id	author	title	date	pages	extension	mime	words	sentences	flesch	summary	cache	txt
cord-266898-f00628z4	Nikitenkova, S.	It's the very time to learn a pandemic lesson: why have predictive techniques been ineffective when describing long-term events?	2020-06-03		.txt	text/plain	2820	144	54	Processing statistical data of countries that have reached an epidemic peak has shown that this regular monitoring obeys a simple analytical regularity which allows us to answer the question: is this or that country that has already passed the threshold of the epidemic close to its peak or is still far from it? To achieve this goal, it is necessary to identify, evaluate and study the mentioned regular component of the error, using the statistics of those countries that have already reached a peak -the stationary level of the epidemic dynamics. This regular error component explains the reason for the failure of a priori mathematical modelling of probable epidemic events in different countries of the world. Processing statistical data of countries that have reached an epidemic peak has shown that this regular monitoring obeys a simple analytical regularity.	./cache/cord-266898-f00628z4.txt	./txt/cord-266898-f00628z4.txt