id sid tid token lemma pos cord-306720-86ovj7xg 1 1 key key NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 1 2 : : : cord-306720-86ovj7xg 2 1 cord-306720 cord-306720 RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 2 2 - - HYPH cord-306720-86ovj7xg 2 3 86ovj7xg 86ovj7xg NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 2 4 authors author NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 2 5 : : : cord-306720-86ovj7xg 2 6 Kurita Kurita NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 2 7 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 2 8 Junko Junko NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 2 9 ; ; : cord-306720-86ovj7xg 2 10 Sugawara Sugawara NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 2 11 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 2 12 Tamie Tamie NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 2 13 ; ; : cord-306720-86ovj7xg 2 14 Ohkusa Ohkusa NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 2 15 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 2 16 Yasushi Yasushi NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 2 17 title title NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 2 18 : : : cord-306720-86ovj7xg 2 19 Forecast Forecast NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 2 20 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 2 21 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 2 22 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 2 23 outbreak outbreak NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 2 24 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 2 25 collapse collapse NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 2 26 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 2 27 medical medical JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 2 28 facilities facility NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 2 29 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 2 30 and and CC cord-306720-86ovj7xg 2 31 lockdown lockdown NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 2 32 effects effect NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 2 33 in in IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 2 34 Tokyo Tokyo NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 2 35 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 2 36 Japan Japan NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 2 37 date date NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 2 38 : : : cord-306720-86ovj7xg 2 39 2020 2020 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 2 40 - - HYPH cord-306720-86ovj7xg 2 41 04 04 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 2 42 - - HYPH cord-306720-86ovj7xg 2 43 06 06 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 2 44 journal journal NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 2 45 : : : cord-306720-86ovj7xg 2 46 nan nan NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 2 47 DOI DOI NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 2 48 : : : cord-306720-86ovj7xg 2 49 10.1101/2020.04.02.20051490 10.1101/2020.04.02.20051490 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 2 50 sha sha NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 2 51 : : : cord-306720-86ovj7xg 2 52 d156565e44bc5d6868c889b8199f52bacfc70514 d156565e44bc5d6868c889b8199f52bacfc70514 NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 2 53 doc_id doc_id CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 2 54 : : : cord-306720-86ovj7xg 2 55 306720 306720 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 2 56 cord_uid cord_uid NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 2 57 : : : cord-306720-86ovj7xg 3 1 86ovj7xg 86ovj7xg NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 4 1 Background background NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 4 2 : : : cord-306720-86ovj7xg 5 1 The the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 5 2 number number NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 5 3 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 5 4 patients patient NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 5 5 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 5 6 COVID-19 covid-19 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 5 7 in in IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 5 8 Tokyo Tokyo NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 5 9 has have VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 5 10 been be VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 5 11 increasing increase VBG cord-306720-86ovj7xg 5 12 gradually gradually RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 5 13 through through IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 5 14 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 5 15 end end NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 5 16 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 5 17 March March NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 5 18 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 5 19 2020 2020 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 5 20 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 6 1 Object object NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 6 2 : : : cord-306720-86ovj7xg 7 1 Support support NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 7 2 for for IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 7 3 policymaking policymaking NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 7 4 requires require VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 7 5 forecasting forecasting NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 7 6 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 7 7 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 7 8 entire entire JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 7 9 course course NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 7 10 and and CC cord-306720-86ovj7xg 7 11 outcome outcome NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 7 12 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 7 13 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 7 14 outbreak outbreak NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 7 15 including include VBG cord-306720-86ovj7xg 7 16 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 7 17 date date NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 7 18 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 7 19 collapse collapse NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 7 20 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 7 21 medical medical JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 7 22 facilities facility NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 7 23 if if IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 7 24 a a DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 7 25 lockdown lockdown NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 7 26 is be VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 7 27 not not RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 7 28 initiated initiate VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 7 29 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 8 1 Moreover moreover RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 8 2 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 8 3 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 8 4 effects effect NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 8 5 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 8 6 a a DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 8 7 lockdown lockdown NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 8 8 must must MD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 8 9 be be VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 8 10 considered consider VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 8 11 when when WRB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 8 12 choosing choose VBG cord-306720-86ovj7xg 8 13 to to TO cord-306720-86ovj7xg 8 14 initiate initiate VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 8 15 one one CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 8 16 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 9 1 Method method NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 9 2 : : : cord-306720-86ovj7xg 9 3 Data Data NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 9 4 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 9 5 Tokyo Tokyo NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 9 6 patients patient NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 9 7 with with IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 9 8 symptoms symptom NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 9 9 during during IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 9 10 January January NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 9 11 14 14 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 9 12 − − NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 9 13 March March NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 9 14 28 28 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 9 15 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 9 16 2020 2020 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 9 17 were be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 9 18 used use VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 9 19 to to TO cord-306720-86ovj7xg 9 20 formulate formulate VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 9 21 a a DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 9 22 susceptible−infected−recovered susceptible−infected−recovered JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 9 23 ( ( -LRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 9 24 SIR SIR NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 9 25 ) ) -RRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 9 26 model model NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 9 27 using use VBG cord-306720-86ovj7xg 9 28 three three CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 9 29 age age NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 9 30 classes class NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 9 31 and and CC cord-306720-86ovj7xg 9 32 to to TO cord-306720-86ovj7xg 9 33 estimate estimate VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 9 34 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 9 35 basic basic JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 9 36 reproduction reproduction NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 9 37 number number NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 9 38 ( ( -LRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 9 39 R0 R0 NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 9 40 ) ) -RRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 9 41 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 10 1 Based base VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 10 2 on on IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 10 3 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 10 4 estimated estimate VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 10 5 R0 R0 NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 10 6 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 10 7 We -PRON- PRP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 10 8 inferred infer VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 10 9 outbreak outbreak NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 10 10 outcomes outcome NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 10 11 including include VBG cord-306720-86ovj7xg 10 12 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 10 13 date date NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 10 14 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 10 15 collapse collapse NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 10 16 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 10 17 medical medical JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 10 18 facilities facility NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 10 19 if if IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 10 20 a a DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 10 21 lockdown lockdown NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 10 22 were be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 10 23 not not RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 10 24 enacted enact VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 10 25 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 11 1 Then then RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 11 2 we -PRON- PRP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 11 3 estimate estimate VBP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 11 4 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 11 5 lockdown lockdown NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 11 6 effects effect NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 11 7 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 12 1 Results result NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 12 2 : : : cord-306720-86ovj7xg 13 1 Results result NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 13 2 suggest suggest VBP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 13 3 R0 R0 NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 13 4 as as IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 13 5 2.86 2.86 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 13 6 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 13 7 with with IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 13 8 a a DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 13 9 95 95 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 13 10 % % NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 13 11 confidence confidence NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 13 12 interval interval NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 13 13 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 13 14 [ [ -LRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 13 15 2.73 2.73 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 13 16 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 13 17 2.97 2.97 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 13 18 ] ] -RRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 13 19 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 14 1 Collapse collapse NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 14 2 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 14 3 medical medical JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 14 4 facilities facility NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 14 5 can can MD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 14 6 be be VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 14 7 expected expect VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 14 8 to to TO cord-306720-86ovj7xg 14 9 occur occur VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 14 10 on on IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 14 11 April April NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 14 12 26 26 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 14 13 if if IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 14 14 no no DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 14 15 lockdown lockdown NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 14 16 occurs occur VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 14 17 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 15 1 The the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 15 2 total total JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 15 3 number number NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 15 4 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 15 5 deaths death NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 15 6 can can MD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 15 7 be be VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 15 8 expected expect VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 15 9 to to TO cord-306720-86ovj7xg 15 10 be be VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 15 11 half half PDT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 15 12 a a DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 15 13 million million CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 15 14 people people NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 15 15 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 16 1 If if IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 16 2 a a DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 16 3 lockdown lockdown NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 16 4 were be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 16 5 enacted enact VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 16 6 from from IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 16 7 April April NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 16 8 6 6 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 16 9 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 16 10 and and CC cord-306720-86ovj7xg 16 11 if if IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 16 12 more more JJR cord-306720-86ovj7xg 16 13 than than IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 16 14 60 60 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 16 15 % % NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 16 16 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 16 17 trips trip NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 16 18 outside outside IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 16 19 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 16 20 home home NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 16 21 were be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 16 22 restricted restrict VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 16 23 voluntarily voluntarily RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 16 24 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 16 25 then then RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 16 26 a a DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 16 27 collapse collapse NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 16 28 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 16 29 medical medical JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 16 30 facilities facility NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 16 31 could could MD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 16 32 be be VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 16 33 avoided avoid VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 16 34 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 17 1 Discussion discussion NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 17 2 and and CC cord-306720-86ovj7xg 17 3 Conclusion conclusion NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 17 4 : : : cord-306720-86ovj7xg 18 1 The the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 18 2 estimated estimate VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 18 3 R0 R0 NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 18 4 was be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 18 5 similar similar JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 18 6 to to IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 18 7 that that DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 18 8 found find VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 18 9 from from IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 18 10 other other JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 18 11 studies study NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 18 12 conducted conduct VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 18 13 in in IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 18 14 China China NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 18 15 and and CC cord-306720-86ovj7xg 18 16 Japan Japan NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 18 17 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 19 1 Results result NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 19 2 demonstrate demonstrate VBP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 19 3 that that IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 19 4 a a DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 19 5 lockdown lockdown NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 19 6 with with IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 19 7 reasonable reasonable JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 19 8 cooperation cooperation NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 19 9 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 19 10 residents resident NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 19 11 can can MD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 19 12 avoid avoid VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 19 13 a a DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 19 14 collapse collapse NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 19 15 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 19 16 medical medical JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 19 17 facilities facility NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 19 18 and and CC cord-306720-86ovj7xg 19 19 save save VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 19 20 0.25 0.25 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 19 21 million million CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 19 22 mortality mortality NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 19 23 cases case NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 19 24 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 20 1 The the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 20 2 initial initial JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 20 3 case case NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 20 4 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 20 5 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 20 6 in in IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 20 7 Japan Japan NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 20 8 was be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 20 9 that that DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 20 10 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 20 11 a a DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 20 12 patient patient NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 20 13 who who WP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 20 14 showed show VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 20 15 symptoms symptom NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 20 16 when when WRB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 20 17 returning return VBG cord-306720-86ovj7xg 20 18 from from IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 20 19 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 20 20 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 20 21 China China NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 20 22 on on IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 20 23 January January NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 20 24 3 3 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 20 25 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 20 26 2020 2020 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 20 27 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 21 1 As as IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 21 2 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 21 3 March March NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 21 4 28 28 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 21 5 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 21 6 2020 2020 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 21 7 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 21 8 1150 1150 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 21 9 cases case NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 21 10 had have VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 21 11 been be VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 21 12 announced announce VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 21 13 as as IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 21 14 infected infect VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 21 15 in in IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 21 16 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 21 17 community community NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 21 18 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 21 19 Japan Japan NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 21 20 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 21 21 excluding exclude VBG cord-306720-86ovj7xg 21 22 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 21 23 cases case NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 21 24 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 21 25 those those DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 21 26 for for IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 21 27 which which WDT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 21 28 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 21 29 onset onset NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 21 30 date date NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 21 31 or or CC cord-306720-86ovj7xg 21 32 age age NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 21 33 was be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 21 34 not not RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 21 35 reported report VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 21 36 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 21 37 those those DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 21 38 infected infect VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 21 39 abroad abroad RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 21 40 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 21 41 and and CC cord-306720-86ovj7xg 21 42 those those DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 21 43 infected infect VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 21 44 on on IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 21 45 a a DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 21 46 large large JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 21 47 cruise cruise NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 21 48 ship ship NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 21 49 : : : cord-306720-86ovj7xg 21 50 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 21 51 Diamond Diamond NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 21 52 Princess Princess NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 21 53 [ [ -LRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 21 54 1 1 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 21 55 ] ] -RRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 21 56 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 22 1 In in IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 22 2 metropolitan metropolitan JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 22 3 Tokyo Tokyo NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 22 4 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 22 5 which which WDT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 22 6 has have VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 22 7 about about RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 22 8 13 13 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 22 9 million million CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 22 10 residents resident NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 22 11 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 22 12 234 234 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 22 13 symptomatic symptomatic JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 22 14 cases case NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 22 15 were be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 22 16 identified identify VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 22 17 as as IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 22 18 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 22 19 March March NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 22 20 28 28 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 22 21 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 22 22 2020 2020 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 22 23 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 23 1 The the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 23 2 entire entire JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 23 3 course course NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 23 4 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 23 5 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 23 6 outbreak outbreak NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 23 7 must must MD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 23 8 be be VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 23 9 predicted predict VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 23 10 to to TO cord-306720-86ovj7xg 23 11 evaluate evaluate VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 23 12 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 23 13 necessary necessary JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 23 14 medical medical JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 23 15 resources resource NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 23 16 for for IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 23 17 policymaking policymaking NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 23 18 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 24 1 Moreover moreover RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 24 2 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 24 3 one one PRP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 24 4 must must MD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 24 5 evaluate evaluate VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 24 6 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 24 7 as as IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 24 8 a a DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 24 9 worst bad JJS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 24 10 case case NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 24 11 scenario scenario NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 24 12 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 24 13 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 24 14 collapse collapse NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 24 15 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 24 16 medical medical JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 24 17 facilities facility NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 24 18 which which WDT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 24 19 can can MD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 24 20 occur occur VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 24 21 when when WRB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 24 22 medical medical JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 24 23 needs need NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 24 24 far far RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 24 25 exceed exceed VBP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 24 26 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 24 27 capacity capacity NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 24 28 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 24 29 medical medical JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 24 30 resources resource NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 24 31 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 25 1 Under under IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 25 2 such such JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 25 3 circumstances circumstance NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 25 4 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 25 5 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 25 6 case case NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 25 7 - - HYPH cord-306720-86ovj7xg 25 8 fatality fatality NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 25 9 ratio ratio NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 25 10 ( ( -LRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 25 11 CFR CFR NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 25 12 ) ) -RRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 25 13 rises rise VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 25 14 considerably considerably RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 25 15 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 26 1 Especially especially RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 26 2 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 26 3 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 26 4 capacity capacity NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 26 5 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 26 6 intensive intensive JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 26 7 - - HYPH cord-306720-86ovj7xg 26 8 care care NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 26 9 - - HYPH