	each	each	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	39	19	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	39	20	individual	individual	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	39	21	can	can	MD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	39	22	infect	infect	VB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	39	23	another	another	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	39	24	person	person	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	39	25	with	with	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	39	26	probability	probability	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	39	27	β	β	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	39	28	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	40	1	Hence	hence	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	40	2	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	40	3	number	number	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	40	4	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	40	5	people	people	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	40	6	becoming	become	VBG
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	40	7	presymtomatic	presymtomatic	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	40	8	is	be	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	40	9	a	a	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	40	10	random	random	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	40	11	variable	variable	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	40	12	with	with	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	40	13	a	a	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	40	14	binomial	binomial	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	40	15	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	40	16	B	b	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	40	17	:	:	:
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	41	1	2	2	LS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	41	2	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	42	1	CC	CC	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	42	2	-	-	:
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	42	3	BY	by	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	42	4	4.0	4.0	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	42	5	International	international	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	42	6	license	license	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	43	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	43	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	43	3	made	make	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	43	4	available	available	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	43	5	under	under	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	43	6	a	a	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	43	7	author	author	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	43	8	/	/	SYM
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	43	9	funder	funder	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	43	10	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	43	11	who	who	WP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	43	12	has	have	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	43	13	granted	grant	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	43	14	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	43	15	a	a	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	43	16	license	license	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	43	17	to	to	TO
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	43	18	display	display	VB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	43	19	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	43	20	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	43	21	in	in	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	43	22	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	43	23	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	44	1	is	be	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	44	2	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	44	3	(	(	-LRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	44	4	which	which	WDT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	44	5	was	be	VBD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	44	6	not	not	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	44	7	peer	peer	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	44	8	-	-	HYPH
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	44	9	reviewed	review	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	44	10	)	)	-RRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	45	1	The	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	45	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	45	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	45	4	for	for	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	45	5	this	this	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	45	6	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	45	7	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	46	1	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.20.20073304	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.20.20073304	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	46	2	doi	doi	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	46	3	:	:	:
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	47	1	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	47	2	preprint	preprint	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	48	1	Additionally	additionally	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	48	2	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	48	3	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	48	4	assume	assume	VBP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	48	5	that	that	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	48	6	presymptomatic	presymptomatic	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	48	7	and	and	CC
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	48	8	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	48	9	people	people	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	48	10	progress	progress	VBP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	48	11	to	to	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	48	12	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	48	13	next	next	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	48	14	state	state	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	48	15	in	in	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	48	16	Figure	figure	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	48	17	1A	1a	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	48	18	(	(	-LRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	48	19	i.e.	i.e.	FW
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	48	20	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	48	21	and	and	CC
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	48	22	reported	report	VBD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	48	23	)	)	-RRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	48	24	with	with	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	48	25	probabilities	probability	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	48	26	σ	σ	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	48	27	and	and	CC
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	48	28	γ	γ	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	48	29	respectively	respectively	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	48	30	:	:	:
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	48	31	Estimating	estimate	VBG
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	48	32	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	48	33	probability	probability	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	48	34	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	48	35	being	be	VBG
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	48	36	virus	virus	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	48	37	free	free	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	48	38	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	48	39	wish	wish	VBP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	48	40	to	to	TO
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	48	41	compute	compute	VB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	48	42	a	a	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	48	43	probability	probability	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	48	44	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	48	45	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	48	46	variables	variable	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	48	47	E	e	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	48	48	t	t	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	49	1	and	and	CC
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	49	2	I	-PRON-	PRP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	49	3	t	t	VBP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	49	4	given	give	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	49	5	data	datum	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	49	6	on	on	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	49	7	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	49	8	number	number	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	49	9	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	49	10	reported	report	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	49	11	cases	case	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	49	12	upto	upto	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	49	13	day	day	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	49	14	t	t	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	49	15	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	49	16	which	which	WDT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	49	17	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	49	18	denote	denote	VBP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	49	19	by	by	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	49	20	∆R	∆R	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	49	21	1	1	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	50	1	:	:	:
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	50	2	t	t	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	50	3	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	51	1	According	accord	VBG
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	51	2	to	to	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	51	3	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	51	4	definition	definition	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	51	5	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	51	6	conditional	conditional	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	51	7	probability	probability	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	51	8	:	:	:
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	51	9	where	where	WRB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	51	10	To	to	TO
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	51	11	compute	compute	VB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	51	12	P	p	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	51	13	(	(	-LRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	51	14	E	e	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	51	15	t	t	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	51	16	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	51	17	I	-PRON-	PRP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	51	18	t	t	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	52	1	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	52	2	∆R	∆r	FW
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	52	3	1	1	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	53	1	:	:	:
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	53	2	t	t	LS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	53	3	)	)	-RRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	53	4	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	53	5	take	take	VBP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	53	6	advantage	advantage	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	53	7	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	53	8	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	53	9	fact	fact	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	53	10	that	that	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	53	11	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	53	12	dependencies	dependency	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	53	13	between	between	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	53	14	variables	variable	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	53	15	in	in	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	53	16	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	53	17	model	model	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	53	18	(	(	-LRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	53	19	Figure	figure	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	53	20	1B	1b	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	53	21	)	)	-RRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	53	22	have	have	VBP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	53	23	a	a	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	53	24	similar	similar	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	53	25	structure	structure	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	53	26	as	as	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	53	27	in	in	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	53	28	a	a	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	53	29	hidden	hidden	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	53	30	Markov	Markov	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	53	31	model	model	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	53	32	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	53	33	so	so	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	53	34	this	this	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	53	35	probability	probability	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	53	36	can	can	MD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	53	37	be	be	VB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	53	38	computed	compute	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	53	39	recursively	recursively	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	53	40	using	use	VBG
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	53	41	an	an	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	53	42	algorithm	algorithm	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	53	43	analogous	analogous	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	53	44	to	to	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	53	45	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	53	46	forward	forward	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	53	47	algorithm	algorithm	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	53	48	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	54	1	Thus	thus	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	54	2	this	this	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	54	3	probability	probability	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	54	4	can	can	MD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	54	5	be	be	VB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	54	6	decomposed	decompose	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	54	7	into	into	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	54	8	a	a	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	54	9	sum	sum	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	54	10	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	54	11	probabilities	probability	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	54	12	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	54	13	disjoint	disjoint	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	54	14	events	event	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	54	15	:	:	:
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	55	1	3	3	LS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	55	2	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	56	1	CC	CC	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	56	2	-	-	:
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	56	3	BY	by	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	56	4	4.0	4.0	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	56	5	International	international	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	56	6	license	license	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	57	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	57	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	57	3	made	make	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	57	4	available	available	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	57	5	under	under	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	57	6	a	a	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	57	7	author	author	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	57	8	/	/	SYM
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	57	9	funder	funder	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	57	10	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	57	11	who	who	WP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	57	12	has	have	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	57	13	granted	grant	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	57	14	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	57	15	a	a	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	57	16	license	license	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	57	17	to	to	TO
