id	author	title	date	pages	extension	mime	words	sentences	flesch	summary	cache	txt
cord-204796-zy1608lw	Nakamura, G.	Confinement strategies in a simple SIR model	2020-04-20		.txt	text/plain	5468	271	59	In order for our simulations to be as realistic as possible it is important that we calibrate our model, introduce the proper time scale, choose the proper parameters and initial conditions, and, finally consider the adequate confinement strategies. Thus in Figure 11 we show the ratio of the second to the first epidemic peak, i.e. the one reached after the exit from lockdown to the one obtained during the confinement, as a function of the duration of the strict confinement, T 1 . For example, suppose that the confinement lasts 10 units of time in the model, or 50 days, (this situation corresponds to curve (c) in Figure 12 ), then any value of a 1 (the intermediate value of the infection rate of confined people) smaller than 1.8 would lead to a second peak lower than the first one.	./cache/cord-204796-zy1608lw.txt	./txt/cord-204796-zy1608lw.txt