id author title date pages extension mime words sentences flesch summary cache txt cord-341827-z9r5i0ky Macias-Ordonez, R. The misleading illusion of COVID-19 confirmed case data: alternative estimates and a monitoring tool 2020-05-25 .txt text/plain 2618 166 61 Assuming that detection remains constant after Infection 34 Date, we estimated the number of deaths and the estimated percentage of the 35 population of each country expected to be immune up to 23 days into the future. Assuming that detection remains constant after Infection 34 Date, we estimated the number of deaths and the estimated percentage of the 35 population of each country expected to be immune up to 23 days into the future. . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.20.20107516 doi: medRxiv preprint Introduction 50 COVID-19 confirmed case data (CCD) are the central piece of information in most 51 news, official reports, conversations, forecasting efforts, and are also probably central to 52 most decisions made by authorities worldwide since the pandemic outbreak in 53 December 2019. . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.20.20107516 doi: medRxiv preprint 20 antibodies, we suggest that estimates based on reported deaths and IFR are a more 405 reliable alternative to estimate the spread of SARS-CoV-2 than CCD in any country for 406 which age structure data is available and data of reported deaths is trustworthy. ./cache/cord-341827-z9r5i0ky.txt ./txt/cord-341827-z9r5i0ky.txt