id sid tid token lemma pos cord-338466-7uvta990 1 1 key key NN cord-338466-7uvta990 1 2 : : : cord-338466-7uvta990 2 1 cord-338466 cord-338466 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 2 2 - - HYPH cord-338466-7uvta990 2 3 7uvta990 7uvta990 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 2 4 authors author NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 2 5 : : : cord-338466-7uvta990 2 6 Singh Singh NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 2 7 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 2 8 Brijesh Brijesh NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 2 9 P. P. NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 2 10 title title NN cord-338466-7uvta990 2 11 : : : cord-338466-7uvta990 2 12 Modeling modeling NN cord-338466-7uvta990 2 13 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 2 14 forecasting forecast VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 2 15 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 2 16 spread spread NN cord-338466-7uvta990 2 17 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 2 18 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 2 19 pandemic pandemic NN cord-338466-7uvta990 2 20 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 2 21 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 2 22 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 2 23 significance significance NN cord-338466-7uvta990 2 24 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 2 25 lockdown lockdown NN cord-338466-7uvta990 2 26 : : : cord-338466-7uvta990 2 27 A a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 2 28 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 2 29 outlook outlook NN cord-338466-7uvta990 2 30 date date NN cord-338466-7uvta990 2 31 : : : cord-338466-7uvta990 2 32 2020 2020 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 2 33 - - SYM cord-338466-7uvta990 2 34 10 10 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 2 35 - - SYM cord-338466-7uvta990 2 36 31 31 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 2 37 journal journal NN cord-338466-7uvta990 2 38 : : : cord-338466-7uvta990 2 39 nan nan NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 2 40 DOI DOI NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 2 41 : : : cord-338466-7uvta990 2 42 10.1016/ 10.1016/ CD cord-338466-7uvta990 3 1 bs.host.2020.10.005 bs.host.2020.10.005 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 3 2 sha sha NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 3 3 : : : cord-338466-7uvta990 4 1 1b0d9897ff545abee3f31ee375a82ae4b76ad1c6 1b0d9897ff545abee3f31ee375a82ae4b76ad1c6 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 4 2 doc_id doc_id CD cord-338466-7uvta990 4 3 : : : cord-338466-7uvta990 4 4 338466 338466 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 4 5 cord_uid cord_uid NN cord-338466-7uvta990 4 6 : : : cord-338466-7uvta990 5 1 7uvta990 7uvta990 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 6 1 A a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 6 2 very very RB cord-338466-7uvta990 6 3 special special JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 6 4 type type NN cord-338466-7uvta990 6 5 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 6 6 pneumonic pneumonic JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 6 7 disease disease NN cord-338466-7uvta990 6 8 that that WDT cord-338466-7uvta990 6 9 generated generate VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 6 10 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 6 11 COVID-19 covid-19 NN cord-338466-7uvta990 6 12 was be VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 6 13 first first RB cord-338466-7uvta990 6 14 identified identify VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 6 15 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 6 16 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 6 17 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 6 18 China China NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 6 19 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 6 20 December December NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 6 21 2019 2019 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 6 22 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 6 23 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 6 24 spreading spread VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 6 25 all all RB cord-338466-7uvta990 6 26 over over IN cord-338466-7uvta990 6 27 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 6 28 world world NN cord-338466-7uvta990 6 29 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 7 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 7 2 ongoing ongoing JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 7 3 outbreak outbreak NN cord-338466-7uvta990 7 4 presents present VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 7 5 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 7 6 challenge challenge NN cord-338466-7uvta990 7 7 for for IN cord-338466-7uvta990 7 8 data datum NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 7 9 scientists scientist NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 7 10 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 7 11 model model VB cord-338466-7uvta990 7 12 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 7 13 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 7 14 when when WRB cord-338466-7uvta990 7 15 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 7 16 epidemiological epidemiological JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 7 17 characteristics characteristic NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 7 18 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 7 19 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 7 20 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 7 21 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 7 22 yet yet RB cord-338466-7uvta990 7 23 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 7 24 be be VB cord-338466-7uvta990 7 25 fully fully RB cord-338466-7uvta990 7 26 explained explain VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 7 27 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 8 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 8 2 uncertainty uncertainty NN cord-338466-7uvta990 8 3 around around IN cord-338466-7uvta990 8 4 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 8 5 COVID-19 covid-19 NN cord-338466-7uvta990 8 6 with with IN cord-338466-7uvta990 8 7 no no DT cord-338466-7uvta990 8 8 vaccine vaccine NN cord-338466-7uvta990 8 9 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 8 10 effective effective JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 8 11 medicine medicine NN cord-338466-7uvta990 8 12 available available JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 8 13 till till IN cord-338466-7uvta990 8 14 today today NN cord-338466-7uvta990 8 15 create create VB cord-338466-7uvta990 8 16 additional additional JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 8 17 pressure pressure NN cord-338466-7uvta990 8 18 on on IN cord-338466-7uvta990 8 19 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 8 20 epidemiologists epidemiologist NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 8 21 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 8 22 policy policy NN cord-338466-7uvta990 8 23 makers maker NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 8 24 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 9 1 In in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 9 2 such such PDT cord-338466-7uvta990 9 3 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 9 4 crucial crucial JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 9 5 situation situation NN cord-338466-7uvta990 9 6 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 9 7 it -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 9 8 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 9 9 very very RB cord-338466-7uvta990 9 10 important important JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 9 11 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 9 12 predict predict VB cord-338466-7uvta990 9 13 infected infected JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 9 14 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 9 15 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 9 16 support support VB cord-338466-7uvta990 9 17 prevention prevention NN cord-338466-7uvta990 9 18 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 9 19 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 9 20 disease disease NN cord-338466-7uvta990 9 21 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 9 22 aid aid NN cord-338466-7uvta990 9 23 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 9 24 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 9 25 preparation preparation NN cord-338466-7uvta990 9 26 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 9 27 healthcare healthcare NN cord-338466-7uvta990 9 28 service service NN cord-338466-7uvta990 9 29 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 10 1 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 10 2 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 10 3 fighting fight VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 10 4 efficiently efficiently RB cord-338466-7uvta990 10 5 against against IN cord-338466-7uvta990 10 6 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 10 7 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 10 8 facing face VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 10 9 greater great JJR cord-338466-7uvta990 10 10 challenges challenge NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 10 11 because because IN cord-338466-7uvta990 10 12 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 10 13 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-338466-7uvta990 10 14 large large JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 10 15 population population NN cord-338466-7uvta990 10 16 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 10 17 high high JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 10 18 population population NN cord-338466-7uvta990 10 19 density density NN cord-338466-7uvta990 10 20 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 11 1 Though though IN cord-338466-7uvta990 11 2 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 11 3 government government NN cord-338466-7uvta990 11 4 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 11 5 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 11 6 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 11 7 taking take VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 11 8 all all DT cord-338466-7uvta990 11 9 needful needful JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 11 10 steps step NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 11 11 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 11 12 prevent prevent VB cord-338466-7uvta990 11 13 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-338466-7uvta990 11 14 spread spread NN cord-338466-7uvta990 12 1 but but CC cord-338466-7uvta990 12 2 it -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 12 3 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 12 4 not not RB cord-338466-7uvta990 12 5 enough enough JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 12 6 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 12 7 control control VB cord-338466-7uvta990 12 8 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 12 9 stop stop VB cord-338466-7uvta990 12 10 spread spread RB cord-338466-7uvta990 12 11 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 12 12 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 12 13 disease disease NN cord-338466-7uvta990 12 14 so so RB cord-338466-7uvta990 12 15 far far RB cord-338466-7uvta990 12 16 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 12 17 perhaps perhaps RB cord-338466-7uvta990 12 18 due due JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 12 19 to to IN cord-338466-7uvta990 12 20 defiant defiant JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 12 21 nature nature NN cord-338466-7uvta990 12 22 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 12 23 people people NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 12 24 living live VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 12 25 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 12 26 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 12 27 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 13 1 Effective effective JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 13 2 measure measure NN cord-338466-7uvta990 13 3 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 13 4 control control VB cord-338466-7uvta990 13 5 this this DT cord-338466-7uvta990 13 6 disease disease NN cord-338466-7uvta990 14 1 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 14 2 medical medical JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 14 3 professionals professional NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 14 4 needs need VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 14 5 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 14 6 know know VB cord-338466-7uvta990 14 7 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 14 8 estimated estimate VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 14 9 size size NN cord-338466-7uvta990 14 10 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 14 11 this this DT cord-338466-7uvta990 14 12 pandemic pandemic NN cord-338466-7uvta990 14 13 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 14 14 pace pace NN cord-338466-7uvta990 14 15 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 15 1 In in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 15 2 this this DT cord-338466-7uvta990 15 3 study study NN cord-338466-7uvta990 15 4 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 15 5 an an DT cord-338466-7uvta990 15 6 attempt attempt NN cord-338466-7uvta990 15 7 has have VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 15 8 been be VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 15 9 made make VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 15 10 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 15 11 understand understand VB cord-338466-7uvta990 15 12 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 15 13 spreading spread VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 15 14 capability capability NN cord-338466-7uvta990 15 15 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 15 16 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 15 17 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 15 18 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 15 19 through through IN cord-338466-7uvta990 15 20 some some DT cord-338466-7uvta990 15 21 simple simple JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 15 22 models model NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 15 23 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 16 1 Findings finding NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 16 2 suggest suggest VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 16 3 that that IN cord-338466-7uvta990 16 4 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 16 5 lockdown lockdown NN cord-338466-7uvta990 16 6 strategies strategy NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 16 7 implemented implement VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 16 8 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 16 9 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 16 10 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 16 11 not not RB cord-338466-7uvta990 16 12 successfully successfully RB cord-338466-7uvta990 16 13 reducing reduce VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 16 14 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 16 15 pace pace NN cord-338466-7uvta990 16 16 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 16 17 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 16 18 pandemic pandemic NN cord-338466-7uvta990 16 19 significantly significantly RB cord-338466-7uvta990 16 20 after after IN cord-338466-7uvta990 16 21 first first JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 16 22 lockdown lockdown NN cord-338466-7uvta990 16 23 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 17 1 A a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 17 2 novel novel JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 17 3 corona corona NN cord-338466-7uvta990 17 4 virus virus NN cord-338466-7uvta990 17 5 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 17 6 responsible responsible JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 17 7 for for IN cord-338466-7uvta990 17 8 epidemic epidemic NN cord-338466-7uvta990 17 9 popularly popularly RB cord-338466-7uvta990 17 10 known know VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 17 11 as as IN cord-338466-7uvta990 17 12 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 18 1 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 18 2 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 18 3 new new JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 18 4 strain strain NN cord-338466-7uvta990 18 5 that that WDT cord-338466-7uvta990 18 6 has have VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 18 7 not not RB cord-338466-7uvta990 18 8 been be VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 18 9 identified identify VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 18 10 previously previously RB cord-338466-7uvta990 18 11 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 18 12 humans human NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 18 13 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 19 1 World World NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 19 2 Health Health NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 19 3 Organization Organization NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 19 4 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 19 5 WHO who WP cord-338466-7uvta990 19 6 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 19 7 declared declare VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 19 8 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 19 9 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 19 10 pandemic pandemic NN cord-338466-7uvta990 19 11 on on IN cord-338466-7uvta990 19 12 March March NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 19 13 11 11 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 19 14 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 19 15 2020 2020 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 19 16 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 20 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 20 2 virus virus NN cord-338466-7uvta990 20 3 that that WDT cord-338466-7uvta990 20 4 caused cause VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 20 5 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 20 6 incidence incidence NN cord-338466-7uvta990 20 7 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 20 8 Severe severe JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 20 9 Acute acute JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 20 10 Respiratory Respiratory NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 20 11 Syndrome Syndrome NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 20 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 20 13 SARS SARS NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 20 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 20 15 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 20 16 2002 2002 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 20 17 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 20 18 China China NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 20 19 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 20 20 Middle Middle NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 20 21 East East NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 20 22 respiratory respiratory JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 20 23 syndrome syndrome NN cord-338466-7uvta990 20 24 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 20 25 MERS MERS NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 20 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 20 27 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 20 28 2012 2012 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 20 29 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 20 30 Saudi Saudi NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 20 31 Arabia Arabia NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 20 32 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 20 33 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 20 34 virus virus NN cord-338466-7uvta990 20 35 that that WDT cord-338466-7uvta990 20 36 causes cause VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 21 1 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 21 2 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 21 3 genetically genetically RB cord-338466-7uvta990 21 4 related relate VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 21 5 to to IN cord-338466-7uvta990 21 6 each each DT cord-338466-7uvta990 21 7 other other JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 21 8 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 21 9 but but CC cord-338466-7uvta990 21 10 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 21 11 diseases disease NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 21 12 they -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 21 13 caused cause VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 21 14 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 21 15 quite quite RB cord-338466-7uvta990 21 16 different different JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 21 17 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 21 18 WHO who WP cord-338466-7uvta990 21 19 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 21 20 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 22 1 These these DT cord-338466-7uvta990 22 2 viruses virus NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 22 3 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 22 4 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 22 5 general general JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 22 6 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 22 7 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 22 8 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 22 9 family family NN cord-338466-7uvta990 22 10 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 22 11 viruses virus NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 22 12 that that WDT cord-338466-7uvta990 22 13 target target VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 22 14 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 22 15 affect affect VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 22 16 mammal mammal NN cord-338466-7uvta990 22 17 's 's POS cord-338466-7uvta990 22 18 respiratory respiratory JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 22 19 systems system NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 22 20 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 23 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 23 2 SARS SARS NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 23 3 corona corona NN cord-338466-7uvta990 23 4 virus virus NN cord-338466-7uvta990 23 5 spread spread VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 23 6 to to IN cord-338466-7uvta990 23 7 humans human NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 23 8 via via IN cord-338466-7uvta990 23 9 civet civet NN cord-338466-7uvta990 23 10 cats cat NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 23 11 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 23 12 while while IN cord-338466-7uvta990 23 13 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 23 14 MERS MERS NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 23 15 virus virus NN cord-338466-7uvta990 23 16 spread spread VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 23 17 via via IN cord-338466-7uvta990 23 18 dromedaries dromedary NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 23 19 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 24 1 In in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 24 2 case case NN cord-338466-7uvta990 24 3 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 24 4 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 24 5 novel novel JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 24 6 corona corona NN cord-338466-7uvta990 24 7 virus virus NN cord-338466-7uvta990 24 8 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 24 9 typically typically RB cord-338466-7uvta990 24 10 happens happen VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 24 11 via via IN cord-338466-7uvta990 24 12 contact contact NN cord-338466-7uvta990 24 13 with with IN cord-338466-7uvta990 24 14 an an DT cord-338466-7uvta990 24 15 infected infected JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 24 16 animal animal NN cord-338466-7uvta990 24 17 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 24 18 perhaps perhaps RB cord-338466-7uvta990 24 19 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 24 20 common common JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 24 21 carriers carrier NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 24 22 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 24 23 bats bat NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 24 24 initial initial JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 24 25 reports report NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 24 26 from from IN cord-338466-7uvta990 24 27 seafood seafood NN cord-338466-7uvta990 24 28 market market NN cord-338466-7uvta990 24 29 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 24 30 central central JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 24 31 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 24 32 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 24 33 China China NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 24 34 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 25 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 25 2 Novel Novel NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 25 3 Corona Corona NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 25 4 Virus Virus NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 25 5 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 25 6 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 25 7 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 25 8 started start VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 25 9 from from IN cord-338466-7uvta990 25 10 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 25 11 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 25 12 China China NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 25 13 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 25 14 thus thus RB cord-338466-7uvta990 25 15 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 25 16 initially initially RB cord-338466-7uvta990 25 17 known know VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 25 18 as as IN cord-338466-7uvta990 25 19 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 25 20 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 25 21 virus virus NN cord-338466-7uvta990 25 22 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 25 23 expanded expand VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 25 24 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-338466-7uvta990 25 25 circle circle NN cord-338466-7uvta990 25 26 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 25 27 South South NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 25 28 Korea Korea NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 25 29 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 25 30 Japan Japan NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 25 31 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 25 32 Italy Italy NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 25 33 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 25 34 Iran Iran NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 25 35 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 25 36 USA USA NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 25 37 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 25 38 France France NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 25 39 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 25 40 Spain Spain NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 25 41 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 25 42 finally finally RB cord-338466-7uvta990 25 43 spreading spread VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 25 44 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 25 45 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 25 46 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 26 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 26 2 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 26 3 named name VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 26 4 as as IN cord-338466-7uvta990 26 5 novel novel NN cord-338466-7uvta990 26 6 because because IN cord-338466-7uvta990 26 7 it -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 26 8 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 26 9 never never RB cord-338466-7uvta990 26 10 seen see VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 26 11 before before IN cord-338466-7uvta990 26 12 mutation mutation NN cord-338466-7uvta990 26 13 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 26 14 animal animal NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 26 15 corona corona NN cord-338466-7uvta990 26 16 virus virus NN cord-338466-7uvta990 26 17 but but CC cord-338466-7uvta990 26 18 certain certain JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 26 19 source source NN cord-338466-7uvta990 26 20 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 26 21 this this DT cord-338466-7uvta990 26 22 pandemic pandemic NN cord-338466-7uvta990 26 23 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 26 24 still still RB cord-338466-7uvta990 26 25 unidentified unidentified JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 26 26 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 27 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 27 2 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 27 3 said say VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 27 4 that that IN cord-338466-7uvta990 27 5 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 27 6 virus virus NN cord-338466-7uvta990 27 7 might may MD cord-338466-7uvta990 27 8 be be VB cord-338466-7uvta990 27 9 connected connect VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 27 10 with with IN cord-338466-7uvta990 27 11 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 27 12 wet wet JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 27 13 market market NN cord-338466-7uvta990 27 14 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 27 15 with with IN cord-338466-7uvta990 27 16 seafood seafood NN cord-338466-7uvta990 27 17 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 27 18 live live JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 27 19 animals animal NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 27 20 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 27 21 from from IN cord-338466-7uvta990 27 22 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 27 23 that that WDT cord-338466-7uvta990 27 24 was be VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 27 25 not not RB cord-338466-7uvta990 27 26 complying comply VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 27 27 with with IN cord-338466-7uvta990 27 28 health health NN cord-338466-7uvta990 27 29 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 27 30 safety safety NN cord-338466-7uvta990 27 31 rules rule NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 27 32 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 27 33 regulations regulation NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 27 34 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 28 1 As as IN cord-338466-7uvta990 28 2 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 28 3 July July NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 28 4 16 16 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 28 5 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 28 6 2020 2020 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 28 7 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 28 8 with with IN cord-338466-7uvta990 28 9 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 28 10 continuously continuously RB cord-338466-7uvta990 28 11 increasing increase VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 28 12 global global JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 28 13 risk risk NN cord-338466-7uvta990 28 14 more more JJR cord-338466-7uvta990 28 15 than than IN cord-338466-7uvta990 28 16 14 14 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 28 17 million million CD cord-338466-7uvta990 28 18 confirm confirm VB cord-338466-7uvta990 28 19 positive positive JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 28 20 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 28 21 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 28 22 more more JJR cord-338466-7uvta990 28 23 than than IN cord-338466-7uvta990 28 24 0.58 0.58 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 28 25 million million CD cord-338466-7uvta990 28 26 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 28 27 deaths death NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 28 28 have have VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 28 29 occurred occur VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 28 30 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 28 31 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 28 32 world world NN cord-338466-7uvta990 28 33 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 29 1 As as IN cord-338466-7uvta990 29 2 number number NN cord-338466-7uvta990 29 3 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 29 4 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 29 5 growing grow VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 29 6 day day NN cord-338466-7uvta990 29 7 by by IN cord-338466-7uvta990 29 8 day day NN cord-338466-7uvta990 29 9 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 29 10 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 29 11 most most JJS cord-338466-7uvta990 29 12 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 29 13 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 29 14 countries country NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 29 15 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 29 16 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 29 17 world world NN cord-338466-7uvta990 29 18 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 29 19 some some DT cord-338466-7uvta990 29 20 most most RBS cord-338466-7uvta990 29 21 populous populous JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 29 22 countries country NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 29 23 like like IN cord-338466-7uvta990 29 24 China China NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 29 25 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 29 26 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 29 27 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 29 28 Brazil Brazil NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 29 29 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 29 30 USA USA NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 29 31 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 29 32 etc etc FW cord-338466-7uvta990 29 33 . . FW cord-338466-7uvta990 29 34 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 29 35 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 29 36 badly badly RB cord-338466-7uvta990 29 37 affected affect VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 29 38 by by IN cord-338466-7uvta990 29 39 it -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 29 40 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 30 1 In in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 30 2 this this DT cord-338466-7uvta990 30 3 context context NN cord-338466-7uvta990 30 4 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 30 5 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 30 6 crucial crucial JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 30 7 role role NN cord-338466-7uvta990 30 8 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 30 9 modeling modeling NN cord-338466-7uvta990 30 10 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 30 11 transmission transmission NN cord-338466-7uvta990 30 12 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 30 13 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 30 14 estimating estimate VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 30 15 development development NN cord-338466-7uvta990 30 16 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 30 17 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 30 18 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 30 19 expected expect VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 30 20 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 31 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 31 2 population population NN cord-338466-7uvta990 31 3 based base VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 31 4 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 31 5 model model NN cord-338466-7uvta990 32 1 especially especially RB cord-338466-7uvta990 32 2 growth growth NN cord-338466-7uvta990 32 3 model model NN cord-338466-7uvta990 32 4 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 32 5 this this DT cord-338466-7uvta990 32 6 scenario scenario NN cord-338466-7uvta990 32 7 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 32 8 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 32 9 most most RBS cord-338466-7uvta990 32 10 preferable preferable JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 32 11 techniques technique NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 32 12 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 32 13 understand understand VB cord-338466-7uvta990 32 14 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 32 15 epidemic epidemic JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 32 16 future future JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 32 17 trajectory trajectory NN cord-338466-7uvta990 32 18 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 33 1 Epidemiological epidemiological JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 33 2 characteristics characteristic NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 33 3 like like IN cord-338466-7uvta990 33 4 propagating propagate VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 33 5 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 33 6 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 33 7 severity severity NN cord-338466-7uvta990 33 8 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 33 9 susceptibility susceptibility NN cord-338466-7uvta990 33 10 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 33 11 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 33 12 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 33 13 effects effect NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 33 14 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 33 15 control control NN cord-338466-7uvta990 33 16 measures measure NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 33 17 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 33 18 for for IN cord-338466-7uvta990 33 19 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 33 20 has have VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 33 21 produced produce VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 33 22 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 33 23 greater great JJR cord-338466-7uvta990 33 24 concern concern NN cord-338466-7uvta990 33 25 for for IN cord-338466-7uvta990 33 26 researchers researcher NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 33 27 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 33 28 Cowling Cowling NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 33 29 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 33 30 Leung Leung NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 33 31 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 33 32 2020 2020 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 33 33 ; ; : cord-338466-7uvta990 33 34 Lipsitch Lipsitch NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 33 35 et et NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 33 36 al al NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 33 37 . . NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 33 38 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 33 39 2020 2020 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 33 40 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 33 41 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 34 1 Since since IN cord-338466-7uvta990 34 2 preventive preventive JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 34 3 measures measure NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 34 4 like like IN cord-338466-7uvta990 34 5 lockdown lockdown NN cord-338466-7uvta990 34 6 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 34 7 social social JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 34 8 distancing distancing NN cord-338466-7uvta990 34 9 have have VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 34 10 immense immense JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 34 11 pressure pressure NN cord-338466-7uvta990 34 12 on on IN cord-338466-7uvta990 34 13 economy economy NN cord-338466-7uvta990 34 14 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 34 15 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 34 16 country country NN cord-338466-7uvta990 34 17 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 34 18 quantitative quantitative JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 34 19 estimates estimate NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 34 20 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 34 21 predictions prediction NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 34 22 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 34 23 necessary necessary JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 34 24 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 34 25 learn learn VB cord-338466-7uvta990 34 26 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 34 27 impact impact NN cord-338466-7uvta990 34 28 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 34 29 spread spread NN cord-338466-7uvta990 34 30 that that WDT cord-338466-7uvta990 34 31 will will MD cord-338466-7uvta990 34 32 help help VB cord-338466-7uvta990 34 33 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 34 34 plan plan NN cord-338466-7uvta990 34 35 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 34 36 strategies strategy NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 34 37 against against IN cord-338466-7uvta990 34 38 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 34 39 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 35 1 Given give VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 35 2 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 35 3 paucity paucity NN cord-338466-7uvta990 35 4 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 35 5 such such JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 35 6 quantitative quantitative JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 35 7 measures measure NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 35 8 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 35 9 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 35 10 predictions prediction NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 35 11 on on IN cord-338466-7uvta990 35 12 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 35 13 basis basis NN cord-338466-7uvta990 35 14 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 35 15 different different JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 35 16 idea idea NN cord-338466-7uvta990 35 17 given give VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 35 18 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 35 19 this this DT cord-338466-7uvta990 35 20 paper paper NN cord-338466-7uvta990 35 21 become become VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 35 22 critical critical JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 35 23 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 35 24 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 35 25 know know VB cord-338466-7uvta990 35 26 when when WRB cord-338466-7uvta990 35 27 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 35 28 COVID-19 covid-19 NN cord-338466-7uvta990 35 29 stops stop NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 35 30 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 36 1 In in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 36 2 recent recent JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 36 3 past past NN cord-338466-7uvta990 36 4 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 36 5 number number NN cord-338466-7uvta990 36 6 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 36 7 studies study NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 36 8 with with IN cord-338466-7uvta990 36 9 various various JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 36 10 technique technique NN cord-338466-7uvta990 36 11 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 36 12 tools tool NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 36 13 have have VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 36 14 been be VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 36 15 carry carry VB cord-338466-7uvta990 36 16 out out RP cord-338466-7uvta990 36 17 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 36 18 understand understand VB cord-338466-7uvta990 36 19 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 36 20 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 36 21 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 36 22 propagation propagation NN cord-338466-7uvta990 36 23 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 36 24 disease disease NN cord-338466-7uvta990 36 25 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 36 26 future future JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 36 27 course course NN cord-338466-7uvta990 36 28 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 36 29 action action NN cord-338466-7uvta990 36 30 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 37 1 For for IN cord-338466-7uvta990 37 2 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 37 3 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 37 4 various various JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 37 5 models model NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 37 6 which which WDT cord-338466-7uvta990 37 7 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 37 8 capable capable JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 37 9 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 37 10 providing provide VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 37 11 worth worth JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 37 12 insights insight NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 37 13 for for IN cord-338466-7uvta990 37 14 health health NN cord-338466-7uvta990 37 15 care care NN cord-338466-7uvta990 37 16 policy policy NN cord-338466-7uvta990 37 17 making making NN cord-338466-7uvta990 37 18 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 37 19 being be VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 37 20 continuously continuously RB cord-338466-7uvta990 37 21 developed develop VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 37 22 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 37 23 used use VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 37 24 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 37 25 explain explain VB cord-338466-7uvta990 37 26 this this DT cord-338466-7uvta990 37 27 pandemic pandemic NN cord-338466-7uvta990 37 28 retrospectively retrospectively RB cord-338466-7uvta990 37 29 as as RB cord-338466-7uvta990 37 30 well well RB cord-338466-7uvta990 37 31 as as IN cord-338466-7uvta990 37 32 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 37 33 project project VB cord-338466-7uvta990 37 34 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 37 35 events event NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 37 36 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 37 37 Batista Batista NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 37 38 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 37 39 2020 2020 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 37 40 ; ; : cord-338466-7uvta990 37 41 Koo Koo NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 37 42 et et FW cord-338466-7uvta990 37 43 al al NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 37 44 . . NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 37 45 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 37 46 2020 2020 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 37 47 ; ; : cord-338466-7uvta990 37 48 Kucharski Kucharski NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 37 49 et et NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 37 50 al al NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 37 51 . . NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 37 52 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 37 53 2020 2020 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 37 54 ; ; : cord-338466-7uvta990 37 55 Tuite Tuite NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 37 56 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 37 57 Fisman Fisman NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 37 58 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 37 59 2020 2020 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 37 60 ; ; : cord-338466-7uvta990 37 61 Wu Wu NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 37 62 et et NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 37 63 al al NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 37 64 . . NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 37 65 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 37 66 2020 2020 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 37 67 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 37 68 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 38 1 Wu Wu NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 38 2 et et NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 38 3 al al NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 38 4 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 39 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 39 2 2020 2020 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 39 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 39 4 has have VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 39 5 been be VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 39 6 done do VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 39 7 to to IN cord-338466-7uvta990 39 8 analyzing analyze VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 39 9 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 39 10 pace pace NN cord-338466-7uvta990 39 11 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 39 12 virus virus NN cord-338466-7uvta990 39 13 transmissibility transmissibility NN cord-338466-7uvta990 39 14 through through IN cord-338466-7uvta990 39 15 estimating estimate VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 39 16 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 39 17 value value NN cord-338466-7uvta990 39 18 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 39 19 R r NN cord-338466-7uvta990 39 20 0 0 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 39 21 with with IN cord-338466-7uvta990 39 22 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 39 23 help help NN cord-338466-7uvta990 39 24 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 39 25 stochastic stochastic JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 39 26 Markov Markov NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 39 27 Chain Chain NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 39 28 Monte Monte NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 39 29 Carlo Carlo NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 39 30 method method NN cord-338466-7uvta990 39 31 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 40 1 Another another DT cord-338466-7uvta990 40 2 analysis analysis NN cord-338466-7uvta990 40 3 with with IN cord-338466-7uvta990 40 4 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 40 5 incidence incidence NN cord-338466-7uvta990 40 6 decay decay NN cord-338466-7uvta990 40 7 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 40 8 exponential exponential JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 40 9 adjustment adjustment NN cord-338466-7uvta990 40 10 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 40 11 performed perform VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 40 12 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 41 1 Further further RB cord-338466-7uvta990 41 2 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 41 3 explain explain VB cord-338466-7uvta990 41 4 growth growth NN cord-338466-7uvta990 41 5 behavior behavior NN cord-338466-7uvta990 41 6 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 41 7 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 41 8 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 41 9 statistical statistical JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 41 10 exponential exponential JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 41 11 growth growth NN cord-338466-7uvta990 41 12 model model NN cord-338466-7uvta990 41 13 adopting adopt VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 41 14 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 41 15 serial serial JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 41 16 interval interval NN cord-338466-7uvta990 41 17 from from IN cord-338466-7uvta990 41 18 Severe severe JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 41 19 Acute acute JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 41 20 Respiratory Respiratory NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 41 21 Syndrome Syndrome NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 41 22 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 41 23 applied apply VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 41 24 by by IN cord-338466-7uvta990 41 25 Zhao Zhao NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 41 26 et et NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 41 27 al al NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 41 28 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 42 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 42 2 2020 2020 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 42 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 42 4 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 43 1 A a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 43 2 three three CD cord-338466-7uvta990 43 3 - - HYPH cord-338466-7uvta990 43 4 parameter parameter NN cord-338466-7uvta990 43 5 logistic logistic JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 43 6 growth growth NN cord-338466-7uvta990 43 7 function function NN cord-338466-7uvta990 43 8 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 43 9 applied apply VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 43 10 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 43 11 predicted predict VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 43 12 for for IN cord-338466-7uvta990 43 13 China China NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 43 14 as as RB cord-338466-7uvta990 43 15 well well RB cord-338466-7uvta990 43 16 as as IN cord-338466-7uvta990 43 17 some some DT cord-338466-7uvta990 43 18 other other JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 43 19 countries country NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 43 20 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 43 21 found find VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 43 22 very very RB cord-338466-7uvta990 43 23 satisfying satisfying JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 43 24 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 43 25 Shen Shen NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 43 26 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 43 27 2020 2020 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 43 28 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 43 29 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 44 1 In in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 44 2 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 44 3 context context NN cord-338466-7uvta990 44 4 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 44 5 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 44 6 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 44 7 an an DT cord-338466-7uvta990 44 8 early early JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 44 9 study study NN cord-338466-7uvta990 44 10 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 44 11 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 44 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 44 13 when when WRB cord-338466-7uvta990 44 14 it -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 44 15 started start VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 44 16 spreading spread VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 44 17 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 44 18 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 44 19 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 44 20 done do VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 44 21 by by IN cord-338466-7uvta990 44 22 Singh Singh NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 44 23 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 44 24 Adhikari Adhikari NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 44 25 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 44 26 2020 2020 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 44 27 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 44 28 rightly rightly RB cord-338466-7uvta990 44 29 believed believe VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 44 30 that that IN cord-338466-7uvta990 44 31 countrywide countrywide JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 44 32 lockdown lockdown NN cord-338466-7uvta990 44 33 on on IN cord-338466-7uvta990 44 34 March March NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 44 35 24 24 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 44 36 for for IN cord-338466-7uvta990 44 37 21 21 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 44 38 days day NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 44 39 may may MD cord-338466-7uvta990 44 40 be be VB cord-338466-7uvta990 44 41 insufficient insufficient JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 44 42 for for IN cord-338466-7uvta990 44 43 controlling control VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 44 44 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 44 45 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 44 46 pandemic pandemic NN cord-338466-7uvta990 44 47 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 45 1 Malhotra Malhotra NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 45 2 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 45 3 Kashyap Kashyap NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 45 4 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 45 5 2020 2020 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 45 6 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 45 7 tried try VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 45 8 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 45 9 forecast forecast VB cord-338466-7uvta990 45 10 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 45 11 endpoints endpoint NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 45 12 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 45 13 explain explain VB cord-338466-7uvta990 45 14 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 45 15 progression progression NN cord-338466-7uvta990 45 16 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 45 17 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 45 18 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 45 19 Indian Indian NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 45 20 States States NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 45 21 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 45 22 using use VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 45 23 SIR SIR NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 45 24 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 45 25 logistic logistic JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 45 26 growth growth NN cord-338466-7uvta990 45 27 models model NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 45 28 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 45 29 found find VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 45 30 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 45 31 endpoint endpoint NN cord-338466-7uvta990 45 32 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 45 33 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 45 34 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 45 35 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 45 36 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 45 37 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 45 38 July July NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 45 39 23 23 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 45 40 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 45 41 2020 2020 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 45 42 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 46 1 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 46 2 with with IN cord-338466-7uvta990 46 3 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 46 4 huge huge JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 46 5 population population NN cord-338466-7uvta990 46 6 about about IN cord-338466-7uvta990 46 7 1.3 1.3 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 46 8 billion billion CD cord-338466-7uvta990 46 9 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 46 10 among among IN cord-338466-7uvta990 46 11 majority majority NN cord-338466-7uvta990 46 12 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 46 13 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 46 14 people people NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 46 15 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 46 16 living live VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 46 17 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 46 18 poor poor JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 46 19 hygienic hygienic JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 46 20 condition condition NN cord-338466-7uvta990 46 21 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 46 22 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 46 23 medical medical JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 46 24 facilities facility NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 46 25 like like IN cord-338466-7uvta990 46 26 number number NN cord-338466-7uvta990 46 27 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 46 28 doctors doctor NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 46 29 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 46 30 hospitals hospital NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 46 31 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 46 32 less less JJR cord-338466-7uvta990 46 33 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 46 34 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 46 35 as as IN cord-338466-7uvta990 46 36 compared compare VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 46 37 to to IN cord-338466-7uvta990 46 38 developed develop VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 46 39 countries country NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 46 40 indicates indicate VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 46 41 that that IN cord-338466-7uvta990 46 42 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 46 43 situation situation NN cord-338466-7uvta990 46 44 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 46 45 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 46 46 will will MD cord-338466-7uvta990 46 47 become become VB cord-338466-7uvta990 46 48 very very RB cord-338466-7uvta990 46 49 critical critical JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 46 50 but but CC cord-338466-7uvta990 46 51 comparatively comparatively RB cord-338466-7uvta990 46 52 better well JJR cord-338466-7uvta990 46 53 public public JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 46 54 health health NN cord-338466-7uvta990 46 55 system system NN cord-338466-7uvta990 46 56 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 46 57 political political JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 46 58 control control NN cord-338466-7uvta990 46 59 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 46 60 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 46 61 than than IN cord-338466-7uvta990 46 62 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 46 63 above above RB cord-338466-7uvta990 46 64 developed develop VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 46 65 countries country NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 46 66 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 47 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 47 2 picture picture NN cord-338466-7uvta990 47 3 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 47 4 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 47 5 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 47 6 not not RB cord-338466-7uvta990 47 7 so so RB cord-338466-7uvta990 47 8 good good JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 47 9 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 47 10 has have VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 47 11 more more JJR cord-338466-7uvta990 47 12 than than IN cord-338466-7uvta990 47 13 1 1 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 47 14 million million CD cord-338466-7uvta990 47 15 confirm confirm VB cord-338466-7uvta990 47 16 positive positive JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 47 17 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 47 18 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 47 19 more more JJR cord-338466-7uvta990 47 20 than than IN cord-338466-7uvta990 47 21 26 26 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 47 22 thousand thousand CD cord-338466-7uvta990 47 23 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 47 24 deaths death NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 47 25 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 48 1 Although although IN cord-338466-7uvta990 48 2 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 48 3 death death NN cord-338466-7uvta990 48 4 rate rate NN cord-338466-7uvta990 48 5 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 48 6 this this DT cord-338466-7uvta990 48 7 pandemic pandemic NN cord-338466-7uvta990 48 8 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 48 9 low low JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 48 10 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 48 11 comparison comparison NN cord-338466-7uvta990 48 12 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 48 13 other other JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 48 14 pandemics pandemic NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 48 15 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 48 16 diseases disease NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 48 17 but but CC cord-338466-7uvta990 48 18 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-338466-7uvta990 48 19 high high JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 48 20 rate rate NN cord-338466-7uvta990 48 21 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 48 22 spread spread NN cord-338466-7uvta990 48 23 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 48 24 no no DT cord-338466-7uvta990 48 25 proper proper JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 48 26 cure cure NN cord-338466-7uvta990 48 27 available available JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 48 28 so so RB cord-338466-7uvta990 48 29 far far RB cord-338466-7uvta990 48 30 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 48 31 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 48 32 major major JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 48 33 concern concern NN cord-338466-7uvta990 48 34 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 48 35 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 48 36 present present JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 48 37 time time NN cord-338466-7uvta990 48 38 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 49 1 Right right RB cord-338466-7uvta990 49 2 now now RB cord-338466-7uvta990 49 3 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 49 4 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 49 5 only only RB cord-338466-7uvta990 49 6 29 29 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 49 7 districts district NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 49 8 out out IN cord-338466-7uvta990 49 9 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 49 10 739 739 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 49 11 districts district NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 49 12 have have VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 49 13 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 49 14 case case NN cord-338466-7uvta990 49 15 more more JJR cord-338466-7uvta990 49 16 than than IN cord-338466-7uvta990 49 17 4000 4000 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 49 18 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 50 1 These these DT cord-338466-7uvta990 50 2 districts district NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 50 3 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 50 4 mainly mainly RB cord-338466-7uvta990 50 5 metropolitans metropolitan NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 50 6 ; ; : cord-338466-7uvta990 50 7 if if IN cord-338466-7uvta990 50 8 we -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 50 9 implement implement VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 50 10 preventive preventive JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 50 11 measures measure NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 50 12 properly properly RB cord-338466-7uvta990 50 13 then then RB cord-338466-7uvta990 50 14 spread spread VB cord-338466-7uvta990 50 15 can can MD cord-338466-7uvta990 50 16 be be VB cord-338466-7uvta990 50 17 under under IN cord-338466-7uvta990 50 18 control control NN cord-338466-7uvta990 50 19 at at IN cord-338466-7uvta990 50 20 desired desire VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 50 21 level level NN cord-338466-7uvta990 50 22 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 50 23 but but CC cord-338466-7uvta990 50 24 due due IN cord-338466-7uvta990 50 25 to to IN cord-338466-7uvta990 50 26 defiant defiant JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 50 27 nature nature NN cord-338466-7uvta990 50 28 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 50 29 people people NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 50 30 living live VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 50 31 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 50 32 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 50 33 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 50 34 political political JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 50 35 desire desire NN cord-338466-7uvta990 50 36 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 50 37 rivalry rivalry NN cord-338466-7uvta990 50 38 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 50 39 still still RB cord-338466-7uvta990 50 40 we -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 50 41 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 50 42 society society NN cord-338466-7uvta990 50 43 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 50 44 facing face VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 50 45 problem problem NN cord-338466-7uvta990 50 46 made make VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 50 47 by by IN cord-338466-7uvta990 50 48 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 50 49 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 51 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 51 2 first first JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 51 3 case case NN cord-338466-7uvta990 51 4 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 51 5 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 51 6 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 51 7 reported report VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 51 8 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 51 9 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 51 10 on on IN cord-338466-7uvta990 51 11 January January NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 51 12 30 30 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 51 13 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 51 14 2020 2020 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 51 15 when when WRB cord-338466-7uvta990 51 16 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 51 17 student student NN cord-338466-7uvta990 51 18 returned return VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 51 19 from from IN cord-338466-7uvta990 51 20 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 51 21 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 51 22 China China NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 51 23 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 51 24 covid19india.org covid19india.org NN cord-338466-7uvta990 51 25 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 51 26 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 52 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 52 2 Government Government NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 52 3 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 52 4 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 52 5 was be VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 52 6 quick quick JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 52 7 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 52 8 launch launch VB cord-338466-7uvta990 52 9 various various JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 52 10 levels level NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 52 11 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 52 12 travel travel NN cord-338466-7uvta990 52 13 advisories advisory NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 52 14 beginning begin VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 52 15 from from IN cord-338466-7uvta990 52 16 February February NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 52 17 26 26 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 52 18 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 52 19 2020 2020 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 52 20 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 52 21 with with IN cord-338466-7uvta990 52 22 restrictions restriction NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 52 23 on on IN cord-338466-7uvta990 52 24 travel travel NN cord-338466-7uvta990 52 25 to to IN cord-338466-7uvta990 52 26 China China NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 52 27 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 52 28 nonessential nonessential JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 52 29 travel travel NN cord-338466-7uvta990 52 30 restrictions restriction NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 52 31 to to IN cord-338466-7uvta990 52 32 Singapore Singapore NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 52 33 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 52 34 South South NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 52 35 Korea Korea NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 52 36 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 52 37 Iran Iran NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 52 38 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 52 39 Italy Italy NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 52 40 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 53 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 53 2 efforts effort NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 53 3 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 53 4 control control VB cord-338466-7uvta990 53 5 by by IN cord-338466-7uvta990 53 6 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 53 7 Hon'ble Hon'ble NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 53 8 Prime Prime NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 53 9 Minister Minister NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 53 10 Narendra Narendra NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 53 11 Modi Modi NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 53 12 Ji Ji NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 53 13 through through IN cord-338466-7uvta990 53 14 Janata Janata NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 53 15 Curfew Curfew NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 53 16 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 53 17 public public JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 53 18 curfew curfew NN cord-338466-7uvta990 53 19 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 53 20 on on IN cord-338466-7uvta990 53 21 March March NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 53 22 22 22 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 53 23 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 53 24 2020 2020 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 53 25 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 53 26 can can MD cord-338466-7uvta990 53 27 be be VB cord-338466-7uvta990 53 28 seen see VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 53 29 as as IN cord-338466-7uvta990 53 30 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 53 31 beginning beginning NN cord-338466-7uvta990 53 32 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 53 33 wide wide JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 53 34 - - HYPH cord-338466-7uvta990 53 35 scale scale NN cord-338466-7uvta990 53 36 public public JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 53 37 preventive preventive JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 53 38 measures measure NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 53 39 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 54 1 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 54 2 has have VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 54 3 launched launch VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 54 4 several several JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 54 5 social social JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 54 6 distancing distance VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 54 7 measures measure NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 54 8 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 54 9 personal personal JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 54 10 hygiene hygiene NN cord-338466-7uvta990 54 11 measures measure NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 54 12 during during IN cord-338466-7uvta990 54 13 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 54 14 second second JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 54 15 week week NN cord-338466-7uvta990 54 16 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 54 17 March March NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 54 18 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 55 1 Symptoms symptom NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 55 2 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 55 3 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 55 4 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 55 5 reported report VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 55 6 as as IN cord-338466-7uvta990 55 7 cough cough NN cord-338466-7uvta990 55 8 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 55 9 acute acute JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 55 10 onset onset NN cord-338466-7uvta990 55 11 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 55 12 fever fever NN cord-338466-7uvta990 55 13 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 55 14 difficulty difficulty NN cord-338466-7uvta990 55 15 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 55 16 breathing breathing NN cord-338466-7uvta990 55 17 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 56 1 Out out IN cord-338466-7uvta990 56 2 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 56 3 all all PDT cord-338466-7uvta990 56 4 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 56 5 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 56 6 that that WDT cord-338466-7uvta990 56 7 have have VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 56 8 been be VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 56 9 confirmed confirm VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 56 10 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 56 11 up up IN cord-338466-7uvta990 56 12 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 56 13 20 20 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 56 14 % % NN cord-338466-7uvta990 56 15 have have VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 56 16 been be VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 56 17 deemed deem VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 56 18 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 56 19 be be VB cord-338466-7uvta990 56 20 severe severe JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 56 21 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 57 1 Cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 57 2 vary vary VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 57 3 from from IN cord-338466-7uvta990 57 4 mild mild JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 57 5 forms form NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 57 6 to to IN cord-338466-7uvta990 57 7 severe severe JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 57 8 ones one NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 57 9 that that WDT cord-338466-7uvta990 57 10 can can MD cord-338466-7uvta990 57 11 lead lead VB cord-338466-7uvta990 57 12 to to IN cord-338466-7uvta990 57 13 serious serious JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 57 14 medical medical JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 57 15 conditions condition NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 57 16 or or CC cord-338466-7uvta990 57 17 even even RB cord-338466-7uvta990 57 18 death death NN cord-338466-7uvta990 57 19 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 58 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 58 2 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 58 3 believed believe VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 58 4 that that IN cord-338466-7uvta990 58 5 symptoms symptom NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 58 6 may may MD cord-338466-7uvta990 58 7 appear appear VB cord-338466-7uvta990 58 8 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 58 9 2 2 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 58 10 - - SYM cord-338466-7uvta990 58 11 14 14 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 58 12 days day NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 58 13 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 58 14 as as IN cord-338466-7uvta990 58 15 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 58 16 incubation incubation NN cord-338466-7uvta990 58 17 period period NN cord-338466-7uvta990 58 18 for for IN cord-338466-7uvta990 58 19 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 58 20 has have VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 58 21 not not RB cord-338466-7uvta990 58 22 yet yet RB cord-338466-7uvta990 58 23 been be VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 58 24 confirmed confirm VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 58 25 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 59 1 However however RB cord-338466-7uvta990 59 2 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 59 3 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 59 4 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 59 5 14 14 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 59 6 days day NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 59 7 minimum minimum JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 59 8 quarantine quarantine NN cord-338466-7uvta990 59 9 period period NN cord-338466-7uvta990 59 10 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 59 11 declared declare VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 59 12 by by IN cord-338466-7uvta990 59 13 Government Government NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 59 14 for for IN cord-338466-7uvta990 59 15 suspected suspect VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 59 16 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 59 17 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 60 1 Since since IN cord-338466-7uvta990 60 2 it -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 60 3 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 60 4 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 60 5 new new JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 60 6 type type NN cord-338466-7uvta990 60 7 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 60 8 virus virus NN cord-338466-7uvta990 60 9 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 60 10 there there EX cord-338466-7uvta990 60 11 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 60 12 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 60 13 lot lot NN cord-338466-7uvta990 60 14 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 60 15 research research NN cord-338466-7uvta990 60 16 being be VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 60 17 carried carry VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 60 18 out out RP cord-338466-7uvta990 60 19 across across IN cord-338466-7uvta990 60 20 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 60 21 world world NN cord-338466-7uvta990 60 22 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 60 23 understand understand VB cord-338466-7uvta990 60 24 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 60 25 nature nature NN cord-338466-7uvta990 60 26 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 60 27 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 60 28 virus virus NN cord-338466-7uvta990 60 29 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 60 30 origins origin NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 60 31 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 60 32 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-338466-7uvta990 60 33 spreads spread NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 60 34 to to IN cord-338466-7uvta990 60 35 humans human NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 60 36 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 60 37 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 60 38 structure structure NN cord-338466-7uvta990 60 39 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 60 40 it -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 60 41 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 60 42 possible possible JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 60 43 cure cure NN cord-338466-7uvta990 60 44 / / SYM cord-338466-7uvta990 60 45 vaccine vaccine NN cord-338466-7uvta990 60 46 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 60 47 treat treat VB cord-338466-7uvta990 60 48 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 60 49 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 61 1 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 61 2 also also RB cord-338466-7uvta990 61 3 became become VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 61 4 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 61 5 part part NN cord-338466-7uvta990 61 6 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 61 7 these these DT cord-338466-7uvta990 61 8 research research NN cord-338466-7uvta990 61 9 efforts effort NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 61 10 after after IN cord-338466-7uvta990 61 11 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 61 12 first first JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 61 13 two two CD cord-338466-7uvta990 61 14 confirmed confirm VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 61 15 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 61 16 were be VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 61 17 reported report VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 61 18 here here RB cord-338466-7uvta990 61 19 on on IN cord-338466-7uvta990 61 20 January January NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 61 21 31 31 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 61 22 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 61 23 2020 2020 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 61 24 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 62 1 Then then RB cord-338466-7uvta990 62 2 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 62 3 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 62 4 screening screening NN cord-338466-7uvta990 62 5 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 62 6 traveler traveler NN cord-338466-7uvta990 62 7 at at IN cord-338466-7uvta990 62 8 airport airport NN cord-338466-7uvta990 62 9 migrant migrant NN cord-338466-7uvta990 62 10 was be VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 62 11 started start VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 62 12 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 62 13 immediate immediate JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 62 14 Chinese chinese JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 62 15 visas visa NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 62 16 was be VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 62 17 canceled cancel VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 62 18 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 62 19 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 62 20 who who WP cord-338466-7uvta990 62 21 was be VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 62 22 found find VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 62 23 affected affect VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 62 24 from from IN cord-338466-7uvta990 62 25 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 62 26 kept keep VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 62 27 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 62 28 quarantine quarantine NN cord-338466-7uvta990 62 29 centers center NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 62 30 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 62 31 Ministry Ministry NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 62 32 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 62 33 Home Home NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 62 34 Affaires Affaires NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 62 35 Government Government NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 62 36 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 62 37 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 62 38 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 62 39 Advisory Advisory NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 62 40 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 62 41 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 63 1 For for IN cord-338466-7uvta990 63 2 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 63 3 spread spread NN cord-338466-7uvta990 63 4 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 63 5 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 63 6 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 63 7 when when WRB cord-338466-7uvta990 63 8 disease disease NN cord-338466-7uvta990 63 9 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 63 10 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 63 11 still still RB cord-338466-7uvta990 63 12 unclear unclear JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 63 13 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 63 14 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 63 15 modeling modeling NN cord-338466-7uvta990 63 16 helps help VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 63 17 us -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 63 18 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 63 19 estimate estimate VB cord-338466-7uvta990 63 20 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 63 21 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 63 22 number number NN cord-338466-7uvta990 63 23 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 63 24 positive positive JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 63 25 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 63 26 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 63 27 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 63 28 present present JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 63 29 scenarios scenario NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 63 30 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 64 1 Now now RB cord-338466-7uvta990 64 2 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 64 3 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 64 4 interring inter VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 64 5 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 64 6 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 64 7 mid mid JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 64 8 stages stage NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 64 9 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 64 10 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 64 11 epidemic epidemic NN cord-338466-7uvta990 64 12 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 65 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 65 2 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 65 3 important important JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 65 4 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 65 5 predict predict VB cord-338466-7uvta990 65 6 how how WRB cord-338466-7uvta990 65 7 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 65 8 virus virus NN cord-338466-7uvta990 65 9 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 65 10 likely likely JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 65 11 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 65 12 grow grow VB cord-338466-7uvta990 65 13 among among IN cord-338466-7uvta990 65 14 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 65 15 population population NN cord-338466-7uvta990 65 16 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 66 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 66 2 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 66 3 pandemic pandemic NN cord-338466-7uvta990 66 4 presents present VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 66 5 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 66 6 challenge challenge NN cord-338466-7uvta990 66 7 for for IN cord-338466-7uvta990 66 8 data datum NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 66 9 scientists scientist NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 66 10 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 66 11 model model VB cord-338466-7uvta990 66 12 it -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 66 13 ; ; : cord-338466-7uvta990 66 14 however however RB cord-338466-7uvta990 66 15 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 66 16 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 66 17 epidemiological epidemiological JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 66 18 characteristics characteristic NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 66 19 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 66 20 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 66 21 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 66 22 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 66 23 yet yet RB cord-338466-7uvta990 66 24 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 66 25 be be VB cord-338466-7uvta990 66 26 fully fully RB cord-338466-7uvta990 66 27 explained explain VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 66 28 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 67 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 67 2 uncertainty uncertainty NN cord-338466-7uvta990 67 3 around around IN cord-338466-7uvta990 67 4 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 67 5 COVID-19 covid-19 NN cord-338466-7uvta990 67 6 with with IN cord-338466-7uvta990 67 7 no no DT cord-338466-7uvta990 67 8 vaccine vaccine NN cord-338466-7uvta990 67 9 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 67 10 effective effective JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 67 11 medicine medicine NN cord-338466-7uvta990 67 12 available available JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 67 13 until until IN cord-338466-7uvta990 67 14 today today NN cord-338466-7uvta990 67 15 create create VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 67 16 additional additional JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 67 17 pressure pressure NN cord-338466-7uvta990 67 18 on on IN cord-338466-7uvta990 67 19 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 67 20 epidemiologists epidemiologist NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 67 21 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 67 22 policy policy NN cord-338466-7uvta990 67 23 makers maker NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 67 24 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 68 1 In in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 68 2 such such PDT cord-338466-7uvta990 68 3 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 68 4 crucial crucial JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 68 5 situation situation NN cord-338466-7uvta990 68 6 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 68 7 it -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 68 8 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 68 9 very very RB cord-338466-7uvta990 68 10 important important JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 68 11 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 68 12 predict predict VB cord-338466-7uvta990 68 13 infected infected JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 68 14 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 68 15 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 68 16 support support VB cord-338466-7uvta990 68 17 prevention prevention NN cord-338466-7uvta990 68 18 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 68 19 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 68 20 disease disease NN cord-338466-7uvta990 68 21 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 68 22 support support NN cord-338466-7uvta990 68 23 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 68 24 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 68 25 preparation preparation NN cord-338466-7uvta990 68 26 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 68 27 healthcare healthcare NN cord-338466-7uvta990 68 28 service service NN cord-338466-7uvta990 68 29 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 69 1 A a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 69 2 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 69 3 modeling modeling NN cord-338466-7uvta990 69 4 approach approach NN cord-338466-7uvta990 69 5 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 69 6 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 69 7 suitable suitable JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 69 8 tool tool NN cord-338466-7uvta990 69 9 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 69 10 understand understand VB cord-338466-7uvta990 69 11 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 69 12 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 69 13 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 69 14 epidemic epidemic NN cord-338466-7uvta990 69 15 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 70 1 In in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 70 2 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 70 3 study study NN cord-338466-7uvta990 70 4 some some DT cord-338466-7uvta990 70 5 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 70 6 approach approach NN cord-338466-7uvta990 70 7 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 70 8 understand understand VB cord-338466-7uvta990 70 9 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 70 10 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 70 11 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 70 12 novel novel NN cord-338466-7uvta990 70 13 COVID-19 COVID-19 VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 70 14 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 70 15 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 70 16 has have VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 70 17 been be VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 70 18 discuss discuss VB cord-338466-7uvta990 70 19 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 71 1 In in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 71 2 absence absence NN cord-338466-7uvta990 71 3 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 71 4 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 71 5 definite definite JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 71 6 treatment treatment NN cord-338466-7uvta990 71 7 modality modality NN cord-338466-7uvta990 71 8 like like IN cord-338466-7uvta990 71 9 vaccine vaccine NN cord-338466-7uvta990 71 10 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 71 11 physical physical JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 71 12 distancing distancing NN cord-338466-7uvta990 71 13 has have VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 71 14 been be VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 71 15 accepted accept VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 71 16 globally globally RB cord-338466-7uvta990 71 17 as as IN cord-338466-7uvta990 71 18 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 71 19 most most RBS cord-338466-7uvta990 71 20 efficient efficient JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 71 21 strategy strategy NN cord-338466-7uvta990 71 22 for for IN cord-338466-7uvta990 71 23 reducing reduce VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 71 24 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 71 25 severity severity NN cord-338466-7uvta990 71 26 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 71 27 disease disease NN cord-338466-7uvta990 71 28 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 71 29 gaining gain VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 71 30 control control NN cord-338466-7uvta990 71 31 over over IN cord-338466-7uvta990 71 32 it -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 72 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 72 2 Ferguson Ferguson NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 72 3 et et NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 72 4 al al NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 72 5 . . NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 72 6 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 72 7 2020 2020 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 72 8 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 72 9 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 73 1 Also also RB cord-338466-7uvta990 73 2 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 73 3 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 73 4 it -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 73 5 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 73 6 reported report VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 73 7 that that IN cord-338466-7uvta990 73 8 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 73 9 country country NN cord-338466-7uvta990 73 10 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 73 11 well well RB cord-338466-7uvta990 73 12 short short JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 73 13 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 73 14 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 73 15 WHO who WP cord-338466-7uvta990 73 16 's 's POS cord-338466-7uvta990 73 17 recommendations recommendation NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 73 18 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 73 19 minimum minimum JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 73 20 threshold threshold NN cord-338466-7uvta990 73 21 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 73 22 2.28 2.28 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 73 23 skilled skilled JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 73 24 health health NN cord-338466-7uvta990 73 25 professionals professional NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 73 26 per per IN cord-338466-7uvta990 73 27 1000 1000 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 73 28 population population NN cord-338466-7uvta990 73 29 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 73 30 Anand Anand NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 73 31 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 73 32 Fan Fan NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 73 33 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 73 34 2016 2016 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 73 35 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 73 36 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 74 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-338466-7uvta990 74 2 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 74 3 on on IN cord-338466-7uvta990 74 4 March March NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 74 5 24 24 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 74 6 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 74 7 2020 2020 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 74 8 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 74 9 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 74 10 Government Government NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 74 11 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 74 12 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 74 13 under under IN cord-338466-7uvta990 74 14 Prime Prime NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 74 15 Minister Minister NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 74 16 Narendra Narendra NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 74 17 Modi Modi NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 74 18 Ji Ji NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 74 19 ordered order VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 74 20 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 74 21 nationwide nationwide JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 74 22 lockdown lockdown NN cord-338466-7uvta990 74 23 for for IN cord-338466-7uvta990 74 24 21 21 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 74 25 days day NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 74 26 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 74 27 limiting limit VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 74 28 movement movement NN cord-338466-7uvta990 74 29 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 74 30 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 74 31 entire entire JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 74 32 1.3 1.3 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 74 33 billion billion CD cord-338466-7uvta990 74 34 population population NN cord-338466-7uvta990 74 35 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 74 36 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 74 37 as as IN cord-338466-7uvta990 74 38 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 74 39 preventive preventive JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 74 40 measure measure NN cord-338466-7uvta990 74 41 against against IN cord-338466-7uvta990 74 42 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 74 43 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 74 44 pandemic pandemic NN cord-338466-7uvta990 74 45 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 74 46 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 74 47 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 75 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 75 2 was be VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 75 3 ordered order VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 75 4 after after IN cord-338466-7uvta990 75 5 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 75 6 14-h 14-h CD cord-338466-7uvta990 75 7 voluntary voluntary JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 75 8 public public JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 75 9 curfew curfew NN cord-338466-7uvta990 75 10 on on IN cord-338466-7uvta990 75 11 22 22 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 75 12 March March NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 75 13 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 76 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 76 2 lockdown lockdown NN cord-338466-7uvta990 76 3 was be VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 76 4 placed place VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 76 5 when when WRB cord-338466-7uvta990 76 6 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 76 7 number number NN cord-338466-7uvta990 76 8 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 76 9 confirmed confirm VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 76 10 COVID-19 covid-19 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 76 11 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 76 12 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 76 13 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 76 14 was be VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 76 15 approximately approximately RB cord-338466-7uvta990 76 16 500 500 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 76 17 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 77 1 On on IN cord-338466-7uvta990 77 2 14 14 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 77 3 April April NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 77 4 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 77 5 Prime Prime NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 77 6 Minister Minister NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 77 7 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 77 8 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 77 9 extended extend VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 77 10 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 77 11 nationwide nationwide JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 77 12 lockdown lockdown NN cord-338466-7uvta990 77 13 until until IN cord-338466-7uvta990 77 14 3 3 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 77 15 May May NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 77 16 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 77 17 with with IN cord-338466-7uvta990 77 18 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 77 19 conditional conditional JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 77 20 relaxation relaxation NN cord-338466-7uvta990 77 21 after after IN cord-338466-7uvta990 77 22 20 20 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 77 23 April April NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 77 24 for for IN cord-338466-7uvta990 77 25 some some DT cord-338466-7uvta990 77 26 regions region NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 77 27 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 78 1 On on IN cord-338466-7uvta990 78 2 4 4 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 78 3 May May NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 78 4 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 78 5 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 78 6 Government Government NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 78 7 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 78 8 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 78 9 again again RB cord-338466-7uvta990 78 10 extended extend VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 78 11 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 78 12 nationwide nationwide JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 78 13 lockdown lockdown NN cord-338466-7uvta990 78 14 further further RB cord-338466-7uvta990 78 15 by by IN cord-338466-7uvta990 78 16 2 2 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 78 17 weeks week NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 78 18 until until IN cord-338466-7uvta990 78 19 17 17 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 79 1 May. May NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 79 2 Also also RB cord-338466-7uvta990 79 3 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 79 4 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 79 5 Government Government NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 79 6 has have VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 79 7 divided divide VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 79 8 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 79 9 entire entire JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 79 10 nation nation NN cord-338466-7uvta990 79 11 into into IN cord-338466-7uvta990 79 12 three three CD cord-338466-7uvta990 79 13 zones zone NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 79 14 viz viz NN cord-338466-7uvta990 79 15 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 80 1 green green JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 80 2 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 80 3 red red JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 80 4 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 80 5 orange orange NN cord-338466-7uvta990 80 6 with with IN cord-338466-7uvta990 80 7 relaxations relaxation NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 80 8 applied apply VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 80 9 accordingly accordingly RB cord-338466-7uvta990 80 10 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 81 1 There there EX cord-338466-7uvta990 81 2 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 81 3 already already RB cord-338466-7uvta990 81 4 various various JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 81 5 measures measure NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 81 6 such such JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 81 7 as as IN cord-338466-7uvta990 81 8 social social JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 81 9 distancing distancing NN cord-338466-7uvta990 81 10 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 81 11 lockdown lockdown NN cord-338466-7uvta990 81 12 masking masking NN cord-338466-7uvta990 81 13 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 81 14 washing washing NN cord-338466-7uvta990 81 15 hand hand NN cord-338466-7uvta990 81 16 regularly regularly RB cord-338466-7uvta990 81 17 has have VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 81 18 been be VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 81 19 implemented implement VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 81 20 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 81 21 prevent prevent VB cord-338466-7uvta990 81 22 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 81 23 spread spread NN cord-338466-7uvta990 81 24 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 81 25 COVID-19 covid-19 NN cord-338466-7uvta990 81 26 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 81 27 but but CC cord-338466-7uvta990 81 28 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 81 29 absence absence NN cord-338466-7uvta990 81 30 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 81 31 particular particular JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 81 32 medicine medicine NN cord-338466-7uvta990 81 33 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 81 34 vaccine vaccine NN cord-338466-7uvta990 81 35 it -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 81 36 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 81 37 very very RB cord-338466-7uvta990 81 38 important important JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 81 39 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 81 40 predict predict VB cord-338466-7uvta990 81 41 how how WRB cord-338466-7uvta990 81 42 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 81 43 infection infection NN cord-338466-7uvta990 81 44 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 81 45 likely likely JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 81 46 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 81 47 develop develop VB cord-338466-7uvta990 81 48 among among IN cord-338466-7uvta990 81 49 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 81 50 population population NN cord-338466-7uvta990 81 51 that that WDT cord-338466-7uvta990 81 52 support support VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 81 53 prevention prevention NN cord-338466-7uvta990 81 54 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 81 55 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 81 56 disease disease NN cord-338466-7uvta990 81 57 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 81 58 aid aid NN cord-338466-7uvta990 81 59 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 81 60 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 81 61 preparation preparation NN cord-338466-7uvta990 81 62 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 81 63 healthcare healthcare NN cord-338466-7uvta990 81 64 service service NN cord-338466-7uvta990 81 65 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 82 1 This this DT cord-338466-7uvta990 82 2 will will MD cord-338466-7uvta990 82 3 also also RB cord-338466-7uvta990 82 4 be be VB cord-338466-7uvta990 82 5 helpful helpful JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 82 6 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 82 7 estimating estimate VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 82 8 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 82 9 health health NN cord-338466-7uvta990 82 10 care care NN cord-338466-7uvta990 82 11 requirements requirement NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 82 12 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 82 13 sanction sanction NN cord-338466-7uvta990 82 14 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 82 15 measured measure VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 82 16 allocation allocation NN cord-338466-7uvta990 82 17 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 82 18 resources resource NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 82 19 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 83 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 83 2 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 83 3 well well RB cord-338466-7uvta990 83 4 known know VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 83 5 fact fact NN cord-338466-7uvta990 83 6 that that IN cord-338466-7uvta990 83 7 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 83 8 has have VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 83 9 spread spread VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 83 10 differently differently RB cord-338466-7uvta990 83 11 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 83 12 different different JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 83 13 countries country NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 83 14 , , . cord-338466-7uvta990 84 1 any any DT cord-338466-7uvta990 84 2 planning planning NN cord-338466-7uvta990 84 3 for for IN cord-338466-7uvta990 84 4 increasing increase VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 84 5 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 84 6 fresh fresh JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 84 7 response response NN cord-338466-7uvta990 84 8 has have VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 84 9 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 84 10 be be VB cord-338466-7uvta990 84 11 adaptable adaptable JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 84 12 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 84 13 situationspecific situationspecific JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 84 14 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 85 1 Data datum NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 85 2 obtained obtain VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 85 3 on on IN cord-338466-7uvta990 85 4 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 85 5 outbreak outbreak NN cord-338466-7uvta990 85 6 have have VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 85 7 been be VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 85 8 studied study VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 85 9 by by IN cord-338466-7uvta990 85 10 various various JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 85 11 researchers researcher NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 85 12 using use VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 85 13 different different JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 85 14 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 85 15 models model NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 85 16 Srinivasa Srinivasa NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 85 17 Rao Rao NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 85 18 Arni Arni NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 85 19 et et NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 85 20 al al NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 85 21 . . NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 85 22 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 85 23 2020 2020 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 85 24 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 85 25 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 86 1 Many many JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 86 2 other other JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 86 3 studies study NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 86 4 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 86 5 Anastassopoulou Anastassopoulou NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 86 6 et et NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 86 7 al al NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 86 8 . . NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 86 9 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 86 10 2020 2020 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 86 11 ; ; : cord-338466-7uvta990 86 12 Corman Corman NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 86 13 et et NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 86 14 al al NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 86 15 . . NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 86 16 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 86 17 2020 2020 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 86 18 ; ; . cord-338466-7uvta990 87 1 Gamero Gamero NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 87 2 et et NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 87 3 al al NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 87 4 . . NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 87 5 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 87 6 2020 2020 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 88 1 ; ; : cord-338466-7uvta990 88 2 Huang Huang NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 88 3 et et NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 88 4 al al NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 88 5 . . NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 88 6 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 88 7 2020 2020 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 88 8 ; ; . cord-338466-7uvta990 89 1 Hui Hui NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 89 2 et et NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 89 3 al al NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 89 4 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 90 1 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 90 2 2020 2020 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 90 3 ; ; : cord-338466-7uvta990 90 4 Rothe Rothe NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 90 5 et et FW cord-338466-7uvta990 90 6 al al NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 90 7 . . NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 90 8 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 90 9 2020 2020 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 90 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 90 11 on on IN cord-338466-7uvta990 90 12 this this DT cord-338466-7uvta990 90 13 recent recent JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 90 14 epidemic epidemic NN cord-338466-7uvta990 90 15 have have VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 90 16 been be VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 90 17 reported report VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 90 18 so so RB cord-338466-7uvta990 90 19 many many JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 90 20 meaningful meaningful JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 90 21 modeling modeling NN cord-338466-7uvta990 90 22 results result NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 90 23 based base VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 90 24 on on IN cord-338466-7uvta990 90 25 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 90 26 different different JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 90 27 principles principle NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 90 28 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 90 29 mathematics mathematic NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 90 30 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 91 1 Most Most JJS cord-338466-7uvta990 91 2 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 91 3 pandemics pandemic NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 91 4 follow follow VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 91 5 an an DT cord-338466-7uvta990 91 6 exponential exponential JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 91 7 curve curve NN cord-338466-7uvta990 91 8 during during IN cord-338466-7uvta990 91 9 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 91 10 initial initial JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 91 11 spread spread NN cord-338466-7uvta990 91 12 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 91 13 eventually eventually RB cord-338466-7uvta990 91 14 flatten flatten VB cord-338466-7uvta990 91 15 out out RP cord-338466-7uvta990 91 16 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 91 17 Junling Junling NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 91 18 et et FW cord-338466-7uvta990 91 19 al al NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 91 20 . . NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 91 21 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 91 22 2014 2014 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 91 23 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 91 24 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 92 1 SIR SIR NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 92 2 model model NN cord-338466-7uvta990 92 3 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 92 4 one one CD cord-338466-7uvta990 92 5 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 92 6 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 92 7 best good JJS cord-338466-7uvta990 92 8 suited suited JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 92 9 models model NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 92 10 for for IN cord-338466-7uvta990 92 11 projecting project VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 92 12 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 92 13 spread spread NN cord-338466-7uvta990 92 14 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 92 15 infectious infectious JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 92 16 diseases disease NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 92 17 like like IN cord-338466-7uvta990 92 18 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 92 19 where where WRB cord-338466-7uvta990 92 20 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 92 21 person person NN cord-338466-7uvta990 92 22 once once RB cord-338466-7uvta990 92 23 recovered recover VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 92 24 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 92 25 not not RB cord-338466-7uvta990 92 26 likely likely JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 92 27 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 92 28 become become VB cord-338466-7uvta990 92 29 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 92 30 to to IN cord-338466-7uvta990 92 31 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 92 32 infection infection NN cord-338466-7uvta990 92 33 again again RB cord-338466-7uvta990 93 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 93 2 Kermack Kermack NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 93 3 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 93 4 McKendrick McKendrick NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 93 5 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 93 6 1927 1927 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 93 7 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 93 8 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 94 1 Susceptible susceptible JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 94 2 - - HYPH cord-338466-7uvta990 94 3 Infectious Infectious NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 94 4 - - HYPH cord-338466-7uvta990 94 5 Recovered recovered JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 94 6 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 94 7 SIR SIR NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 94 8 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 94 9 compartment compartment NN cord-338466-7uvta990 94 10 model model NN cord-338466-7uvta990 94 11 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 94 12 Herbert Herbert NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 94 13 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 94 14 2000 2000 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 94 15 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 94 16 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 94 17 used use VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 94 18 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 94 19 include include VB cord-338466-7uvta990 94 20 considerations consideration NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 94 21 for for IN cord-338466-7uvta990 94 22 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 94 23 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 94 24 infectious infectious JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 94 25 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 94 26 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 94 27 recovered recover VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 94 28 or or CC cord-338466-7uvta990 94 29 deceased deceased JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 94 30 individuals individual NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 94 31 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 95 1 These these DT cord-338466-7uvta990 95 2 models model NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 95 3 have have VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 95 4 shown show VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 95 5 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 95 6 significant significant JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 95 7 predictive predictive JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 95 8 ability ability NN cord-338466-7uvta990 95 9 for for IN cord-338466-7uvta990 95 10 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 95 11 growth growth NN cord-338466-7uvta990 95 12 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 95 13 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 95 14 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 95 15 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 95 16 on on IN cord-338466-7uvta990 95 17 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 95 18 day day NN cord-338466-7uvta990 95 19 to to IN cord-338466-7uvta990 95 20 day day NN cord-338466-7uvta990 95 21 basis basis NN cord-338466-7uvta990 95 22 so so RB cord-338466-7uvta990 95 23 far far RB cord-338466-7uvta990 95 24 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 96 1 A a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 96 2 time time NN cord-338466-7uvta990 96 3 dependent dependent JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 96 4 SIR SIR NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 96 5 models model NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 96 6 have have VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 96 7 been be VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 96 8 defined define VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 96 9 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 96 10 observe observe VB cord-338466-7uvta990 96 11 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 96 12 undetectable undetectable JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 96 13 infected infected JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 96 14 persons person NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 96 15 with with IN cord-338466-7uvta990 96 16 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 97 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 97 2 Chen Chen NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 97 3 et et NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 97 4 al al NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 97 5 . . NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 97 6 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 97 7 2020 2020 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 97 8 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 97 9 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 98 1 A a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 98 2 recent recent JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 98 3 study study NN cord-338466-7uvta990 98 4 by by IN cord-338466-7uvta990 98 5 Mandal Mandal NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 98 6 et et FW cord-338466-7uvta990 98 7 al al NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 98 8 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 99 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 99 2 2020 2020 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 99 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 99 4 has have VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 99 5 shown show VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 99 6 that that IN cord-338466-7uvta990 99 7 social social JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 99 8 distancing distancing NN cord-338466-7uvta990 99 9 can can MD cord-338466-7uvta990 99 10 reduce reduce VB cord-338466-7uvta990 99 11 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 99 12 by by IN cord-338466-7uvta990 99 13 up up IN cord-338466-7uvta990 99 14 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 99 15 62 62 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 99 16 % % NN cord-338466-7uvta990 99 17 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 100 1 Further further RB cord-338466-7uvta990 100 2 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 100 3 time time NN cord-338466-7uvta990 100 4 series series NN cord-338466-7uvta990 100 5 models model NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 100 6 have have VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 100 7 been be VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 100 8 employed employ VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 100 9 for for IN cord-338466-7uvta990 100 10 predicting predict VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 100 11 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 100 12 incidence incidence NN cord-338466-7uvta990 100 13 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 100 14 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 100 15 disease disease NN cord-338466-7uvta990 100 16 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 101 1 As as IN cord-338466-7uvta990 101 2 compared compare VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 101 3 to to IN cord-338466-7uvta990 101 4 other other JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 101 5 prediction prediction NN cord-338466-7uvta990 101 6 models model NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 101 7 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 101 8 for for IN cord-338466-7uvta990 101 9 instance instance NN cord-338466-7uvta990 101 10 support support NN cord-338466-7uvta990 101 11 vector vector NN cord-338466-7uvta990 101 12 machine machine NN cord-338466-7uvta990 101 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 101 14 SVM SVM NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 101 15 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 101 16 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 101 17 wavelet wavelet JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 101 18 neural neural JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 101 19 network network NN cord-338466-7uvta990 101 20 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 101 21 WNN WNN NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 101 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 101 23 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 101 24 ARIMA ARIMA NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 101 25 model model NN cord-338466-7uvta990 101 26 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 101 27 more more RBR cord-338466-7uvta990 101 28 capable capable JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 101 29 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 101 30 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 101 31 prediction prediction NN cord-338466-7uvta990 101 32 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 101 33 natural natural JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 101 34 adversities adversity NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 101 35 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 101 36 Zhang Zhang NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 101 37 et et NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 101 38 al al NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 101 39 . . NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 101 40 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 101 41 2019 2019 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 101 42 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 101 43 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 102 1 Chatterjee Chatterjee NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 102 2 et et NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 102 3 al al NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 102 4 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 103 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 103 2 2020 2020 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 103 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 103 4 studied study VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 103 5 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 103 6 stochastic stochastic JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 103 7 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 103 8 model model NN cord-338466-7uvta990 103 9 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 103 10 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 103 11 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 103 12 epidemic epidemic NN cord-338466-7uvta990 103 13 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 103 14 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 103 15 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 104 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 104 2 logistic logistic JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 104 3 growth growth NN cord-338466-7uvta990 104 4 regression regression NN cord-338466-7uvta990 104 5 model model NN cord-338466-7uvta990 104 6 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 104 7 used use VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 104 8 for for IN cord-338466-7uvta990 104 9 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 104 10 estimation estimation NN cord-338466-7uvta990 104 11 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 104 12 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 104 13 final final JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 104 14 size size NN cord-338466-7uvta990 104 15 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 104 16 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-338466-7uvta990 104 17 peak peak NN cord-338466-7uvta990 104 18 time time NN cord-338466-7uvta990 104 19 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 104 20 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 104 21 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 104 22 pandemic pandemic NN cord-338466-7uvta990 104 23 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 104 24 many many JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 104 25 countries country NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 104 26 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 104 27 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 104 28 World World NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 104 29 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 104 30 found find VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 104 31 similar similar JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 104 32 result result NN cord-338466-7uvta990 104 33 obtained obtain VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 104 34 by by IN cord-338466-7uvta990 104 35 SIR SIR NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 104 36 model model NN cord-338466-7uvta990 104 37 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 104 38 Batista Batista NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 104 39 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 104 40 2020 2020 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 104 41 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 104 42 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 105 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 105 2 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 105 3 well well RB cord-338466-7uvta990 105 4 known know VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 105 5 that that IN cord-338466-7uvta990 105 6 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 105 7 effects effect NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 105 8 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 105 9 social social JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 105 10 distancing distancing NN cord-338466-7uvta990 105 11 become become VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 105 12 visible visible JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 105 13 only only RB cord-338466-7uvta990 105 14 after after IN cord-338466-7uvta990 105 15 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 105 16 few few JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 105 17 days day NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 105 18 from from IN cord-338466-7uvta990 105 19 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 105 20 lockdown lockdown NN cord-338466-7uvta990 105 21 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 106 1 This this DT cord-338466-7uvta990 106 2 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 106 3 because because IN cord-338466-7uvta990 106 4 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 106 5 symptoms symptom NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 106 6 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 106 7 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 106 8 COVID-19 covid-19 NN cord-338466-7uvta990 106 9 normally normally RB cord-338466-7uvta990 106 10 take take VB cord-338466-7uvta990 106 11 some some DT cord-338466-7uvta990 106 12 time time NN cord-338466-7uvta990 106 13 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 106 14 come come VB cord-338466-7uvta990 106 15 out out RP cord-338466-7uvta990 106 16 after after IN cord-338466-7uvta990 106 17 getting get VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 106 18 infected infect VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 106 19 from from IN cord-338466-7uvta990 106 20 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 106 21 COVID-19 covid-19 NN cord-338466-7uvta990 106 22 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 107 1 An an DT cord-338466-7uvta990 107 2 estimates estimate NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 107 3 indicates indicate VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 107 4 that that IN cord-338466-7uvta990 107 5 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 107 6 with with IN cord-338466-7uvta990 107 7 hard hard JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 107 8 lockdown lockdown NN cord-338466-7uvta990 107 9 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 107 10 continued continued JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 107 11 social social JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 107 12 distancing distancing NN cord-338466-7uvta990 107 13 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 107 14 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 107 15 peak peak JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 107 16 total total JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 107 17 infections infection NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 107 18 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 107 19 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 107 20 will will MD cord-338466-7uvta990 107 21 be be VB cord-338466-7uvta990 107 22 97 97 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 107 23 million million CD cord-338466-7uvta990 107 24 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 107 25 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 107 26 number number NN cord-338466-7uvta990 107 27 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 107 28 infective infective NN cord-338466-7uvta990 107 29 by by IN cord-338466-7uvta990 107 30 September September NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 107 31 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 107 32 likely likely JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 107 33 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 107 34 be be VB cord-338466-7uvta990 107 35 over over IN cord-338466-7uvta990 107 36 1100 1100 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 107 37 million million CD cord-338466-7uvta990 107 38 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 107 39 Schueller Schueller NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 107 40 et et NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 107 41 al al NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 107 42 . . NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 107 43 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 107 44 2020 2020 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 107 45 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 107 46 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 108 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 108 2 study study NN cord-338466-7uvta990 108 3 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 108 4 infectious infectious JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 108 5 diseases disease NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 108 6 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 108 7 called call VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 108 8 epidemiology epidemiology NN cord-338466-7uvta990 108 9 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 109 1 A a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 109 2 disease disease NN cord-338466-7uvta990 109 3 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 109 4 called call VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 109 5 endemic endemic JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 109 6 if if IN cord-338466-7uvta990 109 7 it -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 109 8 persists persist VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 109 9 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 109 10 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 109 11 population population NN cord-338466-7uvta990 109 12 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 109 13 pandemic pandemic NN cord-338466-7uvta990 109 14 when when WRB cord-338466-7uvta990 109 15 it -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 109 16 occurs occur VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 109 17 worldwide worldwide RB cord-338466-7uvta990 109 18 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 110 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 110 2 spread spread NN cord-338466-7uvta990 110 3 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 110 4 an an DT cord-338466-7uvta990 110 5 infectious infectious JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 110 6 disease disease NN cord-338466-7uvta990 110 7 involves involve VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 110 8 not not RB cord-338466-7uvta990 110 9 only only RB cord-338466-7uvta990 110 10 disease disease NN cord-338466-7uvta990 110 11 related relate VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 110 12 factors factor NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 110 13 such such JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 110 14 as as IN cord-338466-7uvta990 110 15 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 110 16 infectious infectious JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 110 17 agent agent NN cord-338466-7uvta990 110 18 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 110 19 mode mode NN cord-338466-7uvta990 110 20 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 110 21 transmission transmission NN cord-338466-7uvta990 110 22 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 110 23 latent latent JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 110 24 period period NN cord-338466-7uvta990 110 25 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 110 26 infectious infectious JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 110 27 period period NN cord-338466-7uvta990 110 28 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 110 29 susceptibility susceptibility NN cord-338466-7uvta990 110 30 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 110 31 resistance resistance NN cord-338466-7uvta990 110 32 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 110 33 but but CC cord-338466-7uvta990 110 34 also also RB cord-338466-7uvta990 110 35 social social JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 110 36 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 110 37 cultural cultural JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 110 38 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 110 39 demographic demographic JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 110 40 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 110 41 economic economic JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 110 42 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 110 43 geographic geographic JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 110 44 factors factor NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 110 45 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 111 1 Mainly mainly RB cord-338466-7uvta990 111 2 there there EX cord-338466-7uvta990 111 3 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 111 4 three three CD cord-338466-7uvta990 111 5 types type NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 111 6 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 111 7 models model NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 111 8 for for IN cord-338466-7uvta990 111 9 infectious infectious JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 111 10 diseases disease NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 111 11 that that WDT cord-338466-7uvta990 111 12 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 111 13 spreading spread VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 111 14 directly directly RB cord-338466-7uvta990 111 15 through through IN cord-338466-7uvta990 111 16 person person NN cord-338466-7uvta990 111 17 to to IN cord-338466-7uvta990 111 18 person person NN cord-338466-7uvta990 111 19 contact contact NN cord-338466-7uvta990 111 20 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 111 21 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 111 22 population population NN cord-338466-7uvta990 111 23 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 112 1 Some some DT cord-338466-7uvta990 112 2 simple simple JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 112 3 models model NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 112 4 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 112 5 formulated formulate VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 112 6 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 112 7 analyzed analyze VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 112 8 mathematically mathematically RB cord-338466-7uvta990 112 9 considering consider VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 112 10 differential differential JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 112 11 equations equation NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 112 12 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 113 1 Parameters parameter NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 113 2 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 113 3 estimated estimate VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 113 4 for for IN cord-338466-7uvta990 113 5 infectious infectious JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 113 6 diseases disease NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 113 7 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 113 8 also also RB cord-338466-7uvta990 113 9 used use VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 113 10 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 113 11 compare compare VB cord-338466-7uvta990 113 12 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 113 13 vaccination vaccination NN cord-338466-7uvta990 113 14 levels level NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 113 15 necessary necessary JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 113 16 for for IN cord-338466-7uvta990 113 17 herd herd NN cord-338466-7uvta990 113 18 immunity immunity NN cord-338466-7uvta990 113 19 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 114 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 114 2 three three CD cord-338466-7uvta990 114 3 models model NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 114 4 considered consider VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 114 5 here here RB cord-338466-7uvta990 114 6 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 114 7 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 114 8 simple simple JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 114 9 epidemiological epidemiological JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 114 10 models model NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 114 11 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 114 12 suitable suitable JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 114 13 for for IN cord-338466-7uvta990 114 14 diseases disease NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 114 15 which which WDT cord-338466-7uvta990 114 16 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 114 17 transmitted transmit VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 114 18 directly directly RB cord-338466-7uvta990 114 19 from from IN cord-338466-7uvta990 114 20 person person NN cord-338466-7uvta990 114 21 to to IN cord-338466-7uvta990 114 22 person person NN cord-338466-7uvta990 114 23 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 115 1 More more RBR cord-338466-7uvta990 115 2 complicated complicated JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 115 3 models model NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 115 4 must must MD cord-338466-7uvta990 115 5 be be VB cord-338466-7uvta990 115 6 used use VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 115 7 when when WRB cord-338466-7uvta990 115 8 there there EX cord-338466-7uvta990 115 9 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 115 10 transmission transmission NN cord-338466-7uvta990 115 11 by by IN cord-338466-7uvta990 115 12 insects insect NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 115 13 called call VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 115 14 vectors vector NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 115 15 or or CC cord-338466-7uvta990 115 16 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 115 17 reservoir reservoir NN cord-338466-7uvta990 115 18 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 115 19 nonhuman nonhuman NN cord-338466-7uvta990 115 20 infective infective JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 115 21 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 116 1 Epidemiological epidemiological JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 116 2 models model NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 116 3 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 116 4 widely widely RB cord-338466-7uvta990 116 5 used use VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 116 6 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 116 7 understand understand VB cord-338466-7uvta990 116 8 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 116 9 pattern pattern NN cord-338466-7uvta990 116 10 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 116 11 policy policy NN cord-338466-7uvta990 116 12 development development NN cord-338466-7uvta990 116 13 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 117 1 Even even RB cord-338466-7uvta990 117 2 though though IN cord-338466-7uvta990 117 3 vaccines vaccine NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 117 4 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 117 5 available available JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 117 6 for for IN cord-338466-7uvta990 117 7 many many JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 117 8 infectious infectious JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 117 9 diseases disease NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 117 10 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 117 11 these these DT cord-338466-7uvta990 117 12 diseases disease NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 117 13 still still RB cord-338466-7uvta990 117 14 cause cause VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 117 15 suffering suffering NN cord-338466-7uvta990 117 16 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 117 17 mortality mortality NN cord-338466-7uvta990 117 18 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 117 19 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 117 20 world world NN cord-338466-7uvta990 117 21 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 117 22 especially especially RB cord-338466-7uvta990 117 23 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 117 24 developing develop VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 117 25 countries country NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 117 26 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 118 1 In in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 118 2 developed developed JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 118 3 countries country NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 118 4 chronic chronic JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 118 5 diseases disease NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 118 6 such such JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 118 7 as as IN cord-338466-7uvta990 118 8 cancer cancer NN cord-338466-7uvta990 118 9 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 118 10 heart heart NN cord-338466-7uvta990 118 11 disease disease NN cord-338466-7uvta990 118 12 have have VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 118 13 received receive VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 118 14 more more JJR cord-338466-7uvta990 118 15 attention attention NN cord-338466-7uvta990 118 16 than than IN cord-338466-7uvta990 118 17 infectious infectious JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 118 18 diseases disease NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 118 19 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 118 20 but but CC cord-338466-7uvta990 118 21 infectious infectious JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 118 22 diseases disease NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 118 23 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 118 24 still still RB cord-338466-7uvta990 118 25 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 118 26 more more RBR cord-338466-7uvta990 118 27 common common JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 118 28 cause cause NN cord-338466-7uvta990 118 29 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 118 30 death death NN cord-338466-7uvta990 118 31 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 118 32 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 118 33 world world NN cord-338466-7uvta990 118 34 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 119 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 119 2 transmission transmission NN cord-338466-7uvta990 119 3 mechanism mechanism NN cord-338466-7uvta990 119 4 from from IN cord-338466-7uvta990 119 5 an an DT cord-338466-7uvta990 119 6 infective infective NN cord-338466-7uvta990 119 7 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 119 8 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 119 9 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 119 10 understood understand VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 119 11 or or CC cord-338466-7uvta990 119 12 nearly nearly RB cord-338466-7uvta990 119 13 all all DT cord-338466-7uvta990 119 14 infectious infectious JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 119 15 diseases disease NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 119 16 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 119 17 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 119 18 spread spread NN cord-338466-7uvta990 119 19 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 119 20 diseases disease NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 119 21 through through IN cord-338466-7uvta990 119 22 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 119 23 chain chain NN cord-338466-7uvta990 119 24 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 119 25 infections infection NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 119 26 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 119 27 known know VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 119 28 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 120 1 However however RB cord-338466-7uvta990 120 2 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 120 3 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 120 4 transmission transmission NN cord-338466-7uvta990 120 5 interactions interaction NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 120 6 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 120 7 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 120 8 population population NN cord-338466-7uvta990 120 9 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 120 10 very very RB cord-338466-7uvta990 120 11 complex complex JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 120 12 so so IN cord-338466-7uvta990 120 13 that that IN cord-338466-7uvta990 120 14 it -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 120 15 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 120 16 difficult difficult JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 120 17 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 120 18 comprehend comprehend VB cord-338466-7uvta990 121 1 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 121 2 large large JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 121 3 scale scale NN cord-338466-7uvta990 121 4 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 121 5 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 121 6 disease disease NN cord-338466-7uvta990 121 7 spread spread VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 121 8 without without IN cord-338466-7uvta990 121 9 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 121 10 formal formal JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 121 11 structure structure NN cord-338466-7uvta990 121 12 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 121 13 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 121 14 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 121 15 model model NN cord-338466-7uvta990 121 16 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 122 1 An an DT cord-338466-7uvta990 122 2 epidemiological epidemiological JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 122 3 model model NN cord-338466-7uvta990 122 4 uses use VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 122 5 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 122 6 microscopic microscopic JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 122 7 description description NN cord-338466-7uvta990 122 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 122 9 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 122 10 role role NN cord-338466-7uvta990 122 11 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 122 12 an an DT cord-338466-7uvta990 122 13 infectious infectious JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 122 14 individual individual NN cord-338466-7uvta990 122 15 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 122 16 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 122 17 predict predict VB cord-338466-7uvta990 122 18 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 122 19 macroscopic macroscopic JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 122 20 behavior behavior NN cord-338466-7uvta990 122 21 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 122 22 disease disease NN cord-338466-7uvta990 122 23 spread spread VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 122 24 through through IN cord-338466-7uvta990 122 25 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 122 26 population population NN cord-338466-7uvta990 122 27 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 123 1 In in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 123 2 many many JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 123 3 sciences science NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 123 4 it -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 123 5 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 123 6 possible possible JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 123 7 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 123 8 conduct conduct VB cord-338466-7uvta990 123 9 experiments experiment NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 123 10 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 123 11 obtain obtain VB cord-338466-7uvta990 123 12 information information NN cord-338466-7uvta990 123 13 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 123 14 test test NN cord-338466-7uvta990 123 15 hypotheses hypothesis NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 123 16 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 124 1 Experiments experiment NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 124 2 with with IN cord-338466-7uvta990 124 3 infectious infectious JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 124 4 disease disease NN cord-338466-7uvta990 124 5 spread spread VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 124 6 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 124 7 human human JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 124 8 populations population NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 124 9 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 124 10 often often RB cord-338466-7uvta990 124 11 impossible impossible JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 124 12 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 124 13 unethical unethical JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 124 14 or or CC cord-338466-7uvta990 124 15 expensive expensive JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 124 16 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 125 1 Data data NN cord-338466-7uvta990 125 2 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 125 3 sometimes sometimes RB cord-338466-7uvta990 125 4 available available JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 125 5 from from IN cord-338466-7uvta990 125 6 naturally naturally RB cord-338466-7uvta990 125 7 occurring occur VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 125 8 epidemics epidemic NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 125 9 or or CC cord-338466-7uvta990 125 10 from from IN cord-338466-7uvta990 125 11 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 125 12 natural natural JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 125 13 incidence incidence NN cord-338466-7uvta990 125 14 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 125 15 endemic endemic JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 125 16 ; ; : cord-338466-7uvta990 125 17 however however RB cord-338466-7uvta990 125 18 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 125 19 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 125 20 data data NN cord-338466-7uvta990 125 21 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 125 22 often often RB cord-338466-7uvta990 125 23 incomplete incomplete JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 125 24 due due IN cord-338466-7uvta990 125 25 to to IN cord-338466-7uvta990 125 26 underreporting underreporting NN cord-338466-7uvta990 125 27 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 126 1 This this DT cord-338466-7uvta990 126 2 lack lack NN cord-338466-7uvta990 126 3 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 126 4 reliable reliable JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 126 5 data datum NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 126 6 makes make VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 126 7 accurate accurate JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 126 8 parameter parameter NN cord-338466-7uvta990 126 9 estimation estimation NN cord-338466-7uvta990 126 10 difficult difficult JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 126 11 so so IN cord-338466-7uvta990 126 12 that that IN cord-338466-7uvta990 126 13 it -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 126 14 may may MD cord-338466-7uvta990 126 15 only only RB cord-338466-7uvta990 126 16 be be VB cord-338466-7uvta990 126 17 possible possible JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 126 18 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 126 19 estimate estimate VB cord-338466-7uvta990 126 20 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 126 21 range range NN cord-338466-7uvta990 126 22 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 126 23 values value NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 126 24 for for IN cord-338466-7uvta990 126 25 some some DT cord-338466-7uvta990 126 26 parameters parameter NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 126 27 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 127 1 Since since IN cord-338466-7uvta990 127 2 repeatable repeatable JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 127 3 experiments experiment NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 127 4 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 127 5 accurate accurate JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 127 6 data datum NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 127 7 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 127 8 usually usually RB cord-338466-7uvta990 127 9 not not RB cord-338466-7uvta990 127 10 available available JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 127 11 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 127 12 epidemiology epidemiology NN cord-338466-7uvta990 127 13 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 127 14 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 127 15 models model NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 127 16 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 127 17 computer computer NN cord-338466-7uvta990 127 18 simulations simulation NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 127 19 can can MD cord-338466-7uvta990 127 20 be be VB cord-338466-7uvta990 127 21 used use VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 127 22 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 127 23 perform perform VB cord-338466-7uvta990 127 24 needed need VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 127 25 theoretical theoretical JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 127 26 experiments experiment NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 127 27 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 128 1 Mathematical mathematical JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 128 2 models model NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 128 3 have have VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 128 4 both both DT cord-338466-7uvta990 128 5 limitations limitation NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 128 6 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 128 7 capabilities capability NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 128 8 that that WDT cord-338466-7uvta990 128 9 must must MD cord-338466-7uvta990 128 10 recognized recognized VB cord-338466-7uvta990 128 11 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 129 1 Sometimes sometimes RB cord-338466-7uvta990 129 2 questions question NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 129 3 can can MD cord-338466-7uvta990 129 4 not not RB cord-338466-7uvta990 129 5 be be VB cord-338466-7uvta990 129 6 answered answer VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 129 7 by by IN cord-338466-7uvta990 129 8 using use VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 129 9 epidemiological epidemiological JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 129 10 models model NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 129 11 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 129 12 but but CC cord-338466-7uvta990 129 13 sometimes sometimes RB cord-338466-7uvta990 129 14 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 129 15 modeler modeler NN cord-338466-7uvta990 129 16 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 129 17 able able JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 129 18 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 129 19 find find VB cord-338466-7uvta990 129 20 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 129 21 right right JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 129 22 combination combination NN cord-338466-7uvta990 129 23 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 129 24 available available JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 129 25 data datum NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 129 26 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 129 27 an an DT cord-338466-7uvta990 129 28 interesting interesting JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 129 29 question question NN cord-338466-7uvta990 129 30 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 129 31 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 129 32 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 129 33 model model NN cord-338466-7uvta990 129 34 which which WDT cord-338466-7uvta990 129 35 can can MD cord-338466-7uvta990 129 36 lead lead VB cord-338466-7uvta990 129 37 to to IN cord-338466-7uvta990 129 38 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 129 39 answer answer NN cord-338466-7uvta990 129 40 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 130 1 Comparisons comparison NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 130 2 can can MD cord-338466-7uvta990 130 3 lead lead VB cord-338466-7uvta990 130 4 to to IN cord-338466-7uvta990 130 5 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 130 6 better well JJR cord-338466-7uvta990 130 7 understanding understanding NN cord-338466-7uvta990 130 8 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 130 9 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 130 10 processes process NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 130 11 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 130 12 disease disease NN cord-338466-7uvta990 130 13 spread spread NN cord-338466-7uvta990 130 14 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 131 1 Modeling modeling NN cord-338466-7uvta990 131 2 can can MD cord-338466-7uvta990 131 3 often often RB cord-338466-7uvta990 131 4 be be VB cord-338466-7uvta990 131 5 used use VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 131 6 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 131 7 compare compare VB cord-338466-7uvta990 131 8 different different JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 131 9 diseases disease NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 131 10 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 131 11 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 131 12 same same JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 131 13 population population NN cord-338466-7uvta990 131 14 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 131 15 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 131 16 same same JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 131 17 disease disease NN cord-338466-7uvta990 131 18 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 131 19 different different JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 131 20 populations population NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 131 21 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 131 22 or or CC cord-338466-7uvta990 131 23 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 131 24 same same JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 131 25 disease disease NN cord-338466-7uvta990 131 26 at at IN cord-338466-7uvta990 131 27 different different JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 131 28 times time NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 131 29 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 132 1 Comparisons comparison NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 132 2 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 132 3 diseases disease NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 132 4 such such JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 132 5 as as IN cord-338466-7uvta990 132 6 measles measle NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 132 7 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 132 8 rubella rubella NN cord-338466-7uvta990 132 9 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 132 10 mumps mumps NN cord-338466-7uvta990 132 11 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 132 12 chickenpox chickenpox NN cord-338466-7uvta990 132 13 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 132 14 whooping whooping JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 132 15 cough cough NN cord-338466-7uvta990 132 16 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 132 17 poliomyelitis poliomyelitis NN cord-338466-7uvta990 132 18 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 132 19 others other NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 132 20 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 132 21 made make VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 132 22 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 132 23 Hethcote Hethcote NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 132 24 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 132 25 1983 1983 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 132 26 ; ; : cord-338466-7uvta990 132 27 Yorke Yorke NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 132 28 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 132 29 London London NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 132 30 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 132 31 1973 1973 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 132 32 ; ; : cord-338466-7uvta990 132 33 Yorke Yorke NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 132 34 et et NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 132 35 al al NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 132 36 . . NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 132 37 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 132 38 1979 1979 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 132 39 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 132 40 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 132 41 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 132 42 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 132 43 article article NN cord-338466-7uvta990 132 44 on on IN cord-338466-7uvta990 132 45 rubella rubella NN cord-338466-7uvta990 132 46 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 132 47 this this DT cord-338466-7uvta990 132 48 volume volume NN cord-338466-7uvta990 132 49 by by IN cord-338466-7uvta990 132 50 Hethcote Hethcote NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 132 51 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 132 52 1989 1989 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 132 53 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 132 54 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 133 1 Quantitative quantitative JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 133 2 predictions prediction NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 133 3 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 133 4 epidemiological epidemiological JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 133 5 models model NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 133 6 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 133 7 always always RB cord-338466-7uvta990 133 8 subject subject JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 133 9 to to IN cord-338466-7uvta990 133 10 some some DT cord-338466-7uvta990 133 11 uncertainty uncertainty NN cord-338466-7uvta990 133 12 since since IN cord-338466-7uvta990 133 13 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 133 14 models model NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 133 15 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 133 16 idealized idealized JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 133 17 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 133 18 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 133 19 parameter parameter NN cord-338466-7uvta990 133 20 values value NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 133 21 can can MD cord-338466-7uvta990 133 22 only only RB cord-338466-7uvta990 133 23 be be VB cord-338466-7uvta990 133 24 estimated estimate VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 133 25 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 134 1 However however RB cord-338466-7uvta990 134 2 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 134 3 predictions prediction NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 134 4 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 134 5 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 134 6 relative relative JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 134 7 merits merit NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 134 8 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 134 9 several several JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 134 10 control control NN cord-338466-7uvta990 134 11 methods method NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 134 12 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 134 13 often often RB cord-338466-7uvta990 134 14 robust robust JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 134 15 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 134 16 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 134 17 sense sense NN cord-338466-7uvta990 134 18 that that IN cord-338466-7uvta990 134 19 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 134 20 same same JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 134 21 conclusions conclusion NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 134 22 hold hold VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 134 23 over over RP cord-338466-7uvta990 134 24 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 134 25 broad broad JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 134 26 range range NN cord-338466-7uvta990 134 27 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 134 28 parameter parameter NN cord-338466-7uvta990 134 29 values value NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 134 30 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 134 31 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 134 32 variety variety NN cord-338466-7uvta990 134 33 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 134 34 models model NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 134 35 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 135 1 Optimal optimal JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 135 2 strategies strategy NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 135 3 for for IN cord-338466-7uvta990 135 4 vaccination vaccination NN cord-338466-7uvta990 135 5 can can MD cord-338466-7uvta990 135 6 be be VB cord-338466-7uvta990 135 7 found find VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 135 8 theoretically theoretically RB cord-338466-7uvta990 135 9 by by IN cord-338466-7uvta990 135 10 using use VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 135 11 modeling modeling NN cord-338466-7uvta990 135 12 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 136 1 Longini Longini NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 136 2 et et NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 136 3 al al NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 136 4 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 137 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 137 2 1978 1978 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 137 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 137 4 use use VB cord-338466-7uvta990 137 5 an an DT cord-338466-7uvta990 137 6 epidemic epidemic NN cord-338466-7uvta990 137 7 model model NN cord-338466-7uvta990 137 8 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 137 9 decide decide VB cord-338466-7uvta990 137 10 which which WDT cord-338466-7uvta990 137 11 age age NN cord-338466-7uvta990 137 12 groups group NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 137 13 should should MD cord-338466-7uvta990 137 14 be be VB cord-338466-7uvta990 137 15 vaccinated vaccinate VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 137 16 first first RB cord-338466-7uvta990 137 17 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 137 18 minimize minimize VB cord-338466-7uvta990 137 19 cost cost NN cord-338466-7uvta990 137 20 or or CC cord-338466-7uvta990 137 21 deaths death NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 137 22 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 137 23 an an DT cord-338466-7uvta990 137 24 influenza influenza NN cord-338466-7uvta990 137 25 epidemic epidemic NN cord-338466-7uvta990 137 26 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 138 1 Hethcote Hethcote NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 138 2 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 138 3 1988 1988 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 138 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 138 5 uses use VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 138 6 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 138 7 modeling modeling NN cord-338466-7uvta990 138 8 approach approach NN cord-338466-7uvta990 138 9 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 138 10 estimate estimate VB cord-338466-7uvta990 138 11 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 138 12 optimal optimal JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 138 13 age age NN cord-338466-7uvta990 138 14 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 138 15 vaccination vaccination NN cord-338466-7uvta990 138 16 for for IN cord-338466-7uvta990 138 17 measles measle NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 138 18 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 139 1 Within within IN cord-338466-7uvta990 139 2 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 139 3 short short JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 139 4 period period NN cord-338466-7uvta990 139 5 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 139 6 time time NN cord-338466-7uvta990 139 7 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 139 8 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 139 9 has have VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 139 10 traumatized traumatize VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 139 11 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 139 12 world world NN cord-338466-7uvta990 139 13 with with IN cord-338466-7uvta990 139 14 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 139 15 greater great JJR cord-338466-7uvta990 139 16 magnitude magnitude NN cord-338466-7uvta990 139 17 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 139 18 coercion coercion NN cord-338466-7uvta990 139 19 than than IN cord-338466-7uvta990 139 20 older old JJR cord-338466-7uvta990 139 21 pandemics pandemic NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 139 22 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 140 1 Its -PRON- PRP$ cord-338466-7uvta990 140 2 eventuality eventuality NN cord-338466-7uvta990 140 3 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 140 4 grabbed grab VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 140 5 by by IN cord-338466-7uvta990 140 6 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 140 7 fact fact NN cord-338466-7uvta990 140 8 that that IN cord-338466-7uvta990 140 9 it -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 140 10 has have VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 140 11 infected infect VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 140 12 millions million NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 140 13 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 140 14 killed kill VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 140 15 thousands thousand NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 140 16 across across IN cord-338466-7uvta990 140 17 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 140 18 globe globe NN cord-338466-7uvta990 140 19 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 141 1 Global global JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 141 2 markets market NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 141 3 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 141 4 accessible accessible JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 141 5 transportation transportation NN cord-338466-7uvta990 142 1 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 142 2 large large JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 142 3 scale scale NN cord-338466-7uvta990 142 4 production production NN cord-338466-7uvta990 142 5 have have VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 142 6 largely largely RB cord-338466-7uvta990 142 7 contributed contribute VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 142 8 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 142 9 make make VB cord-338466-7uvta990 142 10 this this DT cord-338466-7uvta990 142 11 pandemic pandemic NN cord-338466-7uvta990 142 12 spread spread VB cord-338466-7uvta990 142 13 faster fast RBR cord-338466-7uvta990 142 14 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 143 1 This this DT cord-338466-7uvta990 143 2 has have VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 143 3 drastically drastically RB cord-338466-7uvta990 143 4 affected affect VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 143 5 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 143 6 social social JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 143 7 life life NN cord-338466-7uvta990 143 8 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 143 9 health health NN cord-338466-7uvta990 143 10 mental mental NN cord-338466-7uvta990 143 11 as as RB cord-338466-7uvta990 143 12 well well RB cord-338466-7uvta990 143 13 as as IN cord-338466-7uvta990 143 14 physical physical JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 143 15 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 143 16 human human JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 143 17 beings being NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 143 18 worldwide worldwide RB cord-338466-7uvta990 143 19 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 144 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 144 2 already already RB cord-338466-7uvta990 144 3 burdened burden VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 144 4 health health NN cord-338466-7uvta990 144 5 infrastructure infrastructure NN cord-338466-7uvta990 144 6 across across IN cord-338466-7uvta990 144 7 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 144 8 globe globe NN cord-338466-7uvta990 144 9 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 144 10 virtually virtually RB cord-338466-7uvta990 144 11 exposed expose VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 144 12 up up RP cord-338466-7uvta990 144 13 to to IN cord-338466-7uvta990 144 14 an an DT cord-338466-7uvta990 144 15 irreparable irreparable JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 144 16 point point NN cord-338466-7uvta990 144 17 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 145 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 145 2 WHO who WP cord-338466-7uvta990 145 3 declared declare VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 145 4 2019 2019 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 145 5 - - SYM cord-338466-7uvta990 145 6 2020 2020 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 145 7 corona corona NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 145 8 virus virus NN cord-338466-7uvta990 145 9 outbreak outbreak NN cord-338466-7uvta990 145 10 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 145 11 Public Public NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 145 12 Health Health NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 145 13 Emergency Emergency NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 145 14 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 145 15 International International NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 145 16 Concern Concern NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 145 17 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 145 18 PHEIC PHEIC NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 145 19 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 145 20 on on IN cord-338466-7uvta990 145 21 January January NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 145 22 30th 30th NN cord-338466-7uvta990 145 23 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 145 24 2020 2020 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 145 25 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 145 26 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 145 27 pandemic pandemic NN cord-338466-7uvta990 145 28 12 12 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 145 29 days day NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 145 30 later later RB cord-338466-7uvta990 145 31 on on IN cord-338466-7uvta990 145 32 February February NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 145 33 12th 12th NN cord-338466-7uvta990 145 34 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 145 35 2020 2020 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 145 36 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 146 1 With with IN cord-338466-7uvta990 146 2 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-338466-7uvta990 146 3 outbreak outbreak NN cord-338466-7uvta990 146 4 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 146 5 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 146 6 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 146 7 China China NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 146 8 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 146 9 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 146 10 pandemic pandemic NN cord-338466-7uvta990 146 11 seems seem VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 146 12 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 146 13 occupy occupy VB cord-338466-7uvta990 146 14 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 146 15 include include VB cord-338466-7uvta990 146 16 all all PDT cord-338466-7uvta990 146 17 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 146 18 vitals vital NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 146 19 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 146 20 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 146 21 world world NN cord-338466-7uvta990 146 22 thereby thereby RB cord-338466-7uvta990 146 23 affecting affect VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 146 24 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 146 25 mechanistic mechanistic JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 146 26 processes process NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 146 27 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 146 28 any any DT cord-338466-7uvta990 146 29 nation nation NN cord-338466-7uvta990 146 30 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 147 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 147 2 countries country NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 147 3 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 147 4 trying try VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 147 5 hard hard RB cord-338466-7uvta990 147 6 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 147 7 combat combat VB cord-338466-7uvta990 147 8 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 147 9 contain contain VB cord-338466-7uvta990 147 10 this this DT cord-338466-7uvta990 147 11 outbreak outbreak NN cord-338466-7uvta990 147 12 by by IN cord-338466-7uvta990 147 13 following follow VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 147 14 suitable suitable JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 147 15 set set NN cord-338466-7uvta990 147 16 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 147 17 protocols protocol NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 147 18 that that WDT cord-338466-7uvta990 147 19 tend tend VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 147 20 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 147 21 alter alter VB cord-338466-7uvta990 147 22 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 147 23 transmission transmission NN cord-338466-7uvta990 147 24 rate rate NN cord-338466-7uvta990 147 25 effectively effectively RB cord-338466-7uvta990 147 26 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 148 1 In in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 148 2 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 148 3 initial initial JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 148 4 phase phase NN cord-338466-7uvta990 148 5 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 148 6 spread spread NN cord-338466-7uvta990 148 7 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 148 8 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 148 9 ; ; : cord-338466-7uvta990 148 10 Italy Italy NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 148 11 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 148 12 Spain Spain NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 148 13 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 148 14 France France NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 148 15 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 148 16 some some DT cord-338466-7uvta990 148 17 other other JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 148 18 European european JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 148 19 countries country NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 148 20 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 148 21 one one CD cord-338466-7uvta990 148 22 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 148 23 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 148 24 worst bad JJS cord-338466-7uvta990 148 25 sufferers sufferer NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 148 26 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 148 27 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 148 28 pandemic pandemic NN cord-338466-7uvta990 148 29 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 148 30 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 148 31 coercive coercive JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 148 32 measures measure NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 148 33 have have VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 148 34 resulted result VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 148 35 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 148 36 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 148 37 disruption disruption NN cord-338466-7uvta990 148 38 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 148 39 all all PDT cord-338466-7uvta990 148 40 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 148 41 necessary necessary JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 148 42 services service NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 148 43 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 149 1 On on IN cord-338466-7uvta990 149 2 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 149 3 other other JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 149 4 hand hand NN cord-338466-7uvta990 149 5 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 149 6 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 149 7 case case NN cord-338466-7uvta990 149 8 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 149 9 virtually virtually RB cord-338466-7uvta990 149 10 less less RBR cord-338466-7uvta990 149 11 severe severe JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 149 12 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 149 13 South South NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 149 14 Asia Asia NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 149 15 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 150 1 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 150 2 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 150 3 less less RBR cord-338466-7uvta990 150 4 affected affect VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 150 5 by by IN cord-338466-7uvta990 150 6 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 150 7 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 150 8 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 150 9 however however RB cord-338466-7uvta990 150 10 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 150 11 China China NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 150 12 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 150 13 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-338466-7uvta990 150 14 neighboring neighbor VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 150 15 country country NN cord-338466-7uvta990 150 16 having have VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 150 17 border border NN cord-338466-7uvta990 150 18 through through IN cord-338466-7uvta990 150 19 buffer buffer NN cord-338466-7uvta990 150 20 states state NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 150 21 like like IN cord-338466-7uvta990 150 22 Nepal Nepal NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 150 23 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 150 24 Bhutan Bhutan NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 150 25 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 151 1 Being be VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 151 2 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 151 3 second second JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 151 4 most most RBS cord-338466-7uvta990 151 5 populous populous JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 151 6 country country NN cord-338466-7uvta990 151 7 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 151 8 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 151 9 world world NN cord-338466-7uvta990 151 10 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 151 11 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 151 12 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 151 13 fighting fight VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 151 14 hard hard RB cord-338466-7uvta990 151 15 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 151 16 minimize minimize VB cord-338466-7uvta990 151 17 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 151 18 damage damage NN cord-338466-7uvta990 151 19 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 151 20 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 151 21 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 152 1 As as IN cord-338466-7uvta990 152 2 on on IN cord-338466-7uvta990 152 3 15th 15th JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 152 4 April April NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 152 5 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 152 6 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 152 7 total total JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 152 8 number number NN cord-338466-7uvta990 152 9 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 152 10 infected infected JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 152 11 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 152 12 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 152 13 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 152 14 was be VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 152 15 12,370 12,370 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 152 16 with with IN cord-338466-7uvta990 152 17 422 422 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 152 18 deaths death NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 152 19 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 152 20 most most JJS cord-338466-7uvta990 152 21 recoveries recovery NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 152 22 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 152 23 covid19india.org covid19india.org NN cord-338466-7uvta990 152 24 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 152 25 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 153 1 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 153 2 reported report VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 153 3 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-338466-7uvta990 153 4 first first JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 153 5 case case NN cord-338466-7uvta990 153 6 on on IN cord-338466-7uvta990 153 7 30th 30th JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 153 8 January January NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 153 9 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 153 10 entered enter VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 153 11 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 153 12 countrywide countrywide JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 153 13 lockdown lockdown NN cord-338466-7uvta990 153 14 on on IN cord-338466-7uvta990 153 15 March March NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 153 16 24th 24th NN cord-338466-7uvta990 153 17 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 153 18 2020 2020 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 153 19 with with IN cord-338466-7uvta990 153 20 constantly constantly RB cord-338466-7uvta990 153 21 increase increase NN cord-338466-7uvta990 153 22 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 153 23 number number NN cord-338466-7uvta990 153 24 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 153 25 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 153 26 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 153 27 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 154 1 Indian indian JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 154 2 government government NN cord-338466-7uvta990 154 3 as as RB cord-338466-7uvta990 154 4 well well RB cord-338466-7uvta990 154 5 as as IN cord-338466-7uvta990 154 6 states state NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 154 7 government government NN cord-338466-7uvta990 154 8 has have VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 154 9 issued issue VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 154 10 early early JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 154 11 guidelines guideline NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 154 12 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 154 13 travel travel NN cord-338466-7uvta990 154 14 advisories advisory NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 154 15 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 154 16 limit limit VB cord-338466-7uvta990 154 17 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 154 18 further further JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 154 19 damage damage NN cord-338466-7uvta990 154 20 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 154 21 disease disease NN cord-338466-7uvta990 154 22 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 155 1 Also also RB cord-338466-7uvta990 155 2 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 155 3 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 155 4 timely timely JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 155 5 precautions precaution NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 155 6 taken take VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 155 7 by by IN cord-338466-7uvta990 155 8 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 155 9 government government NN cord-338466-7uvta990 155 10 have have VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 155 11 contributed contribute VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 155 12 greatly greatly RB cord-338466-7uvta990 155 13 toward toward IN cord-338466-7uvta990 155 14 combating combat VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 155 15 this this DT cord-338466-7uvta990 155 16 pandemic pandemic NN cord-338466-7uvta990 155 17 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 156 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 156 2 paper paper NN cord-338466-7uvta990 156 3 attempts attempt VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 156 4 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 156 5 devise devise VB cord-338466-7uvta990 156 6 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 156 7 model model NN cord-338466-7uvta990 156 8 that that WDT cord-338466-7uvta990 156 9 would would MD cord-338466-7uvta990 156 10 conveniently conveniently RB cord-338466-7uvta990 156 11 help help VB cord-338466-7uvta990 156 12 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 156 13 assessing assess VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 156 14 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 156 15 predictability predictability NN cord-338466-7uvta990 156 16 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 156 17 pandemic pandemic NN cord-338466-7uvta990 156 18 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 156 19 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 156 20 future future JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 156 21 time time NN cord-338466-7uvta990 156 22 period period NN cord-338466-7uvta990 156 23 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 157 1 This this DT cord-338466-7uvta990 157 2 can can MD cord-338466-7uvta990 157 3 be be VB cord-338466-7uvta990 157 4 achieved achieve VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 157 5 by by IN cord-338466-7uvta990 157 6 evaluating evaluate VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 157 7 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 157 8 different different JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 157 9 parameters parameter NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 157 10 that that WDT cord-338466-7uvta990 157 11 directly directly RB cord-338466-7uvta990 157 12 or or CC cord-338466-7uvta990 157 13 indirectly indirectly RB cord-338466-7uvta990 157 14 affect affect VB cord-338466-7uvta990 157 15 