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	57	18	display	display	VB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	57	19	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	57	20	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	57	21	in	in	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	57	22	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	57	23	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	58	1	is	be	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	58	2	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	58	3	(	(	-LRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	58	4	which	which	WDT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	58	5	was	be	VBD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	58	6	not	not	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	58	7	peer	peer	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	58	8	-	-	HYPH
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	58	9	reviewed	review	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	58	10	)	)	-RRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	59	1	The	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	59	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	59	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	59	4	for	for	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	59	5	this	this	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	59	6	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	59	7	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	60	1	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.20.20073304	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.20.20073304	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	60	2	doi	doi	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	60	3	:	:	:
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	61	1	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	61	2	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	61	3	Using	use	VBG
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	61	4	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	61	5	definition	definition	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	61	6	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	61	7	a	a	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	61	8	conditional	conditional	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	61	9	probability	probability	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	61	10	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	61	11	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	61	12	probability	probability	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	61	13	on	on	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	61	14	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	61	15	right	right	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	61	16	hand	hand	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	61	17	side	side	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	61	18	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	61	19	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	61	20	above	above	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	61	21	equation	equation	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	61	22	can	can	MD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	61	23	be	be	VB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	61	24	written	write	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	61	25	as	as	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	61	26	a	a	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	61	27	chain	chain	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	61	28	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	61	29	conditional	conditional	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	61	30	probabilities	probability	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	61	31	:	:	:
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	62	1	Noting	note	VBG
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	62	2	that	that	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	62	3	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	62	4	variables	variable	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	62	5	depend	depend	VBP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	62	6	only	only	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	62	7	on	on	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	62	8	subset	subset	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	62	9	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	62	10	variables	variable	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	62	11	as	as	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	62	12	illustrated	illustrate	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	62	13	in	in	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	62	14	Figure	figure	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	62	15	1B	1b	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	62	16	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	62	17	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	62	18	above	above	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	62	19	expression	expression	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	62	20	can	can	MD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	62	21	be	be	VB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	62	22	simplified	simplify	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	62	23	to	to	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	62	24	:	:	:
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	62	25	To	to	TO
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	62	26	compute	compute	VB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	62	27	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	62	28	term	term	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	62	29	on	on	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	62	30	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	62	31	right	right	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	62	32	hand	hand	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	62	33	side	side	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	62	34	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	62	35	Equation	Equation	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	62	36	12	12	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	62	37	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	62	38	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	62	39	note	note	VBP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	62	40	that	that	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	62	41	E	e	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	62	42	t	t	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	62	43	and	and	CC
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	62	44	I	i	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	62	45	t	t	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	62	46	are	be	VBP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	62	47	determined	determine	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	62	48	by	by	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	62	49	changes	change	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	62	50	in	in	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	62	51	these	these	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	62	52	variables	variable	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	62	53	(	(	-LRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	62	54	Equations	equation	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	62	55	1	1	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	62	56	-	-	SYM
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	62	57	2	2	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	62	58	)	)	-RRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	62	59	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	63	1	To	to	TO
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	63	2	find	find	VB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	63	3	how	how	WRB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	63	4	∆E	∆E	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	63	5	t	t	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	63	6	is	be	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	63	7	related	relate	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	63	8	with	with	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	63	9	other	other	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	63	10	variables	variable	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	63	11	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	63	12	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	63	13	can	can	MD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	63	14	add	add	VB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	63	15	Equations	equation	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	63	16	1	1	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	63	17	and	and	CC
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	63	18	2	2	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	63	19	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	63	20	and	and	CC
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	63	21	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	63	22	get	get	VBP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	63	23	:	:	:
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	64	1	Using	use	VBG
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	64	2	Equations	Equations	NNPS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	64	3	15	15	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	64	4	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	64	5	2	2	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	64	6	-	-	SYM
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	64	7	5	5	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	64	8	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	64	9	obtain	obtain	VBP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	64	10	:	:	:
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	65	1	The	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	65	2	above	above	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	65	3	formula	formula	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	65	4	allows	allow	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	65	5	recursively	recursively	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	65	6	computing	compute	VBG
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	65	7	P	p	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	65	8	(	(	-LRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	65	9	E	e	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	65	10	t	t	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	65	11	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	65	12	I	-PRON-	PRP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	65	13	t	t	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	65	14	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	66	1	∆R	∆R	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	66	2	1	1	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	66	3	:	:	:
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	66	4	t	t	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	66	5	)	)	-RRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	66	6	from	from	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	66	7	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	66	8	corresponding	corresponding	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	66	9	probability	probability	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	66	10	on	on	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	66	11	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	66	12	previous	previous	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	66	13	day	day	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	66	14	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	67	1	In	in	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	67	2	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	67	3	presented	present	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	67	4	analyses	analysis	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	67	5	these	these	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	67	6	probabilities	probability	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	67	7	were	be	VBD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	67	8	computed	compute	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	67	9	for	for	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	67	10	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	67	11	values	value	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	67	12	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	67	13	E	e	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	67	14	t	t	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	68	1	and	and	CC
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	68	2	I	-PRON-	PRP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	68	3	t	t	VBP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	68	4	from	from	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	68	5	0	0	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	68	6	to	to	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	68	7	n	n	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	68	8	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	68	9	and	and	CC
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	68	10	in	in	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	68	11	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	68	12	first	first	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	68	13	step	step	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	68	14	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	68	15	used	use	VBD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	68	16	uninformative	uninformative	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	68	17	flat	flat	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	68	18	prior	prior	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	68	19	P	p	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	69	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	69	2	E	E	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	69	3	0	0	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	69	4	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	69	5	I	-PRON-	PRP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	69	6	0	0	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	69	7	)	)	-RRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	69	8	=	=	NFP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	70	1	1	1	LS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	70	2	(	(	-LRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	70	3	n+1	n+1	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	70	4	)	)	-RRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	70	5	2	2	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	70	6	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	71	1	Once	once	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	71	2	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	71	3	joint	joint	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	71	4	probability	probability	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	71	5	P	p	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	71	6	(	(	-LRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	71	7	E	e	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	71	8	t	t	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	71	9	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	71	10	I	-PRON-	PRP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	71	11	t	t	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	71	12	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	71	13	∆R	∆r	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	71	14	1	1	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	71	15	:	:	:
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	71	16	t	t	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	71	17	)	)	-RRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	71	18	is	be	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	71	19	computed	compute	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	71	20	for	for	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	71	21	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	71	22	last	last	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	71	23	available	available	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	71	24	day	day	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	71	25	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	71	26	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	71	27	compute	compute	VBP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	71	28	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	71	29	posterior	posterior	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	71	30	probability	probability	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	71	31	from	from	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	71	32	Equation	Equation	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	71	33	6	6	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	71	34	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	71	35	and	and	CC
