id	sid	tid	token	lemma	pos
cord-284453-topozldw	1	1	key	key	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	1	2	:	:	:
cord-284453-topozldw	1	3	cord-284453-topozldw	cord-284453-topozldw	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	2	1	authors	author	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	2	2	:	:	:
cord-284453-topozldw	2	3	Dimri	Dimri	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	2	4	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	2	5	V.	V.	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	2	6	P.	P.	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	2	7	;	;	:
cord-284453-topozldw	2	8	Ganguli	Ganguli	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	2	9	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	2	10	Shib	Shib	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	2	11	S.	S.	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	2	12	;	;	:
cord-284453-topozldw	2	13	Srivastava	Srivastava	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	2	14	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	2	15	R.	R.	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	2	16	P.	P.	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	2	17	title	title	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	2	18	:	:	:
cord-284453-topozldw	3	1	Understanding	understand	VBG
cord-284453-topozldw	3	2	Trend	trend	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	3	3	of	of	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	3	4	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	3	5	Covid-19	Covid-19	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	3	6	Fatalities	Fatalities	NNPS
cord-284453-topozldw	3	7	in	in	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	3	8	India	India	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	3	9	date	date	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	4	1	:	:	:
cord-284453-topozldw	4	2	2020	2020	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	4	3	-	-	HYPH
cord-284453-topozldw	4	4	06	06	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	4	5	-	-	SYM
cord-284453-topozldw	4	6	17	17	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	4	7	journal	journal	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	4	8	:	:	:
cord-284453-topozldw	5	1	J	J	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	5	2	Geol	Geol	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	5	3	Soc	Soc	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	5	4	India	India	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	5	5	DOI	doi	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	5	6	:	:	:
cord-284453-topozldw	6	1	10.1007	10.1007	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	6	2	/	/	SYM
cord-284453-topozldw	6	3	s12594	s12594	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	6	4	-	-	HYPH
cord-284453-topozldw	6	5	020	020	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	6	6	-	-	HYPH
cord-284453-topozldw	6	7	1492	1492	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	6	8	-	-	SYM
cord-284453-topozldw	6	9	2	2	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	6	10	sha	sha	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	6	11	:	:	:
cord-284453-topozldw	6	12	9e3b6ad86758c9e603ce0d945b274c6bccd3d173	9e3b6ad86758c9e603ce0d945b274c6bccd3d173	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	6	13	doc_id	doc_id	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	6	14	:	:	:
cord-284453-topozldw	6	15	284453	284453	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	6	16	cord_uid	cord_uid	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	6	17	:	:	:
cord-284453-topozldw	7	1	topozldw	topozldw	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	7	2	nan	nan	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	8	1	The	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	8	2	number	number	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	8	3	of	of	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	8	4	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	8	5	cases	case	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	8	6	and	and	CC
cord-284453-topozldw	8	7	related	related	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	8	8	deaths	death	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	8	9	are	be	VBP
cord-284453-topozldw	8	10	increasing	increase	VBG
cord-284453-topozldw	8	11	at	at	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	8	12	an	an	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	8	13	alarming	alarming	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	8	14	rate	rate	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	8	15	in	in	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	8	16	several	several	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	8	17	countries	country	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	8	18	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	8	19	and	and	CC
cord-284453-topozldw	8	20	some	some	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	8	21	countries	country	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	8	22	have	have	VBP
cord-284453-topozldw	8	23	experienced	experience	VBN
cord-284453-topozldw	8	24	mild	mild	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	8	25	spread	spread	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	8	26	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	9	1	Globally	globally	RB
cord-284453-topozldw	9	2	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	9	3	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	9	4	has	have	VBZ
cord-284453-topozldw	9	5	caused	cause	VBN
cord-284453-topozldw	9	6	an	an	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	9	7	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-284453-topozldw	9	8	4,103,241	4,103,241	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	9	9	cases	case	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	9	10	and	and	CC
cord-284453-topozldw	9	11	2,82,728	2,82,728	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	9	12	deaths	death	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	9	13	until	until	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	9	14	now	now	RB
cord-284453-topozldw	9	15	(	(	-LRB-
cord-284453-topozldw	9	16	11/05/2020	11/05/2020	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	9	17	)	)	-RRB-
cord-284453-topozldw	9	18	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	10	1	Wuhan	Wuhan	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	10	2	city	city	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	10	3	in	in	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	10	4	Hubei	Hubei	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	10	5	province	province	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	10	6	of	of	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	10	7	China	China	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	10	8	is	be	VBZ
cord-284453-topozldw	10	9	deemed	deem	VBN
cord-284453-topozldw	10	10	as	as	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	10	11	its	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-284453-topozldw	10	12	epicenter	epicenter	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	10	13	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	10	14	where	where	WRB
cord-284453-topozldw	10	15	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	10	16	first	first	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	10	17	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	10	18	case	case	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	10	19	was	be	VBD
cord-284453-topozldw	10	20	reported	report	VBN
cord-284453-topozldw	10	21	in	in	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	10	22	December	December	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	10	23	2019	2019	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	10	24	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	11	1	Since	since	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	11	2	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	11	3	then	then	RB
cord-284453-topozldw	11	4	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	11	5	virus	virus	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	11	6	has	have	VBZ
cord-284453-topozldw	11	7	spread	spread	VBN
cord-284453-topozldw	11	8	over	over	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	11	9	215	215	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	11	10	countries	country	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	11	11	and	and	CC
cord-284453-topozldw	11	12	territories	territory	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	11	13	around	around	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	11	14	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	11	15	world	world	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	11	16	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	11	17	with	with	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	11	18	varying	vary	VBG
cord-284453-topozldw	11	19	spread	spread	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	11	20	rates	rate	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	11	21	and	and	CC
cord-284453-topozldw	11	22	fatalities	fatality	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	11	23	(	(	-LRB-
cord-284453-topozldw	11	24	Fanelli	Fanelli	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	11	25	and	and	CC
cord-284453-topozldw	11	26	Piazza	Piazza	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	11	27	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	11	28	2020	2020	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	11	29	)	)	-RRB-
cord-284453-topozldw	11	30	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	12	1	The	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	12	2	worldwide	worldwide	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	12	3	lockdown	lockdown	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	12	4	and	and	CC
cord-284453-topozldw	12	5	social	social	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	12	6	distancing	distancing	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	12	7	have	have	VBP
cord-284453-topozldw	12	8	played	play	VBN
cord-284453-topozldw	12	9	a	a	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	12	10	great	great	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	12	11	role	role	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	12	12	to	to	TO
cord-284453-topozldw	12	13	keep	keep	VB
cord-284453-topozldw	12	14	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	12	15	reproduction	reproduction	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	12	16	number	number	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	12	17	in	in	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	12	18	check	check	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	12	19	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	12	20	and	and	CC
cord-284453-topozldw	12	21	thus	thus	RB
cord-284453-topozldw	12	22	controlling	control	VBG
cord-284453-topozldw	12	23	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	12	24	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	12	25	(	(	-LRB-
cord-284453-topozldw	12	26	Kupferschmidt	Kupferschmidt	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	12	27	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	12	28	2020	2020	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	12	29	)	)	-RRB-
cord-284453-topozldw	12	30	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	13	1	So	so	RB
cord-284453-topozldw	13	2	far	far	RB
cord-284453-topozldw	13	3	reported	report	VBN
cord-284453-topozldw	13	4	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	13	5	rate	rate	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	13	6	of	of	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	13	7	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	13	8	corona	corona	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	13	9	virus	virus	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	13	10	pandemic	pandemic	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	13	11	is	be	VBZ
cord-284453-topozldw	13	12	somewhere	somewhere	RB
cord-284453-topozldw	13	13	between	between	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	13	14	normal	normal	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	13	15	flu	flu	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	13	16	(	(	-LRB-
cord-284453-topozldw	13	17	0.1	0.1	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	13	18	to	to	TO
cord-284453-topozldw	13	19	0.2	0.2	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	13	20	%	%	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	13	21	)	)	-RRB-
cord-284453-topozldw	13	22	to	to	TO
cord-284453-topozldw	13	23	severe	severe	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	13	24	acute	acute	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	13	25	respiratory	respiratory	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	13	26	syndrome	syndrome	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	13	27	(	(	-LRB-
cord-284453-topozldw	13	28	SARS	SARS	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	13	29	)	)	-RRB-
cord-284453-topozldw	13	30	family	family	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	13	31	of	of	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	13	32	viruses	virus	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	13	33	(	(	-LRB-
cord-284453-topozldw	13	34	8	8	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	13	35	to	to	TO
cord-284453-topozldw	13	36	10	10	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	13	37	%	%	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	13	38	)	)	-RRB-
cord-284453-topozldw	13	39	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	14	1	In	in	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	14	2	India	India	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	14	3	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	14	4	so	so	RB
cord-284453-topozldw	14	5	far	far	RB
cord-284453-topozldw	14	6	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	14	7	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	14	8	rate	rate	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	14	9	is	be	VBZ
cord-284453-topozldw	14	10	about	about	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	14	11	3	3	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	14	12	%	%	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	14	13	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	14	14	which	which	WDT
cord-284453-topozldw	14	15	is	be	VBZ
cord-284453-topozldw	14	16	half	half	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	14	17	of	of	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	14	18	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	14	19	world	world	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	14	20	average	average	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	14	21	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	15	1	Forecasting	forecast	VBG
cord-284453-topozldw	15	2	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	15	3	future	future	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	15	4	of	of	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	15	5	pandemics	pandemic	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	15	6	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	15	7	including	include	VBG
cord-284453-topozldw	15	8	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	15	9	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	15	10	is	be	VBZ