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 157 16 ongoing ongoing JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 157 17 rate rate NN cord-338466-7uvta990 157 18 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 157 19 pandemic pandemic NN cord-338466-7uvta990 157 20 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 158 1 Moreover moreover RB cord-338466-7uvta990 158 2 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 158 3 theoretical theoretical JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 158 4 explanation explanation NN cord-338466-7uvta990 158 5 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 158 6 quantitative quantitative JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 158 7 analysis analysis NN cord-338466-7uvta990 158 8 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 158 9 other other JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 158 10 parameters parameter NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 158 11 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 158 12 highly highly RB cord-338466-7uvta990 158 13 required require VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 158 14 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 158 15 predict predict VB cord-338466-7uvta990 158 16 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 158 17 peak peak NN cord-338466-7uvta990 158 18 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 158 19 size size NN cord-338466-7uvta990 158 20 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 158 21 any any DT cord-338466-7uvta990 158 22 pandemic pandemic NN cord-338466-7uvta990 158 23 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 159 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 159 2 obtained obtain VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 159 3 information information NN cord-338466-7uvta990 159 4 on on IN cord-338466-7uvta990 159 5 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 159 6 number number NN cord-338466-7uvta990 159 7 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 159 8 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 159 9 confirmed confirm VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 159 10 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 159 11 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 159 12 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 159 13 from from IN cord-338466-7uvta990 159 14 covid19india.org covid19india.org NN cord-338466-7uvta990 159 15 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 160 1 All all DT cord-338466-7uvta990 160 2 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 160 3 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 160 4 laboratory laboratory NN cord-338466-7uvta990 160 5 confirmed confirm VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 160 6 following follow VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 160 7 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 160 8 case case NN cord-338466-7uvta990 160 9 definition definition NN cord-338466-7uvta990 160 10 by by IN cord-338466-7uvta990 160 11 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 160 12 Government Government NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 160 13 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 160 14 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 160 15 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 161 1 Some some DT cord-338466-7uvta990 161 2 studies study NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 161 3 modeled model VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 161 4 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 161 5 epidemic epidemic NN cord-338466-7uvta990 161 6 curve curve NN cord-338466-7uvta990 161 7 obeying obey VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 161 8 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 161 9 exponential exponential JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 161 10 growth growth NN cord-338466-7uvta990 161 11 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 161 12 De De NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 161 13 Silva Silva NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 161 14 et et NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 161 15 al al NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 161 16 . . NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 161 17 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 161 18 2009 2009 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 161 19 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 161 20 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 162 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 162 2 nonlinear nonlinear JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 162 3 least least JJS cord-338466-7uvta990 162 4 square square JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 162 5 framework framework NN cord-338466-7uvta990 162 6 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 162 7 adopted adopt VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 162 8 for for IN cord-338466-7uvta990 162 9 data datum NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 162 10 fitting fitting NN cord-338466-7uvta990 162 11 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 162 12 parameter parameter NN cord-338466-7uvta990 162 13 estimation estimation NN cord-338466-7uvta990 162 14 for for IN cord-338466-7uvta990 162 15 COVID-19 covid-19 NN cord-338466-7uvta990 162 16 at at IN cord-338466-7uvta990 162 17 this this DT cord-338466-7uvta990 162 18 early early JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 162 19 stage stage NN cord-338466-7uvta990 162 20 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 163 1 First first RB cord-338466-7uvta990 163 2 exponential exponential JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 163 3 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 163 4 then then RB cord-338466-7uvta990 163 5 logistic logistic JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 163 6 growth growth NN cord-338466-7uvta990 163 7 curve curve NN cord-338466-7uvta990 163 8 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 163 9 used use VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 163 10 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 163 11 model model VB cord-338466-7uvta990 163 12 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 163 13 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 163 14 pandemic pandemic NN cord-338466-7uvta990 163 15 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 163 16 since since IN cord-338466-7uvta990 163 17 epidemics epidemic NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 163 18 grow grow VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 163 19 exponentially exponentially RB cord-338466-7uvta990 163 20 not not RB cord-338466-7uvta990 163 21 linearly linearly RB cord-338466-7uvta990 163 22 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 164 1 But but CC cord-338466-7uvta990 164 2 it -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 164 3 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 164 4 surprising surprising JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 164 5 that that IN cord-338466-7uvta990 164 6 exponential exponential JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 164 7 growth growth NN cord-338466-7uvta990 164 8 curve curve NN cord-338466-7uvta990 164 9 always always RB cord-338466-7uvta990 164 10 provide provide VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 164 11 increasing increase VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 164 12 number number NN cord-338466-7uvta990 164 13 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 164 14 daily daily JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 164 15 new new JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 164 16 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 164 17 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 165 1 There there EX cord-338466-7uvta990 165 2 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 165 3 no no DT cord-338466-7uvta990 165 4 saturation saturation NN cord-338466-7uvta990 165 5 point point NN cord-338466-7uvta990 165 6 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 166 1 Another another DT cord-338466-7uvta990 166 2 deterministic deterministic JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 166 3 model model NN cord-338466-7uvta990 166 4 used use VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 166 5 for for IN cord-338466-7uvta990 166 6 understanding understand VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 166 7 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 166 8 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 166 9 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 166 10 epidemic epidemic NN cord-338466-7uvta990 166 11 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 166 12 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 166 13 Susceptible susceptible JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 166 14 - - HYPH cord-338466-7uvta990 166 15 Infectious Infectious NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 166 16 - - HYPH cord-338466-7uvta990 166 17 Recovered recovered JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 166 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 166 19 SIR SIR NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 166 20 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 166 21 model model NN cord-338466-7uvta990 166 22 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 166 23 which which WDT cord-338466-7uvta990 166 24 has have VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 166 25 been be VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 166 26 used use VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 166 27 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 166 28 accurately accurately RB cord-338466-7uvta990 166 29 predict predict VB cord-338466-7uvta990 166 30 incidence incidence NN cord-338466-7uvta990 166 31 like like IN cord-338466-7uvta990 166 32 SARS SARS NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 166 33 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 167 1 In in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 167 2 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 167 3 SIR SIR NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 167 4 model model NN cord-338466-7uvta990 167 5 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 167 6 we -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 167 7 need need VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 167 8 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 167 9 know know VB cord-338466-7uvta990 167 10 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 167 11 input input NN cord-338466-7uvta990 167 12 parameters parameter VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 167 13 first first RB cord-338466-7uvta990 167 14 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 167 15 stats stat NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 167 16 we -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 167 17 feed feed VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 167 18 into into IN cord-338466-7uvta990 167 19 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 167 20 model model NN cord-338466-7uvta990 168 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 168 2 Chatterjee Chatterjee NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 168 3 et et NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 168 4 al al NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 168 5 . . NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 168 6 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 168 7 2020 2020 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 168 8 ; ; : cord-338466-7uvta990 168 9 Mandal Mandal NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 168 10 et et FW cord-338466-7uvta990 168 11 al al NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 168 12 . . NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 168 13 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 168 14 2020 2020 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 168 15 ; ; . cord-338466-7uvta990 169 1 Singh Singh NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 169 2 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 169 3 Adhikari Adhikari NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 169 4 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 169 5 2020 2020 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 169 6 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 169 7 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 170 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 170 2 first first JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 170 3 one one NN cord-338466-7uvta990 170 4 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 170 5 R r NN cord-338466-7uvta990 170 6 0 0 NFP cord-338466-7uvta990 170 7 called call VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 170 8 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 170 9 basic basic JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 170 10 reproduction reproduction NN cord-338466-7uvta990 170 11 number number NN cord-338466-7uvta990 170 12 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 171 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 171 2 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 171 3 essentially essentially RB cord-338466-7uvta990 171 4 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 171 5 number number NN cord-338466-7uvta990 171 6 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 171 7 new new JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 171 8 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 171 9 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 171 10 single single JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 171 11 infected infected JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 171 12 person person NN cord-338466-7uvta990 171 13 will will MD cord-338466-7uvta990 171 14 cause cause VB cord-338466-7uvta990 171 15 during during IN cord-338466-7uvta990 171 16 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-338466-7uvta990 171 17 infectious infectious JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 171 18 period period NN cord-338466-7uvta990 171 19 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 172 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 172 2 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 172 3 one one CD cord-338466-7uvta990 172 4 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 172 5 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 172 6 most most RBS cord-338466-7uvta990 172 7 important important JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 172 8 parameters parameter NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 172 9 for for IN cord-338466-7uvta990 172 10 assessing assess VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 172 11 any any DT cord-338466-7uvta990 172 12 epidemic epidemic NN cord-338466-7uvta990 172 13 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 173 1 Corona corona NN cord-338466-7uvta990 173 2 virus virus NN cord-338466-7uvta990 173 3 has have VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 173 4 an an DT cord-338466-7uvta990 173 5 R r NN cord-338466-7uvta990 173 6 0 0 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 173 7 $ $ $ cord-338466-7uvta990 173 8 2.4 2.4 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 173 9 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 174 1 In in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 174 2 contrast contrast NN cord-338466-7uvta990 174 3 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 174 4 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 174 5 swine swine NN cord-338466-7uvta990 174 6 flu flu NN cord-338466-7uvta990 174 7 virus virus NN cord-338466-7uvta990 174 8 had have VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 174 9 an an DT cord-338466-7uvta990 174 10 R r NN cord-338466-7uvta990 174 11 0 0 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 174 12 $ $ $ cord-338466-7uvta990 174 13 1.5 1.5 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 174 14 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 174 15 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 174 16 2009 2009 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 174 17 swine swine NN cord-338466-7uvta990 174 18 flu flu NN cord-338466-7uvta990 174 19 epidemic epidemic NN cord-338466-7uvta990 174 20 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 174 21 Gupta Gupta NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 174 22 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 174 23 2020 2020 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 174 24 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 174 25 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 175 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 175 2 R r NN cord-338466-7uvta990 175 3 0 0 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 175 4 will will MD cord-338466-7uvta990 175 5 inform inform VB cord-338466-7uvta990 175 6 us -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 175 7 about about IN cord-338466-7uvta990 175 8 how how WRB cord-338466-7uvta990 175 9 many many JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 175 10 people people NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 175 11 will will MD cord-338466-7uvta990 175 12 get get VB cord-338466-7uvta990 175 13 infected infect VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 175 14 with with IN cord-338466-7uvta990 175 15 one one CD cord-338466-7uvta990 175 16 infected infected JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 175 17 person person NN cord-338466-7uvta990 175 18 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 176 1 Other other JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 176 2 one one NN cord-338466-7uvta990 176 3 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 176 4 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 176 5 case case NN cord-338466-7uvta990 176 6 fatality fatality NN cord-338466-7uvta990 176 7 rate rate NN cord-338466-7uvta990 176 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 176 9 CFR CFR NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 176 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 176 11 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 176 12 which which WDT cord-338466-7uvta990 176 13 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 176 14 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 176 15 percentage percentage NN cord-338466-7uvta990 176 16 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 176 17 infected infected JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 176 18 people people NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 176 19 that that WDT cord-338466-7uvta990 176 20 will will MD cord-338466-7uvta990 176 21 die die VB cord-338466-7uvta990 176 22 due due IN cord-338466-7uvta990 176 23 to to IN cord-338466-7uvta990 176 24 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 176 25 infection infection NN cord-338466-7uvta990 176 26 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 177 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 177 2 CFR CFR NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 177 3 for for IN cord-338466-7uvta990 177 4 corona corona NN cord-338466-7uvta990 177 5 virus virus NN cord-338466-7uvta990 177 6 has have VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 177 7 been be VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 177 8 reported report VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 177 9 between between IN cord-338466-7uvta990 177 10 0.5 0.5 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 177 11 % % NN cord-338466-7uvta990 177 12 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 177 13 4 4 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 177 14 % % NN cord-338466-7uvta990 177 15 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 178 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 178 2 lower low JJR cord-338466-7uvta990 178 3 values value NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 178 4 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 178 5 more more RBR cord-338466-7uvta990 178 6 appropriate appropriate JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 178 7 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 178 8 resource resource NN cord-338466-7uvta990 178 9 better well JJR cord-338466-7uvta990 178 10 settings setting NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 178 11 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 178 12 medical medical JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 178 13 facility facility NN cord-338466-7uvta990 178 14 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 179 1 But but CC cord-338466-7uvta990 179 2 SIR SIR NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 179 3 model model NN cord-338466-7uvta990 179 4 assumes assume VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 179 5 that that IN cord-338466-7uvta990 179 6 every every DT cord-338466-7uvta990 179 7 person person NN cord-338466-7uvta990 179 8 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 179 9 moving move VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 179 10 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 179 11 has have VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 179 12 equal equal JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 179 13 chance chance NN cord-338466-7uvta990 179 14 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 179 15 contact contact NN cord-338466-7uvta990 179 16 with with IN cord-338466-7uvta990 179 17 each each DT cord-338466-7uvta990 179 18 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 179 19 every every DT cord-338466-7uvta990 179 20 other other JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 179 21 person person NN cord-338466-7uvta990 179 22 among among IN cord-338466-7uvta990 179 23 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 179 24 population population NN cord-338466-7uvta990 179 25 irrespective irrespective RB cord-338466-7uvta990 179 26 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 179 27 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 179 28 space space NN cord-338466-7uvta990 179 29 or or CC cord-338466-7uvta990 179 30 distance distance NN cord-338466-7uvta990 179 31 between between IN cord-338466-7uvta990 179 32 different different JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 179 33 people people NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 179 34 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 180 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 180 2 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 180 3 assumed assume VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 180 4 that that IN cord-338466-7uvta990 180 5 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 180 6 transmission transmission NN cord-338466-7uvta990 180 7 rate rate NN cord-338466-7uvta990 180 8 remains remain VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 180 9 constant constant JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 180 10 throughout throughout IN cord-338466-7uvta990 180 11 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 180 12 period period NN cord-338466-7uvta990 180 13 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 180 14 pandemic pandemic NN cord-338466-7uvta990 180 15 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 181 1 Also also RB cord-338466-7uvta990 181 2 this this DT cord-338466-7uvta990 181 3 model model NN cord-338466-7uvta990 181 4 considered consider VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 181 5 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 181 6 have have VB cord-338466-7uvta990 181 7 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 181 8 same same JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 181 9 transmission transmission NN cord-338466-7uvta990 181 10 rate rate NN cord-338466-7uvta990 181 11 for for IN cord-338466-7uvta990 181 12 who who WP cord-338466-7uvta990 181 13 have have VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 181 14 been be VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 181 15 diagnosed diagnose VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 181 16 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 181 17 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 181 18 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 181 19 quarantine quarantine NN cord-338466-7uvta990 181 20 or or CC cord-338466-7uvta990 181 21 those those DT cord-338466-7uvta990 181 22 who who WP cord-338466-7uvta990 181 23 have have VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 181 24 not not RB cord-338466-7uvta990 181 25 been be VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 181 26 quarantined quarantine VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 181 27 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 182 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 182 2 harmonic harmonic JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 182 3 analysis analysis NN cord-338466-7uvta990 182 4 methods method NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 182 5 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 182 6 dynamic dynamic JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 182 7 model model NN cord-338466-7uvta990 182 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 182 9 Rao Rao NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 182 10 Srinivasa Srinivasa NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 182 11 Arni Arni NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 182 12 et et NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 182 13 al al NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 182 14 . . NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 182 15 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 182 16 2020 2020 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 182 17 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 182 18 estimates estimate NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 182 19 show show VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 182 20 that that IN cord-338466-7uvta990 182 21 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 182 22 number number NN cord-338466-7uvta990 182 23 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 182 24 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 182 25 infected infect VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 182 26 would would MD cord-338466-7uvta990 182 27 be be VB cord-338466-7uvta990 182 28 9225 9225 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 182 29 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 182 30 if if IN cord-338466-7uvta990 182 31 there there EX cord-338466-7uvta990 182 32 were be VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 182 33 10 10 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 182 34 infected infected JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 182 35 individuals individual NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 182 36 as as IN cord-338466-7uvta990 182 37 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 182 38 March March NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 182 39 1 1 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 182 40 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 182 41 2020 2020 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 182 42 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 182 43 who who WP cord-338466-7uvta990 182 44 was be VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 182 45 not not RB cord-338466-7uvta990 182 46 taking take VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 182 47 any any DT cord-338466-7uvta990 182 48 precautions precaution NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 182 49 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 182 50 spread spread VB cord-338466-7uvta990 182 51 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 182 52 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 182 53 17,986 17,986 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 182 54 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 182 55 if if IN cord-338466-7uvta990 182 56 there there EX cord-338466-7uvta990 182 57 were be VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 182 58 20 20 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 182 59 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 182 60 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 182 61 44,265 44,265 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 182 62 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 182 63 if if IN cord-338466-7uvta990 182 64 there there EX cord-338466-7uvta990 182 65 were be VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 182 66 50 50 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 182 67 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 182 68 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 183 1 SIR SIR NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 183 2 model model NN cord-338466-7uvta990 183 3 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 183 4 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 183 5 theoretical theoretical JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 183 6 epidemiological epidemiological JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 183 7 model model NN cord-338466-7uvta990 183 8 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 183 9 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 183 10 which which WDT cord-338466-7uvta990 183 11 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 183 12 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 183 13 population population NN cord-338466-7uvta990 183 14 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 183 15 categories category NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 183 16 into into IN cord-338466-7uvta990 183 17 three three CD cord-338466-7uvta990 183 18 component component NN cord-338466-7uvta990 183 19 such such JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 183 20 as as IN cord-338466-7uvta990 183 21 : : : cord-338466-7uvta990 183 22 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 183 23 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 183 24 S S NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 183 25 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 183 26 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 183 27 which which WDT cord-338466-7uvta990 183 28 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 183 29 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 183 30 group group NN cord-338466-7uvta990 183 31 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 183 32 people people NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 183 33 who who WP cord-338466-7uvta990 183 34 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 183 35 vulnerable vulnerable JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 183 36 to to IN cord-338466-7uvta990 183 37 exposure exposure NN cord-338466-7uvta990 183 38 with with IN cord-338466-7uvta990 183 39 infectious infectious JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 183 40 people people NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 183 41 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 183 42 infected infect VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 183 43 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 183 44 I i NN cord-338466-7uvta990 183 45 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 183 46 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 183 47 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 183 48 those those DT cord-338466-7uvta990 183 49 with with IN cord-338466-7uvta990 183 50 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 183 51 disease disease NN cord-338466-7uvta990 183 52 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 183 53 can can MD cord-338466-7uvta990 183 54 transmit transmit VB cord-338466-7uvta990 183 55 it -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 183 56 to to IN cord-338466-7uvta990 183 57 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 183 58 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 183 59 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 183 60 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 183 61 third third JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 183 62 component component NN cord-338466-7uvta990 183 63 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 183 64 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 183 65 individuals individual NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 183 66 who who WP cord-338466-7uvta990 183 67 have have VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 183 68 recovered recover VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 183 69 from from IN cord-338466-7uvta990 183 70 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 183 71 infectious infectious JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 183 72 disease disease NN cord-338466-7uvta990 183 73 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 183 74 developed develop VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 183 75 immunity immunity NN cord-338466-7uvta990 183 76 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 183 77 not not RB cord-338466-7uvta990 183 78 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 183 79 to to IN cord-338466-7uvta990 183 80 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 183 81 same same JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 183 82 illness illness NN cord-338466-7uvta990 183 83 anymore anymore RB cord-338466-7uvta990 183 84 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 183 85 R r NN cord-338466-7uvta990 183 86 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 183 87 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 184 1 This this DT cord-338466-7uvta990 184 2 framework framework NN cord-338466-7uvta990 184 3 enables enable VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 184 4 us -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 184 5 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 184 6 understand understand VB cord-338466-7uvta990 184 7 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 184 8 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 184 9 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 184 10 any any DT cord-338466-7uvta990 184 11 epidemic epidemic NN cord-338466-7uvta990 184 12 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 185 1 Thus thus RB cord-338466-7uvta990 185 2 SIR SIR NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 185 3 model model NN cord-338466-7uvta990 185 4 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 185 5 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 185 6 compartmental compartmental JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 185 7 model model NN cord-338466-7uvta990 185 8 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 185 9 which which WDT cord-338466-7uvta990 185 10 individuals individual NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 185 11 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 185 12 separated separate VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 185 13 into into IN cord-338466-7uvta990 185 14 different different JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 185 15 compartments compartment NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 185 16 based base VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 185 17 on on IN cord-338466-7uvta990 185 18 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-338466-7uvta990 185 19 status status NN cord-338466-7uvta990 185 20 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 185 21 follow follow VB cord-338466-7uvta990 185 22 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 185 23 corresponding correspond VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 185 24 population population NN cord-338466-7uvta990 185 25 sizes size NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 185 26 over over IN cord-338466-7uvta990 185 27 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 185 28 time time NN cord-338466-7uvta990 185 29 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 186 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 186 2 diagrammatical diagrammatical JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 186 3 representation representation NN cord-338466-7uvta990 186 4 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 186 5 threecompartment threecompartment NN cord-338466-7uvta990 186 6 model model NN cord-338466-7uvta990 187 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 187 2 Kermack Kermack NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 187 3 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 187 4 McKendrick McKendrick NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 187 5 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 187 6 1927 1927 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 187 7 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 187 8 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 187 9 given give VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 187 10 as as IN cord-338466-7uvta990 187 11 where where WRB cord-338466-7uvta990 187 12 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 187 13 S(t S(t NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 187 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 187 15 ¼ ¼ NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 187 16 Proportion proportion NN cord-338466-7uvta990 187 17 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 187 18 individual individual NN cord-338466-7uvta990 187 19 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 187 20 to to IN cord-338466-7uvta990 187 21 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 187 22 at at IN cord-338466-7uvta990 187 23 time time NN cord-338466-7uvta990 187 24 t t NN cord-338466-7uvta990 187 25 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 187 26 I(t I(t NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 187 27 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 187 28 ¼ ¼ NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 187 29 Proportion proportion NN cord-338466-7uvta990 187 30 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 187 31 individual individual NN cord-338466-7uvta990 187 32 who who WP cord-338466-7uvta990 187 33 have have VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 187 34 been be VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 187 35 infected infect VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 187 36 by by IN cord-338466-7uvta990 187 37 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 187 38 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 187 39 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 187 40 capable capable JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 187 41 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 187 42 infecting infect VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 187 43 others other NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 187 44 at at IN cord-338466-7uvta990 187 45 time time NN cord-338466-7uvta990 187 46 t t NN cord-338466-7uvta990 187 47 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 187 48 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 187 49 R(t R(t NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 187 50 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 188 1 ¼ ¼ LS cord-338466-7uvta990 188 2 Proportion Proportion NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 188 3 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 188 4 individual individual NN cord-338466-7uvta990 188 5 who who WP cord-338466-7uvta990 188 6 have have VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 188 7 been be VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 188 8 infected infect VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 188 9 by by IN cord-338466-7uvta990 188 10 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 188 11 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 188 12 recovered recover VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 188 13 at at IN cord-338466-7uvta990 188 14 time time NN cord-338466-7uvta990 188 15 t t NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 188 16 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 188 17 such such JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 188 18 that that IN cord-338466-7uvta990 188 19 S(t S(t NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 188 20 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 188 21 + + CC cord-338466-7uvta990 188 22 I(t I(t NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 188 23 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 189 1 + + CC cord-338466-7uvta990 189 2 R(t r(t NN cord-338466-7uvta990 189 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 190 1 ¼ ¼ NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 190 2 1 1 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 190 3 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 191 1 Hereβ Hereβ NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 191 2 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 191 3 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 191 4 transmission transmission NN cord-338466-7uvta990 191 5 parameter parameter NN cord-338466-7uvta990 191 6 controlling control VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 191 7 how how WRB cord-338466-7uvta990 191 8 much much JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 191 9 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 191 10 disease disease NN cord-338466-7uvta990 191 11 can can MD cord-338466-7uvta990 191 12 be be VB cord-338466-7uvta990 191 13 transmitted transmit VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 191 14 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 192 1 This this DT cord-338466-7uvta990 192 2 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 192 3 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 192 4 average average JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 192 5 number number NN cord-338466-7uvta990 192 6 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 192 7 individuals individual NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 192 8 that that WDT cord-338466-7uvta990 192 9 one one CD cord-338466-7uvta990 192 10 infected infected JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 192 11 individual individual NN cord-338466-7uvta990 192 12 will will MD cord-338466-7uvta990 192 13 infect infect VB cord-338466-7uvta990 192 14 per per IN cord-338466-7uvta990 192 15 unit unit NN cord-338466-7uvta990 192 16 time time NN cord-338466-7uvta990 192 17 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 193 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 193 2 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 193 3 determined determine VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 193 4 by by IN cord-338466-7uvta990 193 5 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 193 6 chance chance NN cord-338466-7uvta990 193 7 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 193 8 contact contact NN cord-338466-7uvta990 193 9 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 193 10 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 193 11 probability probability NN cord-338466-7uvta990 193 12 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 193 13 disease disease NN cord-338466-7uvta990 193 14 transmission transmission NN cord-338466-7uvta990 193 15 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 194 1 While while IN cord-338466-7uvta990 194 2 γ γ NN cord-338466-7uvta990 194 3 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 194 4 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 194 5 parameter parameter NN cord-338466-7uvta990 194 6 representing represent VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 194 7 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 194 8 rate rate NN cord-338466-7uvta990 194 9 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 194 10 recovery recovery NN cord-338466-7uvta990 194 11 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 194 12 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 194 13 particular particular JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 194 14 period period NN cord-338466-7uvta990 194 15 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 195 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 195 2 model model NN cord-338466-7uvta990 195 3 allows allow VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 195 4 us -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 195 5 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 195 6 describe describe VB cord-338466-7uvta990 195 7 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 195 8 number number NN cord-338466-7uvta990 195 9 or or CC cord-338466-7uvta990 195 10 proportions proportion NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 195 11 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 195 12 persons person NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 195 13 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 195 14 each each DT cord-338466-7uvta990 195 15 compartment compartment NN cord-338466-7uvta990 195 16 by by IN cord-338466-7uvta990 195 17 solving solve VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 195 18 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 195 19 following follow VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 195 20 ordinary ordinary JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 195 21 differential differential JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 195 22 equations equation NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 195 23 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 195 24 Several several JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 195 25 assumptions assumption NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 195 26 have have VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 195 27 been be VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 195 28 discussed discuss VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 195 29 with with IN cord-338466-7uvta990 195 30 respect respect NN cord-338466-7uvta990 195 31 to to IN cord-338466-7uvta990 195 32 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 195 33 SIR SIR NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 195 34 model model NN cord-338466-7uvta990 195 35 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 195 36 Brauer Brauer NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 195 37 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 195 38 Castillo Castillo NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 195 39 - - HYPH cord-338466-7uvta990 195 40 Chavez Chavez NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 195 41 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 195 42 2012 2012 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 195 43 ; ; : cord-338466-7uvta990 195 44 Daley Daley NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 195 45 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 195 46 Gani Gani NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 195 47 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 195 48 1999 1999 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 195 49 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 195 50 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 196 1 Based base VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 196 2 on on IN cord-338466-7uvta990 196 3 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 196 4 SIR SIR NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 196 5 model model NN cord-338466-7uvta990 196 6 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 196 7 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 196 8 basic basic JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 196 9 reproduction reproduction NN cord-338466-7uvta990 196 10 number number NN cord-338466-7uvta990 196 11 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 196 12 defined define VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 196 13 as as IN cord-338466-7uvta990 196 14 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 196 15 Here here RB cord-338466-7uvta990 196 16 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 196 17 R r NN cord-338466-7uvta990 196 18 0 0 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 196 19 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 196 20 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 196 21 average average JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 196 22 number number NN cord-338466-7uvta990 196 23 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 196 24 new new JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 196 25 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 196 26 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 196 27 produced produce VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 196 28 by by IN cord-338466-7uvta990 196 29 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 196 30 single single JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 196 31 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 196 32 infected infected JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 196 33 case case NN cord-338466-7uvta990 196 34 over over IN cord-338466-7uvta990 196 35 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 196 36 time time NN cord-338466-7uvta990 196 37 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 197 1 In in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 197 2 order order NN cord-338466-7uvta990 197 3 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 197 4 fit fit VB cord-338466-7uvta990 197 5 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 197 6 SIR SIR NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 197 7 model model NN cord-338466-7uvta990 197 8 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 197 9 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 197 10 parameters parameter NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 197 11 were be VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 197 12 obtained obtain VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 197 13 by by IN cord-338466-7uvta990 197 14 minimizing minimize VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 197 15 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 197 16 residual residual JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 197 17 sum sum NN cord-338466-7uvta990 197 18 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 197 19 squares square NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 197 20 between between IN cord-338466-7uvta990 197 21 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 197 22 observed observed JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 197 23 active active JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 197 24 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 197 25 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 197 26 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 197 27 predicted predict VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 197 28 active active JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 197 29 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 197 30 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 198 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 198 2 utilization utilization NN cord-338466-7uvta990 198 3 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 198 4 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 198 5 SEIR SEIR NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 198 6 model model NN cord-338466-7uvta990 198 7 lies lie VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 198 8 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 198 9 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 198 10 fact fact NN cord-338466-7uvta990 198 11 that that IN cord-338466-7uvta990 198 12 it -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 198 13 focuses focus VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 198 14 on on IN cord-338466-7uvta990 198 15 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 198 16 basic basic JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 198 17 processes process NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 198 18 that that WDT cord-338466-7uvta990 198 19 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 198 20 directly directly RB cord-338466-7uvta990 198 21 related relate VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 198 22 to to IN cord-338466-7uvta990 198 23 this this DT cord-338466-7uvta990 198 24 growing grow VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 198 25 pandemic pandemic NN cord-338466-7uvta990 198 26 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 199 1 In in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 199 2 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 199 3 preparation preparation NN cord-338466-7uvta990 199 4 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 199 5 this this DT cord-338466-7uvta990 199 6 model model NN cord-338466-7uvta990 199 7 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 199 8 there there EX cord-338466-7uvta990 199 9 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 199 10 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 199 11 need need NN cord-338466-7uvta990 199 12 that that IN cord-338466-7uvta990 199 13 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 199 14 population population NN cord-338466-7uvta990 199 15 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 199 16 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 199 17 be be VB cord-338466-7uvta990 199 18 divided divide VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 199 19 into into IN cord-338466-7uvta990 199 20 some some DT cord-338466-7uvta990 199 21 subdivisions subdivision NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 199 22 which which WDT cord-338466-7uvta990 199 23 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 199 24 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 199 25 subdivision subdivision NN cord-338466-7uvta990 200 1 S(t S(t NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 200 2 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 201 1 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 201 2 that that DT cord-338466-7uvta990 201 3 denotes denote VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 201 4 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 201 5 population population NN cord-338466-7uvta990 201 6 which which WDT cord-338466-7uvta990 201 7 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 201 8 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 201 9 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 201 10 catch catch VB cord-338466-7uvta990 201 11 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 201 12 virus virus NN cord-338466-7uvta990 201 13 ; ; , cord-338466-7uvta990 201 14 exposed expose VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 201 15 subdivision subdivision NN cord-338466-7uvta990 201 16 E(t E(t NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 201 17 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 201 18 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 201 19 that that WDT cord-338466-7uvta990 201 20 denotes denote VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 201 21 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 201 22 population population NN cord-338466-7uvta990 201 23 which which WDT cord-338466-7uvta990 201 24 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 201 25 infected infect VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 201 26 but but CC cord-338466-7uvta990 201 27 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 201 28 symptoms symptom NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 201 29 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 201 30 not not RB cord-338466-7uvta990 201 31 visible visible JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 201 32 yet yet RB cord-338466-7uvta990 201 33 ; ; : cord-338466-7uvta990 201 34 infected infect VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 201 35 subdivision subdivision NN cord-338466-7uvta990 201 36 I(t I(t NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 201 37 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 201 38 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 201 39 that that WDT cord-338466-7uvta990 201 40 denotes denote VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 201 41 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 201 42 population population NN cord-338466-7uvta990 201 43 which which WDT cord-338466-7uvta990 201 44 has have VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 201 45 been be VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 201 46 infected infect VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 201 47 by by IN cord-338466-7uvta990 201 48 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 201 49 virus virus NN cord-338466-7uvta990 201 50 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 201 51 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 201 52 showing show VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 201 53 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 201 54 symptoms symptom NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 201 55 ; ; , cord-338466-7uvta990 201 56 recovered recover VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 201 57 subdivision subdivision NN cord-338466-7uvta990 201 58 R(t R(t NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 201 59 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 201 60 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 201 61 that that WDT cord-338466-7uvta990 201 62 denotes denote VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 201 63 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 201 64 population population NN cord-338466-7uvta990 201 65 which which WDT cord-338466-7uvta990 201 66 has have VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 201 67 immunity immunity NN cord-338466-7uvta990 201 68 to to IN cord-338466-7uvta990 201 69 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 201 70 infection infection NN cord-338466-7uvta990 201 71 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 202 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 202 2 basic basic JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 202 3 assumption assumption NN cord-338466-7uvta990 202 4 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 202 5 formulate formulate VB cord-338466-7uvta990 202 6 this this DT cord-338466-7uvta990 202 7 model model NN cord-338466-7uvta990 202 8 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 202 9 that that IN cord-338466-7uvta990 202 10 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 202 11 recovered recover VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 202 12 patients patient NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 202 13 acquired acquire VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 202 14 permanent permanent JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 202 15 active active JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 202 16 immunity immunity NN cord-338466-7uvta990 202 17 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 203 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 203 2 can can MD cord-338466-7uvta990 203 3 be be VB cord-338466-7uvta990 203 4 justified justify VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 203 5 by by IN cord-338466-7uvta990 203 6 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 203 7 strong strong JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 203 8 reason reason NN cord-338466-7uvta990 203 9 that that IN cord-338466-7uvta990 203 10 none none NN cord-338466-7uvta990 203 11 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 203 12 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 203 13 patients patient NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 203 14 were be VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 203 15 re re VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 203 16 - - VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 203 17 infected infect VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 203 18 by by IN cord-338466-7uvta990 203 19 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 203 20 COVID-19 covid-19 NN cord-338466-7uvta990 203 21 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 204 1 There there EX cord-338466-7uvta990 204 2 have have VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 204 3 been be VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 204 4 numerous numerous JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 204 5 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 204 6 where where WRB cord-338466-7uvta990 204 7 patients patient NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 204 8 died die VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 204 9 after after IN cord-338466-7uvta990 204 10 being be VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 204 11 discharged discharge VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 204 12 from from IN cord-338466-7uvta990 204 13 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 204 14 hospital hospital NN cord-338466-7uvta990 205 1 but but CC cord-338466-7uvta990 205 2 it -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 205 3 was be VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 205 4 found find VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 205 5 that that IN cord-338466-7uvta990 205 6 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 205 7 patients patient NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 205 8 were be VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 205 9 either either RB cord-338466-7uvta990 205 10 discharged discharge VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 205 11 for for IN cord-338466-7uvta990 205 12 having have VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 205 13 mild mild JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 205 14 symptoms symptom NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 205 15 or or CC cord-338466-7uvta990 205 16 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 205 17 testing testing NN cord-338466-7uvta990 205 18 machine machine NN cord-338466-7uvta990 205 19 reported report VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 205 20 wrongly wrongly RB cord-338466-7uvta990 205 21 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 206 1 Now now RB cord-338466-7uvta990 206 2 we -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 206 3 have have VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 206 4 normalized normalize VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 206 5 these these DT cord-338466-7uvta990 206 6 components component NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 206 7 as as IN cord-338466-7uvta990 206 8 S s NN cord-338466-7uvta990 206 9 + + CC cord-338466-7uvta990 206 10 E e NN cord-338466-7uvta990 207 1 + + CC cord-338466-7uvta990 208 1 I -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 208 2 + + CC cord-338466-7uvta990 208 3 R r NN cord-338466-7uvta990 208 4 ¼ ¼ NN cord-338466-7uvta990 208 5 1 1 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 208 6 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 209 1 Furthermore furthermore RB cord-338466-7uvta990 209 2 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 209 3 suppose suppose VB cord-338466-7uvta990 209 4 that that IN cord-338466-7uvta990 209 5 there there EX cord-338466-7uvta990 209 6 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 209 7 equal equal JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 209 8 birth birth NN cord-338466-7uvta990 209 9 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 209 10 death death NN cord-338466-7uvta990 209 11 rates rate NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 209 12 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 210 1 i.e. i.e. FW cord-338466-7uvta990 210 2 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 210 3 μ μ NN cord-338466-7uvta990 210 4 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 210 5 1 1 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 210 6 α α NN cord-338466-7uvta990 210 7 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 210 8 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 210 9 mean mean JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 210 10 latent latent JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 210 11 period period NN cord-338466-7uvta990 210 12 for for IN cord-338466-7uvta990 210 13 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 210 14 disease disease NN cord-338466-7uvta990 210 15 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 211 1 1 1 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 211 2 γ γ NN cord-338466-7uvta990 211 3 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 211 4 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 211 5 mean mean JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 211 6 infectious infectious JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 211 7 period period NN cord-338466-7uvta990 211 8 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 211 9 recovered recover VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 211 10 individuals individual NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 211 11 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 211 12 permanently permanently RB cord-338466-7uvta990 211 13 immune immune JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 211 14 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 212 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 212 2 contact contact NN cord-338466-7uvta990 212 3 rate rate NN cord-338466-7uvta990 212 4 β β NN cord-338466-7uvta990 212 5 may may MD cord-338466-7uvta990 212 6 or or CC cord-338466-7uvta990 212 7 may may MD cord-338466-7uvta990 212 8 not not RB cord-338466-7uvta990 212 9 be be VB cord-338466-7uvta990 212 10 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 212 11 function function NN cord-338466-7uvta990 212 12 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 212 13 time time NN cord-338466-7uvta990 212 14 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 213 1 Thus thus RB cord-338466-7uvta990 213 2 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 213 3 SEIR SEIR NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 213 4 model model NN cord-338466-7uvta990 213 5 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 213 6 defined define VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 213 7 as as IN cord-338466-7uvta990 213 8 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 213 9 variable variable JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 213 10 R r NN cord-338466-7uvta990 213 11 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 213 12 determined determine VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 213 13 from from IN cord-338466-7uvta990 213 14 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 213 15 other other JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 213 16 variables variable NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 213 17 according accord VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 213 18 to to IN cord-338466-7uvta990 213 19 equation equation NN cord-338466-7uvta990 213 20 S s NN cord-338466-7uvta990 213 21 + + CC cord-338466-7uvta990 213 22 E e NN cord-338466-7uvta990 214 1 + + CC cord-338466-7uvta990 215 1 I -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 215 2 + + CC cord-338466-7uvta990 215 3 R r NN cord-338466-7uvta990 215 4 ¼ ¼ NN cord-338466-7uvta990 215 5 1 1 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 215 6 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 216 1 A a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 216 2 growth growth NN cord-338466-7uvta990 216 3 curve curve NN cord-338466-7uvta990 216 4 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 216 5 an an DT cord-338466-7uvta990 216 6 empirical empirical JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 216 7 model model NN cord-338466-7uvta990 216 8 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 216 9 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 216 10 evolution evolution NN cord-338466-7uvta990 216 11 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 216 12 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 216 13 quantity quantity NN cord-338466-7uvta990 216 14 over over IN cord-338466-7uvta990 216 15 time time NN cord-338466-7uvta990 216 16 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 217 1 Growth growth NN cord-338466-7uvta990 217 2 curves curve NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 217 3 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 217 4 widely widely RB cord-338466-7uvta990 217 5 used use VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 217 6 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 217 7 biology biology NN cord-338466-7uvta990 217 8 for for IN cord-338466-7uvta990 217 9 quantities quantity NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 217 10 such such JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 217 11 as as IN cord-338466-7uvta990 217 12 population population NN cord-338466-7uvta990 217 13 size size NN cord-338466-7uvta990 217 14 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 217 15 population population NN cord-338466-7uvta990 217 16 ecology ecology NN cord-338466-7uvta990 217 17 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 217 18 demography demography NN cord-338466-7uvta990 217 19 for for IN cord-338466-7uvta990 217 20 population population NN cord-338466-7uvta990 217 21 growth growth NN cord-338466-7uvta990 217 22 analysis analysis NN cord-338466-7uvta990 217 23 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 217 24 individual individual JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 217 25 body body NN cord-338466-7uvta990 217 26 height height NN cord-338466-7uvta990 217 27 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 217 28 physiology physiology NN cord-338466-7uvta990 217 29 for for IN cord-338466-7uvta990 217 30 growth growth NN cord-338466-7uvta990 217 31 analysis analysis NN cord-338466-7uvta990 217 32 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 217 33 individuals individual NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 217 34 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 218 1 Growth growth NN cord-338466-7uvta990 218 2 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 218 3 also also RB cord-338466-7uvta990 218 4 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 218 5 key key JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 218 6 property property NN cord-338466-7uvta990 218 7 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 218 8 many many JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 218 9 systems system NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 218 10 such such JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 218 11 as as IN cord-338466-7uvta990 218 12 an an DT cord-338466-7uvta990 218 13 economic economic JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 218 14 expansion expansion NN cord-338466-7uvta990 218 15 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 218 16 spread spread VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 218 17 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 218 18 an an DT cord-338466-7uvta990 218 19 epidemic epidemic NN cord-338466-7uvta990 218 20 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 218 21 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 218 22 formation formation NN cord-338466-7uvta990 218 23 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 218 24 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 218 25 crystal crystal NN cord-338466-7uvta990 218 26 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 218 27 an an DT cord-338466-7uvta990 218 28 adolescent adolescent NN cord-338466-7uvta990 218 29 's 's POS cord-338466-7uvta990 218 30 growth growth NN cord-338466-7uvta990 218 31 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 218 32 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 218 33 condensation condensation NN cord-338466-7uvta990 218 34 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 218 35 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 218 36 stellar stellar JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 218 37 mass mass NN cord-338466-7uvta990 218 38 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 219 1 This this DT cord-338466-7uvta990 219 2 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 219 3 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 219 4 simplest simple JJS cord-338466-7uvta990 219 5 growth growth NN cord-338466-7uvta990 219 6 model model NN cord-338466-7uvta990 219 7 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 219 8 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 219 9 which which WDT cord-338466-7uvta990 219 10 population population NN cord-338466-7uvta990 219 11 grows grow VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 219 12 at at IN cord-338466-7uvta990 219 13 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 219 14 constant constant JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 219 15 rate rate NN cord-338466-7uvta990 219 16 over over IN cord-338466-7uvta990 219 17 time time NN cord-338466-7uvta990 219 18 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 220 1 Linear linear JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 220 2 growth growth NN cord-338466-7uvta990 220 3 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 220 4 described describe VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 220 5 by by IN cord-338466-7uvta990 220 6 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 220 7 equation equation NN cord-338466-7uvta990 220 8 where where WRB cord-338466-7uvta990 220 9 P P NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 220 10 t t NN cord-338466-7uvta990 220 11 represents represent VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 220 12 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 220 13 numbers number NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 220 14 or or CC cord-338466-7uvta990 220 15 size size NN cord-338466-7uvta990 220 16 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 220 17 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 220 18 system system NN cord-338466-7uvta990 220 19 at at IN cord-338466-7uvta990 220 20 time time NN cord-338466-7uvta990 220 21 t t NN cord-338466-7uvta990 220 22 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 220 23 P p NN cord-338466-7uvta990 220 24 t+1 t+1 NN cord-338466-7uvta990 220 25 represents represent VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 220 26 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 220 27 system system NN cord-338466-7uvta990 220 28 's 's POS cord-338466-7uvta990 220 29 numbers number NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 220 30 or or CC cord-338466-7uvta990 220 31 size size NN cord-338466-7uvta990 220 32 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 220 33 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 220 34 system system NN cord-338466-7uvta990 220 35 one one CD cord-338466-7uvta990 220 36 time time NN cord-338466-7uvta990 220 37 unit unit NN cord-338466-7uvta990 220 38 later later RB cord-338466-7uvta990 220 39 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 220 40 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 220 41 A a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 220 42 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 220 43 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 220 44 system system NN cord-338466-7uvta990 220 45 's 's POS cord-338466-7uvta990 220 46 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 220 47 linear linear JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 220 48 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 220 49 growth growth NN cord-338466-7uvta990 220 50 rate rate NN cord-338466-7uvta990 220 51 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 221 1 Many many JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 221 2 times time NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 221 3 this this DT cord-338466-7uvta990 221 4 model model NN cord-338466-7uvta990 221 5 fails fail VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 221 6 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 221 7 explain explain VB cord-338466-7uvta990 221 8 natural natural JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 221 9 phenomenon phenomenon NN cord-338466-7uvta990 221 10 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 222 1 Another another DT cord-338466-7uvta990 222 2 simple simple JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 222 3 model model NN cord-338466-7uvta990 222 4 describes describe VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 222 5 exponential exponential JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 222 6 growth growth NN cord-338466-7uvta990 222 7 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 222 8 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 222 9 which which WDT cord-338466-7uvta990 222 10 population population NN cord-338466-7uvta990 222 11 grows grow VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 222 12 at at IN cord-338466-7uvta990 222 13 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 222 14 constant constant JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 222 15 proportional proportional JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 222 16 rate rate NN cord-338466-7uvta990 222 17 over over IN cord-338466-7uvta990 222 18 time time NN cord-338466-7uvta990 222 19 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 223 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 223 2 relation relation NN cord-338466-7uvta990 223 3 may may MD cord-338466-7uvta990 223 4 be be VB cord-338466-7uvta990 223 5 expressed express VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 223 6 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 223 7 either either DT cord-338466-7uvta990 223 8 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 223 9 two two CD cord-338466-7uvta990 223 10 forms form NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 223 11 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 223 12 depending depend VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 223 13 on on IN cord-338466-7uvta990 223 14 whether whether IN cord-338466-7uvta990 223 15 reproduction reproduction NN cord-338466-7uvta990 223 16 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 223 17 assumed assume VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 223 18 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 223 19 be be VB cord-338466-7uvta990 223 20 continuous continuous JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 223 21 or or CC cord-338466-7uvta990 223 22 periodic periodic JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 223 23 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 223 24 Shryock Shryock NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 223 25 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 223 26 Siegel Siegel NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 223 27 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 223 28 1973 1973 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 223 29 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 223 30 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 224 1 Exponential exponential JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 224 2 growth growth NN cord-338466-7uvta990 224 3 results result NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 224 4 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 224 5 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 224 6 continuous continuous JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 224 7 curve curve NN cord-338466-7uvta990 224 8 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 224 9 increase increase NN cord-338466-7uvta990 224 10 or or CC cord-338466-7uvta990 224 11 decrease decrease NN cord-338466-7uvta990 224 12 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 224 13 whose whose WP$ cord-338466-7uvta990 224 14 slope slope NN cord-338466-7uvta990 224 15 varies vary VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 224 16 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 224 17 direct direct JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 224 18 relation relation NN cord-338466-7uvta990 224 19 to to IN cord-338466-7uvta990 224 20 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 224 21 size size NN cord-338466-7uvta990 224 22 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 224 23 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 224 24 population population NN cord-338466-7uvta990 224 25 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 225 1 where where WRB cord-338466-7uvta990 225 2 r r NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 225 3 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 225 4 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 225 5 constant constant JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 225 6 rate rate NN cord-338466-7uvta990 225 7 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 225 8 growth growth NN cord-338466-7uvta990 225 9 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 225 10 P p NN cord-338466-7uvta990 225 11 o o NN cord-338466-7uvta990 225 12 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 225 13 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 225 14 initial initial JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 225 15 population population NN cord-338466-7uvta990 225 16 size size NN cord-338466-7uvta990 225 17 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 225 18 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 225 19 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 225 20 variables variable NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 225 21 t t NN cord-338466-7uvta990 225 22 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 225 23 P p NN cord-338466-7uvta990 225 24 t t NN cord-338466-7uvta990 225 25 respectively respectively RB cord-338466-7uvta990 225 26 represent represent VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 225 27 time time NN cord-338466-7uvta990 225 28 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 225 29 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 225 30 population population NN cord-338466-7uvta990 225 31 at at IN cord-338466-7uvta990 225 32 time time NN cord-338466-7uvta990 225 33 t t NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 226 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 226 2 Method method NN cord-338466-7uvta990 226 3 1 1 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 226 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 226 5 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 227 1 Another another DT cord-338466-7uvta990 227 2 form form NN cord-338466-7uvta990 227 3 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 227 4 exponential exponential JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 227 5 curve curve NN cord-338466-7uvta990 227 6 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 227 7 as as IN cord-338466-7uvta990 227 8 follows follow VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 227 9 where where WRB cord-338466-7uvta990 227 10 k k NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 227 11 ¼ ¼ NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 227 12 P p NN cord-338466-7uvta990 227 13 n n NN cord-338466-7uvta990 227 14 P p NN cord-338466-7uvta990 227 15 0 0 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 227 16 1= 1= CD cord-338466-7uvta990 227 17 n n NN cord-338466-7uvta990 227 18 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 227 19 that that IN cord-338466-7uvta990 227 20 therefore therefore RB cord-338466-7uvta990 227 21 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 227 22 growth growth NN cord-338466-7uvta990 227 23 rate rate NN cord-338466-7uvta990 227 24 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 227 25 Eq Eq NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 227 26 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 228 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 228 2 3 3 LS cord-338466-7uvta990 228 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 228 4 With with IN cord-338466-7uvta990 228 5 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 228 6 current current JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 228 7 incidence incidence NN cord-338466-7uvta990 228 8 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 228 9 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 228 10 COVID-19 covid-19 NN cord-338466-7uvta990 228 11 going go VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 228 12 on on RP cord-338466-7uvta990 228 13 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 228 14 we -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 228 15 hear hear VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 228 16 about about IN cord-338466-7uvta990 228 17 exponential exponential JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 228 18 growth growth NN cord-338466-7uvta990 228 19 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 229 1 In in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 229 2 this this DT cord-338466-7uvta990 229 3 study study NN cord-338466-7uvta990 229 4 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 229 5 an an DT cord-338466-7uvta990 229 6 attempt attempt NN cord-338466-7uvta990 229 7 has have VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 229 8 been be VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 229 9 made make VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 229 10 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 229 11 understand understand VB cord-338466-7uvta990 229 12 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 229 13 analyze analyze VB cord-338466-7uvta990 229 14 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 229 15 data datum NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 229 16 through through IN cord-338466-7uvta990 229 17 exponential exponential JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 229 18 growth growth NN cord-338466-7uvta990 229 19 curve curve NN cord-338466-7uvta990 229 20 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 230 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 230 2 reason reason NN cord-338466-7uvta990 230 3 for for IN cord-338466-7uvta990 230 4 using use VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 230 5 exponential exponential JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 230 6 growth growth NN cord-338466-7uvta990 230 7 curve curve NN cord-338466-7uvta990 230 8 for for IN cord-338466-7uvta990 230 9 studying study VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 230 10 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 230 11 pattern pattern NN cord-338466-7uvta990 230 12 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 230 13 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 230 14 incidence incidence NN cord-338466-7uvta990 230 15 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 230 16 that that IN cord-338466-7uvta990 230 17 epidemiologists epidemiologist NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 230 18 have have VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 230 19 studied study VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 230 20 these these DT cord-338466-7uvta990 230 21 types type NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 230 22 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 230 23 happenings happening NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 230 24 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 230 25 it -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 230 26 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 230 27 well well RB cord-338466-7uvta990 230 28 known know VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 230 29 that that IN cord-338466-7uvta990 230 30 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 230 31 first first JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 230 32 period period NN cord-338466-7uvta990 230 33 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 230 34 an an DT cord-338466-7uvta990 230 35 epidemic epidemic NN cord-338466-7uvta990 230 36 follows follow VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 230 37 exponential exponential JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 230 38 growth growth NN cord-338466-7uvta990 230 39 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 231 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 231 2 exponential exponential JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 231 3 growth growth NN cord-338466-7uvta990 231 4 function function NN cord-338466-7uvta990 231 5 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 231 6 not not RB cord-338466-7uvta990 231 7 necessarily necessarily RB cord-338466-7uvta990 231 8 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 231 9 perfect perfect JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 231 10 representation representation NN cord-338466-7uvta990 231 11 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 231 12 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 231 13 epidemic epidemic NN cord-338466-7uvta990 231 14 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 232 1 I -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 232 2 have have VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 232 3 tried try VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 232 4 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 232 5 fit fit VB cord-338466-7uvta990 232 6 exponential exponential JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 232 7 curve curve NN cord-338466-7uvta990 232 8 first first RB cord-338466-7uvta990 232 9 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 232 10 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 232 11 at at IN cord-338466-7uvta990 232 12 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 232 13 next next JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 232 14 point point NN cord-338466-7uvta990 232 15 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 232 16 study study VB cord-338466-7uvta990 232 17 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 232 18 logistic logistic JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 232 19 growth growth NN cord-338466-7uvta990 232 20 curve curve NN cord-338466-7uvta990 232 21 because because IN cord-338466-7uvta990 232 22 exponential exponential JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 232 23 curve curve NN cord-338466-7uvta990 232 24 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 232 25 only only RB cord-338466-7uvta990 232 26 fit fit VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 232 27 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 232 28 epidemic epidemic NN cord-338466-7uvta990 232 29 at at IN cord-338466-7uvta990 232 30 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 232 31 beginning beginning NN cord-338466-7uvta990 232 32 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 233 1 At at IN cord-338466-7uvta990 233 2 some some DT cord-338466-7uvta990 233 3 point point NN cord-338466-7uvta990 233 4 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 233 5 recovered recover VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 233 6 people people NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 233 7 will will MD cord-338466-7uvta990 233 8 not not RB cord-338466-7uvta990 233 9 spread spread VB cord-338466-7uvta990 233 10 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 233 11 virus virus NN cord-338466-7uvta990 233 12 anymore anymore RB cord-338466-7uvta990 233 13 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 233 14 when when WRB cord-338466-7uvta990 233 15 someone someone NN cord-338466-7uvta990 233 16 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 233 17 or or CC cord-338466-7uvta990 233 18 has have VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 233 19 been be VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 233 20 infected infect VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 233 21 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 233 22 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 233 23 growth growth NN cord-338466-7uvta990 233 24 will will MD cord-338466-7uvta990 233 25 stop stop VB cord-338466-7uvta990 233 26 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 234 1 Logistic logistic JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 234 2 growth growth NN cord-338466-7uvta990 234 3 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 234 4 characterized characterize VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 234 5 by by IN cord-338466-7uvta990 234 6 increasing increase VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 234 7 growth growth NN cord-338466-7uvta990 234 8 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 234 9 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 234 10 beginning beginning NN cord-338466-7uvta990 234 11 period period NN cord-338466-7uvta990 234 12 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 234 13 but but CC cord-338466-7uvta990 234 14 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 234 15 decreasing decrease VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 234 16 growth growth NN cord-338466-7uvta990 234 17 after after IN cord-338466-7uvta990 234 18 point point NN cord-338466-7uvta990 234 19 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 234 20 inflection inflection NN cord-338466-7uvta990 234 21 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 235 1 For for IN cord-338466-7uvta990 235 2 example example NN cord-338466-7uvta990 235 3 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 235 4 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 235 5 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 235 6 corona corona NN cord-338466-7uvta990 235 7 virus virus NN cord-338466-7uvta990 235 8 case case NN cord-338466-7uvta990 235 9 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 235 10 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 235 11 maximum maximum JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 235 12 limit limit NN cord-338466-7uvta990 235 13 would would MD cord-338466-7uvta990 235 14 be be VB cord-338466-7uvta990 235 15 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 235 16 total total JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 235 17 number number NN cord-338466-7uvta990 235 18 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 235 19 exposed expose VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 235 20 people people NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 235 21 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 235 22 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 235 23 because because IN cord-338466-7uvta990 235 24 when when WRB cord-338466-7uvta990 235 25 everybody everybody NN cord-338466-7uvta990 235 26 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 235 27 infected infect VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 235 28 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 235 29 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 235 30 growth growth NN cord-338466-7uvta990 235 31 will will MD cord-338466-7uvta990 235 32 be be VB cord-338466-7uvta990 235 33 stopped stop VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 235 34 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 236 1 After after IN cord-338466-7uvta990 236 2 that that DT cord-338466-7uvta990 236 3 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 236 4 increasing increase VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 236 5 rate rate NN cord-338466-7uvta990 236 6 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 236 7 curve curve NN cord-338466-7uvta990 236 8 starts start VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 236 9 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 236 10 decline decline VB cord-338466-7uvta990 236 11 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 236 12 reach reach VB cord-338466-7uvta990 236 13 to to IN cord-338466-7uvta990 236 14 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 236 15 minimum minimum NN cord-338466-7uvta990 236 16 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 237 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 237 2 logistic logistic JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 237 3 model model NN cord-338466-7uvta990 237 4 reveals reveal VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 237 5 that that IN cord-338466-7uvta990 237 6 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 237 7 growth growth NN cord-338466-7uvta990 237 8 rate rate NN cord-338466-7uvta990 237 9 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 237 10 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 237 11 population population NN cord-338466-7uvta990 237 12 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 237 13 determined determine VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 237 14 by by IN cord-338466-7uvta990 237 15 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-338466-7uvta990 237 16 biotic biotic JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 237 17 potential potential NN cord-338466-7uvta990 237 18 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 237 19 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 237 20 size size NN cord-338466-7uvta990 237 21 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 237 22 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 237 23 population population NN cord-338466-7uvta990 237 24 as as IN cord-338466-7uvta990 237 25 modified modify VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 237 26 by by IN cord-338466-7uvta990 237 27 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 237 28 natural natural JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 237 29 resistance resistance NN cord-338466-7uvta990 237 30 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 237 31 or or CC cord-338466-7uvta990 237 32 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 237 33 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 237 34 other other JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 237 35 words word NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 237 36 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 237 37 by by IN cord-338466-7uvta990 237 38 all all PDT cord-338466-7uvta990 237 39 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 237 40 various various JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 237 41 effects effect NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 237 42 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 237 43 inherent inherent JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 237 44 characteristics characteristic NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 237 45 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 237 46 that that WDT cord-338466-7uvta990 237 47 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 237 48 density density NN cord-338466-7uvta990 237 49 dependence dependence NN cord-338466-7uvta990 237 50 Pearl Pearl NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 237 51 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 237 52 Reed Reed NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 237 53 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 237 54 1920 1920 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 237 55 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 238 1 Natural natural JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 238 2 resistance resistance NN cord-338466-7uvta990 238 3 increases increase VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 238 4 as as IN cord-338466-7uvta990 238 5 population population NN cord-338466-7uvta990 238 6 size size NN cord-338466-7uvta990 238 7 gets get VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 238 8 closer close JJR cord-338466-7uvta990 238 9 to to IN cord-338466-7uvta990 238 10 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 238 11 carrying carrying NN cord-338466-7uvta990 238 12 capacity capacity NN cord-338466-7uvta990 238 13 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 239 1 Logistic logistic JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 239 2 growth growth NN cord-338466-7uvta990 239 3 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 239 4 similar similar JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 239 5 to to IN cord-338466-7uvta990 239 6 exponential exponential JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 239 7 growth growth NN cord-338466-7uvta990 239 8 except except IN cord-338466-7uvta990 239 9 that that IN cord-338466-7uvta990 239 10 it -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 239 11 assumes assume VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 239 12 an an DT cord-338466-7uvta990 239 13 essential essential JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 239 14 sustainable sustainable JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 239 15 maximum maximum JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 239 16 point point NN cord-338466-7uvta990 239 17 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 240 1 In in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 240 2 exponential exponential JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 240 3 growth growth NN cord-338466-7uvta990 240 4 curve curve NN cord-338466-7uvta990 240 5 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 240 6 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 240 7 rate rate NN cord-338466-7uvta990 240 8 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 240 9 growth growth NN cord-338466-7uvta990 240 10 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 240 11 y y NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 240 12 per per IN cord-338466-7uvta990 240 13 unit unit NN cord-338466-7uvta990 240 14 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 240 15 time time NN cord-338466-7uvta990 240 16 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 240 17 directly directly RB cord-338466-7uvta990 240 18 proportional proportional JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 240 19 to to IN cord-338466-7uvta990 240 20 y y NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 241 1 but but CC cord-338466-7uvta990 241 2 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 241 3 practice practice NN cord-338466-7uvta990 241 4 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 241 5 rate rate NN cord-338466-7uvta990 241 6 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 241 7 growth growth NN cord-338466-7uvta990 241 8 can can MD cord-338466-7uvta990 241 9 not not RB cord-338466-7uvta990 241 10 be be VB cord-338466-7uvta990 241 11 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 241 12 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 241 13 same same JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 241 14 proportion proportion NN cord-338466-7uvta990 241 15 always always RB cord-338466-7uvta990 241 16 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 242 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 242 2 logistic logistic JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 242 3 curve curve NN cord-338466-7uvta990 242 4 will will MD cord-338466-7uvta990 242 5 continue continue VB cord-338466-7uvta990 242 6 up up RP cord-338466-7uvta990 242 7 to to IN cord-338466-7uvta990 242 8 certain certain JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 242 9 level level NN cord-338466-7uvta990 242 10 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 242 11 called call VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 242 12 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 242 13 level level NN cord-338466-7uvta990 242 14 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 242 15 saturation saturation NN cord-338466-7uvta990 242 16 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 242 17 sometimes sometimes RB cord-338466-7uvta990 242 18 called call VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 242 19 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 242 20 carrying carrying NN cord-338466-7uvta990 242 21 capacity capacity NN cord-338466-7uvta990 242 22 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 242 23 after after IN cord-338466-7uvta990 242 24 reaching reach VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 242 25 carrying carry VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 242 26 capacity capacity NN cord-338466-7uvta990 242 27 it -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 242 28 starts start VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 242 29 declining decline VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 242 30 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 243 1 A a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 243 2 system system NN cord-338466-7uvta990 243 3 far far RB cord-338466-7uvta990 243 4 below below IN cord-338466-7uvta990 243 5 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-338466-7uvta990 243 6 carrying carrying NN cord-338466-7uvta990 243 7 capacity capacity NN cord-338466-7uvta990 243 8 will will MD cord-338466-7uvta990 243 9 at at IN cord-338466-7uvta990 243 10 first first RB cord-338466-7uvta990 243 11 grow grow VB cord-338466-7uvta990 243 12 almost almost RB cord-338466-7uvta990 243 13 exponentially exponentially RB cord-338466-7uvta990 243 14 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 243 15 however however RB cord-338466-7uvta990 243 16 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 243 17 this this DT cord-338466-7uvta990 243 18 growth growth NN cord-338466-7uvta990 243 19 gradually gradually RB cord-338466-7uvta990 243 20 slows slow VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 243 21 as as IN cord-338466-7uvta990 243 22 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 243 23 system system NN cord-338466-7uvta990 243 24 expands expand VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 243 25 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 243 26 finally finally RB cord-338466-7uvta990 243 27 bringing bring VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 243 28 it -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 243 29 to to IN cord-338466-7uvta990 243 30 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 243 31 halt halt NN cord-338466-7uvta990 243 32 specifically specifically RB cord-338466-7uvta990 243 33 at at IN cord-338466-7uvta990 243 34 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 243 35 carrying carrying NN cord-338466-7uvta990 243 36 capacity capacity NN cord-338466-7uvta990 243 37 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 243 38 Pearl Pearl NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 243 39 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 243 40 Reed Reed NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 243 41 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 243 42 1920 1920 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 243 43 ; ; : cord-338466-7uvta990 243 44 Shryock Shryock NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 243 45 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 243 46 Siegel Siegel NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 243 47 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 243 48 1973 1973 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 243 49 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 243 50 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 244 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 244 2 logistic logistic JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 244 3 relationship relationship NN cord-338466-7uvta990 244 4 can can MD cord-338466-7uvta990 244 5 be be VB cord-338466-7uvta990 244 6 expressed express VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 244 7 as as IN cord-338466-7uvta990 244 8 where where WRB cord-338466-7uvta990 244 9 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 244 10 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 244 11 b b NN cord-338466-7uvta990 244 12 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 244 13 k k NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 244 14 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 244 15 constant constant JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 244 16 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 244 17 y y NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 244 18 t t NN cord-338466-7uvta990 244 19 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 244 20 that that DT cord-338466-7uvta990 244 21 value value NN cord-338466-7uvta990 244 22 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 244 23 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 244 24 time time NN cord-338466-7uvta990 244 25 series series NN cord-338466-7uvta990 244 26 at at IN cord-338466-7uvta990 244 27 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 244 28 time time NN cord-338466-7uvta990 245 1 t. t. NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 246 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 246 2 reciprocal reciprocal NN cord-338466-7uvta990 246 3 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 246 4 y y NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 246 5 t t NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 246 6 follows follow VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 246 7 modified modify VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 246 8 exponential exponential JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 246 9 law law NN cord-338466-7uvta990 246 10 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 247 1 Hence hence RB cord-338466-7uvta990 247 2 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 247 3 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 247 4 given give VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 247 5 time time NN cord-338466-7uvta990 247 6 series series NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 247 7 observation observation NN cord-338466-7uvta990 247 8 y y NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 247 9 t t NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 247 10 will will MD cord-338466-7uvta990 247 11 follow follow VB cord-338466-7uvta990 247 12 Logistic Logistic NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 247 13 Law Law NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 247 14 if if IN cord-338466-7uvta990 247 15 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-338466-7uvta990 247 16 reciprocal reciprocal JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 247 17 1 1 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 247 18 / / SYM cord-338466-7uvta990 247 19 y y NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 247 20 t t NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 247 21 follows follow VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 247 22 modified modify VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 247 23 exponential exponential JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 247 24 law law NN cord-338466-7uvta990 247 25 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 248 1 Thus thus RB cord-338466-7uvta990 248 2 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 248 3 general general JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 248 4 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 248 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 248 6 may may MD cord-338466-7uvta990 248 7 take take VB cord-338466-7uvta990 248 8 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 248 9 factor factor NN cord-338466-7uvta990 248 10 y y NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 248 11 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 248 12 called call VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 248 13 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 248 14 momentum momentum NN cord-338466-7uvta990 248 15 factor factor NN cord-338466-7uvta990 248 16 which which WDT cord-338466-7uvta990 248 17 increases increase VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 248 18 with with IN cord-338466-7uvta990 248 19 time time NN cord-338466-7uvta990 248 20 t t NN cord-338466-7uvta990 248 21 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 248 22 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 248 23 factor factor NN cord-338466-7uvta990 248 24 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 248 25 k k NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 248 26 À À NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 248 27 y y NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 248 28 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 248 29 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 248 30 known know VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 248 31 as as IN cord-338466-7uvta990 248 32 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 248 33 retarding retard VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 248 34 factor factor NN cord-338466-7uvta990 248 35 which which WDT cord-338466-7uvta990 248 36 decreases decrease VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 248 37 with with IN cord-338466-7uvta990 248 38 time time NN cord-338466-7uvta990 248 39 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 249 1 When when WRB cord-338466-7uvta990 249 2 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 249 3 process process NN cord-338466-7uvta990 249 4 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 249 5 growth growth NN cord-338466-7uvta990 249 6 approaches approach VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 249 7 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 249 8 saturation saturation NN cord-338466-7uvta990 249 9 levelk levelk NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 249 10 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 249 11 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 249 12 rate rate NN cord-338466-7uvta990 249 13 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 249 14 growth growth NN cord-338466-7uvta990 249 15 tends tend VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 249 16 to to IN cord-338466-7uvta990 249 17 zero zero CD cord-338466-7uvta990 249 18 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 250 1 Now now RB cord-338466-7uvta990 250 2 we -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 250 3 have have VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 250 4 dy dy NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 250 5 y y NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 250 6 kÀy kÀy NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 250 7 ð ð NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 250 8 Integrating Integrating NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 250 9 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 250 10 we -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 250 11 get get VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 250 12 log log NN cord-338466-7uvta990 250 13 y y NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 250 14 kÀy kÀy NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 250 15 ¼ ¼ NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 250 16 αkt αkt XX cord-338466-7uvta990 251 1 + + CC cord-338466-7uvta990 251 2 γ γ NN cord-338466-7uvta990 251 3 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 251 4 where where WRB cord-338466-7uvta990 251 5 γ γ NN cord-338466-7uvta990 251 6 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 251 7 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 251 8 constant constant NN cord-338466-7uvta990 251 9 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 251 10 integration integration NN cord-338466-7uvta990 251 11 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 252 1 k k NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 252 2 y y NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 252 3 ¼ ¼ NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 252 4 1 1 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 252 5 + + CC cord-338466-7uvta990 253 1 e e LS cord-338466-7uvta990 253 2 Àαkt Àαkt NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 253 3 : : : cord-338466-7uvta990 253 4 e e LS cord-338466-7uvta990 253 5 Àγ àγ NN cord-338466-7uvta990 253 6 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 254 1 y y NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 254 2 ¼ ¼ NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 254 3 k k NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 254 4 1 1 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 254 5 + + CC cord-338466-7uvta990 255 1 e e LS cord-338466-7uvta990 256 1 À à FW cord-338466-7uvta990 256 2 γ+αkt γ+αkt NN cord-338466-7uvta990 256 3 ð ð NN cord-338466-7uvta990 256 4 Þ þ NN cord-338466-7uvta990 256 5 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 256 6 this this DT cord-338466-7uvta990 256 7 equation equation NN cord-338466-7uvta990 256 8 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 256 9 same same JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 256 10 as as IN cord-338466-7uvta990 256 11 Eq Eq NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 256 12 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 257 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 257 2 4 4 LS cord-338466-7uvta990 257 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 257 4 where where WRB cord-338466-7uvta990 257 5 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 257 6 ¼ ¼ NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 257 7 Àγ Àγ NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 257 8 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 257 9 b b NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 257 10 ¼ ¼ NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 257 11 Àαk Àαk NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 257 12 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 258 1 Logistic logistic JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 258 2 curve curve NN cord-338466-7uvta990 258 3 has have VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 258 4 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 258 5 point point NN cord-338466-7uvta990 258 6 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 258 7 inflection inflection NN cord-338466-7uvta990 258 8 at at IN cord-338466-7uvta990 258 9 half half NN cord-338466-7uvta990 258 10 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 258 11 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 258 12 carrying carrying NN cord-338466-7uvta990 258 13 capacity capacity NN cord-338466-7uvta990 259 1 k. k. NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 260 1 This this DT cord-338466-7uvta990 260 2 point point NN cord-338466-7uvta990 260 3 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 260 4 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 260 5 critical critical JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 260 6 point point NN cord-338466-7uvta990 260 7 from from IN cord-338466-7uvta990 260 8 where where WRB cord-338466-7uvta990 260 9 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 260 10 increasing increase VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 260 11 rate rate NN cord-338466-7uvta990 260 12 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 260 13 curve curve NN cord-338466-7uvta990 260 14 starts start VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 260 15 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 260 16 decline decline VB cord-338466-7uvta990 260 17 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 261 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 261 2 time time NN cord-338466-7uvta990 261 3 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 261 4 point point NN cord-338466-7uvta990 261 5 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 261 6 inflection inflection NN cord-338466-7uvta990 261 7 can can MD cord-338466-7uvta990 261 8 be be VB cord-338466-7uvta990 261 9 estimate estimate NN cord-338466-7uvta990 261 10 as as IN cord-338466-7uvta990 261 11 Àa Àa NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 261 12 b b NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 261 13 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 262 1 For for IN cord-338466-7uvta990 262 2 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 262 3 estimation estimation NN cord-338466-7uvta990 262 4 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 262 5 parameter parameter NN cord-338466-7uvta990 262 6 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 262 7 logistic logistic JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 262 8 curve curve NN cord-338466-7uvta990 262 9 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 262 10 method method NN cord-338466-7uvta990 262 11 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 262 12 three three CD cord-338466-7uvta990 262 13 selected select VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 262 14 point point NN cord-338466-7uvta990 262 15 given give VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 262 16 by by IN cord-338466-7uvta990 262 17 Pearl Pearl NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 262 18 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 262 19 Reed Reed NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 262 20 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 262 21 1920 1920 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 262 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 262 23 has have VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 262 24 been be VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 262 25 used use VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 262 26 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 263 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 263 2 estimate estimate NN cord-338466-7uvta990 263 3 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 263 4 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 263 5 parameters parameter NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 263 6 can can MD cord-338466-7uvta990 263 7 be be VB cord-338466-7uvta990 263 8 obtained obtain VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 263 9 with with IN cord-338466-7uvta990 263 10 equation equation NN cord-338466-7uvta990 263 11 given give VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 263 12 as as IN cord-338466-7uvta990 263 13 : : : cord-338466-7uvta990 263 14 k k NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 263 15 ¼ ¼ NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 263 16 y y NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 263 17 2 2 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 263 18 2 2 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 263 19 y y NN cord-338466-7uvta990 263 20 1 1 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 263 21 + + CC cord-338466-7uvta990 264 1 y y NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 264 2 3 3 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 265 1 ð ð LS cord-338466-7uvta990 265 2 ÞÀ2y ÞÀ2y NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 265 3 1 1 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 265 4 y y NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 265 5 2 2 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 265 6 y y NN cord-338466-7uvta990 265 7 3 3 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 266 1 y y NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 266 2 2 2 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 266 3 2 2 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 266 4 À à NN cord-338466-7uvta990 266 5 y y NN cord-338466-7uvta990 266 6 1 1 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 266 7 y y NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 266 8 3 3 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 266 9 where where WRB cord-338466-7uvta990 266 10 y y NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 266 11 1 1 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 266 12 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 266 13 y y NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 266 14 2 2 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 266 15 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 266 16 y y NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 266 17 3 3 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 266 18 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 266 19 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 266 20 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 266 21 number number NN cord-338466-7uvta990 266 22 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 266 23 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 266 24 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 266 25 at at IN cord-338466-7uvta990 266 26 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 266 27 given give VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 266 28 time time NN cord-338466-7uvta990 267 1 t t NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 267 2 1 1 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 267 3 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 267 4 t t NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 267 5 2 2 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 267 6 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 267 7 t t NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 267 8 3 3 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 267 9 respectively respectively RB cord-338466-7uvta990 267 10 provided provide VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 267 11 that that IN cord-338466-7uvta990 267 12 t t NN cord-338466-7uvta990 267 13 2 2 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 267 14 À à NN cord-338466-7uvta990 267 15 t t NN cord-338466-7uvta990 267 16 1 1 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 267 17 ¼ ¼ NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 267 18 t t NN cord-338466-7uvta990 267 19 3 3 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 267 20 À à NN cord-338466-7uvta990 267 21 t t NN cord-338466-7uvta990 267 22 2 2 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 267 23 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 268 1 You -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 268 2 may may MD cord-338466-7uvta990 268 3 also also RB cord-338466-7uvta990 268 4 estimate estimate VB cord-338466-7uvta990 268 5 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 268 6 parameter parameter NN cord-338466-7uvta990 268 7 a a NN cord-338466-7uvta990 268 8 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 268 9 b b NN cord-338466-7uvta990 268 10 by by IN cord-338466-7uvta990 268 11 method method NN cord-338466-7uvta990 268 12 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 268 13 least least JJS cord-338466-7uvta990 268 14 square square JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 268 15 after after IN cord-338466-7uvta990 268 16 fixing fix VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 268 17 k. k. NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 268 18 To to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 268 19 predict predict VB cord-338466-7uvta990 268 20 confirmed confirm VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 268 21 corona corona NN cord-338466-7uvta990 268 22 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 268 23 on on IN cord-338466-7uvta990 268 24 different different JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 268 25 day day NN cord-338466-7uvta990 268 26 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 268 27 logistic logistic JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 268 28 growth growth NN cord-338466-7uvta990 268 29 curve curve NN cord-338466-7uvta990 268 30 has have VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 268 31 been be VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 268 32 also also RB cord-338466-7uvta990 268 33 used use VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 268 34 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 268 35 found find VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 268 36 very very RB cord-338466-7uvta990 268 37 exciting exciting JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 268 38 results result NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 268 39 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 269 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 269 2 truncated truncated JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 269 3 information information NN cord-338466-7uvta990 269 4 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 269 5 means mean VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 269 6 not not RB cord-338466-7uvta990 269 7 from from IN cord-338466-7uvta990 269 8 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 269 9 beginning beginning NN cord-338466-7uvta990 269 10 to to IN cord-338466-7uvta990 269 11 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 269 12 present present JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 269 13 date date NN cord-338466-7uvta990 269 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 269 15 on on IN cord-338466-7uvta990 269 16 confirmed confirm VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 269 17 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 269 18 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 269 19 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 269 20 has have VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 269 21 been be VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 269 22 taken take VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 269 23 from from IN cord-338466-7uvta990 269 24 March March NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 269 25 13 13 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 269 26 to to IN cord-338466-7uvta990 269 27 April April NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 269 28 2 2 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 269 29 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 269 30 2020 2020 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 269 31 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 270 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 270 2 estimated estimate VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 270 3 value value NN cord-338466-7uvta990 270 4 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 270 5 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 270 6 parameters parameter NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 270 7 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 270 8 as as IN cord-338466-7uvta990 270 9 follows follow VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 270 10 k k NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 270 11 ¼ ¼ NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 270 12 18,708.28 18,708.28 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 270 13 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 270 14 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 270 15 ¼ ¼ CD cord-338466-7uvta990 270 16 5.495 5.495 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 270 17 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 270 18 b b NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 270 19 ¼ ¼ NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 270 20 À0.174 à0.174 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 270 21 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 270 22 with with IN cord-338466-7uvta990 270 23 these these DT cord-338466-7uvta990 270 24 estimates estimate NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 270 25 predicted predict VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 270 26 values value NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 270 27 has have VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 270 28 been be VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 270 29 obtained obtain VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 270 30 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 270 31 found find VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 270 32 considerably considerably RB cord-338466-7uvta990 270 33 lower low JJR cord-338466-7uvta990 270 34 values value NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 270 35 than than IN cord-338466-7uvta990 270 36 what what WP cord-338466-7uvta990 270 37 we -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 270 38 observed observe VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 270 39 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 271 1 On on IN cord-338466-7uvta990 271 2 April April NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 271 3 1 1 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 271 4 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 271 5 2 2 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 271 6 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 271 7 2020 2020 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 271 8 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 271 9 number number NN cord-338466-7uvta990 271 10 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 271 11 confirmed confirm VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 271 12 corona corona NN cord-338466-7uvta990 271 13 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 271 14 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 271 15 drastically drastically RB cord-338466-7uvta990 271 16 increasing increase VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 271 17 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 271 18 some some DT cord-338466-7uvta990 271 19 part part NN cord-338466-7uvta990 271 20 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 271 21 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 271 22 due due IN cord-338466-7uvta990 271 23 to to IN cord-338466-7uvta990 271 24 some some DT cord-338466-7uvta990 271 25 unavoidable unavoidable JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 271 26 circumstances circumstance NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 271 27 thus thus RB cord-338466-7uvta990 271 28 there there EX cord-338466-7uvta990 271 29 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 271 30 an an DT cord-338466-7uvta990 271 31 earnest earnest JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 271 32 need need NN cord-338466-7uvta990 271 33 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 271 34 increase increase VB cord-338466-7uvta990 271 35 carrying carry VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 271 36 capacity capacity NN cord-338466-7uvta990 271 37 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 271 38 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 271 39 model model NN cord-338466-7uvta990 271 40 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 271 41 thus thus RB cord-338466-7uvta990 271 42 it -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 271 43 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 271 44 increased increase VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 271 45 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 271 46 considered consider VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 271 47 as as IN cord-338466-7uvta990 271 48 22,000 22,000 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 271 49 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 271 50 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 271 51 other other JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 271 52 parameters parameter NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 271 53 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 271 54 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 271 55 b b NN cord-338466-7uvta990 271 56 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 271 57 estimated estimate VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 271 58 again again RB cord-338466-7uvta990 271 59 which which WDT cord-338466-7uvta990 271 60 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 271 61 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 271 62 ¼ ¼ NN cord-338466-7uvta990 271 63 5.657 5.657 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 271 64 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 271 65 b b NN cord-338466-7uvta990 271 66 ¼ ¼ CD cord-338466-7uvta990 271 67 À0.173 à0.173 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 271 68 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 272 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 272 2 predicted predict VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 272 3 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 272 4 number number NN cord-338466-7uvta990 272 5 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 272 6 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 272 7 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 272 8 very very RB cord-338466-7uvta990 272 9 close close JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 272 10 to to IN cord-338466-7uvta990 272 11 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 272 12 observed observed JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 272 13 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 272 14 number number NN cord-338466-7uvta990 272 15 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 272 16 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 272 17 till till IN cord-338466-7uvta990 272 18 date date NN cord-338466-7uvta990 272 19 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 273 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 273 2 time time NN cord-338466-7uvta990 273 3 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 273 4 point point NN cord-338466-7uvta990 273 5 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 273 6 inflection inflection NN cord-338466-7uvta990 273 7 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 273 8 obtained obtain VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 273 9 as as IN cord-338466-7uvta990 273 10 32.65 32.65 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 273 11 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 273 12 i.e. i.e. FW cord-338466-7uvta990 273 13 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 273 14 35 35 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 273 15 days day NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 273 16 after after IN cord-338466-7uvta990 273 17 beginning begin VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 273 18 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 274 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 274 2 have have VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 274 3 taken take VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 274 4 data datum NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 274 5 from from IN cord-338466-7uvta990 274 6 March March NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 274 7 13 13 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 274 8 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 274 9 2020 2020 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 274 10 so so IN cord-338466-7uvta990 274 11 that that IN cord-338466-7uvta990 274 12 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 274 13 time time NN cord-338466-7uvta990 274 14 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 274 15 point point NN cord-338466-7uvta990 274 16 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 274 17 inflection inflection NN cord-338466-7uvta990 274 18 should should MD cord-338466-7uvta990 274 19 be be VB cord-338466-7uvta990 274 20 April April NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 274 21 14 14 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 274 22 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 274 23 2020 2020 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 274 24 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 274 25 by by IN cord-338466-7uvta990 274 26 May May NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 274 27 30 30 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 274 28 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 274 29 2020 2020 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 274 30 there there EX cord-338466-7uvta990 274 31 will will MD cord-338466-7uvta990 274 32 be be VB cord-338466-7uvta990 274 33 no no DT cord-338466-7uvta990 274 34 new new JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 274 35 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 274 36 found find VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 274 37 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 274 38 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 274 39 country country NN cord-338466-7uvta990 274 40 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 275 1 Exponential exponential JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 275 2 growth growth NN cord-338466-7uvta990 275 3 model model NN cord-338466-7uvta990 275 4 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 275 5 model model NN cord-338466-7uvta990 275 6 given give VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 275 7 Swanson Swanson NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 275 8 provided provide VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 275 9 natural natural JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 275 10 estimate estimate NN cord-338466-7uvta990 275 11 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 275 12 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 275 13 total total JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 275 14 infected infected JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 275 15 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 275 16 by by IN cord-338466-7uvta990 275 17 June June NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 275 18 30 30 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 275 19 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 275 20 2020 2020 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 275 21 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 275 22 all all DT cord-338466-7uvta990 275 23 most most JJS cord-338466-7uvta990 275 24 all all DT cord-338466-7uvta990 275 25 people people NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 275 26 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 275 27 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 275 28 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 276 1 This this DT cord-338466-7uvta990 276 2 estimate estimate NN cord-338466-7uvta990 276 3 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 276 4 obtained obtain VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 276 5 when when WRB cord-338466-7uvta990 276 6 no no DT cord-338466-7uvta990 276 7 preventive preventive JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 276 8 measure measure NN cord-338466-7uvta990 276 9 would would MD cord-338466-7uvta990 