id sid tid token lemma pos cord-341187-jqesw4e8 1 1 key key JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 1 2 : : : cord-341187-jqesw4e8 1 3 cord-341187-jqesw4e8 cord-341187-jqesw4e8 NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 1 4 authors author NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 1 5 : : : cord-341187-jqesw4e8 1 6 Yu Yu NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 1 7 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 2 1 Xinhua Xinhua NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 2 2 title title NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 2 3 : : : cord-341187-jqesw4e8 3 1 Modeling model VBG cord-341187-jqesw4e8 3 2 Return return NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 3 3 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 3 4 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 3 5 Epidemic epidemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 3 6 : : : cord-341187-jqesw4e8 3 7 Impact Impact NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 3 8 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 3 9 Population Population NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 3 10 Structure Structure NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 3 11 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 3 12 Asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 3 13 Infection Infection NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 3 14 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 4 1 Case case NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 4 2 Importation Importation NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 4 3 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 4 4 Personal Personal NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 4 5 Contacts Contacts NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 4 6 date date NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 4 7 : : : cord-341187-jqesw4e8 4 8 2020 2020 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 4 9 - - HYPH cord-341187-jqesw4e8 4 10 08 08 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 4 11 - - HYPH cord-341187-jqesw4e8 4 12 27 27 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 4 13 journal journal NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 4 14 : : : cord-341187-jqesw4e8 5 1 Travel travel VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 5 2 Med Med NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 5 3 Infect infect VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 5 4 Dis dis NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 5 5 DOI doi NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 5 6 : : : cord-341187-jqesw4e8 5 7 10.1016 10.1016 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 5 8 / / SYM cord-341187-jqesw4e8 5 9 j.tmaid.2020.101858 j.tmaid.2020.101858 NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 5 10 sha sha NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 5 11 : : : cord-341187-jqesw4e8 6 1 1b4c0bc2b020d118091fbc0a7e8821f11c4dba6a 1b4c0bc2b020d118091fbc0a7e8821f11c4dba6a NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 6 2 doc_id doc_id CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 6 3 : : : cord-341187-jqesw4e8 6 4 341187 341187 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 6 5 cord_uid cord_uid NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 6 6 : : : cord-341187-jqesw4e8 7 1 jqesw4e8 jqesw4e8 NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 7 2 BACKGROUND background NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 7 3 : : : cord-341187-jqesw4e8 8 1 Proactive proactive JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 8 2 interventions intervention NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 8 3 have have VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 8 4 halted halt VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 8 5 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 8 6 pandemic pandemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 8 7 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 8 8 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 8 9 infected infect VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 8 10 disease disease NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 8 11 in in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 8 12 some some DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 8 13 regions region NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 8 14 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 9 1 However however RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 9 2 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 9 3 without without IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 9 4 reaching reach VBG cord-341187-jqesw4e8 9 5 herd herd NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 9 6 immunity immunity NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 9 7 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 9 8 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 9 9 return return NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 9 10 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 9 11 epidemic epidemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 9 12 is be VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 9 13 possible possible JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 9 14 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 10 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 10 2 investigate investigate VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 10 3 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 10 4 impact impact NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 10 5 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 10 6 population population NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 10 7 structure structure NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 10 8 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 10 9 case case NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 10 10 importation importation NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 10 11 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 10 12 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 10 13 cases case NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 10 14 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 10 15 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 10 16 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 10 17 number number NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 10 18 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 10 19 contacts contact NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 10 20 on on IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 10 21 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 10 22 possible possible JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 10 23 second second JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 10 24 wave wave NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 10 25 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 10 26 epidemic epidemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 10 27 through through IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 10 28 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 10 29 modelling modelling NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 10 30 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 11 1 METHODS method NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 11 2 : : : cord-341187-jqesw4e8 11 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 11 4 built build VBD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 11 5 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 11 6 modified modify VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 11 7 Susceptible susceptible JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 11 8 - - HYPH cord-341187-jqesw4e8 11 9 exposed expose VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 11 10 - - HYPH cord-341187-jqesw4e8 11 11 Infectious Infectious NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 11 12 - - HYPH cord-341187-jqesw4e8 11 13 Removed remove VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 11 14 ( ( -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 11 15 SEIR SEIR NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 11 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 11 17 model model NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 11 18 with with IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 11 19 parameters parameter NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 11 20 mirroring mirror VBG cord-341187-jqesw4e8 11 21 those those DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 11 22 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 11 23 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 11 24 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 11 25 pandemic pandemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 11 26 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 11 27 reported report VBD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 11 28 simulated simulated JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 11 29 characteristics characteristic NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 11 30 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 11 31 epidemics epidemic NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 11 32 for for IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 11 33 incidence incidence NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 11 34 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 11 35 hospitalizations hospitalization NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 11 36 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 11 37 deaths death NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 11 38 under under IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 11 39 different different JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 11 40 scenarios scenario NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 11 41 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 12 1 RESULTS result NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 12 2 : : : cord-341187-jqesw4e8 13 1 A a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 13 2 larger large JJR cord-341187-jqesw4e8 13 3 percent percent NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 13 4 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 13 5 elderly elderly JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 13 6 people people NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 13 7 leads lead VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 13 8 to to IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 13 9 higher high JJR cord-341187-jqesw4e8 13 10 number number NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 13 11 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 13 12 hospitalizations hospitalization NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 13 13 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 13 14 while while IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 13 15 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 13 16 large large JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 13 17 percent percent NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 13 18 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 13 19 prior prior JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 13 20 infection infection NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 13 21 will will MD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 13 22 effectively effectively RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 13 23 curb curb VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 13 24 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 13 25 epidemic epidemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 13 26 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 14 1 The the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 14 2 number number NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 14 3 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 14 4 imported import VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 14 5 cases case NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 14 6 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 14 7 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 14 8 speed speed NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 14 9 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 14 10 importation importation NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 14 11 have have VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 14 12 small small JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 14 13 impact impact NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 14 14 on on IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 14 15 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 14 16 epidemic epidemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 14 17 progression progression NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 14 18 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 15 1 However however RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 15 2 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 15 3 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 15 4 higher high JJR cord-341187-jqesw4e8 15 5 percent percent NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 15 6 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 15 7 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 15 8 cases case NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 15 9 slows slow VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 15 10 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 15 11 epidemic epidemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 15 12 down down RP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 15 13 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 15 14 reduces reduce VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 15 15 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 15 16 number number NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 15 17 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 15 18 hospitalizations hospitalization NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 15 19 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 15 20 deaths death NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 15 21 at at IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 15 22 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 15 23 epidemic epidemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 15 24 peak peak NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 15 25 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 16 1 Finally finally RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 16 2 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 16 3 reducing reduce VBG cord-341187-jqesw4e8 16 4 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 16 5 number number NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 16 6 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 16 7 contacts contact NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 16 8 among among IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 16 9 young young JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 16 10 people people NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 16 11 alone alone RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 16 12 has have VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 16 13 moderate moderate JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 16 14 effects effect NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 16 15 on on IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 16 16 themselves -PRON- PRP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 16 17 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 16 18 but but CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 16 19 little little JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 16 20 effects effect NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 16 21 on on IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 16 22 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 16 23 elderly elderly JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 16 24 population population NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 16 25 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 17 1 However however RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 17 2 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 17 3 reducing reduce VBG cord-341187-jqesw4e8 17 4 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 17 5 number number NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 17 6 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 17 7 contacts contact NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 17 8 among among IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 17 9 elderly elderly JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 17 10 people people NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 17 11 alone alone RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 17 12 can can MD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 17 13 mitigate mitigate VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 17 14 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 17 15 epidemic epidemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 17 16 significantly significantly RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 17 17 in in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 17 18 both both DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 17 19 age age NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 17 20 groups group NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 17 21 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 17 22 even even RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 17 23 though though IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 17 24 young young JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 17 25 people people NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 17 26 remain remain VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 17 27 active active JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 17 28 within within IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 17 29 themselves -PRON- PRP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 17 30 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 18 1 CONCLUSION conclusion NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 18 2 : : : cord-341187-jqesw4e8 19 1 Reducing reduce VBG cord-341187-jqesw4e8 19 2 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 19 3 number number NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 19 4 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 19 5 contacts contact NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 19 6 among among IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 19 7 high high JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 19 8 risk risk NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 19 9 populations population NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 19 10 alone alone RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 19 11 can can MD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 19 12 mitigate mitigate VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 19 13 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 19 14 burden burden NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 19 15 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 19 16 epidemic epidemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 19 17 in in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 19 18 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 19 19 whole whole JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 19 20 society society NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 19 21 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 20 1 Interventions intervention NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 20 2 targeting target VBG cord-341187-jqesw4e8 20 3 high high JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 20 4 risk risk NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 20 5 groups group NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 20 6 may may MD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 20 7 be be VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 20 8 more more RBR cord-341187-jqesw4e8 20 9 effective effective JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 20 10 in in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 20 11 containing contain VBG cord-341187-jqesw4e8 20 12 or or CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 20 13 mitigating mitigate VBG cord-341187-jqesw4e8 20 14 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 20 15 epidemic epidemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 20 16 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 21 1 : : : cord-341187-jqesw4e8 22 1 flowchart flowchart NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 22 2 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 22 3 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 22 4 epidemic epidemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 22 5 model model NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 23 1 The the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 23 2 above above JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 23 3 flowchart flowchart NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 23 4 is be VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 23 5 applied apply VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 23 6 to to IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 23 7 both both DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 23 8 young young JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 23 9 ( ( -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 23 10 age age NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 23 11 < < XX cord-341187-jqesw4e8 23 12 65 65 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 23 13 ) ) -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 23 14 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 23 15 old old JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 23 16 populations population NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 23 17 ( ( -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 23 18 age>=65 age>=65 NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 23 19 ) ) -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 23 20 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 24 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 24 2 assume assume VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 24 3 there there EX cord-341187-jqesw4e8 24 4 is be VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 24 5 cross cross JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 24 6 infection infection NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 24 7 between between IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 24 8 younger young JJR cord-341187-jqesw4e8 24 9 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 24 10 older old JJR cord-341187-jqesw4e8 24 11 age age NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 24 12 groups group NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 24 13 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 25 1 The the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 25 2 combined combined JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 25 3 flowcharts flowchart NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 25 4 can can MD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 25 5 be be VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 25 6 modeled model VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 25 7 in in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 25 8 differential differential JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 25 9 equations equation NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 25 10 ( ( -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 25 11 with with IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 25 12 index index NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 25 13 t t NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 25 14 suppressed suppress VBD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 25 15 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 25 16 subscript subscript NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 25 17 y y NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 25 18 for for IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 25 19 young young JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 25 20 people people NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 25 21 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 25 22 s s NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 25 23 for for IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 25 24 old old JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 25 25 people people NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 25 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 25 27 as as IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 25 28 follows follow VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 25 29 : : : cord-341187-jqesw4e8 26 1 Table1 table1 NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 26 2 : : : cord-341187-jqesw4e8 27 1 Detailed detailed JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 27 2 parameter parameter NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 27 3 estimates estimate NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 27 4 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 27 5 ranges range NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 27 6 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 28 1 All all DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 28 2 rates rate NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 28 3 are be VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 28 4 set set VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 28 5 as as IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 28 6 daily daily JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 28 7 rates rate NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 28 8 in in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 28 9 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 28 10 region region NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 28 11 with with IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 28 12 population population NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 28 13 size size NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 28 14 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 28 15 1,000,000 1,000,000 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 28 16 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 29 1 Range range NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 29 2 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 29 3 references reference NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 29 4 f f NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 29 5 1 1 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 29 6 Importing importing NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 29 7 rate rate NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 29 8 for for IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 29 9 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 29 10 population population NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 29 11 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 29 12 proportional proportional JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 29 13 to to IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 29 14 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 29 15 size size NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 29 16 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 29 17 population population NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 29 18 10 10 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 29 19 people people NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 29 20 per per IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 29 21 day day NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 29 22 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 29 23 only only RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 29 24 for for IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 29 25 young young JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 29 26 people people NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 30 1 Arbitrary arbitrary JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 30 2 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 30 3 net net JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 30 4 travel travel NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 30 5 inflow inflow NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 30 6 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 30 7 2 2 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 30 8 - - SYM cord-341187-jqesw4e8 30 9 20 20 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 30 10 people people NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 30 11 per per IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 30 12 day day NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 30 13 for for IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 30 14 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 30 15 city city NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 30 16 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 30 17 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 30 18 million million CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 30 19 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 31 1 f f NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 31 2 y2 y2 NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 31 3 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 31 4 f f NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 31 5 s2 s2 NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 31 6 Importing import VBG cord-341187-jqesw4e8 31 7 rate rate NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 31 8 for for IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 31 9 exposed exposed JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 31 10 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 31 11 infectious infectious JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 31 12 persons person NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 31 13 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 31 14 proportional proportional JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 31 15 to to IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 31 16 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 31 17 size size NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 31 18 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 31 19 population population NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 31 20 Note note NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 31 21 : : : cord-341187-jqesw4e8 31 22 1 1 LS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 31 23 ) ) -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 32 1 The the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 32 2 infecting infect VBG cord-341187-jqesw4e8 32 3 rate rate NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 32 4 per per IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 32 5 contact contact NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 32 6 per per IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 32 7 day day NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 32 8 is be VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 32 9 based base VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 32 10 on on IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 32 11 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 32 12 basic basic JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 32 13 reproductive reproductive JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 32 14 number number NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 32 15 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 32 16 serial serial JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 32 17 interval interval NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 32 18 between between IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 32 19 case case NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 32 20 generations generation NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 32 21 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 33 1 Early early JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 33 2 reports report NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 33 3 suggested suggest VBD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 33 4 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 33 5 R r NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 33 6 0 0 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 33 7 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 33 8 2.2 2.2 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 33 9 ( ( -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 33 10 range range VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 33 11 1.5 1.5 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 33 12 - - SYM cord-341187-jqesw4e8 33 13 3 3 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 33 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 33 15 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 33 16 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 33 17 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 33 18 serial serial JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 33 19 interval interval NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 33 20 range range NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 33 21 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 33 22 3 3 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 33 23 - - SYM cord-341187-jqesw4e8 33 24 9 9 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 33 25 days day NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 33 26 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 34 1 However however RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 34 2 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 34 3 several several JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 34 4 recent recent JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 34 5 studies study NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 34 6 found find VBD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 34 7 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 34 8 R r NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 34 9 0 0 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 34 10 was be VBD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 34 11 greater great JJR cord-341187-jqesw4e8 34 12 than than IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 34 13 3 3 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 34 14 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 34 15 one one CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 34 16 reported report VBD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 34 17 as as RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 34 18 high high JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 34 19 as as IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 34 20 5.7 5.7 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 34 21 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 35 1 In in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 35 2 this this DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 35 3 study study NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 35 4 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 35 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 35 6 took take VBD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 35 7 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 35 8 conservative conservative JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 35 9 estimate estimate NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 35 10 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 35 11 2.6 2.6 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 35 12 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 