id sid tid token lemma pos cord-345998-701aker9 1 1 key key JJ cord-345998-701aker9 1 2 : : : cord-345998-701aker9 1 3 cord-345998 cord-345998 NNP cord-345998-701aker9 1 4 - - HYPH cord-345998-701aker9 1 5 701aker9 701aker9 NNP cord-345998-701aker9 1 6 authors author NNS cord-345998-701aker9 1 7 : : : cord-345998-701aker9 2 1 Tantrakarnapa Tantrakarnapa NNP cord-345998-701aker9 2 2 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 2 3 Kraichat Kraichat NNP cord-345998-701aker9 2 4 ; ; : cord-345998-701aker9 2 5 Bhopdhornangkul Bhopdhornangkul NNP cord-345998-701aker9 2 6 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 2 7 Bhophkrit Bhophkrit NNP cord-345998-701aker9 2 8 title title NN cord-345998-701aker9 2 9 : : : cord-345998-701aker9 2 10 Challenging challenge VBG cord-345998-701aker9 2 11 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 2 12 spread spread NN cord-345998-701aker9 2 13 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 2 14 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-345998-701aker9 2 15 in in IN cord-345998-701aker9 2 16 Thailand Thailand NNP cord-345998-701aker9 2 17 date date NN cord-345998-701aker9 3 1 : : : cord-345998-701aker9 3 2 2020 2020 CD cord-345998-701aker9 3 3 - - SYM cord-345998-701aker9 3 4 10 10 CD cord-345998-701aker9 3 5 - - HYPH cord-345998-701aker9 3 6 07 07 CD cord-345998-701aker9 3 7 journal journal NN cord-345998-701aker9 3 8 : : : cord-345998-701aker9 4 1 One one CD cord-345998-701aker9 4 2 Health Health NNP cord-345998-701aker9 4 3 DOI doi NN cord-345998-701aker9 4 4 : : : cord-345998-701aker9 4 5 10.1016 10.1016 CD cord-345998-701aker9 4 6 / / SYM cord-345998-701aker9 4 7 j.onehlt.2020.100173 j.onehlt.2020.100173 NN cord-345998-701aker9 4 8 sha sha NNP cord-345998-701aker9 4 9 : : : cord-345998-701aker9 4 10 414550ef7d359710cdd8963157b95d834688fcfa 414550ef7d359710cdd8963157b95d834688fcfa CD cord-345998-701aker9 4 11 doc_id doc_id CD cord-345998-701aker9 4 12 : : : cord-345998-701aker9 4 13 345998 345998 CD cord-345998-701aker9 4 14 cord_uid cord_uid NNS cord-345998-701aker9 4 15 : : : cord-345998-701aker9 5 1 701aker9 701aker9 NNP cord-345998-701aker9 5 2 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-345998-701aker9 5 3 disease disease NN cord-345998-701aker9 5 4 ( ( -LRB- cord-345998-701aker9 5 5 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-345998-701aker9 5 6 ) ) -RRB- cord-345998-701aker9 5 7 has have VBZ cord-345998-701aker9 5 8 been be VBN cord-345998-701aker9 5 9 identified identify VBN cord-345998-701aker9 5 10 as as IN cord-345998-701aker9 5 11 a a DT cord-345998-701aker9 5 12 pandemic pandemic NN cord-345998-701aker9 5 13 by by IN cord-345998-701aker9 5 14 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 5 15 World World NNP cord-345998-701aker9 5 16 Health Health NNP cord-345998-701aker9 5 17 Organization Organization NNP cord-345998-701aker9 5 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-345998-701aker9 5 19 WHO who WP cord-345998-701aker9 5 20 ) ) -RRB- cord-345998-701aker9 5 21 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 6 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-345998-701aker9 6 2 was be VBD cord-345998-701aker9 6 3 initially initially RB cord-345998-701aker9 6 4 detected detect VBN cord-345998-701aker9 6 5 in in IN cord-345998-701aker9 6 6 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-345998-701aker9 6 7 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 6 8 China China NNP cord-345998-701aker9 6 9 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 6 10 spread spread VBD cord-345998-701aker9 6 11 to to IN cord-345998-701aker9 6 12 other other JJ cord-345998-701aker9 6 13 cities city NNS cord-345998-701aker9 6 14 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 6 15 China China NNP cord-345998-701aker9 6 16 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 6 17 all all DT cord-345998-701aker9 6 18 countries country NNS cord-345998-701aker9 6 19 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 7 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-345998-701aker9 7 2 has have VBZ cord-345998-701aker9 7 3 caused cause VBN cord-345998-701aker9 7 4 many many JJ cord-345998-701aker9 7 5 deaths death NNS cord-345998-701aker9 7 6 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 7 7 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 7 8 number number NN cord-345998-701aker9 7 9 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 7 10 infections infection NNS cord-345998-701aker9 7 11 became become VBD cord-345998-701aker9 7 12 greater great JJR cord-345998-701aker9 7 13 than than IN cord-345998-701aker9 7 14 18 18 CD cord-345998-701aker9 7 15 million million CD cord-345998-701aker9 7 16 as as IN cord-345998-701aker9 7 17 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 7 18 5 5 CD cord-345998-701aker9 7 19 August August NNP cord-345998-701aker9 7 20 2020 2020 CD cord-345998-701aker9 7 21 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 8 1 This this DT cord-345998-701aker9 8 2 study study NN cord-345998-701aker9 8 3 aimed aim VBD cord-345998-701aker9 8 4 to to TO cord-345998-701aker9 8 5 analyze analyze VB cord-345998-701aker9 8 6 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 8 7 situation situation NN cord-345998-701aker9 8 8 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 8 9 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-345998-701aker9 8 10 in in IN cord-345998-701aker9 8 11 Thailand Thailand NNP cord-345998-701aker9 8 12 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 8 13 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 8 14 challenging challenging JJ cord-345998-701aker9 8 15 disease disease NN cord-345998-701aker9 8 16 control control NN cord-345998-701aker9 8 17 by by IN cord-345998-701aker9 8 18 employing employ VBG cord-345998-701aker9 8 19 a a DT cord-345998-701aker9 8 20 dynamic dynamic JJ cord-345998-701aker9 8 21 model model NN cord-345998-701aker9 8 22 to to TO cord-345998-701aker9 8 23 determine determine VB cord-345998-701aker9 8 24 prevention prevention NN cord-345998-701aker9 8 25 approaches approach NNS cord-345998-701aker9 8 26 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 9 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-345998-701aker9 9 2 employed employ VBD cord-345998-701aker9 9 3 a a DT cord-345998-701aker9 9 4 statistical statistical JJ cord-345998-701aker9 9 5 technique technique NN cord-345998-701aker9 9 6 to to TO cord-345998-701aker9 9 7 analyze analyze VB cord-345998-701aker9 9 8 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 9 9 ambient ambient JJ cord-345998-701aker9 9 10 temperature temperature NN cord-345998-701aker9 9 11 influencing influence VBG cord-345998-701aker9 9 12 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 9 13 cases case NNS cord-345998-701aker9 9 14 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 10 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-345998-701aker9 10 2 found find VBD cord-345998-701aker9 10 3 that that IN cord-345998-701aker9 10 4 temperature temperature NN cord-345998-701aker9 10 5 was be VBD cord-345998-701aker9 10 6 significantly significantly RB cord-345998-701aker9 10 7 associated associate VBN cord-345998-701aker9 10 8 with with IN cord-345998-701aker9 10 9 daily daily JJ cord-345998-701aker9 10 10 infected infected JJ cord-345998-701aker9 10 11 cases case NNS cord-345998-701aker9 10 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-345998-701aker9 10 13 p p NN cord-345998-701aker9 10 14 - - HYPH cord-345998-701aker9 10 15 value value NN cord-345998-701aker9 10 16 < < XX cord-345998-701aker9 10 17 0.01 0.01 CD cord-345998-701aker9 10 18 ) ) -RRB- cord-345998-701aker9 10 19 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 11 1 The the DT cord-345998-701aker9 11 2 SEIR seir NN cord-345998-701aker9 11 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-345998-701aker9 11 4 Susceptible susceptible JJ cord-345998-701aker9 11 5 Exposed expose VBN cord-345998-701aker9 11 6 Infectious Infectious NNP cord-345998-701aker9 11 7 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 11 8 Recovered recovered JJ cord-345998-701aker9 11 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-345998-701aker9 11 10 dynamic dynamic JJ cord-345998-701aker9 11 11 approach approach NN cord-345998-701aker9 11 12 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 11 13 moving move VBG cord-345998-701aker9 11 14 average average JJ cord-345998-701aker9 11 15 estimation estimation NN cord-345998-701aker9 11 16 were be VBD cord-345998-701aker9 11 17 used use VBN cord-345998-701aker9 11 18 to to TO cord-345998-701aker9 11 19 forecast forecast VB cord-345998-701aker9 11 20 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 11 21 daily daily JJ cord-345998-701aker9 11 22 infected infected JJ cord-345998-701aker9 11 23 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 11 24 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-345998-701aker9 11 25 cases case NNS cord-345998-701aker9 11 26 until until IN cord-345998-701aker9 11 27 16 16 CD cord-345998-701aker9 11 28 June June NNP cord-345998-701aker9 11 29 as as IN cord-345998-701aker9 11 30 a a DT cord-345998-701aker9 11 31 base base NN cord-345998-701aker9 11 32 run run NN cord-345998-701aker9 11 33 analysis analysis NN cord-345998-701aker9 11 34 using use VBG cord-345998-701aker9 11 35 STELLA STELLA NNP cord-345998-701aker9 11 36 dynamic dynamic JJ cord-345998-701aker9 11 37 software software NN cord-345998-701aker9 11 38 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 11 39 statistical statistical JJ cord-345998-701aker9 11 40 techniques technique NNS cord-345998-701aker9 11 41 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 12 1 The the DT cord-345998-701aker9 12 2 movement movement NN cord-345998-701aker9 12 3 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 12 4 people people NNS cord-345998-701aker9 12 5 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 12 6 both both CC cord-345998-701aker9 12 7 in in IN cord-345998-701aker9 12 8 relation relation NN cord-345998-701aker9 12 9 to to IN cord-345998-701aker9 12 10 local local JJ cord-345998-701aker9 12 11 ( ( -LRB- cord-345998-701aker9 12 12 Thai thai JJ cord-345998-701aker9 12 13 people people NNS cord-345998-701aker9 12 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-345998-701aker9 12 15 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 12 16 foreign foreign JJ cord-345998-701aker9 12 17 travel travel NN cord-345998-701aker9 12 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-345998-701aker9 12 19 both both DT cord-345998-701aker9 12 20 Thai Thai NNP cord-345998-701aker9 12 21 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 12 22 tourists tourist NNS cord-345998-701aker9 12 23 ) ) -RRB- cord-345998-701aker9 12 24 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 12 25 played play VBD cord-345998-701aker9 12 26 a a DT cord-345998-701aker9 12 27 significant significant JJ cord-345998-701aker9 12 28 role role NN cord-345998-701aker9 12 29 in in IN cord-345998-701aker9 12 30 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 12 31 spread spread NN cord-345998-701aker9 12 32 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 12 33 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-345998-701aker9 12 34 in in IN cord-345998-701aker9 12 35 Thailand Thailand NNP cord-345998-701aker9 12 36 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 13 1 Enforcing enforce VBG cord-345998-701aker9 13 2 a a DT cord-345998-701aker9 13 3 state state NN cord-345998-701aker9 13 4 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 13 5 emergency emergency NN cord-345998-701aker9 13 6 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 13 7 regulating regulate VBG cord-345998-701aker9 13 8 social social JJ cord-345998-701aker9 13 9 distancing distancing NN cord-345998-701aker9 13 10 were be VBD cord-345998-701aker9 13 11 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 13 12 key key JJ cord-345998-701aker9 13 13 factors factor NNS cord-345998-701aker9 13 14 in in IN cord-345998-701aker9 13 15 reducing reduce VBG cord-345998-701aker9 13 16 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 13 17 growth growth NN cord-345998-701aker9 13 18 rate rate NN cord-345998-701aker9 13 19 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 13 20 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 13 21 disease disease NN cord-345998-701aker9 13 22 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 14 1 The the DT cord-345998-701aker9 14 2 SEIR SEIR NNP cord-345998-701aker9 14 3 model model NN cord-345998-701aker9 14 4 reliably reliably RB cord-345998-701aker9 14 5 predicted predict VBD cord-345998-701aker9 14 6 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 14 7 actual actual JJ cord-345998-701aker9 14 8 infected infected JJ cord-345998-701aker9 14 9 cases case NNS cord-345998-701aker9 14 10 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 14 11 with with IN cord-345998-701aker9 14 12 a a DT cord-345998-701aker9 14 13 root root NN cord-345998-701aker9 14 14 mean mean NN cord-345998-701aker9 