id sid tid token lemma pos cord-288304-80bn2wgd 1 1 key key NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 1 2 : : : cord-288304-80bn2wgd 2 1 cord-288304 cord-288304 NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 2 2 - - HYPH cord-288304-80bn2wgd 2 3 80bn2wgd 80bn2wgd CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 2 4 authors author NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 2 5 : : : cord-288304-80bn2wgd 2 6 Sun Sun NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 2 7 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 2 8 Y. Y. NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 2 9 ; ; : cord-288304-80bn2wgd 2 10 Sun Sun NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 2 11 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 2 12 J. J. NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 2 13 title title NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 2 14 : : : cord-288304-80bn2wgd 3 1 The the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 3 2 effect effect NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 3 3 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 3 4 non non JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 3 5 - - JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 3 6 pharmaceutical pharmaceutical JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 3 7 interventions intervention NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 3 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 3 9 NPIs NPIs NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 3 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 3 11 on on IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 3 12 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 3 13 spread spread NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 3 14 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 3 15 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 3 16 pandemic pandemic NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 3 17 in in IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 3 18 Japan Japan NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 3 19 : : : cord-288304-80bn2wgd 3 20 A a DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 3 21 modeling modeling NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 3 22 study study NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 3 23 date date NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 3 24 : : : cord-288304-80bn2wgd 3 25 2020 2020 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 3 26 - - HYPH cord-288304-80bn2wgd 3 27 05 05 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 3 28 - - HYPH cord-288304-80bn2wgd 3 29 23 23 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 3 30 journal journal NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 3 31 : : : cord-288304-80bn2wgd 4 1 nan nan NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 4 2 DOI DOI NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 4 3 : : : cord-288304-80bn2wgd 5 1 10.1101/2020.05.22.20109660 10.1101/2020.05.22.20109660 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 5 2 sha sha NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 5 3 : : : cord-288304-80bn2wgd 5 4 c676aeddbec74ae3fadeeedcfcff34c69d5170b7 c676aeddbec74ae3fadeeedcfcff34c69d5170b7 NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 5 5 doc_id doc_id NNPS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 5 6 : : : cord-288304-80bn2wgd 5 7 288304 288304 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 5 8 cord_uid cord_uid NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 5 9 : : : cord-288304-80bn2wgd 5 10 80bn2wgd 80bn2wgd CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 5 11 Non non JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 5 12 - - JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 5 13 pharmaceutical pharmaceutical JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 5 14 interventions intervention NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 5 15 ( ( -LRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 5 16 NPIs NPIs NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 5 17 ) ) -RRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 5 18 are be VBP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 5 19 founded found VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 5 20 to to TO cord-288304-80bn2wgd 5 21 be be VB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 5 22 effective effective JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 5 23 to to TO cord-288304-80bn2wgd 5 24 delay delay VB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 5 25 epidemic epidemic NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 5 26 spread spread NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 5 27 and and CC cord-288304-80bn2wgd 5 28 to to TO cord-288304-80bn2wgd 5 29 reduce reduce VB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 5 30 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 5 31 number number NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 5 32 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 5 33 patients patient NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 5 34 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 6 1 Moderate moderate JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 6 2 NPIs npi NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 6 3 took take VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 6 4 in in RP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 6 5 Japan Japan NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 6 6 seemed seem VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 6 7 to to TO cord-288304-80bn2wgd 6 8 have have VB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 6 9 reduced reduce VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 6 10 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 6 11 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 6 12 patients patient NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 6 13 and and CC cord-288304-80bn2wgd 6 14 to to TO cord-288304-80bn2wgd 6 15 lower lower VB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 6 16 death death NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 6 17 rates rate NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 6 18 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 6 19 thus thus RB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 6 20 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 6 21 effects effect NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 6 22 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 6 23 those those DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 6 24 NPIs npi NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 6 25 are be VBP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 6 26 worthy worthy JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 6 27 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 6 28 investigation investigation NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 6 29 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 7 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 7 2 used use VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 7 3 open open JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 7 4 source source NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 7 5 data datum NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 7 6 and and CC cord-288304-80bn2wgd 7 7 divided divide VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 7 8 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 7 9 data datum NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 7 10 into into IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 7 11 three three CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 7 12 periods period NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 7 13 : : : cord-288304-80bn2wgd 7 14 Jan Jan NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 7 15 22 22 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 7 16 to to IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 7 17 Feb Feb NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 7 18 25 25 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 7 19 ( ( -LRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 7 20 Period period NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 7 21 I I NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 7 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 7 23 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 7 24 Feb Feb NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 7 25 26 26 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 7 26 to to IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 7 27 Apr Apr NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 7 28 6 6 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 7 29 ( ( -LRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 7 30 Period Period NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 7 31 II II NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 7 32 ) ) -RRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 7 33 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 7 34 and and CC cord-288304-80bn2wgd 7 35 Apr Apr NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 7 36 7 7 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 7 37 to to IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 7 38 May May NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 7 39 14 14 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 7 40 ( ( -LRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 7 41 Period Period NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 7 42 III iii CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 7 43 ) ) -RRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 7 44 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 8 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 8 2 developed develop VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 8 3 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 8 4 SIRD SIRD NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 8 5 model model NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 8 6 and and CC cord-288304-80bn2wgd 8 7 applied apply VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 8 8 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 8 9 Monte Monte NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 8 10 Carlo Carlo NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 8 11 Simulation Simulation NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 8 12 to to TO cord-288304-80bn2wgd 8 13 estimate estimate VB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 8 14 a a DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 8 15 combination combination NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 8 16 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 8 17 optimal optimal JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 8 18 results result NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 8 19 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 8 20 including include VBG cord-288304-80bn2wgd 8 21 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 8 22 peak peak NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 8 23 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 8 24 infected infected JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 8 25 cases case NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 8 26 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 8 27 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 8 28 peak peak NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 8 29 date date NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 8 30 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 8 31 and and CC cord-288304-80bn2wgd 8 32 R0 R0 NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 8 33 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 9 1 For for IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 9 2 Period Period NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 9 3 I -PRON- PRP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 9 4 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 9 5 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 9 6 estimated estimate VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 9 7 peak peak NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 9 8 infected infect VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 9 9 cases case NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 9 10 were be VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 9 11 smaller small JJR cord-288304-80bn2wgd 9 12 than than IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 9 13 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 9 14 observed observed JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 9 15 ones one NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 9 16 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 9 17 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 9 18 peak peak NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 9 19 date date NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 9 20 was be VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 9 21 earlier early JJR cord-288304-80bn2wgd 9 22 than than IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 9 23 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 9 24 observed observed JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 9 25 one one CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 9 26 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 9 27 and and CC cord-288304-80bn2wgd 9 28 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 9 29 R0 R0 NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 9 30 was be VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 9 31 about about RB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 9 32 4.66 4.66 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 9 33 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 10 1 For for IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 10 2 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 10 3 other other JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 10 4 two two CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 10 5 periods period NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 10 6 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 10 7 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 10 8 estimated estimate VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 10 9 cases case NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 10 10 were be VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 10 11 more more JJR cord-288304-80bn2wgd 10 12 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 10 13 and and CC cord-288304-80bn2wgd 10 14 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 10 15 peak peak NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 10 16 dates date NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 10 17 were be VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 10 18 earlier early JJR cord-288304-80bn2wgd 10 19 than than IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 10 20 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 10 21 observed observed JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 10 22 ones one NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 10 23 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 11 1 The the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 11 2 R0 R0 NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 11 3 was be VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 11 4 2.50 2.50 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 11 5 in in IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 11 6 Period Period NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 11 7 II II NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 11 8 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 11 9 and and CC cord-288304-80bn2wgd 11 10 1.79 1.79 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 11 11 in in IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 11 12 Period Period NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 11 13 III III NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 11 14 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 12 1 NPIs NPIs NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 12 2 took take VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 12 3 in in RP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 12 4 Japan Japan NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 13 1 might may MD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 13 2 have have VB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 13 3 reduced reduce VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 13 4 more more JJR cord-288304-80bn2wgd 13 5 than than IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 13 6 50 50 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 13 7 % % NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 13 8 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 13 9 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 13 10 daily daily JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 13 11 contacts contact NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 13 12 per per IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 13 13 people people NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 13 14 compared compare VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 13 15 to to IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 13 16 that that DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 13 17 before before IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 13 18 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 13 19 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 14 1 Owing owe VBG cord-288304-80bn2wgd 14 2 to to IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 14 3 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 14 4 effects effect NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 14 5 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 14 6 NPIs npi NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 14 7 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 14 8 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 14 9 Japanese japanese JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 14 10 society society NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 14 11 had have VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 14 12 avoided avoid VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 14 13 collapse collapse NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 14 14 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 14 15 medical medical JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 14 16 service service NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 14 17 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 15 1 Nevertheless nevertheless RB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 15 2 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 15 3 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 15 4 capacity capacity NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 15 5 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 15 6 daily daily JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 15 7 RT RT NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 15 8 - - HYPH cord-288304-80bn2wgd 15 9 PCR PCR NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 15 10 may may MD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 15 11 have have VB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 15 12 restricted restrict VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 15 13 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 15 14 reported report VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 15 15 confirmed confirm VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 15 16 cases case NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 15 17 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 16 1 ܴ ܴ VB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 16 2 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 17 1 For for IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 17 2 Period Period NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 17 3 I -PRON- PRP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 17 4 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 17 5 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 17 6 estimated estimate VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 17 7 peak peak NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 17 8 infected infect VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 17 9 cases case NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 17 10 were be VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 17 11 smaller small JJR cord-288304-80bn2wgd 17 12 than than IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 17 13 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 17 14 observed observed JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 17 15 ones one NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 17 16 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 17 17 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 17 18 peak peak NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 17 19 date date NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 17 20 was be VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 17 21 earlier early JJR cord-288304-80bn2wgd 17 22 than than IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 17 23 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 17 24 observed observed JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 17 25 one one CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 17 26 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 17 27 and and CC cord-288304-80bn2wgd 17 28 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 17 29 ܴ ܴ NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 17 30 was be VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 17 31 about about RB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 17 32 4.66 4.66 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 17 33 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 18 1 For for IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 18 2 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 18 3 other other JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 18 4 two two CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 18 5 periods period NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 18 6 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 18 7 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 18 8 estimated estimate VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 18 9 cases case NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 18 10 were be VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 18 11 more more JJR cord-288304-80bn2wgd 18 12 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 18 13 and and CC cord-288304-80bn2wgd 18 14 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 18 15 peak peak NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 18 16 dates date NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 18 17 were be VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 18 18 earlier early JJR cord-288304-80bn2wgd 18 19 than than IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 18 20 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 18 21 observed observed JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 18 22 ones one NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 18 23 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 19 1 The the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 19 2 14 14 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 19 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 19 4 Period Period NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 19 5 III iii CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 19 6 ) ) -RRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 19 7 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 20 1 The the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 20 2 Japanese japanese JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 20 3 government government NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 20 4 gradually gradually RB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 20 5 enforced enforce VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 20 6 more more RBR cord-288304-80bn2wgd 20 7 rigorous rigorous JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 20 8 countermeasure countermeasure NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 20 9 for for IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 20 10 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 20 11 containment containment NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 20 12 through through IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 20 13 these these DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 20 14 three three CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 20 15 periods period NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 20 16 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 21 1 For for IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 21 2 instance instance NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 21 3 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 21 4 on on IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 21 5 Feb Feb NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 21 6 26 26 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 21 7 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 21 8 large large JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 21 9 - - HYPH cord-288304-80bn2wgd 21 10 scale scale NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 21 11 sports sport NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 21 12 and and CC cord-288304-80bn2wgd 21 13 entertainment entertainment NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 21 14 events event NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 21 15 were be VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 21 16 canceled cancel VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 21 17 throughout throughout IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 21 18 Japan Japan NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 21 19 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 21 20 and and CC cord-288304-80bn2wgd 21 21 organizers organizer NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 21 22 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 21 23 small small JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 21 24 - - HYPH cord-288304-80bn2wgd 21 25 scale scale NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 21 26 events event NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 21 27 were be VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 21 28 advised advise VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 21 29 to to TO cord-288304-80bn2wgd 21 30 voluntarily voluntarily RB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 21 31 cancel cancel VB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 21 32 events event NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 21 33 ( ( -LRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 21 34 Prime Prime NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 21 35 Minister Minister NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 21 36 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 21 37 Japan Japan NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 21 38 and and CC cord-288304-80bn2wgd 21 39 His -PRON- PRP$ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 21 40 Cabinet Cabinet NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 21 41 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 21 42 2020b 2020b CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 21 43 ) ) -RRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 21 44 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 22 1 On on IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 22 2 Apr Apr NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 22 3 7 7 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 22 4 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 22 5 emergency emergency NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 22 6 declaration declaration NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 22 7 was be VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 22 8 first first RB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 22 9 declared declare VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 22 10 to to IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 22 11 seven seven CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 22 12 prefectures prefecture NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 22 13 by by IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 22 14 Prime Prime NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 22 15 Minister Minister NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 22 16 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 22 17 Japan Japan NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 22 18 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 22 19 and and CC cord-288304-80bn2wgd 22 20 were be VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 22 21 gradually gradually RB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 22 22 declared declare VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 22 23 to to IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 22 24 other other JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 22 25 prefectures prefecture NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 22 26 ( ( -LRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 22 27 Figure figure NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 22 28 1 1 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 22 29 ) ) -RRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 22 30 ( ( -LRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 22 31 Prime Prime NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 22 32 Minister Minister NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 22 33 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 22 34 Japan Japan NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 22 35 and and CC cord-288304-80bn2wgd 22 36 His -PRON- PRP$ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 22 37 Cabinet Cabinet NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 22 38 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 22 39 2020b 2020b CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 22 40 ) ) -RRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 22 41 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 22 42 _SP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 23 1 To to TO cord-288304-80bn2wgd 23 2 illustrate illustrate VB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 23 3 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 23 4 effects effect NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 23 5 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 23 6 NPIs npi NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 23 7 on on IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 23 8 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 23 9 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 23 10 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 23 11 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 23 12 epidemic epidemic NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 23 13 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 23 14 we -PRON- PRP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 23 15 developed develop VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 23 16 a a DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 23 17 simple simple JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 23 18 Susceptible susceptible JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 23 19 - - HYPH cord-288304-80bn2wgd 23 20 Infectious infectious JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 23 21 - - HYPH cord-288304-80bn2wgd 23 22 Recovered recover VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 23 23 - - HYPH cord-288304-80bn2wgd 23 24 Deceased deceased JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 23 25 ( ( -LRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 23 26 SIRD SIRD NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 23 27 ) ) -RRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 23 28 Model Model NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 23 29 ( ( -LRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 23 30 Osemwinyen Osemwinyen NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 23 31 & & CC cord-288304-80bn2wgd 23 32 Diakhaby Diakhaby NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 23 33 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 23 34 2015 2015 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 23 35 ) ) -RRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 23 36 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 23 37 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 23 38 transmission transmission NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 23 39 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 24 1 This this DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 24 2 model model NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 24 3 assumes assume VBZ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 24 4 that that IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 24 5 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 24 6 total total JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 24 7 population population NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 24 8 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 24 9 reference reference NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 24 10 is be VBZ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 24 11 constant constant JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 24 12 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 25 1 The the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 25 2 population population NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 25 3 is be VBZ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 25 4 divided divide VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 25 5 into into IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 25 6 several several JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 25 7 different different JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 25 8 compartments compartment NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 25 9 ( ( -LRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 25 10 i.e. i.e. FW cord-288304-80bn2wgd 25 11 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 25 12 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 25 13 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 25 14 infective infective JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 25 15 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 25 16 recovered recover VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 25 17 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 25 18 deceased deceased JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 25 19 ) ) -RRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 25 20 and and CC cord-288304-80bn2wgd 25 21 specify specify VB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 25 22 how how WRB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 25 23 agents agent NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 25 24 move move VBP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 25 25 across across IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 25 26 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 25 27 separate separate JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 25 28 compartments compartment NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 25 29 over over IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 25 30 time time NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 25 31 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 26 1 The the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 26 2 model model NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 26 3 assumes assume VBZ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 26 4 that that IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 26 5 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 26 6 individuals individual NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 26 7 can can MD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 26 8 become become VB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 26 9 infectious infectious JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 26 10 after after IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 26 11 contact contact NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 26 12 with with IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 26 13 an an DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 26 14 infectious infectious JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 26 15 individual individual NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 26 16 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 26 17 and and CC cord-288304-80bn2wgd 26 18 recovered recover VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 26 19 individuals individual NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 26 20 can can MD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 26 21 not not RB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 26 22 be be VB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 26 23 re re VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 26 24 - - VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 26 25 infected infected JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 26 26 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 27 1 The the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 27 2 SIRD SIRD NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 27 3 model model NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 27 4 uses use VBZ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 27 5 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 27 6 following follow VBG cord-288304-80bn2wgd 27 7 system system NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 27 8 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 27 9 differential differential JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 27 10 equations equation NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 27 11 : : : cord-288304-80bn2wgd 27 12 2 2 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 27 13 _SP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 27 14 8 8 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 27 15 _SP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 27 16 3 3 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 27 17 _SP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 27 18 0 0 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 27 19 _SP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 27 20 1 1 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 27 21 _SP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 27 22 3 3 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 27 23 _SP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 27 24 5 5 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 27 25 _SP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 27 26 7 7 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 27 27 _SP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 27 28 9 9 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 27 29 _SP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 27 30 1 1 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 27 31 _SP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 27 32 1 1 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 27 33 _SP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 27 34 1 1 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 27 35 _SP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 27 36 3 3 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 27 37 _SP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 27 38 1 1 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 27 39 _SP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 27 40 5 5 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 27 41 _SP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 28 1 1 1 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 28 2 _SP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 28 3 7 7 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 28 4 _SP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 29 1 1 1 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 29 2 _SP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 30 1 9 9 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 30 2 _SP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 31 1 2 2 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 31 2 _SP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 32 1 1 1 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 32 2 _SP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 33 1 2 2 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 33 2 _SP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 34 1 3 3 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 34 2 _SP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 35 1 2 2 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 35 2 _SP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 36 1 5 5 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 36 2 _SP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 37 1 2 2 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 37 2 _SP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 37 3 7 7 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 37 4 _SP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 38 1 2 2 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 38 2 _SP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 39 1 9 9 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 39 2 _SP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 40 1 2 2 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 40 2 _SP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 41 1 4 4 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 41 2 _SP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 42 1 6 6 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 42 2 _SP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 43 1 8 8 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 43 2 _SP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 44 1 1 1 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 44 2 _SP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 44 3 0 0 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 44 4 _SP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 45 1 1 1 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 45 2 _SP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 46 1 2 2 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 46 2 _SP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 47 1 1 1 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 47 2 _SP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 48 1 4 4 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 48 2 _SP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 49 1 1 1 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 49 2 _SP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 49 3 6 6 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 49 4 _SP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 50 1 1 1 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 50 2 _SP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 50 3 8 8 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 50 4 _SP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 51 1 2 2 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 51 2 _SP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 51 3 0 0 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 51 4 _SP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 52 1 2 2 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 52 2 _SP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 53 1 2 2 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 53 2 _SP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 54 1 2 2 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 54 2 _SP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 54 3 4 4 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 54 4 _SP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 55 1 2 2 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 55 2 _SP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 55 3 6 6 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 55 4 _SP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 56 1 2 2 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 56 2 _SP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 57 1 8 8 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 57 2 _SP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 58 1 3 3 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 58 2 _SP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 58 3 0 0 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 58 4 _SP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 59 1 1 1 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 59 2 _SP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 60 1 3 3 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 60 2 _SP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 61 1 5 5 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 61 2 _SP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 62 1 7 7 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 62 2 _SP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 63 1 9 9 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 63 2 _SP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 64 1 1 1 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 64 2 _SP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 65 1 1 1 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 65 2 _SP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 66 1 1 1 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 66 2 _SP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 67 1 3 3 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 67 2 _SP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 68 1 1 1 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 68 2 _SP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 68 3 5 5 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 68 4 _SP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 69 1 1 1 LS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 69 2 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 70 1 CC CC NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 70 2 - - HYPH cord-288304-80bn2wgd 70 3 BY BY NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 70 4 - - HYPH cord-288304-80bn2wgd 70 5 ND ND NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 70 6 4.0 4.0 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 70 7 International international JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 70 8 license license NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 71 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 71 2 is be VBZ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 71 3 made make VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 71 4 available available JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 71 5 under under IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 71 6 a a DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 72 1 is be VBZ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 72 2 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 72 3 author author NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 72 4 / / SYM cord-288304-80bn2wgd 72 5 funder funder NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 72 6 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 72 7 who who WP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 72 8 has have VBZ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 72 9 granted grant VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 72 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 72 11 a a DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 72 12 license license NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 72 13 to to TO cord-288304-80bn2wgd 72 14 display display VB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 72 15 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 72 16 preprint preprint NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 72 17 in in IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 72 18 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 72 19 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 73 1 The the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 73 2 copyright copyright NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 73 3 holder holder NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 73 4 for for IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 73 5 this this DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 73 6 preprint preprint NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 73 7 this this DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 73 8 version version NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 73 9 posted post VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 73 10 May May NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 73 11 23 23 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 73 12 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 73 13 2020 2020 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 73 14 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 74 1 are be VBP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 74 2 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 74 3 rates rate NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 74 4 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 74 5 infection infection NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 74 6 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 74 7 recovery recovery NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 74 8 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 74 9 and and CC cord-288304-80bn2wgd 74 10 mortality mortality NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 74 11 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 74 12 respectively respectively RB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 74 13 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 75 1 In in IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 75 2 addition addition NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 75 3 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 75 4 a a DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 75 5 key key JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 75 6 parameter parameter NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 75 7 regulating regulate VBG cord-288304-80bn2wgd 75 8 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 75 9 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 75 10 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 75 11 an an DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 75 12 epidemic epidemic NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 75 13 is be VBZ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 75 14 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 75 15 basic basic JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 75 16 reproduction reproduction NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 75 17 number number NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 75 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 75 19 ܴ ܴ NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 75 20 ) ) -RRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 75 21 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 75 22 which which WDT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 75 23 correspondes correspond VBZ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 75 24 to to IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 75 25 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 75 26 average average JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 75 27 number number NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 75 28 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 75 29 secondary secondary JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 75 30 cases case NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 75 31 generated generate VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 75 32 by by IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 75 33 an an DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 75 34 index index NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 75 35 case case NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 75 36 in in IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 75 37 a a DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 75 38 fully fully RB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 75 39 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 75 40 population population NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 75 41 ( ( -LRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 75 42 Zhang Zhang NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 75 43 et et NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 75 44 al al NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 75 45 . . NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 75 46 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 75 47 2020 2020 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 75 48 ) ) -RRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 