cord-306720-86ovj7xg 26 10 unit unit NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 26 11 ( ( -LRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 26 12 ICU ICU NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 26 13 ) ) -RRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 26 14 facilities facility NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 26 15 is be VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 26 16 usually usually RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 26 17 not not RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 26 18 so so RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 26 19 large large JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 26 20 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 27 1 They -PRON- PRP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 27 2 are be VBP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 27 3 expected expect VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 27 4 to to TO cord-306720-86ovj7xg 27 5 be be VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 27 6 allocated allocate VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 27 7 quickly quickly RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 27 8 to to IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 27 9 patients patient NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 27 10 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 28 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 28 2 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 28 3 escalation escalation NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 28 4 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 28 5 case case NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 28 6 mortality mortality NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 28 7 represents represent VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 28 8 an an DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 28 9 important important JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 28 10 concern concern NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 28 11 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 29 1 To to TO cord-306720-86ovj7xg 29 2 forecast forecast VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 29 3 these these DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 29 4 phenomena phenomenon NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 29 5 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 29 6 we -PRON- PRP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 29 7 construct construct VBP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 29 8 a a DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 29 9 simple simple JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 29 10 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 29 11 - - HYPH cord-306720-86ovj7xg 29 12 infected infected JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 29 13 - - HYPH cord-306720-86ovj7xg 29 14 recovered recovered JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 29 15 ( ( -LRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 29 16 SIR SIR NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 29 17 ) ) -RRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 29 18 model model NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 29 19 for for IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 29 20 Tokyo Tokyo NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 29 21 incorporating incorporate VBG cord-306720-86ovj7xg 29 22 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 29 23 necessary necessary JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 29 24 medical medical JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 29 25 resources resource NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 29 26 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 30 1 Then then RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 30 2 we -PRON- PRP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 30 3 predict predict VBP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 30 4 whether whether IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 30 5 a a DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 30 6 collapse collapse NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 30 7 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 30 8 medical medical JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 30 9 facilities facility NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 30 10 occurs occur VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 30 11 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 30 12 in in IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 30 13 addition addition NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 30 14 to to IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 30 15 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 30 16 magnitude magnitude NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 30 17 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 30 18 mortality mortality NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 30 19 if if IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 30 20 a a DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 30 21 collapse collapse NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 30 22 were be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 30 23 to to TO cord-306720-86ovj7xg 30 24 occur occur VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 30 25 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 31 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 31 2 applied apply VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 31 3 a a DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 31 4 simple simple JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 31 5 SIR SIR NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 31 6 model model NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 31 7 [ [ -LRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 31 8 2 2 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 31 9 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 31 10 3 3 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 31 11 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 31 12 4 4 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 31 13 ] ] -RRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 31 14 with with IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 31 15 three three CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 31 16 age age NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 31 17 classes class NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 31 18 : : : cord-306720-86ovj7xg 31 19 children child NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 31 20 19 19 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 31 21 years year NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 31 22 old old JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 31 23 or or CC cord-306720-86ovj7xg 31 24 younger young JJR cord-306720-86ovj7xg 31 25 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 31 26 adults adult NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 31 27 20 20 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 31 28 - - SYM cord-306720-86ovj7xg 31 29 59 59 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 31 30 years year NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 31 31 old old JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 31 32 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 31 33 and and CC cord-306720-86ovj7xg 31 34 elderly elderly JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 31 35 people people NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 31 36 60 60 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 31 37 years year NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 31 38 old old JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 31 39 or or CC cord-306720-86ovj7xg 31 40 older old JJR cord-306720-86ovj7xg 31 41 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 32 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 32 2 assumed assume VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 32 3 some some DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 32 4 protection protection NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 32 5 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 32 6 children child NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 32 7 [ [ -LRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 32 8 5 5 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 32 9 ] ] -RRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 32 10 : : : cord-306720-86ovj7xg 32 11 40 40 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 32 12 % % NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 32 13 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 32 14 children child NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 32 15 were be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 32 16 protected protect VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 32 17 t t NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 32 18 infection infection NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 32 19 [ [ -LRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 32 20 4 4 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 32 21 ] ] -RRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 32 22 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 33 1 The the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 33 2 incubation incubation NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 33 3 period period NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 33 4 was be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 33 5 assumed assume VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 33 6 to to TO cord-306720-86ovj7xg 33 7 be be VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 33 8 equal equal JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 33 9 for for IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 33 10 all all DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 33 11 people people NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 33 12 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 33 13 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 33 14 three three CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 33 15 age age NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 33 16 classes class NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 33 17 and and CC cord-306720-86ovj7xg 33 18 following follow VBG cord-306720-86ovj7xg 33 19 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 33 20 empirical empirical JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 33 21 distribution distribution NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 33 22 inferred infer VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 33 23 for for IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 33 24 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 33 25 outbreak outbreak NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 33 26 in in IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 33 27 Japan Japan NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 33 28 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 34 1 All all DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 34 2 rights right NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 34 3 reserved reserve VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 34 4 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 35 1 No no DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 35 2 reuse reuse NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 35 3 allowed allow VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 35 4 without without IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 35 5 permission permission NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 35 6 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 36 1 author author NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 36 2 / / SYM cord-306720-86ovj7xg 36 3 funder funder NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 36 4 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 36 5 who who WP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 36 6 has have VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 36 7 granted grant VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 36 8 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 36 9 a a DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 36 10 license license NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 36 11 to to TO cord-306720-86ovj7xg 36 12 display display VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 36 13 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 36 14 preprint preprint NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 36 15 in in IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 36 16 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 36 17 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 37 1 The the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 37 2 copyright copyright NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 37 3 holder holder NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 37 4 for for IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 37 5 this this DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 37 6 preprint preprint NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 37 7 ( ( -LRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 37 8 which which WDT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 37 9 was be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 37 10 not not RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 37 11 peer peer NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 37 12 - - HYPH cord-306720-86ovj7xg 37 13 reviewed review VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 37 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 37 15 is be VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 37 16 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 37 17 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 38 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.02.20051490 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.02.20051490 NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 38 2 doi doi XX cord-306720-86ovj7xg 38 3 : : : cord-306720-86ovj7xg 39 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 39 2 preprint preprint NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 39 3 Experiences experience NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 39 4 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 39 5 Japanese japanese JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 39 6 people people NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 39 7 living live VBG cord-306720-86ovj7xg 39 8 in in IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 39 9 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 39 10 until until IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 39 11 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 39 12 outbreak outbreak NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 39 13 provide provide VBP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 39 14 information information NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 39 15 related relate VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 39 16 to to IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 39 17 mild mild JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 39 18 cases case NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 39 19 because because IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 39 20 complete complete JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 39 21 laboratory laboratory NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 39 22 surveillance surveillance NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 39 23 was be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 39 24 conducted conduct VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 39 25 for for IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 39 26 them -PRON- PRP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 39 27 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 40 1 During during IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 40 2 January January NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 40 3 29 29 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 40 4 -February -february SYM cord-306720-86ovj7xg 40 5 17 17 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 40 6 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 40 7 2020 2020 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 40 8 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 40 9 829 829 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 40 10 Japanese japanese JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 40 11 people people NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 40 12 returned return VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 40 13 to to IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 40 14 Japan Japan NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 40 15 from from IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 40 16 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 40 17 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 41 1 Each each DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 41 2 had have VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 41 3 undergone undergo VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 41 4 a a DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 41 5 test test NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 41 6 to to TO cord-306720-86ovj7xg 41 7 detect detect VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 41 8 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 41 9 ; ; : cord-306720-86ovj7xg 41 10 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 41 11 them -PRON- PRP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 41 12 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 41 13 14 14 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 41 14 were be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 41 15 found find VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 41 16 to to TO cord-306720-86ovj7xg 41 17 be be VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 41 18 positive positive JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 41 19 for for IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 41 20 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 41 21 [ [ -LRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 41 22 6 6 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 41 23 ] ] -RRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 41 24 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 42 1 Of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 42 2 those those DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 42 3 14 14 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 42 4 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 42 5 10 10 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 42 6 Japanese japanese JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 42 7 people people NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 42 8 had have VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 42 9 exhibited exhibit VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 42 10 mild mild JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 42 11 symptoms symptom NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 42 12 ; ; : cord-306720-86ovj7xg 42 13 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 42 14 other other JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 42 15 4 4 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 42 16 showed show VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 42 17 no no DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 42 18 symptom symptom NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 42 19 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 43 1 Moreover moreover RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 43 2 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 43 3 two two CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 43 4 Japanese japanese JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 43 5 residents resident NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 43 6 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 43 7 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 43 8 exhibited exhibit VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 43 9 severe severe JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 43 10 symptoms symptom NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 43 11 : : : cord-306720-86ovj7xg 43 12 one one CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 43 13 was be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 43 14 confirmed confirm VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 43 15 as as IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 43 16 having have VBG cord-306720-86ovj7xg 43 17 contracted contract VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 43 18 COVID-19 covid-19 NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 43 19 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 44 1 The the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 44 2 other other JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 44 3 died die VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 44 4 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 44 5 although although IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 44 6 no no DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 44 7 fatal fatal JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 44 8 case case NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 44 9 was be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 44 10 confirmed confirm VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 44 11 as as IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 44 12 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 44 13 by by IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 44 14 testing testing NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 44 15 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 45 1 In in IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 45 2 addition addition NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 45 3 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 45 4 two two CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 45 5 Japanese japanese JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 45 6 residents resident NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 45 7 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 45 8 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 45 9 with with IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 45 10 mild mild JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 45 11 symptoms symptom NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 45 12 were be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 45 13 refused refuse VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 45 14 re re NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 45 15 - - NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 45 16 entry entry NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 45 17 to to IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 45 18 Japan Japan NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 45 19 even even RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 45 20 though though IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 45 21 they -PRON- PRP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 45 22 had have VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 45 23 not not RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 45 24 been be VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 45 25 confirmed confirm VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 45 26 as as IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 45 27 infected infect VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 45 28 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 46 1 If if IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 46 2 one one PRP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 46 3 assumes assume VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 46 4 that that IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 46 5 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 46 6 Japanese japanese JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 46 7 fatal fatal JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 46 8 case case NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 46 9 in in IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 46 10 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 46 11 and and CC cord-306720-86ovj7xg 46 12 that that IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 46 13 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 46 14 two two CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 46 15 rejected reject VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 46 16 re re NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 46 17 - - NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 46 18 entrants entrant NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 46 19 were be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 46 20 infected infect VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 46 21 with with IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 46 22 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 46 23 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 46 24 then then RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 46 25 2 2 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 46 26 severe severe JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 46 27 cases case NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 46 28 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 46 29 12 12 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 46 30 mild mild JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 46 31 cases case NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 46 32 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 46 33 and and CC cord-306720-86ovj7xg 46 34 4 4 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 46 35 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 46 36 cases case NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 46 37 were be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 46 38 found find VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 46 39 to to TO cord-306720-86ovj7xg 46 40 exist exist VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 46 41 among among IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 46 42 these these DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 46 43 Japanese japanese JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 46 44 residents resident NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 46 45 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 46 46 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 46 47 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 47 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 47 2 therefore therefore RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 47 3 apply apply VBP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 47 4 these these DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 47 5 proportions proportion NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 47 6 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 47 7 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 47 8 cases case NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 47 9 to to IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 47 10 symptomatic symptomatic JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 47 11 cases case NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 47 12 in in IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 47 13 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 47 14 simulation simulation NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 47 15 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 48 1 Assuming assume VBG cord-306720-86ovj7xg 48 2 that that IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 48 3 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 48 4 degrees degree NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 48 5 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 48 6 infectivity infectivity NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 48 7 among among IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 48 8 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 48 9 severe severe JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 48 10 patients patient NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 48 11 and and CC cord-306720-86ovj7xg 48 12 mild mild JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 48 13 patients patient NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 48 14 are be VBP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 48 15 equal equal JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 48 16 also also RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 48 17 for for IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 48 18 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 48 19 cases case NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 48 20 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 48 21 half half NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 48 22 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 48 23 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 48 24 symptomatic symptomatic JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 48 25 cases case NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 48 26 can can MD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 48 27 be be VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 48 28 assumed assume VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 48 29 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 49 1 This this DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 49 2 assumption assumption NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 49 3 about about IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 49 4 relative relative JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 49 5 infectiousness infectiousness NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 49 6 among among IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 49 7 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 49 8 cases case NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 49 9 compared compare VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 49 10 with with IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 49 11 symptomatic symptomatic JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 49 12 cases case NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 49 13 was be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 49 14 used use VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 49 15 also also RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 49 16 in in IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 49 17 simulation simulation NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 49 18 studies study NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 49 19 for for IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 49 20 influenza influenza NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 49 21 [ [ -LRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 49 22 7 7 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 49 23 ] ] -RRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 50 1 [ [ -LRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 50 2 8 8 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 50 3 ] ] -RRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 50 4 [ [ -LRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 50 5 9 9 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 50 6 ] ] -RRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 50 7 [ [ -LRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 50 8 10 10 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 50 9 ] ] -RRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 50 10 [ [ -LRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 50 11 11 11 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 50 12 ] ] -RRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 50 13 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 51 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 51 2 sought seek VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 51 3 to to TO cord-306720-86ovj7xg 51 4 ascertain ascertain VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 51 5 R r NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 51 6 0 0 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 51 7 to to TO cord-306720-86ovj7xg 51 8 fit fit VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 51 9 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 51 10 number number NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 51 11 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 51 12 patients patient NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 51 13 during during IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 51 14 14 14 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 51 15 January January NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 51 16 -28 -28 NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 51 17 March March NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 51 18 and and CC cord-306720-86ovj7xg 51 19 to to TO cord-306720-86ovj7xg 51 20 minimize minimize VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 51 21 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 51 22 sum sum NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 51 23 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 51 24 squared squared JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 51 25 residuals residual NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 51 26 among among IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 51 27 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 51 28 reported report VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 51 29 numbers number NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 51 30 and and CC cord-306720-86ovj7xg 51 31 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 51 32 fitted fit VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 51 33 values value NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 51 34 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 52 1 Its -PRON- PRP$ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 52 2 95 95 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 52 3 % % NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 52 4 confidence confidence NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 52 5 interval interval NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 52 6 ( ( -LRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 52 7 CI CI NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 52 8 ) ) -RRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 52 9 was be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 52 10 calculated calculate VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 52 11 using use VBG cord-306720-86ovj7xg 52 12 10,000 10,000 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 52 13 iterations iteration NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 52 14 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 52 15 bootstrapping bootstrappe VBG cord-306720-86ovj7xg 52 16 for for IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 52 17 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 52 18 empirical empirical JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 52 19 distribution distribution NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 52 20 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 52 21 epidemic epidemic NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 52 22 curves curve NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 52 23 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 53 1 Contact contact NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 53 2 patterns pattern NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 53 3 among among IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 53 4 children child NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 53 5 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 53 6 adults adult NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 53 7 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 53 8 and and CC cord-306720-86ovj7xg 53 9 elderly elderly JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 53 10 people people NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 53 11 were be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 53 12 estimated estimate VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 53 13 in in IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 53 14 an an DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 53 15 earlier early JJR cord-306720-86ovj7xg 53 16 study study NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 53 17 [ [ -LRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 53 18 12 12 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 53 19 ] ] -RRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 53 20 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 54 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 54 2 identified identify VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 54 3 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 54 4 following follow VBG cord-306720-86ovj7xg 54 5 contact contact NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 54 6 patterns pattern NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 54 7 : : : cord-306720-86ovj7xg 54 8 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 54 9 share share NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 54 10 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 54 11 children child NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 54 12 contacting contact VBG cord-306720-86ovj7xg 54 13 with with IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 54 14 other other JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 54 15 children child NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 54 16 accounted account VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 54 17 for for IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 54 18 15/19 15/19 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 54 19 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 54 20 all all DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 54 21 contacts contact NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 54 22 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 54 23 contact contact NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 54 24 with with IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 54 25 adults adult NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 54 26 accounted account VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 54 27 for for IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 54 28 3/19 3/19 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 54 29 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 54 30 and and CC cord-306720-86ovj7xg 54 31 contact contact NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 54 32 with with IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 54 33 elderly elderly JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 54 34 people people NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 54 35 accounted account VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 54 36 for for IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 54 37 1/19 1/19 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 54 38 ; ; : cord-306720-86ovj7xg 54 39 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 54 40 share share NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 54 41 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 54 42 adults adult NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 54 43 contacting contact VBG cord-306720-86ovj7xg 54 44 children child NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 54 45 accounted account VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 54 46 for for IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 54 47 3/9 3/9 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 54 48 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 54 49 all all DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 54 50 All all DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 54 51 rights right NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 54 52 reserved reserve VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 54 53 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 55 1 No no DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 55 2 reuse reuse NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 55 3 allowed allow VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 55 4 without without IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 55 5 permission permission NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 55 6 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 56 1 author author NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 56 2 / / SYM cord-306720-86ovj7xg 56 3 funder funder NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 56 4 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 56 5 who who WP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 56 6 has have VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 56 7 granted grant VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 56 8 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 56 9 a a DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 56 10 license license NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 56 11 to to TO cord-306720-86ovj7xg 56 12 display display VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 56 13 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 56 14 preprint preprint NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 56 15 in in IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 56 16 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 56 17 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 57 1 The the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 57 2 copyright copyright NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 57 3 holder holder NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 57 4 for for IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 57 5 this this DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 57 6 preprint preprint NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 57 7 ( ( -LRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 57 8 which which WDT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 57 9 was be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 57 10 not not RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 57 11 peer peer NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 57 12 - - HYPH cord-306720-86ovj7xg 57 13 reviewed review VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 57 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 57 15 is be VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 57 16 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 57 17 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 58 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.02.20051490 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.02.20051490 NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 58 2 doi doi XX cord-306720-86ovj7xg 58 3 : : : cord-306720-86ovj7xg 59 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 59 2 preprint preprint NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 59 3 contacts contact NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 59 4 ; ; : cord-306720-86ovj7xg 59 5 those those DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 59 6 contacting contact VBG cord-306720-86ovj7xg 59 7 with with IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 59 8 other other JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 59 9 adults adult NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 59 10 were be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 59 11 5/9 5/9 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 59 12 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 59 13 and and CC cord-306720-86ovj7xg 59 14 those those DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 59 15 contacting contact VBG cord-306720-86ovj7xg 59 16 with with IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 59 17 elderly elderly JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 59 18 people people NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 59 19 were be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 59 20 1/9 1/9 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 59 21 ; ; : cord-306720-86ovj7xg 59 22 elderly elderly JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 59 23 people people NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 59 24 contacting contact VBG cord-306720-86ovj7xg 59 25 with with IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 59 26 children child NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 59 27 were be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 59 28 1/7 1/7 JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 59 29 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 59 30 with with IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 59 31 adults adult NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 59 32 were be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 59 33 2/7 2/7 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 59 34 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 59 35 and and CC cord-306720-86ovj7xg 59 36 with with IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 59 37 other other JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 59 38 elderly elderly JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 59 39 people people NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 59 40 were be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 59 41 4/7 4/7 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 59 42 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 60 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 60 2 assumed assume VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 60 3 that that IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 60 4 contact contact NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 60 5 frequencies frequency NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 60 6 in in IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 60 7 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 60 8 same same JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 60 9 age age NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 60 10 class class NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 60 11 decreased decrease VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 60 12 in in IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 60 13 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 60 14 same same JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 60 15 proportion proportion NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 60 16 in in IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 60 17 all all DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 60 18 age age NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 60 19 classes class NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 60 20 if if IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 60 21 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 60 22 Tokyo Tokyo NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 60 23 Metropolitan Metropolitan NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 60 24 Government Government NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 60 25 ( ( -LRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 60 26 TMG TMG NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 60 27 ) ) -RRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 60 28 were be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 60 29 to to TO cord-306720-86ovj7xg 60 30 declare declare VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 60 31 a a DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 60 32 lockdown lockdown NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 60 33 in in IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 60 34 Tokyo Tokyo NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 60 35 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 61 1 However however RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 61 2 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 61 3 contact contact NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 61 4 frequencies frequency NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 61 5 among among IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 61 6 other other JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 61 7 age age NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 61 8 classes class NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 61 9 were be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 61 10 assumed assume VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 61 11 not not RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 61 12 to to TO cord-306720-86ovj7xg 61 13 be be VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 61 14 changed change VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 61 15 by by IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 61 16 a a DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 61 17 lockdown lockdown NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 61 18 because because IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 61 19 most most JJS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 61 20 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 61 21 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 61 22 contact contact NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 61 23 with with IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 61 24 other other JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 61 25 age age NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 61 26 classes class NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 61 27 can can MD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 61 28 be be VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 61 29 presumed presume VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 61 30 to to TO cord-306720-86ovj7xg 61 31 occur occur VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 61 32 at at IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 61 33 home home NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 61 34 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 62 1 Contacts contact NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 62 2 at at IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 62 3 home home NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 62 4 will will MD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 62 5 probably probably RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 62 6 be be VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 62 7 unaffected unaffected JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 62 8 by by IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 62 9 a a DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 62 10 lockdown lockdown NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 62 11 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 63 1 Experience experience NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 63 2 in in IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 63 3 Japan Japan NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 63 4 has have VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 63 5 revealed reveal VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 63 6 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 63 7 pneumonia pneumonia NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 63 8 incidence incidence NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 63 9 in in IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 63 10 elderly elderly JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 63 11 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 63 12 patients patient NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 63 13 as as IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 63 14 30.6 30.6 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 63 15 % % NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 63 16 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 64 1 That that IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 64 2 among among IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 64 3 adults adult NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 64 4 is be VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 64 5 22.2 22.2 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 64 6 % % NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 64 7 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 65 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 65 2 used use VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 65 3 these these DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 65 4 ratios ratio NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 65 5 to to TO cord-306720-86ovj7xg 65 6 assume assume VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 65 7 ratios ratio NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 65 8 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 65 9 severe severe JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 65 10 cases case NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 65 11 to to IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 65 12 symptomatic symptomatic JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 65 13 cases case NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 65 14 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 66 1 Among among IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 66 2 children child NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 66 3 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 66 4 no no DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 66 5 pneumonia pneumonia NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 66 6 case case NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 66 7 has have VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 66 8 been be VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 66 9 reported report VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 66 10 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 67 1 Only only JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 67 2 pneumonia pneumonia NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 67 3 cases case NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 67 4 were be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 67 5 received receive VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 67 6 hospital hospital NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 67 7 treatment treatment NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 67 8 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 68 1 The the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 68 2 length length NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 68 3 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 68 4 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 68 5 was be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 68 6 assumed assume VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 68 7 as as IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 68 8 30 30 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 68 9 days day NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 68 10 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 69 1 Of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 69 2 those those DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 69 3 severe severe JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 69 4 cases case NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 69 5 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 69 6 30 30 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 69 7 % % NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 69 8 were be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 69 9 assumed assume VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 69 10 to to TO cord-306720-86ovj7xg 69 11 require require VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 69 12 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 69 13 use use NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 69 14 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 69 15 an an DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 69 16 intensive intensive JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 69 17 care care NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 69 18 unit unit NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 69 19 ( ( -LRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 69 20 ICU ICU NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 69 21 ) ) -RRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 69 22 and and CC cord-306720-86ovj7xg 69 23 respirator respirator NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 69 24 for for IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 69 25 20 20 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 69 26 days day NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 69 27 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 70 1 The the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 70 2 case case NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 70 3 fatality fatality NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 70 4 rate rate NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 70 5 among among IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 70 6 ICU ICU NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 70 7 patients patient NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 70 8 was be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 70 9 assumed assume VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 70 10 to to TO cord-306720-86ovj7xg 70 11 be be VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 70 12 50 50 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 70 13 % % NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 70 14 from from IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 70 15 experience experience NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 70 16 in in IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 70 17 Tokyo Tokyo NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 70 18 up up RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 70 19 through through IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 70 20 March March NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 70 21 25 25 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 70 22 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 70 23 2020 2020 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 70 24 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 71 1 However however RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 71 2 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 71 3 if if IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 71 4 patients patient NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 71 5 requiring require VBG cord-306720-86ovj7xg 71 6 care care NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 71 7 at at IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 71 8 an an DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 71 9 ICU ICU NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 71 10 or or CC cord-306720-86ovj7xg 71 11 respirator respirator NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 71 12 can can MD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 71 13 not not RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 71 14 receive receive VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 71 15 it -PRON- PRP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 71 16 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 71 17 then then RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 71 18 we -PRON- PRP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 71 19 assumed assume VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 71 20 that that IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 71 21 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 71 22 CFR CFR NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 71 23 among among IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 71 24 them -PRON- PRP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 71 25 was be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 71 26 100 100 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 71 27 % % NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 71 28 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 72 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 72 2 define define VBP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 72 3 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 72 4 collapse collapse NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 72 5 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 72 6 medical medical JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 72 7 facilities facility NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 72 8 as as IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 72 9 circumstances circumstance NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 72 10 under under IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 72 11 which which WDT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 72 12 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 72 13 necessary necessary JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 72 14 ICU ICU NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 72 15 bed bed NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 72 16 number number NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 72 17 becomes become VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 72 18 greater great JJR cord-306720-86ovj7xg 72 19 than than IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 72 20 70 70 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 72 21 % % NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 72 22 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 72 23 all all DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 72 24 existing exist VBG cord-306720-86ovj7xg 72 25 ICU ICU NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 72 26 beds bed NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 72 27 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 73 1 In in IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 73 2 Tokyo Tokyo NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 73 3 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 73 4 there there EX cord-306720-86ovj7xg 73 5 are be VBP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 73 6 1000 1000 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 73 7 ICU ICU NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 73 8 beds bed NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 73 9 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 74 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 74 2 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 74 3 if if IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 74 4 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 74 5 necessary necessary JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 74 6 number number NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 74 7 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 74 8 ICU ICU NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 74 9 beds bed NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 74 10 becomes become VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 74 11 greater great JJR cord-306720-86ovj7xg 74 12 than than IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 74 13 700 700 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 74 14 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 74 15 medical medical JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 74 16 service service NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 74 17 at at IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 74 18 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 74 19 facilities facility NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 74 20 will will MD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 74 21 collapse collapse VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 74 22 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 75 1 The the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 75 2 CFR CFR NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 75 3 among among IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 75 4 patients patient NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 75 5 who who WP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 75 6 need need VBP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 75 7 care care NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 75 8 at at IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 75 9 an an DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 75 10 ICU ICU NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 75 11 but but CC cord-306720-86ovj7xg 75 12 do do VBP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 75 13 not not RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 75 14 receive receive VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 75 15 it -PRON- PRP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 75 16 is be VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 75 17 100 100 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 75 18 % % NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 75 19 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 76 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 76 2 used use VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 76 3 data datum NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 76 4 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 76 5 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 76 6 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 