id author title date pages extension mime words sentences flesch summary cache txt cord-338184-899km704 Iosa, Marco Covid-19: A Dynamic Analysis of Fatality Risk in Italy 2020-04-30 .txt text/plain 3223 151 55 In the present study, mathematical models were used to test if the high Italian CFR was only apparent because it was related to an underestimation of positive cases or if it represents a real increment of Covid-19 lethality, maybe related to the difficulties of the Health National System to manage many cases in a short period and in a small region as occurred in the north of Italy. The CFR computed day by day could be high due to the need to take into account a biological delay of about 14 days between deaths and the recorded number of positive cases (8) or for the insufficient number of beds into ICUs. In the former case, there is a statistical problem, whereas, in the latter case, the health policy of other countries should take into account the Italian lesson for Covid-19. ./cache/cord-338184-899km704.txt ./txt/cord-338184-899km704.txt