35 13 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 35 14 moderate moderate JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 35 15 serial serial JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 35 16 interval interval NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 35 17 : : : cord-341187-jqesw4e8 35 18 6 6 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 35 19 days day NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 35 20 for for IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 35 21 young young JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 35 22 people people NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 35 23 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 35 24 4 4 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 35 25 days day NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 35 26 for for IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 35 27 old old JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 35 28 people people NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 35 29 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 36 1 Based base VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 36 2 on on IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 36 3 simple simple JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 36 4 SIR SIR NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 36 5 model model NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 36 6 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 36 7 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 36 8 reproductive reproductive JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 36 9 number number NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 36 10 is be VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 36 11 k*b*t k*b*t VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 36 12 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 36 13 where where WRB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 36 14 k k NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 36 15 is be VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 36 16 contact contact NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 36 17 rate rate NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 36 18 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 36 19 b b NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 36 20 is be VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 36 21 infecting infect VBG cord-341187-jqesw4e8 36 22 probability probability NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 36 23 per per IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 36 24 contact contact NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 36 25 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 36 26 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 36 27 t t NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 36 28 is be VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 36 29 serial serial JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 36 30 interval interval NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 36 31 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 37 1 Assuming assume VBG cord-341187-jqesw4e8 37 2 k=10 k=10 FW cord-341187-jqesw4e8 37 3 contacts contact NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 37 4 per per IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 37 5 person person NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 37 6 per per IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 37 7 day day NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 37 8 for for IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 37 9 young young JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 37 10 people people NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 37 11 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 37 12 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 37 13 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 37 14 infecting infect VBG cord-341187-jqesw4e8 37 15 probability probability NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 37 16 is be VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 37 17 b1= b1= NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 37 18 0.043 0.043 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 37 19 for for IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 37 20 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 37 21 symptomatic symptomatic JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 37 22 young young JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 37 23 people people NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 37 24 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 38 1 For for IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 38 2 mild mild JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 38 3 or or CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 38 4 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 38 5 cases case NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 38 6 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 38 7 we -PRON- PRP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 38 8 assume assume VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 38 9 50 50 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 38 10 % % NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 38 11 less less RBR cord-341187-jqesw4e8 38 12 infectious infectious JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 38 13 than than IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 38 14 symptomatic symptomatic JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 38 15 cases case NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 38 16 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 38 17 thus thus RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 38 18 b2 b2 NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 38 19 = = SYM cord-341187-jqesw4e8 38 20 0.021 0.021 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 38 21 for for IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 38 22 young young JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 38 23 undiagnosed undiagnosed JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 38 24 people people NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 38 25 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 39 1 For for IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 39 2 older old JJR cord-341187-jqesw4e8 39 3 people people NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 39 4 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 39 5 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 39 6 parameters parameter NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 39 7 are be VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 39 8 set set VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 39 9 to to IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 39 10 higher high JJR cord-341187-jqesw4e8 39 11 than than IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 39 12 young young JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 39 13 people people NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 39 14 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 39 15 with with IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 39 16 fewer few JJR cord-341187-jqesw4e8 39 17 contact contact NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 39 18 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 39 19 shorter short JJR cord-341187-jqesw4e8 39 20 serial serial JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 39 21 interval interval NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 39 22 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 40 1 2 2 LS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 40 2 ) ) -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 41 1 The the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 41 2 base base NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 41 3 rate rate NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 41 4 per per IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 41 5 day day NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 41 6 is be VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 41 7 based base VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 41 8 on on IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 41 9 disease disease NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 41 10 duration duration NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 41 11 such such JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 41 12 as as IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 41 13 incubation incubation NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 41 14 period period NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 41 15 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 41 16 diagnosis diagnosis NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 41 17 delay delay NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 41 18 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 41 19 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 41 20 delay delay NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 41 21 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 41 22 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 41 23 stay stay NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 41 24 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 41 25 recovery recovery NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 41 26 duration duration NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 41 27 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 42 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 42 2 assumed assume VBD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 42 3 an an DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 42 4 exponential exponential JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 42 5 distribution distribution NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 42 6 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 42 7 duration duration NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 42 8 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 42 9 i.e. i.e. FW cord-341187-jqesw4e8 42 10 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 42 11 daily daily JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 42 12 rate rate NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 42 13 is be VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 42 14 1-exp(-1 1-exp(-1 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 42 15 / / SYM cord-341187-jqesw4e8 42 16 duration duration NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 42 17 ) ) -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 42 18 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 43 1 J J NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 43 2 o o NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 43 3 u u NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 43 4 r r NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 43 5 n n NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 43 6 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 43 7 l l NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 43 8 P p NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 43 9 r r NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 43 10 e e NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 43 11 -p -p NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 43 12 r r NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 43 13 o o NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 44 1 o o UH cord-341187-jqesw4e8 44 2 f f NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 44 3 7 7 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 45 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 45 2 investigate investigate VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 45 3 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 45 4 impact impact NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 45 5 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 45 6 population population NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 45 7 structure structure NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 45 8 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 45 9 case case NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 45 10 importation importation NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 45 11 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 45 12 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 45 13 cases case NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 45 14 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 45 15 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 45 16 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 45 17 number number NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 45 18 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 45 19 contacts contact NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 45 20 on on IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 45 21 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 45 22 possible possible JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 45 23 second second JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 45 24 wave wave NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 45 25 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 45 26 epidemic epidemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 45 27 through through IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 45 28 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 45 29 modelling modelling NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 45 30 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 46 1 Methods method NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 46 2 : : : cord-341187-jqesw4e8 46 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 46 4 built build VBD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 46 5 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 46 6 modified modify VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 46 7 Susceptible susceptible JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 46 8 - - HYPH cord-341187-jqesw4e8 46 9 exposed expose VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 46 10 - - HYPH cord-341187-jqesw4e8 46 11 Infectious Infectious NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 46 12 - - HYPH cord-341187-jqesw4e8 46 13 Removed remove VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 46 14 ( ( -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 46 15 SEIR SEIR NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 46 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 46 17 model model NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 46 18 with with IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 46 19 parameters parameter NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 46 20 mirroring mirror VBG cord-341187-jqesw4e8 46 21 those those DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 46 22 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 46 23 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 46 24 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 46 25 pandemic pandemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 46 26 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 46 27 reported report VBD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 46 28 simulated simulated JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 46 29 characteristics characteristic NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 46 30 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 46 31 epidemics epidemic NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 46 32 for for IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 46 33 incidence incidence NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 46 34 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 46 35 hospitalizations hospitalization NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 46 36 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 46 37 deaths death NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 46 38 under under IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 46 39 different different JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 46 40 scenarios scenario NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 46 41 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 47 1 have have VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 47 2 detected detect VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 47 3 virus virus NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 47 4 shedding shed VBG cord-341187-jqesw4e8 47 5 in in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 47 6 nasopharyngeal nasopharyngeal JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 47 7 swap swap NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 47 8 samples sample NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 47 9 among among IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 47 10 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 47 11 cases case NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 47 12 [ [ -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 47 13 11 11 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 47 14 ] ] -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 47 15 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 48 1 A a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 48 2 few few JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 48 3 case case NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 48 4 reports report NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 48 5 have have VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 48 6 shown show VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 48 7 some some DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 48 8 cluster cluster NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 48 9 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 48 10 cases case NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 48 11 initiated initiate VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 48 12 by by IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 48 13 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 48 14 cases case NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 48 15 [ [ -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 48 16 6 6 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 48 17 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 48 18 8 8 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 48 19 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 48 20 10 10 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 48 21 ] ] -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 48 22 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 49 1 Researchers researcher NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 49 2 have have VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 49 3 postulated postulate VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 49 4 that that IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 49 5 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 49 6 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 49 7 pre pre JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 49 8 - - JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 49 9 symptomatic symptomatic JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 49 10 cases case NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 49 11 may may MD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 49 12 play play VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 49 13 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 49 14 significant significant JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 49 15 role role NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 49 16 in in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 49 17 sustaining sustain VBG cord-341187-jqesw4e8 49 18 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 49 19 community community NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 49 20 transmission transmission NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 49 21 [ [ -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 49 22 7 7 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 49 23 ] ] -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 49 24 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 50 1 Second second JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 50 2 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 50 3 government government NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 50 4 leaders leader NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 50 5 have have VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 50 6 been be VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 50 7 pressed press VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 50 8 to to TO cord-341187-jqesw4e8 50 9 allow allow VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 50 10 people people NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 50 11 to to TO cord-341187-jqesw4e8 50 12 return return VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 50 13 to to IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 50 14 normal normal JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 50 15 work work NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 50 16 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 50 17 life life NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 50 18 to to TO cord-341187-jqesw4e8 50 19 avoid avoid VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 50 20 economic economic JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 50 21 recession recession NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 50 22 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 51 1 After after IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 51 2 social social JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 51 3 activities activity NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 51 4 are be VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 51 5 restored restore VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 51 6 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 51 7 both both CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 51 8 international international JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 51 9 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 51 10 domestic domestic JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 51 11 J J NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 51 12 o o NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 51 13 u u NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 51 14 r r NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 51 15 n n NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 51 16 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 51 17 l l NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 51 18 P p NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 51 19 r r NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 51 20 e e NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 52 1 -p -p NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 52 2 r r NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 52 3 o o NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 52 4 o o NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 52 5 f f NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 52 6 travel travel NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 52 7 ban ban NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 52 8 will will MD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 52 9 be be VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 52 10 lifted lift VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 52 11 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 53 1 Social social JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 53 2 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 53 3 work work NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 53 4 - - HYPH cord-341187-jqesw4e8 53 5 related relate VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 53 6 gatherings gathering NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 53 7 are be VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 53 8 restored restore VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 53 9 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 54 1 Imported import VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 54 2 symptomatic symptomatic JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 54 3 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 54 4 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 54 5 cases case NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 54 6 may may MD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 54 7 kindle kindle VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 54 8 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 54 9 second second JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 54 10 wave wave NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 54 11 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 54 12 epidemic epidemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 54 13 in in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 54 14 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 54 15 community community NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 54 16 [ [ -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 54 17 7 7 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 54 18 ] ] -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 54 19 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 55 1 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 55 2 US US NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 55 3 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 55 4 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 55 5 mortality mortality NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 55 6 rate rate NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 55 7 for for IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 55 8 age age NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 55 9 50 50 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 55 10 or or CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 55 11 younger young JJR cord-341187-jqesw4e8 55 12 is be VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 55 13 below below IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 55 14 1 1 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 55 15 % % NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 55 16 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 55 17 while while IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 55 18 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 55 19 mortality mortality NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 55 20 rate rate NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 55 21 increases increase NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 55 22 to to IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 55 23 more more JJR cord-341187-jqesw4e8 55 24 than than IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 55 25 10 10 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 55 26 % % NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 55 27 among among IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 55 28 people people NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 55 29 aged age VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 55 30 80 80 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 55 31 or or CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 55 32 above above IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 55 33 [ [ -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 55 34 15 15 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 55 35 ] ] -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 55 36 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 56 1 Finally finally RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 56 2 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 56 3 as as IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 56 4 demonstrated demonstrate VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 56 5 in in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 56 6 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 56 7 2009 2009 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 56 8 H1N1 H1N1 NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 56 9 flu flu NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 56 10 pandemic pandemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 56 11 [ [ -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 56 12 16 16 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 56 13 ] ] -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 56 14 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 56 15 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 56 16 pandemic pandemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 56 17 with with IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 56 18 lower low JJR cord-341187-jqesw4e8 56 19 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 56 20 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 56 21 mortality mortality NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 56 22 rates rate NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 56 23 has have VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 56 24 less less JJR cord-341187-jqesw4e8 56 25 impact impact NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 56 26 on on IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 56 27 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 56 28 society society NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 56 29 than than IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 56 30 those those DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 56 31 with with IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 56 32 higher high JJR cord-341187-jqesw4e8 56 33 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 56 34 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 56 35 mortality mortality NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 56 36 rates rate NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 56 37 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 56 38 though though IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 56 39 it -PRON- PRP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 56 40 may may MD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 56 41 still still RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 56 42 have have VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 56 43 heavier heavy JJR cord-341187-jqesw4e8 56 44 impact impact NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 56 45 on on IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 56 46 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 56 47 economy economy NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 56 48 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 57 1 Epidemic epidemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 57 2 model model NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 57 3 simulation simulation NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 57 4 has have VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 57 5 been be VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 57 6 used use VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 57 7 extensively extensively RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 57 8 to to TO cord-341187-jqesw4e8 57 9 estimate estimate VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 57 10 essential essential JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 57 11 epidemic epidemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 57 12 parameters parameter NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 57 13 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 57 14 In in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 57 15 this this DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 57 16 study study NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 57 17 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 57 18 we -PRON- PRP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 57 19 will will MD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 57 20 build build VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 57 21 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 57 22 modified modify VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 57 23 Susceptible susceptible JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 57 24 - - HYPH cord-341187-jqesw4e8 57 25 Exposed exposed JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 57 26 - - HYPH cord-341187-jqesw4e8 57 27 Infectious Infectious NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 57 28 - - HYPH cord-341187-jqesw4e8 57 29 Removed remove VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 57 30 ( ( -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 57 31 SEIR SEIR NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 57 32 ) ) -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 57 33 model model NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 57 34 [ [ -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 57 35 27 27 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 57 36 ] ] -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 57 37 to to TO cord-341187-jqesw4e8 57 38 simulate simulate VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 57 39 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 57 40 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 57 41 pandemic pandemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 57 42 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 57 43 investigate investigate VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 57 44 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 57 45 impact impact NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 57 46 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 57 47 population population NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 57 48 structure structure NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 57 49 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 57 50 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 57 51 cases case NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 57 52 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 57 53 case case NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 57 54 importation importation NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 57 55 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 57 56 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 57 57 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 57 58 number number NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 57 59 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 57 60 contacts contact NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 57 61 on on IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 57 62 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 57 63 epidemic epidemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 57 64 progression progression NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 57 65 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 58 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 58 2 will will MD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 58 3 explicitly explicitly RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 58 4 evaluate evaluate VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 58 5 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 58 6 changes change NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 58 7 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 58 8 hospitalizations hospitalization NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 58 9 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 58 10 mortality mortality NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 58 11 under under IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 58 12 various various JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 58 13 scenarios scenario NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 58 14 for for IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 58 15 young young JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 58 16 