id	sid	tid	token	lemma	pos
cord-355173-rnley2ow	1	1	key	key	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	1	2	:	:	:
cord-355173-rnley2ow	1	3	cord-355173-rnley2ow	cord-355173-rnley2ow	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	1	4	authors	author	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	1	5	:	:	:
cord-355173-rnley2ow	1	6	Ibrahim	Ibrahim	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	1	7	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	1	8	R.	R.	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	1	9	R.	R.	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	1	10	;	;	:
cord-355173-rnley2ow	1	11	OLADIPO	OLADIPO	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	1	12	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	1	13	O.	O.	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	1	14	H.	H.	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	1	15	title	title	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	1	16	:	:	:
cord-355173-rnley2ow	1	17	Forecasting	forecast	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	1	18	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	1	19	spread	spread	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	1	20	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	1	21	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	1	22	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	1	23	Nigeria	Nigeria	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	1	24	using	use	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	1	25	Box	Box	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	1	26	-	-	HYPH
cord-355173-rnley2ow	1	27	Jenkins	Jenkins	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	1	28	Modeling	Modeling	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	1	29	Procedure	Procedure	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	1	30	date	date	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	1	31	:	:	:
cord-355173-rnley2ow	1	32	2020	2020	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	1	33	-	-	HYPH
cord-355173-rnley2ow	1	34	05	05	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	1	35	-	-	HYPH
cord-355173-rnley2ow	1	36	08	08	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	1	37	journal	journal	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	1	38	:	:	:
cord-355173-rnley2ow	2	1	nan	nan	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	2	2	DOI	DOI	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	2	3	:	:	:
cord-355173-rnley2ow	3	1	10.1101/2020.05.05.20091686	10.1101/2020.05.05.20091686	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	4	1	sha	sha	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	4	2	:	:	:
cord-355173-rnley2ow	4	3	eb9af478c9ba5d7195dc031a40e24f49e1938c03	eb9af478c9ba5d7195dc031a40e24f49e1938c03	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	4	4	doc_id	doc_id	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	4	5	:	:	:
cord-355173-rnley2ow	4	6	355173	355173	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	4	7	cord_uid	cord_uid	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	4	8	:	:	:
cord-355173-rnley2ow	5	1	rnley2ow	rnley2ow	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	5	2	Abstract	Abstract	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	5	3	Objective	Objective	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	5	4	:	:	:
cord-355173-rnley2ow	6	1	This	this	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	6	2	study	study	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	6	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	6	4	focused	focus	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	6	5	on	on	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	6	6	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	6	7	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	6	8	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	6	9	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	6	10	spread	spread	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	6	11	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	6	12	Covid19	Covid19	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	6	13	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	6	14	Nigeria	Nigeria	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	6	15	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	6	16	applying	apply	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	6	17	statistical	statistical	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	6	18	models	model	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	6	19	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	6	20	available	available	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	6	21	data	datum	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	6	22	from	from	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	6	23	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	6	24	NCDC	NCDC	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	6	25	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	7	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	7	2	present	present	VBP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	7	3	an	an	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	7	4	insight	insight	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	7	5	into	into	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	7	6	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	7	7	spread	spread	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	7	8	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	7	9	Covid19	Covid19	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	7	10	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	7	11	Nigeria	Nigeria	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	7	12	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	7	13	order	order	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	7	14	to	to	TO
cord-355173-rnley2ow	7	15	establish	establish	VB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	7	16	a	a	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	7	17	suitable	suitable	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	7	18	prediction	prediction	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	7	19	model	model	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	7	20	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	7	21	which	which	WDT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	7	22	can	can	MD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	7	23	be	be	VB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	7	24	applied	apply	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	7	25	as	as	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	7	26	a	a	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	7	27	decisionsupportive	decisionsupportive	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	7	28	tool	tool	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	7	29	for	for	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	7	30	assigning	assign	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	7	31	health	health	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	7	32	interventions	intervention	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	7	33	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	7	34	mitigating	mitigate	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	7	35	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	7	36	spread	spread	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	7	37	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	7	38	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	7	39	Covid19	Covid19	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	7	40	infection	infection	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	7	41	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	8	1	Methodology	methodology	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	8	2	:	:	:
cord-355173-rnley2ow	9	1	Daily	Daily	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	9	2	spread	spread	VB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	9	3	data	datum	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	9	4	from	from	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	9	5	February	February	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	9	6	27	27	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	9	7	to	to	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	9	8	April	April	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	9	9	26	26	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	9	10	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	9	11	2020	2020	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	9	12	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	9	13	were	be	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	9	14	collected	collect	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	9	15	to	to	TO
cord-355173-rnley2ow	9	16	construct	construct	VB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	9	17	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	9	18	autoregressive	autoregressive	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	9	19	integrated	integrate	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	9	20	moving	move	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	9	21	average	average	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	9	22	(	(	-LRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	9	23	ARIMA	ARIMA	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	9	24	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	9	25	model	model	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	9	26	using	use	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	9	27	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	9	28	R	r	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	9	29	software	software	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	9	30	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	10	1	Stability	stability	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	10	2	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	10	3	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	10	4	stationarity	stationarity	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	10	5	test	test	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	10	6	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	10	7	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	10	8	test	test	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	10	9	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	10	10	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	10	11	model	model	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	10	12	diagnostic	diagnostic	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	10	13	were	be	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	10	14	also	also	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	10	15	carried	carry	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	10	16	out	out	RP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	10	17	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	11	1	Finally	finally	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	11	2	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	11	3	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	11	4	fitting	fitting	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	11	5	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	11	6	selection	selection	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	11	7	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	11	8	prediction	prediction	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	11	9	accuracy	accuracy	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	11	10	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	11	11	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	11	12	ARIMA	ARIMA	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	11	13	model	model	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	11	14	was	be	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	11	15	evaluated	evaluate	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	11	16	using	use	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	11	17	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	11	18	AICc	AICc	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	11	19	model	model	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	11	20	selection	selection	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	11	21	criteria	criterion	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	11	22	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	12	1	Results	result	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	12	2	:	:	:
cord-355173-rnley2ow	13	1	The	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	13	2	ARIMA	ARIMA	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	13	3	(	(	-LRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	13	4	1,1,0	1,1,0	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	13	5	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	13	6	model	model	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	13	7	was	be	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	13	8	finally	finally	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	13	9	selected	select	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	13	10	among	among	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	13	11	ARIMA	ARIMA	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	13	12	models	model	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	13	13	based	base	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	13	14	upon	upon	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	13	15	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	13	16	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	13	17	test	test	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	13	18	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	13	19	Box	Box	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	13	20	Ljung	Ljung	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	13	21	test	test	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	13	22	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	14	1	A	a	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	14	2	ten	ten	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	14	3	day	day	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	14	4	forecast	forecast	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	14	5	was	be	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	14	6	also	also	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	14	7	made	make	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	14	8	from	from	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	14	9	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	14	10	model	model	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	14	11	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	14	12	which	which	WDT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	14	13	shows	show	VBZ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	14	14	a	a	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	14	15	steep	steep	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	14	16	upward	upward	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	14	17	trend	trend	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	14	18	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	14	19	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	14	20	spread	spread	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	14	21	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	14	22	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	14	23	COVID19	COVID19	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	14	24	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	14	25	Nigeria	Nigeria	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	14	26	within	within	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	14	27	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	14	28	selected	select	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	14	29	time	time	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	14	30	frame	frame	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	14	31	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	15	1	Conclusion	conclusion	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	15	2	:	:	:
cord-355173-rnley2ow	15	3	Federal	Federal	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	15	4	Government	Government	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	15	5	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	15	6	Nigeria	Nigeria	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	15	7	through	through	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	15	8	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	15	9	presidential	presidential	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	15	10	task	task	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	15	11	force	force	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	15	12	can	can	MD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	15	13	apply	apply	VB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	15	14	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	15	15	forecasted	forecast	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	15	16	trend	trend	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	15	17	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	15	18	much	much	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	15	19	more	more	JJR
cord-355173-rnley2ow	15	20	spread	spread	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	15	21	to	to	TO
cord-355173-rnley2ow	15	22	make	make	VB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	15	23	more	more	RBR
cord-355173-rnley2ow	15	24	informed	informed	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	15	25	decisions	decision	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	15	26	on	on	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	15	27	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	15	28	additional	additional	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	15	29	measures	measure	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	15	30	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	15	31	place	place	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	15	32	to	to	TO
cord-355173-rnley2ow	15	33	curb	curb	VB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	15	34	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	15	35	spread	spread	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	15	36	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	15	37	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	15	38	virus	virus	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	15	39	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	16	1	Application	application	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	16	2	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	16	3	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	16	4	model	model	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	16	5	can	can	MD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	16	6	also	also	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	16	7	assist	assist	VB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	16	8	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	16	9	studying	study	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	16	10	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	16	11	effectiveness	effectiveness	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	16	12	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	16	13	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	16	14	lockdown	lockdown	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	16	15	on	on	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	16	16	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	16	17	on	on	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	16	18	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	16	19	spread	spread	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	16	20	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	16	21	Covid19	Covid19	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	16	22	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	16	23	Nigeria	Nigeria	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	16	24	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	17	1	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	17	2	has	have	VBZ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	17	3	been	be	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	17	4	spreading	spread	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	17	5	rapidly	rapidly	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	17	6	globally	globally	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	17	7	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	17	8	with	with	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	17	9	a	a	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	17	10	considerable	considerable	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	17	11	impact	impact	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	17	12	on	on	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	17	13	global	global	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	17	14	morbidity	morbidity	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	17	15	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	17	16	mortality	mortality	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	17	17	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	17	18	healthcare	healthcare	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	17	19	utilization	utilization	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	17	20	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	18	1	This	this	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	18	2	viral	viral	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	18	3	disease	disease	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	18	4	is	be	VBZ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	18	5	caused	cause	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	18	6	by	by	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	18	7	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	18	8	Coronaviruses	Coronaviruses	NNPS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	18	9	(	(	-LRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	18	10	CoV	CoV	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	18	11	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	18	12	which	which	WDT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	18	13	belong	belong	VBP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	18	14	to	to	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	18	15	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	18	16	genus	genus	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	18	17	'	'	``
cord-355173-rnley2ow	18	18	coronavirus	coronavirus	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	18	19	'	'	''
cord-355173-rnley2ow	18	20	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	18	21	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	18	22	Coronaviridae	Coronaviridae	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	18	23	family	family	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	18	24	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	19	1	All	all	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	19	2	CoVs	cov	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	19	3	are	be	VBP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	19	4	pleomorphic	pleomorphic	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	19	5	RNA	RNA	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	19	6	viruses	virus	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	19	7	characterized	characterize	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	19	8	by	by	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	19	9	crown	crown	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	19	10	-	-	HYPH
cord-355173-rnley2ow	19	11	shape	shape	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	19	12	(	(	-LRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	19	13	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	19	14	name	name	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	19	15	"	"	``
cord-355173-rnley2ow	19	16	coronavirus	coronavirus	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	19	17	"	"	''
cord-355173-rnley2ow	19	18	is	be	VBZ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	19	19	derived	derive	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	19	20	from	from	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	19	21	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	19	22	Greek	Greek	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	19	23	κ	κ	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	19	24	ο	ο	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	19	25	ρ	ρ	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	19	26	ώ	ώ	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	19	27	ν	ν	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	19	28	α	α	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	19	29	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	19	30	meaning	mean	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	19	31	crown	crown	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	19	32	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	19	33	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	20	1	peplomers	peplomer	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	20	2	with	with	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	20	3	80	80	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	20	4	-	-	SYM
cord-355173-rnley2ow	20	5	160	160	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	20	6	nM	nm	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	20	7	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	20	8	size	size	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	20	9	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	20	10	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	20	11	genome	genome	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	20	12	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	20	13	CoV	CoV	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	20	14	contains	contain	VBZ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	20	15	a	a	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	20	16	linear	linear	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	20	17	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	20	18	single	single	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	20	19	-	-	HYPH
cord-355173-rnley2ow	20	20	stranded	strand	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	20	21	RNA	RNA	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	20	22	molecule	molecule	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	20	23	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	20	24	positive	positive	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	20	25	(	(	-LRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	20	26	mRNA	mrna	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	20	27	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	20	28	polarity	polarity	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	20	29	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	20	30	about	about	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	20	31	28	28	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	20	32	-	-	SYM
cord-355173-rnley2ow	20	33	32Kb	32kb	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	20	34	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	20	35	length	length	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	20	36	(	(	-LRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	20	37	Sahin	Sahin	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	20	38	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	20	39	2020	2020	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	20	40	;	;	:
cord-355173-rnley2ow	20	41	Woo	woo	UH
cord-355173-rnley2ow	20	42	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	20	43	Huang	Huang	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	20	44	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	20	45	Lau	Lau	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	20	46	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	20	47	&	&	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	20	48	Yuen	Yuen	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	20	49	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	20	50	2010	2010	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	20	51	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	20	52	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	21	1	Coronaviruses	coronaviruse	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	21	2	possess	possess	VBP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	21	3	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	21	4	largest	large	JJS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	21	5	genomes	genome	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	21	6	among	among	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	21	7	all	all	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	21	8	identified	identify	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	21	9	RNA	RNA	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	21	10	viruses	virus	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	21	11	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	21	12	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	21	13	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	21	14	large	large	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	21	15	genome	genome	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	21	16	gives	give	VBZ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	21	17	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	21	18	virus	virus	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	21	19	extra	extra	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	21	20	plasticity	plasticity	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	21	21	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	21	22	accommodating	accommodate	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	21	23	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	21	24	modifying	modify	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	21	25	genes	gene	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	21	26	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	22	1	Hence	hence	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	22	2	high	high	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	22	3	recombination	recombination	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	22	4	rates	rate	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	22	5	are	be	VBP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	22	6	observed	observe	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	22	7	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	22	8	CoVs	CoVs	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	22	9	due	due	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	22	10	to	to	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	22	11	constantly	constantly	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	22	12	developing	develop	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	22	13	transcription	transcription	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	22	14	errors	error	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	22	15	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	22	16	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	22	17	RNA	RNA	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	22	18	dependent	dependent	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	22	19	RNA	RNA	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	22	20	polymerase	polymerase	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	22	21	(	(	-LRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	22	22	RdRP	RdRP	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	22	23	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	22	24	jumps	jump	VBZ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	23	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	23	2	Woo	woo	UH
cord-355173-rnley2ow	23	3	et	et	FW
cord-355173-rnley2ow	23	4	al	al	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	23	5	.	.	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	23	6	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	23	7	2010	2010	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	23	8	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	23	9	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	24	1	Coronaviruses	coronaviruse	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	24	2	are	be	VBP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	24	3	zoonotic	zoonotic	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	24	4	pathogens	pathogen	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	24	5	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	24	6	found	find	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	24	7	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	24	8	humans	human	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	24	9	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	24	10	various	various	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	24	11	animals	animal	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	24	12	with	with	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	24	13	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	24	14	ability	ability	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	24	15	to	to	TO
cord-355173-rnley2ow	24	16	exhibit	exhibit	VB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	24	17	clinical	clinical	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	24	18	features	feature	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	24	19	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	24	20	human	human	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	24	21	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	25	1	In	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	25	2	humans	human	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	25	3	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	25	4	there	there	EX
cord-355173-rnley2ow	25	5	are	be	VBP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	25	6	four	four	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	25	7	prototypic	prototypic	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	25	8	human	human	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	25	9	CoV	CoV	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	25	10	(	(	-LRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	25	11	hCoV	hCoV	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	25	12	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	25	13	that	that	WDT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	25	14	cause	cause	VBP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	25	15	endemic	endemic	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	25	16	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	25	17	epidemic	epidemic	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	25	18	respiratory	respiratory	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	25	19	disease	disease	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	25	20	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	25	21	including	include	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	25	22	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	25	23	human	human	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	25	24	alpha	alpha	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	25	25	coronaviruses	coronaviruses	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	25	26	229E	229E	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	25	27	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	25	28	NL63	NL63	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	25	29	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	25	30	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	25	31	human	human	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	25	32	beta	beta	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	25	33	coronaviruses	coronaviruse	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	25	34	OC43	OC43	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	25	35	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	25	36	HKU1	HKU1	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	26	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	26	2	Drexler	Drexler	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	26	3	et	et	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	26	4	al	al	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	26	5	.	.	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	26	6	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	26	7	2010	2010	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	26	8	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	26	9	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	27	1	Infected	infected	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	27	2	patients	patient	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	27	3	can	can	MD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	27	4	be	be	VB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	27	5	asymptomatic	asymptomatic	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	27	6	or	or	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	27	7	symptomatic	symptomatic	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	27	8	affecting	affect	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	27	9	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	27	10	gastrointestinal	gastrointestinal	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	27	11	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	27	12	respiratory	respiratory	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	27	13	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	27	14	hepatic	hepatic	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	27	15	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	27	16	neurological	neurological	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	27	17	systems	system	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	27	18	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	27	19	may	may	MD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	27	20	result	result	VB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	27	21	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	27	22	hospitalization	hospitalization	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	27	23	at	at	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	27	24	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	27	25	intensive	intensive	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	27	26	care	care	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	27	27	unit	unit	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	27	28	(	(	-LRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	27	29	Drexler	Drexler	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	27	30	et	et	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	27	31	al	al	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	27	32	.	.	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	27	33	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	27	34	2010	2010	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	27	35	;	;	:
