id	author	title	date	pages	extension	mime	words	sentences	flesch	summary	cache	txt
cord-226245-p0cyzjwf	Schneble, Marc	Nowcasting fatal COVID-19 infections on a regional level in Germany	2020-05-15		.txt	text/plain	5163	286	63	Given that death counts generally provide more reliable information on the spread of the disease compared to infection counts, which inevitably depend on testing strategy and capacity, the proposed model and the presented results allow to obtain reliable insight into the current state of the pandemic in Germany. The data are provided by the Robert-Koch-Institute (www.rki.de) and give the cumulative number of deaths in different gender and age groups for each of the 412 administrative districts in Germany together with the date of registration of the infection. In Figure 2 we combine these different components and map the fitted nowcasted death counts related to Covid-19 for the different districts of Germany, cumulating over the last seven days before the day of analysis (here May 14, 2020). Let Y t,r,g denote the number of daily deaths due to COVID-19 in district/region r and age and gender group g with time point (date of registration) t = 0, .	./cache/cord-226245-p0cyzjwf.txt	./txt/cord-226245-p0cyzjwf.txt