id sid tid token lemma pos cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 1 1 key key JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 2 1 : : : cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 2 2 cord-341827-z9r5i0ky cord-341827-z9r5i0ky NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 2 3 authors author NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 2 4 : : : cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 2 5 Macias Macias NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 2 6 - - HYPH cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 2 7 Ordonez Ordonez NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 2 8 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 2 9 R. R. NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 2 10 ; ; : cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 2 11 Villasenor Villasenor NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 2 12 - - HYPH cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 2 13 Amador Amador NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 2 14 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 2 15 D. D. NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 2 16 title title NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 2 17 : : : cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 3 1 The the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 3 2 misleading misleading JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 3 3 illusion illusion NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 3 4 of of IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 3 5 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 3 6 confirmed confirm VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 3 7 case case NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 3 8 data datum NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 3 9 : : : cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 3 10 alternative alternative JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 3 11 estimates estimate NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 3 12 and and CC cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 3 13 a a DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 3 14 monitoring monitor VBG cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 3 15 tool tool NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 3 16 date date NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 3 17 : : : cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 3 18 2020 2020 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 3 19 - - HYPH cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 3 20 05 05 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 3 21 - - SYM cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 3 22 25 25 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 3 23 journal journal NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 3 24 : : : cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 3 25 nan nan NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 3 26 DOI DOI NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 3 27 : : : cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 4 1 10.1101/2020.05.20.20107516 10.1101/2020.05.20.20107516 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 4 2 sha sha NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 4 3 : : : cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 5 1 13e4e1e7752c6bdeff6894545dafe7030d74651f 13e4e1e7752c6bdeff6894545dafe7030d74651f CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 5 2 doc_id doc_id CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 5 3 : : : cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 6 1 341827 341827 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 6 2 cord_uid cord_uid NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 6 3 : : : cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 6 4 z9r5i0ky z9r5i0ky NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 7 1 Confirmed confirm VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 7 2 Case Case NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 7 3 Data Data NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 7 4 have have VBP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 7 5 been be VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 7 6 widely widely RB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 7 7 cited cite VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 7 8 during during IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 7 9 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 7 10 current current JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 7 11 COVID-19 covid-19 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 7 12 pandemic pandemic NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 7 13 as as IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 7 14 an an DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 7 15 estimate estimate NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 7 16 of of IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 7 17 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 7 18 spread spread NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 7 19 of of IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 7 20 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 7 21 SARS SARS NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 7 22 - - HYPH cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 7 23 CoV-2 CoV-2 NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 7 24 virus virus NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 7 25 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 8 1 However however RB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 8 2 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 8 3 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 8 4 central central JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 8 5 role role NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 8 6 in in IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 8 7 media medium NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 8 8 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 8 9 official official JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 8 10 reports report NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 8 11 and and CC cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 8 12 decision decision NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 8 13 - - HYPH cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 8 14 making making NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 8 15 may may MD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 8 16 be be VB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 8 17 undeserved undeserved JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 8 18 and and CC cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 8 19 misleading misleading JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 8 20 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 9 1 Previously previously RB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 9 2 published publish VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 9 3 Infection Infection NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 9 4 Fatality Fatality NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 9 5 Rates rate NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 9 6 were be VBD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 9 7 weighted weight VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 9 8 by by IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 9 9 age age NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 9 10 structure structure NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 9 11 in in IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 9 12 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 9 13 50 50 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 9 14 countries country NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 9 15 with with IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 9 16 more more RBR cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 9 17 reported report VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 9 18 deaths death NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 9 19 to to TO cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 9 20 obtain obtain VB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 9 21 country country NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 9 22 - - HYPH cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 9 23 specific specific JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 9 24 rates rate NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 9 25 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 10 1 For for IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 10 2 each each DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 10 3 country country NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 10 4 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 10 5 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 10 6 number number NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 10 7 of of IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 10 8 infections infection NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 10 9 up up IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 10 10 to to IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 10 11 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 10 12 Infection Infection NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 10 13 Date date NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 10 14 ( ( -LRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 10 15 23 23 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 10 16 days day NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 10 17 ago ago RB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 10 18 = = NFP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 10 19 Incubation Incubation NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 10 20 Period Period NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 10 21 + + CC cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 10 22 Onset onset NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 10 23 to to IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 10 24 Death death NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 10 25 period period NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 10 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 10 27 and and CC cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 10 28 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 10 29 present present JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 10 30 percentage percentage NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 10 31 of of IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 10 32 immune immune JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 10 33 population population NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 10 34 were be VBD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 10 35 estimated estimate VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 10 36 using use VBG cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 10 37 Infection Infection NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 10 38 Fatality Fatality NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 10 39 Rate rate NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 10 40 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 10 41 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 10 42 number number NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 10 43 of of IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 10 44 reported report VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 10 45 deaths death NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 10 46 ( ( -LRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 10 47 which which WDT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 10 48 is be VBZ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 10 49 less less RBR cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 10 50 prone prone JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 10 51 to to IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 10 52 undersampling undersample VBG cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 10 53 ) ) -RRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 10 54 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 10 55 and and CC cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 10 56 projecting project VBG cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 10 57 back back RB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 10 58 to to IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 10 59 Infection infection NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 10 60 Date date NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 10 61 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 11 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 11 2 then then RB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 11 3 estimated estimate VBD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 11 4 a a DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 11 5 Detection Detection NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 11 6 Index Index NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 11 7 for for IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 11 8 each each DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 11 9 country country NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 11 10 as as IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 11 11 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 11 12 percentage percentage NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 11 13 of of IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 11 14 estimated estimate VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 11 15 infections infection NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 11 16 that that WDT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 11 17 confirmed confirm VBD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 11 18 cases case NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 11 19 represent represent VBP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 11 20 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 12 1 Assuming assume VBG cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 12 2 that that DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 12 3 detection detection NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 12 4 remains remain VBZ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 12 5 constant constant JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 12 6 after after IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 12 7 Infection Infection NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 12 8 Date Date NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 12 9 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 12 10 we -PRON- PRP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 12 11 estimated estimate VBD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 12 12 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 12 13 number number NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 12 14 of of IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 12 15 deaths death NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 12 16 and and CC cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 12 17 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 12 18 estimated estimate VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 12 19 percentage percentage NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 12 20 of of IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 12 21 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 12 22 population population NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 12 23 of of IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 12 24 each each DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 12 25 country country NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 12 26 expected expect VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 12 27 to to TO cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 12 28 be be VB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 12 29 immune immune JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 12 30 up up IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 12 31 to to TO cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 12 32 23 23 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 12 33 days day NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 12 34 into into IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 12 35 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 12 36 future future NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 12 37 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 13 1 Estimated estimate VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 13 2 Infection infection NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 13 3 Fatality fatality NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 13 4 Rates rate NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 13 5 are be VBP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 13 6 higher high JJR cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 13 7 in in IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 13 8 Europe Europe NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 13 9 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 14 1 In in IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 14 2 most most JJS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 14 3 countries country NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 14 4 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 14 5 confirmed confirm VBD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 14 6 cases case NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 14 7 currently currently RB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 14 8 represent represent VBP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 14 9 less less JJR cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 14 10 than than IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 14 11 30 30 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 14 12 % % NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 14 13 of of IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 14 14 estimated estimate VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 14 15 infections infection NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 14 16 on on IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 14 17 Infection infection NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 14 18 Date Date NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 14 19 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 14 20 and and CC cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 14 21 this this DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 14 22 value value NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 14 23 decreases decrease VBZ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 14 24 with with IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 14 25 time time NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 14 26 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 15 1 Countries country NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 15 2 with with IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 15 3 flat flat JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 15 4 curves curve NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 15 5 throughout throughout IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 15 6 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 15 7 pandemic pandemic NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 15 8 show show VBP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 15 9 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 15 10 lowest low JJS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 15 11 immunity immunity NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 15 12 percentages percentage NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 15 13 and and CC cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 15 14 these these DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 15 15 values value NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 15 16 seem seem VBP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 15 17 unlikely unlikely JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 15 18 to to TO cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 15 19 change change VB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 15 20 in in IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 15 21 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 15 22 near near JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 15 23 future future NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 15 24 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 15 25 suggesting suggest VBG cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 15 26 that that IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 15 27 they -PRON- PRP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 15 28 remain remain VBP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 15 29 vulnerable vulnerable JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 15 30 to to IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 15 31 new new JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 15 32 outbreaks outbreak NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 15 33 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 16 1 Estimates estimate NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 16 2 for for IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 16 3 some some DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 16 4 countries country NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 16 5 with with IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 16 6 low low JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 16 7 Infection infection NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 16 8 Fatality fatality NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 16 9 Rates rate NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 16 10 suggest suggest VBP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 16 11 a a DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 16 12 still still RB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 16 13 steep steep JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 16 14 increase increase NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 16 15 in in IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 16 16 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 16 17 number number NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 16 18 of of IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 16 19 casualties casualty NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 16 20 in in IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 16 21 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 16 22 next next JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 16 23 three three CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 16 24 weeks week NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 16 25 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 17 1 Countries country NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 17 2 that that WDT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 17 3 did do VBD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 17 4 