cord-355173-rnley2ow	27	36	Woo	Woo	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	27	37	et	et	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	27	38	al	al	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	27	39	.	.	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	27	40	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	27	41	2010	2010	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	27	42	;	;	:
cord-355173-rnley2ow	27	43	Yin	Yin	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	27	44	&	&	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	27	45	Wunderink	Wunderink	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	27	46	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	27	47	2018	2018	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	27	48	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	27	49	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	28	1	The	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	28	2	history	history	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	28	3	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	28	4	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	28	5	pathogenicity	pathogenicity	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	28	6	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	28	7	CoV	CoV	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	28	8	is	be	VBZ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	28	9	dated	date	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	28	10	back	back	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	28	11	to	to	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	28	12	2002	2002	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	28	13	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	28	14	2003	2003	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	28	15	when	when	WRB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	28	16	they	-PRON-	PRP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	28	17	were	be	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	28	18	considered	consider	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	28	19	to	to	TO
cord-355173-rnley2ow	28	20	be	be	VB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	28	21	highly	highly	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	28	22	pathogenic	pathogenic	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	28	23	due	due	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	28	24	to	to	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	28	25	severe	severe	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	28	26	acute	acute	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	28	27	respiratory	respiratory	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	28	28	syndrome	syndrome	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	28	29	(	(	-LRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	28	30	SARS	SARS	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	28	31	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	28	32	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	28	33	Guangdong	Guangdong	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	28	34	state	state	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	28	35	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	28	36	China	China	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	28	37	for	for	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	28	38	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	28	39	first	first	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	28	40	time	time	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	28	41	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	29	1	Before	before	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	29	2	this	this	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	29	3	outbreaks	outbreak	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	29	4	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	29	5	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	29	6	two	two	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	29	7	most	most	RBS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	29	8	common	common	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	29	9	CoV	cov	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	29	10	known	know	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	29	11	to	to	TO
cord-355173-rnley2ow	29	12	cause	cause	VB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	29	13	mild	mild	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	29	14	infections	infection	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	29	15	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	29	16	people	people	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	29	17	with	with	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	29	18	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	29	19	adequate	adequate	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	29	20	immune	immune	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	29	21	system	system	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	29	22	includes	include	VBZ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	29	23	CoV	CoV	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	29	24	OC43	OC43	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	29	25	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	29	26	CoV	CoV	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	29	27	229E	229e	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	30	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	30	2	Peiris	Peiris	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	30	3	et	et	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	30	4	al	al	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	30	5	.	.	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	30	6	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	30	7	2003	2003	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	30	8	;	;	:
cord-355173-rnley2ow	30	9	Yin	Yin	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	30	10	&	&	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	30	11	Wunderink	Wunderink	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	30	12	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	30	13	2018	2018	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	30	14	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	30	15	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	1	About	about	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	2	ten	ten	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	3	years	year	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	4	after	after	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	5	SARS	SARS	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	6	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	7	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	8	highly	highly	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	9	pathogenic	pathogenic	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	10	CoV	cov	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	11	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	12	Middle	Middle	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	13	East	East	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	14	Respiratory	Respiratory	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	15	Syndrome	Syndrome	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	16	Coronavirus	Coronavirus	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	17	(	(	-LRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	18	MERS	MERS	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	19	-	-	HYPH
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	20	CoV	CoV	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	21	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	22	emerged	emerge	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	23	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	24	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	25	Middle	Middle	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	26	East	East	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	27	countries	country	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	28	(	(	-LRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	29	Zaki	Zaki	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	30	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	31	Van	Van	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	32	Boheemen	Boheemen	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	33	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	34	Bestebroer	Bestebroer	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	35	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	36	Osterhaus	Osterhaus	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	37	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	38	&	&	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	39	Fouchier	Fouchier	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	40	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	41	2012	2012	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	42	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	43	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	44	recently	recently	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	45	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	46	December	December	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	47	2019	2019	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	48	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	49	a	a	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	50	novel	novel	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	51	Coronavirus	Coronavirus	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	52	(	(	-LRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	53	nCoV	nCoV	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	54	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	55	emerged	emerge	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	56	at	at	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	57	a	a	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	58	livestock	livestock	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	59	/	/	SYM
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	60	Seafood	Seafood	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	61	Market	Market	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	62	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	63	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	64	Wuhan	Wuhan	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	65	State	State	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	66	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	67	Hubei	Hubei	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	68	Province	Province	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	69	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	70	China	China	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	71	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	72	has	have	VBZ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	73	evolved	evolve	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	74	into	into	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	75	a	a	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	76	global	global	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	77	pandemic	pandemic	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	78	(	(	-LRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	79	"	"	``
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	80	Seven	seven	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	81	days	day	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	82	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	83	medicine	medicine	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	84	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	85	"	"	''
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	86	2020	2020	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	87	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	31	88	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	32	1	Chinese	chinese	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	32	2	authorities	authority	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	32	3	announced	announce	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	32	4	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	32	5	isolation	isolation	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	32	6	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	32	7	this	this	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	32	8	novel	novel	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	32	9	virus	virus	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	32	10	on	on	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	32	11	January	January	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	32	12	7	7	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	32	13	2020	2020	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	32	14	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	32	15	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	32	16	virus	virus	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	32	17	was	be	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	32	18	named	name	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	32	19	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	32	20	by	by	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	32	21	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	32	22	world	world	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	32	23	health	health	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	32	24	organization	organization	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	32	25	on	on	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	32	26	January	January	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	32	27	12	12	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	32	28	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	32	29	2020	2020	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	32	30	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	32	31	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	32	32	as	as	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	32	33	at	at	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	32	34	February	February	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	32	35	12	12	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	32	36	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	32	37	2020	2020	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	32	38	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	32	39	a	a	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	32	40	total	total	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	32	41	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	32	42	43,103	43,103	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	32	43	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	32	44	cases	case	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	32	45	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	32	46	1,018	1,018	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	32	47	deaths	death	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	32	48	had	have	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	32	49	been	be	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	32	50	reported	report	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	32	51	(	(	-LRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	32	52	Organization	organization	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	32	53	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	32	54	2020	2020	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	32	55	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	32	56	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	33	1	During	during	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	33	2	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	33	3	ongoing	ongoing	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	33	4	pandemic	pandemic	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	33	5	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	33	6	some	some	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	33	7	research	research	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	33	8	publications	publication	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	33	9	have	have	VBP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	33	10	focused	focus	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	33	11	on	on	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	33	12	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	33	13	epidemiology	epidemiology	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	33	14	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	33	15	trend	trend	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	33	16	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	33	17	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	33	18	forecasting	forecast	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	33	19	for	for	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	33	20	different	different	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	33	21	cities	city	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	33	22	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	33	23	countries	country	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	33	24	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	34	1	These	these	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	34	2	studies	study	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	34	3	presented	present	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	34	4	long	long	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	34	5	-	-	HYPH
cord-355173-rnley2ow	34	6	term	term	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	34	7	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	34	8	short	short	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	34	9	-	-	HYPH
cord-355173-rnley2ow	34	10	term	term	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	34	11	trend	trend	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	34	12	using	use	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	34	13	time	time	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	34	14	series	series	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	34	15	data	datum	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	34	16	from	from	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	34	17	relevant	relevant	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	34	18	database	database	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	34	19	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	34	20	offered	offer	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	34	21	forecasting	forecasting	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	34	22	applications	application	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	34	23	using	use	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	34	24	models	model	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	34	25	such	such	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	34	26	as	as	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	34	27	ARIMA	ARIMA	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	34	28	model	model	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	34	29	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	34	30	Exponential	Exponential	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	34	31	Smoothing	Smoothing	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	34	32	methods	method	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	34	33	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	34	34	SEIR	seir	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	34	35	model	model	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	34	36	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	34	37	Regression	Regression	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	34	38	Model	Model	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	34	39	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	35	1	Applying	apply	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	35	2	purely	purely	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	35	3	data	data	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	35	4	-	-	HYPH
cord-355173-rnley2ow	35	5	driven	drive	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	35	6	statistical	statistical	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	35	7	method	method	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	35	8	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	35	9	Yang	Yang	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	35	10	et	et	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	35	11	al	al	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	35	12	.	.	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	35	13	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	36	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	36	2	2020	2020	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	36	3	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	36	4	estimated	estimate	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	36	5	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	36	6	case	case	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	36	7	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	36	8	rate	rate	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	36	9	(	(	-LRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	36	10	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	36	11	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	36	12	for	for	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	36	13	COVID-19	covid-19	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	36	14	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	36	15	three	three	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	36	16	clusters	cluster	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	36	17	:	:	:
cord-355173-rnley2ow	36	18	Wuhan	Wuhan	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	36	19	city	city	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	36	20	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	36	21	other	other	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	36	22	cities	city	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	36	23	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	36	24	Hubei	Hubei	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	36	25	province	province	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	36	26	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	36	27	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	36	28	other	other	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	36	29	provinces	province	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	36	30	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	36	31	mainland	mainland	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	36	32	China	China	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	36	33	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	37	1	A	a	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	37	2	simple	simple	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	37	3	linear	linear	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	37	4	regression	regression	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	37	5	model	model	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	37	6	was	be	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	37	7	applied	apply	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	37	8	to	to	TO
cord-355173-rnley2ow	37	9	estimate	estimate	VB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	37	10	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	37	11	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	37	12	from	from	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	37	13	each	each	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	37	14	cluster	cluster	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	37	15	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	38	1	The	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	38	2	result	result	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	38	3	obtained	obtain	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	38	4	showed	show	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	38	5	that	that	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	38	6	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	38	7	during	during	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	38	8	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	38	9	first	first	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	38	10	weeks	week	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	38	11	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	38	12	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	38	13	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	38	14	ranges	range	VBZ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	38	15	from	from	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	38	16	0.15	0.15	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	38	17	%	%	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	38	18	(	(	-LRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	38	19	95	95	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	38	20	%	%	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	38	21	CI	ci	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	38	22	:	:	:
cord-355173-rnley2ow	38	23	0.12	0.12	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	38	24	-	-	SYM
cord-355173-rnley2ow	38	25	0.18	0.18	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	38	26	%	%	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	38	27	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	38	28	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	38	29	mainland	mainland	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	38	30	China	China	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	38	31	excluding	exclude	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	38	32	Hubei	Hubei	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	38	33	through	through	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	38	34	1.41	1.41	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	38	35	%	%	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	38	36	(	(	-LRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	38	37	95	95	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	38	38	%	%	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	38	39	CI	ci	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	38	40	:	:	:
cord-355173-rnley2ow	38	41	1.38	1.38	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	38	42	-	-	HYPH
cord-355173-rnley2ow	38	43	1.45	1.45	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	38	44	%	%	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	38	45	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	38	46	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	38	47	Hubei	Hubei	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	38	48	province	province	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	38	49	excluding	exclude	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	38	50	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	38	51	city	city	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	38	52	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	38	53	Wuhan	Wuhan	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	38	54	to	to	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	38	55	5.25	5.25	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	38	56	%	%	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	38	57	(	(	-LRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	38	58	95	95	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	38	59	%	%	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	38	60	CI	ci	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	38	61	:	:	:
cord-355173-rnley2ow	38	62	4.98	4.98	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	38	63	-	-	SYM
cord-355173-rnley2ow	38	64	5.51	5.51	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	38	65	%	%	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	38	66	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	38	67	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	38	68	Wuhan	Wuhan	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	38	69	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	39	1	Their	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-355173-rnley2ow	39	2	results	result	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	39	3	conclusively	conclusively	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	39	4	indicate	indicate	VBP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	39	5	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	39	6	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	39	7	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	39	8	is	be	VBZ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	39	9	lower	low	JJR
cord-355173-rnley2ow	39	10	than	than	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	39	11	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	39	12	previous	previous	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	39	13	coronavirus	coronavirus	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	39	14	epidemics	epidemic	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	39	15	caused	cause	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	39	16	by	by	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	39	17	SARS	SARS	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	39	18	-	-	HYPH
cord-355173-rnley2ow	39	19	CoV	CoV	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	39	20	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	39	21	Middle	Middle	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	39	22	East	East	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	39	23	respiratory	respiratory	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	39	24	syndrome	syndrome	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	39	25	coronavirus	coronavirus	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	39	26	(	(	-LRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	39	27	MERS	MERS	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	39	28	-	-	HYPH
cord-355173-rnley2ow	39	29	CoV	CoV	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	39	30	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	39	31	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	1	To	to	TO
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	2	study	study	VB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	3	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	4	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	5	trend	trend	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	6	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	7	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	8	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	9	mainland	mainland	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	10	China	China	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	11	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	12	Hubei	Hubei	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	13	province	province	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	14	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	15	Wuhan	Wuhan	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	16	city	city	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	17	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	18	other	other	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	19	provinces	province	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	20	outside	outside	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	21	Hubei	Hubei	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	22	from	from	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	23	January	January	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	24	16	16	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	25	to	to	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	26	February	February	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	27	14	14	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	28	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	29	2020	2020	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	30	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	31	Zhu	Zhu	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	32	et	et	FW
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	33	al	al	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	34	.	.	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	35	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	36	(	(	-LRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	37	2020	2020	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	38	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	39	generated	generate	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	40	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	41	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	42	curve	curve	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	43	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	44	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	45	new	new	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	46	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	47	cases	case	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	48	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	49	multiple	multiple	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	50	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	51	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	52	new	new	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	53	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	54	cases	case	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	55	for	for	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	56	period	period	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	57	-	-	HYPH
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	58	over	over	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	59	-	-	HYPH
