id	author	title	date	pages	extension	mime	words	sentences	flesch	summary	cache	txt
cord-001549-m5qabh1k	Kadi, Adiveppa S.	A Bayesian Inferential Approach to Quantify the Transmission Intensity of Disease Outbreak	2015-02-15		.txt	text/plain	2939	161	47	We have used Bayesian approach to quantify the disease outbreak through key epidemiological parameter basic reproduction number (R (0)), using effective contacts, defined as sum of the product of incidence cases and probability of generation time distribution. The importance of basic reproduction number 0 becomes more apparent when an emerging infectious disease strikes a population which is a key concept in the epidemic theory. Our analysis is based on the pandemic influenza A/H1N1 in India 2009 through the Bayesian estimates of basic reproduction number; we used the daily reported cases to calculate effective contacts. Our estimated value of the basic reproduction number indicates the milder intensity of disease transmission in India. Uncertainty and sensitivity analysis of the basic reproduction number of a vaccinated epidemic model of influenza	./cache/cord-001549-m5qabh1k.txt	./txt/cord-001549-m5qabh1k.txt