id	author	title	date	pages	extension	mime	words	sentences	flesch	summary	cache	txt
cord-282275-catapr59	Baruah, H. K.	The COVID-19 Spread Patterns in Italy and India: A Comparison of the Current Situations	2020-06-23		.txt	text/plain	1647	97	64	Time series models using the auto-regressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) method have also been used successfully by a few authors for forecasting the COVID-19 spread in India. We would show how the logarithmic function is being followed by the total number of cases in Italy, and how in India it is following a nearly exponential function, while the patterns are changing slowly and steadily. fits the data of spread in India [12] approximately.To estimate the value of the parameter b at some point of time we would need data about the total number of cases for a few days prior to that. This shows that a study regarding the total number of cases in the world as a whole cannot follow one single mathematical model, because whereas in India the spread pattern is continuing to be nearly exponential, in Italy it is the inverse function -the logarithmic functionbeing followed by the data.	./cache/cord-282275-catapr59.txt	./txt/cord-282275-catapr59.txt