id author title date pages extension mime words sentences flesch summary cache txt cord-024746-ijlnefz3 Koher, Andreas Contact-Based Model for Epidemic Spreading on Temporal Networks 2019-08-02 .txt text/plain 9838 768 59 We present a contact-based model to study the spreading of epidemics by means of extending the dynamic message-passing approach to temporal networks. The shift in perspective from nodeto edge-centric quantities enables accurate modeling of Markovian susceptible-infected-recovered outbreaks on time-varying trees, i.e., temporal networks with a loop-free underlying topology. On arbitrary graphs, the proposed contact-based model incorporates potential structural and temporal heterogeneities of the contact network and improves analytic estimations with respect to the individual-based (node-centric) approach at a low computational and conceptual cost. Our comparison between MC simulations and analytic estimations from the CB and IB models followed a bottom-up approach: We looked at (i) epidemic trajectories of individual nodes, (ii) averaged trajectories given the same outbreak location, and (iii) the final outbreak size for a range of infection probabilities and with random initial condition. ./cache/cord-024746-ijlnefz3.txt ./txt/cord-024746-ijlnefz3.txt