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	60	period	period	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	61	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	62	multiple	multiple	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	63	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	64	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	65	new	new	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	66	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	67	cases	case	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	68	for	for	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	69	fixed	fix	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	70	-	-	HYPH
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	71	base	base	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	72	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	73	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	74	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	75	period	period	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	76	-	-	HYPH
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	77	over	over	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	78	-	-	HYPH
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	79	period	period	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	80	growth	growth	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	81	rate	rate	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	82	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	83	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	84	new	new	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	85	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	86	cases	case	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	87	using	use	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	88	data	datum	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	89	from	from	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	90	National	National	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	91	Health	Health	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	92	Commission	Commission	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	40	93	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	41	1	From	from	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	41	2	January	January	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	41	3	16	16	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	41	4	to	to	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	41	5	February	February	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	41	6	14	14	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	41	7	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	41	8	2020	2020	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	41	9	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	41	10	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	41	11	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	41	12	number	number	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	41	13	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	41	14	new	new	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	41	15	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	41	16	cases	case	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	41	17	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	41	18	COVID-19	covid-19	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	41	19	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	41	20	mainland	mainland	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	41	21	China	China	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	41	22	was	be	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	41	23	50	50	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	41	24	031	031	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	41	25	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	41	26	including	include	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	41	27	37	37	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	41	28	930	930	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	41	29	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	41	30	Hubei	Hubei	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	41	31	province	province	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	41	32	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	41	33	22	22	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	41	34	883	883	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	41	35	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	41	36	Wuhan	Wuhan	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	41	37	city	city	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	41	38	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	41	39	12,101	12,101	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	41	40	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	41	41	other	other	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	41	42	provinces	province	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	41	43	outside	outside	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	41	44	Hubei	Hubei	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	41	45	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	42	1	The	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	42	2	peak	peak	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	42	3	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	42	4	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	42	5	number	number	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	42	6	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	42	7	new	new	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	42	8	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	42	9	cases	case	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	42	10	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	42	11	other	other	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	42	12	provinces	province	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	42	13	outside	outside	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	42	14	Hubei	Hubei	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	42	15	was	be	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	42	16	from	from	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	42	17	January	January	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	42	18	31	31	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	42	19	to	to	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	42	20	February	February	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	42	21	4	4	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	42	22	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	42	23	2020	2020	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	42	24	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	42	25	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	42	26	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	42	27	peak	peak	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	42	28	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	42	29	new	new	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	42	30	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	42	31	cases	case	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	42	32	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	42	33	Wuhan	Wuhan	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	42	34	city	city	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	42	35	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	42	36	Hubei	Hubei	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	42	37	province	province	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	42	38	was	be	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	42	39	from	from	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	42	40	February	February	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	42	41	5	5	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	42	42	to	to	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	42	43	February	February	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	42	44	9	9	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	42	45	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	42	46	2020	2020	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	42	47	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	43	1	The	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	43	2	number	number	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	43	3	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	43	4	new	new	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	43	5	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	43	6	cases	case	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	43	7	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	43	8	other	other	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	43	9	provinces	province	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	43	10	outside	outside	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	43	11	Hubei	Hubei	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	43	12	showed	show	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	43	13	a	a	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	43	14	significant	significant	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	43	15	decline	decline	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	43	16	(	(	-LRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	43	17	23	23	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	43	18	%	%	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	43	19	compared	compare	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	43	20	with	with	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	43	21	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	43	22	peak	peak	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	43	23	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	43	24	from	from	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	43	25	February	February	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	43	26	5	5	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	43	27	to	to	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	43	28	February	February	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	43	29	9	9	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	43	30	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	43	31	2020	2020	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	43	32	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	43	33	while	while	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	43	34	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	43	35	number	number	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	43	36	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	43	37	new	new	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	43	38	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	43	39	cases	case	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	43	40	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	43	41	Wuhan	Wuhan	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	43	42	city	city	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	43	43	(	(	-LRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	43	44	30	30	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	43	45	%	%	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	43	46	compared	compare	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	43	47	with	with	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	43	48	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	43	49	peak	peak	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	43	50	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	43	51	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	43	52	Hubei	Hubei	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	43	53	Province	Province	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	43	54	(	(	-LRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	43	55	37	37	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	43	56	%	%	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	43	57	compared	compare	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	43	58	with	with	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	43	59	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	43	60	peak	peak	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	43	61	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	43	62	decreased	decrease	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	43	63	significantly	significantly	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	43	64	from	from	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	43	65	February	February	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	43	66	10	10	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	43	67	to	to	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	43	68	February	February	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	43	69	14	14	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	43	70	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	43	71	2020	2020	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	43	72	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	44	1	Fanelli	Fanelli	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	44	2	&	&	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	44	3	Piazza	Piazza	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	44	4	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	44	5	(	(	-LRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	44	6	2020	2020	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	44	7	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	44	8	analyzed	analyze	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	44	9	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	44	10	temporal	temporal	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	44	11	dynamics	dynamic	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	44	12	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	44	13	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	44	14	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	44	15	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	44	16	China	China	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	44	17	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	44	18	Italy	Italy	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	44	19	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	44	20	France	France	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	44	21	with	with	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	44	22	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	44	23	timeframe	timeframe	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	44	24	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	44	25	January	January	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	44	26	22	22	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	44	27	to	to	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	44	28	March	March	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	44	29	15	15	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	44	30	2020	2020	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	44	31	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	45	1	A	a	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	45	2	first	first	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	45	3	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	45	4	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	45	5	simple	simple	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	45	6	day	day	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	45	7	-	-	HYPH
cord-355173-rnley2ow	45	8	lag	lag	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	45	9	maps	map	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	45	10	points	point	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	45	11	to	to	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	45	12	some	some	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	45	13	universality	universality	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	45	14	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	45	15	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	45	16	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	45	17	spreading	spread	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	45	18	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	45	19	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	45	20	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	45	21	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	45	22	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	45	23	same	same	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	45	24	data	datum	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	45	25	within	within	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	45	26	a	a	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	45	27	simple	simple	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	45	28	susceptible	susceptible	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	45	29	-	-	HYPH
cord-355173-rnley2ow	45	30	infected	infected	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	45	31	-	-	HYPH
cord-355173-rnley2ow	45	32	recovered	recover	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	45	33	-	-	HYPH
cord-355173-rnley2ow	45	34	deaths	death	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	45	35	model	model	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	45	36	indicates	indicate	VBZ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	45	37	that	that	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	45	38	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	45	39	kinetic	kinetic	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	45	40	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	45	41	that	that	WDT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	45	42	describes	describe	VBZ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	45	43	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	45	44	rate	rate	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	45	45	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	45	46	recovery	recovery	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	45	47	appears	appear	VBZ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	45	48	to	to	TO
cord-355173-rnley2ow	45	49	be	be	VB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	45	50	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	45	51	same	same	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	45	52	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	45	53	regardless	regardless	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	45	54	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	45	55	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	45	56	country	country	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	45	57	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	45	58	while	while	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	45	59	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	45	60	infection	infection	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	45	61	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	45	62	death	death	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	45	63	rates	rate	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	45	64	appear	appear	VBP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	45	65	to	to	TO
cord-355173-rnley2ow	45	66	be	be	VB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	45	67	more	more	RBR
cord-355173-rnley2ow	45	68	variable	variable	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	45	69	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	46	1	The	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	46	2	model	model	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	46	3	places	place	VBZ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	46	4	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	46	5	peak	peak	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	46	6	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	46	7	Italy	Italy	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	46	8	around	around	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	46	9	March	March	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	46	10	21	21	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	46	11	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	46	12	2020	2020	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	46	13	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	46	14	with	with	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	46	15	a	a	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	46	16	peak	peak	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	46	17	number	number	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	46	18	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	46	19	infected	infected	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	46	20	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	46	21	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	46	22	about	about	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	46	23	26000	26000	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	46	24	(	(	-LRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	46	25	not	not	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	46	26	including	include	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	46	27	recovered	recover	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	46	28	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	46	29	dead	dead	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	46	30	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	46	31	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	46	32	a	a	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	46	33	number	number	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	46	34	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	46	35	deaths	death	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	46	36	at	at	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	46	37	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	46	38	end	end	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	46	39	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	46	40	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	46	41	epidemics	epidemic	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	46	42	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	46	43	about	about	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	46	44	18,000	18,000	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	46	45	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	47	1	Since	since	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	47	2	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	47	3	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	47	4	cases	case	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	47	5	are	be	VBP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	47	6	believed	believe	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	47	7	to	to	TO
cord-355173-rnley2ow	47	8	be	be	VB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	47	9	between	between	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	47	10	10	10	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	47	11	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	47	12	20	20	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	47	13	%	%	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	47	14	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	47	15	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	47	16	real	real	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	47	17	number	number	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	47	18	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	47	19	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	47	20	who	who	WP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	47	21	eventually	eventually	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	47	22	get	get	VBP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	47	23	infected	infect	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	47	24	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	47	25	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	47	26	apparent	apparent	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	47	27	mortality	mortality	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	47	28	rate	rate	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	47	29	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	47	30	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	47	31	falls	fall	VBZ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	47	32	between	between	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	47	33	4	4	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	47	34	%	%	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	47	35	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	47	36	8	8	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	47	37	%	%	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	47	38	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	47	39	Italy	Italy	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	47	40	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	47	41	while	while	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	47	42	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	47	43	appears	appear	VBZ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	47	44	substantially	substantially	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	47	45	lower	low	JJR
cord-355173-rnley2ow	47	46	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	47	47	between	between	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	47	48	1	1	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	47	49	%	%	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	47	50	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	47	51	3	3	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	47	52	%	%	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	47	53	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	47	54	China	China	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	47	55	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	48	1	Piccolomini	Piccolomini	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	48	2	&	&	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	48	3	Zama	Zama	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	48	4	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	48	5	(	(	-LRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	48	6	2020	2020	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	48	7	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	48	8	also	also	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	48	9	proposed	propose	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	48	10	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	48	11	modification	modification	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	48	12	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	48	13	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	48	14	Susceptible	susceptible	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	48	15	-	-	HYPH
cord-355173-rnley2ow	48	16	Infected	infect	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	48	17	-	-	HYPH
cord-355173-rnley2ow	48	18	Exposed	expose	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	48	19	-	-	HYPH
cord-355173-rnley2ow	48	20	Recovered	recover	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	48	21	-	-	HYPH
cord-355173-rnley2ow	48	22	Dead	dead	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	48	23	(	(	-LRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	48	24	SEIRD	SEIRD	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	48	25	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	48	26	differential	differential	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	48	27	model	model	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	48	28	for	for	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	48	29	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	48	30	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	48	31	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	48	32	forecast	forecast	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	48	33	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	48	34	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	48	35	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	48	36	spread	spread	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	48	37	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	48	38	some	some	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	48	39	regions	region	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	48	40	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	48	41	Italy	Italy	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	48	42	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	49	1	They	-PRON-	PRP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	49	2	introduced	introduce	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	49	3	a	a	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	49	4	time	time	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	49	5	-	-	HYPH
cord-355173-rnley2ow	49	6	dependent	dependent	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	49	7	transmitting	transmit	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	49	8	rate	rate	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	49	9	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	49	10	reported	report	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	49	11	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	49	12	maximum	maximum	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	49	13	infection	infection	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	49	14	spread	spread	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	49	15	for	for	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	49	16	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	49	17	three	three	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	49	18	Italian	italian	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	49	19	regions	region	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	49	20	firstly	firstly	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	49	21	affected	affect	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	49	22	by	by	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	49	23	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	49	24	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	49	25	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	49	26	(	(	-LRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	49	27	Lombardia	Lombardia	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	49	28	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	49	29	Veneto	Veneto	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	49	30	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	49	31	Emilia	Emilia	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	49	32	Romagna	Romagna	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	49	33	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	49	34	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	50	1	Danon	Danon	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	50	2	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	50	3	Brooks	Brooks	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	50	4	-	-	HYPH
cord-355173-rnley2ow	50	5	Pollock	Pollock	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	50	6	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	50	7	Bailey	Bailey	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	50	8	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	50	9	&	&	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	50	10	Keeling	Keeling	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	50	11	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	50	12	(	(	-LRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	50	13	2020	2020	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	50	14	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	50	15	applied	apply	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	50	16	an	an	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	50	17	existing	exist	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	50	18	national	national	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	50	19	-	-	HYPH
cord-355173-rnley2ow	50	20	scale	scale	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	50	21	metapopulation	metapopulation	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	50	22	model	model	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	50	23	to	to	TO
cord-355173-rnley2ow	50	24	capture	capture	VB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	50	25	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	50	26	spread	spread	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	50	27	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	50	28	CoVID-19	CoVID-19	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	50	29	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	50	30	England	England	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	50	31	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	50	32	Wales	Wales	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	50	33	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	51	1	They	-PRON-	PRP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	51	2	captured	capture	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	51	3	data	datum	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	51	4	from	from	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	51	5	population	population	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	51	6	sizes	size	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	51	7	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	51	8	population	population	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	51	9	movement	movement	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	51	10	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	51	11	together	together	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	51	12	with	with	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	51	13	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	51	14	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	51	15	from	from	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	51	16	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	51	17	current	current	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	51	18	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	51	19	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	51	20	China	China	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	51	21	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	51	22	were	be	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	51	23	able	able	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	51	24	to	to	TO
cord-355173-rnley2ow	51	25	predict	predict	VB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	51	26	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	51	27	peak	peak	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	51	28	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	51	29	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	51	30	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	51	31	after	after	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	51	32	person	person	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	51	33	-	-	HYPH
cord-355173-rnley2ow	51	34	person	person	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	51	35	transmission	transmission	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	51	36	was	be	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	51	37	established	establish	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	51	38	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	51	39	England	England	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	51	40	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	51	41	Wales	Wales	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	51	42	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	52	1	Jit	Jit	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	52	2	et	et	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	52	3	al	al	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	52	4	.	.	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	52	5	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	52	6	(	(	-LRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	52	7	2020	2020	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	52	8	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	52	9	applied	apply	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	52	10	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	52	11	growth	growth	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	52	12	model	model	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	52	13	to	to	TO
