id sid tid token lemma pos cord-260039-k9rs3dql 1 1 key key JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 1 2 : : : cord-260039-k9rs3dql 1 3 cord-260039-k9rs3dql cord-260039-k9rs3dql NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 1 4 authors author NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 1 5 : : : cord-260039-k9rs3dql 1 6 Doerre Doerre NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 1 7 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 1 8 A. a. NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 1 9 ; ; : cord-260039-k9rs3dql 1 10 Doblhammer Doblhammer NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 1 11 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 1 12 G. G. NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 1 13 title title NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 1 14 : : : cord-260039-k9rs3dql 2 1 Age- Age- NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 2 2 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 2 3 Sex sex NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 2 4 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 2 5 Specific specific JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 2 6 Modelling modelling NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 2 7 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 2 8 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 2 9 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 2 10 Epidemic Epidemic NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 2 11 date date NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 2 12 : : : cord-260039-k9rs3dql 2 13 2020 2020 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 2 14 - - SYM cord-260039-k9rs3dql 2 15 10 10 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 2 16 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 2 17 08 08 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 2 18 journal journal NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 2 19 : : : cord-260039-k9rs3dql 3 1 nan nan NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 3 2 DOI DOI NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 3 3 : : : cord-260039-k9rs3dql 4 1 10.1101/2020.10.06.20207951 10.1101/2020.10.06.20207951 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 4 2 sha sha NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 4 3 : : : cord-260039-k9rs3dql 4 4 7629eb0a2ee766f95863de2fdeb6b5a8e830383f 7629eb0a2ee766f95863de2fdeb6b5a8e830383f CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 4 5 doc_id doc_id CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 4 6 : : : cord-260039-k9rs3dql 4 7 260039 260039 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 4 8 cord_uid cord_uid NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 4 9 : : : cord-260039-k9rs3dql 5 1 k9rs3dql k9rs3dql NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 5 2 Background Background NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 5 3 : : : cord-260039-k9rs3dql 6 1 Recent recent JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 6 2 research research NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 6 3 points point NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 6 4 towards towards IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 6 5 age- age- NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 7 1 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 7 2 sex sex NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 7 3 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 7 4 specific specific JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 7 5 transmission transmission NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 7 6 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 7 7 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 7 8 infections infection NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 7 9 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 7 10 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 7 11 outcomes outcome NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 7 12 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 8 1 The the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 8 2 effect effect NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 8 3 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 8 4 sex sex NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 8 5 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 8 6 however however RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 8 7 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 8 8 has have VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 8 9 been be VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 8 10 overlooked overlook VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 8 11 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 8 12 past past JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 8 13 modelling modelling NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 8 14 approaches approach NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 8 15 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 8 16 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 8 17 infections infection NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 8 18 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 9 1 Aim aim VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 9 2 : : : cord-260039-k9rs3dql 9 3 The the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 9 4 aim aim NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 9 5 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 9 6 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 9 7 study study NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 9 8 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 9 9 to to TO cord-260039-k9rs3dql 9 10 develop develop VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 9 11 an an DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 9 12 age- age- NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 9 13 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 9 14 sex sex NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 9 15 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 9 16 specific specific JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 9 17 model model NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 9 18 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 9 19 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 9 20 transmission transmission NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 9 21 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 9 22 to to TO cord-260039-k9rs3dql 9 23 explore explore VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 9 24 how how WRB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 9 25 contact contact NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 9 26 changes change NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 9 27 effect effect VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 9 28 COVID-19 covid-19 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 9 29 infection infection NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 9 30 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 9 31 death death NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 9 32 rates rate NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 9 33 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 10 1 Method method NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 10 2 : : : cord-260039-k9rs3dql 11 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 11 2 consider consider VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 11 3 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 11 4 compartment compartment NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 11 5 model model NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 11 6 to to TO cord-260039-k9rs3dql 11 7 establish establish VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 11 8 forecasts forecast NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 11 9 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 11 10 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 11 11 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 11 12 epidemic epidemic NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 11 13 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 11 14 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 11 15 which which WDT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 11 16 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 11 17 compartments compartment NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 11 18 are be VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 11 19 subdivided subdivide VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 11 20 into into IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 11 21 different different JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 11 22 age age NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 11 23 groups group NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 11 24 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 11 25 genders gender NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 11 26 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 12 1 Estimated estimate VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 12 2 contact contact NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 12 3 patterns pattern NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 12 4 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 12 5 based base VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 12 6 on on IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 12 7 other other JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 12 8 studies study NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 12 9 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 12 10 are be VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 12 11 incorporated incorporate VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 12 12 to to TO cord-260039-k9rs3dql 12 13 account account VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 12 14 for for IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 12 15 age- age- NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 13 1 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 13 2 sex sex NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 13 3 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 13 4 specific specific JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 13 5 social social JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 13 6 behaviour behaviour NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 13 7 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 14 1 The the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 14 2 model model NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 14 3 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 14 4 fitted fit VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 14 5 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 14 6 real real JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 14 7 data datum NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 14 8 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 14 9 used use VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 14 10 for for IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 14 11 assessing assess VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 14 12 hypothetical hypothetical JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 14 13 scenarios scenario NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 14 14 with with IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 14 15 regard regard NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 14 16 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 14 17 lockdown lockdown NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 14 18 measures measure NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 14 19 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 15 1 Results result NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 15 2 : : : cord-260039-k9rs3dql 16 1 Under under IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 16 2 current current JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 16 3 mitigation mitigation NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 16 4 measures measure NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 16 5 as as IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 16 6 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 16 7 mid mid NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 16 8 - - NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 16 9 August August NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 16 10 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 16 11 active active JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 16 12 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 16 13 cases case NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 16 14 will will MD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 16 15 double double VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 16 16 by by IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 16 17 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 16 18 end end NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 16 19 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 16 20 October October NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 16 21 2020 2020 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 16 22 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 17 1 Infection infection NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 17 2 rates rate NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 17 3 will will MD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 17 4 be be VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 17 5 highest high JJS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 17 6 among among IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 17 7 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 17 8 young young JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 17 9 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 17 10 working work VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 17 11 ages age NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 17 12 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 17 13 but but CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 17 14 will will MD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 17 15 also also RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 17 16 rise rise VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 17 17 among among IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 17 18 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 17 19 old old JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 17 20 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 18 1 Sex sex NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 18 2 ratios ratio NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 18 3 reveal reveal VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 18 4 higher high JJR cord-260039-k9rs3dql 18 5 infection infection NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 18 6 risks risk NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 18 7 among among IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 18 8 women woman NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 18 9 than than IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 18 10 men man NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 18 11 at at IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 18 12 working work VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 18 13 ages age NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 18 14 ; ; : cord-260039-k9rs3dql 18 15 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 18 16 opposite opposite NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 18 17 holds hold VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 18 18 true true JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 18 19 at at IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 18 20 old old JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 18 21 age age NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 18 22 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 19 1 Death death NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 19 2 rates rate NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 19 3 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 19 4 all all DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 19 5 age age NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 19 6 groups group NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 19 7 are be VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 19 8 twice twice RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 19 9 as as RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 19 10 high high JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 19 11 among among IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 19 12 men man NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 19 13 as as IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 19 14 women woman NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 19 15 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 20 1 Small small JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 20 2 changes change NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 20 3 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 20 4 contact contact NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 20 5 rates rate NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 20 6 at at IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 20 7 working working NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 20 8 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 20 9 young young JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 20 10 ages age NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 20 11 may may MD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 20 12 have have VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 20 13 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 20 14 considerable considerable JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 20 15 effect effect NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 20 16 on on IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 20 17 infections infection NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 20 18 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 20 19 mortality mortality NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 20 20 at at IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 20 21 old old JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 20 22 age age NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 20 23 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 20 24 with with IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 20 25 elderly elderly JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 20 26 men man NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 20 27 being be VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 20 28 always always RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 20 29 at at IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 20 30 higher high JJR cord-260039-k9rs3dql 20 31 risk risk NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 20 32 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 20 33 infection infection NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 20 34 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 20 35 mortality mortality NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 20 36 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 21 1 Discussion discussion NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 21 2 : : : cord-260039-k9rs3dql 22 1 Our -PRON- PRP$ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 22 2 results result NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 22 3 underline underline VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 22 4 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 22 5 high high JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 22 6 importance importance NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 22 7 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 22 8 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 22 9 non non JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 22 10 - - JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 22 11 pharmaceutical pharmaceutical JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 22 12 mitigation mitigation NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 22 13 measures measure NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 22 14 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 22 15 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 22 16 current current JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 22 17 phase phase NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 22 18 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 22 19 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 22 20 pandemic pandemic NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 22 21 to to TO cord-260039-k9rs3dql 22 22 prevent prevent VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 22 23 that that IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 22 24 an an DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 22 25 increase increase NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 22 26 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 22 27 contact contact NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 22 28 rates rate NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 22 29 leads lead VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 22 30 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 22 31 higher high JJR cord-260039-k9rs3dql 22 32 mortality mortality NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 22 33 among among IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 22 34 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 22 35 elderly elderly JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 22 36 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 23 1 Gender gender NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 23 2 differences difference NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 23 3 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 23 4 contact contact NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 23 5 rates rate NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 23 6 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 23 7 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 23 8 addition addition NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 23 9 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 23 10 biological biological JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 23 11 mechanisms mechanism NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 23 12 related relate VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 23 13 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 23 14 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 23 15 immune immune JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 23 16 system system NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 23 17 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 23 18 may may MD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 23 19 contribute contribute VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 23 20 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 23 21 sex sex NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 23 22 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 23 23 specific specific JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 23 24 infection infection NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 23 25 rates rate NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 23 26 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 23 27 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 23 28 mortality mortality NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 23 29 outcome outcome NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 23 30 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 24 1 To to TO cord-260039-k9rs3dql 24 2 further further RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 24 3 explore explore VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 24 4 possible possible JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 24 5 pathways pathway NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 24 6 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 24 7 more more JJR cord-260039-k9rs3dql 24 8 data datum NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 24 9 on on IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 24 10 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 24 11 transmission transmission NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 24 12 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 24 13 needed need VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 24 14 which which WDT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 24 15 includes include VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 24 16 socio socio JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 24 17 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 24 18 demographic demographic JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 24 19 information information NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 24 20 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 25 1 Right right RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 25 2 from from IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 25 3 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 25 4 start start NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 25 5 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 25 6 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 25 7 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 25 8 pandemic pandemic NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 25 9 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 25 10 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 25 11 importance importance NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 25 12 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 25 13 age age NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 25 14 on on IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 25 15 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 25 16 contraction contraction NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 25 17 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 25 18 fatality fatality NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 25 19 has have VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 25 20 been be VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 25 21 recognised recognise VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 25 22 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 25 23 among among IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 25 24 others other NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 25 25 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 25 26 Esteve Esteve NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 25 27 et et NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 25 28 al al NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 25 29 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 26 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 26 2 2020 2020 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 26 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 26 4 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 26 5 Dudel Dudel NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 26 6 et et NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 26 7 al al NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 26 8 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 27 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 27 2 2020 2020 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 27 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 27 4 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 27 5 Kulu Kulu NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 27 6 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 27 7 Dorey Dorey NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 27 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 27 9 2020 2020 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 27 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 27 11 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 27 12 Wu Wu NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 27 13 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 27 14 McGoogan McGoogan NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 27 15 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 27 16 2020 2020 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 27 17 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 27 18 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 27 19 Karagiannidis Karagiannidis NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 27 20 et et NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 27 21 al al NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 27 22 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 28 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 28 2 2020 2020 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 28 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 28 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 28 5 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 28 6 as as RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 28 7 well well RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 28 8 as as IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 28 9 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 28 10 coresidence coresidence NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 28 11 patterns pattern NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 28 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 28 13 Esteve Esteve NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 28 14 et et NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 28 15 al al NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 28 16 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 29 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 29 2 2020 2020 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 29 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 29 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 29 5 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 30 1 Compartment compartment NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 30 2 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 30 3 agent agent NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 30 4 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 30 5 based base VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 30 6 models model NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 30 7 aiming aim VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 30 8 at at IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 30 9 projecting project VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 30 10 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 30 11 spread spread NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 30 12 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 30 13 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 30 14 disease disease NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 30 15 have have VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 30 16 incorporated incorporate VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 30 17 age age NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 30 18 as as IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 30 19 an an DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 30 20 important important JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 30 21 variable variable NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 30 22 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 30 23 transmission transmission NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 30 24 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 30 25 e.g. e.g. RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 30 26 Davies Davies NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 30 27 et et NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 30 28 al al NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 30 29 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 31 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 31 2 2020 2020 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 31 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 31 4 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 31 5 Deforche Deforche NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 31 6 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 31 7 2020 2020 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 31 8 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 31 9 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 31 10 Colombo Colombo NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 31 11 et et NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 31 12 al al NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 31 13 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 32 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 32 2 2020 2020 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 