76 7 community community NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 76 8 outbreak outbreak NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 76 9 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 76 10 patients patient NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 76 11 in in IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 76 12 Japan Japan NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 76 13 who who WP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 76 14 showed show VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 76 15 any any DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 76 16 symptom symptom NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 76 17 during during IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 76 18 January January NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 76 19 14 14 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 76 20 -March -march SYM cord-306720-86ovj7xg 76 21 28 28 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 76 22 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 76 23 2020 2020 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 76 24 in in IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 76 25 Tokyo Tokyo NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 76 26 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 77 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 77 2 excluded exclude VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 77 3 some some DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 77 4 patients patient NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 77 5 who who WP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 77 6 had have VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 77 7 been be VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 77 8 infected infect VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 77 9 abroad abroad RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 77 10 and and CC cord-306720-86ovj7xg 77 11 who who WP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 77 12 returned return VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 77 13 from from IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 77 14 abroad abroad RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 77 15 and and CC cord-306720-86ovj7xg 77 16 those those DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 77 17 who who WP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 77 18 were be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 77 19 presumed presume VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 77 20 to to TO cord-306720-86ovj7xg 77 21 be be VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 77 22 infected infect VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 77 23 persons person NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 77 24 All all DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 77 25 rights right NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 77 26 reserved reserve VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 77 27 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 78 1 No no DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 78 2 reuse reuse NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 78 3 allowed allow VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 78 4 without without IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 78 5 permission permission NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 78 6 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 79 1 author author NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 79 2 / / SYM cord-306720-86ovj7xg 79 3 funder funder NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 79 4 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 79 5 who who WP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 79 6 has have VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 79 7 granted grant VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 79 8 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 79 9 a a DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 79 10 license license NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 79 11 to to TO cord-306720-86ovj7xg 79 12 display display VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 79 13 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 79 14 preprint preprint NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 79 15 in in IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 79 16 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 79 17 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 80 1 The the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 80 2 copyright copyright NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 80 3 holder holder NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 80 4 for for IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 80 5 this this DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 80 6 preprint preprint NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 80 7 ( ( -LRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 80 8 which which WDT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 80 9 was be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 80 10 not not RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 80 11 peer peer NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 80 12 - - HYPH cord-306720-86ovj7xg 80 13 reviewed review VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 80 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 80 15 is be VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 80 16 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 80 17 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 81 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.02.20051490 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.02.20051490 NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 81 2 doi doi XX cord-306720-86ovj7xg 81 3 : : : cord-306720-86ovj7xg 82 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 82 2 preprint preprint NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 82 3 from from IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 82 4 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 82 5 Diamond Diamond NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 82 6 Princess Princess NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 82 7 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 83 1 They -PRON- PRP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 83 2 were be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 83 3 presumed presume VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 83 4 not not RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 83 5 to to TO cord-306720-86ovj7xg 83 6 be be VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 83 7 community community NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 83 8 - - HYPH cord-306720-86ovj7xg 83 9 acquired acquire VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 83 10 in in IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 83 11 Japan Japan NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 83 12 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 84 1 Published publish VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 84 2 information information NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 84 3 about about IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 84 4 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 84 5 patients patient NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 84 6 with with IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 84 7 symptoms symptom NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 84 8 from from IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 84 9 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 84 10 Ministry Ministry NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 84 11 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 84 12 Labour Labour NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 84 13 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 84 14 Health Health NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 84 15 and and CC cord-306720-86ovj7xg 84 16 Welfare Welfare NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 84 17 ( ( -LRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 84 18 MLHW MLHW NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 84 19 ) ) -RRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 85 1 Japan Japan NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 85 2 or or CC cord-306720-86ovj7xg 85 3 TMG TMG NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 85 4 was be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 85 5 usually usually RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 85 6 affected affect VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 85 7 adversely adversely RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 85 8 by by IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 85 9 some some DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 85 10 delay delay NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 85 11 because because IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 85 12 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 85 13 uncertainty uncertainty NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 85 14 during during IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 85 15 onset onset NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 85 16 to to IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 85 17 visiting visit VBG cord-306720-86ovj7xg 85 18 a a DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 85 19 doctor doctor NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 85 20 or or CC cord-306720-86ovj7xg 85 21 in in IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 85 22 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 85 23 timing timing NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 85 24 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 85 25 a a DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 85 26 physician physician NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 85 27 's 's POS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 85 28 suspicion suspicion NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 85 29 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 85 30 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 85 31 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 86 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 86 2 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 86 3 published publish VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 86 4 data datum NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 86 5 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 86 6 patients patient NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 86 7 must must MD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 86 8 be be VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 86 9 adjusted adjust VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 86 10 at at IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 86 11 least least JJS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 86 12 a a DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 86 13 few few JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 86 14 days day NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 86 15 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 87 1 To to TO cord-306720-86ovj7xg 87 2 adjust adjust VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 87 3 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 87 4 data datum NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 87 5 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 87 6 we -PRON- PRP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 87 7 applied apply VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 87 8 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 87 9 following following JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 87 10 regression regression NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 87 11 analysis analysis NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 87 12 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 88 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 88 2 set set VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 88 3 Xt Xt NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 88 4 - - HYPH cord-306720-86ovj7xg 88 5 k|t k|t NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 88 6 as as IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 88 7 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 88 8 number number NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 88 9 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 88 10 patients patient NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 88 11 for for IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 88 12 whom whom WP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 88 13 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 88 14 onset onset NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 88 15 date date NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 88 16 was be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 88 17 t t NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 88 18 - - HYPH cord-306720-86ovj7xg 88 19 k k NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 88 20 published publish VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 88 21 on on IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 88 22 day day NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 89 1 t. t. NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 90 1 The the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 90 2 dependent dependent JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 90 3 variables variable NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 90 4 are be VBP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 90 5 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 90 6 degree degree NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 90 7 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 90 8 reporting reporting NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 90 9 delay delay NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 90 10 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 90 11 where where WRB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 90 12 k k XX cord-306720-86ovj7xg 90 13 > > XX cord-306720-86ovj7xg 90 14 m m NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 90 15 for for IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 90 16 several several JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 90 17 m m NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 90 18 and and CC cord-306720-86ovj7xg 90 19 k. k. NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 91 1 Here here RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 91 2 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 91 3 m m NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 91 4 denotes denote VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 91 5 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 91 6 difference difference NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 91 7 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 91 8 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 91 9 publishing publishing NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 91 10 dates date NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 91 11 between between IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 91 12 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 91 13 two two CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 91 14 published publish VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 91 15 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 92 1 Date date NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 92 2 t t NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 92 3 represents represent VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 92 4 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 92 5 publishing publishing NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 92 6 date date NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 92 7 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 92 8 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 92 9 latest late JJS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 92 10 publishing publishing NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 92 11 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 93 1 The the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 93 2 explanatory explanatory JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 93 3 variables variable NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 93 4 were be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 93 5 1 1 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 94 1 /k /k NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 94 2 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 94 3 1 1 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 94 4 / / SYM cord-306720-86ovj7xg 94 5 m m NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 94 6 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 94 7 and and CC cord-306720-86ovj7xg 94 8 1 1 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 94 9 / / SYM cord-306720-86ovj7xg 94 10 km km NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 94 11 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 95 1 The the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 95 2 degree degree NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 95 3 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 95 4 reporting reporting NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 95 5 delay delay NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 95 6 was be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 95 7 estimated estimate VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 95 8 as as IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 95 9 [ [ -LRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 95 10 estimated estimate VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 95 11 coefficient coefficient NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 95 12 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 95 13 constant constant JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 95 14 term term NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 95 15 ] ] -RRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 95 16 + + SYM cord-306720-86ovj7xg 95 17 [ [ -LRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 95 18 estimated estimate VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 95 19 coefficient coefficient NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 95 20 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 95 21 1 1 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 95 22 / / SYM cord-306720-86ovj7xg 95 23 k]/k k]/k NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 95 24 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 95 25 when when WRB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 95 26 m m NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 95 27 was be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 95 28 sufficiently sufficiently RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 95 29 large large JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 95 30 and and CC cord-306720-86ovj7xg 95 31 time time NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 95 32 had have VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 95 33 passed pass VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 95 34 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 96 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 96 2 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 96 3 this this DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 96 4 estimated estimate VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 96 5 degree degree NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 96 6 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 96 7 reporting reporting NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 96 8 delay delay NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 96 9 multiplied multiply VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 96 10 by by IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 96 11 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 96 12 latest late JJS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 96 13 published publish VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 96 14 data datum NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 96 15 is be VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 96 16 expected expect VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 96 17 to to TO cord-306720-86ovj7xg 96 18 be be VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 96 19 a a DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 96 20 prediction prediction NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 96 21 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 96 22 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 96 23 number number NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 96 24 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 96 25 patients patient NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 96 26 for for IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 96 27 whom whom WP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 96 28 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 96 29 onset onset NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 96 30 date date NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 96 31 was be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 96 32 t t NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 96 33 - - HYPH cord-306720-86ovj7xg 96 34 k k NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 96 35 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 97 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 97 2 used use VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 97 3 this this DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 97 4 adjusted adjust VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 97 5 number number NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 97 6 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 97 7 patients patient NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 97 8 in in IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 97 9 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 97 10 latest late JJS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 97 11 few few JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 97 12 days day NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 97 13 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 97 14 including include VBG cord-306720-86ovj7xg 97 15 those those DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 97 16 after after IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 97 17 VEC VEC NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 97 18 was be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 97 19 adopted adopt VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 97 20 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 98 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 98 2 used use VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 98 3 published publish VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 98 4 data datum NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 98 5 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 98 6 2 2 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 98 7 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 98 8 5 5 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 98 9 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 98 10 6 6 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 98 11 and and CC cord-306720-86ovj7xg 98 12 9 9 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 98 13 - - SYM cord-306720-86ovj7xg 98 14 17 17 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 98 15 March March NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 98 16 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 98 17 2020 2020 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 98 18 provided provide VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 98 19 by by IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 98 20 MLHW MLHW NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 98 21 [ [ -LRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 98 22 1 1 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 98 23 ] ] -RRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 98 24 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 99 1 First first RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 99 2 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 99 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 99 4 estimated estimate VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 99 5 R r NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 99 6 0 0 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 99 7 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 100 1 Then then RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 100 2 we -PRON- PRP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 100 3 predicted predict VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 100 4 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 100 5 peak peak NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 100 6 date date NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 100 7 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 100 8 total total JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 100 9 number number NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 100 10 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 100 11 symptomatic symptomatic JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 100 12 cases case NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 100 13 and and CC cord-306720-86ovj7xg 100 14 mortality mortality NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 100 15 cases case NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 100 16 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 100 17 maximum maximum JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 100 18 number number NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 100 19 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 100 20 newly newly RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 100 21 infected infected JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 100 22 symptomatic symptomatic JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 100 23 cases case NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 100 24 per per IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 100 25 day day NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 100 26 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 100 27 beds bed NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 100 28 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 100 29 and and CC cord-306720-86ovj7xg 100 30 ICU ICU NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 100 31 beds bed NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 100 32 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 101 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 101 2 also also RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 101 3 predicted predict VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 101 4 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 101 5 date date NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 101 6 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 101 7 collapse collapse NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 101 8 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 101 9 medical medical JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 101 10 facilities facility NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 101 11 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 102 1 Moreover moreover RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 102 2 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 102 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 102 4 predicted predict VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 102 5 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 102 6 effects effect NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 102 7 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 102 8 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 102 9 lockdown lockdown NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 102 10 from from IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 102 11 April April NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 102 12 6 6 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 102 13 and and CC cord-306720-86ovj7xg 102 14 measured measure VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 102 15 whether whether IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 102 16 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 102 17 medical medical JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 102 18 system system NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 102 19 would would MD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 102 20 collapse collapse VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 102 21 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 103 1 Then then RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 103 2 for for IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 103 3 cases case NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 103 4 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 103 5 collapse collapse NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 103 6 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 103 7 we -PRON- PRP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 103 8 inferred infer VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 103 9 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 103 10 date date NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 103 11 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 103 12 collapse collapse NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 103 13 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 104 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 104 2 calculated calculate VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 104 3 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 104 4 95 95 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 104 5 % % NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 104 6 CI ci NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 104 7 through through IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 104 8 10,000 10,000 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 104 9 bootstrapped bootstrappe VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 104 10 distributions distribution NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 104 11 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 105 1 All all DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 105 2 rights right NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 105 3 reserved reserve VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 105 4 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 106 1 No no DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 106 2 reuse reuse NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 106 3 allowed allow VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 106 4 without without IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 106 5 permission permission NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 106 6 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 107 1 author author NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 107 2 / / SYM cord-306720-86ovj7xg 107 3 funder funder NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 107 4 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 107 5 who who WP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 107 6 has have VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 107 7 granted grant VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 107 8 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 107 9 a a DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 107 10 license license NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 107 11 to to TO cord-306720-86ovj7xg 107 12 display display VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 107 13 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 107 14 preprint preprint NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 107 15 in in IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 107 16 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 107 17 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 108 1 The the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 108 2 copyright copyright NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 108 3 holder holder NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 108 4 for for IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 108 5 this this DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 108 6 preprint preprint NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 