id sid tid token lemma pos cord-293140-lp3l4iap 1 1 key key JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 1 2 : : : cord-293140-lp3l4iap 1 3 cord-293140-lp3l4iap cord-293140-lp3l4iap JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 1 4 authors author NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 1 5 : : : cord-293140-lp3l4iap 1 6 Ghislandi Ghislandi NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 1 7 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 1 8 S. S. NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 1 9 ; ; : cord-293140-lp3l4iap 1 10 Muttarak Muttarak NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 1 11 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 1 12 R. R. NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 1 13 ; ; : cord-293140-lp3l4iap 1 14 Sauerberg Sauerberg NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 1 15 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 1 16 M. M. NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 1 17 ; ; : cord-293140-lp3l4iap 1 18 Scotti Scotti NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 1 19 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 1 20 B. B. NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 1 21 title title NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 1 22 : : : cord-293140-lp3l4iap 1 23 News news NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 1 24 from from IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 1 25 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 1 26 front front NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 1 27 : : : cord-293140-lp3l4iap 2 1 Excess excess JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 2 2 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 2 3 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 2 4 life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 2 5 expectancy expectancy NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 2 6 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 2 7 two two CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 2 8 major major JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 2 9 epicentres epicentre NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 2 10 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 2 11 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 2 12 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 2 13 pandemic pandemic NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 2 14 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 2 15 Italy Italy NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 2 16 date date NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 2 17 : : : cord-293140-lp3l4iap 2 18 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 2 19 - - HYPH cord-293140-lp3l4iap 2 20 05 05 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 2 21 - - HYPH cord-293140-lp3l4iap 2 22 05 05 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 2 23 journal journal NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 2 24 : : : cord-293140-lp3l4iap 3 1 nan nan NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 3 2 DOI DOI NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 3 3 : : : cord-293140-lp3l4iap 4 1 10.1101/2020.04.29.20084335 10.1101/2020.04.29.20084335 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 4 2 sha sha NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 4 3 : : : cord-293140-lp3l4iap 4 4 426ab98804aff190446c09d8b56cac00546042cf 426ab98804aff190446c09d8b56cac00546042cf CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 4 5 doc_id doc_id CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 4 6 : : : cord-293140-lp3l4iap 4 7 293140 293140 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 4 8 cord_uid cord_uid NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 4 9 : : : cord-293140-lp3l4iap 5 1 lp3l4iap lp3l4iap NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 5 2 Existing exist VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 5 3 studies study NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 5 4 commonly commonly RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 5 5 rely rely VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 5 6 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 5 7 national national JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 5 8 official official JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 5 9 reports report NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 5 10 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 5 11 estimate estimate VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 5 12 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 5 13 impact impact NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 5 14 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 5 15 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 5 16 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 5 17 population population NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 5 18 health health NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 5 19 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 5 20 human human JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 5 21 life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 5 22 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 6 1 However however RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 6 2 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 6 3 relying rely VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 6 4 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 6 5 national national JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 6 6 reports report NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 6 7 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 6 8 problematic problematic JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 6 9 because because IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 6 10 classification classification NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 6 11 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 6 12 estimation estimation NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 6 13 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 6 14 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 6 15 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 6 16 are be VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 6 17 not not RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 6 18 consistent consistent JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 6 19 across across IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 6 20 countries country NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 6 21 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 7 1 Likewise likewise RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 7 2 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 7 3 delay delay VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 7 4 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 7 5 test test NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 7 6 results result NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 7 7 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 7 8 shortage shortage NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 7 9 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 7 10 testing testing NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 7 11 kits kit NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 7 12 can can MD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 7 13 result result VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 7 14 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 7 15 undercounting undercounting NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 7 16 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 7 17 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 7 18 deaths death NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 7 19 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 8 1 To to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 8 2 overcome overcome VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 8 3 these these DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 8 4 problems problem NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 8 5 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 8 6 this this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 8 7 study study NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 8 8 exploits exploit VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 8 9 all all DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 8 10 cause cause VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 8 11 daily daily JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 8 12 death death NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 8 13 registrations registration NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 8 14 data datum NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 8 15 provide provide VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 8 16 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 8 17 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 8 18 Italian Italian NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 8 19 Statistical Statistical NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 8 20 Office Office NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 8 21 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 8 22 ISTAT ISTAT NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 8 23 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 8 24 from from IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 8 25 1st 1st JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 8 26 January January NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 8 27 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 8 28 4th 4th JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 8 29 April April NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 8 30 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 8 31 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 9 1 This this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 9 2 allows allow VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 9 3 us -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 9 4 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 9 5 : : : cord-293140-lp3l4iap 9 6 1 1 LS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 9 7 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 9 8 calculate calculate VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 9 9 excess excess JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 9 10 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 9 11 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 9 12 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 9 13 compared compare VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 9 14 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 9 15 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 9 16 years year NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 9 17 2015 2015 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 9 18 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 9 19 2019 2019 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 9 20 ; ; : cord-293140-lp3l4iap 9 21 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 9 22 2 2 LS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 9 23 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 9 24 estimate estimate VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 9 25 life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 9 26 expectancy expectancy NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 9 27 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 9 28 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 9 29 seasonal seasonal JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 9 30 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 9 31 annual annual JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 9 32 basis basis NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 9 33 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 10 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 10 2 focus focus VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 10 3 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 10 4 analysis analysis NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 10 5 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 10 6 Bergamo Bergamo NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 10 7 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 10 8 Brescia Brescia NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 10 9 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 10 10 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 10 11 two two CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 10 12 hardest hard RBS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 10 13 hit hit VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 10 14 provinces province NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 10 15 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 10 16 Lombardy Lombardy NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 10 17 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 10 18 northern northern JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 10 19 Italy Italy NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 10 20 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 11 1 Given give VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 11 2 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 11 3 clustering clustering NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 11 4 nature nature NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 11 5 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 11 6 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 11 7 epidemic epidemic NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 11 8 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 11 9 focusing focus VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 11 10 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 11 11 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 11 12 areas area NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 11 13 with with IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 11 14 high high JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 11 15 concentration concentration NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 11 16 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 11 17 severe severe JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 11 18 illness illness NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 11 19 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 11 20 deaths death NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 11 21 allows allow VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 11 22 us -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 11 23 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 11 24 capture capture VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 11 25 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 11 26 true true JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 11 27 impact impact NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 11 28 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 11 29 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 11 30 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 11 31 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 11 32 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 11 33 life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 11 34 expectancy expectancy NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 11 35 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 11 36 which which WDT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 11 37 are be VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 11 38 likely likely JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 11 39 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 11 40 be be VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 11 41 underestimated underestimate VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 11 42 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 11 43 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 11 44 national national JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 11 45 level level NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 11 46 data datum NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 11 47 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 12 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 12 2 find find VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 12 3 that that IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 12 4 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 12 5 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 12 6 period period NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 12 7 1 1 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 12 8 Jan Jan NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 12 9 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 12 10 4 4 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 12 11 April April NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 12 12 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 12 13 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 12 14 seasonal seasonal JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 12 15 life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 12 16 expectancy expectancy NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 12 17 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 12 18 Bergamo Bergamo NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 12 19 reduced reduce VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 12 20 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 12 21 around around RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 12 22 8.1 8.1 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 12 23 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 12 24 6.5 6.5 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 12 25 years year NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 12 26 compared compare VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 12 27 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 12 28 2019 2019 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 12 29 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 12 30 men man NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 12 31 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 12 32 women woman NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 12 33 respectively respectively RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 12 34 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 12 35 4.5 4.5 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 12 36 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 12 37 3.4 3.4 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 12 38 years year NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 12 39 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 12 40 Brescia Brescia NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 12 41 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 12 42 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 13 1 The the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 13 2 drop drop NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 13 3 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 13 4 period period NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 13 5 life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 13 6 expectancy expectancy NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 13 7 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 13 8 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 13 9 may may MD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 13 10 total total VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 13 11 up up IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 13 12 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 13 13 3 3 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 13 14 years year NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 13 15 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 13 16 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 13 17 case case NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 13 18 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 13 19 men man NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 13 20 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 13 21 2 2 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 13 22 years year NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 13 23 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 13 24 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 13 25 case case NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 13 26 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 13 27 women woman NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 13 28 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 14 1 Such such PDT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 14 2 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 14 3 sharp sharp JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 14 4 decrease decrease NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 14 5 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 14 6 life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 14 7 expectancy expectancy NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 14 8 has have VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 14 9 not not RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 14 10 been be VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 14 11 experienced experience VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 14 12 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 14 13 modern modern JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 14 14 history history NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 14 15 since since IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 14 16 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 14 17 Second Second NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 14 18 World World NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 14 19 War War NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 14 20 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 15 1 This this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 15 2 study study NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 15 3 shows show VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 15 4 that that IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 15 5 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 15 6 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 15 7 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 15 8 absence absence NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 15 9 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 15 10 public public JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 15 11 health health NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 15 12 interventions intervention NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 15 13 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 15 14 reduce reduce VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 15 15 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 15 16 spread spread NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 15 17 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 15 18 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 15 19 virus virus NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 15 20 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 15 21 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 15 22 has have VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 15 23 set set VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 15 24 life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 15 25 expectancy expectancy NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 15 26 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 15 27 Bergamo Bergamo NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 15 28 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 15 29 Brescia Brescia NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 15 30 back back RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 15 31 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 15 32 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 15 33 Italian italian JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 15 34 life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 15 35 expectancy expectancy NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 15 36 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 15 37 15 15 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 15 38 years year NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 15 39 ago ago RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 15 40 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 16 1 According accord VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 16 2 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 16 3 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 16 4 World World NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 16 5 Health Health NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 16 6 Organization Organization NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 16 7 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 16 8 WHO who WP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 16 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 16 10 records record NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 16 11 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 16 12 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 16 13 31 31 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 16 14 December December NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 16 15 2019 2019 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 16 16 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 16 17 pneumonia pneumonia NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 16 18 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 16 19 unknown unknown JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 16 20 cause cause NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 16 21 detected detect VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 16 22 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 16 23 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 16 24 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 16 25 China China NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 16 26 was be VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 16 27 first first RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 16 28 reported report VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 16 29 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 16 30 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 16 31 WHO WHO NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 16 32 Country Country NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 16 33 Office Office NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 16 34 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 16 35 China China NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 16 36 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 17 1 On on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 17 2 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 17 3 20 20 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 17 4 th th CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 17 5 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 17 6 January January NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 17 7 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 18 1 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 18 2 media medium NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 18 3 around around IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 18 4 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 18 5 world world NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 18 6 report report VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 18 7 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 18 8 news news NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 18 9 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 18 10 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 18 11 human human JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 18 12 - - HYPH cord-293140-lp3l4iap 18 13 tohuman tohuman NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 18 14 transmission transmission NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 18 15 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 18 16 this this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 18 17 new new JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 18 18 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 18 19 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 18 20 while while IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 18 21 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 18 22 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 18 23 30 30 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 18 24 th th CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 18 25 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 18 26 January January NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 18 27 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 18 28 WHO who WP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 18 29 declares declare VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 18 30 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 18 31 outbreak outbreak NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 18 32 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 18 33 Public Public NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 18 34 Health Health NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 18 35 Emergency Emergency NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 18 36 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 18 37 International International NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 18 38 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 19 1 While while IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 19 2 Italy Italy NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 19 3 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 19 4 Iran Iran NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 19 5 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 19 6 South South NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 19 7 Korea Korea NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 19 8 had have VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 19 9 already already RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 19 10 experienced experience VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 19 11 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 19 12 significant significant JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 19 13 outbreak outbreak NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 19 14 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 19 15 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 19 16 new new JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 19 17 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 19 18 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 19 19 it -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 19 20 was be VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 19 21 only only RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 19 22 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 19 23 11 11 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 19 24 March March NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 19 25 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 19 26 that that IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 19 27 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 19 28 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 19 29 was be VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 19 30 declared declare VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 19 31 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 19 32 pandemic pandemic NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 19 33 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 19 34 WHO WHO NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 19 35 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 20 1 There there EX cord-293140-lp3l4iap 20 2 are be VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 20 3 now now RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 20 4 confirmed confirm VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 20 5 cases case NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 20 6 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 20 7 COVID-19 covid-19 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 20 8 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 20 9 every every DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 20 10 continent continent NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 20 11 except except IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 20 12 Antarctica Antarctica NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 20 13 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 21 1 What what WP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 21 2 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 21 3 particularly particularly RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 21 4 worrying worry VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 21 5 about about IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 21 6 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 21 7 new new JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 21 8 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 21 9 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 21 10 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 21 11 high high JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 21 12 degree degree NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 21 13 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 21 14 transmissibility transmissibility NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 21 15 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 21 16 infectivity infectivity NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 21 17 along along IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 21 18 with with IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 21 19 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 21 20 great great JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 21 21 potential potential NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 21 22 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 21 23 develop develop VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 21 24 into into IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 21 25 severe severe JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 21 26 illness illness NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 21 27 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 21 28 death death NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 22 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 22 2 Wang Wang NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 22 3 et et NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 22 4 al al NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 22 5 . . NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 22 6 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 22 7 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 22 8 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 23 1 Indeed indeed RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 23 2 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 23 3 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 23 4 minimise minimise VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 23 5 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 23 6 impact impact NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 23 7 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 23 8 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 23 9 pandemic pandemic NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 23 10 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 23 11 public public JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 23 12 health health NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 23 13 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 23 14 over over IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 23 15 100 100 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 23 16 countries country NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 23 17 worldwide worldwide RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 23 18 had have VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 23 19 impose impose VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 23 20 strict strict JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 23 21 restrictions restriction NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 23 22 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 23 23 movement movement NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 23 24 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 23 25 people people NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 23 26 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 23 27 social social JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 23 28 gatherings gathering NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 23 29 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 23 30 Hale Hale NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 23 31 et et NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 23 32 al al NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 23 33 . . NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 23 34 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 23 35 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 23 36 following follow VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 23 37 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 23 38 drastic drastic JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 23 39 measures measure NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 23 40 taken take VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 23 41 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 23 42 China China NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 23 43 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 23 44 an an DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 23 45 attempt attempt NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 23 46 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 23 47 ' ' '' cord-293140-lp3l4iap 23 48 flattening flatten VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 23 49 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 23 50 curve curve NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 23 51 ' ' '' cord-293140-lp3l4iap 23 52 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 24 1 Italy Italy NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 24 2 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 24 3 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 24 4 first first JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 24 5 country country NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 24 6 outside outside IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 24 7 China China NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 24 8 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 24 9 experience experience VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 24 10 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 24 11 large large JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 24 12 - - HYPH cord-293140-lp3l4iap 24 13 scale scale NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 24 14 health health NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 24 15 impact impact NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 24 16 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 24 17 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 24 18 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 24 19 imposed impose VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 24 20 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 24 21 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 24 22 partial partial JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 24 23 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 24 24 nationwide nationwide JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 24 25 lockdown lockdown NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 24 26 since since IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 24 27 9 9 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 24 28 March March NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 24 29 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 24 30 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 25 1 Whilst whilst IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 25 2 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 25 3 Italian italian JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 25 4 government government NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 25 5 was be VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 25 6 praised praise VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 25 7 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 25 8 WHO WHO NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 25 9 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 25 10 an an DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 25 11 implementation implementation NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 25 12 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 25 13 such such PDT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 25 14 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 25 15 measure measure NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 25 16 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 25 17 never never RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 25 18 employed employ VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 25 19 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 25 20 modern modern JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 25 21 democratic democratic JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 25 22 nations nation NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 25 23 since since IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 25 24 WWII WWII NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 25 25 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 25 26 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 25 27 given give VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 25 28 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 25 29 evidence evidence NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 25 30 that that IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 25 31 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 25 32 virus virus NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 25 33 spread spread VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 25 34 under under RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 25 35 - - HYPH cord-293140-lp3l4iap 25 36 detected detect VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 25 37 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 25 38 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 25 39 northern northern JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 25 40 part part NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 25 41 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 25 42 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 25 43 country country NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 25 44 already already RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 25 45 since since IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 25 46 late late JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 25 47 January January NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 25 48 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 25 49 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 25 50 strict strict JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 25 51 measures measure NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 25 52 might may MD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 25 53 have have VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 25 54 been be VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 25 55 imposed impose VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 25 56 too too RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 25 57 late late RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 25 58 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 26 1 As as IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 26 2 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 26 3 consequence consequence NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 26 4 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 26 5 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 26 6 outbreak outbreak NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 26 7 has have VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 26 8 put put VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 26 9 unprecedented unprecedented JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 26 10 strain strain NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 26 11 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 26 12 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 26 13 Italian italian JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 26 14 healthcare healthcare NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 26 15 system system NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 26 16 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 26 17 resulting result VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 26 18 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 26 19 an an DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 26 20 exceptionally exceptionally RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 26 21 high high JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 26 22 number number NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 26 23 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 26 24 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 26 25 deaths death NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 26 26 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 26 27 currently currently RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 26 28 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 26 29 second second JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 26 30 highest high JJS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 26 31 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 26 32 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 26 33 world world NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 26 34 after after IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 26 35 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 26 36 US US NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 26 37 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 27 1 As as IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 27 2 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 27 3 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 27 4 outbreak outbreak NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 27 5 spread spread VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 27 6 aggressively aggressively RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 27 7 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 27 8 other other JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 27 9 countries country NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 27 10 like like IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 27 11 Spain Spain NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 27 12 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 27 13 France France NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 27 14 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 27 15 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 27 16 UK UK NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 27 17 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 27 18 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 27 19 US US NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 27 20 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 27 21 country country NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 27 22 disparities disparity NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 27 23 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 27 24 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 27 25 deaths death NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 27 26 became become VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 27 27 distinct distinct JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 27 28 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 28 1 In in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 28 2 particular particular JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 28 3 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 28 4 Italy Italy NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 28 5 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 28 6 shown show VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 28 7 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 28 8 have have VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 28 9 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 28 10 highest high JJS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 28 11 case case NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 28 12 fatality fatality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 28 13 rate rate NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 28 14 while while IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 28 15 Germany Germany NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 28 16 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 28 17 Austria Austria NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 28 18 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 28 19 Norway Norway NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 28 20 are be VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 28 21 among among IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 28 22 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 28 23 countries country NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 28 24 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 28 25 lowest low JJS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 28 26 rate rate NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 28 27 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 28 28 Global Global NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 28 29 Health Health NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 28 30 5050 5050 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 28 31 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 28 32 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 28 33 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 29 1 Accordingly accordingly RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 29 2 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 29 3 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 29 4 media medium NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 29 5 has have VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 29 6 constantly constantly RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 29 7 trying try VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 29 8 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 29 9 dig dig VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 29 10 out out RP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 29 11 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 29 12 underlying underlie VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 29 13 reasons reason NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 29 14 behind behind IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 29 15 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 29 16 country country NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 29 17 differentials differential NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 29 18 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 29 19 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 29 20 deaths death NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 29 21 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 30 1 Comparing compare VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 30 2 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 30 3 deaths death NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 30 4 across across IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 30 5 countries country NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 30 6 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 30 7 however however RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 30 8 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 30 9 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 30 10 challenging challenge VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 30 11 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 30 12 several several JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 30 13 reasons reason NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 30 14 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 30 15 ranging range VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 30 16 from from IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 30 17 disparities disparity NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 30 18 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 30 19 testing testing NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 30 20 coverage coverage NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 30 21 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 30 22 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 30 23 criterial criterial NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 30 24 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 30 25 defining define VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 30 26 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 30 27 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 30 28 death death NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 30 29 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 30 30 practice practice VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 30 31 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 30 32 post post JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 30 33 - - JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 30 34 mortem mortem JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 30 35 examination examination NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 30 36 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 30 37 García García NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 30 38 - - HYPH cord-293140-lp3l4iap 30 39 Basteiro Basteiro NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 30 40 et et NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 30 41 al al NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 30 42 . . NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 30 43 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 30 44 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 30 45 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 31 1 One one CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 31 2 way way NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 31 3 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 31 4 overcome overcome VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 31 5 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 31 6 inconsistency inconsistency NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 31 7 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 31 8 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 31 9 differences difference NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 31 10 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 31 11 measurement measurement NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 31 12 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 31 13 incidence incidence NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 31 14 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 31 15 fatality fatality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 31 16 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 31 17 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 31 18 consider consider VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 31 19 excess excess JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 31 20 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 31 21 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 32 1 Data datum NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 32 2 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 32 3 weekly weekly JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 32 4 or or CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 32 5 daily daily JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 32 6 excess excess JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 32 7 deaths death NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 32 8 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 32 9 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 32 10 instance instance NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 32 11 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 32 12 would would MD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 32 13 allow allow VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 32 14 scientists scientist NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 32 15 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 32 16 compare compare VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 32 17 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 32 18 observed observed JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 32 19 deaths death NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 32 20 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 32 21 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 32 22 with with IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 32 23 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 32 24 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 32 25 patterns pattern NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 32 26 typically typically RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 32 27 observed observe VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 32 28 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 32 29 previous previous JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 32 30 years year NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 33 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 33 2 Leon Leon NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 33 3 et et NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 33 4 al al NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 33 5 . . NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 33 6 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 33 7 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 33 8 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 34 1 Exploiting exploit VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 34 2 daily daily JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 34 3 death death NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 34 4 registrations registration NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 34 5 data datum NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 34 6 published publish VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 34 7 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 34 8 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 34 9 Italian Italian NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 34 10 Statistical Statistical NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 34 11 Office Office NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 34 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 34 13 ISTAT ISTAT NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 34 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 34 15 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 34 16 this this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 34 17 paper paper NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 34 18 provides provide VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 34 19 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 34 20 first first JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 34 21 evidence evidence NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 34 22 - - HYPH cord-293140-lp3l4iap 34 23 based base VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 34 24 assessment assessment NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 34 25 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 34 26 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 34 27 impact impact NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 34 28 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 34 29 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 34 30 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 34 31 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 34 32 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 34 33 life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 34 34 expectancy expectancy NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 34 35 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 34 36 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 34 37 first first JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 34 38 hardest hard RBS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 34 39 hit hit VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 34 40 epicentres epicentre NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 34 41 outside outside IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 34 42 China China NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 34 43 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 35 1 Three three CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 35 2 main main JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 35 3 features feature NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 35 4 characterise characterise VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 35 5 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 35 6 present present JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 35 7 analysis analysis NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 35 8 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 36 1 First first RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 36 2 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 36 3 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 36 4 deaths death NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 36 5 are be VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 36 6 estimated estimate VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 36 7 using use VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 36 8 excess excess JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 36 9 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 36 10 measures measure NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 36 11 rather rather RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 36 12 than than IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 36 13 relying rely VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 36 14 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 36 15 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 36 16 official official JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 36 17 report report NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 36 18 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 36 19 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 36 20 number number NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 36 21 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 36 22 deaths death NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 36 23 attributed attribute VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 36 24 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 36 25 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 36 26 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 37 1 This this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 37 2 way way NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 37 3 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 37 4 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 37 5 estimation estimation NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 37 6 does do VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 37 7 not not RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 37 8 suffer suffer VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 37 9 from from IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 37 10 biases bias NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 37 11 related relate VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 37 12 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 37 13 sampling sampling NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 37 14 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 37 15 testing testing NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 37 16 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 37 17 reporting reporting NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 37 18 policies policy NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 37 19 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 38 1 Second second RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 38 2 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 38 3 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 38 4 analysis analysis NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 38 5 focusses focusse VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 38 6 specifically specifically RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 38 7 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 38 8 Bergamo Bergamo NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 38 9 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 38 10 Brescia Brescia NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 38 11 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 38 12 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 38 13 two two CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 38 14 hardest hard RBS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 38 15 hit hit VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 38 16 provinces province NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 38 17 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 38 18 Lombardy Lombardy NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 38 19 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 38 20 northern northern JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 38 21 Italy Italy NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 38 22 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 39 1 The the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 39 2 two two CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 39 3 provinces province NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 39 4 were be VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 39 5 sometimes sometimes RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 39 6 compared compare VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 39 7 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 39 8 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 39 9 given give VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 39 10 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 39 11 position position NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 39 12 as as IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 39 13 epicentres epicentre NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 39 14 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 39 15 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 39 16 outbreak outbreak NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 39 17 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 39 18 which which WDT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 39 19 experienced experience VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 39 20 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 39 21 rapid rapid JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 39 22 escalation escalation NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 39 23 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 39 24 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 39 25 number number NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 39 26 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 39 27 infections infection NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 39 28 resulting result VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 39 29 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 39 30 an an DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 39 31 insufficiency insufficiency NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 39 32 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 39 33 healthcare healthcare NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 39 34 resources resource NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 39 35 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 39 36 intensive intensive JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 39 37 care care NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 39 38 units unit NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 39 39 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 39 40 Porcheddu Porcheddu NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 39 41 et et NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 39 42 al al NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 39 43 . . NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 39 44 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 39 45 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 39 46 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 40 1 The the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 40 2 highly highly RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 40 3 clustered clustered JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 40 4 nature nature NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 40 5 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 40 6 local local JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 40 7 transmission transmission NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 40 8 results result NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 40 9 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 40 10 high high JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 40 11 concentration concentration NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 40 12 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 40 13 severe severe JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 40 14 illnesses illness NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 40 15 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 40 16 deaths death NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 40 17 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 40 18 one one CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 40 19 area area NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 41 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 41 2 Jia Jia NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 41 3 et et NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 41 4 al al NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 41 5 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 41 6 n.d n.d NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 41 7 . . NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 41 8 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 41 9 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 42 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 42 2 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 42 3 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 42 4 direct direct JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 42 5 impact impact NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 42 6 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 42 7 COVID-19 covid-19 NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 42 8 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 42 9 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 42 10 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 42 11 average average JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 42 12 life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 42 13 expectancy expectancy NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 42 14 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 42 15 likely likely JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 42 16 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 42 17 be be VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 42 18 felt feel VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 42 19 at at IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 42 20 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 42 21 sub sub JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 42 22 - - JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 42 23 national national JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 42 24 level level NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 42 25 rather rather RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 42 26 than than IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 42 27 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 42 28 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 42 29 whole whole JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 42 30 country country NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 42 31 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 43 1 Finally finally RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 43 2 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 43 3 at at IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 43 4 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 43 5 moment moment NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 43 6 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 43 7 writing writing NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 43 8 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 43 9 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 43 10 epidemics epidemic NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 43 11 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 43 12 Bergamo Bergamo NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 43 13 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 43 14 Brescia Brescia NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 43 15 appear appear VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 43 16 now now RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 43 17 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 43 18 have have VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 43 19 been be VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 43 20 contained contain VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 43 21 given give VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 43 22 that that IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 43 23 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 43 24 epidemic epidemic NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 43 25 curve curve NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 43 26 has have VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 43 27 presented present VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 43 28 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 43 29 downward downward JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 43 30 trend trend NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 43 31 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 43 32 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 43 33 first first JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 43 34 wave wave NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 43 35 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 43 36 infections infection NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 43 37 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 44 1 The the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 44 2 results result NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 44 3 presented present VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 44 4 here here RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 44 5 are be VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 44 6 thus thus RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 44 7 based base VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 44 8 mainly mainly RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 44 9 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 44 10 hard hard JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 44 11 number number NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 44 12 observed observe VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 44 13 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 44 14 these these DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 44 15 regions region NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 44 16 rather rather RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 44 17 than than IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 44 18 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 44 19 some some DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 44 20 forms form NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 44 21 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 44 22 simulations simulation NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 44 23 with with IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 44 24 underlying underlie VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 44 25 assumptions assumption NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 44 26 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 45 1 Focusing focus VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 45 2 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 45 3 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 45 4 areas area NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 45 5 where where WRB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 45 6 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 45 7 outbreak outbreak NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 45 8 appears appear VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 45 9 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 45 10 have have VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 45 11 slowed slow VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 45 12 down down RP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 45 13 allows allow VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 45 14 us -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 45 15 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 45 16 capture capture VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 45 17 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 45 18 fuller full JJR cord-293140-lp3l4iap 45 19 picture picture NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 45 20 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 45 21 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 45 22 impact impact NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 45 23 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 45 24 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 45 25 virus virus NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 45 26 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 45 27 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 45 28 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 45 29 life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 45 30 expectancy expectancy NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 45 31 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 46 1 Hence hence RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 46 2 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 46 3 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 46 4 using use VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 46 5 complete complete JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 46 6 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 46 7 reliable reliable JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 46 8 data datum NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 46 9 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 46 10 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 46 11 number number NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 46 12 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 46 13 deaths death NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 46 14 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 46 15 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 46 16 first first RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 46 17 largest large JJS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 46 18 - - HYPH cord-293140-lp3l4iap 46 19 scale scale NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 46 20 outbreak outbreak NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 46 21 outside outside IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 46 22 China China NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 46 23 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 46 24 this this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 46 25 paper paper NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 46 26 provides provide VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 46 27 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 46 28 first first JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 46 29 unbiased unbiased JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 46 30 account account NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 46 31 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 46 32 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 46 33 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 46 34 impact impact NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 46 35 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 46 36 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 46 37 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 46 38 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 46 39 consequence consequence NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 46 40 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 46 41 life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 46 42 expectancy expectancy NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 46 43 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 47 1 In in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 47 2 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 47 3 analysis analysis NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 47 4 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 47 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 47 6 compare compare VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 47 7 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 47 8 rates rate NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 47 9 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 47 10 2015 2015 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 47 11 - - SYM cord-293140-lp3l4iap 47 12 2019 2019 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 47 13 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 47 14 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 47 15 across across IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 47 16 age age NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 47 17 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 47 18 gender gender NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 47 19 categories category NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 47 20 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 47 21 provide provide VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 47 22 estimations estimation NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 47 23 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 47 24 how how WRB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 47 25 life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 47 26 expectancy expectancy NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 47 27 changes change NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 47 28 following follow VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 47 29 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 47 30 COVID-19 covid-19 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 47 31 pandemic pandemic NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 47 32 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 48 1 The the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 48 2 motivation motivation NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 48 3 driving drive VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 48 4 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 48 5 analysis analysis NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 48 6 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 48 7 discussed discuss VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 48 8 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 48 9 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 48 10 next next JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 48 11 session session NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 48 12 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 48 13 where where WRB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 48 14 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 48 15 main main JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 48 16 methodological methodological JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 48 17 choices choice NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 48 18 regarding regard VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 48 19 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 48 20 measures measure NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 48 21 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 48 22 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 48 23 geographical geographical JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 48 24 areas area NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 48 25 are be VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 48 26 discussed discuss VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 48 27 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 48 28 depth depth NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 48 29 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 49 1 In in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 49 2 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 49 3 background background NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 49 4 section section NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 49 5 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 49 6 we -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 49 7 provide provide VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 49 8 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 49 9 short short JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 49 10 description description NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 49 11 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 49 12 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 49 13 policy policy NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 49 14 measures measure NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 49 15 implemented implement VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 49 16 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 49 17 tackling tackle VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 49 18 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 49 19 epidemic epidemic NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 49 20 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 50 1 Next next RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 50 2 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 50 3 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 50 4 set set NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 50 5 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 50 6 results result NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 50 7 are be VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 50 8 divided divide VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 50 9 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 50 10 two two CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 50 11 parts part NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 50 12 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 51 1 First first RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 51 2 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 51 3 rough rough JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 51 4 excess excess JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 51 5 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 51 6 rates rate NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 51 7 are be VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 51 8 presented present VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 51 9 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 52 1 These these DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 52 2 values value NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 52 3 are be VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 52 4 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 52 5 used use VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 52 6 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 52 7 construct construct VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 52 8 potential potential JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 52 9 life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 52 10 expectancy expectancy NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 52 11 based base VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 52 12 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 52 13 different different JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 52 14 assumptions assumption NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 52 15 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 52 16 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 52 17 rest rest NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 52 18 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 52 19 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 52 20 year year NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 52 21 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 52 22 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 53 1 In in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 53 2 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 53 3 final final JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 53 4 discussion discussion NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 53 5 part part NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 53 6 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 53 7 we -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 53 8 underline underline VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 53 9 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 53 10 most most RBS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 53 11 important important JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 53 12 lessons lesson NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 53 13 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 53 14 be be VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 53 15 drawn draw VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 53 16 from from IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 53 17 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 53 18 evidence evidence NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 53 19 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 53 20 conclude conclude VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 53 21 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 54 1 This this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 54 2 paper paper NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 54 3 aims aim VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 54 4 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 54 5 provide provide VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 54 6 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 54 7 first first JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 54 8 evidence evidence NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 54 9 - - HYPH cord-293140-lp3l4iap 54 10 based base VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 54 11 assessment assessment NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 54 12 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 54 13 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 54 14 human human JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 54 15 life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 54 16 consequences consequence NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 54 17 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 54 18 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 54 19 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 54 20 pandemic pandemic NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 54 21 based base VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 54 22 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 54 23 unbiased unbiased JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 54 24 weekly weekly JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 54 25 death death NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 54 26 registrations registration NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 54 27 data datum NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 54 28 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 55 1 In in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 55 2 particular particular JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 55 3 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 55 4 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 55 5 choice choice NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 55 6 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 55 7 using use VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 55 8 overall overall JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 55 9 daily daily JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 55 10 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 55 11 rather rather RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 55 12 than than IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 55 13 official official JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 55 14 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 55 15 figures figure NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 55 16 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 55 17 motivated motivate VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 55 18 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 55 19 two two CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 55 20 major major JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 55 21 concerns concern NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 55 22 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 56 1 First first RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 56 2 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 56 3 during during IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 56 4 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 56 5 last last JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 56 6 couple couple NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 56 7 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 56 8 months month NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 56 9 it -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 56 10 has have VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 56 11 become become VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 56 12 clear clear JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 56 13 that that IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 56 14 there there EX cord-293140-lp3l4iap 56 15 exists exist VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 56 16 no no DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 56 17 uniform uniform JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 56 18 way way NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 56 19 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 56 20 classifying classify VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 56 21 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 56 22 death death NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 56 23 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 57 1 There there EX cord-293140-lp3l4iap 57 2 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 57 3 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 57 4 variation variation NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 57 5 across across IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 57 6 countries country NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 57 7 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 57 8 counting count VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 57 9 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 57 10 " " '' cord-293140-lp3l4iap 57 11 from from IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 57 12 " " '' cord-293140-lp3l4iap 57 13 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 57 14 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 57 15 " " '' cord-293140-lp3l4iap 57 16 with with IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 57 17 " " `` cord-293140-lp3l4iap 57 18 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 57 19 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 58 1 Italy Italy NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 58 2 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 58 3 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 58 4 instance instance NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 58 5 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 58 6 include include VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 58 7 any any DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 58 8 persons person NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 58 9 who who WP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 58 10 tested test VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 58 11 positive positive JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 58 12 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 58 13 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 58 14 virus virus NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 58 15 when when WRB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 58 16 they -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 58 17 died die VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 58 18 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 58 19 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 58 20 official official JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 58 21 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 58 22 death death NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 58 23 toll toll NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 58 24 statistics statistic NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 58 25 regardless regardless RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 58 26 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 58 27 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 58 28 pre pre JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 58 29 - - JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 58 30 existing existing JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 58 31 diseases disease NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 58 32 that that WDT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 58 33 may may MD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 58 34 have have VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 58 35 caused cause VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 58 36 death death NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 58 37 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 58 38 Onder Onder NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 58 39 et et NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 58 40 al al NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 58 41 . . NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 58 42 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 58 43 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 58 44 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 59 1 Likewise likewise RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 59 2 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 59 3 whilst whilst IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 59 4 countries country NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 59 5 like like IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 59 6 Belgium Belgium NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 59 7 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 59 8 France France NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 59 9 after after IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 59 10 2 2 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 59 11 nd nd NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 59 12 April April NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 59 13 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 59 14 include include VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 59 15 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 59 16 deaths death NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 59 17 outside outside IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 59 18 hospitals hospital NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 59 19 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 59 20 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 59 21 official official JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 59 22 daily daily JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 59 23 report report NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 59 24 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 59 25 countries country NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 59 26 like like IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 59 27 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 59 28 UK UK NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 59 29 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 59 30 Italy Italy NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 59 31 or or CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 59 32 Spain Spain NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 59 33 do do VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 59 34 not not RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 59 35 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 60 1 Some some DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 60 2 countries country NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 60 3 such such JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 60 4 as as IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 60 5 Belgium Belgium NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 60 6 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 60 7 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 60 8 UK UK NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 60 9 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 60 10 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 60 11 US US NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 60 12 record record NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 61 1 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 61 2 deaths death NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 61 3 also also RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 61 4 from from IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 61 5 suspected suspect VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 61 6 cases case NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 61 7 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 61 8 do do VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 61 9 not not RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 61 10 require require VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 61 11 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 61 12 positive positive JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 61 13 laboratory laboratory NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 61 14 diagnosis diagnosis NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 61 15 like like IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 61 16 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 61 17 Germany Germany NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 61 18 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 61 19 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 61 20 Netherlands Netherlands NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 61 21 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 61 22 Roser Roser NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 61 23 et et NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 61 24 al al NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 61 25 . . NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 61 26 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 61 27 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 61 28 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 62 1 In in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 62 2 addition addition NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 62 3 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 62 4 when when WRB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 62 5 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 62 6 epidemic epidemic NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 62 7 worsens worsen VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 62 8 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 62 9 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 62 10 counting counting NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 62 11 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 62 12 fatalities fatality NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 62 13 becomes become VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 62 14 more more RBR cord-293140-lp3l4iap 62 15 difficult difficult JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 62 16 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 63 1 People People NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 63 2 dying die VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 63 3 at at IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 63 4 home home NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 63 5 or or CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 63 6 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 63 7 long long JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 63 8 - - HYPH cord-293140-lp3l4iap 63 9 term term NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 63 10 care care NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 63 11 facilities facility NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 63 12 might may MD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 63 13 indeed indeed RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 63 14 not not RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 63 15 be be VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 63 16 tested test VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 63 17 at at RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 63 18 all all RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 63 19 simply simply RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 63 20 because because IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 63 21 resource resource NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 63 22 allocation allocation NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 63 23 prioritises prioritise VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 63 24 emergency emergency NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 63 25 operations operation NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 63 26 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 64 1 Even even RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 64 2 within within IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 64 3 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 64 4 same same JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 64 5 country country NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 64 6 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 64 7 it -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 64 8 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 64 9 difficult difficult JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 64 10 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 64 11 compare compare VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 64 12 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 64 13 number number NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 64 14 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 64 15 cases case NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 64 16 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 64 17 deaths death NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 64 18 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 64 19 different different JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 64 20 regions region NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 64 21 given give VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 64 22 disparities disparity NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 64 23 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 64 24 regional regional JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 64 25 policies policy NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 64 26 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 64 27 testing test VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 64 28 strategies strategy NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 64 29 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 64 30 capacities capacity NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 64 31 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 65 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 65 2 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 65 3 weekly weekly JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 65 4 death death NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 65 5 registrations registration NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 65 6 data datum NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 65 7 from from IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 65 8 all all DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 65 9 causes cause NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 65 10 are be VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 65 11 more more RBR cord-293140-lp3l4iap 65 12 comparable comparable JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 65 13 across across IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 65 14 countries country NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 65 15 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 65 16 regions region NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 65 17 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 65 18 Leon Leon NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 65 19 et et NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 65 20 al al NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 65 21 . . NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 65 22 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 65 23 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 65 24 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 66 1 This this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 66 2 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 66 3 important important JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 66 4 given give VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 66 5 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 66 6 need need NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 66 7 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 66 8 share share VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 66 9 generalisable generalisable JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 66 10 information information NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 66 11 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 66 12 order order NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 66 13 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 66 14 track track VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 66 15 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 66 16 progress progress NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 66 17 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 66 18 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 66 19 epidemics epidemic NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 66 20 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 66 21 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 66 22 guide guide VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 66 23 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 66 24 implementation implementation NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 66 25 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 66 26 prevention prevention NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 66 27 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 66 28 control control NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 66 29 measures measure NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 66 30 as as RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 66 31 well well RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 66 32 as as IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 66 33 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 66 34 plan plan VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 66 35 when when WRB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 66 36 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 66 37 relax relax VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 66 38 social social JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 66 39 distancing distancing NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 66 40 measures measure NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 66 41 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 67 1 A a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 67 2 second second JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 67 3 advantage advantage NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 67 4 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 67 5 using use VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 67 6 overall overall JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 67 7 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 67 8 measure measure NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 67 9 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 67 10 that that IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 67 11 it -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 67 12 allows allow VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 67 13 us -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 67 14 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 67 15 capture capture VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 67 16 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 67 17 negative negative JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 67 18 spillovers spillover NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 67 19 associated associate VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 67 20 with with IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 67 21 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 67 22 drop drop NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 67 23 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 67 24 supply supply NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 67 25 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 67 26 hospital hospital NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 67 27 - - HYPH cord-293140-lp3l4iap 67 28 based base VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 67 29 services service NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 67 30 due due JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 67 31 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 67 32 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 67 33 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 68 1 The the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 68 2 reduced reduce VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 68 3 access access NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 68 4 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 68 5 hospitals hospital NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 68 6 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 68 7 emergency emergency NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 68 8 rooms room NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 68 9 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 68 10 often often RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 68 11 closed close VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 68 12 during during IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 68 13 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 68 14 outbreak outbreak NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 68 15 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 68 16 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 68 17 acute acute JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 68 18 hospital hospital NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 68 19 beds bed NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 68 20 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 68 21 clinical clinical JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 68 22 activities activity NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 68 23 could could MD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 68 24 contribute contribute VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 68 25 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 68 26 peaks peak NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 68 27 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 68 28 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 68 29 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 68 30 other other JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 68 31 medical medical JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 68 32 conditions condition NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 68 33 that that WDT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 68 34 are be VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 68 35 not not RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 68 36 directly directly RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 68 37 related relate VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 68 38 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 68 39 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 68 40 epidemic epidemic NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 68 41 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 69 1 Obviously obviously RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 69 2 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 69 3 these these DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 69 4 deaths death NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 69 5 should should MD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 69 6 be be VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 69 7 considered consider VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 69 8 as as IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 69 9 death death NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 69 10 as as IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 69 11 an an DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 69 12 indirect indirect JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 69 13 consequence consequence NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 69 14 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 69 15 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 69 16 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 70 1 In in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 70 2 other other JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 70 3 words word NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 70 4 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 70 5 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 70 6 study study NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 70 7 that that WDT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 70 8 consider consider VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 70 9 excess excess JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 70 10 all all DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 70 11 - - HYPH cord-293140-lp3l4iap 70 12 cause cause NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 70 13 All all DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 70 14 rights right NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 70 15 reserved reserve VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 70 16 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 71 1 No no DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 71 2 reuse reuse NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 71 3 allowed allow VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 71 4 without without IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 71 5 permission permission NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 71 6 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 72 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 72 2 which which WDT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 72 3 was be VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 72 4 not not RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 72 5 certified certify VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 72 6 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 72 7 peer peer NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 72 8 review review NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 72 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 72 10 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 72 11 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 72 12 author author NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 72 13 / / SYM cord-293140-lp3l4iap 72 14 funder funder NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 72 15 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 72 16 who who WP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 72 17 has have VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 72 18 granted grant VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 72 19 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 72 20 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 72 21 license license NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 72 22 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 72 23 display display VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 72 24 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 72 25 preprint preprint NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 72 26 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 72 27 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 72 28 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 73 1 The the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 73 2 copyright copyright NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 73 3 holder holder NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 73 4 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 73 5 this this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 73 6 preprint preprint NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 73 7 this this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 73 8 version version NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 73 9 posted post VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 73 10 May May NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 73 11 5 5 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 73 12 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 73 13 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 73 14 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 73 15 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 74 1 https://doi.org/10 https://doi.org/10 NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 74 2 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 75 1 1101 1101 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 75 2 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 75 3 during during IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 75 4 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 75 5 period period NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 75 6 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 75 7 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 75 8 epidemic epidemic NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 75 9 like like IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 75 10 ours -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 75 11 provides provide VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 75 12 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 75 13 complete complete JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 75 14 assessment assessment NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 75 15 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 75 16 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 75 17 impact impact NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 75 18 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 75 19 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 75 20 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 75 21 population population NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 75 22 health health NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 75 23 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 75 24 human human JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 75 25 life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 75 26 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 76 1 Most Most JJS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 76 2 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 76 3 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 76 4 existing exist VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 76 5 literature literature NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 76 6 has have VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 76 7 relied rely VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 76 8 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 76 9 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 76 10 measures measure NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 76 11 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 76 12 especially especially RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 76 13 case case NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 76 14 - - HYPH cord-293140-lp3l4iap 76 15 fatality fatality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 76 16 rates rate NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 76 17 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 76 18 CFR CFR NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 76 19 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 76 20 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 76 21 CDC CDC NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 76 22 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 76 23 Response Response NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 76 24 Team Team NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 76 25 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 76 26 ; ; : cord-293140-lp3l4iap 76 27 Giangreco Giangreco NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 76 28 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 76 29 ; ; : cord-293140-lp3l4iap 76 30 Khafaie Khafaie NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 76 31 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 76 32 Rahim Rahim NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 76 33 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 76 34 ; ; : cord-293140-lp3l4iap 76 35 Onder Onder NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 76 36 et et NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 76 37 al al NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 76 38 . . NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 76 39 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 76 40 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 76 41 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 76 42 which which WDT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 76 43 are be VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 76 44 not not RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 76 45 informative informative JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 76 46 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 76 47 international international JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 76 48 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 76 49 historical historical JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 76 50 comparisons comparison NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 76 51 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 77 1 Since since IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 77 2 case case NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 77 3 - - HYPH cord-293140-lp3l4iap 77 4 fatality fatality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 77 5 rates rate NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 77 6 are be VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 77 7 calculated calculate VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 77 8 as as IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 77 9 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 77 10 number number NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 77 11 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 77 12 deaths death NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 77 13 divided divide VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 77 14 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 77 15 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 77 16 number number NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 77 17 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 77 18 confirmed confirm VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 77 19 cases case NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 77 20 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 77 21 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 77 22 absence absence NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 77 23 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 77 24 accurate accurate JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 77 25 estimation estimation NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 77 26 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 77 27 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 77 28 infection infection NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 77 29 rates rate NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 77 30 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 77 31 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 77 32 reference reference NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 77 33 population population NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 77 34 makes make VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 77 35 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 77 36 denominator denominator NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 77 37 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 77 38 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 77 39 CFR CFR NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 77 40 relies rely VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 77 41 heavily heavily RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 77 42 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 77 43 testing test VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 77 44 strategies strategy NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 77 45 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 77 46 capacities capacity NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 77 47 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 78 1 Although although IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 78 2 much much JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 78 3 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 78 4 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 78 5 attention attention NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 78 6 from from IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 78 7 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 78 8 media medium NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 78 9 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 78 10 WHO who WP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 78 11 has have VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 78 12 been be VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 78 13 devoted devote VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 78 14 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 78 15 increasing increase VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 78 16 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 78 17 number number NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 78 18 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 78 19 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 78 20 testing testing NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 78 21 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 78 22 as as RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 78 23 many many JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 78 24 people people NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 78 25 as as IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 78 26 possible possible JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 78 27 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 78 28 WHO who WP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 78 29 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 78 30 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 78 31 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 78 32 little little JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 78 33 has have VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 78 34 been be VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 78 35 said say VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 78 36 about about IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 78 37 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 78 38 sampling sampling NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 78 39 strategy strategy NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 78 40 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 79 1 The the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 79 2 only only JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 79 3 possible possible JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 79 4 way way NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 79 5 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 79 6 obtain obtain VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 79 7 reliable reliable JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 79 8 information information NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 79 9 about about IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 79 10 infection infection NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 79 11 rates rate NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 79 12 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 79 13 through through IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 79 14 selecting select VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 79 15 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 79 16 testing test VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 79 17 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 79 18 representative representative JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 79 19 sample sample NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 79 20 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 79 21 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 79 22 population population NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 79 23 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 79 24 Galeotti Galeotti NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 79 25 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 79 26 Surico Surico NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 79 27 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 79 28 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 79 29 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 79 30 an an DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 79 31 approach approach NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 79 32 only only RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 79 33 very very RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 79 34 few few JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 79 35 countries country NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 79 36 have have VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 79 37 actually actually RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 79 38 implemented implement VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 79 39 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 80 1 Only only RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 80 2 recently recently RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 80 3 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 80 4 April April NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 80 5 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 80 6 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 80 7 Iceland Iceland NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 80 8 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 80 9 Austria Austria NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 80 10 were be VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 80 11 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 80 12 first first JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 80 13 countries country NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 80 14 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 80 15 carry carry VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 80 16 out out RP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 80 17 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 80 18 random random JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 80 19 - - HYPH cord-293140-lp3l4iap 80 20 population population NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 80 21 screening screening NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 80 22 test test NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 80 23 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 81 1 This this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 81 2 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 81 3 understandable understandable JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 81 4 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 81 5 since since IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 81 6 testing testing NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 81 7 has have VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 81 8 been be VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 81 9 used use VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 81 10 as as IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 81 11 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 81 12 measure measure NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 81 13 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 81 14 containment containment NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 81 15 through through IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 81 16 isolating isolate VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 81 17 infected infected JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 81 18 patients patient NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 81 19 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 81 20 together together RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 81 21 with with IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 81 22 tracing tracing NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 81 23 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 81 24 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 82 1 However however RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 82 2 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 82 3 testing test VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 82 4 only only RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 82 5 suspected suspect VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 82 6 cases case NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 82 7 implies imply VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 82 8 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 82 9 selection selection NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 82 10 bias bias NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 82 11 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 82 12 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 82 13 sampling sampling NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 82 14 approach approach NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 82 15 which which WDT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 82 16 fails fail VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 82 17 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 82 18 provide provide VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 82 19 unbiased unbiased JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 82 20 estimates estimate NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 82 21 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 82 22 infection infection NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 82 23 rates rate NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 82 24 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 82 25 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 82 26 population population NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 82 27 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 82 28 no no RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 82 29 matter matter RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 82 30 how how WRB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 82 31 many many JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 82 32 tests test NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 82 33 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 82 34 country country NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 82 35 runs run VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 82 36 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 83 1 The the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 83 2 figures figure NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 83 3 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 83 4 infection infection NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 83 5 rates rate NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 83 6 based base VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 83 7 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 83 8 unrepresentative unrepresentative JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 83 9 sample sample NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 83 10 testing testing NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 83 11 thus thus RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 83 12 are be VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 83 13 likely likely JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 83 14 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 83 15 be be VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 83 16 misestimation misestimation NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 83 17 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 83 18 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 83 19 true true JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 83 20 prevalence prevalence NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 83 21 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 84 1 Another another DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 84 2 important important JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 84 3 feature feature NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 84 4 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 84 5 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 84 6 present present JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 84 7 study study NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 84 8 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 84 9 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 84 10 specific specific JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 84 11 geographical geographical JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 84 12 focus focus NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 84 13 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 84 14 Bergamo Bergamo NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 84 15 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 84 16 Brescia Brescia NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 84 17 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 84 18 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 84 19 two two CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 84 20 hardest hard RBS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 84 21 hit hit VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 84 22 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 84 23 relatively relatively RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 84 24 small small JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 84 25 provinces province NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 84 26 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 84 27 Lombardy Lombardy NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 84 28 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 84 29 northern northern JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 84 30 Italy Italy NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 84 31 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 85 1 Due due IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 85 2 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 85 3 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 85 4 clustering clustering NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 85 5 nature nature NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 85 6 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 85 7 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 85 8 virus virus NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 85 9 outbreak outbreak NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 85 10 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 85 11 an an DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 85 12 analysis analysis NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 85 13 at at IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 85 14 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 85 15 national national JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 85 16 level level NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 85 17 would would MD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 85 18 underestimate underestimate VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 85 19 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 85 20 scale scale NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 85 21 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 85 22 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 85 23 impact impact NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 85 24 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 85 25 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 85 26 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 85 27 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 85 28 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 85 29 life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 85 30 expectancy expectancy NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 85 31 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 86 1 With with IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 86 2 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 86 3 total total JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 86 4 population population NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 86 5 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 86 6 approximately approximately RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 86 7 2.3 2.3 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 86 8 million million CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 86 9 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 86 10 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 86 11 two two CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 86 12 provinces province NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 86 13 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 86 14 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 86 15 large large JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 86 16 - - HYPH cord-293140-lp3l4iap 86 17 scale scale NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 86 18 excess excess JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 86 19 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 86 20 can can MD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 86 21 indeed indeed RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 86 22 affect affect VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 86 23 life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 86 24 expectancy expectancy NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 86 25 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 86 26 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 86 27 population population NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 86 28 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 86 29 these these DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 86 30 small small JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 86 31 areas area NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 86 32 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 87 1 In in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 87 2 addition addition NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 87 3 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 87 4 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 87 5 containment containment NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 87 6 measures measure VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 87 7 through through IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 87 8 lockdown lockdown NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 87 9 were be VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 87 10 introduced introduce VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 87 11 too too RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 87 12 late late RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 87 13 given give VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 87 14 that that IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 87 15 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 87 16 virus virus NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 87 17 had have VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 87 18 already already RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 87 19 been be VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 87 20 circulated circulate VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 87 21 undetected undetected JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 87 22 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 87 23 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 87 24 region region NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 87 25 as as RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 87 26 early early RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 87 27 as as IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 87 28 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 87 29 January January NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 87 30 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 88 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 88 2 L'Eco L'Eco NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 88 3 di di NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 89 1 Bergamo Bergamo NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 89 2 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 89 3 ; ; : cord-293140-lp3l4iap 89 4 Reuters Reuters NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 89 5 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 89 6 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 89 7 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 90 1 This this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 90 2 allows allow VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 90 3 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 90 4 epidemic epidemic NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 90 5 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 90 6 develop develop VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 90 7 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 90 8 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 90 9 " " `` cord-293140-lp3l4iap 90 10 purest pure JJS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 90 11 " " '' cord-293140-lp3l4iap 90 12 form form NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 90 13 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 90 14 showing show VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 90 15 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 90 16 potential potential JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 90 17 impact impact NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 90 18 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 90 19 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 90 20 virus virus NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 