cord-355173-rnley2ow	52	14	fit	fit	VB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	52	15	critical	critical	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	52	16	care	care	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	52	17	admissions	admission	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	52	18	from	from	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	52	19	multiple	multiple	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	52	20	surveillance	surveillance	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	52	21	to	to	TO
cord-355173-rnley2ow	52	22	study	study	VB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	52	23	likely	likely	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	52	24	COVID-19	covid-19	VB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	52	25	case	case	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	52	26	numbers	number	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	52	27	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	52	28	progress	progress	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	52	29	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	52	30	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	52	31	United	United	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	52	32	Kingdom	Kingdom	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	52	33	from	from	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	52	34	February	February	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	52	35	16	16	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	52	36	-March	-March	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	52	37	23	23	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	52	38	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	52	39	2020	2020	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	52	40	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	53	1	They	-PRON-	PRP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	53	2	estimated	estimate	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	53	3	that	that	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	53	4	on	on	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	53	5	23	23	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	53	6	March	March	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	53	7	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	53	8	there	there	EX
cord-355173-rnley2ow	53	9	were	be	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	53	10	102,000	102,000	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	53	11	(	(	-LRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	53	12	median	median	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	53	13	;	;	:
cord-355173-rnley2ow	53	14	95	95	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	53	15	%	%	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	53	16	credible	credible	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	53	17	interval	interval	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	54	1	54,000	54,000	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	55	1	-155,000	-155,000	NFP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	55	2	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	55	3	new	new	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	55	4	cases	case	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	55	5	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	55	6	320	320	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	55	7	(	(	-LRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	55	8	211	211	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	55	9	-412	-412	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	55	10	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	55	11	new	new	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	55	12	critical	critical	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	55	13	care	care	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	55	14	reports	report	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	55	15	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	55	16	with	with	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	55	17	464,000	464,000	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	55	18	(	(	-LRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	55	19	266,000	266,000	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	55	20	-628,000	-628,000	NFP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	55	21	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	55	22	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	55	23	cases	case	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	55	24	since	since	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	55	25	February	February	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	55	26	16	16	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	55	27	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	56	1	On	on	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	56	2	February	February	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	56	3	27	27	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	56	4	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	56	5	2020	2020	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	56	6	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	56	7	Nigeria	Nigeria	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	56	8	recorded	record	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	56	9	its	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-355173-rnley2ow	56	10	first	first	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	56	11	case	case	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	56	12	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	56	13	Covid-19	covid-19	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	56	14	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	57	1	The	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	57	2	index	index	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	57	3	case	case	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	57	4	was	be	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	57	5	an	an	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	57	6	Italian	italian	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	57	7	citizen	citizen	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	57	8	who	who	WP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	57	9	arrived	arrive	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	57	10	Nigeria	Nigeria	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	57	11	via	via	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	57	12	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	57	13	Murtala	Murtala	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	57	14	Muhammed	Muhammed	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	57	15	International	International	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	57	16	Airport	Airport	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	57	17	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	57	18	Lagos	Lagos	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	57	19	at	at	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	57	20	10	10	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	57	21	pm	p.m.	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	57	22	aboard	aboard	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	57	23	Turkish	turkish	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	57	24	airline	airline	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	57	25	from	from	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	57	26	Milan	Milan	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	57	27	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	57	28	Italy	Italy	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	57	29	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	57	30	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	58	1	CC	CC	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	58	2	-	-	HYPH
cord-355173-rnley2ow	58	3	BY	BY	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	58	4	-	-	HYPH
cord-355173-rnley2ow	58	5	NC	NC	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	58	6	-	-	HYPH
cord-355173-rnley2ow	58	7	ND	ND	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	58	8	4.0	4.0	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	58	9	International	international	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	58	10	license	license	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	59	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	59	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	59	3	made	make	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	59	4	available	available	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	59	5	under	under	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	59	6	a	a	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	60	1	is	be	VBZ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	60	2	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	60	3	author	author	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	60	4	/	/	SYM
cord-355173-rnley2ow	60	5	funder	funder	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	60	6	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	60	7	who	who	WP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	60	8	has	have	VBZ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	60	9	granted	grant	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	60	10	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	60	11	a	a	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	60	12	license	license	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	60	13	to	to	TO
cord-355173-rnley2ow	60	14	display	display	VB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	60	15	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	60	16	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	60	17	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	60	18	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	60	19	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	61	1	The	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	61	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	61	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	61	4	for	for	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	61	5	this	this	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	61	6	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	61	7	this	this	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	61	8	version	version	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	61	9	posted	post	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	61	10	May	May	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	61	11	8	8	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	61	12	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	61	13	2020	2020	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	61	14	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	61	15	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	62	1	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.05.20091686	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.05.20091686	PRP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	63	1	doi	doi	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	63	2	:	:	:
cord-355173-rnley2ow	64	1	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	64	2	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	64	3	On	on	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	64	4	March	March	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	64	5	9	9	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	64	6	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	64	7	2020	2020	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	64	8	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	64	9	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	64	10	second	second	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	64	11	case	case	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	64	12	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	64	13	Covid-19	Covid-19	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	64	14	was	be	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	64	15	reported	report	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	64	16	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	64	17	Nigeria	Nigeria	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	64	18	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	64	19	this	this	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	64	20	was	be	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	64	21	a	a	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	64	22	contact	contact	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	64	23	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	64	24	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	64	25	index	index	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	64	26	case	case	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	64	27	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	64	28	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	64	29	as	as	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	64	30	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	64	31	days	day	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	64	32	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	64	33	weeks	week	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	64	34	progressed	progress	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	64	35	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	64	36	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	64	37	number	number	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	64	38	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	64	39	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	64	40	cases	case	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	64	41	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	64	42	Covid-19	covid-19	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	64	43	increased	increase	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	64	44	stemming	stem	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	64	45	from	from	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	64	46	both	both	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	64	47	local	local	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	64	48	transmission	transmission	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	64	49	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	64	50	importation	importation	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	64	51	from	from	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	64	52	other	other	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	64	53	countries	country	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	64	54	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	65	1	As	as	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	65	2	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	65	3	March	March	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	65	4	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	65	5	29	29	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	65	6	2020	2020	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	65	7	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	65	8	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	65	9	total	total	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	65	10	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	65	11	cases	case	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	65	12	within	within	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	65	13	Nigeria	Nigeria	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	65	14	had	have	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	65	15	risen	rise	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	65	16	to	to	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	65	17	97	97	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	65	18	(	(	-LRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	65	19	ninety	ninety	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	65	20	-	-	HYPH
cord-355173-rnley2ow	65	21	seven	seven	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	65	22	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	65	23	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	65	24	had	have	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	65	25	recorded	record	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	65	26	its	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-355173-rnley2ow	65	27	first	first	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	65	28	death	death	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	65	29	on	on	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	65	30	March	March	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	65	31	23	23	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	65	32	2020	2020	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	65	33	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	66	1	The	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	66	2	federal	federal	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	66	3	government	government	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	66	4	on	on	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	66	5	March	March	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	66	6	29	29	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	66	7	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	66	8	2020	2020	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	66	9	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	66	10	announced	announce	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	66	11	a	a	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	66	12	lockdown	lockdown	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	66	13	on	on	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	66	14	Lagos	Lagos	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	66	15	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	66	16	Ogun	Ogun	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	66	17	states	state	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	66	18	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	66	19	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	66	20	Federal	Federal	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	66	21	Capital	Capital	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	66	22	Territory	Territory	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	66	23	(	(	-LRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	66	24	FCT	FCT	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	66	25	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	66	26	with	with	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	66	27	effect	effect	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	66	28	from	from	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	66	29	11	11	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	66	30	pm	pm	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	66	31	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	66	32	March	March	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	66	33	30	30	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	66	34	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	66	35	2020	2020	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	66	36	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	67	1	Lagos	Lagos	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	67	2	State	State	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	67	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	67	4	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	67	5	epicentre	epicentre	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	67	6	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	67	7	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	67	8	disease	disease	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	67	9	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	67	10	Ogun	Ogun	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	67	11	state	state	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	67	12	being	be	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	67	13	its	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-355173-rnley2ow	67	14	boarder	boarder	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	67	15	state	state	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	67	16	while	while	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	67	17	FCT	FCT	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	67	18	had	have	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	67	19	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	67	20	second	second	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	67	21	highest	high	JJS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	67	22	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	67	23	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	67	24	Covid-19	covid-19	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	67	25	cases	case	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	67	26	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	67	27	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	67	28	country	country	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	67	29	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	68	1	The	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	68	2	government	government	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	68	3	had	have	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	68	4	also	also	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	68	5	imposed	impose	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	68	6	travel	travel	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	68	7	restriction	restriction	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	68	8	into	into	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	68	9	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	68	10	country	country	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	68	11	for	for	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	68	12	travellers	traveller	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	68	13	from	from	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	68	14	China	China	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	68	15	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	68	16	Italy	Italy	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	68	17	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	68	18	Iran	Iran	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	68	19	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	68	20	South	South	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	68	21	Korea	Korea	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	68	22	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	68	23	Spain	Spain	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	68	24	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	68	25	Japan	Japan	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	68	26	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	68	27	France	France	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	68	28	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	68	29	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	68	30	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	68	31	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	68	32	US	US	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	68	33	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	68	34	Norway	Norway	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	68	35	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	68	36	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	68	37	UK	UK	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	68	38	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	68	39	Switzerland	Switzerland	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	68	40	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	68	41	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	68	42	Netherlands	Netherlands	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	68	43	on	on	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	68	44	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	68	45	March	March	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	68	46	8	8	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	68	47	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	68	48	2020	2020	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	68	49	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	69	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	69	2	expanded	expand	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	69	3	these	these	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	69	4	restrictions	restriction	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	69	5	on	on	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	69	6	March	March	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	69	7	21	21	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	69	8	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	69	9	2020	2020	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	69	10	as	as	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	69	11	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	69	12	nation	nation	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	69	13	closes	close	VBZ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	69	14	its	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-355173-rnley2ow	69	15	two	two	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	69	16	main	main	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	69	17	international	international	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	69	18	airports	airport	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	69	19	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	69	20	Lagos	Lagos	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	69	21	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	69	22	Abuja	Abuja	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	69	23	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	70	1	The	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	70	2	country	country	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	70	3	also	also	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	70	4	suspended	suspend	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	70	5	rail	rail	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	70	6	services	service	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	70	7	on	on	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	70	8	March	March	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	70	9	23	23	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	70	10	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	70	11	2020	2020	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	70	12	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	71	1	As	as	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	71	2	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	71	3	number	number	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	71	4	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	71	5	cases	case	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	71	6	grew	grow	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	71	7	nationwide	nationwide	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	71	8	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	71	9	Nigeria	Nigeria	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	71	10	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	71	11	local	local	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	71	12	transmission	transmission	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	71	13	surged	surge	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	71	14	relative	relative	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	71	15	to	to	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	71	16	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	71	17	number	number	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	71	18	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	71	19	imported	import	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	71	20	cases	case	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	71	21	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	71	22	there	there	EX
cord-355173-rnley2ow	71	23	is	be	VBZ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	71	24	a	a	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	71	25	need	need	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	71	26	to	to	TO
cord-355173-rnley2ow	71	27	focus	focus	VB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	71	28	on	on	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	71	29	more	more	JJR
cord-355173-rnley2ow	71	30	local	local	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	71	31	measures	measure	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	71	32	to	to	TO
cord-355173-rnley2ow	71	33	decrease	decrease	VB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	71	34	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	71	35	spread	spread	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	71	36	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	71	37	COVID-19	covid-19	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	71	38	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	72	1	In	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	72	2	addition	addition	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	72	3	to	to	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	72	4	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	72	5	lockdown	lockdown	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	72	6	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	72	7	social	social	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	72	8	distancing	distancing	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	72	9	rule	rule	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	72	10	has	have	VBZ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	72	11	been	be	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	72	12	enforced	enforce	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	72	13	by	by	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	72	14	cancelling	cancel	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	72	15	mass	mass	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	72	16	gatherings	gathering	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	72	17	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	72	18	closing	close	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	72	19	businesses	business	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	72	20	except	except	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	72	21	for	for	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	72	22	providers	provider	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	72	23	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	72	24	essential	essential	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	72	25	goods	good	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	72	26	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	72	27	services	service	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	72	28	such	such	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	72	29	as	as	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	72	30	food	food	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	72	31	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	72	32	pharmaceutical	pharmaceutical	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	72	33	entities	entity	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	72	34	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	72	35	restriction	restriction	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	72	36	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	72	37	local	local	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	72	38	travels	travel	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	72	39	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	73	1	Using	use	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	73	2	mathematical	mathematical	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	73	3	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	73	4	statistical	statistical	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	73	5	models	model	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	73	6	as	as	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	73	7	described	describe	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	73	8	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	73	9	other	other	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	73	10	studies	study	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	73	11	above	above	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	73	12	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	73	13	study	study	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	73	14	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	73	15	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	73	16	trend	trend	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	73	17	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	73	18	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	73	19	Covid-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	73	20	pandemic	pandemic	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	73	21	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	73	22	Nigeria	Nigeria	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	73	23	can	can	MD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	73	24	provide	provide	VB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	73	25	critical	critical	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	73	26	information	information	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	73	27	for	for	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	73	28	responding	respond	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	73	29	to	to	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	73	30	outbreaks	outbreak	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	73	31	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	73	32	understanding	understand	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	73	33	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	73	34	impact	impact	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	73	35	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	73	36	strategies	strategy	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	73	37	employed	employ	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	73	38	by	by	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	73	39	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	73	40	government	government	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	73	41	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	73	42	containing	contain	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	73	43	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	73	44	spread	spread	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	73	45	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	73	46	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	73	47	disease	disease	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	73	48	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	74	1	This	this	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	74	2	present	present	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	74	3	study	study	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	74	4	focuses	focus	VBZ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	74	5	on	on	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	74	6	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	74	7	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	74	8	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	74	9	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	74	10	trend	trend	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	74	11	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	74	12	spread	spread	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	74	13	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	74	14	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	74	15	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	74	16	Nigeria	Nigeria	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	74	17	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	74	18	identification	identification	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	74	19	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	74	20	application	application	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	74	21	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	74	22	befitting	befit	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	74	23	trend	trend	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	74	24	prediction	prediction	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	74	25	models	model	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	74	26	using	use	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	74	27	available	available	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	74	28	data	datum	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	74	29	from	from	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	74	30	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	74	31	NCDC	NCDC	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	74	32	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	75	1	Overall	overall	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	75	2	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	75	3	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	75	4	were	be	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	75	5	able	able	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	75	6	to	to	TO