108 7 ( ( -LRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 108 8 which which WDT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 108 9 was be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 108 10 not not RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 108 11 peer peer NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 108 12 - - HYPH cord-306720-86ovj7xg 108 13 reviewed review VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 108 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 108 15 is be VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 108 16 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 108 17 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 109 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.02.20051490 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.02.20051490 NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 109 2 doi doi XX cord-306720-86ovj7xg 109 3 : : : cord-306720-86ovj7xg 110 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 110 2 preprint preprint NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 111 1 All all DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 111 2 information information NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 111 3 used use VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 111 4 for for IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 111 5 this this DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 111 6 study study NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 111 7 has have VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 111 8 been be VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 111 9 collected collect VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 111 10 under under IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 111 11 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 111 12 Law Law NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 111 13 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 111 14 Infection Infection NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 111 15 Control Control NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 111 16 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 111 17 Japan Japan NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 111 18 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 112 1 There there EX cord-306720-86ovj7xg 112 2 is be VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 112 3 therefore therefore RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 112 4 no no DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 112 5 ethical ethical JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 112 6 issue issue NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 112 7 related relate VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 112 8 to to IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 112 9 this this DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 112 10 study study NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 112 11 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 113 1 During during IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 113 2 January January NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 113 3 14 14 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 113 4 -March -March NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 113 5 28 28 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 113 6 in in IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 113 7 Tokyo Tokyo NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 113 8 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 113 9 4 4 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 113 10 cases case NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 113 11 among among IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 113 12 children child NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 113 13 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 113 14 145 145 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 113 15 cases case NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 113 16 among among IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 113 17 adults adult NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 113 18 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 113 19 and and CC cord-306720-86ovj7xg 113 20 85 85 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 113 21 cases case NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 113 22 among among IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 113 23 elderly elderly JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 113 24 people people NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 113 25 were be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 113 26 identified identify VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 113 27 as as IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 113 28 community community NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 113 29 - - HYPH cord-306720-86ovj7xg 113 30 acquired acquire VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 113 31 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 113 32 for for IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 113 33 whom whom WP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 113 34 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 113 35 onset onset NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 113 36 date date NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 113 37 was be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 113 38 published publish VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 113 39 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 114 1 Figure figure NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 114 2 1 1 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 114 3 depicts depict VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 114 4 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 114 5 empirical empirical JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 114 6 distribution distribution NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 114 7 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 114 8 incubation incubation NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 114 9 period period NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 114 10 among among IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 114 11 62 62 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 114 12 cases case NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 114 13 for for IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 114 14 which which WDT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 114 15 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 114 16 exposed expose VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 114 17 date date NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 114 18 and and CC cord-306720-86ovj7xg 114 19 onset onset NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 114 20 date date NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 114 21 were be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 114 22 published publish VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 114 23 by by IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 114 24 MHLW MHLW NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 114 25 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 115 1 Its -PRON- PRP$ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 115 2 mode mode NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 115 3 and and CC cord-306720-86ovj7xg 115 4 median median NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 115 5 were be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 115 6 six six CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 115 7 days day NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 115 8 ; ; : cord-306720-86ovj7xg 115 9 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 115 10 average average NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 115 11 was be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 115 12 6.74 6.74 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 115 13 days day NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 115 14 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 116 1 Table table NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 116 2 3 3 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 117 1 according accord VBG cord-306720-86ovj7xg 117 2 All all DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 117 3 rights right NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 117 4 reserved reserve VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 117 5 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 118 1 No no DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 118 2 reuse reuse NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 118 3 allowed allow VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 118 4 without without IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 118 5 permission permission NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 118 6 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 119 1 author author NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 119 2 / / SYM cord-306720-86ovj7xg 119 3 funder funder NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 119 4 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 119 5 who who WP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 119 6 has have VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 119 7 granted grant VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 119 8 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 119 9 a a DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 119 10 license license NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 119 11 to to TO cord-306720-86ovj7xg 119 12 display display VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 119 13 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 119 14 preprint preprint NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 119 15 in in IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 119 16 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 119 17 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 120 1 The the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 120 2 copyright copyright NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 120 3 holder holder NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 120 4 for for IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 120 5 this this DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 120 6 preprint preprint NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 120 7 ( ( -LRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 120 8 which which WDT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 120 9 was be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 120 10 not not RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 120 11 peer peer NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 120 12 - - HYPH cord-306720-86ovj7xg 120 13 reviewed review VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 120 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 120 15 is be VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 120 16 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 120 17 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 121 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.02.20051490 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.02.20051490 NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 121 2 doi doi XX cord-306720-86ovj7xg 121 3 : : : cord-306720-86ovj7xg 122 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 122 2 preprint preprint NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 122 3 to to IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 122 4 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 122 5 proportion proportion NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 122 6 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 122 7 voluntary voluntary JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 122 8 restriction restriction NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 122 9 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 122 10 people people NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 122 11 leaving leave VBG cord-306720-86ovj7xg 122 12 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 122 13 home home NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 122 14 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 123 1 A a DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 123 2 collapse collapse NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 123 3 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 123 4 medical medical JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 123 5 facilities facility NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 123 6 could could MD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 123 7 be be VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 123 8 prevented prevent VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 123 9 if if IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 123 10 more more JJR cord-306720-86ovj7xg 123 11 than than IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 123 12 60 60 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 123 13 % % NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 123 14 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 123 15 trips trip NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 123 16 outside outside RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 123 17 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 123 18 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 123 19 home home NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 123 20 were be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 123 21 restricted restrict VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 123 22 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 124 1 The the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 124 2 collapse collapse NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 124 3 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 124 4 medical medical JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 124 5 facilities facility NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 124 6 could could MD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 124 7 e e VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 124 8 postponed postpone VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 124 9 by by IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 124 10 three three CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 124 11 months month NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 124 12 if if IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 124 13 more more JJR cord-306720-86ovj7xg 124 14 than than IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 124 15 50 50 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 124 16 % % NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 124 17 but but CC cord-306720-86ovj7xg 124 18 fewer few JJR cord-306720-86ovj7xg 124 19 than than IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 124 20 60 60 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 124 21 % % NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 124 22 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 124 23 trips trip NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 124 24 outside outside RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 124 25 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 124 26 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 124 27 home home NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 124 28 going go VBG cord-306720-86ovj7xg 124 29 were be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 124 30 restricted restrict VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 124 31 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 125 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 125 2 applied apply VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 125 3 a a DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 125 4 simple simple JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 125 5 SIR SIR NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 125 6 model model NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 125 7 with with IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 125 8 three three CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 125 9 age age NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 125 10 classes class NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 125 11 including include VBG cord-306720-86ovj7xg 125 12 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 125 13 cases case NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 125 14 and and CC cord-306720-86ovj7xg 125 15 assuming assume VBG cord-306720-86ovj7xg 125 16 some some DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 125 17 proportion proportion NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 125 18 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 125 19 children child NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 125 20 as as IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 125 21 protected protect VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 125 22 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 126 1 An an DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 126 2 earlier early JJR cord-306720-86ovj7xg 126 3 study study NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 126 4 [ [ -LRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 126 5 13 13 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 126 6 ] ] -RRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 126 7 [ [ -LRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 126 8 14 14 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 126 9 ] ] -RRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 126 10 [ [ -LRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 126 11 15 15 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 126 12 ] ] -RRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 126 13 estimated estimate VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 126 14 R r NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 126 15 0 0 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 126 16 for for IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 126 17 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 126 18 as as IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 126 19 2.24 2.24 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 126 20 - - SYM cord-306720-86ovj7xg 126 21 3.58 3.58 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 126 22 in in IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 126 23 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 126 24 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 127 1 Our -PRON- PRP$ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 127 2 obtained obtain VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 128 1 R r NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 128 2 0 0 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 128 3 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 128 4 2.86 2.86 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 128 5 was be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 128 6 very very RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 128 7 similar similar JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 128 8 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 129 1 However however RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 129 2 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 129 3 one one CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 129 4 study study NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 129 5 revealed reveal VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 129 6 that that IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 129 7 R r NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 129 8 0 0 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 129 9 in in IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 129 10 Japan Japan NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 129 11 up up RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 129 12 through through IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 129 13 26 26 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 129 14 February February NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 129 15 was be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 129 16 just just RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 129 17 0.6 0.6 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 129 18 [ [ -LRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 129 19 16 16 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 129 20 ] ] -RRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 129 21 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 130 1 Their -PRON- PRP$ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 130 2 evidence evidence NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 130 3 given give VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 130 4 was be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 130 5 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 130 6 number number NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 130 7 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 130 8 secondarily secondarily RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 130 9 infected infected JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 130 10 people people NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 130 11 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 131 1 Of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 131 2 110 110 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 131 3 primary primary JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 131 4 cases case NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 131 5 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 131 6 they -PRON- PRP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 131 7 found find VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 131 8 that that IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 131 9 83 83 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 131 10 cases case NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 131 11 did do VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 131 12 not not RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 131 13 infect infect VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 131 14 anyone anyone NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 131 15 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 132 1 Nevertheless nevertheless RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 132 2 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 132 3 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 132 4 findings finding NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 132 5 must must MD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 132 6 be be VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 132 7 considered consider VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 132 8 carefully carefully RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 132 9 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 133 1 They -PRON- PRP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 133 2 specifically specifically RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 133 3 examined examine VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 133 4 only only RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 133 5 those those DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 133 6 patients patient NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 133 7 who who WP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 133 8 had have VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 133 9 been be VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 133 10 infected infect VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 133 11 by by IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 133 12 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 133 13 known know VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 133 14 confirmed confirm VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 133 15 cases case NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 133 16 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 134 1 However however RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 134 2 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 134 3 half half NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 134 4 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 134 5 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 134 6 patients patient NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 134 7 had have VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 134 8 no no DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 134 9 link link NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 134 10 to to IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 134 11 any any DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 134 12 known know VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 134 13 confirmed confirm VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 134 14 case case NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 134 15 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 135 1 They -PRON- PRP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 135 2 were be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 135 3 probably probably RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 135 4 counted count VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 135 5 as as IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 135 6 primary primary JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 135 7 cases case NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 135 8 but but CC cord-306720-86ovj7xg 135 9 not not RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 135 10 as as IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 135 11 secondary secondary JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 135 12 cases case NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 135 13 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 136 1 They -PRON- PRP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 136 2 were be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 136 3 infected infect VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 136 4 by by IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 136 5 someone someone NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 136 6 in in IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 136 7 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 136 8 community community NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 136 9 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 137 1 In in IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 137 2 fact fact NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 137 3 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 137 4 until until IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 137 5 26 26 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 137 6 February February NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 137 7 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 137 8 there there EX cord-306720-86ovj7xg 137 9 were be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 137 10 302 302 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 137 11 infected infect VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 137 12 persons person NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 137 13 in in IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 137 14 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 137 15 community community NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 137 16 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 138 1 Of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 138 2 those those DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 138 3 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 138 4 161 161 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 138 5 cases case NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 138 6 were be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 138 7 unlinked unlinked JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 138 8 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 139 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 139 2 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 139 3 those those DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 139 4 unlinked unlinked JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 139 5 161 161 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 139 6 cases case NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 139 7 were be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 139 8 actually actually RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 139 9 secondary secondary JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 139 10 cases case NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 139 11 that that WDT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 139 12 had have VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 139 13 not not RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 139 14 appeared appear VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 139 15 as as IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 139 16 secondary secondary JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 139 17 cases case NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 139 18 in in IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 139 19 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 139 20 figures figure NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 139 21 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 139 22 an an DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 139 23 earlier early JJR cord-306720-86ovj7xg 139 24 study study NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 139 25 [ [ -LRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 139 26 14 14 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 139 27 ] ] -RRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 139 28 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 140 1 All all DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 140 2 rights right NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 140 3 reserved reserve VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 140 4 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 141 1 No no DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 141 2 reuse reuse NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 141 3 allowed allow VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 141 4 without without IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 141 5 permission permission NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 141 6 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 142 1 author author NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 142 2 / / SYM cord-306720-86ovj7xg 142 3 funder funder NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 142 4 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 142 5 who who WP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 142 6 has have VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 142 7 granted grant VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 142 8 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 142 9 a a DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 142 10 license license NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 142 11 to to TO cord-306720-86ovj7xg 142 12 display display VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 142 13 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 142 14 preprint preprint NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 142 15 in in IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 142 16 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 142 17 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 143 1 The the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 143 2 copyright copyright NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 143 3 holder holder NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 143 4 for for IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 143 5 this this DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 143 6 preprint preprint NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 143 7 ( ( -LRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 143 8 which which WDT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 143 9 was be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 143 10 not not RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 143 11 peer peer NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 143 12 - - HYPH cord-306720-86ovj7xg 143 13 reviewed review VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 143 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 143 15 is be VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 143 16 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 143 17 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 144 