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	71	36	report	report	VB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	71	37	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	71	38	probability	probability	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	71	39	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	71	40	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	71	41	population	population	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	71	42	being	be	VBG
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	71	43	virus	virus	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	71	44	free	free	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	71	45	P	p	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	71	46	(	(	-LRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	71	47	E	e	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	71	48	t	t	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	71	49	=	=	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	71	50	0	0	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	72	1	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	72	2	I	-PRON-	PRP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	72	3	t	t	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	72	4	=	=	SYM
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	72	5	0|∆R	0|∆r	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	72	6	1	1	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	72	7	:	:	:
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	72	8	t	t	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	72	9	)	)	-RRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	72	10	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	73	1	To	to	TO
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	73	2	perform	perform	VB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	73	3	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	73	4	calculation	calculation	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	73	5	in	in	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	73	6	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	73	7	previous	previous	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	73	8	section	section	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	73	9	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	73	10	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	73	11	values	value	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	73	12	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	73	13	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	73	14	β	β	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	73	15	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	73	16	σ	σ	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	73	17	and	and	CC
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	73	18	γ	γ	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	73	19	need	need	VBP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	73	20	to	to	TO
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	73	21	be	be	VB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	73	22	known	know	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	73	23	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	74	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	74	2	set	set	VBP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	74	3	σ	σ	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	74	4	=	=	SYM
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	74	5	0.2	0.2	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	74	6	since	since	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	74	7	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	74	8	average	average	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	74	9	incubation	incubation	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	74	10	period	period	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	74	11	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	74	12	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	74	13	is	be	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	74	14	around	around	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	74	15	5	5	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	74	16	days	day	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	74	17	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	75	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	75	2	assume	assume	VBP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	75	3	that	that	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	75	4	β	β	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	75	5	and	and	CC
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	75	6	γ	γ	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	75	7	are	be	VBP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	75	8	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	75	9	same	same	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	75	10	for	for	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	75	11	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	75	12	whole	whole	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	75	13	New	New	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	75	14	Zealand	Zealand	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	75	15	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	76	1	To	to	TO
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	76	2	estimate	estimate	VB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	76	3	β	β	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	76	4	and	and	CC
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	76	5	γ	γ	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	76	6	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	76	7	4	4	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	76	8	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	77	1	CC	CC	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	77	2	-	-	:
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	77	3	BY	by	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	77	4	4.0	4.0	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	77	5	International	international	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	77	6	license	license	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	78	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	78	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	78	3	made	make	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	78	4	available	available	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	78	5	under	under	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	78	6	a	a	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	78	7	author	author	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	78	8	/	/	SYM
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	78	9	funder	funder	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	78	10	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	78	11	who	who	WP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	78	12	has	have	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	78	13	granted	grant	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	78	14	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	78	15	a	a	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	78	16	license	license	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	78	17	to	to	TO
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	78	18	display	display	VB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	78	19	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	78	20	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	78	21	in	in	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	78	22	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	78	23	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	79	1	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	79	2	find	find	VBP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	79	3	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	79	4	values	value	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	79	5	which	which	WDT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	79	6	maximize	maximize	VBP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	79	7	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	79	8	product	product	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	79	9	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	79	10	probabilities	probability	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	79	11	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	79	12	observed	observed	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	79	13	data	datum	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	79	14	(	(	-LRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	79	15	Equation	Equation	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	79	16	7	7	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	79	17	)	)	-RRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	79	18	across	across	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	79	19	DHB	DHB	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	79	20	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	80	1	This	this	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	80	2	maximum	maximum	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	80	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	80	4	found	find	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	80	5	through	through	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	80	6	a	a	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	80	7	numerical	numerical	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	80	8	optimization	optimization	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	80	9	employing	employ	VBG
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	80	10	a	a	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	80	11	simplex	simplex	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	80	12	algorithm	algorithm	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	80	13	[	[	-LRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	80	14	4	4	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	80	15	]	]	-RRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	80	16	with	with	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	80	17	initial	initial	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	80	18	values	value	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	80	19	β	β	XX
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	80	20	=	=	SYM
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	80	21	γ	γ	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	80	22	=	=	SYM
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	80	23	0.3	0.3	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	80	24	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	81	1	To	to	TO
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	81	2	assess	assess	VB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	81	3	accuracy	accuracy	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	81	4	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	81	5	this	this	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	81	6	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	81	7	estimation	estimation	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	81	8	procedure	procedure	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	81	9	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	81	10	tested	test	VBD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	81	11	if	if	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	81	12	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	81	13	correct	correct	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	81	14	values	value	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	81	15	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	81	16	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	81	17	can	can	MD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	81	18	be	be	VB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	81	19	recovered	recover	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	81	20	from	from	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	81	21	artificially	artificially	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	81	22	generated	generate	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	81	23	data	datum	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	81	24	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	82	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	82	2	generated	generate	VBD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	82	3	20	20	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	82	4	artificial	artificial	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	82	5	datasets	dataset	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	82	6	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	82	7	each	each	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	82	8	containing	contain	VBG
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	82	9	a	a	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	82	10	similar	similar	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	82	11	amount	amount	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	82	12	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	82	13	data	datum	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	82	14	that	that	WDT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	82	15	is	be	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	82	16	available	available	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	82	17	on	on	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	82	18	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	82	19	current	current	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	82	20	history	history	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	82	21	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	82	22	cases	case	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	82	23	in	in	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	82	24	New	New	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	82	25	Zealand	Zealand	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	82	26	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	83	1	For	for	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	83	2	each	each	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	83	3	dataset	dataset	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	83	4	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	83	5	randomly	randomly	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	83	6	generated	generate	VBD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	83	7	γ	γ	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	83	8	from	from	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	83	9	uniform	uniform	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	83	10	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	83	11	between	between	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	83	12	0.1	0.1	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	83	13	and	and	CC
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	83	14	0.4	0.4	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	83	15	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	83	16	and	and	CC
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	83	17	generated	generate	VBD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	83	18	β	β	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	83	19	from	from	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	83	20	uniform	uniform	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	83	21	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	83	22	between	between	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	83	23	0.05	0.05	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	83	24	and	and	CC
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	83	25	γ	γ	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	83	26	+	+	CC
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	83	27	0.05	0.05	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	83	28	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	84	1	With	with	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	84	2	these	these	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	84	3	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	84	4	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	84	5	generated	generate	VBD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	84	6	20	20	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	84	7	sequences	sequence	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	84	8	(	(	-LRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	84	9	corresponding	correspond	VBG
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	84	10	to	to	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	84	11	20	20	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	84	12	DHB	DHB	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	84	13	)	)	-RRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	84	14	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	84	15	∆R	∆R	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	84	16	t	t	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	84	17	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	85	1	For	for	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	85	2	each	each	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	85	3	DHB	DHB	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	85	4	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	85	5	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	85	6	initial	initial	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	85	7	numbers	number	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	85	8	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	85	9	presymptomatic	presymptomatic	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	85	10	and	and	CC