75 49 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 76 1 Using use VBG cord-288304-80bn2wgd 76 2 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 76 3 SIRD SIRD NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 76 4 model model NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 76 5 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 76 6 we -PRON- PRP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 76 7 calculated calculate VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 76 8 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 76 9 peak peak NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 76 10 number number NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 76 11 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 76 12 existing exist VBG cord-288304-80bn2wgd 76 13 infected infected JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 76 14 cases case NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 76 15 and and CC cord-288304-80bn2wgd 76 16 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 76 17 peak peak NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 76 18 date date NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 76 19 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 77 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 77 2 compared compare VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 77 3 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 77 4 differences difference NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 77 5 between between IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 77 6 estimated estimate VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 77 7 results result NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 77 8 and and CC cord-288304-80bn2wgd 77 9 official official JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 77 10 reports report NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 77 11 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 77 12 in in IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 77 13 order order NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 77 14 to to TO cord-288304-80bn2wgd 77 15 estimate estimate VB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 77 16 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 77 17 effects effect NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 77 18 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 77 19 NPIs npi NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 77 20 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 1 According accord VBG cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 2 to to IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 3 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 4 basis basis NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 5 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 6 plausible plausible JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 7 ranges range NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 8 from from IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 9 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 10 recent recent JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 11 reports report NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 12 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 13 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 14 data datum NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 15 ( ( -LRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 16 Bhatraju Bhatraju NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 17 et et NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 18 al al NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 19 . . NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 20 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 21 2020 2020 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 22 ; ; : cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 23 Geleris Geleris NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 24 et et NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 25 al al NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 26 . . NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 27 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 28 2020 2020 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 29 ; ; : cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 30 Guan Guan NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 31 et et FW cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 32 al al NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 33 . . NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 34 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 35 2020 2020 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 36 ; ; : cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 37 Li Li NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 38 et et NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 39 al al NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 40 . . NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 41 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 42 2020 2020 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 43 ; ; : cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 44 Mehra Mehra NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 45 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 46 Desai Desai NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 47 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 48 Kuy Kuy NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 49 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 50 Henry Henry NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 51 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 52 & & CC cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 53 Patel Patel NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 54 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 55 2020 2020 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 56 ; ; : cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 57 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 58 we -PRON- PRP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 59 consider consider VBP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 60 that that IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 61 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 62 average average JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 63 incubation incubation NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 64 period period NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 65 ranges range VBZ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 66 from from IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 67 2 2 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 68 to to TO cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 69 14 14 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 70 days day NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 71 ( ( -LRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 72 ߚ ߚ NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 73 = = SYM cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 74 1/14 1/14 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 75 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 76 1/2 1/2 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 77 ] ] -RRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 78 ) ) -RRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 79 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 80 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 81 recovery recovery NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 82 period period NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 83 ranges range VBZ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 84 from from IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 85 7 7 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 86 to to TO cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 87 28 28 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 78 88 days day NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 79 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 79 2 ߛ ߛ NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 79 3 = = SYM cord-288304-80bn2wgd 80 1 [ [ -LRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 80 2 1/28 1/28 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 80 3 -1/7 -1/7 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 80 4 ] ] -RRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 80 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 80 6 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 80 7 and and CC cord-288304-80bn2wgd 80 8 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 80 9 deceased deceased JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 80 10 period period NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 80 11 ranges range VBZ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 80 12 from from IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 80 13 14 14 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 80 14 to to TO cord-288304-80bn2wgd 80 15 60 60 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 80 16 days day NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 80 17 ( ( -LRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 80 18 ߤ ߤ NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 80 19 = = NFP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 81 1 [ [ -LRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 81 2 1/60 1/60 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 81 3 -1/14 -1/14 NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 81 4 ] ] -RRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 81 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 81 6 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 82 1 For for IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 82 2 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 82 3 N N NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 82 4 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 82 5 which which WDT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 82 6 is be VBZ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 82 7 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 82 8 total total JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 82 9 population population NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 82 10 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 82 11 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 82 12 people people NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 82 13 who who WP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 82 14 may may MD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 82 15 be be VB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 82 16 exposed expose VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 82 17 to to IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 82 18 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 82 19 virus virus NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 82 20 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 82 21 was be VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 82 22 assumed assume VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 82 23 to to TO cord-288304-80bn2wgd 82 24 range range VB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 82 25 between between IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 82 26 a a DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 82 27 baseline baseline JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 82 28 value value NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 82 29 and and CC cord-288304-80bn2wgd 82 30 a a DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 82 31 maximum maximum JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 82 32 value value NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 82 33 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 83 1 The the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 83 2 baseline baseline JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 83 3 value value NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 83 4 equals equal VBZ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 83 5 to to IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 83 6 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 83 7 number number NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 83 8 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 83 9 people people NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 83 10 who who WP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 83 11 received receive VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 83 12 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 83 13 reverse reverse JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 83 14 transcription transcription NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 83 15 polymerase polymerase NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 83 16 chain chain NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 83 17 reaction reaction NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 83 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 83 19 RT RT NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 83 20 - - HYPH cord-288304-80bn2wgd 83 21 PCR PCR NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 83 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 83 23 test test NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 83 24 in in IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 83 25 Japan Japan NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 83 26 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 84 1 The the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 84 2 maximum maximum JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 84 3 value value NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 84 4 equals equal VBZ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 84 5 to to IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 84 6 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 84 7 product product NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 84 8 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 84 9 " " `` cord-288304-80bn2wgd 84 10 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 84 11 baseline baseline JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 84 12 value value NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 84 13 * * NFP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 84 14 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 84 15 average average JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 84 16 daily daily JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 84 17 number number NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 84 18 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 84 19 contacts contact NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 84 20 per per IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 84 21 Japanese japanese JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 84 22 people people NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 84 23 " " '' cord-288304-80bn2wgd 84 24 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 85 1 For for IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 85 2 Period period NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 85 3 I -PRON- PRP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 85 4 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 85 5 no no DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 85 6 rigorous rigorous JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 85 7 measures measure NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 85 8 were be VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 85 9 taken take VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 85 10 to to TO cord-288304-80bn2wgd 85 11 prevent prevent VB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 85 12 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 85 13 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 86 1 Most Most JJS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 86 2 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 86 3 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 86 4 laboratory laboratory NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 86 5 - - HYPH cord-288304-80bn2wgd 86 6 confirmed confirm VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 86 7 cases case NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 86 8 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 86 9 COVID-19 COVID-19 , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 86 10 were be VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 86 11 reported report VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 86 12 in in IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 86 13 large large JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 86 14 cities city NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 86 15 such such JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 86 16 as as IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 86 17 Tokyo Tokyo NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 86 18 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 86 19 Yokohama Yokohama NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 86 20 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 86 21 and and CC cord-288304-80bn2wgd 86 22 Kyoto Kyoto NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 86 23 ( ( -LRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 86 24 Japan Japan NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 86 25 Ministry Ministry NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 86 26 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 86 27 Health Health NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 86 28 Labour Labour NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 86 29 and and CC cord-288304-80bn2wgd 86 30 Welfare Welfare NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 86 31 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 86 32 2020 2020 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 86 33 ) ) -RRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 86 34 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 87 1 Thus thus RB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 87 2 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 87 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 87 4 assume assume VBP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 87 5 that that IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 87 6 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 87 7 daily daily JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 87 8 contacts contact NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 87 9 per per IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 87 10 people people NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 87 11 in in IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 87 12 Japan Japan NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 87 13 is be VBZ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 87 14 18.8 18.8 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 87 15 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 87 16 which which WDT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 87 17 is be VBZ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 87 18 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 87 19 same same JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 87 20 as as IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 87 21 that that DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 87 22 reported report VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 87 23 in in IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 87 24 Shanghai Shanghai NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 87 25 ( ( -LRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 87 26 Zhang Zhang NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 87 27 et et NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 87 28 al al NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 87 29 . . NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 87 30 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 87 31 2020 2020 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 87 32 ) ) -RRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 87 33 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 88 1 The the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 88 2 total total JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 88 3 number number NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 88 4 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 88 5 people people NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 88 6 who who WP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 88 7 received receive VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 88 8 RT RT NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 88 9 - - HYPH cord-288304-80bn2wgd 88 10 PCR PCR NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 88 11 was be VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 88 12 1,846 1,846 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 88 13 until until IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 88 14 Feb Feb NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 88 15 25 25 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 88 16 ( ( -LRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 88 17 Japan Japan NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 88 18 Ministry Ministry NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 88 19 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 88 20 Health Health NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 88 21 Labour Labour NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 88 22 and and CC cord-288304-80bn2wgd 88 23 Welfare Welfare NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 88 24 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 88 25 2020 2020 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 88 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 88 27 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 89 1 Hence hence RB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 89 2 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 89 3 For for IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 89 4 Period Period NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 89 5 II II NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 89 6 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 89 7 voluntary voluntary JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 89 8 event event NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 89 9 cancellation cancellation NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 89 10 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 89 11 school school NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 89 12 and and CC cord-288304-80bn2wgd 89 13 workplace workplace NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 89 14 closures closure NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 89 15 were be VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 89 16 carried carry VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 89 17 out out RP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 89 18 throughout throughout IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 89 19 Japan Japan NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 89 20 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 90 1 The the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 90 2 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 90 3 epidemic epidemic NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 90 4 has have VBZ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 90 5 already already RB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 90 6 gradually gradually RB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 90 7 spread spread VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 90 8 to to IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 90 9 small small JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 90 10 cities city NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 90 11 and and CC cord-288304-80bn2wgd 90 12 towns town NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 90 13 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 91 1 Thus thus RB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 91 2 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 91 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 91 4 assume assume VBP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 91 5 that that IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 91 6 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 91 7 daily daily JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 91 8 contacts contact NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 91 9 per per IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 91 10 people people NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 91 11 in in IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 91 12 Japan Japan NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 91 13 is be VBZ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 91 14 18.8 18.8 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 91 15 * * NFP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 91 16 0.7 0.7 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 91 17 * * NFP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 91 18 0.5 0.5 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 91 19 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 92 1 The the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 92 2 coefficient coefficient NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 92 3 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 92 4 " " `` cord-288304-80bn2wgd 92 5 0.7 0.7 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 92 6 " " '' cord-288304-80bn2wgd 92 7 means mean VBZ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 92 8 that that IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 92 9 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 92 10 Japanese japanese JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 92 11 daily daily JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 92 12 contacts contact NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 92 13 are be VBP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 92 14 about about RB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 92 15 70 70 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 92 16 % % NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 92 17 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 92 18 that that DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 92 19 in in IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 92 20 Shanghai Shanghai NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 92 21 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 92 22 and and CC cord-288304-80bn2wgd 92 23 " " `` cord-288304-80bn2wgd 92 24 0.5 0.5 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 92 25 " " '' cord-288304-80bn2wgd 92 26 means mean VBZ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 92 27 that that IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 92 28 NPIs npi NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 92 29 have have VBP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 92 30 reduced reduce VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 92 31 50 50 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 92 32 % % NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 92 33 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 92 34 daily daily JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 92 35 contacts contact NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 92 36 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 93 1 The the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 93 2 total total JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 93 3 number number NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 93 4 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 93 5 people people NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 93 6 who who WP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 93 7 received receive VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 93 8 RT RT NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 93 9 - - HYPH cord-288304-80bn2wgd 93 10 PCR PCR NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 93 11 was be VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 93 12 46,172 46,172 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 93 13 until until IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 93 14 Apr Apr NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 93 15 6 6 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 93 16 ( ( -LRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 93 17 Japan Japan NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 93 18 Ministry Ministry NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 93 19 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 93 20 Health Health NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 93 21 Labour Labour NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 93 22 and and CC cord-288304-80bn2wgd 93 23 Welfare Welfare NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 93 24 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 93 25 2020 2020 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 93 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 93 27 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 1 Hence hence RB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 2 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 3 For for IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 4 Period Period NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 5 III III NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 6 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 7 emergency emergency NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 8 declaration declaration NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 9 was be VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 10 declared declare VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 11 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 12 and and CC cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 13 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 14 Japanese japanese JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 15 government government NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 16 aimed aim VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 17 to to TO cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 18 reduce reduce VB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 19 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 20 daily daily JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 21 contacts contact NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 22 per per IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 23 people people NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 24 to to IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 25 20 20 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 26 % % NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 27 compared compare VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 28 to to IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 29 that that DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 30 before before IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 31 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 32 ( ( -LRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 33 Prime Prime NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 34 Minister Minister NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 35 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 36 Japan Japan NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 37 and and CC cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 38 His -PRON- PRP$ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 39 Cabinet Cabinet NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 40 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 41 2020a 2020a NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 42 CC cc NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 43 - - HYPH cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 44 BY BY NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 45 - - HYPH cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 46 ND ND NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 47 4.0 4.0 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 48 International international JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 49 license license NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 50 It -PRON- PRP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 51 is be VBZ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 52 made make VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 53 available available JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 54 under under IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 55 a a DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 56 is be VBZ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 57 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 58 author author NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 59 / / SYM cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 60 funder funder NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 61 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 62 who who WP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 63 has have VBZ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 64 granted grant VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 65 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 66 a a DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 67 license license NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 68 to to TO cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 69 display display VB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 70 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 71 preprint preprint NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 72 in in IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 73 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 94 74 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 95 1 The the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 95 2 copyright copyright NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 95 3 holder holder NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 95 4 for for IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 95 5 this this DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 95 6 preprint preprint NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 95 7 this this DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 95 8 version version NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 95 9 posted post VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 95 10 May May NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 95 11 23 23 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 95 12 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 95 13 2020 2020 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 95 14 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 95 15 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 96 1 https://doi.org/10 https://doi.org/10 NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 96 2 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 97 1 1101 1101 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 97 2 learning learn VBG cord-288304-80bn2wgd 97 3 to to TO cord-288304-80bn2wgd 97 4 produce produce VB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 97 5 a a DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 97 6 bevy bevy NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 97 7 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 97 8 results result NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 97 9 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 97 10 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 97 11 and and CC cord-288304-80bn2wgd 97 12 N. n. NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 98 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 98 2 extracted extract VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 98 3 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 98 4 optimal optimal JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 98 5 combination combination NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 98 6 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 98 7 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 98 8 and and CC cord-288304-80bn2wgd 98 9 N n CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 98 10 from from IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 98 11 10 10 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 98 12 groups group NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 98 13 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 98 14 simulations simulation NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 98 15 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 99 1 For for IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 99 2 each each DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 99 3 simulation simulation NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 99 4 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 99 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 99 6 produced produce VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 99 7 50,000 50,000 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 99 8 cases case NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 99 9 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 99 10 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 99 11 SIRD SIRD NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 99 12 model model NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 99 13 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 100 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 100 2 wrote write VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 100 3 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 100 4 code code NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 100 5 package package NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 100 6 and and CC cord-288304-80bn2wgd 100 7 run run VB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 100 8 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 100 9 simulation simulation NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 100 10 by by IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 100 11 Python Python NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 100 12 3.8 3.8 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 100 13 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 101 1 Based base VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 101 2 on on IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 101 3 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 101 4 official official JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 101 5 reports report NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 101 6 ( ( -LRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 101 7 JHU JHU NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 101 8 CSSE CSSE NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 101 9 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 101 10 2020 2020 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 101 11 ) ) -RRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 101 12 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 101 13 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 101 14 distribution distribution NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 101 15 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 101 16 total total JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 101 17 confirmed confirm VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 101 18 cases case NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 101 19 and and CC cord-288304-80bn2wgd 101 20 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 101 21 existing exist VBG cord-288304-80bn2wgd 101 22 infected infected JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 101 23 cases case NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 101 24 were be VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 101 25 shown show VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 101 26 in in IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 101 27 Figure figure NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 101 28 2 2 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 101 29 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 102 1 The the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 102 2 optimal optimal JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 102 3 results result NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 102 4 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 102 5 is be VBZ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 102 6 3.94 3.94 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 102 7 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 102 8 is be VBZ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 102 9 7.05 7.05 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 102 10 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 102 11 is be VBZ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 102 12 37.4 37.4 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 102 13 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 102 14 and and CC cord-288304-80bn2wgd 102 15 N n NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 102 16 is be VBZ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 102 17 270,897 270,897 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 102 18 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 103 1 The the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 103 2 is be VBZ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 103 3 1.79 1.79 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 103 4 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 104 1 Based base VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 104 2 on on IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 104 3 these these DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 104 4 optimal optimal JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 104 5 results result NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 104 6 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 104 7 we -PRON- PRP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 104 8 produced produce VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 104 9 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 104 10 estimated estimate VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 104 11 number number NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 104 12 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 104 13 existing exist VBG cord-288304-80bn2wgd 104 14 infected infected JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 104 15 cases case NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 104 16 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 104 17 shown show VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 104 18 in in IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 104 19 Figure Figure NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 104 20 _SP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 104 21 3 3 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 104 22 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 105 1 Our -PRON- PRP$ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 105 2 simulation simulation NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 105 3 results result NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 105 4 displayed display VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 105 5 that that IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 105 6 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 105 7 estimated estimate VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 105 8 peak peak NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 105 9 number number NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 105 10 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 105 11 existing exist VBG cord-288304-80bn2wgd 105 12 infected infected JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 105 13 cases case NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 105 14 would would MD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 105 15 be be VB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 105 16 17,344 17,344 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 105 17 on on IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 105 18 May May NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 105 19 26 26 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 105 20 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 106 1 However however RB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 106 2 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 106 3 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 106 4 official official JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 106 5 reports report NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 106 6 showed show VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 106 7 that that IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 106 8 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 106 9 peak peak NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 106 10 number number NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 106 11 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 106 12 existing exist VBG cord-288304-80bn2wgd 106 13 infected infected JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 106 14 cases case NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 106 15 was be VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 106 16 11,869 11,869 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 106 17 on on IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 106 18 April April NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 106 19 27 27 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 106 20 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 107 1 These these DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 107 2 results result NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 107 3 indicated indicate VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 107 4 that that IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 107 5 1 1 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 107 6 ) ) -RRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 107 7 NPIs npi NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 107 8 took take VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 107 9 in in RP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 107 10 Japan Japan NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 107 11 might may MD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 107 12 have have VB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 107 13 reduced reduce VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 107 14 more more JJR cord-288304-80bn2wgd 107 15 than than IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 107 16 52 52 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 107 17 % % NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 107 18 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 107 19 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 107 20 average average JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 107 21 daily daily JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 107 22 number number NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 107 23 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 107 24 contacts contact NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 107 25 per per IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 107 26 people people NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 107 27 compared compare VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 107 28 to to IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 107 29 that that DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 107 30 before before IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 107 31 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 107 32 ; ; : cord-288304-80bn2wgd 107 33 and and CC cord-288304-80bn2wgd 107 34 2 2 LS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 107 35 ) ) -RRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 107 36 owing owe VBG cord-288304-80bn2wgd 107 37 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 108 1 CC CC NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 108 2 - - HYPH cord-288304-80bn2wgd 108 3 BY BY NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 108 4 - - HYPH cord-288304-80bn2wgd 108 5 ND ND NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 108 6 4.0 4.0 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 108 7 International international JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 108 8 license license NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 109 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 109 2 is be VBZ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 109 3 made make VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 109 4 available available JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 109 5 under under IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 109 6 a a DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 110 1 is be VBZ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 110 2 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 110 3 author author NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 110 4 / / SYM cord-288304-80bn2wgd 110 5 funder funder NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 110 6 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 110 7 who who WP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 110 8 has have VBZ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 110 9 granted grant VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 110 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 110 11 a a DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 110 12 license license NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 110 13 to to TO cord-288304-80bn2wgd 110 14 display display VB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 110 15 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 110 16 preprint preprint NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 110 17 in in IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 110 18 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 110 19 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 111 1 The the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 111 2 copyright copyright NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 111 3 holder holder NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 111 4 for for IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 111 5 this this DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 111 6 preprint preprint NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 111 7 this this DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 111 8 version version NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 111 9 posted post VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 111 10 May May NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 111 11 23 23 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 111 12 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 111 13 2020 2020 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 111 14 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 111 15 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 112 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020 NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 112 2 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 113 1 05.22.20109660 05.22.20109660 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 114 1 doi doi NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 114 2 : : : cord-288304-80bn2wgd 115 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 115 2 preprint preprint NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 115 3 to to IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 115 4 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 115 5 effects effect NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 115 6 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 115 7 NPIs npi NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 115 8 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 115 9 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 115 10 Japanese japanese JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 115 11 society society NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 115 12 had have VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 115 13 avoided avoid VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 115 14 collapse collapse NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 115 15 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 115 16 medical medical JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 115 17 service service NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 115 18 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 116 1 Nevertheless nevertheless RB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 116 2 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 116 3 3 3 LS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 116 