276 10 be be VB cord-338466-7uvta990 276 11 taken take VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 276 12 by by IN cord-338466-7uvta990 276 13 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 276 14 Government Government NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 276 15 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 276 16 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 276 17 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 277 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 277 2 testing testing NN cord-338466-7uvta990 277 3 rate rate NN cord-338466-7uvta990 277 4 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 277 5 lower low JJR cord-338466-7uvta990 277 6 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 277 7 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 277 8 than than IN cord-338466-7uvta990 277 9 many many JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 277 10 western western JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 277 11 countries country NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 277 12 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 277 13 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 277 14 month month NN cord-338466-7uvta990 277 15 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 277 16 March March NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 277 17 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 277 18 April April NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 277 19 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 277 20 so so RB cord-338466-7uvta990 277 21 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-338466-7uvta990 277 22 absolute absolute JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 277 23 numbers number NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 277 24 was be VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 277 25 low low JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 277 26 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 277 27 when when WRB cord-338466-7uvta990 277 28 government government NN cord-338466-7uvta990 277 29 initiate initiate VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 277 30 faster fast JJR cord-338466-7uvta990 277 31 testing testing NN cord-338466-7uvta990 277 32 process process NN cord-338466-7uvta990 278 1 then then RB cord-338466-7uvta990 278 2 we -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 278 3 have have VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 278 4 observed observe VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 278 5 more more JJR cord-338466-7uvta990 278 6 number number NN cord-338466-7uvta990 278 7 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 278 8 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 278 9 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 278 10 found find VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 278 11 this this DT cord-338466-7uvta990 278 12 logistic logistic JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 278 13 model model NN cord-338466-7uvta990 278 14 fail fail VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 278 15 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 278 16 provide provide VB cord-338466-7uvta990 278 17 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 278 18 number number NN cord-338466-7uvta990 278 19 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 278 20 corona corona NN cord-338466-7uvta990 278 21 confirm confirm VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 278 22 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 278 23 after after IN cord-338466-7uvta990 278 24 April April NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 278 25 17 17 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 278 26 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 278 27 2020 2020 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 278 28 thus thus RB cord-338466-7uvta990 278 29 there there EX cord-338466-7uvta990 278 30 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 278 31 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 278 32 need need NN cord-338466-7uvta990 278 33 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 278 34 modify modify VB cord-338466-7uvta990 278 35 this this DT cord-338466-7uvta990 278 36 model model NN cord-338466-7uvta990 278 37 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 278 38 Fig Fig NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 278 39 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 278 40 1 1 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 278 41 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 278 42 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 279 1 In in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 279 2 order order NN cord-338466-7uvta990 279 3 to to IN cord-338466-7uvta990 279 4 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 279 5 modification modification NN cord-338466-7uvta990 279 6 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 279 7 I -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 279 8 have have VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 279 9 taken take VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 279 10 natural natural JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 279 11 log log NN cord-338466-7uvta990 279 12 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 279 13 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 279 14 number number NN cord-338466-7uvta990 279 15 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 279 16 corona corona NN cord-338466-7uvta990 279 17 confirm confirm VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 279 18 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 279 19 instead instead RB cord-338466-7uvta990 279 20 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 279 21 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 279 22 number number NN cord-338466-7uvta990 279 23 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 279 24 corona corona NN cord-338466-7uvta990 279 25 confirm confirm VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 279 26 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 279 27 as as IN cord-338466-7uvta990 279 28 taken take VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 279 29 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 279 30 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 279 31 previous previous JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 279 32 model model NN cord-338466-7uvta990 279 33 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 280 1 This this DT cord-338466-7uvta990 280 2 model model NN cord-338466-7uvta990 280 3 provides provide VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 280 4 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 280 5 carrying carrying NN cord-338466-7uvta990 280 6 capacity capacity NN cord-338466-7uvta990 280 7 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 280 8 about about RB cord-338466-7uvta990 280 9 80,000 80,000 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 280 10 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 280 11 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 280 12 time time NN cord-338466-7uvta990 280 13 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 280 14 point point NN cord-338466-7uvta990 280 15 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 280 16 inflection inflection NN cord-338466-7uvta990 280 17 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 280 18 April April NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 280 19 30 30 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 280 20 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 280 21 2020 2020 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 280 22 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 281 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 281 2 present present JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 281 3 model model NN cord-338466-7uvta990 281 4 provides provide VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 281 5 reasonable reasonable JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 281 6 estimate estimate NN cord-338466-7uvta990 281 7 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 281 8 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 281 9 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 281 10 number number NN cord-338466-7uvta990 281 11 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 281 12 confirmed confirm VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 281 13 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 281 14 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 281 15 by by IN cord-338466-7uvta990 281 16 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 281 17 end end NN cord-338466-7uvta990 281 18 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 281 19 July July NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 281 20 2020 2020 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 281 21 there there EX cord-338466-7uvta990 281 22 will will MD cord-338466-7uvta990 281 23 be be VB cord-338466-7uvta990 281 24 no no DT cord-338466-7uvta990 281 25 new new JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 281 26 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 281 27 found find VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 281 28 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 281 29 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 281 30 country country NN cord-338466-7uvta990 281 31 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 282 1 Further further RB cord-338466-7uvta990 282 2 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 282 3 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 282 4 number number NN cord-338466-7uvta990 282 5 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 282 6 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 282 7 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 282 8 increases increase NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 282 9 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 282 10 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 282 11 model model NN cord-338466-7uvta990 282 12 estimate estimate NN cord-338466-7uvta990 282 13 does do VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 282 14 not not RB cord-338466-7uvta990 282 15 match match VB cord-338466-7uvta990 282 16 to to IN cord-338466-7uvta990 282 17 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 282 18 observed observed JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 282 19 number number NN cord-338466-7uvta990 282 20 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 282 21 case case NN cord-338466-7uvta990 282 22 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 282 23 therefore therefore RB cord-338466-7uvta990 282 24 we -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 282 25 need need VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 282 26 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 282 27 change change VB cord-338466-7uvta990 282 28 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 282 29 data data NN cord-338466-7uvta990 282 30 period period NN cord-338466-7uvta990 282 31 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 283 1 since since IN cord-338466-7uvta990 283 2 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 283 3 logistic logistic JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 283 4 curve curve NN cord-338466-7uvta990 283 5 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 283 6 data data NN cord-338466-7uvta990 283 7 - - HYPH cord-338466-7uvta990 283 8 driven drive VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 283 9 model model NN cord-338466-7uvta990 283 10 that that WDT cord-338466-7uvta990 283 11 provide provide VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 283 12 new new JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 283 13 estimate estimate NN cord-338466-7uvta990 283 14 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 283 15 point point NN cord-338466-7uvta990 283 16 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 283 17 inflection inflection NN cord-338466-7uvta990 283 18 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 283 19 maximum maximum JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 283 20 number number NN cord-338466-7uvta990 283 21 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 283 22 corona corona NN cord-338466-7uvta990 283 23 positive positive JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 283 24 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 283 25 by by IN cord-338466-7uvta990 283 26 date date NN cord-338466-7uvta990 283 27 when when WRB cord-338466-7uvta990 283 28 disease disease NN cord-338466-7uvta990 283 29 will will MD cord-338466-7uvta990 283 30 disappear disappear VB cord-338466-7uvta990 283 31 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 283 32 that that DT cord-338466-7uvta990 283 33 helps help VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 283 34 us -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 283 35 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 283 36 plan plan VB cord-338466-7uvta990 283 37 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-338466-7uvta990 283 38 strategies strategy NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 283 39 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 284 1 Finally finally RB cord-338466-7uvta990 284 2 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 284 3 this this DT cord-338466-7uvta990 284 4 study study NN cord-338466-7uvta990 284 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 284 6 changed change VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 284 7 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 284 8 data data NN cord-338466-7uvta990 284 9 period period NN cord-338466-7uvta990 284 10 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 284 11 i.e. i.e. FW cord-338466-7uvta990 284 12 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 284 13 we -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 284 14 have have VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 284 15 taken take VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 284 16 data datum NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 284 17 from from IN cord-338466-7uvta990 284 18 April April NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 284 19 15th 15th NN cord-338466-7uvta990 284 20 to to IN cord-338466-7uvta990 284 21 July July NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 284 22 16th 16th NN cord-338466-7uvta990 284 23 2020 2020 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 284 24 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 285 1 This this DT cord-338466-7uvta990 285 2 provides provide VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 285 3 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 285 4 carrying carrying NN cord-338466-7uvta990 285 5 capacity capacity NN cord-338466-7uvta990 285 6 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 285 7 about about RB cord-338466-7uvta990 285 8 45 45 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 285 9 lakh lakh NN cord-338466-7uvta990 285 10 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 285 11 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 285 12 time time NN cord-338466-7uvta990 285 13 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 285 14 point point NN cord-338466-7uvta990 285 15 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 285 16 inflection inflection NN cord-338466-7uvta990 285 17 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 285 18 August August NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 285 19 15th 15th NN cord-338466-7uvta990 285 20 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 285 21 2020 2020 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 285 22 with with IN cord-338466-7uvta990 285 23 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 285 24 maximum maximum JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 285 25 number number NN cord-338466-7uvta990 285 26 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 285 27 new new JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 285 28 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 285 29 on on IN cord-338466-7uvta990 285 30 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 285 31 day day NN cord-338466-7uvta990 285 32 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 285 33 about about RB cord-338466-7uvta990 285 34 30,000 30,000 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 285 35 per per IN cord-338466-7uvta990 285 36 day day NN cord-338466-7uvta990 285 37 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 286 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 286 2 model model NN cord-338466-7uvta990 286 3 based base VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 286 4 on on IN cord-338466-7uvta990 286 5 this this DT cord-338466-7uvta990 286 6 data data NN cord-338466-7uvta990 286 7 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 286 8 from from IN cord-338466-7uvta990 286 9 April April NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 286 10 15th 15th NN cord-338466-7uvta990 286 11 to to IN cord-338466-7uvta990 286 12 July July NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 286 13 16th 16th NN cord-338466-7uvta990 286 14 2020 2020 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 286 15 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 286 16 provides provide VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 286 17 reasonable reasonable JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 286 18 estimate estimate NN cord-338466-7uvta990 286 19 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 286 20 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 286 21 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 286 22 number number NN cord-338466-7uvta990 286 23 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 286 24 confirmed confirm VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 286 25 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 286 26 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 286 27 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 286 28 predicted predict VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 286 29 value value NN cord-338466-7uvta990 286 30 along along IN cord-338466-7uvta990 286 31 with with IN cord-338466-7uvta990 286 32 95 95 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 286 33 % % NN cord-338466-7uvta990 286 34 confidence confidence NN cord-338466-7uvta990 286 35 interval interval NN cord-338466-7uvta990 286 36 provided provide VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 286 37 up up RP cord-338466-7uvta990 286 38 to to IN cord-338466-7uvta990 286 39 August August NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 286 40 15th 15th NN cord-338466-7uvta990 286 41 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 286 42 2020 2020 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 286 43 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 286 44 see see VB cord-338466-7uvta990 286 45 Table table NN cord-338466-7uvta990 286 46 1 1 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 286 47 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 286 48 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 286 49 by by IN cord-338466-7uvta990 286 50 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 286 51 end end NN cord-338466-7uvta990 286 52 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 286 53 March March NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 286 54 2021 2021 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 286 55 we -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 286 56 expect expect VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 286 57 there there EX cord-338466-7uvta990 286 58 will will MD cord-338466-7uvta990 286 59 be be VB cord-338466-7uvta990 286 60 no no DT cord-338466-7uvta990 286 61 new new JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 286 62 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 286 63 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 286 64 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 286 65 country country NN cord-338466-7uvta990 286 66 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 286 67 absence absence NN cord-338466-7uvta990 286 68 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 286 69 any any DT cord-338466-7uvta990 286 70 effective effective JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 286 71 medicine medicine NN cord-338466-7uvta990 286 72 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 286 73 vaccine vaccine NN cord-338466-7uvta990 286 74 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 286 75 Fig Fig NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 286 76 . . NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 286 77 2 2 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 286 78 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 286 79 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 287 1 To to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 287 2 know know VB cord-338466-7uvta990 287 3 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 287 4 significance significance NN cord-338466-7uvta990 287 5 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 287 6 lockdown lockdown NN cord-338466-7uvta990 287 7 we -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 287 8 define define VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 287 9 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 287 10 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 287 11 case case NN cord-338466-7uvta990 287 12 transmission transmission NN cord-338466-7uvta990 287 13 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 287 14 as as IN cord-338466-7uvta990 287 15 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 287 16 where where WRB cord-338466-7uvta990 287 17 x x NN cord-338466-7uvta990 287 18 t t NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 287 19 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 287 20 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 287 21 number number NN cord-338466-7uvta990 287 22 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 287 23 confirm confirm NN cord-338466-7uvta990 287 24 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 287 25 on on IN cord-338466-7uvta990 287 26 t t NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 287 27 th th DT cord-338466-7uvta990 287 28 day day NN cord-338466-7uvta990 287 29 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 288 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 288 2 have have VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 288 3 calculated calculate VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 288 4 c c NN cord-338466-7uvta990 288 5 t t NN cord-338466-7uvta990 288 6 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 288 7 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 288 8 doubling double VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 288 9 time time NN cord-338466-7uvta990 288 10 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 288 11 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 288 12 corona corona NN cord-338466-7uvta990 288 13 case case NN cord-338466-7uvta990 288 14 transmission transmission NN cord-338466-7uvta990 288 15 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 288 16 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 288 17 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 289 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 289 2 doubling double VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 289 3 time time NN cord-338466-7uvta990 289 4 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 289 5 calculate calculate VB cord-338466-7uvta990 289 6 as as IN cord-338466-7uvta990 289 7 Ln2 ln2 NN cord-338466-7uvta990 289 8 c c NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 289 9 t t NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 289 10 ¼ ¼ NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 290 1 0:693 0:693 NFP cord-338466-7uvta990 290 2 c c NN cord-338466-7uvta990 290 3 t t NN cord-338466-7uvta990 290 4 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 291 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 291 2 have have VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 291 3 calculated calculate VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 291 4 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 291 5 case case NN cord-338466-7uvta990 291 6 transmission transmission NN cord-338466-7uvta990 291 7 c c NN cord-338466-7uvta990 291 8 t t NN cord-338466-7uvta990 291 9 on on IN cord-338466-7uvta990 291 10 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 291 11 basis basis NN cord-338466-7uvta990 291 12 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 291 13 5 5 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 291 14 days day NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 291 15 moving move VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 291 16 average average NN cord-338466-7uvta990 291 17 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 291 18 daily daily JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 291 19 confirm confirm VB cord-338466-7uvta990 291 20 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 291 21 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 291 22 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 291 23 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 291 24 beginning beginning NN cord-338466-7uvta990 291 25 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 291 26 data datum NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 291 27 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 291 28 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 291 29 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 291 30 very very RB cord-338466-7uvta990 291 31 fluctuating fluctuating JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 291 32 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 291 33 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 291 34 it -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 291 35 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 291 36 found find VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 291 37 gradually gradually RB cord-338466-7uvta990 291 38 decreasing decrease VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 291 39 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 291 40 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 291 41 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 292 1 This this DT cord-338466-7uvta990 292 2 indicates indicate VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 292 3 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 292 4 good good JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 292 5 sign sign NN cord-338466-7uvta990 292 6 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 292 7 government government NN cord-338466-7uvta990 292 8 attempts attempt NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 292 9 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 292 10 combat combat VB cord-338466-7uvta990 292 11 this this DT cord-338466-7uvta990 292 12 pandemic pandemic NN cord-338466-7uvta990 292 13 through through IN cord-338466-7uvta990 292 14 implementing implement VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 292 15 lockdown lockdown NN cord-338466-7uvta990 292 16 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 293 1 These these DT cord-338466-7uvta990 293 2 findings finding NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 293 3 indicate indicate VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 293 4 that that IN cord-338466-7uvta990 293 5 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 293 6 future future NN cord-338466-7uvta990 293 7 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 293 8 burden burden NN cord-338466-7uvta990 293 9 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 293 10 corona corona NN cord-338466-7uvta990 293 11 will will MD cord-338466-7uvta990 293 12 be be VB cord-338466-7uvta990 293 13 expectedly expectedly RB cord-338466-7uvta990 293 14 lowering lower VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 293 15 down down RP cord-338466-7uvta990 293 16 if if IN cord-338466-7uvta990 293 17 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 293 18 current current JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 293 19 status status NN cord-338466-7uvta990 293 20 remains remain VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 293 21 same same JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 293 22 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 294 1 In in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 294 2 Table table NN cord-338466-7uvta990 294 3 2 2 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 294 4 given give VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 294 5 below below RB cord-338466-7uvta990 294 6 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 294 7 an an DT cord-338466-7uvta990 294 8 attempt attempt NN cord-338466-7uvta990 294 9 has have VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 294 10 been be VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 294 11 made make VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 294 12 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 294 13 show show VB cord-338466-7uvta990 294 14 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 294 15 summary summary NN cord-338466-7uvta990 294 16 statistics statistic NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 294 17 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 294 18 corona corona NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 294 19 case case NN cord-338466-7uvta990 294 20 transmission transmission NN cord-338466-7uvta990 294 21 c c NN cord-338466-7uvta990 294 22 t t NN cord-338466-7uvta990 294 23 during during IN cord-338466-7uvta990 294 24 various various JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 294 25 lockdown lockdown NN cord-338466-7uvta990 294 26 periods period NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 294 27 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 294 28 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 294 29 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 295 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 295 2 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 295 3 observed observe VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 295 4 that that IN cord-338466-7uvta990 295 5 average average JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 295 6 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 295 7 case case NN cord-338466-7uvta990 295 8 transmission transmission NN cord-338466-7uvta990 295 9 was be VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 295 10 maximum maximum JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 295 11 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 295 12 0.16 0.16 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 295 13 with with IN cord-338466-7uvta990 295 14 standard standard JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 295 15 deviation deviation NN cord-338466-7uvta990 295 16 0.033 0.033 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 295 17 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 295 18 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 295 19 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 295 20 period period NN cord-338466-7uvta990 295 21 prior prior RB cord-338466-7uvta990 295 22 to to IN cord-338466-7uvta990 295 23 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 295 24 lockdown lockdown NN cord-338466-7uvta990 295 25 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 296 1 During during IN cord-338466-7uvta990 296 2 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 296 3 first first JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 296 4 lockdown lockdown NN cord-338466-7uvta990 296 5 period period NN cord-338466-7uvta990 296 6 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 296 7 average average JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 296 8 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 296 9 case case NN cord-338466-7uvta990 296 10 transmission transmission NN cord-338466-7uvta990 296 11 was be VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 296 12 0.14 0.14 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 296 13 with with IN cord-338466-7uvta990 296 14 standard standard JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 296 15 deviation deviation NN cord-338466-7uvta990 296 16 0.032 0.032 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 296 17 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 296 18 however however RB cord-338466-7uvta990 296 19 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 296 20 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 296 21 lockdown lockdown NN cord-338466-7uvta990 296 22 2 2 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 296 23 it -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 296 24 was be VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 296 25 0.07 0.07 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 296 26 with with IN cord-338466-7uvta990 296 27 standard standard JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 296 28 deviation deviation NN cord-338466-7uvta990 296 29 0.009 0.009 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 296 30 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 296 31 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 296 32 lockdown lockdown NN cord-338466-7uvta990 296 33 3 3 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 297 1 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 297 2 case case NN cord-338466-7uvta990 297 3 transmission transmission NN cord-338466-7uvta990 297 4 was be VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 297 5 0.06 0.06 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 297 6 with with IN cord-338466-7uvta990 297 7 standard standard JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 297 8 deviation deviation NN cord-338466-7uvta990 297 9 0.007 0.007 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 297 10 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 297 11 however however RB cord-338466-7uvta990 297 12 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 297 13 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 297 14 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 297 15 period period NN cord-338466-7uvta990 297 16 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 297 17 fourth fourth JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 297 18 lockdown lockdown NN cord-338466-7uvta990 297 19 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 297 20 average average JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 297 21 case case NN cord-338466-7uvta990 297 22 transmission transmission NN cord-338466-7uvta990 297 23 was be VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 297 24 0.05 0.05 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 297 25 with with IN cord-338466-7uvta990 297 26 standard standard JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 297 27 deviation deviation NN cord-338466-7uvta990 297 28 0.005 0.005 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 297 29 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 297 30 thus thus RB cord-338466-7uvta990 297 31 it -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 297 32 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 297 33 clear clear JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 297 34 that that IN cord-338466-7uvta990 297 35 both both DT cord-338466-7uvta990 297 36 average average JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 297 37 transmission transmission NN cord-338466-7uvta990 297 38 load load NN cord-338466-7uvta990 297 39 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 297 40 standard standard JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 297 41 deviation deviation NN cord-338466-7uvta990 297 42 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 297 43 decreasing decrease VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 297 44 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 298 1 Table table NN cord-338466-7uvta990 298 2 3 3 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 298 3 reveals reveal VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 298 4 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 298 5 result result NN cord-338466-7uvta990 298 6 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 298 7 ANOVA ANOVA NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 298 8 for for IN cord-338466-7uvta990 298 9 average average JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 298 10 c c NN cord-338466-7uvta990 298 11 t t NN cord-338466-7uvta990 298 12 during during IN cord-338466-7uvta990 298 13 various various JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 298 14 lockdown lockdown NN cord-338466-7uvta990 298 15 periods period NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 298 16 which which WDT cord-338466-7uvta990 298 17 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 298 18 significant significant JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 298 19 means mean NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 298 20 that that IN cord-338466-7uvta990 298 21 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 298 22 average average JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 298 23 corona corona NN cord-338466-7uvta990 298 24 case case NN cord-338466-7uvta990 298 25 transmission transmission NN cord-338466-7uvta990 298 26 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 298 27 significantly significantly RB cord-338466-7uvta990 298 28 different different JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 298 29 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 298 30 various various JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 298 31 lockdown lockdown NN cord-338466-7uvta990 298 32 periods period NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 298 33 considered consider VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 298 34 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 299 1 A a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 299 2 group group NN cord-338466-7uvta990 299 3 wise wise JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 299 4 comparison comparison NN cord-338466-7uvta990 299 5 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 299 6 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 299 7 average average JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 299 8 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 299 9 case case NN cord-338466-7uvta990 299 10 transmission transmission NN cord-338466-7uvta990 299 11 c c NN cord-338466-7uvta990 299 12 t t NN cord-338466-7uvta990 299 13 during during IN cord-338466-7uvta990 299 14 various various JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 299 15 lockdown lockdown NN cord-338466-7uvta990 299 16 periods period NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 299 17 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 299 18 shown show VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 299 19 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 299 20 Table Table NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 299 21 4 4 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 299 22 which which WDT cord-338466-7uvta990 299 23 reveals reveal VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 299 24 that that IN cord-338466-7uvta990 299 25 first first JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 299 26 lockdown lockdown NN cord-338466-7uvta990 299 27 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 299 28 significantly significantly RB cord-338466-7uvta990 299 29 affects affect VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 299 30 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 299 31 spread spread NN cord-338466-7uvta990 299 32 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 299 33 corona corona NN cord-338466-7uvta990 299 34 case case NN cord-338466-7uvta990 299 35 transmission transmission NN cord-338466-7uvta990 299 36 than than IN cord-338466-7uvta990 299 37 others other NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 299 38 but but CC cord-338466-7uvta990 299 39 second second JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 299 40 lockdown lockdown NN cord-338466-7uvta990 299 41 period period NN cord-338466-7uvta990 299 42 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 299 43 not not RB cord-338466-7uvta990 299 44 significantly significantly RB cord-338466-7uvta990 299 45 different different JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 299 46 than than IN cord-338466-7uvta990 299 47 third third JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 299 48 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 299 49 fourth fourth JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 299 50 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 300 1 Same same JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 300 2 result result NN cord-338466-7uvta990 300 3 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 300 4 observed observe VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 300 5 for for IN cord-338466-7uvta990 300 6 third third JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 300 7 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 300 8 fourth fourth JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 300 9 lockdown lockdown NN cord-338466-7uvta990 300 10 period period NN cord-338466-7uvta990 300 11 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 301 1 This this DT cord-338466-7uvta990 301 2 indicates indicate VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 301 3 that that IN cord-338466-7uvta990 301 4 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 301 5 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 301 6 transmission transmission NN cord-338466-7uvta990 301 7 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 301 8 not not RB cord-338466-7uvta990 301 9 under under IN cord-338466-7uvta990 301 10 control control NN cord-338466-7uvta990 301 11 now now RB cord-338466-7uvta990 301 12 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 302 1 Fig Fig NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 302 2 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 303 1 3 3 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 303 2 shows show VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 303 3 corona corona NN cord-338466-7uvta990 303 4 case case NN cord-338466-7uvta990 303 5 transmission transmission NN cord-338466-7uvta990 303 6 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 303 7 doubling double VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 303 8 time time NN cord-338466-7uvta990 303 9 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 303 10 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 303 11 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 304 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 304 2 corona corona NN cord-338466-7uvta990 304 3 case case NN cord-338466-7uvta990 304 4 propagation propagation NN cord-338466-7uvta990 304 5 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 304 6 decreasing decrease VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 304 7 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 304 8 doubling double VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 304 9 time time NN cord-338466-7uvta990 304 10 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 304 11 increasing increase VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 304 12 day day NN cord-338466-7uvta990 304 13 by by IN cord-338466-7uvta990 304 14 day day NN cord-338466-7uvta990 304 15 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 305 1 Let let VB cord-338466-7uvta990 305 2 us -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 305 3 define define VB cord-338466-7uvta990 305 4 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 305 5 function function NN cord-338466-7uvta990 305 6 called call VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 305 7 tempo tempo NN cord-338466-7uvta990 305 8 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 305 9 disease disease NN cord-338466-7uvta990 305 10 that that WDT cord-338466-7uvta990 305 11 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 305 12 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 305 13 first first JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 305 14 differences difference NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 305 15 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 305 16 natural natural JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 305 17 logarithms logarithm NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 305 18 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 305 19 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 305 20 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 305 21 corona corona NN cord-338466-7uvta990 305 22 positive positive JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 305 23 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 305 24 on on IN cord-338466-7uvta990 305 25 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 305 26 day day NN cord-338466-7uvta990 305 27 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 305 28 which which WDT cord-338466-7uvta990 305 29 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 305 30 as as IN cord-338466-7uvta990 305 31 : : : cord-338466-7uvta990 305 32 where where WRB cord-338466-7uvta990 305 33 p p NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 305 34 t t NN cord-338466-7uvta990 305 35 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 305 36 p p NN cord-338466-7uvta990 305 37 tÀ1 tÀ1 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 305 38 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 305 39 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 305 40 number number NN cord-338466-7uvta990 305 41 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 305 42 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 305 43 corona corona NN cord-338466-7uvta990 305 44 positive positive JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 305 45 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 305 46 for for IN cord-338466-7uvta990 305 47 period period NN cord-338466-7uvta990 305 48 t t NN cord-338466-7uvta990 305 49 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 305 50 t t NN cord-338466-7uvta990 305 51 À à NN cord-338466-7uvta990 305 52 1 1 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 305 53 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 305 54 respectively respectively RB cord-338466-7uvta990 305 55 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 306 1 When when WRB cord-338466-7uvta990 306 2 p p NN cord-338466-7uvta990 306 3 t t NN cord-338466-7uvta990 306 4 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 306 5 p p NN cord-338466-7uvta990 306 6 tÀ1 tÀ1 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 306 7 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 306 8 equal equal JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 306 9 then then RB cord-338466-7uvta990 306 10 r r NN cord-338466-7uvta990 306 11 t t NN cord-338466-7uvta990 306 12 will will MD cord-338466-7uvta990 306 13 become become VB cord-338466-7uvta990 306 14 zero zero CD cord-338466-7uvta990 306 15 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 307 1 If if IN cord-338466-7uvta990 307 2 this this DT cord-338466-7uvta990 307 3 value value NN cord-338466-7uvta990 307 4 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 307 5 r r NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 307 6 t t NN cord-338466-7uvta990 307 7 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 307 8 i.e. i.e. FW cord-338466-7uvta990 307 9 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 307 10 zero zero CD cord-338466-7uvta990 307 11 will will MD cord-338466-7uvta990 307 12 continue continue VB cord-338466-7uvta990 307 13 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 307 14 week week NN cord-338466-7uvta990 307 15 then then RB cord-338466-7uvta990 307 16 we -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 307 17 can can MD cord-338466-7uvta990 307 18 assume assume VB cord-338466-7uvta990 307 19 no no DT cord-338466-7uvta990 307 20 new new JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 307 21 corona corona NN cord-338466-7uvta990 307 22 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 307 23 will will MD cord-338466-7uvta990 307 24 appear appear VB cord-338466-7uvta990 307 25 further further RB cord-338466-7uvta990 307 26 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 308 1 In in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 308 2 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 308 3 initial initial JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 308 4 face face NN cord-338466-7uvta990 308 5 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 308 6 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 308 7 disease disease NN cord-338466-7uvta990 308 8 spread spread VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 308 9 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 308 10 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 308 11 tempo tempo NN cord-338466-7uvta990 308 12 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 308 13 disease disease NN cord-338466-7uvta990 308 14 increases increase NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 308 15 but but CC cord-338466-7uvta990 308 16 after after IN cord-338466-7uvta990 308 17 sometime sometime RB cord-338466-7uvta990 308 18 when when WRB cord-338466-7uvta990 308 19 some some DT cord-338466-7uvta990 308 20 preventive preventive JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 308 21 measures measure NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 308 22 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 308 23 being be VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 308 24 taken take VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 308 25 then then RB cord-338466-7uvta990 308 26 it -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 308 27 decreases decrease VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 308 28 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 309 1 Since since IN cord-338466-7uvta990 309 2 r r NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 309 3 t t NN cord-338466-7uvta990 309 4 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 309 5 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 309 6 function function NN cord-338466-7uvta990 309 7 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 309 8 time time NN cord-338466-7uvta990 309 9 then then RB cord-338466-7uvta990 309 10 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 309 11 first first JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 309 12 differential differential NN cord-338466-7uvta990 309 13 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 309 14 defined define VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 309 15 as as IN cord-338466-7uvta990 309 16 where where WRB cord-338466-7uvta990 309 17 r r NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 309 18 t t NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 309 19 denotes denote VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 309 20 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 309 21 tempo tempo NN cord-338466-7uvta990 309 22 that that WDT cord-338466-7uvta990 309 23 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 309 24 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 309 25 first first JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 309 26 differences difference NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 309 27 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 309 28 natural natural JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 309 29 logarithms logarithm NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 309 30 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 309 31 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 309 32 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 309 33 corona corona NN cord-338466-7uvta990 309 34 positive positive JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 309 35 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 309 36 on on IN cord-338466-7uvta990 309 37 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 309 38 day day NN cord-338466-7uvta990 309 39 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 309 40 r r NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 309 41 T T NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 309 42 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 309 43 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 309 44 desired desired JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 309 45 level level NN cord-338466-7uvta990 309 46 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 309 47 tempo tempo NN cord-338466-7uvta990 309 48 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 309 49 i.e. i.e. FW cord-338466-7uvta990 309 50 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 309 51 zero zero CD cord-338466-7uvta990 309 52 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 309 53 this this DT cord-338466-7uvta990 309 54 study study NN cord-338466-7uvta990 309 55 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 309 56 t t NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 309 57 denotes denote VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 309 58 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 309 59 time time NN cord-338466-7uvta990 309 60 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 309 61 k k NN cord-338466-7uvta990 309 62 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 309 63 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 309 64 constant constant NN cord-338466-7uvta990 309 65 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 309 66 proportionality proportionality NN cord-338466-7uvta990 309 67 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 310 1 Eq Eq NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 310 2 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 311 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 311 2 8) 8) NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 311 3 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 311 4 an an DT cord-338466-7uvta990 311 5 example example NN cord-338466-7uvta990 311 6 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 311 7 an an DT cord-338466-7uvta990 311 8 ordinary ordinary JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 311 9 differential differential JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 311 10 equation equation NN cord-338466-7uvta990 311 11 that that WDT cord-338466-7uvta990 311 12 can can MD cord-338466-7uvta990 311 13 be be VB cord-338466-7uvta990 311 14 solved solve VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 311 15 by by IN cord-338466-7uvta990 311 16 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 311 17 method method NN cord-338466-7uvta990 311 18 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 311 19 separating separate VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 311 20 variables variable NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 311 21 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 312 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 312 2 Eq Eq NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 312 3 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 313 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 313 2 8) 8) NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 313 3 can can MD cord-338466-7uvta990 313 4 be be VB cord-338466-7uvta990 313 5 written write VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 313 6 as as IN cord-338466-7uvta990 313 7 dr dr NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 313 8 t t NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 313 9 r r NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 313 10 t t NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 313 11 ¼ ¼ NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 313 12 kdt kdt NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 313 13 Integrating Integrating NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 313 14 Eq Eq NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 313 15 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 314 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 314 2 9 9 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 314 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 314 4 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 314 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 314 6 get get VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 314 7 where where WRB cord-338466-7uvta990 314 8 C C NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 314 9 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 314 10 an an DT cord-338466-7uvta990 314 11 arbitrary arbitrary JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 314 12 constant constant NN cord-338466-7uvta990 314 13 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 315 1 Taking take VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 315 2 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 315 3 antilogarithms antilogarithms NN cord-338466-7uvta990 315 4 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 315 5 both both DT cord-338466-7uvta990 315 6 sides side NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 315 7 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 315 8 Eq Eq NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 315 9 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 316 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 316 2 10 10 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 316 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 316 4 we -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 316 5 have have VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 316 6 r r VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 316 7 t t NN cord-338466-7uvta990 317 1 ¼ ¼ NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 317 2 e e NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 318 1 kt+C kt+C NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 318 2 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 318 3 e e NN cord-338466-7uvta990 318 4 kt kt NN cord-338466-7uvta990 318 5 e e NN cord-338466-7uvta990 318 6 C c NN cord-338466-7uvta990 318 7 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 319 1 r r LS cord-338466-7uvta990 320 1 t t NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 320 2 ¼ ¼ NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 321 1 Ae Ae NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 321 2 kt kt NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 322 1 where where WRB cord-338466-7uvta990 322 2 A a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 322 3 ¼ ¼ NN cord-338466-7uvta990 322 4 e e NN cord-338466-7uvta990 322 5 C c NN cord-338466-7uvta990 322 6 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 323 1 This this DT cord-338466-7uvta990 323 2 Eq Eq NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 323 3 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 324 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 324 2 11 11 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 324 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 324 4 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 324 5 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 324 6 general general JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 324 7 solution solution NN cord-338466-7uvta990 324 8 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 324 9 Eq Eq NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 324 10 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 325 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 325 2 8) 8) NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 325 3 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 326 1 If if IN cord-338466-7uvta990 326 2 k k NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 326 3 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 326 4 less less JJR cord-338466-7uvta990 326 5 than than IN cord-338466-7uvta990 326 6 zero zero CD cord-338466-7uvta990 326 7 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 326 8 Eq Eq NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 326 9 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 327 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 327 2 11 11 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 327 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 327 4 tells tell VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 327 5 us -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 327 6 how how WRB cord-338466-7uvta990 327 7 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 327 8 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 327 9 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 327 10 will will MD cord-338466-7uvta990 327 11 decreases decrease VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 327 12 over over IN cord-338466-7uvta990 327 13 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 327 14 time time NN cord-338466-7uvta990 327 15 until until IN cord-338466-7uvta990 327 16 it -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 327 17 reaches reach VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 327 18 zero zero CD cord-338466-7uvta990 327 19 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 328 1 Value value NN cord-338466-7uvta990 328 2 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 328 3 A A NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 328 4 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 328 5 k k NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 328 6 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 328 7 estimated estimate VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 328 8 by by IN cord-338466-7uvta990 328 9 least least JJS cord-338466-7uvta990 328 10 square square JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 328 11 estimation estimation NN cord-338466-7uvta990 328 12 procedure procedure NN cord-338466-7uvta990 328 13 using use VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 328 14 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 328 15 data data NN cord-338466-7uvta990 328 16 sets set NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 328 17 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 329 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 329 2 Government Government NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 329 3 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 329 4 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 329 5 implemented implement VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 329 6 lockdown lockdown NN cord-338466-7uvta990 329 7 on on IN cord-338466-7uvta990 329 8 March March NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 329 9 24th 24th NN cord-338466-7uvta990 329 10 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 329 11 2020 2020 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 329 12 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 329 13 expected expect VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 329 14 that that IN cord-338466-7uvta990 329 15 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 329 16 tempo tempo NN cord-338466-7uvta990 329 17 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 329 18 disease disease NN cord-338466-7uvta990 329 19 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 329 20 decreasing decrease VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 329 21 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 330 1 Government government NN cord-338466-7uvta990 330 2 suggested suggest VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 330 3 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 330 4 implemented implement VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 330 5 social social JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 330 6 distancing distancing NN cord-338466-7uvta990 330 7 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 330 8 lockdown lockdown NN cord-338466-7uvta990 330 9 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 330 10 control control VB cord-338466-7uvta990 330 11 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 330 12 spread spread NN cord-338466-7uvta990 330 13 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 330 14 COVID-19 covid-19 NN cord-338466-7uvta990 330 15 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 330 16 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 330 17 society society NN cord-338466-7uvta990 330 18 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 331 1 In in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 331 2 Table Table NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 331 3 5 5 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 331 4 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 331 5 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 331 6 predicted predict VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 331 7 value value NN cord-338466-7uvta990 331 8 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 331 9 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 331 10 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 331 11 obtained obtain VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 331 12 with with IN cord-338466-7uvta990 331 13 this this DT cord-338466-7uvta990 331 14 method method NN cord-338466-7uvta990 331 15 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 331 16 given give VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 331 17 along along RP cord-338466-7uvta990 331 18 with with IN cord-338466-7uvta990 331 19 95 95 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 331 20 % % NN cord-338466-7uvta990 331 21 confidence confidence NN cord-338466-7uvta990 331 22 interval interval NN cord-338466-7uvta990 331 23 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 332 1 About about RB cord-338466-7uvta990 332 2 21.5 21.5 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 332 3 lakh lakh NN cord-338466-7uvta990 332 4 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 332 5 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 332 6 expected expect VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 332 7 by by IN cord-338466-7uvta990 332 8 August August NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 332 9 15th 15th NN cord-338466-7uvta990 332 10 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 332 11 2020 2020 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 332 12 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 333 1 With with IN cord-338466-7uvta990 333 2 this this DT cord-338466-7uvta990 333 3 model model NN cord-338466-7uvta990 333 4 it -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 333 5 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 333 6 expected expect VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 333 7 that that IN cord-338466-7uvta990 333 8 about about IN cord-338466-7uvta990 333 9 45 45 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 333 10 lakh lakh NN cord-338466-7uvta990 333 11 peoples people NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 333 12 will will MD cord-338466-7uvta990 333 13 be be VB cord-338466-7uvta990 333 14 infected infect VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 333 15 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 333 16 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 333 17 by by IN cord-338466-7uvta990 333 18 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 333 19 end end NN cord-338466-7uvta990 333 20 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 333 21 October October NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 333 22 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 333 23 after after IN cord-338466-7uvta990 333 24 that that DT cord-338466-7uvta990 333 25 no no DT cord-338466-7uvta990 333 26 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 333 27 will will MD cord-338466-7uvta990 333 28 happen happen VB cord-338466-7uvta990 333 29 since since IN cord-338466-7uvta990 333 30 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 333 31 tempo tempo NN cord-338466-7uvta990 333 32 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 333 33 disease disease NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 333 34 r r NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 333 35 t t NN cord-338466-7uvta990 333 36 will will MD cord-338466-7uvta990 333 37 become become VB cord-338466-7uvta990 333 38 zero zero CD cord-338466-7uvta990 334 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 334 2 Fig Fig NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 334 3 . . NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 334 4 4 4 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 334 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 334 6 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 335 1 In in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 335 2 Table Table NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 335 3 6 6 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 335 4 an an DT cord-338466-7uvta990 335 5 attempt attempt NN cord-338466-7uvta990 335 6 has have VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 335 7 been be VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 335 8 made make VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 335 9 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 335 10 show show VB cord-338466-7uvta990 335 11 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 335 12 summary summary NN cord-338466-7uvta990 335 13 statistics statistic NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 335 14 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 335 15 tempo tempo NN cord-338466-7uvta990 335 16 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 335 17 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 335 18 r r NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 335 19 t t NN cord-338466-7uvta990 335 20 during during IN cord-338466-7uvta990 335 21 various various JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 335 22 lockdown lockdown NN cord-338466-7uvta990 335 23 periods period NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 335 24 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 335 25 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 335 26 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 336 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 336 2 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 336 3 observed observe VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 336 4 that that IN cord-338466-7uvta990 336 5 average average JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 336 6 tempo tempo NN cord-338466-7uvta990 336 7 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 336 8 maximum maximum JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 336 9 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 336 10 0.17 0.17 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 336 11 with with IN cord-338466-7uvta990 336 12 standard standard JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 336 13 deviation deviation NN cord-338466-7uvta990 336 14 0.062 0.062 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 336 15 