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	85	11	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	85	12	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	85	13	E	e	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	85	14	0	0	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	86	1	and	and	CC
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	86	2	I	-PRON-	PRP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	86	3	0	0	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	86	4	were	be	VBD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	86	5	generated	generate	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	86	6	from	from	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	86	7	uniform	uniform	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	86	8	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	86	9	between	between	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	86	10	1	1	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	86	11	and	and	CC
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	86	12	10	10	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	86	13	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	87	1	The	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	87	2	model	model	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	87	3	was	be	VBD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	87	4	then	then	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	87	5	simulated	simulate	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	87	6	for	for	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	87	7	21	21	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	87	8	days	day	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	87	9	according	accord	VBG
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	87	10	to	to	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	87	11	Equations	Equations	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	87	12	1	1	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	87	13	-	-	SYM
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	87	14	5	5	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	87	15	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	88	1	For	for	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	88	2	each	each	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	88	3	dataset	dataset	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	88	4	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	88	5	estimated	estimate	VBD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	88	6	β	β	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	88	7	and	and	CC
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	88	8	γ	γ	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	88	9	and	and	CC
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	88	10	compared	compare	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	88	11	with	with	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	88	12	true	true	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	88	13	values	value	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	88	14	from	from	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	88	15	which	which	WDT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	88	16	data	datum	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	88	17	were	be	VBD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	88	18	generated	generate	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	88	19	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	89	1	Left	left	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	89	2	and	and	CC
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	89	3	middle	middle	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	89	4	displays	display	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	89	5	in	in	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	89	6	Figure	figure	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	89	7	2	2	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	89	8	compare	compare	VBP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	89	9	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	89	10	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	89	11	values	value	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	89	12	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	89	13	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	89	14	with	with	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	89	15	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	89	16	true	true	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	89	17	values	value	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	89	18	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	90	1	There	there	EX
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	90	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	90	3	a	a	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	90	4	significant	significant	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	90	5	correlation	correlation	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	90	6	between	between	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	90	7	true	true	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	90	8	and	and	CC
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	90	9	recovered	recovered	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	90	10	values	value	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	90	11	(	(	-LRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	90	12	for	for	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	90	13	β	β	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	90	14	:	:	:
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	90	15	r	r	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	90	16	=	=	SYM
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	90	17	0.85	0.85	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	90	18	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	90	19	p	p	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	90	20	<	<	XX
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	90	21	0.01	0.01	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	90	22	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	90	23	for	for	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	90	24	γ	γ	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	90	25	:	:	:
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	91	1	r	r	LS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	91	2	=	=	SYM
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	91	3	0.86	0.86	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	91	4	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	91	5	p	p	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	91	6	<	<	XX
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	91	7	0.01	0.01	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	91	8	)	)	-RRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	91	9	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	92	1	Nevertheless	nevertheless	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	92	2	there	there	EX
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	92	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	92	4	a	a	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	92	5	bias	bias	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	92	6	in	in	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	92	7	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	92	8	estimation	estimation	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	92	9	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	93	1	The	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	93	2	direction	direction	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	93	3	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	93	4	this	this	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	93	5	bias	bias	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	93	6	is	be	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	93	7	not	not	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	93	8	consistent	consistent	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	93	9	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	93	10	but	but	CC
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	93	11	depends	depend	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	93	12	on	on	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	93	13	simulation	simulation	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	93	14	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	93	15	(	(	-LRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	93	16	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	93	17	recovery	recovery	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	93	18	presented	present	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	93	19	in	in	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	93	20	Figure	figure	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	93	21	2	2	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	93	22	was	be	VBD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	93	23	done	do	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	93	24	with	with	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	93	25	n	n	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	93	26	=	=	SYM
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	93	27	10	10	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	93	28	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	93	29	but	but	CC
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	93	30	for	for	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	93	31	n	n	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	93	32	=	=	SYM
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	93	33	20	20	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	93	34	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	93	35	bias	bias	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	93	36	is	be	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	93	37	in	in	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	93	38	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	93	39	opposite	opposite	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	93	40	direction	direction	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	93	41	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	93	42	not	not	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	93	43	shown	show	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	93	44	)	)	-RRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	93	45	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	94	1	Nevertheless	nevertheless	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	94	2	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	94	3	right	right	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	94	4	display	display	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	94	5	in	in	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	94	6	Figure	figure	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	94	7	2	2	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	94	8	shows	show	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	94	9	that	that	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	94	10	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	94	11	difference	difference	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	94	12	between	between	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	94	13	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	94	14	is	be	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	94	15	accurately	accurately	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	94	16	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	94	17	(	(	-LRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	94	18	r	r	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	94	19	=	=	SYM
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	94	20	0.97	0.97	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	94	21	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	94	22	p	p	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	94	23	<	<	XX
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	94	24	0.01	0.01	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	94	25	)	)	-RRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	94	26	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	95	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	95	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	95	3	not	not	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	95	4	surprising	surprising	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	95	5	that	that	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	95	6	this	this	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	95	7	difference	difference	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	95	8	is	be	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	95	9	recovered	recover	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	95	10	more	more	RBR
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	95	11	accurately	accurately	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	95	12	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	95	13	because	because	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	95	14	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	95	15	determines	determine	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	95	16	whether	whether	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	95	17	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	95	18	number	number	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	95	19	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	95	20	cases	case	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	95	21	increases	increase	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	95	22	or	or	CC
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	95	23	decreases	decrease	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	95	24	over	over	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	95	25	days	day	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	95	26	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	95	27	which	which	WDT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	95	28	is	be	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	95	29	a	a	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	95	30	salient	salient	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	95	31	feature	feature	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	95	32	in	in	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	95	33	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	95	34	data	datum	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	95	35	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	96	1	By	by	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	96	2	contrast	contrast	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	96	3	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	96	4	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	96	5	individual	individual	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	96	6	values	value	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	96	7	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	96	8	β	β	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	96	9	and	and	CC
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	96	10	γ	γ	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	96	11	influence	influence	VB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	96	12	less	less	RBR
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	96	13	salient	salient	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	96	14	features	feature	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	96	15	(	(	-LRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	96	16	e.g.	e.g.	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	96	17	a	a	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	96	18	probability	probability	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	96	19	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	96	20	a	a	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	96	21	case	case	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	96	22	after	after	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	96	23	a	a	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	96	24	long	long	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	96	25	period	period	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	96	26	with	with	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	96	27	no	no	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	96	28	cases	case	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	96	29	)	)	-RRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	96	30	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	96	31	so	so	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	96	32	they	-PRON-	PRP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	96	33	are	be	VBP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	96	34	more	more	RBR
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	96	35	difficult	difficult	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	96	36	to	to	TO
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	96	37	estimate	estimate	VB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	96	38	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	97	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	97	2	estimated	estimate	VBD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	97	3	model	model	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	97	4	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	97	5	using	use	VBG