not not RB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 17 5 control control VB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 17 6 initial initial JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 17 7 outbreaks outbreak NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 17 8 seem seem VBP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 17 9 to to TO cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 17 10 have have VB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 17 11 reached reach VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 17 12 higher high JJR cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 17 13 immunity immunity NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 17 14 percentages percentage NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 17 15 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 17 16 although although IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 17 17 mostly mostly RB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 17 18 still still RB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 17 19 under under IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 17 20 5 5 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 17 21 % % NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 17 22 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 18 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 18 2 provide provide VBP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 18 3 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 18 4 code code NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 18 5 to to TO cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 18 6 monitor monitor VB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 18 7 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 18 8 trajectories trajectory NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 18 9 of of IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 18 10 these these DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 18 11 estimates estimate NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 18 12 in in IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 18 13 178 178 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 18 14 countries country NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 18 15 throughout throughout IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 18 16 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 18 17 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 18 18 pandemic pandemic NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 18 19 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 19 1 Previously previously RB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 19 2 published publish VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 19 3 Infection Infection NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 19 4 Fatality Fatality NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 19 5 Rates rate NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 19 6 were be VBD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 19 7 weighted weight VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 19 8 by by IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 19 9 age age NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 19 10 structure structure NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 19 11 in in IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 19 12 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 19 13 50 50 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 19 14 27 27 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 19 15 countries country NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 19 16 with with IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 19 17 more more RBR cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 19 18 reported report VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 19 19 deaths death NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 19 20 to to TO cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 19 21 obtain obtain VB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 19 22 country country NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 19 23 - - HYPH cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 19 24 specific specific JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 19 25 rates rate NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 19 26 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 20 1 For for IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 20 2 each each DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 20 3 country country NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 20 4 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 20 5 28 28 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 20 6 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 20 7 number number NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 20 8 of of IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 20 9 infections infection NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 20 10 up up IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 20 11 to to IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 20 12 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 20 13 Infection Infection NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 20 14 Date date NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 20 15 ( ( -LRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 20 16 23 23 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 20 17 days day NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 20 18 ago ago RB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 20 19 = = NFP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 20 20 Incubation Incubation NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 20 21 Period Period NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 20 22 + + SYM cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 20 23 29 29 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 20 24 Onset onset NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 20 25 to to IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 20 26 Death death NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 20 27 period period NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 20 28 ) ) -RRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 20 29 and and CC cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 20 30 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 20 31 present present JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 20 32 percentage percentage NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 20 33 of of IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 20 34 immune immune JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 20 35 population population NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 20 36 were be VBD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 20 37 30 30 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 20 38 estimated estimate VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 20 39 using use VBG cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 20 40 Infection Infection NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 20 41 Fatality Fatality NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 20 42 Rate rate NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 20 43 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 20 44 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 20 45 number number NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 20 46 of of IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 20 47 reported report VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 20 48 deaths death NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 20 49 ( ( -LRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 20 50 which which WDT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 20 51 is be VBZ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 20 52 less less RBR cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 20 53 31 31 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 20 54 prone prone JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 20 55 to to IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 20 56 undersampling undersample VBG cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 20 57 ) ) -RRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 20 58 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 20 59 and and CC cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 20 60 projecting project VBG cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 20 61 back back RB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 20 62 to to IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 20 63 Infection infection NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 20 64 Date date NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 20 65 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 21 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 21 2 then then RB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 21 3 estimated estimate VBD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 21 4 a a DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 21 5 32 32 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 21 6 Detection Detection NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 21 7 Index Index NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 21 8 for for IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 21 9 each each DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 21 10 country country NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 21 11 as as IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 21 12 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 21 13 percentage percentage NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 21 14 of of IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 21 15 estimated estimate VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 21 16 infections infection NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 21 17 that that WDT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 21 18 33 33 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 21 19 confirmed confirm VBD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 21 20 cases case NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 21 21 represent represent VBP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 21 22 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 22 1 Assuming assume VBG cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 22 2 that that DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 22 3 detection detection NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 22 4 remains remain VBZ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 22 5 constant constant JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 22 6 after after IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 22 7 Infection infection NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 22 8 34 34 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 22 9 Date Date NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 22 10 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 22 11 we -PRON- PRP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 22 12 estimated estimate VBD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 22 13 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 22 14 number number NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 22 15 of of IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 22 16 deaths death NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 22 17 and and CC cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 22 18 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 22 19 estimated estimate VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 22 20 percentage percentage NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 22 21 of of IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 22 22 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 22 23 35 35 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 22 24 population population NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 22 25 of of IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 22 26 each each DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 22 27 country country NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 22 28 expected expect VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 22 29 to to TO cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 22 30 be be VB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 22 31 immune immune JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 22 32 up up IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 22 33 to to TO cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 22 34 23 23 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 22 35 days day NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 22 36 into into IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 22 37 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 22 38 future future NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 22 39 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 23 1 36 36 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 23 2 Estimated estimate VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 23 3 Infection infection NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 23 4 Fatality fatality NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 23 5 Rates rate NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 23 6 are be VBP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 23 7 higher high JJR cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 23 8 in in IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 23 9 Europe Europe NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 23 10 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 24 1 In in IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 24 2 most most JJS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 24 3 countries country NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 24 4 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 24 5 confirmed confirm VBD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 24 6 37 37 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 24 7 cases case NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 24 8 currently currently RB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 24 9 represent represent VBP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 24 10 less less JJR cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 24 11 than than IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 24 12 30 30 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 24 13 % % NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 24 14 of of IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 24 15 estimated estimate VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 24 16 infections infection NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 24 17 on on IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 24 18 Infection infection NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 24 19 Date Date NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 24 20 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 24 21 and and CC cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 24 22 38 38 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 24 23 this this DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 24 24 value value NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 24 25 decreases decrease VBZ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 24 26 with with IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 24 27 time time NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 24 28 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 25 1 Countries country NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 25 2 with with IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 25 3 flat flat JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 25 4 curves curve NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 25 5 throughout throughout IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 25 6 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 25 7 pandemic pandemic NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 25 8 39 39 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 25 9 show show VBP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 25 10 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 25 11 lowest low JJS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 25 12 immunity immunity NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 25 13 percentages percentage NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 25 14 and and CC cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 25 15 these these DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 25 16 values value NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 25 17 seem seem VBP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 25 18 unlikely unlikely JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 25 19 to to TO cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 25 20 change change VB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 25 21 in in IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 25 22 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 25 23 40 40 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 25 24 near near IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 25 25 future future NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 25 26 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 25 27 suggesting suggest VBG cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 25 28 that that IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 25 29 they -PRON- PRP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 25 30 remain remain VBP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 25 31 vulnerable vulnerable JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 25 32 to to IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 25 33 new new JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 25 34 outbreaks outbreak NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 25 35 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 26 1 Estimates estimate NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 26 2 for for IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 26 3 41 41 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 26 4 some some DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 26 5 countries country NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 26 6 with with IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 26 7 low low JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 26 8 Infection infection NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 26 9 Fatality fatality NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 26 10 Rates rate NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 26 11 suggest suggest VBP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 26 12 a a DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 26 13 still still RB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 26 14 steep steep JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 26 15 increase increase NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 26 16 in in IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 26 17 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 26 18 42 42 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 26 19 number number NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 26 20 of of IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 26 21 casualties casualty NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 26 22 in in IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 26 23 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 26 24 next next JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 26 25 three three CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 26 26 weeks week NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 26 27 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 27 1 Countries country NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 27 2 that that WDT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 27 3 did do VBD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 27 4 not not RB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 27 5 control control VB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 27 6 initial initial JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 27 7 43 43 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 27 8 outbreaks outbreak NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 27 9 seem seem VBP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 27 10 to to TO cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 27 11 have have VB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 27 12 reached reach VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 27 13 higher high JJR cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 27 14 immunity immunity NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 27 15 percentages percentage NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 27 16 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 27 17 although although IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 27 18 mostly mostly RB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 27 19 still still RB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 27 20 44 44 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 27 21 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 28 1 CC CC NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 28 2 - - HYPH cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 28 3 BY BY NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 28 4 - - HYPH cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 28 5 NC NC NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 28 6 4.0 4.0 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 28 7 International international JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 28 8 license license NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 29 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 29 2 is be VBZ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 29 3 made make VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 29 4 available available JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 29 5 under under IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 29 6 a a DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 30 1 is be VBZ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 30 2 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 30 3 author author NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 30 4 / / SYM cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 30 5 funder funder NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 30 6 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 30 7 who who WP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 30 8 has have VBZ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 30 9 granted grant VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 30 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 30 11 a a DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 30 12 license license NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 30 13 to to TO cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 30 14 display display VB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 30 15 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 30 16 preprint preprint NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 30 17 in in IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 30 18 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 30 19 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 31 1 The the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 31 2 copyright copyright NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 31 3 holder holder NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 31 4 for for IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 31 5 this this DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 31 6 preprint preprint NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 31 7 this this DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 31 8 version version NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 31 9 posted post VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 31 10 May May NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 31 11 25 25 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 31 12 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 31 13 2020 2020 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 31 14 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 31 15 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 32 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.20.20107516 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.20.20107516 NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 32 2 doi doi NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 32 3 : : : cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 33 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 33 2 preprint preprint NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 33 3 Introduction introduction NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 33 4 50 50 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 34 1 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 34 2 confirmed confirm VBD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 34 3 case case NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 34 4 data datum NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 34 5 ( ( -LRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 34 6 CCD CCD NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 34 7 ) ) -RRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 34 8 are be VBP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 34 9 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 34 10 central central JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 34 11 piece piece NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 34 12 of of IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 34 13 information information NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 34 14 in in IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 34 15 most most JJS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 34 16 51 51 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 34 17 news news NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 34 18 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 34 19 official official JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 34 20 reports report NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 34 21 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 34 22 conversations conversation NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 34 23 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 34 24 forecasting forecast VBG cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 34 25 efforts effort NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 34 26 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 34 27 and and CC cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 34 28 are be VBP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 34 29 also also RB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 34 30 probably probably RB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 34 31 central central JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 34 32 to to IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 34 33 52 52 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 34 34 most most JJS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 34 35 decisions decision NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 34 36 made make VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 34 37 by by IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 34 38 authorities authority NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 34 39 worldwide worldwide RB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 34 40 since since IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 34 41 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 34 42 pandemic pandemic JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 34 43 outbreak outbreak NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 34 44 in in IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 34 45 53 53 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 34 46 December December NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 34 47 2019 2019 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 34 48 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 35 1 However however RB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 35 2 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 35 3 it -PRON- PRP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 35 4 is be VBZ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 35 5 widely widely RB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 35 6 known know VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 35 7 that that IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 35 8 they -PRON- PRP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 35 9 represent represent VBP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 35 10 a a DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 35 11 small small JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 35 12 and and CC cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 35 13 unknown unknown JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 35 14 54 54 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 35 15 fraction fraction NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 35 16 of of IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 35 17 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 35 18 actual actual JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 35 19 number number NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 35 20 of of IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 35 21 SARS SARS NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 35 22 - - HYPH cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 35 23 CoV-2 CoV-2 NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 35 24 infections infection NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 35 25 [ [ -LRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 35 26 1 1 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 35 27 ] ] -RRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 35 28 [ [ -LRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 35 29 2 2 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 35 30 ] ] -RRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 35 31 [ [ -LRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 35 32 3 3 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 35 33 ] ] -RRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 35 34 [ [ -LRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 35 35 4 4 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 35 36 ] ] -RRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 36 1 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 36 2 we -PRON- PRP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 36 3 just just RB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 36 4 do do VBP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 36 5 not not RB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 36 6 know know VB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 36 7 how how WRB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 36 8 55 55 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 36 9 small small JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 36 10 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 37 1 Especially especially RB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 37 2 hard hard JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 37 3 to to TO cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 37 4 assess assess VB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 37 5 is be VBZ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 37 6 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 37 7 number number NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 37 8 of of IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 37 9 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 37 10 but but CC cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 37 11 contagious contagious JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 37 12 56 56 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 37 13 infections infection NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 37 14 [ [ -LRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 37 15 5 5 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 37 16 ] ] -RRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 37 17 [ [ -LRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 37 18 6 6 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 37 19 ] ] -RRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 37 20 [ [ -LRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 37 21 7 7 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 37 22 ] ] -RRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 37 23 [ [ -LRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 37 24 8 8 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 37 25 ] ] -RRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 37 26 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 37 27 as as IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 37 28 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 37 29 carriers carrier NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 37 30 are be VBP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 37 31 unlikely unlikely JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 37 32 to to TO cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 37 33 seek seek VB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 37 34 testing testing NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 37 35 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 38 1 57 57 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 38 2 Elementary elementary JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 38 3 sampling sampling NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 38 4 theory theory NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 38 5 and and CC cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 38 6 recent recent JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 38 7 supported support VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 38 8 opinions opinion NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 38 9 [ [ -LRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 38 10 3 3 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 38 11 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 38 12 6 6 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 38 13 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 38 14 9 9 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 38 15 ] ] -RRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 38 16 suggest suggest VBP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 38 17 that that IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 38 18 58 58 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 38 19 CCD CCD NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 38 20 are be VBP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 38 21 highly highly RB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 38 22 dependent dependent JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 38 23 on on IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 38 24 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 38 25 testing testing NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 38 26 effort effort NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 38 27 and and CC cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 38 28 sampling sampling NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 38 29 protocol protocol NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 38 30 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 38 31 among among IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 38 32 other other JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 38 33 59 59 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 38 34 factors factor NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 38 35 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 39 1 Unless unless IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 39 2 a a DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 39 3 randomized randomized JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 39 4 and and CC cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 39 5 standardized standardized JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 39 6 sampling sampling NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 39 7 protocol protocol NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 39 8 of of IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 39 9 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 39 10 whole whole JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 39 11 60 60 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 39 12 population population NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 39 13 is be VBZ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 39 14 carried carry VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 39 15 out out RP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 39 16 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 39 17 there there EX cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 39 18 is be VBZ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 39 19 no no DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 39 20 a a FW cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 39 21 priori priori JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 39 22 reason reason NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 39 23 to to TO cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 39 24 assume assume VB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 39 25 they -PRON- PRP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 39 26 are be VBP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 39 27 representative representative JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 39 28 61 61 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 39 29 of of IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 39 30 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 39 31 magnitude magnitude NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 39 32 or or CC cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 39 33 even even RB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 39 34 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 39 35 speed speed NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 39 36 of of IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 39 37 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 39 38 spread spread NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 39 39 of of IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 39 40 this this DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 39 41 or or CC cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 39 42 any any DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 39 43 other other JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 39 44 virus virus NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 39 45 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 40 1 62 62 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 41 1 Furthermore furthermore RB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 41 2 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 41 3 unless unless IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 41 4 similar similar JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 41 5 testing testing NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 41 6 efforts effort NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 41 7 are be VBP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 41 8 made make VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 41 9 in in IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 41 10 different different JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 41 11 countries country NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 41 12 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 41 13 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 41 14 data datum NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 41 15 are be VBP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 41 16 63 63 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 41 17 not not RB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 41 18 comparable comparable JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 41 19 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 41 20 and and CC cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 41 21 pooling pool VBG cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 41 22 them -PRON- PRP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 41 23 may may MD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 41 24 provide provide VB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 41 25 an an DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 41 26 even even RB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 41 27 worse bad JJR cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 41 28 picture picture NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 41 29 of of IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 41 30 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 41 31 spread spread NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 41 32 of of IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 41 33 64 64 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 41 34 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 41 35 virus virus NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 41 36 worldwide worldwide RB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 41 37 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 42 1 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 42 2 related related JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 42 3 deaths death NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 42 4 data datum NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 42 5 are be VBP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 42 6 reported report VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 42 7 nearly nearly RB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 42 8 as as RB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 42 9 much much JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 42 10 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 42 11 but but CC cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 42 12 65 65 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 42 13 there there EX cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 42 14 is be VBZ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 42 15 less less JJR cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 42 16 focus focus NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 42 17 on on IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 42 18 them -PRON- PRP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 42 19 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 43 1 These these DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 43 2 data datum NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 43 3 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 43 4 however however RB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 43 5 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 43 6 are be VBP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 43 7 less less RBR cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 43 8 prone prone JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 43 9 to to IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 43 10 sampling sampling NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 43 11 error error NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 43 12 [ [ -LRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 43 13 2,3 2,3 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 43 14 ] ] -RRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 43 15 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 43 16 66 66 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 43 17 unless unless IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 43 18 a a DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 43 19 large large JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 43 20 number number NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 43 21 of of IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 43 22 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 43 23 related related JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 43 24 deaths death NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 43 25 go go VBP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 43 26 undetected undetected JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 43 27 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 43 28 misdiagnosed misdiagnose VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 43 29 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 43 30 or or CC cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 43 31 67 67 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 43 32 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 44 1 CC CC NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 44 2 - - HYPH cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 44 3 BY BY NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 44 4 - - HYPH cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 44 5 NC NC NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 44 6 4.0 4.0 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 44 7 International international JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 44 8 license license NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 45 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 45 2 is be VBZ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 45 3 made make VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 45 4 available available JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 45 5 under under IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 45 6 a a DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 46 1 is be VBZ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 46 2 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 46 3 author author NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 46 4 / / SYM cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 46 5 funder funder NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 46 6 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 46 7 who who WP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 46 8 has have VBZ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 46 9 granted grant VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 46 