cord-355173-rnley2ow	75	7	formulate	formulate	VB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	75	8	time	time	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	75	9	series	series	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	75	10	models	model	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	75	11	on	on	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	75	12	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	75	13	spread	spread	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	75	14	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	75	15	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	75	16	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	75	17	Nigeria	Nigeria	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	75	18	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	75	19	conduct	conduct	VB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	75	20	a	a	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	75	21	diagnostic	diagnostic	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	75	22	check	check	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	75	23	on	on	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	75	24	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	75	25	models	model	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	75	26	formulated	formulate	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	75	27	to	to	TO
cord-355173-rnley2ow	75	28	determine	determine	VB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	75	29	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	75	30	most	most	RBS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	75	31	suitable	suitable	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	75	32	model	model	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	75	33	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	75	34	Estimate	estimate	VB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	75	35	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	75	36	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	75	37	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	75	38	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	75	39	various	various	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	75	40	models	model	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	75	41	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	75	42	forecast	forecast	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	75	43	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	75	44	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	75	45	spread	spread	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	75	46	variable	variable	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	75	47	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	76	1	Data	datum	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	76	2	comprising	comprise	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	76	3	confirmed	confirm	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	76	4	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	76	5	recovered	recover	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	76	6	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	76	7	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	76	8	death	death	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	76	9	cases	case	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	76	10	as	as	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	76	11	variables	variable	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	76	12	;	;	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	76	13	were	be	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	76	14	retrieved	retrieve	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	76	15	from	from	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	76	16	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	76	17	Nigeria	Nigeria	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	76	18	Centre	Centre	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	76	19	for	for	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	76	20	Diseases	Diseases	NNPS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	76	21	Control	Control	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	77	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	77	2	NCDC	NCDC	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	77	3	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	77	4	official	official	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	77	5	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	77	6	site	site	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	77	7	(	(	-LRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	77	8	https://covid19.ncdc.gov.ng/	https://covid19.ncdc.gov.ng/	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	77	9	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	77	10	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	78	1	The	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	78	2	data	datum	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	78	3	refer	refer	VBP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	78	4	to	to	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	78	5	daily	daily	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	78	6	cases	case	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	78	7	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	78	8	cover	cover	VB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	78	9	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	78	10	period	period	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	78	11	from	from	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	78	12	February	February	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	78	13	27	27	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	78	14	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	78	15	2020	2020	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	78	16	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	78	17	when	when	WRB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	78	18	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	78	19	country	country	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	78	20	recorded	record	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	78	21	her	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-355173-rnley2ow	78	22	index	index	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	78	23	case	case	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	78	24	until	until	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	78	25	April	April	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	78	26	26	26	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	78	27	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	78	28	2020	2020	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	78	29	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	79	1	This	this	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	79	2	data	data	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	79	3	set	set	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	79	4	included	include	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	79	5	both	both	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	79	6	"	"	``
cord-355173-rnley2ow	79	7	lab	lab	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	79	8	-	-	HYPH
cord-355173-rnley2ow	79	9	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	79	10	"	"	''
cord-355173-rnley2ow	79	11	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	79	12	"	"	``
cord-355173-rnley2ow	79	13	clinically	clinically	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	79	14	diagnosed	diagnose	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	79	15	"	"	''
cord-355173-rnley2ow	79	16	cases	case	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	79	17	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	80	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	80	2	emphasize	emphasize	VBP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	80	3	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	80	4	importance	importance	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	80	5	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	80	6	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	80	7	recovered	recover	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	80	8	cases	case	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	80	9	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	80	10	which	which	WDT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	80	11	is	be	VBZ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	80	12	not	not	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	80	13	covered	cover	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	80	14	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	80	15	media	medium	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	80	16	as	as	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	80	17	widely	widely	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	80	18	as	as	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	80	19	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	80	20	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	80	21	cases	case	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	80	22	or	or	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	80	23	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	80	24	deaths	death	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	80	25	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	81	1	While	while	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	81	2	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	81	3	only	only	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	81	4	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	81	5	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	81	6	cases	case	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	81	7	variable	variable	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	81	8	shows	show	VBZ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	81	9	an	an	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	81	10	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	81	11	increase	increase	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	81	12	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	81	13	most	most	RBS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	81	14	especially	especially	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	81	15	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	81	16	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	81	17	month	month	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	81	18	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	81	19	March	March	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	81	20	2020	2020	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	81	21	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	82	1	However	however	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	82	2	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	82	3	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	82	4	curve	curve	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	82	5	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	82	6	recovered	recover	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	82	7	cases	case	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	82	8	is	be	VBZ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	82	9	flattened	flatten	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	82	10	over	over	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	82	11	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	82	12	past	past	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	82	13	14	14	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	82	14	days	day	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	82	15	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	82	16	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	82	17	study	study	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	82	18	period	period	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	82	19	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	83	1	Applying	apply	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	83	2	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	83	3	obtained	obtain	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	83	4	data	datum	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	83	5	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	83	6	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	83	7	adopted	adopt	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	83	8	a	a	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	83	9	non	non	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	83	10	-	-	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	83	11	stationary	stationary	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	83	12	time	time	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	83	13	series	series	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	83	14	forecasting	forecasting	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	83	15	approach	approach	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	83	16	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	84	1	Since	since	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	84	2	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	84	3	series	series	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	84	4	is	be	VBZ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	84	5	obtained	obtain	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	84	6	over	over	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	84	7	a	a	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	84	8	relatively	relatively	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	84	9	short	short	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	84	10	period	period	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	84	11	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	84	12	time	time	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	84	13	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	84	14	also	also	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	84	15	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	84	16	a	a	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	84	17	very	very	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	84	18	high	high	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	84	19	frequency	frequency	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	84	20	(	(	-LRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	84	21	daily	daily	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	84	22	data	datum	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	84	23	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	84	24	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	84	25	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	84	26	Box	Box	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	84	27	-	-	HYPH
cord-355173-rnley2ow	84	28	Jenken	Jenken	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	84	29	procedure	procedure	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	84	30	(	(	-LRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	84	31	Musa	Musa	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	84	32	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	84	33	2015	2015	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	84	34	;	;	:
cord-355173-rnley2ow	84	35	Yue	Yue	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	84	36	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	84	37	Shengnan	Shengnan	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	84	38	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	84	39	&	&	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	84	40	Yuan	Yuan	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	84	41	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	84	42	2015	2015	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	84	43	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	84	44	was	be	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	84	45	employed	employ	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	84	46	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	85	1	Forecasts	forecast	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	85	2	were	be	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	85	3	made	make	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	85	4	using	use	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	85	5	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	85	6	Autoregressive	Autoregressive	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	85	7	Integrated	Integrated	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	85	8	Moving	Moving	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	85	9	Average	Average	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	85	10	(	(	-LRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	85	11	ARIMA	ARIMA	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	85	12	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	85	13	model	model	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	85	14	's	's	POS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	85	15	family	family	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	85	16	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	86	1	This	this	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	86	2	family	family	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	86	3	has	have	VBZ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	86	4	shown	show	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	86	5	good	good	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	86	6	forecast	forecast	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	86	7	accuracy	accuracy	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	86	8	over	over	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	86	9	several	several	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	86	10	forecasting	forecasting	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	86	11	competitions	competition	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	86	12	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	86	13	is	be	VBZ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	86	14	especially	especially	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	86	15	suitable	suitable	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	86	16	for	for	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	86	17	short	short	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	86	18	series	series	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	86	19	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	87	1	This	this	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	87	2	model	model	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	87	3	encompasses	encompass	VBZ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	87	4	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	87	5	AR	AR	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	87	6	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	87	7	MA	MA	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	87	8	or	or	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	87	9	ARMA	ARMA	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	87	10	models	model	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	87	11	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	87	12	which	which	WDT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	87	13	differences	difference	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	87	14	have	have	VBP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	87	15	been	be	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	87	16	taken	take	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	87	17	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	87	18	collectively	collectively	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	87	19	called	call	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	87	20	autoregressive	autoregressive	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	87	21	integrated	integrate	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	87	22	moving	move	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	87	23	average	average	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	87	24	models	model	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	87	25	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	87	26	or	or	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	87	27	ARIMA	ARIMA	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	87	28	models	model	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	87	29	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	88	1	A	a	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	88	2	time	time	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	88	3	-	-	HYPH
cord-355173-rnley2ow	88	4	series	series	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	88	5	{	{	-LRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	88	6	Y	Y	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	88	7	t	t	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	88	8	}	}	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	88	9	is	be	VBZ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	88	10	said	say	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	88	11	to	to	TO
cord-355173-rnley2ow	88	12	follow	follow	VB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	88	13	an	an	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	88	14	integrated	integrated	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	88	15	autoregressive	autoregressive	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	88	16	moving	move	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	88	17	average	average	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	89	1	Thus	thus	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	89	2	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	89	3	an	an	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	89	4	ARIMA	ARIMA	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	89	5	(	(	-LRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	89	6	p	p	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	89	7	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	89	8	1	1	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	89	9	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	89	10	q	q	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	89	11	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	89	12	process	process	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	89	13	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	90	1	Or	or	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	90	2	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	90	3	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	90	4	terms	term	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	90	5	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	90	6	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	90	7	observed	observed	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	90	8	series	series	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	90	9	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	90	10	...	...	:
cord-355173-rnley2ow	90	11	CC	cc	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	90	12	-	-	HYPH
cord-355173-rnley2ow	90	13	BY	BY	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	90	14	-	-	HYPH
cord-355173-rnley2ow	90	15	NC	NC	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	90	16	-	-	HYPH
cord-355173-rnley2ow	90	17	ND	ND	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	90	18	4.0	4.0	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	90	19	International	international	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	90	20	license	license	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	90	21	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	90	22	is	be	VBZ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	90	23	made	make	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	90	24	available	available	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	90	25	under	under	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	90	26	a	a	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	91	1	is	be	VBZ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	91	2	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	91	3	author	author	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	91	4	/	/	SYM
cord-355173-rnley2ow	91	5	funder	funder	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	91	6	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	91	7	who	who	WP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	91	8	has	have	VBZ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	91	9	granted	grant	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	91	10	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	91	11	a	a	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	91	12	license	license	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	91	13	to	to	TO
cord-355173-rnley2ow	91	14	display	display	VB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	91	15	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	91	16	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	91	17	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	91	18	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	91	19	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	92	1	The	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	92	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	92	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	92	4	for	for	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	92	5	this	this	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	92	6	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	92	7	this	this	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	92	8	version	version	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	92	9	posted	post	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	92	10	May	May	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	92	11	8	8	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	92	12	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	92	13	2020	2020	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	92	14	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	92	15	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	93	1	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.05.20091686	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.05.20091686	PRP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	93	2	doi	doi	XX
cord-355173-rnley2ow	93	3	:	:	:
cord-355173-rnley2ow	94	1	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	94	2	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	94	3	Stationary	Stationary	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	94	4	Test	Test	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	94	5	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	94	6	Jarque	Jarque	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	94	7	-	-	HYPH
cord-355173-rnley2ow	94	8	Bera	Bera	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	94	9	Test	test	VB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	94	10	for	for	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	94	11	normality	normality	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	94	12	were	be	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	94	13	applied	apply	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	94	14	as	as	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	94	15	a	a	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	94	16	prerequisite	prerequisite	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	94	17	for	for	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	94	18	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	94	19	application	application	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	94	20	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	94	21	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	94	22	ARIMA	ARIMA	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	94	23	time	time	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	94	24	-	-	HYPH
cord-355173-rnley2ow	94	25	series	series	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	94	26	model	model	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	94	27	(	(	-LRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	94	28	Sato	Sato	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	94	29	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	94	30	2013	2013	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	94	31	;	;	:
cord-355173-rnley2ow	94	32	Wu	Wu	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	94	33	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	94	34	Guan	Guan	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	94	35	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	94	36	Guo	Guo	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	94	37	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	94	38	&	&	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	94	39	Zhou	Zhou	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	94	40	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	94	41	2008	2008	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	94	42	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	94	43	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	95	1	Statistical	statistical	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	95	2	approaches	approach	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	95	3	for	for	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	95	4	model	model	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	95	5	selection	selection	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	95	6	(	(	-LRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	95	7	such	such	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	95	8	as	as	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	95	9	information	information	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	95	10	criteria	criterion	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	95	11	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	95	12	which	which	WDT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	95	13	measure	measure	VBP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	95	14	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	95	15	maximum	maximum	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	95	16	likelihood	likelihood	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	95	17	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	95	18	a	a	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	95	19	model	model	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	95	20	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	95	21	was	be	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	95	22	used	use	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	95	23	to	to	TO
cord-355173-rnley2ow	95	24	select	select	VB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	95	25	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	95	26	model	model	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	95	27	that	that	WDT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	95	28	better	well	JJR
cord-355173-rnley2ow	95	29	reflect	reflect	VBP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	95	30	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	95	31	nature	nature	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	95	32	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	95	33	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	95	34	data	datum	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	95	35	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	95	36	thus	thus	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	95	37	model	model	VB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	95	38	with	with	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	95	39	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	95	40	best	good	JJS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	95	41	model	model	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	95	42	's	's	POS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	95	43	selection	selection	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	95	44	criterion	criterion	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	95	45	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	96	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	96	2	produce	produce	VBP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	96	3	ten	ten	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	96	4	-	-	HYPH
cord-355173-rnley2ow	96	5	days	day	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	96	6	-	-	HYPH
cord-355173-rnley2ow	96	7	ahead	ahead	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	96	8	point	point	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	96	9	forecasts	forecast	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	96	10	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	96	11	prediction	prediction	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	96	12	intervals	interval	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	96	13	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	96	14	update	update	VB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	96	15	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-355173-rnley2ow	96	16	forecasts	forecast	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	96	17	every	every	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	96	18	ten	ten	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	96	19	days	day	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	96	20	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	97	1	Please	please	UH