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 116 5 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 116 6 capacity capacity NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 116 7 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 116 8 daily daily JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 116 9 RT RT NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 116 10 - - HYPH cord-288304-80bn2wgd 116 11 PCR PCR NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 116 12 may may MD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 116 13 have have VB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 116 14 restricted restrict VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 116 15 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 116 16 reported report VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 116 17 confirmed confirm VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 116 18 cases case NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 116 19 ; ; : cord-288304-80bn2wgd 116 20 and and CC cord-288304-80bn2wgd 116 21 4 4 LS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 116 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 116 23 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 116 24 official official JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 116 25 reports report NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 116 26 may may MD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 116 27 have have VB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 116 28 provided provide VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 116 29 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 116 30 underestimated underestimated JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 116 31 figure figure NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 116 32 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 116 33 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 116 34 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 117 1 The the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 117 2 optimal optimal JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 117 3 results result NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 117 4 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 117 5 is be VBZ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 117 6 5.41 5.41 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 117 7 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 117 8 is be VBZ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 117 9 25.22 25.22 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 117 10 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 117 11 is be VBZ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 117 12 53.66 53.66 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 117 13 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 117 14 and and CC cord-288304-80bn2wgd 117 15 N N NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 117 16 is be VBZ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 117 17 34,347 34,347 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 117 18 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 118 1 The the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 118 2 is be VBZ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 118 3 4.66 4.66 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 118 4 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 119 1 Based base VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 119 2 on on IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 119 3 these these DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 119 4 optimal optimal JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 119 5 results result NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 119 6 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 119 7 we -PRON- PRP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 119 8 produced produce VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 119 9 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 119 10 estimated estimate VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 119 11 number number NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 119 12 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 119 13 existing exist VBG cord-288304-80bn2wgd 119 14 infected infected JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 119 15 cases case NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 119 16 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 119 17 shown show VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 119 18 in in IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 119 19 Figure Figure NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 119 20 4 4 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 119 21 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 120 1 Our -PRON- PRP$ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 120 2 simulation simulation NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 120 3 results result NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 120 4 displayed display VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 120 5 that that IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 120 6 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 120 7 estimated estimate VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 120 8 peak peak NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 120 9 number number NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 120 10 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 120 11 existing exist VBG cord-288304-80bn2wgd 120 12 infected infected JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 120 13 cases case NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 120 14 would would MD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 120 15 be be VB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 120 16 11,010 11,010 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 120 17 on on IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 120 18 Apr Apr NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 120 19 15 15 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 120 20 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 121 1 Compared compare VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 121 2 to to IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 121 3 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 121 4 official official JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 121 5 reports report NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 121 6 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 121 7 which which WDT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 121 8 showed show VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 121 9 that that IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 121 10 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 121 11 peak peak NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 121 12 number number NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 121 13 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 121 14 existing exist VBG cord-288304-80bn2wgd 121 15 infected infected JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 121 16 cases case NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 121 17 was be VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 121 18 11,869 11,869 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 121 19 on on IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 121 20 April April NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 121 21 27 27 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 121 22 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 121 23 these these DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 121 24 results result NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 121 25 indicated indicate VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 121 26 that that IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 121 27 1 1 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 121 28 ) ) -RRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 121 29 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 121 30 capacity capacity NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 121 31 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 121 32 daily daily JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 121 33 RT RT NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 121 34 - - HYPH cord-288304-80bn2wgd 121 35 PCR PCR NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 121 36 obviously obviously RB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 121 37 restricted restrict VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 121 38 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 121 39 reported report VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 121 40 confirmed confirm VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 121 41 cases case NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 121 42 ; ; : cord-288304-80bn2wgd 121 43 2 2 LS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 121 44 ) ) -RRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 121 45 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 121 46 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 121 47 Period Period NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 122 1 I -PRON- PRP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 122 2 was be VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 122 3 higher high JJR cord-288304-80bn2wgd 122 4 than than IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 122 5 that that DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 122 6 reported report VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 122 7 in in IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 122 8 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 122 9 prior prior RB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 122 10 to to IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 122 11 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 122 12 lockdown lockdown NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 122 13 on on IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 122 14 23 23 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 122 15 Jan Jan NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 122 16 ( ( -LRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 122 17 Tian Tian NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 122 18 et et NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 122 19 al al NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 122 20 . . NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 122 21 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 122 22 2020 2020 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 122 23 ) ) -RRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 122 24 ; ; : cord-288304-80bn2wgd 122 25 and and CC cord-288304-80bn2wgd 122 26 3 3 LS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 122 27 ) ) -RRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 122 28 rigorous rigorous JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 122 29 countermeasures countermeasure NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 122 30 were be VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 122 31 obviously obviously RB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 122 32 required require VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 122 33 to to TO cord-288304-80bn2wgd 122 34 contain contain VB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 122 35 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 122 36 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 123 1 The the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 123 2 optimal optimal JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 123 3 results result NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 123 4 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 123 5 is be VBZ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 123 6 6.37 6.37 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 123 7 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 123 8 is be VBZ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 123 9 15.94 15.94 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 123 10 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 123 11 is be VBZ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 123 12 40.74 40.74 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 123 13 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 123 14 and and CC cord-288304-80bn2wgd 123 15 N n NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 123 16 is be VBZ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 123 17 135,262 135,262 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 123 18 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 124 1 The the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 124 2 is be VBZ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 124 3 2.50 2.50 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 124 4 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 125 1 Based base VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 125 2 on on IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 125 3 these these DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 125 4 optimal optimal JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 125 5 results result NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 125 6 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 125 7 we -PRON- PRP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 125 8 produced produce VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 125 9 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 125 10 estimated estimate VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 125 11 number number NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 125 12 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 125 13 existing exist VBG cord-288304-80bn2wgd 125 14 infected infected JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 125 15 cases case NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 125 16 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 125 17 shown show VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 125 18 in in IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 125 19 Figure Figure NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 125 20 5 5 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 125 21 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 126 1 Our -PRON- PRP$ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 126 2 simulation simulation NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 126 3 results result NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 126 4 displayed display VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 126 5 that that IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 126 6 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 126 7 estimated estimate VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 126 8 peak peak NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 126 9 number number NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 126 10 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 126 11 existing exist VBG cord-288304-80bn2wgd 126 12 infected infected JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 126 13 cases case NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 126 14 would would MD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 126 15 be be VB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 126 16 15,992 15,992 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 126 17 on on IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 126 18 May May NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 126 19 25 25 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 126 20 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 127 1 Compared compare VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 127 2 to to IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 127 3 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 127 4 official official JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 127 5 reports report NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 127 6 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 127 7 which which WDT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 127 8 showed show VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 127 9 that that IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 127 10 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 127 11 peak peak NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 127 12 number number NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 127 13 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 127 14 existing exist VBG cord-288304-80bn2wgd 127 15 infected infected JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 127 16 cases case NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 127 17 was be VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 127 18 11,869 11,869 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 127 19 on on IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 127 20 April April NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 127 21 27 27 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 127 22 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 127 23 these these DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 127 24 results result NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 127 25 indicated indicate VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 127 26 that that IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 127 27 1 1 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 127 28 ) ) -RRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 127 29 NPIs npi NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 127 30 took take VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 127 31 in in RP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 1 Period period NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 2 II ii CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 3 might may MD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 4 reduce reduce VB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 5 more more JJR cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 6 than than IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 7 50 50 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 8 % % NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 9 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 10 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 11 daily daily JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 12 contacts contact NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 13 per per IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 14 people people NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 15 compared compare VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 16 to to IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 17 that that DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 18 before before IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 19 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 20 ; ; : cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 21 2 2 LS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 23 owing owe VBG cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 24 to to IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 25 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 26 effects effect NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 27 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 28 NPIs npi NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 29 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 30 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 31 Japanese japanese JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 32 society society NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 33 had have VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 34 avoided avoid VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 35 collapse collapse NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 36 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 37 medical medical JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 38 service service NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 39 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 40 which which WDT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 41 had have VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 42 been be VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 43 seen see VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 44 in in IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 45 Italy Italy NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 46 during during IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 47 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 48 same same JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 49 period period NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 50 ( ( -LRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 51 Remuzzi Remuzzi NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 52 & & CC cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 53 Remuzzi Remuzzi NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 54 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 55 2020 2020 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 56 ) ) -RRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 57 ; ; : cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 58 3 3 LS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 59 ) ) -RRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 60 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 61 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 62 Period Period NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 63 II II NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 64 was be VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 65 close close JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 66 to to IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 67 that that DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 68 reported report VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 69 in in IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 70 China China NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 71 before before IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 72 March March NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 128 73 2020 2020 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 129 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 129 2 Chinazzi Chinazzi NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 129 3 et et NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 129 4 al al NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 129 5 . . NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 129 6 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 129 7 2020 2020 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 129 8 ) ) -RRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 129 9 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 130 1 Nevertheless nevertheless RB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 130 2 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 130 3 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 131 1 CC CC NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 131 2 - - HYPH cord-288304-80bn2wgd 131 3 BY BY NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 131 4 - - HYPH cord-288304-80bn2wgd 131 5 ND ND NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 131 6 4.0 4.0 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 131 7 International international JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 131 8 license license NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 132 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 132 2 is be VBZ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 132 3 made make VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 132 4 available available JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 132 5 under under IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 132 6 a a DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 133 1 is be VBZ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 133 2 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 133 3 author author NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 133 4 / / SYM cord-288304-80bn2wgd 133 5 funder funder NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 133 6 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 133 7 who who WP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 133 8 has have VBZ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 133 9 granted grant VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 133 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 133 11 a a DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 133 12 license license NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 133 13 to to TO cord-288304-80bn2wgd 133 14 display display VB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 133 15 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 133 16 preprint preprint NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 133 17 in in IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 133 18 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 133 19 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 134 1 The the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 134 2 copyright copyright NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 134 3 holder holder NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 134 4 for for IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 134 5 this this DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 134 6 preprint preprint NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 134 7 this this DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 134 8 version version NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 134 9 posted post VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 134 10 May May NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 134 11 23 23 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 134 12 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 134 13 2020 2020 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 134 14 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 134 15 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 135 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.22.20109660 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.22.20109660 VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 135 2 doi doi NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 135 3 : : : cord-288304-80bn2wgd 136 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 136 2 preprint preprint NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 136 3 4 4 