32 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 32 4 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 32 5 Blyuss Blyuss NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 32 6 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 32 7 Kyrychko Kyrychko NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 32 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 32 9 2020 2020 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 32 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 32 11 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 32 12 Balabdaoui Balabdaoui NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 32 13 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 32 14 Mohr Mohr NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 32 15 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 32 16 2020 2020 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 32 17 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 32 18 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 32 19 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 32 20 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 32 21 addition addition NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 32 22 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 32 23 other other JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 32 24 characteristics characteristic NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 32 25 such such JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 32 26 as as IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 32 27 space space NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 32 28 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 32 29 Colombo Colombo NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 32 30 et et NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 32 31 al al NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 32 32 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 33 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 33 2 2020 2020 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 33 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 33 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 34 1 or or CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 34 2 contact contact NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 34 3 patterns pattern NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 34 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 34 5 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 35 1 An an DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 35 2 important important JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 35 3 determinant determinant NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 35 4 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 35 5 which which WDT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 35 6 appeared appear VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 35 7 to to TO cord-260039-k9rs3dql 35 8 be be VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 35 9 largely largely RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 35 10 overlooked overlook VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 35 11 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 35 12 modelling modelling NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 35 13 exercises exercise NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 35 14 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 35 15 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 35 16 sex sex NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 35 17 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 36 1 In in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 36 2 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 36 3 following following NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 36 4 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 36 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 36 6 will will MD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 36 7 refer refer VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 36 8 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 36 9 sex sex NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 36 10 when when WRB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 36 11 discussing discuss VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 36 12 technical technical JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 36 13 details detail NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 36 14 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 36 15 biological biological JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 36 16 factors factor NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 36 17 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 36 18 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 36 19 gender gender NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 36 20 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 36 21 when when WRB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 36 22 referring refer VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 36 23 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 36 24 social social JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 36 25 factors factor NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 36 26 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 37 1 While while IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 37 2 studies study NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 37 3 generally generally RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 37 4 notice notice VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 37 5 that that IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 37 6 infection infection NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 37 7 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 37 8 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 37 9 particular particular JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 37 10 fatality fatality NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 37 11 rates rate NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 37 12 were be VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 37 13 higher high JJR cord-260039-k9rs3dql 37 14 among among IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 37 15 elderly elderly JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 37 16 men man NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 37 17 than than IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 37 18 women woman NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 37 19 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 37 20 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 37 21 reverse reverse NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 37 22 appears appear VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 37 23 to to TO cord-260039-k9rs3dql 37 24 be be VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 37 25 true true JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 37 26 for for IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 37 27 infections infection NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 37 28 at at IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 37 29 working work VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 37 30 ages age NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 38 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 38 2 Sobotka Sobotka NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 38 3 et et FW cord-260039-k9rs3dql 38 4 al al NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 38 5 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 39 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 39 2 2020 2020 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 39 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 39 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 39 5 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 40 1 In in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 40 2 Germany Germany NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 40 3 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 40 4 during during IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 40 5 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 40 6 first first JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 40 7 wave wave NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 40 8 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 40 9 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 40 10 pandemic pandemic NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 40 11 through through IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 40 12 mid mid NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 40 13 - - JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 40 14 May may JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 40 15 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 40 16 infection infection NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 40 17 rates rate NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 40 18 were be VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 40 19 higher high JJR cord-260039-k9rs3dql 40 20 among among IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 40 21 women woman NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 40 22 than than IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 40 23 men man NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 40 24 at at IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 40 25 working work VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 40 26 ages age NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 40 27 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 40 28 Figure figure NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 40 29 1 1 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 40 30 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 40 31 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 40 32 while while IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 40 33 they -PRON- PRP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 40 34 were be VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 40 35 higher high JJR cord-260039-k9rs3dql 40 36 for for IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 40 37 men man NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 40 38 thereafter thereafter RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 40 39 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 41 1 One one CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 41 2 reason reason NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 41 3 for for IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 41 4 this this DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 41 5 difference difference NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 41 6 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 41 7 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 41 8 addition addition NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 41 9 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 41 10 biological biological JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 41 11 factors factor NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 41 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 41 13 see see VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 41 14 discussion discussion NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 41 15 below below IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 41 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 41 17 may may MD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 41 18 lie lie VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 41 19 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 41 20 genderspecific genderspecific NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 41 21 contact contact NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 41 22 rates rate NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 41 23 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 42 1 Estimates estimate NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 42 2 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 42 3 contact contact NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 42 4 rates rate NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 42 5 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 42 6 van van NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 42 7 de de NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 42 8 Kassteele Kassteele NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 42 9 et et FW cord-260039-k9rs3dql 42 10 al al NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 42 11 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 43 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 43 2 2017 2017 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 43 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 43 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 44 1 based base VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 44 2 on on IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 44 3 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 44 4 POLYMOD POLYMOD NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 44 5 study study NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 44 6 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 44 7 Mossong Mossong NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 44 8 et et FW cord-260039-k9rs3dql 44 9 al al NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 44 10 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 45 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 45 2 2008 2008 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 45 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 45 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 45 5 showed show VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 45 6 that that IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 45 7 household household NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 45 8 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 45 9 workplace workplace NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 45 10 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 45 11 school school NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 45 12 structures structure NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 45 13 strongly strongly RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 45 14 shape shape VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 45 15 ageand ageand JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 45 16 gender gender NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 45 17 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 45 18 specific specific JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 45 19 contacts contact NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 45 20 made make VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 45 21 by by IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 45 22 individuals individual NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 45 23 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 46 1 Using use VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 46 2 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 46 3 contact contact NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 46 4 matrices matrix NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 46 5 from from IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 46 6 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 46 7 latter latter JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 46 8 study study NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 46 9 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 46 10 calculating calculate VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 46 11 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 46 12 ratio ratio NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 46 13 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 46 14 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 46 15 age age NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 46 16 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 46 17 specific specific JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 46 18 number number NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 46 19 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 46 20 contacts contact NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 46 21 for for IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 46 22 men man NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 46 23 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 46 24 women woman NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 46 25 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 46 26 contacts contact NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 46 27 men man NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 46 28 / / SYM cord-260039-k9rs3dql 46 29 contacts contact NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 46 30 women woman NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 46 31 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 46 32 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 46 33 clear clear JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 46 34 pattern pattern NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 46 35 emerges emerge VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 47 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 47 2 Figure figure NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 47 3 2 2 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 47 4 ): ): NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 47 5 among among IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 47 6 ages age NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 47 7 20 20 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 47 8 - - SYM cord-260039-k9rs3dql 47 9 39 39 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 48 1 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 48 2 contacts contact NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 48 3 are be VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 48 4 between between IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 48 5 13%-26 13%-26 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 48 6 % % NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 48 7 higher high JJR cord-260039-k9rs3dql 48 8 among among IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 48 9 women woman NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 48 10 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 48 11 while while IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 48 12 among among IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 48 13 ages age NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 48 14 50 50 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 48 15 to to TO cord-260039-k9rs3dql 48 16 69 69 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 48 17 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 48 18 they -PRON- PRP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 48 19 are be VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 48 20 9%-14 9%-14 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 48 21 % % NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 48 22 higher high JJR cord-260039-k9rs3dql 48 23 among among IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 48 24 men man NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 48 25 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 49 1 At at IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 49 2 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 49 3 highest high JJS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 49 4 ages age NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 49 5 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 49 6 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 49 7 pattern pattern NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 49 8 reverses reverse VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 49 9 again again RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 49 10 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 49 11 with with IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 49 12 women woman NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 49 13 having have VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 49 14 slightly slightly RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 49 15 more more JJR cord-260039-k9rs3dql 49 16 contacts contact NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 49 17 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 50 1 The the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 50 2 aim aim NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 50 3 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 50 4 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 50 5 study study NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 50 6 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 50 7 to to TO cord-260039-k9rs3dql 50 8 model model VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 50 9 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 50 10 transmission transmission NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 50 11 taking take VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 50 12 into into IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 50 13 account account NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 50 14 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 50 15 two two CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 50 16 crucial crucial JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 50 17 demographic demographic JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 50 18 factors factor NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 50 19 age age NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 50 20 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 50 21 sex sex NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 50 22 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 51 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 51 2 develop develop VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 51 3 an an DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 51 4 SEIRD SEIRD NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 51 5 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 51 6 model model NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 51 7 that that WDT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 51 8 incorporates incorporate VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 51 9 age age NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 51 10 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 51 11 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 51 12 sex sex NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 51 13 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 51 14 specific specific JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 51 15 contacts contact NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 51 16 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 51 17 which which WDT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 51 18 shape shape NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 51 19 transmission transmission NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 51 20 rates rate NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 51 21 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 52 1 The the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 52 2 model model NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 52 3 may may MD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 52 4 be be VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 52 5 used use VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 52 6 for for IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 52 7 short short JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 52 8 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 52 9 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 52 10 long long JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 52 11 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 52 12 term term NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 52 13 projections projection NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 52 14 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 52 15 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 52 16 example example NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 52 17 explores explore VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 52 18 short short JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 52 19 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 52 20 term term NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 52 21 effects effect NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 52 22 up up IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 52 23 to to TO cord-260039-k9rs3dql 52 24 two two CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 52 25 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 52 26 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 52 27 half half NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 52 28 months month NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 52 29 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 52 30 hypothetical hypothetical JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 52 31 changes change NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 52 32 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 52 33 contact contact NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 52 34 rates rate NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 52 35 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 53 1 The the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 53 2 model model NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 53 3 can can MD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 53 4 be be VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 53 5 used use VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 53 6 to to TO cord-260039-k9rs3dql 53 7 develop develop VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 53 8 scenarios scenario NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 53 9 which which WDT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 53 10 address address VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 53 11 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 53 12 effects effect NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 53 13 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 53 14 age age NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 53 15 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 53 16 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 53 17 gender gender NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 53 18 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 53 19 specific specific JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 53 20 changes change NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 53 21 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 53 22 contacts contact NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 53 23 due due JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 53 24 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 53 25 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 53 26 closing closing NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 53 27 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 53 28 schools school NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 53 29 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 53 30 kindergarten kindergarten NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 53 31 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 53 32 shops shop NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 53 33 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 53 34 or or CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 53 35 work work VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 53 36 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 53 37 home home NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 53 38 office office NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 53 39 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 53 40 as as RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 53 41 well well RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 53 42 as as IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 53 43 to to TO cord-260039-k9rs3dql 53 44 explore explore VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 53 45 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 53 46 effect effect NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 53 47 lifting lifting NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 53 48 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 53 49 these these DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 53 50 measures measure NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 53 51 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 54 1 While while IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 54 2 we -PRON- PRP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 54 3 are be VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 54 4 not not RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 54 5 able able JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 54 6 to to TO cord-260039-k9rs3dql 54 7 address address VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 54 8 these these DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 54 9 effects effect NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 54 10 separately separately RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 54 11 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 54 12 we -PRON- PRP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 54 13 translate translate VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 54 14 them -PRON- PRP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 54 15 into into IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 54 16 hypothetical hypothetical JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 54 17 changes change NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 54 18 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 54 19 age age NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 54 20 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 54 21 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 54 22 sex sex NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 54 23 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 54 24 specific specific JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 54 25 contact contact NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 54 26 rates rate NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 54 27 by by IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 54 28 developing develop VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 54 29 three three CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 54 30 scenarios scenario NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 54 31 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 55 1 The the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 55 2 first first JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 55 3 scenario scenario NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 55 4 reflects reflect VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 55 5 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 55 6 continuation continuation NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 55 7 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 55 8 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 55 9 situation situation NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 55 10 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 55 11 mid mid NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 55 12 - - NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 55 13 August August NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 55 14 2020 2020 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 55 15 ; ; : cord-260039-k9rs3dql 55 16 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 55 17 second second JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 55 18 assumes assume VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 55 19 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 55 20 lifting lifting NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 55 21 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 55 22 measures measure NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 55 23 mainly mainly RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 55 24 at at IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 55 25 working work VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 55 26 ages age NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 55 27 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 55 28 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 55 29 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 55 30 third third JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 55 31 extends extend VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 55 32 this this DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 55 33 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 