key: cord-330936-qf4q8yqq
authors: Kardeş, Sinan; Kuzu, Ali Suat; Raiker, Rahul; Pakhchanian, Haig; Karagülle, Mine
title: Public interest in rheumatic diseases and rheumatologist in the United States during the COVID-19 pandemic: evidence from Google Trends
date: 2020-10-18
journal: Rheumatol Int
DOI: 10.1007/s00296-020-04728-9
sha: 
doc_id: 330936
cord_uid: qf4q8yqq

To evaluate the public interest in rheumatic diseases during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. Google Trends was queried to analyze search trends in the United States for numerous rheumatic diseases and also the interest in a rheumatologist. Three 8-week periods in 2020 ((March 15–May 9), (May 10–July 4), and (July 5–August 29)) were compared to similar periods of the prior 4 years (2016–2019). Compared to a similar time period between 2016 and 2019, a significant decrease was found in the relative search volume for more than half of the search terms during the initial March 15–May 9, 2020 period. However, this trend appeared to reverse during the July 5–August 29, 2020 period where the relative volume for nearly half of the search terms were not statistically significant compared to similar periods of the prior 4 years. In addition, this period showed a significant increase in relative volume for the terms: Axial spondyloarthritis, ankylosing spondylitis, psoriatic arthritis, rheumatoid arthritis, Sjögren’s syndrome, antiphospholipid syndrome, scleroderma, Kawasaki disease, Anti-Neutrophil Cytoplasmic Antibody (ANCA)-associated vasculitis, and rheumatologist. There was a significant decrease in relative search volume for many rheumatic diseases between March 15 and May 9, 2020 when compared to similar periods during the prior 4 years. However, the trends reversed after the initial period ended. There was an increase in relative search for the term “rheumatologist” between July and August 2020 suggesting the need for rheumatologists during the COVID-19 pandemic. Policymakers and healthcare providers should address the informational demands on rheumatic diseases and needs for rheumatologists by the general public during pandemics like COVID-19.

The recent pandemic of coronavirus disease 2019 has placed the rheumatologists and immunologists at the forefront of understanding the pathogenesis and management of this infection [1] [2] [3] [4] . After severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) cellular infection, the host immune response is triggered and generates proinflammatory cytokines and chemokines [5] . These molecules recruit monocytes, macrophages, and T cells which leads to create further inflammation that inevitably establishes a pro-inflammatory feedback loop [5] . A defective immune response aggressively generates pro-inflammatory cytokines, called cytokine storms, which can lead to multiple-organ dysfunction [5] . Rheumatologists and immunologists have substantial expertise in the pathogenesis of the immune response, the impact of inflammation, and their treatments [1] [2] [3] [4] . Several immunomodulatory and antiinflammatory drugs (e.g., hydroxychloroquine, colchicine, tocilizumab, anakinra) have been used for COVID-19 when scientists are in search of a possible treatment for this novel virus and a resultant inflammatory response [1] [2] [3] [4] [6] [7] [8] .

Since rheumatologists have substantial knowledge in the benefits and adverse effects of these drugs as well, rheumatologists are playing a significant role in this pandemic. Besides fighting COVID-19, the rheumatologists also have an essential role in caring for their rheumatic patients who may express concerns about their potential increased risk of acquiring COVID-19 infection due to their underlying disease itself and any immunosuppressive treatments they may be on [9] [10] [11] [12] [13] [14] [15] [16] .

Google Trends has been demonstrated as a powerful tool in surveying outbreaks and monitoring public interest [17] [18] [19] [20] . It was used in previous outbreaks including influenza [21] [22] [23] and Zika virus [24] . Interestingly, for COVID-19 pandemic, Google Trends was used to evaluate public interest in other medical disciplines including dermatology [25] , plastic surgery [26] , urology [27] and otolaryngology [28] . These studies highlight the integration of Google Trends to the field of medicine as a valuable epidemiologic data to monitor public interest.