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 58 17 elderly elderly JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 58 18 people people NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 58 19 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 59 1 Our -PRON- PRP$ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 59 2 analysis analysis NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 59 3 will will MD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 59 4 provide provide VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 59 5 theoretical theoretical JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 59 6 evidence evidence NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 59 7 for for IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 59 8 possible possible JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 59 9 strategies strategy NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 59 10 to to TO cord-341187-jqesw4e8 59 11 prepare prepare VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 59 12 for for IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 59 13 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 59 14 second second JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 59 15 wave wave NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 59 16 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 59 17 epidemic epidemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 59 18 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 60 1 The the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 60 2 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 60 3 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 60 4 like like IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 60 5 many many JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 60 6 other other JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 60 7 respiratory respiratory JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 60 8 infectious infectious JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 60 9 diseases disease NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 60 10 such such JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 60 11 as as IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 60 12 influenza influenza NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 60 13 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 60 14 often often RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 60 15 has have VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 60 16 an an DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 60 17 incubation incubation NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 60 18 period period NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 60 19 during during IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 60 20 which which WDT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 60 21 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 60 22 exposed expose VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 60 23 persons person NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 60 24 can can MD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 60 25 not not RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 60 26 transmit transmit VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 60 27 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 60 28 virus virus NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 60 29 to to IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 60 30 others other NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 60 31 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 61 1 After after IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 61 2 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 61 3 incubation incubation NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 61 4 period period NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 61 5 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 61 6 there there EX cord-341187-jqesw4e8 61 7 is be VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 61 8 an an DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 61 9 infection infection NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 61 10 period period NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 61 11 during during IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 61 12 which which WDT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 61 13 cases case NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 61 14 may may MD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 61 15 or or CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 61 16 may may MD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 61 17 not not RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 61 18 have have VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 61 19 symptoms symptom NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 61 20 but but CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 61 21 are be VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 61 22 able able JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 61 23 to to TO cord-341187-jqesw4e8 61 24 infect infect VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 61 25 other other JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 61 26 people people NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 61 27 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 62 1 The the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 62 2 infectivity infectivity NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 62 3 may may MD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 62 4 also also RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 62 5 vary vary VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 62 6 at at IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 62 7 different different JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 62 8 time time NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 62 9 points point NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 62 10 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 62 11 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 62 12 infection infection NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 62 13 period period NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 62 14 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 63 1 As as IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 63 2 in in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 63 3 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 63 4 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 63 5 pandemic pandemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 63 6 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 63 7 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 63 8 highest high JJS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 63 9 infectious infectious JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 63 10 points point NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 63 11 are be VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 63 12 1 1 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 63 13 - - SYM cord-341187-jqesw4e8 63 14 2 2 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 63 15 days day NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 63 16 around around IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 63 17 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 63 18 symptom symptom NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 63 19 onset onset NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 63 20 [ [ -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 63 21 28 28 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 63 22 ] ] -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 63 23 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 64 1 After after IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 64 2 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 64 3 infection infection NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 64 4 period period NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 64 5 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 64 6 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 64 7 patients patient NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 64 8 are be VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 64 9 recovered recover VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 64 10 or or CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 64 11 removed remove VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 64 12 from from IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 64 13 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 64 14 infectious infectious JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 64 15 pool pool NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 64 16 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 65 1 In in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 65 2 addition addition NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 65 3 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 65 4 various various JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 65 5 controlling control VBG cord-341187-jqesw4e8 65 6 measures measure NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 65 7 may may MD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 65 8 be be VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 65 9 implemented implement VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 65 10 J J NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 65 11 o o NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 65 12 u u NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 65 13 r r NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 65 14 n n NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 65 15 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 65 16 l l NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 65 17 P p NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 65 18 r r NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 65 19 e e NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 65 20 -p -p NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 66 1 r r LS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 67 1 o o UH cord-341187-jqesw4e8 68 1 o o UH cord-341187-jqesw4e8 68 2 f f XX cord-341187-jqesw4e8 68 3 during during IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 68 4 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 68 5 epidemic epidemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 68 6 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 68 7 notably notably RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 68 8 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 68 9 case case NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 68 10 isolation isolation NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 68 11 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 68 12 quarantine quarantine NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 68 13 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 68 14 high high JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 68 15 risk risk NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 68 16 people people NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 68 17 through through IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 68 18 contact contact NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 68 19 tracing tracing NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 68 20 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 68 21 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 68 22 also also RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 68 23 social social JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 68 24 distancing distancing NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 68 25 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 69 1 All all PDT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 69 2 these these DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 69 3 measures measure NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 69 4 will will MD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 69 5 change change VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 69 6 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 69 7 transmissibility transmissibility NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 69 8 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 69 9 virus virus NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 69 10 during during IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 69 11 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 69 12 contact contact NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 69 13 between between IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 69 14 an an DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 69 15 infectious infectious JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 69 16 person person NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 69 17 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 69 18 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 69 19 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 69 20 person person NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 69 21 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 70 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 70 2 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 70 3 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 70 4 modified modify VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 70 5 SEIR seir NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 70 6 model model NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 70 7 as as IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 70 8 shown show VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 70 9 in in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 70 10 Figure figure NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 70 11 1 1 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 70 12 is be VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 70 13 appropriate appropriate JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 70 14 ( ( -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 70 15 also also RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 70 16 see see VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 70 17 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 70 18 modeling modeling NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 70 19 framework framework NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 70 20 section section NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 70 21 in in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 70 22 supplemental supplemental JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 70 23 documents document NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 70 24 for for IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 70 25 details detail NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 70 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 70 27 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 71 1 The the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 71 2 SEIR SEIR NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 71 3 model model NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 71 4 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 71 5 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 71 6 variants variant NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 71 7 have have VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 71 8 been be VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 71 9 used use VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 71 10 in in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 71 11 many many JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 71 12 previous previous JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 71 13 studies study NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 71 14 for for IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 71 15 modeling model VBG cord-341187-jqesw4e8 71 16 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 71 17 COVID-19 covid-19 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 71 18 pandemic pandemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 71 19 [ [ -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 71 20 23 23 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 71 21 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 71 22 25 25 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 71 23 ] ] -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 71 24 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 72 1 Briefly briefly RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 72 2 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 72 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 72 4 divide divide VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 72 5 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 72 6 population population NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 72 7 into into IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 72 8 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 72 9 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 72 10 population population NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 72 11 ( ( -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 72 12 S S NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 72 13 ) ) -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 72 14 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 72 15 self self NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 72 16 - - HYPH cord-341187-jqesw4e8 72 17 quarantined quarantine VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 72 18 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 72 19 people people NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 72 20 ( ( -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 72 21 Q Q NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 72 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 72 23 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 72 24 exposed expose VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 73 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 73 2 also also RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 73 3 assume assume VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 73 4 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 73 5 dynamic dynamic JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 73 6 population population NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 73 7 in in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 73 8 which which WDT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 73 9 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 73 10 numbers number NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 73 11 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 73 12 imported import VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 73 13 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 73 14 persons person NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 73 15 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 73 16 assumptions assumption NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 73 17 that that WDT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 73 18 will will MD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 73 19 be be VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 73 20 discussed discuss VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 73 21 later later RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 73 22 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 73 23 also also RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 73 24 in in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 73 25 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 73 26 supplemental supplemental JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 73 27 document document NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 73 28 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 74 1 To to TO cord-341187-jqesw4e8 74 2 account account VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 74 3 for for IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 74 4 population population NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 74 5 heterogeneity heterogeneity NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 74 6 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 74 7 we -PRON- PRP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 74 8 also also RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 74 9 apply apply VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 74 10 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 74 11 basic basic JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 74 12 framework framework NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 74 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 74 14 Figure figure NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 74 15 1 1 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 74 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 74 17 to to IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 74 18 both both DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 74 19 young young JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 74 20 ( ( -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 74 21 age age NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 74 22 < < XX cord-341187-jqesw4e8 74 23 65 65 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 74 24 ) ) -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 74 25 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 74 26 elderly elderly JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 74 27 ( ( -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 74 28 age age NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 74 29 > > XX cord-341187-jqesw4e8 75 1 = = SYM cord-341187-jqesw4e8 75 2 65 65 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 75 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 75 4 populations population NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 75 5 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 76 1 The the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 76 2 two two CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 76 3 flowcharts flowchart NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 76 4 are be VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 76 5 connected connect VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 76 6 through through IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 76 7 cross cross NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 76 8 - - NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 76 9 infection infection NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 76 10 due due IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 76 11 to to IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 76 12 mutual mutual JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 76 13 contacts contact NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 76 14 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 77 1 The the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 77 2 combined combined JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 77 3 flowcharts flowchart NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 77 4 can can MD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 77 5 be be VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 77 6 translated translate VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 77 7 into into IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 77 8 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 77 9 set set NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 77 10 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 77 11 ordinary ordinary JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 77 12 differential differential JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 77 13 equations equation NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 77 14 ( ( -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 77 15 see see VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 77 16 supplemental supplemental JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 77 17 document document NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 77 18 ) ) -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 77 19 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 78 1 The the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 78 2 key key JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 78 3 equations equation NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 78 4 relevant relevant JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 78 5 to to IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 78 6 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 78 7 drive drive NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 78 8 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 78 9 pandemic pandemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 78 10 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 78 11 cross cross NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 78 12 - - NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 78 13 infection infection NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 78 14 between between IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 78 15 two two CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 78 16 age age NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 78 17 groups group NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 78 18 are be VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 78 19 for for IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 78 20 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 78 21 change change NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 78 22 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 78 23 exposed expose VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 78 24 people people NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 78 25 at at IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 78 26 time time NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 78 27 t t NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 78 28 ( ( -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 78 29 subscript subscript NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 78 30 y y NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 78 31 for for IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 78 32 young young JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 78 33 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 78 34 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 78 35 s s VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 78 36 for for IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 78 37 elderly elderly JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 78 38 people people NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 78 39 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 78 40 with with IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 78 41 time time NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 78 42 indicator indicator NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 78 43 t t NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 78 44 suppressed suppress VBD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 78 45 ) ) -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 78 46 : : : cord-341187-jqesw4e8 78 47 Specifically specifically RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 78 48 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 78 49 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 78 50 first first JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 78 51 equation equation NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 78 52 models model VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 78 53 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 78 54 exposure exposure NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 78 55 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 78 56 among among IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 78 57 young young JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 78 58 people people NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 78 59 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 79 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 79 2 includes include VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 79 3 imported import VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 79 4 exposed expose VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 79 5 people people NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 79 6 ( ( -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 79 7 f f NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 79 8 y2 y2 NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 79 9 N N NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 79 10 y y NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 79 11 ) ) -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 79 12 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 79 13 newly newly RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 79 14 exposed expose VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 79 15 people people NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 79 16 through through IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 79 17 contacting contact VBG cord-341187-jqesw4e8 79 18 within within IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 79 19 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 79 20 young young JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 79 21 people people NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 79 22 ( ( -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 79 23 + + NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 79 24 ) ) -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 79 25 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 79 26 contacting contact VBG cord-341187-jqesw4e8 79 27 between between IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 79 28 young young JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 79 29 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 79 30 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 79 31 infected infected JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 79 32 elderly elderly JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 79 33 people people NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 79 34 ( ( -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 79 35 + + NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 79 36 ) ) -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 79 37 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 80 1 Then then RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 80 2 some some DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 80 3 percent percent NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 80 4 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 80 5 exposed expose VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 80 6 young young JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 80 7 people people NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 80 8 become become VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 80 9 symptomatic symptomatic JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 80 10 cases case NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 80 11 ( ( -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 80 12 ) ) -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 80 13 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 80 14 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 80 15 some some DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 80 16 become become VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 80 17 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 80 18 cases case NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 80 19 ( ( -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 80 20 ) ) -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 80 21 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 81 1 A a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 81 2 fixed fixed JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 81 3 percent percent NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 81 4 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 81 5 exposed expose VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 81 6 people people NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 81 7 will will MD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 81 8 die die VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 81 9 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 81 10 other other JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 81 11 diseases disease NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 81 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 81 13 ) ) -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 81 14 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 82 1 The the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 82 2 second second JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 82 3 equation equation NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 82 4 for for IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 82 5 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 82 6 exposure exposure NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 82 7 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 82 8 among among IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 82 9 elderly elderly JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 82 10 people people NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 82 11 can can MD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 82 12 be be VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 82 13 interpreted interpret VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 82 14 similarly similarly RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 82 15 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 83 1 The the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 83 2 model model NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 83 3 involves involve VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 83 4 many many JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 83 5 parameters parameter NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 83 6 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 84 1 Their -PRON- PRP$ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 84 2 definitions definition NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 84 3 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 84 4 default default NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 84 5 values value NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 84 6 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 84 7 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 84 8 ranges range NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 84 9 are be VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 84 10 listed list VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 84 11 in in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 84 12 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 84 13 supplemental supplemental JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 84 14 document document NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 84 15 ( ( -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 84 16 supp supp NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 84 17 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 84 18 _SP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 85 1 The the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 85 2 default default NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 85 3 model model NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 85 4 is be VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 85 5 set set VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 85 6 on on IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 85 7 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 85 8 region region NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 85 9 with with IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 85 10 1 1 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 