55 34 children child NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 55 35 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 55 36 adolescents adolescent NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 55 37 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 55 38 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 55 39 young young JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 55 40 adults adult NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 55 41 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 56 1 The the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 56 2 manuscript manuscript NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 56 3 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 56 4 structured structure VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 56 5 as as IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 56 6 follows follow VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 56 7 : : : cord-260039-k9rs3dql 57 1 First first RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 57 2 we -PRON- PRP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 57 3 introduce introduce VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 57 4 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 57 5 basic basic JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 57 6 SEIRD SEIRD NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 57 7 model model NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 57 8 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 57 9 discuss discuss VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 57 10 how how WRB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 57 11 ageand ageand NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 57 12 sex sex NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 57 13 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 57 14 specific specific JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 57 15 contact contact NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 57 16 modelling modelling NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 57 17 was be VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 57 18 incorporated incorporate VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 57 19 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 58 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 58 2 present present VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 58 3 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 58 4 numerical numerical JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 58 5 implementation implementation NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 58 6 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 58 7 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 58 8 model model NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 58 9 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 58 10 model model NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 58 11 fitting fitting NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 58 12 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 58 13 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 58 14 development development NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 58 15 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 58 16 uncertainty uncertainty NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 58 17 intervals interval NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 58 18 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 59 1 Then then RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 59 2 we -PRON- PRP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 59 3 introduce introduce VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 59 4 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 59 5 scenarios scenario NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 59 6 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 59 7 present present VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 59 8 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 59 9 projection projection NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 59 10 results result NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 59 11 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 59 12 terms term NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 59 13 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 59 14 number number NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 59 15 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 59 16 active active JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 59 17 infections infection NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 59 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 59 19 prevalence prevalence NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 59 20 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 59 21 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 59 22 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 59 23 cumulated cumulated JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 59 24 number number NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 59 25 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 59 26 deaths death NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 59 27 by by IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 59 28 31 31 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 59 29 October October NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 59 30 2020 2020 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 59 31 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 60 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 60 2 also also RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 60 3 explore explore VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 60 4 how how WRB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 60 5 increasing increase VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 60 6 contacts contact NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 60 7 affect affect VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 60 8 sex sex NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 60 9 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 60 10 ratios ratio NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 60 11 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 60 12 infections infection NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 60 13 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 60 14 deaths death NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 60 15 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 61 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 61 2 close close VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 61 3 with with IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 61 4 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 61 5 discussion discussion NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 61 6 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 61 7 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 61 8 results result NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 61 9 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 61 10 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 61 11 strengths strength NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 61 12 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 61 13 limitations limitation NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 61 14 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 61 15 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 61 16 model model NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 61 17 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 61 18 as as RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 61 19 well well RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 61 20 as as IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 61 21 policy policy NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 61 22 implications implication NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 61 23 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 62 1 Figure figure NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 62 2 3 3 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 62 3 : : : cord-260039-k9rs3dql 62 4 SEIRD SEIRD NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 62 5 compartment compartment NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 62 6 model model NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 62 7 with with IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 62 8 5 5 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 62 9 transitions transition NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 62 10 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 63 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 63 2 S s NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 63 3 → → NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 63 4 E e NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 63 5 : : : cord-260039-k9rs3dql 63 6 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 63 7 person person NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 63 8 becomes become VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 63 9 exposed expose VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 63 10 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 63 11 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 63 12 virus virus NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 63 13 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 63 14 E e NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 63 15 → → NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 63 16 I i NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 63 17 : : : cord-260039-k9rs3dql 63 18 exposed expose VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 63 19 person person NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 63 20 becomes become VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 63 21 infectious infectious JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 63 22 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 63 23 E e NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 63 24 → → NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 63 25 R r NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 63 26 : : : cord-260039-k9rs3dql 63 27 exposed expose VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 63 28 person person NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 63 29 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 63 30 removed remove VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 63 31 due due IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 63 32 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 63 33 recovery recovery NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 63 34 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 63 35 I -PRON- PRP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 63 36 → → IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 63 37 R r NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 63 38 : : : cord-260039-k9rs3dql 63 39 infectious infectious JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 63 40 person person NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 63 41 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 63 42 removed remove VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 63 43 due due IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 63 44 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 63 45 recovery recovery NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 63 46 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 63 47 I -PRON- PRP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 63 48 → → SYM cord-260039-k9rs3dql 63 49 D d NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 63 50 : : : cord-260039-k9rs3dql 63 51 infectious infectious JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 63 52 person person NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 63 53 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 63 54 removed remove VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 63 55 due due IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 63 56 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 63 57 death death NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 63 58 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 64 1 The the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 64 2 core core NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 64 3 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 64 4 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 64 5 epidemiological epidemiological JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 64 6 model model NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 64 7 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 64 8 an an DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 64 9 SEIRD SEIRD NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 64 10 compartment compartment NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 64 11 model model NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 64 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 64 13 see see VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 64 14 Hethcote Hethcote NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 64 15 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 64 16 2000 2000 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 64 17 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 64 18 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 64 19 consisting consist VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 64 20 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 64 21 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 64 22 epidemiological epidemiological JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 64 23 states state NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 64 24 S S NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 64 25 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 64 26 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 64 27 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 64 28 i.e. i.e. FW cord-260039-k9rs3dql 64 29 not not RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 64 30 yet yet RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 64 31 exposed expose VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 64 32 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 64 33 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 64 34 virus virus NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 64 35 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 64 36 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 64 37 E E NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 64 38 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 64 39 exposed expose VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 64 40 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 64 41 but but CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 64 42 not not RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 64 43 infectious infectious JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 64 44 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 64 45 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 64 46 I -PRON- PRP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 64 47 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 64 48 infectious infectious JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 64 49 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 64 50 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 64 51 R r NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 64 52 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 64 53 recovered recover VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 64 54 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 64 55 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 64 56 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 64 57 D D NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 64 58 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 64 59 dead dead JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 64 60 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 64 61 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 65 1 The the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 65 2 compartments compartment NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 65 3 represent represent VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 65 4 individual individual JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 65 5 states state NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 65 6 with with IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 65 7 respect respect NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 65 8 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 65 9 contagious contagious JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 65 10 diseases disease NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 65 11 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 65 12 i.e. i.e. FW cord-260039-k9rs3dql 65 13 COVID-19 covid-19 VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 65 14 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 65 15 this this DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 65 16 case case NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 65 17 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 65 18 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 65 19 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 65 20 transitions transition NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 65 21 between between IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 65 22 them -PRON- PRP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 65 23 are be VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 65 24 considered consider VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 65 25 on on IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 65 26 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 65 27 population population NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 65 28 level level NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 65 29 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 65 30 see see VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 65 31 Figure figure NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 65 32 3 3 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 65 33 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 65 34 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 66 1 In in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 66 2 this this DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 66 3 sense sense NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 66 4 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 66 5 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 66 6 compartment compartment NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 66 7 model model NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 66 8 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 66 9 used use VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 66 10 to to TO cord-260039-k9rs3dql 66 11 describe describe VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 66 12 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 66 13 population population NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 66 14 process process NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 66 15 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 66 16 but but CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 66 17 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 66 18 not not RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 66 19 intended intend VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 66 20 to to TO cord-260039-k9rs3dql 66 21 model model VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 66 22 individual individual JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 66 23 processes process NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 66 24 with with IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 66 25 respect respect NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 66 26 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 66 27 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 66 28 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 67 1 The the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 67 2 following follow VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 67 3 essential essential JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 67 4 rate rate NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 67 5 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 67 6 fraction fraction NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 67 7 parameters parameter NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 67 8 are be VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 67 9 involved involve VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 67 10 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 67 11 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 67 12 model model NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 67 13 : : : cord-260039-k9rs3dql 67 14 β β NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 67 15 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 67 16 contact contact NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 67 17 rate rate NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 67 18 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 67 19 : : : cord-260039-k9rs3dql 67 20 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 67 21 average average JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 67 22 number number NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 67 23 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 67 24 individual individual JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 67 25 contacts contact NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 67 26 per per IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 67 27 specified specify VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 67 28 timespan timespan NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 67 29 that that WDT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 67 30 are be VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 67 31 potentially potentially RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 67 32 sufficient sufficient JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 67 33 to to TO cord-260039-k9rs3dql 67 34 transmit transmit VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 67 35 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 67 36 virus virus NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 67 37 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 67 38 see see VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 67 39 below below RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 67 40 for for IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 67 41 detailed detailed JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 67 42 specification specification NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 67 43 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 1 ρ ρ LS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 2 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 3 manifestation manifestation NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 4 index index NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 5 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 6 fraction fraction NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 7 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 8 : : : cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 9 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 10 fraction fraction NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 11 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 12 people people NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 13 who who WP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 14 become become VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 15 infectious infectious JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 16 at at IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 17 some some DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 18 time time NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 19 after after IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 20 being be VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 21 exposed expose VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 22 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 23 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 24 virus virus NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 25 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 26 incubation incubation NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 27 rate rate NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 28 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 29 : : : cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 30 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 31 mean mean JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 32 rate rate NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 33 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 34 exposed expose VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 35 people people NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 36 to to TO cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 37 become become VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 38 infectious infectious JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 39 ; ; : cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 40 1/ 1/ CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 41 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 42 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 43 average average JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 44 incubation incubation NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 45 time time NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 46 γ γ NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 47 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 48 recovery recovery NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 49 rate rate NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 50 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 51 : : : cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 52 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 53 mean mean JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 54 rate rate NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 55 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 56 exiting exit VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 57 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 58 infectious infectious JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 59 state state NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 60 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 61 either either CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 62 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 63 recovery recovery NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 64 or or CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 65 death death NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 66 ; ; : cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 67 1 1 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 68 / / SYM cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 69 γ γ NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 70 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 71 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 72 average average JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 73 duration duration NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 74 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 75 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 76 disease disease NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 77 τ τ NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 78 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 79 infection infection NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 80 fatality fatality NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 81 rate rate NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 82 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 68 83 : : : cord-260039-k9rs3dql 69 1 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 69 2 fraction fraction NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 69 3 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 69 4 people people NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 69 5 who who WP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 69 6 die die VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 69 7 due due JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 69 8 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 69 9 COVID-19 covid-19 VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 69 10 The the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 69 11 contact contact NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 69 12 model model NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 69 13 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 69 14 considered consider VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 69 15 for for IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 69 16 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 69 17 population population NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 69 18 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 69 19 N n CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 69 20 individuals individual NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 69 21 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 69 22 which which WDT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 69 23 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 69 24 decomposed decompose VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 69 25 into into IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 69 26 A a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 69 27 disjoint disjoint JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 69 28 groups group NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 69 29 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 70 1 For for IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 70 2 each each DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 70 3 group group NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 70 4 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 70 5 = = SYM cord-260039-k9rs3dql 70 6 1 1 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 70 7 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 70 8 ... ... NFP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 70 9 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 70 10 A a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 70 11 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 70 12 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 70 13 proportion proportion NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 70 14 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 70 15 individuals individual NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 70 16 with with IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 70 17 regard regard NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 70 18 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 70 19 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 70 20 whole whole JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 70 21 population population NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 70 22 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 70 23 N N NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 70 24 a a NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 70 25 /N /n NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 70 26 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 70 27 where where WRB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 70 28 N N NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 70 29 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 70 30 denotes denotes NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 70 31 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 70 32 number number NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 70 33 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 70 34 individuals individual NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 70 35 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 70 36 group group NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 70 37 a. a. NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 71 1 For for IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 71 2 any any DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 71 3 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 71 4 ∈ ∈ NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 71 5 { { -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 71 6 1 1 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 71 7 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 71 8 .. .. NFP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 71 9 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 71 10 A a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 71 