14 15 square square JJ cord-345998-701aker9 14 16 error error NN cord-345998-701aker9 14 17 ( ( -LRB- cord-345998-701aker9 14 18 RMSE RMSE NNP cord-345998-701aker9 14 19 ) ) -RRB- cord-345998-701aker9 14 20 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 14 21 12.8 12.8 CD cord-345998-701aker9 14 22 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 15 1 In in IN cord-345998-701aker9 15 2 case case NN cord-345998-701aker9 15 3 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 15 4 moving move VBG cord-345998-701aker9 15 5 average average JJ cord-345998-701aker9 15 6 approach approach NN cord-345998-701aker9 15 7 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 15 8 RMSE rmse JJ cord-345998-701aker9 15 9 values value NNS cord-345998-701aker9 15 10 were be VBD cord-345998-701aker9 15 11 0.21 0.21 CD cord-345998-701aker9 15 12 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 15 13 0.21 0.21 CD cord-345998-701aker9 15 14 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 15 15 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 15 16 0.35 0.35 CD cord-345998-701aker9 15 17 for for IN cord-345998-701aker9 15 18 two two CD cord-345998-701aker9 15 19 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 15 20 three three CD cord-345998-701aker9 15 21 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 15 22 five five CD cord-345998-701aker9 15 23 days day NNS cord-345998-701aker9 15 24 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 15 25 respectively respectively RB cord-345998-701aker9 15 26 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 16 1 The the DT cord-345998-701aker9 16 2 previous previous JJ cord-345998-701aker9 16 3 records record NNS cord-345998-701aker9 16 4 were be VBD cord-345998-701aker9 16 5 used use VBN cord-345998-701aker9 16 6 as as IN cord-345998-701aker9 16 7 input input NN cord-345998-701aker9 16 8 for for IN cord-345998-701aker9 16 9 prediction prediction NN cord-345998-701aker9 16 10 that that WDT cord-345998-701aker9 16 11 caused cause VBD cord-345998-701aker9 16 12 lower low JJR cord-345998-701aker9 16 13 values value NNS cord-345998-701aker9 16 14 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 16 15 RMSE RMSE NNP cord-345998-701aker9 16 16 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 17 1 Two two CD cord-345998-701aker9 17 2 - - HYPH cord-345998-701aker9 17 3 days day NNS cord-345998-701aker9 17 4 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 17 5 three three CD cord-345998-701aker9 17 6 - - HYPH cord-345998-701aker9 17 7 days day NNS cord-345998-701aker9 17 8 moving move VBG cord-345998-701aker9 17 9 averages average NNS cord-345998-701aker9 17 10 gave give VBD cord-345998-701aker9 17 11 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 17 12 better well JJR cord-345998-701aker9 17 13 results result NNS cord-345998-701aker9 17 14 than than IN cord-345998-701aker9 17 15 SEIR SEIR NNP cord-345998-701aker9 17 16 model model NN cord-345998-701aker9 17 17 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 18 1 The the DT cord-345998-701aker9 18 2 SEIR seir NN cord-345998-701aker9 18 3 model model NN cord-345998-701aker9 18 4 is be VBZ cord-345998-701aker9 18 5 suitable suitable JJ cord-345998-701aker9 18 6 for for IN cord-345998-701aker9 18 7 longer long JJR cord-345998-701aker9 18 8 period period NN cord-345998-701aker9 18 9 prediction prediction NN cord-345998-701aker9 18 10 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 18 11 whereas whereas IN cord-345998-701aker9 18 12 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 18 13 moving move VBG cord-345998-701aker9 18 14 average average JJ cord-345998-701aker9 18 15 approach approach NN cord-345998-701aker9 18 16 is be VBZ cord-345998-701aker9 18 17 suitable suitable JJ cord-345998-701aker9 18 18 for for IN cord-345998-701aker9 18 19 short short JJ cord-345998-701aker9 18 20 term term NN cord-345998-701aker9 18 21 prediction prediction NN cord-345998-701aker9 18 22 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 19 1 The the DT cord-345998-701aker9 19 2 implementation implementation NN cord-345998-701aker9 19 3 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 19 4 interventions intervention NNS cord-345998-701aker9 19 5 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 19 6 such such JJ cord-345998-701aker9 19 7 as as IN cord-345998-701aker9 19 8 governmental governmental JJ cord-345998-701aker9 19 9 regulation regulation NN cord-345998-701aker9 19 10 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 19 11 restrictions restriction NNS cord-345998-701aker9 19 12 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 19 13 through through IN cord-345998-701aker9 19 14 collaboration collaboration NN cord-345998-701aker9 19 15 among among IN cord-345998-701aker9 19 16 various various JJ cord-345998-701aker9 19 17 sectors sector NNS cord-345998-701aker9 19 18 was be VBD cord-345998-701aker9 19 19 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 19 20 key key JJ cord-345998-701aker9 19 21 factor factor NN cord-345998-701aker9 19 22 for for IN cord-345998-701aker9 19 23 controlling control VBG cord-345998-701aker9 19 24 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 19 25 spreading spreading NN cord-345998-701aker9 19 26 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 19 27 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-345998-701aker9 19 28 in in IN cord-345998-701aker9 19 29 Thailand Thailand NNP cord-345998-701aker9 19 30 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 20 1 Currently currently RB cord-345998-701aker9 20 2 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 20 3 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 20 4 novel novel JJ cord-345998-701aker9 20 5 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-345998-701aker9 20 6 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 20 7 SARS SARS NNP cord-345998-701aker9 20 8 - - HYPH cord-345998-701aker9 20 9 CoV-2 CoV-2 NNP cord-345998-701aker9 20 10 might may MD cord-345998-701aker9 20 11 be be VB cord-345998-701aker9 20 12 identified identify VBN cord-345998-701aker9 20 13 as as IN cord-345998-701aker9 20 14 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 20 15 biggest big JJS cord-345998-701aker9 20 16 world world NN cord-345998-701aker9 20 17 health health NN cord-345998-701aker9 21 1 In in IN cord-345998-701aker9 21 2 addition addition NN cord-345998-701aker9 21 3 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 21 4 enhancing enhance VBG cord-345998-701aker9 21 5 people people NNS cord-345998-701aker9 21 6 's 's POS cord-345998-701aker9 21 7 awareness awareness NN cord-345998-701aker9 21 8 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 21 9 implementing implement VBG cord-345998-701aker9 21 10 regulations regulation NNS cord-345998-701aker9 21 11 also also RB cord-345998-701aker9 21 12 constituted constitute VBD cord-345998-701aker9 21 13 key key JJ cord-345998-701aker9 21 14 factors factor NNS cord-345998-701aker9 21 15 in in IN cord-345998-701aker9 21 16 achieving achieve VBG cord-345998-701aker9 21 17 these these DT cord-345998-701aker9 21 18 goals goal NNS cord-345998-701aker9 21 19 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 21 20 controlling control VBG cord-345998-701aker9 21 21 disease disease NN cord-345998-701aker9 21 22 spread spread VBD cord-345998-701aker9 21 23 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 22 1 The the DT cord-345998-701aker9 22 2 distribution distribution NN cord-345998-701aker9 22 3 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 22 4 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-345998-701aker9 22 5 disease disease NN cord-345998-701aker9 22 6 was be VBD cord-345998-701aker9 22 7 not not RB cord-345998-701aker9 22 8 only only RB cord-345998-701aker9 22 9 within within IN cord-345998-701aker9 22 10 Bangkok Bangkok NNP cord-345998-701aker9 22 11 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 22 12 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 22 13 capital capital NN cord-345998-701aker9 22 14 city city NN cord-345998-701aker9 22 15 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 22 16 where where WRB cord-345998-701aker9 22 17 it -PRON- PRP cord-345998-701aker9 22 18 was be VBD cord-345998-701aker9 22 19 first first RB cord-345998-701aker9 22 20 detected detect VBN cord-345998-701aker9 22 21 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 22 22 but but CC cord-345998-701aker9 22 23 it -PRON- PRP cord-345998-701aker9 22 24 spread spread VBD cord-345998-701aker9 22 25 to to IN cord-345998-701aker9 22 26 all all DT cord-345998-701aker9 22 27 regions region NNS cord-345998-701aker9 22 28 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 22 29 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 22 30 country country NN cord-345998-701aker9 22 31 due due IN cord-345998-701aker9 22 32 to to IN cord-345998-701aker9 22 33 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 22 34 social social JJ cord-345998-701aker9 22 35 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 22 36 economic economic JJ cord-345998-701aker9 22 37 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 22 38 environmental environmental JJ cord-345998-701aker9 22 39 factors factor NNS cord-345998-701aker9 22 40 such such JJ cord-345998-701aker9 22 41 as as IN cord-345998-701aker9 22 42 travelling travel VBG cord-345998-701aker9 22 43 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 22 44 close close JJ cord-345998-701aker9 22 45 interaction interaction NN cord-345998-701aker9 22 46 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 22 47 people people NNS cord-345998-701aker9 22 48 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 23 1 Other other JJ cord-345998-701aker9 23 2 influencing influence VBG cord-345998-701aker9 23 3 factors factor NNS cord-345998-701aker9 23 4 involved involve VBN cord-345998-701aker9 23 5 were be VBD cord-345998-701aker9 23 6 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 23 7 international international JJ cord-345998-701aker9 23 8 travel travel NN cord-345998-701aker9 23 9 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 23 10 Thais Thais NNPS cord-345998-701aker9 23 11 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 23 12 foreigners foreigner NNS cord-345998-701aker9 23 13 around around IN cord-345998-701aker9 23 14 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 23 15 world world NN cord-345998-701aker9 23 16 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 24 1 In in IN cord-345998-701aker9 24 2 addition addition NN cord-345998-701aker9 24 3 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 24 4 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 24 5 number number NN cord-345998-701aker9 24 6 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 24 7 reported report VBN cord-345998-701aker9 24 8 cases case NNS cord-345998-701aker9 24 9 varied vary VBN cord-345998-701aker9 24 10 depending depend VBG cord-345998-701aker9 24 11 on on IN cord-345998-701aker9 24 12 each each DT cord-345998-701aker9 24 13 country country NN cord-345998-701aker9 24 14 because because IN cord-345998-701aker9 24 15 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 24 16 testing testing NN cord-345998-701aker9 24 17 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 24 18 contact contact NN cord-345998-701aker9 24 19 tracing tracing NN cord-345998-701aker9 24 20 required require VBN cord-345998-701aker9 24 21 knowledge knowledge NN cord-345998-701aker9 24 22 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 24 23 technology technology NN cord-345998-701aker9 24 24 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 25 1 One one CD cord-345998-701aker9 25 2 important important JJ cord-345998-701aker9 25 3 factor factor NN cord-345998-701aker9 25 4 is be VBZ cord-345998-701aker9 25 5 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 25 6 high high JJ cord-345998-701aker9 25 7 cost cost NN cord-345998-701aker9 25 8 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 25 9 testing testing NN cord-345998-701aker9 25 10 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 25 11 meaning mean VBG cord-345998-701aker9 25 12 some some DT cord-345998-701aker9 25 13 countries country NNS cord-345998-701aker9 25 14 could could MD cord-345998-701aker9 25 15 not not RB cord-345998-701aker9 25 16 allocate allocate VB cord-345998-701aker9 25 17 sufficient sufficient JJ cord-345998-701aker9 25 18 budget budget NN cord-345998-701aker9 25 19 for for IN cord-345998-701aker9 25 20 widespread widespread JJ cord-345998-701aker9 25 21 testing testing NN cord-345998-701aker9 25 22 in in IN cord-345998-701aker9 25 23 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 25 24 community community NN cord-345998-701aker9 25 25 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 26 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-345998-701aker9 26 2 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 26 3 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 26 4 number number NN cord-345998-701aker9 26 5 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 26 6 infected infected JJ cord-345998-701aker9 26 7 cases case NNS cord-345998-701aker9 26 8 reported report VBN cord-345998-701aker9 26 9 by by IN cord-345998-701aker9 26 10 each each DT cord-345998-701aker9 26 11 country country NN cord-345998-701aker9 26 12 might may MD cord-345998-701aker9 26 13 significantly significantly RB cord-345998-701aker9 26 14 differ differ VB cord-345998-701aker9 26 15 from from IN cord-345998-701aker9 26 16 reality reality NN cord-345998-701aker9 26 17 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 27 1 Many many JJ cord-345998-701aker9 27 2 scientific scientific JJ cord-345998-701aker9 27 3 research research NN cord-345998-701aker9 27 4 institutes institute NNS cord-345998-701aker9 27 5 have have VBP cord-345998-701aker9 27 6 endeavored endeavor VBN cord-345998-701aker9 27 7 to to TO cord-345998-701aker9 27 8 forecast forecast VB cord-345998-701aker9 27 9 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 27 10 number number NN cord-345998-701aker9 27 11 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 27 12 infected infected JJ cord-345998-701aker9 27 13 cases case NNS cord-345998-701aker9 27 14 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 28 1 Hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-345998-701aker9 28 2 numbers number NNS cord-345998-701aker9 28 3 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 28 4 reported report VBD cord-345998-701aker9 28 5 deaths death NNS cord-345998-701aker9 28 6 or or CC cord-345998-701aker9 28 7 recovered recover VBN cord-345998-701aker9 28 8 cases case NNS cord-345998-701aker9 28 9 in in IN cord-345998-701aker9 28 10 various various JJ cord-345998-701aker9 28 11 conditions condition NNS cord-345998-701aker9 28 12 have have VBP cord-345998-701aker9 28 13 been be VBN cord-345998-701aker9 28 14 estimated estimate VBN cord-345998-701aker9 28 15 at at IN cord-345998-701aker9 28 16 global global JJ cord-345998-701aker9 28 17 or or CC cord-345998-701aker9 28 18 country country NN cord-345998-701aker9 28 19 levels level NNS cord-345998-701aker9 28 20 based base VBN cord-345998-701aker9 28 21 on on IN cord-345998-701aker9 28 22 available available JJ cord-345998-701aker9 28 23 current current JJ cord-345998-701aker9 28 24 data datum NNS cord-345998-701aker9 28 25 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 28 26 using use VBG cord-345998-701aker9 28 27 different different JJ cord-345998-701aker9 28 28 modelling modelling NN cord-345998-701aker9 28 29 approaches approach NNS cord-345998-701aker9 28 30 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 29 1 This this DT cord-345998-701aker9 29 2 paper paper NN cord-345998-701aker9 29 3 aimed aim VBN cord-345998-701aker9 29 4 to to TO cord-345998-701aker9 29 5 present present VB cord-345998-701aker9 29 6 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 29 7 distribution distribution NN cord-345998-701aker9 29 8 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 29 9 pattern pattern NN cord-345998-701aker9 29 10 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 29 11 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-345998-701aker9 29 12 disease disease NN cord-345998-701aker9 29 13 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 29 14 prediction prediction NN cord-345998-701aker9 29 15 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 29 16 number number NN cord-345998-701aker9 29 17 cases case NNS cord-345998-701aker9 29 18 in in IN cord-345998-701aker9 29 19 Thailand Thailand NNP cord-345998-701aker9 29 20 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 30 1 In in IN cord-345998-701aker9 30 2 addition addition NN cord-345998-701aker9 30 3 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 30 4 we -PRON- PRP cord-345998-701aker9 30 5 have have VBP cord-345998-701aker9 30 6 attempted attempt VBN cord-345998-701aker9 30 7 to to TO cord-345998-701aker9 30 8 forecast forecast VB cord-345998-701aker9 30 9 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 30 10 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-345998-701aker9 30 11 cases case NNS cord-345998-701aker9 30 12 in in IN cord-345998-701aker9 30 13 terms term NNS cord-345998-701aker9 30 14 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 30 15 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 30 16 number number NN cord-345998-701aker9 30 17 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 30 18 infected infected JJ cord-345998-701aker9 30 19 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 30 20 new new JJ cord-345998-701aker9 30 21 cases case NNS cord-345998-701aker9 30 22 in in IN cord-345998-701aker9 30 23 Thailand Thailand NNP cord-345998-701aker9 30 24 using use VBG cord-345998-701aker9 30 25 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 30 26 dynamic dynamic JJ cord-345998-701aker9 30 27 SEIR seir NN cord-345998-701aker9 30 28 ( ( -LRB- cord-345998-701aker9 30 29 Susceptible susceptible JJ cord-345998-701aker9 30 30 Exposed expose VBN cord-345998-701aker9 30 31 Infectious Infectious NNP cord-345998-701aker9 30 32 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 30 33 Recovered recovered JJ cord-345998-701aker9 30 34 ) ) -RRB- cord-345998-701aker9 30 35 model model NN cord-345998-701aker9 30 36 [ [ -LRB- cord-345998-701aker9 30 37 4 4 CD cord-345998-701aker9 30 38 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 30 39 5 5 CD cord-345998-701aker9 30 40 ] ] -RRB- cord-345998-701aker9 30 41 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 30 42 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 30 43 moving move VBG cord-345998-701aker9 30 44 average average JJ cord-345998-701aker9 30 45 prediction prediction NN cord-345998-701aker9 30 46 approaches approach NNS cord-345998-701aker9 30 47 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 31 1 The the DT cord-345998-701aker9 31 2 weather weather NN cord-345998-701aker9 31 3 data datum NNS cord-345998-701aker9 31 4 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 31 5 including include VBG cord-345998-701aker9 31 6 ambient ambient JJ cord-345998-701aker9 31 7 temperature temperature NN cord-345998-701aker9 31 8 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 31 9 precipitation precipitation NN cord-345998-701aker9 31 10 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 31 11 wind wind NN cord-345998-701aker9 31 12 speed speed NN cord-345998-701aker9 31 13 were be VBD cord-345998-701aker9 31 14 obtained obtain VBN cord-345998-701aker9 31 15 from from IN cord-345998-701aker9 31 16 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 31 17 official official JJ cord-345998-701aker9 31 18 website website NN cord-345998-701aker9 31 19 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 31 20 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 31 21 Department Department NNP cord-345998-701aker9 31 22 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 31 23 Meteorology Meteorology NNP cord-345998-701aker9 31 24 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 31 25 Thailand Thailand NNP cord-345998-701aker9 31 26 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 32 1 The the DT cord-345998-701aker9 32 2 weather weather NN cord-345998-701aker9 32 3 monitoring monitoring NN cord-345998-701aker9 32 4 stations station NNS cord-345998-701aker9 32 5 covered cover VBD cord-345998-701aker9 32 6 all all DT cord-345998-701aker9 32 7 provinces province NNS cord-345998-701aker9 32 8 in in IN cord-345998-701aker9 32 9 Thailand Thailand NNP cord-345998-701aker9 32 10 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 32 11 provided provide VBD cord-345998-701aker9 32 12 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 32 13 daily daily JJ cord-345998-701aker9 32 14 mean mean JJ cord-345998-701aker9 32 15 values value NNS cord-345998-701aker9 32 16 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 32 17 each each DT cord-345998-701aker9 32 18 parameter parameter NN cord-345998-701aker9 32 19 used use VBN cord-345998-701aker9 32 20 in in IN cord-345998-701aker9 32 21 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 32 22 analysis analysis NN cord-345998-701aker9 32 23 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 33 1 Descriptive descriptive JJ cord-345998-701aker9 33 2 statistics statistic NNS cord-345998-701aker9 33 3 were be VBD cord-345998-701aker9 33 4 analyzed analyze VBN cord-345998-701aker9 33 5 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 33 6 namely namely RB cord-345998-701aker9 33 7 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 33 8 minimum minimum JJ cord-345998-701aker9 33 9 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 33 10 maximum maximum JJ cord-345998-701aker9 33 11 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 33 12 mean mean JJ cord-345998-701aker9 33 13 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 33 14 median median JJ cord-345998-701aker9 33 15 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 33 16 standard standard JJ cord-345998-701aker9 33 17 deviation deviation NN cord-345998-701aker9 33 18 in in IN cord-345998-701aker9 33 19 quartiles quartile NNS cord-345998-701aker9 33 20 1 1 CD cord-345998-701aker9 33 21 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 33 22 3 3 CD cord-345998-701aker9 33 23 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 34 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-345998-701aker9 34 2 collected collect VBD cord-345998-701aker9 34 3 published publish VBN cord-345998-701aker9 34 4 health health NN cord-345998-701aker9 34 5 data datum NNS cord-345998-701aker9 34 6 from from IN cord-345998-701aker9 34 7 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 34 8 Ministry Ministry NNP cord-345998-701aker9 34 9 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 34 10 Public Public NNP cord-345998-701aker9 34 11 Health Health NNP cord-345998-701aker9 34 12 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 34 13 which which WDT cord-345998-701aker9 34 14 is be VBZ cord-345998-701aker9 34 15 available available JJ cord-345998-701aker9 34 16 from from IN cord-345998-701aker9 34 17 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 34 18 official official JJ cord-345998-701aker9 34 19 website website NN cord-345998-701aker9 34 20 ( ( -LRB- cord-345998-701aker9 34 21 http://covid19.ddc.moph.go.th/th http://covid19.ddc.moph.go.th/th VB cord-345998-701aker9 34 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-345998-701aker9 34 23 [ [ -LRB- cord-345998-701aker9 34 24 6 6 CD cord-345998-701aker9 34 25 ] ] -RRB- cord-345998-701aker9 34 26 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 35 1 The the DT cord-345998-701aker9 35 2 Spearman Spearman NNP cord-345998-701aker9 35 3 's 's POS cord-345998-701aker9 35 4 correlation correlation NN cord-345998-701aker9 35 5 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 35 6 weather weather NN cord-345998-701aker9 35 7 factors factor NNS cord-345998-701aker9 35 8 with with IN cord-345998-701aker9 35 9 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 35 10 daily daily JJ cord-345998-701aker9 35 11 reported report VBD cord-345998-701aker9 35 12 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-345998-701aker9 35 13 cases case NNS cord-345998-701aker9 35 14 was be VBD cord-345998-701aker9 35 15 analyzed analyze VBN cord-345998-701aker9 35 16 using use VBG cord-345998-701aker9 35 17 SPSS SPSS NNP cord-345998-701aker9 35 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-345998-701aker9 35 19 version version NN cord-345998-701aker9 35 20 18 18 CD cord-345998-701aker9 35 21 ) ) -RRB- cord-345998-701aker9 35 22 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 36 1 The the DT cord-345998-701aker9 36 2 analysis analysis NN cord-345998-701aker9 36 3 employed employ VBD cord-345998-701aker9 36 4 a a DT cord-345998-701aker9 36 5 spreadsheet spreadsheet NN cord-345998-701aker9 36 6 for for IN cord-345998-701aker9 36 7 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 36 8 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-345998-701aker9 36 9 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 36 10 infection infection NN cord-345998-701aker9 36 11 rate rate NN cord-345998-701aker9 36 12 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 36 13 recovered recover VBN cord-345998-701aker9 36 14 rate rate NN cord-345998-701aker9 36 15 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 36 16 death death NN cord-345998-701aker9 36 17 rate rate NN cord-345998-701aker9 36 18 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 37 1 The the DT cord-345998-701aker9 37 2 daily daily JJ cord-345998-701aker9 37 3 temperature temperature NN cord-345998-701aker9 37 4 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 37 5 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-345998-701aker9 37 6 infected infected JJ cord-345998-701aker9 37 7 cases case NNS cord-345998-701aker9 37 8 were be VBD cord-345998-701aker9 37 9 analyzed analyze VBN cord-345998-701aker9 37 10 for for IN cord-345998-701aker9 37 11 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-345998-701aker9 37 12 association association NN cord-345998-701aker9 37 13 at at IN cord-345998-701aker9 37 14 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 37 15 outbreak outbreak NN cord-345998-701aker9 37 16 period period NN cord-345998-701aker9 37 17 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 38 1 The the DT cord-345998-701aker9 38 2 prediction prediction NN cord-345998-701aker9 38 3 was be VBD cord-345998-701aker9 38 4 performed perform VBN cord-345998-701aker9 38 5 using use VBG cord-345998-701aker9 38 6 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 38 7 dynamic dynamic JJ cord-345998-701aker9 38 8 SIR sir NN cord-345998-701aker9 38 9 ( ( -LRB- cord-345998-701aker9 38 10 Susceptible susceptible JJ cord-345998-701aker9 38 11 Infection infection NN cord-345998-701aker9 38 12 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 38 13 Recover Recover NNP cord-345998-701aker9 38 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-345998-701aker9 38 15 concept concept NN cord-345998-701aker9 38 16 model model NN cord-345998-701aker9 38 17 [ [ -LRB- cord-345998-701aker9 38 18 7 7 CD cord-345998-701aker9 38 19 ] ] -RRB- cord-345998-701aker9 38 20 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 38 21 a a DT cord-345998-701aker9 38 22 well well RB cord-345998-701aker9 38 23 - - HYPH cord-345998-701aker9 38 24 validated validate VBN cord-345998-701aker9 38 25 model model NN cord-345998-701aker9 38 26 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 38 27 particularly particularly RB cord-345998-701aker9 38 28 useful useful JJ cord-345998-701aker9 38 29 for for IN cord-345998-701aker9 38 30 analyzing analyze VBG cord-345998-701aker9 38 31 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 38 32 spread spread NN cord-345998-701aker9 38 33 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 38 34 The the DT cord-345998-701aker9 38 35 causal causal JJ cord-345998-701aker9 38 36 loop loop NN cord-345998-701aker9 38 37 was be VBD cord-345998-701aker9 38 38 converted convert VBN cord-345998-701aker9 38 39 to to IN cord-345998-701aker9 38 40 a a DT cord-345998-701aker9 38 41 computer computer NN cord-345998-701aker9 38 42 diagram diagram NN cord-345998-701aker9 38 43 using use VBG cord-345998-701aker9 38 44 a a DT cord-345998-701aker9 38 45 license license NN cord-345998-701aker9 38 46 STELLA STELLA NNP cord-345998-701aker9 38 47 Software Software NNP cord-345998-701aker9 38 48 to to TO cord-345998-701aker9 38 49 generate generate VB cord-345998-701aker9 38 50 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 38 51 equation equation NN cord-345998-701aker9 38 52 as as IN cord-345998-701aker9 38 53 a a DT cord-345998-701aker9 38 54 baseline baseline JJ cord-345998-701aker9 38 55 study study NN cord-345998-701aker9 38 56 using use VBG cord-345998-701aker9 38 57 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 38 58 current current JJ cord-345998-701aker9 38 59 parameters parameter NNS cord-345998-701aker9 38 60 for for IN cord-345998-701aker9 38 61 Thailand Thailand NNP cord-345998-701aker9 38 62 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 38 63 such such JJ cord-345998-701aker9 38 64 as as IN cord-345998-701aker9 38 65 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 38 66 rates rate NNS cord-345998-701aker9 38 67 contact contact NN cord-345998-701aker9 38 68 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 38 69 infection infection NN cord-345998-701aker9 38 70 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 38 71 recovery recovery NN cord-345998-701aker9 38 72 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 39 1 Up up IN cord-345998-701aker9 39 2 to to IN cord-345998-701aker9 39 3 this this DT cord-345998-701aker9 39 4 stage stage NN cord-345998-701aker9 39 5 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 39 6 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 39 7 model model NN cord-345998-701aker9 39 8 focused focus VBD cord-345998-701aker9 39 9 on on IN cord-345998-701aker9 39 10 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 39 11 number number NN cord-345998-701aker9 39 12 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 39 13 infected infected JJ cord-345998-701aker9 39 14 cases case NNS cord-345998-701aker9 39 15 with with IN cord-345998-701aker9 39 16 intervention intervention NN cord-345998-701aker9 39 17 measures measure NNS cord-345998-701aker9 39 18 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 40 1 In in IN cord-345998-701aker9 40 2 addition addition NN cord-345998-701aker9 40 3 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 40 4 we -PRON- PRP cord-345998-701aker9 40 5 employed employ VBD cord-345998-701aker9 40 6 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 40 7 moving move VBG cord-345998-701aker9 40 8 average average JJ cord-345998-701aker9 40 9 approach approach NN cord-345998-701aker9 40 10 from from IN cord-345998-701aker9 40 11 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 40 12 previous previous JJ cord-345998-701aker9 40 13 detected detected JJ cord-345998-701aker9 40 14 cases case NNS cord-345998-701aker9 40 15 for for IN cord-345998-701aker9 40 16 prediction prediction NN cord-345998-701aker9 40 17 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 40 18 infected infected JJ cord-345998-701aker9 40 19 cases case NNS cord-345998-701aker9 40 20 by by IN cord-345998-701aker9 40 21 three three CD cord-345998-701aker9 40 22 categories category NNS cord-345998-701aker9 40 23 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 40 24 namely namely RB cord-345998-701aker9 40 25 : : : cord-345998-701aker9 40 26 two two CD cord-345998-701aker9 40 27 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 40 28 three three CD cord-345998-701aker9 40 29 - - HYPH cord-345998-701aker9 40 30 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 40 31 five five CD cord-345998-701aker9 40 32 - - HYPH cord-345998-701aker9 40 33 days day NNS cord-345998-701aker9 40 34 moving move VBG cord-345998-701aker9 40 35 average average JJ cord-345998-701aker9 40 36 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 41 1 The the DT cord-345998-701aker9 41 2 pattern pattern NN cord-345998-701aker9 41 3 or or CC cord-345998-701aker9 41 4 trends trend NNS cord-345998-701aker9 41 5 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 41 6 detected detect VBN cord-345998-701aker9 41 7 cases case NNS cord-345998-701aker9 41 8 were be VBD cord-345998-701aker9 41 9 used use VBN cord-345998-701aker9 41 10 for for IN cord-345998-701aker9 41 11 future future JJ cord-345998-701aker9 41 12 prediction prediction NN cord-345998-701aker9 41 13 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 42 1 The the DT cord-345998-701aker9 42 2 RMSE rmse NN cord-345998-701aker9 42 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-345998-701aker9 42 4 Root Root NNP cord-345998-701aker9 42 5 Mean Mean NNP cord-345998-701aker9 42 6 Square Square NNP cord-345998-701aker9 42 7 Error Error NNP cord-345998-701aker9 42 8 ) ) -RRB- cord-345998-701aker9 42 9 was be VBD cord-345998-701aker9 42 10 used use VBN cord-345998-701aker9 42 11 to to TO cord-345998-701aker9 42 12 determine determine VB cord-345998-701aker9 42 13 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 42 14 goodness goodness NN cord-345998-701aker9 42 15 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 42 16 fit fit NN cord-345998-701aker9 42 17 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 42 18 each each DT cord-345998-701aker9 42 19 model model NN cord-345998-701aker9 42 20 mentioned mention VBN cord-345998-701aker9 42 21 above above RB cord-345998-701aker9 42 22 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 43 1 This this DT cord-345998-701aker9 43 2 analysis analysis NN cord-345998-701aker9 43 3 shows show VBZ cord-345998-701aker9 43 4 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 43 5 evolution evolution NN cord-345998-701aker9 43 6 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 43 7 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-345998-701aker9 43 8 cases case NNS cord-345998-701aker9 43 9 in in IN cord-345998-701aker9 43 10 Thailand Thailand NNP cord-345998-701aker9 43 11 from from IN cord-345998-701aker9 43 12 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 43 13 first first JJ cord-345998-701aker9 43 14 case case NN cord-345998-701aker9 43 15 until until IN cord-345998-701aker9 43 16 6 6 CD cord-345998-701aker9 43 17 July July NNP cord-345998-701aker9 43 18 2020 2020 CD cord-345998-701aker9 43 19 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 44 1 The the DT cord-345998-701aker9 44 2 majority majority NN cord-345998-701aker9 44 3 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 44 4 positive positive JJ cord-345998-701aker9 44 5 cases case NNS cord-345998-701aker9 44 6 were be VBD cord-345998-701aker9 44 7 male male JJ cord-345998-701aker9 44 8 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 44 9 at at IN cord-345998-701aker9 44 10 56.7 56.7 CD cord-345998-701aker9 44 11 % % NN cord-345998-701aker9 44 12 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 45 1 The the DT cord-345998-701aker9 45 2 average average JJ cord-345998-701aker9 45 3 age age NN cord-345998-701aker9 45 4 on on IN cord-345998-701aker9 45 5 positive positive JJ cord-345998-701aker9 45 6 individuals individual NNS cord-345998-701aker9 45 7 was be VBD cord-345998-701aker9 45 8 42.5 42.5 CD cord-345998-701aker9 45 9 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 45 10 35.7 35.7 CD cord-345998-701aker9 45 11 for for IN cord-345998-701aker9 45 12 males male NNS cord-345998-701aker9 45 13 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 45 14 females female NNS cord-345998-701aker9 45 15 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 45 16 respectively respectively RB cord-345998-701aker9 45 17 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 46 1 The the DT cord-345998-701aker9 46 2 maximum maximum JJ cord-345998-701aker9 46 3 age age NN cord-345998-701aker9 46 4 for for IN cord-345998-701aker9 46 5 males male NNS cord-345998-701aker9 46 6 was be VBD cord-345998-701aker9 46 7 84 84 CD cord-345998-701aker9 46 8 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 46 9 whereas whereas IN cord-345998-701aker9 46 10 for for IN cord-345998-701aker9 46 11 females female NNS cord-345998-701aker9 46 12 was be VBD cord-345998-701aker9 46 13 80 80 CD cord-345998-701aker9 46 14 years year NNS cord-345998-701aker9 46 15 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 47 1 The the DT cord-345998-701aker9 47 2 minimum minimum JJ cord-345998-701aker9 47 3 age age NN cord-345998-701aker9 47 4 was be VBD cord-345998-701aker9 47 5 found find VBN cord-345998-701aker9 47 6 at at IN cord-345998-701aker9 47 7 only only RB cord-345998-701aker9 47 8 five five CD cord-345998-701aker9 47 9 months month NNS cord-345998-701aker9 47 10 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 47 11 age age NN cord-345998-701aker9 47 12 [ [ -LRB- cord-345998-701aker9 47 13 14 14 CD cord-345998-701aker9 47 14 ] ] -RRB- cord-345998-701aker9 47 15 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 48 1 The the DT cord-345998-701aker9 48 2 timeline timeline NN cord-345998-701aker9 48 3 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 48 4 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-345998-701aker9 48 5 cases case NNS cord-345998-701aker9 48 6 in in IN cord-345998-701aker9 48 7 Thailand Thailand NNP cord-345998-701aker9 48 8 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 48 9 critically critically RB cord-345998-701aker9 48 10 related related JJ cord-345998-701aker9 48 11 events event NNS cord-345998-701aker9 48 12 is be VBZ cord-345998-701aker9 48 13 illustrated illustrate VBN cord-345998-701aker9 48 14 in in IN cord-345998-701aker9 48 15 Figure figure NN cord-345998-701aker9 48 16 2 2 CD cord-345998-701aker9 48 17 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 49 1 The the DT cord-345998-701aker9 49 2 first first JJ cord-345998-701aker9 49 3 phase phase NN cord-345998-701aker9 49 4 was be VBD cord-345998-701aker9 49 5 initiated initiate VBN cord-345998-701aker9 49 6 from from IN cord-345998-701aker9 49 7 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 49 8 first first JJ cord-345998-701aker9 49 9 infected infected JJ cord-345998-701aker9 49 10 case case NN cord-345998-701aker9 49 11 in in IN cord-345998-701aker9 49 12 Thailand Thailand NNP cord-345998-701aker9 49 13 22 22 CD cord-345998-701aker9 49 14 January January NNP cord-345998-701aker9 49 15 until until IN cord-345998-701aker9 49 16 _SP cord-345998-701aker9 49 17 During during IN cord-345998-701aker9 49 18 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 49 19 study study NN cord-345998-701aker9 49 20 period period NN cord-345998-701aker9 49 21 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 49 22 descriptive descriptive JJ cord-345998-701aker9 49 23 statistics statistic NNS cord-345998-701aker9 49 24 were be VBD cord-345998-701aker9 49 25 used use VBN cord-345998-701aker9 49 26 to to TO cord-345998-701aker9 49 27 analyze analyze VB cord-345998-701aker9 49 28 data datum NNS cord-345998-701aker9 49 29 ( ( -LRB- cord-345998-701aker9 49 30 During during IN cord-345998-701aker9 49 31 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 49 32 studied study VBN cord-345998-701aker9 49 33 period period NN cord-345998-701aker9 49 34 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 49 35 almost almost RB cord-345998-701aker9 49 36 regions region NNS cord-345998-701aker9 49 37 were be VBD cord-345998-701aker9 49 38 summer summer NN cord-345998-701aker9 49 39 season season NN cord-345998-701aker9 49 40 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 49 41 however however RB cord-345998-701aker9 49 42 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 49 43 there there EX cord-345998-701aker9 49 44 was be VBD cord-345998-701aker9 49 45 some some DT cord-345998-701aker9 49 46 precipitation precipitation NN cord-345998-701aker9 49 47 in in IN cord-345998-701aker9 49 48 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 49 49 Southern southern JJ cord-345998-701aker9 49 50 region region NN cord-345998-701aker9 49 51 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 49 52 Thailand Thailand NNP cord-345998-701aker9 49 53 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 50 1 Due due IN cord-345998-701aker9 50 2 to to IN cord-345998-701aker9 50 3 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 50 4 variation variation NN cord-345998-701aker9 50 5 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 50 6 precipitation precipitation NN cord-345998-701aker9 50 7 across across IN cord-345998-701aker9 50 8 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 50 9 country country NN cord-345998-701aker9 50 10 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 50 11 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 50 12 related related JJ cord-345998-701aker9 50 13 coefficient coefficient NN cord-345998-701aker9 50 14 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 50 15 variation variation NN cord-345998-701aker9 50 16 was be VBD cord-345998-701aker9 50 17 high high JJ cord-345998-701aker9 50 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-345998-701aker9 50 19 61.8 61.8 CD cord-345998-701aker9 50 20 % % NN cord-345998-701aker9 50 21 ) ) -RRB- cord-345998-701aker9 50 22 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 50 23 so so CC cord-345998-701aker9 50 24 this this DT cord-345998-701aker9 50 25 parameter parameter NN cord-345998-701aker9 50 26 was be VBD cord-345998-701aker9 50 27 not not RB cord-345998-701aker9 50 28 analyzed analyze VBN cord-345998-701aker9 50 29 to to TO cord-345998-701aker9 50 30 find find VB cord-345998-701aker9 50 31 any any DT cord-345998-701aker9 50 32 correlation correlation NN cord-345998-701aker9 50 33 with with IN cord-345998-701aker9 50 34 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-345998-701aker9 50 35 cases case NNS cord-345998-701aker9 50 36 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 51 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-345998-701aker9 51 2 found find VBD cord-345998-701aker9 51 3 a a DT cord-345998-701aker9 51 4 significant significant JJ cord-345998-701aker9 51 5 association association NN cord-345998-701aker9 51 6 ( ( -LRB- cord-345998-701aker9 51 7 p p NN cord-345998-701aker9 51 8 - - HYPH cord-345998-701aker9 51 9 value value NN cord-345998-701aker9 51 10 < < XX cord-345998-701aker9 51 11 0.001 0.001 CD cord-345998-701aker9 51 12 ) ) -RRB- cord-345998-701aker9 51 13 as as IN cord-345998-701aker9 51 14 presented present VBN cord-345998-701aker9 51 15 in in IN cord-345998-701aker9 51 16 Table Table NNP cord-345998-701aker9 51 17 3 3 CD cord-345998-701aker9 51 18 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 52 1 April April NNP cord-345998-701aker9 52 2 2020 2020 CD cord-345998-701aker9 52 3 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 52 4 if if IN cord-345998-701aker9 52 5 intervention intervention NN cord-345998-701aker9 52 6 was be VBD cord-345998-701aker9 52 7 not not RB cord-345998-701aker9 52 8 strictly strictly RB cord-345998-701aker9 52 9 performed perform VBN cord-345998-701aker9 52 10 [ [ -LRB- cord-345998-701aker9 52 11 19 19 CD cord-345998-701aker9 52 12 ] ] -RRB- cord-345998-701aker9 52 13 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 53 1 This this DT cord-345998-701aker9 53 2 was be VBD cord-345998-701aker9 53 3 also also RB cord-345998-701aker9 53 4 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 53 5 reason reason NN cord-345998-701aker9 53 6 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 53 7 authors author NNS cord-345998-701aker9 53 8 investigate investigate VBP cord-345998-701aker9 53 9 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 53 10 prediction prediction NN cord-345998-701aker9 53 11 with with IN cord-345998-701aker9 53 12 or or CC cord-345998-701aker9 53 13 without without IN cord-345998-701aker9 53 14 intervention intervention NN cord-345998-701aker9 53 15 enforcement enforcement NN cord-345998-701aker9 53 16 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 54 1 The the DT cord-345998-701aker9 54 2 causal causal JJ cord-345998-701aker9 54 3 loop loop NN cord-345998-701aker9 54 4 diagram diagram NN cord-345998-701aker9 54 5 shown show VBN cord-345998-701aker9 54 6 in in IN cord-345998-701aker9 54 7 Figure figure NN cord-345998-701aker9 54 8 1 1 CD cord-345998-701aker9 54 9 was be VBD cord-345998-701aker9 54 10 transferred transfer VBN cord-345998-701aker9 54 11 to to IN cord-345998-701aker9 54 12 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 54 13 diagram diagram NN cord-345998-701aker9 54 14 in in IN cord-345998-701aker9 54 15 Figure Figure NNP cord-345998-701aker9 54 16 4 4 CD cord-345998-701aker9 54 17 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 54 18 then then RB cord-345998-701aker9 54 19 converted convert VBD cord-345998-701aker9 54 20 to to IN cord-345998-701aker9 54 21 equations equation NNS cord-345998-701aker9 54 22 ( ( -LRB- cord-345998-701aker9 54 23 1 1 CD cord-345998-701aker9 54 24 to to IN cord-345998-701aker9 54 25 4 4 CD cord-345998-701aker9 54 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-345998-701aker9 54 27 using use VBG cord-345998-701aker9 54 28 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 54 29 SEIR SEIR NNP cord-345998-701aker9 54 30 approach approach NN cord-345998-701aker9 54 31 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 55 1 For for IN cord-345998-701aker9 55 2 example example NN cord-345998-701aker9 55 3 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 55 4 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 55 5 number number NN cord-345998-701aker9 55 6 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 55 7 positive positive JJ cord-345998-701aker9 55 8 cases case NNS cord-345998-701aker9 55 9 depended depend VBN cord-345998-701aker9 55 10 on on IN cord-345998-701aker9 55 11 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 55 12 number number NN cord-345998-701aker9 55 13 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 55 14 individuals individual NNS cord-345998-701aker9 55 15 with with IN cord-345998-701aker9 55 16 COVID-19 covid-19 CD cord-345998-701aker9 55 17 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 55 18 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-345998-701aker9 55 19 contacts contact NNS cord-345998-701aker9 55 20 in in IN cord-345998-701aker9 55 21 each each DT cord-345998-701aker9 55 22 period period NN cord-345998-701aker9 55 23 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 56 1 The the DT cord-345998-701aker9 56 2 SEIR seir NN cord-345998-701aker9 56 3 model model NN cord-345998-701aker9 56 4 has have VBZ cord-345998-701aker9 56 5 been be VBN cord-345998-701aker9 56 6 applied apply VBN cord-345998-701aker9 56 7 in in IN cord-345998-701aker9 56 8 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 56 9 study study NN cord-345998-701aker9 56 10 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 56 11 many many JJ cord-345998-701aker9 56 12 infectious infectious JJ cord-345998-701aker9 56 13 diseases disease NNS cord-345998-701aker9 56 14 [ [ -LRB- cord-345998-701aker9 56 15 20 20 CD cord-345998-701aker9 56 16 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 56 17 21 21 CD cord-345998-701aker9 56 18 ] ] -RRB- cord-345998-701aker9 56 19 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 57 1 The the DT cord-345998-701aker9 57 2 equations equation NNS cord-345998-701aker9 57 3 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 57 4 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 57 5 SEIR SEIR NNP cord-345998-701aker9 57 6 model model NN cord-345998-701aker9 57 7 are be VBP cord-345998-701aker9 57 8 shown show VBN cord-345998-701aker9 57 9 below below RB cord-345998-701aker9 57 10 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 58 1 E E NNP cord-345998-701aker9 58 2 is be VBZ cord-345998-701aker9 58 3 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 58 4 number number NN cord-345998-701aker9 58 5 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 58 6 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 58 7 exposed expose VBN cord-345998-701aker9 58 8 population population NN cord-345998-701aker9 58 9 is be VBZ cord-345998-701aker9 58 10 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 58 11 probability probability NN cord-345998-701aker9 58 12 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 58 13 changing change VBG cord-345998-701aker9 58 14 from from IN cord-345998-701aker9 58 15 E e NN cord-345998-701aker9 58 16 to to IN cord-345998-701aker9 58 17 I i NN cord-345998-701aker9 58 18 … … NFP cord-345998-701aker9 58 19 … … NFP cord-345998-701aker9 58 20 … … NFP cord-345998-701aker9 58 21 … … NFP cord-345998-701aker9 58 22 … … NFP cord-345998-701aker9 58 23 … … NFP cord-345998-701aker9 58 24 … … NFP cord-345998-701aker9 58 25 …… …… XX cord-345998-701aker9 58 26 …… …… XX cord-345998-701aker9 58 27 …… …… XX cord-345998-701aker9 58 28 …… …… XX cord-345998-701aker9 58 29 …… …… XX cord-345998-701aker9 59 1 … … NFP cord-345998-701aker9 59 2 … … NFP cord-345998-701aker9 59 3 …… …… NFP cord-345998-701aker9 59 4 Recovery recovery NN cord-345998-701aker9 59 5 ( ( -LRB- cord-345998-701aker9 59 6 4 4 CD cord-345998-701aker9 59 7 ) ) -RRB- cord-345998-701aker9 59 8 is be VBZ cord-345998-701aker9 59 9 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 59 10 probability probability NN cord-345998-701aker9 59 11 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 59 12 changing change VBG cord-345998-701aker9 59 13 from from IN cord-345998-701aker9 59 14 I -PRON- PRP cord-345998-701aker9 59 15 to to IN cord-345998-701aker9 59 16 R r NN cord-345998-701aker9 60 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-345998-701aker9 60 2 simulated simulate VBD cord-345998-701aker9 60 3 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 60 4 base base NN cord-345998-701aker9 60 5 run run NN cord-345998-701aker9 60 6 using use VBG cord-345998-701aker9 60 7 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 60 8 current current JJ cord-345998-701aker9 60 9 situation situation NN cord-345998-701aker9 60 10 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 60 11 using use VBG cord-345998-701aker9 60 12 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 60 13 implementation implementation NN cord-345998-701aker9 60 14 approach approach NN cord-345998-701aker9 60 15 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 60 16 intervention intervention NN cord-345998-701aker9 60 17 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 60 18 namely namely RB cord-345998-701aker9 60 19 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 60 20 reduced reduce VBN cord-345998-701aker9 60 21 contacting contact VBG cord-345998-701aker9 60 22 rate rate NN cord-345998-701aker9 60 23 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 61 1 At at IN cord-345998-701aker9 61 2 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 61 3 base base NN cord-345998-701aker9 61 4 run run NN cord-345998-701aker9 61 5 study study NN cord-345998-701aker9 61 6 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 61 7 85 85 CD cord-345998-701aker9 61 8 % % NN cord-345998-701aker9 61 9 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 61 10 no no DT cord-345998-701aker9 61 11 close close JJ cord-345998-701aker9 61 12 contact contact NN cord-345998-701aker9 61 13 or or CC cord-345998-701aker9 61 14 reduction reduction NN cord-345998-701aker9 61 15 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 61 16 exposure exposure NN cord-345998-701aker9 61 17 ( ( -LRB- cord-345998-701aker9 61 18 social social JJ cord-345998-701aker9 61 19 distancing distancing NN cord-345998-701aker9 61 20 ) ) -RRB- cord-345998-701aker9 61 21 was be VBD cord-345998-701aker9 61 22 performed perform VBN cord-345998-701aker9 61 23 according accord VBG cord-345998-701aker9 61 24 to to IN cord-345998-701aker9 61 25 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 61 26 enforcement enforcement NN cord-345998-701aker9 61 27 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 61 28 interventions intervention NNS cord-345998-701aker9 61 29 such such JJ cord-345998-701aker9 61 30 as as IN cord-345998-701aker9 61 31 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 61 32 State State NNP cord-345998-701aker9 61 33 Emergency Emergency NNP cord-345998-701aker9 61 34 Act Act NNP cord-345998-701aker9 61 35 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 61 36 curfew curfew NN cord-345998-701aker9 61 37 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 61 38 closing close VBG cord-345998-701aker9 61 39 many many JJ cord-345998-701aker9 61 40 high high JJ cord-345998-701aker9 61 41 transmission transmission NN cord-345998-701aker9 61 42 risk risk NN cord-345998-701aker9 61 43 places place NNS cord-345998-701aker9 61 44 ( ( -LRB- cord-345998-701aker9 61 45 indoor indoor JJ cord-345998-701aker9 61 46 stadiums stadium NNS cord-345998-701aker9 61 47 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 61 48 department department NN cord-345998-701aker9 61 49 stores store NNS cord-345998-701aker9 61 50 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 61 51 restaurants restaurant NNS cord-345998-701aker9 61 52 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 61 53 others other NNS cord-345998-701aker9 61 54 ) ) -RRB- cord-345998-701aker9 61 55 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 62 1 The the DT cord-345998-701aker9 62 2 result result NN cord-345998-701aker9 62 3 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 62 4 predicted predict VBN cord-345998-701aker9 62 5 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-345998-701aker9 62 6 positive positive JJ cord-345998-701aker9 62 7 cases case NNS cord-345998-701aker9 62 8 compared compare VBN cord-345998-701aker9 62 9 with with IN cord-345998-701aker9 62 10 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 62 11 actual actual JJ cord-345998-701aker9 62 12 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-345998-701aker9 62 13 cases case NNS cord-345998-701aker9 62 14 is be VBZ cord-345998-701aker9 62 15 presented present VBN cord-345998-701aker9 62 16 in in IN cord-345998-701aker9 62 17 In in IN cord-345998-701aker9 62 18 addition addition NN cord-345998-701aker9 62 19 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 62 20 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 62 21 authors author NNS cord-345998-701aker9 62 22 used use VBD cord-345998-701aker9 62 23 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 62 24 moving move VBG cord-345998-701aker9 62 25 average average JJ cord-345998-701aker9 62 26 model model NN cord-345998-701aker9 62 27 for for IN cord-345998-701aker9 62 28 prediction prediction NN cord-345998-701aker9 62 29 ; ; : cord-345998-701aker9 62 30 namely namely RB cord-345998-701aker9 62 31 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 62 32 two two CD cord-345998-701aker9 62 33 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 62 34 three three CD cord-345998-701aker9 62 35 - - HYPH cord-345998-701aker9 62 36 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 62 37 five five CD cord-345998-701aker9 62 38 - - HYPH cord-345998-701aker9 62 39 days day NNS cord-345998-701aker9 62 40 moving move VBG cord-345998-701aker9 62 41 averages average NNS cord-345998-701aker9 62 42 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 63 1 Johns Johns NNP cord-345998-701aker9 63 2 Hopkins Hopkins NNP cord-345998-701aker9 63 3 University University NNP cord-345998-701aker9 63 4 used use VBD cord-345998-701aker9 63 5 five five CD cord-345998-701aker9 63 6 days day NNS cord-345998-701aker9 63 7 moving move VBG cord-345998-701aker9 63 8 average average NN cord-345998-701aker9 63 9 for for IN cord-345998-701aker9 63 10 prediction prediction NN cord-345998-701aker9 63 11 [ [ -LRB- cord-345998-701aker9 63 12 22 22 CD cord-345998-701aker9 63 13 ] ] -RRB- cord-345998-701aker9 63 14 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 64 1 In in IN cord-345998-701aker9 64 2 addition addition NN cord-345998-701aker9 64 3 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 64 4 other other JJ cord-345998-701aker9 64 5 researchers researcher NNS cord-345998-701aker9 64 6 also also RB cord-345998-701aker9 64 7 employed employ VBD cord-345998-701aker9 64 8 this this DT cord-345998-701aker9 64 9 technique technique NN cord-345998-701aker9 64 10 to to TO cord-345998-701aker9 64 11 forecast forecast VB cord-345998-701aker9 64 12 COVID-19 covid-19 CD cord-345998-701aker9 64 13 cases case NNS cord-345998-701aker9 64 14 [ [ -LRB- cord-345998-701aker9 64 15 23 23 CD cord-345998-701aker9 64 16 ] ] -RRB- cord-345998-701aker9 64 17 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 65 1 The the DT cord-345998-701aker9 65 2 results result NNS cord-345998-701aker9 65 3 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 65 4 two two CD cord-345998-701aker9 65 5 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 65 6 three three CD cord-345998-701aker9 65 7 - - HYPH cord-345998-701aker9 65 8 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 65 9 five five CD cord-345998-701aker9 65 10 - - HYPH cord-345998-701aker9 65 11 days day NNS cord-345998-701aker9 65 12 moving move VBG cord-345998-701aker9 65 13 averages average NNS cord-345998-701aker9 65 14 are be VBP cord-345998-701aker9 65 15 presented present VBN cord-345998-701aker9 65 16 in in IN cord-345998-701aker9 65 17 reported report VBN cord-345998-701aker9 65 18 by by IN cord-345998-701aker9 65 19 other other JJ cord-345998-701aker9 65 20 researchers researcher NNS cord-345998-701aker9 65 21 [ [ -LRB- cord-345998-701aker9 65 22 5 5 CD cord-345998-701aker9 65 23 ] ] -RRB- cord-345998-701aker9 65 24 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 66 1 Community community NN cord-345998-701aker9 66 2 health health NN cord-345998-701aker9 66 3 volunteers volunteer NNS cord-345998-701aker9 66 4 play play VBP cord-345998-701aker9 66 5 a a DT cord-345998-701aker9 66 6 strong strong JJ cord-345998-701aker9 66 7 role role NN cord-345998-701aker9 66 8 in in IN cord-345998-701aker9 66 9 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 66 10 Thai thai JJ cord-345998-701aker9 66 11 health health NN cord-345998-701aker9 66 12 system system NN cord-345998-701aker9 66 13 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 66 14 they -PRON- PRP cord-345998-701aker9 66 15 can can MD cord-345998-701aker9 66 16 cover cover VB cord-345998-701aker9 66 17 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 66 18 whole whole JJ cord-345998-701aker9 66 19 country country NN cord-345998-701aker9 66 20 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 67 1 The the DT cord-345998-701aker9 67 2 partnership partnership NN cord-345998-701aker9 67 3 among among IN cord-345998-701aker9 67 4 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 67 5 involved involved JJ cord-345998-701aker9 67 6 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 67 7 responsible responsible JJ cord-345998-701aker9 67 8 organizations organization NNS cord-345998-701aker9 67 9 in in IN cord-345998-701aker9 67 10 each each DT cord-345998-701aker9 67 11 area area NN cord-345998-701aker9 67 12 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 67 13 individual individual JJ cord-345998-701aker9 67 14 cooperation cooperation NN cord-345998-701aker9 67 15 were be VBD cord-345998-701aker9 67 16 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 67 17 key key JJ cord-345998-701aker9 67 18 role role NN cord-345998-701aker9 67 19 for for IN cord-345998-701aker9 67 20 disease disease NN cord-345998-701aker9 67 21 spreading spread VBG cord-345998-701aker9 67 22 control control NN cord-345998-701aker9 67 23 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 68 1 From from IN cord-345998-701aker9 68 2 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 68 3 records record NNS cord-345998-701aker9 68 4 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 68 5 COVID-19 covid-19 VBP cord-345998-701aker9 68 6 in in IN cord-345998-701aker9 68 7 Thailand Thailand NNP cord-345998-701aker9 68 8 was be VBD cord-345998-701aker9 68 9 mainly mainly RB cord-345998-701aker9 68 10 found find VBN cord-345998-701aker9 68 11 in in IN cord-345998-701aker9 68 12 Bangkok Bangkok NNP cord-345998-701aker9 68 13 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 68 14 which which WDT cord-345998-701aker9 68 15 was be VBD cord-345998-701aker9 68 16 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 68 17 original original JJ cord-345998-701aker9 68 18 source source NN cord-345998-701aker9 68 19 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 68 20 spreading spread VBG cord-345998-701aker9 68 21 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 69 1 Bangkok Bangkok NNP cord-345998-701aker9 69 2 is be VBZ cord-345998-701aker9 69 3 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 69 4 center center NN cord-345998-701aker9 69 5 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 69 6 various various JJ cord-345998-701aker9 69 7 aspects aspect NNS cord-345998-701aker9 69 8 in in IN cord-345998-701aker9 69 9 this this DT cord-345998-701aker9 69 10 country country NN cord-345998-701aker9 69 11 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 69 12 serves serve VBZ cord-345998-701aker9 69 13 as as IN cord-345998-701aker9 69 14 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 69 15 gateway gateway NN cord-345998-701aker9 69 16 for for IN cord-345998-701aker9 69 17 foreigner foreigner NN cord-345998-701aker9 69 18 visitors visitor NNS cord-345998-701aker9 69 19 to to IN cord-345998-701aker9 69 20 Thailand Thailand NNP cord-345998-701aker9 69 21 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 70 1 Moreover moreover RB cord-345998-701aker9 70 2 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 70 3 foreigners foreigner NNS cord-345998-701aker9 70 4 typically typically RB cord-345998-701aker9 70 5 visit visit VBP cord-345998-701aker9 70 6 Bangkok Bangkok NNP cord-345998-701aker9 70 7 because because IN cord-345998-701aker9 70 8 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 70 9 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 70 10 available available JJ cord-345998-701aker9 70 11 tourist tourist NN cord-345998-701aker9 70 12 attractions attraction NNS cord-345998-701aker9 70 13 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 71 1 In in IN cord-345998-701aker9 71 2 addition addition NN cord-345998-701aker9 71 3 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 71 4 many many JJ cord-345998-701aker9 71 5 international international JJ cord-345998-701aker9 71 6 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 71 7 local local JJ cord-345998-701aker9 71 8 flights flight NNS cord-345998-701aker9 71 9 are be VBP cord-345998-701aker9 71 10 offered offer VBN cord-345998-701aker9 71 11 to to IN cord-345998-701aker9 71 12 many many JJ cord-345998-701aker9 71 13 places place NNS cord-345998-701aker9 71 14 that that WDT cord-345998-701aker9 71 15 are be VBP cord-345998-701aker9 71 16 convenient convenient JJ cord-345998-701aker9 71 17 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 71 18 comfortable comfortable JJ cord-345998-701aker9 71 19 [ [ -LRB- cord-345998-701aker9 71 20 17 17 CD cord-345998-701aker9 71 21 ] ] -RRB- cord-345998-701aker9 71 22 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 72 1 In in IN cord-345998-701aker9 72 2 addition addition NN cord-345998-701aker9 72 3 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 72 4 health health NN cord-345998-701aker9 72 5 volunteering volunteering NN cord-345998-701aker9 72 6 in in IN cord-345998-701aker9 72 7 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 72 8 capital capital NN cord-345998-701aker9 72 9 city city NN cord-345998-701aker9 72 10 can can MD cord-345998-701aker9 72 11 not not RB cord-345998-701aker9 72 12 be be VB cord-345998-701aker9 72 13 easily easily RB cord-345998-701aker9 72 14 performed perform VBN cord-345998-701aker9 72 15 due due IN cord-345998-701aker9 72 16 to to IN cord-345998-701aker9 72 17 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 72 18 complexity complexity NN cord-345998-701aker9 72 19 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 72 20 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 72 21 health health NN cord-345998-701aker9 72 22 system system NN cord-345998-701aker9 72 23 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 72 24 whereas whereas IN cord-345998-701aker9 72 25 health health NN cord-345998-701aker9 72 26 volunteering volunteering NN cord-345998-701aker9 72 27 in in IN cord-345998-701aker9 72 28 rural rural JJ cord-345998-701aker9 72 29 or or CC cord-345998-701aker9 72 30 other other JJ cord-345998-701aker9 72 31 provinces province NNS cord-345998-701aker9 72 32 was be VBD cord-345998-701aker9 72 33 simplified simplify VBN cord-345998-701aker9 72 34 regarding regard VBG cord-345998-701aker9 72 35 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 72 36 duties duty NNS cord-345998-701aker9 72 37 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 72 38 volunteers volunteer NNS cord-345998-701aker9 72 39 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 73 1 A a DT cord-345998-701aker9 73 2 strong strong JJ cord-345998-701aker9 73 3 correlation correlation NN cord-345998-701aker9 73 4 between between IN cord-345998-701aker9 73 5 temperature temperature NN cord-345998-701aker9 73 6 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 73 7 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 73 8 number number NN cord-345998-701aker9 73 9 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 73 10 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-345998-701aker9 73 11 confirmed confirm VBN cord-345998-701aker9 73 12 cases case NNS cord-345998-701aker9 73 13 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 73 14 we -PRON- PRP cord-345998-701aker9 73 15 found find VBD cord-345998-701aker9 73 16 a a DT cord-345998-701aker9 73 17 similar similar JJ cord-345998-701aker9 73 18 result result NN cord-345998-701aker9 73 19 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 73 20 average average JJ cord-345998-701aker9 73 21 temperature temperature NN cord-345998-701aker9 73 22 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 73 23 confirmed confirm VBD cord-345998-701aker9 73 24 cases case NNS cord-345998-701aker9 73 25 in in IN cord-345998-701aker9 73 26 Jakarta Jakarta NNP cord-345998-701aker9 73 27 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 73 28 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 73 29 capital capital NN cord-345998-701aker9 73 30 city city NN cord-345998-701aker9 73 31 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 73 32 Indonesia Indonesia NNP cord-345998-701aker9 73 33 located locate VBN cord-345998-701aker9 73 34 in in IN cord-345998-701aker9 73 35 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 73 36 same same JJ cord-345998-701aker9 73 37 tropical tropical JJ cord-345998-701aker9 73 38 climate climate NN cord-345998-701aker9 73 39 zone zone NN cord-345998-701aker9 73 40 [ [ -LRB- cord-345998-701aker9 73 41 24 24 CD cord-345998-701aker9 73 42 ] ] -RRB- cord-345998-701aker9 73 43 [ [ -LRB- cord-345998-701aker9 73 44 25 25 CD cord-345998-701aker9 73 45 ] ] -RRB- cord-345998-701aker9 73 46 [ [ -LRB- cord-345998-701aker9 73 47 26 26 CD cord-345998-701aker9 73 48 ] ] -RRB- cord-345998-701aker9 73 49 [ [ -LRB- cord-345998-701aker9 73 50 27 27 CD cord-345998-701aker9 73 51 ] ] -RRB- cord-345998-701aker9 73 52 period period NN cord-345998-701aker9 73 53 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 73 54 days day NNS cord-345998-701aker9 73 55 ) ) -RRB- cord-345998-701aker9 73 56 also also RB cord-345998-701aker9 73 57 provided provide VBD cord-345998-701aker9 73 58 better well JJR cord-345998-701aker9 73 59 results result NNS cord-345998-701aker9 73 60 than than IN cord-345998-701aker9 73 61 a a DT cord-345998-701aker9 73 62 longer long RBR cord-345998-701aker9 73 63 moving move VBG cord-345998-701aker9 73 64 average average NN cord-345998-701aker9 73 65 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 74 1 However however RB cord-345998-701aker9 74 2 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 74 3 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 74 4 moving move VBG cord-345998-701aker9 74 5 average average JJ cord-345998-701aker9 74 6 approach approach NN cord-345998-701aker9 74 7 is be VBZ cord-345998-701aker9 74 8 only only RB cord-345998-701aker9 74 9 suitable suitable JJ cord-345998-701aker9 74 10 for for IN cord-345998-701aker9 74 11 short short JJ cord-345998-701aker9 74 12 term term NN cord-345998-701aker9 74 13 prediction prediction NN cord-345998-701aker9 74 14 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 74 15 whereas whereas IN cord-345998-701aker9 74 16 SEIR SEIR NNP cord-345998-701aker9 74 17 modelling modelling NN cord-345998-701aker9 74 18 can can MD cord-345998-701aker9 74 19 be be VB cord-345998-701aker9 74 20 used use VBN cord-345998-701aker9 74 21 for for IN cord-345998-701aker9 74 22 longer long JJR cord-345998-701aker9 74 23 prediction prediction NN cord-345998-701aker9 74 24 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 75 1 Controlling control VBG cord-345998-701aker9 75 2 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 75 3 disease disease NN cord-345998-701aker9 75 4 spread spread NN cord-345998-701aker9 75 5 was be VBD cord-345998-701aker9 75 6 strictly strictly RB cord-345998-701aker9 75 7 enforced enforce VBN cord-345998-701aker9 75 8 through through IN cord-345998-701aker9 75 9 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 75 10 collaboration collaboration NN cord-345998-701aker9 75 11 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 75 12 central central JJ cord-345998-701aker9 75 13 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 75 14 local local JJ cord-345998-701aker9 75 15 governments government NNS cord-345998-701aker9 75 16 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 75 17 partnerships partnership NNS cord-345998-701aker9 75 18 among among IN cord-345998-701aker9 75 19 stakeholders stakeholder NNS cord-345998-701aker9 75 20 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 75 21 people people NNS cord-345998-701aker9 75 22 in in IN cord-345998-701aker9 75 23 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-345998-701aker9 75 24 community community NN cord-345998-701aker9 75 25 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 76 1 This this DT cord-345998-701aker9 76 2 highlighted highlight VBD cord-345998-701aker9 76 3 that that IN cord-345998-701aker9 76 4 social social JJ cord-345998-701aker9 76 5 distancing distancing NN cord-345998-701aker9 76 6 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 76 7 personal personal JJ cord-345998-701aker9 76 8 hygiene hygiene NN cord-345998-701aker9 76 9 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 76 10 should should MD cord-345998-701aker9 76 11 be be VB cord-345998-701aker9 76 12 performed perform VBN cord-345998-701aker9 76 13 rigorously rigorously RB cord-345998-701aker9 76 14 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 76 15 consistently consistently RB cord-345998-701aker9 76 16 across across IN cord-345998-701aker9 76 17 sectors sector NNS cord-345998-701aker9 76 18 [ [ -LRB- cord-345998-701aker9 76 19 4 4 CD cord-345998-701aker9 76 20 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 76 21 30 30 CD cord-345998-701aker9 76 22 ] ] -RRB- cord-345998-701aker9 76 23 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 77 1 Isolating isolate VBG cord-345998-701aker9 77 2 confirmed confirm VBN cord-345998-701aker9 77 3 cases case NNS cord-345998-701aker9 77 4 also also RB cord-345998-701aker9 77 5 played play VBD cord-345998-701aker9 77 6 a a DT cord-345998-701aker9 77 7 key key JJ cord-345998-701aker9 77 8 role role NN cord-345998-701aker9 77 9 in in IN cord-345998-701aker9 77 10 reducing reduce VBG cord-345998-701aker9 77 11 daily daily JJ cord-345998-701aker9 77 12 spread spread NN cord-345998-701aker9 77 13 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 77 14 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 77 15 disease disease NN cord-345998-701aker9 77 16 [ [ -LRB- cord-345998-701aker9 77 17 5 5 CD cord-345998-701aker9 77 18 ] ] -RRB- cord-345998-701aker9 77 19 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 78 1 Moreover moreover RB cord-345998-701aker9 78 2 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 78 3 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 78 4 Thai thai JJ cord-345998-701aker9 78 5 government government NN cord-345998-701aker9 78 6 employed employ VBD cord-345998-701aker9 78 7 health health NN cord-345998-701aker9 78 8 volunteer volunteer NN cord-345998-701aker9 78 9 at at IN cord-345998-701aker9 78 10 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 78 11 community community NN cord-345998-701aker9 78 12 level level NN cord-345998-701aker9 78 13 to to TO cord-345998-701aker9 78 14 act act VB cord-345998-701aker9 78 15 by by IN cord-345998-701aker9 78 16 isolating isolate VBG cord-345998-701aker9 78 17 at at IN cord-345998-701aker9 78 18 risk risk NN cord-345998-701aker9 78 19 members member NNS cord-345998-701aker9 78 20 in in IN cord-345998-701aker9 78 21 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 78 22 6 6 CD cord-345998-701aker9 78 23 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 79 1 Acknowledgment acknowledgment NN cord-345998-701aker9 80 1 COVID-19 covid-19 VB cord-345998-701aker9 80 2 : : : cord-345998-701aker9 80 3 Mathematical Mathematical NNP cord-345998-701aker9 80 4 Modeling Modeling NNP cord-345998-701aker9 80 5 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 80 6 Predictions Predictions NNPS cord-345998-701aker9 80 7 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 81 1 @IIT @IIT NNP cord-345998-701aker9 81 2 Oliver Oliver NNP cord-345998-701aker9 81 3 Watson Watson NNP cord-345998-701aker9 82 1 The the DT cord-345998-701aker9 82 2 Global Global NNP cord-345998-701aker9 82 3 Impact Impact NNP cord-345998-701aker9 82 4 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 82 5 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-345998-701aker9 82 6 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 82 7 Strategies Strategies NNPS cord-345998-701aker9 82 8 for for IN cord-345998-701aker9 82 9 Mitigation Mitigation NNP cord-345998-701aker9 82 10 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 82 11 Suppression Suppression NNP cord-345998-701aker9 82 12 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 82 13 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 82 14 Editor editor NN cord-345998-701aker9 82 15 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 83 1 2020 2020 CD cord-345998-701aker9 83 2 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 83 3 WHO who WP cord-345998-701aker9 83 4 Collaborating collaborate VBG cord-345998-701aker9 83 5 Centre Centre NNP cord-345998-701aker9 83 6 for for IN cord-345998-701aker9 83 7 Infectious Infectious NNP cord-345998-701aker9 83 8 Disease Disease NNP cord-345998-701aker9 83 9 Modelling Modelling NNP cord-345998-701aker9 83 10 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 83 11 MRC MRC NNP cord-345998-701aker9 83 12 Centre Centre NNP cord-345998-701aker9 83 13 for for IN cord-345998-701aker9 83 14 Global Global NNP cord-345998-701aker9 83 15 Infectious Infectious NNP cord-345998-701aker9 83 16 Disease Disease NNP cord-345998-701aker9 83 17 Analysis Analysis NNP cord-345998-701aker9 83 18 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-345998-701aker9 83 19 disease disease NN cord-345998-701aker9 83 20 ( ( -LRB- cord-345998-701aker9 83 21 COVID-19 covid-19 VB cord-345998-701aker9 83 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-345998-701aker9 83 23 Pandemic Pandemic NNP cord-345998-701aker9 84 1 The the DT cord-345998-701aker9 84 2 effect effect NN cord-345998-701aker9 84 3 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 84 4 control control NN cord-345998-701aker9 84 5 strategies strategy NNS cord-345998-701aker9 84 6 to to TO cord-345998-701aker9 84 7 reduce reduce VB cord-345998-701aker9 84 8 social social JJ cord-345998-701aker9 84 9 mixing mixing NN cord-345998-701aker9 84 10 on on IN cord-345998-701aker9 84 11 outcomes outcome NNS cord-345998-701aker9 84 12 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 84 13 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 84 14 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-345998-701aker9 84 15 epidemic epidemic NN cord-345998-701aker9 84 16 in in IN cord-345998-701aker9 84 17 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-345998-701aker9 84 18 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 84 19 China China NNP cord-345998-701aker9 84 20 : : : cord-345998-701aker9 84 21 a a DT cord-345998-701aker9 84 22 modelling modelling NN cord-345998-701aker9 84 23 study study NN cord-345998-701aker9 84 24 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 85 1 The the DT cord-345998-701aker9 85 2 Lancet Lancet NNP cord-345998-701aker9 85 3 Public Public NNP cord-345998-701aker9 85 4 Health Health NNP cord-345998-701aker9 85 5 Feasibility Feasibility NNP cord-345998-701aker9 85 6 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 85 7 controlling control VBG cord-345998-701aker9 85 8 COVID-19 covid-19 CD cord-345998-701aker9 85 9 outbreaks outbreak NNS cord-345998-701aker9 85 10 by by IN cord-345998-701aker9 85 11 isolation isolation NN cord-345998-701aker9 85 12 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 85 13 cases case NNS cord-345998-701aker9 85 14 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 85 15 contacts contact NNS cord-345998-701aker9 85 16 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 86 1 The the DT cord-345998-701aker9 86 2 Lancet Lancet NNP cord-345998-701aker9 86 3 Global Global NNP cord-345998-701aker9 86 4 Health Health NNP cord-345998-701aker9 86 5 Covid-19 Covid-19 NNP cord-345998-701aker9 86 6 Infected Infected NNP cord-345998-701aker9 86 7 Situation Situation NNP cord-345998-701aker9 86 8 Reports report VBZ cord-345998-701aker9 86 9 A a DT cord-345998-701aker9 86 10 conceptual conceptual JJ cord-345998-701aker9 86 11 model model NN cord-345998-701aker9 86 12 for for IN cord-345998-701aker9 86 13 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 86 14 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-345998-701aker9 86 15 disease disease NN cord-345998-701aker9 86 16 2019 2019 CD cord-345998-701aker9 86 17 ( ( -LRB- cord-345998-701aker9 86 18 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-345998-701aker9 86 19 ) ) -RRB- cord-345998-701aker9 86 20 outbreak outbreak NN cord-345998-701aker9 86 21 in in IN cord-345998-701aker9 86 22 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-345998-701aker9 86 23 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 86 24 China China NNP cord-345998-701aker9 86 25 with with IN cord-345998-701aker9 86 26 individual individual JJ cord-345998-701aker9 86 27 reaction reaction NN cord-345998-701aker9 86 28 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 86 29 governmental governmental JJ cord-345998-701aker9 86 30 action action NN cord-345998-701aker9 86 31 Improved improve VBD cord-345998-701aker9 86 32 Epidemic Epidemic NNP cord-345998-701aker9 86 33 Dynamics Dynamics NNPS cord-345998-701aker9 86 34 Model Model NNP cord-345998-701aker9 86 35 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 86 36 Its -PRON- PRP$ cord-345998-701aker9 86 37 Prediction Prediction NNP cord-345998-701aker9 86 38 for for IN cord-345998-701aker9 86 39 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-345998-701aker9 86 40 Modified modify VBN cord-345998-701aker9 86 41 SEIR SEIR NNP cord-345998-701aker9 86 42 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 86 43 AI AI NNP cord-345998-701aker9 86 44 prediction prediction NN cord-345998-701aker9 86 45 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 86 46 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 86 47 epidemics epidemic NNS cord-345998-701aker9 86 48 trend trend NN cord-345998-701aker9 86 49 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 86 50 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-345998-701aker9 86 51 in in IN cord-345998-701aker9 86 52 China China NNP cord-345998-701aker9 86 53 under under IN cord-345998-701aker9 86 54 public public JJ cord-345998-701aker9 86 55 health health NN cord-345998-701aker9 86 56 interventions intervention NNS cord-345998-701aker9 87 1 A a DT cord-345998-701aker9 87 2 Simulation Simulation NNP cord-345998-701aker9 87 3 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 87 4 a a DT cord-345998-701aker9 87 5 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-345998-701aker9 87 6 Epidemic Epidemic NNP cord-345998-701aker9 87 7 Based base VBN cord-345998-701aker9 87 8 on on IN cord-345998-701aker9 87 9 a a DT cord-345998-701aker9 87 10 Deterministic deterministic JJ cord-345998-701aker9 87 11 SEIR SEIR NNP cord-345998-701aker9 87 12 Model Model NNP cord-345998-701aker9 87 13 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 88 1 Frontiers frontier NNS cord-345998-701aker9 88 2 in in IN cord-345998-701aker9 88 3 Public Public NNP cord-345998-701aker9 88 4 Health Health NNP cord-345998-701aker9 88 5 Early Early NNP cord-345998-701aker9 88 6 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-345998-701aker9 88 7 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 88 8 transmission transmission NN cord-345998-701aker9 88 9 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 88 10 control control NN cord-345998-701aker9 88 11 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 88 12 2019-ncov 2019-ncov CD cord-345998-701aker9 88 13 : : : cord-345998-701aker9 88 14 a a DT cord-345998-701aker9 88 15 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-345998-701aker9 88 16 modelling modelling NN cord-345998-701aker9 88 17 study study NN cord-345998-701aker9 88 18 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 89 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-345998-701aker9 89 2 Novel novel JJ cord-345998-701aker9 89 3 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-345998-701aker9 89 4 2019-ncov 2019-ncov CD cord-345998-701aker9 89 5 : : : cord-345998-701aker9 89 6 early early JJ cord-345998-701aker9 89 7 estimation estimation NN cord-345998-701aker9 89 8 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 89 9 epidemiological epidemiological JJ cord-345998-701aker9 89 10 parameters parameter NNS cord-345998-701aker9 89 11 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 89 12 epidemic epidemic NN cord-345998-701aker9 89 13 predictions prediction NNS cord-345998-701aker9 89 14 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 89 15 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 90 1 P.medRxiv P.medRxiv NNS cord-345998-701aker9 90 2 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 90 3 2020 2020 CD cord-345998-701aker9 90 4 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 91 1 14 14 CD cord-345998-701aker9 91 2 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 92 1 Department Department NNP cord-345998-701aker9 92 2 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 92 3 Disease Disease NNP cord-345998-701aker9 92 4 Control Control NNP cord-345998-701aker9 92 5 Global Global NNP cord-345998-701aker9 92 6 Cases Cases NNPS cord-345998-701aker9 92 7 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 92 8 Center Center NNP cord-345998-701aker9 92 9 for for IN cord-345998-701aker9 92 10 Systems Systems NNP cord-345998-701aker9 92 11 Science Science NNP cord-345998-701aker9 92 12 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 92 13 Engineering Engineering NNP cord-345998-701aker9 92 14 ( ( -LRB- cord-345998-701aker9 92 15 CSSE CSSE NNP cord-345998-701aker9 92 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-345998-701aker9 92 17 Trends Trends NNPS cord-345998-701aker9 92 18 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 92 19 COVID-19 covid-19 CD cord-345998-701aker9 92 20 in in IN cord-345998-701aker9 92 21 Thailand Thailand NNP cord-345998-701aker9 93 1 The the DT cord-345998-701aker9 93 2 prediction prediction NN cord-345998-701aker9 93 3 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 93 4 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-345998-701aker9 93 5 cases case NNS cord-345998-701aker9 93 6 by by IN cord-345998-701aker9 93 7 Siriraj Siriraj NNP cord-345998-701aker9 93 8 hospital hospital NN cord-345998-701aker9 93 9 ( ( -LRB- cord-345998-701aker9 93 10 in in IN cord-345998-701aker9 93 11 Thai Thai NNP cord-345998-701aker9 93 12 ) ) -RRB- cord-345998-701aker9 93 13 in in IN cord-345998-701aker9 93 14 Prachachat Prachachat NNP cord-345998-701aker9 93 15 Stability Stability NNP cord-345998-701aker9 93 16 analysis analysis NN cord-345998-701aker9 93 17 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 93 18 numerical numerical JJ cord-345998-701aker9 93 19 simulation simulation NN cord-345998-701aker9 93 20 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 93 21 SEIR SEIR NNP cord-345998-701aker9 93 22 model model NN cord-345998-701aker9 93 23 for for IN cord-345998-701aker9 93 24 pandemic pandemic NN cord-345998-701aker9 93 25 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-345998-701aker9 93 26 spread spread NN cord-345998-701aker9 93 27 in in IN cord-345998-701aker9 93 28 Indonesia Indonesia NNP cord-345998-701aker9 93 29 Modelling Modelling NNP cord-345998-701aker9 93 30 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 93 31 downhill downhill NN cord-345998-701aker9 93 32 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 93 33 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 93 34 Sars Sars NNP cord-345998-701aker9 93 35 - - HYPH cord-345998-701aker9 93 36 Cov-2 Cov-2 NNP cord-345998-701aker9 93 37 in in IN cord-345998-701aker9 93 38 Italy Italy NNP cord-345998-701aker9 93 39 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 93 40 a a DT cord-345998-701aker9 93 41 universal universal JJ cord-345998-701aker9 93 42 forecast forecast NN cord-345998-701aker9 93 43 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 93 44 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 93 45 epidemic epidemic NN cord-345998-701aker9 93 46 in in IN cord-345998-701aker9 93 47 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 93 48 world world NN cord-345998-701aker9 93 49 Moving move VBG cord-345998-701aker9 93 50 - - HYPH cord-345998-701aker9 93 51 average average JJ cord-345998-701aker9 93 52 based base VBN cord-345998-701aker9 93 53 index index NN cord-345998-701aker9 93 54 to to TO cord-345998-701aker9 93 55 timely timely RB cord-345998-701aker9 93 56 evaluate evaluate VB cord-345998-701aker9 93 57 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 93 58 current current JJ cord-345998-701aker9 93 59 epidemic epidemic NN cord-345998-701aker9 93 60 situation situation NN cord-345998-701aker9 93 61 after after IN cord-345998-701aker9 93 62 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-345998-701aker9 93 63 outbreak outbreak NN cord-345998-701aker9 93 64 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 94 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-345998-701aker9 94 2 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 94 3 bioRxiv bioRxiv NNP cord-345998-701aker9 94 4 High high JJ cord-345998-701aker9 94 5 temperature temperature NN cord-345998-701aker9 94 6 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 94 7 high high JJ cord-345998-701aker9 94 8 humidity humidity NN cord-345998-701aker9 94 9 reduce reduce VBP cord-345998-701aker9 94 10 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 94 11 transmission transmission NN cord-345998-701aker9 94 12 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 94 13 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-345998-701aker9 94 14 SSRN SSRN NNP cord-345998-701aker9 94 15 Electronic Electronic NNP cord-345998-701aker9 94 16 Journal Journal NNP cord-345998-701aker9 94 17 Critical Critical NNP cord-345998-701aker9 94 18 care care NN cord-345998-701aker9 94 19 crisis crisis NN cord-345998-701aker9 94 20 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 94 21 some some DT cord-345998-701aker9 94 22 recommendations recommendation NNS cord-345998-701aker9 94 23 during during IN cord-345998-701aker9 94 24 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 94 25 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-345998-701aker9 94 26 epidemic epidemic NN cord-345998-701aker9 94 27 in in IN cord-345998-701aker9 94 28 China China NNP cord-345998-701aker9 94 29 Correlation Correlation NNP cord-345998-701aker9 94 30 between between IN cord-345998-701aker9 94 31 weather weather NN cord-345998-701aker9 94 32 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 94 33 Covid-19 covid-19 JJ cord-345998-701aker9 94 34 pandemic pandemic NN cord-345998-701aker9 94 35 in in IN cord-345998-701aker9 94 36 Jakarta Jakarta NNP cord-345998-701aker9 94 37 Association Association NNP cord-345998-701aker9 94 38 between between IN cord-345998-701aker9 94 39 ambient ambient JJ cord-345998-701aker9 94 40 temperature temperature NN cord-345998-701aker9 94 41 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 94 42 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-345998-701aker9 94 43 infection infection NN cord-345998-701aker9 94 44 in in IN cord-345998-701aker9 94 45 122 122 CD cord-345998-701aker9 94 46 The the DT cord-345998-701aker9 94 47 authors author NNS cord-345998-701aker9 94 48 would would MD cord-345998-701aker9 94 49 like like VB cord-345998-701aker9 94 50 to to TO cord-345998-701aker9 94 51 thank thank VB cord-345998-701aker9 94 52 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 94 53 Ministry Ministry NNP cord-345998-701aker9 94 54 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 94 55 Public Public NNP cord-345998-701aker9 94 56 Health Health NNP cord-345998-701aker9 94 57 for for IN cord-345998-701aker9 94 58 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-345998-701aker9 94 59 published publish VBN cord-345998-701aker9 94 60 data datum NNS cord-345998-701aker9 94 61 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 94 62 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-345998-701aker9 94 63 cases case NNS cord-345998-701aker9 94 64 and and CC cord-345998-701aker9 94 65 the the DT cord-345998-701aker9 94 66 Department Department NNP cord-345998-701aker9 94 67 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 94 68 Meteorology Meteorology NNP cord-345998-701aker9 94 69 , , , cord-345998-701aker9 94 70 Thailand Thailand NNP cord-345998-701aker9 94 71 for for IN cord-345998-701aker9 94 72 providing provide VBG cord-345998-701aker9 94 73 weather weather NN cord-345998-701aker9 94 74 data datum NNS cord-345998-701aker9 94 75 . . . cord-345998-701aker9 95 1 The the DT cord-345998-701aker9 95 2 authors author NNS cord-345998-701aker9 95 3 declare declare VBP cord-345998-701aker9 95 4 that that IN cord-345998-701aker9 95 5 they -PRON- PRP cord-345998-701aker9 95 6 have have VBP cord-345998-701aker9 95 7 no no DT cord-345998-701aker9 95 8 conflicts conflict NNS cord-345998-701aker9 95 9 of of IN cord-345998-701aker9 95 10 interest interest NN cord-345998-701aker9 95 11 . . .