85 11 million million CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 85 12 residents resident NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 85 13 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 85 14 consisting consist VBG cord-341187-jqesw4e8 85 15 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 85 16 20 20 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 85 17 % % NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 85 18 elderly elderly JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 85 19 people people NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 85 20 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 85 21 20 20 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 85 22 % % NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 85 23 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 85 24 total total JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 85 25 population population NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 85 26 with with IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 85 27 past past JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 85 28 infection infection NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 85 29 ( ( -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 85 30 or or CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 85 31 immunized immunize VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 85 32 ) ) -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 85 33 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 86 1 There there EX cord-341187-jqesw4e8 86 2 is be VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 86 3 no no DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 86 4 existing exist VBG cord-341187-jqesw4e8 86 5 symptomatic symptomatic JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 86 6 or or CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 86 7 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 86 8 case case NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 86 9 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 86 10 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 86 11 no no DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 86 12 person person NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 86 13 in in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 86 14 self self NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 86 15 - - HYPH cord-341187-jqesw4e8 86 16 quarantine quarantine NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 86 17 in in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 86 18 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 86 19 region region NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 86 20 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 87 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 87 2 assume assume VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 87 3 only only RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 87 4 one one CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 87 5 imported import VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 87 6 young young JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 87 7 exposed expose VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 87 8 case case NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 87 9 every every DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 87 10 two two CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 87 11 days day NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 87 12 for for IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 87 13 20 20 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 87 14 days day NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 87 15 ( ( -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 87 16 i.e. i.e. FW cord-341187-jqesw4e8 87 17 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 87 18 10 10 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 87 19 imported import VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 87 20 cases case NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 87 21 ) ) -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 87 22 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 88 1 Analyses analysis NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 88 2 are be VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 88 3 performed perform VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 88 4 based base VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 88 5 on on IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 88 6 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 88 7 ranges range NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 88 8 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 88 9 parameter parameter NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 88 10 estimates estimate NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 88 11 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 89 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 89 2 vary vary VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 89 3 one one CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 89 4 parameter parameter NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 89 5 at at IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 89 6 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 89 7 The the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 89 8 R r NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 89 9 package package NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 90 1 EpiModel EpiModel NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 90 2 is be VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 90 3 used use VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 90 4 for for IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 90 5 simulating simulate VBG cord-341187-jqesw4e8 90 6 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 90 7 deterministic deterministic JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 90 8 epidemic epidemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 90 9 models model NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 90 10 [ [ -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 90 11 40 40 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 90 12 ] ] -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 90 13 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 91 1 The the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 91 2 R r NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 91 3 codes code VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 91 4 for for IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 91 5 simulating simulate VBG cord-341187-jqesw4e8 91 6 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 91 7 modified modify VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 91 8 SEIR seir NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 91 9 epidemic epidemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 91 10 models model NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 91 11 are be VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 91 12 available available JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 91 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 91 14 http://github.com/xinhuayu/returnepidemic/ http://github.com/xinhuayu/returnepidemic/ NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 91 15 ) ) -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 91 16 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 92 1 This this DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 92 2 study study NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 92 3 is be VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 92 4 deemed deem VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 92 5 exempt exempt JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 92 6 from from IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 92 7 ethics ethic NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 92 8 approval approval NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 92 9 as as IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 92 10 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 92 11 research research NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 92 12 involves involve VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 92 13 no no DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 92 14 human human JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 92 15 subjects subject NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 92 16 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 92 17 we -PRON- PRP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 92 18 use use VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 92 19 publicly publicly RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 92 20 available available JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 92 21 data datum NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 92 22 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 93 1 No no DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 93 2 informed informed JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 93 3 consent consent NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 93 4 is be VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 93 5 needed need VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 93 6 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 94 1 Under under IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 94 2 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 94 3 default default NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 94 4 model model NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 94 5 setting setting NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 94 6 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 94 7 all all DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 94 8 epidemic epidemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 94 9 measures measure NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 94 10 reflect reflect VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 94 11 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 94 12 model model NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 94 13 parameters parameter NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 94 14 satisfactorily satisfactorily RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 94 15 ( ( -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 94 16 Table table NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 94 17 2 2 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 94 18 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 94 19 also also RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 94 20 refer refer VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 94 21 to to IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 94 22 supplemental supplemental JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 94 23 Table Table NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 94 24 1 1 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 94 25 ) ) -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 94 26 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 95 1 That that RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 95 2 is is RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 95 3 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 95 4 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 95 5 resulting result VBG cord-341187-jqesw4e8 95 6 epidemic epidemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 96 1 J J NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 96 2 o o NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 96 3 u u NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 96 4 r r NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 96 5 n n NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 96 6 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 96 7 l l NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 96 8 P p NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 96 9 r r NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 96 10 e e NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 96 11 -p -p NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 96 12 r r NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 96 13 o o NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 96 14 o o NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 96 15 f f NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 96 16 measures measure NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 96 17 from from IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 96 18 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 96 19 default default NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 96 20 model model NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 96 21 such such JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 96 22 as as IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 96 23 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 96 24 disease disease NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 96 25 incidence incidence NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 96 26 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 96 27 epidemic epidemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 96 28 peak peak NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 96 29 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 96 30 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 96 31 duration duration NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 96 32 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 96 33 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 96 34 epidemic epidemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 96 35 are be VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 96 36 reasonable reasonable JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 96 37 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 96 38 mirror mirror VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 96 39 those those DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 96 40 reported report VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 96 41 in in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 96 42 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 96 43 literature literature NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 96 44 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 97 1 For for IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 97 2 example example NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 97 3 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 97 4 starting start VBG cord-341187-jqesw4e8 97 5 with with IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 97 6 ten ten CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 97 7 imported import VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 97 8 infectious infectious JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 97 9 persons person NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 97 10 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 97 11 assuming assume VBG cord-341187-jqesw4e8 97 12 40 40 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 97 13 % % NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 97 14 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 97 15 cases case NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 97 16 at at IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 97 17 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 97 18 peak peak NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 97 19 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 97 20 epidemic epidemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 97 21 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 97 22 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 97 23 epidemic epidemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 97 24 reaches reach VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 97 25 peak peak VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 97 26 quickly quickly RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 97 27 within within IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 97 28 73 73 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 97 29 days day NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 97 30 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 97 31 lasts last VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 97 32 172 172 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 97 33 days day NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 97 34 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 98 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 98 2 is be VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 98 3 ten ten CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 98 4 days day NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 98 5 quicker quick RBR cord-341187-jqesw4e8 98 6 among among IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 98 7 elderly elderly JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 98 8 people people NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 98 9 than than IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 98 10 among among IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 98 11 young young JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 98 12 people people NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 98 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 98 14 Table Table NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 98 15 2 2 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 98 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 98 17 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 99 1 The the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 99 2 epidemic epidemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 99 3 curves curve NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 99 4 for for IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 99 5 incident incident NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 99 6 cases case NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 99 7 ( ( -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 99 8 symptomatic symptomatic JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 99 9 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 99 10 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 99 11 ) ) -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 99 12 , , . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 100 1 hospitalizations hospitalization NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 100 2 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 100 3 deaths death NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 100 4 by by IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 100 5 age age NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 100 6 groups group NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 100 7 are be VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 100 8 typical typical JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 101 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 101 2 Supplemental Supplemental NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 101 3 Figure Figure NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 101 4 2 2 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 101 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 101 6 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 102 1 The the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 102 2 modeling modeling NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 102 3 results result NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 102 4 in in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 102 5 an an DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 102 6 overall overall JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 102 7 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 102 8 rate rate NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 102 9 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 102 10 14.1 14.1 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 102 11 % % NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 102 12 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 103 1 The the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 103 2 in in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 103 3 - - HYPH cord-341187-jqesw4e8 103 4 hospital hospital NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 103 5 mortality mortality NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 103 6 rate rate NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 103 7 is be VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 103 8 5.0 5.0 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 103 9 % % NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 103 10 for for IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 103 11 young young JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 103 12 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 103 13 20.3 20.3 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 103 14 % % NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 103 15 for for IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 103 16 elderly elderly JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 103 17 people people NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 103 18 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 103 19 with with IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 103 20 an an DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 103 21 overall overall JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 103 22 mortality mortality NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 103 23 rate rate NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 103 24 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 103 25 1.9 1.9 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 103 26 % % NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 103 27 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 103 28 similar similar JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 103 29 to to IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 103 30 those those DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 103 31 empirical empirical JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 103 32 measures measure NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 103 33 in in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 103 34 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 103 35 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 103 36 pandemic pandemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 103 37 in in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 103 38 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 103 39 early early JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 103 40 epidemic epidemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 103 41 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 103 42 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 103 43 US US NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 103 44 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 104 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 104 2 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 104 3 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 104 4 default default NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 104 5 model model NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 104 6 represents represent VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 104 7 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 104 8 current current JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 104 9 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 104 10 pandemic pandemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 104 11 sufficiently sufficiently RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 104 12 well well RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 104 13 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 105 1 As as IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 105 2 summarized summarize VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 105 3 in in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 105 4 Table Table NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 105 5 3 3 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 105 6 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 105 7 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 105 8 size size NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 105 9 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 105 10 region region NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 105 11 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 105 12 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 105 13 small small JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 105 14 percent percent NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 105 15 change change NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 105 16 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 105 17 self self NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 105 18 - - HYPH cord-341187-jqesw4e8 105 19 quarantined quarantine VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 105 20 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 105 21 people people NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 105 22 do do VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 105 23 not not RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 105 24 change change VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 105 25 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 105 26 epidemic epidemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 105 27 progression progression NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 105 28 significantly significantly RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 105 29 except except IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 105 30 for for IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 105 31 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 105 32 total total JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 105 33 number number NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 105 34 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 105 35 cases case NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 105 36 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 106 1 A a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 106 2 smaller small JJR cord-341187-jqesw4e8 106 3 percent percent NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 106 4 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 106 5 elderly elderly JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 106 6 slows slow VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 106 7 down down IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 106 8 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 106 9 epidemic epidemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 106 10 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 106 11 while while IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 106 12 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 106 13 much much RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 106 14 higher high JJR cord-341187-jqesw4e8 106 15 percent percent NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 106 16 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 106 17 elderly elderly JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 106 18 does do VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 106 19 not not RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 106 20 change change VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 106 21 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 106 22 epidemic epidemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 106 23 curve curve NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 106 24 significantly significantly RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 106 25 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 107 1 As as IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 107 2 expected expect VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 107 3 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 107 4 when when WRB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 107 5 over over IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 107 6 60 60 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 107 7 % % NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 107 8 people people NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 107 9 have have VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 107 10 prior prior JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 107 11 infections infection NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 107 12 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 107 13 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 107 14 epidemic epidemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 107 15 takes take VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 107 16 very very RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 107 17 long long JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 107 18 to to TO cord-341187-jqesw4e8 107 19 reach reach VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 107 20 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 107 21 peak peak NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 107 22 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 107 23 results result NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 107 24 in in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 107 25 substantial substantial JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 107 26 fewer few JJR cord-341187-jqesw4e8 107 27 cases case NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 107 28 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 108 1 The the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 108 2 effects effect NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 108 3 are be VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 108 4 similar similar JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 108 5 in in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 108 6 both both DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 108 7 young young JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 108 8 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 108 9 elderly elderly JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 108 10 people people NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 108 11 ( ( -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 108 12 supplemental supplemental JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 108 13 _SP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 109 1 Both both DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 109 2 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 109 3 percent percent NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 109 4 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 109 5 infectivity infectivity NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 109 6 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 109 7 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 109 8 cases case NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 109 9 were be VBD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 109 10 investigated investigate VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 109 11 ( ( -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 109 12 Table Table NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 109 13 3 3 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 109 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 109 15 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 110 1 An an DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 110 2 increase increase NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 110 3 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 110 4 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 110 5 percent percent NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 110 6 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 110 7 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 110 8 cases case NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 110 9 from from IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 110 10 10 10 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 110 11 % % NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 110 12 to to TO cord-341187-jqesw4e8 110 13 30 30 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 110 14 % % NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 110 15 postpones postpone VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 110 16 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 110 17 epidemic epidemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 110 18 peak peak NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 110 19 by by IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 110 20 12 12 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 110 21 days day NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 111 1 J J NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 111 2 o o NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 111 3 u u NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 111 4 r r NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 111 5 n n NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 111 6 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 111 7 l l NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 111 8 P p NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 111 9 r r NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 111 10 e e NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 111 11 -p -p NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 112 1 r r LS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 113 1 o o UH cord-341187-jqesw4e8 113 2 o o NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 113 3 f f NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 113 4 due due JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 113 5 to to IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 113 6 less less JJR cord-341187-jqesw4e8 113 7 infectivity infectivity NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 113 8 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 113 9 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 113 10 cases case NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 113 11 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 113 12 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 113 13 results result NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 113 14 in in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 113 15 significantly significantly RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 113 16 fewer few JJR cord-341187-jqesw4e8 113 17 hospitalizations hospitalization NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 113 18 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 113 19 deaths death NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 113 20 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 114 1 On on IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 114 2 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 114 3 other other JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 114 4 hand hand NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 114 5 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 114 6 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 114 7 higher high JJR cord-341187-jqesw4e8 114 8 infectivity infectivity NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 114 9 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 114 10 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 114 11 cases case NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 114 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 114 13 e.g. e.g. RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 114 14 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 114 15 100 100 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 114 16 % % NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 114 17 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 114 18 symptomatic symptomatic JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 114 19 cases case NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 114 20 ) ) -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 114 21 results result NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 114 22 in in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 114 23 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 114 24 fast fast JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 114 25 developing developing NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 114 26 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 114 27 narrow narrow JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 114 28 epidemic epidemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 114 29 curve curve NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 114 30 which which WDT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 114 31 reaches reach VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 114 32 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 114 33 peak peak NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 114 34 within within IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 114 35 60 60 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 114 36 days day NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 114 37 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 115 1 There there EX cord-341187-jqesw4e8 115 2 are be VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 115 3 more more JJR cord-341187-jqesw4e8 115 4 hospitalizations hospitalization NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 115 5 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 115 6 deaths death NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 115 7 at at IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 115 8 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 115 9 epidemic epidemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 115 10 peak peak NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 115 11 compared compare VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 115 12 with with IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 115 13 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 115 14 default default NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 115 15 model model NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 115 16 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 115 17 both both DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 115 18 assumed assume VBD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 115 19 40 40 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 115 20 % % NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 115 21 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 115 22 cases case NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 115 23 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 116 1 In in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 116 2 addition addition NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 116 3 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 116 4 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 116 5 change change NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 116 6 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 116 7 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 116 8 percent percent NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 116 9 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 116 10 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 116 11 cases case NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 116 12 among among IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 116 13 elderly elderly JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 116 14 people people NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 116 15 leads lead VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 116 16 to to IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 116 17 larger large JJR cord-341187-jqesw4e8 116 18 changes change NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 116 19 in in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 116 20 hospitalizations hospitalization NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 116 21 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 116 22 deaths death NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 116 23 than than IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 116 24 that that DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 116 25 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 116 26 young young JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 116 27 people people NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 116 28 ( ( -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 116 29 Supplemental Supplemental NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 116 30 Table Table NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 116 31 2a 2a NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 116 32 & & CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 116 33 2b 2b NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 116 34 ) ) -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 116 35 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 117 1 For for IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 117 2 example example NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 117 3 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 117 4 comparing compare VBG cord-341187-jqesw4e8 117 5 60 60 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 117 6 % % NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 117 7 with with IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 117 8 40 40 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 117 9 % % NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 117 10 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 117 11 cases case NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 117 12 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 117 13 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 117 14 total total JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 117 15 hospitalizations hospitalization NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 117 16 are be VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 117 17 reduced reduce VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 117 18 only only RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 117 19 by by IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 117 20 half half NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 117 21 among among IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 117 22 elderly elderly JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 117 23 people people NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 117 24 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 117 25 while while IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 117 26 it -PRON- PRP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 117 27 is be VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 117 28 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 117 29 two two CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 117 30 third third JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 117 31 decrease decrease NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 117 32 among among IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 117 33 young young JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 117 34 people people NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 117 35 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 118 1 Furthermore furthermore RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 118 2 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 118 3 when when WRB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 118 4 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 118 5 effects effect NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 118 6 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 118 7 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 118 8 percent percent NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 118 9 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 118 10 infectivity infectivity NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 118 11 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 118 12 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 118 13 cases case NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 118 14 are be VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 118 15 combined combine VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 118 16 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 118 17 for for IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 118 18 example example NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 118 19 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 118 20 in in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 118 21 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 118 22 low low JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 118 23 risk risk NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 118 24 epidemic epidemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 118 25 with with IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 118 26 60 60 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 118 27 % % NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 118 28 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 118 29 cases case NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 118 30 but but CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 118 31 with with IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 118 32 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 118 33 lower low JJR cord-341187-jqesw4e8 118 34 ( ( -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 118 35 30 30 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 118 36 % % NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 118 37 ) ) -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 118 38 infectivity infectivity NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 118 39 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 118 40 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 118 41 epidemic epidemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 118 42 reaches reach VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 118 43 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 118 44 peak peak NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 118 45 slower slow RBR cord-341187-jqesw4e8 118 46 for for IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 118 47 both both DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 118 48 young young JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 118 49 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 118 50 elderly elderly JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 118 51 people people NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 118 52 with with IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 118 53 peak peak NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 118 54 hospitalizations hospitalization NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 118 55 almost almost RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 118 56 half half NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 118 57 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 118 58 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 118 59 default default NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 118 60 model model NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 118 61 ( ( -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 118 62 assuming assume VBG cord-341187-jqesw4e8 118 63 40 40 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 118 64 % % NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 118 65 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 118 66 cases case NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 118 67 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 118 68 50 50 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 118 69 % % NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 118 70 infectivity infectivity NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 118 71 ) ) -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 119 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 119 2 supplemental supplemental JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 119 3 Figure Figure NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 119 4 3 3 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 119 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 119 6 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 120 1 This this DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 120 2 epidemic epidemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 120 3 model model NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 120 4 is be VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 120 5 initiated initiate VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 120 6 by by IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 120 7 imported import VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 120 8 infectious infectious JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 120 9 persons person NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 120 10 ( ( -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 120 11 may may MD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 120 12 be be VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 120 13 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 120 14 or or CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 120 15 presymptomatic presymptomatic JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 120 16 cases case NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 120 17 ) ) -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 120 18 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 121 1 The the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 121 2 number number NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 121 3 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 121 4 imported import VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 121 5 cases case NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 121 6 is be VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 121 7 in in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 121 8 absolute absolute JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 121 9 sense sense NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 121 10 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 121 11 regardless regardless RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 121 12 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 121 13 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 121 14 size size NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 121 15 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 121 16 population population NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 121 17 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 122 1 A a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 122 2 daily daily JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 122 3 arrival arrival NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 122 4 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 122 5 two two CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 122 6 infectious infectious JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 122 7 people people NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 122 8 speeds speed VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 122 9 up up RP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 122 10 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 122 11 epidemic epidemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 122 12 by by IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 122 13 8 8 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 122 14 days day NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 122 15 compared compare VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 122 16 with with IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 122 17 one one CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 122 18 case case NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 122 19 every every DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 122 20 two two CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 122 21 days day NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 122 22 in in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 122 23 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 122 24 default default NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 122 25 model model NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 122 26 ( ( -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 122 27 Table Table NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 122 28 3 3 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 122 29 ) ) -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 122 30 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 123 1 The the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 123 2 magnitudes magnitude NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 123 3 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 123 4 epidemic epidemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 123 5 are be VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 123 6 similar similar JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 123 7 between between IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 123 8 different different JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 123 9 importation importation NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 123 10 scenarios scenario NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 123 11 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 124 1 In in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 124 2 addition addition NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 124 3 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 124 4 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 124 5 longer long RBR cord-341187-jqesw4e8 124 6 importing import VBG cord-341187-jqesw4e8 124 7 duration duration NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 124 8 shifts shift VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 124 9 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 124 10 epidemic epidemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 124 11 only only RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 124 12 slightly slightly RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 124 13 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 125 1 Finally finally RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 125 2 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 125 3 if if IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 125 4 we -PRON- PRP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 125 5 assume assume VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 125 6 all all PDT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 125 7 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 125 8 imported import VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 125 9 cases case NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 125 10 are be VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 125 11 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 125 12 cases case NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 125 13 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 125 14 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 125 15 epidemic epidemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 125 16 curves curve NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 125 17 are be VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 125 18 not not RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 125 19 significantly significantly RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 125 20 different different JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 125 21 from from IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 125 22 that that DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 125 23 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 125 24 default default NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 125 25 model model NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 125 26 ( ( -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 125 27 supplemental supplemental JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 125 28 Figure Figure NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 125 29 4 4 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 125 30 ) ) -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 125 31 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 126 1 respectively respectively RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 126 2 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 126 3 all all DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 126 4 significantly significantly RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 126 5 lower low JJR cord-341187-jqesw4e8 126 6 than than IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 126 7 those those DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 126 8 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 126 9 default default NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 126 10 model model NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 126 11 ( ( -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 126 12 Table table NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 126 13 2 2 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 126 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 126 15 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 127 1 The the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 127 2 times time NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 127 3 to to IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 127 4 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 127 5 epidemic epidemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 127 6 peaks peak NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 127 7 are be VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 127 8 also also RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 127 9 postponed postpone VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 127 10 in in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 127 11 both both DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 127 12 curves curve NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 127 13 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 128 1 When when WRB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 128 2 both both DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 128 3 young young JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 128 4 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 128 5 elderly elderly JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 128 6 people people NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 128 7 reduce reduce VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 128 8 contacts contact NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 128 9 to to IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 128 10 3 3 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 128 11 per per IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 128 12 day day NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 128 13 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 128 14 such such JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 128 15 as as IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 128 16 under under IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 128 17 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 128 18 stay stay VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 128 19 - - HYPH cord-341187-jqesw4e8 128 20 at at IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 128 21 - - HYPH cord-341187-jqesw4e8 128 22 home home NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 128 23 rule rule NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 128 24 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 128 25 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 128 26 epidemic epidemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 128 27 curves curve NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 128 28 on on IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 128 29 hospitalizations hospitalization NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 128 30 are be VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 128 31 significantly significantly RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 128 32 mitigated mitigate VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 128 33 in in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 128 34 both both DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 128 35 age age NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 128 36 groups group NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 128 37 ( ( -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 128 38 Figure figure NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 128 39 2d 2d CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 128 40 ) ) -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 128 41 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 1 Finally finally RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 2 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 4 consider consider VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 5 two two CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 6 extreme extreme JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 7 scenarios scenario NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 8 : : : cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 9 1 1 LS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 11 high high JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 12 risk risk NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 13 scenario scenario NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 14 : : : cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 15 assuming assume VBG cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 16 one one CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 17 imported import VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 18 case case NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 19 per per IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 20 day day NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 21 continuously continuously RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 22 throughout throughout IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 23 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 24 epidemic epidemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 25 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 26 30 30 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 27 % % NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 28 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 29 cases case NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 30 at at IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 31 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 32 epidemic epidemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 33 peak peak NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 34 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 35 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 36 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 37 same same JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 38 infectivity infectivity NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 39 between between IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 40 symptomatic symptomatic JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 41 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 42 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 43 cases case NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 44 ; ; : cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 45 2 2 LS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 46 ) ) -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 47 low low JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 48 risk risk NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 49 scenario scenario NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 50 : : : cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 51 assuming assume VBG cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 52 one one CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 53 imported import VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 54 case case NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 55 every every DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 56 two two CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 57 days day NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 58 for for IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 59 twenty twenty CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 60 days day NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 61 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 62 60 60 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 63 % % NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 64 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 65 cases case NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 66 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 67 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 68 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 69 cases case NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 70 have have VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 71 only only RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 72 30 30 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 73 % % NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 74 infectivity infectivity NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 75 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 76 symptomatic symptomatic JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 77 cases case NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 129 78 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 130 1 In in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 130 2 both both DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 130 3 scenarios scenario NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 130 4 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 130 5 limiting limit VBG cord-341187-jqesw4e8 130 6 contacts contact NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 130 7 among among IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 130 8 elderly elderly JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 130 9 people people NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 130 10 alone alone RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 130 11 still still RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 130 12 has have VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 130 13 significant significant JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 130 14 impact impact NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 130 15 on on IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 130 16 hospitalizations hospitalization NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 130 17 in in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 130 18 both both DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 130 19 age age NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 131 1 J J NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 131 2 o o NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 131 3 u u NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 131 4 r r NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 131 5 n n NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 131 6 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 131 7 l l NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 131 8 P p NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 131 9 r r NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 131 10 e e NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 131 11 -p -p NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 132 1 r r NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 132 2 o o NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 132 3 o o NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 132 4 f f NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 132 5 groups group NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 132 6 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 132 7 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 132 8 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 132 9 larger large JJR cord-341187-jqesw4e8 132 10 relative relative JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 132 11 difference difference NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 132 12 in in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 132 13 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 132 14 low low JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 132 15 risk risk NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 132 16 scenario scenario NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 132 17 than than IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 132 18 high high JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 132 19 risk risk NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 132 20 scenario scenario NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 132 21 ( ( -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 132 22 Figure figure NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 132 23 3 3 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 132 24 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 132 25 supplemental supplemental JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 132 26 Figure Figure NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 132 27 7 7 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 132 28 ) ) -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 132 29 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 133 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 133 2 With with IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 133 3 growing grow VBG cord-341187-jqesw4e8 133 4 availability availability NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 133 5 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 133 6 detection detection NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 133 7 kits kit NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 133 8 during during IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 133 9 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 133 10 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 133 11 pandemic pandemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 133 12 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 133 13 more more RBR cord-341187-jqesw4e8 133 14 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 133 15 or or CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 133 16 mild mild JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 133 17 symptomatic symptomatic JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 133 18 cases case NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 133 19 are be VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 133 20 identified identify VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 133 21 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 134 1 Ultimately ultimately RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 134 2 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 134 3 an an DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 134 4 optimal optimal JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 134 5 view view NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 134 6 is be VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 134 7 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 134 8 cases case NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 134 9 may may MD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 134 10 account account VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 134 11 for for IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 134 12 60 60 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 134 13 % % NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 134 14 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 134 15 