cord-355173-rnley2ow	97	2	note	note	VB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	97	3	that	that	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	97	4	this	this	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	97	5	is	be	VBZ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	97	6	not	not	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	97	7	an	an	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	97	8	ex	ex	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	97	9	-	-	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	97	10	post	post	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	97	11	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	97	12	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	97	13	but	but	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	97	14	a	a	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	97	15	real	real	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	97	16	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	97	17	live	live	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	97	18	forecasting	forecasting	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	97	19	exercise	exercise	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	97	20	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	98	1	The	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	98	2	R.	R.	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	98	3	Console	Console	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	98	4	3.5.2	3.5.2	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	98	5	version	version	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	98	6	statistical	statistical	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	98	7	software	software	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	98	8	was	be	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	98	9	used	use	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	98	10	for	for	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	98	11	this	this	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	98	12	study	study	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	98	13	's	's	POS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	98	14	data	data	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	98	15	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	98	16	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	99	1	The	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	99	2	overall	overall	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	99	3	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	99	4	data	datum	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	99	5	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	99	6	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	99	7	from	from	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	99	8	February	February	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	99	9	27	27	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	99	10	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	99	11	2020	2020	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	99	12	to	to	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	99	13	April	April	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	99	14	26	26	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	99	15	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	99	16	2020	2020	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	99	17	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	99	18	were	be	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	99	19	collected	collect	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	99	20	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	99	21	analyzed	analyze	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	99	22	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	100	1	A	a	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	100	2	total	total	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	100	3	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	100	4	1120	1120	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	100	5	COVID-19	covid-19	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	100	6	cases	case	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	100	7	were	be	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	100	8	observed	observe	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	100	9	from	from	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	100	10	February	February	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	100	11	27	27	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	100	12	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	100	13	2020	2020	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	100	14	to	to	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	100	15	April	April	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	100	16	26	26	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	100	17	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	100	18	2020	2020	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	100	19	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	100	20	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	100	21	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	100	22	incidence	incidence	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	100	23	showed	show	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	100	24	a	a	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	100	25	wave	wave	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	100	26	-	-	HYPH
cord-355173-rnley2ow	100	27	like	like	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	100	28	increasing	increasing	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	100	29	tendency	tendency	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	100	30	day	day	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	100	31	by	by	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	100	32	day	day	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	100	33	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	100	34	with	with	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	100	35	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	100	36	trend	trend	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	100	37	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	100	38	rectilinear	rectilinear	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	100	39	rise	rise	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	100	40	after	after	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	100	41	March	March	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	100	42	27	27	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	100	43	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	100	44	2020	2020	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	100	45	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	100	46	when	when	WRB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	100	47	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	100	48	first	first	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	100	49	lockdown	lockdown	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	100	50	was	be	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	100	51	enacted	enact	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	100	52	by	by	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	100	53	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	100	54	Federal	Federal	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	100	55	Government	Government	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	100	56	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	100	57	Nigeria	Nigeria	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	100	58	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	101	1	The	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	101	2	recovery	recovery	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	101	3	rate	rate	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	101	4	as	as	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	101	5	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	101	6	April	April	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	101	7	26	26	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	101	8	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	101	9	2020	2020	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	101	10	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	101	11	was	be	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	101	12	16.09	16.09	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	101	13	%	%	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	101	14	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	101	15	which	which	WDT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	101	16	stood	stand	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	101	17	for	for	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	101	18	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	101	19	peak	peak	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	101	20	incidence	incidence	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	101	21	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	101	22	recovery	recovery	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	101	23	ratio	ratio	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	101	24	since	since	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	101	25	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	101	26	index	index	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	101	27	case	case	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	101	28	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	101	29	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	101	30	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	101	31	Nigeria	Nigeria	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	101	32	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	102	1	Sequence	Sequence	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	102	2	Characteristic	Characteristic	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	102	3	Analysis	Analysis	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	102	4	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	102	5	Transformation	transformation	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	102	6	:	:	:
cord-355173-rnley2ow	102	7	Firstly	firstly	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	102	8	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	102	9	a	a	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	102	10	daily	daily	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	102	11	sequence	sequence	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	102	12	from	from	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	102	13	February	February	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	102	14	27	27	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	102	15	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	102	16	2020	2020	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	102	17	to	to	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	102	18	April	April	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	102	19	26	26	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	102	20	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	102	21	2020	2020	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	102	22	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	102	23	was	be	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	102	24	calculated	calculate	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	102	25	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	102	26	its	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-355173-rnley2ow	102	27	chart	chart	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	102	28	was	be	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	102	29	drawn	draw	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	102	30	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	102	31	as	as	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	102	32	shown	show	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	102	33	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	102	34	Figure	figure	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	102	35	3A	3a	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	102	36	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	102	37	original	original	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	102	38	sequence	sequence	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	102	39	showed	show	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	102	40	a	a	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	102	41	mixed	mixed	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	102	42	trend	trend	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	102	43	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	102	44	an	an	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	102	45	upward	upward	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	102	46	or	or	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	102	47	downward	downward	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	102	48	trend	trend	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	102	49	with	with	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	102	50	a	a	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	102	51	seasonal	seasonal	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	102	52	cycle	cycle	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	102	53	rhythm	rhythm	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	102	54	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	102	55	which	which	WDT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	102	56	was	be	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	102	57	not	not	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	102	58	smooth	smooth	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	102	59	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	102	60	had	have	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	102	61	uneven	uneven	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	102	62	variances	variance	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	102	63	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	103	1	The	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	103	2	original	original	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	103	3	sequence	sequence	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	103	4	was	be	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	103	5	transformed	transform	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	103	6	into	into	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	103	7	a	a	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	103	8	random	random	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	103	9	one	one	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	103	10	through	through	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	103	11	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	103	12	methods	method	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	103	13	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	103	14	first	first	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	103	15	difference	difference	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	103	16	transformation	transformation	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	103	17	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	103	18	once	once	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	103	19	seasonal	seasonal	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	103	20	di	di	FW
cord-355173-rnley2ow	103	21	erence	erence	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	103	22	successively	successively	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	103	23	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	104	1	After	after	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	104	2	that	that	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	104	3	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	104	4	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	104	5	time	time	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	104	6	sequence	sequence	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	104	7	displayed	display	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	104	8	a	a	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	104	9	random	random	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	104	10	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	104	11	stationary	stationary	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	104	12	trend	trend	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	104	13	(	(	-LRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	104	14	Figure	figure	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	104	15	 	 	_SP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	104	16	3B	3b	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	104	17	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	104	18	Table	Table	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	104	19	2	2	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	104	20	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	104	21	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	105	1	As	as	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	105	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	105	3	shown	show	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	105	4	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	105	5	Figures	figure	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	105	6	3	3	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	105	7	(	(	-LRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	105	8	A	A	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	105	9	-	-	HYPH
cord-355173-rnley2ow	105	10	B	b	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	105	11	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	105	12	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	105	13	a	a	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	105	14	total	total	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	105	15	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	105	16	117	117	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	105	17	cases	case	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	105	18	on	on	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	105	19	April	April	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	105	20	21	21	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	105	21	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	105	22	2020	2020	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	105	23	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	105	24	represented	represent	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	105	25	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	105	26	peak	peak	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	105	27	daily	daily	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	105	28	report	report	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	105	29	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	105	30	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	105	31	since	since	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	105	32	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	105	33	index	index	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	105	34	case	case	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	105	35	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	105	36	Nigeria	Nigeria	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	105	37	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	106	1	To	to	TO
cord-355173-rnley2ow	106	2	effectively	effectively	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	106	3	apply	apply	VB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	106	4	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	106	5	ARIMA	ARIMA	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	106	6	modelling	modelling	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	106	7	technique	technique	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	106	8	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	106	9	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	106	10	series	series	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	106	11	must	must	MD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	106	12	be	be	VB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	106	13	stationary	stationary	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	106	14	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	106	15	free	free	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	106	16	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	106	17	any	any	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	106	18	form	form	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	106	19	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	106	20	trend	trend	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	106	21	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	107	1	To	to	TO
cord-355173-rnley2ow	107	2	confirm	confirm	VB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	107	3	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	107	4	status	status	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	107	5	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	107	6	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	107	7	series	series	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	107	8	(	(	-LRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	107	9	daily	daily	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	107	10	confirmed	confirm	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	107	11	cases	case	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	107	12	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	107	13	covid19	covid19	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	107	14	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	107	15	Nigeria	Nigeria	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	107	16	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	107	17	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	107	18	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	107	19	ADF	ADF	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	107	20	test	test	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	107	21	was	be	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	107	22	thus	thus	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	107	23	use	use	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	107	24	to	to	TO
cord-355173-rnley2ow	107	25	validate	validate	VB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	107	26	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	107	27	stationarity	stationarity	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	107	28	observed	observe	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	107	29	from	from	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	107	30	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	107	31	series	series	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	107	32	transformation	transformation	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	107	33	(	(	-LRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	107	34	ADF	ADF	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	107	35	test	test	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	107	36	:	:	:
cord-355173-rnley2ow	107	37	t=	t=	LS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	107	38	-3.7439	-3.7439	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	107	39	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	107	40	P	p	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	107	41	<	<	XX
cord-355173-rnley2ow	107	42	0.05	0.05	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	107	43	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	108	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	108	2	Table	table	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	108	3	2	2	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	108	4	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	108	5	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	108	6	thus	thus	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	108	7	making	make	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	108	8	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	108	9	series	series	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	108	10	obtaining	obtain	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	108	11	stationarity	stationarity	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	108	12	at	at	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	108	13	1	1	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	108	14	st	st	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	108	15	difference	difference	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	108	16	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	109	1	The	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	109	2	series	series	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	109	3	was	be	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	109	4	however	however	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	109	5	not	not	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	109	6	observed	observed	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	109	7	to	to	TO
cord-355173-rnley2ow	109	8	be	be	VB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	109	9	stationary	stationary	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	109	10	at	at	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	109	11	level	level	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	109	12	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	109	13	which	which	WDT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	109	14	is	be	VBZ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	109	15	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	109	16	natural	natural	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	109	17	state	state	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	109	18	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	109	19	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	109	20	data	datum	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	109	21	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	109	22	then	then	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	109	23	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	109	24	transformed	transform	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	109	25	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	109	26	series	series	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	109	27	to	to	TO
cord-355173-rnley2ow	109	28	make	make	VB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	109	29	stationary	stationary	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	109	30	by	by	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	109	31	first	first	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	109	32	difference	difference	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	109	33	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	110	1	This	this	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	110	2	makes	make	VBZ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	110	3	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	110	4	series	series	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	110	5	stationary	stationary	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	110	6	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	110	7	ready	ready	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	110	8	for	for	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	110	9	modelling	model	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	110	10	inline	inline	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	110	11	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	110	12	Box	Box	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	110	13	-	-	HYPH
cord-355173-rnley2ow	110	14	Jenken	Jenken	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	110	15	ARIMA	ARIMA	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	110	16	modelling	modelling	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	110	17	approach	approach	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	110	18	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	111	1	A	a	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	111	2	list	list	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	111	3	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	111	4	candidate	candidate	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	111	5	models	model	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	111	6	or	or	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	111	7	potential	potential	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	111	8	model	model	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	111	9	combinations	combination	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	111	10	will	will	MD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	111	11	be	be	VB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	111	12	obtained	obtain	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	111	13	from	from	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	111	14	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	111	15	plots	plot	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	111	16	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	111	17	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	111	18	autocorrelation	autocorrelation	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	111	19	function	function	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	111	20	(	(	-LRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	111	21	ACF	ACF	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	111	22	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	111	23	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	111	24	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	111	25	partial	partial	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	111	26	autocorrelation	autocorrelation	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	111	27	function	function	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	111	28	(	(	-LRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	111	29	PACF	PACF	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	111	30	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	111	31	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	112	1	The	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	112	2	order	order	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	112	3	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	112	4	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	112	5	model	model	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	112	6	was	be	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	112	7	determined	determine	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	112	8	according	accord	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	112	9	to	to	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	112	10	ACF	ACF	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	112	11	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	112	12	PACF	PACF	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	112	13	after	after	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	112	14	once	once	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	112	15	common	common	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	112	16	di	di	XX
cord-355173-rnley2ow	112	17	erence	erence	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	112	18	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	113	1	Based	base	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	113	2	on	on	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	113	3	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	113	4	spikes	spike	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	113	5	observed	observe	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	113	6	from	from	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	113	7	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	113	8	ACF	ACF	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	113	9	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	113	10	PACF	PACF	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	113	11	chart	chart	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	113	12	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	113	13	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	113	14	following	follow	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	113	15	candidate	candidate	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	113	16	models	model	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	113	17	are	be	VBP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	113	18	formulated	formulate	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	113	19	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	114	1	The	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	114	2	candidate	candidate	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	114	3	model	model	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	114	4	with	with	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	114	5	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	114	6	lowest	low	JJS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	114	7	Akaike	Akaike	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	114	8	information	information	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	114	9	criterion	criterion	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	114	10	correction	correction	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	114	11	(	(	-LRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	114	12	AICc	AICc	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	114	13	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	114	14	value	value	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	114	15	was	be	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	114	16	selected	select	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	114	17	as	as	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	114	18	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	114	19	best	good	JJS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	114	20	model	model	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	114	21	to	to	TO
cord-355173-rnley2ow	114	22	fit	fit	VB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	114	23	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	114	24	daily	daily	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	114	25	spread	spread	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	114	26	series	series	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	114	27	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	114	28	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	114	29	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	114	30	Nigeria	Nigeria	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	114	31	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	115	1	From	from	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	115	2	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	115	3	ACF	ACF	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	115	4	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	115	5	PACF	PACF	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	115	6	graph	graph	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	115	7	(	(	-LRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	115	8	as	as	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	115	9	shown	show	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	115	10	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	115	11	Figure	figure	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	115	12	3	3	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	115	13	above	above	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	115	14	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	115	15	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	115	16	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	115	17	models	model	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	115	18	trace	trace	VBP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	115	19	summary	summary	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	115	20	table	table	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	115	21	(	(	-LRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	115	22	Table	table	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	115	23	3	3	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	115	24	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	115	25	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	115	26	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	115	27	were	be	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	115	28	able	able	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	115	29	to	to	TO
