id author title date pages extension mime words sentences flesch summary cache txt cord-298872-gbi74g0n FIORITI, V. Estimating the epidemic growth dynamics within the first week 2020-08-16 .txt text/plain 3909 215 60 It is only necessary to collect the cumulative data of the daily infected over a week in some of the most important cities involved in the outbreak, to form a unique sequence of these numbers and then to calculate the first digit distribution. The main idea is to estimate an approximating function for the epidemic growth curve within a time horizon of Tf days, using only the first seven epidemic data points of fifty Italian cities, accounting for about the 30% of the population, considered as a unique sequence formed of 50x7 data-points, called 50_cities sequence. To classify various possible approximant curves we have calculated their Benford gof, showed in the Table 1 , together with the gof of the real Italian epidemic data, the logistic curve, of the cubic curve and of the 50_cities. ./cache/cord-298872-gbi74g0n.txt ./txt/cord-298872-gbi74g0n.txt