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	97	6	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	97	7	method	method	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	97	8	described	describe	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	97	9	in	in	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	97	10	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	97	11	previous	previous	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	97	12	section	section	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	97	13	with	with	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	97	14	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	97	15	n	n	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	97	16	=	=	SYM
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	97	17	40	40	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	97	18	on	on	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	97	19	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	97	20	basis	basis	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	97	21	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	97	22	data	datum	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	97	23	available	available	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	97	24	at	at	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	97	25	:	:	:
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	98	1	https://www.health.govt.nz/ourwork/diseases-and-conditions/covid-19-novel-coronavirus/covid-19-current-situation/covid-19-5	https://www.health.govt.nz/ourwork/diseases-and-conditions/covid-19-novel-coronavirus/covid-19-current-situation/covid-19-5	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	98	2	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	99	1	CC	CC	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	99	2	-	-	:
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	99	3	BY	by	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	99	4	4.0	4.0	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	99	5	International	international	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	99	6	license	license	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	100	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	100	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	100	3	made	make	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	100	4	available	available	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	100	5	under	under	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	100	6	a	a	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	100	7	author	author	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	100	8	/	/	SYM
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	100	9	funder	funder	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	100	10	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	100	11	who	who	WP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	100	12	has	have	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	100	13	granted	grant	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	100	14	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	100	15	a	a	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	100	16	license	license	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	100	17	to	to	TO
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	100	18	display	display	VB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	100	19	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	100	20	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	100	21	in	in	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	100	22	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	100	23	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	101	1	is	be	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	101	2	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	101	3	(	(	-LRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	101	4	which	which	WDT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	101	5	was	be	VBD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	101	6	not	not	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	101	7	peer	peer	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	101	8	-	-	HYPH
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	101	9	reviewed	review	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	101	10	)	)	-RRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	102	1	The	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	102	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	102	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	102	4	for	for	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	102	5	this	this	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	102	6	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	102	7	current	current	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	102	8	-	-	:
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	102	9	cases/.	cases/.	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	102	10	Form	form	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	102	11	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	102	12	available	available	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	102	13	data	datum	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	102	14	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	102	15	extracted	extract	VBD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	102	16	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	102	17	number	number	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	102	18	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	102	19	cases	case	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	102	20	in	in	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	102	21	each	each	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	102	22	DHB	DHB	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	102	23	on	on	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	102	24	each	each	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	102	25	day	day	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	102	26	between	between	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	102	27	25	25	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	102	28	March	March	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	102	29	and	and	CC
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	102	30	18	18	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	102	31	April	April	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	102	32	2020	2020	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	102	33	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	103	1	Subsequently	subsequently	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	103	2	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	103	3	used	use	VBD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	103	4	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	103	5	fitted	fit	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	103	6	model	model	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	103	7	to	to	TO
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	103	8	predict	predict	VB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	103	9	probability	probability	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	103	10	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	103	11	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	103	12	population	population	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	103	13	being	be	VBG
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	103	14	virus	virus	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	103	15	free	free	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	103	16	P	p	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	103	17	(	(	-LRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	103	18	E	e	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	103	19	t	t	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	103	20	=	=	SYM
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	103	21	0	0	NFP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	103	22	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	103	23	I	-PRON-	PRP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	103	24	t	t	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	103	25	=	=	SYM
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	103	26	0|∆R	0|∆r	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	103	27	1	1	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	103	28	:	:	:
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	103	29	t	t	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	103	30	)	)	-RRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	103	31	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	1	To	to	TO
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	2	avoid	avoid	VB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	3	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	4	influence	influence	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	5	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	6	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	7	prior	prior	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	8	probability	probability	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	9	(	(	-LRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	10	that	that	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	11	was	be	VBD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	12	set	set	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	13	arbitrarily	arbitrarily	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	14	)	)	-RRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	15	on	on	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	16	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	17	estimate	estimate	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	18	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	19	for	for	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	20	each	each	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	21	DHB	DHB	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	22	model	model	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	23	was	be	VBD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	24	additionally	additionally	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	25	run	run	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	26	on	on	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	27	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	28	first	first	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	29	week	week	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	30	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	31	data	datum	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	32	10	10	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	33	times	time	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	34	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	35	i.e.	i.e.	FW
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	36	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	37	model	model	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	38	was	be	VBD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	39	estimating	estimate	VBG
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	40	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	41	probability	probability	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	42	on	on	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	43	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	44	basis	basis	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	45	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	46	extended	extended	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	47	sequence	sequence	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	48	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	49	new	new	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	50	cases	case	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	51	composed	compose	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	52	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	53	:	:	:
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	54	[	[	-LRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	55	∆R	∆R	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	56	1:7	1:7	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	57	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	58	∆R	∆R	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	59	1:7	1:7	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	60	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	61	∆R	∆R	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	62	1:7	1:7	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	63	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	64	∆R	∆R	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	65	1:7	1:7	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	66	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	67	∆R	∆R	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	68	1:7	1:7	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	69	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	70	∆R	∆R	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	71	1:7	1:7	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	72	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	73	∆R	∆R	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	74	1:7	1:7	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	75	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	76	∆R	∆R	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	77	1:7	1:7	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	78	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	79	∆R	∆R	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	80	1:7	1:7	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	81	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	82	∆R	∆R	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	83	1	1	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	84	:	:	:
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	85	t	t	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	86	]	]	-RRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	104	87	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	105	1	Due	due	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	105	2	to	to	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	105	3	uncertainty	uncertainty	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	105	4	in	in	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	105	5	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	105	6	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	105	7	individual	individual	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	105	8	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	105	9	β	β	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	105	10	and	and	CC
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	105	11	γ	γ	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	105	12	seen	see	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	105	13	in	in	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	105	14	Figure	figure	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	105	15	2	2	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	105	16	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	105	17	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	105	18	additionally	additionally	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	105	19	estimated	estimate	VBD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	105	20	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	105	21	probabilities	probability	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	105	22	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	105	23	being	be	VBG
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	105	24	virus	virus	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	105	25	free	free	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	105	26	using	use	VBG
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	105	27	a	a	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	105	28	model	model	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	105	29	with	with	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	105	30	β	β	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	105	31	=	=	SYM
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	105	32	0.1	0.1	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	105	33	and	and	CC
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	105	34	β	β	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	105	35	=	=	SYM
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	105	36	0.4	0.4	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	105	37	and	and	CC