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 136 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 137 1 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 137 2 capacity capacity NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 137 3 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 137 4 daily daily JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 137 5 RT RT NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 137 6 - - HYPH cord-288304-80bn2wgd 137 7 PCR PCR NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 137 8 may may MD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 137 9 have have VB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 137 10 restricted restrict VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 137 11 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 137 12 reported report VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 137 13 confirmed confirm VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 137 14 cases case NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 137 15 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 138 1 Figure figure NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 138 2 5 5 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 139 1 Estimated estimate VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 139 2 and and CC cord-288304-80bn2wgd 139 3 observed observed JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 139 4 number number NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 139 5 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 139 6 existing exist VBG cord-288304-80bn2wgd 139 7 infected infected JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 139 8 cases case NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 139 9 from from IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 139 10 Feb Feb NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 139 11 26 26 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 139 12 to to IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 139 13 Apr Apr NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 139 14 6 6 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 139 15 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 140 1 The the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 140 2 optimal optimal JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 140 3 results result NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 140 4 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 140 5 is be VBZ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 140 6 4.09 4.09 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 140 7 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 140 8 is be VBZ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 140 9 7.33 7.33 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 140 10 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 140 11 is be VBZ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 140 12 22.59 22.59 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 140 13 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 140 14 and and CC cord-288304-80bn2wgd 140 15 N n NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 140 16 is be VBZ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 140 17 260,156 260,156 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 140 18 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 141 1 The the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 141 2 is be VBZ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 141 3 1.79 1.79 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 141 4 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 142 1 Based base VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 142 2 on on IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 142 3 these these DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 142 4 optimal optimal JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 142 5 results result NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 142 6 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 142 7 we -PRON- PRP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 142 8 produced produce VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 142 9 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 142 10 estimated estimate VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 142 11 number number NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 142 12 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 142 13 existing exist VBG cord-288304-80bn2wgd 142 14 infected infected JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 142 15 cases case NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 142 16 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 142 17 shown show VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 142 18 in in IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 142 19 Figure Figure NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 142 20 6 6 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 142 21 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 143 1 Our -PRON- PRP$ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 143 2 simulation simulation NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 143 3 results result NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 143 4 displayed display VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 143 5 that that IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 143 6 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 143 7 estimated estimate VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 143 8 peak peak NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 143 9 number number NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 143 10 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 143 11 existing exist VBG cord-288304-80bn2wgd 143 12 infected infected JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 143 13 cases case NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 143 14 would would MD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 143 15 be be VB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 143 16 11,972 11,972 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 143 17 on on IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 143 18 May May NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 143 19 15 15 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 143 20 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 144 1 Compared compare VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 144 2 to to IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 144 3 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 144 4 official official JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 144 5 reports report NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 144 6 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 144 7 which which WDT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 144 8 showed show VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 144 9 that that IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 144 10 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 144 11 peak peak NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 144 12 number number NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 144 13 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 144 14 existing exist VBG cord-288304-80bn2wgd 144 15 infected infected JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 144 16 cases case NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 144 17 was be VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 144 18 11,869 11,869 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 144 19 on on IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 144 20 April April NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 144 21 27 27 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 144 22 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 144 23 these these DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 144 24 results result NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 144 25 indicated indicate VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 144 26 that that IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 144 27 1 1 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 144 28 ) ) -RRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 144 29 NPIs npi NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 144 30 took take VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 144 31 in in RP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 145 1 Period period NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 145 2 II ii CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 145 3 might may MD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 145 4 have have VB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 145 5 reduced reduce VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 145 6 about about RB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 145 7 80 80 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 145 8 % % NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 145 9 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 145 10 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 145 11 daily daily JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 145 12 contacts contact NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 145 13 per per IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 145 14 people people NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 145 15 compared compare VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 145 16 to to IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 145 17 that that DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 145 18 before before IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 145 19 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 145 20 ; ; : cord-288304-80bn2wgd 145 21 2 2 LS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 145 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 145 23 owing owe VBG cord-288304-80bn2wgd 145 24 to to IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 145 25 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 145 26 effects effect NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 145 27 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 145 28 NPIs npi NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 145 29 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 145 30 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 145 31 epidemic epidemic NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 145 32 transmission transmission NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 145 33 may may MD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 145 34 mainly mainly RB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 145 35 have have VB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 145 36 occurred occur VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 145 37 through through IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 145 38 family family NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 145 39 contacts contact NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 145 40 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 146 1 CC CC NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 146 2 - - HYPH cord-288304-80bn2wgd 146 3 BY BY NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 146 4 - - HYPH cord-288304-80bn2wgd 146 5 ND ND NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 146 6 4.0 4.0 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 146 7 International international JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 146 8 license license NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 147 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 147 2 is be VBZ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 147 3 made make VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 147 4 available available JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 147 5 under under IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 147 6 a a DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 148 1 is be VBZ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 148 2 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 148 3 author author NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 148 4 / / SYM cord-288304-80bn2wgd 148 5 funder funder NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 148 6 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 148 7 who who WP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 148 8 has have VBZ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 148 9 granted grant VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 148 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 148 11 a a DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 148 12 license license NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 148 13 to to TO cord-288304-80bn2wgd 148 14 display display VB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 148 15 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 148 16 preprint preprint NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 148 17 in in IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 148 18 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 148 19 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 149 1 The the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 149 2 copyright copyright NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 149 3 holder holder NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 149 4 for for IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 149 5 this this DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 149 6 preprint preprint NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 149 7 this this DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 149 8 version version NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 149 9 posted post VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 149 10 May May NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 149 11 23 23 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 149 12 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 149 13 2020 2020 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 149 14 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 149 15 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 150 1 https://doi.org/10.1101 https://doi.org/10.1101 NFP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 150 2 other other JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 150 3 than than IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 150 4 social social JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 150 5 contacts contact NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 150 6 such such JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 150 7 as as IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 150 8 workplace workplace NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 151 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 151 2 Zhang Zhang NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 151 3 et et NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 151 4 al al NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 151 5 . . NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 151 6 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 151 7 2020 2020 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 151 8 ) ) -RRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 151 9 ; ; : cord-288304-80bn2wgd 151 10 and and CC cord-288304-80bn2wgd 151 11 3 3 LS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 151 12 ) ) -RRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 152 1 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 152 2 ܴ ܴ NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 152 3 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 152 4 Period Period NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 152 5 III III NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 152 6 was be VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 152 7 close close JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 152 8 to to IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 152 9 that that DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 152 10 reported report VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 152 11 throughout throughout IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 152 12 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 152 13 entire entire JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 152 14 period period NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 152 15 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 152 16 which which WDT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 152 17 means mean VBZ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 152 18 that that IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 152 19 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 152 20 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 152 21 capacity capacity NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 152 22 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 152 23 daily daily JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 152 24 RT RT NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 152 25 - - HYPH cord-288304-80bn2wgd 152 26 PCR PCR NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 152 27 during during IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 152 28 Period Period NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 152 29 III III NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 152 30 may may MD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 152 31 have have VB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 152 32 satisfied satisfy VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 152 33 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 152 34 required require VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 152 35 numbers number NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 152 36 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 153 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 153 2 developed develop VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 153 3 an an DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 153 4 SIRD SIRD NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 153 5 model model NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 153 6 to to TO cord-288304-80bn2wgd 153 7 estimate estimate VB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 153 8 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 153 9 peak peak NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 153 10 number number NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 153 11 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 153 12 existing exist VBG cord-288304-80bn2wgd 153 13 infected infect VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 153 14 COVID-19 covid-19 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 153 15 cases case NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 153 16 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 153 17 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 153 18 peak peak NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 153 19 date date NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 153 20 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 153 21 and and CC cord-288304-80bn2wgd 153 22 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 153 23 ܴ ܴ NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 153 24 in in IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 153 25 different different JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 153 26 periods period NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 153 27 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 154 1 For for IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 154 2 an an DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 154 3 aging age VBG cord-288304-80bn2wgd 154 4 society society NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 154 5 like like IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 154 6 Japan Japan NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 154 7 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 154 8 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 154 9 most most RBS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 154 10 important important JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 154 11 prediction prediction NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 154 12 is be VBZ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 154 13 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 154 14 maximum maximum JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 154 15 number number NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 154 16 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 154 17 patients patient NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 154 18 who who WP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 154 19 will will MD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 154 20 require require VB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 154 21 medical medical JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 154 22 service service NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 154 23 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 155 1 This this DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 155 2 prediction prediction NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 155 3 is be VBZ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 155 4 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 155 5 crucial crucial JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 155 6 importance importance NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 155 7 to to TO cord-288304-80bn2wgd 155 8 design design NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 155 9 for for IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 155 10 policies policy NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 155 11 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 155 12 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 155 13 containment containment NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 155 14 in in IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 155 15 Japanese japanese JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 155 16 hospitals hospital NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 155 17 and and CC cord-288304-80bn2wgd 155 18 to to TO cord-288304-80bn2wgd 155 19 calculate calculate VB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 155 20 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 155 21 time time NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 155 22 period period NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 155 23 in in IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 155 24 which which WDT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 155 25 they -PRON- PRP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 155 26 need need VBP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 155 27 to to TO cord-288304-80bn2wgd 155 28 be be VB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 155 29 available available JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 155 30 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 156 1 Meanwhile meanwhile RB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 156 2 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 156 3 as as IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 156 4 it -PRON- PRP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 156 5 is be VBZ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 156 6 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 156 7 first first JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 156 8 time time NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 156 9 to to TO cord-288304-80bn2wgd 156 10 declare declare VB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 156 11 large large JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 156 12 - - HYPH cord-288304-80bn2wgd 156 13 scale scale NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 156 14 emergency emergency NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 156 15 declarations declaration NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 156 16 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 156 17 infectious infectious JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 156 18 disease disease NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 156 19 in in IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 156 20 Japan Japan NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 156 21 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 156 22 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 156 23 prediction prediction NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 156 24 is be VBZ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 156 25 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 156 26 fundamental fundamental JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 156 27 significance significance NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 156 28 to to TO cord-288304-80bn2wgd 156 29 plan plan NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 156 30 for for IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 156 31 social social JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 156 32 countermeasures countermeasure NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 156 33 such such JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 156 34 as as IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 156 35 NPIs npi NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 156 36 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 157 1 For for IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 157 2 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 157 3 Monte Monte NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 157 4 Carlo Carlo NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 157 5 Simulation Simulation NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 157 6 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 157 7 instead instead RB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 157 8 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 157 9 using use VBG cord-288304-80bn2wgd 157 10 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 157 11 total total JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 157 12 population population NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 157 13 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 157 14 Japan Japan NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 157 15 as as IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 157 16 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 157 17 N n CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 157 18 population population NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 157 19 ( ( -LRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 157 20 Sugishita Sugishita NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 157 21 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 157 22 Kurita Kurita NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 157 23 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 157 24 Sugawara Sugawara NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 157 25 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 157 26 & & CC cord-288304-80bn2wgd 157 27 Ohkusa Ohkusa NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 157 28 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 157 29 2020 2020 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 157 30 ) ) -RRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 157 31 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 157 32 we -PRON- PRP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 157 33 used use VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 157 34 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 157 35 number number NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 157 36 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 157 37 people people NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 157 38 who who WP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 157 39 received receive VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 157 40 RT RT NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 157 41 - - HYPH cord-288304-80bn2wgd 157 42 PCR PCR NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 157 43 to to TO cord-288304-80bn2wgd 157 44 estimate estimate VB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 157 45 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 157 46 developing develop VBG cord-288304-80bn2wgd 157 47 trends trend NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 157 48 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 157 49 epidemic epidemic NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 157 50 transmission transmission NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 157 51 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 158 1 This this DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 158 2 method method NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 158 3 can can MD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 158 4 generate generate VB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 158 5 more more RBR cord-288304-80bn2wgd 158 6 reliable reliable JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 158 7 predictions prediction NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 158 8 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 158 9 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 158 10 number number NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 158 11 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 158 12 existing exist VBG cord-288304-80bn2wgd 158 13 infected infected JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 158 14 cases case NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 158 15 than than IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 158 16 using use VBG cord-288304-80bn2wgd 158 17 other other JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 158 18 methods method NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 158 19 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 159 1 Reasons reason NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 159 2 are be VBP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 159 3 that that DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 159 4 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 159 5 first first RB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 159 6 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 159 7 we -PRON- PRP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 159 8 consider consider VBP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 159 9 that that IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 159 10 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 159 11 total total NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 159 12 confirmed confirm VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 159 13 cases case NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 159 14 are be VBP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 159 15 less less RBR cord-288304-80bn2wgd 159 16 challengeable challengeable JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 159 17 for for IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 159 18 medical medical JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 159 19 service service NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 159 20 than than IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 159 21 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 159 22 existing exist VBG cord-288304-80bn2wgd 159 23 infected infected JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 159 24 cases case NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 159 25 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 160 1 Studies study NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 160 2 have have VBP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 160 3 reported report VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 160 4 that that IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 160 5 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 160 6 about about RB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 160 7 80 80 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 160 8 % % NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 160 9 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 160 10 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 160 11 patients patient NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 160 12 did do VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 160 13 not not RB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 160 14 need need VB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 160 15 medical medical JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 160 16 treatment treatment NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 160 17 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 160 18 and and CC cord-288304-80bn2wgd 160 19 thus thus RB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 160 20 do do VBP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 160 21 not not RB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 160 22 exert exert VB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 160 23 any any DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 160 24 burdens burden NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 160 25 on on IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 160 26 medical medical JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 160 27 service service NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 160 28 ( ( -LRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 160 29 Prime Prime NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 160 30 Minister Minister NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 160 31 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 160 32 Japan Japan NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 160 33 and and CC cord-288304-80bn2wgd 160 34 His -PRON- PRP$ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 160 35 Cabinet Cabinet NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 160 36 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 160 37 2020a 2020a CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 160 38 ) ) -RRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 160 39 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 161 1 Second second RB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 161 2 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 161 3 using use VBG cord-288304-80bn2wgd 161 4 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 161 5 number number NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 161 6 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 161 7 RT RT NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 161 8 - - HYPH cord-288304-80bn2wgd 161 9 PCR PCR NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 161 10 receivers receiver NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 161 11 to to TO cord-288304-80bn2wgd 161 12 predict predict VB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 161 13 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 161 14 peak peak NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 161 15 incident incident NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 161 16 can can MD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 161 17 display display VB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 161 18 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 161 19 effectiveness effectiveness NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 161 20 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 161 21 countermeasure countermeasure NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 161 22 policies policy NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 161 23 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 162 1 For for IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 162 2 instance instance NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 162 3 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 162 4 in in IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 162 5 Period Period NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 162 6 II II NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 162 7 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 162 8 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 162 9 estimated estimate VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 162 10 peak peak NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 162 11 incident incident NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 162 12 is be VBZ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 162 13 much much RB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 162 14 more more RBR cord-288304-80bn2wgd 162 15 serious serious JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 162 16 than than IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 162 17 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 162 18 observed observed JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 162 19 fact fact NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 162 20 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 162 21 meaning mean VBG cord-288304-80bn2wgd 162 22 that that IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 162 23 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 162 24 capacity capacity NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 162 25 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 162 26 daily daily JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 162 27 RT RT NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 162 28 - - HYPH cord-288304-80bn2wgd 162 29 PCR PCR NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 162 30 in in IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 162 31 Japan Japan NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 162 32 can can MD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 162 33 not not RB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 162 34 satisfy satisfy VB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 162 35 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 162 36 required require VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 162 37 numbers number NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 162 38 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 163 1 Third third RB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 163 2 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 163 3 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 163 4 prediction prediction NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 163 5 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 163 6 peak peak NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 163 7 incident incident NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 163 8 in in IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 163 9 each each DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 163 10 period period NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 163 11 is be VBZ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 163 12 crucial crucial JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 163 13 for for IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 163 14 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 163 15 preparation preparation NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 163 16 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 163 17 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 163 18 minimum minimum JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 163 19 number number NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 163 20 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 163 21 hospital hospital NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 163 22 beds bed NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 163 23 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 164 1 For for IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 164 2 instance instance NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 164 3 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 164 4 based base VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 164 5 on on IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 164 6 estimations estimation NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 164 7 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 164 8 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 164 9 peak peak NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 164 10 incident incident NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 164 11 by by IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 164 12 Japanese japanese JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 164 13 experts expert NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 164 14 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 164 15 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 164 16 total total JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 164 17 hospital hospital NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 164 18 beds bed NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 164 19 for for IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 164 20 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 164 21 patients patient NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 164 22 have have VBP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 164 23 increased increase VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 164 24 from from IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 164 25 about about IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 164 26 2,000 2,000 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 164 27 in in IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 164 28 early early JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 164 29 February February NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 164 30 to to IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 164 31 31,289 31,289 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 164 32 in in IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 164 33 May May NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 164 34 2020 2020 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 165 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 165 2 Japan Japan NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 165 3 Ministry Ministry NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 165 4 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 165 5 Health Health NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 165 6 Labour Labour NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 165 7 and and CC cord-288304-80bn2wgd 165 8 Welfare Welfare NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 165 9 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 165 10 2019 2019 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 165 11 ) ) -RRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 165 12 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 166 1 Our -PRON- PRP$ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 166 2 simulation simulation NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 166 3 results result NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 166 4 showed show VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 166 5 that that IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 166 6 despite despite IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 166 7 Period Period NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 166 8 I I NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 166 9 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 166 10 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 166 11 estimated estimate VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 166 12 peak peak NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 166 13 date date NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 166 14 could could MD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 166 15 appear appear VB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 166 16 18 18 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 166 17 to to TO cord-288304-80bn2wgd 166 18 29 29 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 166 19 days day NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 166 20 later later RB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 166 21 than than IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 166 22 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 166 23 observed observed JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 166 24 date date NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 166 25 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 167 1 The the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 167 2 biggest big JJS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 167 3 reason reason NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 167 4 might may MD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 167 5 be be VB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 167 6 because because IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 167 7 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 167 8 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 167 9 capability capability NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 167 10 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 167 11 daily daily JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 167 12 RT RT NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 167 13 - - HYPH cord-288304-80bn2wgd 167 14 PCR PCR NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 167 15 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 167 16 which which WDT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 167 17 directly directly RB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 167 18 defines define VBZ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 167 19 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 167 20 observed observe VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 167 21 confirmed confirm VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 167 22 cases case NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 167 23 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 168 1 Another another DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 168 2 reason reason NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 168 3 might may MD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 168 4 be be VB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 168 5 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 168 6 high high JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 168 7 level level NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 168 8 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 168 9 Japanese japanese JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 168 10 medical medical JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 168 11 service service NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 168 12 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 169 1 On on IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 169 2 Jan Jan NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 169 3 28 28 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 169 4 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 169 5 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 169 6 Japanese japanese JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 169 7 government government NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 169 8 announced announce VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 169 9 that that IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 169 10 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 169 11 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 169 12 epidemic epidemic NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 169 13 has have VBZ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 169 14 been be VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 169 15 defined define VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 169 16 as as IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 169 17 " " `` cord-288304-80bn2wgd 169 18 a a DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 169 19 designated designate VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 169 20 notifiable notifiable JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 169 21 disease disease NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 169 22 " " '' cord-288304-80bn2wgd 169 23 according accord VBG cord-288304-80bn2wgd 169 24 to to IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 169 25 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 169 26 Law Law NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 169 27 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 169 28 Infectious Infectious NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 169 29 Disease Disease NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 169 30 and and CC cord-288304-80bn2wgd 169 31 Patient Patient NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 169 32 Treatment Treatment NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 169 33 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 169 34 and and CC cord-288304-80bn2wgd 169 35 medical medical JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 169 36 treatment treatment NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 169 37 expenses expense NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 169 38 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 169 39 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 169 40 patients patient NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 169 41 will will MD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 169 42 be be VB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 169 43 covered cover VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 169 44 by by IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 169 45 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 169 46 national national JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 169 47 budget budget NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 169 48 ( ( -LRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 169 49 Prime Prime NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 169 50 Minister Minister NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 169 51 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 169 52 Japan Japan NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 169 53 and and CC cord-288304-80bn2wgd 169 54 His -PRON- PRP$ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 169 55 Cabinet Cabinet NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 169 56 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 169 57 2020b 2020b CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 169 58 ) ) -RRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 169 59 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 170 1 Owing owe VBG cord-288304-80bn2wgd 170 2 to to IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 170 3 stable stable JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 170 4 and and CC cord-288304-80bn2wgd 170 5 high high RB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 170 6 - - HYPH cord-288304-80bn2wgd 170 7 qualified qualified JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 170 8 medical medical JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 170 9 service service NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 170 10 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 170 11 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 170 12 Japanese japanese JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 170 13 society society NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 170 14 seems seem VBZ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 170 15 to to TO cord-288304-80bn2wgd 170 16 successfully successfully RB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 170 17 have have VB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 170 18 discharged discharge VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 170 19 COVID-19 covid-19 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 170 20 patients patient NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 170 21 and and CC cord-288304-80bn2wgd 170 22 have have VBP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 170 23 avoided avoid VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 170 24 collapse collapse NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 170 25 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 170 26 hospital hospital NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 170 27 service service NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 170 28 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 171 1 According accord VBG cord-288304-80bn2wgd 171 2 to to IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 171 3 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 171 4 simulation simulation NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 171 5 results result NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 171 6 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 171 7 ܴ ܴ VB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 171 8 in in IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 171 9 Period Period NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 171 10 II II NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 171 11 is be VBZ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 171 12 about about RB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 171 13 2.50 2.50 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 171 14 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 171 15 which which WDT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 171 16 is be VBZ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 171 17 similar similar JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 171 18 to to IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 171 19 that that DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 171 20 reported report VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 171 21 by by IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 171 22 previous previous JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 171 23 studies study NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 171 24 in in IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 171 25 China China NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 171 26 and and CC cord-288304-80bn2wgd 171 27 Italy Italy NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 172 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 172 2 Chinazzi Chinazzi NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 172 3 et et NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 172 4 al al NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 172 5 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 173 1 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 173 2 2020 2020 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 173 3 ; ; : cord-288304-80bn2wgd 173 4 Remuzzi Remuzzi NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 173 5 & & CC cord-288304-80bn2wgd 173 6 Remuzzi Remuzzi NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 173 7 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 173 8 2020 2020 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 173 9 ; ; : cord-288304-80bn2wgd 173 10 Zhang Zhang NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 173 11 et et NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 173 12 al al NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 173 13 . . NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 173 14 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 173 15 2020 2020 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 173 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 173 17 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 174 1 Nevertheless nevertheless RB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 174 2 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 174 3 ܴ ܴ VB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 174 4 throughout throughout IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 174 5 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 174 6 entire entire JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 174 7 period period NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 174 8 was be VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 174 9 a a DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 174 10 smaller small JJR cord-288304-80bn2wgd 174 11 number number NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 174 12 as as IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 174 13 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 174 14 1.79 1.79 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 174 15 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 175 1 When when WRB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 175 2 considering consider VBG cord-288304-80bn2wgd 175 3 that that IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 175 4 we -PRON- PRP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 175 5 used use VBD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 175 6 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 175 7 number number NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 175 8 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 175 9 Covid-19 covid-19 NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 175 10 in in IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 175 11 Critically Critically NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 175 12 Ill Ill NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 175 13 Patients Patients NNPS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 175 14 in in IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 175 15 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 175 16 Seattle Seattle NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 175 17 Region Region NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 175 18 -Case -Case NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 175 19 Series Series NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 175 20 Faith Faith NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 175 21 and and CC cord-288304-80bn2wgd 175 22 Global Global NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 175 23 Health Health NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 175 24 Practice Practice NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 175 25 in in IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 175 26 Ebola Ebola NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 175 27 and and CC cord-288304-80bn2wgd 175 28 HIV HIV NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 175 29 Emergencies Emergencies NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 175 30 Estimating estimate VBG cord-288304-80bn2wgd 175 31 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 175 32 impact impact NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 175 33 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 175 34 school school NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 175 35 closure closure NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 175 36 on on IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 175 37 influenza influenza NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 175 38 transmission transmission NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 175 39 from from IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 175 40 Sentinel Sentinel NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 175 41 data datum NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 175 42 Report Report NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 175 43 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 175 44 unexplained unexplained JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 175 45 pneumonia pneumonia NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 175 46 by by IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 175 47 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 175 48 CDC CDC NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 1 The the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 2 effect effect NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 3 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 4 travel travel NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 5 restrictions restriction NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 6 on on IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 7 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 8 spread spread NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 9 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 10 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 11 2019 2019 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 12 novel novel NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 13 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 14 ( ( -LRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 15 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 17 outbreak outbreak NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 18 Impact Impact NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 19 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 20 non non JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 21 - - JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 22 pharmaceutical pharmaceutical JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 23 interventions intervention NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 24 ( ( -LRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 25 NPIs NPIs NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 27 to to TO cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 28 reduce reduce VB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 29 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 30 mortality mortality NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 31 and and CC cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 32 healthcare healthcare NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 33 demand demand NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 34 Observational Observational NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 35 Study Study NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 36 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 37 Hydroxychloroquine Hydroxychloroquine NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 38 in in IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 39 Hospitalized Hospitalized NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 40 Patients Patients NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 41 with with IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 42 Covid-19 Covid-19 NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 43 Targeted target VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 44 social social JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 45 distancing distancing NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 46 design design NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 47 for for IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 48 pandemic pandemic NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 49 influenza influenza NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 50 Clinical Clinical NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 51 Characteristics Characteristics NNPS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 52 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 53 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 54 Disease Disease NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 55 2019 2019 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 56 in in IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 57 China China NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 58 Hospital Hospital NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 59 beds bed NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 60 for for IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 61 infectious infectious JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 62 disease disease NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 63 Situation Situation NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 64 report report NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 65 2015 2015 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 66 population population NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 67 census census NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 68 Fifty fifty CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 69 Years year NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 70 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 71 Influenza Influenza NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 72 A(H3N2 A(H3N2 NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 176 73 ) ) -RRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 177 1 Following follow VBG cord-288304-80bn2wgd 177 2 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 177 3 Pandemic Pandemic NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 177 4 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 177 5 1968 1968 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 177 6 Novel Novel NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 177 7 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 177 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 177 9 COVID-19 covid-19 VB cord-288304-80bn2wgd 177 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 177 11 cases case NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 177 12 Effect effect NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 177 13 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 177 14 non non JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 177 15 - - JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 177 16 pharmaceutical pharmaceutical JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 177 17 interventions intervention NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 177 18 for for IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 177 19 containing contain VBG cord-288304-80bn2wgd 177 20 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 177 21 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 177 22 outbreak outbreak NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 177 23 in in IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 177 24 China China NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 177 25 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 178 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 178 2 Early early JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 178 3 Transmission Transmission NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 178 4 Dynamics Dynamics NNPS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 178 5 in in IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 178 6 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 178 7 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 178 8 China China NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 178 9 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 178 10 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 178 11 Novel Novel NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 178 12 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 178 13 - - HYPH cord-288304-80bn2wgd 178 14 Infected infect VBN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 178 15 Pneumonia Pneumonia NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 178 16 Cardiovascular Cardiovascular NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 178 17 Disease Disease NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 178 18 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 178 19 Drug Drug NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 178 20 Therapy Therapy NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 178 21 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 178 22 and and CC cord-288304-80bn2wgd 178 23 Mortality mortality NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 178 24 in in IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 178 25 Covid-19 Covid-19 NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 178 26 Non Non NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 178 27 - - NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 178 28 Pharmaceutical Pharmaceutical NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 178 29 Interventions Interventions NNPS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 178 30 during during IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 178 31 an an DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 178 32 Outbreak outbreak NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 178 33 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 178 34 2009 2009 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 178 35 Pandemic Pandemic NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 178 36 Influenza Influenza NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 178 37 A A NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 178 38 ( ( -LRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 178 39 H1N1 H1N1 NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 178 40 ) ) -RRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 178 41 Virus Virus NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 178 42 Infection Infection NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 178 43 at at IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 178 44 a a DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 178 45 Large large JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 178 46 Public Public NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 178 47 University University NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 178 48 Mathematical Mathematical NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 178 49 modelling modelling NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 178 50 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 178 51 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 178 52 transmission transmission NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 178 53 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 178 54 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 178 55 ebola ebola NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 178 56 virus virus NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 178 57 Basic basic JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 178 58 countermeasure countermeasure NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 178 59 policies policy NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 178 60 for for IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 178 61 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 178 62 containment containment NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 178 63 Prime Prime NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 178 64 Minister Minister NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 178 65 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 178 66 Japan Japan NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 178 67 and and CC cord-288304-80bn2wgd 178 68 His -PRON- PRP$ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 178 69 Cabinet Cabinet NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 178 70 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 179 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 179 2 2020b 2020b CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 179 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 179 4 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 180 1 Meeting meeting NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 180 2 report report NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 180 3 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 180 4 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 180 5 Headquarters Headquarters NNPS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 180 6 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 180 7 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 180 8 Containment Containment NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 180 9 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 180 10 and and CC cord-288304-80bn2wgd 180 11 Italy Italy NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 180 12 : : : cord-288304-80bn2wgd 181 1 what what WP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 181 2 next next JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 181 3 ? ? . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 182 1 The the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 182 2 Lancet Lancet NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 182 3 Effect Effect NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 182 4 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 182 5 voluntary voluntary JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 182 6 event event NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 182 7 cancellation cancellation NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 182 8 and and CC cord-288304-80bn2wgd 182 9 school school NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 182 10 closure closure NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 182 11 as as IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 182 12 countermeasures countermeasure NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 182 13 against against IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 182 14 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 182 15 outbreak outbreak NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 182 16 in in IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 182 17 Japan Japan NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 182 18 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 2 An an DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 3 investigation investigation NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 4 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 5 transmission transmission NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 6 control control NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 7 measures measure NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 8 during during IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 9 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 10 first first JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 11 50 50 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 12 days day NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 13 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 14 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 15 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 16 epidemic epidemic NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 17 in in IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 18 China China NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 19 Isolation Isolation NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 20 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 21 quarantine quarantine NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 22 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 23 social social JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 24 distancing distancing NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 25 and and CC cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 26 community community NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 27 containment containment NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 28 : : : cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 29 pivotal pivotal JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 30 role role NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 31 for for IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 32 old old JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 33 - - HYPH cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 34 style style NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 35 public public JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 36 health health NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 37 measures measure NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 38 in in IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 39 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 40 novel novel JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 41 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 42 ( ( -LRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 43 2019-nCoV 2019-ncov CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 44 ) ) -RRB- cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 45 outbreak outbreak NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 46 Changes change NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 47 in in IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 48 contact contact NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 49 patterns pattern NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 50 shape shape VBP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 51 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 52 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 53 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 54 the the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 55 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 56 outbreak outbreak NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 57 in in IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 58 China China NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 59 Evolving evolve VBG cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 60 epidemiology epidemiology NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 61 and and CC cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 62 transmission transmission NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 63 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 64 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 65 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 66 disease disease NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 67 2019 2019 CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 68 outside outside IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 69 Hubei Hubei NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 70 province province NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 71 , , , cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 72 China China NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 73 : : : cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 74 a a DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 75 descriptive descriptive JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 76 and and CC cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 77 modelling modelling NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 78 study study NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 183 79 . . . cord-288304-80bn2wgd 184 1 The the DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 184 2 Lancet Lancet NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 184 3 Infectious Infectious NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 184 4 Diseases Diseases NNPS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 184 5 Clinical clinical JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 184 6 characteristics characteristic NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 184 7 of of IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 184 8 COVID-19-infected COVID-19-infected NNP cord-288304-80bn2wgd 184 9 cancer cancer NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 184 10 patients patient NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 184 11 : : : cord-288304-80bn2wgd 184 12 a a DT cord-288304-80bn2wgd 184 13 retrospective retrospective JJ cord-288304-80bn2wgd 184 14 case case NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 184 15 study study NN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 184 16 in in IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 184 17 three three CD cord-288304-80bn2wgd 184 18 hospitals hospital NNS cord-288304-80bn2wgd 184 19 within within IN cord-288304-80bn2wgd 184 20 Wuhan Wuhan NNP