11 } } -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 71 12 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 71 13 b b LS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 71 14 ∈ ∈ NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 71 15 { { -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 71 16 1 1 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 71 17 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 71 18 ... ... NFP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 71 19 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 71 20 A a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 71 21 } } -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 71 22 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 71 23 let let VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 71 24 λ λ XX cord-260039-k9rs3dql 71 25 ab ab CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 71 26 be be VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 71 27 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 71 28 average average JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 71 29 number number NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 71 30 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 71 31 contacts contact NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 71 32 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 71 33 an an DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 71 34 arbitrary arbitrary JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 71 35 individual individual NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 71 36 from from IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 71 37 group group NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 71 38 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 71 39 with with IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 71 40 individuals individual NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 71 41 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 71 42 group group NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 71 43 b b NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 71 44 during during IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 71 45 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 71 46 fixed fix VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 71 47 base base NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 71 48 time time NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 71 49 unit unit NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 71 50 δ δ NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 71 51 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 71 52 e.g. e.g. RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 71 53 24 24 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 71 54 hours hour NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 71 55 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 72 1 More more RBR cord-260039-k9rs3dql 72 2 specifically specifically RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 72 3 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 72 4 define define VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 72 5 η η NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 72 6 ab ab NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 72 7 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 72 8 t t NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 72 9 1 1 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 72 10 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 72 11 t t NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 72 12 2 2 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 72 13 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 72 14 as as IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 72 15 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 72 16 random random JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 72 17 number number NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 72 18 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 72 19 contacts contact NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 72 20 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 72 21 an an DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 72 22 individual individual NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 72 23 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 72 24 group group NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 72 25 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 72 26 with with IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 72 27 any any DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 72 28 individual individual NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 72 29 from from IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 72 30 group group NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 72 31 b b NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 72 32 over over IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 72 33 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 72 34 timespan timespan NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 73 1 [ [ -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 73 2 t t NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 73 3 1 1 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 73 4 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 73 5 t t NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 73 6 2 2 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 73 7 ] ] -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 73 8 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 73 9 η η NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 73 10 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 73 11 * * NFP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 73 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 73 13 t t NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 73 14 1 1 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 73 15 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 73 16 t t NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 73 17 2 2 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 73 18 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 73 19 : : : cord-260039-k9rs3dql 73 20 = = NFP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 74 1 A a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 74 2 b=1 b=1 JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 74 3 η η NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 74 4 ab ab NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 74 5 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 74 6 t t NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 74 7 1 1 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 74 8 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 74 9 t t NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 74 10 2 2 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 74 11 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 74 12 as as IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 74 13 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 74 14 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 74 15 random random JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 74 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 74 17 overall overall JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 74 18 number number NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 74 19 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 74 20 contacts contact NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 74 21 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 74 22 an an DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 74 23 individual individual NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 74 24 from from IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 74 25 group group NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 74 26 a. a. NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 75 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 75 2 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 75 3 assumed assume VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 75 4 that that IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 75 5 η η NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 75 6 ab ab NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 75 7 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 75 8 t t NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 75 9 1 1 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 75 10 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 75 11 t t NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 75 12 2 2 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 75 13 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 75 14 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 75 15 Poisson Poisson NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 75 16 distributed distribute VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 75 17 as as IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 75 18 η η NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 75 19 ab ab NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 75 20 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 75 21 t t NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 75 22 1 1 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 75 23 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 75 24 t t NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 75 25 2 2 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 75 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 75 27 ∼ ∼ NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 75 28 Poi Poi NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 75 29 t2 t2 NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 75 30 t1 t1 NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 75 31 µ µ NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 75 32 ab ab NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 75 33 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 75 34 s s NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 75 35 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 75 36 ds ds NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 75 37 via via IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 75 38 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 75 39 contact contact NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 75 40 intensity intensity NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 75 41 µ µ NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 75 42 ab ab NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 75 43 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 75 44 t t NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 75 45 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 75 46 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 76 1 By by IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 76 2 assuming assume VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 76 3 independence independence NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 76 4 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 76 5 contacts contact NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 76 6 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 76 7 different different JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 76 8 groups group NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 76 9 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 76 10 it -PRON- PRP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 76 11 follows follow VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 76 12 that that IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 76 13 η η NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 76 14 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 76 15 * * NFP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 76 16 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 76 17 t t NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 76 18 1 1 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 76 19 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 76 20 t t NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 76 21 2 2 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 76 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 76 23 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 76 24 also also RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 76 25 Poisson Poisson NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 76 26 distributed distribute VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 76 27 having have VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 76 28 intensity intensity NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 76 29 µ µ XX cord-260039-k9rs3dql 76 30 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 76 31 * * NFP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 76 32 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 76 33 t t NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 76 34 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 76 35 = = NFP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 77 1 A a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 77 2 b=1 b=1 JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 77 3 µ µ NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 77 4 ab ab NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 77 5 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 77 6 t t NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 77 7 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 77 8 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 78 1 The the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 78 2 average average JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 78 3 rate rate NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 78 4 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 78 5 contact contact NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 78 6 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 78 7 any any DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 78 8 individual individual NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 78 9 from from IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 78 10 group group NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 78 11 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 78 12 with with IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 78 13 group group NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 78 14 b b NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 78 15 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 78 16 then then RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 78 17 obtained obtain VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 78 18 as as IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 78 19 where where WRB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 78 20 for for IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 78 21 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 78 22 sake sake NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 78 23 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 78 24 simplicity simplicity NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 78 25 we -PRON- PRP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 78 26 assume assume VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 78 27 that that IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 78 28 µ µ NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 78 29 ab ab NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 78 30 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 78 31 t t NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 78 32 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 78 33 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 78 34 periodic periodic JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 78 35 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 78 36 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 78 37 sense sense NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 78 38 that that IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 78 39 µ µ NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 78 40 ab ab NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 78 41 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 78 42 t t NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 78 43 + + CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 78 44 δ δ NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 78 45 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 78 46 = = NFP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 79 1 µ µ NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 79 2 ab ab NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 79 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 79 4 t t NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 79 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 79 6 for for IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 79 7 all all DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 79 8 t t NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 79 9 0 0 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 79 10 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 80 1 Deviations deviation NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 80 2 from from IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 80 3 these these DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 80 4 assumptions assumption NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 80 5 can can MD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 80 6 be be VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 80 7 incorporated incorporate VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 80 8 by by IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 80 9 appropriate appropriate JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 80 10 modifications modification NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 80 11 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 80 12 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 80 13 contact contact NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 80 14 model model NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 80 15 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 80 16 parameter parameter NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 80 17 set set VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 80 18 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 81 1 In in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 81 2 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 81 3 compartment compartment NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 81 4 modeling modeling NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 81 5 approach approach NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 81 6 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 81 7 individuals individual NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 81 8 within within IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 81 9 each each DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 81 10 group group NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 81 11 are be VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 81 12 generally generally RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 81 13 assumed assume VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 81 14 to to TO cord-260039-k9rs3dql 81 15 be be VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 81 16 homogenous homogenous JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 81 17 with with IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 81 18 respect respect NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 81 19 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 81 20 contact contact NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 81 21 behaviour behaviour NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 81 22 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 81 23 no no DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 81 24 individual individual JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 81 25 effects effect NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 81 26 are be VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 81 27 considered consider VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 81 28 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 82 1 In in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 82 2 order order NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 82 3 to to TO cord-260039-k9rs3dql 82 4 address address VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 82 5 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 82 6 potential potential JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 82 7 impact impact NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 82 8 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 82 9 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 82 10 implementation implementation NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 82 11 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 82 12 easing easing NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 82 13 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 82 14 lockdown lockdown NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 82 15 measures measure NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 82 16 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 82 17 we -PRON- PRP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 82 18 expand expand VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 82 19 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 82 20 model model NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 82 21 structure structure NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 82 22 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 82 23 group group NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 82 24 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 82 25 specific specific JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 82 26 compartments compartment NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 82 27 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 83 1 Below below RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 83 2 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 83 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 83 4 define define VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 83 5 groups group NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 83 6 according accord VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 83 7 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 83 8 sex sex NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 83 9 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 83 10 age age NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 83 11 group group NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 83 12 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 83 13 but but CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 83 14 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 83 15 following follow VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 83 16 reasoning reasoning NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 83 17 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 83 18 valid valid JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 83 19 for for IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 83 20 any any DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 83 21 specification specification NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 83 22 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 83 23 disjoint disjoint JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 83 24 groups group NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 83 25 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 83 26 given give VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 83 27 that that IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 83 28 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 83 29 resulting result VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 83 30 groups group NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 83 31 are be VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 83 32 sufficiently sufficiently RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 83 33 large large JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 83 34 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 84 1 Specifically specifically RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 84 2 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 84 3 for for IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 84 4 given give VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 84 5 groups group NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 84 6 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 84 7 = = SYM cord-260039-k9rs3dql 84 8 1 1 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 84 9 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 84 10 ... ... NFP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 84 11 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 85 1 A a NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 85 2 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 85 3 any any DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 85 4 time time NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 85 5 t t NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 85 6 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 85 7 set set NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 85 8 S S NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 85 9 a a NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 85 10 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 85 11 t t NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 85 12 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 85 13 as as IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 85 14 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 85 15 number number NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 85 16 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 85 17 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 85 18 people people NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 85 19 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 85 20 group group NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 85 21 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 85 22 at at IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 85 23 time time NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 85 24 t t NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 85 25 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 85 26 E E NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 85 27 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 85 28 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 85 29 t t NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 85 30 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 85 31 as as IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 85 32 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 85 33 number number NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 85 34 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 85 35 exposed expose VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 85 36 people people NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 85 37 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 85 38 group group NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 85 39 4 4 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 85 40 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 86 1 CC CC NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 86 2 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 86 3 BY BY NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 86 4 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 86 5 NC NC NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 86 6 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 86 7 ND ND NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 86 8 4.0 4.0 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 86 9 International international JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 86 10 license license NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 86 11 It -PRON- PRP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 86 12 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 86 13 made make VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 86 14 available available JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 86 15 under under IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 86 16 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 86 17 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 86 18 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 87 1 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 87 2 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 87 3 author author NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 87 4 / / SYM cord-260039-k9rs3dql 87 5 funder funder NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 87 6 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 87 7 who who WP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 87 8 has have VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 87 9 granted grant VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 87 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 87 11 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 87 12 license license NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 87 13 to to TO cord-260039-k9rs3dql 87 14 display display VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 87 15 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 87 16 preprint preprint NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 87 17 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 87 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 87 19 which which WDT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 87 20 was be VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 87 21 not not RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 87 22 certified certify VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 87 23 by by IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 87 24 peer peer NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 87 25 review review NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 87 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 87 27 preprint preprint NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 88 1 The the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 88 2 copyright copyright NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 88 3 holder holder NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 88 4 for for IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 88 5 this this DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 88 6 this this DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 88 7 version version NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 88 8 posted post VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 88 9 October October NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 88 10 8 8 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 88 11 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 88 12 2020 2020 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 88 13 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 88 14 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 89 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.06.20207951 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.06.20207951 UH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 89 2 doi doi NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 89 3 : : : cord-260039-k9rs3dql 90 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 90 2 preprint preprint VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 90 3 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 90 4 at at IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 90 5 time time NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 90 6 t t NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 90 7 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 90 8 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 90 9 so so RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 90 10 on on RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 90 11 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 91 1 The the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 91 2 group group NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 91 3 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 91 4 specific specific JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 91 5 compartment compartment NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 91 6 model model NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 91 7 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 91 8 characterised characterise VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 91 9 by by IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 91 10 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 91 11 ODE ODE NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 91 12 system system NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 91 13 for for IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 91 14 all all DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 91 15 groups group NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 91 16 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 91 17 = = SYM cord-260039-k9rs3dql 91 18 1 1 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 91 19 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 91 20 ... ... NFP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 91 21 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 91 22 A A NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 91 23 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 91 24 which which WDT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 91 25 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 91 26 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 91 27 direct direct JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 91 28 extension extension NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 91 29 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 91 30 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 91 31 ODE ODE NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 91 32 system system NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 91 33 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 91 34 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 91 35 basic basic JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 91 36 compartment compartment NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 91 37 model model NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 91 38 for for IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 91 39 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 91 40 special special JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 91 41 case case NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 91 42 A a NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 91 43 = = SYM cord-260039-k9rs3dql 91 44 1 1 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 91 45 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 2 define define VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 3 as as IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 4 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 5 effective effective JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 6 contact contact NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 7 rate rate NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 8 between between IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 9 groups group NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 10 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 11 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 12 b b NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 13 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 14 where where WRB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 15 w w NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 16 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 17 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 18 secondary secondary JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 19 attack attack NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 20 rate rate NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 21 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 22 m m NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 23 ab ab NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 24 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 25 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 26 specific specific JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 27 mitigation mitigation NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 28 effect effect NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 29 by by IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 30 lockdown lockdown NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 31 measures measure NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 32 with with IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 33 regard regard NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 34 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 35 contacts contact NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 36 between between IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 37 groups group NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 38 a a NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 39 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 40 b b NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 41 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 42 r r NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 43 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 44 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 45 general general JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 46 factor factor NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 47 that that WDT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 48 accounts account VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 49 for for IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 50 compliance compliance NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 51 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 52 distance distance NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 53 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 54 isolation isolation NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 55 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 56 quarantine quarantine NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 57 orders order NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 58 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 59 h h NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 60 b b NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 61 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 62 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 63 proportion proportion NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 64 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 65 infectious infectious JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 66 people people NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 67 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 68 group group NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 69 b b NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 70 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 71 need need NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 72 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 73 hospitalisation hospitalisation NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 74 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 75 λ λ NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 76 ab ab NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 77 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 78 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 79 basic basic JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 80 contact contact NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 81 rate rate NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 82 between between IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 83 groups group NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 84 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 85 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 86 b b LS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 87 when when WRB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 88 no no DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 89 lockdown lockdown NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 90 measures measure NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 91 are be VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 92 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 93 place place NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 92 94 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 93 1 As as IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 93 2 we -PRON- PRP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 93 3 are be VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 93 4 primarily primarily RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 93 5 interested interested JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 93 6 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 93 7 shortterm shortterm JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 93 8 prediction prediction NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 93 9 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 93 10 we -PRON- PRP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 93 11 do do VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 93 12 not not RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 93 13 model model VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 93 14 biological biological JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 93 15 aging aging NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 93 16 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 93 17 i.e. i.e. FW cord-260039-k9rs3dql 93 18 transitions transition NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 93 19 between between IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 93 20 demographic demographic JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 93 21 groups group NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 93 22 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 94 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 94 2 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 94 3 for for IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 94 4 any any DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 94 5 time time NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 94 6 t t NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 94 7 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 94 8 compartment compartment NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 94 9 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 94 10 specific specific JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 94 11 additivity additivity NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 94 12 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 94 13 assumed assume VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 94 14 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 94 15 i.e. i.e. FW cord-260039-k9rs3dql 94 16 The the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 94 17 system system NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 94 18 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 94 19 closed closed JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 94 20 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 94 21 meaning mean VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 94 22 that that IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 94 23 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 94 24 sum sum NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 94 25 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 94 26 all all DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 94 27 ODEs ode NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 94 28 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 94 29 0 0 NFP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 94 30 at at IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 94 31 each each DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 94 32 time time NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 95 1 t. t. NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 96 1 In in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 96 2 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 96 3 absence absence NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 96 4 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 96 5 any any DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 96 6 lockdown lockdown NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 96 7 measures measure NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 96 8 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 96 9 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 96 10 general general JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 96 11 contact contact NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 96 12 patterns pattern NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 96 13 are be VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 96 14 characterised characterise VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 96 15 by by IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 96 16 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 96 17 basic basic JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 96 18 contact contact NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 96 19 rates rate NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 96 20 λ λ NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 96 21 ab ab NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 96 22 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 96 23 which which WDT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 96 24 represent represent VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 96 25 how how WRB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 96 26 intensive intensive JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 96 27 / / , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 96 28 often often RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 96 29 group group NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 96 30 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 96 31 has have VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 96 32 any any DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 96 33 contact contact NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 96 34 with with IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 96 35 group group NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 96 36 b b NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 96 37 sufficient sufficient JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 96 38 for for IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 96 39 potential potential JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 96 40 virus virus NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 96 41 transmission transmission NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 96 42 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 97 1 In in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 97 2 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 97 3 POLYMOD POLYMOD NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 97 4 study study NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 97 5 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 97 6 Mossong Mossong NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 97 7 et et FW cord-260039-k9rs3dql 97 8 al al NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 97 9 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 98 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 98 2 2008 2008 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 98 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 98 4 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 98 5 7,290 7,290 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 98 6 participants participant NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 98 7 from from IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 98 8 8 8 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 98 9 countries country NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 98 10 including include VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 98 11 Germany Germany NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 98 12 reported report VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 98 13 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 98 14 number number NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 98 15 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 98 16 extent extent NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 98 17 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 98 18 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 98 19 social social JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 98 20 contacts contact NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 98 21 during during IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 98 22 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 98 23 randomly randomly RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 98 24 assigned assign VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 98 25 24 24 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 98 26 hour hour NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 98 27 period period NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 98 28 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 98 29 using use VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 98 30 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 98 31 written write VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 98 32 diary diary NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 98 33 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 99 1 The the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 99 2 age age NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 99 3 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 99 4 gender gender NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 99 5 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 99 6 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 99 7 contacted contact VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 99 8 persons person NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 99 9 were be VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 99 10 recorded record VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 99 11 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 99 12 among among IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 99 13 other other JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 99 14 information information NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 99 15 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 100 1 Overall overall RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 100 2 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 100 3 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 100 4 study study NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 100 5 contains contain VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 100 6 information information NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 100 7 on on IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 100 8 97,904 97,904 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 100 9 contacts contact NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 100 10 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 100 11 distributed distribute VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 100 12 across across IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 100 13 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 100 14 8 8 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 100 15 participating participate VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 100 16 countries country NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 100 17 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 101 1 The the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 101 2 overall overall JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 101 3 contact contact NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 101 4 pattern pattern NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 101 5 for for IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 101 6 Germany Germany NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 101 7 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 101 8 displayed display VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 101 9 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 101 10 Figure figure NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 101 11 4 4 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 101 12 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 102 1 The the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 102 2 behaviour behaviour NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 102 3 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 102 4 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 102 5 epidemiological epidemiological JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 102 6 model model NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 102 7 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 102 8 primarily primarily RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 102 9 governed govern VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 102 10 by by IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 102 11 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 102 12 effective effective JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 102 13 contact contact NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 102 14 rates rate NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 102 15 β β NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 102 16 ab ab NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 102 17 which which WDT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 102 18 result result VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 102 19 from from IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 102 20 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 102 21 basic basic JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 102 22 contact contact NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 102 23 rates rate NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 102 24 λ λ NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 102 25 ab ab NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 102 26 by by IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 102 27 accounting account VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 102 28 for for IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 102 29 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 102 30 secondary secondary JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 102 31 attack attack NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 102 32 rate rate NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 102 33 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 102 34 lockdown lockdown NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 102 35 measures measure NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 102 36 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 103 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 103 2 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 103 3 implicitly implicitly RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 103 4 assumed assume VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 103 5 here here RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 103 6 that that IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 103 7 hospitalised hospitalise VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 103 8 cases case NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 103 9 are be VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 103 10 effectively effectively RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 103 11 isolated isolate VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 103 12 from from IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 103 13 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 103 14 remaining remain VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 103 15 population population NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 103 16 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 103 17 can can MD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 103 18 not not RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 103 19 spread spread VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 103 20 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 103 21 disease disease NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 103 22 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 104 1 Note note VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 104 2 that that IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 104 3 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 104 4 product product NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 104 5 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 104 6 1 1 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 104 7 − − NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 104 8 m m NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 104 9 ab ab NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 104 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 104 11 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 104 12 1 1 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 104 13 − − NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 105 1 r)(1 r)(1 NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 105 2 − − NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 105 3 h h NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 105 4 b b NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 105 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 105 6 represents represent VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 105 7 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 105 8 proportion proportion NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 105 9 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 105 10 potential potential JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 105 11 virus virus NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 105 12 transmissions transmission NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 105 13 that that WDT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 105 14 are be VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 105 15 not not RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 105 16 prevented prevent VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 105 17 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 106 1 Based base VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 106 2 on on IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 106 3 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 106 4 compartment compartment NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 106 5 model model NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 106 6 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 106 7 derivative derivative JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 106 8 states state NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 106 9 such such JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 106 10 as as IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 106 11 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 106 12 demand demand NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 106 13 for for IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 106 14 hospitalisation hospitalisation NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 106 15 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 106 16 demand demand NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 106 17 for for IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 106 18 intensive intensive JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 106 19 care care NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 106 20 units unit NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 106 21 can can MD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 106 22 be be VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 106 23 modeled model VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 106 24 separately separately RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 106 25 by by IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 106 26 imposing impose VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 106 27 estimated estimate VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 106 28 proportions proportion NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 106 29 on on IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 106 30 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 106 31 compartment compartment NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 107 1 I. I. NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 107 2 More more RBR cord-260039-k9rs3dql 107 3 precisely precisely RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 107 4 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 107 5 H H NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 107 6 a a NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 107 7 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 107 8 t t NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 107 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 107 10 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 107 11 C C NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 107 12 a a NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 107 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 107 14 t t NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 107 15 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 107 16 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 107 17 i.e. i.e. FW cord-260039-k9rs3dql 107 18 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 107 19 number number NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 107 20 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 107 21 hospitalised hospitalise VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 107 22 persons person NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 107 23 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 107 24 patients patient NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 107 25 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 107 26 intensive intensive JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 107 27 care care NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 107 28 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 107 29 group group NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 107 30 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 107 31 at at IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 107 32 time time NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 107 33 t t NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 107 34 are be VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 107 35 calculated calculate VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 107 36 as as IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 107 37 : : : cord-260039-k9rs3dql 107 38 where where WRB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 107 39 h h NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 107 40 a a NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 107 41 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 107 42 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 107 43 age age NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 107 44 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 107 45 specific specific JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 107 46 proportion proportion NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 107 47 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 107 48 infectious infectious JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 107 49 people people NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 107 50 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 107 51 need need NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 107 52 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 107 53 hospitalisation hospitalisation NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 107 54 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 108 1 c c LS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 108 2 a a NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 108 3 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 108 4 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 108 5 agespecific agespecific JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 108 6 proportion proportion NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 108 7 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 108 8 hospitalised hospitalise VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 108 9 cases case NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 108 10 that that WDT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 108 11 need need VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 108 12 intensive intensive JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 108 13 care care NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 108 14 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 109 1 For for IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 109 2 these these DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 109 3 parameters parameter NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 109 4 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 109 5 estimates estimate NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 109 6 are be VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 109 7 available available JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 109 8 from from IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 109 9 Imperial Imperial NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 109 10 College College NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 109 11 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 109 12 Response Response NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 109 13 Team Team NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 109 14 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 109 15 2020 2020 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 109 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 109 17 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 109 18 Verity Verity NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 109 19 et et NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 109 20 al al NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 109 21 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 110 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 110 2 2020 2020 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 110 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 110 4 ; ; : cord-260039-k9rs3dql 110 5 see see VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 110 6 Table table NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 110 7 1 1 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 110 8 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 111 1 5 5 LS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 111 2 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 112 1 CC CC NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 112 2 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 112 3 BY BY NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 112 4 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 112 5 NC NC NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 112 6 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 112 7 ND ND NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 112 8 4.0 4.0 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 112 9 International international JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 112 10 license license NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 112 11 It -PRON- PRP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 112 12 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 112 13 made make VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 112 14 available available JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 112 15 under under IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 112 16 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 112 17 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 112 18 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 113 1 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 113 2 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 113 3 author author NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 113 4 / / SYM cord-260039-k9rs3dql 113 5 funder funder NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 113 6 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 113 7 who who WP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 113 8 has have VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 113 9 granted grant VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 113 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 113 11 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 113 12 license license NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 113 13 to to TO cord-260039-k9rs3dql 113 14 display display VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 113 15 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 113 16 preprint preprint NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 113 17 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 113 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 113 19 which which WDT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 113 20 was be VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 113 21 not not RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 113 22 certified certify VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 113 23 by by IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 113 24 peer peer NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 113 25 review review NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 113 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 113 27 preprint preprint NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 114 1 The the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 114 2 copyright copyright NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 114 3 holder holder NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 114 4 for for IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 114 5 this this DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 114 6 this this DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 114 7 version version NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 114 8 posted post VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 114 9 October October NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 114 10 8 8 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 114 11 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 114 12 2020 2020 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 114 13 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 114 14 _SP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 115 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 115 2 have have VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 115 3 implemented implement VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 115 4 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 115 5 suggested suggest VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 115 6 model model NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 115 7 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 115 8 R r NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 115 9 using use VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 115 10 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 115 11 discrete discrete JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 115 12 approximation approximation NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 115 13 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 115 14 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 115 15 ODE ODE NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 115 16 system system NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 115 17 via via IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 115 18 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 115 19 Forward Forward NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 115 20 Euler Euler NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 115 21 Method Method NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 115 22 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 115 23 see see VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 115 24 Butcher Butcher NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 115 25 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 115 26 2016 2016 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 115 27 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 115 28 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 115 29 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 116 1 The the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 116 2 step step NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 116 3 size size NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 116 4 ∆t ∆t NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 116 5 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 116 6 chosen choose VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 116 7 as as IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 116 8 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 116 9 quarter quarter NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 116 10 fraction fraction NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 116 11 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 116 12 one one CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 116 13 day day NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 116 14 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 117 1 Accordingly accordingly RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 117 2 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 117 3 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 117 4 transition transition NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 117 5 rates rate NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 117 6 between between IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 117 7 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 117 8 compartments compartment NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 117 9 need need VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 117 10 to to TO cord-260039-k9rs3dql 117 11 be be VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 117 12 adjusted adjust VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 117 13 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 117 14 whereas whereas IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 117 15 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 117 16 fraction fraction NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 117 17 parameters parameter NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 117 18 remain remain VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 117 19 unchanged unchanged JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 117 20 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 118 1 For for IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 118 2 instance instance NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 118 3 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 118 4 if if IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 118 5 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 118 6 average average JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 118 7 incubation incubation NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 118 8 time time NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 118 9 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 118 10 5 5 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 118 11 days day NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 118 12 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 118 13 ∆t ∆t NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 118 14 = = SYM cord-260039-k9rs3dql 118 15 1/4 1/4 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 118 16 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 118 17 days day NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 118 18 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 118 19 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 118 20 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 118 21 transition transition NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 118 22 parameter parameter NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 118 23 = = : cord-260039-k9rs3dql 118 24 1/5 1/5 NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 118 25 · · NFP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 118 26 1/4 1/4 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 118 27 = = SYM cord-260039-k9rs3dql 118 28 1/20 1/20 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 118 29 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 118 30 whereas whereas IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 118 31 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 118 32 manifestation manifestation NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 118 33 index index NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 118 34 ρ ρ NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 118 35 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 118 36 as as IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 118 37 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 118 38 relative relative JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 118 39 proportion proportion NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 118 40 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 118 41 exposed expose VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 118 42 people people NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 118 43 developing develop VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 118 44 symptoms symptom NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 118 45 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 118 46 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 118 47 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 118 48 same same JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 118 49 for for IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 118 50 any any DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 118 51 ∆t ∆t NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 118 52 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 119 1 The the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 119 2 time time NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 119 3 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 119 4 discrete discrete JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 119 5 6 6 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 119 6 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 120 1 CC CC NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 120 2 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 120 3 BY BY NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 120 4 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 120 5 NC NC NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 120 6 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 120 7 ND ND NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 120 8 4.0 4.0 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 120 9 International international JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 120 10 license license NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 120 11 It -PRON- PRP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 120 12 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 120 13 made make VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 120 14 available available JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 120 15 under under IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 120 16 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 120 17 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 120 18 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 121 1 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 121 2 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 121 3 author author NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 121 4 / / SYM cord-260039-k9rs3dql 121 5 funder funder NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 121 6 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 121 7 who who WP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 121 8 has have VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 121 9 granted grant VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 121 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 121 11 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 121 12 license license NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 121 13 to to TO cord-260039-k9rs3dql 121 14 display display VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 121 15 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 121 16 preprint preprint NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 121 17 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 121 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 121 19 which which WDT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 121 20 was be VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 121 21 not not RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 121 22 certified certify VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 121 23 by by IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 121 24 peer peer NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 121 25 review review NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 121 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 121 27 preprint preprint NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 122 1 The the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 122 2 copyright copyright NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 122 3 holder holder NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 122 4 for for IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 122 5 this this DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 122 6 this this DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 122 7 version version NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 122 8 posted post VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 122 9 October October NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 122 10 8 8 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 122 11 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 122 12 2020 2020 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 122 13 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 122 14 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 123 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.06.20207951 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.06.20207951 UH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 123 2 doi doi NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 123 3 : : : cord-260039-k9rs3dql 124 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 124 2 preprint preprint NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 124 3 approximation approximation NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 124 4 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 124 5 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 124 6 system system NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 124 7 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 124 8 ODEs ode NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 124 9 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 124 10 therefore therefore RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 124 11 described describe VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 124 12 as as IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 124 13 follows follow VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 124 14 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 125 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 125 2 suggest suggest VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 125 3 to to TO cord-260039-k9rs3dql 125 4 fit fit VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 125 5 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 125 6 model model NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 125 7 along along IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 125 8 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 125 9 following follow VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 125 10 consecutive consecutive JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 125 11 steps step NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 125 12 : : : cord-260039-k9rs3dql 125 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 125 14 1 1 LS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 125 15 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 125 16 Determine determine VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 125 17 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 125 18 timespan timespan NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 125 19 { { -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 125 20 1 1 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 125 21 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 125 22 ... ... NFP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 125 23 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 125 24 T T NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 125 25 } } -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 125 26 during during IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 125 27 which which WDT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 125 28 no no DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 125 29 lockdown lockdown NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 125 30 measures measure NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 125 31 had have VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 125 32 been be VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 125 33 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 125 34 place place NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 125 35 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 125 36 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 125 37 determine determine VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 125 38 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 125 39 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 125 40 number number NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 125 41 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 125 42 infections infection NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 125 43 during during IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 125 44 this this DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 125 45 time time NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 125 46 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 126 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 126 2 2 2 LS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 126 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 126 4 Based base VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 126 5 on on IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 126 6 plausible plausible JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 126 7 ranges range NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 126 8 for for IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 126 9 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 126 10 involved involve VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 126 11 compartment compartment NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 126 12 parameters parameter NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 126 13 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 126 14 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 126 15 initial initial JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 126 16 state state NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 126 17 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 126 18 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 126 19 compartment compartment NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 126 20 model model NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 126 21 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 126 22 fit fit VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 126 23 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 126 24 contact contact NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 126 25 intensity intensity NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 126 26 model model NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 126 27 with with IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 126 28 regard regard NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 126 29 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 126 30 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 126 31 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 126 32 number number NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 126 33 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 126 34 infections infection NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 126 35 during during IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 126 36 { { -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 126 37 1 1 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 126 38 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 126 39 ... ... NFP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 126 40 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 126 41 T T NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 126 42 } } -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 126 43 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 127 1 In in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 127 2 order order NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 127 3 to to TO cord-260039-k9rs3dql 127 4 derive derive VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 127 5 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 127 6 secondary secondary JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 127 7 attack attack NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 127 8 rate rate NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 127 9 w w NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 127 10 from from IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 127 11 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 127 12 contact contact NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 127 13 rates rate NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 127 14 λ λ NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 127 15 ab ab NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 127 16 given give VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 127 17 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 127 18 van van NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 127 19 de de NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 127 20 Kassteele Kassteele NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 127 21 et et FW cord-260039-k9rs3dql 127 22 al al NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 127 23 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 128 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 128 2 2017 2017 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 128 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 128 4 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 128 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 128 6 fit fit VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 128 7 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 128 8 proposed propose VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 128 9 compartment compartment NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 128 10 model model NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 128 11 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 128 12 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 128 13 reported report VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 128 14 cases case NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 128 15 during during IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 128 16 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 128 17 timespan timespan NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 128 18 { { -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 128 19 1 1 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 128 20 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 128 21 ... ... NFP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 128 22 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 128 23 T T NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 128 24 } } -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 128 25 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 128 26 no no DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 128 27 lockdown lockdown NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 128 28 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 129 1 This this DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 129 2 step step NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 129 3 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 129 4 necessary necessary JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 129 5 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 129 6 because because IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 129 7 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 129 8 social social JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 129 9 contact contact NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 129 10 rates rate NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 129 11 λ λ NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 129 12 ab ab NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 129 13 do do VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 129 14 not not RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 129 15 incorporate incorporate VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 129 16 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 129 17 specific specific JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 129 18 transmission transmission NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 129 19 characteristics characteristic NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 129 20 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 129 21 SARS SARS NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 129 22 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 129 23 CoV-2 CoV-2 NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 129 24 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 129 25 such such JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 129 26 as as IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 129 27 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 129 28 average average JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 129 29 length length NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 129 30 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 129 31 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 129 32 infectious infectious JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 129 33 period period NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 129 34 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 129 35 average average JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 129 36 infection infection NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 129 37 probability probability NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 129 38 per per IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 129 39 contact contact NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 129 40 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 130 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 130 2 assume assume VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 130 3 that that IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 130 4 w w NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 130 5 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 130 6 not not RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 130 7 specific specific JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 130 8 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 130 9 age age NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 130 10 or or CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 130 11 sex sex NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 130 12 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 131 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 131 2 employ employ VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 131 3 as as IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 131 4 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 131 5 least least JJS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 131 6 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 131 7 squares square NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 131 8 criterion criterion NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 131 9 function function NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 131 10 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 131 11 order order NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 131 12 to to TO cord-260039-k9rs3dql 131 13 determine determine VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 131 14 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 131 15 optimal optimal JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 131 16 value value NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 131 17 w w NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 131 18 : : : cord-260039-k9rs3dql 131 19 = = NFP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 132 1 argmin argmin NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 132 2 w>0 w>0 NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 132 3 Q(w Q(w NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 132 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 132 5 , , . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 133 1 where where WRB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 133 2 I -PRON- PRP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 133 3 cum cum VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 133 4 are be VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 133 5 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 133 6 observed observed JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 133 7 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 133 8 infections infection NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 133 9 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 133 10 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 133 11 I -PRON- PRP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 133 12 cum cum VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 133 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 133 14 t|w t|w CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 133 15 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 134 1 are be VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 134 2 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 134 3 estimated estimate VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 134 4 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 134 5 infections infection NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 134 6 based base VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 134 7 on on IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 134 8 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 134 9 epidemiological epidemiological JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 134 10 model model NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 134 11 given give VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 134 12 w. w. NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 134 13 Hence Hence NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 134 14 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 134 15 w w NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 134 16 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 134 17 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 134 18 scalar scalar JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 134 19 parameter parameter NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 134 20 for for IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 134 21 which which WDT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 134 22 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 134 23 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 134 24 infections infection NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 134 25 are be VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 134 26 best best RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 134 27 predicted predict VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 134 28 retrospectively retrospectively RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 134 29 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 135 1 Note note VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 135 2 that that IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 135 3 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 135 4 observed observed JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 135 5 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 135 6 number number NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 135 7 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 135 8 infections infection NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 135 9 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 135 10 usually usually RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 135 11 recorded record VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 135 12 for for IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 135 13 each each DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 135 14 day day NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 135 15 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 135 16 while while IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 135 17 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 135 18 step step NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 135 19 size size NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 135 20 ∆t ∆t NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 135 21 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 135 22 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 135 23 model model NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 135 24 may may MD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 135 25 be be VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 135 26 different different JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 135 27 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 136 1 Thus thus RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 136 2 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 136 3 appropriate appropriate JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 136 4 matching matching NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 136 5 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 136 6 observed observed JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 136 7 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 136 8 estimated estimate VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 136 9 values value NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 136 10 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 136 11 necessary necessary JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 136 12 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 137 1 This this DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 137 2 fitting fitting JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 137 3 method method NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 137 4 requires require VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 137 5 that that IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 137 6 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 137 7 number number NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 137 8 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 137 9 infections infection NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 137 10 for for IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 137 11 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 137 12 geographical geographical JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 137 13 region region NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 137 14 considered consider VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 137 15 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 137 16 sufficiently sufficiently RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 137 17 large large JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 137 18 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 137 19 such such JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 137 20 that that IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 137 21 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 137 22 mechanics mechanic NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 137 23 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 137 24 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 137 25 compartment compartment NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 137 26 model model NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 137 27 are be VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 137 28 plausible plausible JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 137 29 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 138 1 Note note VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 138 2 that that IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 138 3 potential potential JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 138 4 under under IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 138 5 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 138 6 ascertainment ascertainment NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 138 7 may may MD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 138 8 not not RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 138 9 substantially substantially RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 138 10 change change VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 138 11 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 138 12 optimal optimal JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 138 13 value value NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 138 14 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 138 15 w w NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 138 16 as as RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 138 17 long long RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 138 18 as as IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 138 19 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 138 20 proportion proportion NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 138 21 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 138 22 detected detect VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 138 23 cases case NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 138 24 does do VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 138 25 not not RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 138 26 strongly strongly RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 138 27 vary vary VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 138 28 over over IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 138 29 time time NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 138 30 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 139 1 Furthermore furthermore RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 139 2 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 139 3 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 139 4 suggested suggest VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 139 5 fitting fitting JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 139 6 method method NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 139 7 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 139 8 based base VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 139 9 on on IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 139 10 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 139 11 assumption assumption NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 139 12 that that IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 139 13 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 139 14 probability probability NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 139 15 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 139 16 virus virus NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 139 17 transmission transmission NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 139 18 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 139 19 independent independent JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 139 20 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 139 21 age age NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 139 22 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 139 23 sex sex NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 139 24 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 139 25 given give VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 139 26 that that IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 139 27 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 139 28 contact contact NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 139 29 has have VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 139 30 occurred occur VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 139 31 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 140 1 If if IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 140 2 different different JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 140 3 propensities propensity NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 140 4 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 140 5 virus virus NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 140 6 transmission transmission NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 140 7 are be VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 140 8 allowed allow VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 140 9 for for IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 140 10 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 140 11 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 140 12 contact contact NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 140 13 matrix matrix NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 140 14 may may MD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 140 15 be be VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 140 16 correspondingly correspondingly RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 140 17 adjusted adjust VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 140 18 along along IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 140 19 introduced introduce VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 140 20 parameters parameter NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 140 21 w w NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 140 22 1 1 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 140 23 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 140 24 ... ... NFP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 140 25 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 141 1 w w NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 141 2 ab ab NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 141 3 for for IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 141 4 each each DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 141 5 group group NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 141 6 combination combination NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 141 7 or or CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 141 8 w w NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 141 9 1 1 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 141 10 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 141 11 ... ... NFP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 141 12 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 142 1 w w NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 142 2 a a NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 142 3 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 142 4 if if IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 142 5 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 142 6 probability probability NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 142 7 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 142 8 transmission transmission NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 142 9 only only RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 142 10 depends depend VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 142 11 on on IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 142 12 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 142 13 contact contact NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 142 14 group group NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 142 15 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 143 1 The the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 143 2 criterion criterion NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 143 3 function function NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 143 4 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 143 5 likewise likewise RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 143 6 extended extend VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 143 7 as as IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 143 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 143 9 w w NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 143 10 1 1 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 143 11 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 143 12 ... ... NFP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 143 13 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 143 14 w w NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 143 15 ab ab NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 143 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 144 1 → → XX cord-260039-k9rs3dql 144 2 Q(w q(w NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 144 3 1 1 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 144 4 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 144 5 ... ... NFP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 144 6 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 144 7 w w NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 144 8 ab ab NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 144 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 144 10 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 145 1 However however RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 145 2 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 145 3 optimisation optimisation NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 145 4 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 145 5 this this DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 145 6 extended extended JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 145 7 model model NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 145 8 requires require VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 145 9 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 145 10 sufficiently sufficiently RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 145 11 large large JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 145 12 number number NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 145 13 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 145 14 transmissions transmission NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 145 15 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 145 16 detailed detailed JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 145 17 information information NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 145 18 on on IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 145 19 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 145 20 recorded record VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 145 21 infections infection NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 145 22 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 145 23 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 145 24 may may MD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 145 25 lead lead VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 145 26 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 145 27 unpractically unpractically RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 145 28 vague vague JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 145 29 estimates estimate NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 145 30 otherwise otherwise RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 145 31 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 146 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 146 2 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 146 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 146 4 suggest suggest VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 146 5 to to TO cord-260039-k9rs3dql 146 6 employ employ VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 146 7 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 146 8 simpler simple JJR cord-260039-k9rs3dql 146 9 model model NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 146 10 with with IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 146 11 univariate univariate NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 146 12 w w NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 146 13 first first RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 146 14 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 147 1 In in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 147 2 order order NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 147 3 to to TO cord-260039-k9rs3dql 147 4 account account VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 147 5 for for IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 147 6 parameter parameter NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 147 7 uncertainty uncertainty NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 147 8 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 147 9 we -PRON- PRP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 147 10 develop develop VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 147 11 uncertainty uncertainty NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 147 12 intervals interval NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 147 13 for for IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 147 14 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 147 15 number number NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 147 16 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 147 17 people people NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 147 18 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 147 19 each each DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 147 20 compartment compartment NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 147 21 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 148 1 As as IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 148 2 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 148 3 cautionary cautionary JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 148 4 remark remark NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 148 5 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 148 6 note note VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 148 7 that that IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 148 8 these these DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 148 9 intervals interval NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 148 10 are be VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 148 11 not not RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 148 12 to to TO cord-260039-k9rs3dql 148 13 be be VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 148 14 equated equate VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 148 15 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 148 16 confidence confidence NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 148 17 intervals interval NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 148 18 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 148 19 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 148 20 classical classical JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 148 21 sense sense NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 148 22 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 149 1 Though though IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 149 2 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 149 3 resulting result VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 149 4 intervals interval NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 149 5 are be VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 149 6 conceptually conceptually RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 149 7 comparable comparable JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 149 8 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 149 9 Bayesian bayesian JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 149 10 credibility credibility NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 149 11 intervals interval NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 149 12 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 149 13 they -PRON- PRP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 149 14 are be VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 149 15 to to TO cord-260039-k9rs3dql 149 16 be be VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 149 17 distinguished distinguish VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 149 18 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 149 19 that that DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 149 20 no no DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 149 21 prior prior JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 149 22 distribution distribution NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 149 23 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 149 24 explicitly explicitly RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 149 25 assumed assume VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 149 26 here here RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 149 27 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 150 1 Note note VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 150 2 that that IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 150 3 these these DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 150 4 intervals interval NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 150 5 do do VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 150 6 not not RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 150 7 reflect reflect VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 150 8 uncertainty uncertainty NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 150 9 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 150 10 terms term NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 150 11 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 150 12 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 150 13 underlying underlie VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 150 14 infection infection NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 150 15 data datum NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 150 16 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 151 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 151 2 predict predict VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 151 3 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 151 4 number number NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 151 5 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 151 6 cases case NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 151 7 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 151 8 each each DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 151 9 age age NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 151 10 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 151 11 specific specific JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 151 12 compartment compartment NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 151 13 using use VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 151 14 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 151 15 Monte Monte NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 151 16 Carlo Carlo NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 151 17 simulation simulation NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 151 18 method method NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 151 19 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 152 1 For for IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 152 2 each each DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 152 3 simulated simulate VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 152 4 run run NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 152 5 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 152 6 all all DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 152 7 parameters parameter NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 152 8 are be VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 152 9 independently independently RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 152 10 drawn draw VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 152 11 from from IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 152 12 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 152 13 respective respective JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 152 14 range range NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 152 15 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 152 16 yielding yield VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 152 17 7 7 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 152 18 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 153 1 CC CC NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 153 2 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 153 3 BY BY NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 153 4 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 153 5 NC NC NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 153 6 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 153 7 ND ND NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 153 8 4.0 4.0 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 153 9 International international JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 153 10 license license NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 153 11 It -PRON- PRP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 153 12 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 153 13 made make VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 153 14 available available JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 153 15 under under IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 153 16 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 153 17 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 153 18 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 154 1 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 154 2 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 154 3 author author NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 154 4 / / SYM cord-260039-k9rs3dql 154 5 funder funder NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 154 6 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 154 7 who who WP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 154 8 has have VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 154 9 granted grant VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 154 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 154 11 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 154 12 license license NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 154 13 to to TO cord-260039-k9rs3dql 154 14 display display VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 154 15 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 154 16 preprint preprint NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 154 17 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 154 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 154 19 which which WDT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 154 20 was be VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 154 21 not not RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 154 22 certified certify VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 154 23 by by IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 154 24 peer peer NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 154 25 review review NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 154 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 154 27 preprint preprint NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 155 1 The the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 155 2 copyright copyright NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 155 3 holder holder NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 155 4 for for IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 155 5 this this DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 155 6 this this DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 155 7 version version NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 155 8 posted post VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 155 9 October October NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 155 10 8 8 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 155 11 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 155 12 2020 2020 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 155 13 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 155 14 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 156 1 an an DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 156 2 instance instance NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 156 3 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 156 4 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 156 5 hypothetical hypothetical JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 156 6 parameter parameter NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 156 7 setup setup NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 156 8 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 157 1 Given give VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 157 2 these these DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 157 3 parameters parameter NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 157 4 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 157 5 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 157 6 SEIRD SEIRD NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 157 7 ODE ODE NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 157 8 model model NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 157 9 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 157 10 approximated approximate VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 157 11 using use VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 157 12 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 157 13 Forward Forward NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 157 14 Euler Euler NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 157 15 Method Method NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 157 16 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 157 17 known know VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 157 18 initial initial JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 