cord-355173-rnley2ow	115	30	observe	observe	VB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	115	31	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	115	32	following	follow	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	115	33	candidate	candidate	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	115	34	models	model	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	115	35	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	115	36	also	also	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	115	37	using	use	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	115	38	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	115	39	AICc	AICc	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	115	40	model	model	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	115	41	selection	selection	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	115	42	criterion	criterion	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	115	43	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	115	44	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	115	45	detect	detect	VBP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	115	46	that	that	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	115	47	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	115	48	ARIMA(1,1,0	ARIMA(1,1,0	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	115	49	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	115	50	with	with	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	115	51	drift	drift	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	115	52	as	as	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	115	53	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	115	54	model	model	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	115	55	with	with	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	115	56	lowest	low	JJS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	115	57	AICc	AICc	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	115	58	value	value	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	115	59	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	116	1	As	as	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	116	2	observed	observe	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	116	3	from	from	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	116	4	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	116	5	above	above	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	116	6	table	table	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	116	7	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	116	8	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	116	9	best	good	JJS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	116	10	model	model	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	116	11	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	116	12	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	116	13	candidate	candidate	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	116	14	models	model	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	116	15	is	be	VBZ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	116	16	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	116	17	ARIMA	ARIMA	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	116	18	(	(	-LRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	116	19	1,1,0	1,1,0	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	116	20	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	116	21	base	base	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	116	22	on	on	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	116	23	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	116	24	AICc	AICc	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	116	25	criterion	criterion	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	116	26	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	117	1	The	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	117	2	model	model	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	117	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	117	4	then	then	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	117	5	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	117	6	with	with	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	117	7	its	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-355173-rnley2ow	117	8	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	117	9	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	117	10	for	for	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	117	11	forecasting	forecast	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	117	12	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	117	13	daily	daily	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	117	14	spread	spread	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	117	15	series	series	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	117	16	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	117	17	COVID19	COVID19	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	117	18	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	117	19	Nigeria	Nigeria	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	117	20	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	117	21	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	118	1	CC	CC	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	118	2	-	-	HYPH
cord-355173-rnley2ow	118	3	BY	BY	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	118	4	-	-	HYPH
cord-355173-rnley2ow	118	5	NC	NC	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	118	6	-	-	HYPH
cord-355173-rnley2ow	118	7	ND	ND	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	118	8	4.0	4.0	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	118	9	International	international	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	118	10	license	license	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	119	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	119	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	119	3	made	make	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	119	4	available	available	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	119	5	under	under	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	119	6	a	a	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	120	1	is	be	VBZ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	120	2	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	120	3	author	author	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	120	4	/	/	SYM
cord-355173-rnley2ow	120	5	funder	funder	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	120	6	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	120	7	who	who	WP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	120	8	has	have	VBZ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	120	9	granted	grant	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	120	10	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	120	11	a	a	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	120	12	license	license	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	120	13	to	to	TO
cord-355173-rnley2ow	120	14	display	display	VB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	120	15	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	120	16	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	120	17	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	120	18	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	120	19	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	121	1	The	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	121	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	121	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	121	4	for	for	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	121	5	this	this	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	121	6	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	121	7	this	this	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	121	8	version	version	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	121	9	posted	post	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	121	10	May	May	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	121	11	8	8	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	121	12	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	121	13	2020	2020	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	121	14	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	121	15	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	122	1	https://doi.org/10.1101	https://doi.org/10.1101	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	123	1	As	as	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	123	2	shown	show	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	123	3	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	123	4	Figure	Figure	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	123	5	3	3	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	123	6	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	123	7	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	123	8	daily	daily	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	123	9	spread	spread	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	123	10	data	datum	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	123	11	from	from	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	123	12	April	April	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	123	13	26	26	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	123	14	to	to	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	123	15	May	May	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	123	16	5	5	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	123	17	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	123	18	2020	2020	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	123	19	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	123	20	were	be	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	123	21	predicted	predict	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	123	22	using	use	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	123	23	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	123	24	ARIMA(1,1,0	ARIMA(1,1,0	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	123	25	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	123	26	model	model	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	123	27	based	base	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	123	28	on	on	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	123	29	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	123	30	spread	spread	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	123	31	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	123	32	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	123	33	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	123	34	Nigeria	Nigeria	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	123	35	from	from	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	123	36	February	February	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	123	37	27	27	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	123	38	to	to	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	123	39	April	April	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	123	40	26	26	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	123	41	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	123	42	2020	2020	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	124	1	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	124	2	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	124	3	results	result	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	124	4	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	124	5	which	which	WDT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	124	6	suggested	suggest	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	124	7	that	that	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	124	8	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	124	9	predicted	predict	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	124	10	values	value	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	124	11	fitted	fit	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	124	12	well	well	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	124	13	with	with	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	124	14	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	124	15	actual	actual	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	124	16	values	value	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	124	17	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	125	1	The	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	125	2	forecast	forecast	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	125	3	Table	table	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	125	4	4	4	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	125	5	above	above	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	125	6	contains	contain	VBZ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	125	7	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	125	8	date	date	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	125	9	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	125	10	point	point	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	125	11	forecast	forecast	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	125	12	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	125	13	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	125	14	high	high	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	125	15	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	125	16	low	low	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	125	17	confidence	confidence	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	125	18	limits	limit	VBZ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	125	19	values	value	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	125	20	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	125	21	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	125	22	forecast	forecast	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	125	23	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	126	1	The	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	126	2	daily	daily	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	126	3	forecast	forecast	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	126	4	is	be	VBZ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	126	5	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	126	6	point	point	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	126	7	forecast	forecast	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	126	8	but	but	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	126	9	can	can	MD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	126	10	be	be	VB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	126	11	with	with	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	126	12	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	126	13	95	95	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	126	14	%	%	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	126	15	confidence	confidence	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	126	16	limit	limit	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	126	17	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	126	18	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	126	19	Hi95	Hi95	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	126	20	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	126	21	Lo95	Lo95	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	127	1	values	value	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	127	2	on	on	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	127	3	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	127	4	table	table	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	127	5	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	128	1	There	there	EX
cord-355173-rnley2ow	128	2	was	be	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	128	3	no	no	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	128	4	case	case	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	128	5	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	128	6	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	128	7	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	128	8	Nigeria	Nigeria	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	128	9	until	until	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	128	10	February	February	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	128	11	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	128	12	2020	2020	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	128	13	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	129	1	Since	since	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	129	2	then	then	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	129	3	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	129	4	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	129	5	cases	case	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	129	6	have	have	VBP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	129	7	been	be	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	129	8	reported	report	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	129	9	daily	daily	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	129	10	by	by	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	129	11	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	129	12	NCDC	NCDC	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	129	13	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	129	14	on	on	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	129	15	an	an	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	129	16	uptrend	uptrend	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	129	17	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	130	1	Following	follow	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	130	2	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	130	3	current	current	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	130	4	global	global	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	130	5	strategies	strategy	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	130	6	aimed	aim	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	130	7	at	at	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	130	8	limiting	limit	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	130	9	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	130	10	spread	spread	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	130	11	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	130	12	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	130	13	Coronavirus	Coronavirus	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	130	14	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	130	15	most	most	JJS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	130	16	countries	country	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	130	17	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	130	18	including	include	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	130	19	Nigeria	Nigeria	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	130	20	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	130	21	have	have	VBP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	130	22	restricted	restrict	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	130	23	movements	movement	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	130	24	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	130	25	asked	ask	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	130	26	people	people	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	130	27	to	to	TO
cord-355173-rnley2ow	130	28	maintain	maintain	VB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	130	29	social	social	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	130	30	distancing	distancing	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	130	31	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	130	32	globally	globally	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	130	33	about	about	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	130	34	3	3	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	130	35	billion	billion	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	130	36	persons	person	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	130	37	are	be	VBP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	130	38	currently	currently	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	130	39	being	be	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	130	40	confined	confine	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	130	41	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	130	42	one	one	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	130	43	way	way	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	130	44	or	or	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	130	45	another	another	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	130	46	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	131	1	Due	due	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	131	2	to	to	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	131	3	high	high	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	131	4	illiteracy	illiteracy	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	131	5	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	131	6	poverty	poverty	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	131	7	rate	rate	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	131	8	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	131	9	most	most	JJS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	131	10	developing	develop	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	131	11	countries	country	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	131	12	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	131	13	there	there	EX
cord-355173-rnley2ow	131	14	is	be	VBZ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	131	15	need	need	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	131	16	to	to	TO
cord-355173-rnley2ow	131	17	understand	understand	VB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	131	18	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	131	19	trend	trend	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	131	20	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	131	21	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	131	22	spread	spread	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	131	23	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	131	24	COVID-19	covid-19	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	131	25	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	131	26	extrapolate	extrapolate	VB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	131	27	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	131	28	implications	implication	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	131	29	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	131	30	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	131	31	strategies	strategy	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	131	32	employed	employ	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	131	33	by	by	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	131	34	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	131	35	government	government	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	131	36	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	131	37	curbing	curb	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	131	38	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	131	39	spread	spread	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	131	40	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	131	41	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	131	42	disease	disease	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	131	43	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	1	Time	time	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	2	-	-	HYPH
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	3	series	series	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	4	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	5	is	be	VBZ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	6	a	a	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	7	method	method	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	8	to	to	TO
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	9	extrapolate	extrapolate	VB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	10	predictions	prediction	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	11	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	12	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	13	which	which	WDT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	14	a	a	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	15	mathematical	mathematical	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	16	model	model	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	17	is	be	VBZ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	18	established	establish	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	19	according	accord	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	20	to	to	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	21	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	22	regularity	regularity	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	23	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	24	trend	trend	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	25	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	26	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	27	observed	observed	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	28	historical	historical	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	29	values	value	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	30	with	with	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	31	time	time	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	32	(	(	-LRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	33	L.	L.	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	34	Liu	Liu	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	35	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	36	Luan	Luan	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	37	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	38	Yin	Yin	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	39	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	40	Zhu	Zhu	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	41	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	42	&	&	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	43	Lü	Lü	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	44	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	45	2016	2016	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	46	;	;	:
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	47	Q.	Q.	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	48	Liu	Liu	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	49	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	50	Liu	Liu	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	51	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	52	Jiang	Jiang	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	53	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	54	&	&	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	55	Yang	Yang	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	56	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	57	2011	2011	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	58	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	59	AND	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	60	has	have	VBZ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	61	been	be	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	62	widely	widely	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	63	used	use	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	64	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	65	predicting	predict	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	66	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	67	spread	spread	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	68	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	69	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	70	diseases	disease	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	71	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	72	recent	recent	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	73	years	year	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	132	74	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	133	1	For	for	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	133	2	instance	instance	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	133	3	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	133	4	some	some	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	133	5	scholars	scholar	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	133	6	have	have	VBP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	133	7	used	use	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	133	8	this	this	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	133	9	model	model	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	133	10	to	to	TO
cord-355173-rnley2ow	133	11	predict	predict	VB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	133	12	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	133	13	spread	spread	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	133	14	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	133	15	TB	TB	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	133	16	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	133	17	mumps	mumps	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	133	18	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	133	19	measles	measle	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	133	20	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	133	21	encephalitis	encephalitis	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	133	22	B	b	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	133	23	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	133	24	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	133	25	hand	hand	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	133	26	-	-	HYPH
cord-355173-rnley2ow	133	27	foot	foot	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	133	28	-	-	HYPH
cord-355173-rnley2ow	133	29	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	133	30	-	-	HYPH
cord-355173-rnley2ow	133	31	mouth	mouth	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	133	32	disease	disease	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	133	33	(	(	-LRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	133	34	Allard	Allard	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	133	35	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	133	36	1998	1998	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	133	37	;	;	:
cord-355173-rnley2ow	133	38	Jiabing	Jiabing	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	133	39	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	133	40	2007	2007	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	133	41	;	;	:
cord-355173-rnley2ow	133	42	JIN	JIN	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	133	43	et	et	FW
cord-355173-rnley2ow	133	44	al	al	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	133	45	.	.	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	133	46	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	133	47	2008	2008	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	133	48	;	;	:
cord-355173-rnley2ow	133	49	Musa	Musa	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	133	50	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	133	51	2015	2015	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	133	52	;	;	:
cord-355173-rnley2ow	133	53	Wu	Wu	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	133	54	et	et	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	133	55	al	al	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	133	56	.	.	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	133	57	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	133	58	2008	2008	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	133	59	;	;	:
cord-355173-rnley2ow	133	60	Yue	Yue	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	133	61	et	et	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	133	62	al	al	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	133	63	.	.	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	133	64	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	133	65	2015	2015	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	133	66	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	133	67	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	134	1	These	these	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	134	2	diseases	disease	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	134	3	are	be	VBP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	134	4	similar	similar	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	134	5	to	to	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	134	6	COVID-19	covid-19	VB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	134	7	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	134	8	time	time	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	134	9	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	134	10	(	(	-LRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	134	11	Organization	Organization	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	134	12	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	134	13	2020	2020	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	134	14	;	;	:
cord-355173-rnley2ow	134	15	Peiris	Peiris	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	134	16	et	et	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	134	17	al	al	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	134	18	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	135	1	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	135	2	2003	2003	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	135	3	;	;	:
cord-355173-rnley2ow	135	4	Sahin	Sahin	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	135	5	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	135	6	2020	2020	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	135	7	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	135	8	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	136	1	In	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	136	2	this	this	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	136	3	study	study	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	136	4	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	136	5	applying	apply	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	136	6	time	time	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	136	7	series	series	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	136	8	models	model	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	136	9	as	as	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	136	10	described	describe	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	136	11	above	above	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	136	12	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	136	13	to	to	TO
cord-355173-rnley2ow	136	14	study	study	VB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	136	15	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	136	16	trend	trend	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	136	17	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	136	18	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	136	19	Covid-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	136	20	pandemic	pandemic	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	136	21	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	136	22	Nigeria	Nigeria	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	136	23	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	137	1	Candidate	candidate	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	137	2	models	model	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	137	3	were	be	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	137	4	obtained	obtain	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	137	5	using	use	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	137	6	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	137	7	autocorrelation	autocorrelation	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	137	8	function	function	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	137	9	(	(	-LRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	137	10	ACF	ACF	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	137	11	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	137	12	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	137	13	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	137	14	partial	partial	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	137	15	autocorrelation	autocorrelation	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	137	16	function	function	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	137	17	(	(	-LRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	137	18	PACF	PACF	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	137	19	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	137	20	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	137	21	models	model	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	137	22	were	be	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	137	23	formulated	formulate	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	137	24	based	base	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	137	25	on	on	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	137	26	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	137	27	spikes	spike	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	137	28	observed	observe	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	137	29	from	from	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	137	30	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	137	31	ACF	ACF	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	137	32	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	137	33	PACF	PACF	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	137	34	chart	chart	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	137	35	(	(	-LRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	137	36	Figure	figure	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	137	37	2	2	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	137	38	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	137	39	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	138	1	ARIMA	ARIMA	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	138	2	(	(	-LRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	138	3	1,1,0	1,1,0	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	138	4	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	138	5	was	be	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	138	6	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	138	7	to	to	TO