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	105	38	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	105	39	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	105	40	γ	γ	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	105	41	set	set	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	105	42	on	on	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	105	43	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	105	44	basis	basis	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	105	45	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	105	46	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	105	47	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	105	48	difference	difference	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	105	49	γ	γ	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	105	50	−	−	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	105	51	β	β	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	105	52	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	106	1	On	on	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	106	2	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	106	3	basis	basis	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	106	4	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	106	5	data	datum	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	106	6	on	on	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	106	7	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	106	8	number	number	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	106	9	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	106	10	cases	case	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	106	11	in	in	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	106	12	New	New	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	106	13	Zealand	Zealand	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	106	14	in	in	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	106	15	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	106	16	period	period	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	106	17	from	from	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	106	18	25	25	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	106	19	March	March	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	106	20	to	to	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	106	21	18	18	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	106	22	April	April	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	106	23	2020	2020	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	106	24	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	106	25	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	106	26	estimated	estimate	VBD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	106	27	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	106	28	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	106	29	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	106	30	model	model	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	106	31	as	as	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	106	32	β	β	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	106	33	=	=	SYM
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	106	34	0.26	0.26	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	106	35	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	106	36	γ	γ	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	106	37	=	=	SYM
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	106	38	0.42	0.42	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	106	39	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	107	1	The	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	107	2	lower	low	JJR
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	107	3	value	value	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	107	4	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	107	5	a	a	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	107	6	rate	rate	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	107	7	with	with	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	107	8	which	which	WDT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	107	9	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	107	10	become	become	VBP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	107	11	infected	infected	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	107	12	β	β	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	107	13	than	than	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	107	14	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	107	15	rate	rate	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	107	16	in	in	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	107	17	which	which	WDT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	107	18	cases	case	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	107	19	are	be	VBP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	107	20	reported	report	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	107	21	γ	γ	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	107	22	corresponds	correspond	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	107	23	to	to	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	107	24	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	107	25	decreasing	decrease	VBG
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	107	26	number	number	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	107	27	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	107	28	cases	case	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	107	29	over	over	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	107	30	this	this	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	107	31	period	period	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	107	32	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	108	1	Table	table	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	108	2	1	1	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	108	3	gives	give	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	108	4	estimated	estimated	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	108	5	probability	probability	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	108	6	that	that	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	108	7	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	108	8	virus	virus	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	108	9	has	have	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	108	10	been	be	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	108	11	eradicated	eradicate	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	108	12	in	in	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	108	13	individual	individual	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	108	14	DHBs	dhb	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	108	15	6	6	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	108	16	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	109	1	CC	CC	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	109	2	-	-	:
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	109	3	BY	by	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	109	4	4.0	4.0	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	109	5	International	international	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	109	6	license	license	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	110	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	110	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	110	3	made	make	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	110	4	available	available	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	110	5	under	under	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	110	6	a	a	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	110	7	author	author	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	110	8	/	/	SYM
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	110	9	funder	funder	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	110	10	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	110	11	who	who	WP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	110	12	has	have	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	110	13	granted	grant	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	110	14	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	110	15	a	a	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	110	16	license	license	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	110	17	to	to	TO
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	110	18	display	display	VB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	110	19	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	110	20	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	110	21	in	in	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	110	22	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	110	23	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	111	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	111	2	column	column	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	111	3	Pβ	Pβ	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	111	4	)	)	-RRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	111	5	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	112	1	This	this	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	112	2	probability	probability	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	112	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	112	4	highly	highly	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	112	5	correlated	correlate	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	112	6	with	with	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	112	7	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	112	8	number	number	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	112	9	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	112	10	days	day	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	112	11	with	with	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	112	12	no	no	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	112	13	new	new	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	112	14	cases	case	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	112	15	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	112	16	also	also	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	112	17	given	give	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	112	18	in	in	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	112	19	Table	Table	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	112	20	1	1	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	112	21	(	(	-LRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	112	22	r	r	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	112	23	=	=	SYM
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	112	24	0.90	0.90	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	112	25	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	112	26	p	p	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	112	27	<	<	XX
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	112	28	0.01	0.01	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	112	29	)	)	-RRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	112	30	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	113	1	This	this	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	113	2	relationship	relationship	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	113	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	113	4	also	also	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	113	5	illustrated	illustrate	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	113	6	in	in	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	113	7	Figure	Figure	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	113	8	3	3	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	113	9	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	114	1	This	this	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	114	2	relationship	relationship	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	114	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	114	4	not	not	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	114	5	perfect	perfect	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	114	6	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	114	7	for	for	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	114	8	example	example	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	114	9	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	114	10	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	114	11	estimate	estimate	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	114	12	for	for	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	114	13	Whanganui	Whanganui	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	114	14	is	be	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	114	15	44	44	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	114	16	%	%	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	114	17	despite	despite	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	114	18	only	only	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	114	19	a	a	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	114	20	single	single	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	114	21	day	day	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	114	22	with	with	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	114	23	no	no	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	114	24	cases	case	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	114	25	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	114	26	because	because	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	114	27	this	this	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	114	28	most	most	RBS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	114	29	recent	recent	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	114	30	case	case	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	114	31	was	be	VBD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	114	32	preceded	precede	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	114	33	by	by	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	114	34	14	14	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	114	35	days	day	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	114	36	with	with	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	114	37	no	no	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	114	38	cases	case	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	114	39	in	in	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	114	40	this	this	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	114	41	DHB	DHB	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	114	42	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	115	1	In	in	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	115	2	agreement	agreement	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	115	3	with	with	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	115	4	occurrence	occurrence	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	115	5	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	115	6	cases	case	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	115	7	after	after	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	115	8	such	such	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	115	9	long	long	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	115	10	delays	delay	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	115	11	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	115	12	even	even	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	115	13	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	115	14	regions	region	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	115	15	without	without	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	115	16	cases	case	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	115	17	for	for	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	115	18	16	16	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	115	19	or	or	CC
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	115	20	17	17	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	115	21	days	day	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	115	22	have	have	VBP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	115	23	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	115	24	probability	probability	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	115	25	estimate	estimate	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	115	26	around	around	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	115	27	90	90	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	115	28	%	%	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	115	29	(	(	-LRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	115	30	rather	rather	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	115	31	than	than	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	115	32	100	100	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	115	33	%	%	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	115	34	)	)	-RRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	115	35	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	116	1	Two	two	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	116	2	most	most	RBS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	116	3	right	right	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	116	4	columns	column	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	116	5	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	116	6	Table	table	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	116	7	1	1	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	116	8	also	also	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	116	9	list	list	VBP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	116	10	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	116	11	probabilities	probability	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	116	12	computed	compute	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	116	13	with	with	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	116	14	values	value	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	116	15	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	116	16	β	β	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	116	17	differing	differ	VBG