90 21 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 90 22 absence absence NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 90 23 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 90 24 any any DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 90 25 intervention intervention NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 90 26 measures measure NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 90 27 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 90 28 reduce reduce VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 90 29 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 90 30 spread spread NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 90 31 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 91 1 Hence hence RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 91 2 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 91 3 when when WRB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 91 4 indicators indicator NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 91 5 like like IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 91 6 life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 91 7 expectancy expectancy NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 91 8 are be VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 91 9 calculated calculate VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 91 10 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 91 11 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 91 12 reference reference NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 91 13 population population NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 91 14 should should MD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 91 15 naturally naturally RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 91 16 be be VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 91 17 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 91 18 one one NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 91 19 experiencing experience VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 91 20 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 91 21 consequences consequence NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 91 22 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 91 23 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 91 24 epidemic epidemic NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 91 25 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 92 1 On on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 92 2 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 92 3 contrary contrary NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 92 4 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 92 5 if if IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 92 6 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 92 7 national national JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 92 8 data datum NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 92 9 are be VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 92 10 considered consider VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 92 11 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 92 12 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 92 13 outbreaks outbreak NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 92 14 have have VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 92 15 been be VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 92 16 contained contain VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 92 17 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 92 18 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 92 19 negative negative JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 92 20 impact impact NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 92 21 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 92 22 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 92 23 epidemic epidemic NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 92 24 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 92 25 potential potential JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 92 26 years year NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 92 27 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 92 28 life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 92 29 loss loss NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 92 30 might may MD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 92 31 end end VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 92 32 up up RP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 92 33 being be VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 92 34 heavily heavily RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 92 35 underestimated underestimate VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 92 36 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 93 1 Finally finally RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 93 2 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 93 3 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 93 4 study study NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 93 5 extends extend VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 93 6 beyond beyond IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 93 7 current current JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 93 8 studies study NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 93 9 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 93 10 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 93 11 health health NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 93 12 impact impact NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 93 13 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 93 14 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 93 15 which which WDT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 93 16 typically typically RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 93 17 focus focus VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 93 18 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 93 19 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 93 20 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 93 21 focusing focus VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 93 22 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 93 23 life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 93 24 expectancy expectancy NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 93 25 related relate VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 93 26 measures measure NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 93 27 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 94 1 Whilst whilst IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 94 2 studying study VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 94 3 COVID-19 covid-19 VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 94 4 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 94 5 rates rate NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 94 6 are be VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 94 7 certainly certainly RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 94 8 important important JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 94 9 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 94 10 they -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 94 11 need need VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 94 12 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 94 13 be be VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 94 14 collapsed collapse VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 94 15 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 94 16 an an DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 94 17 index index NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 94 18 which which WDT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 94 19 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 94 20 universal universal JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 94 21 enough enough RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 94 22 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 94 23 provide provide VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 94 24 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 94 25 reliable reliable JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 94 26 measure measure NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 94 27 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 94 28 human human JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 94 29 life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 94 30 lost lose VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 94 31 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 95 1 In in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 95 2 this this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 95 3 regard regard NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 95 4 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 95 5 life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 95 6 expectancy expectancy NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 95 7 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 95 8 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 95 9 consistent consistent JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 95 10 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 95 11 objective objective JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 95 12 measure measure NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 95 13 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 95 14 human human JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 95 15 development development NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 95 16 since since IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 95 17 it -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 95 18 represents represent VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 95 19 overall overall JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 95 20 wellbeing wellbeing NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 95 21 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 95 22 populations population NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 95 23 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 95 24 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 95 25 simple simple JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 95 26 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 95 27 non non JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 95 28 - - JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 95 29 bias bias JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 95 30 form form NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 95 31 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 95 32 Ghislandi Ghislandi NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 95 33 et et FW cord-293140-lp3l4iap 95 34 al al NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 95 35 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 95 36 2019 2019 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 95 37 ; ; : cord-293140-lp3l4iap 95 38 Sen Sen NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 95 39 1998 1998 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 95 40 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 95 41 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 96 1 Furthermore furthermore RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 96 2 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 96 3 reliable reliable JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 96 4 measures measure NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 96 5 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 96 6 life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 96 7 expectancy expectancy NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 96 8 are be VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 96 9 available available JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 96 10 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 96 11 some some DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 96 12 countries country NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 96 13 since since IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 96 14 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 96 15 nineteenth nineteenth JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 96 16 century century NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 96 17 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 97 1 This this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 97 2 makes make VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 97 3 it -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 97 4 possible possible JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 97 5 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 97 6 use use VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 97 7 life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 97 8 expectancy expectancy NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 97 9 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 97 10 historical historical JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 97 11 comparisons comparison NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 97 12 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 97 13 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 97 14 human human JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 97 15 costs cost NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 97 16 associated associate VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 97 17 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 97 18 major major JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 97 19 events event NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 98 1 In in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 98 2 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 98 3 early early JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 98 4 morning morning NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 98 5 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 98 6 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 98 7 20 20 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 98 8 th th CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 98 9 February February NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 98 10 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 98 11 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 98 12 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 98 13 first first JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 98 14 severe severe JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 98 15 local local JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 98 16 case case NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 98 17 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 98 18 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 98 19 was be VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 98 20 diagnosed diagnose VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 98 21 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 98 22 Europe Europe NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 98 23 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 98 24 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 98 25 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 98 26 small small JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 98 27 hospital hospital NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 98 28 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 98 29 Codogno Codogno NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 98 30 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 98 31 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 98 32 municipality municipality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 98 33 south south NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 98 34 east east NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 98 35 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 98 36 Milan Milan NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 98 37 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 99 1 All all DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 99 2 rights right NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 99 3 reserved reserve VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 99 4 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 100 1 No no DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 100 2 reuse reuse NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 100 3 allowed allow VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 100 4 without without IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 100 5 permission permission NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 100 6 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 101 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 101 2 which which WDT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 101 3 was be VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 101 4 not not RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 101 5 certified certify VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 101 6 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 101 7 peer peer NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 101 8 review review NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 101 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 101 10 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 101 11 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 101 12 author author NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 101 13 / / SYM cord-293140-lp3l4iap 101 14 funder funder NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 101 15 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 101 16 who who WP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 101 17 has have VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 101 18 granted grant VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 101 19 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 101 20 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 101 21 license license NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 101 22 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 101 23 display display VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 101 24 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 101 25 preprint preprint NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 101 26 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 101 27 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 101 28 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 102 1 The the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 102 2 copyright copyright NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 102 3 holder holder NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 102 4 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 102 5 this this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 102 6 preprint preprint NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 102 7 this this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 102 8 version version NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 102 9 posted post VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 102 10 May May NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 102 11 5 5 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 102 12 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 102 13 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 102 14 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 102 15 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 103 1 https://doi.org/10 https://doi.org/10 NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 103 2 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 104 1 1101 1101 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 104 2 Authorities authority NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 104 3 reacted react VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 104 4 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 104 5 tracing trace VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 104 6 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 104 7 connections connection NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 104 8 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 104 9 patient patient JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 104 10 one one CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 104 11 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 104 12 but but CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 104 13 it -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 104 14 soon soon RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 104 15 became become VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 104 16 clear clear JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 104 17 that that IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 104 18 identification identification NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 104 19 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 104 20 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 104 21 patient patient NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 104 22 zero zero CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 104 23 would would MD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 104 24 be be VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 104 25 difficult difficult JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 104 26 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 104 27 if if IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 104 28 not not RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 104 29 impossible impossible JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 104 30 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 105 1 Indeed indeed RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 105 2 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 105 3 later later JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 105 4 studies study NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 105 5 have have VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 105 6 shown show VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 105 7 that that IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 105 8 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 105 9 was be VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 105 10 present present JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 105 11 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 105 12 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 105 13 Lombardy Lombardy NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 105 14 region region NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 105 15 since since IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 105 16 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 105 17 first first JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 105 18 half half NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 105 19 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 105 20 January January NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 105 21 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 106 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 106 2 Cereda Cereda NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 106 3 et et NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 106 4 al al NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 106 5 . . NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 106 6 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 106 7 ; ; . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 107 1 L'Eco L'Eco NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 107 2 di di NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 107 3 Bergamo Bergamo NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 107 4 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 107 5 ; ; : cord-293140-lp3l4iap 107 6 Reuters Reuters NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 107 7 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 107 8 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 107 9 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 108 1 The the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 108 2 area area NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 108 3 around around IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 108 4 Codogno Codogno NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 108 5 was be VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 108 6 immediately immediately RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 108 7 declared declare VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 108 8 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 108 9 " " `` cord-293140-lp3l4iap 108 10 red red JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 108 11 zone zone NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 108 12 " " '' cord-293140-lp3l4iap 108 13 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 108 14 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 108 15 complete complete JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 108 16 lockdown lockdown NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 108 17 was be VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 108 18 enforced enforce VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 108 19 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 108 20 11 11 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 108 21 municipalities municipality NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 108 22 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 108 23 while while IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 108 24 universities university NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 108 25 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 108 26 schools school NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 108 27 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 108 28 Lombardy Lombardy NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 108 29 were be VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 108 30 immediately immediately RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 108 31 closed close VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 108 32 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 109 1 The the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 109 2 region region NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 109 3 was be VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 109 4 about about JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 109 5 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 109 6 enter enter VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 109 7 what what WP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 109 8 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 109 9 probably probably RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 109 10 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 109 11 most most RBS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 109 12 serious serious JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 109 13 public public JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 109 14 health health NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 109 15 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 109 16 economic economic JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 109 17 crisis crisis NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 109 18 after after IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 109 19 - - HYPH cord-293140-lp3l4iap 109 20 WWII WWII NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 109 21 period period NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 109 22 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 110 1 However however RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 110 2 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 110 3 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 110 4 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 110 5 ten ten CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 110 6 days day NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 110 7 following follow VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 110 8 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 110 9 presence presence NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 110 10 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 110 11 patient patient NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 110 12 one one CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 110 13 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 110 14 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 110 15 nature nature NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 110 16 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 110 17 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 110 18 epidemic epidemic NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 110 19 was be VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 110 20 downplayed downplay VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 110 21 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 110 22 most most JJS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 110 23 media medium NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 110 24 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 110 25 authorities authority NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 110 26 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 110 27 including include VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 110 28 some some DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 110 29 health health NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 110 30 experts expert NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 110 31 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 111 1 Testing testing NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 111 2 strategies strategy NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 111 3 changed change VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 111 4 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 111 5 due due JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 111 6 course course NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 111 7 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 111 8 with with IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 111 9 only only JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 111 10 patients patient NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 111 11 showing show VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 111 12 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 111 13 combination combination NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 111 14 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 111 15 symptoms symptom NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 111 16 being be VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 111 17 tested test VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 111 18 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 112 1 Lockdowns lockdown NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 112 2 were be VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 112 3 gradually gradually RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 112 4 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 112 5 slowly slowly RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 112 6 introduced introduce VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 112 7 only only RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 112 8 when when WRB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 112 9 it -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 112 10 became become VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 112 11 clear clear JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 112 12 that that IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 112 13 important important JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 112 14 outbreaks outbreak NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 112 15 were be VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 112 16 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 112 17 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 112 18 way way NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 112 19 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 113 1 On on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 113 2 8 8 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 113 3 March March NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 113 4 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 113 5 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 113 6 whole whole JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 113 7 Lombardy Lombardy NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 113 8 was be VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 113 9 declared declare VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 113 10 " " `` cord-293140-lp3l4iap 113 11 orange orange JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 113 12 zones zone NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 113 13 " " '' cord-293140-lp3l4iap 113 14 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 113 15 just just RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 113 16 one one CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 113 17 day day NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 113 18 before before IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 113 19 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 113 20 rest rest NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 113 21 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 113 22 Italy Italy NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 113 23 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 114 1 Non non JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 114 2 - - JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 114 3 essential essential JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 114 4 activities activity NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 114 5 were be VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 114 6 however however RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 114 7 stopped stop VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 114 8 only only RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 114 9 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 114 10 23 23 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 114 11 rd rd NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 114 12 March March NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 114 13 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 114 14 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 115 1 The the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 115 2 nature nature NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 115 3 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 115 4 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 115 5 adequacy adequacy NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 115 6 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 115 7 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 115 8 response response NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 115 9 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 115 10 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 115 11 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 115 12 epidemic epidemic NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 115 13 has have VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 115 14 been be VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 115 15 discussed discuss VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 115 16 elsewhere elsewhere RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 115 17 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 115 18 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 115 19 still still RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 115 20 ongoing ongoing JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 115 21 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 115 22 Winfield Winfield NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 115 23 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 115 24 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 115 25 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 116 1 In in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 116 2 this this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 116 3 context context NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 116 4 this this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 116 5 brief brief JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 116 6 excursus excursus NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 116 7 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 116 8 useful useful JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 116 9 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 116 10 order order NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 116 11 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 116 12 understand understand VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 116 13 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 116 14 timing timing NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 116 15 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 116 16 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 116 17 geographic geographic JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 116 18 distribution distribution NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 116 19 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 116 20 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 116 21 events event NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 116 22 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 117 1 Specifically specifically RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 117 2 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 117 3 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 117 4 timing timing NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 117 5 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 117 6 crucial crucial JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 117 7 here here RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 117 8 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 118 1 Bergamo Bergamo NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 118 2 has have VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 118 3 been be VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 118 4 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 118 5 first first JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 118 6 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 118 7 hardest hard RBS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 118 8 hit hit VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 118 9 province province NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 118 10 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 118 11 Lombardy Lombardy NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 118 12 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 119 1 By by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 119 2 14 14 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 119 3 march march NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 119 4 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 119 5 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 119 6 all all DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 119 7 beds bed NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 119 8 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 119 9 intensive intensive JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 119 10 care care NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 119 11 units unit NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 119 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 119 13 ICUs ICUs NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 119 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 119 15 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 119 16 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 119 17 main main JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 119 18 hospital hospital NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 119 19 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 119 20 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 119 21 city city NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 119 22 were be VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 119 23 already already RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 119 24 filled fill VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 119 25 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 120 1 As as IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 120 2 it -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 120 3 will will MD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 120 4 become become VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 120 5 clear clear JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 120 6 later later RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 120 7 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 120 8 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 120 9 wave wave NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 120 10 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 120 11 hospitalizations hospitalization NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 120 12 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 120 13 deaths death NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 120 14 started start VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 120 15 around around IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 120 16 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 120 17 very very RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 120 18 first first JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 120 19 days day NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 120 20 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 120 21 March March NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 120 22 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 121 1 Indeed indeed RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 121 2 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 121 3 it -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 121 4 has have VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 121 5 already already RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 121 6 been be VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 121 7 noticed notice VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 121 8 that that IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 121 9 Bergamo Bergamo NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 121 10 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 121 11 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 121 12 case case NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 121 13 where where WRB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 121 14 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 121 15 " " `` cord-293140-lp3l4iap 121 16 flattening flattening NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 121 17 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 121 18 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 121 19 epidemic epidemic NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 121 20 curve curve NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 121 21 " " '' cord-293140-lp3l4iap 121 22 policies policy NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 121 23 were be VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 121 24 introduced introduce VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 121 25 too too RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 121 26 late late RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 121 27 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 121 28 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 121 29 hence hence RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 121 30 not not RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 121 31 being be VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 121 32 very very RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 121 33 effective effective JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 121 34 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 122 1 A a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 122 2 similar similar JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 122 3 situation situation NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 122 4 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 122 5 with with IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 122 6 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 122 7 few few JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 122 8 days day NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 122 9 delay delay NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 122 10 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 122 11 can can MD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 122 12 be be VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 122 13 said say VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 122 14 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 122 15 Brescia Brescia NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 122 16 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 123 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 123 2 rely rely VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 123 3 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 123 4 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 123 5 compendium compendium NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 123 6 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 123 7 administrative administrative JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 123 8 data datum NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 123 9 provided provide VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 123 10 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 123 11 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 123 12 Italian Italian NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 123 13 National National NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 123 14 Institute Institute NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 123 15 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 123 16 Statistics Statistics NNPS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 123 17 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 123 18 Istat Istat NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 123 19 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 123 20 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 124 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 124 2 use use VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 124 3 daily daily JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 124 4 death death NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 124 5 counts count NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 124 6 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 124 7 all all DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 124 8 causes cause NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 124 9 at at IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 124 10 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 124 11 municipality municipality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 124 12 level level NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 124 13 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 124 14 disaggregated disaggregate VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 124 15 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 124 16 sex sex NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 124 17 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 124 18 age age NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 124 19 class class NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 124 20 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 124 21 0 0 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 124 22 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 124 23 1 1 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 124 24 - - SYM cord-293140-lp3l4iap 124 25 4 4 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 124 26 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 124 27 5 5 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 124 28 - - SYM cord-293140-lp3l4iap 124 29 9 9 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 124 30 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 124 31 10 10 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 124 32 - - SYM cord-293140-lp3l4iap 124 33 14 14 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 124 34 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 124 35 … … NFP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 124 36 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 124 37 95 95 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 124 38 - - SYM cord-293140-lp3l4iap 124 39 99 99 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 124 40 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 124 41 100 100 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 124 42 + + CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 124 43 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 124 44 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 125 1 They -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 125 2 cover cover VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 125 3 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 125 4 period period NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 125 5 between between IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 125 6 1 1 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 125 7 st st NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 125 8 January January NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 125 9 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 125 10 30 30 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 125 11 th th XX cord-293140-lp3l4iap 125 12 April April NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 125 13 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 125 14 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 125 15 years year NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 125 16 2015 2015 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 125 17 - - SYM cord-293140-lp3l4iap 125 18 2019 2019 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 125 19 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 125 20 while while IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 125 21 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 125 22 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 125 23 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 125 24 observation observation NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 125 25 period period NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 125 26 extends extend VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 125 27 up up IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 125 28 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 125 29 4 4 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 125 30 th th XX cord-293140-lp3l4iap 125 31 April April NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 125 32 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 126 1 Importantly importantly RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 126 2 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 126 3 Istat Istat NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 126 4 does do VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 126 5 not not RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 126 6 collect collect VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 126 7 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 126 8 release release VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 126 9 data datum NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 126 10 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 126 11 daily daily JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 126 12 death death NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 126 13 counts count NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 126 14 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 126 15 all all DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 126 16 municipalities municipality NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 126 17 1 1 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 126 18 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 1 As as IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 2 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 3 today today NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 4 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 5 these these DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 6 data datum NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 7 are be VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 8 available available JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 9 only only RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 10 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 11 municipalities municipality NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 12 which which WDT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 13 meet meet VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 14 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 15 following follow VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 16 three three CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 17 criteria criterion NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 18 : : : cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 19 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 20 i i NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 21 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 22 have have VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 23 been be VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 24 included include VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 25 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 26 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 27 recently recently RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 28 established establish VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 29 National National NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 30 Register Register NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 31 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 32 Resident Resident NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 33 Population Population NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 34 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 35 ANPR ANPR NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 36 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 37 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 38 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 39 ii ii NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 40 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 41 have have VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 42 recorded record VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 43 at at IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 44 least least RBS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 45 10 10 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 46 deaths death NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 47 between between IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 48 1 1 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 49 st st NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 50 January January NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 51 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 52 4 4 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 53 th th CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 54 April April NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 55 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 56 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 57 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 58 iii iii NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 59 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 60 have have VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 61 recorded record VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 62 an an DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 63 increase increase NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 64 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 65 at at RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 66 least least RBS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 67 20 20 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 68 % % NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 69 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 70 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 71 number number NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 72 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 73 deaths death NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 74 registered register VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 75 between between IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 76 1 1 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 77 st st NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 78 March March NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 79 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 80 4 4 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 81 th th CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 82 April April NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 83 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 84 compared compare VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 85 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 86 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 87 2015 2015 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 88 - - SYM cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 89 2019 2019 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 90 average average NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 91 over over IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 92 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 93 same same JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 94 period period NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 127 95 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 128 1 In in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 128 2 both both CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 128 3 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 128 4 areas area NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 128 5 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 128 6 interest interest NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 128 7 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 128 8 i.e. i.e. FW cord-293140-lp3l4iap 128 9 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 128 10 provinces province NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 128 11 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 128 12 Bergamo Bergamo NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 128 13 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 128 14 Brescia Brescia NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 128 15 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 128 16 about about RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 128 17 72 72 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 128 18 % % NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 128 19 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 128 20 municipalities municipality NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 128 21 are be VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 128 22 included include VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 128 23 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 128 24 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 128 25 ANPR ANPR NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 128 26 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 128 27 totaling total VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 128 28 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 128 29 175 175 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 128 30 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 128 31 149 149 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 128 32 respectively respectively RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 128 33 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 129 1 Out out IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 129 2 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 129 3 these these DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 129 4 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 129 5 Istat Istat NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 129 6 has have VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 129 7 released release VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 129 8 daily daily JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 129 9 death death NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 129 10 data datum NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 129 11 relative relative JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 129 12 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 129 13 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 129 14 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 129 15 122 122 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 129 16 municipalities municipality NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 129 17 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 129 18 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 129 19 province province NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 129 20 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 129 21 Bergamo Bergamo NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 129 22 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 129 23 101 101 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 129 24 municipalities municipality NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 129 25 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 129 26 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 129 27 province province NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 129 28 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 129 29 Brescia Brescia NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 129 30 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 130 1 In in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 130 2 addition addition NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 130 3 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 130 4 this this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 130 5 dataset dataset NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 130 6 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 130 7 we -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 130 8 rely rely VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 130 9 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 130 10 four four CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 130 11 further further JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 130 12 sources source NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 130 13 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 130 14 information information NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 130 15 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 131 1 First first RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 131 2 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 131 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 131 4 make make VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 131 5 use use NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 131 6 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 131 7 annual annual JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 131 8 death death NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 131 9 counts count NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 131 10 at at IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 131 11 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 131 12 municipality municipality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 131 13 level level NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 131 14 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 131 15 disaggregated disaggregate VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 131 16 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 131 17 sex sex NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 131 18 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 131 19 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 131 20 age age NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 131 21 class class NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 131 22 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 131 23 0 0 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 131 24 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 131 25 1 1 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 131 26 - - SYM cord-293140-lp3l4iap 131 27 4 4 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 131 28 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 131 29 5 5 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 131 30 - - SYM cord-293140-lp3l4iap 131 31 9 9 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 131 32 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 131 33 10 10 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 131 34 - - SYM cord-293140-lp3l4iap 131 35 14 14 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 131 36 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 131 37 … … NFP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 131 38 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 131 39 95 95 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 131 40 - - SYM cord-293140-lp3l4iap 131 41 99 99 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 131 42 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 131 43 100 100 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 131 44 + + CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 131 45 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 131 46 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 132 1 These these DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 132 2 data datum NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 132 3 extend extend VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 132 4 up up IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 132 5 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 132 6 2017 2017 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 132 7 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 133 1 Second second RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 133 2 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 133 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 133 4 obtain obtain VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 133 5 data datum NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 133 6 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 133 7 resident resident JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 133 8 population population NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 133 9 at at IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 133 10 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 133 11 municipality municipality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 133 12 level level NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 133 13 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 133 14 disaggregated disaggregate VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 133 15 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 133 16 sex sex NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 133 17 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 133 18 single single JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 133 19 - - HYPH cord-293140-lp3l4iap 133 20 year year NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 133 21 age age NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 133 22 classes class NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 133 23 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 133 24 0,1, 0,1, NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 133 25 … … NFP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 133 26 ,100 ,100 . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 134 1 + + LS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 134 2 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 134 3 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 134 4 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 134 5 January January NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 134 6 1 1 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 134 7 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 134 8 years year NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 134 9 2015 2015 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 134 10 - - SYM cord-293140-lp3l4iap 134 11 2019 2019 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 134 12 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 135 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 135 2 reclassify reclassify VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 135 3 age age NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 135 4 classes class NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 135 5 so so IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 135 6 as as IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 135 7 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 135 8 match match VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 135 9 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 135 10 1 1 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 135 11 These these DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 135 12 data datum NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 135 13 have have VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 135 14 been be VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 135 15 collected collect VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 135 16 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 135 17 released release VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 135 18 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 135 19 Istat Istat NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 135 20 ad ad NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 135 21 hoc hoc FW cord-293140-lp3l4iap 135 22 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 135 23 better well JJR cord-293140-lp3l4iap 135 24 document document VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 135 25 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 135 26 evolution evolution NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 135 27 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 135 28 local local JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 135 29 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 135 30 upon upon IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 135 31 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 135 32 Covid19 Covid19 NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 135 33 epidemics epidemic NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 135 34 outbreak outbreak NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 135 35 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 136 1 As as IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 136 2 such such JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 136 3 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 136 4 Istat Istat NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 136 5 has have VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 136 6 been be VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 136 7 focusing focus VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 136 8 so so RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 136 9 far far RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 136 10 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 136 11 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 136 12 subgroup subgroup NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 136 13 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 136 14 municipalities municipality NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 136 15 where where WRB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 136 16 excess excess JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 136 17 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 136 18 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 136 19 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 136 20 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 136 21 most most RBS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 136 22 likely likely RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 136 23 attributable attributable JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 136 24 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 136 25 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 136 26 epidemics epidemic NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 136 27 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 137 1 All all DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 137 2 rights right NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 137 3 reserved reserve VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 137 4 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 138 1 No no DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 138 2 reuse reuse NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 138 3 allowed allow VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 138 4 without without IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 138 5 permission permission NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 138 6 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 139 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 139 2 which which WDT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 139 3 was be VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 139 4 not not RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 139 5 certified certify VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 139 6 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 139 7 peer peer NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 139 8 review review NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 139 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 139 10 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 139 11 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 139 12 author author NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 139 13 / / SYM cord-293140-lp3l4iap 139 14 funder funder NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 139 15 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 139 16 who who WP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 139 17 has have VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 139 18 granted grant VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 139 19 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 139 20 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 139 21 license license NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 139 22 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 139 23 display display VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 139 24 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 139 25 preprint preprint NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 139 26 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 139 27 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 139 28 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 140 1 The the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 140 2 copyright copyright NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 140 3 holder holder NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 140 4 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 140 5 this this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 140 6 preprint preprint NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 140 7 this this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 140 8 version version NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 140 9 posted post VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 140 10 May May NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 140 11 5 5 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 140 12 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 140 13 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 140 14 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 140 15 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 141 1 https://doi.org/10 https://doi.org/10 NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 141 2 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 142 1 1101 1101 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 142 2 ones one NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 142 3 used use VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 142 4 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 142 5 Istat Istat NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 142 6 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 142 7 daily daily JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 142 8 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 142 9 annual annual JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 142 10 death death NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 142 11 counts count NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 142 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 142 13 0 0 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 142 14 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 142 15 1 1 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 142 16 - - SYM cord-293140-lp3l4iap 142 17 4 4 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 142 18 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 142 19 5 5 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 142 20 - - SYM cord-293140-lp3l4iap 142 21 9 9 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 142 22 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 142 23 10 10 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 142 24 - - SYM cord-293140-lp3l4iap 142 25 14 14 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 142 26 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 142 27 … … NFP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 142 28 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 142 29 95 95 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 142 30 - - SYM cord-293140-lp3l4iap 142 31 99 99 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 142 32 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 142 33 100 100 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 142 34 + + CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 142 35 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 142 36 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 142 37 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 142 38 aggregate aggregate JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 142 39 data datum NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 142 40 accordingly accordingly RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 142 41 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 143 1 Third third RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 143 2 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 143 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 143 4 use use VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 143 5 data datum NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 143 6 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 143 7 monthly monthly JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 143 8 live live JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 143 9 births birth NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 143 10 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 143 11 disaggregated disaggregate VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 143 12 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 143 13 sex sex NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 143 14 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 143 15 at at IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 143 16 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 143 17 municipality municipality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 143 18 level level NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 143 19 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 144 1 These these DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 144 2 data datum NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 144 3 are be VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 144 4 available available JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 144 5 up up IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 144 6 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 144 7 December December NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 144 8 2019 2019 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 144 9 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 145 1 Finally finally RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 145 2 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 145 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 145 4 collect collect VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 145 5 data datum NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 145 6 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 145 7 monthly monthly JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 145 8 death death NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 145 9 counts count NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 145 10 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 145 11 disaggregated disaggregate VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 145 12 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 145 13 sex sex NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 145 14 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 145 15 at at IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 145 16 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 145 17 municipality municipality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 145 18 level level NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 145 19 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 146 1 These these DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 146 2 data datum NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 146 3 are be VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 146 4 available available JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 146 5 up up IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 146 6 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 146 7 December December NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 146 8 2019 2019 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 146 9 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 147 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 147 2 estimate estimate VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 147 3 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 147 4 resident resident JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 147 5 population population NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 147 6 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 147 7 age age NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 147 8 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 147 9 sex sex NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 147 10 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 147 11 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 147 12 provinces province NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 147 13 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 147 14 Bergamo Bergamo NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 147 15 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 147 16 Brescia Brescia NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 147 17 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 147 18 1 1 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 147 19 st st NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 147 20 January January NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 147 21 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 147 22 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 147 23 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 147 24 following follow VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 147 25 steps step NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 147 26 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 148 1 First first RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 148 2 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 148 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 148 4 aggregate aggregate VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 148 5 resident resident JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 148 6 population population NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 148 7 data datum NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 148 8 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 148 9 year year NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 148 10 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 148 11 age age NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 148 12 class class NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 148 13 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 148 14 sex sex NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 148 15 at at IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 148 16 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 148 17 province province NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 148 18 level level NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 148 19 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 149 1 Then then RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 149 2 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 149 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 149 4 estimate estimate VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 149 5 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 149 6 female female JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 149 7 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 149 8 male male JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 149 9 resident resident JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 149 10 population population NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 149 11 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 149 12 each each DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 149 13 age age NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 149 14 class class NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 149 15 at at IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 149 16 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 149 17 provincial provincial JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 149 18 level level NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 149 19 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 149 20 1 1 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 149 21 st st NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 149 22 January January NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 149 23 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 149 24 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 149 25 means mean NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 149 26 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 149 27 linear linear JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 149 28 extrapolation extrapolation NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 149 29 based base VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 149 30 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 149 31 years year NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 149 32 2015 2015 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 149 33 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 149 34 2019 2019 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 149 35 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 150 1 Likewise likewise RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 150 2 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 150 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 150 4 use use VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 150 5 available available JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 150 6 data datum NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 150 7 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 150 8 monthly monthly JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 150 9 live live JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 150 10 births birth NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 150 11 between between IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 150 12 January January NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 150 13 2015 2015 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 150 14 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 150 15 December December NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 150 16 2019 2019 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 150 17 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 150 18 estimate estimate VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 150 19 monthly monthly JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 150 20 births birth NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 150 21 over over IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 150 22 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 150 23 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 150 24 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 150 25 provinces province NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 150 26 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 150 27 Bergamo Bergamo NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 150 28 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 150 29 Brescia Brescia NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 150 30 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 151 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 151 2 measure measure VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 151 3 excess excess JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 151 4 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 151 5 at at IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 151 6 any any DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 151 7 time time NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 151 8 t t NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 151 9 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 151 10 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 151 11 as as IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 151 12 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 151 13 difference difference NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 151 14 between between IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 151 15 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 151 16 observed observed JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 151 17 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 151 18 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 151 19 expected expect VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 151 20 number number NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 151 21 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 151 22 deaths death NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 151 23 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 151 24 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 151 25 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 151 26 t. t. NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 152 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 152 2 defined define VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 152 3 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 152 4 expected expect VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 152 5 number number NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 152 6 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 152 7 deaths death NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 152 8 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 152 9 t t NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 152 10 as as IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 152 11 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 152 12 average average JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 152 13 number number NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 152 14 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 152 15 deaths death NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 152 16 observed observe VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 152 17 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 152 18 t t NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 152 19 over over IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 152 20 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 152 21 period period NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 152 22 2015 2015 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 152 23 - - SYM cord-293140-lp3l4iap 152 24 2019 2019 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 152 25 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 153 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 153 2 calculate calculate VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 153 3 seasonal seasonal JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 153 4 life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 153 5 expectancy expectancy NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 153 6 between between IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 153 7 1 1 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 153 8 st st NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 153 9 January January NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 153 10 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 153 11 4 4 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 153 12 th th XX cord-293140-lp3l4iap 153 13 April April NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 153 14 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 153 15 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 153 16 years year NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 153 17 2015 2015 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 153 18 - - SYM cord-293140-lp3l4iap 153 19 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 153 20 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 153 21 separated separate VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 153 22 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 153 23 men man NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 153 24 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 153 25 women woman NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 153 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 153 27 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 154 1 For for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 154 2 this this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 154 3 purpose purpose NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 154 4 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 154 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 154 6 calculate calculate VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 154 7 seasonal seasonal JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 154 8 age age NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 154 9 - - HYPH cord-293140-lp3l4iap 154 10 specific specific JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 154 11 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 154 12 rates rate NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 154 13 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 154 14 each each DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 154 15 year year NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 154 16 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 155 1 The the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 155 2 numerators numerator NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 155 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 155 4 i.e. i.e. FW cord-293140-lp3l4iap 155 5 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 155 6 death death NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 155 7 counts count NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 155 8 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 155 9 are be VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 155 10 recorded record VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 155 11 daily daily RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 155 12 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 156 1 Thus thus RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 156 2 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 156 3 aggregation aggregation NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 156 4 over over IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 156 5 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 156 6 period period NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 156 7 1 1 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 156 8 st st NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 156 9 January January NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 156 10 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 156 11 4 4 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 156 12 th th XX cord-293140-lp3l4iap 156 13 April April NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 156 14 at at IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 156 15 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 156 16 provincial provincial JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 156 17 level level NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 156 18 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 156 19 straightforward straightforward JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 156 20 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 157 1 The the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 157 2 corresponding correspond VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 157 3 exposures exposure NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 157 4 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 157 5 i.e. i.e. FW cord-293140-lp3l4iap 157 6 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 157 7 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 157 8 denominators denominator NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 157 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 157 10 were be VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 157 11 estimated estimate VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 157 12 as as IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 157 13 follows follow VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 157 14 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 158 1 Starting start VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 158 2 from from IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 158 3 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 158 4 estimated estimate VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 158 5 resident resident JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 158 6 population population NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 158 7 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 158 8 1 1 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 158 9 st st NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 158 10 January January NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 158 11 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 158 12 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 158 13 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 158 14 we -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 158 15 counted count VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 158 16 age age NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 158 17 - - HYPH cord-293140-lp3l4iap 158 18 specific specific JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 158 19 person person NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 158 20 - - HYPH cord-293140-lp3l4iap 158 21 days day NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 158 22 up up IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 158 23 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 158 24 4 4 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 158 25 th th XX cord-293140-lp3l4iap 158 26 April April NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 158 27 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 159 1 Theoretically theoretically RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 159 2 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 159 3 these these DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 159 4 counts count NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 159 5 are be VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 159 6 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 159 7 function function NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 159 8 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 159 9 four four CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 159 10 demographic demographic JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 159 11 events event NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 159 12 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 159 13 namely namely RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 159 14 births birth NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 159 15 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 159 16 ageing ageing NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 159 17 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 159 18 migration migration NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 159 19 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 159 20 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 159 21 dying die VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 159 22 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 160 1 The the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 160 2 daily daily JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 160 3 inflow inflow NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 160 4 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 160 5 births birth NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 160 6 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 160 7 estimated estimate VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 160 8 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 160 9 using use VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 160 10 monthly monthly JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 160 11 birth birth NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 160 12 data datum NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 160 13 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 160 14 assuming assume VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 160 15 that that IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 160 16 these these DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 160 17 births birth NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 160 18 are be VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 160 19 uniformly uniformly RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 160 20 distributed distribute VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 160 21 over over IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 160 22 each each DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 160 23 month month NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 160 24 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 161 1 The the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 161 2 effect effect NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 161 3 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 161 4 ageing age VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 161 5 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 161 6 i.e. i.e. FW cord-293140-lp3l4iap 161 7 individuals individual NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 161 8 might may MD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 161 9 transition transition VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 161 10 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 161 11 - - : cord-293140-lp3l4iap 161 12 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 161 13 out out IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 161 14 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 161 15 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 161 16 given give VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 161 17 age age NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 161 18 interval interval NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 161 19 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 161 20 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 161 21 modeled model VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 161 22 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 161 23 giving give VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 161 24 each each DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 161 25 individual individual JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 161 26 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 161 27 probability probability NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 161 28 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 161 29 1/365 1/365 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 161 30 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 161 31 turning turn VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 161 32 one one CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 161 33 year year NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 161 34 older old JJR cord-293140-lp3l4iap 161 35 during during IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 161 36 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 161 37 observation observation NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 161 38 period period NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 161 39 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 162 1 The the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 162 2 outflows outflow NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 162 3 due due JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 162 4 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 162 5 deaths death NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 162 6 are be VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 162 7 straightforward straightforward JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 162 8 as as IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 162 9 age age NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 162 10 - - HYPH cord-293140-lp3l4iap 162 11 specific specific JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 162 12 death death NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 162 13 counts count NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 162 14 are be VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 162 15 known know VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 162 16 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 162 17 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 162 18 daily daily JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 162 19 basis basis NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 162 20 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 163 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 163 2 neglect neglect VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 163 3 migration migration NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 163 4 because because IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 163 5 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 163 6 population population NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 163 7 under under IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 163 8 study study NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 163 9 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 163 10 quarantined quarantine VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 163 11 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 164 1 In in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 164 2 sum sum NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 164 3 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 164 4 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 164 5 exposed expose VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 164 6 population population NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 164 7 at at IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 164 8 day day NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 164 9 t t NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 164 10 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 164 11 age age NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 164 12 group group NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 165 1 x x NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 165 2 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 165 3 given give VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 165 4 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 165 5 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 165 6 population population NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 165 7 alive alive JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 165 8 at at IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 165 9 day day NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 165 10 t-1 t-1 NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 165 11 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 165 12 age age NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 165 13 group group NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 165 14 x x SYM cord-293140-lp3l4iap 165 15 plus plus CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 165 16 those those DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 165 17 who who WP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 165 18 age age VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 165 19 into into IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 165 20 age age NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 165 21 group group NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 166 1 x x NFP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 166 2 at at IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 166 3 day day NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 166 4 t t NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 166 5 minus minus CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 166 6 those those DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 166 7 who who WP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 166 8 either either CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 166 9 die die VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 166 10 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 166 11 age age NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 166 12 group group NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 167 1 x x NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 167 2 or or CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 167 3 age age NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 167 4 out out IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 167 5 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 167 6 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 167 7 age age NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 167 8 group group NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 168 1 x x NFP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 168 2 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 168 3 day day NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 169 1 t. t. NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 170 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 170 2 express express VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 170 3 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 170 4 obtained obtain VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 170 5 daily daily JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 170 6 exposure exposure NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 170 7 values value NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 170 8 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 170 9 terms term NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 170 10 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 170 11 person person NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 170 12 - - HYPH cord-293140-lp3l4iap 170 13 years year NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 170 14 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 170 15 multiplying multiply VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 170 16 them -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 170 17 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 170 18 1/365 1/365 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 170 19 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 170 20 1/366 1/366 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 170 21 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 170 22 leap leap NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 170 23 years year NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 170 24 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 170 25 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 171 1 Then then RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 171 2 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 171 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 171 4 derive derive VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 171 5 age age NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 171 6 - - HYPH cord-293140-lp3l4iap 171 7 specific specific JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 171 8 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 171 9 rates rate NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 171 10 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 171 11 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 171 12 period period NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 171 13 1 1 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 171 14 st st NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 171 15 January January NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 171 16 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 171 17 4 4 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 171 18 th th XX cord-293140-lp3l4iap 171 19 April April NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 171 20 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 172 1 Finally finally RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 172 2 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 172 3 life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 172 4 tables table NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 172 5 are be VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 172 6 built build VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 172 7 following follow VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 172 8 standard standard JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 172 9 procedures procedure NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 172 10 outlined outline VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 172 11 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 172 12 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 172 13 Human Human NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 172 14 Mortality Mortality NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 172 15 Database Database NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 172 16 protocol protocol NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 172 17 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 173 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 173 2 estimate estimate VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 173 3 confidence confidence NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 173 4 intervals interval NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 173 5 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 173 6 life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 173 7 expectancies expectancy NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 173 8 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 173 9 bootstrapping bootstrappe VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 173 10 using use VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 173 11 Monte Monte NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 173 12 Carlo Carlo NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 173 13 simulation simulation NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 173 14 methods method NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 173 15 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 173 16 assuming assume VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 173 17 death death NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 173 18 counts count NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 173 19 follow follow VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 173 20 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 173 21 binomial binomial JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 173 22 distribution distribution NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 173 23 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 173 24 Andreev Andreev NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 173 25 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 173 26 Shkolnikov Shkolnikov NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 173 27 2010 2010 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 173 28 ; ; : cord-293140-lp3l4iap 173 29 Chiang Chiang NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 173 30 1984 1984 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 173 31 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 173 32 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 174 1 Further further RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 174 2 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 174 3 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 174 4 method method NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 174 5 proposed propose VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 174 6 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 174 7 Arriaga Arriaga NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 174 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 174 9 1984 1984 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 174 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 174 11 allows allow VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 174 12 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 174 13 decomposing decompose VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 174 14 changes change NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 174 15 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 174 16 life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 174 17 expectancy expectancy NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 174 18 into into IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 174 19 agespecific agespecific NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 174 20 contributions contribution NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 174 21 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 175 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 175 2 applied apply VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 175 3 this this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 175 4 approach approach NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 175 5 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 175 6 order order NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 175 7 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 175 8 assess assess VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 175 9 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 175 10 which which WDT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 175 11 age age NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 175 12 - - HYPH cord-293140-lp3l4iap 175 13 groups group NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 175 14 have have VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 175 15 primary primary JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 175 16 contributed contribute VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 175 17 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 175 18 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 175 19 change change NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 175 20 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 175 21 seasonal seasonal JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 175 22 life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 175 23 expectancy expectancy NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 175 24 between between IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 175 25 2019 2019 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 175 26 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 175 27 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 175 28 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 176 1 When when WRB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 176 2 estimating estimate VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 176 3 life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 176 4 expectancy expectancy NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 176 5 at at IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 176 6 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 176 7 end end NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 176 8 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 176 9 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 176 10 year year NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 176 11 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 176 12 harvesting harvesting NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 176 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 176 14 i.e. i.e. FW cord-293140-lp3l4iap 176 15 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 176 16 reduction reduction NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 176 17 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 176 18 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 176 19 rates rate NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 176 20 following follow VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 176 21 peak peak NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 176 22 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 176 23 associated associate VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 176 24 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 176 25 shock shock NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 176 26 events event NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 176 27 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 176 28 should should MD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 176 29 be be VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 176 30 taken take VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 176 31 into into IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 176 32 consideration consideration NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 176 33 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 177 1 Hence hence RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 177 2 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 177 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 177 4 estimate estimate VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 177 5 life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 177 6 expectancy expectancy NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 177 7 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 177 8 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 177 9 entire entire JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 177 10 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 177 11 considering consider VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 177 12 two two CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 177 13 alternative alternative JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 177 14 scenarios scenario NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 177 15 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 177 16 which which WDT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 177 17 we -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 177 18 define define VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 177 19 as as IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 177 20 " " `` cord-293140-lp3l4iap 177 21 conservative conservative JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 177 22 " " '' cord-293140-lp3l4iap 177 23 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 177 24 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 177 25 " " `` cord-293140-lp3l4iap 177 26 business business NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 177 27 as as IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 177 28 usual usual JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 177 29 " " '' cord-293140-lp3l4iap 177 30 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 178 1 In in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 178 2 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 178 3 conservative conservative JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 178 4 scenario scenario NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 178 5 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 178 6 full full JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 178 7 harvesting harvesting NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 178 8 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 178 9 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 178 10 we -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 178 11 assume assume VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 178 12 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 178 13 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 178 14 rate rate NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 178 15 at at IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 178 16 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 178 17 end end NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 178 18 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 178 19 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 178 20 year year NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 178 21 will will MD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 178 22 be be VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 178 23 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 178 24 same same JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 178 25 as as IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 178 26 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 178 27 2017 2017 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 178 28 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 179 1 In in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 179 2 this this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 179 3 approach approach NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 179 4 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 179 5 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 179 6 main main JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 179 7 effect effect NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 179 8 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 179 9 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 179 10 would would MD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 179 11 be be VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 179 12 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 179 13 anticipate anticipate VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 179 14 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 179 15 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 179 16 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 179 17 first first JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 179 18 quarter quarter NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 179 19 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 179 20 All all DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 179 21 rights right NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 179 22 reserved reserve VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 179 23 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 180 1 No no DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 180 2 reuse reuse NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 180 3 allowed allow VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 180 4 without without IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 180 5 permission permission NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 180 6 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 181 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 181 2 which which WDT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 181 3 was be VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 181 4 not not RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 181 5 certified certify VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 181 6 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 181 7 peer peer NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 181 8 review review NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 181 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 181 10 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 181 11 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 181 12 author author NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 181 13 / / SYM cord-293140-lp3l4iap 181 14 funder funder NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 181 15 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 181 16 who who WP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 181 17 has have VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 181 18 granted grant VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 181 19 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 181 20 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 181 21 license license NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 181 22 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 181 23 display display VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 181 24 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 181 25 preprint preprint NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 181 26 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 181 27 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 181 28 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 182 1 The the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 182 2 copyright copyright NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 182 3 holder holder NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 182 4 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 182 5 this this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 182 6 preprint preprint NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 182 7 this this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 182 8 version version NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 182 9 posted post VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 182 10 May May NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 182 11 5 5 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 182 12 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 182 13 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 182 14 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 182 15 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 183 1 https://doi.org/10 https://doi.org/10 NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 183 2 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 184 1 1101 1101 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 184 2 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 184 3 year year NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 184 4 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 184 5 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 185 1 This this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 185 2 scenario scenario NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 185 3 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 185 4 probably probably RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 185 5 not not RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 185 6 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 185 7 very very RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 185 8 likely likely JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 185 9 one one CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 185 10 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 185 11 but but CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 185 12 it -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 185 13 represents represent VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 185 14 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 185 15 clearly clearly RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 185 16 defined define VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 185 17 upper upper RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 185 18 bound bind VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 185 19 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 185 20 life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 185 21 expectancy expectancy NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 185 22 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 185 23 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 185 24 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 186 1 In in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 186 2 other other JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 186 3 scenario scenario NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 186 4 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 186 5 harvesting harvesting NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 186 6 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 186 7 set set VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 186 8 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 186 9 zero zero CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 186 10 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 186 11 we -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 186 12 assume assume VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 186 13 that that IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 186 14 after after IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 186 15 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 186 16 end end NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 186 17 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 186 18 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 186 19 epidemic epidemic NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 186 20 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 186 21 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 186 22 rates rate NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 186 23 will will MD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 186 24 go go VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 186 25 back back RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 186 26 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 186 27 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 186 28 average average JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 186 29 levels level NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 186 30 recorded record VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 186 31 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 186 32 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 186 33 previous previous JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 186 34 years year NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 186 35 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 187 1 There there EX cord-293140-lp3l4iap 187 2 are be VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 187 3 good good JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 187 4 reasons reason NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 187 5 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 187 6 assume assume VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 187 7 that that IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 187 8 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 187 9 will will MD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 187 10 not not RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 187 11 reduce reduce VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 187 12 substantially substantially RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 187 13 after after IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 187 14 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 187 15 end end NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 187 16 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 187 17 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 187 18 first first JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 187 19 wave wave NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 187 20 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 187 21 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 187 22 infections infection NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 187 23 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 188 1 For for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 188 2 example example NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 188 3 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 188 4 because because IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 188 5 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 188 6 most most JJS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 188 7 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 188 8 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 188 9 resources resource NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 188 10 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 188 11 health health NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 188 12 services service NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 188 13 have have VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 188 14 been be VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 188 15 directed direct VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 188 16 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 188 17 COVID-19 covid-19 VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 188 18 patients patient NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 188 19 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 188 20 people people NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 188 21 with with IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 188 22 other other JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 188 23 medical medical JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 188 24 conditions condition NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 188 25 such such JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 188 26 as as IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 188 27 cancer cancer NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 188 28 were be VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 188 29 under under RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 188 30 - - HYPH cord-293140-lp3l4iap 188 31 treated treat VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 188 32 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 189 1 Likewise likewise RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 189 2 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 189 3 although although IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 189 4 most most JJS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 189 5 vulnerable vulnerable JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 189 6 people people NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 189 7 have have VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 189 8 been be VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 189 9 doing do VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 189 10 self self NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 189 11 - - HYPH cord-293140-lp3l4iap 189 12 isolation isolation NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 189 13 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 189 14 locking lock VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 189 15 themselves -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 189 16 inside inside RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 189 17 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 189 18 it -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 189 19 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 189 20 highly highly RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 189 21 possible possible JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 189 22 that that IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 189 23 they -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 189 24 would would MD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 189 25 get get VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 189 26 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 189 27 virus virus NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 189 28 later later RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 189 29 after after IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 189 30 restriction restriction NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 189 31 measures measure NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 189 32 are be VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 189 33 lifted lift VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 189 34 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 190 1 As as IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 190 2 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 190 3 matter matter NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 190 4 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 190 5 fact fact NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 190 6 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 190 7 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 190 8 after after IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 190 9 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 190 10 epidemic epidemic NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 190 11 wave wave NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 190 12 might may MD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 190 13 actually actually RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 190 14 increase increase VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 190 15 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 190 16 especially especially RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 190 17 among among IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 190 18 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 190 19 working work VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 190 20 age age NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 190 21 population population NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 190 22 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 190 23 as as IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 190 24 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 190 25 consequence consequence NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 190 26 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 190 27 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 190 28 lockdowns lockdown NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 190 29 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 190 30 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 190 31 likely likely JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 190 32 economic economic JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 190 33 recessions recession NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 190 34 as as IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 190 35 has have VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 190 36 been be VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 190 37 observed observe VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 190 38 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 190 39 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 190 40 example example NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 190 41 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 190 42 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 190 43 Greece Greece NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 190 44 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 190 45 Laliotis Laliotis NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 190 46 et et NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 190 47 al al NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 190 48 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 190 49 2016 2016 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 190 50 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 190 51 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 191 1 However however RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 191 2 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 191 3 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 191 4 this this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 191 5 paper paper NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 191 6 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 191 7 we -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 191 8 are be VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 191 9 not not RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 191 10 making make VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 191 11 assumptions assumption NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 191 12 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 191 13 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 191 14 indirect indirect JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 191 15 impact impact NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 191 16 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 191 17 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 191 18 pandemic pandemic NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 191 19 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 191 20 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 191 21 after after IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 191 22 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 191 23 epidemic epidemic NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 191 24 ends end VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 191 25 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 192 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 192 2 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 192 3 if if IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 192 4 anything anything NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 192 5 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 192 6 years year NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 192 7 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 192 8 life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 192 9 lost lose VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 192 10 due due IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 192 11 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 192 12 COVID-19 covid-19 VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 192 13 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 192 14 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 192 15 year year NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 192 16 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 192 17 may may MD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 192 18 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 192 19 fact fact NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 192 20 be be VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 192 21 underestimated underestimate VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 192 22 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 193 1 Based base VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 193 2 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 193 3 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 193 4 evolution evolution NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 193 5 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 193 6 daily daily JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 193 7 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 193 8 observed observe VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 193 9 until until IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 193 10 4 4 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 193 11 th th CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 193 12 April April NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 193 13 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 193 14 we -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 193 15 posit posit VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 193 16 that that IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 193 17 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 193 18 epidemics epidemic NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 193 19 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 193 20 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 193 21 area area NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 193 22 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 193 23 interest interest NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 193 24 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 193 25 i.e. i.e. FW cord-293140-lp3l4iap 193 26 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 193 27 provinces province NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 193 28 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 193 29 Bergamo Bergamo NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 193 30 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 193 31 Brescia Brescia NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 193 32 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 193 33 should should MD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 193 34 be be VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 193 35 over over RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 193 36 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 193 37 30 30 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 193 38 th th DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 193 39 April April NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 193 40 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 194 1 To to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 194 2 estimate estimate VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 194 3 life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 194 4 expectancy expectancy NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 194 5 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 194 6 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 194 7 entire entire JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 194 8 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 194 9 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 194 10 we -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 194 11 need need VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 194 12 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 194 13 project project VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 194 14 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 194 15 evolution evolution NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 194 16 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 194 17 deaths death NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 194 18 after after IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 194 19 4 4 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 194 20 th th DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 194 21 April April NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 194 22 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 195 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 195 2 use use VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 195 3 cubic cubic JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 195 4 spline spline NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 195 5 extrapolation extrapolation NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 195 6 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 195 7 project project VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 195 8 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 195 9 number number NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 195 10 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 195 11 daily daily JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 195 12 deaths death NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 195 13 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 195 14 each each DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 195 15 age age NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 195 16 class class NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 195 17 from from IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 195 18 4 4 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 195 19 th th DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 195 20 April April NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 195 21 until until IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 195 22 30 30 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 195 23 th th CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 195 24 April April NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 195 25 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 196 1 After after IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 196 2 30 30 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 196 3 th th DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 196 4 April April NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 196 5 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 196 6 we -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 196 7 project project VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 196 8 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 196 9 until until IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 196 10 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 196 11 end end NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 196 12 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 196 13 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 196 14 year year NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 196 15 based base VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 196 16 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 196 17 two two CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 196 18 scenarios scenario NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 196 19 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 197 1 In in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 197 2 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 197 3 " " `` cord-293140-lp3l4iap 197 4 conservative conservative JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 197 5 " " '' cord-293140-lp3l4iap 197 6 scenario scenario NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 197 7 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 197 8 we -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 197 9 assume assume VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 197 10 that that IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 197 11 after after IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 197 12 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 197 13 end end NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 197 14 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 197 15 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 197 16 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 197 17 epidemics epidemic NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 197 18 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 197 19 deaths death NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 197 20 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 197 21 each each DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 197 22 age age NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 197 23 class class NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 197 24 will will MD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 197 25 occur occur VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 197 26 such such JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 197 27 that that IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 197 28 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 197 29 total total JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 197 30 number number NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 197 31 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 197 32 deaths death NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 197 33 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 197 34 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 197 35 equals equal VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 197 36 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 197 37 total total JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 197 38 number number NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 197 39 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 197 40 deaths death NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 197 41 registered register VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 197 42 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 197 43 2017 2017 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 197 44 2 2 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 197 45 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 198 1 If if IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 198 2 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 198 3 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 198 4 number number NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 198 5 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 198 6 deaths death NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 198 7 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 198 8 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 198 9 end end NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 198 10 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 198 11 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 198 12 epidemics epidemic NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 198 13 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 198 14 any any DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 198 15 age age NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 198 16 class class NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 198 17 exceeds exceed VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 198 18 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 198 19 total total JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 198 20 number number NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 198 21 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 198 22 deaths death NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 198 23 registered register VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 198 24 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 198 25 2017 2017 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 198 26 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 198 27 we -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 198 28 assume assume VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 198 29 zero zero CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 198 30 deaths death NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 198 31 will will MD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 198 32 occur occur VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 198 33 after after IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 198 34 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 198 35 end end NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 198 36 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 198 37 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 198 38 epidemics epidemic NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 198 39 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 198 40 that that DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 198 41 age age NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 198 42 class class NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 198 43 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 199 1 In in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 199 2 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 199 3 " " `` cord-293140-lp3l4iap 199 4 business business NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 199 5 as as IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 199 6 usual usual JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 199 7 " " '' cord-293140-lp3l4iap 199 8 scenario scenario NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 199 9 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 199 10 we -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 199 11 assume assume VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 199 12 that that IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 199 13 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 199 14 will will MD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 199 15 return return VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 199 16 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 199 17 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 199 18 average average JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 199 19 levels level NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 199 20 recorded record VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 199 21 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 199 22 2015 2015 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 199 23 - - SYM cord-293140-lp3l4iap 199 24 2017 2017 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 199 25 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 200 1 These these DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 200 2 are be VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 200 3 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 200 4 most most RBS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 200 5 recent recent JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 200 6 years year NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 200 7 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 200 8 which which WDT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 200 9 data datum NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 200 10 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 200 11 annual annual JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 200 12 death death NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 200 13 counts count NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 200 14 are be VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 200 15 available available JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 200 16 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 201 1 Thus thus RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 201 2 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 201 3 it -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 201 4 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 201 5 possible possible JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 201 6 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 201 7 derive derive VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 201 8 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 201 9 number number NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 201 10 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 201 11 deaths death NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 201 12 occurring occur VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 201 13 after after IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 201 14 30 30 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 201 15 th th DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 201 16 April April NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 201 17 as as IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 201 18 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 201 19 difference difference NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 201 20 between between IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 201 21 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 201 22 annual annual JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 201 23 death death NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 201 24 counts count NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 201 25 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 201 26 deaths death NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 201 27 registered register VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 201 28 up up RP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 201 29 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 201 30 30 30 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 201 31 th th DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 201 32 April April NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 201 33 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 201 34 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 201 35 years year NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 201 36 2015 2015 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 201 37 - - SYM cord-293140-lp3l4iap 201 38 2017 2017 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 201 39 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 202 1 As as IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 202 2 we -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 202 3 do do VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 202 4 not not RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 202 5 know know VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 202 6 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 202 7 daily daily JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 202 8 distribution distribution NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 202 9 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 202 10 deaths death NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 202 11 after after IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 202 12 30 30 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 202 13 th th XX cord-293140-lp3l4iap 202 14 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 202 15 we -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 202 16 make make VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 202 17 two two CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 202 18 assumptions assumption NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 202 19 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 203 1 For for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 203 2 age age NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 203 3 groups group NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 203 4 < < XX cord-293140-lp3l4iap 203 5 50 50 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 203 6 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 203 7 we -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 203 8 assume assume VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 203 9 that that IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 203 10 deaths death NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 203 11 occur occur VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 203 12 uniformly uniformly RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 203 13 over over IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 203 14 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 203 15 period period NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 203 16 1 1 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 203 17 st st NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 204 1 May May NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 204 2 -31 -31 NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 204 3 st st NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 204 4 December December NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 204 5 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 204 6 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 205 1 For for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 205 2 age age NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 205 3 groups group NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 205 4 ≥50 ≥50 NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 205 5 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 205 6 we -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 205 7 assume assume VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 205 8 that that IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 205 9 deaths death NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 205 10 between between IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 205 11 May May NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 205 12 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 205 13 December December NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 205 14 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 205 15 occur occur VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 205 16 following follow VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 205 17 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 205 18 2015 2015 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 205 19 - - SYM cord-293140-lp3l4iap 205 20 2019 2019 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 205 21 average average JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 205 22 distribution distribution NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 205 23 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 205 24 monthly monthly JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 205 25 deaths death NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 205 26 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 206 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 206 2 then then RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 206 3 assume assume VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 206 4 that that IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 206 5 deaths death NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 206 6 distribute distribute VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 206 7 uniformly uniformly RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 206 8 within within IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 206 9 each each DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 206 10 month month NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 206 11 between between IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 206 12 May May NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 206 13 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 206 14 December December NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 206 15 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 206 16 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 207 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 207 2 then then RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 207 3 proceed proceed VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 207 4 with with IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 207 5 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 207 6 estimation estimation NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 207 7 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 207 8 population population NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 207 9 exposure exposure NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 207 10 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 207 11 each each DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 207 12 day day NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 207 13 between between IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 207 14 1 1 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 207 15 st st NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 207 16 January January NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 207 17 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 207 18 31 31 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 207 19 st st NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 207 20 December December NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 207 21 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 207 22 under under IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 207 23 both both DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 207 24 scenarios scenario NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 207 25 following follow VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 207 26 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 207 27 same same JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 207 28 procedure procedure NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 207 29 detailed detail VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 207 30 above above RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 207 31 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 208 1 Finally finally RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 208 2 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 208 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 208 4 aggregate aggregate VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 208 5 death death NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 208 6 counts count NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 208 7 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 208 8 population population NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 208 9 exposure exposure NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 208 10 values value NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 208 11 over over IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 208 12 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 208 13 entire entire JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 208 14 year year NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 208 15 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 208 16 derive derive VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 208 17 age age NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 208 18 - - HYPH cord-293140-lp3l4iap 208 19 specific specific JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 208 20 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 208 21 rates rate NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 208 22 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 208 23 life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 208 24 expectancies expectancy NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 208 25 under under IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 208 26 both both DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 208 27 scenarios scenario NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 208 28 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 209 1 Bergamo Bergamo NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 209 2 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 209 3 Brescia Brescia NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 209 4 represent represent VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 209 5 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 209 6 highest high JJS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 209 7 number number NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 209 8 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 209 9 municipalities municipality NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 209 10 with with IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 209 11 an an DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 209 12 outlier outlier JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 209 13 number number NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 209 14 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 209 15 deaths death NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 209 16 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 210 1 Their -PRON- PRP$ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 210 2 distribution distribution NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 210 3 across across IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 210 4 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 210 5 provinces province NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 210 6 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 210 7 displayed display VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 210 8 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 210 9 Figure figure NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 210 10 1 1 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 210 11 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 211 1 Clearly clearly RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 211 2 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 211 3 Bergamo Bergamo NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 211 4 province province NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 211 5 shows show VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 211 6 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 211 7 higher high JJR cord-293140-lp3l4iap 211 8 number number NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 211 9 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 211 10 " " `` cord-293140-lp3l4iap 211 11 red red JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 211 12 " " '' cord-293140-lp3l4iap 211 13 areas area NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 211 14 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 212 1 In in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 212 2 addition addition NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 212 3 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 212 4 Figure Figure NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 212 5 A1 A1 NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 212 6 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 212 7 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 212 8 Appendix Appendix NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 212 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 212 10 shows show VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 212 11 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 212 12 same same JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 212 13 municipalities municipality NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 212 14 within within IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 212 15 Lombardy Lombardy NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 212 16 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 212 17 comparing compare VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 212 18 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 212 19 same same JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 212 20 graph graph NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 212 21 with with IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 212 22 Veneto Veneto NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 212 23 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 212 24 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 212 25 region region NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 212 26 that that IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 212 27 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 212 28 together together RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 212 29 with with IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 212 30 Lombardy Lombardy NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 212 31 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 212 32 was be VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 212 33 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 212 34 epicenter epicenter NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 212 35 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 212 36 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 212 37 very very RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 212 38 first first JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 212 39 clusters cluster NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 212 40 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 212 41 COVID-19 covid-19 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 212 42 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 212 43 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 212 44 last last JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 212 45 week week NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 212 46 2 2 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 212 47 2017 2017 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 212 48 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 212 49 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 212 50 last last JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 212 51 year year NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 212 52 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 212 53 which which WDT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 212 54 data datum NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 212 55 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 212 56 yearly yearly JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 212 57 death death NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 212 58 counts count NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 212 59 disaggregated disaggregate VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 212 60 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 212 61 age age NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 212 62 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 212 63 sex sex NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 212 64 at at IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 212 65 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 212 66 municipality municipality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 212 67 level level NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 212 68 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 212 69 available available JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 212 70 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 213 1 All all DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 213 2 rights right NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 213 3 reserved reserve VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 213 4 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 214 1 No no DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 214 2 reuse reuse NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 214 3 allowed allow VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 214 4 without without IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 214 5 permission permission NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 214 6 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 215 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 215 2 which which WDT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 215 3 was be VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 215 4 not not RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 215 5 certified certify VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 215 6 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 215 7 peer peer NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 215 8 review review NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 215 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 215 10 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 215 11 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 215 12 author author NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 215 13 / / SYM cord-293140-lp3l4iap 215 14 funder funder NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 215 15 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 215 16 who who WP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 215 17 has have VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 215 18 granted grant VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 215 19 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 215 20 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 215 21 license license NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 215 22 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 215 23 display display VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 215 24 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 215 25 preprint preprint NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 215 26 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 215 27 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 215 28 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 216 1 The the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 216 2 copyright copyright NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 216 3 holder holder NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 216 4 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 216 5 this this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 216 6 preprint preprint NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 216 7 this this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 216 8 version version NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 216 9 posted post VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 216 10 May May NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 216 11 5 5 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 216 12 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 216 13 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 216 14 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 216 15 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 217 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.29.20084335 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.29.20084335 NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 217 2 doi doi NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 217 3 : : : cord-293140-lp3l4iap 218 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 218 2 preprint preprint NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 218 3 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 218 4 February February NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 218 5 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 219 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 219 2 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 219 3 evident evident JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 219 4 that that IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 219 5 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 219 6 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 219 7 outbreak outbreak NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 219 8 hit hit VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 219 9 Lombardy Lombardy NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 219 10 much much RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 219 11 harder hard RBR cord-293140-lp3l4iap 219 12 than than IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 219 13 Veneto Veneto NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 219 14 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 219 15 most most JJS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 219 16 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 219 17 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 219 18 losses loss NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 219 19 are be VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 219 20 observable observable JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 219 21 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 219 22 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 219 23 areas area NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 219 24 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 219 25 Bergamo Bergamo NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 219 26 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 219 27 Brescia Brescia NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 219 28 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 220 1 Indeed indeed RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 220 2 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 220 3 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 220 4 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 220 5 whole whole JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 220 6 country country NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 220 7 no no DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 220 8 other other JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 220 9 provinces province NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 220 10 display display VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 220 11 such such PDT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 220 12 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 220 13 monumental monumental JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 220 14 upward upward JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 220 15 trend trend NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 220 16 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 220 17 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 220 18 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 221 1 The the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 221 2 maps map NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 221 3 plot plot VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 221 4 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 221 5 % % NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 221 6 change change NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 221 7 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 221 8 total total JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 221 9 number number NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 221 10 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 221 11 deaths death NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 221 12 recorded record VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 221 13 between between IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 221 14 Jan Jan NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 221 15 1-Apr 1-Apr NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 221 16 4 4 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 221 17 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 221 18 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 221 19 with with IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 221 20 respect respect NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 221 21 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 221 22 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 221 23 2015 2015 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 221 24 - - SYM cord-293140-lp3l4iap 221 25 2019 2019 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 221 26 average average NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 221 27 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 222 1 Table table NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 222 2 1 1 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 222 3 shows show VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 222 4 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 222 5 age age NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 222 6 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 222 7 sex sex NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 222 8 distribution distribution NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 222 9 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 222 10 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 222 11 total total JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 222 12 excess excess JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 222 13 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 222 14 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 222 15 province province NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 222 16 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 223 1 Compared compare VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 223 2 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 223 3 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 223 4 average average JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 223 5 number number NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 223 6 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 223 7 people people NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 223 8 that that WDT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 223 9 died die VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 223 10 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 223 11 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 223 12 same same JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 223 13 period period NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 223 14 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 223 15 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 223 16 five five CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 223 17 years year NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 223 18 before before IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 223 19 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 223 20 2015 2015 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 223 21 - - SYM cord-293140-lp3l4iap 223 22 2019 2019 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 223 23 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 223 24 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 223 25 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 223 26 excess excess JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 223 27 number number NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 223 28 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 223 29 deaths death NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 223 30 between between IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 223 31 1 1 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 223 32 January January NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 223 33 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 223 34 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 223 35 4 4 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 223 36 April April NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 223 37 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 223 38 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 223 39 Bergamo Bergamo NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 223 40 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 223 41 Brescia Brescia NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 223 42 sums sum VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 223 43 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 223 44 6549 6549 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 223 45 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 224 1 64 64 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 224 2 % % NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 224 3 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 224 4 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 224 5 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 224 6 this this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 224 7 excess excess JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 224 8 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 224 9 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 224 10 witnessed witness VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 224 11 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 224 12 Bergamo Bergamo NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 224 13 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 225 1 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 225 2 affected affect VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 225 3 slightly slightly RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 225 4 more more JJR cord-293140-lp3l4iap 225 5 men man NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 225 6 than than IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 225 7 women woman NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 225 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 225 9 56 56 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 225 10 % % NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 225 11 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 225 12 excess excess JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 225 13 deaths death NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 225 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 225 15 whilst whilst IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 225 16 at at IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 225 17 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 225 18 national national JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 225 19 level level NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 225 20 65 65 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 225 21 % % NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 225 22 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 225 23 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 225 24 deaths death NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 225 25 involve involve VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 225 26 male male JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 225 27 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 225 28 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 225 29 Global Global NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 225 30 Health Health NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 225 31 5050 5050 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 225 32 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 225 33 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 225 34 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 226 1 However however RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 226 2 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 226 3 this this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 226 4 almost almost RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 226 5 gender gender NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 226 6 balance balance NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 226 7 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 226 8 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 226 9 number number NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 226 10 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 226 11 deaths death NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 226 12 does do VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 226 13 not not RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 226 14 reflect reflect VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 226 15 an an DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 226 16 equality equality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 226 17 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 226 18 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 226 19 relative relative JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 226 20 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 226 21 risk risk NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 226 22 between between IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 226 23 sexes sex NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 226 24 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 227 1 In in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 227 2 general general JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 227 3 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 227 4 men man NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 227 5 are be VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 227 6 up up RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 227 7 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 227 8 3.5 3.5 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 227 9 times time NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 227 10 more more RBR cord-293140-lp3l4iap 227 11 likely likely JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 227 12 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 227 13 die die VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 227 14 from from IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 227 15 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 227 16 than than IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 227 17 women woman NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 227 18 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 228 1 In in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 228 2 fact fact NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 228 3 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 228 4 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 228 5 risk risk NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 228 6 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 228 7 dying die VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 228 8 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 228 9 men man NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 228 10 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 228 11 higher high JJR cord-293140-lp3l4iap 228 12 than than IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 228 13 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 228 14 women woman NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 228 15 across across IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 228 16 all all DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 228 17 ages age NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 228 18 except except IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 228 19 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 228 20 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 228 21 under under JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 228 22 50 50 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 228 23 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 228 24 Bergamo Bergamo NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 228 25 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 228 26 where where WRB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 228 27 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 228 28 risk risk NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 228 29 ratio ratio NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 228 30 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 228 31 slightly slightly RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 228 32 below below IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 228 33 one one CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 228 34 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 229 1 Age age NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 229 2 clearly clearly RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 229 3 represents represent VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 229 4 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 229 5 most most RBS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 229 6 important important JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 229 7 predictor predictor NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 229 8 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 229 9 absolute absolute JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 229 10 excess excess JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 229 11 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 229 12 related relate VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 229 13 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 229 14 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 229 15 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 230 1 For for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 230 2 example example NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 230 3 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 230 4 from from IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 230 5 Table Table NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 230 6 1 1 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 230 7 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 230 8 one one PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 230 9 can can MD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 230 10 deduce deduce VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 230 11 that that IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 230 12 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 230 13 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 230 14 sample sample NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 230 15 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 230 16 man man NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 230 17 over over IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 230 18 70 70 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 230 19 years year NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 230 20 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 230 21 10 10 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 230 22 times time NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 230 23 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 230 24 37 37 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 230 25 times time NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 230 26 more more RBR cord-293140-lp3l4iap 230 27 likely likely JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 230 28 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 230 29 die die VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 230 30 than than IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 230 31 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 230 32 person person NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 230 33 under under IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 230 34 70 70 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 230 35 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 230 36 under under IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 230 37 60 60 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 230 38 years year NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 230 39 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 230 40 age age NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 230 41 respectively respectively RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 230 42 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 231 1 The the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 231 2 number number NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 231 3 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 231 4 people people NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 231 5 dying die VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 231 6 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 231 7 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 231 8 peaks peak NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 231 9 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 231 10 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 231 11 80 80 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 231 12 - - SYM cord-293140-lp3l4iap 231 13 89 89 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 231 14 age age NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 231 15 interval interval NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 231 16 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 232 1 Note note VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 232 2 that that IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 232 3 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 232 4 proportional proportional JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 232 5 increase increase NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 232 6 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 232 7 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 232 8 due due IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 232 9 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 232 10 COVID-19 covid-19 VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 232 11 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 232 12 this this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 232 13 age age NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 232 14 class class NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 232 15 did do VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 232 16 not not RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 232 17 spike spike VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 232 18 as as RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 232 19 much much RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 232 20 as as IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 232 21 it -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 232 22 did do VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 232 23 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 232 24 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 232 25 under under JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 232 26 40 40 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 232 27 or or CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 232 28 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 232 29 40 40 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 232 30 - - SYM cord-293140-lp3l4iap 232 31 49 49 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 232 32 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 233 1 In in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 233 2 fact fact NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 233 3 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 233 4 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 233 5 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 233 6 80 80 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 233 7 - - SYM cord-293140-lp3l4iap 233 8 89 89 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 233 9 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 233 10 expected expect VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 233 11 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 233 12 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 233 13 already already RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 233 14 very very RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 233 15 high high JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 233 16 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 233 17 regular regular JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 233 18 times time NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 233 19 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 234 1 Still still RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 234 2 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 234 3 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 234 4 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 234 5 first first JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 234 6 quarter quarter NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 234 7 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 234 8 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 234 9 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 234 10 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 234 11 Bergamo Bergamo NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 234 12 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 234 13 80 80 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 234 14 - - SYM cord-293140-lp3l4iap 234 15 89 89 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 234 16 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 234 17 increased increase VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 234 18 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 234 19 350 350 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 234 20 % % NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 234 21 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 234 22 males male NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 234 23 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 234 24 250 250 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 234 25 % % NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 234 26 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 234 27 females female NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 234 28 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 235 1 Similar similar JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 235 2 figures figure NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 235 3 are be VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 235 4 observed observe VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 235 5 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 235 6 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 235 7 90 90 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 235 8 + + SYM cord-293140-lp3l4iap 235 9 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 235 10 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 235 11 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 235 12 70 70 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 235 13 - - SYM cord-293140-lp3l4iap 235 14 79 79 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 235 15 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 236 1 Note note VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 236 2 that that IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 236 3 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 236 4 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 236 5 age age NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 236 6 group group NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 236 7 90 90 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 236 8 + + SYM cord-293140-lp3l4iap 236 9 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 236 10 gender gender NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 236 11 disparity disparity NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 236 12 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 236 13 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 236 14 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 236 15 reverses reverse VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 236 16 due due IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 236 17 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 236 18 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 236 19 naturally naturally RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 236 20 much much RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 236 21 higher high JJR cord-293140-lp3l4iap 236 22 number number NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 236 23 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 236 24 women woman NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 236 25 living live VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 236 26 until until IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 236 27 over over IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 236 28 90 90 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 236 29 years year NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 236 30 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 236 31 age age NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 237 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 237 2 Niu Niu NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 237 3 et et NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 237 4 al al NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 237 5 . . NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 237 6 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 237 7 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 237 8 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 238 1 This this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 238 2 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 238 3 consistent consistent JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 238 4 with with IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 238 5 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 238 6 outbreaks outbreak NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 238 7 spreading spread VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 238 8 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 238 9 care care NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 238 10 homes home NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 238 11 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 238 12 which which WDT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 238 13 are be VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 238 14 All all DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 238 15 rights right NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 238 16 reserved reserve VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 238 17 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 239 1 No no DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 239 2 reuse reuse NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 239 3 allowed allow VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 239 4 without without IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 239 5 permission permission NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 239 6 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 240 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 240 2 which which WDT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 240 3 was be VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 240 4 not not RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 240 5 certified certify VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 240 6 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 240 7 peer peer NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 240 8 review review NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 240 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 240 10 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 240 11 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 240 12 author author NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 240 13 / / SYM cord-293140-lp3l4iap 240 14 funder funder NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 240 15 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 240 16 who who WP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 240 17 has have VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 240 18 granted grant VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 240 19 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 240 20 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 240 21 license license NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 240 22 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 240 23 display display VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 240 24 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 240 25 preprint preprint NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 240 26 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 240 27 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 240 28 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 241 1 The the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 241 2 copyright copyright NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 241 3 holder holder NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 241 4 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 241 5 this this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 241 6 preprint preprint NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 241 7 this this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 241 8 version version NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 241 9 posted post VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 241 10 May May NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 241 11 5 5 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 241 12 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 241 13 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 241 14 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 241 15 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 242 1 https://doi.org/10.1101 https://doi.org/10.1101 NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 242 2 usually usually RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 242 3 undercounted undercounte VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 242 4 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 242 5 official official JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 242 6 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 242 7 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 242 8 data datum NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 242 9 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 242 10 most most JJS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 242 11 countries country NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 242 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 242 13 Comas Comas NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 242 14 - - HYPH cord-293140-lp3l4iap 242 15 Herrera Herrera NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 242 16 et et FW cord-293140-lp3l4iap 242 17 al al NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 242 18 . . NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 242 19 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 242 20 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 242 21 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 243 1 In in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 243 2 Brescia Brescia NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 243 3 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 243 4 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 243 5 number number NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 243 6 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 243 7 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 243 8 relative relative JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 243 9 increase increase NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 243 10 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 243 11 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 243 12 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 243 13 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 243 14 70 70 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 243 15 + + SYM cord-293140-lp3l4iap 243 16 are be VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 243 17 lower low JJR cord-293140-lp3l4iap 243 18 than than IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 243 19 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 243 20 Bergamo Bergamo NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 243 21 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 243 22 with with IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 243 23 female female JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 243 24 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 243 25 male male JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 243 26 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 243 27 increasing increase VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 243 28 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 243 29 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 243 30 roughly roughly RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 243 31 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 243 32 190 190 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 243 33 % % NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 243 34 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 243 35 220 220 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 243 36 % % NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 243 37 respectively respectively RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 243 38 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 244 1 However however RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 244 2 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 244 3 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 244 4 much much RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 244 5 higher high JJR cord-293140-lp3l4iap 244 6 than than IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 244 7 expected expect VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 244 8 number number NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 244 9 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 244 10 under under IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 244 11 40 40 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 244 12 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 244 13 both both DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 244 14 males male NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 244 15 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 244 16 1300 1300 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 244 17 % % NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 244 18 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 244 19 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 244 20 females female NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 244 21 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 244 22 infinite infinite JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 244 23 increase increase NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 244 24 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 244 25 died die VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 244 26 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 244 27 Brescia Brescia NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 244 28 municipalities municipality NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 244 29 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 245 1 Figure figure NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 245 2 2 2 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 245 3 shows show VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 245 4 trends trend NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 245 5 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 245 6 daily daily JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 245 7 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 245 8 within within IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 245 9 each each DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 245 10 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 245 11 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 245 12 two two CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 245 13 provinces province NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 245 14 from from IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 245 15 raw raw JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 245 16 data datum NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 245 17 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 246 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 246 2 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 246 3 evident evident JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 246 4 how how WRB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 246 5 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 246 6 epidemic epidemic NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 246 7 curve curve NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 246 8 inflates inflate VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 246 9 with with IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 246 10 age age NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 246 11 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 246 12 how how WRB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 246 13 this this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 246 14 age age NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 246 15 effect effect NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 246 16 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 246 17 particularly particularly RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 246 18 remarkable remarkable JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 246 19 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 246 20 Bergamo Bergamo NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 246 21 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 247 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 247 2 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 247 3 also also RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 247 4 clear clear JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 247 5 that that IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 247 6 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 247 7 last last JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 247 8 day day NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 247 9 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 247 10 observation observation NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 247 11 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 247 12 already already RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 247 13 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 247 14 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 247 15 downward downward JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 247 16 pattern pattern NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 247 17 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 247 18 daily daily JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 247 19 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 247 20 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 248 1 Indeed indeed RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 248 2 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 248 3 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 248 4 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 248 5 4th 4th NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 248 6 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 248 7 April April NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 248 8 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 248 9 epidemic epidemic NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 248 10 wave wave NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 248 11 was be VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 248 12 already already RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 248 13 towards towards IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 248 14 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 248 15 end end NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 248 16 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 248 17 both both DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 248 18 provinces province NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 248 19 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 249 1 This this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 249 2 allows allow VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 249 