cord-355173-rnley2ow	138	8	be	be	VB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	138	9	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	138	10	optimal	optimal	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	138	11	model	model	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	138	12	based	base	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	138	13	on	on	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	138	14	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	138	15	lowest	low	JJS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	138	16	AICc	AICc	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	138	17	value	value	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	138	18	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	139	1	This	this	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	139	2	model	model	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	139	3	was	be	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	139	4	then	then	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	139	5	applied	apply	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	139	6	to	to	TO
cord-355173-rnley2ow	139	7	study	study	VB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	139	8	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	139	9	trend	trend	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	139	10	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	139	11	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	139	12	from	from	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	139	13	April	April	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	139	14	26	26	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	139	15	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	139	16	2020	2020	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	139	17	to	to	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	139	18	May	May	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	139	19	5	5	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	139	20	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	139	21	2020	2020	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	139	22	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	140	1	The	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	140	2	incidence	incidence	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	140	3	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	140	4	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	140	5	from	from	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	140	6	April	April	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	140	7	26	26	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	140	8	to	to	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	140	9	May	May	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	140	10	5	5	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	140	11	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	140	12	2020	2020	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	140	13	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	140	14	shows	show	VBZ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	140	15	an	an	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	140	16	increasing	increase	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	140	17	growth	growth	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	140	18	steep	steep	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	140	19	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	140	20	Nigeria	Nigeria	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	140	21	(	(	-LRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	140	22	115.62771	115.62771	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	140	23	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	140	24	95	95	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	140	25	%	%	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	140	26	confidence	confidence	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	140	27	limit	limit	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	140	28	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	140	29	87.18268	87.18268	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	140	30	-	-	HYPH
cord-355173-rnley2ow	140	31	159.1306	159.1306	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	140	32	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	140	33	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	140	34	which	which	WDT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	140	35	peak	peak	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	140	36	can	can	MD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	140	37	not	not	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	140	38	be	be	VB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	140	39	said	say	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	140	40	to	to	TO
cord-355173-rnley2ow	140	41	have	have	VB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	140	42	been	be	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	140	43	seen	see	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	140	44	or	or	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	140	45	reached	reach	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	140	46	yet	yet	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	140	47	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	141	1	According	accord	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	141	2	to	to	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	141	3	these	these	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	141	4	results	result	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	141	5	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	141	6	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	141	7	must	must	MD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	141	8	be	be	VB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	141	9	alert	alert	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	141	10	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	141	11	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	141	12	possibilities	possibility	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	141	13	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	141	14	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	141	15	spreading	spread	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	141	16	more	more	JJR
cord-355173-rnley2ow	141	17	than	than	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	141	18	its	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-355173-rnley2ow	141	19	currently	currently	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	141	20	observed	observe	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	141	21	as	as	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	141	22	seen	see	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	141	23	from	from	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	141	24	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	141	25	models	model	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	141	26	'	'	POS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	141	27	prediction	prediction	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	141	28	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	142	1	The	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	142	2	proposed	propose	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	142	3	ease	ease	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	142	4	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	142	5	lockdown	lockdown	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	142	6	restrictions	restriction	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	142	7	by	by	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	142	8	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	142	9	federal	federal	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	142	10	government	government	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	142	11	is	be	VBZ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	142	12	expected	expect	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	142	13	to	to	TO
cord-355173-rnley2ow	142	14	commence	commence	VB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	142	15	on	on	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	142	16	May	May	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	142	17	4	4	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	142	18	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	142	19	2020	2020	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	142	20	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	142	21	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	142	22	there	there	EX
cord-355173-rnley2ow	142	23	is	be	VBZ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	142	24	no	no	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	142	25	indication	indication	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	142	26	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	142	27	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	142	28	trend	trend	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	142	29	to	to	TO
cord-355173-rnley2ow	142	30	expect	expect	VB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	142	31	following	follow	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	142	32	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	142	33	ease	ease	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	142	34	on	on	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	142	35	restrictions	restriction	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	142	36	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	143	1	Countries	country	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	143	2	like	like	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	143	3	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	143	4	have	have	VBP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	143	5	experienced	experience	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	143	6	an	an	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	143	7	increased	increase	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	143	8	number	number	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	143	9	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	143	10	Covid19	Covid19	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	143	11	positive	positive	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	143	12	cases	case	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	143	13	after	after	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	143	14	easing	ease	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	143	15	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	143	16	country	country	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	143	17	's	's	POS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	143	18	restrictions	restriction	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	143	19	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	144	1	Based	base	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	144	2	on	on	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	144	3	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-355173-rnley2ow	144	4	study	study	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	144	5	's	's	POS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	144	6	result	result	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	144	7	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	144	8	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	144	9	trend	trend	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	144	10	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	144	11	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	144	12	spread	spread	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	144	13	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	144	14	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	144	15	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	144	16	Nigeria	Nigeria	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	144	17	is	be	VBZ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	144	18	expected	expect	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	144	19	to	to	TO
cord-355173-rnley2ow	144	20	move	move	VB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	144	21	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	144	22	a	a	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	144	23	upward	upward	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	144	24	trend	trend	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	144	25	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	145	1	Having	have	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	145	2	established	establish	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	145	3	a	a	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	145	4	suitable	suitable	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	145	5	model	model	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	145	6	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	145	7	Nigeria	Nigeria	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	145	8	can	can	MD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	145	9	apply	apply	VB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	145	10	this	this	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	145	11	model	model	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	145	12	to	to	TO
cord-355173-rnley2ow	145	13	predict	predict	VB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	145	14	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	145	15	trend	trend	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	145	16	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	145	17	COVID-19	covid-19	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	145	18	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	145	19	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	145	20	country	country	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	145	21	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	145	22	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	146	1	CC	CC	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	146	2	-	-	HYPH
cord-355173-rnley2ow	146	3	BY	BY	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	146	4	-	-	HYPH
cord-355173-rnley2ow	146	5	NC	NC	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	146	6	-	-	HYPH
cord-355173-rnley2ow	146	7	ND	ND	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	146	8	4.0	4.0	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	146	9	International	international	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	146	10	license	license	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	147	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	147	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	147	3	made	make	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	147	4	available	available	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	147	5	under	under	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	147	6	a	a	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	148	1	is	be	VBZ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	148	2	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	148	3	author	author	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	148	4	/	/	SYM
cord-355173-rnley2ow	148	5	funder	funder	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	148	6	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	148	7	who	who	WP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	148	8	has	have	VBZ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	148	9	granted	grant	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	148	10	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	148	11	a	a	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	148	12	license	license	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	148	13	to	to	TO
cord-355173-rnley2ow	148	14	display	display	VB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	148	15	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	148	16	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	148	17	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	148	18	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	148	19	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	149	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	149	2	which	which	WDT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	149	3	was	be	VBD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	149	4	not	not	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	149	5	certified	certify	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	149	6	by	by	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	149	7	peer	peer	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	149	8	review	review	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	149	9	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	150	1	The	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	150	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	150	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	150	4	for	for	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	150	5	this	this	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	150	6	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	150	7	this	this	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	150	8	version	version	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	150	9	posted	post	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	150	10	May	May	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	150	11	8	8	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	150	12	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	150	13	2020	2020	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	150	14	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	150	15	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	151	1	https://doi.org/10.1101	https://doi.org/10.1101	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	151	2	Government	Government	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	151	3	through	through	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	151	4	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	151	5	constituted	constitute	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	151	6	presidential	presidential	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	151	7	task	task	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	151	8	force	force	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	151	9	should	should	MD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	151	10	be	be	VB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	151	11	conscious	conscious	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	151	12	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	151	13	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	151	14	wider	wide	JJR
cord-355173-rnley2ow	151	15	spread	spread	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	151	16	if	if	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	151	17	nothing	nothing	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	151	18	is	be	VBZ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	151	19	done	do	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	151	20	as	as	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	151	21	an	an	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	151	22	addition	addition	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	151	23	to	to	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	151	24	current	current	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	151	25	lockdown	lockdown	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	151	26	for	for	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	151	27	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	151	28	is	be	VBZ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	151	29	evident	evident	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	151	30	that	that	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	151	31	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	151	32	lockdown	lockdown	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	151	33	is	be	VBZ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	151	34	not	not	RB
cord-355173-rnley2ow	151	35	reducing	reduce	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	151	36	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	151	37	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	151	38	spread	spread	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	151	39	as	as	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	151	40	expected	expect	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	151	41	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	151	42	 	 	_SP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	152	1	Use	use	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	152	2	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	152	3	time	time	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	152	4	-	-	HYPH
cord-355173-rnley2ow	152	5	series	series	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	152	6	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	152	7	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	152	8	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	152	9	disease	disease	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	152	10	surveillance	surveillance	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	152	11	-	-	:
cord-355173-rnley2ow	152	12	bulletin	bulletin	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	152	13	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	152	14	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	152	15	World	World	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	152	16	Health	Health	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	152	17	Organization	Organization	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	152	18	Genomic	Genomic	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	152	19	Characterization	Characterization	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	152	20	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	152	21	Severe	severe	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	152	22	Acute	acute	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	152	23	Respiratory	Respiratory	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	152	24	Syndrome	syndrome	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	152	25	-	-	HYPH
cord-355173-rnley2ow	152	26	Related	relate	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	152	27	Coronavirus	Coronavirus	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	152	28	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	152	29	European	European	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	152	30	Bats	Bats	NNPS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	152	31	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	152	32	Classification	Classification	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	152	33	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	152	34	Coronaviruses	Coronaviruses	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	1	Based	base	VBN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	2	on	on	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	3	Partial	Partial	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	4	RNA	RNA	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	5	-	-	HYPH
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	6	Dependent	Dependent	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	7	RNA	RNA	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	8	Polymerase	Polymerase	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	9	Gene	Gene	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	10	Sequences	Sequences	NNPS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	11	Prediction	Prediction	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	12	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	13	Incidence	Incidence	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	14	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	15	Notifiable	Notifiable	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	16	Contagious	contagious	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	17	Diseases	Diseases	NNPS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	18	by	by	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	19	Appalication	Appalication	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	20	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	21	Time	Time	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	22	Series	Series	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	23	Model	Model	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	24	Forecasting	Forecasting	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	25	incidence	incidence	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	26	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	27	intestinal	intestinal	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	28	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	29	diseases	disease	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	30	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	31	mainland	mainland	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	32	China	China	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	33	with	with	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	34	ARIMA	ARIMA	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	35	model	model	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	36	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	37	GM	GM	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	38	(	(	-LRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	39	1	1	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	40	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	41	1	1	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	42	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	43	model	model	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	44	Comparison	comparison	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	45	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	46	ARIMA	ARIMA	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	47	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	48	Random	Random	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	49	Forest	Forest	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	50	time	time	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	51	series	series	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	52	models	model	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	53	for	for	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	54	prediction	prediction	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	55	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	56	avian	avian	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	57	influenza	influenza	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	58	H5N1	H5N1	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	59	outbreaks	outbreak	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	60	Predicting	predict	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	61	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	62	incidence	incidence	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	63	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	64	hand	hand	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	65	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	66	foot	foot	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	67	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	68	mouth	mouth	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	69	disease	disease	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	70	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	71	Sichuan	Sichuan	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	72	province	province	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	73	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	74	China	China	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	75	using	use	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	76	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	77	ARIMA	ARIMA	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	78	model	model	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	79	Forecasting	forecasting	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	80	incidence	incidence	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	81	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	82	hemorrhagic	hemorrhagic	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	83	fever	fever	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	84	with	with	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	85	renal	renal	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	86	syndrome	syndrome	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	87	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	88	China	China	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	89	using	use	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	90	ARIMA	ARIMA	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	91	model	model	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	92	Malaria	Malaria	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	93	disease	disease	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	94	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	95	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	96	Sudan	Sudan	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	97	using	use	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	98	time	time	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	99	series	series	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	100	ARIMA	ARIMA	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	101	model	model	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	102	Coronavirus	Coronavirus	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	103	disease	disease	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	104	2019	2019	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	153	105	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	154	1	World	World	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	154	2	Health	Health	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	154	3	Organization	Organization	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	154	4	Coronavirus	Coronavirus	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	154	5	as	as	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	154	6	a	a	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	154	7	possible	possible	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	154	8	cause	cause	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	154	9	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	154	10	severe	severe	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	154	11	acute	acute	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	154	12	respiratory	respiratory	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	154	13	syndrome	syndrome	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	154	14	Novel	Novel	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	154	15	Coronavirus	Coronavirus	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	154	16	(	(	-LRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	154	17	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	154	18	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	154	19	Outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	154	20	:	:	:
cord-355173-rnley2ow	155	1	A	a	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	155	2	Review	Review	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	155	3	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	155	4	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	155	5	Current	Current	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	155	6	Literature	Literature	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	155	7	Disease	Disease	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	155	8	management	management	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	155	9	with	with	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	155	10	ARIMA	ARIMA	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	155	11	model	model	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	155	12	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	155	13	time	time	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	155	14	series	series	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	155	15	Coronavirus	Coronavirus	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	155	16	genomics	genomic	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	155	17	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	155	18	bioinformatics	bioinformatics	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	155	19	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	155	20	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	156	1	Viruses	virus	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	156	2	Comparison	Comparison	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	156	3	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	156	4	GM	GM	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	156	5	(	(	-LRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	156	6	1	1	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	156	7	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	156	8	1	1	CD
cord-355173-rnley2ow	156	9	)	)	-RRB-
cord-355173-rnley2ow	156	10	gray	gray	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	156	11	model	model	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	156	12	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	156	13	ARIMA	ARIMA	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	156	14	model	model	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	156	15	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	156	16	forecasting	forecast	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	156	17	the	the	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	156	18	incidence	incidence	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	156	19	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	156	20	hemorrhagic	hemorrhagic	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	156	21	fever	fever	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	156	22	with	with	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	156	23	renal	renal	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	156	24	syndrome	syndrome	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	156	25	MERS	MERS	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	156	26	,	,	,
cord-355173-rnley2ow	156	27	SARS	SARS	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	156	28	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	156	29	other	other	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	156	30	coronaviruses	coronaviruse	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	156	31	as	as	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	156	32	causes	cause	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	156	33	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	156	34	pneumonia	pneumonia	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	156	35	.	.	.
cord-355173-rnley2ow	157	1	Respirology	Respirology	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	157	2	Application	Application	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	157	3	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	157	4	ARIMA	ARIMA	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	157	5	model	model	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	157	6	on	on	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	157	7	predicting	predict	VBG
cord-355173-rnley2ow	157	8	monthly	monthly	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	157	9	hospital	hospital	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	157	10	admissions	admission	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	157	11	and	and	CC
cord-355173-rnley2ow	157	12	hospitalization	hospitalization	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	157	13	expenses	expense	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	157	14	for	for	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	157	15	respiratory	respiratory	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	157	16	diseases	disease	NNS
cord-355173-rnley2ow	157	17	Isolation	isolation	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	157	18	of	of	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	157	19	a	a	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	157	20	novel	novel	JJ
cord-355173-rnley2ow	157	21	coronavirus	coronavirus	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	157	22	from	from	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	157	23	a	a	DT
cord-355173-rnley2ow	157	24	man	man	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	157	25	with	with	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	157	26	pneumonia	pneumonia	NN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	157	27	in	in	IN
cord-355173-rnley2ow	157	28	Saudi	Saudi	NNP
cord-355173-rnley2ow	157	29	Arabia	Arabia	NNP