The public interest in rheumatic diseases and rheumatologist during the pandemic represents a knowledge gap. This information may be useful to determine whether the public has access to rheumatological-related information that may guide to policymakers and healthcare providers to address the informational demands and needs for rheumatologists during the COVID-19 pandemic by the general public. Therefore, the aim of this study was to use the Google Trends data to evaluate the public interest in rheumatic diseases and rheumatologist during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Google Trends provides the relative interest of Google searches, on a range of 0-100 [29] . Larger scores indicate greater relative interest. A wide range of search terms were determined to represent nearly all rheumatic diseases that patients might search on Google (i.e., Osteoarthritis, gout, pseudogout, calcium pyrophosphate crystal deposition (CPPD), fibromyalgia, axial spondyloarthritis, ankylosing spondylitis, peripheral spondyloarthritis, psoriatic arthritis, reactive arthritis, septic arthritis, rheumatoid arthritis, Sjögren's syndrome, systemic lupus erythematosus, antiphospholipid syndrome, scleroderma, polymyositis, dermatomyositis, relapsing polychondritis, familial Mediterranean fever, Tumor Necrosis Factor (TNF) Receptor-Associated Periodic Syndrome (TRAPS), Hyperimmunoglobulinemia D with Periodic Fever Syndrome (HIDS), Cryopyrin-Associated Periodic Syndromes (CAPS), vasculitis, Takayasu arteritis, giant cell arteritis, temporal arteritis, polyarteritis nodosa, Kawasaki disease, polymyalgia rheumatica, Anti-Neutrophil Cytoplasmic Antibody (ANCA)associated vasculitis, granulomatosis with polyangiitis, and Behçet's syndrome). In addition, the term "rheumatologist" was also analyzed. Although some terms are used interchangeably for the disease (e.g., pseudogout and CPPD), the study included all listed terms because the general public may not search for synonymous terms. Each term was searched as presented except for calcium pyrophosphate crystal deposition (searched as CPPD), Sjögren's syndrome (as Sjogren), Systemic lupus erythematosus (as lupus), ANCA-associated vasculitis (as ANCA vasculitis), Behçet's syndrome (searched as Behcet). TRAPS and HIDS could not be included because Google Trends did not provide data for these two diseases due to their low relative search volume. On September 6, 2020, these search terms were queried on Google Trends using filters of "United States", "01/01/2016-09/06/2020", and "All categories". The Google Trends weekly data were downloaded.

Three 8-week periods in 2020 ((March 15-May 9), (May 10-July 4) and (July 5-August 29)) were compared to similar periods of the prior 4 years (2016-2019) to evaluate both initial-and short-term interest. Dates after March 15, 2020, when nationwide quarantine measures became implemented, were evaluated. Generalized estimating equations with gamma distribution were used in comparisons. Analyses were performed with SPSS 21.0. P values less than 0.05 were considered statistically significant.

In the March 15-May 9, 2020 period, the relative search volume for 21 of the 32 search terms (i.e., osteoarthritis, gout, pseudogout, CPPD, fibromyalgia, peripheral spondyloarthritis, reactive arthritis, septic arthritis, Sjögren's syndrome, scleroderma, polymyositis, dermatomyositis, CAPS, vasculitis, Takayasu arteritis, giant cell arteritis, temporal arteritis, polyarteritis nodosa, polymyalgia rheumatica, Behçet's syndrome, and rheumatologist) statistically significantly decreased; however, the search term (i.e., psoriatic arthritis) statistically significantly increased compared to prior 4 years (Table 1 ).

In the May 10-July 4, 2020 period, the relative search volume for 11 of the 32 search terms (i.e., osteoarthritis, pseudogout, fibromyalgia, peripheral spondyloarthritis, systemic lupus erythematosus, scleroderma, polymyositis, CAPS, Takayasu arteritis, temporal arteritis, and Behçet's syndrome) statistically significantly decreased; however, four search terms (i.e. axial spondyloarthritis, ankylosing spondylitis, psoriatic arthritis, and giant cell arteritis) statistically significantly increased compared to prior 4 years ( Table 1) . In the July 5-August 29, 2020 period, relative search volume of 7 of the 32 search terms (i.e., gout, fibromyalgia, peripheral spondyloarthritis, systemic lupus erythematosus, polymyositis, relapsing polychondritis, and Takayasu arteritis) statistically significantly decreased; however, 10 search terms (i.e., axial spondyloarthritis, ankylosing spondylitis, psoriatic arthritis, rheumatoid arthritis, Sjögren's syndrome, antiphospholipid syndrome, scleroderma, Kawasaki disease, ANCA-associated vasculitis, and rheumatologist) statistically significantly increased compared to prior 4 years (Table 1 ).

The study found a statistically significant decrease in relative search volume of more than half of the search terms in the March 15-May 9, 2020 period. However, this trend appeared to reverse after this initial period. In the July 5-August 29, 2020 period, the relative volume of nearly half of the search terms were not significantly different when compared to similar periods of the prior 4 years; however, the terms axial spondyloarthritis, ankylosing spondylitis, psoriatic arthritis, rheumatoid arthritis, Sjögren's syndrome, antiphospholipid syndrome, scleroderma, Kawasaki disease, ANCA-associated vasculitis, and rheumatologist all statistically significantly increased compared to 4 years prior.