infections infection NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 134 16 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 135 1 However however RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 135 2 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 135 3 recent recent JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 135 4 research research NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 135 5 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 135 6 case case NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 135 7 reports report NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 135 8 have have VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 135 9 confirmed confirm VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 135 10 that that IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 135 11 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 135 12 or or CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 135 13 pre pre JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 135 14 - - JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 135 15 symptomatic symptomatic JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 135 16 cases case NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 135 17 can can MD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 135 18 shed shed VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 135 19 enough enough JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 135 20 quantify quantify NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 135 21 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 135 22 virus virus NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 135 23 to to TO cord-341187-jqesw4e8 135 24 be be VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 135 25 infectious infectious JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 135 26 [ [ -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 135 27 6 6 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 135 28 ] ] -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 135 29 [ [ -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 135 30 7 7 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 135 31 ] ] -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 135 32 [ [ -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 135 33 8 8 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 135 34 ] ] -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 135 35 [ [ -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 135 36 9 9 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 135 37 ] ] -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 135 38 11 11 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 135 39 ] ] -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 135 40 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 136 1 Furthermore furthermore RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 136 2 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 136 3 if if IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 136 4 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 136 5 infectivity infectivity NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 136 6 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 136 7 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 136 8 cases case NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 136 9 is be VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 136 10 similar similar JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 136 11 to to IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 136 12 that that DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 136 13 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 136 14 symptomatic symptomatic JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 136 15 cases case NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 136 16 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 136 17 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 136 18 faster fast JJR cord-341187-jqesw4e8 136 19 epidemic epidemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 136 20 will will MD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 136 21 occur occur VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 136 22 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 137 1 Despite despite IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 137 2 more more RBR cord-341187-jqesw4e8 137 3 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 137 4 cases case NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 137 5 at at IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 137 6 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 137 7 peak peak NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 137 8 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 137 9 epidemic epidemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 137 10 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 137 11 there there EX cord-341187-jqesw4e8 137 12 are be VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 137 13 also also RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 137 14 significantly significantly RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 137 15 more more JJR cord-341187-jqesw4e8 137 16 hospitalizations hospitalization NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 137 17 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 137 18 deaths death NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 137 19 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 137 20 which which WDT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 137 21 may may MD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 137 22 overwhelm overwhelm VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 137 23 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 137 24 health health NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 137 25 care care NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 137 26 system system NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 137 27 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 138 1 With with IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 138 2 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 138 3 lower low JJR cord-341187-jqesw4e8 138 4 infectivity infectivity NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 138 5 ( ( -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 138 6 30 30 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 138 7 % % NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 138 8 infectivity infectivity NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 138 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 138 10 among among IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 138 11 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 138 12 cases case NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 138 13 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 138 14 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 138 15 epidemic epidemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 138 16 reaches reach VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 138 17 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 138 18 peak peak NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 138 19 later later RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 138 20 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 138 21 results result NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 138 22 in in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 138 23 half half NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 138 24 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 138 25 hospitalizations hospitalization NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 138 26 at at IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 138 27 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 138 28 peak peak NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 138 29 compared compare VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 138 30 with with IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 138 31 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 138 32 default default NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 138 33 model model NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 138 34 ( ( -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 138 35 Supplemental Supplemental NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 138 36 Figure Figure NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 138 37 3 3 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 138 38 ) ) -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 138 39 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 139 1 In in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 139 2 addition addition NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 139 3 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 139 4 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 139 5 closely closely RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 139 6 related related JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 139 7 issue issue NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 139 8 is be VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 139 9 case case NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 139 10 importation importation NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 139 11 [ [ -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 139 12 25 25 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 139 13 ] ] -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 139 14 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 140 1 Imported import VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 140 2 cases case NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 140 3 are be VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 140 4 often often RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 140 5 pre pre JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 140 6 - - JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 140 7 symptomatic symptomatic JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 140 8 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 140 9 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 140 10 or or CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 140 11 with with IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 140 12 mild mild JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 140 13 symptoms symptom NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 140 14 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 141 1 They -PRON- PRP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 141 2 seed seed NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 141 3 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 141 4 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 141 5 second second JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 141 6 outbreak outbreak NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 141 7 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 141 8 even even RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 141 9 with with IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 141 10 just just RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 141 11 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 141 12 few few JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 141 13 cases case NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 141 14 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 142 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 142 2 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 142 3 proactively proactively RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 142 4 identifying identify VBG cord-341187-jqesw4e8 142 5 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 142 6 J J NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 142 7 o o NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 142 8 u u NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 142 9 r r NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 142 10 n n NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 142 11 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 142 12 l l NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 142 13 P p NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 142 14 r r NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 142 15 e e NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 142 16 -p -p NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 142 17 r r NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 143 1 o o UH cord-341187-jqesw4e8 143 2 o o NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 144 1 f f LS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 144 2 cases case NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 144 3 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 144 4 isolating isolate VBG cord-341187-jqesw4e8 144 5 them -PRON- PRP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 144 6 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 144 7 tracing trace VBG cord-341187-jqesw4e8 144 8 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 144 9 contacts contact NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 144 10 thereafter thereafter RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 144 11 will will MD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 144 12 prevent prevent VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 144 13 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 144 14 occurrence occurrence NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 144 15 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 144 16 an an DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 144 17 epidemic epidemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 144 18 [ [ -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 144 19 22 22 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 144 20 ] ] -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 144 21 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 145 1 Our -PRON- PRP$ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 145 2 study study NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 145 3 has have VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 145 4 some some DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 145 5 strengths strength NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 145 6 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 146 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 146 2 have have VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 146 3 devised devise VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 146 4 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 146 5 modified modify VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 146 6 SEIR seir NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 146 7 model model NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 146 8 to to TO cord-341187-jqesw4e8 146 9 incorporate incorporate VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 146 10 both both DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 146 11 symptomatic symptomatic JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 146 12 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 146 13 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 146 14 cases case NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 146 15 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 147 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 147 2 emphasize emphasize VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 147 3 population population NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 147 4 heterogeneity heterogeneity NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 147 5 such such JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 147 6 as as IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 147 7 age age NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 147 8 structure structure NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 147 9 in in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 147 10 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 147 11 model model NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 147 12 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 148 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 148 2 include include VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 148 3 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 148 4 self self NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 148 5 - - HYPH cord-341187-jqesw4e8 148 6 quarantined quarantine VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 148 7 group group NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 148 8 who who WP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 148 9 will will MD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 148 10 not not RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 148 11 infect infect VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 148 12 other other JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 148 13 people people NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 148 14 if if IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 148 15 they -PRON- PRP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 148 16 are be VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 148 17 infected infect VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 148 18 with with IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 148 19 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 148 20 virus virus NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 148 21 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 149 1 Naturally naturally RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 149 2 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 149 3 these these DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 149 4 settings setting NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 149 5 can can MD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 149 6 be be VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 149 7 extended extend VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 149 8 to to TO cord-341187-jqesw4e8 149 9 represent represent VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 149 10 other other JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 149 11 high high JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 149 12 risk risk NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 149 13 or or CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 149 14 special special JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 149 15 groups group NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 149 16 with with IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 149 17 revised revise VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 149 18 parameters parameter NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 149 19 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 150 1 In in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 150 2 addition addition NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 150 3 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 150 4 we -PRON- PRP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 150 5 separate separate VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 150 6 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 150 7 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 150 8 death death NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 150 9 from from IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 150 10 other other JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 150 11 removed remove VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 150 12 compartments compartment NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 150 13 to to TO cord-341187-jqesw4e8 150 14 explicitly explicitly RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 150 15 estimate estimate VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 150 16 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 150 17 impact impact NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 150 18 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 150 19 an an DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 150 20 epidemic epidemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 150 21 on on IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 150 22 hospitalizations hospitalization NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 150 23 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 150 24 deaths death NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 150 25 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 151 1 From from IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 151 2 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 151 3 health health NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 151 4 impact impact NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 151 5 point point NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 151 6 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 151 7 view view NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 151 8 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 151 9 severe severe JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 151 10 cases case NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 151 11 that that WDT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 151 12 lead lead VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 151 13 to to IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 151 14 hospitalizations hospitalization NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 151 15 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 151 16 deaths death NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 151 17 are be VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 151 18 more more RBR cord-341187-jqesw4e8 151 19 important important JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 151 20 than than IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 151 21 mild mild JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 151 22 cases case NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 151 23 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 151 24 as as IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 151 25 demonstrated demonstrate VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 151 26 in in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 151 27 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 151 28 2009 2009 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 151 29 H1N1 H1N1 NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 151 30 pandemic pandemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 151 31 [ [ -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 151 32 16 16 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 151 33 ] ] -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 151 34 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 152 1 Furthermore furthermore RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 152 2 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 152 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 152 4 explored explore VBD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 152 5 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 152 6 few few JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 152 7 key key JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 152 8 determinants determinant NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 152 9 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 152 10 epidemic epidemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 152 11 explicitly explicitly RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 152 12 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 152 13 leading lead VBG cord-341187-jqesw4e8 152 14 to to IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 152 15 many many JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 152 16 insights insight NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 152 17 on on IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 152 18 epidemic epidemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 152 19 prevention prevention NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 152 20 strategies strategy NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 152 21 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 153 1 There there EX cord-341187-jqesw4e8 153 2 are be VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 153 3 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 153 4 few few JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 153 5 limitations limitation NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 153 6 in in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 153 7 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 153 8 study study NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 153 9 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 154 1 As as IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 154 2 inherent inherent JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 154 3 in in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 154 4 all all DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 154 5 modeling modeling NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 154 6 studies study NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 154 7 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 154 8 simulation simulation NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 154 9 interpretations interpretation NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 154 10 are be VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 154 11 heavily heavily RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 154 12 dependent dependent JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 154 13 on on IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 154 14 model model NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 154 15 assumptions assumption NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 154 16 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 154 17 parameter parameter NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 154 18 estimations estimation NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 154 19 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 155 1 Our -PRON- PRP$ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 155 2 epidemic epidemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 155 3 model model NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 155 4 is be VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 155 5 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 155 6 population population NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 155 7 model model NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 155 8 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 156 1 Although although IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 156 2 we -PRON- PRP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 156 3 take take VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 156 4 account account NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 156 5 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 156 6 population population NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 156 7 heterogeneity heterogeneity NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 156 8 such such JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 156 9 as as IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 156 10 age age NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 156 11 in in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 156 12 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 156 13 current current JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 156 14 model model NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 156 15 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 156 16 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 156 17 age age NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 156 18 group group NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 156 19 is be VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 156 20 overly overly RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 156 21 broad broad JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 156 22 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 157 1 A a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 157 2 more more RBR cord-341187-jqesw4e8 157 3 detailed detailed JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 157 4 age age NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 157 5 grouping grouping NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 157 6 scheme scheme NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 157 7 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 157 8 including include VBG cord-341187-jqesw4e8 157 9 children child NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 157 10 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 157 11 young young JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 157 12 adults adult NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 157 13 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 157 14 middle middle JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 157 15 age age NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 157 16 group group NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 157 17 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 157 18 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 157 19 elderly elderly JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 157 20 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 157 21 may may MD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 157 22 reflect reflect VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 157 23 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 157 24 agespecific agespecific NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 157 25 epidemic epidemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 157 26 more more RBR cord-341187-jqesw4e8 157 27 realistically realistically RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 157 28 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 158 1 Other other JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 158 2 factors factor NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 158 3 may may MD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 158 4 also also RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 158 5 be be VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 158 6 included include VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 158 7 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 158 8 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 158 9 additional additional JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 158 10 compartments compartment NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 158 11 such such JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 158 12 as as IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 158 13 pre pre JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 158 14 - - JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 158 15 symptomatic symptomatic JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 158 16 stage stage NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 158 17 may may MD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 158 18 be be VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 158 19 modeled model VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 158 20 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 159 1 However however RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 159 2 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 159 3 more more RBR cord-341187-jqesw4e8 159 4 sophisticated sophisticated JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 159 5 models model NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 159 6 require require VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 159 7 more more JJR cord-341187-jqesw4e8 159 8 assumptions assumption NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 159 9 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 159 10 may may MD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 159 11 not not RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 159 12 necessarily necessarily RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 159 13 provide provide VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 159 14 more more JJR cord-341187-jqesw4e8 159 15 insights insight NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 159 16 about about IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 159 17 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 159 18 epidemic epidemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 159 19 process process NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 159 20 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 160 1 Instead instead RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 160 2 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 160 3 in in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 160 4 this this DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 160 5 study study NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 160 6 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 160 7 in in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 160 8 addition addition NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 160 9 to to IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 160 10 ensuring ensure VBG cord-341187-jqesw4e8 160 11 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 160 12 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 160 13 correctness correctness NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 160 14 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 160 15 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 160 16 models model NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 160 17 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 160 18 we -PRON- PRP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 160 19 prioritize prioritize VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 160 20 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 160 21 epidemiological epidemiological JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 160 22 concepts concept NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 160 23 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 160 24 clinical clinical JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 160 25 relevance relevance NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 160 26 in in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 160 27 setting set VBG cord-341187-jqesw4e8 160 28 up up RP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 160 29 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 160 30 models model NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 160 31 rather rather RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 160 32 than than IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 160 33 model model NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 160 34 complexity complexity NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 160 35 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 161 1 Nevertheless nevertheless RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 161 2 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 161 3 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 161 4 findings finding NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 161 5 do do VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 161 6 not not RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 161 7 intend intend VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 161 8 to to TO cord-341187-jqesw4e8 161 9 provide provide VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 161 10 J J NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 161 11 o o NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 161 12 u u NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 161 13 r r NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 161 14 n n NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 161 15 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 161 16 l l NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 161 17 P p NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 161 18 r r NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 161 19 e e NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 161 20 -p -p NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 161 21 r r NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 161 22 o o NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 161 23 o o NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 161 24 f f NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 161 25 definitive definitive JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 161 26 advice advice NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 161 27 to to TO cord-341187-jqesw4e8 161 28 design design VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 161 29 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 161 30 new new JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 161 31 policy policy NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 161 32 but but CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 161 33 rather rather RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 161 34 gain gain VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 161 35 insights insight NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 161 36 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 161 37 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 161 38 epidemic epidemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 161 39 process process NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 161 40 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 161 41 provide provide VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 161 42 theoretical theoretical JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 161 43 support support NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 161 44 for for IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 161 45 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 161 46 possibly possibly RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 161 47 more more RBR cord-341187-jqesw4e8 161 48 effective effective JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 161 49 prevention prevention NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 161 50 strategy strategy NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 161 51 based base VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 161 52 on on IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 161 53 approaches approach NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 161 54 targeting target VBG cord-341187-jqesw4e8 161 55 high high JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 161 56 risk risk NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 161 57 populations population NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 161 58 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 162 1 In in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 162 2 addition addition NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 162 3 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 162 4 we -PRON- PRP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 162 5 assume assume VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 162 6 random random JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 162 7 mixing mixing NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 162 8 within within IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 162 9 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 162 10 between between IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 162 11 age age NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 162 12 groups group NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 162 13 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 163 1 As as IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 163 2 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 163 3 population population NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 163 4 model model NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 163 5 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 163 6 we -PRON- PRP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 163 7 can can MD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 163 8 not not RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 163 9 assess assess VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 163 10 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 163 11 impact impact NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 163 12 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 163 13 individual individual JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 163 14 behaviors behavior NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 163 15 such such JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 163 16 as as IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 163 17 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 163 18 way way NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 163 19 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 163 20 reducing reduce VBG cord-341187-jqesw4e8 163 21 contacts contact NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 163 22 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 163 23 social social JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 163 24 distancing distancing NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 163 25 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 163 26 travelling travelling NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 163 27 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 164 1 Furthermore furthermore RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 164 2 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 164 3 it -PRON- PRP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 164 4 ignores ignore VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 164 5 clustering clustering NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 164 6 within within IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 164 7 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 164 8 population population NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 164 9 such such JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 164 10 as as IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 164 11 senior senior JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 164 12 group group NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 164 13 living living NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 164 14 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 164 15 community community NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 164 16 gatherings gathering NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 164 17 ( ( -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 164 18 e.g. e.g. RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 164 19 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 164 20 churches church NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 164 21 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 164 22 community community NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 164 23 centers center NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 164 24 ) ) -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 164 25 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 164 26 worksites worksite NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 164 27 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 164 28 schools school NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 164 29 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 165 1 These these DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 165 2 clusters cluster NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 165 3 are be VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 165 4 hotbeds hotbeds JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 165 5 for for IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 165 6 superspreading superspreade VBG cord-341187-jqesw4e8 165 7 events event NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 165 8 which which WDT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 165 9 may may MD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 165 10 lead lead VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 165 11 to to IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 165 12 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 165 13 sudden sudden JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 165 14 increase increase NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 165 15 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 165 16 new new JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 165 17 cases case NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 165 18 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 165 19 overwhelm overwhelm VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 165 20 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 165 21 healthcare healthcare NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 165 22 system system NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 165 23 unexpectedly unexpectedly RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 165 24 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 166 1 Furthermore furthermore RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 166 2 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 166 3 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 166 4 quarantine quarantine NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 166 5 compartment compartment NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 166 6 in in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 166 7 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 166 8 model model NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 166 9 is be VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 166 10 not not RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 166 11 contact contact NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 166 12 tracing trace VBG cord-341187-jqesw4e8 166 13 based base VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 166 14 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 167 1 Modeling model VBG cord-341187-jqesw4e8 167 2 contact contact NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 167 3 tracing trace VBG cord-341187-jqesw4e8 167 4 based base VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 167 5 quarantine quarantine NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 167 6 is be VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 167 7 more more RBR cord-341187-jqesw4e8 167 8 relevant relevant JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 167 9 to to IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 167 10 public public JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 167 11 health health NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 167 12 interventions intervention NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 167 13 [ [ -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 167 14 42 42 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 167 15 ] ] -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 167 16 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 168 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 168 2 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 168 3 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 168 4 goal goal NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 168 5 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 168 6 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 168 7 future future JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 168 8 research research NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 168 9 is be VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 168 10 to to IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 168 11 exploring explore VBG cord-341187-jqesw4e8 168 12 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 168 13 effect effect NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 168 14 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 168 15 these these DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 168 16 factors factor NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 168 17 with with IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 168 18 stochastic stochastic JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 168 19 simulations simulation NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 168 20 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 168 21 individual individual JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 168 22 behavior behavior NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 168 23 [ [ -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 168 24 24 24 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 168 25 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 168 26 43 43 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 168 27 ] ] -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 168 28 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 168 29 network network NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 168 30 analysis analysis NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 168 31 [ [ -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 168 32 44 44 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 168 33 ] ] -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 168 34 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 169 1 Additionally additionally RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 169 2 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 169 3 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 169 4 model model NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 169 5 is be VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 169 6 set set VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 169 7 on on IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 169 8 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 169 9 mid mid JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 169 10 - - NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 169 11 size size NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 169 12 region region NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 169 13 with with IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 169 14 1 1 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 169 15 million million CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 169 16 residents resident NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 169 17 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 170 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 170 2 do do VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 170 3 not not RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 170 4 intend intend VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 170 5 to to TO cord-341187-jqesw4e8 170 6 model model VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 170 7 an an DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 170 8 pandemic pandemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 170 9 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 170 10 as as IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 170 11 all all DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 170 12 prevention prevention NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 170 13 strategies strategy NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 170 14 are be VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 170 15 ultimately ultimately RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 170 16 local local JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 170 17 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 171 1 Our -PRON- PRP$ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 171 2 study study NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 171 3 only only RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 171 4 examines examine VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 171 5 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 171 6 small small JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 171 7 subset subset NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 171 8 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 171 9 scenarios scenario NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 171 10 during during IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 171 11 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 171 12 epidemic epidemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 171 13 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 172 1 Multi multi JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 172 2 - - NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 172 3 interventions intervention NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 172 4 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 172 5 more more RBR cord-341187-jqesw4e8 172 6 stringent stringent JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 172 7 controlling control VBG cord-341187-jqesw4e8 172 8 measures measure NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 172 9 are be VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 172 10 more more RBR cord-341187-jqesw4e8 172 11 effective effective JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 172 12 in in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 172 13 mitigating mitigate VBG cord-341187-jqesw4e8 172 14 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 172 15 pandemic pandemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 172 16 but but CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 172 17 are be VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 172 18 likely likely RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 172 19 less less RBR cord-341187-jqesw4e8 172 20 sustainable sustainable JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 172 21 in in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 172 22 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 172 23 long long JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 172 24 run run NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 172 25 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 173 1 After after IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 173 2 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 173 3 initial initial JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 173 4 epidemic epidemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 173 5 ends end NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 173 6 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 173 7 society society NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 173 8 will will MD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 173 9 return return VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 173 10 to to IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 173 11 normal normal JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 173 12 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 173 13 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 173 14 only only RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 173 15 one one CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 173 16 or or CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 173 17 two two CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 173 18 most most RBS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 173 19 effective effective JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 173 20 interventions intervention NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 173 21 such such JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 173 22 as as IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 173 23 social social JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 173 24 distancing distancing NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 173 25 may may MD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 173 26 be be VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 173 27 practiced practice VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 173 28 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 173 29 often often RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 173 30 partially partially RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 173 31 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 174 1 Thus thus RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 174 2 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 174 3 one one CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 174 4 parameter parameter NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 174 5 analysis analysis NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 174 6 under under IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 174 7 various various JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 174 8 scenarios scenario NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 174 9 is be VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 174 10 important important JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 174 11 for for IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 174 12 evaluating evaluate VBG cord-341187-jqesw4e8 174 13 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 174 14 probability probability NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 174 15 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 174 16 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 174 17 second second JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 174 18 epidemic epidemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 174 19 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 175 1 Finally finally RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 175 2 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 175 3 one one CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 175 4 critical critical JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 175 5 issue issue NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 175 6 in in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 175 7 preparing prepare VBG cord-341187-jqesw4e8 175 8 for for IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 175 9 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 175 10 preventing prevent VBG cord-341187-jqesw4e8 175 11 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 175 12 second second JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 175 13 wave wave NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 175 14 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 175 15 pandemic pandemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 175 16 is be VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 175 17 vaccinating vaccinate VBG cord-341187-jqesw4e8 175 18 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 175 19 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 175 20 people people NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 175 21 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 175 22 which which WDT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 175 23 is be VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 175 24 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 175 25 most most RBS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 175 26 effective effective JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 175 27 way way NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 175 28 to to TO cord-341187-jqesw4e8 175 29 protect protect VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 175 30 people people NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 175 31 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 175 32 especially especially RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 175 33 J J NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 175 34 o o NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 175 35 u u NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 175 36 r r NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 175 37 n n NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 175 38 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 175 39 l l NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 175 40 P p NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 175 41 r r NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 175 42 e e NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 175 43 -p -p NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 175 44 r r NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 175 45 o o NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 175 46 o o NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 175 47 f f NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 175 48 _SP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 175 49 Early Early NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 175 50 Transmission Transmission NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 175 51 Dynamics Dynamics NNPS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 175 52 in in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 175 53 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 175 54 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 175 55 China China NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 175 56 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 175 57 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 175 58 Novel Novel NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 175 59 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 175 60 - - HYPH cord-341187-jqesw4e8 175 61 Infected infect VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 175 62 Pneumonia Pneumonia NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 175 63 A A NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 175 64 Novel Novel NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 175 65 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 175 66 from from IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 175 67 Patients patient NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 175 68 with with IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 175 69 Pneumonia Pneumonia NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 175 70 in in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 175 71 China China NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 176 1 Most Most JJS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 176 2 Americans Americans NNPS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 176 3 Say say VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 176 4 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 176 5 Outbreak outbreak NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 176 6 Has have VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 176 7 Impacted impact VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 176 8 Their -PRON- PRP$ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 176 9 Lives life NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 176 10 Impact Impact NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 176 11 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 176 12 mitigating mitigate VBG cord-341187-jqesw4e8 176 13 interventions intervention NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 176 14 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 176 15 temperature temperature NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 176 16 on on IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 176 17 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 176 18 instantaneous instantaneous JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 176 19 reproduction reproduction NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 176 20 number number NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 176 21 in in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 176 22 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 176 23 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 176 24 epidemic epidemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 176 25 among among IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 176 26 30 30 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 176 27 US US NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 176 28 metropolitan metropolitan JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 176 29 areas area NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 177 1 The the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 177 2 severe severe JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 177 3 acute acute JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 177 4 respiratory respiratory JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 177 5 syndrome syndrome NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 177 6 Asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 177 7 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 177 8 Human Human NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 177 9 - - HYPH cord-341187-jqesw4e8 177 10 to to IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 177 11 - - HYPH cord-341187-jqesw4e8 177 12 Human Human NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 177 13 Transmission Transmission NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 177 14 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 177 15 SARS SARS NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 177 16 - - HYPH cord-341187-jqesw4e8 177 17 CoV-2 CoV-2 NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 177 18 in in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 177 19 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 177 20 2-Family 2-family CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 177 21 Cluster cluster NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 177 22 Asymptomatic Asymptomatic NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 177 23 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 177 24 Presymptomatic Presymptomatic NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 177 25 Infectors Infectors NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 177 26 : : : cord-341187-jqesw4e8 178 1 Hidden hidden JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 178 2 Sources source NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 178 3 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 178 4 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 178 5 Disease Disease NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 178 6 Asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 178 7 cases case NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 178 8 in in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 178 9 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 178 10 family family NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 178 11 cluster cluster NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 178 12 with with IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 178 13 SARS SARS NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 178 14 - - HYPH cord-341187-jqesw4e8 178 15 CoV-2 CoV-2 NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 178 16 infection infection NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 178 17 Observation observation NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 178 18 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 178 19 analysis analysis NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 178 20 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 178 21 26 26 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 178 22 cases case NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 178 23 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 178 24 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 178 25 SARS SARS NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 178 26 - - HYPH cord-341187-jqesw4e8 178 27 COV2 COV2 NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 178 28 infection infection NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 178 29 Presumed presume VBD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 178 30 Asymptomatic Asymptomatic NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 178 31 Carrier Carrier NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 178 32 Transmission Transmission NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 178 33 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 178 34 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 178 35 Severe severe JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 178 36 Acute Acute NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 178 37 Respiratory Respiratory NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 178 38 Syndrome Syndrome NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 178 39 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 178 40 2 2 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 178 41 Shedding shed VBG cord-341187-jqesw4e8 178 42 by by IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 178 43 Travelers Travelers NNPS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 178 44 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 178 45 Vietnam Vietnam NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 178 46 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 178 47 2020 2020 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 178 48 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 179 1 Emerg Emerg NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 179 2 Infect infect VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 179 3 Dis Dis NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 179 4 Clinical clinical JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 179 5 Characteristics characteristic NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 179 6 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 179 7 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 179 8 Disease Disease NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 179 9 2019 2019 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 179 10 in in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 179 11 China China NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 179 12 Clinical clinical JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 179 13 features feature NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 179 14 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 179 15 patients patient NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 179 16 infected infect VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 179 17 with with IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 179 18 2019 2019 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 179 19 novel novel JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 179 20 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 179 21 in in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 179 22 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 179 23 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 179 24 China China NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 179 25 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 180 1 Lancet Lancet NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 180 2 Clinical clinical JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 180 3 course course NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 180 4 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 180 5 risk risk NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 180 6 factors factor NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 180 7 for for IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 180 8 mortality mortality NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 180 9 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 180 10 adult adult NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 180 11 inpatients inpatient NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 180 12 with with IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 180 13 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 180 14 in in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 180 15 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 180 16 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 180 17 China China NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 180 18 : : : cord-341187-jqesw4e8 180 19 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 180 20 retrospective retrospective JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 180 21 cohort cohort NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 180 22 study study NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 180 23 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 180 24 ) ) -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 181 1 -United -unite VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 1 States state NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 2 Estimating estimate VBG cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 3 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 4 burden burden NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 5 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 6 2009 2009 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 7 pandemic pandemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 8 influenza influenza NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 9 A A NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 10 ( ( -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 11 H1N1 H1N1 NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 12 ) ) -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 13 in in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 14 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 15 United United NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 16 States States NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 17 Centre Centre NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 18 for for IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 19 Mathematical Mathematical NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 20 Modelling Modelling NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 21 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 22 Infectious Infectious NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 23 Diseases Diseases NNPS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 24 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 25 Early early JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 26 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 27 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 28 transmission transmission NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 29 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 30 control control NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 31 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 32 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 33 : : : cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 34 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 35 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 36 modelling modelling NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 37 study study NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 38 A a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 39 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 40 model model NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 41 for for IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 42 simulating simulate VBG cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 43 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 44 phase phase NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 45 - - HYPH cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 46 based base VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 47 transmissibility transmissibility NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 48 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 49 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 50 novel novel JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 51 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 52 Serial Serial NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 53 Interval Interval NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 54 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 55 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 56 among among IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 57 Publicly publicly RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 58 Reported report VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 59 Confirmed confirm VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 60 Cases Cases NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 61 Serial serial JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 62 interval interval NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 63 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 64 novel novel JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 65 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 66 ( ( -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 67 COVID-19 covid-19 VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 68 ) ) -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 69 infections infection NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 70 Real real JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 71 - - HYPH cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 72 time time NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 73 forecasts forecast NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 74 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 75 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 76 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 77 epidemic epidemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 78 in in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 79 China China NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 80 from from IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 81 Feasibility Feasibility NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 82 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 83 controlling control VBG cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 84 COVID-19 covid-19 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 85 outbreaks outbreak NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 86 by by IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 87 isolation isolation NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 88 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 89 cases case NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 90 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 182 91 contacts contact NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 183 1 The the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 183 2 effect effect NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 183 3 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 183 4 control control NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 183 5 strategies strategy NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 183 6 to to TO cord-341187-jqesw4e8 183 7 reduce reduce VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 183 8 social social JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 183 9 mixing mixing NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 183 10 on on IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 183 11 outcomes outcome NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 183 12 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 183 13 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 183 14 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 183 15 epidemic epidemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 183 16 in in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 183 17 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 183 18 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 183 19 China China NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 183 20 : : : cord-341187-jqesw4e8 183 21 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 183 22 modelling modelling NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 183 23 study study NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 183 24 Impact impact NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 183 25 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 183 26 non non JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 183 27 - - JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 183 28 pharmaceutical pharmaceutical JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 183 29 interventions intervention NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 183 30 ( ( -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 183 31 NPIs NPIs NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 183 32 ) ) -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 184 1 to to TO cord-341187-jqesw4e8 184 2 reduce reduce VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 184 3 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 184 4 mortality mortality NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 184 5 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 184 6 healthcare healthcare NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 184 7 demand demand NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 185 1 2020 2020 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 186 1 The the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 186 2 effect effect NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 186 3 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 186 4 travel travel NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 186 5 restrictions restriction NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 186 6 on on IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 186 7 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 186 8 spread spread NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 186 9 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 186 10 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 186 11 2019 2019 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 186 12 novel novel NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 186 13 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 186 14 ( ( -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 186 15 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 186 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 186 17 outbreak outbreak NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 186 18 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 187 1 Science science NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 187 2 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 187 3 impact impact NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 187 4 on on IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 187 5 hospital hospital NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 187 6 bed bed NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 187 7 - - HYPH cord-341187-jqesw4e8 187 8 days day NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 187 9 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 187 10 ICU ICU NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 187 11 - - HYPH cord-341187-jqesw4e8 187 12 days day NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 187 13 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 187 14 ventilatordays ventilatorday NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 187 15 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 187 16 deaths death NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 187 17 by by IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 187 18 US US NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 187 19 state state NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 187 20 in in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 187 21 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 187 22 next next JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 187 23 4 4 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 187 24 months month NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 187 25 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 188 1 IHME IHME NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 188 2 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 188 3 health health NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 188 4 service service NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 188 5 utilization utilization NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 188 6 forecasting forecasting NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 188 7 team team NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 188 8 Transmission transmission NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 188 9 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 188 10 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 188 11 control control NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 188 12 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 188 13 severe severe JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 188 14 acute acute JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 188 15 respiratory respiratory JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 188 16 syndrome syndrome NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 188 17 Temporal temporal JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 188 18 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 188 19 in in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 188 20 viral viral JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 188 21 shedding shedding NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 188 22 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 188 23 transmissibility transmissibility NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 188 24 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 188 25 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 188 26 High High NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 188 27 Contagiousness Contagiousness NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 188 28 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 188 29 Rapid Rapid NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 188 30 Spread Spread NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 188 31 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 188 32 Severe severe JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 188 33 Acute acute JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 188 34 Respiratory Respiratory NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 188 35 Syndrome Syndrome NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 188 36 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 188 37 2 2 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 188 38 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 189 1 Emerg Emerg NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 189 2 Infect infect VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 189 3 Dis Dis NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 190 1 The the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 190 2 basic basic JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 190 3 reproduction reproduction NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 190 4 number number NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 190 5 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 190 6 novel novel JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 190 7 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 190 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 190 9 2019-nCoV 2019-ncov CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 190 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 190 11 estimation estimation NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 190 12 based base VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 190 13 on on IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 190 14 exponential exponential JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 190 15 growth growth NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 190 16 in in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 190 17 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 190 18 early early JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 190 19 outbreak outbreak NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 190 20 in in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 190 21 China China NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 190 22 from from IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 190 23 2019 2019 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 190 24 to to IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 190 25 2020 2020 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 190 26 : : : cord-341187-jqesw4e8 190 27 A a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 190 28 reply reply NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 190 29 to to IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 190 30 Dhungana Dhungana NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 190 31 Transmissibility Transmissibility NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 190 32 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 190 33 2019-nCoV 2019-ncov CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 190 34 2020 2020 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 190 35 Nowcasting Nowcasting NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 190 36 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 190 37 forecasting forecast VBG cord-341187-jqesw4e8 190 38 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 190 39 potential potential JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 190 40 domestic domestic JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 190 41 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 190 42 international international JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 190 43 spread spread NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 190 44 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 190 45 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 190 46 2019-nCoV 2019-ncov CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 190 47 outbreak outbreak NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 190 48 originating originate VBG cord-341187-jqesw4e8 190 49 in in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 190 50 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 190 51 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 190 52 China China NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 190 53 : : : cord-341187-jqesw4e8 190 54 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 190 55 modelling modelling NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 190 56 study study NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 190 57 Social social JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 190 58 contacts contact NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 190 59 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 190 60 mixing mix VBG cord-341187-jqesw4e8 190 61 patterns pattern NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 190 62 relevant relevant JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 190 63 to to IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 190 64 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 190 65 spread spread NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 190 66 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 190 67 infectious infectious JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 190 68 diseases disease NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 191 1 Evolving evolve VBG cord-341187-jqesw4e8 191 2 epidemiology epidemiology NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 191 3 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 191 4 transmission transmission NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 191 5 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 191 6 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 191 7 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 191 8 disease disease NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 191 9 2019 2019 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 191 10 outside outside IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 191 11 Hubei Hubei NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 191 12 province province NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 191 13 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 191 14 China China NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 191 15 : : : cord-341187-jqesw4e8 192 1 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 192 2 descriptive descriptive JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 192 3 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 192 4 modelling modelling NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 192 5 study study NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 192 6 Serial serial JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 192 7 interval interval NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 192 8 in in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 192 9 determining determine VBG cord-341187-jqesw4e8 192 10 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 192 11 estimation estimation NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 192 12 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 192 13 reproduction reproduction NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 192 14 number number NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 192 15 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 192 16 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 192 17 novel novel JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 192 18 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 192 19 disease disease NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 192 20 ( ( -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 192 21 COVID-19 covid-19 VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 192 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 192 23 during during IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 192 24 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 192 25 early early JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 192 26 outbreak outbreak NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 193 1 The the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 193 2 Incubation Incubation NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 193 3 Period Period NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 193 4 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 193 5 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 193 6 Disease Disease NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 193 7 2019 2019 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 193 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 193 9 COVID-19 covid-19 VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 193 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 193 11 From from IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 193 12 Publicly publicly RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 193 13 Reported report VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 193 14 Confirmed confirm VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 193 15 Cases case NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 193 16 : : : cord-341187-jqesw4e8 193 17 Estimation Estimation NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 193 18 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 193 19 Application Application NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 193 20 Estimating estimate VBG cord-341187-jqesw4e8 193 21 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 193 22 infection infection NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 193 23 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 193 24 case case NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 193 25 fatality fatality NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 193 26 ratio ratio NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 193 27 for for IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 193 28 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 193 29 disease disease NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 193 30 ( ( -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 193 31 COVID-19 covid-19 VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 193 32 ) ) -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 193 33 using use VBG cord-341187-jqesw4e8 193 34 age age NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 193 35 - - HYPH cord-341187-jqesw4e8 193 36 adjusted adjust VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 193 37 data datum NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 193 38 from from IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 193 39 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 193 40 outbreak outbreak NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 193 41 on on IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 193 42 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 193 43 Diamond Diamond NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 193 44 Princess Princess NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 193 45 cruise cruise NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 193 46 ship ship NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 193 47 Estimates estimate NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 193 48 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 193 49 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 193 50 severity severity NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 193 51 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 193 52 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 193 53 disease disease NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 193 54 2019 2019 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 193 55 : : : cord-341187-jqesw4e8 193 56 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 193 57 model model NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 193 58 - - HYPH cord-341187-jqesw4e8 193 59 based base VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 193 60 analysis analysis NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 194 1 EpiModel EpiModel NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 194 2 : : : cord-341187-jqesw4e8 195 1 An an DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 195 2 R r NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 195 3 Package package NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 195 4 for for IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 195 5 Mathematical Mathematical NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 195 6 Modeling Modeling NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 195 7 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 195 8 Infectious Infectious NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 195 9 Disease Disease NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 195 10 over over IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 195 11 Networks Networks NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 195 12 Association Association NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 195 13 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 195 14 Public Public NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 195 15 Health Health NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 195 16 Interventions Interventions NNPS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 195 17 With with IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 195 18 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 195 19 Epidemiology Epidemiology NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 195 20 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 195 21 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 195 22 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 195 23 Outbreak Outbreak NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 195 24 in in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 195 25 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 196 1 When when WRB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 196 2 is be VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 196 3 quarantine quarantine VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 196 4 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 196 5 useful useful JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 196 6 control control NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 196 7 strategy strategy NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 196 8 for for IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 196 9 emerging emerge VBG cord-341187-jqesw4e8 196 10 infectious infectious JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 196 11 diseases disease NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 196 12 ? ? . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 197 1 Comparing compare VBG cord-341187-jqesw4e8 197 2 nonpharmaceutical nonpharmaceutical JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 197 3 interventions intervention NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 197 4 for for IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 197 5 containing contain VBG cord-341187-jqesw4e8 197 6 emerging emerge VBG cord-341187-jqesw4e8 197 7 epidemics epidemic NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 197 8 Networks network NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 197 9 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 197 10 epidemic epidemic NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 197 11 models model NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 197 12 Clinical clinical JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 197 13 characteristics characteristic NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 197 14 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 197 15 non non JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 197 16 - - JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 197 17 critically critically RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 197 18 ill ill JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 197 19 patients patient NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 197 20 with with IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 197 21 novel novel JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 197 22 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 197 23 infection infection NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 197 24 ( ( -LRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 197 25 COVID-19 covid-19 VB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 197 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-341187-jqesw4e8 197 27 in in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 197 28 a a DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 197 29 Fangcang Fangcang NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 197 30 Hospital Hospital NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 198 1 The the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 198 2 peak peak NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 198 3 self self NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 198 4 - - HYPH cord-341187-jqesw4e8 198 5 quarantined quarantine VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 198 6 is be VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 198 7 2 2 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 198 8 % % NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 198 9 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 198 10 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 198 11 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 198 12 population population NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 198 13 but but CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 198 14 changes change NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 198 15 with with IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 198 16 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 198 17 prevalence prevalence NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 198 18 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 198 19 disease disease NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 198 20 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 199 1 The the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 199 2 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 199 3 rate rate NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 199 4 is be VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 199 5 5 5 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 199 6 % % NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 199 7 for for IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 199 8 young young JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 199 9 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 199 10 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 199 11 30 30 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 199 12 % % NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 199 13 for for IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 199 14 old old JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 199 15 symptomatic symptomatic JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 199 16 cases case NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 199 17 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 199 18 respectively respectively RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 199 19 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 200 1 The the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 200 2 mortality mortality NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 200 3 rate rate NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 200 4 is be VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 200 5 5 5 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 200 6 % % NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 200 7 for for IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 200 8 hospitalized hospitalize VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 200 9 young young JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 200 10 people people NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 200 11 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 200 12 20 20 CD cord-341187-jqesw4e8 200 13 % % NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 200 14 for for IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 200 15 hospitalized hospitalize VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 200 16 elderly elderly JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 200 17 . . . cord-341187-jqesw4e8 201 1 There there EX cord-341187-jqesw4e8 201 2 are be VBP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 201 3 no no DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 201 4 prior prior JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 201 5 symptomatic symptomatic JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 201 6 or or CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 201 7 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 201 8 cases case NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 201 9 or or CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 201 10 quarantined quarantine VBN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 201 11 people people NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 201 12 in in IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 201 13 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 201 14 total total JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 201 15 population population NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 201 16 The the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 201 17 X. X. NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 201 18 Yu Yu NNP cord-341187-jqesw4e8 201 19 is be VBZ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 201 20 solely solely RB cord-341187-jqesw4e8 201 21 responsible responsible JJ cord-341187-jqesw4e8 201 22 for for IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 201 23 the the DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 201 24 conceptualization conceptualization NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 201 25 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 201 26 data datum NNS cord-341187-jqesw4e8 201 27 collection collection NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 201 28 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 201 29 analysis analysis NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 201 30 , , , cord-341187-jqesw4e8 201 31 report report NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 201 32 writing writing NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 201 33 and and CC cord-341187-jqesw4e8 201 34 reporting reporting NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 201 35 writing writing NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 201 36 of of IN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 201 37 this this DT cord-341187-jqesw4e8 201 38 study study NN cord-341187-jqesw4e8 201 39 . . .