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	116	18	form	form	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	116	19	that	that	WDT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	116	20	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	116	21	(	(	-LRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	116	22	and	and	CC
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	116	23	γ	γ	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	116	24	set	set	VBD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	116	25	to	to	TO
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	116	26	preserve	preserve	VB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	116	27	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	116	28	difference	difference	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	116	29	between	between	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	116	30	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	116	31	γ	γ	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	116	32	and	and	CC
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	116	33	β	β	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	116	34	)	)	-RRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	116	35	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	117	1	These	these	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	117	2	probabilities	probability	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	117	3	do	do	VBP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	117	4	not	not	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	117	5	differ	differ	VB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	117	6	much	much	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	117	7	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	117	8	suggesting	suggest	VBG
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	117	9	that	that	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	117	10	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	117	11	computation	computation	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	117	12	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	117	13	these	these	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	117	14	probabilities	probability	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	117	15	is	be	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	117	16	robust	robust	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	117	17	to	to	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	117	18	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	117	19	biases	bias	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	117	20	in	in	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	117	21	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	117	22	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	117	23	(	(	-LRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	117	24	Figure	figure	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	117	25	2	2	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	117	26	)	)	-RRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	117	27	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	118	1	This	this	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	118	2	report	report	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	118	3	presented	present	VBD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	118	4	a	a	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	118	5	method	method	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	118	6	for	for	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	118	7	estimating	estimate	VBG
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	118	8	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	118	9	probability	probability	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	118	10	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	118	11	regions	region	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	118	12	being	be	VBG
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	118	13	virus	virus	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	118	14	free	free	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	118	15	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	119	1	This	this	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	119	2	probability	probability	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	119	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	119	4	highly	highly	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	119	5	correlated	correlate	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	119	6	with	with	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	119	7	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	119	8	number	number	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	119	9	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	119	10	days	day	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	119	11	without	without	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	119	12	cases	case	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	119	13	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	119	14	suggesting	suggest	VBG
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	119	15	that	that	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	119	16	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	119	17	number	number	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	119	18	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	119	19	case	case	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	119	20	-	-	HYPH
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	119	21	free	free	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	119	22	days	day	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	119	23	is	be	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	119	24	a	a	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	119	25	useful	useful	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	119	26	quantity	quantity	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	119	27	to	to	TO
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	119	28	consider	consider	VB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	119	29	while	while	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	119	30	making	make	VBG
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	119	31	decisions	decision	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	119	32	and	and	CC
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	119	33	informing	inform	VBG
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	119	34	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	119	35	public	public	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	119	36	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	120	1	For	for	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	120	2	example	example	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	120	3	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	120	4	Figure	figure	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	120	5	4	4	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	120	6	illustrates	illustrate	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	120	7	how	how	WRB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	120	8	this	this	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	120	9	quantity	quantity	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	120	10	can	can	MD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	120	11	be	be	VB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	120	12	visualized	visualize	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	120	13	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	121	1	The	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	121	2	presented	present	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	121	3	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	121	4	have	have	VBP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	121	5	to	to	TO
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	121	6	be	be	VB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	121	7	treated	treat	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	121	8	with	with	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	121	9	great	great	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	121	10	caution	caution	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	121	11	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	121	12	because	because	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	121	13	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	121	14	model	model	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	121	15	made	make	VBD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	121	16	many	many	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	121	17	simplifying	simplify	VBG
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	121	18	assumptions	assumption	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	121	19	which	which	WDT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	121	20	are	be	VBP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	121	21	not	not	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	121	22	satisfied	satisfied	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	121	23	in	in	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	121	24	practice	practice	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	121	25	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	122	1	First	first	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	122	2	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	122	3	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	122	4	model	model	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	122	5	assumes	assume	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	122	6	that	that	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	122	7	all	all	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	122	8	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	122	9	with	with	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	122	10	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	122	11	are	be	VBP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	122	12	symptomatic	symptomatic	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	122	13	and	and	CC
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	122	14	identified	identify	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	122	15	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	122	16	while	while	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	122	17	another	another	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	122	18	model	model	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	122	19	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	122	20	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	122	21	spread	spread	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	122	22	in	in	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	122	23	New	New	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	122	24	Zealand	Zealand	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	122	25	assumed	assume	VBD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	122	26	probability	probability	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	122	27	0.33	0.33	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	122	28	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	122	29	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	122	30	being	be	VBG
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	122	31	subclinical	subclinical	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	122	32	[	[	-LRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	122	33	5	5	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	122	34	]	]	-RRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	122	35	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	123	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	123	2	has	have	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	123	3	been	be	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	123	4	demonstrated	demonstrate	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	123	5	that	that	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	123	6	failing	fail	VBG
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	123	7	to	to	TO
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	123	8	detect	detect	VB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	123	9	accurately	accurately	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	123	10	cases	case	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	123	11	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	123	12	disease	disease	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	123	13	increases	increase	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	123	14	7	7	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	123	15	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	124	1	CC	CC	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	124	2	-	-	:
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	124	3	BY	by	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	124	4	4.0	4.0	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	124	5	International	international	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	124	6	license	license	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	125	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	125	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	125	3	made	make	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	125	4	available	available	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	125	5	under	under	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	125	6	a	a	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	125	7	author	author	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	125	8	/	/	SYM
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	125	9	funder	funder	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	125	10	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	125	11	who	who	WP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	125	12	has	have	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	125	13	granted	grant	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	125	14	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	125	15	a	a	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	125	16	license	license	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	125	17	to	to	TO
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	125	18	display	display	VB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	125	19	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	125	20	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	125	21	in	in	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	125	22	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	125	23	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	126	1	is	be	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	126	2	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	126	3	(	(	-LRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	126	4	which	which	WDT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	126	5	was	be	VBD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	126	6	not	not	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	126	7	peer	peer	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	126	8	-	-	HYPH
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	126	9	reviewed	review	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	126	10	)	)	-RRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	127	1	The	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	127	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	127	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	127	4	for	for	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	127	5	this	this	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	127	6	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	127	7	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	128	1	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.20.20073304	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.20.20073304	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	128	2	doi	doi	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	128	3	:	:	:
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	129	1	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	129	2	preprint	preprint	VBP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	129	3	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	129	4	time	time	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	129	5	one	one	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	129	6	has	have	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	129	7	to	to	TO
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	129	8	observe	observe	VB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	129	9	no	no	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	129	10	new	new	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	129	11	cases	case	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	129	12	to	to	TO
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	129	13	be	be	VB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	129	14	sure	sure	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	129	15	that	that	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	129	16	a	a	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	129	17	disease	disease	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	129	18	has	have	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	129	19	been	be	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	129	20	eradicated	eradicate	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	129	21	[	[	-LRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	129	22	6	6	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	129	23	]	]	-RRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	129	24	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	130	1	Nevertheless	nevertheless	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	130	2	according	accord	VBG