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 46 11 a a DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 46 12 license license NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 46 13 to to TO cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 46 14 display display VB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 46 15 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 46 16 preprint preprint NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 46 17 in in IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 46 18 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 46 19 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 47 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 47 2 which which WDT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 47 3 was be VBD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 47 4 not not RB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 47 5 certified certify VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 47 6 by by IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 47 7 peer peer NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 47 8 review review NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 47 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 48 1 The the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 48 2 copyright copyright NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 48 3 holder holder NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 48 4 for for IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 48 5 this this DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 48 6 preprint preprint NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 48 7 this this DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 48 8 version version NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 48 9 posted post VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 48 10 May May NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 48 11 25 25 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 48 12 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 48 13 2020 2020 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 48 14 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 49 1 provide provide VB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 49 2 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 49 3 but but CC cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 49 4 see see VB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 49 5 Vogel Vogel NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 49 6 [ [ -LRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 49 7 4 4 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 49 8 ] ] -RRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 49 9 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 49 10 and and CC cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 49 11 may may MD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 49 12 even even RB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 49 13 represent represent VB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 49 14 a a DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 49 15 monitoring monitoring NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 49 16 alternative alternative NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 49 17 for for IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 49 18 84 84 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 49 19 countries country NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 49 20 with with IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 49 21 little little JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 49 22 or or CC cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 49 23 no no DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 49 24 access access NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 49 25 to to IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 49 26 antibody antibody NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 49 27 testing testing NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 49 28 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 50 1 85 85 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 51 1 Since since IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 51 2 IFR IFR NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 51 3 is be VBZ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 51 4 age age NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 51 5 dependent dependent JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 51 6 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 51 7 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 51 8 global global JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 51 9 value value NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 51 10 depends depend VBZ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 51 11 on on IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 51 12 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 51 13 age age NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 51 14 structure structure NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 51 15 of of IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 51 16 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 51 17 86 86 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 51 18 infected infected JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 51 19 population population NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 51 20 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 52 1 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 52 2 is be VBZ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 52 3 known know VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 52 4 to to TO cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 52 5 be be VB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 52 6 more more RBR cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 52 7 lethal lethal JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 52 8 in in IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 52 9 older old JJR cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 52 10 age age NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 52 11 classes class NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 52 12 87 87 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 52 13 [ [ -LRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 52 14 12 12 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 52 15 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 52 16 15 15 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 52 17 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 52 18 16 16 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 52 19 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 52 20 17 17 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 52 21 ] ] -RRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 52 22 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 52 23 thus thus RB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 52 24 we -PRON- PRP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 52 25 can can MD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 52 26 expect expect VB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 52 27 that that IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 52 28 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 52 29 more more RBR cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 52 30 biased biased JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 52 31 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 52 32 age age NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 52 33 structure structure NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 52 34 of of IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 52 35 a a DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 52 36 given give VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 52 37 88 88 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 52 38 population population NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 52 39 to to IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 52 40 such such JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 52 41 classes class NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 52 42 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 52 43 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 52 44 higher high JJR cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 52 45 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 52 46 IFR IFR NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 52 47 will will MD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 52 48 be be VB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 52 49 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 53 1 In in IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 53 2 order order NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 53 3 to to TO cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 53 4 apply apply VB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 53 5 this this DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 53 6 value value NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 53 7 to to IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 53 8 other other JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 53 9 89 89 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 53 10 populations population NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 53 11 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 53 12 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 53 13 IFR IFR NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 53 14 of of IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 53 15 each each DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 53 16 age age NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 53 17 class class NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 53 18 must must MD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 53 19 be be VB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 53 20 weighted weight VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 53 21 by by IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 53 22 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 53 23 relative relative JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 53 24 proportion proportion NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 53 25 of of IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 53 26 90 90 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 53 27 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 54 1 CC CC NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 54 2 - - HYPH 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cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 76 1 period period NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 76 2 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 77 1 This this DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 77 2 value value NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 77 3 will will MD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 77 4 be be VB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 77 5 referred refer VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 77 6 to to IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 77 7 as as IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 77 8 % % NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 77 9 DI DI NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 77 10 on on IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 77 11 Idt Idt NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 77 12 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 78 1 If if IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 78 2 a a DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 78 3 country country NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 78 4 is be VBZ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 78 5 currently currently RB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 78 6 reporting report VBG cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 78 7 no no DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 78 8 181 181 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 78 9 deaths death NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 78 10 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 78 11 this this DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 78 12 % % NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 78 13 DI DI NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 78 14 value value NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 78 15 is be VBZ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 78 16 evaluated evaluate VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 78 17 for for IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 78 18 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 78 19 period period NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 78 20 ending end VBG cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 78 21 with with IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 78 22 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 78 23 last last JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 78 24 daily daily JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 78 25 % % NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 78 26 DI DI NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 78 27 value value NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 78 28 182 182 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 78 29 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 79 1 CC CC NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 79 2 - - HYPH cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 79 3 BY BY NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 79 4 - - HYPH cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 79 5 NC NC NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 79 6 4.0 4.0 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 79 7 International international JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 79 8 license license NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 80 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 80 2 is be VBZ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 80 3 made make VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 80 4 available available JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 80 5 under under IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 80 6 a a DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 81 1 is be VBZ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 81 2 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 81 3 author author NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 81 4 / / SYM cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 81 5 funder funder NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 81 6 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 81 7 who who WP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 81 8 has have VBZ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 81 9 granted grant VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 81 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 81 11 a a DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 81 12 license license NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 81 13 to to TO cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 81 14 display display VB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 81 15 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 81 16 preprint preprint NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 81 17 in in IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 81 18 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 81 19 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 82 1 The the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 82 2 copyright copyright NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 82 3 holder holder NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 82 4 for for IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 82 5 this this DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 82 6 preprint preprint NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 82 7 this this DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 82 8 version version NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 82 9 posted post VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 82 10 May May NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 82 11 25 25 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 82 12 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 82 13 2020 2020 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 82 14 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 83 1 is be VBZ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 83 2 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 83 3 author author NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 83 4 / / SYM cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 83 5 funder funder NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 83 6 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 83 7 who who WP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 83 8 has have VBZ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 83 9 granted grant VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 83 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 83 11 a a DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 83 12 license license NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 83 13 to to TO cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 83 14 display display VB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 83 15 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 83 16 preprint preprint NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 83 17 in in IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 83 18 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 83 19 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 84 1 The the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 84 2 copyright copyright NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 84 3 holder holder NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 84 4 for for IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 84 5 this this DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 84 6 preprint preprint NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 84 7 this this DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 84 8 version version NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 84 9 posted post VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 84 10 May May NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 84 11 25 25 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 84 12 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 84 13 2020 2020 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 84 14 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 84 15 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 85 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.20.20107516 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.20.20107516 NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 85 2 doi doi NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 85 3 : : : cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 85 4 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 85 5 preprint preprint NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 85 6 222 222 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 85 7 Estimated estimate VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 85 8 IFR IFR NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 85 9 values value NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 85 10 show show VBP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 85 11 a a DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 85 12 bimodal bimodal JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 85 13 distribution distribution NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 85 14 with with IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 85 15 one one CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 85 16 mode mode NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 85 17 around around RB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 85 18 0.5 0.5 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 85 19 % % NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 85 20 and and CC cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 85 21 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 85 22 223 223 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 85 23 other other JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 85 24 slightly slightly RB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 85 25 above above IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 85 26 1 1 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 85 27 % % NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 86 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 86 2 Fig Fig NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 86 3 1 1 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 86 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 86 5 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 1 Out out IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 2 of of IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 3 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 4 50 50 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 5 countries country NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 6 with with IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 7 more more RBR cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 8 reported report VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 9 deaths death NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 10 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 11 224 224 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 12 estimated estimate VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 13 IFR IFR NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 14 values value NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 15 are be VBP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 16 higher high JJR cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 17 than than IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 18 1 1 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 19 % % NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 20 in in IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 21 all all DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 22 European european JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 23 countries country NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 24 ( ( -LRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 25 n=23 n=23 UH cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 27 with with IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 28 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 29 225 225 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 30 exception exception NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 31 of of IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 32 Russia Russia NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 33 ( ( -LRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 34 0.92 0.92 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 35 % % NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 36 ) ) -RRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 37 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 