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.02.20051490 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.02.20051490 NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 144 2 doi doi XX cord-306720-86ovj7xg 144 3 : : : cord-306720-86ovj7xg 145 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 145 2 preprint preprint NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 145 3 One One NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 145 4 might may MD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 145 5 assume assume VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 145 6 that that IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 145 7 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 145 8 primary primary JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 145 9 cases case NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 145 10 which which WDT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 145 11 proceeded proceed VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 145 12 to to TO cord-306720-86ovj7xg 145 13 infect infect VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 145 14 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 145 15 unlinked unlinked JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 145 16 secondary secondary JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 145 17 cases case NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 145 18 were be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 145 19 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 145 20 same same JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 145 21 as as IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 145 22 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 145 23 110 110 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 145 24 primary primary JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 145 25 cases case NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 145 26 in in IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 145 27 an an DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 145 28 earlier early JJR cord-306720-86ovj7xg 145 29 study study NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 145 30 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 146 1 If if IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 146 2 so so RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 146 3 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 146 4 then then RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 146 5 R r NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 146 6 0 0 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 146 7 should should MD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 146 8 be be VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 146 9 2.1 2.1 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 146 10 ( ( -LRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 146 11 = = SYM cord-306720-86ovj7xg 146 12 0.6 0.6 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 146 13 + + SYM cord-306720-86ovj7xg 146 14 161/110 161/110 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 146 15 ) ) -RRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 146 16 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 147 1 Alternatively alternatively RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 147 2 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 147 3 one one PRP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 147 4 can can MD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 147 5 infer infer VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 147 6 that that IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 147 7 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 147 8 primary primary JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 147 9 cases case NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 147 10 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 147 11 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 147 12 unlinked unlinked JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 147 13 patients patient NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 147 14 were be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 147 15 not not RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 147 16 identified identify VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 147 17 by by IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 147 18 a a DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 147 19 public public JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 147 20 health health NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 147 21 center center NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 147 22 ( ( -LRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 147 23 PHC PHC NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 147 24 ) ) -RRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 147 25 and and CC cord-306720-86ovj7xg 147 26 that that IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 147 27 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 147 28 distribution distribution NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 147 29 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 147 30 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 147 31 secondary secondary JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 147 32 cases case NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 147 33 was be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 147 34 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 147 35 same same JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 147 36 as as IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 147 37 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 147 38 figure figure NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 147 39 in in IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 147 40 an an DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 147 41 early early JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 147 42 study study NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 147 43 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 148 1 That that DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 148 2 would would MD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 148 3 mean mean VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 148 4 that that IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 148 5 28 28 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 148 6 primary primary JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 148 7 cases case NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 148 8 infected infect VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 148 9 66 66 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 148 10 secondary secondary JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 148 11 cases case NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 148 12 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 149 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 149 2 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 149 3 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 149 4 average average JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 149 5 number number NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 149 6 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 149 7 secondary secondary JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 149 8 cases case NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 149 9 conditional conditional JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 149 10 on on IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 149 11 those those DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 149 12 which which WDT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 149 13 infected infect VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 149 14 more more JJR cord-306720-86ovj7xg 149 15 than than IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 149 16 one one CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 149 17 person person NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 149 18 was be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 149 19 2.44 2.44 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 149 20 ( ( -LRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 149 21 = = SYM cord-306720-86ovj7xg 149 22 66/27 66/27 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 149 23 ) ) -RRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 149 24 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 150 1 Presumably presumably RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 150 2 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 150 3 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 150 4 161 161 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 150 5 unlinked unlinked JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 150 6 cases case NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 150 7 were be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 150 8 infected infect VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 150 9 by by IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 150 10 66 66 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 150 11 hypothetical hypothetical JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 150 12 primary primary JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 150 13 cases case NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 150 14 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 151 1 Moreover moreover RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 151 2 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 151 3 these these DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 151 4 hypothetical hypothetical JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 151 5 66 66 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 151 6 cases case NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 151 7 represented represent VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 151 8 infection infection NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 151 9 by by IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 151 10 27 27 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 151 11 other other JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 151 12 cases case NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 151 13 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 151 14 and and CC cord-306720-86ovj7xg 151 15 so so RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 151 16 on on RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 151 17 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 152 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 152 2 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 152 3 112 112 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 152 4 cases case NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 152 5 infected infect VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 152 6 273 273 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 152 7 cases case NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 152 8 which which WDT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 152 9 were be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 152 10 not not RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 152 11 identified identify VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 152 12 by by IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 152 13 a a DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 152 14 PHC phc NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 152 15 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 153 1 In in IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 153 2 total total NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 153 3 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 153 4 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 153 5 average average JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 153 6 number number NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 153 7 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 153 8 secondary secondary JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 153 9 cases case NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 153 10 is be VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 153 11 expected expect VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 153 12 to to TO cord-306720-86ovj7xg 153 13 be be VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 153 14 1.5 1.5 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 153 15 ( ( -LRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 153 16 = = NFP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 153 17 ( ( -LRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 153 18 66 66 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 153 19 + + SYM cord-306720-86ovj7xg 153 20 273)/(110 273)/(110 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 153 21 + + SYM cord-306720-86ovj7xg 153 22 112 112 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 153 23 ) ) -RRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 153 24 ) ) -RRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 153 25 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 154 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 154 2 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 154 3 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 154 4 true true JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 154 5 number number NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 154 6 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 154 7 R r NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 154 8 0 0 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 154 9 is be VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 154 10 expected expect VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 154 11 to to TO cord-306720-86ovj7xg 154 12 be be VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 154 13 in in IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 154 14 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 154 15 range range NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 154 16 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 154 17 1.5 1.5 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 154 18 - - SYM cord-306720-86ovj7xg 154 19 2.1 2.1 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 154 20 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 155 1 These these DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 155 2 numbers number NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 155 3 are be VBP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 155 4 slightly slightly RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 155 5 smaller small JJR cord-306720-86ovj7xg 155 6 than than IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 155 7 other other JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 155 8 estimates estimate NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 155 9 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 155 10 but but CC cord-306720-86ovj7xg 155 11 far far RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 155 12 greater great JJR cord-306720-86ovj7xg 155 13 than than IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 155 14 one one CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 155 15 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 156 1 Moreover moreover RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 156 2 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 156 3 on on IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 156 4 April April NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 156 5 26 26 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 156 6 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 156 7 medical medical JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 156 8 services service NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 156 9 can can MD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 156 10 be be VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 156 11 expected expect VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 156 12 to to TO cord-306720-86ovj7xg 156 13 collapse collapse VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 156 14 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 157 1 Eventually eventually RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 157 2 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 157 3 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 157 4 cases case NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 157 5 ending end VBG cord-306720-86ovj7xg 157 6 in in IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 157 7 mortality mortality NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 157 8 will will MD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 157 9 be be VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 157 10 approximately approximately RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 157 11 0.5 0.5 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 157 12 million million CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 157 13 in in IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 157 14 Tokyo Tokyo NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 157 15 if if IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 157 16 no no DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 157 17 lockout lockout NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 157 18 is be VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 157 19 conducted conduct VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 157 20 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 158 1 The the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 158 2 number number NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 158 3 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 158 4 deaths death NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 158 5 will will MD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 158 6 be be VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 158 7 about about RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 158 8 five five CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 158 9 times time NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 158 10 greater great JJR cord-306720-86ovj7xg 158 11 than than IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 158 12 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 158 13 average average JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 158 14 number number NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 158 15 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 158 16 deaths death NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 158 17 during during IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 158 18 an an DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 158 19 equivalent equivalent JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 158 20 period period NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 158 21 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 159 1 Results result NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 159 2 also also RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 159 3 demonstrate demonstrate VBP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 159 4 that that IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 159 5 if if IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 159 6 a a DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 159 7 lockdown lockdown NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 159 8 is be VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 159 9 initiated initiate VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 159 10 on on IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 159 11 April April NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 159 12 6 6 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 159 13 and and CC cord-306720-86ovj7xg 159 14 if if IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 159 15 more more JJR cord-306720-86ovj7xg 159 16 than than IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 159 17 60 60 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 159 18 % % NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 159 19 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 159 20 trips trip NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 159 21 outside outside IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 159 22 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 159 23 home home NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 159 24 were be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 159 25 restricted restrict VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 159 26 voluntarily voluntarily RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 159 27 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 159 28 then then RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 159 29 collapse collapse NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 159 30 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 159 31 medical medical JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 159 32 facilities facility NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 159 33 might may MD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 159 34 be be VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 159 35 avoided avoid VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 159 36 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 160 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 160 2 is be VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 160 3 noteworthy noteworthy JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 160 4 that that IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 160 5 no no DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 160 6 law law NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 160 7 exists exist VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 160 8 to to TO cord-306720-86ovj7xg 160 9 enforce enforce VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 160 10 curfews curfew NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 160 11 in in IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 160 12 Japan Japan NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 160 13 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 161 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 161 2 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 161 3 a a DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 161 4 lockout lockout NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 161 5 would would MD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 161 6 ask ask VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 161 7 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 161 8 not not RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 161 9 force force VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 161 10 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 161 11 residents resident NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 161 12 to to TO cord-306720-86ovj7xg 161 13 avoid avoid VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 161 14 leaving leave VBG cord-306720-86ovj7xg 161 15 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 161 16 home home NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 161 17 voluntarily voluntarily RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 161 18 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 162 1 Consequently consequently RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 162 2 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 162 3 cooperation cooperation NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 162 4 with with IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 162 5 a a DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 162 6 lockout lockout NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 162 7 must must MD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 162 8 achieve achieve VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 162 9 voluntary voluntary JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 162 10 cooperation cooperation NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 162 11 to to IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 162 12 a a DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 162 13 great great JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 162 14 degree degree NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 162 15 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 163 1 Evidence evidence NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 163 2 related relate VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 163 3 to to IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 163 4 compliance compliance NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 163 5 is be VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 163 6 All all DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 163 7 rights right NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 163 8 reserved reserve VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 163 9 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 164 1 No no DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 164 2 reuse reuse NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 164 3 allowed allow VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 164 4 without without IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 164 5 permission permission NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 164 6 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 165 1 author author NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 165 2 / / SYM cord-306720-86ovj7xg 165 3 funder funder NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 165 4 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 165 5 who who WP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 165 6 has have VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 165 7 granted grant VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 165 8 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 165 9 a a DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 165 10 license license NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 165 11 to to TO cord-306720-86ovj7xg 165 12 display display VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 165 13 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 165 14 preprint preprint NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 165 15 in in IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 165 16 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 165 17 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 166 1 The the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 166 2 copyright copyright NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 166 3 holder holder NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 166 4 for for IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 166 5 this this DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 166 6 preprint preprint NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 166 7 ( ( -LRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 166 8 which which WDT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 166 9 was be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 166 10 not not RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 166 11 peer peer NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 166 12 - - HYPH cord-306720-86ovj7xg 166 13 reviewed review VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 166 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 166 15 is be VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 166 16 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 166 17 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 167 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.02.20051490 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.02.20051490 NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 167 2 doi doi XX cord-306720-86ovj7xg 167 3 : : : cord-306720-86ovj7xg 168 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 168 2 preprint preprint NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 168 3 scarce scarce JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 168 4 because because IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 168 5 no no DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 168 6 lockdown lockdown NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 168 7 has have VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 168 8 been be VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 168 9 conducted conduct VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 168 10 in in IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 168 11 Japan Japan NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 168 12 to to IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 168 13 date date NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 168 14 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 169 1 An an DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 169 2 exceptional exceptional JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 169 3 study study NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 169 4 asked ask VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 169 5 people people NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 169 6 about about IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 169 7 restricting restrict VBG cord-306720-86ovj7xg 169 8 movement movement NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 169 9 outside outside IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 169 10 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 169 11 home home NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 169 12 if if IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 169 13 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 169 14 government government NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 169 15 asked ask VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 169 16 them -PRON- PRP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 169 17 to to TO cord-306720-86ovj7xg 169 18 do do VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 169 19 it -PRON- PRP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 169 20 [ [ -LRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 169 21 17 17 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 169 22 ] ] -RRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 169 23 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 170 1 Results result NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 170 2 showed show VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 170 3 that that IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 170 4 93.3 93.3 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 170 5 % % NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 170 6 would would MD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 170 7 comply comply VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 170 8 voluntarily voluntarily RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 170 9 with with IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 170 10 such such PDT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 170 11 a a DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 170 12 government government NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 170 13 request request NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 170 14 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 171 1 Collapse collapse NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 171 2 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 171 3 medical medical JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 171 4 facilities facility NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 171 5 from from IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 171 6 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 171 7 might may MD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 171 8 be be VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 171 9 avoided avoid VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 171 10 in in IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 171 11 Japan Japan NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 171 12 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 171 13 even even RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 171 14 with with IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 171 15 no no DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 171 16 enforcement enforcement NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 171 17 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 171 18 a a DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 171 19 lockdown lockdown NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 171 20 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 171 21 because because IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 171 22 strong strong JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 171 23 compliance compliance NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 171 24 can can MD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 171 25 be be VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 