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 336 16 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 336 17 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 336 18 period period NN cord-338466-7uvta990 336 19 prior prior RB cord-338466-7uvta990 336 20 to to IN cord-338466-7uvta990 336 21 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 336 22 lockdown lockdown NN cord-338466-7uvta990 336 23 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 337 1 During during IN cord-338466-7uvta990 337 2 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 337 3 first first JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 337 4 lockdown lockdown NN cord-338466-7uvta990 337 5 period period NN cord-338466-7uvta990 337 6 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 337 7 average average JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 337 8 tempo tempo NN cord-338466-7uvta990 337 9 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 337 10 0.14 0.14 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 337 11 with with IN cord-338466-7uvta990 337 12 standard standard JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 337 13 deviation deviation NN cord-338466-7uvta990 337 14 0.044 0.044 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 337 15 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 337 16 after after IN cord-338466-7uvta990 337 17 that that DT cord-338466-7uvta990 337 18 it -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 337 19 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 337 20 found find VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 337 21 decreasing decrease VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 337 22 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 337 23 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 337 24 various various JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 337 25 lockdowns lockdown NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 337 26 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 338 1 Table table NN cord-338466-7uvta990 338 2 7 7 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 338 3 various various JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 338 4 lockdown lockdown NN cord-338466-7uvta990 338 5 periods period NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 338 6 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 338 7 shown show VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 338 8 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 338 9 Table Table NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 338 10 8 8 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 338 11 which which WDT cord-338466-7uvta990 338 12 reveals reveal VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 338 13 that that IN cord-338466-7uvta990 338 14 first first JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 338 15 lockdown lockdown NN cord-338466-7uvta990 338 16 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 338 17 significantly significantly RB cord-338466-7uvta990 338 18 different different JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 338 19 than than IN cord-338466-7uvta990 338 20 others other NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 338 21 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 339 1 Consecutive consecutive JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 339 2 mean mean JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 339 3 difference difference NN cord-338466-7uvta990 339 4 shows show VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 339 5 that that IN cord-338466-7uvta990 339 6 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 339 7 decrease decrease NN cord-338466-7uvta990 339 8 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 339 9 disease disease NN cord-338466-7uvta990 339 10 spread spread NN cord-338466-7uvta990 339 11 has have VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 339 12 been be VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 339 13 observed observe VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 339 14 but but CC cord-338466-7uvta990 339 15 insignificant insignificant JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 339 16 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 339 17 means mean VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 339 18 there there EX cord-338466-7uvta990 339 19 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 339 20 no no DT cord-338466-7uvta990 339 21 impact impact NN cord-338466-7uvta990 339 22 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 339 23 lockdown lockdown NN cord-338466-7uvta990 339 24 on on IN cord-338466-7uvta990 339 25 controlling control VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 339 26 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 339 27 disease disease NN cord-338466-7uvta990 339 28 spread spread VB cord-338466-7uvta990 339 29 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 340 1 To to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 340 2 analyze analyze VB cord-338466-7uvta990 340 3 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 340 4 temporal temporal JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 340 5 trends trend NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 340 6 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 340 7 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 340 8 identify identify VB cord-338466-7uvta990 340 9 important important JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 340 10 changes change NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 340 11 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 340 12 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 340 13 trends trend NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 340 14 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 340 15 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 340 16 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 340 17 outbreak outbreak NN cord-338466-7uvta990 340 18 joinpoint joinpoint NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 340 19 regression regression NN cord-338466-7uvta990 340 20 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 340 21 used use VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 340 22 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 340 23 China China NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 340 24 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 340 25 Al Al NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 340 26 Hasan Hasan NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 340 27 et et NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 340 28 al al NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 340 29 . . NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 340 30 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 340 31 2020 2020 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 340 32 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 340 33 ; ; : cord-338466-7uvta990 340 34 here here RB cord-338466-7uvta990 340 35 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 340 36 this this DT cord-338466-7uvta990 340 37 study study NN cord-338466-7uvta990 340 38 we -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 340 39 performed perform VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 340 40 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 340 41 joinpoint joinpoint NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 340 42 regression regression NN cord-338466-7uvta990 340 43 analysis analysis NN cord-338466-7uvta990 340 44 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 340 45 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 340 46 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 340 47 understand understand VB cord-338466-7uvta990 340 48 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 340 49 pattern pattern NN cord-338466-7uvta990 340 50 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 340 51 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 340 52 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 341 1 Joinpoint Joinpoint NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 341 2 regression regression NN cord-338466-7uvta990 341 3 analysis analysis NN cord-338466-7uvta990 341 4 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 341 5 enable enable VB cord-338466-7uvta990 341 6 us -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 341 7 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 341 8 identify identify VB cord-338466-7uvta990 341 9 time time NN cord-338466-7uvta990 341 10 at at IN cord-338466-7uvta990 341 11 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 341 12 meaningful meaningful JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 341 13 change change NN cord-338466-7uvta990 341 14 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 341 15 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 341 16 slope slope NN cord-338466-7uvta990 341 17 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 341 18 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 341 19 trend trend NN cord-338466-7uvta990 341 20 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 341 21 observed observe VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 341 22 over over IN cord-338466-7uvta990 341 23 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 341 24 study study NN cord-338466-7uvta990 341 25 period period NN cord-338466-7uvta990 341 26 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 342 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 342 2 best well RBS cord-338466-7uvta990 342 3 fitting fitting JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 342 4 points point NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 342 5 known know VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 342 6 as as IN cord-338466-7uvta990 342 7 joinpoints joinpoints NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 342 8 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 342 9 that that WDT cord-338466-7uvta990 342 10 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 342 11 chosen choose VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 342 12 when when WRB cord-338466-7uvta990 342 13 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 342 14 slope slope NN cord-338466-7uvta990 342 15 changes change VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 342 16 significantly significantly RB cord-338466-7uvta990 342 17 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 342 18 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 342 19 models model NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 342 20 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 343 1 To to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 343 2 tackle tackle VB cord-338466-7uvta990 343 3 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 343 4 above above JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 343 5 problem problem NN cord-338466-7uvta990 343 6 joinpoint joinpoint NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 343 7 regression regression NN cord-338466-7uvta990 343 8 analysis analysis NN cord-338466-7uvta990 343 9 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 343 10 Kim Kim NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 343 11 et et NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 343 12 al al NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 343 13 . . NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 343 14 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 343 15 2000 2000 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 343 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 343 17 has have VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 343 18 been be VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 343 19 employed employ VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 343 20 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 343 21 this this DT cord-338466-7uvta990 343 22 study study NN cord-338466-7uvta990 343 23 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 343 24 present present VB cord-338466-7uvta990 343 25 trend trend NN cord-338466-7uvta990 343 26 analysis analysis NN cord-338466-7uvta990 343 27 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 344 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 344 2 goal goal NN cord-338466-7uvta990 344 3 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 344 4 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 344 5 joinpoint joinpoint NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 344 6 regression regression NN cord-338466-7uvta990 344 7 analysis analysis NN cord-338466-7uvta990 344 8 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 344 9 not not RB cord-338466-7uvta990 344 10 only only RB cord-338466-7uvta990 344 11 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 344 12 provide provide VB cord-338466-7uvta990 344 13 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 344 14 statistical statistical JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 344 15 model model NN cord-338466-7uvta990 344 16 that that WDT cord-338466-7uvta990 344 17 best good JJS cord-338466-7uvta990 344 18 fits fit VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 344 19 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 344 20 time time NN cord-338466-7uvta990 344 21 series series NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 344 22 data datum NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 344 23 but but CC cord-338466-7uvta990 344 24 also also RB cord-338466-7uvta990 344 25 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 344 26 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 344 27 purpose purpose NN cord-338466-7uvta990 344 28 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 344 29 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 344 30 provide provide VB cord-338466-7uvta990 344 31 that that DT cord-338466-7uvta990 344 32 model model NN cord-338466-7uvta990 344 33 which which WDT cord-338466-7uvta990 344 34 best good JJS cord-338466-7uvta990 344 35 summarizes summarize VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 344 36 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 344 37 trend trend NN cord-338466-7uvta990 344 38 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 344 39 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 344 40 data datum NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 344 41 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 344 42 Marrot Marrot NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 344 43 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 344 44 2010 2010 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 344 45 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 344 46 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 345 1 Let let VB cord-338466-7uvta990 345 2 y y NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 345 3 i i PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 345 4 denotes denote VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 345 5 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 345 6 reported report VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 345 7 COVID-19 covid-19 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 345 8 positive positive JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 345 9 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 345 10 on on IN cord-338466-7uvta990 345 11 day day NN cord-338466-7uvta990 345 12 t t NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 345 13 i i NN cord-338466-7uvta990 345 14 such such JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 345 15 that that IN cord-338466-7uvta990 345 16 t t NN cord-338466-7uvta990 345 17 1 1 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 346 1 < < XX cord-338466-7uvta990 346 2 t t NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 346 3 2 2 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 347 1 < < XX cord-338466-7uvta990 347 2 … … NFP cord-338466-7uvta990 347 3 < < XX cord-338466-7uvta990 347 4 t t XX cord-338466-7uvta990 347 5 n n NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 347 6 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 348 1 Then then RB cord-338466-7uvta990 348 2 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 348 3 joinpoint joinpoint NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 348 4 regression regression NN cord-338466-7uvta990 348 5 model model NN cord-338466-7uvta990 348 6 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 348 7 defined define VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 348 8 as as IN cord-338466-7uvta990 348 9 ln ln NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 348 10 y y NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 348 11 i i NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 348 12 ¼ ¼ NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 348 13 α α NN cord-338466-7uvta990 348 14 + + CC cord-338466-7uvta990 349 1 β β NN cord-338466-7uvta990 349 2 1 1 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 349 3 t t NN cord-338466-7uvta990 349 4 1 1 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 350 1 + + CC cord-338466-7uvta990 351 1 δ δ NN cord-338466-7uvta990 351 2 1 1 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 351 3 u u NN cord-338466-7uvta990 351 4 1 1 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 352 1 + + CC cord-338466-7uvta990 352 2 δ δ NN cord-338466-7uvta990 353 1 2 2 LS cord-338466-7uvta990 353 2 u u NN cord-338466-7uvta990 353 3 2 2 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 353 4 + + CC cord-338466-7uvta990 353 5 : : : cord-338466-7uvta990 354 1 … … NFP cord-338466-7uvta990 354 2 + + -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 355 1 δ δ NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 355 2 j j NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 355 3 u u NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 355 4 j j NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 356 1 + + CC cord-338466-7uvta990 356 2 ε ε NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 356 3 i i NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 356 4 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 356 5 12 12 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 356 6 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 356 7 _SP cord-338466-7uvta990 356 8 & & CC cord-338466-7uvta990 356 9 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 356 10 k k NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 356 11 1 1 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 356 12 < < XX cord-338466-7uvta990 356 13 k k XX cord-338466-7uvta990 356 14 2 2 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 356 15 … … NFP cord-338466-7uvta990 357 1 < < XX cord-338466-7uvta990 357 2 k k NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 357 3 j j NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 357 4 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 357 5 joinpoints joinpoint NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 357 6 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 358 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 358 2 details detail NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 358 3 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 358 4 joinpoint joinpoint NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 358 5 regression regression NN cord-338466-7uvta990 358 6 analysis analysis NN cord-338466-7uvta990 358 7 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 358 8 given give VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 358 9 elsewhere elsewhere RB cord-338466-7uvta990 359 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 359 2 Kim Kim NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 359 3 et et NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 359 4 al al NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 359 5 . . NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 359 6 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 359 7 2004 2004 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 359 8 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 359 9 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 360 1 Joinpoint Joinpoint NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 360 2 regression regression NN cord-338466-7uvta990 360 3 analysis analysis NN cord-338466-7uvta990 360 4 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 360 5 used use VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 360 6 when when WRB cord-338466-7uvta990 360 7 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 360 8 temporal temporal JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 360 9 trend trend NN cord-338466-7uvta990 360 10 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 360 11 an an DT cord-338466-7uvta990 360 12 amount amount NN cord-338466-7uvta990 360 13 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 360 14 like like IN cord-338466-7uvta990 360 15 incidence incidence NN cord-338466-7uvta990 360 16 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 360 17 prevalence prevalence NN cord-338466-7uvta990 360 18 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 360 19 mortality mortality NN cord-338466-7uvta990 360 20 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 360 21 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 360 22 interest interest NN cord-338466-7uvta990 360 23 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 360 24 Doucet Doucet NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 360 25 et et NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 360 26 al al NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 360 27 . . NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 360 28 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 360 29 2016 2016 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 360 30 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 360 31 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 361 1 However however RB cord-338466-7uvta990 361 2 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 361 3 this this DT cord-338466-7uvta990 361 4 method method NN cord-338466-7uvta990 361 5 has have VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 361 6 generally generally RB cord-338466-7uvta990 361 7 been be VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 361 8 applied apply VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 361 9 with with IN cord-338466-7uvta990 361 10 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 361 11 calendar calendar NN cord-338466-7uvta990 361 12 year year NN cord-338466-7uvta990 361 13 as as IN cord-338466-7uvta990 361 14 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 361 15 time time NN cord-338466-7uvta990 361 16 scale scale NN cord-338466-7uvta990 361 17 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 361 18 Akinyede Akinyede NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 361 19 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 361 20 Soyemi Soyemi NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 361 21 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 361 22 2016 2016 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 361 23 ; ; . cord-338466-7uvta990 362 1 Chatenoud Chatenoud NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 362 2 et et NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 362 3 al al NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 362 4 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 363 1 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 363 2 2015 2015 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 363 3 ; ; : cord-338466-7uvta990 363 4 Missikpode Missikpode NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 363 5 et et NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 363 6 al al NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 363 7 . . NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 363 8 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 363 9 2015 2015 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 363 10 ; ; . cord-338466-7uvta990 364 1 Mogos Mogos NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 364 2 et et NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 364 3 al al NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 364 4 . . NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 364 5 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 364 6 2016 2016 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 364 7 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 364 8 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 365 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 365 2 joinpoint joinpoint NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 365 3 regression regression NN cord-338466-7uvta990 365 4 analysis analysis NN cord-338466-7uvta990 365 5 can can MD cord-338466-7uvta990 365 6 also also RB cord-338466-7uvta990 365 7 be be VB cord-338466-7uvta990 365 8 applied apply VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 365 9 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 365 10 epidemiological epidemiological JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 365 11 studies study NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 365 12 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 365 13 which which WDT cord-338466-7uvta990 365 14 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 365 15 starting start VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 365 16 date date NN cord-338466-7uvta990 365 17 can can MD cord-338466-7uvta990 365 18 be be VB cord-338466-7uvta990 365 19 easily easily RB cord-338466-7uvta990 365 20 established establish VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 365 21 such such JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 365 22 as as IN cord-338466-7uvta990 365 23 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 365 24 day day NN cord-338466-7uvta990 365 25 when when WRB cord-338466-7uvta990 365 26 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 365 27 disease disease NN cord-338466-7uvta990 365 28 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 365 29 detected detect VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 365 30 for for IN cord-338466-7uvta990 365 31 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 365 32 first first JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 365 33 time time NN cord-338466-7uvta990 365 34 as as IN cord-338466-7uvta990 365 35 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 365 36 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 365 37 case case NN cord-338466-7uvta990 365 38 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 365 39 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 365 40 present present JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 365 41 analysis analysis NN cord-338466-7uvta990 366 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 366 2 Rea Rea NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 366 3 et et NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 366 4 al al NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 366 5 . . NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 366 6 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 366 7 2017 2017 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 366 8 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 366 9 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 367 1 Estimated estimate VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 367 2 regression regression NN cord-338466-7uvta990 367 3 coefficients coefficient NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 367 4 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 367 5 β β NN cord-338466-7uvta990 367 6 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 367 7 were be VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 367 8 calculated calculate VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 367 9 for for IN cord-338466-7uvta990 367 10 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 367 11 trends trend NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 367 12 extracted extract VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 367 13 from from IN cord-338466-7uvta990 367 14 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 367 15 joinpoint joinpoint NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 367 16 regression regression NN cord-338466-7uvta990 367 17 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 368 1 Additionally additionally RB cord-338466-7uvta990 368 2 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 368 3 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 368 4 average average JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 368 5 daily daily JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 368 6 percent percent NN cord-338466-7uvta990 368 7 change change NN cord-338466-7uvta990 368 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 368 9 ADPC ADPC NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 368 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 368 11 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 368 12 calculated calculate VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 368 13 as as IN cord-338466-7uvta990 368 14 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 368 15 geometric geometric JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 368 16 weighted weighted JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 368 17 average average NN cord-338466-7uvta990 368 18 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 368 19 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 368 20 daily daily JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 368 21 percent percent NN cord-338466-7uvta990 368 22 changes change NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 368 23 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 368 24 Clegg Clegg NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 368 25 et et NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 368 26 al al NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 368 27 . . NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 368 28 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 368 29 2009 2009 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 368 30 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 368 31 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 369 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 369 2 joinpoints joinpoint NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 369 3 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 369 4 selected select VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 369 5 based base VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 369 6 on on IN cord-338466-7uvta990 369 7 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 369 8 data data NN cord-338466-7uvta990 369 9 - - HYPH cord-338466-7uvta990 369 10 driven drive VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 369 11 Bayesian Bayesian NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 369 12 Information Information NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 369 13 Criterion Criterion NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 369 14 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 369 15 BIC BIC NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 369 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 369 17 method method NN cord-338466-7uvta990 369 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 369 19 Zhang Zhang NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 369 20 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 369 21 Siegmund Siegmund NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 369 22 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 369 23 2007 2007 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 369 24 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 369 25 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 370 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 370 2 equation equation NN cord-338466-7uvta990 370 3 for for IN cord-338466-7uvta990 370 4 computing compute VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 370 5 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 370 6 BIC BIC NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 370 7 for for IN cord-338466-7uvta990 370 8 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 370 9 k k NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 370 10 - - HYPH cord-338466-7uvta990 370 11 joinpoints joinpoints NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 370 12 regression regression NN cord-338466-7uvta990 370 13 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 370 14 : : : cord-338466-7uvta990 370 15 where where WRB cord-338466-7uvta990 370 16 SSE SSE NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 370 17 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 370 18 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 370 19 sum sum NN cord-338466-7uvta990 370 20 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 370 21 squared squared JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 370 22 errors error NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 370 23 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 370 24 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 370 25 k k NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 370 26 - - HYPH cord-338466-7uvta990 370 27 joinpoints joinpoints NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 370 28 regression regression NN cord-338466-7uvta990 370 29 model model NN cord-338466-7uvta990 370 30 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 370 31 n n NN cord-338466-7uvta990 370 32 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 370 33 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 370 34 number number NN cord-338466-7uvta990 370 35 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 370 36 observations observation NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 370 37 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 371 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 371 2 model model NN cord-338466-7uvta990 371 3 which which WDT cord-338466-7uvta990 371 4 has have VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 371 5 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 371 6 minimum minimum JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 371 7 value value NN cord-338466-7uvta990 371 8 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 371 9 BIC(k bic(k NN cord-338466-7uvta990 371 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 371 11 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 371 12 selected select VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 371 13 as as IN cord-338466-7uvta990 371 14 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 371 15 final final JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 371 16 model model NN cord-338466-7uvta990 371 17 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 372 1 There there EX cord-338466-7uvta990 372 2 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 372 3 other other JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 372 4 methods method NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 372 5 also also RB cord-338466-7uvta990 372 6 for for IN cord-338466-7uvta990 372 7 identifying identify VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 372 8 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 372 9 joinpoints joinpoint NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 372 10 such such JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 372 11 as as IN cord-338466-7uvta990 372 12 permutation permutation NN cord-338466-7uvta990 372 13 test test NN cord-338466-7uvta990 372 14 method method NN cord-338466-7uvta990 372 15 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 372 16 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 372 17 weighted weighted JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 372 18 BIC BIC NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 372 19 methods method NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 372 20 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 373 1 Relative relative JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 373 2 merits merit NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 373 3 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 373 4 demerits demerit NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 373 5 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 373 6 different different JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 373 7 methods method NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 373 8 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 373 9 identifying identify VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 373 10 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 373 11 joinpoints joinpoint NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 373 12 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 373 13 discussed discuss VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 373 14 elsewhere elsewhere RB cord-338466-7uvta990 373 15 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 373 16 National National NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 373 17 Institute Institute NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 373 18 Cancer Cancer NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 373 19 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 373 20 2013 2013 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 373 21 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 373 22 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 374 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 374 2 permutation permutation NN cord-338466-7uvta990 374 3 test test NN cord-338466-7uvta990 374 4 method method NN cord-338466-7uvta990 374 5 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 374 6 regarded regard VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 374 7 as as IN cord-338466-7uvta990 374 8 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 374 9 best good JJS cord-338466-7uvta990 374 10 method method NN cord-338466-7uvta990 374 11 but but CC cord-338466-7uvta990 374 12 it -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 374 13 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 374 14 computationally computationally RB cord-338466-7uvta990 374 15 very very RB cord-338466-7uvta990 374 16 intensive intensive JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 374 17 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 375 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 375 2 controls control VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 375 3 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 375 4 error error NN cord-338466-7uvta990 375 5 probability probability NN cord-338466-7uvta990 375 6 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 375 7 selecting select VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 375 8 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 375 9 wrong wrong JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 375 10 model model NN cord-338466-7uvta990 375 11 at at IN cord-338466-7uvta990 375 12 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 375 13 certain certain JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 375 14 level level NN cord-338466-7uvta990 375 15 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 375 16 i.e. i.e. FW cord-338466-7uvta990 375 17 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 375 18 0.05 0.05 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 375 19 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 375 20 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 376 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 376 2 BIC BIC NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 376 3 method method NN cord-338466-7uvta990 376 4 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 376 5 on on IN cord-338466-7uvta990 376 6 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 376 7 other other JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 376 8 hand hand NN cord-338466-7uvta990 376 9 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 376 10 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 376 11 less less RBR cord-338466-7uvta990 376 12 complex complex JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 376 13 computationally computationally RB cord-338466-7uvta990 376 14 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 377 1 In in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 377 2 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 377 3 present present JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 377 4 case case NN cord-338466-7uvta990 377 5 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 377 6 data datum NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 377 7 on on IN cord-338466-7uvta990 377 8 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 377 9 reported report VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 377 10 confirmed confirm VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 377 11 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 377 12 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 377 13 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 377 14 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 377 15 available available JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 377 16 on on IN cord-338466-7uvta990 377 17 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 377 18 daily daily NN cord-338466-7uvta990 377 19 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 377 20 thus thus RB cord-338466-7uvta990 377 21 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 377 22 daily daily JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 377 23 percent percent NN cord-338466-7uvta990 377 24 change change NN cord-338466-7uvta990 377 25 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 377 26 DPC DPC NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 377 27 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 377 28 from from IN cord-338466-7uvta990 377 29 day day NN cord-338466-7uvta990 377 30 t t NN cord-338466-7uvta990 377 31 to to IN cord-338466-7uvta990 377 32 day day NN cord-338466-7uvta990 377 33 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 377 34 t t NN cord-338466-7uvta990 377 35 +1 +1 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 377 36 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 377 37 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 377 38 defined define VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 377 39 as as IN cord-338466-7uvta990 377 40 If if IN cord-338466-7uvta990 377 41 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 377 42 trend trend NN cord-338466-7uvta990 377 43 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 377 44 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 377 45 daily daily JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 377 46 reported report VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 377 47 confirmed confirm VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 377 48 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 377 49 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 377 50 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 377 51 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 377 52 modeled model VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 377 53 as as IN cord-338466-7uvta990 377 54 then then RB cord-338466-7uvta990 377 55 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 377 56 it -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 377 57 can can MD cord-338466-7uvta990 377 58 be be VB cord-338466-7uvta990 377 59 shown show VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 377 60 that that IN cord-338466-7uvta990 377 61 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 377 62 DPC DPC NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 377 63 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 377 64 equal equal JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 377 65 to to IN cord-338466-7uvta990 377 66 It -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 378 1 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 378 2 worthwhile worthwhile JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 378 3 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 378 4 discuss discuss VB cord-338466-7uvta990 378 5 here here RB cord-338466-7uvta990 378 6 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 378 7 that that IN cord-338466-7uvta990 378 8 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 378 9 positive positive JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 378 10 value value NN cord-338466-7uvta990 378 11 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 378 12 DPC DPC NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 378 13 indicates indicate VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 378 14 an an DT cord-338466-7uvta990 378 15 increasing increase VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 378 16 trend trend NN cord-338466-7uvta990 378 17 while while IN cord-338466-7uvta990 378 18 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 378 19 negative negative JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 378 20 value value NN cord-338466-7uvta990 378 21 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 378 22 DPC DPC NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 378 23 suggests suggest VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 378 24 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 378 25 declining decline VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 378 26 trend trend NN cord-338466-7uvta990 378 27 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 379 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 379 2 DPC DPC NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 379 3 reflects reflect VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 379 4 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 379 5 trend trend NN cord-338466-7uvta990 379 6 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 379 7 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 379 8 reported report VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 379 9 COVID-19 covid-19 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 379 10 positive positive JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 379 11 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 379 12 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 379 13 different different JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 379 14 time time NN cord-338466-7uvta990 379 15 segments segment NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 379 16 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 379 17 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 379 18 reference reference NN cord-338466-7uvta990 379 19 period period NN cord-338466-7uvta990 379 20 observed observe VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 379 21 through through IN cord-338466-7uvta990 379 22 joinpoint joinpoint NN cord-338466-7uvta990 379 23 regression regression NN cord-338466-7uvta990 379 24 techniques technique NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 379 25 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 380 1 For for IN cord-338466-7uvta990 380 2 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 380 3 entire entire JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 380 4 study study NN cord-338466-7uvta990 380 5 period period NN cord-338466-7uvta990 380 6 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 380 7 it -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 380 8 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 380 9 possible possible JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 380 10 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 380 11 estimate estimate VB cord-338466-7uvta990 380 12 average average JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 380 13 daily daily JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 380 14 percent percent NN cord-338466-7uvta990 380 15 change change NN cord-338466-7uvta990 380 16 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 380 17 ADPC ADPC NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 380 18 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 380 19 that that WDT cord-338466-7uvta990 380 20 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 380 21 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 380 22 weighted weighted JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 380 23 average average NN cord-338466-7uvta990 380 24 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 380 25 DPC DPC NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 380 26 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 380 27 different different JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 380 28 time time NN cord-338466-7uvta990 380 29 segments segment NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 380 30 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 380 31 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 380 32 study study NN cord-338466-7uvta990 380 33 period period NN cord-338466-7uvta990 380 34 with with IN cord-338466-7uvta990 380 35 weights weight NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 380 36 equal equal JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 380 37 to to IN cord-338466-7uvta990 380 38 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 380 39 length length NN cord-338466-7uvta990 380 40 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 380 41 different different JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 380 42 time time NN cord-338466-7uvta990 380 43 segments segment NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 380 44 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 381 1 However however RB cord-338466-7uvta990 381 2 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 381 3 when when WRB cord-338466-7uvta990 381 4 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 381 5 trend trend NN cord-338466-7uvta990 381 6 changes change VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 381 7 frequently frequently RB cord-338466-7uvta990 381 8 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 381 9 ADPC ADPC NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 381 10 has have VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 381 11 little little JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 381 12 meaning meaning NN cord-338466-7uvta990 381 13 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 382 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 382 2 assumes assume VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 382 3 that that IN cord-338466-7uvta990 382 4 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 382 5 random random JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 382 6 errors error NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 382 7 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 382 8 heteroscedastic heteroscedastic JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 382 9 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 382 10 have have VB cord-338466-7uvta990 382 11 nonconstant nonconstant JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 382 12 variance variance NN cord-338466-7uvta990 382 13 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 382 14 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 383 1 Heteroscedasticity Heteroscedasticity NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 383 2 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 383 3 handled handle VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 383 4 by by IN cord-338466-7uvta990 383 5 joinpoint joinpoint NN cord-338466-7uvta990 383 6 regression regression NN cord-338466-7uvta990 383 7 using use VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 383 8 weighted weight VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 383 9 least least JJS cord-338466-7uvta990 383 10 squares square NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 383 11 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 383 12 WLS WLS NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 383 13 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 383 14 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 384 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 384 2 weights weight NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 384 3 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 384 4 WLS WLS NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 384 5 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 384 6 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 384 7 reciprocal reciprocal JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 384 8 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 384 9 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 384 10 variance variance NN cord-338466-7uvta990 384 11 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 384 12 can can MD cord-338466-7uvta990 384 13 be be VB cord-338466-7uvta990 384 14 specified specify VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 384 15 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 384 16 several several JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 384 17 ways way NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 384 18 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 385 1 Thus thus RB cord-338466-7uvta990 385 2 standard standard JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 385 3 error error NN cord-338466-7uvta990 385 4 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 385 5 used use VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 385 6 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 385 7 control control VB cord-338466-7uvta990 385 8 heteroscedastic heteroscedastic NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 385 9 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 385 10 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 385 11 analysis analysis NN cord-338466-7uvta990 385 12 during during IN cord-338466-7uvta990 385 13 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 385 14 entire entire JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 385 15 period period NN cord-338466-7uvta990 385 16 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 386 1 To to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 386 2 observe observe VB cord-338466-7uvta990 386 3 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 386 4 trend trend NN cord-338466-7uvta990 386 5 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 386 6 reported report VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 386 7 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 386 8 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 386 9 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 386 10 moving move VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 386 11 average average JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 386 12 method method NN cord-338466-7uvta990 386 13 has have VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 386 14 been be VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 386 15 used use VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 386 16 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 386 17 this this DT cord-338466-7uvta990 386 18 study study NN cord-338466-7uvta990 386 19 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 387 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 387 2 daily daily JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 387 3 percent percent NN cord-338466-7uvta990 387 4 change change NN cord-338466-7uvta990 387 5 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 387 6 DPC DPC NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 387 7 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 387 8 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 387 9 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 387 10 daily daily JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 387 11 reported report VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 387 12 confirmed confirm VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 387 13 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 387 14 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 387 15 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 387 16 during during IN cord-338466-7uvta990 387 17 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 387 18 period period NN cord-338466-7uvta990 387 19 March March NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 387 20 14th 14th CD cord-338466-7uvta990 387 21 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 387 22 2020 2020 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 387 23 through through IN cord-338466-7uvta990 387 24 July July NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 387 25 16th 16th NN cord-338466-7uvta990 387 26 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 387 27 2020 2020 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 387 28 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 387 29 used use VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 387 30 for for IN cord-338466-7uvta990 387 31 forecasting forecast VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 387 32 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 387 33 daily daily JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 387 34 reported report VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 387 35 confirmed confirm VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 387 36 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 387 37 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 387 38 COVID-19 covid-19 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 387 39 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 387 40 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 387 41 immediate immediate JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 387 42 future future NN cord-338466-7uvta990 387 43 under under IN cord-338466-7uvta990 387 44 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 387 45 assumption assumption NN cord-338466-7uvta990 387 46 that that IN cord-338466-7uvta990 387 47 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 387 48 trend trend NN cord-338466-7uvta990 387 49 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 387 50 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 387 51 daily daily JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 387 52 reported report VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 387 53 confirmed confirm VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 387 54 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 387 55 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 387 56 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 387 57 remains remain VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 387 58 unchanged unchanged JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 387 59 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 388 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 388 2 number number NN cord-338466-7uvta990 388 3 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 388 4 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 388 5 increased increase VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 388 6 by by IN cord-338466-7uvta990 388 7 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 388 8 rate rate NN cord-338466-7uvta990 388 9 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 388 10 6.20 6.20 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 388 11 % % NN cord-338466-7uvta990 388 12 per per IN cord-338466-7uvta990 388 13 day day NN cord-338466-7uvta990 388 14 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 388 15 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 388 16 ; ; : cord-338466-7uvta990 388 17 however however RB cord-338466-7uvta990 388 18 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 388 19 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 388 20 rate rate NN cord-338466-7uvta990 388 21 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 388 22 different different JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 388 23 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 388 24 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 388 25 different different JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 388 26 segment segment NN cord-338466-7uvta990 388 27 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 389 1 Also also RB cord-338466-7uvta990 389 2 Table table NN cord-338466-7uvta990 389 3 9 9 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 389 4 reveals reveal VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 389 5 that that IN cord-338466-7uvta990 389 6 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 389 7 growth growth NN cord-338466-7uvta990 389 8 rate rate NN cord-338466-7uvta990 389 9 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 389 10 positive positive JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 389 11 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 389 12 significant significant JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 389 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 389 14 about about RB cord-338466-7uvta990 389 15 19 19 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 389 16 % % NN cord-338466-7uvta990 389 17 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 389 18 from from IN cord-338466-7uvta990 389 19 16th 16th JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 389 20 March March NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 389 21 to to IN cord-338466-7uvta990 389 22 3rd 3rd JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 389 23 April April NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 389 24 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 389 25 after after IN cord-338466-7uvta990 389 26 that that DT cord-338466-7uvta990 389 27 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 389 28 growth growth NN cord-338466-7uvta990 389 29 rate rate NN cord-338466-7uvta990 389 30 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 389 31 decreasing decrease VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 389 32 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 389 33 comparison comparison NN cord-338466-7uvta990 389 34 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 389 35 first first JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 389 36 segment segment NN cord-338466-7uvta990 389 37 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 389 38 i.e. i.e. FW cord-338466-7uvta990 389 39 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 389 40 for for IN cord-338466-7uvta990 389 41 28 28 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 389 42 days day NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 389 43 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 389 44 from from IN cord-338466-7uvta990 389 45 3rd 3rd JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 389 46 April April NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 389 47 to to IN cord-338466-7uvta990 389 48 30th 30th JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 389 49 April April NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 389 50 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 389 51 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 390 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 390 2 possible possible JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 390 3 reason reason NN cord-338466-7uvta990 390 4 may may MD cord-338466-7uvta990 390 5 be be VB cord-338466-7uvta990 390 6 lockdown lockdown NN cord-338466-7uvta990 390 7 imposed impose VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 390 8 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 390 9 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 390 10 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 391 1 In in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 391 2 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 391 3 third third JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 391 4 segment segment NN cord-338466-7uvta990 391 5 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 391 6 i.e. i.e. FW cord-338466-7uvta990 391 7 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 391 8 from from IN cord-338466-7uvta990 391 9 30th 30th JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 391 10 April April NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 391 11 to to IN cord-338466-7uvta990 391 12 4th 4th JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 391 13 May May NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 392 1 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 392 2 high high JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 392 3 increase increase NN cord-338466-7uvta990 392 4 has have VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 392 5 been be VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 392 6 observed observe VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 392 7 but but CC cord-338466-7uvta990 392 8 it -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 392 9 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 392 10 insignificant insignificant JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 392 11 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 393 1 From from IN cord-338466-7uvta990 393 2 4th 4th JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 393 3 April April NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 393 4 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 393 5 13th 13th NN cord-338466-7uvta990 394 1 May May MD cord-338466-7uvta990 394 2 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 394 3 rate rate NN cord-338466-7uvta990 394 4 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 394 5 although although IN cord-338466-7uvta990 394 6 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 394 7 positive positive JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 394 8 but but CC cord-338466-7uvta990 394 9 dramatically dramatically RB cord-338466-7uvta990 394 10 lower low JJR cord-338466-7uvta990 394 11 than than IN cord-338466-7uvta990 394 12 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 394 13 previous previous JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 394 14 segments segment NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 394 15 growth growth NN cord-338466-7uvta990 394 16 rate rate NN cord-338466-7uvta990 394 17 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 395 1 In in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 395 2 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 395 3 next next JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 395 4 segment segment NN cord-338466-7uvta990 395 5 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 395 6 i.e. i.e. FW cord-338466-7uvta990 395 7 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 395 8 5th 5th JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 395 9 segment segment NN cord-338466-7uvta990 395 10 which which WDT cord-338466-7uvta990 395 11 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 395 12 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 395 13 8 8 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 395 14 days day NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 395 15 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 395 16 we -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 395 17 observe observe VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 395 18 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 395 19 significant significant JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 395 20 increase increase NN cord-338466-7uvta990 395 21 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 395 22 6.55 6.55 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 395 23 % % NN cord-338466-7uvta990 395 24 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 395 25 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 395 26 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 395 27 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 396 1 In in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 396 2 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 396 3 last last JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 396 4 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 396 5 6th 6th JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 396 6 segment segment NN cord-338466-7uvta990 396 7 from from IN cord-338466-7uvta990 396 8 20th 20th JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 396 9 May May NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 396 10 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 396 11 14th 14th JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 396 12 July July NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 396 13 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 396 14 i.e. i.e. FW cord-338466-7uvta990 396 15 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 396 16 for for IN cord-338466-7uvta990 396 17 56 56 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 396 18 days day NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 396 19 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 396 20 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 396 21 growth growth NN cord-338466-7uvta990 396 22 rate rate NN cord-338466-7uvta990 396 23 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 396 24 found find VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 396 25 again again RB cord-338466-7uvta990 396 26 positive positive JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 396 27 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 396 28 significant significant JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 396 29 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 396 30 3.03 3.03 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 396 31 % % NN cord-338466-7uvta990 396 32 per per IN cord-338466-7uvta990 396 33 day day NN cord-338466-7uvta990 396 34 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 396 35 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 396 36 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 396 37 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 396 38 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 396 39 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 397 1 Fig Fig NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 397 2 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 398 1 5 5 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 398 2 shows show VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 398 3 that that IN cord-338466-7uvta990 398 4 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 398 5 trend trend NN cord-338466-7uvta990 398 6 increases increase NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 398 7 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 398 8 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 398 9 still still RB cord-338466-7uvta990 398 10 sharply sharply RB cord-338466-7uvta990 398 11 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 398 12 there there EX cord-338466-7uvta990 398 13 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 398 14 no no DT cord-338466-7uvta990 398 15 hope hope NN cord-338466-7uvta990 398 16 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 398 17 decline decline NN cord-338466-7uvta990 398 18 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 398 19 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 398 20 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 