38 Ireland Ireland NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 39 ( ( -LRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 40 0.84 0.84 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 41 % % NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 42 ) ) -RRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 43 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 44 Ukraine Ukraine NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 45 ( ( -LRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 46 0.98 0.98 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 47 % % NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 48 ) ) -RRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 49 and and CC cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 50 Moldova Moldova NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 51 ( ( -LRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 52 0.72 0.72 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 53 % % NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 54 ) ) -RRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 55 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 56 226 226 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 57 and and CC cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 58 lower low JJR cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 59 than than IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 60 1 1 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 61 % % NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 62 in in IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 63 all all DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 64 non non JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 65 - - JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 66 European european JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 67 countries country NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 68 ( ( -LRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 69 n=27 n=27 NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 70 ) ) -RRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 71 with with IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 72 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 73 exception exception NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 74 of of IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 75 Canada Canada NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 76 227 227 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 77 ( ( -LRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 78 1.05 1.05 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 79 % % NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 80 ) ) -RRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 81 and and CC cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 82 Japan Japan NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 83 ( ( -LRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 84 1.60 1.60 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 85 % % NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 87 86 ) ) -RRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 88 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 88 2 Table table NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 88 3 1 1 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 88 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 88 5 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 89 1 This this DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 89 2 is be VBZ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 89 3 due due JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 89 4 to to IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 89 5 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 89 6 fact fact NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 89 7 that that IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 89 8 European european JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 89 9 countries country NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 89 10 228 228 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 89 11 have have VBP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 89 12 age age NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 89 13 structures structure NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 89 14 biased biased JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 89 15 to to IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 89 16 higher high JJR cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 89 17 age age NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 89 18 classes class NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 89 19 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 90 1 This this DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 90 2 is be VBZ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 90 3 likely likely JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 90 4 one one CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 90 5 of of IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 90 6 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 90 7 reasons reason NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 90 8 why why WRB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 90 9 is be VBZ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 90 10 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 90 11 author author NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 90 12 / / SYM cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 90 13 funder funder NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 90 14 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 90 15 who who WP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 90 16 has have VBZ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 90 17 granted grant VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 90 18 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 90 19 a a DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 90 20 license license NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 90 21 to to TO cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 90 22 display display VB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 90 23 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 90 24 preprint preprint NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 90 25 in in IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 90 26 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 90 27 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 91 1 The the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 91 2 copyright copyright NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 91 3 holder holder NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 91 4 for for IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 91 5 this this DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 91 6 preprint preprint NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 91 7 this this DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 91 8 version version NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 91 9 posted post VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 91 10 May May NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 91 11 25 25 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 91 12 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 91 13 2020 2020 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 91 14 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 92 1 IFR IFR NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 92 2 may may MD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 92 3 also also RB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 92 4 depend depend VB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 92 5 on on IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 92 6 country country NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 92 7 specific specific JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 92 8 factors factor NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 92 9 such such JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 92 10 as as IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 92 11 healthcare healthcare NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 92 12 system system NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 92 13 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 92 14 socio- socio- XX cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 93 1 Our -PRON- PRP$ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 93 2 results result NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 93 3 on on IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 93 4 % % NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 93 5 DI DI NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 93 6 on on IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 93 7 Idt Idt NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 93 8 show show VBP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 93 9 great great JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 93 10 variation variation NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 93 11 among among IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 93 12 countries country NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 93 13 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 93 14 and and CC cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 93 15 suggest suggest VBP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 93 16 266 266 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 93 17 that that IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 93 18 CCD CCD NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 93 19 represent represent VBP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 93 20 less less JJR cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 93 21 than than IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 93 22 a a DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 93 23 third third NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 93 24 of of IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 93 25 estimated estimate VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 93 26 infections infection NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 93 27 on on IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 93 28 Idt Idt NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 93 29 in in IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 93 30 all all DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 93 31 but but CC cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 93 32 5 5 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 93 33 countries country NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 93 34 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 93 35 267 267 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 93 36 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 94 1 CC CC NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 94 2 - - HYPH cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 94 3 BY BY NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 94 4 - - HYPH cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 94 5 NC NC NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 94 6 4.0 4.0 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 94 7 International international JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 94 8 license license NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 95 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 95 2 is be VBZ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 95 3 made make VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 95 4 available available JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 95 5 under under IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 95 6 a a DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 96 1 is be VBZ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 96 2 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 96 3 author author NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 96 4 / / SYM cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 96 5 funder funder NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 96 6 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 96 7 who who WP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 96 8 has have VBZ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 96 9 granted grant VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 96 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 96 11 a a DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 96 12 license license NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 96 13 to to TO cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 96 14 display display VB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 96 15 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 96 16 preprint preprint NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 96 17 in in IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 96 18 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 96 19 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 97 1 The the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 97 2 copyright copyright NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 97 3 holder holder NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 97 4 for for IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 97 5 this this DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 97 6 preprint preprint NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 97 7 this this DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 97 8 version version NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 97 9 posted post VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 97 10 May May NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 97 11 25 25 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 97 12 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 97 13 2020 2020 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 97 14 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 98 1 values value NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 98 2 consistently consistently RB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 98 3 far far RB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 98 4 outside outside IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 98 5 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 98 6 distribution distribution NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 98 7 of of IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 98 8 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 98 9 rest rest NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 98 10 of of IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 98 11 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 98 12 countries country NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 98 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 98 14 Fig Fig NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 98 15 1 1 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 98 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 98 17 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 99 1 Other other JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 99 2 CC CC NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 99 3 - - HYPH cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 99 4 BY BY NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 99 5 - - HYPH cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 99 6 NC NC NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 99 7 4.0 4.0 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 99 8 International international JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 99 9 license license NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 100 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 100 2 is be VBZ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 100 3 made make VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 100 4 available available JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 100 5 under under IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 100 6 a a DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 101 1 is be VBZ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 101 2 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 101 3 author author NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 101 4 / / SYM cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 101 5 funder funder NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 101 6 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 101 7 who who WP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 101 8 has have VBZ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 101 9 granted grant VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 101 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 101 11 a a DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 101 12 license license NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 101 13 to to TO cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 101 14 display display VB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 101 15 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 101 16 preprint preprint NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 101 17 in in IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 101 18 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 101 19 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 102 1 The the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 102 2 copyright copyright NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 102 3 holder holder NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 102 4 for for IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 102 5 this this DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 102 6 preprint preprint NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 102 7 this this DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 102 8 version version NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 102 9 posted post VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 102 10 May May NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 102 11 25 25 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 102 12 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 102 13 2020 2020 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 102 14 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 103 1 68 68 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 103 2 - - SYM cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 103 3 82 82 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 103 4 % % NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 103 5 more more JJR cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 103 6 deaths death NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 103 7 in in IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 103 8 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 103 9 next next JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 103 10 23 23 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 103 11 days day NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 103 12 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 104 1 They -PRON- PRP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 104 2 would would MD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 104 3 also also RB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 104 4 experience experience VB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 104 5 an an DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 104 6 equivalent equivalent JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 104 7 378 378 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 104 8 increase increase NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 104 9 in in IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 104 10 population population NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 104 11 immunity immunity NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 104 12 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 105 1 379 379 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 106 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 106 2 has have VBZ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 106 3 been be VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 106 4 suggested suggest VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 106 5 that that IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 106 6 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 106 7 accumulation accumulation NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 106 8 of of IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 106 9 herd herd NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 106 10 immunity immunity NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 106 11 in in IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 106 12 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 106 13 population population NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 106 14 380 380 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 106 15 slows slow VBZ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 106 16 epidemic epidemic NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 106 17 resurgence resurgence NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 106 18 [ [ -LRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 106 19 37 37 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 106 20 ] ] -RRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 106 21 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 107 1 By by IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 107 2 contrast contrast NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 107 3 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 107 4 when when WRB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 107 5 virtually virtually RB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 107 6 no no DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 107 7 population population NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 107 8 immunity immunity NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 107 9 is be VBZ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 107 10 381 381 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 107 11 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 108 1 CC CC NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 108 2 - - HYPH cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 108 3 BY BY NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 108 4 - - HYPH cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 108 5 NC NC NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 108 6 4.0 4.0 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 108 7 International international JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 108 8 license license NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 109 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 109 2 is be VBZ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 109 3 made make VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 109 4 available available JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 109 5 under under IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 109 6 a a DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 110 1 is be VBZ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 110 2 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 110 3 author author NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 110 4 / / SYM cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 