3 us -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 249 4 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 249 5 rely rely VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 249 6 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 249 7 hard hard JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 249 8 data datum NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 249 9 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 249 10 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 249 11 most most JJS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 249 12 part part NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 249 13 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 249 14 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 249 15 infection infection NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 249 16 wave wave NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 249 17 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 249 18 reducing reduce VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 249 19 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 249 20 reliance reliance NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 249 21 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 249 22 modelling modelling NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 249 23 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 249 24 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 249 25 estimation estimation NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 249 26 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 249 27 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 249 28 total total JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 249 29 number number NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 249 30 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 249 31 deaths death NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 249 32 related relate VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 249 33 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 249 34 this this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 249 35 first first JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 249 36 wave wave NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 249 37 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 249 38 infection infection NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 249 39 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 250 1 From from IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 250 2 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 250 3 graphs graph NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 250 4 shown show VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 250 5 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 250 6 Figure Figure NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 250 7 2 2 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 250 8 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 250 9 it -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 250 10 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 250 11 also also RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 250 12 evident evident JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 250 13 that that IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 250 14 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 250 15 rumors rumor NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 250 16 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 250 17 an an DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 250 18 unexpected unexpected JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 250 19 peak peak NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 250 20 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 250 21 flu flu NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 250 22 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 250 23 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 250 24 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 250 25 can can MD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 250 26 be be VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 250 27 rejected reject VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 250 28 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 251 1 By by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 251 2 mid mid NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 251 3 - - NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 251 4 March March NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 251 5 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 251 6 seasonal seasonal JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 251 7 flu flu NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 251 8 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 251 9 which which WDT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 251 10 started start VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 251 11 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 251 12 December December NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 251 13 2019 2019 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 251 14 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 251 15 was be VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 251 16 at at IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 251 17 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 251 18 very very RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 251 19 final final JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 251 20 stages stage NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 251 21 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 251 22 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 251 23 wave wave NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 251 24 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 252 1 However however RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 252 2 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 252 3 during during IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 252 4 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 252 5 first first JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 252 6 two two CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 252 7 months month NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 252 8 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 252 9 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 252 10 half half NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 252 11 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 252 12 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 252 13 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 252 14 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 252 15 across across IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 252 16 age age NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 252 17 classes class NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 252 18 did do VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 252 19 not not RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 252 20 show show VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 252 21 any any DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 252 22 significant significant JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 252 23 unexpected unexpected JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 252 24 peak peak NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 252 25 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 253 1 Hence hence RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 253 2 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 253 3 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 253 4 observed observed JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 253 5 trends trend NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 253 6 do do VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 253 7 not not RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 253 8 support support VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 253 9 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 253 10 hypothesis hypothesis NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 253 11 that that IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 253 12 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 253 13 boost boost NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 253 14 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 253 15 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 253 16 could could MD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 253 17 be be VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 253 18 caused cause VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 253 19 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 253 20 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 253 21 interaction interaction NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 253 22 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 253 23 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 253 24 with with IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 253 25 seasonal seasonal JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 253 26 flu flu NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 253 27 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 254 1 All all DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 254 2 rights right NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 254 3 reserved reserve VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 254 4 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 255 1 No no DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 255 2 reuse reuse NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 255 3 allowed allow VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 255 4 without without IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 255 5 permission permission NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 255 6 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 256 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 256 2 which which WDT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 256 3 was be VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 256 4 not not RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 256 5 certified certify VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 256 6 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 256 7 peer peer NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 256 8 review review NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 256 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 256 10 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 256 11 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 256 12 author author NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 256 13 / / SYM cord-293140-lp3l4iap 256 14 funder funder NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 256 15 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 256 16 who who WP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 256 17 has have VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 256 18 granted grant VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 256 19 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 256 20 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 256 21 license license NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 256 22 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 256 23 display display VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 256 24 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 256 25 preprint preprint NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 256 26 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 256 27 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 256 28 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 257 1 The the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 257 2 copyright copyright NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 257 3 holder holder NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 257 4 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 257 5 this this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 257 6 preprint preprint NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 257 7 this this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 257 8 version version NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 257 9 posted post VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 257 10 May May NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 257 11 5 5 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 257 12 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 257 13 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 257 14 May May NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 257 15 5 5 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 257 16 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 257 17 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 257 18 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 258 1 https://doi.org/10.1101 https://doi.org/10.1101 NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 259 1 May May NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 259 2 5 5 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 259 3 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 260 1 /2020 /2020 NFP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 260 2 doi doi XX cord-293140-lp3l4iap 260 3 : : : cord-293140-lp3l4iap 261 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 261 2 preprint preprint NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 262 1 The the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 262 2 graphs graphs NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 262 3 plot plot NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 262 4 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 262 5 total total JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 262 6 daily daily JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 262 7 death death NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 262 8 count count NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 262 9 between between IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 262 10 January January NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 262 11 1 1 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 262 12 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 262 13 April April NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 262 14 4 4 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 262 15 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 262 16 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 262 17 vs vs IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 262 18 2015 2015 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 262 19 - - SYM cord-293140-lp3l4iap 262 20 2019 2019 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 262 21 average average NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 262 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 262 23 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 262 24 disaggregated disaggregate VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 262 25 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 262 26 four four CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 262 27 age age NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 262 28 classes class NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 262 29 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 262 30 males male NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 262 31 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 262 32 females female NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 262 33 combined combine VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 262 34 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 262 35 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 263 1 The the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 263 2 red red JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 263 3 vertical vertical JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 263 4 lines line NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 263 5 show show VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 263 6 relevant relevant JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 263 7 dates date NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 263 8 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 263 9 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 263 10 evolution evolution NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 263 11 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 263 12 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 263 13 epidemic epidemic NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 263 14 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 264 1 Vertical vertical JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 264 2 lines line NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 264 3 show show VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 264 4 four four CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 264 5 relevant relevant JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 264 6 dates date NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 264 7 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 264 8 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 264 9 evolution evolution NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 264 10 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 264 11 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 264 12 epidemic epidemic NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 264 13 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 265 1 The the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 265 2 misalignment misalignment NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 265 3 between between IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 265 4 drastic drastic JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 265 5 containment containment NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 265 6 measures measure NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 265 7 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 265 8 " " `` cord-293140-lp3l4iap 265 9 orange orange NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 265 10 zone zone NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 265 11 " " '' cord-293140-lp3l4iap 265 12 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 265 13 8 8 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 265 14 March March NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 265 15 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 265 16 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 265 17 closure closure NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 265 18 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 265 19 all all DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 265 20 non non JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 265 21 - - JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 265 22 essential essential JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 265 23 activities activity NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 265 24 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 265 25 23 23 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 265 26 March March NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 265 27 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 265 28 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 265 29 striking strike VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 265 30 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 266 1 If if IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 266 2 one one PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 266 3 considers consider VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 266 4 that that IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 266 5 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 266 6 time time NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 266 7 between between IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 266 8 infection infection NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 266 9 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 266 10 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 266 11 development development NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 266 12 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 266 13 severe severe JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 266 14 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 266 15 critical critical JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 266 16 conditions condition NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 266 17 could could MD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 266 18 be be VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 266 19 as as RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 266 20 long long JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 266 21 as as IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 266 22 three three CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 266 23 weeks week NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 266 24 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 266 25 it -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 266 26 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 266 27 evident evident JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 266 28 that that IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 266 29 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 266 30 lockdowns lockdown NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 266 31 were be VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 266 32 imposed impose VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 266 33 too too RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 266 34 late late RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 266 35 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 267 1 In in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 267 2 order order NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 267 3 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 267 4 measure measure VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 267 5 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 267 6 human human JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 267 7 life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 267 8 impact impact NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 267 9 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 267 10 this this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 267 11 epidemic epidemic NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 267 12 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 267 13 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 267 14 two two CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 267 15 provinces province NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 267 16 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 267 17 we -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 267 18 show show VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 267 19 two two CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 267 20 set set NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 267 21 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 267 22 results result NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 267 23 : : : cord-293140-lp3l4iap 267 24 1 1 LS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 267 25 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 267 26 changes change NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 267 27 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 267 28 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 267 29 age age NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 267 30 structure structure NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 267 31 ; ; : cord-293140-lp3l4iap 267 32 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 267 33 2 2 LS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 267 34 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 267 35 changes change NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 267 36 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 267 37 life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 267 38 expectancy expectancy NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 267 39 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 268 1 As as IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 268 2 stated state VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 268 3 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 268 4 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 268 5 methods method NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 268 6 section section NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 268 7 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 268 8 when when WRB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 268 9 predicting predict VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 268 10 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 268 11 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 268 12 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 268 13 rest rest NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 268 14 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 268 15 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 268 16 year year NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 268 17 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 268 18 two two CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 268 19 scenarios scenario NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 268 20 can can MD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 268 21 be be VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 268 22 defined define VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 268 23 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 269 1 In in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 269 2 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 269 3 ' ' `` cord-293140-lp3l4iap 269 4 conservative conservative JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 269 5 ' ' '' cord-293140-lp3l4iap 269 6 scenario scenario NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 269 7 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 269 8 harvesting harvesting NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 269 9 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 269 10 complete complete JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 269 11 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 269 12 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 269 13 overall overall JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 269 14 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 269 15 rates rate NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 269 16 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 269 17 age age NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 269 18 at at IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 269 19 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 269 20 end end NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 269 21 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 269 22 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 269 23 year year NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 269 24 are be VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 269 25 maintained maintain VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 269 26 constant constant JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 269 27 with with IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 269 28 respect respect NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 269 29 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 269 30 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 269 31 previous previous JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 269 32 years year NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 269 33 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 269 34 unless unless IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 269 35 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 269 36 number number NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 269 37 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 269 38 deaths death NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 269 39 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 269 40 4 4 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 269 41 April April NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 269 42 already already RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 269 43 exceeds exceed VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 269 44 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 269 45 overall overall JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 269 46 expected expect VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 269 47 deaths death NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 269 48 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 269 49 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 269 50 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 269 51 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 270 1 In in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 270 2 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 270 3 ' ' `` cord-293140-lp3l4iap 270 4 business business NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 270 5 as as IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 270 6 usual usual JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 270 7 ' ' '' cord-293140-lp3l4iap 270 8 scenario scenario NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 270 9 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 270 10 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 270 11 after after IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 270 12 COVID COVID NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 270 13 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 270 14 drops drop VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 270 15 at at IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 270 16 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 270 17 regular regular JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 270 18 values value NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 270 19 observed observe VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 270 20 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 270 21 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 270 22 previous previous JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 270 23 years year NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 270 24 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 271 1 Harvesting harvesting NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 271 2 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 271 3 thus thus RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 271 4 set set VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 271 5 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 271 6 zero zero CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 271 7 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 272 1 To to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 272 2 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 272 3 purpose purpose NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 272 4 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 272 5 estimation estimation NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 272 6 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 272 7 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 272 8 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 272 9 number number NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 272 10 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 272 11 people people NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 272 12 that that WDT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 272 13 died die VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 272 14 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 272 15 COVID COVID NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 272 16 compared compare VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 272 17 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 272 18 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 272 19 expected expect VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 272 20 annual annual JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 272 21 death death NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 272 22 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 272 23 age age NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 272 24 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 272 25 an an DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 272 26 important important JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 272 27 information information NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 272 28 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 273 1 Figures figure NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 273 2 A2a a2a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 273 3 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 273 4 A2b a2b NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 274 1 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 274 2 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 274 3 Appendix Appendix NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 274 4 report report VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 274 5 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 274 6 evolution evolution NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 274 7 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 274 8 age age NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 274 9 classes class NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 274 10 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 274 11 both both DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 274 12 provinces province NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 274 13 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 274 14 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 274 15 men man NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 274 16 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 274 17 women woman NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 274 18 respectively respectively RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 274 19 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 275 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 275 2 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 275 3 impressive impressive JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 275 4 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 275 5 notice notice VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 275 6 that that IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 275 7 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 275 8 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 275 9 province province NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 275 10 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 275 11 Bergamo Bergamo NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 275 12 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 275 13 number number NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 275 14 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 275 15 70 70 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 275 16 - - SYM cord-293140-lp3l4iap 275 17 79 79 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 275 18 men man NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 275 19 that that WDT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 275 20 died die VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 275 21 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 275 22 4 4 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 275 23 All all DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 275 24 rights right NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 275 25 reserved reserve VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 275 26 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 276 1 No no DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 276 2 reuse reuse NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 276 3 allowed allow VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 276 4 without without IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 276 5 permission permission NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 276 6 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 277 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 277 2 which which WDT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 277 3 was be VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 277 4 not not RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 277 5 certified certify VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 277 6 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 277 7 peer peer NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 277 8 review review NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 277 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 277 10 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 277 11 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 277 12 author author NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 277 13 / / SYM cord-293140-lp3l4iap 277 14 funder funder NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 277 15 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 277 16 who who WP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 277 17 has have VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 277 18 granted grant VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 277 19 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 277 20 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 277 21 license license NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 277 22 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 277 23 display display VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 277 24 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 277 25 preprint preprint NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 277 26 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 277 27 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 277 28 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 278 1 The the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 278 2 copyright copyright NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 278 3 holder holder NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 278 4 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 278 5 this this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 278 6 preprint preprint NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 278 7 this this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 278 8 version version NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 278 9 posted post VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 278 10 May May NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 278 11 5 5 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 278 12 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 278 13 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 278 14 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 278 15 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 279 1 https://doi.org/10 https://doi.org/10 NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 279 2 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 280 1 1101 1101 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 280 2 April April NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 280 3 already already RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 280 4 exceeded exceed VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 280 5 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 280 6 annual annual JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 280 7 number number NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 280 8 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 280 9 age age NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 280 10 specific specific JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 280 11 deaths death NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 280 12 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 280 13 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 280 14 same same JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 280 15 municipalities municipality NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 280 16 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 280 17 2017 2017 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 280 18 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 281 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 281 2 has have VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 281 3 been be VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 281 4 argued argue VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 281 5 that that IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 281 6 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 281 7 impact impact NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 281 8 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 281 9 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 281 10 COVID covid JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 281 11 epidemic epidemic NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 281 12 should should MD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 281 13 be be VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 281 14 understood understand VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 281 15 also also RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 281 16 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 281 17 looking look VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 281 18 at at IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 281 19 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 281 20 age age NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 281 21 structure structure NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 281 22 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 281 23 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 281 24 population population NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 282 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 282 2 Dowd Dowd NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 282 3 et et NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 282 4 al al NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 282 5 . . NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 282 6 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 282 7 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 282 8 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 283 1 From from IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 283 2 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 283 3 evidence evidence NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 283 4 provided provide VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 283 5 so so RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 283 6 far far RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 283 7 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 283 8 it -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 283 9 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 283 10 clear clear JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 283 11 that that IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 283 12 age age NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 283 13 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 283 14 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 283 15 main main JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 283 16 risk risk NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 283 17 factor factor NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 283 18 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 283 19 COVID COVID NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 283 20 related relate VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 283 21 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 283 22 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 284 1 Figure figure NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 284 2 3 3 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 284 3 reports report VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 284 4 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 284 5 changes change NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 284 6 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 284 7 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 284 8 age age NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 284 9 pyramid pyramid NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 284 10 between between IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 284 11 1 1 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 284 12 January January NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 284 13 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 284 14 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 284 15 : : : cord-293140-lp3l4iap 284 16 a a LS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 284 17 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 284 18 4 4 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 284 19 April April NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 284 20 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 284 21 b b NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 284 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 284 23 31 31 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 284 24 December December NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 284 25 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 284 26 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 284 27 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 284 28 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 284 29 two two CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 284 30 scenarios scenario NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 284 31 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 285 1 Overall overall RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 285 2 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 285 3 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 285 4 age age NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 285 5 pyramid pyramid NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 285 6 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 285 7 going go VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 285 8 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 285 9 be be VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 285 10 affected affect VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 285 11 significantly significantly RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 285 12 at at IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 285 13 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 285 14 top top JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 285 15 levels level NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 285 16 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 286 1 The the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 286 2 number number NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 286 3 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 286 4 " " `` cord-293140-lp3l4iap 286 5 missing miss VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 286 6 " " '' cord-293140-lp3l4iap 286 7 people people NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 286 8 among among IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 286 9 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 286 10 elderlies elderly NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 286 11 at at IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 286 12 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 286 13 end end NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 286 14 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 286 15 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 286 16 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 286 17 going go VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 286 18 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 286 19 be be VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 286 20 significant significant JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 286 21 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 286 22 especially especially RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 286 23 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 286 24 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 286 25 extreme extreme JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 286 26 scenario scenario NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 286 27 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 287 1 Note note VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 287 2 also also RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 287 3 that that IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 287 4 elderly elderly JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 287 5 women woman NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 287 6 seem seem VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 287 7 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 287 8 be be VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 287 9 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 287 10 most most RBS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 287 11 affected affect VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 287 12 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 287 13 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 287 14 epidemic epidemic NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 287 15 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 287 16 terms term NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 287 17 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 287 18 COVID COVID NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 287 19 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 288 1 This this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 288 2 reflects reflect VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 288 3 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 288 4 fact fact NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 288 5 that that IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 288 6 among among IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 288 7 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 288 8 80 80 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 288 9 + + CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 288 10 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 288 11 63 63 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 288 12 % % NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 288 13 are be VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 288 14 females female NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 288 15 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 289 1 Life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 289 2 expectancy expectancy NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 289 3 has have VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 289 4 reduced reduce VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 289 5 accordingly accordingly RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 289 6 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 289 7 as as IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 289 8 shown show VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 289 9 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 289 10 Figure Figure NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 289 11 4 4 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 289 12 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 290 1 The the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 290 2 drop drop NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 290 3 at at IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 290 4 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 290 5 end end NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 290 6 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 290 7 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 290 8 observation observation NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 290 9 period period NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 290 10 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 290 11 significant significant JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 290 12 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 290 13 especially especially RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 290 14 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 290 15 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 290 16 men man NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 290 17 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 290 18 Bergamo Bergamo NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 290 19 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 291 1 When when WRB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 291 2 seasonal seasonal JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 291 3 life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 291 4 expectancy expectancy NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 291 5 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 291 6 calculated calculate VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 291 7 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 291 8 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 291 9 reduction reduction NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 291 10 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 291 11 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 291 12 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 291 13 males male NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 291 14 reaches reach VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 291 15 8 8 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 291 16 years year NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 291 17 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 292 1 For for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 292 2 women woman NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 292 3 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 292 4 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 292 5 reduction reduction NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 292 6 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 292 7 less less RBR cord-293140-lp3l4iap 292 8 marked mark VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 292 9 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 292 10 although although IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 292 11 seasonal seasonal JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 292 12 life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 292 13 expectancy expectancy NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 292 14 at at IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 292 15 4 4 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 292 16 April April NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 292 17 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 292 18 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 292 19 around around RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 292 20 5 5 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 292 21 years year NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 292 22 lower low JJR cord-293140-lp3l4iap 292 23 than than IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 292 24 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 292 25 2019 2019 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 292 26 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 293 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 293 2 refer refer VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 293 3 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 293 4 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 293 5 Discussion Discussion NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 293 6 part part NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 293 7 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 293 8 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 293 9 interpretation interpretation NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 293 10 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 293 11 these these DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 293 12 figures figure NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 293 13 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 294 1 When when WRB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 294 2 life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 294 3 expectancy expectancy NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 294 4 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 294 5 extrapolated extrapolate VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 294 6 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 294 7 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 294 8 whole whole JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 294 9 year year NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 294 10 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 294 11 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 294 12 loss loss NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 294 13 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 294 14 life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 294 15 expectancy expectancy NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 294 16 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 294 17 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 294 18 course course NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 294 19 diluted dilute VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 294 20 over over IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 294 21 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 294 22 longer long JJR cord-293140-lp3l4iap 294 23 period period NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 294 24 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 294 25 hence hence RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 294 26 reduced reduce VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 294 27 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 295 1 In in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 295 2 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 295 3 conservative conservative JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 295 4 case case NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 295 5 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 295 6 full full JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 295 7 harvesting harvesting NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 295 8 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 295 9 nothing nothing NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 295 10 All all DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 295 11 rights right NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 295 12 reserved reserve VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 295 13 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 296 1 No no DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 296 2 reuse reuse NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 296 3 allowed allow VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 296 4 without without IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 296 5 permission permission NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 296 6 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 297 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 297 2 which which WDT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 297 3 was be VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 297 4 not not RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 297 5 certified certify VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 297 6 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 297 7 peer peer NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 297 8 review review NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 297 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 297 10 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 297 11 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 297 12 author author NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 297 13 / / SYM cord-293140-lp3l4iap 297 14 funder funder NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 297 15 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 297 16 who who WP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 297 17 has have VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 297 18 granted grant VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 297 19 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 297 20 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 297 21 license license NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 297 22 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 297 23 display display VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 297 24 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 297 25 preprint preprint NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 297 26 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 297 27 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 297 28 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 298 1 The the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 298 2 copyright copyright NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 298 3 holder holder NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 298 4 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 298 5 this this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 298 6 preprint preprint NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 298 7 this this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 298 8 version version NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 298 9 posted post VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 298 10 May May NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 298 11 5 5 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 298 12 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 298 13 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 298 14 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 298 15 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 299 1 https://doi.org/10 https://doi.org/10 NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 299 2 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 300 1 1101 1101 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 300 2 really really RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 300 3 changes change VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 300 4 with with IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 300 5 respect respect NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 300 6 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 300 7 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 300 8 previous previous JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 300 9 years year NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 300 10 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 301 1 This this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 301 2 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 301 3 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 301 4 very very RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 301 5 unlikely unlikely JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 301 6 situation situation NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 301 7 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 301 8 but but CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 301 9 one one NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 301 10 that that WDT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 301 11 represents represent VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 301 12 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 301 13 potential potential JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 301 14 upper upper NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 301 15 bound bind VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 301 16 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 302 1 If if IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 302 2 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 302 3 goes go VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 302 4 back back RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 302 5 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 302 6 regular regular JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 302 7 times time NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 302 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 302 9 " " `` cord-293140-lp3l4iap 302 10 business business NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 302 11 as as IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 302 12 usual usual JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 302 13 " " '' cord-293140-lp3l4iap 302 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 302 15 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 302 16 life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 302 17 expectancy expectancy NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 302 18 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 302 19 males male NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 302 20 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 302 21 females female NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 302 22 will will MD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 302 23 drop drop VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 302 24 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 302 25 respectively respectively RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 302 26 3.5 3.5 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 302 27 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 302 28 2.5 2.5 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 302 29 years year NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 302 30 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 302 31 Bergamo Bergamo NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 302 32 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 302 33 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 302 34 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 302 35 2.3 2.3 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 302 36 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 302 37 1.5 1.5 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 302 38 years year NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 302 39 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 302 40 Brescia Brescia NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 302 41 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 303 1 Figure figure NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 303 2 5 5 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 303 3 shows show VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 303 4 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 303 5 decomposition decomposition NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 303 6 associated associate VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 303 7 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 303 8 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 303 9 loss loss NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 303 10 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 303 11 life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 303 12 expectancy expectancy NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 303 13 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 303 14 April April NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 303 15 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 303 16 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 303 17 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 303 18 age age NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 303 19 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 303 20 sex sex NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 303 21 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 304 1 Clearly clearly RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 304 2 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 304 3 major major JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 304 4 role role NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 304 5 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 304 6 played play VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 304 7 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 304 8 older old JJR cord-293140-lp3l4iap 304 9 populations population NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 304 10 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 305 1 The the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 305 2 role role NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 305 3 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 305 4 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 305 5 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 305 6 60 60 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 305 7 - - SYM cord-293140-lp3l4iap 305 8 79 79 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 305 9 years year NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 305 10 old old JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 305 11 men man NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 305 12 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 305 13 particularly particularly RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 305 14 evident evident JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 305 15 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 306 1 At at IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 306 2 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 306 3 same same JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 306 4 time time NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 306 5 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 306 6 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 306 7 90 90 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 306 8 + + SYM cord-293140-lp3l4iap 306 9 women woman NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 306 10 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 306 11 Bergamo Bergamo NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 306 12 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 306 13 despite despite IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 306 14 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 306 15 much much RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 306 16 older old JJR cord-293140-lp3l4iap 306 17 age age NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 306 18 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 306 19 are be VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 306 20 still still RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 306 21 responsible responsible JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 306 22 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 306 23 more more JJR cord-293140-lp3l4iap 306 24 than than IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 306 25 half half PDT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 306 26 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 306 27 year year NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 306 28 loss loss NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 306 29 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 306 30 life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 306 31 expectancy expectancy NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 306 32 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 307 1 All all DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 307 2 rights right NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 307 3 reserved reserve VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 307 4 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 308 1 No no DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 308 2 reuse reuse NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 308 3 allowed allow VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 308 4 without without IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 308 5 permission permission NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 308 6 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 309 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 309 2 which which WDT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 309 3 was be VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 309 4 not not RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 309 5 certified certify VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 309 6 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 309 7 peer peer NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 309 8 review review NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 309 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 309 10 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 309 11 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 309 12 author author NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 309 13 / / SYM cord-293140-lp3l4iap 309 14 funder funder NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 309 15 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 309 16 who who WP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 309 17 has have VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 309 18 granted grant VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 309 19 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 309 20 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 309 21 license license NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 309 22 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 309 23 display display VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 309 24 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 309 25 preprint preprint NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 309 26 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 309 27 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 309 28 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 310 1 The the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 310 2 copyright copyright NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 310 3 holder holder NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 310 4 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 310 5 this this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 310 6 preprint preprint NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 310 7 this this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 310 8 version version NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 310 9 posted post VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 310 10 May May NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 310 11 5 5 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 310 12 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 310 13 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 310 14 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 310 15 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 311 1 https://doi.org/10.1101 https://doi.org/10.1101 NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 312 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 312 2 are be VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 312 3 able able JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 312 4 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 312 5 show show VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 312 6 excess excess JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 312 7 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 312 8 directly directly RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 312 9 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 312 10 indirectly indirectly RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 312 11 linked link VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 312 12 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 312 13 COVID-19 covid-19 VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 312 14 without without IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 312 15 any any DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 312 16 bias bias NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 312 17 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 312 18 testing test VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 312 19 coverage coverage NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 312 20 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 312 21 classification classification NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 312 22 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 312 23 cause cause NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 312 24 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 312 25 deaths death NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 312 26 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 313 1 By by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 313 2 focusing focus VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 313 3 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 313 4 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 313 5 two two CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 313 6 hardest hard RBS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 