398 21 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 399 1 Fig Fig NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 399 2 . . NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 399 3 2 2 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 399 4 shows show VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 399 5 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 399 6 forecasted forecast VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 399 7 value value NN cord-338466-7uvta990 399 8 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 399 9 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 399 10 daily daily JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 399 11 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 399 12 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 399 13 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 399 14 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 400 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 400 2 COVID-19 covid-19 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 400 3 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 400 4 will will MD cord-338466-7uvta990 400 5 increase increase VB cord-338466-7uvta990 400 6 further further RB cord-338466-7uvta990 400 7 if if IN cord-338466-7uvta990 400 8 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 400 9 same same JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 400 10 trend trend NN cord-338466-7uvta990 400 11 prevailing prevail VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 400 12 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 401 1 Table table NN cord-338466-7uvta990 401 2 10 10 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 401 3 presents present VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 401 4 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 401 5 forecast forecast NN cord-338466-7uvta990 401 6 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 401 7 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 401 8 predicted predict VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 401 9 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 401 10 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 401 11 COVID-19 covid-19 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 401 12 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 401 13 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 401 14 along along IN cord-338466-7uvta990 401 15 with with IN cord-338466-7uvta990 401 16 95 95 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 401 17 % % NN cord-338466-7uvta990 401 18 confidence confidence NN cord-338466-7uvta990 401 19 intervals interval NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 401 20 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 402 1 This this DT cord-338466-7uvta990 402 2 exercise exercise NN cord-338466-7uvta990 402 3 suggests suggest VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 402 4 that that IN cord-338466-7uvta990 402 5 by by IN cord-338466-7uvta990 402 6 August August NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 402 7 15th 15th NN cord-338466-7uvta990 402 8 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 402 9 2020 2020 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 402 10 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 402 11 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 402 12 confirmed confirm VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 402 13 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 402 14 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 402 15 COVID-19 covid-19 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 402 16 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 402 17 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 402 18 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 402 19 likely likely JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 402 20 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 402 21 be be VB cord-338466-7uvta990 402 22 2,587,007 2,587,007 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 402 23 with with IN cord-338466-7uvta990 402 24 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 402 25 95 95 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 402 26 % % NN cord-338466-7uvta990 402 27 confidence confidence NN cord-338466-7uvta990 402 28 interval interval NN cord-338466-7uvta990 402 29 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 402 30 2,571,896 2,571,896 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 402 31 - - SYM cord-338466-7uvta990 402 32 2,602,282 2,602,282 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 402 33 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 402 34 daily daily RB cord-338466-7uvta990 402 35 reported report VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 402 36 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 402 37 will will MD cord-338466-7uvta990 402 38 be be VB cord-338466-7uvta990 402 39 78,729 78,729 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 402 40 with with IN cord-338466-7uvta990 402 41 95 95 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 402 42 % % NN cord-338466-7uvta990 402 43 confidence confidence NN cord-338466-7uvta990 402 44 interval interval NN cord-338466-7uvta990 402 45 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 402 46 77,516 77,516 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 402 47 - - SYM cord-338466-7uvta990 402 48 79,961 79,961 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 402 49 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 403 1 This this DT cord-338466-7uvta990 403 2 daily daily NN cord-338466-7uvta990 403 3 reported report VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 403 4 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 403 5 positive positive JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 403 6 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 403 7 may may MD cord-338466-7uvta990 403 8 change change VB cord-338466-7uvta990 403 9 only only RB cord-338466-7uvta990 403 10 when when WRB cord-338466-7uvta990 403 11 an an DT cord-338466-7uvta990 403 12 appropriate appropriate JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 403 13 set set NN cord-338466-7uvta990 403 14 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 403 15 new new JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 403 16 interventions intervention NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 403 17 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 403 18 introduced introduce VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 403 19 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 403 20 fight fight VB cord-338466-7uvta990 403 21 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 403 22 pandemic pandemic NN cord-338466-7uvta990 403 23 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 404 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 404 2 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 404 3 observed observe VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 404 4 that that IN cord-338466-7uvta990 404 5 analysis analysis NN cord-338466-7uvta990 404 6 indicates indicate VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 404 7 that that IN cord-338466-7uvta990 404 8 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 404 9 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 404 10 month month NN cord-338466-7uvta990 404 11 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 404 12 August August NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 404 13 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 404 14 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 404 15 faces face VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 404 16 more more JJR cord-338466-7uvta990 404 17 than than IN cord-338466-7uvta990 404 18 50 50 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 404 19 thousand thousand CD cord-338466-7uvta990 404 20 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 404 21 per per IN cord-338466-7uvta990 404 22 day day NN cord-338466-7uvta990 404 23 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 404 24 Fig Fig NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 404 25 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 404 26 6 6 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 404 27 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 404 28 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 405 1 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 405 2 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 405 3 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 405 4 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 405 5 comfortable comfortable JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 405 6 zone zone NN cord-338466-7uvta990 405 7 with with IN cord-338466-7uvta990 405 8 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 405 9 lower low JJR cord-338466-7uvta990 405 10 growth growth NN cord-338466-7uvta990 405 11 rate rate NN cord-338466-7uvta990 405 12 than than IN cord-338466-7uvta990 405 13 other other JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 405 14 countries country NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 405 15 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 406 1 Logistic logistic JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 406 2 model model NN cord-338466-7uvta990 406 3 shows show VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 406 4 that that IN cord-338466-7uvta990 406 5 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 406 6 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 406 7 epidemic epidemic NN cord-338466-7uvta990 406 8 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 406 9 likely likely JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 406 10 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 406 11 stabilize stabilize VB cord-338466-7uvta990 406 12 with with IN cord-338466-7uvta990 406 13 45 45 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 406 14 lakh lakh NN cord-338466-7uvta990 406 15 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 406 16 by by IN cord-338466-7uvta990 406 17 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 406 18 end end NN cord-338466-7uvta990 406 19 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 406 20 March March NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 406 21 2021 2021 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 406 22 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 406 23 peak peak NN cord-338466-7uvta990 406 24 will will MD cord-338466-7uvta990 406 25 come come VB cord-338466-7uvta990 406 26 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 406 27 middle middle NN cord-338466-7uvta990 406 28 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 406 29 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 406 30 August August NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 406 31 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 406 32 however however RB cord-338466-7uvta990 406 33 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 406 34 propagation propagation NN cord-338466-7uvta990 406 35 model model NN cord-338466-7uvta990 406 36 provide provide VB cord-338466-7uvta990 406 37 estimate estimate NN cord-338466-7uvta990 406 38 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 406 39 maximum maximum JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 406 40 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 406 41 case case NN cord-338466-7uvta990 406 42 as as IN cord-338466-7uvta990 406 43 45 45 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 406 44 lakh lakh NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 407 1 but but CC cord-338466-7uvta990 407 2 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 407 3 timing timing NN cord-338466-7uvta990 407 4 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 407 5 different different JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 407 6 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 407 7 by by IN cord-338466-7uvta990 407 8 end end NN cord-338466-7uvta990 407 9 October October NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 407 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 407 11 than than IN cord-338466-7uvta990 407 12 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 407 13 logistic logistic JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 407 14 model model NN cord-338466-7uvta990 407 15 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 408 1 Logistic logistic JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 408 2 model model NN cord-338466-7uvta990 408 3 need need VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 408 4 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 408 5 monitor monitor VB cord-338466-7uvta990 408 6 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 408 7 data data NN cord-338466-7uvta990 408 8 time time NN cord-338466-7uvta990 408 9 to to IN cord-338466-7uvta990 408 10 time time NN cord-338466-7uvta990 408 11 for for IN cord-338466-7uvta990 408 12 good good JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 408 13 long long JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 408 14 term term NN cord-338466-7uvta990 408 15 prediction prediction NN cord-338466-7uvta990 408 16 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 409 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 409 2 projections projection NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 409 3 produced produce VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 409 4 by by IN cord-338466-7uvta990 409 5 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 409 6 model model NN cord-338466-7uvta990 409 7 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 409 8 after after IN cord-338466-7uvta990 409 9 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-338466-7uvta990 409 10 validation validation NN cord-338466-7uvta990 409 11 can can MD cord-338466-7uvta990 409 12 be be VB cord-338466-7uvta990 409 13 used use VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 409 14 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 409 15 determine determine VB cord-338466-7uvta990 409 16 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 409 17 scope scope NN cord-338466-7uvta990 409 18 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 409 19 scale scale NN cord-338466-7uvta990 409 20 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 409 21 measures measure NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 409 22 that that WDT cord-338466-7uvta990 409 23 government government NN cord-338466-7uvta990 409 24 need need VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 409 25 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 409 26 initiate initiate VB cord-338466-7uvta990 409 27 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 410 1 Joinpoint Joinpoint NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 410 2 regression regression NN cord-338466-7uvta990 410 3 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 410 4 based base VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 410 5 on on IN cord-338466-7uvta990 410 6 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 410 7 daily daily JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 410 8 reported report VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 410 9 confirmed confirm VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 410 10 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 410 11 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 410 12 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 410 13 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 410 14 asserts assert VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 410 15 that that IN cord-338466-7uvta990 410 16 there there EX cord-338466-7uvta990 410 17 has have VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 410 18 virtually virtually RB cord-338466-7uvta990 410 19 been be VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 410 20 little little JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 410 21 impact impact NN cord-338466-7uvta990 410 22 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 410 23 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 410 24 nationwide nationwide JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 410 25 lockdown lockdown NN cord-338466-7uvta990 410 26 as as RB cord-338466-7uvta990 410 27 well well RB cord-338466-7uvta990 410 28 as as IN cord-338466-7uvta990 410 29 relaxations relaxation NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 410 30 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 410 31 restrictions restriction NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 410 32 on on IN cord-338466-7uvta990 410 33 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 410 34 progress progress NN cord-338466-7uvta990 410 35 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 410 36 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 410 37 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 410 38 pandemic pandemic NN cord-338466-7uvta990 410 39 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 410 40 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 410 41 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 411 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 411 2 joinpoint joinpoint NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 411 3 regression regression NN cord-338466-7uvta990 411 4 analysis analysis NN cord-338466-7uvta990 411 5 provides provide VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 411 6 better well JJR cord-338466-7uvta990 411 7 estimate estimate NN cord-338466-7uvta990 411 8 up up RP cord-338466-7uvta990 411 9 to to IN cord-338466-7uvta990 411 10 15th 15th JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 411 11 August August NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 411 12 for for IN cord-338466-7uvta990 411 13 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 411 14 confirmed confirm VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 411 15 COVID-19 covid-19 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 411 16 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 411 17 than than IN cord-338466-7uvta990 411 18 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 411 19 other other JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 411 20 two two CD cord-338466-7uvta990 411 21 methods method NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 411 22 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 412 1 To to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 412 2 know know VB cord-338466-7uvta990 412 3 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 412 4 better well JJR cord-338466-7uvta990 412 5 understanding understanding NN cord-338466-7uvta990 412 6 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 412 7 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 412 8 progress progress NN cord-338466-7uvta990 412 9 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 412 10 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 412 11 epidemic epidemic NN cord-338466-7uvta990 412 12 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 412 13 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 412 14 country country NN cord-338466-7uvta990 412 15 may may MD cord-338466-7uvta990 412 16 be be VB cord-338466-7uvta990 412 17 obtained obtain VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 412 18 by by IN cord-338466-7uvta990 412 19 analyzing analyze VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 412 20 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 412 21 progress progress NN cord-338466-7uvta990 412 22 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 412 23 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 412 24 epidemic epidemic NN cord-338466-7uvta990 412 25 at at IN cord-338466-7uvta990 412 26 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 412 27 regional regional JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 412 28 level level NN cord-338466-7uvta990 412 29 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 413 1 In in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 413 2 conclusion conclusion NN cord-338466-7uvta990 413 3 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 413 4 if if IN cord-338466-7uvta990 413 5 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 413 6 current current JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 413 7 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 413 8 model model NN cord-338466-7uvta990 413 9 results result NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 413 10 can can MD cord-338466-7uvta990 413 11 be be VB cord-338466-7uvta990 413 12 validated validate VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 413 13 within within IN cord-338466-7uvta990 413 14 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 413 15 range range NN cord-338466-7uvta990 413 16 provided provide VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 413 17 here here RB cord-338466-7uvta990 413 18 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 413 19 then then RB cord-338466-7uvta990 413 20 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 413 21 social social JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 413 22 distancing distancing NN cord-338466-7uvta990 413 23 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 413 24 other other JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 413 25 prevention prevention NN cord-338466-7uvta990 413 26 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 413 27 treatment treatment NN cord-338466-7uvta990 413 28 policies policy NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 413 29 that that WDT cord-338466-7uvta990 413 30 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 413 31 central central JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 413 32 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 413 33 various various JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 413 34 state state NN cord-338466-7uvta990 413 35 governments government NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 413 36 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 413 37 people people NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 413 38 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 413 39 currently currently RB cord-338466-7uvta990 413 40 implementing implement VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 413 41 should should MD cord-338466-7uvta990 413 42 continue continue VB cord-338466-7uvta990 413 43 until until IN cord-338466-7uvta990 413 44 new new JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 413 45 cases case NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 413 46 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 413 47 not not RB cord-338466-7uvta990 413 48 seen see VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 413 49 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 414 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 414 2 spread spread NN cord-338466-7uvta990 414 3 from from IN cord-338466-7uvta990 414 4 urban urban JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 414 5 to to IN cord-338466-7uvta990 414 6 rural rural JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 414 7 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 414 8 rich rich JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 414 9 to to IN cord-338466-7uvta990 414 10 poor poor JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 414 11 populations population NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 414 12 should should MD cord-338466-7uvta990 414 13 be be VB cord-338466-7uvta990 414 14 monitor monitor VB cord-338466-7uvta990 414 15 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 414 16 control control NN cord-338466-7uvta990 414 17 is be VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 414 18 an an DT cord-338466-7uvta990 414 19 important important JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 414 20 point point NN cord-338466-7uvta990 414 21 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 414 22 consideration consideration NN cord-338466-7uvta990 414 23 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 415 1 Mathematical mathematical JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 415 2 models model NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 415 3 have have VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 415 4 certain certain JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 415 5 limitations limitation NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 415 6 that that IN cord-338466-7uvta990 415 7 there there EX cord-338466-7uvta990 415 8 are be VBP cord-338466-7uvta990 415 9 many many JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 415 10 assumptions assumption NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 415 11 about about IN cord-338466-7uvta990 415 12 homogeneity homogeneity NN cord-338466-7uvta990 415 13 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 415 14 population population NN cord-338466-7uvta990 415 15 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 415 16 terms term NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 415 17 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 415 18 urban urban JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 415 19 / / SYM cord-338466-7uvta990 415 20 rural rural JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 415 21 or or CC cord-338466-7uvta990 415 22 rich rich JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 415 23 / / SYM cord-338466-7uvta990 415 24 poor poor JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 415 25 that that WDT cord-338466-7uvta990 415 26 does do VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 415 27 not not RB cord-338466-7uvta990 415 28 capture capture VB cord-338466-7uvta990 415 29 variations variation NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 415 30 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 415 31 population population NN cord-338466-7uvta990 415 32 density density NN cord-338466-7uvta990 415 33 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 416 1 If if IN cord-338466-7uvta990 416 2 several several JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 416 3 protective protective JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 416 4 measures measure NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 416 5 will will MD cord-338466-7uvta990 416 6 not not RB cord-338466-7uvta990 416 7 be be VB cord-338466-7uvta990 416 8 taken take VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 416 9 effectively effectively RB cord-338466-7uvta990 416 10 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 416 11 then then RB cord-338466-7uvta990 416 12 this this DT cord-338466-7uvta990 416 13 rate rate NN cord-338466-7uvta990 416 14 may may MD cord-338466-7uvta990 416 15 be be VB cord-338466-7uvta990 416 16 changed change VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 416 17 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 417 1 However however RB cord-338466-7uvta990 417 2 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 417 3 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 417 4 government government NN cord-338466-7uvta990 417 5 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 417 6 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 417 7 under under IN cord-338466-7uvta990 417 8 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 417 9 leadership leadership NN cord-338466-7uvta990 417 10 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 417 11 Modi Modi NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 417 12 Ji Ji NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 417 13 has have VBZ cord-338466-7uvta990 417 14 already already RB cord-338466-7uvta990 417 15 taken take VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 417 16 various various JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 417 17 protective protective JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 417 18 measures measure NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 417 19 such such JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 417 20 as as IN cord-338466-7uvta990 417 21 lockdown lockdown NN cord-338466-7uvta990 417 22 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 417 23 several several JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 417 24 areas area NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 417 25 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 417 26 make make VB cord-338466-7uvta990 417 27 possible possible JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 417 28 quarantine quarantine NN cord-338466-7uvta990 417 29 facility facility NN cord-338466-7uvta990 417 30 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 417 31 reduce reduce VB cord-338466-7uvta990 417 32 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 417 33 rate rate NN cord-338466-7uvta990 417 34 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 417 35 increase increase NN cord-338466-7uvta990 417 36 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 417 37 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 417 38 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 417 39 thus thus RB cord-338466-7uvta990 417 40 we -PRON- PRP cord-338466-7uvta990 417 41 may may MD cord-338466-7uvta990 417 42 hopefully hopefully RB cord-338466-7uvta990 417 43 conclude conclude VB cord-338466-7uvta990 417 44 that that IN cord-338466-7uvta990 417 45 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 417 46 country country NN cord-338466-7uvta990 417 47 will will MD cord-338466-7uvta990 417 48 be be VB cord-338466-7uvta990 417 49 successful successful JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 417 50 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 417 51 reduce reduce VB cord-338466-7uvta990 417 52 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 417 53 rate rate NN cord-338466-7uvta990 417 54 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 417 55 this this DT cord-338466-7uvta990 417 56 pandemic pandemic NN cord-338466-7uvta990 417 57 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 417 58 _SP cord-338466-7uvta990 418 1 Joinpoint Joinpoint NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 418 2 regression regression NN cord-338466-7uvta990 418 3 analysis analysis NN cord-338466-7uvta990 418 4 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 418 5 pertussis pertussis NN cord-338466-7uvta990 418 6 crude crude JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 418 7 incidence incidence NN cord-338466-7uvta990 418 8 rates rate NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 419 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 419 2 novel novel JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 419 3 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-338466-7uvta990 419 4 disease disease NN cord-338466-7uvta990 419 5 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 419 6 COVID-19 covid-19 VB cord-338466-7uvta990 419 7 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 419 8 outbreak outbreak NN cord-338466-7uvta990 419 9 trends trend NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 419 10 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 419 11 mainland mainland NN cord-338466-7uvta990 419 12 China China NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 419 13 : : : cord-338466-7uvta990 419 14 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 419 15 joinpoint joinpoint NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 419 16 regression regression NN cord-338466-7uvta990 419 17 analysis analysis NN cord-338466-7uvta990 419 18 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 419 19 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 419 20 outbreak outbreak NN cord-338466-7uvta990 419 21 data datum NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 419 22 from from IN cord-338466-7uvta990 419 23 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 419 24 Health Health NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 419 25 Workforce Workforce NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 419 26 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 419 27 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 419 28 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 420 1 WHO who WP cord-338466-7uvta990 420 2 ; ; : cord-338466-7uvta990 420 3 Human human JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 420 4 resources resource NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 420 5 for for IN cord-338466-7uvta990 420 6 Health Health NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 420 7 Observer Observer NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 420 8 Data Data NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 420 9 - - HYPH cord-338466-7uvta990 420 10 based base VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 420 11 analysis analysis NN cord-338466-7uvta990 420 12 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 420 13 modelling modelling NN cord-338466-7uvta990 420 14 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 420 15 forecasting forecasting NN cord-338466-7uvta990 420 16 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 420 17 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 420 18 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 420 19 outbreak outbreak NN cord-338466-7uvta990 420 20 Estimation Estimation NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 420 21 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 420 22 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 420 23 Final Final NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 420 24 Size Size NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 420 25 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 420 26 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 420 27 Second Second NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 420 28 Phase Phase NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 420 29 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 420 30 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 420 31 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 420 32 COVID COVID NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 420 33 19 19 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 420 34 Epidemic epidemic NN cord-338466-7uvta990 420 35 by by IN cord-338466-7uvta990 420 36 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 420 37 Logistic Logistic NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 420 38 Model Model NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 420 39 Mathematical Mathematical NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 420 40 Models Models NNPS cord-338466-7uvta990 420 41 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 420 42 Population Population NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 420 43 Biology Biology NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 420 44 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 420 45 Epidemiology Epidemiology NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 420 46 Modelling Modelling NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 420 47 Transmission Transmission NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 420 48 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 420 49 Control Control NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 420 50 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 420 51 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 420 52 Covid-19 Covid-19 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 420 53 Pandemic Pandemic NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 420 54 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 420 55 Australia Australia NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 420 56 Laryngeal Laryngeal NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 420 57 cancer cancer NN cord-338466-7uvta990 420 58 mortality mortality NN cord-338466-7uvta990 420 59 trends trend NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 420 60 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 420 61 European european JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 420 62 countries country NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 420 63 Healthcare Healthcare NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 420 64 impact impact NN cord-338466-7uvta990 420 65 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 420 66 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 420 67 epidemic epidemic NN cord-338466-7uvta990 420 68 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 420 69 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 420 70 : : : cord-338466-7uvta990 420 71 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 420 72 stochastic stochastic JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 420 73 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 420 74 model model NN cord-338466-7uvta990 421 1 A a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 421 2 Time time NN cord-338466-7uvta990 421 3 - - HYPH cord-338466-7uvta990 421 4 Dependent Dependent NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 421 5 SIR SIR NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 421 6 Model Model NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 421 7 for for IN cord-338466-7uvta990 421 8 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 421 9 With with IN cord-338466-7uvta990 421 10 Undetectable undetectable JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 421 11 Infected Infected NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 421 12 Persons Persons NNPS cord-338466-7uvta990 421 13 Estimating estimate VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 421 14 average average JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 421 15 annual annual JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 421 16 per per IN cord-338466-7uvta990 421 17 cent cent NN cord-338466-7uvta990 421 18 change change NN cord-338466-7uvta990 421 19 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 421 20 trend trend NN cord-338466-7uvta990 421 21 analysis analysis NN cord-338466-7uvta990 421 22 Detection detection NN cord-338466-7uvta990 421 23 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 421 24 2019 2019 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 421 25 novel novel JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 421 26 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-338466-7uvta990 421 27 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 421 28 2019-ncov 2019-ncov CD cord-338466-7uvta990 421 29 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 421 30 by by IN cord-338466-7uvta990 421 31 realtime realtime NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 421 32 RT RT NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 421 33 - - HYPH cord-338466-7uvta990 421 34 PCR PCR NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 421 35 Epidemiological epidemiological JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 421 36 research research NN cord-338466-7uvta990 421 37 priorities priority NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 421 38 for for IN cord-338466-7uvta990 421 39 public public JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 421 40 health health NN cord-338466-7uvta990 421 41 control control NN cord-338466-7uvta990 421 42 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 421 43 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 421 44 ongoing ongoing JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 421 45 global global JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 421 46 novel novel JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 421 47 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-338466-7uvta990 421 48 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 421 49 2019-nCoV 2019-ncov CD cord-338466-7uvta990 421 50 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 421 51 outbreak outbreak NN cord-338466-7uvta990 421 52 Epidemic epidemic NN cord-338466-7uvta990 421 53 Modelling Modelling NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 421 54 : : : cord-338466-7uvta990 422 1 An an DT cord-338466-7uvta990 422 2 Introduction introduction NN cord-338466-7uvta990 422 3 A a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 422 4 preliminary preliminary JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 422 5 analysis analysis NN cord-338466-7uvta990 422 6 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 422 7 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 422 8 epidemiology epidemiology NN cord-338466-7uvta990 422 9 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 422 10 influenza influenza NN cord-338466-7uvta990 422 11 A a NN cord-338466-7uvta990 422 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 422 13 H1N1 H1N1 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 422 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 422 15 v v LS cord-338466-7uvta990 422 16 virus virus NN cord-338466-7uvta990 422 17 infection infection NN cord-338466-7uvta990 422 18 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 422 19 Thailand Thailand NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 422 20 from from IN cord-338466-7uvta990 422 21 early early JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 422 22 outbreak outbreak NN cord-338466-7uvta990 422 23 data datum NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 422 24 Prevalence prevalence NN cord-338466-7uvta990 422 25 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 422 26 mortality mortality NN cord-338466-7uvta990 422 27 trends trend NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 422 28 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 422 29 chronic chronic JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 422 30 obstructive obstructive JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 422 31 pulmonary pulmonary JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 422 32 disease disease NN cord-338466-7uvta990 422 33 over over IN cord-338466-7uvta990 422 34 Impact Impact NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 422 35 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 422 36 Non Non NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 422 37 - - NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 422 38 Pharmaceutical pharmaceutical JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 422 39 Interventions Interventions NNPS cord-338466-7uvta990 422 40 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 422 41 NPIs NPIs NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 422 42 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 422 43 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 422 44 Reduce reduce VB cord-338466-7uvta990 422 45 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 422 46 Mortality Mortality NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 422 47 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 422 48 Healthcare Healthcare NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 422 49 Demand Demand NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 422 50 Forecast Forecast NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 422 51 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 422 52 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 422 53 Evolution evolution NN cord-338466-7uvta990 422 54 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 422 55 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 422 56 Contagious Contagious NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 422 57 Disease Disease NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 422 58 Caused cause VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 422 59 by by IN cord-338466-7uvta990 422 60 Novel Novel NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 422 61 Corona Corona NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 422 62 Virus Virus NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 422 63 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 422 64 2019-ncov 2019-ncov CD cord-338466-7uvta990 422 65 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 422 66 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 422 67 China China NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 422 68 Corona Corona NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 422 69 Virus Virus NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 422 70 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 422 71 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 422 72 : : : cord-338466-7uvta990 423 1 Make make VB cord-338466-7uvta990 423 2 or or CC cord-338466-7uvta990 423 3 Break break VB cord-338466-7uvta990 423 4 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 423 5 mathematics mathematic NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 423 6 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 423 7 infectious infectious JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 423 8 diseases disease NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 423 9 Measles measle NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 423 10 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 423 11 rubella rubella NN cord-338466-7uvta990 423 12 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 423 13 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 423 14 United United NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 423 15 States States NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 423 16 Optimal Optimal NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 423 17 ages age NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 423 18 or or CC cord-338466-7uvta990 423 19 vaccination vaccination NN cord-338466-7uvta990 423 20 for for IN cord-338466-7uvta990 423 21 measles measle NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 423 22 Rubella Rubella NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 423 23 Clinical clinical JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 423 24 features feature NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 423 25 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 423 26 patients patient NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 423 27 infected infect VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 423 28 with with IN cord-338466-7uvta990 423 29 2019 2019 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 423 30 novel novel JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 423 31 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-338466-7uvta990 423 32 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 423 33 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 424 1 The the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 424 2 continuing continue VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 424 3 2019-ncov 2019-ncov CD cord-338466-7uvta990 424 4 epidemic epidemic NN cord-338466-7uvta990 424 5 threat threat NN cord-338466-7uvta990 424 6 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 424 7 novel novel JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 424 8 coronaviruses coronaviruse NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 424 9 to to IN cord-338466-7uvta990 424 10 global global JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 424 11 health health NN cord-338466-7uvta990 424 12 - - , cord-338466-7uvta990 424 13 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 424 14 latest late JJS cord-338466-7uvta990 424 15 2019 2019 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 424 16 novel novel JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 424 17 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-338466-7uvta990 424 18 outbreak outbreak NN cord-338466-7uvta990 424 19 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 424 20 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 424 21 Estimating Estimating NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 424 22 initial initial JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 424 23 epidemic epidemic NN cord-338466-7uvta990 424 24 growth growth NN cord-338466-7uvta990 424 25 rates rate NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 425 1 A a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 425 2 contribution contribution NN cord-338466-7uvta990 425 3 to to IN cord-338466-7uvta990 425 4 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 425 5 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 425 6 theory theory NN cord-338466-7uvta990 425 7 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 425 8 epidemics epidemic NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 425 9 Permutation Permutation NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 425 10 tests test NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 425 11 for for IN cord-338466-7uvta990 425 12 joinpoint joinpoint NN cord-338466-7uvta990 425 13 regression regression NN cord-338466-7uvta990 425 14 with with IN cord-338466-7uvta990 425 15 applications application NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 425 16 to to IN cord-338466-7uvta990 425 17 cancer cancer NN cord-338466-7uvta990 425 18 rates rate NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 425 19 Comparability comparability NN cord-338466-7uvta990 425 20 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 425 21 segmented segmented JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 425 22 line line NN cord-338466-7uvta990 425 23 regression regression NN cord-338466-7uvta990 425 24 models model NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 425 25 Interventions intervention NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 425 26 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 425 27 mitigate mitigate VB cord-338466-7uvta990 425 28 early early JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 425 29 spread spread NN cord-338466-7uvta990 425 30 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 425 31 SARS SARS NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 425 32 - - HYPH cord-338466-7uvta990 425 33 CoV-2 CoV-2 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 425 34 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 425 35 Singapore Singapore NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 425 36 : : : cord-338466-7uvta990 425 37 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 425 38 modelling modelling NN cord-338466-7uvta990 425 39 study study NN cord-338466-7uvta990 425 40 Early early JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 425 41 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 425 42 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 425 43 transmission transmission NN cord-338466-7uvta990 425 44 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 425 45 control control NN cord-338466-7uvta990 425 46 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 425 47 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 425 48 : : : cord-338466-7uvta990 425 49 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 425 50 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 425 51 modelling modelling NN cord-338466-7uvta990 425 52 study study NN cord-338466-7uvta990 425 53 Defining define VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 425 54 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 425 55 epidemiology epidemiology NN cord-338466-7uvta990 425 56 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 425 57 Covid-19-studies covid-19-studie NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 425 58 needed need VBD cord-338466-7uvta990 425 59 An an DT cord-338466-7uvta990 425 60 optimization optimization NN cord-338466-7uvta990 425 61 model model NN cord-338466-7uvta990 425 62 for for IN cord-338466-7uvta990 425 63 influenza influenza NN cord-338466-7uvta990 425 64 A a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 425 65 epidemics epidemic NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 425 66 Progression Progression NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 425 67 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 425 68 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 425 69 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 425 70 Indian Indian NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 425 71 States States NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 425 72 - - HYPH cord-338466-7uvta990 425 73 Forecasting Forecasting NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 425 74 Endpoints Endpoints NNPS cord-338466-7uvta990 425 75 Using use VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 425 76 SIR SIR NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 425 77 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 425 78 Logistic Logistic NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 425 79 Growth Growth NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 425 80 Models Models NNPS cord-338466-7uvta990 425 81 Prudent Prudent NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 425 82 public public JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 425 83 health health NN cord-338466-7uvta990 425 84 intervention intervention NN cord-338466-7uvta990 425 85 strategies strategy NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 425 86 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 425 87 control control VB cord-338466-7uvta990 425 88 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 425 89 corona corona NN cord-338466-7uvta990 425 90 virus virus NN cord-338466-7uvta990 425 91 disease disease NN cord-338466-7uvta990 425 92 2019 2019 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 425 93 transmission transmission NN cord-338466-7uvta990 425 94 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 425 95 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 425 96 : : : cord-338466-7uvta990 425 97 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 425 98 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 425 99 model model NN cord-338466-7uvta990 425 100 - - HYPH cord-338466-7uvta990 425 101 based base VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 425 102 approach approach NN cord-338466-7uvta990 425 103 Colorectal Colorectal NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 425 104 Cancer Cancer NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 425 105 Network Network NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 425 106 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 425 107 CRCNet CRCNet NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 425 108 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 426 1 User user NN cord-338466-7uvta990 426 2 Documentation documentation NN cord-338466-7uvta990 426 3 for for IN cord-338466-7uvta990 426 4 Surveillance Surveillance NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 426 5 Analytic Analytic NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 426 6 Software Software NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 426 7 : : : cord-338466-7uvta990 426 8 Joinpoint Joinpoint NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 426 9 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 427 1 Cancer Cancer NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 427 2 Care Care NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 427 3 Ontario Ontario NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 427 4 Trends Trends NNPS cord-338466-7uvta990 427 5 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 427 6 non non JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 427 7 - - JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 427 8 fatal fatal JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 427 9 agricultural agricultural JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 427 10 injuries injury NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 427 11 requiring require VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 427 12 trauma trauma NN cord-338466-7uvta990 427 13 care care NN cord-338466-7uvta990 427 14 Differences difference NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 427 15 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 427 16 mortality mortality NN cord-338466-7uvta990 427 17 between between IN cord-338466-7uvta990 427 18 pregnant pregnant JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 427 19 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 427 20 nonpregnant nonpregnant JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 427 21 women woman NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 427 22 after after IN cord-338466-7uvta990 427 23 cardiopulmonary cardiopulmonary JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 427 24 resuscitation resuscitation NN cord-338466-7uvta990 427 25 Joinpoint Joinpoint NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 427 26 Regression Regression NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 427 27 Program Program NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 427 28 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 428 1 National National NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 428 2 Institutes Institutes NNPS cord-338466-7uvta990 428 3 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 428 4 Health Health NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 428 5 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 428 6 United United NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 428 7 States States NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 428 8 Department Department NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 428 9 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 428 10 Health Health NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 428 11 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 428 12 Human Human NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 428 13 Services Services NNPS cord-338466-7uvta990 429 1 On on IN cord-338466-7uvta990 429 2 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 429 3 rate rate NN cord-338466-7uvta990 429 4 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 429 5 growth growth NN cord-338466-7uvta990 429 6 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 429 7 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 429 8 population population NN cord-338466-7uvta990 429 9 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 429 10 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 429 11 United United NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 429 12 States States NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 429 13 since since IN cord-338466-7uvta990 429 14 1790 1790 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 429 15 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 429 16 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-338466-7uvta990 429 17 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 429 18 representation representation NN cord-338466-7uvta990 429 19 Joinpoint Joinpoint NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 429 20 regression regression NN cord-338466-7uvta990 429 21 analysis analysis NN cord-338466-7uvta990 429 22 with with IN cord-338466-7uvta990 429 23 time time NN cord-338466-7uvta990 429 24 - - HYPH cord-338466-7uvta990 429 25 on on IN cord-338466-7uvta990 429 26 - - HYPH cord-338466-7uvta990 429 27 study study NN cord-338466-7uvta990 429 28 as as IN cord-338466-7uvta990 429 29 time time NN cord-338466-7uvta990 429 30 - - HYPH cord-338466-7uvta990 429 31 scale scale NN cord-338466-7uvta990 429 32 . . . cord-338466-7uvta990 430 1 Application application NN cord-338466-7uvta990 430 2 to to IN cord-338466-7uvta990 430 3 three three CD cord-338466-7uvta990 430 4 Italian italian JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 430 5 population population NN cord-338466-7uvta990 430 6 - - HYPH cord-338466-7uvta990 430 7 based base VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 430 8 cohort cohort NN cord-338466-7uvta990 430 9 studies study NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 430 10 Transmission Transmission NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 430 11 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 430 12 2019-ncov 2019-ncov CD cord-338466-7uvta990 430 13 infection infection NN cord-338466-7uvta990 430 14 from from IN cord-338466-7uvta990 430 15 an an DT cord-338466-7uvta990 430 16 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 430 17 contact contact NN cord-338466-7uvta990 430 18 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 430 19 Germany Germany NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 430 20 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 430 21 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 430 22 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 430 23 : : : cord-338466-7uvta990 431 1 Potential potential JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 431 2 Impact Impact NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 431 3 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 431 4 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 431 5 Lockdown lockdown NN cord-338466-7uvta990 431 6 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 432 1 Other other JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 432 2 Longer long JJR cord-338466-7uvta990 432 3 Term term NN cord-338466-7uvta990 432 4 Policies policy NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 433 1 A a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 433 2 logistic logistic JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 433 3 growth growth NN cord-338466-7uvta990 433 4 model model NN cord-338466-7uvta990 433 5 for for IN cord-338466-7uvta990 433 6 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 433 7 proliferation proliferation NN cord-338466-7uvta990 433 8 : : : cord-338466-7uvta990 433 9 experiences experience NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 433 10 from from IN cord-338466-7uvta990 433 11 China China NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 433 12 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 433 13 international international JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 433 14 implications implication NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 433 15 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 433 16 infectious infectious JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 433 17 diseases disease NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 433 18 Age Age NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 433 19 - - HYPH cord-338466-7uvta990 433 20 Structured Structured NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 433 21 Impact Impact NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 433 22 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 433 23 Social Social NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 433 24 Distancing distance VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 433 25 on on IN cord-338466-7uvta990 433 26 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 433 27 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 433 28 Epidemic Epidemic NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 433 29 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 433 30 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 433 31 Model Model NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 433 32 - - HYPH cord-338466-7uvta990 433 33 based base VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 433 34 retrospective retrospective JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 433 35 estimates estimate NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 433 36 for for IN cord-338466-7uvta990 433 37 COVID-19 covid-19 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 433 38 or or CC cord-338466-7uvta990 433 39 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-338466-7uvta990 433 40 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 433 41 India India NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 433 42 : : : cord-338466-7uvta990 434 1 continued continue VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 434 2 efforts effort NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 434 3 required require VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 434 4 to to TO cord-338466-7uvta990 434 5 contain contain VB cord-338466-7uvta990 434 6 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 434 7 virus virus NN cord-338466-7uvta990 434 8 spread spread VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 434 9 Reporting reporting NN cord-338466-7uvta990 434 10 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 434 11 epidemic epidemic NN cord-338466-7uvta990 434 12 growth growth NN cord-338466-7uvta990 434 13 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 434 14 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 434 15 reproduction reproduction NN cord-338466-7uvta990 434 16 numbers number NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 434 17 for for IN cord-338466-7uvta990 434 18 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 434 19 2019 2019 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 434 20 novel novel NN cord-338466-7uvta990 434 21 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-338466-7uvta990 434 22 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 434 23 2019-nCoV 2019-ncov CD cord-338466-7uvta990 434 24 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 434 25 epidemic epidemic NN cord-338466-7uvta990 434 26 Nowcasting Nowcasting NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 434 27 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 434 28 forecasting forecast VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 434 29 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 434 30 potential potential JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 434 31 domestic domestic JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 434 32 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 434 33 international international JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 434 34 spread spread NN cord-338466-7uvta990 434 35 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 434 36 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 434 37 2019-nCoV 2019-ncov CD cord-338466-7uvta990 434 38 outbreak outbreak NN cord-338466-7uvta990 434 39 originating originate VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 434 40 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 434 41 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 434 42 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 434 43 China China NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 434 44 : : : cord-338466-7uvta990 434 45 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 434 46 modelling modelling NN cord-338466-7uvta990 434 47 study study NN cord-338466-7uvta990 434 48 Recurrent recurrent JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 434 49 outbreaks outbreak NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 434 50 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 434 51 measles measle NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 434 52 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 434 53 chickenpox chickenpox NN cord-338466-7uvta990 434 54 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 434 55 mumps mumps NN cord-338466-7uvta990 434 56 II ii CD cord-338466-7uvta990 434 57 Seasonality Seasonality NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 434 58 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 434 59 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 434 60 requirements requirement NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 434 61 for for IN cord-338466-7uvta990 434 62 perpetuation perpetuation NN cord-338466-7uvta990 434 63 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 434 64 eradication eradication NN cord-338466-7uvta990 434 65 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 434 66 viruses virus NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 434 67 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 434 68 populations population NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 435 1 A a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 435 2 modified modify VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 435 3 Bayes Bayes NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 435 4 information information NN cord-338466-7uvta990 435 5 criterion criterion NN cord-338466-7uvta990 435 6 with with IN cord-338466-7uvta990 435 7 applications application NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 435 8 to to IN cord-338466-7uvta990 435 9 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 435 10 analysis analysis NN cord-338466-7uvta990 435 11 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 435 12 comparative comparative JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 435 13 genomic genomic JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 435 14 hybridization hybridization NN cord-338466-7uvta990 435 15 data data NN cord-338466-7uvta990 435 16 Comparison comparison NN cord-338466-7uvta990 435 17 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 435 18 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 435 19 ability ability NN cord-338466-7uvta990 435 20 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 435 21 ARIMA ARIMA NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 435 22 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 435 23 WNN WNN NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 435 24 and and CC cord-338466-7uvta990 435 25 SVM SVM NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 435 26 models model NNS cord-338466-7uvta990 435 27 for for IN cord-338466-7uvta990 435 28 drought drought NN cord-338466-7uvta990 435 29 forecasting forecasting NN cord-338466-7uvta990 435 30 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 435 31 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 435 32 Sanjiang Sanjiang NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 435 33 Plain Plain NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 435 34 Preliminary preliminary JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 435 35 estimation estimation NN cord-338466-7uvta990 435 36 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 435 37 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 435 38 basic basic JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 435 39 reproduction reproduction NN cord-338466-7uvta990 435 40 number number NN cord-338466-7uvta990 435 41 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 435 42 novel novel JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 435 43 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-338466-7uvta990 435 44 ( ( -LRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 435 45 2019-nCoV 2019-ncov CD cord-338466-7uvta990 435 46 ) ) -RRB- cord-338466-7uvta990 435 47 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 435 48 China China NNP cord-338466-7uvta990 435 49 , , , cord-338466-7uvta990 435 50 from from IN cord-338466-7uvta990 435 51 2019 2019 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 435 52 to to IN cord-338466-7uvta990 435 53 2020 2020 CD cord-338466-7uvta990 435 54 : : : cord-338466-7uvta990 435 55 a a DT cord-338466-7uvta990 435 56 data data NN cord-338466-7uvta990 435 57 - - HYPH cord-338466-7uvta990 435 58 driven drive VBN cord-338466-7uvta990 435 59 analysis analysis NN cord-338466-7uvta990 435 60 in in IN cord-338466-7uvta990 435 61 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 435 62 early early JJ cord-338466-7uvta990 435 63 phase phase NN cord-338466-7uvta990 435 64 of of IN cord-338466-7uvta990 435 65 the the DT cord-338466-7uvta990 435 66 outbreak outbreak NN cord-338466-7uvta990 435 67 Further far RBR cord-338466-7uvta990 435 68 reading read VBG cord-338466-7uvta990 435 69 COVID-19 COVID-19 .