110 5 funder funder NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 110 6 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 110 7 who who WP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 110 8 has have VBZ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 110 9 granted grant VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 110 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 110 11 a a DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 110 12 license license NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 110 13 to to TO cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 110 14 display display VB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 110 15 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 110 16 preprint preprint NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 110 17 in in IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 110 18 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 110 19 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 111 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 111 2 which which WDT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 111 3 was be VBD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 111 4 not not RB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 111 5 certified certify VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 111 6 by by IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 111 7 peer peer NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 111 8 review review NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 111 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 112 1 The the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 112 2 copyright copyright NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 112 3 holder holder NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 112 4 for for IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 112 5 this this DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 112 6 preprint preprint NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 112 7 this this DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 112 8 version version NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 112 9 posted post VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 112 10 May May NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 112 11 25 25 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 112 12 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 112 13 2020 2020 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 112 14 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 112 15 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 113 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.20.20107516 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.20.20107516 NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 113 2 doi doi NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 113 3 : : : cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 114 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 114 2 preprint preprint NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 114 3 19 19 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 114 4 built build VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 114 5 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 114 6 such such JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 114 7 as as IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 114 8 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 114 9 case case NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 114 10 of of IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 114 11 China China NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 114 12 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 114 13 India India NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 114 14 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 114 15 Japan Japan NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 114 16 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 114 17 Bangladesh Bangladesh NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 114 18 or or CC cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 114 19 South South NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 114 20 Korea Korea NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 114 21 ( ( -LRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 114 22 percentage percentage NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 114 23 382 382 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 114 24 of of IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 114 25 immune immune JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 114 26 population population NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 114 27 below below IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 114 28 0.1 0.1 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 114 29 % % NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 114 30 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 114 31 in in IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 114 32 Table Table NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 114 33 1 1 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 114 34 ) ) -RRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 114 35 a a DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 114 36 resurgence resurgence NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 114 37 peak peak NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 114 38 of of IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 114 39 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 114 40 may may MD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 114 41 be be VB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 114 42 383 383 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 114 43 nearly nearly RB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 114 44 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 114 45 same same JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 114 46 size size NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 114 47 as as IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 114 48 an an DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 114 49 uncontrolled uncontrolled JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 114 50 epidemic epidemic NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 114 51 if if IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 114 52 control control NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 114 53 policies policy NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 114 54 fail fail VBP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 114 55 [ [ -LRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 114 56 37 37 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 114 57 ] ] -RRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 114 58 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 1 The the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 2 384 384 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 3 numbers number NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 4 for for IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 5 Japan Japan NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 6 ( ( -LRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 7 Fig Fig NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 8 5 5 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 10 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 11 for for IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 12 instance instance NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 13 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 14 suggest suggest VBP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 15 a a DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 16 high high JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 17 vulnerability vulnerability NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 18 since since IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 19 it -PRON- PRP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 20 shows show VBZ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 21 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 22 385 385 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 23 highest high JJS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 24 estimated estimate VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 25 IFR IFR NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 26 ( ( -LRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 27 1.60 1.60 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 28 ) ) -RRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 29 of of IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 30 all all DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 31 countries country NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 32 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 33 a a DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 34 low low JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 35 % % NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 36 DI DI NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 37 on on IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 38 Idt Idt NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 39 ( ( -LRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 40 6 6 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 41 % % NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 42 ) ) -RRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 43 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 44 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 45 lowest low JJS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 46 386 386 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 47 percentage percentage NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 48 of of IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 49 immune immune JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 50 population population NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 51 ( ( -LRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 52 0.04 0.04 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 53 % % NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 54 ) ) -RRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 55 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 56 and and CC cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 57 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 58 highest high JJS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 59 estimated estimate VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 60 increase increase NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 61 ( ( -LRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 62 111 111 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 63 % % NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 64 ) ) -RRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 65 387 387 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 66 in in IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 67 infections infection NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 68 from from IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 69 Idt Idt NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 70 to to IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 71 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 72 present present NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 73 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 74 and and CC cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 75 thus thus RB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 76 a a DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 77 similar similar JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 78 increase increase NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 79 in in IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 80 deaths death NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 81 in in IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 82 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 83 388 388 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 84 following follow VBG cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 85 23 23 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 86 days day NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 115 87 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 116 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 116 2 still still RB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 116 3 do do VBP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 116 4 n't not RB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 116 5 know know VB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 116 6 how how WRB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 116 7 long long JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 116 8 immunity immunity NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 116 9 to to IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 116 10 SARS SARS NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 116 11 - - HYPH cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 116 12 CoV-2 CoV-2 NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 116 13 could could MD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 116 14 last last VB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 116 15 [ [ -LRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 116 16 4 4 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 116 17 ] ] -RRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 116 18 , , . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 117 1 389 389 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 117 2 but but CC cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 117 3 recent recent JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 117 4 modeling modeling NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 117 5 suggests suggest VBZ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 117 6 anywhere anywhere RB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 117 7 between between IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 117 8 40 40 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 117 9 weeks week NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 117 10 and and CC cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 117 11 5 5 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 117 12 years year NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 117 13 [ [ -LRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 117 14 37 37 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 117 15 ] ] -RRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 117 16 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 118 1 390 390 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 119 1 Nevertheless nevertheless RB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 119 2 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 119 3 immunity immunity NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 119 4 is be VBZ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 119 5 unlikely unlikely JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 119 6 to to TO cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 119 7 end end VB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 119 8 abruptly abruptly RB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 119 9 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 119 10 so so CC cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 119 11 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 119 12 rate rate NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 119 13 of of IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 119 14 any any DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 119 15 further further JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 119 16 re re NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 119 17 - - NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 119 18 infection infection NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 119 19 391 391 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 119 20 with with IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 119 21 new new JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 119 22 strains strain NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 119 23 should should MD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 119 24 be be VB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 119 25 smoother smooth JJR cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 119 26 in in IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 119 27 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 119 28 future future NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 119 29 as as RB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 119 30 long long RB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 119 31 as as IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 119 32 herd herd NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 119 33 immunity immunity NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 119 34 has have VBZ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 119 35 had have VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 119 36 392 392 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 119 37 some some DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 119 38 build build VB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 119 39 - - HYPH cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 119 40 up up NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 119 41 [ [ -LRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 119 42 4,16 4,16 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 119 43 ] ] -RRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 119 44 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 120 1 However however RB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 120 2 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 120 3 even even RB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 120 4 Belgium Belgium NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 120 5 with with IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 120 6 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 120 7 highest high JJS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 120 8 estimated estimate VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 120 9 percentage percentage NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 120 10 of of IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 120 11 393 393 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 120 12 immune immune JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 120 13 population population NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 120 14 ( ( -LRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 120 15 6.94 6.94 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 120 16 % % NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 120 17 ) ) -RRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 120 18 seems seem VBZ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 120 19 far far RB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 120 20 from from IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 120 21 values value NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 120 22 approaching approach VBG cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 120 23 herd herd NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 120 24 immunity immunity NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 120 25 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 121 1 394 394 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 122 1 Although although IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 122 2 CCD CCD NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 122 3 have have VBP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 122 4 been be VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 122 5 used use VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 122 6 to to TO cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 122 7 estimate estimate VB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 122 8 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 122 9 number number NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 122 10 of of IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 122 11 infections infection NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 122 12 [ [ -LRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 122 13 38 38 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 122 14 ] ] -RRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 122 15 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 122 16 we -PRON- PRP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 122 17 395 395 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 122 18 believe believe VBP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 122 19 that that IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 122 20 this this DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 122 21 will will MD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 122 22 usually usually RB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 122 23 provide provide VB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 122 24 poor poor JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 122 25 estimates estimate NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 122 26 as as IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 122 27 suggested suggest VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 122 28 by by IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 122 29 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 122 30 short short JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 122 31 and and CC cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 122 32 long-396 long-396 NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 122 33 term term NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 122 34 variation variation NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 122 35 in in IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 122 36 daily daily JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 122 37 % % NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 122 38 DI DI NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 122 39 values value NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 122 40 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 123 1 In in IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 123 2 any any DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 123 3 case case NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 123 4 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 123 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 123 6 suggest suggest VBP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 123 7 that that IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 123 8 having have VBG cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 123 9 a a DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 123 10 low low JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 123 11 % % NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 123 12 DI DI NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 123 13 value value NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 123 14 CC cc NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 123 15 - - HYPH cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 123 16 BY BY NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 123 17 - - HYPH cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 123 18 NC NC NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 123 19 4.0 4.0 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 123 20 International international JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 123 21 license license NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 124 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 124 2 is be VBZ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 124 3 made make VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 124 4 available available JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 124 5 under under IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 124 6 a a DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 125 1 is be VBZ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 125 2 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 125 3 author author NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 125 4 / / SYM cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 125 5 funder funder NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 125 6 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 125 7 who who WP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 125 8 has have VBZ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 125 9 granted grant VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 125 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 125 11 a a DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 125 12 license license NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 125 13 to to TO cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 125 14 display display VB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 125 15 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 125 16 preprint preprint NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 125 17 in in IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 125 18 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 125 19 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 126 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 126 2 which which WDT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 126 3 was be VBD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 126 4 not not RB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 126 5 certified certify VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 126 6 by by IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 126 7 peer peer NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 126 8 review review NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 126 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 127 1 The the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 127 2 copyright copyright NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 127 3 holder holder NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 127 4 for for IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 127 5 this this DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 127 6 preprint preprint NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 127 7 this this DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 127 8 version version NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 127 9 posted post VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 127 10 May May NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 127 11 25 25 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 127 12 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 127 13 2020 2020 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 127 14 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 127 15 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 128 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.20.20107516 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.20.20107516 NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 128 2 doi doi NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 128 3 : : : cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 129 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 129 2 preprint preprint NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 129 3 20 20 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 129 4 antibodies antibody NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 129 5 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 129 6 we -PRON- PRP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 129 7 suggest suggest VBP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 129 8 that that IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 129 9 estimates estimate NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 129 10 based base VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 129 11 on on IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 129 12 reported report VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 129 13 deaths death NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 129 14 and and CC cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 129 15 IFR IFR NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 129 16 are be VBP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 129 17 a a DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 129 18 more more RBR cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 129 19 405 405 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 129 20 reliable reliable JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 129 21 alternative alternative NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 129 22 to to TO cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 129 23 estimate estimate VB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 129 24 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 129 25 spread spread NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 129 26 of of IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 129 27 SARS SARS NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 129 28 - - HYPH cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 129 29 CoV-2 CoV-2 NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 129 30 than than IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 129 31 CCD CCD NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 129 32 in in IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 129 33 any any DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 129 34 country country NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 129 35 for for IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 129 36 406 406 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 129 37 which which WDT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 129 38 age age NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 129 39 structure structure NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 129 40 data data NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 129 41 is be VBZ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 129 42 available available JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 129 43 and and CC cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 129 44 data datum NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 129 45 of of IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 129 46 reported report VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 129 47 deaths death NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 129 48 is be VBZ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 129 49 trustworthy trustworthy JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 129 50 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 130 1 They -PRON- PRP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 130 2 407 407 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 130 3 also also RB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 130 4 illustrate illustrate VBP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 130 5 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 130 6 potential potential JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 130 7 bias bias NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 130 8 when when WRB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 130 9 assuming assume VBG cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 130 10 that that IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 130 11 CCD CCD NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 130 12 data datum NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 130 13 reflect reflect VBP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 130 14 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 130 15 actual actual JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 130 16 spread spread NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 130 17 408 408 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 130 18 of of IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 130 19 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 130 20 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 130 21 _SP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 131 1 Logistic logistic JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 131 2 approximations approximation NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 131 3 used use VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 131 4 to to TO cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 131 5 describe describe VB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 131 6 new new JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 131 7 outbreaks outbreak NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 131 8 in in IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 131 9 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 131 10 2020 2020 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 131 11 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 131 12 pandemic pandemic NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 132 1 The the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 132 2 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 132 3 infection infection NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 132 4 in in IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 132 5 Italy Italy NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 132 6 : : : cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 132 7 a a DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 132 8 statistical statistical JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 132 9 study study NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 132 10 of of IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 132 11 an an DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 132 12 abnormally abnormally RB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 132 13 severe severe JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 132 14 421 421 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 132 15 disease disease NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 133 1 As as IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 133 2 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 133 3 cases case NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 133 4 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 133 5 deaths death NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 133 6 426 426 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 133 7 and and CC cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 133 8 fatality fatality NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 133 9 rates rate NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 133 10 surge surge VBP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 133 11 in in IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 133 12 Italy Italy NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 133 13 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 133 14 underlying underlie VBG cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 133 15 causes cause NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 133 16 require require VBP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 133 17 investigation investigation NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 133 18 First first JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 133 19 antibody antibody NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 133 20 surveys survey NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 133 21 draw draw VBP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 133 22 fire fire NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 133 23 for for IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 133 24 quality quality NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 133 25 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 133 26 bias bias NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 133 27 Incubation Incubation NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 133 28 period period NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 133 29 of of IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 133 30 2019 2019 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 133 31 novel novel NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 133 32 475 475 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 133 33 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 133 34 ( ( -LRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 133 35 2019-nCoV 2019-ncov CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 133 36 ) ) -RRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 133 37 infections infection NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 133 38 among among IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 133 39 travellers traveller NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 133 40 from from IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 133 41 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 134 1 The the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 134 2 epidemiological epidemiological JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 134 3 characteristics characteristic NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 134 4 of of IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 134 5 an an DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 134 6 outbreak outbreak NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 134 7 of of IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 134 8 2019 2019 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 134 9 483 483 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 134 10 novel novel JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 134 11 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 134 12 diseases disease NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 134 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 134 14 COVID-19 covid-19 VB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 134 15 ) ) -RRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 134 16 in in IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 134 17 China China NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 134 18 Impact Impact NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 134 19 of of IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 134 20 non non JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 134 21 - - JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 134 22 pharmaceutical pharmaceutical JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 134 23 interventions intervention NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 134 24 ( ( -LRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 134 25 NPIs NPIs NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 134 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 135 1 to to TO cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 135 2 reduce reduce VB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 135 3 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 135 4 mortality mortality NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 135 5 488 488 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 135 6 and and CC cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 135 7 healthcare healthcare NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 135 8 demand demand NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 135 9 Demographic demographic JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 135 10 science science NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 135 11 aids aid NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 135 12 in in IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 135 13 understanding understand VBG cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 135 14 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 135 15 spread spread NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 135 16 and and CC cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 135 17 fatality fatality NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 135 18 rates rate NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 135 19 of of IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 135 20 Vienna Vienna NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 135 21 : : : cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 136 1 R R NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 136 2 Foundation Foundation NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 136 3 for for IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 136 4 Statistical Statistical NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 136 5 Computing Computing NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 136 6 United United NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 136 7 Nations Nations NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 136 8 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 136 9 Department Department NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 136 10 of of IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 136 11 Economic Economic NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 136 12 and and CC cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 136 13 Social Social NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 136 14 Affairs Affairs NNPS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 136 15 European European NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 136 16 Centre Centre NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 136 17 for for IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 136 18 Disease Disease NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 136 19 Prevention Prevention NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 136 20 509 509 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 136 21 and and CC cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 136 22 Control Control NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 136 23 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 137 1 An an DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 137 2 Agency Agency NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 137 3 of of IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 137 4 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 137 5 European European NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 137 6 Union Union NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 137 7 ECDC ECDC NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 137 8 collects collect VBZ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 137 9 and and CC cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 137 10 processes process NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 138 1 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 138 2 data datum NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 138 3 European European NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 138 4 Centre Centre NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 138 5 for for IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 138 6 Disease Disease NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 138 7 Prevention Prevention NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 138 8 and and CC cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 139 1 Control Control NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 139 2 An an DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 139 3 514 514 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 139 4 agency agency NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 139 5 of of IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 139 6 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 139 7 European European NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 139 8 Union Union NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 140 1 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 140 2 deaths death NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 140 3 and and CC cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 140 4 cases case NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 140 5 : : : cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 141 1 how how WRB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 141 2 522 522 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 141 3 do do VBP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 141 4 sources source NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 141 5 compare compare VB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 141 6 ? ? . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 142 1 The the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 142 2 525 525 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 142 3 Incubation Incubation NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 142 4 Period Period NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 142 5 of of IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 142 6 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 142 7 Disease Disease NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 142 8 2019 2019 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 142 9 ( ( -LRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 142 10 COVID-19 covid-19 VB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 142 11 ) ) -RRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 142 12 From from IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 142 13 Publicly publicly RB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 142 14 526 526 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 142 15 Reported report VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 142 16 Confirmed confirm VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 142 17 Cases case NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 142 18 : : : cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 143 1 Estimation Estimation NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 143 2 and and CC cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 143 3 Application Application NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 143 4 Epidemiological epidemiological JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 143 5 data datum NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 143 6 from from IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 143 7 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 143 8 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 143 9 outbreak outbreak NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 143 10 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 143 11 real real JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 143 12 - - HYPH cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 143 13 time time NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 143 14 case case NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 143 15 information information NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 143 16 The the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 143 17 Editorial Editorial NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 143 18 Board Board NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 143 19 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 144 1 The the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 144 2 Global Global NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 144 3 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 144 4 Crisis Crisis NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 144 5 Is be VBZ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 144 6 Poised poise VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 144 7 to to TO cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 144 8 Get get VB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 144 9 Much much JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 144 10 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 144 11 Much much JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 144 12 535 535 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 144 13 Worse bad JJR cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 144 14 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 145 1 The the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 145 2 New New NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 145 3 York York NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 145 4 Times Times NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 145 5 Prediction Prediction NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 145 6 models model NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 145 7 for for IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 145 8 diagnosis diagnosis NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 145 9 and and CC cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 145 10 prognosis prognosis NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 145 11 of of IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 145 12 covid-19 covid-19 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 145 13 infection infection NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 145 14 : : : cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 145 15 546 546 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 145 16 systematic systematic JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 145 17 review review NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 145 18 and and CC cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 145 19 critical critical JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 145 20 appraisal appraisal NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 146 1 Available available JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 146 2 from from IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 146 3 : : : cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 146 4 552 552 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 146 5 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 147 1 CC CC NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 147 2 - - HYPH cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 147 3 BY BY NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 147 4 - - HYPH cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 147 5 NC NC NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 147 6 4.0 4.0 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 147 7 International international JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 147 8 license license NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 148 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 148 2 is be VBZ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 148 3 made make VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 148 4 available available JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 148 5 under under IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 148 6 a a DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 149 1 is be VBZ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 149 2 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 149 3 author author NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 149 4 / / SYM cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 149 5 funder funder NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 149 6 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 149 7 who who WP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 149 8 has have VBZ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 149 9 granted grant VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 149 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 149 11 a a DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 149 12 license license NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 149 13 to to TO cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 149 14 display display VB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 149 15 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 149 16 preprint preprint NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 149 17 in in IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 149 18 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 149 19 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 150 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 150 2 which which WDT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 150 3 was be VBD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 150 4 not not RB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 150 5 certified certify VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 150 6 by by IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 150 7 peer peer NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 150 8 review review NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 150 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 151 1 The the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 151 2 copyright copyright NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 151 3 holder holder NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 151 4 for for IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 151 5 this this DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 151 6 preprint preprint NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 151 7 this this DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 151 8 version version NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 151 9 posted post VBD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 151 10 Variación Variación NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 151 11 en en IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 151 12 casos caso NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 152 1 por por NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 152 2 555 555 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 152 3 reclasificación reclasificación NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 152 4 -Covid19 -covid19 NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 153 1 Virological virological JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 153 2 assessment assessment NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 153 3 of of IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 153 4 hospitalized hospitalize VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 153 5 patients patient NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 153 6 with with IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 153 7 COVID-2019 COVID-2019 NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 153 8 Detection Detection NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 153 9 of of IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 153 10 2019 2019 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 153 11 novel novel JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 153 12 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 153 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 153 14 2019-nCoV 2019-ncov CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 153 15 ) ) -RRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 153 16 by by IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 153 17 real real JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 153 18 - - HYPH cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 153 19 time time NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 153 20 RT rt NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 153 21 - - HYPH cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 153 22 PCR PCR NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 153 23 Estudio Estudio NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 153 24 Ene Ene NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 153 25 - - HYPH cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 153 26 Covid19 Covid19 NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 153 27 : : : cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 154 1 Primera Primera NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 154 2 Ronda Ronda NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 154 3 Estudio Estudio NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 154 4 575 575 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 154 5 Nacional Nacional NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 154 6 de de NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 154 7 Sero Sero NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 154 8 - - HYPH cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 154 9 Epidemiología Epidemiología NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 154 10 de de NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 154 11 la la NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 154 12 Infección Infección NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 155 1 por por NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 155 2 SARS SARS NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 155 3 - - HYPH cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 155 4 CoV-2 CoV-2 NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 155 5 en en IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 155 6 España España NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 156 1 576 576 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 156 2 Informe Informe NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 156 3 Preliminar Preliminar NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 157 1 Projecting project VBG cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 157 2 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 157 3 580 580 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 157 4 transmission transmission NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 157 5 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 157 6 of of IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 157 7 SARS SARS NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 157 8 - - : cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 157 9 CoV-2 CoV-2 NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 157 10 through through IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 157 11 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 157 12 postpandemic postpandemic JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 157 13 period period NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 157 14 Serial serial JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 157 15 interval interval NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 157 16 of of IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 157 17 585 585 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 157 18 COVID-19 covid-19 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 157 19 among among IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 157 20 publicly publicly RB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 157 21 reported report VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 157 22 confirmed confirm VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 157 23 cases case NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 157 24 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 158 1 Emerg Emerg NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 158 2 Infect infect VB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 158 3 Dis Dis NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 158 4 _SP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 158 5 412 412 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 159 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 159 2 are be VBP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 159 3 grateful grateful JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 159 4 to to IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 159 5 Isabel Isabel NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 159 6 Noriega Noriega NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 159 7 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 159 8 Yareni Yareni NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 159 9 Perroni Perroni NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 159 10 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 159 11 Matt Matt NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 159 12 Draud Draud NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 159 13 and and CC cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 159 14 Warren Warren NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 159 15 Greiff Greiff NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 159 16 for for IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 159 17 413 413 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 159 18 proofreading proofreading NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 159 19 and and CC cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 159 20 useful useful JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 159 21 comments comment NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 159 22 on on IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 159 23 early early JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 159 24 versions version NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 159 25 of of IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 159 26 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 159 27 manuscript manuscript NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 159 28 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 159 29 _SP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 160 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 160 2 is be VBZ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 160 3 made make VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 160 4 available available JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 160 5 under under IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 160 6 a a DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 161 1 is be VBZ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 161 2 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 161 3 author author NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 161 4 / / SYM cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 161 5 funder funder NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 161 6 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 161 7 who who WP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 161 8 has have VBZ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 161 9 granted grant VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 161 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 161 11 a a DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 161 12 license license NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 161 13 to to TO cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 161 14 display display VB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 161 15 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 161 16 preprint preprint NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 161 17 in in IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 161 18 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 161 19 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 162 1 The the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 162 2 copyright copyright NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 162 3 holder holder NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 162 4 for for IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 162 5 this this DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 162 6 preprint preprint NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 162 7 this this DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 162 8 version version NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 162 9 posted post VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 162 10 May May NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 162 11 25 25 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 162 12 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 162 13 2020 2020 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 162 14 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 163 1 reported report VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 163 2 deaths death NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 163 3 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 164 1 This this DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 164 2 spreadsheet spreadsheet NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 164 3 is be VBZ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 164 4 generated generate VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 164 5 by by IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 164 6 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 164 7 function function NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 164 8 cv19.tab.num cv19.tab.num NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 164 9 ( ( -LRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 164 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 164 11 in in IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 164 12 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 164 13 604 604 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 164 14 R r NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 164 15 script script NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 164 16 ( ( -LRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 164 17 S1 S1 NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 164 18 ) ) -RRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 164 19 and and CC cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 164 20 includes include VBZ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 164 21 10 10 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 164 22 additional additional JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 164 23 columns column NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 164 24 apart apart RB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 164 25 from from IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 164 26 those those DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 164 27 shown show VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 164 28 in in IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 164 29 Table Table NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 164 30 1 1 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 164 31 CC CC NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 164 32 - - HYPH cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 164 33 BY BY NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 164 34 - - HYPH cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 164 35 NC NC NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 164 36 4.0 4.0 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 164 37 International international JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 164 38 license license NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 165 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 165 2 is be VBZ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 165 3 made make VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 165 4 available available JJ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 165 5 under under IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 165 6 a a DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 166 1 is be VBZ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 166 2 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 166 3 author author NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 166 4 / / SYM cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 166 5 funder funder NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 166 6 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 166 7 who who WP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 166 8 has have VBZ cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 166 9 granted grant VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 166 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 166 11 a a DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 166 12 license license NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 166 13 to to TO cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 166 14 display display VB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 166 15 the the DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 166 16 preprint preprint NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 166 17 in in IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 166 18 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 166 19 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 167 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 167 2 which which WDT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 167 3 was be VBD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 167 4 not not RB cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 167 5 certified certify VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 167 6 by by IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 167 7 peer peer NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 167 8 review)The review)The NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 167 9 copyright copyright NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 167 10 holder holder NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 167 11 for for IN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 167 12 this this DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 167 13 preprint preprint NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 168 1 this this DT cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 168 2 version version NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 168 3 posted post VBN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 168 4 May May NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 168 5 25 25 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 168 6 , , , cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 168 7 2020 2020 CD cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 168 8 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 168 9 . . . cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 169 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.20.20107516 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.20.20107516 NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 169 2 doi doi NN cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 169 3 : : : cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 170 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-341827-z9r5i0ky 170 2 preprint preprint NNP