313 7 hit hit VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 313 8 areas area NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 313 9 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 313 10 Lombardy Lombardy NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 313 11 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 313 12 Italy Italy NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 313 13 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 313 14 Bergamo Bergamo NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 313 15 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 313 16 Brescia Brescia NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 313 17 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 313 18 we -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 313 19 are be VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 313 20 able able JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 313 21 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 313 22 capture capture VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 313 23 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 313 24 full full JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 313 25 impact impact NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 313 26 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 313 27 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 313 28 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 313 29 population population NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 313 30 health health NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 313 31 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 313 32 human human JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 313 33 life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 313 34 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 314 1 The the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 314 2 first first JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 314 3 important important JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 314 4 piece piece NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 314 5 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 314 6 evidence evidence NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 314 7 refers refer VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 314 8 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 314 9 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 314 10 duration duration NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 314 11 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 314 12 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 314 13 epidemic epidemic NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 314 14 wave wave NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 314 15 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 315 1 By by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 315 2 4 4 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 315 3 April April NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 315 4 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 315 5 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 315 6 daily daily JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 315 7 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 315 8 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 315 9 both both CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 315 10 Bergamo Bergamo NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 315 11 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 315 12 Brescia Brescia NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 315 13 was be VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 315 14 approaching approach VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 315 15 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 315 16 regular regular JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 315 17 values value NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 315 18 observed observe VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 315 19 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 315 20 2019 2019 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 315 21 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 316 1 Hence hence RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 316 2 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 316 3 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 316 4 time time NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 316 5 between between IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 316 6 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 316 7 first first JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 316 8 sign sign NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 316 9 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 316 10 an an DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 316 11 epidemic epidemic NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 316 12 wave wave NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 316 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 316 14 first first JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 316 15 three three CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 316 16 days day NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 316 17 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 316 18 March March NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 316 19 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 316 20 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 316 21 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 316 22 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 316 23 possible possible JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 316 24 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 316 25 return return VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 316 26 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 316 27 normality normality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 316 28 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 316 29 likely likely JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 316 30 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 316 31 be be VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 316 32 between between IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 316 33 6 6 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 316 34 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 316 35 8 8 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 316 36 weeks week NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 316 37 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 316 38 with with IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 316 39 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 316 40 peak peak NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 316 41 happening happen VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 316 42 around around IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 316 43 two two CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 316 44 weeks week NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 316 45 from from IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 316 46 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 316 47 start start NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 316 48 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 317 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 317 2 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 317 3 likely likely JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 317 4 that that IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 317 5 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 317 6 lockdown lockdown NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 317 7 policy policy NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 317 8 might may MD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 317 9 have have VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 317 10 contributed contribute VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 317 11 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 317 12 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 317 13 reduction reduction NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 317 14 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 317 15 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 317 16 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 317 17 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 317 18 late late JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 317 19 stage stage NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 317 20 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 317 21 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 317 22 epidemic epidemic NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 317 23 wave wave NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 317 24 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 318 1 However however RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 318 2 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 318 3 containment containment NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 318 4 policies policy NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 318 5 were be VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 318 6 not not RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 318 7 implemented implement VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 318 8 during during IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 318 9 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 318 10 initial initial JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 318 11 spread spread NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 318 12 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 318 13 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 318 14 infections infection NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 318 15 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 318 16 when when WRB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 318 17 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 318 18 virus virus NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 318 19 circulated circulate VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 318 20 undetected undetected JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 318 21 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 318 22 Lombardy Lombardy NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 318 23 ; ; : cord-293140-lp3l4iap 318 24 hence hence RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 318 25 they -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 318 26 played play VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 318 27 no no DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 318 28 role role NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 318 29 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 318 30 reducing reduce VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 318 31 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 318 32 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 318 33 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 318 34 first first JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 318 35 part part NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 318 36 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 318 37 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 318 38 epidemic epidemic NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 318 39 wave wave NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 318 40 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 319 1 Regarding regard VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 319 2 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 319 3 demographic demographic JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 319 4 characteristics characteristic NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 319 5 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 319 6 two two CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 319 7 empirical empirical JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 319 8 regularities regularity NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 319 9 emerge emerge VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 319 10 clearly clearly RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 319 11 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 320 1 First first RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 320 2 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 320 3 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 320 4 age age NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 320 5 gradient gradient NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 320 6 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 320 7 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 320 8 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 320 9 steep steep JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 320 10 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 320 11 age age NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 320 12 represents represent VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 320 13 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 320 14 most most RBS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 320 15 evident evident JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 320 16 risk risk NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 320 17 factor factor NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 320 18 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 320 19 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 320 20 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 320 21 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 321 1 In in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 321 2 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 321 3 sample sample NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 321 4 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 321 5 men man NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 321 6 aged age VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 321 7 over over IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 321 8 70 70 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 321 9 are be VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 321 10 10 10 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 321 11 times time NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 321 12 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 321 13 37 37 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 321 14 times time NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 321 15 more more RBR cord-293140-lp3l4iap 321 16 likely likely JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 321 17 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 321 18 die die VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 321 19 than than IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 321 20 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 321 21 counterparts counterpart NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 321 22 aged age VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 321 23 under under IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 321 24 70 70 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 321 25 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 321 26 under under IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 321 27 60 60 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 321 28 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 321 29 respectively respectively RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 321 30 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 322 1 Second second JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 322 2 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 322 3 gender gender NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 322 4 disparities disparity NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 322 5 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 322 6 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 322 7 percentages percentage NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 322 8 distribution distribution NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 322 9 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 322 10 deaths death NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 322 11 are be VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 322 12 not not RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 322 13 as as RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 322 14 large large JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 322 15 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 322 16 56 56 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 322 17 % % NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 322 18 deaths death NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 322 19 involve involve VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 322 20 male male JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 322 21 subjects subject NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 322 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 322 23 as as IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 322 24 reported report VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 322 25 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 322 26 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 322 27 whole whole JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 322 28 nation nation NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 322 29 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 322 30 Italy Italy NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 322 31 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 322 32 65 65 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 322 33 % % NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 322 34 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 322 35 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 323 1 However however RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 323 2 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 323 3 this this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 323 4 figure figure NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 323 5 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 323 6 misleading misleading JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 323 7 : : : cord-293140-lp3l4iap 323 8 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 323 9 risk risk NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 323 10 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 323 11 dying die VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 323 12 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 323 13 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 323 14 male male NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 323 15 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 323 16 between between IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 323 17 1.5 1.5 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 323 18 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 323 19 3.5 3.5 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 323 20 higher high JJR cord-293140-lp3l4iap 323 21 than than IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 323 22 that that DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 323 23 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 323 24 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 323 25 female female NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 323 26 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 323 27 depending depend VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 323 28 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 323 29 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 323 30 age age NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 323 31 class class NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 323 32 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 323 33 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 323 34 province province NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 323 35 considered consider VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 323 36 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 324 1 Men man NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 324 2 are be VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 324 3 thus thus RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 324 4 more more JJR cord-293140-lp3l4iap 324 5 at at IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 324 6 risk risk NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 324 7 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 324 8 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 324 9 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 324 10 but but CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 324 11 since since IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 324 12 COVID-19 covid-19 NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 324 13 affects affect VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 324 14 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 324 15 elderly elderly JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 324 16 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 324 17 most most JJS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 324 18 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 324 19 women woman NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 324 20 are be VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 324 21 overrepresented overrepresente VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 324 22 among among IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 324 23 those those DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 324 24 aged age VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 324 25 70 70 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 324 26 + + CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 324 27 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 324 28 absolute absolute JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 324 29 figures figure NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 324 30 show show VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 324 31 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 324 32 high high JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 324 33 number number NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 324 34 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 324 35 deaths death NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 324 36 also also RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 324 37 among among IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 324 38 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 324 39 females female NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 324 40 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 325 1 This this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 325 2 age age NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 325 3 gradient gradient NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 325 4 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 325 5 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 325 6 affects affect VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 325 7 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 325 8 age age NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 325 9 pyramid pyramid NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 325 10 as as RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 325 11 well well RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 325 12 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 325 13 with with IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 325 14 elderly elderly JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 325 15 women woman NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 325 16 being be VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 325 17 associated associate VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 325 18 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 325 19 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 325 20 sharpest sharp JJS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 325 21 reduction reduction NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 325 22 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 325 23 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 325 24 number number NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 325 25 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 325 26 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 325 27 end end NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 325 28 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 325 29 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 325 30 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 326 1 In in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 326 2 terms term NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 326 3 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 326 4 life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 326 5 expectancy expectancy NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 326 6 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 326 7 we -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 326 8 have have VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 326 9 shown show VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 326 10 two two CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 326 11 main main JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 326 12 set set NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 326 13 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 326 14 results result NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 326 15 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 327 1 First first RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 327 2 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 327 3 when when WRB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 327 4 focusing focus VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 327 5 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 327 6 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 327 7 period period NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 327 8 1 1 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 327 9 Jan Jan NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 327 10 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 327 11 4 4 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 327 12 April April NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 327 13 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 327 14 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 327 15 life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 327 16 expectancy expectancy NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 327 17 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 327 18 Bergamo Bergamo NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 327 19 reduced reduce VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 327 20 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 327 21 around around RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 327 22 8.1 8.1 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 327 23 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 327 24 6.5 6.5 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 327 25 years year NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 327 26 compared compare VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 327 27 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 327 28 2019 2019 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 327 29 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 327 30 men man NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 327 31 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 327 32 women woman NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 327 33 respectively respectively RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 327 34 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 327 35 4.5 4.5 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 327 36 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 327 37 3.4 3.4 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 327 38 years year NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 327 39 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 327 40 Brescia Brescia NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 327 41 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 327 42 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 328 1 One one CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 328 2 way way NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 328 3 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 328 4 understand understand VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 328 5 these these DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 328 6 figures figure NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 328 7 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 328 8 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 328 9 imagine imagine VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 328 10 that that IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 328 11 they -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 328 12 represent represent VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 328 13 what what WP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 328 14 would would MD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 328 15 happen happen VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 328 16 if if IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 328 17 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 328 18 1 1 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 328 19 Jan Jan NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 328 20 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 328 21 4 4 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 328 22 April April NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 328 23 period period NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 328 24 were be VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 328 25 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 328 26 be be VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 328 27 stretched stretch VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 328 28 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 328 29 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 328 30 entire entire JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 328 31 year year NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 328 32 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 328 33 so so IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 328 34 that that IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 328 35 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 328 36 epidemic epidemic NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 328 37 would would MD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 328 38 last last VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 328 39 around around RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 328 40 four four CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 328 41 months month NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 328 42 over over IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 328 43 twelve twelve CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 328 44 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 329 1 Fortunately fortunately RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 329 2 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 329 3 this this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 329 4 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 329 5 not not RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 329 6 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 329 7 case case NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 329 8 because because IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 329 9 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 329 10 epidemic epidemic NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 329 11 wave wave NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 329 12 had have VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 329 13 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 329 14 limited limit VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 329 15 All all DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 329 16 rights right NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 329 17 reserved reserve VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 329 18 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 330 1 No no DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 330 2 reuse reuse NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 330 3 allowed allow VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 330 4 without without IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 330 5 permission permission NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 330 6 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 331 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 331 2 which which WDT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 331 3 was be VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 331 4 not not RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 331 5 certified certify VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 331 6 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 331 7 peer peer NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 331 8 review review NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 331 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 331 10 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 331 11 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 331 12 author author NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 331 13 / / SYM cord-293140-lp3l4iap 331 14 funder funder NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 331 15 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 331 16 who who WP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 331 17 has have VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 331 18 granted grant VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 331 19 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 331 20 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 331 21 license license NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 331 22 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 331 23 display display VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 331 24 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 331 25 preprint preprint NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 331 26 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 331 27 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 331 28 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 332 1 The the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 332 2 copyright copyright NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 332 3 holder holder NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 332 4 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 332 5 this this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 332 6 preprint preprint NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 332 7 this this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 332 8 version version NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 332 9 posted post VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 332 10 May May NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 332 11 5 5 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 332 12 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 332 13 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 332 14 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 332 15 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 333 1 https://doi.org/10 https://doi.org/10 NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 333 2 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 334 1 1101 1101 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 334 2 duration duration NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 334 3 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 335 1 Nevertheless nevertheless RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 335 2 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 335 3 these these DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 335 4 figures figure NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 335 5 give give VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 335 6 us -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 335 7 an an DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 335 8 idea idea NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 335 9 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 335 10 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 335 11 power power NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 335 12 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 335 13 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 335 14 epidemic epidemic NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 335 15 wave wave NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 335 16 that that WDT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 335 17 crushed crush VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 335 18 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 335 19 provinces province NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 335 20 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 336 1 Return return VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 336 2 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 336 3 normality normality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 336 4 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 336 5 Bergamo Bergamo NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 336 6 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 336 7 Brescia Brescia NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 336 8 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 336 9 not not RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 336 10 going go VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 336 11 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 336 12 be be VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 336 13 straightforward straightforward JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 336 14 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 337 1 The the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 337 2 near near JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 337 3 future future NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 337 4 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 337 5 hard hard JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 337 6 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 337 7 predict predict VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 337 8 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 338 1 For for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 338 2 this this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 338 3 reason reason NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 338 4 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 338 5 when when WRB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 338 6 calculating calculate VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 338 7 life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 338 8 expectancy expectancy NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 338 9 at at IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 338 10 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 338 11 end end NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 338 12 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 338 13 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 338 14 year year NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 338 15 we -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 338 16 focus focus VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 338 17 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 338 18 very very RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 338 19 simple simple JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 338 20 assumptions assumption NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 338 21 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 338 22 i.e. i.e. FW cord-293140-lp3l4iap 338 23 focusing focus VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 338 24 only only RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 338 25 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 338 26 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 338 27 impact impact NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 338 28 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 338 29 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 338 30 first first JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 338 31 epidemic epidemic NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 338 32 wave wave NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 338 33 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 339 1 Only only RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 339 2 harvesting harvesting NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 339 3 effect effect NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 339 4 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 339 5 considered consider VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 339 6 as as IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 339 7 possible possible JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 339 8 consequences consequence NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 339 9 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 339 10 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 339 11 epidemic epidemic NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 339 12 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 339 13 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 339 14 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 340 1 Two two CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 340 2 scenarios scenario NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 340 3 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 340 4 full full JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 340 5 harvesting harvesting NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 340 6 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 340 7 conservative conservative JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 340 8 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 340 9 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 340 10 no no DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 340 11 harvesting harvesting NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 340 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 340 13 business business NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 340 14 as as IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 340 15 usual usual JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 340 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 340 17 are be VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 340 18 introduced introduce VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 340 19 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 341 1 By by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 341 2 construction construction NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 341 3 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 341 4 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 341 5 conservative conservative JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 341 6 scenario scenario NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 341 7 does do VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 341 8 not not RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 341 9 show show VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 341 10 significant significant JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 341 11 changes change NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 341 12 at at IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 341 13 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 341 14 end end NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 341 15 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 341 16 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 341 17 year year NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 341 18 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 342 1 This this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 342 2 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 342 3 because because IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 342 4 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 342 5 although although IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 342 6 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 342 7 number number NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 342 8 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 342 9 deaths death NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 342 10 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 342 11 4 4 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 342 12 April April NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 342 13 exceeded exceed VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 342 14 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 342 15 expected expect VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 342 16 yearly yearly JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 342 17 number number NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 342 18 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 342 19 deaths death NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 342 20 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 342 21 some some DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 342 22 age age NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 342 23 class class NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 342 24 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 342 25 it -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 342 26 did do VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 342 27 so so RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 342 28 only only RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 342 29 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 342 30 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 342 31 small small JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 342 32 number number NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 342 33 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 343 1 On on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 343 2 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 343 3 other other JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 343 4 hand hand NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 343 5 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 343 6 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 343 7 no no DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 343 8 harvesting harvesting NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 343 9 scenario scenario NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 343 10 implies imply VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 343 11 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 343 12 loss loss NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 343 13 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 343 14 life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 343 15 expectancy expectancy NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 343 16 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 343 17 around around IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 343 18 4.5 4.5 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 343 19 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 343 20 2.8 2.8 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 343 21 years year NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 343 22 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 343 23 males male NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 343 24 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 343 25 females female NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 343 26 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 343 27 respectively respectively RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 343 28 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 343 29 Bergamo Bergamo NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 343 30 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 343 31 2.2 2.2 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 343 32 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 343 33 2.4 2.4 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 343 34 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 343 35 respectively respectively RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 343 36 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 343 37 Brescia Brescia NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 343 38 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 343 39 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 344 1 Although although IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 344 2 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 344 3 conservative conservative JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 344 4 scenario scenario NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 344 5 represents represent VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 344 6 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 344 7 logical logical JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 344 8 extreme extreme JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 344 9 upper upper NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 344 10 bound bind VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 344 11 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 344 12 any any DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 344 13 estimation estimation NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 344 14 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 344 15 life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 344 16 expectancy expectancy NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 344 17 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 344 18 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 344 19 business business NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 344 20 as as IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 344 21 usual usual JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 344 22 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 344 23 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 344 24 more more RBR cord-293140-lp3l4iap 344 25 realistic realistic JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 344 26 one one CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 344 27 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 345 1 But but CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 345 2 how how WRB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 345 3 can can MD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 345 4 we -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 345 5 interpret interpret VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 345 6 these these DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 345 7 results result NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 345 8 ? ? . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 346 1 One one CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 346 2 good good JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 346 3 feature feature NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 346 4 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 346 5 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 346 6 life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 346 7 expectancy expectancy NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 346 8 indicator indicator NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 346 9 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 346 10 that that IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 346 11 it -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 346 12 provides provide VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 346 13 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 346 14 historical historical JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 346 15 perspective perspective NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 346 16 over over IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 346 17 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 346 18 human human JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 346 19 consequence consequence NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 346 20 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 346 21 relevant relevant JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 346 22 shocks shock NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 346 23 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 346 24 Ghislandi Ghislandi NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 346 25 et et NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 346 26 al al NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 346 27 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 346 28 2019 2019 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 346 29 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 346 30 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 347 1 Looking look VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 347 2 at at IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 347 3 Figure Figure NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 347 4 A3 A3 NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 347 5 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 347 6 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 347 7 Appendix Appendix NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 347 8 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 347 9 it -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 347 10 appears appear VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 347 11 evident evident JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 347 12 that that IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 347 13 such such PDT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 347 14 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 347 15 sharp sharp JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 347 16 decrease decrease NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 347 17 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 347 18 life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 347 19 expectancy expectancy NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 347 20 has have VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 347 21 not not RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 347 22 been be VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 347 23 experienced experience VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 347 24 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 347 25 modern modern JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 347 26 history history NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 347 27 since since IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 347 28 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 347 29 Second Second NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 347 30 World World NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 347 31 War War NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 347 32 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 348 1 In in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 348 2 terms term NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 348 3 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 348 4 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 348 5 pandemic pandemic JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 348 6 impact impact NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 348 7 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 348 8 years year NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 348 9 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 348 10 life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 348 11 lost lose VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 348 12 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 348 13 we -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 348 14 are be VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 348 15 observing observe VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 348 16 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 348 17 large large JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 348 18 - - HYPH cord-293140-lp3l4iap 348 19 scale scale NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 348 20 loss loss NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 348 21 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 348 22 life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 348 23 expectancy expectancy NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 348 24 second second RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 348 25 only only RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 348 26 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 348 27 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 348 28 Spanish spanish JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 348 29 flu flu NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 348 30 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 348 31 1918 1918 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 348 32 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 348 33 where where WRB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 348 34 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 348 35 according accord VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 348 36 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 348 37 Figure Figure NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 348 38 A3 A3 NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 348 39 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 348 40 life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 348 41 expectancy expectancy NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 348 42 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 348 43 Italy Italy NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 348 44 dropped drop VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 348 45 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 348 46 more more JJR cord-293140-lp3l4iap 348 47 than than IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 348 48 15 15 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 348 49 years year NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 348 50 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 349 1 For for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 349 2 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 349 3 USA USA NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 349 4 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 349 5 Noymer Noymer NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 349 6 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 349 7 Garenne Garenne NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 349 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 349 9 2000 2000 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 349 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 349 11 estimate estimate NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 349 12 reduction reduction NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 349 13 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 349 14 life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 349 15 expectancy expectancy NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 349 16 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 349 17 11.8 11.8 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 349 18 years year NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 349 19 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 350 1 The the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 350 2 differences difference NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 350 3 between between IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 350 4 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 350 5 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 350 6 pandemic pandemic NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 350 7 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 350 8 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 350 9 1918 1918 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 350 10 flu flu NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 350 11 pandemic pandemic NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 350 12 are be VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 350 13 very very RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 350 14 distinct distinct JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 350 15 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 351 1 First first RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 351 2 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 351 3 all all DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 351 4 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 351 5 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 351 6 Spanish spanish JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 351 7 flue flue NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 351 8 typically typically RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 351 9 killed kill VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 351 10 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 351 11 young young JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 351 12 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 351 13 which which WDT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 351 14 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 351 15 course course NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 351 16 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 351 17 all all RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 351 18 else else RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 351 19 equal equal JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 351 20 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 351 21 reduces reduce VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 351 22 life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 351 23 expectancy expectancy NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 351 24 much much RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 351 25 more more JJR cord-293140-lp3l4iap 351 26 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 352 1 Second second RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 352 2 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 352 3 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 352 4 outbreak outbreak NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 352 5 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 352 6 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 352 7 Spanish spanish JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 352 8 flu flu NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 352 9 occurred occur VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 352 10 at at IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 352 11 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 352 12 same same JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 352 13 time time NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 352 14 as as IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 352 15 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 352 16 First First NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 352 17 World World NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 352 18 War War NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 352 19 when when WRB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 352 20 no no DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 352 21 public public JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 352 22 health health NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 352 23 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 352 24 preventive preventive JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 352 25 measures measure NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 352 26 were be VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 352 27 implemented implement VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 352 28 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 353 1 Finally finally RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 353 2 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 353 3 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 353 4 medical medical JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 353 5 technology technology NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 353 6 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 353 7 knowledge knowledge NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 353 8 was be VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 353 9 much much RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 353 10 less less RBR cord-293140-lp3l4iap 353 11 advanced advanced JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 353 12 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 353 13 with with IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 353 14 penicillin penicillin NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 353 15 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 353 16 other other JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 353 17 crucial crucial JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 353 18 pharmaceutical pharmaceutical NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 353 19 products product NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 353 20 not not RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 353 21 yet yet RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 353 22 being be VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 353 23 available available JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 353 24 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 354 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 354 2 thus thus RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 354 3 can can MD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 354 4 be be VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 354 5 said say VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 354 6 that that IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 354 7 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 354 8 years year NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 354 9 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 354 10 life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 354 11 lost lose VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 354 12 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 354 13 Bergamo Bergamo NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 354 14 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 354 15 Brescia Brescia NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 354 16 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 354 17 although although IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 354 18 not not RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 354 19 at at IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 354 20 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 354 21 level level NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 354 22 achieved achieve VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 354 23 after after IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 354 24 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 354 25 Spanish spanish JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 354 26 flu flu NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 354 27 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 354 28 are be VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 354 29 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 354 30 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 354 31 substantial substantial JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 354 32 scale scale NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 354 33 given give VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 354 34 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 354 35 much much RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 354 36 more more RBR cord-293140-lp3l4iap 354 37 advanced advanced JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 354 38 medical medical JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 354 39 technology technology NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 354 40 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 354 41 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 354 42 absence absence NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 354 43 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 354 44 war war NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 354 45 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 354 46 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 354 47 present present JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 354 48 day day NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 354 49 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 355 1 Note note VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 355 2 that that IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 355 3 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 355 4 analysis analysis NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 355 5 focuses focus VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 355 6 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 355 7 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 355 8 local local JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 355 9 context context NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 355 10 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 356 1 Given give VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 356 2 that that IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 356 3 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 356 4 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 356 5 outbreaks outbreak NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 356 6 are be VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 356 7 geographically geographically RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 356 8 concentrated concentrated JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 356 9 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 356 10 looking look VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 356 11 at at IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 356 12 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 356 13 country country NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 356 14 level level NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 356 15 life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 356 16 expectancy expectancy NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 356 17 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 356 18 misleading mislead VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 356 19 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 356 20 underestimates underestimate VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 356 21 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 356 22 actual actual JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 356 23 impact impact NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 356 24 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 356 25 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 356 26 pandemic pandemic NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 356 27 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 357 1 Indeed indeed RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 357 2 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 357 3 from from IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 357 4 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 357 5 results result NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 357 6 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 357 7 it -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 357 8 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 357 9 fair fair JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 357 10 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 357 11 conclude conclude VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 357 12 that that IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 357 13 this this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 357 14 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 357 15 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 357 16 lifetime lifetime NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 357 17 unprecedented unprecedented JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 357 18 shock shock NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 357 19 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 357 20 most most JJS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 357 21 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 357 22 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 357 23 residents resident NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 357 24 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 357 25 Bergamo Bergamo NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 357 26 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 357 27 Brescia Brescia NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 357 28 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 358 1 The the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 358 2 main main JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 358 3 limitation limitation NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 358 4 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 358 5 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 358 6 present present JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 358 7 study study NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 358 8 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 358 9 related relate VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 358 10 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 358 11 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 358 12 limited limited JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 358 13 coverage coverage NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 358 14 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 358 15 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 358 16 death death NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 358 17 registrations registration NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 358 18 data datum NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 358 19 used use VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 358 20 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 358 21 both both CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 358 22 geographically geographically RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 358 23 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 358 24 temporally temporally RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 358 25 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 359 1 All all PDT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 359 2 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 359 3 information information NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 359 4 provided provide VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 359 5 here here RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 359 6 has have VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 359 7 been be VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 359 8 retrieved retrieve VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 359 9 from from IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 359 10 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 359 11 number number NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 359 12 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 359 13 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 359 14 most most RBS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 359 15 affected affected JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 359 16 municipalities municipality NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 359 17 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 359 18 Bergamo Bergamo NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 359 19 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 359 20 Brescia Brescia NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 359 21 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 360 1 So so RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 360 2 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 360 3 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 360 4 estimation estimation NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 360 5 represents represent VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 360 6 an an DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 360 7 attempt attempt NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 360 8 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 360 9 describe describe VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 360 10 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 360 11 measure measure VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 360 12 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 360 13 human human JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 360 14 cost cost NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 360 15 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 360 16 COVID-19 covid-19 NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 360 17 among among IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 360 18 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 360 19 populations population NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 360 20 that that WDT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 360 21 were be VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 360 22 hit hit VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 360 23 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 360 24 hardest hard JJS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 360 25 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 360 26 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 360 27 country country NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 360 28 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 361 1 This this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 361 2 study study NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 361 3 does do VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 361 4 not not RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 361 5 represent represent VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 361 6 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 361 7 experiences experience NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 361 8 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 361 9 Italy Italy NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 361 10 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 361 11 Lombardy Lombardy NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 361 12 region region NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 361 13 but but CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 361 14 also also RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 361 15 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 361 16 choice choice NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 361 17 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 361 18 we -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 361 19 intend intend VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 361 20 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 361 21 investigate investigate VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 361 22 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 361 23 impact impact NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 361 24 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 361 25 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 361 26 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 361 27 human human JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 361 28 life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 361 29 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 361 30 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 361 31 areas area NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 361 32 where where WRB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 361 33 little little JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 361 34 containment containment NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 361 35 interventions intervention NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 361 36 were be VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 361 37 put put VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 361 38 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 361 39 place place NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 361 40 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 362 1 From from IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 362 2 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 362 3 point point NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 362 4 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 362 5 view view NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 362 6 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 362 7 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 362 8 timing timing NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 362 9 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 362 10 we -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 362 11 have have VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 362 12 enough enough JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 362 13 information information NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 362 14 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 362 15 actually actually RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 362 16 picture picture VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 362 17 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 362 18 entire entire JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 362 19 evolution evolution NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 362 20 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 362 21 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 362 22 epidemic epidemic NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 362 23 wave wave NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 362 24 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 363 1 However however RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 363 2 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 363 3 when when WRB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 363 4 it -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 363 5 comes come VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 363 6 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 363 7 life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 363 8 expectancy expectancy NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 363 9 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 363 10 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 363 11 year year NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 363 12 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 363 13 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 363 14 we -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 363 15 need need VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 363 16 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 363 17 rely rely VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 363 18 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 363 19 harvesting harvest VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 363 20 assumptions assumption NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 363 21 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 363 22 we -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 363 23 exclude exclude VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 363 24 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 363 25 possible possible JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 363 26 negative negative JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 363 27 impact impact NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 363 28 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 363 29 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 363 30 present present JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 363 31 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 363 32 future future JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 363 33 lockdown lockdown NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 363 34 policies policy NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 363 35 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 363 36 global global JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 363 37 economic economic JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 363 38 recessions recession NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 363 39 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 363 40 health health NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 363 41 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 363 42 human human JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 363 43 life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 363 44 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 364 1 In in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 364 2 this this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 364 3 sense sense NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 364 4 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 364 5 this this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 364 6 paper paper NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 364 7 only only RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 364 8 focuses focus VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 364 9 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 364 10 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 364 11 direct direct JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 364 12 impact impact NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 364 13 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 364 14 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 364 15 pandemic pandemic NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 364 16 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 364 17 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 364 18 if if IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 364 19 anything anything NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 364 20 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 364 21 may may MD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 364 22 underestimate underestimate VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 364 23 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 364 24 years year NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 364 25 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 364 26 life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 364 27 lost lose VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 364 28 due due IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 364 29 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 364 30 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 364 31 COVID-19 covid-19 NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 364 32 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 365 1 Nevertheless nevertheless RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 365 2 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 365 3 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 365 4 timing timing NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 365 5 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 365 6 this this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 365 7 paper paper NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 365 8 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 365 9 also also RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 365 10 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 365 11 strength strength NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 365 12 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 366 1 Indeed indeed RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 366 2 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 366 3 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 366 4 present present JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 366 5 analysis analysis NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 366 6 represents represent VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 366 7 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 366 8 first first JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 366 9 attempt attempt NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 366 10 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 366 11 provide provide VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 366 12 an an DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 366 13 evidence evidence NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 366 14 - - HYPH cord-293140-lp3l4iap 366 15 based base VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 366 16 assessment assessment NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 366 17 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 366 18 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 366 19 human human JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 366 20 life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 366 21 impact impact NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 366 22 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 366 23 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 366 24 frontline frontline JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 366 25 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 366 26 outbreak outbreak NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 366 27 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 367 1 In in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 367 2 doing do VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 367 3 so so RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 367 4 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 367 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 367 6 raise raise VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 367 7 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 367 8 warning warning NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 367 9 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 367 10 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 367 11 scientific scientific JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 367 12 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 367 13 public public JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 367 14 health health NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 367 15 community community NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 367 16 around around IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 367 17 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 367 18 world world NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 367 19 : : : cord-293140-lp3l4iap 367 20 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 367 21 epidemic epidemic NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 367 22 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 367 23 when when WRB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 367 24 undetected undetected JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 367 25 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 367 26 not not RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 367 27 contained contain VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 367 28 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 367 29 can can MD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 367 30 easily easily RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 367 31 get get VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 367 32 out out IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 367 33 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 367 34 control control NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 367 35 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 367 36 cause cause VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 367 37 relevant relevant JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 367 38 social social JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 367 39 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 367 40 human human JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 367 41 consequences consequence NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 367 42 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 368 1 In in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 368 2 defining define VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 368 3 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 368 4 lockdown lockdown NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 368 5 strategies strategy NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 368 6 governments government NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 368 7 should should MD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 368 8 balance balance VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 368 9 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 368 10 costs cost NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 368 11 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 368 12 limiting limit VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 368 13 social social JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 368 14 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 368 15 economic economic JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 368 16 activities activity NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 368 17 with with IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 368 18 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 368 19 human human JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 368 20 costs cost NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 368 21 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 368 22 possible possible JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 368 23 epidemic epidemic NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 368 24 waves wave NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 368 25 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 369 1 Vulnerable vulnerable JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 369 2 populations population NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 369 3 should should MD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 369 4 be be VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 369 5 protected protect VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 369 6 with with IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 369 7 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 369 8 particular particular JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 369 9 attention attention NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 369 10 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 369 11 constant constant JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 369 12 monitoring monitoring NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 369 13 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 369 14 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 369 15 epidemic epidemic NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 369 16 progression progression NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 369 17 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 370 1 This this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 370 2 should should MD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 370 3 be be VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 370 4 given give VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 370 5 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 370 6 priority priority NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 370 7 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 370 8 order order NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 370 9 not not RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 370 10 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 370 11 get get VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 370 12 caught catch VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 370 13 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 370 14 surprise surprise NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 370 15 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 370 16 devastating devastating JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 370 17 epidemic epidemic NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 370 18 waves wave NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 370 19 like like IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 370 20 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 370 21 ones one NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 370 22 experienced experience VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 370 23 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 370 24 Bergamo Bergamo NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 370 25 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 370 26 Brescia Brescia NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 370 27 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 371 1 Human human JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 371 2 life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 371 3 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 371 4 itself -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 371 5 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 371 6 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 371 7 solid solid JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 371 8 indicator indicator NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 371 9 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 371 10 human human JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 371 11 development development NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 371 12 because because IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 371 13 it -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 371 14 represents represent VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 371 15 health health NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 371 16 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 371 17 wellbeing wellbeing NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 371 18 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 371 19 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 371 20 population population NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 371 21 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 371 22 which which WDT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 371 23 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 371 24 one one CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 371 25 key key JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 371 26 priority priority NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 371 27 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 371 28 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 371 29 Sustainable Sustainable NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 371 30 Development Development NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 371 31 Goals Goals NNPS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 371 32 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 372 1 So so RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 372 2 many many JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 372 3 years year NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 372 4 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 372 5 life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 372 6 lost lose VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 372 7 due due IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 372 8 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 372 9 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 372 10 pandemic pandemic NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 372 11 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 372 12 worrying worry VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 372 13 since since IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 372 14 it -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 372 15 sets set VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 372 16 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 372 17 affected affected JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 372 18 areas area NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 372 19 back back RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 372 20 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 372 21 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 372 22 level level NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 372 23 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 372 24 human human JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 372 25 development development NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 372 26 20 20 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 372 27 years year NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 372 28 ago ago RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 372 29 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 373 1 As as IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 373 2 shown show VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 373 3 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 373 4 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 373 5 case case NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 373 6 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 373 7 Bergamo Bergamo NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 373 8 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 373 9 Brescia Brescia NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 373 10 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 373 11 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 373 12 cost cost NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 373 13 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 373 14 human human JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 373 15 life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 373 16 from from IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 373 17 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 373 18 delay delay NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 373 19 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 373 20 public public JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 373 21 interventions intervention NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 373 22 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 373 23 reduce reduce VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 373 24 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 373 25 virus virus NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 373 26 transmission transmission NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 373 27 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 373 28 disturbingly disturbingly RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 373 29 high high JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 373 30 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 374 1 Amidst amidst IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 374 2 countries country NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 374 3 ' ' POS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 374 4 preparation preparation NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 374 5 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 374 6 ease ease VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 374 7 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 374 8 lockdown lockdown NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 374 9 restrictions restriction NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 374 10 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 374 11 social social JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 374 12 distancing distancing NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 374 13 measures measure NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 374 14 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 374 15 it -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 374 16 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 374 17 important important JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 374 18 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 374 19 keep keep VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 374 20 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 374 21 mind mind NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 374 22 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 374 23 conceivable conceivable JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 374 24 risk risk NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 374 25 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 374 26 viral viral JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 374 27 reintroduction reintroduction NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 374 28 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 374 29 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 374 30 potential potential JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 374 31 direct direct JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 374 32 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 374 33 indirect indirect JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 374 34 cost cost NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 374 35 it -PRON- PRP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 374 36 can can MD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 374 37 pose pose VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 374 38 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 374 39 human human JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 374 40 life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 374 41 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 375 1 Well well RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 375 2 - - HYPH cord-293140-lp3l4iap 375 3 planned plan VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 375 4 government government NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 375 5 measures measure NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 375 6 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 375 7 prevent prevent VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 375 8 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 375 9 second second JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 375 10 wave wave NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 375 11 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 375 12 infections infection NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 375 13 along along IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 375 14 with with IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 375 15 public public JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 375 16 collaboration collaboration NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 375 17 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 375 18 keeping keep VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 375 19 physical physical JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 375 20 distancing distancing NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 375 21 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 375 22 practicing practice VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 375 23 proper proper JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 375 24 hygiene hygiene NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 375 25 until until IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 375 26 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 375 27 vaccine vaccine NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 375 28 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 375 29 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 375 30 novel novel JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 375 31 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 375 32 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 375 33 available available JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 375 34 are be VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 375 35 key key JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 375 36 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 375 37 achieve achieve VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 375 38 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 375 39 balance balance NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 375 40 between between IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 375 41 health health NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 375 42 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 375 43 economic economic JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 375 44 protection protection NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 375 45 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 376 1 The the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 376 2 maps map NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 376 3 plot plot VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 376 4 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 376 5 % % NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 376 6 change change NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 376 7 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 376 8 total total JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 376 9 number number NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 376 10 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 376 11 deaths death NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 376 12 recorded record VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 376 13 between between IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 376 14 Jan Jan NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 376 15 1-Apr 1-Apr NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 376 16 4 4 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 376 17 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 376 18 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 376 19 with with IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 376 20 respect respect NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 376 21 to to IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 376 22 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 376 23 2015 2015 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 376 24 - - SYM cord-293140-lp3l4iap 376 25 2019 2019 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 376 26 average average NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 376 27 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 377 1 All all DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 377 2 rights right NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 377 3 reserved reserve VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 377 4 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 378 1 No no DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 378 2 reuse reuse NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 378 3 allowed allow VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 378 4 without without IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 378 5 permission permission NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 378 6 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 379 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 379 2 which which WDT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 379 3 was be VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 379 4 not not RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 379 5 certified certify VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 379 6 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 379 7 peer peer NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 379 8 review review NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 379 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 379 10 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 379 11 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 379 12 author author NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 379 13 / / SYM cord-293140-lp3l4iap 379 14 funder funder NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 379 15 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 379 16 who who WP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 379 17 has have VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 379 18 granted grant VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 379 19 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 379 20 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 379 21 license license NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 379 22 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 379 23 display display VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 379 24 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 379 25 preprint preprint NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 379 26 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 379 27 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 379 28 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 380 1 The the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 380 2 copyright copyright NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 380 3 holder holder NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 380 4 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 380 5 this this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 380 6 preprint preprint NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 380 7 this this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 380 8 version version NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 380 9 posted post VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 380 10 May May NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 380 11 5 5 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 380 12 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 380 13 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 380 14 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 380 15 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 381 1 https://doi.org/10 https://doi.org/10 NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 381 2 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 382 1 1101/2020.04.29.20084335 1101/2020.04.29.20084335 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 382 2 doi doi NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 382 3 : : : cord-293140-lp3l4iap 383 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 383 2 preprint preprint NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 383 3 Figure figure NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 384 1 A2a a2a NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 384 2 : : : cord-293140-lp3l4iap 385 1 Cumulative cumulative JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 385 2 deaths death NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 386 1 -Men -Men NFP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 387 1 All all DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 387 2 rights right NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 387 3 reserved reserve VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 387 4 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 388 1 No no DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 388 2 reuse reuse NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 388 3 allowed allow VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 388 4 without without IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 388 5 permission permission NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 388 6 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 389 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 389 2 which which WDT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 389 3 was be VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 389 4 not not RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 389 5 certified certify VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 389 6 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 389 7 peer peer NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 389 8 review review NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 389 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 389 10 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 389 11 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 389 12 author author NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 389 13 / / SYM cord-293140-lp3l4iap 389 14 funder funder NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 389 15 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 389 16 who who WP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 389 17 has have VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 389 18 granted grant VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 389 19 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 389 20 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 389 21 license license NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 389 22 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 389 23 display display VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 389 24 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 389 25 preprint preprint NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 389 26 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 389 27 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 389 28 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 390 1 The the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 390 2 copyright copyright NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 390 3 holder holder NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 390 4 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 390 5 this this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 390 6 preprint preprint NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 390 7 this this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 390 8 version version NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 390 9 posted post VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 390 10 May May NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 390 11 5 5 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 390 12 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 390 13 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 390 14 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 390 15 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 391 1 https://doi.org/10 https://doi.org/10 NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 391 2 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 392 1 1101/2020.04.29.20084335 1101/2020.04.29.20084335 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 392 2 doi doi NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 392 3 : : : cord-293140-lp3l4iap 393 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 393 2 preprint preprint NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 393 3 Figure figure NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 394 1 A2b a2b NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 394 2 : : : cord-293140-lp3l4iap 395 1 Cumulative cumulative JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 395 2 deaths death NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 395 3 -Women -Women . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 395 4 All all DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 395 5 rights right NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 395 6 reserved reserve VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 395 7 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 396 1 No no DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 396 2 reuse reuse NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 396 3 allowed allow VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 396 4 without without IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 396 5 permission permission NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 396 6 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 397 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 397 2 which which WDT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 397 3 was be VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 397 4 not not RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 397 5 certified certify VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 397 6 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 397 7 peer peer NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 397 8 review review NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 397 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 397 10 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 397 11 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 397 12 author author NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 397 13 / / SYM cord-293140-lp3l4iap 397 14 funder funder NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 397 15 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 397 16 who who WP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 397 17 has have VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 397 18 granted grant VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 397 19 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 397 20 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 397 21 license license NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 397 22 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 397 23 display display VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 397 24 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 397 25 preprint preprint NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 397 26 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 397 27 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 397 28 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 398 1 The the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 398 2 copyright copyright NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 398 3 holder holder NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 398 4 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 398 5 this this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 398 6 preprint preprint NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 398 7 this this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 398 8 version version NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 398 9 posted post VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 398 10 May May NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 398 11 5 5 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 398 12 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 398 13 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 398 14 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 398 15 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 399 1 https://doi.org/10 https://doi.org/10 NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 399 2 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 400 1 1101 1101 LS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 400 2 All all DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 400 3 rights right NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 400 4 reserved reserve VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 400 5 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 401 1 No no DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 401 2 reuse reuse NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 401 3 allowed allow VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 401 4 without without IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 401 5 permission permission NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 401 6 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 402 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 402 2 which which WDT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 402 3 was be VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 402 4 not not RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 402 5 certified certify VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 402 6 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 402 7 peer peer NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 402 8 review review NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 402 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 402 10 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 402 11 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 402 12 author author NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 402 13 / / SYM cord-293140-lp3l4iap 402 14 funder funder NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 402 15 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 402 16 who who WP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 402 17 has have VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 402 18 granted grant VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 402 19 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 402 20 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 402 21 license license NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 402 22 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 402 23 display display VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 402 24 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 402 25 preprint preprint NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 402 26 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 402 27 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 402 28 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 403 1 The the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 403 2 copyright copyright NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 403 3 holder holder NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 403 4 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 403 5 this this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 403 6 preprint preprint NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 403 7 this this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 403 8 version version NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 403 9 posted post VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 403 10 May May NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 403 11 5 5 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 403 12 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 403 13 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 403 14 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 403 15 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 404 1 https://doi.org/10 https://doi.org/10 NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 404 2 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 405 1 1101 1101 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 405 2 _SP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 405 3 Spreadsheet Spreadsheet NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 405 4 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 405 5 calculation calculation NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 405 6 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 405 7 confidence confidence NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 405 8 limits limit NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 405 9 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 405 10 any any DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 405 11 life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 405 12 table table NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 405 13 or or CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 405 14 healthy healthy JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 405 15 - - HYPH cord-293140-lp3l4iap 405 16 life life NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 405 17 table table NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 405 18 quantity quantity NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 405 19 Measuring Measuring NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 405 20 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 405 21 Explaining explain VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 405 22 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 405 23 Change change NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 405 24 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 405 25 Life Life NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 405 26 Expectancies expectancy NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 405 27 Severe severe JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 405 28 Outcomes Outcomes NNPS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 405 29 Among among IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 405 30 Patients patient NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 405 31 with with IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 405 32 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 405 33 Disease Disease NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 405 34 2019 2019 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 406 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 406 2 COVID-19 covid-19 VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 406 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 406 4 -United -unite VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 406 5 States state NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 407 1 The the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 407 2 early early JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 407 3 phase phase NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 407 4 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 407 5 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 407 6 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 407 7 outbreak outbreak NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 407 8 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 407 9 The the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 407 10 Life Life NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 407 11 Table Table NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 407 12 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 407 13 Its -PRON- PRP$ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 407 14 Applications Applications NNPS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 407 15 Mortality Mortality NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 407 16 associated associate VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 407 17 with with IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 407 18 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 407 19 outbreaks outbreak NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 407 20 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 407 21 care care NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 407 22 homes home NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 407 23 : : : cord-293140-lp3l4iap 407 24 early early JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 407 25 international international JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 407 26 evidence evidence NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 407 27 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 408 1 International International NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 408 2 Long Long NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 408 3 Term Term NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 408 4 Care Care NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 408 5 Policy Policy NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 408 6 Network Network NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 408 7 Demographic Demographic NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 408 8 science science NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 408 9 aids aid NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 408 10 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 408 11 understanding understand VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 408 12 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 408 13 spread spread NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 408 14 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 408 15 fatality fatality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 408 16 rates rate NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 408 17 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 408 18 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 408 19 No no DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 408 20 reuse reuse NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 408 21 allowed allow VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 408 22 without without IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 408 23 permission permission NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 408 24 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 409 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 409 2 which which WDT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 409 3 was be VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 409 4 not not RB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 409 5 certified certify VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 409 6 by by IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 409 7 peer peer NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 409 8 review review NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 409 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 409 10 is be VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 409 11 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 409 12 author author NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 409 13 / / SYM cord-293140-lp3l4iap 409 14 funder funder NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 409 15 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 409 16 who who WP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 409 17 has have VBZ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 409 18 granted grant VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 409 19 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 409 20 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 409 21 license license NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 409 22 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 409 23 display display VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 409 24 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 409 25 preprint preprint NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 409 26 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 409 27 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 409 28 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 410 1 The the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 410 2 copyright copyright NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 410 3 holder holder NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 410 4 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 410 5 this this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 410 6 preprint preprint NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 410 7 this this DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 410 8 version version NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 410 9 posted post VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 410 10 Monitoring monitor VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 410 11 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 410 12 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 410 13 epidemic epidemic NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 410 14 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 410 15 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 410 16 context context NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 410 17 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 410 18 widespread widespread JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 410 19 local local JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 410 20 transmission transmission NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 410 21 A a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 410 22 Simple simple JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 410 23 Measure measure NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 410 24 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 410 25 Human Human NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 410 26 Development Development NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 410 27 : : : cord-293140-lp3l4iap 410 28 The the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 410 29 Human Human NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 410 30 Life Life NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 410 31 Indicator Indicator NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 410 32 Case Case NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 410 33 fatality fatality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 410 34 rate rate NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 410 35 analysis analysis NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 410 36 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 410 37 Italian italian JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 410 38 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 410 39 outbreak outbreak NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 410 40 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 410 41 sex sex NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 410 42 - - HYPH cord-293140-lp3l4iap 410 43 disaggregated disaggregate VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 410 44 data datum NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 410 45 tracker tracker NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 410 46 Epidemiological Epidemiological NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 410 47 Characteristics Characteristics NNPS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 410 48 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 410 49 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 410 50 Clustering Clustering NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 410 51 Nature Nature NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 410 52 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 410 53 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 410 54 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 410 55 Qingdao Qingdao NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 410 56 City City NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 410 57 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 410 58 2020 2020 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 410 59 : : : cord-293140-lp3l4iap 411 1 A a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 411 2 Descriptive Descriptive NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 411 3 Analysis Analysis NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 411 4 Cross Cross NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 411 5 - - HYPH cord-293140-lp3l4iap 411 6 Country Country NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 411 7 Comparison Comparison NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 411 8 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 411 9 Case Case NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 411 10 Fatality Fatality NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 411 11 Rates Rates NNPS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 411 12 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 411 13 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 411 14 / / SYM cord-293140-lp3l4iap 411 15 SARS SARS NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 411 16 - - HYPH cord-293140-lp3l4iap 411 17 COV-2 COV-2 NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 411 18 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 412 1 Osong Osong NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 412 2 Public Public NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 412 3 Health Health NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 412 4 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 412 5 Research Research NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 412 6 Perspectives Perspectives NNPS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 412 7 Total total VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 412 8 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 412 9 cause cause NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 412 10 - - HYPH cord-293140-lp3l4iap 412 11 specific specific JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 412 12 mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 412 13 before before IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 412 14 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 412 15 after after IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 412 16 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 412 17 onset onset NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 412 18 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 412 19 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 412 20 Greek greek JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 412 21 economic economic JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 412 22 crisis crisis NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 413 1 : : : cord-293140-lp3l4iap 413 2 an an DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 413 3 interrupted interrupted JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 413 4 time time NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 413 5 - - HYPH cord-293140-lp3l4iap 413 6 series series NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 413 7 analysis analysis NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 414 1 « « '' cord-293140-lp3l4iap 415 1 Il Il NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 415 2 virus virus NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 415 3 già già NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 415 4 qui qui FW cord-293140-lp3l4iap 415 5 da da FW cord-293140-lp3l4iap 415 6 gennaio gennaio NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 415 7 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 415 8 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 415 9 incognito incognito FW cord-293140-lp3l4iap 415 10 » » `` cord-293140-lp3l4iap 415 11 I i NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 415 12 dati dati VBP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 415 13 di di FW cord-293140-lp3l4iap 415 14 uno uno NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 415 15 studio studio NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 415 16 : : : cord-293140-lp3l4iap 415 17 primo primo NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 415 18 caso caso FW cord-293140-lp3l4iap 415 19 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 415 20 Curno Curno NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 415 21 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 416 1 L'Eco L'Eco NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 416 2 di di NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 416 3 Bergamo Bergamo NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 417 1 COVID-19 covid-19 VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 417 2 : : : cord-293140-lp3l4iap 417 3 a a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 417 4 need need NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 417 5 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 417 6 real real JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 417 7 - - HYPH cord-293140-lp3l4iap 417 8 time time NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 417 9 monitoring monitoring NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 417 10 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 417 11 weekly weekly JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 417 12 excess excess JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 417 13 deaths death NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 417 14 Clinical clinical JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 417 15 characteristics characteristic NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 417 16 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 417 17 older old JJR cord-293140-lp3l4iap 417 18 patients patient NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 417 19 infected infect VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 417 20 with with IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 417 21 COVID-19 covid-19 NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 417 22 : : : cord-293140-lp3l4iap 418 1 A a DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 418 2 descriptive descriptive JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 418 3 study study NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 419 1 The the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 419 2 1918 1918 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 419 3 Influenza Influenza NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 419 4 Epidemic Epidemic NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 419 5 's 's POS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 419 6 Effects effect NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 419 7 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 419 8 Sex sex NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 419 9 Differentials differential NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 419 10 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 419 11 Mortality mortality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 419 12 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 419 13 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 419 14 United United NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 419 15 States States NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 420 1 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 420 2 deaths death NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 420 3 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 420 4 Lombardy Lombardy NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 420 5 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 420 6 Italy Italy NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 420 7 : : : cord-293140-lp3l4iap 420 8 data datum NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 420 9 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 420 10 context context NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 420 11 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 421 1 The the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 421 2 Lancet Lancet NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 421 3 Public Public NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 421 4 Health Health NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 421 5 Case Case NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 421 6 - - HYPH cord-293140-lp3l4iap 421 7 Fatality fatality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 421 8 Rate rate NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 421 9 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 421 10 Characteristics characteristic NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 421 11 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 421 12 Patients patient NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 421 13 Dying die VBG cord-293140-lp3l4iap 421 14 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 421 15 Relation Relation NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 421 16 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 421 17 COVID-19 covid-19 VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 421 18 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 421 19 Italy Italy NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 421 20 Similarity Similarity NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 421 21 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 421 22 Case Case NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 421 23 Fatality fatality NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 421 24 Rates Rates NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 421 25 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 421 26 CFR CFR NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 421 27 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 421 28 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 421 29 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 421 30 / / SYM cord-293140-lp3l4iap 421 31 SARS SARS NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 421 32 - - HYPH cord-293140-lp3l4iap 421 33 COV-2 COV-2 NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 421 34 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 421 35 Italy Italy NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 421 36 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 422 1 China China NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 422 2 Italy Italy NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 422 3 's 's POS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 422 4 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 422 5 epidemic epidemic NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 422 6 began begin VBD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 422 7 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 422 8 January January NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 422 9 , , , cord-293140-lp3l4iap 422 10 study study NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 422 11 shows show NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 422 12 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 423 1 Reuters Reuters NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 423 2 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 423 3 Disease Disease NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 423 4 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 423 5 COVID-19 covid-19 VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 423 6 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 423 7 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 423 8 Our -PRON- PRP$ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 423 9 World World NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 423 10 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 423 11 Data Data NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 423 12 Mortality Mortality NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 423 13 as as IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 423 14 an an DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 423 15 indicator indicator NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 423 16 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 423 17 economic economic JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 423 18 success success NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 423 19 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 423 20 failure failure NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 423 21 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 423 22 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 423 23 Italy Italy NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 423 24 : : : cord-293140-lp3l4iap 423 25 impact impact NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 423 26 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 423 27 containment containment NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 423 28 measures measure NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 423 29 and and CC cord-293140-lp3l4iap 423 30 prevalence prevalence NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 423 31 estimates estimate NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 423 32 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 423 33 infection infection NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 423 34 in in IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 423 35 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 423 36 general general JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 423 37 population population NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 423 38 Review Review NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 423 39 of of IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 423 40 the the DT cord-293140-lp3l4iap 423 41 2019 2019 CD cord-293140-lp3l4iap 423 42 novel novel NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 423 43 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 423 44 ( ( -LRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 423 45 SARS SARS NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 423 46 - - HYPH cord-293140-lp3l4iap 423 47 CoV-2 CoV-2 NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 423 48 ) ) -RRB- cord-293140-lp3l4iap 423 49 based base VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 423 50 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 423 51 current current JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 423 52 evidence evidence NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 423 53 Laboratory Laboratory NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 423 54 testing testing NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 423 55 strategy strategy NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 423 56 recommendations recommendation NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 423 57 for for IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 423 58 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 423 59 . . . cord-293140-lp3l4iap 423 60 Geneva Geneva NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 423 61 : : : cord-293140-lp3l4iap 424 1 World World NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 424 2 Health Health NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 424 3 Organization Organization NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 425 1 Many many JJ cord-293140-lp3l4iap 425 2 failures failure NNS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 425 3 combined combine VBN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 425 4 to to TO cord-293140-lp3l4iap 425 5 unleash unleash VB cord-293140-lp3l4iap 425 6 death death NN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 425 7 on on IN cord-293140-lp3l4iap 425 8 Italy Italy NNP cord-293140-lp3l4iap 425 9 's 's POS cord-293140-lp3l4iap 425 10 Lombardy Lombardy NNP