id	author	title	date	pages	extension	mime	words	sentences	flesch	summary	cache	txt
cord-319912-fc9tmx96	Ciminelli, Gabriele	COVID-19 in Italy: An Analysis of Death Registry Data	2020-09-16		.txt	text/plain	3276	204	59	In the Veneto region, which embraced mass testing, contact tracing, and at-home care provision, COVID-19-induced mortality was, respectively, three and six times smaller than in neighboring Emilia-Romagna and Lombardy. This result helps to rationalize the serious undercounting of COVID-19 fatalities in official statistics, which do not include deaths in nursing homes. We zoom in on Lombardy, the worst affected region, to test whether COVID-19 had an additional effect on mortality in municipalities with a higher share of people living in nursing homes (see the Online Appendix for details on the estimation). A plausible estimate suggests that true deaths were about 60% higher than what was officially reported during the first wave of the COVID-19 epidemic in Italy. We use highly granular daily death registry data for thousands of municipalities in Italy's north to conduct a precise estimation of the true effect of COVID-19 on the mortality rate and compare the real death toll with what is reported in official statistics.	./cache/cord-319912-fc9tmx96.txt	./txt/cord-319912-fc9tmx96.txt