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	130	3	to	to	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	130	4	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	130	5	website	website	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	130	6	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	130	7	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	130	8	Ministry	Ministry	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	130	9	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	130	10	Health	Health	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	130	11	(	(	-LRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	130	12	address	address	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	130	13	in	in	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	130	14	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	130	15	Methods	method	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	130	16	)	)	-RRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	130	17	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	130	18	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	130	19	fraction	fraction	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	130	20	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	130	21	cases	case	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	130	22	due	due	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	130	23	to	to	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	130	24	community	community	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	130	25	transmission	transmission	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	130	26	(	(	-LRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	130	27	4	4	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	130	28	%	%	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	130	29	)	)	-RRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	130	30	is	be	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	130	31	much	much	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	130	32	lower	low	JJR
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	130	33	than	than	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	130	34	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	130	35	number	number	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	130	36	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	130	37	cases	case	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	130	38	due	due	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	130	39	to	to	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	130	40	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	130	41	contact	contact	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	130	42	with	with	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	130	43	known	know	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	130	44	individual	individual	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	130	45	(	(	-LRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	130	46	54	54	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	130	47	%	%	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	130	48	)	)	-RRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	130	49	which	which	WDT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	130	50	suggests	suggest	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	130	51	that	that	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	130	52	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	130	53	majority	majority	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	130	54	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	130	55	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	130	56	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	130	57	is	be	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	130	58	being	be	VBG
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	130	59	identified	identify	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	130	60	in	in	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	130	61	New	New	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	130	62	Zealand	Zealand	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	130	63	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	131	1	Second	second	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	131	2	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	131	3	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	131	4	model	model	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	131	5	assumed	assume	VBD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	131	6	that	that	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	131	7	once	once	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	131	8	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	131	9	become	become	VBP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	131	10	diagnosed	diagnose	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	131	11	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	131	12	they	-PRON-	PRP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	131	13	are	be	VBP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	131	14	isolated	isolate	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	131	15	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	131	16	and	and	CC
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	131	17	no	no	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	131	18	longer	longer	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	131	19	infect	infect	VBP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	131	20	others	other	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	131	21	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	132	1	This	this	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	132	2	assumption	assumption	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	132	3	may	may	MD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	132	4	also	also	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	132	5	be	be	VB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	132	6	not	not	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	132	7	satisfied	satisfied	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	132	8	in	in	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	132	9	practice	practice	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	132	10	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	133	1	Third	third	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	133	2	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	133	3	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	133	4	model	model	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	133	5	assumes	assume	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	133	6	that	that	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	133	7	there	there	EX
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	133	8	is	be	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	133	9	no	no	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	133	10	movement	movement	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	133	11	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	133	12	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	133	13	between	between	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	133	14	DHB	DHB	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	133	15	while	while	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	133	16	some	some	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	133	17	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	133	18	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	133	19	DHB	DHB	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	133	20	(	(	-LRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	133	21	e.g.	e.g.	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	133	22	Auckland	Auckland	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	133	23	and	and	CC
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	133	24	Waitemata	Waitemata	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	133	25	)	)	-RRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	133	26	include	include	VBP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	133	27	districts	district	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	133	28	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	133	29	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	133	30	same	same	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	133	31	city	city	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	133	32	(	(	-LRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	133	33	e.g.	e.g.	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	133	34	Auckland	Auckland	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	133	35	)	)	-RRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	133	36	,	,	,
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	133	37	so	so	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	133	38	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	133	39	assumptions	assumption	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	133	40	on	on	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	133	41	travel	travel	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	133	42	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	133	43	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	133	44	between	between	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	133	45	DHB	DHB	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	133	46	could	could	MD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	133	47	to	to	TO
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	133	48	be	be	VB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	133	49	included	include	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	133	50	to	to	TO
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	133	51	refine	refine	VB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	133	52	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	133	53	model	model	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	133	54	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	134	1	The	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	134	2	incubation	incubation	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	134	3	period	period	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	134	4	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	134	5	coronavirus	coronavirus	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	134	6	disease	disease	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	134	7	2019	2019	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	134	8	(	(	-LRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	134	9	covid-19	covid-19	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	134	10	)	)	-RRB-
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	134	11	from	from	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	134	12	publicly	publicly	RB
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	134	13	reported	report	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	134	14	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	134	15	cases	case	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	134	16	:	:	:
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	134	17	estimation	estimation	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	134	18	and	and	CC
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	134	19	application	application	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	134	20	Statistical	statistical	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	134	21	inference	inference	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	134	22	in	in	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	134	23	a	a	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	134	24	stochastic	stochastic	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	134	25	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	134	26	seir	seir	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	134	27	model	model	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	134	28	with	with	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	134	29	control	control	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	134	30	intervention	intervention	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	134	31	:	:	:
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	134	32	Ebola	Ebola	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	134	33	as	as	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	134	34	a	a	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	134	35	case	case	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	134	36	study	study	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	134	37	Suppression	suppression	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	134	38	and	and	CC
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	134	39	mitigation	mitigation	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	134	40	strategies	strategy	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	134	41	for	for	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	134	42	control	control	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	134	43	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	134	44	covid-19	covid-19	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	134	45	in	in	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	134	46	new	new	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	134	47	zealand	zealand	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	134	48	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	135	1	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	135	2	A	a	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	135	3	simplex	simplex	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	135	4	method	method	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	135	5	for	for	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	135	6	function	function	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	135	7	minimization	minimization	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	135	8	A	a	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	135	9	stochastic	stochastic	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	135	10	model	model	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	135	11	for	for	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	135	12	covid-19	covid-19	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	135	13	spread	spread	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	135	14	and	and	CC
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	135	15	the	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	135	16	effects	effect	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	135	17	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	135	18	alert	alert	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	135	19	level	level	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	135	20	4	4	CD
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	135	21	in	in	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	135	22	aotearoa	aotearoa	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	135	23	new	new	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	135	24	zealand	zealand	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	135	25	.	.	.
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	136	1	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	136	2	Rigorous	rigorous	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	136	3	surveillance	surveillance	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	136	4	is	be	VBZ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	136	5	necessary	necessary	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	136	6	for	for	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	136	7	high	high	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	136	8	confidence	confidence	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	136	9	in	in	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	136	10	end	end	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	136	11	-	-	HYPH
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	136	12	of	of	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	136	13	-	-	HYPH
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	136	14	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	136	15	declarations	declaration	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	136	16	for	for	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	136	17	ebola	ebola	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	136	18	and	and	CC
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	136	19	other	other	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	136	20	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	136	21	diseases	disease	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	137	1	The	the	DT
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	137	2	author	author	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	137	3	thanks	thank	NNS
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	137	4	Medical	Medical	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	137	5	Research	Research	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	137	6	Council	Council	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	137	7	UK	UK	NNP
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	137	8	for	for	IN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	137	9	support	support	NN
cord-290719-ab71pz6v	137	10	.	.	.