171 26 expected expect VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 171 27 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 172 1 Our -PRON- PRP$ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 172 2 unpublished unpublished JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 172 3 research research NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 172 4 suggests suggest VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 172 5 that that IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 172 6 school school NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 172 7 closure closure NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 172 8 since since IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 172 9 March March NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 172 10 2 2 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 172 11 decreased decrease VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 172 12 contact contact NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 172 13 frequencies frequency NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 172 14 among among IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 172 15 children child NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 172 16 by by IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 172 17 40 40 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 172 18 % % NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 172 19 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 173 1 Voluntary voluntary JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 173 2 event event NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 173 3 cancellation cancellation NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 173 4 since since IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 173 5 February February NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 173 6 27 27 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 173 7 decreased decrease VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 173 8 it -PRON- PRP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 173 9 among among IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 173 10 adults adult NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 173 11 by by IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 173 12 50 50 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 173 13 % % NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 173 14 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 174 1 Although although IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 174 2 a a DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 174 3 collapse collapse NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 174 4 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 174 5 medical medical JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 174 6 facilities facility NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 174 7 has have VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 174 8 been be VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 174 9 postponed postpone VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 174 10 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 174 11 it -PRON- PRP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 174 12 appears appear VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 174 13 to to TO cord-306720-86ovj7xg 174 14 be be VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 174 15 unavoidable unavoidable JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 174 16 if if IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 174 17 we -PRON- PRP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 174 18 apply apply VBP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 174 19 these these DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 174 20 numbers number NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 174 21 to to IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 174 22 a a DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 174 23 lockdown lockdown NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 174 24 effect effect NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 174 25 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 175 1 The the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 175 2 SIR SIR NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 175 3 model model NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 175 4 is be VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 175 5 too too RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 175 6 simple simple JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 175 7 to to TO cord-306720-86ovj7xg 175 8 incorporate incorporate VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 175 9 households household NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 175 10 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 175 11 firms firm NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 175 12 or or CC cord-306720-86ovj7xg 175 13 schools school NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 175 14 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 176 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 176 2 is be VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 176 3 a a DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 176 4 completely completely RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 176 5 mixed mixed JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 176 6 model model NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 176 7 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 177 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 177 2 therefore therefore RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 177 3 ignores ignore VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 177 4 some some DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 177 5 difference difference NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 177 6 inside inside IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 177 7 and and CC cord-306720-86ovj7xg 177 8 outside outside IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 177 9 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 177 10 those those DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 177 11 groups group NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 177 12 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 178 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 178 2 can can MD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 178 3 adjust adjust VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 178 4 contact contact NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 178 5 patterns pattern NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 178 6 to to TO cord-306720-86ovj7xg 178 7 mimic mimic VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 178 8 some some DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 178 9 policies policy NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 178 10 including include VBG cord-306720-86ovj7xg 178 11 lockdowns lockdown NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 178 12 or or CC cord-306720-86ovj7xg 178 13 school school NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 178 14 closures closure NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 178 15 as as IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 178 16 in in IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 178 17 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 178 18 present present JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 178 19 study study NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 178 20 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 179 1 A a DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 179 2 model model NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 179 3 highlighting highlight VBG cord-306720-86ovj7xg 179 4 differences difference NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 179 5 inside inside IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 179 6 and and CC cord-306720-86ovj7xg 179 7 outside outside IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 179 8 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 179 9 those those DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 179 10 groups group NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 179 11 is be VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 179 12 an an DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 179 13 individual individual NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 179 14 - - HYPH cord-306720-86ovj7xg 179 15 based base VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 179 16 model model NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 179 17 ( ( -LRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 179 18 IBM IBM NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 179 19 ) ) -RRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 179 20 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 179 21 which which WDT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 179 22 mimics mimic VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 179 23 movements movement NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 179 24 and and CC cord-306720-86ovj7xg 179 25 contacts contact NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 179 26 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 179 27 individuals individual NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 179 28 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 180 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 180 2 can can MD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 180 3 therefore therefore RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 180 4 evaluate evaluate VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 180 5 behavioral behavioral JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 180 6 changes change NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 180 7 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 180 8 individuals individual NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 180 9 directly directly RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 180 10 [ [ -LRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 180 11 6 6 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 180 12 ] ] -RRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 180 13 [ [ -LRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 180 14 7 7 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 180 15 ] ] -RRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 181 1 [ [ -LRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 181 2 8 8 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 181 3 ] ] -RRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 181 4 [ [ -LRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 181 5 9 9 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 181 6 ] ] -RRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 181 7 17 17 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 181 8 ] ] -RRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 181 9 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 182 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 182 2 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 182 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 182 4 must must MD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 182 5 use use VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 182 6 IBM IBM NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 182 7 for for IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 182 8 evaluation evaluation NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 182 9 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 182 10 a a DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 182 11 lockdown lockdown NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 182 12 instead instead RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 182 13 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 182 14 a a DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 182 15 SIR SIR NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 182 16 model model NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 182 17 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 183 1 No no DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 183 2 IBM IBM NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 183 3 exists exist VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 183 4 for for IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 183 5 COVID-19 covid-19 NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 183 6 but but CC cord-306720-86ovj7xg 183 7 an an DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 183 8 IBM IBM NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 183 9 exists exist VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 183 10 for for IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 183 11 pandemic pandemic NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 183 12 influenza influenza NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 183 13 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 184 1 Especially especially RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 184 2 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 184 3 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 184 4 most most RBS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 184 5 precise precise JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 184 6 IBM IBM NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 184 7 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 184 8 RIBM RIBM NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 184 9 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 184 10 has have VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 184 11 been be VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 184 12 developed develop VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 184 13 in in IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 184 14 Japan Japan NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 184 15 using use VBG cord-306720-86ovj7xg 184 16 actual actual JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 184 17 data datum NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 184 18 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 184 19 transportation transportation NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 184 20 [ [ -LRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 184 21 17 17 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 184 22 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 184 23 18 18 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 184 24 ] ] -RRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 184 25 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 185 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 185 2 indicated indicate VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 185 3 that that DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 185 4 lockdown lockdown NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 185 5 with with IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 185 6 60 60 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 185 7 % % NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 185 8 voluntary voluntary JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 185 9 restriction restriction NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 185 10 to to IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 185 11 going go VBG cord-306720-86ovj7xg 185 12 out out RP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 185 13 can can MD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 185 14 reduce reduce VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 185 15 prevalence prevalence NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 185 16 by by IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 185 17 40 40 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 185 18 percentage percentage NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 185 19 points point NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 185 20 for for IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 185 21 pandemic pandemic NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 185 22 flu flu NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 185 23 [ [ -LRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 185 24 18 18 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 185 25 ] ] -RRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 185 26 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 186 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 186 2 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 186 3 it -PRON- PRP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 186 4 shared share VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 186 5 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 186 6 same same JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 186 7 result result NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 186 8 that that IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 186 9 60 60 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 186 10 % % NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 186 11 voluntary voluntary JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 186 12 restriction restriction NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 186 13 out out IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 186 14 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 186 15 trips trip NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 186 16 outside outside IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 186 17 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 186 18 home home NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 186 19 can can MD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 186 20 avoid avoid VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 186 21 collapse collapse NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 186 22 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 186 23 medical medical JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 186 24 facilities facility NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 186 25 with with IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 186 26 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 186 27 present present JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 186 28 study study NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 186 29 for for IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 186 30 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 186 31 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 187 1 All all DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 187 2 rights right NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 187 3 reserved reserve VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 187 4 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 188 1 No no DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 188 2 reuse reuse NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 188 3 allowed allow VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 188 4 without without IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 188 5 permission permission NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 188 6 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 189 1 author author NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 189 2 / / SYM cord-306720-86ovj7xg 189 3 funder funder NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 189 4 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 189 5 who who WP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 189 6 has have VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 189 7 granted grant VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 189 8 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 189 9 a a DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 189 10 license license NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 189 11 to to TO cord-306720-86ovj7xg 189 12 display display VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 189 13 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 189 14 preprint preprint NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 189 15 in in IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 189 16 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 189 17 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 190 1 The the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 190 2 copyright copyright NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 190 3 holder holder NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 190 4 for for IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 190 5 this this DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 190 6 preprint preprint NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 190 7 ( ( -LRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 190 8 which which WDT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 190 9 was be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 190 10 not not RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 190 11 peer peer NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 190 12 - - HYPH cord-306720-86ovj7xg 190 13 reviewed review VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 190 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 190 15 is be VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 190 16 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 190 17 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 191 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.02.20051490 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.02.20051490 NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 191 2 doi doi XX cord-306720-86ovj7xg 191 3 : : : cord-306720-86ovj7xg 192 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 192 2 preprint preprint NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 193 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 193 2 predicted predict VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 193 3 outcomes outcome NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 193 4 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 193 5 COVID-19 covid-19 NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 193 6 and and CC cord-306720-86ovj7xg 193 7 lockdown lockdown NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 193 8 effects effect NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 193 9 in in IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 193 10 Tokyo Tokyo NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 193 11 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 194 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 194 2 estimated estimate VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 194 3 a a DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 194 4 collapse collapse NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 194 5 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 194 6 medical medical JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 194 7 facilities facility NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 194 8 in in IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 194 9 late late JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 194 10 April April NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 194 11 and and CC cord-306720-86ovj7xg 194 12 about about RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 194 13 0.5 0.5 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 194 14 million million CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 194 15 cases case NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 194 16 with with IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 194 17 mortality mortality NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 194 18 in in IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 194 19 Tokyo Tokyo NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 194 20 if if IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 194 21 a a DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 194 22 lockdown lockdown NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 194 23 were be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 194 24 not not RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 194 25 applied apply VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 194 26 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 195 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 195 2 estimated estimate VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 195 3 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 195 4 effects effect NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 195 5 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 195 6 lockdown lockdown NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 195 7 enacted enact VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 195 8 from from IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 195 9 April April NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 195 10 6 6 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 195 11 and and CC cord-306720-86ovj7xg 195 12 reasonable reasonable JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 195 13 compliance compliance NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 195 14 with with IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 195 15 voluntary voluntary JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 195 16 restrictions restriction NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 195 17 on on IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 195 18 trips trip NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 195 19 outside outside IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 195 20 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 195 21 home home NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 195 22 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 196 1 Such such JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 196 2 a a DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 196 3 lockdown lockdown NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 196 4 might may MD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 196 5 avoid avoid VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 196 6 a a DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 196 7 collapse collapse NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 196 8 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 196 9 medical medical JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 196 10 facilities facility NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 196 11 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 197 1 However however RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 197 2 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 197 3 it -PRON- PRP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 197 4 is be VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 197 5 noteworthy noteworthy JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 197 6 that that IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 197 7 such such PDT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 197 8 a a DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 197 9 lockdown lockdown NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 197 10 might may MD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 197 11 continue continue VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 197 12 until until IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 197 13 a a DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 197 14 vaccine vaccine NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 197 15 for for IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 197 16 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 197 17 can can MD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 197 18 be be VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 197 19 developed develop VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 197 20 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 198 1 Costs cost NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 198 2 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 198 3 a a DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 198 4 lockdown lockdown NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 198 5 would would MD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 198 6 be be VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 198 7 huge huge JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 198 8 if if IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 198 9 it -PRON- PRP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 198 10 were be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 198 11 to to TO cord-306720-86ovj7xg 198 12 last last VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 198 13 for for IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 198 14 more more JJR cord-306720-86ovj7xg 198 15 than than IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 198 16 a a DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 198 17 half half NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 198 18 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 198 19 year year NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 198 20 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 199 1 Its -PRON- PRP$ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 199 2 cost cost NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 199 3 - - HYPH cord-306720-86ovj7xg 199 4 effectiveness effectiveness NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 199 5 is be VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 199 6 expected expect VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 199 7 to to TO cord-306720-86ovj7xg 199 8 represent represent VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 199 9 a a DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 199 10 concern concern NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 199 11 in in IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 199 12 this this DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 199 13 case case NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 199 14 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 200 1 This this DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 200 2 study study NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 200 3 represents represent VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 200 4 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 200 5 authors author NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 200 6 ' ' POS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 200 7 opinion opinion NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 200 8 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 201 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 201 2 does do VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 201 3 not not RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 201 4 reflect reflect VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 201 5 any any DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 201 6 stance stance NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 201 7 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 201 8 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 201 9 affiliation affiliation NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 201 10 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 202 1 author author NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 202 2 / / SYM cord-306720-86ovj7xg 202 3 funder funder NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 202 4 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 202 5 who who WP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 202 6 has have VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 202 7 granted grant VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 202 8 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 202 9 a a DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 202 10 license license NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 202 11 to to TO cord-306720-86ovj7xg 202 12 display display VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 202 13 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 202 14 preprint preprint NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 202 15 in in IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 202 16 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 202 17 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 203 1 The the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 203 2 copyright copyright NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 203 3 holder holder NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 203 4 for for IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 203 5 this this DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 203 6 preprint preprint NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 203 7 ( ( -LRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 203 8 which which WDT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 203 9 was be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 203 10 not not RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 203 11 peer peer NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 203 12 - - HYPH cord-306720-86ovj7xg 203 13 reviewed review VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 203 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 203 15 is be VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 203 16 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 203 17 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 204 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.02.20051490 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.02.20051490 NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 204 2 doi doi XX cord-306720-86ovj7xg 204 3 : : : cord-306720-86ovj7xg 205 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 205 2 preprint preprint NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 205 3 author author NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 205 4 / / SYM cord-306720-86ovj7xg 205 5 funder funder NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 205 6 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 205 7 who who WP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 205 8 has have VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 205 9 granted grant VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 205 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 205 11 a a DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 205 12 license license NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 205 13 to to TO cord-306720-86ovj7xg 205 14 display display VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 205 15 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 205 16 preprint preprint NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 205 17 in in IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 205 18 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 205 19 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 206 1 The the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 206 2 copyright copyright NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 206 3 holder holder NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 206 4 for for IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 206 5 this this DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 206 6 preprint preprint NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 206 7 ( ( -LRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 206 8 which which WDT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 206 9 was be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 206 10 not not RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 206 11 peer peer NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 206 12 - - HYPH cord-306720-86ovj7xg 206 13 reviewed review VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 206 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 206 15 is be VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 206 16 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 206 17 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 207 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.02.20051490 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.02.20051490 NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 207 2 doi doi XX cord-306720-86ovj7xg 207 3 : : : cord-306720-86ovj7xg 208 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 208 2 preprint preprint NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 208 3 Note note NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 208 4 : : : cord-306720-86ovj7xg 208 5 " " '' cord-306720-86ovj7xg 209 1 Collapse collapse NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 209 2 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 209 3 medical medical JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 209 4 facilities facility NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 209 5 " " '' cord-306720-86ovj7xg 209 6 is be VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 209 7 defined define VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 209 8 as as IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 209 9 necessary necessary JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 209 10 ICU ICU NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 209 11 beds bed NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 209 12 greater great JJR cord-306720-86ovj7xg 209 13 than than IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 209 14 70 70 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 209 15 % % NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 209 16 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 209 17 capacity capacity NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 209 18 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 210 1 All all DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 210 2 rights right NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 210 3 reserved reserve VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 210 4 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 211 1 No no DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 211 2 reuse reuse NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 211 3 allowed allow VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 211 4 without without IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 211 5 permission permission NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 211 6 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 212 1 author author NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 212 2 / / SYM cord-306720-86ovj7xg 212 3 funder funder NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 212 4 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 212 5 who who WP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 212 6 has have VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 212 7 granted grant VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 212 8 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 212 9 a a DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 212 10 license license NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 212 11 to to TO cord-306720-86ovj7xg 212 12 display display VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 212 13 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 212 14 preprint preprint NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 212 15 in in IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 212 16 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 212 17 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 213 1 The the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 213 2 copyright copyright NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 213 3 holder holder NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 213 4 for for IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 213 5 this this DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 213 6 preprint preprint NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 213 7 ( ( -LRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 213 8 which which WDT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 213 9 was be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 213 10 not not RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 213 11 peer peer NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 213 12 - - HYPH cord-306720-86ovj7xg 213 13 reviewed review VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 213 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 213 15 is be VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 213 16 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 213 17 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 214 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.02.20051490 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.02.20051490 NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 214 2 doi doi XX cord-306720-86ovj7xg 214 3 : : : cord-306720-86ovj7xg 215 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 215 2 preprint preprint NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 215 3 Notes note NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 215 4 : : : cord-306720-86ovj7xg 216 1 Bars bar NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 216 2 represent represent VBP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 216 3 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 216 4 number number NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 216 5 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 216 6 patients patient NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 216 7 by by IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 216 8 incubation incubation NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 216 9 period period NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 216 10 among among IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 216 11 62 62 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 216 12 cases case NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 216 13 whose whose WP$ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 216 14 exposure exposure NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 216 15 date date NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 216 16 and and CC cord-306720-86ovj7xg 216 17 onset onset NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 216 18 date date NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 216 19 were be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 216 20 published publish VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 216 21 by by IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 216 22 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 216 23 Ministry Ministry NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 216 24 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 216 25 Labour Labour NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 216 26 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 216 27 Health Health NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 216 28 and and CC cord-306720-86ovj7xg 216 29 Welfare Welfare NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 216 30 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 216 31 Japan Japan NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 216 32 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 217 1 All all DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 217 2 rights right NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 217 3 reserved reserve VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 217 4 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 218 1 No no DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 218 2 reuse reuse NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 218 3 allowed allow VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 218 4 without without IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 218 5 permission permission NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 218 6 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 219 1 author author NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 219 2 / / SYM cord-306720-86ovj7xg 219 3 funder funder NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 219 4 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 219 5 who who WP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 219 6 has have VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 219 7 granted grant VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 219 8 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 219 9 a a DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 219 10 license license NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 219 11 to to TO cord-306720-86ovj7xg 219 12 display display VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 219 13 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 219 14 preprint preprint NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 219 15 in in IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 219 16 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 219 17 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 220 1 The the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 220 2 copyright copyright NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 220 3 holder holder NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 220 4 for for IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 220 5 this this DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 220 6 preprint preprint NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 220 7 ( ( -LRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 220 8 which which WDT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 220 9 was be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 220 10 not not RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 220 11 peer peer NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 220 12 - - HYPH cord-306720-86ovj7xg 220 13 reviewed review VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 220 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 220 15 is be VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 220 16 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 220 17 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 221 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.02.20051490 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.02.20051490 NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 221 2 doi doi XX cord-306720-86ovj7xg 221 3 : : : cord-306720-86ovj7xg 222 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 222 2 preprint preprint NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 222 3 Japan Japan NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 222 4 Ministry Ministry NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 222 5 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 222 6 Health Health NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 222 7 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 222 8 Labour Labour NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 222 9 and and CC cord-306720-86ovj7xg 222 10 Welfare Welfare NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 222 11 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 1 Press press NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 2 Releases release NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 3 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 4 Domestic Domestic NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 5 Situation Situation NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 6 Preliminary preliminary JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 7 evaluation evaluation NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 8 for for IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 9 as as IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 10 voluntary voluntary JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 11 event event NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 12 cancellation cancellation NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 13 as as IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 14 counter counter JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 15 measure measure NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 16 to to IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 17 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 18 outbreak outbreak NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 19 in in IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 20 Japan Japan NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 21 as as IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 22 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 23 Insignificant insignificant JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 24 effect effect NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 25 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 26 counter counter JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 27 measure measure NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 28 for for IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 29 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 30 infectious infectious JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 31 disease disease NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 32 -19 -19 '' cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 33 in in IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 34 Japan Japan NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 35 Japan Japan NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 36 Ministry Ministry NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 37 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 38 Health Health NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 39 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 40 Labour Labour NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 41 and and CC cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 42 Welfare Welfare NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 43 Strategies Strategies NNPS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 44 for for IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 45 containing contain VBG cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 46 an an DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 47 emerging emerge VBG cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 48 influenza influenza NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 49 pandemic pandemic NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 50 in in IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 51 Southeast Southeast NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 52 Asia Asia NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 53 Containing contain VBG cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 54 Pandemic Pandemic NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 55 Influenza Influenza NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 56 at at IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 57 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 58 Source Source NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 59 Mitigation Mitigation NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 60 strategies strategy NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 61 for for IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 62 pandemic pandemic NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 63 influenza influenza NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 64 in in IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 65 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 66 United United NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 67 States States NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 68 Strategies Strategies NNPS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 69 for for IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 70 mitigating mitigate VBG cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 71 an an DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 72 influenza influenza NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 73 pandemic pandemic NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 74 Simulation Simulation NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 75 Model Model NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 76 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 77 Pandemic Pandemic NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 78 influenza influenza NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 79 in in IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 80 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 81 Whole Whole NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 82 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 83 Japan Japan NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 84 Social Social NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 85 contacts contact NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 86 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 87 vaccination vaccination NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 88 decisions decision NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 89 and and CC cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 90 influenza influenza NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 91 in in IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 92 Japan Japan NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 93 From from IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 94 2019 2019 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 95 to to IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 96 2020 2020 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 223 97 : : : cord-306720-86ovj7xg 224 1 A a DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 224 2 Data data NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 224 3 - - HYPH cord-306720-86ovj7xg 224 4 Driven Driven NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 224 5 Analysis Analysis NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 224 6 in in IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 224 7 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 224 8 Early Early NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 224 9 Phase Phase NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 224 10 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 224 11 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 224 12 Outbreak outbreak NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 225 1 The the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 225 2 reproductive reproductive JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 225 3 number number NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 225 4 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 225 5 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 225 6 is be VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 225 7 higher high JJR cord-306720-86ovj7xg 225 8 compared compare VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 225 9 to to IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 225 10 SARS SARS NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 225 11 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 226 1 All all DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 226 2 rights right NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 226 3 reserved reserve VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 226 4 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 227 1 No no DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 227 2 reuse reuse NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 227 3 allowed allow VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 227 4 without without IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 227 5 permission permission NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 227 6 author author NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 227 7 / / SYM cord-306720-86ovj7xg 227 8 funder funder NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 227 9 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 227 10 who who WP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 227 11 has have VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 227 12 granted grant VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 227 13 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 227 14 a a DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 227 15 license license NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 227 16 to to TO cord-306720-86ovj7xg 227 17 display display VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 227 18 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 227 19 preprint preprint NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 227 20 in in IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 227 21 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 227 22 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 228 1 The the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 228 2 copyright copyright NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 228 3 holder holder NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 228 4 for for IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 228 5 this this DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 228 6 preprint preprint NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 228 7 ( ( -LRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 228 8 which which WDT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 228 9 was be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 228 10 not not RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 228 11 peer peer NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 228 12 - - HYPH cord-306720-86ovj7xg 228 13 reviewed review VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 228 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 228 15 is be VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 228 16 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 228 17 Severe severe JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 228 18 Acute acute JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 228 19 Respiratory Respiratory NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 228 20 Syndrome Syndrome NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 228 21 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 228 22 2 2 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 229 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 229 2 SARS SARS NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 229 3 - - HYPH cord-306720-86ovj7xg 229 4 CoV-2 CoV-2 NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 229 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 229 6 and and CC cord-306720-86ovj7xg 229 7 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 229 8 disease-2019 disease-2019 NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 229 9 ( ( -LRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 229 10 COVID-19 covid-19 NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 229 11 ) ) -RRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 229 12 : : : cord-306720-86ovj7xg 230 1 The the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 230 2 Epidemic epidemic NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 230 3 and and CC cord-306720-86ovj7xg 230 4 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 230 5 Challenges challenge NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 230 6 Closed close VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 230 7 environments environment NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 230 8 facilitate facilitate VBP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 230 9 secondary secondary JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 230 10 transmission transmission NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 230 11 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 230 12 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 230 13 disease disease NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 230 14 2019 2019 CD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 230 15 ( ( -LRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 230 16 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 230 17 ) ) -RRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 230 18 Survey Survey NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 230 19 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 230 20 pandemic pandemic NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 230 21 behavior behavior NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 230 22 : : : cord-306720-86ovj7xg 230 23 to to TO cord-306720-86ovj7xg 230 24 stay stay VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 230 25 at at IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 230 26 home home NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 230 27 or or CC cord-306720-86ovj7xg 230 28 not not RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 230 29 pandemic pandemic JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 230 30 Simulation Simulation NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 230 31 : : : cord-306720-86ovj7xg 230 32 application application NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 230 33 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 230 34 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 230 35 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 230 36 model model NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 230 37 for for IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 230 38 infectious infectious JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 230 39 disease disease NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 230 40 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 231 1 Gijutsuhyouronsha Gijutsuhyouronsha NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 231 2 All all DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 231 3 rights right NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 231 4 reserved reserve VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 231 5 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 232 1 No no DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 232 2 reuse reuse NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 232 3 allowed allow VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 232 4 without without IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 232 5 permission permission NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 232 6 author author NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 232 7 / / SYM cord-306720-86ovj7xg 232 8 funder funder NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 232 9 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 232 10 who who WP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 232 11 has have VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 232 12 granted grant VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 232 13 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 232 14 a a DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 232 15 license license NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 232 16 to to TO cord-306720-86ovj7xg 232 17 display display VB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 232 18 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 232 19 preprint preprint NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 232 20 in in IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 232 21 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 232 22 . . . cord-306720-86ovj7xg 233 1 The the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 233 2 copyright copyright NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 233 3 holder holder NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 233 4 for for IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 233 5 this this DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 233 6 preprint preprint NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 233 7 ( ( -LRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 233 8 which which WDT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 233 9 was be VBD cord-306720-86ovj7xg 233 10 not not RB cord-306720-86ovj7xg 233 11 peer peer NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 233 12 - - HYPH cord-306720-86ovj7xg 233 13 reviewed review VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 233 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-306720-86ovj7xg 233 15 is be VBZ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 233 16 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 233 17 We -PRON- PRP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 233 18 acknowledge acknowledge VBP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 233 19 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 233 20 great great JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 233 21 efforts effort NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 233 22 of of IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 233 23 all all DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 233 24 staff staff NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 233 25 at at IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 233 26 public public JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 233 27 health health NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 233 28 centers center NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 233 29 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 233 30 medical medical JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 233 31 institutions institution NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 233 32 , , , cord-306720-86ovj7xg 233 33 and and CC cord-306720-86ovj7xg 233 34 other other JJ cord-306720-86ovj7xg 233 35 facilities facility NNS cord-306720-86ovj7xg 233 36 who who WP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 233 37 are be VBP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 233 38 fighting fight VBG cord-306720-86ovj7xg 233 39 the the DT cord-306720-86ovj7xg 233 40 spread spread NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 233 41 and and CC cord-306720-86ovj7xg 233 42 destruction destruction NN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 233 43 associated associate VBN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 233 44 with with IN cord-306720-86ovj7xg 233 45 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-306720-86ovj7xg 233 46 . . .