id	author	title	date	pages	extension	mime	words	sentences	flesch	summary	cache	txt
cord-329457-3b6n8un0	Spousta, Martin	Parametric analysis of early data on COVID-19 expansion in selected European countries	2020-04-03		.txt	text/plain	2302	116	61	Several features are observed in the data, namely a high predictability of the expansion of disease in Italy and a convergence of the "pushback" parameter towards a limiting value in all the countries where restrictive measures have been adopted. In this paper we propose a straightforward analytic description of the time dependence of the disease expansion under the restrictive measures and a method allowing to identify trends in the expansion and make predictions. For example, if we observe that the parameter b 2 achieves a limiting value of Italy even in countries where more restrictive measures have been applied, such as mandatory usage of masks in Czechia, then this indicates that the use of these measures does not bring further reduction of the spread of the disease 1 . The analysis of the data indicate several features, namely the high predictability of the expansion of disease in Italy and a convergence of the "pushback" parameter towards a limiting value in all the countries where restrictive measures are applied.	./cache/cord-329457-3b6n8un0.txt	./txt/cord-329457-3b6n8un0.txt