id author title date pages extension mime words sentences flesch summary cache txt cord-297326-n0fpu8s3 ÁLVAREZ, E. New coronavirus outbreak. Lessons learned from the severe acute respiratory syndrome epidemic 2015-01-16 .txt text/plain 4995 244 47 Here, we develop a model that explains the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus (SARS-CoV) epidemic that occurred in Hong Kong in 2003. These equations involve three stocks (SUSCEPTIBLE, LATENT, INFECTED), three auxiliary variables (prevalence, contagion rate, recovery rate) and three parameters (incubation period, case fatality, disease duration). The simulation output for the variable 'sick per day' fit the data reported by the Hong Kong authorities (Fig. 4a) , suggesting that the model was able to reproduce the epidemic curve. These results are consistent with a previous report showing the basic reproductive numbers for different SARS epidemic curves, which supports the notion that our model is able to largely replicate the disease outbreak in Hong Kong [31] . Under these conditions, the model output fits the epidemic curve observed in the Hong Kong SARS-CoV outbreak (Fig. 4) . ./cache/cord-297326-n0fpu8s3.txt ./txt/cord-297326-n0fpu8s3.txt