cord-284453-topozldw	15	11	difficult	difficult	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	15	12	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	16	1	The	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	16	2	accuracy	accuracy	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	16	3	of	of	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	16	4	an	an	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	16	5	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	16	6	and	and	CC
cord-284453-topozldw	16	7	pandemic	pandemic	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	16	8	forecasting	forecasting	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	16	9	largely	largely	RB
cord-284453-topozldw	16	10	depends	depend	VBZ
cord-284453-topozldw	16	11	on	on	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	16	12	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	16	13	data	data	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	16	14	availability	availability	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	16	15	and	and	CC
cord-284453-topozldw	16	16	uncertainty	uncertainty	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	16	17	estimation	estimation	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	16	18	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	17	1	Despite	despite	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	17	2	this	this	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	17	3	fact	fact	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	17	4	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	17	5	still	still	RB
cord-284453-topozldw	17	6	forecasting	forecast	VBG
cord-284453-topozldw	17	7	utilizing	utilize	VBG
cord-284453-topozldw	17	8	mathematical	mathematical	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	17	9	models	model	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	17	10	has	have	VBZ
cord-284453-topozldw	17	11	become	become	VBN
cord-284453-topozldw	17	12	crucial	crucial	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	17	13	to	to	TO
cord-284453-topozldw	17	14	better	better	RB
cord-284453-topozldw	17	15	understand	understand	VB
cord-284453-topozldw	17	16	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	17	17	present	present	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	17	18	circumstances	circumstance	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	17	19	and	and	CC
cord-284453-topozldw	17	20	plan	plan	VB
cord-284453-topozldw	17	21	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	17	22	future	future	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	17	23	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	18	1	Mathematical	mathematical	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	18	2	models	model	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	18	3	are	be	VBP
cord-284453-topozldw	18	4	invaluable	invaluable	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	18	5	tools	tool	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	18	6	for	for	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	18	7	analyzing	analyze	VBG
cord-284453-topozldw	18	8	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	18	9	spread	spread	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	18	10	and	and	CC
cord-284453-topozldw	18	11	control	control	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	18	12	of	of	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	18	13	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	18	14	diseases	disease	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	18	15	(	(	-LRB-
cord-284453-topozldw	18	16	Hethcote	Hethcote	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	18	17	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	18	18	2000	2000	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	18	19	)	)	-RRB-
cord-284453-topozldw	18	20	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	19	1	In	in	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	19	2	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	19	3	present	present	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	19	4	work	work	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	19	5	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	19	6	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-284453-topozldw	19	7	provide	provide	VBP
cord-284453-topozldw	19	8	a	a	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	19	9	statistical	statistical	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	19	10	forecasting	forecasting	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	19	11	approach	approach	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	19	12	for	for	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	19	13	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	19	14	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	19	15	cases	case	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	19	16	in	in	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	19	17	India	India	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	19	18	and	and	CC
cord-284453-topozldw	19	19	its	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-284453-topozldw	19	20	potential	potential	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	19	21	implications	implication	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	19	22	for	for	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	19	23	planning	planning	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	19	24	and	and	CC
cord-284453-topozldw	19	25	decision	decision	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	19	26	making	make	VBG
cord-284453-topozldw	19	27	to	to	TO
cord-284453-topozldw	19	28	contain	contain	VB
cord-284453-topozldw	19	29	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	19	30	same	same	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	19	31	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	20	1	The	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	20	2	standard	standard	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	20	3	epidemiological	epidemiological	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	20	4	modelling	modelling	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	20	5	approach	approach	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	20	6	usually	usually	RB
cord-284453-topozldw	20	7	follows	follow	VBZ
cord-284453-topozldw	20	8	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	20	9	reproduction	reproduction	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	20	10	number	number	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	20	11	of	of	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	20	12	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	20	13	diseases	disease	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	20	14	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	20	15	and	and	CC
cord-284453-topozldw	20	16	models	model	VBZ
cord-284453-topozldw	20	17	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-284453-topozldw	20	18	using	use	VBG
cord-284453-topozldw	20	19	a	a	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	20	20	well	well	RB
cord-284453-topozldw	20	21	-	-	HYPH
cord-284453-topozldw	20	22	known	know	VBN
cord-284453-topozldw	20	23	system	system	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	20	24	of	of	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	20	25	differential	differential	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	20	26	equations	equation	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	20	27	known	know	VBN
cord-284453-topozldw	20	28	as	as	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	20	29	SIR	SIR	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	20	30	(	(	-LRB-
cord-284453-topozldw	20	31	Susceptible	susceptible	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	20	32	-Infectious	-infectious	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	20	33	-Recovered	-recovered	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	20	34	)	)	-RRB-
cord-284453-topozldw	20	35	model	model	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	20	36	(	(	-LRB-
cord-284453-topozldw	20	37	Batista	Batista	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	20	38	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	20	39	2020	2020	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	20	40	)	)	-RRB-
cord-284453-topozldw	20	41	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	21	1	The	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	21	2	differential	differential	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	21	3	equations	equation	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	21	4	for	for	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	21	5	a	a	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	21	6	generalized	generalized	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	21	7	SIR	SIR	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	21	8	model	model	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	21	9	can	can	MD
cord-284453-topozldw	21	10	be	be	VB
cord-284453-topozldw	21	11	written	write	VBN
cord-284453-topozldw	21	12	as	as	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	21	13	follows	follow	VBZ
cord-284453-topozldw	21	14	:	:	:
cord-284453-topozldw	21	15	where	where	WRB
cord-284453-topozldw	21	16	S(t	S(t	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	21	17	)	)	-RRB-
cord-284453-topozldw	21	18	=	=	NFP
cord-284453-topozldw	22	1	number	number	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	22	2	of	of	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	22	3	susceptible	susceptible	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	22	4	cases	case	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	22	5	at	at	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	22	6	time	time	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	22	7	'	'	``
cord-284453-topozldw	22	8	t	t	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	22	9	'	'	''
cord-284453-topozldw	22	10	;	;	:
cord-284453-topozldw	22	11	I(t	I(t	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	22	12	)	)	-RRB-
cord-284453-topozldw	22	13	=	=	NFP
cord-284453-topozldw	23	1	number	number	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	23	2	of	of	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	23	3	Infected	infected	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	23	4	persons	person	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	23	5	and	and	CC
cord-284453-topozldw	23	6	R(t)=	r(t)=	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	23	7	number	number	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	23	8	of	of	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	23	9	recovered	recover	VBN
cord-284453-topozldw	23	10	cases	case	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	23	11	at	at	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	23	12	time	time	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	23	13	'	'	``
cord-284453-topozldw	23	14	t	t	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	23	15	'	'	''
cord-284453-topozldw	23	16	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	23	17	respectively	respectively	RB
cord-284453-topozldw	23	18	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	24	1	β	β	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	24	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-284453-topozldw	24	3	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	24	4	contact	contact	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	24	5	rate	rate	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	24	6	and	and	CC
cord-284453-topozldw	24	7	1	1	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	24	8	/	/	SYM
cord-284453-topozldw	24	9	γ	γ	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	24	10	is	be	VBZ
cord-284453-topozldw	24	11	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	24	12	average	average	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	24	13	period	period	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	24	14	of	of	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	24	15	infections	infection	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	24	16	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	25	1	The	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	25	2	constant	constant	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	25	3	N	n	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	25	4	=	=	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	25	5	S	s	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	26	1	+	+	CC
cord-284453-topozldw	27	1	I	-PRON-	PRP
cord-284453-topozldw	27	2	+	+	CC
cord-284453-topozldw	27	3	R	r	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	27	4	is	be	VBZ
cord-284453-topozldw	27	5	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	27	6	fixed	fixed	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	27	7	number	number	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	27	8	of	of	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	27	9	populations	population	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	27	10	in	in	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	27	11	a	a	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	27	12	certain	certain	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	27	13	region	region	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	27	14	/	/	SYM
cord-284453-topozldw	27	15	country	country	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	27	16	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	28	1	In	in	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	28	2	this	this	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	28	3	case	case	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	28	4	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	28	5	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	28	6	births	birth	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	28	7	and	and	CC
cord-284453-topozldw	28	8	natural	natural	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	28	9	death	death	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	28	10	are	be	VBP
cord-284453-topozldw	28	11	not	not	RB
cord-284453-topozldw	28	12	modelled	model	VBN
cord-284453-topozldw	28	13	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	29	1	The	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	29	2	initial	initial	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	29	3	conditions	condition	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	29	4	can	can	MD
cord-284453-topozldw	29	5	be	be	VB
cord-284453-topozldw	29	6	expressed	express	VBN
cord-284453-topozldw	29	7	as	as	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	29	8	S(0	S(0	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	29	9	)	)	-RRB-
cord-284453-topozldw	30	1	=	=	NFP
cord-284453-topozldw	31	1	S	S	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	31	2	0	0	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	31	3	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	31	4	I(0)=	i(0)=	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	32	1	I	-PRON-	PRP
cord-284453-topozldw	32	2	0	0	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	32	3	and	and	CC
cord-284453-topozldw	32	4	R(0)=R	R(0)=R	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	32	5	0	0	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	32	6	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	33	1	Now	now	RB
cord-284453-topozldw	33	2	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	33	3	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	33	4	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	33	5	β	β	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	33	6	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	33	7	γ	γ	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	33	8	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	33	9	and	and	CC