Previous studies evaluated the public interest in other medical disciplines during the COVID-19 pandemic [25] [26] [27] [28] . Even though direct comparison of the present study is limited by differences in study design, the medical discipline evaluated, and the time periods compared, the present findings are consistent with those of the previous studies [25] [26] [27] [28] . Each study has shown a significant decrease in relative search volume for most of the search terms in the initial COVID-19 pandemic period. Shifting interest of patients from their rheumatic disease to COVID-19 might be responsible for this finding in the initial period.

In the July 5-August 29, 2020 period, the relative search volume for many of the search terms were either not statistically significant or significantly increased compared to similar periods of the prior 4 years. This finding may indicate that the interest in rheumatic diseases has gradually recovered shortly after the initial COVID-19 period, and the general public has informational needs on a wide range of rheumatic diseases. Interestingly, psoriatic arthritis was increased in all three periods evaluated in the study with an increase in relative search volume of axial spondyloarthritis, ankylosing spondylitis, rheumatoid arthritis, Sjögren's syndrome, antiphospholipid syndrome, scleroderma, Kawasaki disease, and ANCA-associated vasculitis in the July/August period. The gradual increased interest in rheumatic diseases might be due to the general public's lack of knowledge on potential risk that may exist between these diseases and immunosuppressive treatments with COVID-19 [30, 31] .

In a previous study using Google Trends, Dey and Zhao compared the relative search volume of Kawasaki disease during February-May 2020 to similar period in 2019 [32] . They showed a similar level of public interest in Kawasaki disease in February-March 2020 and 2019, and an increased interest after mid-April, 2020 [32] . The present study showed a similar increase in relative search of Kawasaki disease in all three periods evaluated while reaching a statistical significance during the July 5-August 29, 2020 period. The findings from the previous study (i.e., increasing interest after mid-April) [32] suggest that the insignificant increase between March 15 and May 9, 2020 may be due to similar relative search volume between March and early April, 2020. On the other hand, this study also found an increased interest in relative search of antiphospholipid syndrome. News on Kawasaki-like disease, and discussions on possible presence of antiphospholipid antibodies in COVID-19 might contribute to the observed trends in the present study [33] [34] [35] [36] .

It is interesting to note that there was no significant difference in relative search volume of the term "rheumatologist" between May 10 and July 4, 2020 compared to similar periods in 2016-2019; however, a statistically significant increase was seen in the July 5-August 29, 2020 period. This finding that indicates the increased need for rheumatologists during the COVID-19 pandemic may be attributable to two factors: (a) patients with a rheumatic disease and/or receiving immunosuppressive treatments wanted to consult rheumatologists on their disease/treatments [30] ; (b) patients consult rheumatologists on properties of several anti-inflammatory and immunomodulatory drugs that are being used in the treatment of COVID-19 because rheumatologists are experts in the use of these drugs [1, 7] . Rheumatic patients may be at a higher risk of receiving COVID infection with worse outcomes, as many of them tend to be susceptible from their underlying rheumatic disease or immunocompromised due to their treatment [9] [10] [11] [12] [13] [14] [15] [16] . Thus, this pandemic has put great responsibility on the shoulders of the rheumatologists for caring for this vulnerable patient group. In addition, considerable knowledge of rheumatologists and immunologists on the management of patients with pathological immune responses coupled with their substantial clinical experiences with many of the drugs that are currently being tested as potential COVID-19 treatment has led to rheumatologists and immunologists being placed right in the frontlines in facing COVID-19 [1] [2] [3] [4] [6] [7] [8] . All these demonstrate that the rheumatologists and immunologists have an indispensable role during the COVID-19 pandemic.

A limitation of this study is that the Google search engine was the only search engine used to conduct the analysis. However, because over 85% of internet users in the United States rely on Google for information searches [37] , the data used for this study represent a large sample size of American search queries as a whole. Moreover, the study evaluated the public interest only in initial and short term; therefore, a study examining the long-term interest during the pandemic is warranted in the future. In addition, the trends in COVID-19 terms, which would allow a better interpretation of the present results, could not be included to avoid overlapping publication with previous studies examining the trends of public interest in these terms [38, 39] . Another limitation of this study is that it does not provide information regarding the reasons for the observed trends. Further research is necessary to address this important issue.

In conclusion, there was a significant decrease in relative search volume for many rheumatic diseases between March 15 and May 9, 2020 when compared to similar periods during the prior 4 years. However, the trends reversed after the initial period ended. There was an increase in relative search for the term "rheumatologist" between July and August 2020 suggesting the need for rheumatologists during the COVID-19 pandemic. Policymakers and healthcare providers should address the informational demands on rheumatic diseases and needs for rheumatologists by the general public during pandemics like COVID-19.

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Author contributions Conception or design of the study: SK; data collection, analysis, and/or interpretation: SK, ASK, RR, HP, and MK; drafting the article: SK; critical revision of the article: SK, ASK, RR, HP, and MK; final approval of the version of the article to be published: