id sid tid token lemma pos cord-315735-0a49okho 1 1 key key JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 1 2 : : : cord-315735-0a49okho 1 3 cord-315735 cord-315735 NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 1 4 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 1 5 0a49okho 0a49okho CD cord-315735-0a49okho 1 6 authors author NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 1 7 : : : cord-315735-0a49okho 1 8 Matrajt Matrajt NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 1 9 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 1 10 Laura Laura NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 1 11 ; ; : cord-315735-0a49okho 1 12 Leung Leung NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 1 13 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 1 14 Tiffany Tiffany NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 1 15 title title NN cord-315735-0a49okho 1 16 : : : cord-315735-0a49okho 1 17 Evaluating evaluate VBG cord-315735-0a49okho 1 18 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 1 19 effectiveness effectiveness NN cord-315735-0a49okho 1 20 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 1 21 social social JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 1 22 distancing distance VBG cord-315735-0a49okho 1 23 interventions intervention NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 1 24 against against IN cord-315735-0a49okho 1 25 COVID-19 covid-19 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 1 26 date date NN cord-315735-0a49okho 2 1 : : : cord-315735-0a49okho 2 2 2020 2020 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 2 3 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 2 4 03 03 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 2 5 - - SYM cord-315735-0a49okho 2 6 30 30 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 2 7 journal journal NN cord-315735-0a49okho 2 8 : : : cord-315735-0a49okho 3 1 nan nan NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 3 2 DOI DOI NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 3 3 : : : cord-315735-0a49okho 4 1 10.1101/2020.03.27.20044891 10.1101/2020.03.27.20044891 NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 4 2 sha sha NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 4 3 : : : cord-315735-0a49okho 4 4 9bf64a354621d022d264c06e8c608c7c06ad1e6e 9bf64a354621d022d264c06e8c608c7c06ad1e6e CD cord-315735-0a49okho 4 5 doc_id doc_id CD cord-315735-0a49okho 4 6 : : : cord-315735-0a49okho 4 7 315735 315735 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 4 8 cord_uid cord_uid NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 4 9 : : : cord-315735-0a49okho 4 10 0a49okho 0a49okho CD cord-315735-0a49okho 5 1 SARS SARS NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 5 2 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 5 3 CoV-2 CoV-2 NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 5 4 has have VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 5 5 infected infect VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 5 6 over over IN cord-315735-0a49okho 5 7 140,000 140,000 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 5 8 people people NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 5 9 as as IN cord-315735-0a49okho 5 10 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 5 11 March March NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 5 12 14 14 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 5 13 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 5 14 2020 2020 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 5 15 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 6 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 6 2 use use VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 6 3 a a DT cord-315735-0a49okho 6 4 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 6 5 model model NN cord-315735-0a49okho 6 6 to to TO cord-315735-0a49okho 6 7 investigate investigate VB cord-315735-0a49okho 6 8 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 6 9 effectiveness effectiveness NN cord-315735-0a49okho 6 10 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 6 11 social social JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 6 12 distancing distance VBG cord-315735-0a49okho 6 13 interventions intervention NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 6 14 lasting last VBG cord-315735-0a49okho 6 15 six six CD cord-315735-0a49okho 6 16 weeks week NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 6 17 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 6 18 a a DT cord-315735-0a49okho 6 19 middle middle JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 6 20 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 6 21 sized sized JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 6 22 city city NN cord-315735-0a49okho 6 23 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 6 24 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 6 25 US US NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 6 26 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 7 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 7 2 explore explore VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 7 3 four four CD cord-315735-0a49okho 7 4 social social JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 7 5 distancing distance VBG cord-315735-0a49okho 7 6 strategies strategy NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 7 7 by by IN cord-315735-0a49okho 7 8 reducing reduce VBG cord-315735-0a49okho 7 9 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 7 10 contacts contact NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 7 11 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 7 12 adults adult NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 7 13 over over IN cord-315735-0a49okho 7 14 60 60 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 7 15 years year NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 7 16 old old JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 7 17 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 7 18 adults adult NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 7 19 over over IN cord-315735-0a49okho 7 20 60 60 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 7 21 years year NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 7 22 old old JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 7 23 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 7 24 children child NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 7 25 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 7 26 all all DT cord-315735-0a49okho 7 27 adults adult NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 7 28 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 7 29 25 25 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 7 30 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 7 31 75 75 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 7 32 or or CC cord-315735-0a49okho 7 33 95 95 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 7 34 % % NN cord-315735-0a49okho 7 35 compliance compliance NN cord-315735-0a49okho 7 36 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 7 37 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 7 38 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 7 39 everyone everyone NN cord-315735-0a49okho 7 40 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 7 41 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 7 42 population population NN cord-315735-0a49okho 7 43 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 8 1 Our -PRON- PRP$ cord-315735-0a49okho 8 2 results result NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 8 3 suggest suggest VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 8 4 that that IN cord-315735-0a49okho 8 5 social social JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 8 6 distancing distancing NN cord-315735-0a49okho 8 7 interventions intervention NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 8 8 can can MD cord-315735-0a49okho 8 9 avert avert VB cord-315735-0a49okho 8 10 cases case NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 8 11 by by IN cord-315735-0a49okho 8 12 20 20 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 8 13 % % NN cord-315735-0a49okho 8 14 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 8 15 hospitalizations hospitalization NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 8 16 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 8 17 deaths death NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 8 18 by by IN cord-315735-0a49okho 8 19 90 90 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 8 20 % % NN cord-315735-0a49okho 8 21 even even RB cord-315735-0a49okho 8 22 with with IN cord-315735-0a49okho 8 23 modest modest JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 8 24 compliance compliance NN cord-315735-0a49okho 8 25 within within IN cord-315735-0a49okho 8 26 adults adult NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 8 27 as as RB cord-315735-0a49okho 8 28 long long RB cord-315735-0a49okho 8 29 as as IN cord-315735-0a49okho 8 30 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 8 31 intervention intervention NN cord-315735-0a49okho 8 32 is be VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 8 33 kept keep VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 8 34 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 8 35 place place NN cord-315735-0a49okho 8 36 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 8 37 but but CC cord-315735-0a49okho 8 38 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 8 39 epidemic epidemic NN cord-315735-0a49okho 8 40 is be VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 8 41 set set VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 8 42 to to TO cord-315735-0a49okho 8 43 rebound rebound VB cord-315735-0a49okho 8 44 once once RB cord-315735-0a49okho 8 45 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 8 46 intervention intervention NN cord-315735-0a49okho 8 47 is be VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 8 48 lifted lift VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 8 49 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 9 1 Our -PRON- PRP$ cord-315735-0a49okho 9 2 models model NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 9 3 suggest suggest VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 9 4 that that IN cord-315735-0a49okho 9 5 social social JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 9 6 distancing distance VBG cord-315735-0a49okho 9 7 interventions intervention NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 9 8 will will MD cord-315735-0a49okho 9 9 buy buy VB cord-315735-0a49okho 9 10 crucial crucial JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 9 11 time time NN cord-315735-0a49okho 9 12 but but CC cord-315735-0a49okho 9 13 need need VB cord-315735-0a49okho 9 14 to to TO cord-315735-0a49okho 9 15 occur occur VB cord-315735-0a49okho 9 16 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 9 17 conjunction conjunction NN cord-315735-0a49okho 9 18 with with IN cord-315735-0a49okho 9 19 testing testing NN cord-315735-0a49okho 9 20 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 9 21 contact contact NN cord-315735-0a49okho 9 22 tracing tracing NN cord-315735-0a49okho 9 23 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 9 24 all all DT cord-315735-0a49okho 9 25 suspected suspect VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 9 26 cases case NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 9 27 to to TO cord-315735-0a49okho 9 28 mitigate mitigate VB cord-315735-0a49okho 9 29 transmission transmission NN cord-315735-0a49okho 9 30 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 9 31 SARS SARS NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 9 32 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 9 33 CoV-2 CoV-2 NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 9 34 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 10 1 Since since IN cord-315735-0a49okho 10 2 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 10 3 emergence emergence NN cord-315735-0a49okho 10 4 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 10 5 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 10 6 novel novel JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 10 7 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-315735-0a49okho 10 8 SARS SARS NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 10 9 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 10 10 CoV-2 CoV-2 NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 10 11 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 10 12 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 10 13 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 10 14 China China NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 10 15 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 10 16 December December NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 10 17 2019 2019 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 10 18 [ [ -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 10 19 1 1 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 10 20 ] ] -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 10 21 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 10 22 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 10 23 World World NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 10 24 Health Health NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 10 25 Organization Organization NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 10 26 has have VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 10 27 declared declare VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 10 28 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 10 29 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-315735-0a49okho 10 30 disease disease NN cord-315735-0a49okho 10 31 2019 2019 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 10 32 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 10 33 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 10 34 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 10 35 a a DT cord-315735-0a49okho 10 36 pandemic pandemic NN cord-315735-0a49okho 10 37 [ [ -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 10 38 2 2 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 10 39 ] ] -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 10 40 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 11 1 As as IN cord-315735-0a49okho 11 2 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 11 3 March March NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 11 4 14 14 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 11 5 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 11 6 2020 2020 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 11 7 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 11 8 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 11 9 has have VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 11 10 spread spread VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 11 11 to to IN cord-315735-0a49okho 11 12 over over IN cord-315735-0a49okho 11 13 114 114 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 11 14 countries country NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 11 15 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 11 16 with with IN cord-315735-0a49okho 11 17 142,539 142,539 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 11 18 confirmed confirm VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 11 19 cases case NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 11 20 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 11 21 5,393 5,393 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 11 22 deaths death NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 11 23 related relate VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 11 24 to to IN cord-315735-0a49okho 11 25 COVID-19 covid-19 VB cord-315735-0a49okho 11 26 globally globally RB cord-315735-0a49okho 11 27 [ [ -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 11 28 3 3 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 11 29 ] ] -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 11 30 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 12 1 On on IN cord-315735-0a49okho 12 2 January January NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 12 3 21 21 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 12 4 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 12 5 2020 2020 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 12 6 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 12 7 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 12 8 first first JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 12 9 case case NN cord-315735-0a49okho 12 10 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 12 11 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 12 12 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 12 13 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 12 14 United United NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 12 15 States States NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 12 16 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 12 17 US US NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 12 18 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 12 19 was be VBD cord-315735-0a49okho 12 20 identified identify VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 12 21 from from IN cord-315735-0a49okho 12 22 a a DT cord-315735-0a49okho 12 23 traveler traveler NN cord-315735-0a49okho 12 24 who who WP cord-315735-0a49okho 12 25 had have VBD cord-315735-0a49okho 12 26 recently recently RB cord-315735-0a49okho 12 27 returned return VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 12 28 to to IN cord-315735-0a49okho 12 29 Snohomish Snohomish NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 12 30 County County NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 12 31 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 12 32 Washington Washington NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 12 33 from from IN cord-315735-0a49okho 12 34 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 12 35 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 12 36 China China NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 12 37 [ [ -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 12 38 4 4 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 12 39 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 12 40 5 5 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 12 41 ] ] -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 12 42 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 13 1 As as IN cord-315735-0a49okho 13 2 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 13 3 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 13 4 afternoon afternoon NN cord-315735-0a49okho 13 5 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 13 6 March March NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 13 7 14 14 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 13 8 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 13 9 there there EX cord-315735-0a49okho 13 10 are be VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 13 11 642 642 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 13 12 confirmed confirm VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 13 13 cases case NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 13 14 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 13 15 40 40 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 13 16 deaths death NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 13 17 associated associate VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 13 18 with with IN cord-315735-0a49okho 13 19 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 13 20 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 13 21 Washington Washington NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 13 22 state state NN cord-315735-0a49okho 13 23 [ [ -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 13 24 6 6 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 13 25 ] ] -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 13 26 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 14 1 In in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 14 2 response response NN cord-315735-0a49okho 14 3 to to IN cord-315735-0a49okho 14 4 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 14 5 rapid rapid JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 14 6 spread spread NN cord-315735-0a49okho 14 7 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 14 8 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 14 9 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 14 10 on on IN cord-315735-0a49okho 14 11 March March NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 14 12 12 12 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 14 13 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 14 14 2020 2020 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 14 15 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 14 16 approximately approximately RB cord-315735-0a49okho 14 17 seven seven CD cord-315735-0a49okho 14 18 weeks week NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 14 19 after after IN cord-315735-0a49okho 14 20 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 14 21 first first JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 14 22 confirmed confirm VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 14 23 case case NN cord-315735-0a49okho 14 24 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 14 25 Washington Washington NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 14 26 state state NN cord-315735-0a49okho 14 27 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 14 28 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 14 29 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 14 30 governor governor NN cord-315735-0a49okho 14 31 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 14 32 Washington Washington NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 14 33 announced announce VBD cord-315735-0a49okho 14 34 a a DT cord-315735-0a49okho 14 35 state state NN cord-315735-0a49okho 14 36 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 14 37 wide wide JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 14 38 prohibition prohibition NN cord-315735-0a49okho 14 39 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 14 40 large large JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 14 41 gatherings gathering NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 14 42 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 14 43 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 14 44 250 250 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 14 45 people people NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 14 46 or or CC cord-315735-0a49okho 14 47 more more JJR cord-315735-0a49okho 14 48 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 14 49 [ [ -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 14 50 7 7 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 14 51 ] ] -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 14 52 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 14 53 school school NN cord-315735-0a49okho 14 54 closures closure NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 14 55 lasting last VBG cord-315735-0a49okho 14 56 six six CD cord-315735-0a49okho 14 57 weeks week NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 14 58 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 14 59 from from IN cord-315735-0a49okho 14 60 March March NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 14 61 17 17 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 14 62 to to IN cord-315735-0a49okho 14 63 April April NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 14 64 24 24 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 14 65 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 14 66 2020 2020 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 14 67 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 14 68 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 14 69 three three CD cord-315735-0a49okho 14 70 counties county NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 14 71 [ [ -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 14 72 8 8 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 14 73 ] ] -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 14 74 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 15 1 Three three CD cord-315735-0a49okho 15 2 days day NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 15 3 after after RB cord-315735-0a49okho 15 4 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 15 5 on on IN cord-315735-0a49okho 15 6 March March NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 15 7 15 15 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 15 8 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 15 9 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 15 10 governor governor NN cord-315735-0a49okho 15 11 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 15 12 Washington Washington NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 15 13 further further RB cord-315735-0a49okho 15 14 issued issue VBD cord-315735-0a49okho 15 15 a a DT cord-315735-0a49okho 15 16 temporary temporary JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 15 17 shutdown shutdown NN cord-315735-0a49okho 15 18 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 15 19 restaurants restaurant NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 15 20 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 15 21 bars bar NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 15 22 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 15 23 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 15 24 entertainment entertainment NN cord-315735-0a49okho 15 25 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 15 26 recreational recreational JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 15 27 facilities facility NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 15 28 [ [ -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 15 29 9 9 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 15 30 ] ] -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 15 31 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 16 1 Similar similar JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 16 2 interventions intervention NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 16 3 have have VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 16 4 now now RB cord-315735-0a49okho 16 5 been be VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 16 6 enacted enact VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 16 7 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 16 8 several several JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 16 9 states state NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 16 10 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 16 11 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 16 12 US US NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 16 13 [ [ -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 16 14 10 10 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 16 15 ] ] -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 16 16 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 16 17 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 16 18 countries country NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 16 19 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 16 20 Europe Europe NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 16 21 [ [ -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 16 22 11 11 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 16 23 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 16 24 12 12 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 16 25 ] ] -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 16 26 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 17 1 In in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 17 2 this this DT cord-315735-0a49okho 17 3 paper paper NN cord-315735-0a49okho 17 4 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 17 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 17 6 use use VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 17 7 an an DT cord-315735-0a49okho 17 8 epidemic epidemic JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 17 9 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 17 10 model model NN cord-315735-0a49okho 17 11 to to TO cord-315735-0a49okho 17 12 quantify quantify VB cord-315735-0a49okho 17 13 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 17 14 effectiveness effectiveness NN cord-315735-0a49okho 17 15 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 17 16 social social JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 17 17 distancing distance VBG cord-315735-0a49okho 17 18 interventions intervention NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 17 19 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 17 20 a a DT cord-315735-0a49okho 17 21 medium medium JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 17 22 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 17 23 sized sized JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 17 24 city city NN cord-315735-0a49okho 17 25 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 17 26 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 17 27 US US NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 17 28 or or CC cord-315735-0a49okho 17 29 Europe Europe NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 17 30 by by IN cord-315735-0a49okho 17 31 taking take VBG cord-315735-0a49okho 17 32 Seattle Seattle NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 17 33 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 17 34 Washington Washington NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 17 35 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 17 36 USA USA NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 17 37 as as IN cord-315735-0a49okho 17 38 an an DT cord-315735-0a49okho 17 39 example example NN cord-315735-0a49okho 17 40 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 18 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 18 2 provide provide VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 18 3 estimates estimate NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 18 4 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 18 5 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 18 6 proportion proportion NN cord-315735-0a49okho 18 7 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 18 8 cases case NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 18 9 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 18 10 hospitalizations hospitalization NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 18 11 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 18 12 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 18 13 deaths death NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 18 14 averted avert VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 18 15 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 18 16 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 18 17 short short JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 18 18 term term NN cord-315735-0a49okho 18 19 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 18 20 identify identify VB cord-315735-0a49okho 18 21 key key JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 18 22 challenges challenge NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 18 23 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 18 24 evaluating evaluate VBG cord-315735-0a49okho 18 25 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 18 26 effectiveness effectiveness NN cord-315735-0a49okho 18 27 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 18 28 these these DT cord-315735-0a49okho 18 29 interventions intervention NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 18 30 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 19 1 : : : cord-315735-0a49okho 20 1 Model model NN cord-315735-0a49okho 20 2 diagram diagram NN cord-315735-0a49okho 20 3 illustrating illustrate VBG cord-315735-0a49okho 20 4 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 20 5 population population NN cord-315735-0a49okho 20 6 divided divide VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 20 7 into into IN cord-315735-0a49okho 20 8 ten ten CD cord-315735-0a49okho 20 9 age age NN cord-315735-0a49okho 20 10 groups group NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 20 11 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 20 12 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 20 13 for for IN cord-315735-0a49okho 20 14 each each DT cord-315735-0a49okho 20 15 age age NN cord-315735-0a49okho 20 16 group group NN cord-315735-0a49okho 20 17 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 20 18 represented represent VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 20 19 by by IN cord-315735-0a49okho 20 20 subscripts subscript NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 20 21 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 20 22 into into IN cord-315735-0a49okho 20 23 compartments compartment NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 20 24 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 20 25 S S NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 20 26 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 20 27 exposed expose VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 20 28 E e NN cord-315735-0a49okho 20 29 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 20 30 infectious infectious JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 20 31 I i NN cord-315735-0a49okho 20 32 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 20 33 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 20 34 removed remove VBD cord-315735-0a49okho 20 35 R. R. NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 20 36 Susceptible susceptible JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 20 37 individuals individual NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 20 38 become become VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 20 39 exposed expose VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 20 40 at at IN cord-315735-0a49okho 20 41 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 20 42 force force NN cord-315735-0a49okho 20 43 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 20 44 infection infection NN cord-315735-0a49okho 20 45 λ(t λ(t NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 20 46 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 20 47 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 20 48 progress progress VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 20 49 to to TO cord-315735-0a49okho 20 50 become become VB cord-315735-0a49okho 20 51 infectious infectious JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 20 52 at at IN cord-315735-0a49okho 20 53 rate rate NN cord-315735-0a49okho 20 54 σ σ NN cord-315735-0a49okho 20 55 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 20 56 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 20 57 are be VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 20 58 removed remove VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 20 59 from from IN cord-315735-0a49okho 20 60 infecting infect VBG cord-315735-0a49okho 20 61 others other NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 20 62 at at IN cord-315735-0a49okho 20 63 rate rate NN cord-315735-0a49okho 20 64 γ γ NN cord-315735-0a49okho 20 65 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 20 66 _SP cord-315735-0a49okho 21 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 21 2 developed develop VBD cord-315735-0a49okho 21 3 an an DT cord-315735-0a49okho 21 4 age age NN cord-315735-0a49okho 21 5 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 21 6 structured structure VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 21 7 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 21 8 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 21 9 exposed expose VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 21 10 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 21 11 infectious infectious RB cord-315735-0a49okho 21 12 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 21 13 removed remove VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 21 14 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 21 15 SEIR SEIR NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 21 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 21 17 model model NN cord-315735-0a49okho 21 18 to to TO cord-315735-0a49okho 21 19 describe describe VB cord-315735-0a49okho 21 20 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 21 21 transmission transmission NN cord-315735-0a49okho 21 22 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 21 23 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 21 24 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 22 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 22 2 divided divide VBD cord-315735-0a49okho 22 3 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 22 4 population population NN cord-315735-0a49okho 22 5 into into IN cord-315735-0a49okho 22 6 ten ten CD cord-315735-0a49okho 22 7 age age NN cord-315735-0a49okho 22 8 groups group NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 22 9 : : : cord-315735-0a49okho 22 10 0 0 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 22 11 - - SYM cord-315735-0a49okho 22 12 5 5 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 22 13 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 22 14 6 6 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 22 15 - - SYM cord-315735-0a49okho 22 16 9 9 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 22 17 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 22 18 10 10 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 22 19 - - SYM cord-315735-0a49okho 22 20 19 19 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 22 21 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 22 22 20 20 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 22 23 - - SYM cord-315735-0a49okho 22 24 29 29 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 22 25 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 22 26 30 30 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 22 27 - - SYM cord-315735-0a49okho 22 28 39 39 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 22 29 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 22 30 40 40 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 22 31 - - SYM cord-315735-0a49okho 22 32 49 49 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 22 33 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 22 34 50 50 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 22 35 - - SYM cord-315735-0a49okho 22 36 59 59 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 22 37 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 22 38 60 60 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 22 39 - - SYM cord-315735-0a49okho 22 40 69 69 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 22 41 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 22 42 70 70 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 22 43 - - SYM cord-315735-0a49okho 22 44 79 79 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 22 45 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 22 46 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 22 47 > > XX cord-315735-0a49okho 22 48 80 80 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 22 49 years year NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 22 50 old old JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 22 51 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 22 52 yo yo UH cord-315735-0a49okho 22 53 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 22 54 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 23 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 23 2 calibrated calibrate VBD cord-315735-0a49okho 23 3 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 23 4 model model NN cord-315735-0a49okho 23 5 to to IN cord-315735-0a49okho 23 6 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 23 7 Seattle Seattle NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 23 8 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 23 9 WA WA NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 23 10 metropolitan metropolitan JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 23 11 area area NN cord-315735-0a49okho 23 12 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 23 13 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 23 14 age age NN cord-315735-0a49okho 23 15 distribution distribution NN cord-315735-0a49okho 23 16 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 23 17 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 23 18 population population NN cord-315735-0a49okho 23 19 using use VBG cord-315735-0a49okho 23 20 census census NN cord-315735-0a49okho 23 21 data datum NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 23 22 [ [ -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 23 23 13 13 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 23 24 ] ] -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 23 25 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 24 1 Namely namely RB cord-315735-0a49okho 24 2 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 24 3 for for IN cord-315735-0a49okho 24 4 each each DT cord-315735-0a49okho 24 5 age age NN cord-315735-0a49okho 24 6 group group NN cord-315735-0a49okho 24 7 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 24 8 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 24 9 population population NN cord-315735-0a49okho 24 10 is be VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 24 11 divided divide VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 24 12 into into IN cord-315735-0a49okho 24 13 compartments compartment NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 24 14 : : : cord-315735-0a49okho 24 15 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 24 16 S S NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 24 17 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 24 18 exposed expose VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 24 19 E e NN cord-315735-0a49okho 24 20 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 24 21 those those DT cord-315735-0a49okho 24 22 who who WP cord-315735-0a49okho 24 23 have have VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 24 24 been be VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 24 25 infected infect VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 24 26 but but CC cord-315735-0a49okho 24 27 are be VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 24 28 not not RB cord-315735-0a49okho 24 29 yet yet RB cord-315735-0a49okho 24 30 infectious infectious JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 24 31 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 24 32 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 24 33 infectious infectious JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 24 34 I -PRON- PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 24 35 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 24 36 removed remove VBD cord-315735-0a49okho 24 37 R R NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 24 38 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 24 39 Figure figure NN cord-315735-0a49okho 24 40 1 1 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 24 41 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 24 42 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 25 1 Table table NN cord-315735-0a49okho 25 2 1 1 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 25 3 gives give VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 25 4 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 25 5 parameters parameter NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 25 6 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 25 7 ranges range NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 25 8 used use VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 25 9 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 25 10 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 25 11 model model NN cord-315735-0a49okho 25 12 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 26 1 Based base VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 26 2 on on IN cord-315735-0a49okho 26 3 current current JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 26 4 estimates estimate NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 26 5 [ [ -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 26 6 14 14 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 26 7 ] ] -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 26 8 that that WDT cord-315735-0a49okho 26 9 put put VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 26 10 less less JJR cord-315735-0a49okho 26 11 than than IN cord-315735-0a49okho 26 12 one one CD cord-315735-0a49okho 26 13 percent percent NN cord-315735-0a49okho 26 14 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 26 15 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 26 16 infections infection NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 26 17 as as IN cord-315735-0a49okho 26 18 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 26 19 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 26 20 we -PRON- PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 26 21 considered consider VBD cord-315735-0a49okho 26 22 only only RB cord-315735-0a49okho 26 23 symptomatic symptomatic JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 26 24 infections infection NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 26 25 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 27 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 27 2 used use VBD cord-315735-0a49okho 27 3 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 27 4 contact contact NN cord-315735-0a49okho 27 5 matrix matrix NN cord-315735-0a49okho 27 6 for for IN cord-315735-0a49okho 27 7 six six CD cord-315735-0a49okho 27 8 age age NN cord-315735-0a49okho 27 9 groups group NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 27 10 computed compute VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 27 11 by by IN cord-315735-0a49okho 27 12 Wallinga Wallinga NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 27 13 et et NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 27 14 al al NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 27 15 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 28 1 [ [ -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 28 2 15 15 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 28 3 ] ] -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 28 4 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 28 5 extend extend VB cord-315735-0a49okho 28 6 it -PRON- PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 28 7 to to IN cord-315735-0a49okho 28 8 ten ten CD cord-315735-0a49okho 28 9 age age NN cord-315735-0a49okho 28 10 groups group NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 28 11 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 29 1 A a DT cord-315735-0a49okho 29 2 full full JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 29 3 description description NN cord-315735-0a49okho 29 4 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 29 5 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 29 6 model model NN cord-315735-0a49okho 29 7 can can MD cord-315735-0a49okho 29 8 be be VB cord-315735-0a49okho 29 9 found find VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 29 10 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 29 11 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 29 12 Appendix Appendix NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 29 13 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 30 1 Using use VBG cord-315735-0a49okho 30 2 genomic genomic JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 30 3 epidemiology epidemiology NN cord-315735-0a49okho 30 4 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 30 5 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 30 6 first first JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 30 7 two two CD cord-315735-0a49okho 30 8 cases case NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 30 9 identified identify VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 30 10 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 30 11 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 30 12 state state NN cord-315735-0a49okho 30 13 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 30 14 Washington Washington NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 30 15 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 30 16 Bedford Bedford NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 30 17 found find VBD cord-315735-0a49okho 30 18 that that IN cord-315735-0a49okho 30 19 by by IN cord-315735-0a49okho 30 20 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 30 21 time time NN cord-315735-0a49okho 30 22 that that WDT cord-315735-0a49okho 30 23 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 30 24 second second JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 30 25 case case NN cord-315735-0a49okho 30 26 was be VBD cord-315735-0a49okho 30 27 identified identify VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 30 28 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 30 29 Washington Washington NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 30 30 state state NN cord-315735-0a49okho 30 31 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 30 32 SARS SARS NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 30 33 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 30 34 CoV-2 CoV-2 NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 30 35 had have VBD cord-315735-0a49okho 30 36 been be VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 30 37 circulating circulate VBG cord-315735-0a49okho 30 38 locally locally RB cord-315735-0a49okho 30 39 for for IN cord-315735-0a49okho 30 40 six six CD cord-315735-0a49okho 30 41 weeks week NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 30 42 [ [ -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 30 43 16 16 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 30 44 ] ] -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 30 45 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 31 1 Hence hence RB cord-315735-0a49okho 31 2 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 31 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 31 4 considered consider VBD cord-315735-0a49okho 31 5 January January NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 31 6 21 21 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 31 7 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 31 8 2020 2020 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 32 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 32 2 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 32 3 day day NN cord-315735-0a49okho 32 4 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 32 5 first first JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 32 6 case case NN cord-315735-0a49okho 32 7 was be VBD cord-315735-0a49okho 32 8 identified identify VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 32 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 32 10 to to TO cord-315735-0a49okho 32 11 be be VB cord-315735-0a49okho 32 12 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 32 13 first first JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 32 14 day day NN cord-315735-0a49okho 32 15 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 32 16 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-315735-0a49okho 32 17 simulation simulation NN cord-315735-0a49okho 32 18 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 33 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 33 2 assumed assume VBD cord-315735-0a49okho 33 3 that that IN cord-315735-0a49okho 33 4 20 20 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 33 5 % % NN cord-315735-0a49okho 33 6 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 33 7 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 33 8 cases case NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 33 9 would would MD cord-315735-0a49okho 33 10 be be VB cord-315735-0a49okho 33 11 observed observe VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 33 12 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 33 13 as as IN cord-315735-0a49okho 33 14 80 80 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 33 15 % % NN cord-315735-0a49okho 33 16 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 33 17 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 33 18 cases case NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 33 19 are be VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 33 20 reported report VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 33 21 to to TO cord-315735-0a49okho 33 22 be be VB cord-315735-0a49okho 33 23 mild mild JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 33 24 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 33 25 would would MD cord-315735-0a49okho 33 26 probably probably RB cord-315735-0a49okho 33 27 be be VB cord-315735-0a49okho 33 28 missed miss VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 33 29 [ [ -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 33 30 19 19 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 33 31 ] ] -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 33 32 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 34 1 Case case NN cord-315735-0a49okho 34 2 fatality fatality NN cord-315735-0a49okho 34 3 rates rate NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 34 4 were be VBD cord-315735-0a49okho 34 5 obtained obtain VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 34 6 from from IN cord-315735-0a49okho 34 7 [ [ -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 34 8 19 19 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 34 9 ] ] -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 34 10 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 34 11 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-315735-0a49okho 34 12 rates rate NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 34 13 by by IN cord-315735-0a49okho 34 14 age age NN cord-315735-0a49okho 34 15 group group NN cord-315735-0a49okho 34 16 were be VBD cord-315735-0a49okho 34 17 obtained obtain VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 34 18 from from IN cord-315735-0a49okho 34 19 [ [ -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 34 20 20 20 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 34 21 ] ] -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 34 22 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 35 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 35 2 modeled model VBD cord-315735-0a49okho 35 3 social social JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 35 4 distancing distancing NN cord-315735-0a49okho 35 5 by by IN cord-315735-0a49okho 35 6 reducing reduce VBG cord-315735-0a49okho 35 7 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 35 8 contact contact NN cord-315735-0a49okho 35 9 rates rate NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 35 10 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 35 11 a a DT cord-315735-0a49okho 35 12 given give VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 35 13 group group NN cord-315735-0a49okho 35 14 for for IN cord-315735-0a49okho 35 15 six six CD cord-315735-0a49okho 35 16 weeks week NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 35 17 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 35 18 corresponding correspond VBG cord-315735-0a49okho 35 19 to to IN cord-315735-0a49okho 35 20 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 35 21 policy policy NN cord-315735-0a49okho 35 22 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 35 23 Washington Washington NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 35 24 state state NN cord-315735-0a49okho 35 25 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 35 26 mid mid NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 35 27 - - NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 35 28 March March NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 35 29 [ [ -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 35 30 8 8 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 35 31 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 35 32 21 21 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 35 33 ] ] -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 35 34 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 36 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 36 2 divided divide VBD cord-315735-0a49okho 36 3 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 36 4 population population NN cord-315735-0a49okho 36 5 into into IN cord-315735-0a49okho 36 6 three three CD cord-315735-0a49okho 36 7 major major JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 36 8 groups group NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 36 9 for for IN cord-315735-0a49okho 36 10 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 36 11 purposes purpose NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 36 12 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 36 13 social social JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 36 14 distancing distancing NN cord-315735-0a49okho 36 15 interventions intervention NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 36 16 : : : cord-315735-0a49okho 36 17 children child NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 36 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 36 19 0 0 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 36 20 - - SYM cord-315735-0a49okho 36 21 19 19 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 36 22 yo yo NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 36 23 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 36 24 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 36 25 adults adult NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 36 26 under under IN cord-315735-0a49okho 36 27 60 60 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 36 28 yo yo NN cord-315735-0a49okho 36 29 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 36 30 20 20 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 36 31 - - SYM cord-315735-0a49okho 36 32 59 59 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 36 33 yo yo NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 36 34 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 36 35 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 36 36 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 36 37 adults adult NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 36 38 over over IN cord-315735-0a49okho 36 39 60 60 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 36 40 yo yo NN cord-315735-0a49okho 36 41 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 37 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 37 2 investigate investigate VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 37 3 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 37 4 effectiveness effectiveness NN cord-315735-0a49okho 37 5 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 37 6 four four CD cord-315735-0a49okho 37 7 scenarios scenario NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 37 8 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 37 9 social social JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 37 10 distancing distancing NN cord-315735-0a49okho 37 11 : : : cord-315735-0a49okho 37 12 1 1 LS cord-315735-0a49okho 37 13 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 37 14 Adults Adults NNPS cord-315735-0a49okho 37 15 over over IN cord-315735-0a49okho 37 16 60 60 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 37 17 yo yo NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 37 18 only only RB cord-315735-0a49okho 37 19 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 37 20 where where WRB cord-315735-0a49okho 37 21 contacts contact NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 37 22 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 37 23 adults adult NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 37 24 over over IN cord-315735-0a49okho 37 25 60 60 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 37 26 yo yo NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 37 27 are be VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 37 28 reduced reduce VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 37 29 by by IN cord-315735-0a49okho 37 30 95 95 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 37 31 % % NN cord-315735-0a49okho 37 32 ; ; , cord-315735-0a49okho 37 33 2 2 LS cord-315735-0a49okho 37 34 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 37 35 Adults Adults NNPS cord-315735-0a49okho 37 36 over over IN cord-315735-0a49okho 37 37 60 60 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 37 38 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 37 39 children child NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 37 40 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 37 41 where where WRB cord-315735-0a49okho 37 42 contacts contact NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 37 43 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 37 44 adults adult NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 37 45 over over IN cord-315735-0a49okho 37 46 60 60 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 37 47 yo yo NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 37 48 are be VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 37 49 reduced reduce VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 37 50 by by IN cord-315735-0a49okho 37 51 95 95 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 37 52 % % NN cord-315735-0a49okho 37 53 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 37 54 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 37 55 contacts contact NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 37 56 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 37 57 children child NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 37 58 are be VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 37 59 reduced reduce VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 37 60 by by IN cord-315735-0a49okho 37 61 85 85 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 37 62 % % NN cord-315735-0a49okho 37 63 ; ; : cord-315735-0a49okho 37 64 3 3 LS cord-315735-0a49okho 37 65 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 37 66 Adults Adults NNPS cord-315735-0a49okho 37 67 only only RB cord-315735-0a49okho 37 68 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 37 69 where where WRB cord-315735-0a49okho 37 70 contacts contact NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 37 71 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 37 72 adults adult NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 37 73 over over IN cord-315735-0a49okho 37 74 60 60 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 37 75 yo yo NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 37 76 are be VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 37 77 reduced reduce VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 37 78 by by IN cord-315735-0a49okho 37 79 95 95 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 37 80 % % NN cord-315735-0a49okho 37 81 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 37 82 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 37 83 contacts contact NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 37 84 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 37 85 adults adult NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 37 86 under under IN cord-315735-0a49okho 37 87 60 60 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 37 88 yo yo NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 37 89 by by IN cord-315735-0a49okho 37 90 25 25 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 37 91 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 37 92 75 75 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 37 93 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 37 94 or or CC cord-315735-0a49okho 37 95 95 95 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 37 96 % % NN cord-315735-0a49okho 37 97 ; ; , cord-315735-0a49okho 37 98 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 37 99 4 4 LS cord-315735-0a49okho 37 100 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 38 1 All all DT cord-315735-0a49okho 38 2 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 38 3 where where WRB cord-315735-0a49okho 38 4 contacts contact NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 38 5 are be VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 38 6 reduced reduce VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 38 7 for for IN cord-315735-0a49okho 38 8 every every DT cord-315735-0a49okho 38 9 group group NN cord-315735-0a49okho 38 10 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 38 11 for for IN cord-315735-0a49okho 38 12 adults adult NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 38 13 over over IN cord-315735-0a49okho 38 14 60 60 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 38 15 yo yo NN cord-315735-0a49okho 38 16 by by IN cord-315735-0a49okho 38 17 95 95 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 38 18 % % NN cord-315735-0a49okho 38 19 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 38 20 for for IN cord-315735-0a49okho 38 21 children child NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 38 22 by by IN cord-315735-0a49okho 38 23 85 85 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 38 24 % % NN cord-315735-0a49okho 38 25 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 38 26 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 38 27 for for IN cord-315735-0a49okho 38 28 adults adult NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 38 29 under under IN cord-315735-0a49okho 38 30 60 60 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 38 31 yo yo NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 38 32 by by IN cord-315735-0a49okho 38 33 25 25 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 38 34 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 38 35 75 75 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 38 36 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 38 37 or or CC cord-315735-0a49okho 38 38 95 95 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 38 39 % % NN cord-315735-0a49okho 38 40 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 38 41 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 39 1 To to TO cord-315735-0a49okho 39 2 quantify quantify VB cord-315735-0a49okho 39 3 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 39 4 uncertainty uncertainty NN cord-315735-0a49okho 39 5 around around IN cord-315735-0a49okho 39 6 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-315735-0a49okho 39 7 results result NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 39 8 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 39 9 we -PRON- PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 39 10 performed perform VBD cord-315735-0a49okho 39 11 1,000 1,000 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 39 12 simulations simulation NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 39 13 where where WRB cord-315735-0a49okho 39 14 we -PRON- PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 39 15 varied vary VBD cord-315735-0a49okho 39 16 three three CD cord-315735-0a49okho 39 17 parameters parameter NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 39 18 : : : cord-315735-0a49okho 39 19 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 39 20 basic basic JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 39 21 reproduction reproduction NN cord-315735-0a49okho 39 22 number number NN cord-315735-0a49okho 39 23 R r NN cord-315735-0a49okho 39 24 0 0 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 39 25 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 39 26 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 39 27 latent latent JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 39 28 period period NN cord-315735-0a49okho 39 29 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 39 30 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 39 31 duration duration NN cord-315735-0a49okho 39 32 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 39 33 infectiousness infectiousness NN cord-315735-0a49okho 39 34 while while IN cord-315735-0a49okho 39 35 keeping keep VBG cord-315735-0a49okho 39 36 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 39 37 other other JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 39 38 parameters parameter NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 39 39 fixed fix VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 39 40 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 40 1 Based base VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 40 2 on on IN cord-315735-0a49okho 40 3 current current JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 40 4 estimates estimate NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 40 5 [ [ -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 40 6 1 1 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 40 7 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 40 8 22 22 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 40 9 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 40 10 23 23 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 40 11 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 40 12 24 24 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 40 13 ] ] -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 40 14 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 40 15 we -PRON- PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 40 16 sampled sample VBD cord-315735-0a49okho 40 17 values value NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 40 18 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 40 19 R r NN cord-315735-0a49okho 40 20 0 0 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 40 21 from from IN cord-315735-0a49okho 40 22 a a DT cord-315735-0a49okho 40 23 truncated truncated JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 40 24 normal normal JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 40 25 distribution distribution NN cord-315735-0a49okho 40 26 with with IN cord-315735-0a49okho 40 27 mean mean JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 40 28 2.26 2.26 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 40 29 ranging range VBG cord-315735-0a49okho 40 30 from from IN cord-315735-0a49okho 40 31 1.6 1.6 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 40 32 to to IN cord-315735-0a49okho 40 33 3 3 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 40 34 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 41 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 41 2 assumed assume VBD cord-315735-0a49okho 41 3 that that IN cord-315735-0a49okho 41 4 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 41 5 latent latent JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 41 6 period period NN cord-315735-0a49okho 41 7 was be VBD cord-315735-0a49okho 41 8 similar similar JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 41 9 to to IN cord-315735-0a49okho 41 10 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 41 11 incubation incubation NN cord-315735-0a49okho 41 12 period period NN cord-315735-0a49okho 41 13 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 41 14 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 41 15 assumed assume VBD cord-315735-0a49okho 41 16 a a DT cord-315735-0a49okho 41 17 gamma gamma NN cord-315735-0a49okho 41 18 distribution distribution NN cord-315735-0a49okho 41 19 with with IN cord-315735-0a49okho 41 20 mean mean JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 41 21 5.1 5.1 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 41 22 days day NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 41 23 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 41 24 standard standard JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 41 25 deviation deviation NN cord-315735-0a49okho 41 26 0.7 0.7 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 41 27 [ [ -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 41 28 17 17 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 41 29 ] ] -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 41 30 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 42 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 42 2 sampled sample VBD cord-315735-0a49okho 42 3 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 42 4 duration duration NN cord-315735-0a49okho 42 5 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 42 6 infectiousness infectiousness NN cord-315735-0a49okho 42 7 from from IN cord-315735-0a49okho 42 8 a a DT cord-315735-0a49okho 42 9 truncated truncated JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 42 10 normal normal JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 42 11 distribution distribution NN cord-315735-0a49okho 42 12 with with IN cord-315735-0a49okho 42 13 mean mean JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 42 14 5 5 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 42 15 days day NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 42 16 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 42 17 standard standard JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 42 18 deviation deviation NN cord-315735-0a49okho 42 19 0.7 0.7 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 42 20 ranging range VBG cord-315735-0a49okho 42 21 from from IN cord-315735-0a49okho 42 22 3 3 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 42 23 to to IN cord-315735-0a49okho 42 24 9 9 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 42 25 [ [ -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 42 26 18 18 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 42 27 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 42 28 25 25 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 42 29 ] ] -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 42 30 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 43 1 For for IN cord-315735-0a49okho 43 2 each each DT cord-315735-0a49okho 43 3 R r NN cord-315735-0a49okho 43 4 0 0 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 43 5 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 43 6 infectious infectious JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 43 7 period period NN cord-315735-0a49okho 43 8 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 43 9 latent latent JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 43 10 period period NN cord-315735-0a49okho 43 11 considered consider VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 43 12 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 43 13 we -PRON- PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 43 14 used use VBD cord-315735-0a49okho 43 15 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 43 16 next next JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 43 17 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 43 18 generation generation NN cord-315735-0a49okho 43 19 matrix matrix NN cord-315735-0a49okho 43 20 approach approach NN cord-315735-0a49okho 43 21 [ [ -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 43 22 26 26 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 43 23 ] ] -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 43 24 to to TO cord-315735-0a49okho 43 25 calculate calculate VB cord-315735-0a49okho 43 26 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 43 27 transmission transmission NN cord-315735-0a49okho 43 28 coefficient coefficient NN cord-315735-0a49okho 43 29 β β NN cord-315735-0a49okho 43 30 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 44 1 For for IN cord-315735-0a49okho 44 2 each each DT cord-315735-0a49okho 44 3 statistic statistic NN cord-315735-0a49okho 44 4 presented present VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 44 5 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 44 6 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 44 7 results result NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 44 8 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 44 9 we -PRON- PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 44 10 computed compute VBD cord-315735-0a49okho 44 11 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 44 12 error error NN cord-315735-0a49okho 44 13 bars bar NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 44 14 by by IN cord-315735-0a49okho 44 15 removing remove VBG cord-315735-0a49okho 44 16 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 44 17 top top NN cord-315735-0a49okho 44 18 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 44 19 bottom bottom JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 44 20 2.5 2.5 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 44 21 % % NN cord-315735-0a49okho 44 22 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 44 23 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 44 24 simulations simulation NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 44 25 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 45 1 Given give VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 45 2 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 45 3 current current JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 45 4 uncertainty uncertainty NN cord-315735-0a49okho 45 5 surrounding surround VBG cord-315735-0a49okho 45 6 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 45 7 duration duration NN cord-315735-0a49okho 45 8 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 45 9 infectiousness infectiousness NN cord-315735-0a49okho 45 10 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 45 11 with with IN cord-315735-0a49okho 45 12 estimates estimate NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 45 13 ranging range VBG cord-315735-0a49okho 45 14 from from IN cord-315735-0a49okho 45 15 5.5 5.5 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 45 16 days day NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 45 17 [ [ -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 45 18 18 18 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 45 19 ] ] -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 45 20 to to IN cord-315735-0a49okho 45 21 as as RB cord-315735-0a49okho 45 22 long long JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 45 23 as as IN cord-315735-0a49okho 45 24 20 20 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 45 25 days day NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 45 26 [ [ -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 45 27 27 27 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 45 28 ] ] -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 45 29 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 45 30 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 45 31 we -PRON- PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 45 32 analyzed analyze VBD cord-315735-0a49okho 45 33 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-315735-0a49okho 45 34 influence influence NN cord-315735-0a49okho 45 35 on on IN cord-315735-0a49okho 45 36 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 45 37 effectiveness effectiveness NN cord-315735-0a49okho 45 38 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 45 39 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 45 40 social social JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 45 41 distancing distance VBG cord-315735-0a49okho 45 42 interventions intervention NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 45 43 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 46 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 46 2 considered consider VBD cord-315735-0a49okho 46 3 an an DT cord-315735-0a49okho 46 4 epidemic epidemic NN cord-315735-0a49okho 46 5 with with IN cord-315735-0a49okho 46 6 infectious infectious JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 46 7 periods period NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 46 8 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 46 9 5 5 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 46 10 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 46 11 6 6 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 46 12 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 46 13 7 7 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 46 14 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 46 15 or or CC cord-315735-0a49okho 46 16 8 8 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 46 17 days day NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 46 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 46 19 corresponding correspond VBG cord-315735-0a49okho 46 20 to to IN cord-315735-0a49okho 46 21 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 46 22 most most RBS cord-315735-0a49okho 46 23 plausible plausible JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 46 24 values value NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 46 25 [ [ -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 46 26 18 18 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 46 27 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 46 28 25 25 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 46 29 ] ] -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 46 30 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 46 31 with with IN cord-315735-0a49okho 46 32 all all DT cord-315735-0a49okho 46 33 other other JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 46 34 parameters parameter NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 46 35 fixed fix VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 46 36 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 47 1 When when WRB cord-315735-0a49okho 47 2 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 47 3 infectious infectious JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 47 4 period period NN cord-315735-0a49okho 47 5 is be VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 47 6 shorter short JJR cord-315735-0a49okho 47 7 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 47 8 5 5 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 47 9 days day NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 47 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 47 11 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 47 12 epidemic epidemic NN cord-315735-0a49okho 47 13 peaks peak NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 47 14 at at IN cord-315735-0a49okho 47 15 85 85 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 47 16 days day NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 47 17 after after IN cord-315735-0a49okho 47 18 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 47 19 introduction introduction NN cord-315735-0a49okho 47 20 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 47 21 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 47 22 first first JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 47 23 case case NN cord-315735-0a49okho 47 24 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 48 1 As as IN cord-315735-0a49okho 48 2 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 48 3 infectious infectious JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 48 4 period period NN cord-315735-0a49okho 48 5 becomes become VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 48 6 longer long JJR cord-315735-0a49okho 48 7 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 48 8 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 48 9 epidemic epidemic NN cord-315735-0a49okho 48 10 takes take VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 48 11 much much RB cord-315735-0a49okho 48 12 longer long RBR cord-315735-0a49okho 48 13 to to TO cord-315735-0a49okho 48 14 take take VB cord-315735-0a49okho 48 15 off off RP cord-315735-0a49okho 48 16 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 48 17 Figure figure NN cord-315735-0a49okho 48 18 2 2 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 48 19 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 48 20 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 49 1 This this DT cord-315735-0a49okho 49 2 is be VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 49 3 because because IN cord-315735-0a49okho 49 4 we -PRON- PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 49 5 are be VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 49 6 keeping keep VBG cord-315735-0a49okho 49 7 a a DT cord-315735-0a49okho 49 8 fixed fix VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 49 9 R r NN cord-315735-0a49okho 49 10 0 0 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 49 11 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 49 12 so so CC cord-315735-0a49okho 49 13 a a DT cord-315735-0a49okho 49 14 longer long RBR cord-315735-0a49okho 49 15 infectious infectious JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 49 16 period period NN cord-315735-0a49okho 49 17 implies imply VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 49 18 a a DT cord-315735-0a49okho 49 19 smaller small JJR cord-315735-0a49okho 49 20 infectious infectious JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 49 21 rate rate NN cord-315735-0a49okho 49 22 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 50 1 Indeed indeed RB cord-315735-0a49okho 50 2 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 50 3 with with IN cord-315735-0a49okho 50 4 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 50 5 longest long JJS cord-315735-0a49okho 50 6 infectious infectious JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 50 7 period period NN cord-315735-0a49okho 50 8 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 50 9 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 50 10 epidemic epidemic NN cord-315735-0a49okho 50 11 peaks peak NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 50 12 110 110 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 50 13 days day NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 50 14 after after IN cord-315735-0a49okho 50 15 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 50 16 first first JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 50 17 case case NN cord-315735-0a49okho 50 18 was be VBD cord-315735-0a49okho 50 19 introduced introduce VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 50 20 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 51 1 Hence hence RB cord-315735-0a49okho 51 2 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 51 3 interventions intervention NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 51 4 occurring occur VBG cord-315735-0a49okho 51 5 early early RB cord-315735-0a49okho 51 6 on on IN cord-315735-0a49okho 51 7 delay delay NN cord-315735-0a49okho 51 8 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 51 9 epidemic epidemic NN cord-315735-0a49okho 51 10 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 51 11 but but CC cord-315735-0a49okho 51 12 do do VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 51 13 not not RB cord-315735-0a49okho 51 14 substantially substantially RB cord-315735-0a49okho 51 15 change change VB cord-315735-0a49okho 51 16 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 51 17 pool pool NN cord-315735-0a49okho 51 18 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 51 19 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 51 20 individuals individual NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 51 21 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 51 22 allowing allow VBG cord-315735-0a49okho 51 23 similar similar JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 51 24 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 51 25 sized sized JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 51 26 epidemics epidemic NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 51 27 to to TO cord-315735-0a49okho 51 28 occur occur VB cord-315735-0a49okho 51 29 later later RB cord-315735-0a49okho 52 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 52 2 Figure figure NN cord-315735-0a49okho 52 3 2 2 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 52 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 52 5 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 53 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 53 2 then then RB cord-315735-0a49okho 53 3 considered consider VBD cord-315735-0a49okho 53 4 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 53 5 delay delay NN cord-315735-0a49okho 53 6 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 53 7 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 53 8 epidemic epidemic NN cord-315735-0a49okho 53 9 under under IN cord-315735-0a49okho 53 10 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 53 11 four four CD cord-315735-0a49okho 53 12 social social JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 53 13 distancing distance VBG cord-315735-0a49okho 53 14 interventions intervention NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 53 15 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 53 16 different different JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 53 17 infectious infectious JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 53 18 periods period NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 53 19 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 53 20 Figure figure NN cord-315735-0a49okho 53 21 2 2 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 53 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 53 23 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 54 1 As as IN cord-315735-0a49okho 54 2 expected expect VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 54 3 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 54 4 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 54 5 social social JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 54 6 distancing distance VBG cord-315735-0a49okho 54 7 strategy strategy NN cord-315735-0a49okho 54 8 applied apply VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 54 9 to to IN cord-315735-0a49okho 54 10 all all DT cord-315735-0a49okho 54 11 delays delay NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 54 12 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 54 13 epidemic epidemic NN cord-315735-0a49okho 54 14 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 54 15 most most RBS cord-315735-0a49okho 54 16 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 54 17 by by IN cord-315735-0a49okho 54 18 over over IN cord-315735-0a49okho 54 19 40 40 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 54 20 days day NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 54 21 compared compare VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 54 22 to to IN cord-315735-0a49okho 54 23 baseline baseline NN cord-315735-0a49okho 54 24 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 54 25 do do VB cord-315735-0a49okho 54 26 nothing nothing NN cord-315735-0a49okho 54 27 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 54 28 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 55 1 Targeting target VBG cord-315735-0a49okho 55 2 adults adult NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 55 3 over over IN cord-315735-0a49okho 55 4 60 60 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 55 5 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 55 6 children child NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 55 7 delays delay VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 55 8 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 55 9 epidemic epidemic NN cord-315735-0a49okho 55 10 by by IN cord-315735-0a49okho 55 11 23 23 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 55 12 days day NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 55 13 irrespective irrespective RB cord-315735-0a49okho 55 14 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 55 15 infectious infectious JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 55 16 period period NN cord-315735-0a49okho 55 17 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 55 18 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 55 19 targeting target VBG cord-315735-0a49okho 55 20 adults adult NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 55 21 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 55 22 adults adult NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 55 23 over over IN cord-315735-0a49okho 55 24 60 60 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 55 25 gives give VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 55 26 a a DT cord-315735-0a49okho 55 27 delay delay NN cord-315735-0a49okho 55 28 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 55 29 16 16 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 55 30 to to TO cord-315735-0a49okho 55 31 19 19 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 55 32 days day NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 55 33 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 55 34 for for IN cord-315735-0a49okho 55 35 infectious infectious JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 55 36 period period NN cord-315735-0a49okho 55 37 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 55 38 8 8 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 55 39 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 55 40 5 5 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 55 41 days day NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 55 42 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 55 43 respectively respectively RB cord-315735-0a49okho 55 44 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 55 45 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 56 1 Social social JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 56 2 distancing distancing NN cord-315735-0a49okho 56 3 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 56 4 adults adult NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 56 5 over over IN cord-315735-0a49okho 56 6 60 60 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 56 7 only only JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 56 8 delays delay NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 56 9 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 56 10 epidemic epidemic NN cord-315735-0a49okho 56 11 no no DT cord-315735-0a49okho 56 12 more more JJR cord-315735-0a49okho 56 13 than than IN cord-315735-0a49okho 56 14 7 7 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 56 15 days day NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 56 16 irrespective irrespective RB cord-315735-0a49okho 56 17 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 56 18 infectious infectious JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 56 19 period period NN cord-315735-0a49okho 56 20 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 56 21 Table Table NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 56 22 S1 S1 NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 56 23 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 56 24 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 57 1 Overall overall RB cord-315735-0a49okho 57 2 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 57 3 social social JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 57 4 distancing distancing NN cord-315735-0a49okho 57 5 interventions intervention NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 57 6 under under IN cord-315735-0a49okho 57 7 a a DT cord-315735-0a49okho 57 8 shorter short JJR cord-315735-0a49okho 57 9 infectious infectious JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 57 10 period period NN cord-315735-0a49okho 57 11 result result NN cord-315735-0a49okho 57 12 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 57 13 a a DT cord-315735-0a49okho 57 14 longer long JJR cord-315735-0a49okho 57 15 delay delay NN cord-315735-0a49okho 57 16 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 57 17 epidemic epidemic NN cord-315735-0a49okho 57 18 peak peak NN cord-315735-0a49okho 57 19 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 58 1 The the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 58 2 infectious infectious JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 58 3 period period NN cord-315735-0a49okho 58 4 did do VBD cord-315735-0a49okho 58 5 not not RB cord-315735-0a49okho 58 6 have have VB cord-315735-0a49okho 58 7 significant significant JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 58 8 effect effect NN cord-315735-0a49okho 58 9 to to IN cord-315735-0a49okho 58 10 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 58 11 peak peak NN cord-315735-0a49okho 58 12 height height NN cord-315735-0a49okho 58 13 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 58 14 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 58 15 epidemic epidemic NN cord-315735-0a49okho 58 16 relative relative NN cord-315735-0a49okho 58 17 to to IN cord-315735-0a49okho 58 18 baseline baseline NN cord-315735-0a49okho 58 19 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 58 20 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 59 1 CC CC NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 59 2 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 59 3 BY BY NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 59 4 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 59 5 NC NC NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 59 6 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 59 7 ND ND NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 59 8 4.0 4.0 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 59 9 International international JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 59 10 license license NN cord-315735-0a49okho 60 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 60 2 is be VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 60 3 made make VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 60 4 available available JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 60 5 under under IN cord-315735-0a49okho 60 6 a a DT cord-315735-0a49okho 60 7 author author NN cord-315735-0a49okho 60 8 / / SYM cord-315735-0a49okho 60 9 funder funder NN cord-315735-0a49okho 60 10 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 60 11 who who WP cord-315735-0a49okho 60 12 has have VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 60 13 granted grant VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 60 14 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 60 15 a a DT cord-315735-0a49okho 60 16 license license NN cord-315735-0a49okho 60 17 to to TO cord-315735-0a49okho 60 18 display display VB cord-315735-0a49okho 60 19 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 60 20 preprint preprint NN cord-315735-0a49okho 60 21 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 60 22 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-315735-0a49okho 60 23 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 61 1 4 4 LS cord-315735-0a49okho 61 2 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 62 1 CC CC NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 62 2 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 62 3 BY BY NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 62 4 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 62 5 NC NC NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 62 6 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 62 7 ND ND NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 62 8 4.0 4.0 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 62 9 International international JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 62 10 license license NN cord-315735-0a49okho 62 11 It -PRON- PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 62 12 is be VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 62 13 made make VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 62 14 available available JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 62 15 under under IN cord-315735-0a49okho 62 16 a a DT cord-315735-0a49okho 62 17 author author NN cord-315735-0a49okho 62 18 / / SYM cord-315735-0a49okho 62 19 funder funder NN cord-315735-0a49okho 62 20 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 62 21 who who WP cord-315735-0a49okho 62 22 has have VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 62 23 granted grant VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 62 24 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 62 25 a a DT cord-315735-0a49okho 62 26 license license NN cord-315735-0a49okho 62 27 to to TO cord-315735-0a49okho 62 28 display display VB cord-315735-0a49okho 62 29 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 62 30 preprint preprint NN cord-315735-0a49okho 62 31 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 62 32 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-315735-0a49okho 62 33 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 63 1 is be VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 63 2 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 63 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 63 4 which which WDT cord-315735-0a49okho 63 5 was be VBD cord-315735-0a49okho 63 6 not not RB cord-315735-0a49okho 63 7 peer peer NN cord-315735-0a49okho 63 8 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 63 9 reviewed review VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 63 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 64 1 The the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 64 2 copyright copyright NN cord-315735-0a49okho 64 3 holder holder NN cord-315735-0a49okho 64 4 for for IN cord-315735-0a49okho 64 5 this this DT cord-315735-0a49okho 64 6 preprint preprint NN cord-315735-0a49okho 64 7 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 65 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 65 2 examine examine VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 65 3 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 65 4 effectiveness effectiveness NN cord-315735-0a49okho 65 5 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 65 6 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 65 7 three three CD cord-315735-0a49okho 65 8 social social JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 65 9 distancing distance VBG cord-315735-0a49okho 65 10 interventions intervention NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 65 11 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 65 12 adults adult NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 65 13 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 66 1 Figure figure NN cord-315735-0a49okho 66 2 3 3 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 66 3 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 66 4 panels panel NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 66 5 A A NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 66 6 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 66 7 B b NN cord-315735-0a49okho 67 1 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 67 2 C C NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 67 3 show show VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 67 4 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 67 5 number number NN cord-315735-0a49okho 67 6 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 67 7 ascertained ascertain VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 67 8 cases case NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 67 9 when when WRB cord-315735-0a49okho 67 10 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 67 11 contact contact NN cord-315735-0a49okho 67 12 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 67 13 adults adult NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 67 14 are be VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 67 15 reduced reduce VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 67 16 by by IN cord-315735-0a49okho 67 17 25 25 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 67 18 % % NN cord-315735-0a49okho 67 19 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 67 20 75 75 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 67 21 % % NN cord-315735-0a49okho 67 22 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 67 23 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 67 24 95 95 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 67 25 % % NN cord-315735-0a49okho 67 26 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 67 27 respectively respectively RB cord-315735-0a49okho 67 28 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 68 1 Further further RB cord-315735-0a49okho 68 2 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 68 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 68 4 consider consider VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 68 5 two two CD cord-315735-0a49okho 68 6 dates date NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 68 7 to to TO cord-315735-0a49okho 68 8 start start VB cord-315735-0a49okho 68 9 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 68 10 social social JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 68 11 distancing distance VBG cord-315735-0a49okho 68 12 interventions intervention NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 68 13 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 68 14 at at IN cord-315735-0a49okho 68 15 50 50 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 69 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 69 2 Figure figure NN cord-315735-0a49okho 69 3 3 3 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 69 4 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 69 5 panels panel NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 69 6 A A NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 69 7 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 69 8 C C NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 69 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 69 10 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 69 11 80 80 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 69 12 days day NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 69 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 69 14 Figure figure NN cord-315735-0a49okho 69 15 3 3 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 69 16 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 69 17 panels panel NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 69 18 D d NN cord-315735-0a49okho 69 19 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 69 20 F F NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 69 21 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 69 22 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 70 1 The the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 70 2 effect effect NN cord-315735-0a49okho 70 3 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 70 4 these these DT cord-315735-0a49okho 70 5 interventions intervention NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 70 6 is be VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 70 7 dramatically dramatically RB cord-315735-0a49okho 70 8 different different JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 70 9 if if IN cord-315735-0a49okho 70 10 started start VBD cord-315735-0a49okho 70 11 early early RB cord-315735-0a49okho 70 12 relative relative JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 70 13 to to IN cord-315735-0a49okho 70 14 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 70 15 epidemic epidemic NN cord-315735-0a49okho 70 16 curve curve NN cord-315735-0a49okho 70 17 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 70 18 before before IN cord-315735-0a49okho 70 19 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 70 20 exponential exponential JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 70 21 phase phase NN cord-315735-0a49okho 70 22 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 70 23 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 70 24 epidemic epidemic NN cord-315735-0a49okho 70 25 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 70 26 or or CC cord-315735-0a49okho 70 27 later later RB cord-315735-0a49okho 70 28 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 71 1 When when WRB cord-315735-0a49okho 71 2 interventions intervention NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 71 3 start start VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 71 4 on on IN cord-315735-0a49okho 71 5 day day NN cord-315735-0a49okho 71 6 50 50 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 71 7 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 71 8 there there EX cord-315735-0a49okho 71 9 is be VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 71 10 a a DT cord-315735-0a49okho 71 11 delay delay NN cord-315735-0a49okho 71 12 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 71 13 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 71 14 epidemic epidemic NN cord-315735-0a49okho 71 15 regardless regardless RB cord-315735-0a49okho 71 16 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 71 17 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 71 18 level level NN cord-315735-0a49okho 71 19 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 71 20 compliance compliance NN cord-315735-0a49okho 71 21 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 71 22 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 71 23 adult adult NN cord-315735-0a49okho 71 24 population population NN cord-315735-0a49okho 71 25 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 71 26 with with IN cord-315735-0a49okho 71 27 little little JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 71 28 change change NN cord-315735-0a49okho 71 29 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 71 30 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 71 31 magnitude magnitude NN cord-315735-0a49okho 71 32 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 71 33 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 71 34 epidemic epidemic NN cord-315735-0a49okho 71 35 peak peak NN cord-315735-0a49okho 71 36 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 71 37 a a DT cord-315735-0a49okho 71 38 thorough thorough JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 71 39 analysis analysis NN cord-315735-0a49okho 71 40 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 71 41 this this DT cord-315735-0a49okho 71 42 scenario scenario NN cord-315735-0a49okho 71 43 is be VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 71 44 presented present VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 71 45 below below RB cord-315735-0a49okho 71 46 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 71 47 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 72 1 In in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 72 2 comparison comparison NN cord-315735-0a49okho 72 3 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 72 4 if if IN cord-315735-0a49okho 72 5 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 72 6 intervention intervention NN cord-315735-0a49okho 72 7 begins begin VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 72 8 later later RB cord-315735-0a49okho 72 9 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 72 10 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 72 11 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 72 12 exponential exponential JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 72 13 phase phase NN cord-315735-0a49okho 72 14 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 72 15 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 72 16 epidemic epidemic NN cord-315735-0a49okho 72 17 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 72 18 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 72 19 all all DT cord-315735-0a49okho 72 20 interventions intervention NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 72 21 result result VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 72 22 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 72 23 a a DT cord-315735-0a49okho 72 24 flatter flat JJR cord-315735-0a49okho 72 25 epidemic epidemic NN cord-315735-0a49okho 72 26 curve curve NN cord-315735-0a49okho 72 27 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 73 1 The the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 73 2 strategy strategy NN cord-315735-0a49okho 73 3 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 73 4 reducing reduce VBG cord-315735-0a49okho 73 5 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 73 6 contacts contact NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 73 7 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 73 8 only only RB cord-315735-0a49okho 73 9 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 73 10 older old JJR cord-315735-0a49okho 73 11 adults adult NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 73 12 results result VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 73 13 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 73 14 a a DT cord-315735-0a49okho 73 15 moderate moderate JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 73 16 reduction reduction NN cord-315735-0a49okho 73 17 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 73 18 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 73 19 epidemic epidemic NN cord-315735-0a49okho 73 20 peak peak NN cord-315735-0a49okho 73 21 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 73 22 7,000 7,000 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 73 23 fewer few JJR cord-315735-0a49okho 73 24 cases case NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 73 25 at at IN cord-315735-0a49okho 73 26 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 73 27 epidemic epidemic NN cord-315735-0a49okho 73 28 peak peak NN cord-315735-0a49okho 73 29 compared compare VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 73 30 to to IN cord-315735-0a49okho 73 31 baseline baseline NN cord-315735-0a49okho 73 32 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 73 33 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 74 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 74 2 is be VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 74 3 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 74 4 only only JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 74 5 intervention intervention NN cord-315735-0a49okho 74 6 that that WDT cord-315735-0a49okho 74 7 does do VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 74 8 not not RB cord-315735-0a49okho 74 9 exhibit exhibit VB cord-315735-0a49okho 74 10 a a DT cord-315735-0a49okho 74 11 rebound rebound NN cord-315735-0a49okho 74 12 once once IN cord-315735-0a49okho 74 13 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 74 14 intervention intervention NN cord-315735-0a49okho 74 15 is be VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 74 16 lifted lift VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 74 17 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 74 18 Figure figure NN cord-315735-0a49okho 74 19 3 3 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 74 20 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 74 21 panels panel NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 74 22 D d NN cord-315735-0a49okho 74 23 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 74 24 F F NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 74 25 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 74 26 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 75 1 The the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 75 2 strategy strategy NN cord-315735-0a49okho 75 3 that that WDT cord-315735-0a49okho 75 4 targets target VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 75 5 adults adult NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 75 6 over over IN cord-315735-0a49okho 75 7 60 60 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 75 8 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 75 9 children child NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 75 10 results result VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 75 11 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 75 12 16,500 16,500 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 75 13 fewer few JJR cord-315735-0a49okho 75 14 cases case NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 75 15 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 75 16 57 57 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 75 17 % % NN cord-315735-0a49okho 75 18 less less JJR cord-315735-0a49okho 75 19 than than IN cord-315735-0a49okho 75 20 baseline baseline NN cord-315735-0a49okho 75 21 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 75 22 at at IN cord-315735-0a49okho 75 23 epidemic epidemic NN cord-315735-0a49okho 75 24 peak peak NN cord-315735-0a49okho 75 25 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 75 26 Figure figure NN cord-315735-0a49okho 75 27 3 3 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 75 28 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 75 29 panels panel NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 75 30 D d NN cord-315735-0a49okho 75 31 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 75 32 F F NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 75 33 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 75 34 compared compare VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 75 35 to to IN cord-315735-0a49okho 75 36 baseline baseline NN cord-315735-0a49okho 75 37 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 76 1 In in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 76 2 comparison comparison NN cord-315735-0a49okho 76 3 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 76 4 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 76 5 adults adult NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 76 6 - - : cord-315735-0a49okho 76 7 only only RB cord-315735-0a49okho 76 8 strategy strategy NN cord-315735-0a49okho 76 9 yields yield VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 76 10 12,000 12,000 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 76 11 fewer few JJR cord-315735-0a49okho 76 12 ascertained ascertain VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 76 13 cases case NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 76 14 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 76 15 41 41 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 76 16 % % NN cord-315735-0a49okho 76 17 less less JJR cord-315735-0a49okho 76 18 than than IN cord-315735-0a49okho 76 19 baseline baseline NN cord-315735-0a49okho 76 20 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 76 21 at at IN cord-315735-0a49okho 76 22 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 76 23 epidemic epidemic NN cord-315735-0a49okho 76 24 peak peak NN cord-315735-0a49okho 76 25 for for IN cord-315735-0a49okho 76 26 25 25 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 76 27 % % NN cord-315735-0a49okho 76 28 compliance compliance NN cord-315735-0a49okho 76 29 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 76 30 younger young JJR cord-315735-0a49okho 76 31 adults adult NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 76 32 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 76 33 adults adult NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 76 34 under under IN cord-315735-0a49okho 76 35 60 60 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 76 36 yo yo UH cord-315735-0a49okho 76 37 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 76 38 Figure Figure NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 76 39 3 3 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 76 40 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 76 41 panel panel NN cord-315735-0a49okho 76 42 D D NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 76 43 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 76 44 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 77 1 At at IN cord-315735-0a49okho 77 2 a a DT cord-315735-0a49okho 77 3 higher high JJR cord-315735-0a49okho 77 4 compliance compliance NN cord-315735-0a49okho 77 5 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 77 6 75 75 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 77 7 % % NN cord-315735-0a49okho 77 8 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 77 9 95 95 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 77 10 % % NN cord-315735-0a49okho 77 11 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 77 12 adults adult NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 77 13 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 77 14 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 77 15 epidemic epidemic NN cord-315735-0a49okho 77 16 peak peak NN cord-315735-0a49okho 77 17 is be VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 77 18 reduced reduce VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 77 19 even even RB cord-315735-0a49okho 77 20 more more RBR cord-315735-0a49okho 77 21 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 77 22 with with IN cord-315735-0a49okho 77 23 21,000 21,000 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 77 24 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 77 25 24,000 24,000 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 77 26 fewer few JJR cord-315735-0a49okho 77 27 cases case NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 77 28 ascertained ascertain VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 77 29 at at IN cord-315735-0a49okho 77 30 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 77 31 peak peak NN cord-315735-0a49okho 77 32 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 77 33 72 72 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 77 34 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 77 35 82 82 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 77 36 % % NN cord-315735-0a49okho 77 37 less less JJR cord-315735-0a49okho 77 38 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 77 39 respectively respectively RB cord-315735-0a49okho 77 40 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 77 41 Figure figure NN cord-315735-0a49okho 77 42 3 3 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 77 43 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 77 44 panel panel NN cord-315735-0a49okho 77 45 E e NN cord-315735-0a49okho 77 46 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 77 47 F F NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 77 48 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 77 49 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 77 50 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 77 51 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 77 52 epidemic epidemic NN cord-315735-0a49okho 77 53 curve curve NN cord-315735-0a49okho 77 54 grows grow VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 77 55 at at IN cord-315735-0a49okho 77 56 a a DT cord-315735-0a49okho 77 57 slower slow JJR cord-315735-0a49okho 77 58 rate rate NN cord-315735-0a49okho 77 59 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 78 1 Of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 78 2 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 78 3 four four CD cord-315735-0a49okho 78 4 different different JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 78 5 interventions intervention NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 78 6 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 78 7 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 78 8 all all RB cord-315735-0a49okho 78 9 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 78 10 groups group NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 78 11 strategy strategy NN cord-315735-0a49okho 78 12 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 78 13 which which WDT cord-315735-0a49okho 78 14 reduces reduce VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 78 15 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 78 16 contacts contact NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 78 17 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 78 18 all all DT cord-315735-0a49okho 78 19 age age NN cord-315735-0a49okho 78 20 groups group NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 78 21 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 78 22 decreases decrease VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 78 23 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 78 24 epidemic epidemic NN cord-315735-0a49okho 78 25 peak peak NN cord-315735-0a49okho 78 26 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 78 27 most most JJS cord-315735-0a49okho 78 28 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 78 29 results result NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 78 30 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 78 31 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 78 32 slowest slow JJS cord-315735-0a49okho 78 33 growth growth NN cord-315735-0a49okho 78 34 rate rate NN cord-315735-0a49okho 78 35 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 78 36 as as IN cord-315735-0a49okho 78 37 expected expect VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 78 38 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 79 1 Even even RB cord-315735-0a49okho 79 2 with with IN cord-315735-0a49okho 79 3 low low JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 79 4 compliance compliance NN cord-315735-0a49okho 79 5 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 79 6 25 25 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 79 7 % % NN cord-315735-0a49okho 79 8 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 79 9 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 79 10 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 79 11 younger young JJR cord-315735-0a49okho 79 12 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 79 13 adult adult NN cord-315735-0a49okho 79 14 groups group NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 79 15 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 79 16 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 79 17 all all RB cord-315735-0a49okho 79 18 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 79 19 groups group NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 79 20 strategy strategy NN cord-315735-0a49okho 79 21 yields yield VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 79 22 20,000 20,000 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 79 23 fewer few JJR cord-315735-0a49okho 79 24 cases case NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 79 25 ascertained ascertain VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 79 26 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 79 27 68 68 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 79 28 % % NN cord-315735-0a49okho 79 29 less less JJR cord-315735-0a49okho 79 30 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 79 31 at at IN cord-315735-0a49okho 79 32 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 79 33 epidemic epidemic NN cord-315735-0a49okho 79 34 peak peak NN cord-315735-0a49okho 79 35 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 79 36 Figure figure NN cord-315735-0a49okho 79 37 3 3 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 79 38 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 79 39 panel panel NN cord-315735-0a49okho 79 40 D D NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 79 41 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 79 42 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 80 1 With with IN cord-315735-0a49okho 80 2 higher high JJR cord-315735-0a49okho 80 3 compliance compliance NN cord-315735-0a49okho 80 4 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 80 5 95 95 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 80 6 % % NN cord-315735-0a49okho 80 7 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 80 8 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 80 9 adults adult NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 80 10 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 80 11 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 80 12 all all RB cord-315735-0a49okho 80 13 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 80 14 groups group NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 80 15 strategy strategy NN cord-315735-0a49okho 80 16 results result NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 80 17 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 80 18 even even RB cord-315735-0a49okho 80 19 fewer few JJR cord-315735-0a49okho 80 20 cases case NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 80 21 ascertained ascertain VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 80 22 at at IN cord-315735-0a49okho 80 23 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 80 24 peak peak NN cord-315735-0a49okho 80 25 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 80 26 27,000 27,000 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 80 27 fewer few JJR cord-315735-0a49okho 80 28 cases case NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 80 29 or or CC cord-315735-0a49okho 80 30 92 92 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 80 31 % % NN cord-315735-0a49okho 80 32 less less JJR cord-315735-0a49okho 80 33 ; ; : cord-315735-0a49okho 80 34 Figure figure NN cord-315735-0a49okho 80 35 3 3 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 80 36 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 80 37 panel panel NN cord-315735-0a49okho 80 38 F F NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 80 39 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 80 40 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 81 1 However however RB cord-315735-0a49okho 81 2 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 81 3 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-315735-0a49okho 81 4 results result NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 81 5 suggest suggest VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 81 6 that that IN cord-315735-0a49okho 81 7 all all PDT cord-315735-0a49okho 81 8 these these DT cord-315735-0a49okho 81 9 interventions intervention NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 81 10 can can MD cord-315735-0a49okho 81 11 result result VB cord-315735-0a49okho 81 12 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 81 13 new new JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 81 14 epidemic epidemic NN cord-315735-0a49okho 81 15 curves curve NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 81 16 once once IN cord-315735-0a49okho 81 17 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 81 18 interventions intervention NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 81 19 are be VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 81 20 lifted lift VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 81 21 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 82 1 For for IN cord-315735-0a49okho 82 2 this this DT cord-315735-0a49okho 82 3 part part NN cord-315735-0a49okho 82 4 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 82 5 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 82 6 analysis analysis NN cord-315735-0a49okho 82 7 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 82 8 we -PRON- PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 82 9 consider consider VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 82 10 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 82 11 effects effect NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 82 12 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 82 13 social social JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 82 14 distancing distancing NN cord-315735-0a49okho 82 15 interventions intervention NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 82 16 over over IN cord-315735-0a49okho 82 17 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 82 18 first first JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 82 19 100 100 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 82 20 days day NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 82 21 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 82 22 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 82 23 epidemic epidemic NN cord-315735-0a49okho 82 24 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 82 25 assume assume VB cord-315735-0a49okho 82 26 that that IN cord-315735-0a49okho 82 27 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 82 28 social social JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 82 29 distancing distance VBG cord-315735-0a49okho 82 30 interventions intervention NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 82 31 started start VBD cord-315735-0a49okho 82 32 on on IN cord-315735-0a49okho 82 33 day day NN cord-315735-0a49okho 82 34 50 50 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 82 35 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 83 1 This this DT cord-315735-0a49okho 83 2 corresponds correspond VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 83 3 to to IN cord-315735-0a49okho 83 4 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 83 5 approximate approximate JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 83 6 date date NN cord-315735-0a49okho 83 7 where where WRB cord-315735-0a49okho 83 8 social social JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 83 9 distancing distance VBG cord-315735-0a49okho 83 10 interventions intervention NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 83 11 started start VBD cord-315735-0a49okho 83 12 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 83 13 Washington Washington NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 83 14 state state NN cord-315735-0a49okho 83 15 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 84 1 To to TO cord-315735-0a49okho 84 2 investigate investigate VB cord-315735-0a49okho 84 3 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 84 4 sensitivity sensitivity NN cord-315735-0a49okho 84 5 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 84 6 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 84 7 model model NN cord-315735-0a49okho 84 8 to to IN cord-315735-0a49okho 84 9 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 84 10 parameters parameter NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 84 11 chosen choose VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 84 12 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 84 13 we -PRON- PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 84 14 ran run VBD cord-315735-0a49okho 84 15 1,000 1,000 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 84 16 simulations simulation NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 84 17 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 84 18 as as IN cord-315735-0a49okho 84 19 described describe VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 84 20 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 84 21 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 84 22 Methods method NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 84 23 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 84 24 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 85 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 85 2 obtained obtain VBD cord-315735-0a49okho 85 3 curves curve NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 85 4 that that WDT cord-315735-0a49okho 85 5 varied vary VBD cord-315735-0a49okho 85 6 widely widely RB cord-315735-0a49okho 85 7 over over IN cord-315735-0a49okho 85 8 both both CC cord-315735-0a49okho 85 9 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 85 10 number number NN cord-315735-0a49okho 85 11 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 85 12 cases case NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 85 13 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 85 14 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 85 15 duration duration NN cord-315735-0a49okho 85 16 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 85 17 timing timing NN cord-315735-0a49okho 85 18 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 85 19 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 85 20 epidemic epidemic NN cord-315735-0a49okho 85 21 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 85 22 figures figure VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 85 23 S1 S1 NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 85 24 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 85 25 S2 S2 NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 85 26 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 85 27 S3 S3 NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 85 28 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 85 29 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 86 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 86 2 show show VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 86 3 here here RB cord-315735-0a49okho 86 4 results result NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 86 5 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 86 6 simulations simulation NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 86 7 done do VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 86 8 with with IN cord-315735-0a49okho 86 9 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 86 10 mean mean JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 86 11 values value NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 86 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 86 13 R r NN cord-315735-0a49okho 86 14 0 0 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 86 15 = = SYM cord-315735-0a49okho 86 16 2.26 2.26 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 86 17 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 86 18 an an DT cord-315735-0a49okho 86 19 infectious infectious JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 86 20 period period NN cord-315735-0a49okho 86 21 lasting last VBG cord-315735-0a49okho 86 22 5 5 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 86 23 days day NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 86 24 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 86 25 a a DT cord-315735-0a49okho 86 26 latent latent JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 86 27 period period NN cord-315735-0a49okho 86 28 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 86 29 5.1 5.1 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 86 30 days day NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 86 31 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 86 32 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 87 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 87 2 report report VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 87 3 cases case NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 87 4 as as RB cord-315735-0a49okho 87 5 well well RB cord-315735-0a49okho 87 6 as as IN cord-315735-0a49okho 87 7 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 87 8 proportion proportion NN cord-315735-0a49okho 87 9 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 87 10 cases case NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 87 11 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 87 12 hospitalizations hospitalization NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 87 13 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 87 14 deaths death NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 87 15 averted avert VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 87 16 during during IN cord-315735-0a49okho 87 17 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 87 18 first first JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 87 19 100 100 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 87 20 days day NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 87 21 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 88 1 While while IN cord-315735-0a49okho 88 2 reducing reduce VBG cord-315735-0a49okho 88 3 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 88 4 contacts contact NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 88 5 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 88 6 adults adult NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 88 7 over over IN cord-315735-0a49okho 88 8 60 60 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 88 9 only only RB cord-315735-0a49okho 88 10 averts avert VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 88 11 only only RB cord-315735-0a49okho 88 12 a a DT cord-315735-0a49okho 88 13 moderate moderate JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 88 14 number number NN cord-315735-0a49okho 88 15 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 88 16 cases case NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 88 17 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 88 18 21 21 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 88 19 % % NN cord-315735-0a49okho 88 20 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 88 21 Figure figure NN cord-315735-0a49okho 88 22 3 3 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 88 23 ; ; : cord-315735-0a49okho 88 24 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 88 25 57 57 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 88 26 % % NN cord-315735-0a49okho 88 27 for for IN cord-315735-0a49okho 88 28 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 88 29 adults adult NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 88 30 over over IN cord-315735-0a49okho 88 31 60 60 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 88 32 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 88 33 Figure figure NN cord-315735-0a49okho 88 34 S4 s4 NN cord-315735-0a49okho 88 35 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 88 36 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 88 37 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 88 38 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 88 39 number number NN cord-315735-0a49okho 88 40 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 88 41 hospitalizations hospitalization NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 88 42 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 88 43 deaths death NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 88 44 are be VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 88 45 reduced reduce VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 88 46 by by IN cord-315735-0a49okho 88 47 36 36 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 88 48 % % NN cord-315735-0a49okho 88 49 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 88 50 47 47 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 88 51 % % NN cord-315735-0a49okho 88 52 respectively respectively RB cord-315735-0a49okho 88 53 for for IN cord-315735-0a49okho 88 54 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 88 55 whole whole JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 88 56 population population NN cord-315735-0a49okho 88 57 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 88 58 Figure Figure NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 88 59 4 4 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 88 60 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 88 61 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 88 62 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 88 63 by by IN cord-315735-0a49okho 88 64 56 56 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 88 65 % % NN cord-315735-0a49okho 88 66 for for IN cord-315735-0a49okho 88 67 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 88 68 adults adult NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 88 69 over over IN cord-315735-0a49okho 88 70 60 60 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 88 71 yo yo NN cord-315735-0a49okho 88 72 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 88 73 Figure figure NN cord-315735-0a49okho 88 74 S5 S5 NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 88 75 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 88 76 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 89 1 Adding add VBG cord-315735-0a49okho 89 2 a a DT cord-315735-0a49okho 89 3 social social JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 89 4 distancing distance VBG cord-315735-0a49okho 89 5 intervention intervention NN cord-315735-0a49okho 89 6 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 89 7 children child NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 89 8 drastically drastically RB cord-315735-0a49okho 89 9 slows slow VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 89 10 down down RP cord-315735-0a49okho 89 11 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 89 12 epidemic epidemic NN cord-315735-0a49okho 89 13 curve curve NN cord-315735-0a49okho 89 14 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 89 15 Figure figure NN cord-315735-0a49okho 89 16 3 3 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 89 17 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 89 18 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 90 1 Further further RB cord-315735-0a49okho 90 2 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 90 3 hospitalizations hospitalization NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 90 4 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 90 5 deaths death NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 90 6 are be VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 90 7 reduced reduce VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 90 8 by by IN cord-315735-0a49okho 90 9 75 75 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 90 10 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 90 11 80 80 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 90 12 % % NN cord-315735-0a49okho 90 13 respectively respectively RB cord-315735-0a49okho 90 14 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 90 15 with with IN cord-315735-0a49okho 90 16 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 90 17 reductions reduction NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 90 18 evenly evenly RB cord-315735-0a49okho 90 19 distributed distribute VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 90 20 across across IN cord-315735-0a49okho 90 21 all all DT cord-315735-0a49okho 90 22 age age NN cord-315735-0a49okho 90 23 groups group NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 90 24 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 90 25 Figures figure NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 90 26 S5 S5 NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 90 27 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 90 28 S6 S6 NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 90 29 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 90 30 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 91 1 When when WRB cord-315735-0a49okho 91 2 only only RB cord-315735-0a49okho 91 3 25 25 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 91 4 % % NN cord-315735-0a49okho 91 5 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 91 6 adults adult NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 91 7 change change VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 91 8 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-315735-0a49okho 91 9 contact contact NN cord-315735-0a49okho 91 10 habits habit NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 91 11 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 91 12 all all DT cord-315735-0a49okho 91 13 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 91 14 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 91 15 interventions intervention NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 91 16 are be VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 91 17 set set VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 91 18 to to TO cord-315735-0a49okho 91 19 rebound rebound VB cord-315735-0a49okho 91 20 as as RB cord-315735-0a49okho 91 21 soon soon RB cord-315735-0a49okho 91 22 as as IN cord-315735-0a49okho 91 23 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 91 24 intervention intervention NN cord-315735-0a49okho 91 25 is be VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 91 26 lifted lift VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 91 27 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 91 28 Figure Figure NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 91 29 3A 3a CD cord-315735-0a49okho 91 30 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 91 31 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 92 1 Surprisingly surprisingly RB cord-315735-0a49okho 92 2 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 92 3 cases case NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 92 4 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 92 5 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 92 6 hence hence RB cord-315735-0a49okho 92 7 hospitalizations hospitalization NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 92 8 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 92 9 deaths death NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 92 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 92 11 can can MD cord-315735-0a49okho 92 12 be be VB cord-315735-0a49okho 92 13 reduced reduce VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 92 14 by by IN cord-315735-0a49okho 92 15 94 94 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 92 16 % % NN cord-315735-0a49okho 92 17 over over IN cord-315735-0a49okho 92 18 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 92 19 first first JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 92 20 100 100 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 92 21 days day NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 92 22 if if IN cord-315735-0a49okho 92 23 all all DT cord-315735-0a49okho 92 24 groups group NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 92 25 reduce reduce VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 92 26 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-315735-0a49okho 92 27 contacts contact NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 92 28 with with IN cord-315735-0a49okho 92 29 5 5 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 92 30 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 93 1 CC CC NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 93 2 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 93 3 BY BY NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 93 4 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 93 5 NC NC NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 93 6 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 93 7 ND ND NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 93 8 4.0 4.0 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 93 9 International international JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 93 10 license license NN cord-315735-0a49okho 93 11 It -PRON- PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 93 12 is be VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 93 13 made make VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 93 14 available available JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 93 15 under under IN cord-315735-0a49okho 93 16 a a DT cord-315735-0a49okho 93 17 author author NN cord-315735-0a49okho 93 18 / / SYM cord-315735-0a49okho 93 19 funder funder NN cord-315735-0a49okho 93 20 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 93 21 who who WP cord-315735-0a49okho 93 22 has have VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 93 23 granted grant VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 93 24 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 93 25 a a DT cord-315735-0a49okho 93 26 license license NN cord-315735-0a49okho 93 27 to to TO cord-315735-0a49okho 93 28 display display VB cord-315735-0a49okho 93 29 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 93 30 preprint preprint NN cord-315735-0a49okho 93 31 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 93 32 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-315735-0a49okho 93 33 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 93 34 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 94 1 CC CC NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 94 2 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 94 3 BY BY NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 94 4 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 94 5 NC NC NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 94 6 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 94 7 ND ND NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 94 8 4.0 4.0 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 94 9 International international JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 94 10 license license NN cord-315735-0a49okho 95 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 95 2 is be VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 95 3 made make VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 95 4 available available JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 95 5 under under IN cord-315735-0a49okho 95 6 a a DT cord-315735-0a49okho 95 7 author author NN cord-315735-0a49okho 95 8 / / SYM cord-315735-0a49okho 95 9 funder funder NN cord-315735-0a49okho 95 10 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 95 11 who who WP cord-315735-0a49okho 95 12 has have VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 95 13 granted grant VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 95 14 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 95 15 a a DT cord-315735-0a49okho 95 16 license license NN cord-315735-0a49okho 95 17 to to TO cord-315735-0a49okho 95 18 display display VB cord-315735-0a49okho 95 19 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 95 20 preprint preprint NN cord-315735-0a49okho 95 21 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 95 22 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-315735-0a49okho 95 23 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 96 1 is be VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 96 2 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 96 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 96 4 which which WDT cord-315735-0a49okho 96 5 was be VBD cord-315735-0a49okho 96 6 not not RB cord-315735-0a49okho 96 7 peer peer NN cord-315735-0a49okho 96 8 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 96 9 reviewed review VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 96 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 97 1 The the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 97 2 copyright copyright NN cord-315735-0a49okho 97 3 holder holder NN cord-315735-0a49okho 97 4 for for IN cord-315735-0a49okho 97 5 this this DT cord-315735-0a49okho 97 6 preprint preprint NN cord-315735-0a49okho 97 7 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 98 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.27.20044891 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.27.20044891 JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 98 2 doi doi NN cord-315735-0a49okho 98 3 : : : cord-315735-0a49okho 99 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 99 2 preprint preprint NN cord-315735-0a49okho 99 3 others other NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 99 4 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 99 5 even even RB cord-315735-0a49okho 99 6 when when WRB cord-315735-0a49okho 99 7 adults adult NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 99 8 do do VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 99 9 so so RB cord-315735-0a49okho 99 10 by by IN cord-315735-0a49okho 99 11 only only RB cord-315735-0a49okho 99 12 25 25 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 99 13 % % NN cord-315735-0a49okho 100 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 100 2 Figure figure NN cord-315735-0a49okho 100 3 4A 4a CD cord-315735-0a49okho 100 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 100 5 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 101 1 Here here RB cord-315735-0a49okho 101 2 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 101 3 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 101 4 reduction reduction NN cord-315735-0a49okho 101 5 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 101 6 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 101 7 number number NN cord-315735-0a49okho 101 8 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 101 9 cases case NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 101 10 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 101 11 hospitalizations hospitalization NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 101 12 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 101 13 deaths death NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 101 14 is be VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 101 15 evenly evenly RB cord-315735-0a49okho 101 16 distributed distribute VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 101 17 across across IN cord-315735-0a49okho 101 18 all all DT cord-315735-0a49okho 101 19 age age NN cord-315735-0a49okho 101 20 groups group NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 101 21 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 101 22 Figures figure NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 101 23 S4A s4a JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 101 24 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 101 25 S6A s6a NN cord-315735-0a49okho 101 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 101 27 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 102 1 When when WRB cord-315735-0a49okho 102 2 adults adult NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 102 3 ' ' POS cord-315735-0a49okho 102 4 contacts contact NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 102 5 are be VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 102 6 reduced reduce VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 102 7 by by IN cord-315735-0a49okho 102 8 75 75 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 102 9 % % NN cord-315735-0a49okho 102 10 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 102 11 all all DT cord-315735-0a49okho 102 12 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 102 13 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 102 14 interventions intervention NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 102 15 but but CC cord-315735-0a49okho 102 16 one one CD cord-315735-0a49okho 102 17 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 102 18 where where WRB cord-315735-0a49okho 102 19 everyone everyone NN cord-315735-0a49okho 102 20 reduces reduce VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 102 21 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-315735-0a49okho 102 22 contacts contact NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 102 23 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 102 24 rebound rebound VB cord-315735-0a49okho 102 25 immediately immediately RB cord-315735-0a49okho 102 26 after after IN cord-315735-0a49okho 102 27 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 102 28 end end NN cord-315735-0a49okho 102 29 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 102 30 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 102 31 intervention intervention NN cord-315735-0a49okho 102 32 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 102 33 Figure figure NN cord-315735-0a49okho 102 34 3B 3b CD cord-315735-0a49okho 102 35 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 102 36 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 103 1 As as IN cord-315735-0a49okho 103 2 expected expect VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 103 3 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 103 4 adult adult NN cord-315735-0a49okho 103 5 groups group NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 103 6 see see VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 103 7 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 103 8 greatest great JJS cord-315735-0a49okho 103 9 reductions reduction NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 103 10 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 103 11 cases case NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 103 12 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 103 13 hospitalizations hospitalization NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 103 14 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 103 15 deaths death NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 103 16 from from IN cord-315735-0a49okho 103 17 this this DT cord-315735-0a49okho 103 18 intervention intervention NN cord-315735-0a49okho 103 19 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 103 20 Figures figure NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 103 21 S5B S5B NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 103 22 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 103 23 S6B s6b NN cord-315735-0a49okho 103 24 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 103 25 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 104 1 Interestingly interestingly RB cord-315735-0a49okho 104 2 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 104 3 at at IN cord-315735-0a49okho 104 4 this this DT cord-315735-0a49okho 104 5 rate rate NN cord-315735-0a49okho 104 6 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 104 7 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 104 8 strategy strategy NN cord-315735-0a49okho 104 9 that that WDT cord-315735-0a49okho 104 10 reduces reduce VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 104 11 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 104 12 contact contact NN cord-315735-0a49okho 104 13 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 104 14 adults adult NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 104 15 over over IN cord-315735-0a49okho 104 16 60 60 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 104 17 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 104 18 children child NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 104 19 averts avert VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 104 20 10 10 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 104 21 % % NN cord-315735-0a49okho 104 22 more more JJR cord-315735-0a49okho 104 23 cases case NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 104 24 than than IN cord-315735-0a49okho 104 25 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 104 26 strategy strategy NN cord-315735-0a49okho 104 27 that that WDT cord-315735-0a49okho 104 28 targets target VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 104 29 adults adult NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 104 30 only only RB cord-315735-0a49okho 104 31 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 104 32 87 87 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 104 33 % % NN cord-315735-0a49okho 104 34 vs. vs. IN cord-315735-0a49okho 104 35 77 77 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 104 36 % % NN cord-315735-0a49okho 104 37 cases case NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 104 38 averted avert VBD cord-315735-0a49okho 104 39 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 104 40 but but CC cord-315735-0a49okho 104 41 they -PRON- PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 104 42 yield yield VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 104 43 similar similar JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 104 44 reductions reduction NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 104 45 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 104 46 hospitalizations hospitalization NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 104 47 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 104 48 deaths death NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 104 49 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 104 50 88 88 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 104 51 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 104 52 86 86 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 104 53 % % NN cord-315735-0a49okho 104 54 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 104 55 hospitalizations hospitalization NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 104 56 averted avert VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 104 57 ; ; : cord-315735-0a49okho 104 58 91 91 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 104 59 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 104 60 87 87 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 104 61 % % NN cord-315735-0a49okho 104 62 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 104 63 deaths death NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 104 64 averted avert VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 104 65 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 104 66 respectively respectively RB cord-315735-0a49okho 104 67 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 104 68 Figure figure NN cord-315735-0a49okho 104 69 4B 4b NN cord-315735-0a49okho 104 70 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 104 71 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 105 1 When when WRB cord-315735-0a49okho 105 2 adults adult NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 105 3 further further RB cord-315735-0a49okho 105 4 reduce reduce VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 105 5 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-315735-0a49okho 105 6 contacts contact NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 105 7 by by IN cord-315735-0a49okho 105 8 95 95 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 105 9 % % NN cord-315735-0a49okho 105 10 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 105 11 both both DT cord-315735-0a49okho 105 12 strategies strategy NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 105 13 avert avert VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 105 14 over over IN cord-315735-0a49okho 105 15 90 90 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 105 16 % % NN cord-315735-0a49okho 105 17 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 105 18 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 105 19 hospitalizations hospitalization NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 105 20 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 105 21 deaths death NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 105 22 over over IN cord-315735-0a49okho 105 23 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 105 24 first first JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 105 25 100 100 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 105 26 days day NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 105 27 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 105 28 Figure figure NN cord-315735-0a49okho 105 29 4C 4c CD cord-315735-0a49okho 105 30 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 105 31 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 106 1 Further further RB cord-315735-0a49okho 106 2 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 106 3 once once IN cord-315735-0a49okho 106 4 adults adult NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 106 5 reduce reduce VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 106 6 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-315735-0a49okho 106 7 contact contact NN cord-315735-0a49okho 106 8 rates rate NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 106 9 by by IN cord-315735-0a49okho 106 10 75 75 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 106 11 % % NN cord-315735-0a49okho 106 12 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 106 13 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 106 14 strategy strategy NN cord-315735-0a49okho 106 15 all all DT cord-315735-0a49okho 106 16 mitigates mitigate VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 106 17 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 106 18 outbreak outbreak NN cord-315735-0a49okho 106 19 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 106 20 Figures figure NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 106 21 3B 3B NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 106 22 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 106 23 C C NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 106 24 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 106 25 4B 4B NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 106 26 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 106 27 C C NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 106 28 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 106 29 S4B s4b NN cord-315735-0a49okho 106 30 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 106 31 C c NN cord-315735-0a49okho 106 32 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 106 33 S6B s6b NN cord-315735-0a49okho 106 34 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 106 35 C C NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 106 36 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 106 37 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 107 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 107 2 is be VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 107 3 important important JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 107 4 to to TO cord-315735-0a49okho 107 5 note note VB cord-315735-0a49okho 107 6 that that IN cord-315735-0a49okho 107 7 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 107 8 error error NN cord-315735-0a49okho 107 9 bars bar NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 107 10 are be VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 107 11 considerably considerably RB cord-315735-0a49okho 107 12 large large JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 107 13 when when WRB cord-315735-0a49okho 107 14 adults adult NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 107 15 reduce reduce VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 107 16 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-315735-0a49okho 107 17 contact contact NN cord-315735-0a49okho 107 18 rates rate NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 107 19 by by IN cord-315735-0a49okho 107 20 25 25 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 107 21 % % NN cord-315735-0a49okho 107 22 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 107 23 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 107 24 this this DT cord-315735-0a49okho 107 25 uncertainty uncertainty NN cord-315735-0a49okho 107 26 tends tend VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 107 27 to to TO cord-315735-0a49okho 107 28 smooth smooth VB cord-315735-0a49okho 107 29 out out RP cord-315735-0a49okho 107 30 as as IN cord-315735-0a49okho 107 31 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 107 32 adults adult NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 107 33 further further RB cord-315735-0a49okho 107 34 reduce reduce VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 107 35 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-315735-0a49okho 107 36 contact contact NN cord-315735-0a49okho 107 37 rates rate NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 107 38 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 108 1 The the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 108 2 term term NN cord-315735-0a49okho 108 3 ' ' `` cord-315735-0a49okho 108 4 flatten flatten VB cord-315735-0a49okho 108 5 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 108 6 curve curve NN cord-315735-0a49okho 108 7 ' ' '' cord-315735-0a49okho 108 8 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 108 9 originating originate VBG cord-315735-0a49okho 108 10 from from IN cord-315735-0a49okho 108 11 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 108 12 Centers Centers NNPS cord-315735-0a49okho 108 13 for for IN cord-315735-0a49okho 108 14 Disease Disease NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 108 15 Control Control NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 108 16 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 108 17 Prevention Prevention NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 108 18 [ [ -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 108 19 28 28 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 108 20 ] ] -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 108 21 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 108 22 has have VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 108 23 been be VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 108 24 used use VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 108 25 widely widely RB cord-315735-0a49okho 108 26 to to TO cord-315735-0a49okho 108 27 describe describe VB cord-315735-0a49okho 108 28 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 108 29 impact impact NN cord-315735-0a49okho 108 30 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 108 31 social social JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 108 32 distancing distancing NN cord-315735-0a49okho 108 33 interventions intervention NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 108 34 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 109 1 Here here RB cord-315735-0a49okho 109 2 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 109 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 109 4 used use VBD cord-315735-0a49okho 109 5 a a DT cord-315735-0a49okho 109 6 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 109 7 model model NN cord-315735-0a49okho 109 8 to to TO cord-315735-0a49okho 109 9 quantify quantify VB cord-315735-0a49okho 109 10 this this DT cord-315735-0a49okho 109 11 term term NN cord-315735-0a49okho 109 12 by by IN cord-315735-0a49okho 109 13 measuring measure VBG cord-315735-0a49okho 109 14 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 109 15 short short JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 109 16 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 109 17 term term NN cord-315735-0a49okho 109 18 number number NN cord-315735-0a49okho 109 19 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 109 20 cases case NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 109 21 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 109 22 hospitalization hospitalization NN cord-315735-0a49okho 109 23 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 109 24 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 109 25 deaths death NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 109 26 averted avert VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 109 27 over over IN cord-315735-0a49okho 109 28 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 109 29 first first JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 109 30 100 100 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 109 31 days day NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 109 32 under under IN cord-315735-0a49okho 109 33 four four CD cord-315735-0a49okho 109 34 different different JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 109 35 social social JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 109 36 distancing distance VBG cord-315735-0a49okho 109 37 interventions intervention NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 109 38 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 109 39 assuming assume VBG cord-315735-0a49okho 109 40 different different JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 109 41 levels level NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 109 42 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 109 43 compliance compliance NN cord-315735-0a49okho 109 44 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 109 45 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 109 46 adult adult NN cord-315735-0a49okho 109 47 population population NN cord-315735-0a49okho 109 48 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 110 1 When when WRB cord-315735-0a49okho 110 2 looking look VBG cord-315735-0a49okho 110 3 at at IN cord-315735-0a49okho 110 4 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 110 5 shortterm shortterm JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 110 6 impact impact NN cord-315735-0a49okho 110 7 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 110 8 here here RB cord-315735-0a49okho 110 9 considered consider VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 110 10 to to TO cord-315735-0a49okho 110 11 be be VB cord-315735-0a49okho 110 12 over over IN cord-315735-0a49okho 110 13 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 110 14 first first JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 110 15 100 100 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 110 16 days day NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 110 17 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 110 18 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 110 19 social social JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 110 20 distancing distance VBG cord-315735-0a49okho 110 21 interventions intervention NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 110 22 started start VBD cord-315735-0a49okho 110 23 early early RB cord-315735-0a49okho 110 24 on on RB cord-315735-0a49okho 110 25 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 110 26 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 110 27 epidemic epidemic NN cord-315735-0a49okho 110 28 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 110 29 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-315735-0a49okho 110 30 models model NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 110 31 suggest suggest VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 110 32 that that IN cord-315735-0a49okho 110 33 only only RB cord-315735-0a49okho 110 34 a a DT cord-315735-0a49okho 110 35 social social JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 110 36 distancing distance VBG cord-315735-0a49okho 110 37 intervention intervention NN cord-315735-0a49okho 110 38 involving involve VBG cord-315735-0a49okho 110 39 all all PDT cord-315735-0a49okho 110 40 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 110 41 age age NN cord-315735-0a49okho 110 42 groups group NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 110 43 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 110 44 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 110 45 population population NN cord-315735-0a49okho 110 46 would would MD cord-315735-0a49okho 110 47 considerably considerably RB cord-315735-0a49okho 110 48 decrease decrease VB cord-315735-0a49okho 110 49 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 110 50 number number NN cord-315735-0a49okho 110 51 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 110 52 cases case NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 110 53 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 110 54 delay delay VB cord-315735-0a49okho 110 55 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 110 56 epidemic epidemic NN cord-315735-0a49okho 110 57 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 110 58 most most RBS cord-315735-0a49okho 110 59 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 111 1 However however RB cord-315735-0a49okho 111 2 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 111 3 with with IN cord-315735-0a49okho 111 4 as as RB cord-315735-0a49okho 111 5 little little JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 111 6 as as IN cord-315735-0a49okho 111 7 25 25 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 111 8 % % NN cord-315735-0a49okho 111 9 reduction reduction NN cord-315735-0a49okho 111 10 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 111 11 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 111 12 contact contact NN cord-315735-0a49okho 111 13 rates rate NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 111 14 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 111 15 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 111 16 adult adult NN cord-315735-0a49okho 111 17 population population NN cord-315735-0a49okho 111 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 111 19 combined combine VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 111 20 with with IN cord-315735-0a49okho 111 21 95 95 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 111 22 % % NN cord-315735-0a49okho 111 23 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 111 24 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 111 25 older old JJR cord-315735-0a49okho 111 26 adults adult NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 111 27 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 111 28 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 111 29 one one PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 111 30 could could MD cord-315735-0a49okho 111 31 reduce reduce VB cord-315735-0a49okho 111 32 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 111 33 number number NN cord-315735-0a49okho 111 34 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 111 35 hospitalizations hospitalization NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 111 36 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 111 37 deaths death NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 111 38 by by IN cord-315735-0a49okho 111 39 over over IN cord-315735-0a49okho 111 40 90 90 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 111 41 % % NN cord-315735-0a49okho 111 42 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 112 1 Furthermore furthermore RB cord-315735-0a49okho 112 2 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 112 3 reducing reduce VBG cord-315735-0a49okho 112 4 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 112 5 contact contact NN cord-315735-0a49okho 112 6 rates rate NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 112 7 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 112 8 adults adult NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 112 9 over over IN cord-315735-0a49okho 112 10 60 60 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 112 11 alone alone RB cord-315735-0a49okho 112 12 can can MD cord-315735-0a49okho 112 13 have have VB cord-315735-0a49okho 112 14 a a DT cord-315735-0a49okho 112 15 considerable considerable JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 112 16 impact impact NN cord-315735-0a49okho 112 17 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 112 18 reducing reduce VBG cord-315735-0a49okho 112 19 hospitalizations hospitalization NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 112 20 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 112 21 deaths death NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 112 22 by by IN cord-315735-0a49okho 112 23 over over IN cord-315735-0a49okho 112 24 30 30 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 112 25 % % NN cord-315735-0a49okho 112 26 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 112 27 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 112 28 agreement agreement NN cord-315735-0a49okho 112 29 with with IN cord-315735-0a49okho 112 30 what what WP cord-315735-0a49okho 112 31 others other NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 112 32 have have VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 112 33 found find VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 112 34 [ [ -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 112 35 29 29 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 112 36 ] ] -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 112 37 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 113 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 113 2 is be VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 113 3 important important JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 113 4 to to TO cord-315735-0a49okho 113 5 interpret interpret VB cord-315735-0a49okho 113 6 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-315735-0a49okho 113 7 results result NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 113 8 with with IN cord-315735-0a49okho 113 9 caution caution NN cord-315735-0a49okho 113 10 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 114 1 As as IN cord-315735-0a49okho 114 2 any any DT cord-315735-0a49okho 114 3 model model NN cord-315735-0a49okho 114 4 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 114 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 114 6 have have VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 114 7 made make VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 114 8 important important JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 114 9 assumptions assumption NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 114 10 that that WDT cord-315735-0a49okho 114 11 could could MD cord-315735-0a49okho 114 12 overestimate overestimate VB cord-315735-0a49okho 114 13 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 114 14 effect effect NN cord-315735-0a49okho 114 15 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 114 16 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 114 17 interventions intervention NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 114 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 114 19 see see VB cord-315735-0a49okho 114 20 limitations limitation NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 114 21 below below RB cord-315735-0a49okho 114 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 114 23 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 115 1 Quantifying quantify VBG cord-315735-0a49okho 115 2 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 115 3 short short JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 115 4 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 115 5 term term NN cord-315735-0a49okho 115 6 impact impact NN cord-315735-0a49okho 115 7 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 115 8 an an DT cord-315735-0a49okho 115 9 intervention intervention NN cord-315735-0a49okho 115 10 is be VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 115 11 very very RB cord-315735-0a49okho 115 12 important important JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 115 13 since since IN cord-315735-0a49okho 115 14 it -PRON- PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 115 15 allows allow VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 115 16 decision decision NN cord-315735-0a49okho 115 17 makers maker NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 115 18 to to TO cord-315735-0a49okho 115 19 estimate estimate VB cord-315735-0a49okho 115 20 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 115 21 immediate immediate JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 115 22 number number NN cord-315735-0a49okho 115 23 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 115 24 resources resource NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 115 25 needed need VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 115 26 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 115 27 to to TO cord-315735-0a49okho 115 28 plan plan VB cord-315735-0a49okho 115 29 for for IN cord-315735-0a49okho 115 30 further further JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 115 31 resources resource NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 115 32 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 115 33 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 115 34 long long JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 115 35 term term NN cord-315735-0a49okho 115 36 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 116 1 However however RB cord-315735-0a49okho 116 2 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 116 3 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-315735-0a49okho 116 4 simulations simulation NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 116 5 suggest suggest VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 116 6 that that IN cord-315735-0a49okho 116 7 even even RB cord-315735-0a49okho 116 8 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 116 9 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 116 10 more more RBR cord-315735-0a49okho 116 11 optimistic optimistic JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 116 12 scenario scenario NN cord-315735-0a49okho 116 13 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 116 14 where where WRB cord-315735-0a49okho 116 15 all all PDT cord-315735-0a49okho 116 16 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 116 17 age age NN cord-315735-0a49okho 116 18 groups group NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 116 19 reduce reduce VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 116 20 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-315735-0a49okho 116 21 contact contact NN cord-315735-0a49okho 116 22 rates rate NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 116 23 over over IN cord-315735-0a49okho 116 24 85 85 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 116 25 % % NN cord-315735-0a49okho 116 26 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 116 27 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 116 28 epidemic epidemic NN cord-315735-0a49okho 116 29 is be VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 116 30 set set VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 116 31 to to TO cord-315735-0a49okho 116 32 rebound rebound VB cord-315735-0a49okho 116 33 once once IN cord-315735-0a49okho 116 34 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 116 35 social social JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 116 36 distancing distance VBG cord-315735-0a49okho 116 37 interventions intervention NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 116 38 are be VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 116 39 lifted lift VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 116 40 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 117 1 Our -PRON- PRP$ cord-315735-0a49okho 117 2 results result NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 117 3 suggest suggest VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 117 4 that that IN cord-315735-0a49okho 117 5 social social JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 117 6 distancing distance VBG cord-315735-0a49okho 117 7 interventions intervention NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 117 8 can can MD cord-315735-0a49okho 117 9 " " `` cord-315735-0a49okho 117 10 buy buy VB cord-315735-0a49okho 117 11 us -PRON- PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 117 12 " " '' cord-315735-0a49okho 117 13 several several JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 117 14 weeks week NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 117 15 that that WDT cord-315735-0a49okho 117 16 could could MD cord-315735-0a49okho 117 17 prove prove VB cord-315735-0a49okho 117 18 to to TO cord-315735-0a49okho 117 19 be be VB cord-315735-0a49okho 117 20 essential essential JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 117 21 to to TO cord-315735-0a49okho 117 22 strengthen strengthen VB cord-315735-0a49okho 117 23 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-315735-0a49okho 117 24 health health NN cord-315735-0a49okho 117 25 systems system NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 117 26 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 117 27 restock restock VB cord-315735-0a49okho 117 28 medical medical JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 117 29 supplies supply NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 117 30 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 117 31 but but CC cord-315735-0a49okho 117 32 will will MD cord-315735-0a49okho 117 33 fail fail VB cord-315735-0a49okho 117 34 to to TO cord-315735-0a49okho 117 35 mitigate mitigate VB cord-315735-0a49okho 117 36 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 117 37 current current JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 117 38 pandemic pandemic NN cord-315735-0a49okho 117 39 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 118 1 This this DT cord-315735-0a49okho 118 2 is be VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 118 3 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 118 4 agreement agreement NN cord-315735-0a49okho 118 5 with with IN cord-315735-0a49okho 118 6 other other JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 118 7 modeling modeling NN cord-315735-0a49okho 118 8 results result NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 118 9 which which WDT cord-315735-0a49okho 118 10 suggested suggest VBD cord-315735-0a49okho 118 11 that that IN cord-315735-0a49okho 118 12 very very RB cord-315735-0a49okho 118 13 long long JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 118 14 periods period NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 118 15 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 118 16 social social JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 118 17 distancing distancing NN cord-315735-0a49okho 118 18 would would MD cord-315735-0a49okho 118 19 be be VB cord-315735-0a49okho 118 20 needed need VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 118 21 to to TO cord-315735-0a49okho 118 22 control control VB cord-315735-0a49okho 118 23 transmission transmission NN cord-315735-0a49okho 118 24 [ [ -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 118 25 20 20 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 118 26 ] ] -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 118 27 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 119 1 Yet yet RB cord-315735-0a49okho 119 2 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 119 3 sustaining sustain VBG cord-315735-0a49okho 119 4 social social JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 119 5 distancing distance VBG cord-315735-0a49okho 119 6 interventions intervention NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 119 7 over over IN cord-315735-0a49okho 119 8 a a DT cord-315735-0a49okho 119 9 period period NN cord-315735-0a49okho 119 10 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 119 11 several several JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 119 12 months month NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 119 13 might may MD cord-315735-0a49okho 119 14 not not RB cord-315735-0a49okho 119 15 be be VB cord-315735-0a49okho 119 16 feasible feasible JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 119 17 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 119 18 both both CC cord-315735-0a49okho 119 19 economically economically RB cord-315735-0a49okho 119 20 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 119 21 socially socially RB cord-315735-0a49okho 119 22 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 120 1 A a DT cord-315735-0a49okho 120 2 combination combination NN cord-315735-0a49okho 120 3 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 120 4 social social JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 120 5 distancing distance VBG cord-315735-0a49okho 120 6 interventions intervention NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 120 7 with with IN cord-315735-0a49okho 120 8 testing testing NN cord-315735-0a49okho 120 9 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 120 10 isolation isolation NN cord-315735-0a49okho 120 11 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 120 12 contact contact NN cord-315735-0a49okho 120 13 tracing tracing NN cord-315735-0a49okho 120 14 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 120 15 new new JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 120 16 cases case NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 120 17 is be VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 120 18 needed need VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 120 19 to to TO cord-315735-0a49okho 120 20 suppress suppress VB cord-315735-0a49okho 120 21 transmission transmission NN cord-315735-0a49okho 120 22 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 120 23 SARS SARS NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 120 24 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 120 25 CoV-2 CoV-2 NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 120 26 [ [ -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 120 27 30 30 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 120 28 ] ] -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 120 29 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 121 1 Further further RB cord-315735-0a49okho 121 2 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 121 3 these these DT cord-315735-0a49okho 121 4 interventions intervention NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 121 5 need need VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 121 6 to to TO cord-315735-0a49okho 121 7 happen happen VB cord-315735-0a49okho 121 8 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 121 9 synchrony synchrony NN cord-315735-0a49okho 121 10 around around IN cord-315735-0a49okho 121 11 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 121 12 world world NN cord-315735-0a49okho 121 13 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 121 14 as as IN cord-315735-0a49okho 121 15 a a DT cord-315735-0a49okho 121 16 new new JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 121 17 imported import VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 121 18 case case NN cord-315735-0a49okho 121 19 could could MD cord-315735-0a49okho 121 20 spark spark VB cord-315735-0a49okho 121 21 a a DT cord-315735-0a49okho 121 22 new new JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 121 23 outbreak outbreak NN cord-315735-0a49okho 121 24 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 121 25 any any DT cord-315735-0a49okho 121 26 given give VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 121 27 region region NN cord-315735-0a49okho 121 28 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 122 1 Furthermore furthermore RB cord-315735-0a49okho 122 2 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 122 3 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-315735-0a49okho 122 4 results result NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 122 5 highlight highlight VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 122 6 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 122 7 importance importance NN cord-315735-0a49okho 122 8 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 122 9 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 122 10 timing timing NN cord-315735-0a49okho 122 11 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 122 12 social social JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 122 13 distancing distance VBG cord-315735-0a49okho 122 14 interventions intervention NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 122 15 8 8 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 122 16 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 123 1 CC CC NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 123 2 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 123 3 BY BY NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 123 4 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 123 5 NC NC NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 123 6 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 123 7 ND ND NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 123 8 4.0 4.0 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 123 9 International international JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 123 10 license license NN cord-315735-0a49okho 123 11 It -PRON- PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 123 12 is be VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 123 13 made make VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 123 14 available available JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 123 15 under under IN cord-315735-0a49okho 123 16 a a DT cord-315735-0a49okho 123 17 author author NN cord-315735-0a49okho 123 18 / / SYM cord-315735-0a49okho 123 19 funder funder NN cord-315735-0a49okho 123 20 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 123 21 who who WP cord-315735-0a49okho 123 22 has have VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 123 23 granted grant VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 123 24 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 123 25 a a DT cord-315735-0a49okho 123 26 license license NN cord-315735-0a49okho 123 27 to to TO cord-315735-0a49okho 123 28 display display VB cord-315735-0a49okho 123 29 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 123 30 preprint preprint NN cord-315735-0a49okho 123 31 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 123 32 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-315735-0a49okho 123 33 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 124 1 is be VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 124 2 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 124 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 124 4 which which WDT cord-315735-0a49okho 124 5 was be VBD cord-315735-0a49okho 124 6 not not RB cord-315735-0a49okho 124 7 peer peer NN cord-315735-0a49okho 124 8 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 124 9 reviewed review VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 124 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 125 1 The the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 125 2 copyright copyright NN cord-315735-0a49okho 125 3 holder holder NN cord-315735-0a49okho 125 4 for for IN cord-315735-0a49okho 125 5 this this DT cord-315735-0a49okho 125 6 preprint preprint NN cord-315735-0a49okho 125 7 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 126 1 relative relative JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 126 2 to to IN cord-315735-0a49okho 126 3 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 126 4 epidemic epidemic NN cord-315735-0a49okho 126 5 curve curve NN cord-315735-0a49okho 126 6 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 127 1 If if IN cord-315735-0a49okho 127 2 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 127 3 intervention intervention NN cord-315735-0a49okho 127 4 is be VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 127 5 put put VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 127 6 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 127 7 place place NN cord-315735-0a49okho 127 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 127 9 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 127 10 lifted lift VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 127 11 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 127 12 early early RB cord-315735-0a49okho 127 13 on on RB cord-315735-0a49okho 127 14 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 127 15 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 127 16 epidemic epidemic NN cord-315735-0a49okho 127 17 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 127 18 it -PRON- PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 127 19 results result VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 127 20 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 127 21 a a DT cord-315735-0a49okho 127 22 delay delay NN cord-315735-0a49okho 127 23 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 127 24 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 127 25 epidemic epidemic NN cord-315735-0a49okho 127 26 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 127 27 but but CC cord-315735-0a49okho 127 28 if if IN cord-315735-0a49okho 127 29 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 127 30 intervention intervention NN cord-315735-0a49okho 127 31 occurs occur VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 127 32 later later RB cord-315735-0a49okho 127 33 on on RB cord-315735-0a49okho 127 34 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 127 35 then then RB cord-315735-0a49okho 127 36 it -PRON- PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 127 37 results result VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 127 38 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 127 39 flattening flatten VBG cord-315735-0a49okho 127 40 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 127 41 curve curve NN cord-315735-0a49okho 127 42 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 128 1 Indeed indeed RB cord-315735-0a49okho 128 2 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 128 3 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 128 4 effectiveness effectiveness NN cord-315735-0a49okho 128 5 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 128 6 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 128 7 intervention intervention NN cord-315735-0a49okho 128 8 will will MD cord-315735-0a49okho 128 9 depend depend VB cord-315735-0a49okho 128 10 on on IN cord-315735-0a49okho 128 11 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 128 12 ratio ratio NN cord-315735-0a49okho 128 13 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 128 14 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 128 15 number number NN cord-315735-0a49okho 128 16 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 128 17 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 128 18 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 128 19 infected infected JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 128 20 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 128 21 recovered recover VBD cord-315735-0a49okho 128 22 people people NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 128 23 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 128 24 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 128 25 population population NN cord-315735-0a49okho 128 26 at at IN cord-315735-0a49okho 128 27 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 128 28 beginning beginning NN cord-315735-0a49okho 128 29 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 128 30 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 128 31 intervention intervention NN cord-315735-0a49okho 128 32 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 129 1 There there EX cord-315735-0a49okho 129 2 is be VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 129 3 evidence evidence NN cord-315735-0a49okho 129 4 that that IN cord-315735-0a49okho 129 5 recovered recover VBD cord-315735-0a49okho 129 6 individuals individual NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 129 7 will will MD cord-315735-0a49okho 129 8 have have VB cord-315735-0a49okho 129 9 immunity immunity NN cord-315735-0a49okho 129 10 to to TO cord-315735-0a49okho 129 11 COVID-19 covid-19 VB cord-315735-0a49okho 129 12 [ [ -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 129 13 31 31 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 129 14 ] ] -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 129 15 but but CC cord-315735-0a49okho 129 16 it -PRON- PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 129 17 is be VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 129 18 unclear unclear JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 129 19 at at IN cord-315735-0a49okho 129 20 this this DT cord-315735-0a49okho 129 21 point point NN cord-315735-0a49okho 129 22 how how WRB cord-315735-0a49okho 129 23 long long RB cord-315735-0a49okho 129 24 this this DT cord-315735-0a49okho 129 25 immunity immunity NN cord-315735-0a49okho 129 26 will will MD cord-315735-0a49okho 129 27 last last VB cord-315735-0a49okho 129 28 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 130 1 Recovered recover VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 130 2 individuals individual NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 130 3 would would MD cord-315735-0a49okho 130 4 be be VB cord-315735-0a49okho 130 5 able able JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 130 6 to to TO cord-315735-0a49okho 130 7 re re VB cord-315735-0a49okho 130 8 - - VB cord-315735-0a49okho 130 9 enter enter VB cord-315735-0a49okho 130 10 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 130 11 work work NN cord-315735-0a49okho 130 12 force force NN cord-315735-0a49okho 130 13 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 130 14 help help VB cord-315735-0a49okho 130 15 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 130 16 most most RBS cord-315735-0a49okho 130 17 vulnerable vulnerable JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 130 18 groups group NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 130 19 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 131 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 131 2 is be VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 131 3 then then RB cord-315735-0a49okho 131 4 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 131 5 paramount paramount JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 131 6 importance importance NN cord-315735-0a49okho 131 7 to to TO cord-315735-0a49okho 131 8 have have VB cord-315735-0a49okho 131 9 an an DT cord-315735-0a49okho 131 10 accurate accurate JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 131 11 estimate estimate NN cord-315735-0a49okho 131 12 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 131 13 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 131 14 number number NN cord-315735-0a49okho 131 15 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 131 16 current current JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 131 17 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 131 18 recovered recover VBD cord-315735-0a49okho 131 19 cases case NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 131 20 to to TO cord-315735-0a49okho 131 21 evaluate evaluate VB cord-315735-0a49okho 131 22 possible possible JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 131 23 interventions intervention NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 131 24 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 132 1 As as IN cord-315735-0a49okho 132 2 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 132 3 March March NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 132 4 12 12 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 132 5 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 132 6 2020 2020 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 132 7 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 132 8 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 132 9 US US NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 132 10 had have VBD cord-315735-0a49okho 132 11 tested test VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 132 12 fewer few JJR cord-315735-0a49okho 132 13 than than IN cord-315735-0a49okho 132 14 15,000 15,000 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 132 15 CDC CDC NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 132 16 samples sample NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 132 17 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 132 18 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 132 19 contrast contrast NN cord-315735-0a49okho 132 20 to to IN cord-315735-0a49okho 132 21 over over IN cord-315735-0a49okho 132 22 200,000 200,000 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 132 23 tests test NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 132 24 performed perform VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 132 25 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 132 26 South South NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 132 27 Korea Korea NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 132 28 by by IN cord-315735-0a49okho 132 29 mid mid NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 132 30 - - NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 132 31 March March NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 132 32 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 133 1 [ [ -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 133 2 32 32 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 133 3 ] ] -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 133 4 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 134 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 134 2 is be VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 134 3 imperative imperative JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 134 4 to to TO cord-315735-0a49okho 134 5 expand expand VB cord-315735-0a49okho 134 6 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 134 7 testing testing NN cord-315735-0a49okho 134 8 capabilities capability NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 134 9 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 134 10 all all DT cord-315735-0a49okho 134 11 countries country NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 134 12 affected affect VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 134 13 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 135 1 Our -PRON- PRP$ cord-315735-0a49okho 135 2 results result NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 135 3 suggest suggest VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 135 4 that that IN cord-315735-0a49okho 135 5 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 135 6 infectious infectious JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 135 7 period period NN cord-315735-0a49okho 135 8 is be VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 135 9 a a DT cord-315735-0a49okho 135 10 key key JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 135 11 parameter parameter NN cord-315735-0a49okho 135 12 that that WDT cord-315735-0a49okho 135 13 has have VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 135 14 an an DT cord-315735-0a49okho 135 15 extraordinary extraordinary JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 135 16 influence influence NN cord-315735-0a49okho 135 17 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 135 18 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 135 19 modeled model VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 135 20 speed speed NN cord-315735-0a49okho 135 21 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 135 22 an an DT cord-315735-0a49okho 135 23 epidemic epidemic NN cord-315735-0a49okho 135 24 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 135 25 hence hence RB cord-315735-0a49okho 135 26 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 135 27 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 135 28 effectiveness effectiveness NN cord-315735-0a49okho 135 29 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 135 30 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 135 31 interventions intervention NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 135 32 considered consider VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 135 33 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 136 1 However however RB cord-315735-0a49okho 136 2 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 136 3 current current JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 136 4 estimates estimate NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 136 5 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 136 6 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 136 7 infectious infectious JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 136 8 period period NN cord-315735-0a49okho 136 9 range range NN cord-315735-0a49okho 136 10 from from IN cord-315735-0a49okho 136 11 5.5 5.5 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 136 12 days day NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 136 13 [ [ -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 136 14 18 18 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 136 15 ] ] -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 136 16 to to IN cord-315735-0a49okho 136 17 as as RB cord-315735-0a49okho 136 18 long long JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 136 19 as as IN cord-315735-0a49okho 136 20 20 20 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 136 21 days day NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 136 22 [ [ -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 136 23 27 27 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 136 24 ] ] -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 136 25 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 137 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 137 2 urgently urgently RB cord-315735-0a49okho 137 3 need need VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 137 4 to to TO cord-315735-0a49okho 137 5 perform perform VB cord-315735-0a49okho 137 6 studies study NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 137 7 to to TO cord-315735-0a49okho 137 8 have have VB cord-315735-0a49okho 137 9 a a DT cord-315735-0a49okho 137 10 better well JJR cord-315735-0a49okho 137 11 understanding understanding NN cord-315735-0a49okho 137 12 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 137 13 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 137 14 duration duration NN cord-315735-0a49okho 137 15 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 137 16 infectiousness infectiousness NN cord-315735-0a49okho 137 17 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 137 18 SARS SARS NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 137 19 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 137 20 CoV-2 CoV-2 NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 137 21 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 138 1 Our -PRON- PRP$ cord-315735-0a49okho 138 2 work work NN cord-315735-0a49okho 138 3 has have VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 138 4 several several JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 138 5 limitations limitation NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 138 6 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 138 7 has have VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 138 8 to to TO cord-315735-0a49okho 138 9 be be VB cord-315735-0a49okho 138 10 interpreted interpret VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 138 11 accordingly accordingly RB cord-315735-0a49okho 138 12 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 139 1 First first RB cord-315735-0a49okho 139 2 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 139 3 deterministic deterministic JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 139 4 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 139 5 models model NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 139 6 tend tend VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 139 7 to to TO cord-315735-0a49okho 139 8 overestimate overestimate VB cord-315735-0a49okho 139 9 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 139 10 final final JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 139 11 size size NN cord-315735-0a49okho 139 12 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 139 13 an an DT cord-315735-0a49okho 139 14 epidemic epidemic NN cord-315735-0a49okho 139 15 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 140 1 Further further RB cord-315735-0a49okho 140 2 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 140 3 deterministic deterministic JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 140 4 models model NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 140 5 will will MD cord-315735-0a49okho 140 6 always always RB cord-315735-0a49okho 140 7 predict predict VB cord-315735-0a49okho 140 8 a a DT cord-315735-0a49okho 140 9 rebound rebound NN cord-315735-0a49okho 140 10 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 140 11 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 140 12 epidemic epidemic NN cord-315735-0a49okho 140 13 once once IN cord-315735-0a49okho 140 14 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 140 15 intervention intervention NN cord-315735-0a49okho 140 16 is be VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 140 17 lifted lift VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 140 18 provided provide VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 140 19 that that IN cord-315735-0a49okho 140 20 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 140 21 number number NN cord-315735-0a49okho 140 22 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 140 23 infected infected JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 140 24 people people NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 140 25 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 140 26 exposed expose VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 140 27 or or CC cord-315735-0a49okho 140 28 infectious infectious JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 140 29 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 140 30 is be VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 140 31 positive positive JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 140 32 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 141 1 To to TO cord-315735-0a49okho 141 2 avoid avoid VB cord-315735-0a49okho 141 3 that that DT cord-315735-0a49okho 141 4 problem problem NN cord-315735-0a49okho 141 5 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 141 6 we -PRON- PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 141 7 forced force VBD cord-315735-0a49okho 141 8 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-315735-0a49okho 141 9 infected infected JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 141 10 compartments compartment NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 141 11 to to TO cord-315735-0a49okho 141 12 be be VB cord-315735-0a49okho 141 13 zero zero CD cord-315735-0a49okho 141 14 if if IN cord-315735-0a49okho 141 15 they -PRON- PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 141 16 had have VBD cord-315735-0a49okho 141 17 less less JJR cord-315735-0a49okho 141 18 than than IN cord-315735-0a49okho 141 19 one one CD cord-315735-0a49okho 141 20 person person NN cord-315735-0a49okho 141 21 infected infect VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 141 22 at at IN cord-315735-0a49okho 141 23 any any DT cord-315735-0a49okho 141 24 given give VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 141 25 time time NN cord-315735-0a49okho 141 26 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 142 1 Second second RB cord-315735-0a49okho 142 2 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 142 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 142 4 considered consider VBD cord-315735-0a49okho 142 5 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 142 6 latent latent JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 142 7 period period NN cord-315735-0a49okho 142 8 to to TO cord-315735-0a49okho 142 9 be be VB cord-315735-0a49okho 142 10 equal equal JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 142 11 to to IN cord-315735-0a49okho 142 12 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 142 13 incubation incubation NN cord-315735-0a49okho 142 14 period period NN cord-315735-0a49okho 142 15 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 142 16 but but CC cord-315735-0a49okho 142 17 it -PRON- PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 142 18 has have VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 142 19 been be VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 142 20 suggested suggest VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 142 21 that that IN cord-315735-0a49okho 142 22 pre pre JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 142 23 - - JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 142 24 symptomatic symptomatic JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 142 25 transmission transmission NN cord-315735-0a49okho 142 26 is be VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 142 27 occurring occur VBG cord-315735-0a49okho 142 28 [ [ -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 142 29 22 22 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 142 30 ] ] -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 142 31 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 142 32 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 142 33 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 142 34 virus virus NN cord-315735-0a49okho 142 35 SARS SARS NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 142 36 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 142 37 CoV-2 CoV-2 NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 142 38 is be VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 142 39 shed shed VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 142 40 for for IN cord-315735-0a49okho 142 41 a a DT cord-315735-0a49okho 142 42 prolonged prolong VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 142 43 time time NN cord-315735-0a49okho 142 44 after after IN cord-315735-0a49okho 142 45 symptoms symptom NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 142 46 end end VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 142 47 [ [ -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 142 48 33 33 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 142 49 ] ] -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 142 50 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 143 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 143 2 is be VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 143 3 unclear unclear JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 143 4 at at IN cord-315735-0a49okho 143 5 this this DT cord-315735-0a49okho 143 6 point point NN cord-315735-0a49okho 143 7 however however RB cord-315735-0a49okho 143 8 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 143 9 if if IN cord-315735-0a49okho 143 10 virus virus NN cord-315735-0a49okho 143 11 shed shed VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 143 12 by by IN cord-315735-0a49okho 143 13 convalescent convalescent JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 143 14 individuals individual NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 143 15 can can MD cord-315735-0a49okho 143 16 infect infect VB cord-315735-0a49okho 143 17 others other NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 143 18 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 144 1 Further further RB cord-315735-0a49okho 144 2 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 144 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 144 4 considered consider VBD cord-315735-0a49okho 144 5 that that RB cord-315735-0a49okho 144 6 mild mild JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 144 7 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 144 8 severe severe JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 144 9 cases case NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 144 10 would would MD cord-315735-0a49okho 144 11 be be VB cord-315735-0a49okho 144 12 equally equally RB cord-315735-0a49okho 144 13 infectious infectious JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 144 14 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 145 1 In in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 145 2 this this DT cord-315735-0a49okho 145 3 sense sense NN cord-315735-0a49okho 145 4 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 145 5 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-315735-0a49okho 145 6 results result NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 145 7 are be VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 145 8 conservative conservative JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 145 9 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 146 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 146 2 used use VBD cord-315735-0a49okho 146 3 mortality mortality NN cord-315735-0a49okho 146 4 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 146 5 hospitalizations hospitalization NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 146 6 data datum NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 146 7 from from IN cord-315735-0a49okho 146 8 China China NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 146 9 to to TO cord-315735-0a49okho 146 10 assess assess VB cord-315735-0a49okho 146 11 hospitalizations hospitalization NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 146 12 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 146 13 deaths death NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 146 14 rates rate NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 146 15 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 146 16 but but CC cord-315735-0a49okho 146 17 these these DT cord-315735-0a49okho 146 18 rates rate NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 146 19 will will MD cord-315735-0a49okho 146 20 presumably presumably RB cord-315735-0a49okho 146 21 be be VB cord-315735-0a49okho 146 22 country country NN cord-315735-0a49okho 146 23 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 146 24 dependent dependent JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 146 25 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 147 1 New new JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 147 2 information information NN cord-315735-0a49okho 147 3 about about IN cord-315735-0a49okho 147 4 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 147 5 epidemiological epidemiological JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 147 6 characteristics characteristic NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 147 7 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 147 8 SARS SARS NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 147 9 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 147 10 CoV-2 CoV-2 NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 147 11 is be VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 147 12 continuously continuously RB cord-315735-0a49okho 147 13 arising arise VBG cord-315735-0a49okho 147 14 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 147 15 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 147 16 incorporating incorporate VBG cord-315735-0a49okho 147 17 such such JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 147 18 information information NN cord-315735-0a49okho 147 19 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 147 20 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 147 21 models model NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 147 22 such such JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 147 23 as as IN cord-315735-0a49okho 147 24 ours ours JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 147 25 is be VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 147 26 key key JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 147 27 to to TO cord-315735-0a49okho 147 28 provide provide VB cord-315735-0a49okho 147 29 public public JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 147 30 health health NN cord-315735-0a49okho 147 31 officials official NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 147 32 with with IN cord-315735-0a49okho 147 33 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 147 34 best good JJS cord-315735-0a49okho 147 35 tools tool NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 147 36 to to TO cord-315735-0a49okho 147 37 make make VB cord-315735-0a49okho 147 38 decisions decision NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 147 39 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 147 40 uncertain uncertain JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 147 41 times time NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 147 42 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 148 1 Taken take VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 148 2 together together RB cord-315735-0a49okho 148 3 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 148 4 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-315735-0a49okho 148 5 results result NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 148 6 suggest suggest VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 148 7 that that IN cord-315735-0a49okho 148 8 more more RBR cord-315735-0a49okho 148 9 aggressive aggressive JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 148 10 approaches approach NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 148 11 need need VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 148 12 to to TO cord-315735-0a49okho 148 13 be be VB cord-315735-0a49okho 148 14 taken take VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 148 15 to to TO cord-315735-0a49okho 148 16 mitigate mitigate VB cord-315735-0a49okho 148 17 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 148 18 transmission transmission NN cord-315735-0a49okho 148 19 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 148 20 SARS SARS NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 148 21 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 148 22 CoV-2 CoV-2 NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 148 23 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 149 1 Social social JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 149 2 distancing distance VBG cord-315735-0a49okho 149 3 interventions intervention NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 149 4 need need VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 149 5 to to TO cord-315735-0a49okho 149 6 occur occur VB cord-315735-0a49okho 149 7 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 149 8 tandem tandem NN cord-315735-0a49okho 149 9 with with IN cord-315735-0a49okho 149 10 testing testing NN cord-315735-0a49okho 149 11 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 149 12 contact contact NN cord-315735-0a49okho 149 13 tracing trace VBG cord-315735-0a49okho 149 14 to to TO cord-315735-0a49okho 149 15 minimize minimize VB cord-315735-0a49okho 149 16 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 149 17 burden burden NN cord-315735-0a49okho 149 18 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 149 19 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 149 20 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 149 21 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 150 1 CC CC NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 150 2 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 150 3 BY BY NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 150 4 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 150 5 NC NC NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 150 6 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 150 7 ND ND NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 150 8 4.0 4.0 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 150 9 International international JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 150 10 license license NN cord-315735-0a49okho 151 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 151 2 is be VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 151 3 made make VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 151 4 available available JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 151 5 under under IN cord-315735-0a49okho 151 6 a a DT cord-315735-0a49okho 151 7 author author NN cord-315735-0a49okho 151 8 / / SYM cord-315735-0a49okho 151 9 funder funder NN cord-315735-0a49okho 151 10 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 151 11 who who WP cord-315735-0a49okho 151 12 has have VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 151 13 granted grant VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 151 14 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 151 15 a a DT cord-315735-0a49okho 151 16 license license NN cord-315735-0a49okho 151 17 to to TO cord-315735-0a49okho 151 18 display display VB cord-315735-0a49okho 151 19 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 151 20 preprint preprint NN cord-315735-0a49okho 151 21 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 151 22 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-315735-0a49okho 151 23 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 152 1 Here here RB cord-315735-0a49okho 152 2 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 152 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 152 4 assumed assume VBD cord-315735-0a49okho 152 5 that that IN cord-315735-0a49okho 152 6 adults adult NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 152 7 over over IN cord-315735-0a49okho 152 8 60 60 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 152 9 will will MD cord-315735-0a49okho 152 10 reduce reduce VB cord-315735-0a49okho 152 11 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-315735-0a49okho 152 12 contact contact NN cord-315735-0a49okho 152 13 by by IN cord-315735-0a49okho 152 14 95 95 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 152 15 % % NN cord-315735-0a49okho 152 16 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 152 17 children child NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 152 18 by by IN cord-315735-0a49okho 152 19 85 85 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 152 20 % % NN cord-315735-0a49okho 152 21 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 152 22 adults adult NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 152 23 by by IN cord-315735-0a49okho 152 24 75 75 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 152 25 % % NN cord-315735-0a49okho 152 26 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 153 1 The the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 153 2 dotted dotted JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 153 3 lines line NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 153 4 represent represent VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 153 5 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 153 6 beginning beginning NN cord-315735-0a49okho 153 7 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 153 8 end end NN cord-315735-0a49okho 153 9 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 153 10 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 153 11 social social JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 153 12 distancing distancing NN cord-315735-0a49okho 153 13 intervention intervention NN cord-315735-0a49okho 153 14 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 153 15 at at IN cord-315735-0a49okho 153 16 50 50 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 153 17 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 153 18 92 92 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 153 19 days day NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 153 20 respectively respectively RB cord-315735-0a49okho 153 21 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 154 1 14 14 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 154 2 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 155 1 CC CC NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 155 2 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 155 3 BY BY NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 155 4 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 155 5 NC NC NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 155 6 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 155 7 ND ND NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 155 8 4.0 4.0 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 155 9 International international JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 155 10 license license NN cord-315735-0a49okho 155 11 It -PRON- PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 155 12 is be VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 155 13 made make VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 155 14 available available JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 155 15 under under IN cord-315735-0a49okho 155 16 a a DT cord-315735-0a49okho 155 17 author author NN cord-315735-0a49okho 155 18 / / SYM cord-315735-0a49okho 155 19 funder funder NN cord-315735-0a49okho 155 20 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 155 21 who who WP cord-315735-0a49okho 155 22 has have VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 155 23 granted grant VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 155 24 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 155 25 a a DT cord-315735-0a49okho 155 26 license license NN cord-315735-0a49okho 155 27 to to TO cord-315735-0a49okho 155 28 display display VB cord-315735-0a49okho 155 29 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 155 30 preprint preprint NN cord-315735-0a49okho 155 31 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 155 32 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-315735-0a49okho 155 33 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 156 1 Here here RB cord-315735-0a49okho 156 2 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 156 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 156 4 assumed assume VBD cord-315735-0a49okho 156 5 that that IN cord-315735-0a49okho 156 6 adults adult NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 156 7 over over IN cord-315735-0a49okho 156 8 60 60 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 156 9 will will MD cord-315735-0a49okho 156 10 reduce reduce VB cord-315735-0a49okho 156 11 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-315735-0a49okho 156 12 contacts contact NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 156 13 by by IN cord-315735-0a49okho 156 14 95 95 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 156 15 % % NN cord-315735-0a49okho 156 16 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 156 17 children child NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 156 18 by by IN cord-315735-0a49okho 156 19 85 85 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 156 20 % % NN cord-315735-0a49okho 156 21 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 156 22 adults adult NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 156 23 by by IN cord-315735-0a49okho 156 24 95 95 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 156 25 % % NN cord-315735-0a49okho 156 26 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 157 1 The the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 157 2 dotted dotted JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 157 3 lines line NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 157 4 represent represent VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 157 5 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 157 6 beginning beginning NN cord-315735-0a49okho 157 7 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 157 8 end end NN cord-315735-0a49okho 157 9 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 157 10 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 157 11 social social JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 157 12 distancing distancing NN cord-315735-0a49okho 157 13 intervention intervention NN cord-315735-0a49okho 157 14 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 157 15 at at IN cord-315735-0a49okho 157 16 50 50 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 157 17 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 157 18 92 92 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 157 19 days day NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 157 20 respectively respectively RB cord-315735-0a49okho 157 21 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 157 22 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 158 1 CC CC NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 158 2 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 158 3 BY BY NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 158 4 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 158 5 NC NC NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 158 6 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 158 7 ND ND NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 158 8 4.0 4.0 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 158 9 International international JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 158 10 license license NN cord-315735-0a49okho 159 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 159 2 is be VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 159 3 made make VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 159 4 available available JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 159 5 under under IN cord-315735-0a49okho 159 6 a a DT cord-315735-0a49okho 159 7 author author NN cord-315735-0a49okho 159 8 / / SYM cord-315735-0a49okho 159 9 funder funder NN cord-315735-0a49okho 159 10 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 159 11 who who WP cord-315735-0a49okho 159 12 has have VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 159 13 granted grant VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 159 14 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 159 15 a a DT cord-315735-0a49okho 159 16 license license NN cord-315735-0a49okho 159 17 to to TO cord-315735-0a49okho 159 18 display display VB cord-315735-0a49okho 159 19 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 159 20 preprint preprint NN cord-315735-0a49okho 159 21 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 159 22 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-315735-0a49okho 159 23 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 159 24 _SP cord-315735-0a49okho 159 25 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 160 1 CC CC NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 160 2 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 160 3 BY BY NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 160 4 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 160 5 NC NC NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 160 6 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 160 7 ND ND NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 160 8 4.0 4.0 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 160 9 International international JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 160 10 license license NN cord-315735-0a49okho 161 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 161 2 is be VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 161 3 made make VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 161 4 available available JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 161 5 under under IN cord-315735-0a49okho 161 6 a a DT cord-315735-0a49okho 161 7 author author NN cord-315735-0a49okho 161 8 / / SYM cord-315735-0a49okho 161 9 funder funder NN cord-315735-0a49okho 161 10 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 161 11 who who WP cord-315735-0a49okho 161 12 has have VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 161 13 granted grant VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 161 14 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 161 15 a a DT cord-315735-0a49okho 161 16 license license NN cord-315735-0a49okho 161 17 to to TO cord-315735-0a49okho 161 18 display display VB cord-315735-0a49okho 161 19 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 161 20 preprint preprint NN cord-315735-0a49okho 161 21 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 161 22 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-315735-0a49okho 161 23 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 161 24 _SP cord-315735-0a49okho 161 25 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 162 1 CC CC NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 162 2 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 162 3 BY BY NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 162 4 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 162 5 NC NC NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 162 6 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 162 7 ND ND NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 162 8 4.0 4.0 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 162 9 International international JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 162 10 license license NN cord-315735-0a49okho 163 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 163 2 is be VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 163 3 made make VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 163 4 available available JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 163 5 under under IN cord-315735-0a49okho 163 6 a a DT cord-315735-0a49okho 163 7 author author NN cord-315735-0a49okho 163 8 / / SYM cord-315735-0a49okho 163 9 funder funder NN cord-315735-0a49okho 163 10 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 163 11 who who WP cord-315735-0a49okho 163 12 has have VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 163 13 granted grant VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 163 14 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 163 15 a a DT cord-315735-0a49okho 163 16 license license NN cord-315735-0a49okho 163 17 to to TO cord-315735-0a49okho 163 18 display display VB cord-315735-0a49okho 163 19 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 163 20 preprint preprint NN cord-315735-0a49okho 163 21 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 163 22 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-315735-0a49okho 163 23 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 164 1 18 18 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 164 2 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 165 1 CC CC NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 165 2 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 165 3 BY BY NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 165 4 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 165 5 NC NC NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 165 6 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 165 7 ND ND NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 165 8 4.0 4.0 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 165 9 International international JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 165 10 license license NN cord-315735-0a49okho 165 11 It -PRON- PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 165 12 is be VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 165 13 made make VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 165 14 available available JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 165 15 under under IN cord-315735-0a49okho 165 16 a a DT cord-315735-0a49okho 165 17 author author NN cord-315735-0a49okho 165 18 / / SYM cord-315735-0a49okho 165 19 funder funder NN cord-315735-0a49okho 165 20 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 165 21 who who WP cord-315735-0a49okho 165 22 has have VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 165 23 granted grant VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 165 24 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 165 25 a a DT cord-315735-0a49okho 165 26 license license NN cord-315735-0a49okho 165 27 to to TO cord-315735-0a49okho 165 28 display display VB cord-315735-0a49okho 165 29 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 165 30 preprint preprint NN cord-315735-0a49okho 165 31 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 165 32 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-315735-0a49okho 165 33 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 166 1 is be VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 166 2 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 166 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 166 4 which which WDT cord-315735-0a49okho 166 5 was be VBD cord-315735-0a49okho 166 6 not not RB cord-315735-0a49okho 166 7 peer peer NN cord-315735-0a49okho 166 8 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 166 9 reviewed review VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 166 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 167 1 The the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 167 2 copyright copyright NN cord-315735-0a49okho 167 3 holder holder NN cord-315735-0a49okho 167 4 for for IN cord-315735-0a49okho 167 5 this this DT cord-315735-0a49okho 167 6 preprint preprint NN cord-315735-0a49okho 167 7 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 168 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03 JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 168 2 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 169 1 27.20044891 27.20044891 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 169 2 doi doi NN cord-315735-0a49okho 169 3 : : : cord-315735-0a49okho 170 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 170 2 preprint preprint NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 170 3 _SP cord-315735-0a49okho 171 1 WHO who WP cord-315735-0a49okho 171 2 Director Director NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 171 3 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 171 4 General General NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 171 5 's 's POS cord-315735-0a49okho 171 6 opening opening NN cord-315735-0a49okho 171 7 remarks remark NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 171 8 at at IN cord-315735-0a49okho 171 9 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 171 10 media medium NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 171 11 briefing briefing NN cord-315735-0a49okho 171 12 on on IN cord-315735-0a49okho 171 13 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 171 14 -11 -11 NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 171 15 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 171 16 disease disease NN cord-315735-0a49okho 171 17 2019 2019 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 171 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 171 19 COVID-19 covid-19 NN cord-315735-0a49okho 171 20 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 172 1 : : : cord-315735-0a49okho 172 2 Situation situation NN cord-315735-0a49okho 172 3 Report Report NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 172 4 -54 -54 NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 173 1 First first JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 173 2 case case NN cord-315735-0a49okho 173 3 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 173 4 2019 2019 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 173 5 novel novel JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 173 6 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-315735-0a49okho 173 7 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 173 8 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 173 9 United United NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 173 10 States States NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 173 11 Local Local NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 173 12 Declaration Declaration NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 173 13 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 173 14 Emergency Emergency NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 173 15 Snohomish Snohomish NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 173 16 County County NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 173 17 Novel Novel NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 173 18 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 173 19 Outbreak Outbreak NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 173 20 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 173 21 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 173 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 173 23 Proclamation Proclamation NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 173 24 by by IN cord-315735-0a49okho 173 25 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 173 26 governor governor NN cord-315735-0a49okho 173 27 : : : cord-315735-0a49okho 173 28 Amending amend VBG cord-315735-0a49okho 173 29 proclamations proclamation NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 173 30 20 20 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 173 31 - - SYM cord-315735-0a49okho 173 32 05 05 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 173 33 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 173 34 20 20 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 173 35 - - SYM cord-315735-0a49okho 173 36 06 06 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 174 1 ; ; : cord-315735-0a49okho 174 2 2020 2020 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 174 3 Inslee Inslee NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 174 4 announces announce VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 174 5 school school NN cord-315735-0a49okho 174 6 closures closure NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 174 7 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 174 8 King King NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 174 9 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 174 10 Snohomish Snohomish NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 174 11 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 174 12 Pierce Pierce NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 174 13 counties county NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 174 14 ; ; : cord-315735-0a49okho 174 15 2020 2020 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 174 16 Inslee Inslee NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 174 17 statement statement NN cord-315735-0a49okho 174 18 on on IN cord-315735-0a49okho 174 19 statewide statewide JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 174 20 shutdown shutdown NN cord-315735-0a49okho 174 21 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 174 22 restaurants restaurant NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 174 23 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 174 24 bars bar NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 174 25 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 174 26 limits limit NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 174 27 on on IN cord-315735-0a49okho 174 28 size size NN cord-315735-0a49okho 174 29 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 174 30 gatherings gathering NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 174 31 expanded expand VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 174 32 ; ; : cord-315735-0a49okho 174 33 2020 2020 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 174 34 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 175 1 [ [ -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 175 2 Online Online NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 175 3 ; ; , cord-315735-0a49okho 175 4 accessed access VBD cord-315735-0a49okho 175 5 15 15 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 175 6 inslee inslee JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 175 7 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 175 8 statement statement NN cord-315735-0a49okho 175 9 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 175 10 statewide statewide JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 175 11 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 175 12 shutdown shutdown NN cord-315735-0a49okho 175 13 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 175 14 restaurants restaurant NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 175 15 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 175 16 bars bar NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 175 17 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 175 18 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 175 19 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 175 20 limits limit NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 175 21 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 175 22 size size NN cord-315735-0a49okho 175 23 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 175 24 gatherings gathering NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 175 25 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 175 26 expanded expand VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 175 27 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 175 28 updates update NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 175 29 from from IN cord-315735-0a49okho 175 30 France France NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 175 31 orders order NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 175 32 lockdown lockdown NN cord-315735-0a49okho 175 33 to to TO cord-315735-0a49okho 175 34 slow slow VB cord-315735-0a49okho 175 35 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 175 36 spread spread VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 175 37 American American NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 175 38 FactFinder FactFinder NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 175 39 -Census -Census NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 175 40 Bureau Bureau NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 175 41 Characteristics Characteristics NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 175 42 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 175 43 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 175 44 important important JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 175 45 lessons lesson NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 175 46 from from IN cord-315735-0a49okho 175 47 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 175 48 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-315735-0a49okho 175 49 disease disease NN cord-315735-0a49okho 175 50 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 175 51 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 175 52 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 175 53 outbreak outbreak NN cord-315735-0a49okho 175 54 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 175 55 China China NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 175 56 : : : cord-315735-0a49okho 175 57 Summary Summary NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 175 58 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 175 59 a a DT cord-315735-0a49okho 175 60 report report NN cord-315735-0a49okho 175 61 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 175 62 72,314 72,314 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 175 63 cases case NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 175 64 from from IN cord-315735-0a49okho 175 65 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 175 66 Chinese Chinese NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 175 67 Center Center NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 175 68 for for IN cord-315735-0a49okho 175 69 Disease Disease NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 175 70 Control Control NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 175 71 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 175 72 Prevention Prevention NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 175 73 Using Using NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 175 74 data datum NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 175 75 on on IN cord-315735-0a49okho 175 76 social social JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 175 77 contacts contact NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 175 78 to to TO cord-315735-0a49okho 175 79 estimate estimate VB cord-315735-0a49okho 175 80 age age NN cord-315735-0a49okho 175 81 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 175 82 specific specific JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 175 83 transmission transmission NN cord-315735-0a49okho 175 84 parameters parameter NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 175 85 for for IN cord-315735-0a49okho 175 86 respiratory respiratory NN cord-315735-0a49okho 175 87 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 175 88 spread spread NN cord-315735-0a49okho 175 89 infectious infectious JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 175 90 agents agent NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 175 91 Cryptic cryptic JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 175 92 transmission transmission NN cord-315735-0a49okho 175 93 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 175 94 novel novel JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 175 95 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-315735-0a49okho 175 96 revealed reveal VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 175 97 by by IN cord-315735-0a49okho 175 98 genomic genomic JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 175 99 epidemiology epidemiology NN cord-315735-0a49okho 176 1 The the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 176 2 incubation incubation NN cord-315735-0a49okho 176 3 period period NN cord-315735-0a49okho 176 4 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 176 5 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-315735-0a49okho 176 6 disease disease NN cord-315735-0a49okho 176 7 2019 2019 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 176 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 176 9 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 176 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 176 11 from from IN cord-315735-0a49okho 176 12 publicly publicly RB cord-315735-0a49okho 176 13 reported report VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 176 14 confirmed confirm VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 176 15 cases case NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 176 16 : : : cord-315735-0a49okho 176 17 Estimation estimation NN cord-315735-0a49okho 176 18 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 176 19 application application NN cord-315735-0a49okho 176 20 Epidemiology epidemiology NN cord-315735-0a49okho 176 21 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 176 22 transmission transmission NN cord-315735-0a49okho 176 23 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 176 24 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 176 25 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 176 26 Shenzhen Shenzhen NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 176 27 China China NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 176 28 : : : cord-315735-0a49okho 176 29 Analysis analysis NN cord-315735-0a49okho 176 30 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 176 31 391 391 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 176 32 cases case NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 176 33 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 176 34 1,286 1,286 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 176 35 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 176 36 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-315735-0a49okho 176 37 close close JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 176 38 contacts contact NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 176 39 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 177 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 177 2 Novel Novel NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 177 3 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 177 4 Pneumonia Pneumonia NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 177 5 Emergency Emergency NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 177 6 Response Response NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 177 7 Epidemiology Epidemiology NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 177 8 Team Team NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 177 9 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 178 1 The the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 178 2 epidemiological epidemiological JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 178 3 characteristics characteristic NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 178 4 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 178 5 an an DT cord-315735-0a49okho 178 6 outbreak outbreak NN cord-315735-0a49okho 178 7 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 178 8 2019 2019 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 178 9 novel novel JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 178 10 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-315735-0a49okho 178 11 diseases disease NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 178 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 178 13 COVID-19 covid-19 VB cord-315735-0a49okho 178 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 179 1 -China -China : cord-315735-0a49okho 179 2 Impact impact NN cord-315735-0a49okho 179 3 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 179 4 non non JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 179 5 - - JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 179 6 pharmaceutical pharmaceutical JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 179 7 interventions intervention NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 179 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 179 9 NPIs NPIs NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 179 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 179 11 to to TO cord-315735-0a49okho 179 12 reduce reduce VB cord-315735-0a49okho 179 13 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 179 14 mortality mortality NN cord-315735-0a49okho 179 15 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 179 16 healthcare healthcare NN cord-315735-0a49okho 179 17 demand demand NN cord-315735-0a49okho 180 1 Inslee Inslee NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 180 2 announces announce VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 180 3 statewide statewide JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 180 4 shutdown shutdown NN cord-315735-0a49okho 180 5 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 180 6 restaurants restaurant NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 180 7 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 180 8 bars bar NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 180 9 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 180 10 expanded expand VBD cord-315735-0a49okho 180 11 social social JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 180 12 gathering gathering NN cord-315735-0a49okho 180 13 limits limit VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 180 14 Transmission Transmission NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 180 15 interval interval NN cord-315735-0a49okho 180 16 estimates estimate NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 180 17 suggest suggest VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 180 18 pre pre JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 180 19 - - JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 180 20 symptomatic symptomatic JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 180 21 spread spread NN cord-315735-0a49okho 180 22 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 180 23 COVID-19 covid-19 NN cord-315735-0a49okho 180 24 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 181 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 181 2 Nowcasting Nowcasting NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 181 3 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 181 4 forecasting forecast VBG cord-315735-0a49okho 181 5 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 181 6 potential potential JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 181 7 domestic domestic JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 181 8 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 181 9 international international JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 181 10 spread spread NN cord-315735-0a49okho 181 11 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 181 12 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 181 13 2019-nCoV 2019-ncov CD cord-315735-0a49okho 181 14 outbreak outbreak NN cord-315735-0a49okho 181 15 originating originate VBG cord-315735-0a49okho 181 16 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 181 17 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 181 18 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 181 19 China China NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 181 20 : : : cord-315735-0a49okho 181 21 a a DT cord-315735-0a49okho 181 22 modelling modelling NN cord-315735-0a49okho 181 23 study study NN cord-315735-0a49okho 181 24 Preliminary preliminary JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 181 25 estimation estimation NN cord-315735-0a49okho 181 26 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 181 27 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 181 28 basic basic JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 181 29 reproduction reproduction NN cord-315735-0a49okho 181 30 number number NN cord-315735-0a49okho 181 31 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 181 32 novel novel JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 181 33 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-315735-0a49okho 181 34 ( ( -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 181 35 2019-nCoV 2019-ncov CD cord-315735-0a49okho 181 36 ) ) -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 181 37 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 181 38 China China NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 181 39 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 181 40 from from IN cord-315735-0a49okho 181 41 2019 2019 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 181 42 to to IN cord-315735-0a49okho 181 43 2020 2020 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 181 44 : : : cord-315735-0a49okho 182 1 A a DT cord-315735-0a49okho 182 2 datadriven datadriven JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 182 3 analysis analysis NN cord-315735-0a49okho 182 4 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 182 5 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 182 6 early early JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 182 7 phase phase NN cord-315735-0a49okho 182 8 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 182 9 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 182 10 outbreak outbreak NN cord-315735-0a49okho 182 11 SARS SARS NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 182 12 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 182 13 CoV-2 CoV-2 NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 182 14 viral viral JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 182 15 load load NN cord-315735-0a49okho 182 16 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 182 17 upper upper JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 182 18 respiratory respiratory JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 182 19 specimens specimen NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 182 20 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 182 21 infected infected JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 182 22 patients patient NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 182 23 Reproduction Reproduction NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 182 24 numbers number NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 182 25 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 182 26 sub sub NN cord-315735-0a49okho 182 27 - - JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 182 28 threshold threshold JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 182 29 endemic endemic JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 182 30 equilibria equilibrium NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 182 31 for for IN cord-315735-0a49okho 182 32 compartmental compartmental JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 182 33 models model NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 182 34 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 182 35 disease disease NN cord-315735-0a49okho 182 36 transmission transmission NN cord-315735-0a49okho 183 1 Clinical clinical JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 183 2 course course NN cord-315735-0a49okho 183 3 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 183 4 risk risk NN cord-315735-0a49okho 183 5 factors factor NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 183 6 for for IN cord-315735-0a49okho 183 7 mortality mortality NN cord-315735-0a49okho 183 8 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 183 9 adult adult NN cord-315735-0a49okho 183 10 inpatients inpatient NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 183 11 with with IN cord-315735-0a49okho 183 12 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 183 13 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 183 14 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 183 15 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 183 16 China China NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 183 17 : : : cord-315735-0a49okho 183 18 a a DT cord-315735-0a49okho 183 19 retrospective retrospective JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 183 20 cohort cohort NN cord-315735-0a49okho 183 21 study study NN cord-315735-0a49okho 183 22 Interim Interim NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 183 23 pre pre JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 183 24 - - JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 183 25 pandemic pandemic JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 183 26 planning planning NN cord-315735-0a49okho 183 27 guidance guidance NN cord-315735-0a49okho 183 28 : : : cord-315735-0a49okho 183 29 community community NN cord-315735-0a49okho 183 30 strategy strategy NN cord-315735-0a49okho 183 31 for for IN cord-315735-0a49okho 183 32 pandemic pandemic NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 183 33 influenza influenza NN cord-315735-0a49okho 183 34 mitigation mitigation NN cord-315735-0a49okho 183 35 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 183 36 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 183 37 United United NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 183 38 States States NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 183 39 : : : cord-315735-0a49okho 183 40 early early RB cord-315735-0a49okho 183 41 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 183 42 targeted target VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 183 43 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 183 44 layered layer VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 183 45 use use NN cord-315735-0a49okho 183 46 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 183 47 nonpharmaceutical nonpharmaceutical JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 183 48 interventions intervention NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 183 49 Working Working NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 183 50 paper paper NN cord-315735-0a49okho 183 51 -model -model : cord-315735-0a49okho 183 52 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 183 53 based base VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 183 54 estimates estimate NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 183 55 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 183 56 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 183 57 burden burden NN cord-315735-0a49okho 183 58 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 183 59 King King NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 183 60 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 183 61 Snohomish snohomish JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 183 62 counties county NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 183 63 through through IN cord-315735-0a49okho 183 64 WHO WHO NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 183 65 Director Director NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 183 66 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 183 67 General General NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 183 68 's 's POS cord-315735-0a49okho 183 69 opening opening NN cord-315735-0a49okho 183 70 remarks remark NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 183 71 at at IN cord-315735-0a49okho 183 72 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 183 73 media medium NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 183 74 briefing briefing NN cord-315735-0a49okho 183 75 on on IN cord-315735-0a49okho 183 76 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 183 77 -16 -16 NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 183 78 who who WP cord-315735-0a49okho 183 79 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 183 80 director director NN cord-315735-0a49okho 183 81 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 183 82 general general JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 183 83 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 183 84 s s NN cord-315735-0a49okho 183 85 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 183 86 opening open VBG cord-315735-0a49okho 183 87 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 183 88 remarks remark NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 183 89 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 183 90 at at IN cord-315735-0a49okho 183 91 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 183 92 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 183 93 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 183 94 media media NN cord-315735-0a49okho 183 95 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 183 96 briefing briefing NN cord-315735-0a49okho 183 97 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 183 98 on on IN cord-315735-0a49okho 183 99 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 183 100 covid covid NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 183 101 Antibody Antibody NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 183 102 responses response NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 183 103 to to IN cord-315735-0a49okho 183 104 SARS SARS NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 183 105 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 183 106 CoV-2 CoV-2 NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 183 107 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 183 108 patients patient NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 183 109 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 183 110 novel novel JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 183 111 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-315735-0a49okho 183 112 disease disease NN cord-315735-0a49okho 183 113 How how WRB cord-315735-0a49okho 183 114 many many JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 183 115 tests test NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 183 116 for for IN cord-315735-0a49okho 183 117 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 183 118 are be VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 183 119 being be VBG cord-315735-0a49okho 183 120 performed perform VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 183 121 around around IN cord-315735-0a49okho 183 122 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 183 123 world world NN cord-315735-0a49okho 183 124 ? ? . cord-315735-0a49okho 184 1 Virological virological JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 184 2 assessment assessment NN cord-315735-0a49okho 184 3 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 184 4 hospitalized hospitalize VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 184 5 cases case NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 184 6 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 184 7 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-315735-0a49okho 184 8 disease disease NN cord-315735-0a49okho 184 9 2019 2019 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 184 10 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 185 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 185 2 We -PRON- PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 185 3 thank thank VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 185 4 Dr. Dr. NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 185 5 Dobromir Dobromir NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 185 6 Dimitrov Dimitrov NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 185 7 for for IN cord-315735-0a49okho 185 8 helpful helpful JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 185 9 discussions discussion NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 185 10 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 186 1 LM LM NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 186 2 was be VBD cord-315735-0a49okho 186 3 supported support VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 186 4 from from IN cord-315735-0a49okho 186 5 Fred Fred NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 186 6 Hutchinson Hutchinson NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 186 7 Cancer Cancer NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 186 8 Research Research NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 186 9 Center Center NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 186 10 research research NN cord-315735-0a49okho 186 11 discretionary discretionary JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 186 12 funds fund NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 186 13 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 187 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 187 2 considered consider VBD cord-315735-0a49okho 187 3 an an DT cord-315735-0a49okho 187 4 age age NN cord-315735-0a49okho 187 5 - - HYPH cord-315735-0a49okho 187 6 structured structure VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 187 7 SEIR seir NN cord-315735-0a49okho 187 8 model model NN cord-315735-0a49okho 187 9 with with IN cord-315735-0a49okho 187 10 10 10 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 187 11 discrete discrete JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 187 12 age age NN cord-315735-0a49okho 187 13 groups group NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 187 14 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 188 1 The the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 188 2 equations equation NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 188 3 for for IN cord-315735-0a49okho 188 4 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 188 5 model model NN cord-315735-0a49okho 188 6 are be VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 188 7 as as IN cord-315735-0a49okho 188 8 follows follow VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 188 9 : : : cord-315735-0a49okho 188 10 where where WRB cord-315735-0a49okho 188 11 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 188 12 state state NN cord-315735-0a49okho 188 13 variables variable NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 188 14 S S NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 188 15 i i NN cord-315735-0a49okho 188 16 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 188 17 E E NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 188 18 i i NN cord-315735-0a49okho 188 19 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 188 20 I -PRON- PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 188 21 i i PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 188 22 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 188 23 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 188 24 R r NN cord-315735-0a49okho 189 1 i i PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 189 2 represent represent VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 189 3 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 189 4 numbers number NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 189 5 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 189 6 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 189 7 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 189 8 latent latent JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 189 9 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 189 10 infectious infectious JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 189 11 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 189 12 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 189 13 removed remove VBD cord-315735-0a49okho 189 14 individuals individual NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 189 15 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 189 16 each each DT cord-315735-0a49okho 189 17 age age NN cord-315735-0a49okho 189 18 group group NN cord-315735-0a49okho 190 1 i. i. NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 190 2 Removed remove VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 190 3 individuals individual NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 190 4 are be VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 190 5 those those DT cord-315735-0a49okho 190 6 who who WP cord-315735-0a49okho 190 7 can can MD cord-315735-0a49okho 190 8 no no RB cord-315735-0a49okho 190 9 longer longer RB cord-315735-0a49okho 190 10 infect infect VB cord-315735-0a49okho 190 11 others other NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 190 12 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 191 1 The the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 191 2 force force NN cord-315735-0a49okho 191 3 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 191 4 infection infection NN cord-315735-0a49okho 191 5 is be VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 191 6 represented represent VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 191 7 by by IN cord-315735-0a49okho 191 8 λ λ NN cord-315735-0a49okho 191 9 = = SYM cord-315735-0a49okho 191 10 10 10 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 191 11 j=1 j=1 NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 191 12 β β NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 191 13 c c NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 191 14 ij ij NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 191 15 N N NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 191 16 j j NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 191 17 I I NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 191 18 j j NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 191 19 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 191 20 where where WRB cord-315735-0a49okho 191 21 c c NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 191 22 ij ij NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 191 23 corresponds correspond VBZ cord-315735-0a49okho 191 24 to to IN cord-315735-0a49okho 191 25 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 191 26 estimated estimate VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 191 27 number number NN cord-315735-0a49okho 191 28 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 191 29 contacts contact NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 191 30 per per IN cord-315735-0a49okho 191 31 day day NN cord-315735-0a49okho 191 32 between between IN cord-315735-0a49okho 191 33 age age NN cord-315735-0a49okho 191 34 class class NN cord-315735-0a49okho 191 35 i i NN cord-315735-0a49okho 191 36 and and CC cord-315735-0a49okho 191 37 j j NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 191 38 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 191 39 a a DT cord-315735-0a49okho 191 40 total total JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 191 41 population population NN cord-315735-0a49okho 191 42 size size NN cord-315735-0a49okho 191 43 N N NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 191 44 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 192 1 Based base VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 192 2 on on IN cord-315735-0a49okho 192 3 current current JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 192 4 estimates estimate NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 192 5 [ [ -LRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 192 6 14 14 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 192 7 ] ] -RRB- cord-315735-0a49okho 192 8 that that WDT cord-315735-0a49okho 192 9 put put VBP cord-315735-0a49okho 192 10 less less JJR cord-315735-0a49okho 192 11 than than IN cord-315735-0a49okho 192 12 one one CD cord-315735-0a49okho 192 13 percent percent NN cord-315735-0a49okho 192 14 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 192 15 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 192 16 infections infection NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 192 17 as as IN cord-315735-0a49okho 192 18 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 192 19 , , , cord-315735-0a49okho 192 20 we -PRON- PRP cord-315735-0a49okho 192 21 considered consider VBD cord-315735-0a49okho 192 22 only only RB cord-315735-0a49okho 192 23 symptomatic symptomatic JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 192 24 infections infection NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 192 25 . . . cord-315735-0a49okho 193 1 Details detail NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 193 2 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 193 3 parameters parameter NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 193 4 values value NNS cord-315735-0a49okho 193 5 can can MD cord-315735-0a49okho 193 6 be be VB cord-315735-0a49okho 193 7 found find VBN cord-315735-0a49okho 193 8 in in IN cord-315735-0a49okho 193 9 Table Table NNP cord-315735-0a49okho 193 10 1 1 CD cord-315735-0a49okho 193 11 of of IN cord-315735-0a49okho 193 12 the the DT cord-315735-0a49okho 193 13 main main JJ cord-315735-0a49okho 193 14 text text NN cord-315735-0a49okho 193 15 . . .