cord-284453-topozldw	33	10	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	33	11	initial	initial	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	33	12	values	value	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	33	13	S	s	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	33	14	0	0	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	34	1	and	and	CC
cord-284453-topozldw	34	2	I	-PRON-	PRP
cord-284453-topozldw	34	3	0	0	NFP
cord-284453-topozldw	34	4	(	(	-LRB-
cord-284453-topozldw	34	5	as	as	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	34	6	obtained	obtain	VBN
cord-284453-topozldw	34	7	from	from	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	34	8	available	available	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	34	9	data	datum	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	34	10	)	)	-RRB-
cord-284453-topozldw	34	11	are	be	VBP
cord-284453-topozldw	34	12	required	require	VBN
cord-284453-topozldw	34	13	to	to	TO
cord-284453-topozldw	34	14	utilize	utilize	VB
cord-284453-topozldw	34	15	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	34	16	SIR	SIR	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	34	17	model	model	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	34	18	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	35	1	The	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	35	2	required	require	VBN
cord-284453-topozldw	35	3	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	35	4	can	can	MD
cord-284453-topozldw	35	5	be	be	VB
cord-284453-topozldw	35	6	assessed	assess	VBN
cord-284453-topozldw	35	7	by	by	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	35	8	minimizing	minimize	VBG
cord-284453-topozldw	35	9	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	35	10	difference	difference	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	35	11	between	between	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	35	12	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	35	13	actual	actual	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	35	14	and	and	CC
cord-284453-topozldw	35	15	predicted	predict	VBN
cord-284453-topozldw	35	16	number	number	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	35	17	of	of	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	35	18	cases	case	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	35	19	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	36	1	Moreover	moreover	RB
cord-284453-topozldw	36	2	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	36	3	there	there	EX
cord-284453-topozldw	36	4	are	be	VBP
cord-284453-topozldw	36	5	several	several	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	36	6	papers	paper	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	36	7	available	available	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	36	8	on	on	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	36	9	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	36	10	SIR	SIR	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	36	11	model	model	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	36	12	and	and	CC
cord-284453-topozldw	36	13	generalized	generalize	VBN
cord-284453-topozldw	36	14	SEIR	SEIR	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	36	15	model	model	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	36	16	(	(	-LRB-
cord-284453-topozldw	36	17	please	please	UH
cord-284453-topozldw	36	18	refer	refer	VB
cord-284453-topozldw	36	19	to	to	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	36	20	Hethcote	Hethcote	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	36	21	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	36	22	2000	2000	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	36	23	;	;	:
cord-284453-topozldw	36	24	Fanelli	Fanelli	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	36	25	and	and	CC
cord-284453-topozldw	36	26	Piazza	Piazza	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	36	27	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	36	28	2020	2020	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	36	29	;	;	.
cord-284453-topozldw	37	1	Peng	Peng	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	37	2	et	et	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	37	3	al	al	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	37	4	.	.	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	37	5	2020	2020	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	37	6	)	)	-RRB-
cord-284453-topozldw	37	7	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	37	8	hence	hence	RB
cord-284453-topozldw	37	9	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-284453-topozldw	37	10	are	be	VBP
cord-284453-topozldw	37	11	not	not	RB
cord-284453-topozldw	37	12	discussing	discuss	VBG
cord-284453-topozldw	37	13	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-284453-topozldw	37	14	more	more	RBR
cord-284453-topozldw	37	15	here	here	RB
cord-284453-topozldw	37	16	since	since	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	37	17	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-284453-topozldw	37	18	is	be	VBZ
cord-284453-topozldw	37	19	not	not	RB
cord-284453-topozldw	37	20	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-284453-topozldw	37	21	main	main	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	37	22	focus	focus	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	37	23	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	38	1	The	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	38	2	objective	objective	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	38	3	of	of	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	38	4	listing	list	VBG
cord-284453-topozldw	38	5	equations	equation	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	38	6	and	and	CC
cord-284453-topozldw	38	7	variables	variable	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	38	8	within	within	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	38	9	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	38	10	SIR	SIR	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	38	11	model	model	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	38	12	is	be	VBZ
cord-284453-topozldw	38	13	to	to	TO
cord-284453-topozldw	38	14	give	give	VB
cord-284453-topozldw	38	15	an	an	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	38	16	idea	idea	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	38	17	to	to	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	38	18	a	a	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	38	19	general	general	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	38	20	reader	reader	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	38	21	about	about	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	38	22	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	38	23	various	various	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	38	24	considerations	consideration	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	38	25	involved	involve	VBN
cord-284453-topozldw	38	26	in	in	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	38	27	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	38	28	model	model	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	38	29	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	39	1	Often	often	RB
cord-284453-topozldw	39	2	statistical	statistical	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	39	3	epidemiological	epidemiological	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	39	4	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	39	5	applied	apply	VBN
cord-284453-topozldw	39	6	in	in	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	39	7	such	such	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	39	8	cases	case	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	39	9	assumes	assume	VBZ
cord-284453-topozldw	39	10	an	an	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	39	11	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	39	12	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	39	13	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	39	14	which	which	WDT
cord-284453-topozldw	39	15	is	be	VBZ
cord-284453-topozldw	39	16	to	to	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	39	17	some	some	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	39	18	extent	extent	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	39	19	true	true	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	39	20	in	in	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	39	21	a	a	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	39	22	very	very	RB
cord-284453-topozldw	39	23	early	early	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	39	24	stage	stage	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	39	25	of	of	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	39	26	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	39	27	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	39	28	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	40	1	The	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	40	2	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	40	3	model	model	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	40	4	is	be	VBZ
cord-284453-topozldw	40	5	based	base	VBN
cord-284453-topozldw	40	6	on	on	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	40	7	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	40	8	fixed	fix	VBN
cord-284453-topozldw	40	9	reproduction	reproduction	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	40	10	number	number	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	40	11	of	of	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	40	12	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	40	13	disease	disease	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	40	14	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	41	1	The	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	41	2	total	total	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	41	3	number	number	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	41	4	of	of	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	41	5	cases	case	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	41	6	can	can	MD
cord-284453-topozldw	41	7	be	be	VB
cord-284453-topozldw	41	8	obtained	obtain	VBN
cord-284453-topozldw	41	9	by	by	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	41	10	considering	consider	VBG
cord-284453-topozldw	41	11	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	41	12	fact	fact	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	41	13	that	that	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	41	14	each	each	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	41	15	infected	infected	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	41	16	person	person	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	41	17	contaminates	contaminate	VBZ
cord-284453-topozldw	41	18	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	41	19	other	other	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	41	20	susceptible	susceptible	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	41	21	one	one	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	41	22	(	(	-LRB-
cord-284453-topozldw	41	23	where	where	WRB
cord-284453-topozldw	41	24	n	n	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	41	25	>	>	XX
cord-284453-topozldw	41	26	1	1	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	41	27	known	know	VBN
cord-284453-topozldw	41	28	as	as	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	41	29	reproduction	reproduction	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	41	30	number	number	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	41	31	)	)	-RRB-
cord-284453-topozldw	41	32	:	:	:
cord-284453-topozldw	41	33	where	where	WRB
cord-284453-topozldw	41	34	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	41	35	t	t	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	41	36	and	and	CC
cord-284453-topozldw	41	37	T	T	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	41	38	represents	represent	VBZ
cord-284453-topozldw	41	39	time	time	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	41	40	in	in	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	41	41	days	day	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	41	42	and	and	CC
cord-284453-topozldw	41	43	incubation	incubation	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	41	44	period	period	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	41	45	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	41	46	which	which	WDT
cord-284453-topozldw	41	47	relies	rely	VBZ
cord-284453-topozldw	41	48	upon	upon	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	41	49	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	41	50	type	type	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	41	51	of	of	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	41	52	disease	disease	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	41	53	;	;	:
cord-284453-topozldw	41	54	a	a	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	41	55	is	be	VBZ
cord-284453-topozldw	41	56	coefficient	coefficient	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	41	57	of	of	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	41	58	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	41	59	series	series	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	41	60	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	42	1	In	in	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	42	2	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	42	3	case	case	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	42	4	of	of	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	42	5	COVID-19,the	covid-19,the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	42	6	incubation	incubation	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	42	7	period	period	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	42	8	ranges	range	VBZ
cord-284453-topozldw	42	9	somewhere	somewhere	RB
cord-284453-topozldw	42	10	between	between	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	42	11	10	10	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	42	12	to	to	TO
cord-284453-topozldw	42	13	14	14	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	42	14	days	day	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	42	15	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	43	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-284453-topozldw	43	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-284453-topozldw	43	3	to	to	TO
cord-284453-topozldw	43	4	note	note	VB
cord-284453-topozldw	43	5	that	that	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	43	6	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	43	7	above	above	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	43	8	equation	equation	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	43	9	does	do	VBZ
cord-284453-topozldw	43	10	not	not	RB
cord-284453-topozldw	43	11	assume	assume	VB
cord-284453-topozldw	43	12	any	any	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	43	13	kind	kind	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	43	14	of	of	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	43	15	inhibition	inhibition	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	43	16	or	or	CC
cord-284453-topozldw	43	17	intervention	intervention	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	43	18	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	44	1	In	in	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	44	2	order	order	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	44	3	to	to	TO
cord-284453-topozldw	44	4	forecast	forecast	VB
cord-284453-topozldw	44	5	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	44	6	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	44	7	pandemic	pandemic	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	44	8	behavior	behavior	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	44	9	in	in	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	44	10	India	India	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	44	11	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	44	12	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-284453-topozldw	44	13	first	first	RB
cord-284453-topozldw	44	14	examined	examine	VBD
cord-284453-topozldw	44	15	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	44	16	total	total	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	44	17	number	number	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	44	18	of	of	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	44	19	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-284453-topozldw	44	20	cases	case	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	44	21	and	and	CC
cord-284453-topozldw	44	22	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	44	23	rate	rate	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	44	24	of	of	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	44	25	daily	daily	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	44	26	increase	increase	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	44	27	in	in	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	44	28	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	44	29	number	number	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	44	30	of	of	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	44	31	cases	case	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	44	32	reported	report	VBN
cord-284453-topozldw	44	33	in	in	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	44	34	India	India	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	44	35	(	(	-LRB-
cord-284453-topozldw	44	36	Fig	Fig	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	44	37	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	44	38	1a	1a	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	44	39	and	and	CC
cord-284453-topozldw	44	40	b	b	LS
cord-284453-topozldw	44	41	)	)	-RRB-
cord-284453-topozldw	44	42	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	45	1	Besides	besides	RB
cord-284453-topozldw	45	2	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	45	3	Fig	Fig	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	45	4	.	.	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	45	5	2	2	LS
cord-284453-topozldw	45	6	(	(	-LRB-
cord-284453-topozldw	45	7	a	a	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	45	8	and	and	CC
cord-284453-topozldw	45	9	b	b	LS
cord-284453-topozldw	45	10	)	)	-RRB-
cord-284453-topozldw	45	11	depicts	depict	VBZ
cord-284453-topozldw	45	12	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	45	13	total	total	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	45	14	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-284453-topozldw	45	15	deaths	death	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	45	16	and	and	CC
cord-284453-topozldw	45	17	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	45	18	rate	rate	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	45	19	of	of	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	45	20	daily	daily	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	45	21	increase	increase	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	45	22	in	in	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	45	23	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	45	24	number	number	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	45	25	of	of	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	45	26	deaths	death	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	45	27	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	46	1	The	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	46	2	data	datum	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	46	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-284453-topozldw	46	4	fetched	fetch	VBN
cord-284453-topozldw	46	5	from	from	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	46	6	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	46	7	web	web	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	46	8	-	-	HYPH
cord-284453-topozldw	46	9	page	page	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	46	10	maintained	maintain	VBN
cord-284453-topozldw	46	11	by	by	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	46	12	Johns	Johns	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	46	13	Hopkins	Hopkins	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	46	14	University	University	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	46	15	(	(	-LRB-
cord-284453-topozldw	46	16	https://	https://	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	46	17	raw.githubusercontent.com/CSSEGISandData/COVID-19/master/	raw.githubusercontent.com/CSSEGISandData/COVID-19/master/	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	46	18	csse_covid_19_data	csse_covid_19_data	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	46	19	/	/	SYM
cord-284453-topozldw	46	20	csse_covid_19_time_series/	csse_covid_19_time_series/	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	46	21	)	)	-RRB-
cord-284453-topozldw	46	22	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	47	1	This	this	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	47	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-284453-topozldw	47	3	a	a	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	47	4	dynamic	dynamic	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	47	5	data	datum	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	47	6	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	47	7	and	and	CC
cord-284453-topozldw	47	8	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	47	9	figures	figure	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	47	10	below	below	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	47	11	show	show	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	47	12	data	datum	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	47	13	starting	start	VBG
cord-284453-topozldw	47	14	from	from	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	47	15	22	22	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	47	16	January	January	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	47	17	2020	2020	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	47	18	until	until	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	47	19	10	10	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	47	20	May	May	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	47	21	2020	2020	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	47	22	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	48	1	Please	please	UH
cord-284453-topozldw	48	2	note	note	VB
cord-284453-topozldw	48	3	that	that	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	48	4	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	48	5	number	number	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	48	6	of	of	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	48	7	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-284453-topozldw	48	8	cases	case	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	48	9	is	be	VBZ
cord-284453-topozldw	48	10	dependent	dependent	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	48	11	on	on	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	48	12	how	how	WRB
cord-284453-topozldw	48	13	much	much	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	48	14	testing	testing	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	48	15	has	have	VBZ
cord-284453-topozldw	48	16	been	be	VBN
cord-284453-topozldw	48	17	done	do	VBN
cord-284453-topozldw	48	18	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	48	19	hence	hence	RB
cord-284453-topozldw	48	20	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-284453-topozldw	48	21	choose	choose	VBP
cord-284453-topozldw	48	22	to	to	TO
cord-284453-topozldw	48	23	further	further	RB
cord-284453-topozldw	48	24	analyze	analyze	VB
cord-284453-topozldw	48	25	reported	report	VBN
cord-284453-topozldw	48	26	number	number	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	48	27	of	of	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	48	28	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	48	29	death	death	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	48	30	cases	case	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	48	31	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	48	32	which	which	WDT
cord-284453-topozldw	48	33	are	be	VBP
cord-284453-topozldw	48	34	much	much	RB
cord-284453-topozldw	48	35	more	more	RBR
cord-284453-topozldw	48	36	reliable	reliable	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	48	37	numbers	number	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	48	38	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	48	39	than	than	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	48	40	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	48	41	infected	infected	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	48	42	cases	case	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	48	43	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	49	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-284453-topozldw	49	2	looked	look	VBD
cord-284453-topozldw	49	3	at	at	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	49	4	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	49	5	total	total	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	49	6	death	death	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	49	7	data	datum	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	49	8	in	in	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	49	9	India	India	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	49	10	and	and	CC
cord-284453-topozldw	49	11	plotted	plot	VBD
cord-284453-topozldw	49	12	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-284453-topozldw	49	13	on	on	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	49	14	a	a	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	49	15	loglog	loglog	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	49	16	scale	scale	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	49	17	(	(	-LRB-
cord-284453-topozldw	49	18	Fig	fig	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	49	19	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	49	20	3	3	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	49	21	)	)	-RRB-
cord-284453-topozldw	49	22	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	50	1	From	from	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	50	2	equation	equation	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	50	3	(	(	-LRB-
cord-284453-topozldw	50	4	4	4	LS
cord-284453-topozldw	50	5	)	)	-RRB-
cord-284453-topozldw	50	6	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-284453-topozldw	50	7	is	be	VBZ
cord-284453-topozldw	50	8	obvious	obvious	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	50	9	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	50	10	if	if	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	50	11	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	50	12	number	number	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	50	13	of	of	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	50	14	deaths	death	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	50	15	follows	follow	VBZ
cord-284453-topozldw	50	16	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	50	17	increase	increase	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	50	18	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	50	19	then	then	RB
cord-284453-topozldw	50	20	in	in	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	50	21	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	50	22	log	log	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	50	23	-	-	HYPH
cord-284453-topozldw	50	24	normal	normal	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	50	25	plot	plot	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	50	26	they	-PRON-	PRP
cord-284453-topozldw	50	27	will	will	MD
cord-284453-topozldw	50	28	appear	appear	VB
cord-284453-topozldw	50	29	linearly	linearly	RB
cord-284453-topozldw	50	30	increasing	increase	VBG
cord-284453-topozldw	50	31	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	50	32	whereas	whereas	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	50	33	if	if	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	50	34	they	-PRON-	PRP
cord-284453-topozldw	50	35	follow	follow	VBP
cord-284453-topozldw	50	36	power	power	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	50	37	-	-	HYPH
cord-284453-topozldw	50	38	law	law	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	50	39	increase	increase	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	50	40	then	then	RB
cord-284453-topozldw	50	41	they	-PRON-	PRP
cord-284453-topozldw	50	42	will	will	MD
cord-284453-topozldw	50	43	appear	appear	VB
cord-284453-topozldw	50	44	linear	linear	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	50	45	in	in	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	50	46	log	log	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	50	47	-	-	HYPH
cord-284453-topozldw	50	48	log	log	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	50	49	scale	scale	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	50	50	(	(	-LRB-
cord-284453-topozldw	50	51	Dimri	Dimri	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	50	52	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	50	53	2005	2005	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	50	54	;	;	:
cord-284453-topozldw	51	1	Dimri	Dimri	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	51	2	et	et	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	51	3	al	al	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	51	4	.	.	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	51	5	2012	2012	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	51	6	)	)	-RRB-
cord-284453-topozldw	51	7	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	52	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-284453-topozldw	52	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-284453-topozldw	52	3	obvious	obvious	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	52	4	from	from	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	52	5	Fig.3	fig.3	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	52	6	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	52	7	that	that	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	52	8	deaths	death	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	52	9	until	until	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	52	10	April	April	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	52	11	12	12	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	52	12	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	52	13	2020	2020	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	52	14	follow	follow	VB
cord-284453-topozldw	52	15	power	power	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	52	16	-	-	HYPH
cord-284453-topozldw	52	17	law	law	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	52	18	and	and	CC
cord-284453-topozldw	52	19	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	52	20	predicted	predict	VBN
cord-284453-topozldw	52	21	deaths	death	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	52	22	are	be	VBP
cord-284453-topozldw	52	23	in	in	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	52	24	good	good	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	52	25	agreement	agreement	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	52	26	to	to	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	52	27	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	52	28	actual	actual	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	52	29	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	53	1	However	however	RB
cord-284453-topozldw	53	2	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	53	3	this	this	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	53	4	relation	relation	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	53	5	(	(	-LRB-
cord-284453-topozldw	53	6	data	data	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	53	7	trend	trend	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	53	8	)	)	-RRB-
cord-284453-topozldw	53	9	appears	appear	VBZ
cord-284453-topozldw	53	10	to	to	TO
cord-284453-topozldw	53	11	be	be	VB
cord-284453-topozldw	53	12	invalid	invalid	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	53	13	when	when	WRB
cord-284453-topozldw	53	14	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	53	15	latest	late	JJS
cord-284453-topozldw	53	16	death	death	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	53	17	data	datum	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	53	18	is	be	VBZ
cord-284453-topozldw	53	19	analyzed	analyze	VBN
cord-284453-topozldw	53	20	hence	hence	RB
cord-284453-topozldw	53	21	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	53	22	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-284453-topozldw	53	23	did	do	VBD
cord-284453-topozldw	53	24	not	not	RB
cord-284453-topozldw	53	25	use	use	VB
cord-284453-topozldw	53	26	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	53	27	powerlaw	powerlaw	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	53	28	relation	relation	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	53	29	for	for	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	53	30	further	further	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	53	31	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	53	32	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	54	1	In	in	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	54	2	order	order	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	54	3	to	to	TO
cord-284453-topozldw	54	4	understand	understand	VB
cord-284453-topozldw	54	5	and	and	CC
cord-284453-topozldw	54	6	forecast	forecast	VB
cord-284453-topozldw	54	7	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	54	8	behavior	behavior	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	54	9	until	until	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	54	10	June	June	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	54	11	10	10	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	54	12	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	54	13	2020	2020	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	54	14	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	54	15	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-284453-topozldw	54	16	attempted	attempt	VBD
cord-284453-topozldw	54	17	a	a	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	54	18	quadratic	quadratic	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	54	19	and	and	CC
cord-284453-topozldw	54	20	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	54	21	fit	fit	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	54	22	to	to	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	54	23	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	54	24	data	datum	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	54	25	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	55	1	As	as	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	55	2	evident	evident	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	55	3	from	from	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	55	4	Fig.4	Fig.4	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	55	5	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	55	6	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	55	7	total	total	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	55	8	number	number	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	55	9	of	of	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	55	10	deaths	death	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	55	11	after	after	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	55	12	one	one	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	55	13	month	month	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	55	14	from	from	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	55	15	now	now	RB
cord-284453-topozldw	55	16	(	(	-LRB-
cord-284453-topozldw	55	17	10/05/2020	10/05/2020	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	55	18	)	)	-RRB-
cord-284453-topozldw	55	19	would	would	MD
cord-284453-topozldw	55	20	reach	reach	VB
cord-284453-topozldw	55	21	approximately	approximately	RB
cord-284453-topozldw	55	22	6182	6182	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	55	23	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	55	24	if	if	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	55	25	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	55	26	quadratic	quadratic	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	55	27	trend	trend	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	55	28	is	be	VBZ
cord-284453-topozldw	55	29	followed	follow	VBN
cord-284453-topozldw	55	30	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	56	1	Otherwise	otherwise	RB
cord-284453-topozldw	56	2	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	56	3	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	56	4	death	death	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	56	5	toll	toll	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	56	6	can	can	MD
cord-284453-topozldw	56	7	reach	reach	VB
cord-284453-topozldw	56	8	as	as	RB
cord-284453-topozldw	56	9	high	high	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	56	10	as	as	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	56	11	about	about	RB
cord-284453-topozldw	56	12	21,628	21,628	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	56	13	(	(	-LRB-
cord-284453-topozldw	56	14	±	±	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	56	15	5	5	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	56	16	%	%	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	56	17	)	)	-RRB-
cord-284453-topozldw	56	18	in	in	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	56	19	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	56	20	extreme	extreme	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	56	21	case	case	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	56	22	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	56	23	as	as	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	56	24	indicated	indicate	VBN
cord-284453-topozldw	56	25	by	by	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	56	26	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	56	27	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	56	28	trend	trend	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	56	29	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	57	1	Table	table	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	57	2	1	1	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	57	3	represents	represent	VBZ
cord-284453-topozldw	57	4	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	57	5	week	week	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	57	6	wise	wise	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	57	7	death	death	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	57	8	values	value	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	57	9	until	until	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	57	10	10	10	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	57	11	June	June	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	57	12	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	57	13	2020	2020	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	57	14	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	57	15	as	as	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	57	16	forecasted	forecast	VBN
cord-284453-topozldw	57	17	using	use	VBG
cord-284453-topozldw	57	18	quadratic	quadratic	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	57	19	simulation	simulation	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	57	20	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	58	1	Note	note	VB
cord-284453-topozldw	58	2	that	that	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	58	3	these	these	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	58	4	predictions	prediction	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	58	5	are	be	VBP
cord-284453-topozldw	58	6	statistical	statistical	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	58	7	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	58	8	and	and	CC
cord-284453-topozldw	58	9	assume	assume	VBP
cord-284453-topozldw	58	10	no	no	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	58	11	interventions	intervention	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	58	12	which	which	WDT
cord-284453-topozldw	58	13	are	be	VBP
cord-284453-topozldw	58	14	in	in	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	58	15	place	place	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	58	16	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	59	1	Results	result	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	59	2	are	be	VBP
cord-284453-topozldw	59	3	based	base	VBN
cord-284453-topozldw	59	4	on	on	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	59	5	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	59	6	most	most	RBS
cord-284453-topozldw	59	7	feasible	feasible	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	59	8	scenarios	scenario	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	59	9	and	and	CC
cord-284453-topozldw	59	10	may	may	MD
cord-284453-topozldw	59	11	vary	vary	VB
cord-284453-topozldw	59	12	in	in	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	59	13	actual	actual	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	59	14	cases	case	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	59	15	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	59	16	depending	depend	VBG
cord-284453-topozldw	59	17	upon	upon	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	59	18	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	59	19	situation	situation	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	59	20	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	60	1	Our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-284453-topozldw	60	2	two	two	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	60	3	approaches	approach	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	60	4	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	60	5	one	one	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	60	6	based	base	VBN
cord-284453-topozldw	60	7	on	on	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	60	8	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	60	9	fit	fit	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	60	10	to	to	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	60	11	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	60	12	data	datum	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	60	13	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	60	14	and	and	CC
cord-284453-topozldw	60	15	another	another	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	60	16	based	base	VBN
cord-284453-topozldw	60	17	on	on	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	60	18	simulating	simulate	VBG
cord-284453-topozldw	60	19	quadratic	quadratic	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	60	20	time	time	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	60	21	series	series	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	60	22	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	60	23	gave	give	VBD
cord-284453-topozldw	60	24	completely	completely	RB
cord-284453-topozldw	60	25	different	different	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	60	26	predictions	prediction	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	60	27	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	60	28	however	however	RB
cord-284453-topozldw	60	29	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	60	30	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-284453-topozldw	60	31	expect	expect	VBP
cord-284453-topozldw	60	32	them	-PRON-	PRP
cord-284453-topozldw	60	33	to	to	TO
cord-284453-topozldw	60	34	behave	behave	VB
cord-284453-topozldw	60	35	like	like	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	60	36	this	this	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	60	37	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	60	38	because	because	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	60	39	they	-PRON-	PRP
cord-284453-topozldw	60	40	are	be	VBP
cord-284453-topozldw	60	41	fundamentally	fundamentally	RB
cord-284453-topozldw	60	42	different	different	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	60	43	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	61	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-284453-topozldw	61	2	believe	believe	VBP
cord-284453-topozldw	61	3	that	that	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	61	4	these	these	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	61	5	two	two	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	61	6	methods	method	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	61	7	represent	represent	VBP
cord-284453-topozldw	61	8	upper	upper	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	61	9	and	and	CC
cord-284453-topozldw	61	10	lower	lower	RBR
cord-284453-topozldw	61	11	bound	bound	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	61	12	scenarios	scenario	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	61	13	of	of	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	61	14	possible	possible	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	61	15	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	61	16	deaths	death	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	61	17	in	in	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	61	18	India	India	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	61	19	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	61	20	which	which	WDT
cord-284453-topozldw	61	21	could	could	MD
cord-284453-topozldw	61	22	be	be	VB
cord-284453-topozldw	61	23	a	a	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	61	24	good	good	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	61	25	suggestion	suggestion	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	61	26	to	to	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	61	27	policy	policy	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	61	28	makers	maker	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	61	29	and	and	CC
cord-284453-topozldw	61	30	authorities	authority	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	61	31	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	62	1	None	none	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	62	2	of	of	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	62	3	these	these	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	62	4	methods	method	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	62	5	are	be	VBP
cord-284453-topozldw	62	6	meant	mean	VBN
cord-284453-topozldw	62	7	to	to	TO
cord-284453-topozldw	62	8	predict	predict	VB
cord-284453-topozldw	62	9	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	62	10	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	62	11	and	and	CC
cord-284453-topozldw	62	12	determine	determine	VB
cord-284453-topozldw	62	13	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	62	14	life	life	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	62	15	span	span	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	62	16	of	of	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	62	17	a	a	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	62	18	pandemic	pandemic	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	62	19	in	in	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	62	20	terms	term	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	62	21	of	of	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	62	22	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	62	23	number	number	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	62	24	of	of	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	62	25	days/	days/	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	62	26	months	month	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	62	27	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	63	1	The	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	63	2	methods	method	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	63	3	presented	present	VBN
cord-284453-topozldw	63	4	here	here	RB
cord-284453-topozldw	63	5	are	be	VBP
cord-284453-topozldw	63	6	very	very	RB
cord-284453-topozldw	63	7	good	good	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	63	8	indicators	indicator	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	63	9	to	to	TO
cord-284453-topozldw	63	10	model	model	VB
cord-284453-topozldw	63	11	dynamic	dynamic	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	63	12	data	datum	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	63	13	and	and	CC
cord-284453-topozldw	63	14	draw	draw	VB
cord-284453-topozldw	63	15	short	short	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	63	16	term	term	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	63	17	Fig.3	Fig.3	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	63	18	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	64	1	Shows	show	VBZ
cord-284453-topozldw	64	2	a	a	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	64	3	log	log	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	64	4	-	-	HYPH
cord-284453-topozldw	64	5	log	log	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	64	6	plot	plot	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	64	7	of	of	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	64	8	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	64	9	total	total	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	64	10	number	number	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	64	11	of	of	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	64	12	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	64	13	related	related	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	64	14	deaths	death	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	64	15	in	in	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	64	16	India	India	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	64	17	(	(	-LRB-
cord-284453-topozldw	64	18	blue	blue	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	64	19	curve	curve	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	64	20	)	)	-RRB-
cord-284453-topozldw	64	21	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	64	22	starting	start	VBG
cord-284453-topozldw	64	23	from	from	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	64	24	11	11	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	64	25	March	March	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	64	26	2020	2020	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	64	27	until	until	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	64	28	12	12	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	64	29	April	April	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	64	30	2020	2020	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	64	31	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	65	1	A	a	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	65	2	power	power	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	65	3	law	law	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	65	4	curve	curve	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	65	5	fit	fit	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	65	6	to	to	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	65	7	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	65	8	data	datum	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	65	9	(	(	-LRB-
cord-284453-topozldw	65	10	excluding	exclude	VBG
cord-284453-topozldw	65	11	initial	initial	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	65	12	7	7	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	65	13	data	data	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	65	14	points	point	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	65	15	to	to	TO
cord-284453-topozldw	65	16	obtain	obtain	VB
cord-284453-topozldw	65	17	a	a	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	65	18	more	more	RBR
cord-284453-topozldw	65	19	robust	robust	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	65	20	fit	fit	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	65	21	)	)	-RRB-
cord-284453-topozldw	65	22	is	be	VBZ
cord-284453-topozldw	65	23	shown	show	VBN
cord-284453-topozldw	65	24	in	in	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	65	25	orange	orange	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	65	26	color	color	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	65	27	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	66	1	According	accord	VBG
cord-284453-topozldw	66	2	to	to	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	66	3	power	power	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	66	4	law	law	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	66	5	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	66	6	two	two	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	66	7	prediction	prediction	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	66	8	dates	date	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	66	9	marked	mark	VBN
cord-284453-topozldw	66	10	by	by	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	66	11	red	red	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	66	12	plus	plus	CC
cord-284453-topozldw	66	13	sign	sign	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	66	14	correspond	correspond	VBP
cord-284453-topozldw	66	15	to	to	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	66	16	19	19	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	66	17	and	and	CC
cord-284453-topozldw	66	18	26	26	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	66	19	April	April	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	66	20	2020	2020	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	66	21	respectively	respectively	RB
cord-284453-topozldw	66	22	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	66	23	and	and	CC
cord-284453-topozldw	66	24	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	66	25	corresponding	correspond	VBG
cord-284453-topozldw	66	26	death	death	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	66	27	toll	toll	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	66	28	was	be	VBD
cord-284453-topozldw	66	29	approximately	approximately	RB
cord-284453-topozldw	66	30	509	509	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	66	31	and	and	CC
cord-284453-topozldw	66	32	909	909	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	66	33	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	67	1	inference	inference	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	67	2	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	68	1	For	for	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	68	2	instance	instance	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	68	3	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	68	4	in	in	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	68	5	Fig.4	Fig.4	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	68	6	if	if	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	68	7	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	68	8	actual	actual	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	68	9	number	number	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	68	10	of	of	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	68	11	deaths	death	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	68	12	go	go	VBP
cord-284453-topozldw	68	13	below	below	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	68	14	quadratic	quadratic	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	68	15	fit	fit	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	68	16	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	68	17	then	then	RB
cord-284453-topozldw	68	18	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-284453-topozldw	68	19	can	can	MD
cord-284453-topozldw	68	20	assume	assume	VB
cord-284453-topozldw	68	21	that	that	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	68	22	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	68	23	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	68	24	is	be	VBZ
cord-284453-topozldw	68	25	in	in	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	68	26	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	68	27	decline	decline	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	68	28	phase	phase	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	68	29	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	68	30	however	however	RB
cord-284453-topozldw	68	31	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	68	32	if	if	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	68	33	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	68	34	number	number	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	68	35	of	of	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	68	36	deaths	death	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	68	37	increases	increase	VBZ
cord-284453-topozldw	68	38	more	more	JJR
cord-284453-topozldw	68	39	than	than	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	68	40	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	68	41	fit	fit	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	68	42	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	68	43	then	then	RB
cord-284453-topozldw	68	44	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-284453-topozldw	68	45	can	can	MD
cord-284453-topozldw	68	46	not	not	RB
cord-284453-topozldw	68	47	rule	rule	VB
cord-284453-topozldw	68	48	out	out	RP
cord-284453-topozldw	68	49	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	68	50	possibility	possibility	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	68	51	of	of	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	68	52	further	further	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	68	53	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	68	54	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	69	1	Results	result	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	69	2	presented	present	VBN
cord-284453-topozldw	69	3	in	in	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	69	4	Fig	Fig	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	69	5	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	70	1	4	4	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	70	2	are	be	VBP
cord-284453-topozldw	70	3	more	more	RBR
cord-284453-topozldw	70	4	realistic	realistic	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	70	5	and	and	CC
cord-284453-topozldw	70	6	fundamentally	fundamentally	RB
cord-284453-topozldw	70	7	more	more	RBR
cord-284453-topozldw	70	8	robust	robust	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	70	9	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	70	10	where	where	WRB
cord-284453-topozldw	70	11	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	70	12	effects	effect	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	70	13	of	of	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	70	14	constraints	constraint	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	70	15	such	such	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	70	16	as	as	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	70	17	social	social	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	70	18	distancing	distancing	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	70	19	and	and	CC
cord-284453-topozldw	70	20	lockdown	lockdown	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	70	21	are	be	VBP
cord-284453-topozldw	70	22	baked	bake	VBN
cord-284453-topozldw	70	23	within	within	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	70	24	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	70	25	data	datum	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	70	26	used	use	VBN
cord-284453-topozldw	70	27	to	to	TO
cord-284453-topozldw	70	28	create	create	VB
cord-284453-topozldw	70	29	a	a	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	70	30	simulated	simulated	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	70	31	time	time	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	70	32	series	series	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	70	33	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	71	1	In	in	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	71	2	order	order	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	71	3	to	to	TO
cord-284453-topozldw	71	4	forecast	forecast	VB
cord-284453-topozldw	71	5	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	71	6	final	final	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	71	7	size	size	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	71	8	of	of	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	71	9	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	71	10	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	71	11	pandemic	pandemic	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	71	12	in	in	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	71	13	India	India	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	71	14	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	71	15	a	a	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	71	16	data	data	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	71	17	-	-	HYPH
cord-284453-topozldw	71	18	driven	drive	VBN
cord-284453-topozldw	71	19	SIR	SIR	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	71	20	model	model	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	71	21	is	be	VBZ
cord-284453-topozldw	71	22	employed	employ	VBN
cord-284453-topozldw	71	23	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	72	1	The	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	72	2	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	72	3	pandemic	pandemic	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	72	4	life	life	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	72	5	cycle	cycle	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	72	6	(	(	-LRB-
cord-284453-topozldw	72	7	spread	spread	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	72	8	)	)	-RRB-
cord-284453-topozldw	72	9	pattern	pattern	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	72	10	is	be	VBZ
cord-284453-topozldw	72	11	anticipated	anticipate	VBN
cord-284453-topozldw	72	12	to	to	TO
cord-284453-topozldw	72	13	be	be	VB
cord-284453-topozldw	72	14	"	"	``
cord-284453-topozldw	72	15	bell	bell	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	72	16	-	-	HYPH
cord-284453-topozldw	72	17	shaped	shape	VBN
cord-284453-topozldw	72	18	"	"	''
cord-284453-topozldw	72	19	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	72	20	as	as	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	72	21	indicated	indicate	VBN
cord-284453-topozldw	72	22	by	by	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	72	23	Fig	Fig	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	72	24	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	73	1	5	5	LS
cord-284453-topozldw	73	2	(	(	-LRB-
cord-284453-topozldw	73	3	b	b	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	73	4	)	)	-RRB-
cord-284453-topozldw	73	5	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	74	1	This	this	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	74	2	helps	help	VBZ
cord-284453-topozldw	74	3	to	to	TO
cord-284453-topozldw	74	4	detect	detect	VB
cord-284453-topozldw	74	5	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	74	6	inflection	inflection	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	74	7	point	point	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	74	8	and	and	CC
cord-284453-topozldw	74	9	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	74	10	peak	peak	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	74	11	of	of	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	74	12	infections	infection	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	74	13	to	to	TO
cord-284453-topozldw	74	14	distinguish	distinguish	VB
cord-284453-topozldw	74	15	acceleration	acceleration	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	74	16	and	and	CC
cord-284453-topozldw	74	17	deacceleration	deacceleration	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	74	18	phases	phase	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	74	19	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	75	1	The	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	75	2	results	result	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	75	3	suggest	suggest	VBP
cord-284453-topozldw	75	4	that	that	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	75	5	infected	infected	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	75	6	cases	case	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	75	7	in	in	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	75	8	India	India	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	75	9	are	be	VBP
cord-284453-topozldw	75	10	at	at	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	75	11	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	75	12	acceleration	acceleration	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	75	13	phase	phase	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	75	14	(	(	-LRB-
cord-284453-topozldw	75	15	initiation	initiation	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	75	16	of	of	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	75	17	its	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-284453-topozldw	75	18	inflection	inflection	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	75	19	point	point	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	75	20	)	)	-RRB-
cord-284453-topozldw	75	21	and	and	CC
cord-284453-topozldw	75	22	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	75	23	size	size	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	75	24	of	of	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	75	25	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	75	26	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	75	27	will	will	MD
cord-284453-topozldw	75	28	be	be	VB
cord-284453-topozldw	75	29	about	about	RB
cord-284453-topozldw	75	30	167,200	167,200	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	75	31	infected	infect	VBN
cord-284453-topozldw	75	32	cases	case	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	75	33	until	until	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	75	34	10	10	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	75	35	June	June	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	75	36	2020	2020	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	75	37	(	(	-LRB-
cord-284453-topozldw	75	38	Fig.5a	Fig.5a	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	75	39	)	)	-RRB-
cord-284453-topozldw	75	40	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	76	1	Note	note	VB
cord-284453-topozldw	76	2	that	that	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	76	3	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	76	4	early	early	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	76	5	segment	segment	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	76	6	of	of	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	76	7	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	76	8	curve	curve	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	76	9	is	be	VBZ
cord-284453-topozldw	76	10	fitted	fit	VBN
cord-284453-topozldw	76	11	with	with	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	76	12	data	datum	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	76	13	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	76	14	whereas	whereas	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	76	15	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	76	16	remaining	remain	VBG
cord-284453-topozldw	76	17	segment	segment	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	76	18	is	be	VBZ
cord-284453-topozldw	76	19	predicted	predict	VBN
cord-284453-topozldw	76	20	based	base	VBN
cord-284453-topozldw	76	21	on	on	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	76	22	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	76	23	SIR	SIR	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	76	24	model	model	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	76	25	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	77	1	This	this	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	77	2	model	model	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	77	3	assumes	assume	VBZ
cord-284453-topozldw	77	4	that	that	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	77	5	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-284453-topozldw	77	6	is	be	VBZ
cord-284453-topozldw	77	7	a	a	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	77	8	rational	rational	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	77	9	portrayal	portrayal	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	77	10	of	of	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	77	11	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	77	12	one	one	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	77	13	-	-	HYPH
cord-284453-topozldw	77	14	stage	stage	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	77	15	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	77	16	and	and	CC
cord-284453-topozldw	77	17	represents	represent	VBZ
cord-284453-topozldw	77	18	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	77	19	dynamic	dynamic	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	77	20	process	process	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	77	21	of	of	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	77	22	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	77	23	infections	infection	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	77	24	in	in	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	77	25	a	a	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	77	26	population	population	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	77	27	over	over	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	77	28	a	a	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	77	29	specific	specific	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	77	30	time	time	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	77	31	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	78	1	Hence	hence	RB
cord-284453-topozldw	78	2	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	78	3	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	78	4	forecast	forecast	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	78	5	is	be	VBZ
cord-284453-topozldw	78	6	as	as	RB
cord-284453-topozldw	78	7	good	good	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	78	8	as	as	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	78	9	data	datum	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	78	10	are	be	VBP
cord-284453-topozldw	78	11	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	79	1	The	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	79	2	forecasting	forecasting	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	79	3	may	may	MD
cord-284453-topozldw	79	4	vary	vary	VB
cord-284453-topozldw	79	5	with	with	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	79	6	new	new	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	79	7	data	datum	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	79	8	or	or	CC
cord-284453-topozldw	79	9	altered	alter	VBN
cord-284453-topozldw	79	10	data	datum	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	79	11	(	(	-LRB-
cord-284453-topozldw	79	12	Batista	Batista	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	79	13	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	79	14	2020	2020	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	79	15	)	)	-RRB-
cord-284453-topozldw	79	16	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	80	1	In	in	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	80	2	this	this	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	80	3	note	note	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	80	4	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	80	5	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-284453-topozldw	80	6	have	have	VBP
cord-284453-topozldw	80	7	presented	present	VBN
cord-284453-topozldw	80	8	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	80	9	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	80	10	of	of	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	80	11	short	short	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	80	12	-	-	HYPH
cord-284453-topozldw	80	13	term	term	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	80	14	forecasting	forecasting	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	80	15	of	of	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	80	16	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	80	17	infections	infection	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	80	18	in	in	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	80	19	India	India	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	80	20	based	base	VBN
cord-284453-topozldw	80	21	on	on	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	80	22	SIR	SIR	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	80	23	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	80	24	quadratic	quadratic	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	80	25	and	and	CC
cord-284453-topozldw	80	26	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	80	27	approaches	approach	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	80	28	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	81	1	If	if	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	81	2	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	81	3	situation	situation	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	81	4	remains	remain	VBZ
cord-284453-topozldw	81	5	stable	stable	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	81	6	and	and	CC
cord-284453-topozldw	81	7	data	datum	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	81	8	collection	collection	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	81	9	methods	method	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	81	10	do	do	VBP
cord-284453-topozldw	81	11	not	not	RB
cord-284453-topozldw	81	12	change	change	VB
cord-284453-topozldw	81	13	much	much	RB
cord-284453-topozldw	81	14	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	81	15	then	then	RB
cord-284453-topozldw	81	16	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	81	17	predicted	predict	VBN
cord-284453-topozldw	81	18	total	total	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	81	19	number	number	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	81	20	of	of	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	81	21	deaths	death	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	81	22	due	due	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	81	23	to	to	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	81	24	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	81	25	pandemic	pandemic	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	81	26	until	until	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	81	27	10	10	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	81	28	June	June	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	81	29	2020	2020	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	81	30	will	will	MD
cord-284453-topozldw	81	31	be	be	VB
cord-284453-topozldw	81	32	about	about	RB
cord-284453-topozldw	81	33	6182	6182	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	81	34	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	82	1	These	these	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	82	2	two	two	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	82	3	predictions	prediction	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	82	4	provide	provide	VBP
cord-284453-topozldw	82	5	us	-PRON-	PRP
cord-284453-topozldw	82	6	bounds	bound	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	82	7	of	of	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	82	8	deaths	death	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	82	9	forecasted	forecast	VBN
cord-284453-topozldw	82	10	for	for	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	82	11	two	two	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	82	12	different	different	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	82	13	scenarios	scenario	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	82	14	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	82	15	i.e.	i.e.	FW
cord-284453-topozldw	82	16	usual	usual	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	82	17	trend	trend	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	82	18	and	and	CC
cord-284453-topozldw	82	19	extreme	extreme	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	82	20	case	case	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	82	21	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	83	1	Uncertainty	uncertainty	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	83	2	prevails	prevail	VBZ
cord-284453-topozldw	83	3	in	in	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	83	4	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	83	5	future	future	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	83	6	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	83	7	regardless	regardless	RB
cord-284453-topozldw	83	8	of	of	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	83	9	model	model	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	83	10	and	and	CC
cord-284453-topozldw	83	11	data	datum	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	83	12	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	83	13	which	which	WDT
cord-284453-topozldw	83	14	need	need	VBP
cord-284453-topozldw	83	15	to	to	TO
cord-284453-topozldw	83	16	be	be	VB
cord-284453-topozldw	83	17	kept	keep	VBN
cord-284453-topozldw	83	18	in	in	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	83	19	mind	mind	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	83	20	while	while	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	83	21	doing	do	VBG
cord-284453-topozldw	83	22	or	or	CC
cord-284453-topozldw	83	23	reading	read	VBG
cord-284453-topozldw	83	24	any	any	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	83	25	prediction	prediction	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	83	26	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	83	27	and	and	CC
cord-284453-topozldw	83	28	forecasting	forecasting	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	84	1	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	84	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-284453-topozldw	84	3	not	not	RB
cord-284453-topozldw	84	4	an	an	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	84	5	exception	exception	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	84	6	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	85	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-284453-topozldw	85	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-284453-topozldw	85	3	commendable	commendable	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	85	4	that	that	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	85	5	India	India	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	85	6	despite	despite	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	85	7	having	have	VBG
cord-284453-topozldw	85	8	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	85	9	largest	large	JJS
cord-284453-topozldw	85	10	population	population	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	85	11	density	density	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	85	12	managed	manage	VBD
cord-284453-topozldw	85	13	to	to	TO
cord-284453-topozldw	85	14	limit	limit	VB
cord-284453-topozldw	85	15	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	85	16	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	85	17	with	with	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	85	18	its	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-284453-topozldw	85	19	timely	timely	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	85	20	intervention	intervention	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	85	21	in	in	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	85	22	terms	term	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	85	23	of	of	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	85	24	country	country	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	85	25	lockdown	lockdown	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	85	26	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	86	1	Nevertheless	nevertheless	RB
cord-284453-topozldw	86	2	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	86	3	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	86	4	present	present	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	86	5	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	86	6	would	would	MD
cord-284453-topozldw	86	7	be	be	VB
cord-284453-topozldw	86	8	very	very	RB
cord-284453-topozldw	86	9	helpful	helpful	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	86	10	to	to	TO
cord-284453-topozldw	86	11	deal	deal	VB
cord-284453-topozldw	86	12	with	with	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	86	13	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	86	14	unwanted	unwanted	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	86	15	future	future	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	86	16	rising	rise	VBG
cord-284453-topozldw	86	17	trend	trend	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	86	18	of	of	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	86	19	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	86	20	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	86	21	infections	infection	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	86	22	in	in	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	86	23	India	India	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	86	24	and	and	CC
cord-284453-topozldw	86	25	develop	develop	VB
cord-284453-topozldw	86	26	guidelines	guideline	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	86	27	or	or	CC
cord-284453-topozldw	86	28	strategies	strategy	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	86	29	to	to	TO
cord-284453-topozldw	86	30	contain	contain	VB
cord-284453-topozldw	86	31	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	86	32	pandemic	pandemic	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	86	33	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	87	1	Fig	Fig	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	87	2	.	.	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	87	3	4	4	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	87	4	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	88	1	Shows	show	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	88	2	total	total	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	88	3	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	88	4	deaths	death	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	88	5	in	in	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	88	6	India	India	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	88	7	and	and	CC
cord-284453-topozldw	88	8	simulation	simulation	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	88	9	of	of	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	88	10	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	88	11	deaths	death	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	88	12	with	with	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	88	13	confidence	confidence	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	88	14	intervals	interval	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	88	15	of	of	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	88	16	95	95	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	88	17	%	%	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	88	18	(	(	-LRB-
cord-284453-topozldw	88	19	red	red	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	88	20	curve	curve	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	88	21	)	)	-RRB-
cord-284453-topozldw	88	22	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	89	1	Please	please	UH
cord-284453-topozldw	89	2	note	note	VB
cord-284453-topozldw	89	3	this	this	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	89	4	is	be	VBZ
cord-284453-topozldw	89	5	not	not	RB
cord-284453-topozldw	89	6	just	just	RB
cord-284453-topozldw	89	7	a	a	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	89	8	curve	curve	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	89	9	-	-	HYPH
cord-284453-topozldw	89	10	fitting	fit	VBG
cord-284453-topozldw	89	11	exercise	exercise	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	89	12	(	(	-LRB-
cord-284453-topozldw	89	13	actual	actual	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	89	14	reported	report	VBN
cord-284453-topozldw	89	15	deaths	death	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	89	16	are	be	VBP
cord-284453-topozldw	89	17	represented	represent	VBN
cord-284453-topozldw	89	18	by	by	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	89	19	blue	blue	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	89	20	curve	curve	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	89	21	)	)	-RRB-
cord-284453-topozldw	89	22	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	89	23	rather	rather	RB
cord-284453-topozldw	89	24	a	a	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	89	25	pure	pure	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	89	26	simulation	simulation	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	89	27	of	of	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	89	28	time	time	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	89	29	series	series	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	89	30	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	90	1	Shows	show	VBZ
cord-284453-topozldw	90	2	results	result	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	90	3	from	from	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	90	4	SIR	SIR	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	90	5	model	model	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	90	6	:	:	:
cord-284453-topozldw	90	7	(	(	-LRB-
cord-284453-topozldw	90	8	a	a	LS
cord-284453-topozldw	90	9	)	)	-RRB-
cord-284453-topozldw	90	10	total	total	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	90	11	number	number	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	90	12	of	of	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	90	13	predicted	predict	VBN
cord-284453-topozldw	90	14	together	together	RB
cord-284453-topozldw	90	15	with	with	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	90	16	observed	observed	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	90	17	cases	case	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	90	18	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	90	19	and	and	CC
cord-284453-topozldw	90	20	(	(	-LRB-
cord-284453-topozldw	90	21	b	b	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	90	22	)	)	-RRB-
cord-284453-topozldw	90	23	number	number	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	90	24	of	of	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	90	25	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	90	26	cases	case	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	90	27	per	per	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	90	28	day	day	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	90	29	in	in	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	90	30	India	India	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	90	31	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	91	1	The	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	91	2	different	different	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	91	3	colour	colour	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	91	4	shades	shade	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	91	5	represent	represent	VBP
cord-284453-topozldw	91	6	various	various	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	91	7	epidemy	epidemy	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	91	8	phases	phase	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	91	9	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	91	10	e.g.	e.g.	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	91	11	red	red	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	91	12	=	=	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	91	13	fast	fast	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	91	14	growing	growing	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	91	15	phase	phase	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	91	16	;	;	:
cord-284453-topozldw	91	17	yellow	yellow	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	91	18	=	=	SYM
cord-284453-topozldw	91	19	transition	transition	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	91	20	to	to	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	91	21	steady	steady	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	91	22	-	-	HYPH
cord-284453-topozldw	91	23	state	state	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	91	24	phase	phase	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	91	25	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	91	26	and	and	CC
cord-284453-topozldw	91	27	green	green	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	91	28	=	=	SYM
cord-284453-topozldw	91	29	conclusion	conclusion	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	91	30	phase	phase	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	91	31	(	(	-LRB-
cord-284453-topozldw	91	32	plateau	plateau	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	91	33	stage	stage	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	91	34	)	)	-RRB-
cord-284453-topozldw	91	35	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	92	1	DOI	DOI	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	92	2	:	:	:
cord-284453-topozldw	93	1	10.1007	10.1007	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	93	2	DOI	DOI	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	93	3	:	:	:
cord-284453-topozldw	93	4	10	10	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	93	5	.	.	.
cord-284453-topozldw	94	1	/s12594	/s12594	LS
cord-284453-topozldw	94	2	-	-	HYPH
cord-284453-topozldw	94	3	020	020	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	94	4	-	-	HYPH
cord-284453-topozldw	94	5	1492	1492	CD
cord-284453-topozldw	94	6	 	 	_SP
cord-284453-topozldw	94	7	Fractal	Fractal	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	94	8	Models	Models	NNPS
cord-284453-topozldw	94	9	in	in	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	94	10	Exploration	Exploration	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	94	11	Geophysics	Geophysics	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	94	12	:	:	:
cord-284453-topozldw	94	13	Applications	application	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	94	14	to	to	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	94	15	Hydrocarbon	Hydrocarbon	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	94	16	Reservoirs	Reservoirs	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	94	17	Fractal	Fractal	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	94	18	Behaviour	Behaviour	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	94	19	of	of	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	94	20	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	94	21	Earth	Earth	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	94	22	System	System	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	94	23	Analysis	Analysis	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	94	24	and	and	CC
cord-284453-topozldw	94	25	forecast	forecast	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	94	26	of	of	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	94	27	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	94	28	spreading	spreading	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	94	29	in	in	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	94	30	China	China	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	94	31	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	94	32	Italy	Italy	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	94	33	and	and	CC
cord-284453-topozldw	94	34	France	France	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	94	35	Ending	end	VBG
cord-284453-topozldw	94	36	coronavirus	coronavirus	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	94	37	lockdowns	lockdown	NNS
cord-284453-topozldw	94	38	will	will	MD
cord-284453-topozldw	94	39	be	be	VB
cord-284453-topozldw	94	40	a	a	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	94	41	dangerous	dangerous	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	94	42	process	process	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	94	43	of	of	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	94	44	trial	trial	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	94	45	and	and	CC
cord-284453-topozldw	94	46	error	error	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	95	1	The	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	95	2	Mathematics	Mathematics	NNPS
cord-284453-topozldw	95	3	of	of	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	95	4	Infectious	Infectious	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	95	5	Diseases	Diseases	NNPS
cord-284453-topozldw	95	6	Epidemic	Epidemic	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	95	7	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	95	8	of	of	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	95	9	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	95	10	in	in	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	95	11	China	China	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	95	12	by	by	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	95	13	dynamical	dynamical	JJ
cord-284453-topozldw	95	14	modeling	modeling	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	96	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-284453-topozldw	96	2	thank	thank	VBP
cord-284453-topozldw	96	3	Director	Director	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	96	4	,	,	,
cord-284453-topozldw	96	5	CSIR	CSIR	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	96	6	-	-	HYPH
cord-284453-topozldw	96	7	NGRI	NGRI	NNP
cord-284453-topozldw	96	8	for	for	IN
cord-284453-topozldw	96	9	support	support	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	96	10	and	and	CC
cord-284453-topozldw	96	11	permission	permission	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	96	12	to	to	TO
cord-284453-topozldw	96	13	publish	publish	VB
cord-284453-topozldw	96	14	the	the	DT
cord-284453-topozldw	96	15	work	work	NN
cord-284453-topozldw	96	16	.	.	.