157 19 states state NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 157 20 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 157 21 as as IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 157 22 described describe VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 157 23 above above RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 157 24 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 158 1 After after IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 158 2 N n CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 158 3 R r NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 158 4 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 158 5 such such JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 158 6 simulated simulated JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 158 7 runs run NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 158 8 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 158 9 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 158 10 prediction prediction NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 158 11 intervals interval NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 158 12 for for IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 158 13 all all DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 158 14 relevant relevant JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 158 15 values value NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 158 16 are be VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 158 17 construed construe VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 158 18 based base VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 158 19 on on IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 158 20 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 158 21 pseudo pseudo JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 158 22 - - JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 158 23 empirical empirical JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 158 24 trajectories trajectory NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 158 25 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 158 26 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 158 27 compartment compartment NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 158 28 model model NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 158 29 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 159 1 Furthermore furthermore RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 159 2 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 159 3 prediction prediction NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 159 4 intervals interval NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 159 5 are be VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 159 6 derived derive VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 159 7 as as IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 159 8 point point NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 159 9 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 159 10 wise wise JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 159 11 quantile quantile NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 159 12 ranges range VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 159 13 for for IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 159 14 each each DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 159 15 t. t. NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 160 1 For for IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 160 2 instance instance NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 160 3 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 160 4 an an DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 160 5 80 80 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 160 6 % % NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 160 7 prediction prediction NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 160 8 interval interval NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 160 9 for for IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 160 10 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 160 11 number number NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 160 12 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 160 13 infectious infectious JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 160 14 people people NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 160 15 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 160 16 group group NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 161 1 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 161 2 at at IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 161 3 time time NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 161 4 t t NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 161 5 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 161 6 [ [ -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 161 7 I -PRON- PRP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 162 1 a,10 a,10 NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 162 2 % % NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 162 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 162 4 t t NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 162 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 162 6 , , . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 163 1 I -PRON- PRP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 163 2 a,90 a,90 VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 163 3 % % NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 163 4 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 163 5 t t NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 163 6 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 163 7 ] ] -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 163 8 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 164 1 First first RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 164 2 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 164 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 164 4 fitted fit VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 164 5 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 164 6 model model NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 164 7 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 164 8 observed observe VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 164 9 COVID-19 covid-19 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 164 10 infections infection NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 164 11 using use VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 164 12 transition transition NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 164 13 rates rate NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 164 14 from from IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 164 15 literature literature NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 164 16 as as IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 164 17 described describe VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 164 18 under under IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 164 19 Section section NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 164 20 2 2 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 164 21 for for IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 164 22 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 164 23 period period NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 164 24 21 21 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 164 25 February February NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 164 26 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 164 27 13 13 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 164 28 March March NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 164 29 2020 2020 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 164 30 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 165 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 165 2 estimated estimate VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 165 3 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 165 4 model model NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 165 5 parameter parameter NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 165 6 w w NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 165 7 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 165 8 also also RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 165 9 termed term VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 165 10 secondary secondary JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 165 11 attack attack NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 165 12 rate rate NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 165 13 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 165 14 which which WDT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 165 15 reflects reflect VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 165 16 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 165 17 probability probability NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 165 18 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 165 19 infection infection NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 165 20 per per IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 165 21 contact contact NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 165 22 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 165 23 by by IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 165 24 least least JJS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 165 25 squares square NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 165 26 between between IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 165 27 observed observe VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 165 28 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 165 29 predicted predict VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 165 30 values value NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 165 31 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 165 32 as as IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 165 33 described describe VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 165 34 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 165 35 Section section NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 165 36 3.1 3.1 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 165 37 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 166 1 Second second RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 166 2 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 166 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 166 4 developed develop VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 166 5 three three CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 166 6 scenarios scenario NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 166 7 starting start VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 166 8 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 166 9 projections projection NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 166 10 on on IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 166 11 15 15 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 166 12 August August NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 166 13 2020 2020 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 166 14 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 166 15 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 166 16 using use VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 166 17 quarter quarter NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 166 18 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 166 19 days day NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 166 20 as as IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 166 21 base base NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 166 22 time time NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 166 23 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 166 24 ending end VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 166 25 on on IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 166 26 31 31 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 166 27 October October NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 166 28 2020 2020 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 166 29 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 167 1 The the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 167 2 first first JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 167 3 scenario scenario NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 167 4 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 167 5 which which WDT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 167 6 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 167 7 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 167 8 baseline baseline JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 167 9 scenario scenario NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 167 10 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 167 11 assumed assume VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 167 12 that that IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 167 13 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 167 14 age age NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 167 15 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 167 16 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 167 17 sexspecific sexspecific NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 167 18 contacts contact NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 167 19 are be VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 167 20 down down RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 167 21 by by IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 167 22 80 80 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 167 23 % % NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 167 24 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 167 25 i.e. i.e. FW cord-260039-k9rs3dql 167 26 only only RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 167 27 20 20 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 167 28 % % NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 167 29 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 167 30 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 167 31 contacts contact NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 167 32 estimated estimate VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 167 33 by by IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 167 34 van van NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 167 35 de de NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 167 36 Kassteele Kassteele NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 167 37 et et FW cord-260039-k9rs3dql 167 38 al al NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 167 39 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 168 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 168 2 2017 2017 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 168 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 168 4 were be VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 168 5 realized realize VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 168 6 between between IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 168 7 start start NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 168 8 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 168 9 end end NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 168 10 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 168 11 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 168 12 projection projection NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 168 13 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 169 1 This this DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 169 2 applied apply VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 169 3 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 169 4 all all DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 169 5 age age NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 169 6 groups group NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 169 7 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 169 8 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 169 9 both both DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 169 10 sexes sex NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 169 11 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 170 1 This this DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 170 2 scenario scenario NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 170 3 should should MD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 170 4 reflect reflect VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 170 5 continuous continuous JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 170 6 distancing distancing NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 170 7 measures measure NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 170 8 as as IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 170 9 were be VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 170 10 present present JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 170 11 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 170 12 mid mid NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 170 13 - - NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 170 14 August August NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 170 15 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 171 1 The the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 171 2 second second JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 171 3 scenario scenario NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 171 4 assumed assume VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 171 5 that that IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 171 6 contacts contact NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 171 7 at at IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 171 8 working work VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 171 9 ages age NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 171 10 30 30 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 171 11 - - SYM cord-260039-k9rs3dql 171 12 59 59 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 171 13 were be VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 171 14 increased increase VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 171 15 by by IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 171 16 4 4 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 171 17 percentage percentage NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 171 18 points point NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 171 19 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 171 20 PP PP NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 171 21 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 171 22 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 171 23 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 171 24 among among IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 171 25 those those DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 171 26 aged age VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 171 27 60 60 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 171 28 - - SYM cord-260039-k9rs3dql 171 29 69 69 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 171 30 by by IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 171 31 2 2 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 171 32 PP PP NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 171 33 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 171 34 equaling equal VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 171 35 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 171 36 decline decline NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 171 37 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 171 38 76 76 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 171 39 % % NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 171 40 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 171 41 78 78 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 171 42 % % NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 171 43 respectively respectively RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 171 44 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 172 1 All all DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 172 2 other other JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 172 3 ages age NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 172 4 remained remain VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 172 5 at at IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 172 6 80 80 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 172 7 % % NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 172 8 contact contact NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 172 9 reduction reduction NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 172 10 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 173 1 This this DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 173 2 should should MD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 173 3 reflect reflect VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 173 4 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 173 5 return return NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 173 6 from from IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 173 7 home home NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 173 8 office office NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 173 9 settings setting NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 173 10 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 173 11 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 173 12 opening opening NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 173 13 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 173 14 shops shop NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 173 15 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 173 16 cafes cafe NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 173 17 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 173 18 restaurants restaurant NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 173 19 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 173 20 etc etc FW cord-260039-k9rs3dql 173 21 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 174 1 The the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 174 2 third third JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 174 3 scenario scenario NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 174 4 considers consider VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 174 5 an an DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 174 6 additional additional JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 174 7 increase increase NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 174 8 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 174 9 contact contact NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 174 10 rates rate NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 174 11 among among IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 174 12 ages age NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 174 13 10 10 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 174 14 - - SYM cord-260039-k9rs3dql 174 15 29 29 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 174 16 by by IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 174 17 4 4 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 174 18 PP PP NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 174 19 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 174 20 which which WDT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 174 21 should should MD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 174 22 reflect reflect VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 174 23 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 174 24 opening opening NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 174 25 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 174 26 schools school NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 174 27 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 174 28 venues venue NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 174 29 mainly mainly RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 174 30 visited visit VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 174 31 by by IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 174 32 young young JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 174 33 individuals individual NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 174 34 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 175 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 175 2 explored explore VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 175 3 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 175 4 following follow VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 175 5 age age NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 175 6 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 175 7 specific specific JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 175 8 outcomes outcome NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 175 9 : : : cord-260039-k9rs3dql 175 10 _SP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 176 1 Fitting fit VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 176 2 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 176 3 model model NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 176 4 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 176 5 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 176 6 infections infection NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 176 7 observed observe VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 176 8 during during IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 176 9 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 176 10 fitting fitting JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 176 11 period period NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 176 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 176 13 21 21 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 176 14 Feb Feb NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 176 15 -31 -31 NNPS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 176 16 March March NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 176 17 2020 2020 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 176 18 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 176 19 results result VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 176 20 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 176 21 an an DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 176 22 estimate estimate NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 176 23 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 176 24 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 176 25 secondary secondary JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 176 26 attack attack NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 176 27 rate rate NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 177 1 w w NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 177 2 ≈ ≈ NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 177 3 13 13 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 177 4 % % NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 177 5 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 178 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 178 2 started start VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 178 3 with with IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 178 4 10,572 10,572 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 178 5 active active JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 178 6 infections infection NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 178 7 on on IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 178 8 15 15 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 178 9 August August NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 178 10 2020 2020 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 178 11 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 178 12 under under IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 178 13 Scenario scenario NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 178 14 1 1 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 178 15 this this DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 178 16 figure figure NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 178 17 increased increase VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 178 18 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 178 19 approximately approximately RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 178 20 19,814 19,814 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 178 21 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 178 22 Figure figure NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 178 23 3 3 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 178 24 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 179 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 179 2 men man NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 179 3 : : : cord-260039-k9rs3dql 179 4 9,811 9,811 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 179 5 ; ; : cord-260039-k9rs3dql 179 6 women woman NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 179 7 : : : cord-260039-k9rs3dql 179 8 10,002 10,002 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 179 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 179 10 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 180 1 The the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 180 2 number number NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 180 3 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 180 4 active active JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 180 5 infections infection NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 180 6 was be VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 180 7 highest high JJS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 180 8 at at IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 180 9 age age NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 180 10 30 30 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 180 11 - - SYM cord-260039-k9rs3dql 180 12 39 39 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 180 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 180 14 men man NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 180 15 : : : cord-260039-k9rs3dql 180 16 1,680 1,680 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 180 17 ; ; : cord-260039-k9rs3dql 180 18 women woman NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 180 19 : : : cord-260039-k9rs3dql 180 20 1,857 1,857 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 180 21 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 180 22 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 180 23 followed follow VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 180 24 by by IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 180 25 age age NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 180 26 10 10 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 180 27 - - SYM cord-260039-k9rs3dql 180 28 19 19 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 180 29 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 180 30 men man NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 180 31 : : : cord-260039-k9rs3dql 180 32 1,649 1,649 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 180 33 ; ; : cord-260039-k9rs3dql 180 34 women woman NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 180 35 : : : cord-260039-k9rs3dql 180 36 1,742 1,742 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 180 37 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 180 38 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 180 39 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 180 40 age age NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 180 41 40 40 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 180 42 - - SYM cord-260039-k9rs3dql 180 43 49 49 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 180 44 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 180 45 men man NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 180 46 : : : cord-260039-k9rs3dql 180 47 1,606 1,606 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 180 48 ; ; : cord-260039-k9rs3dql 180 49 women woman NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 180 50 : : : cord-260039-k9rs3dql 180 51 1,594 1,594 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 180 52 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 180 53 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 181 1 The the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 181 2 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 181 3 number number NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 181 4 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 181 5 deaths death NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 181 6 increased increase VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 181 7 from from IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 181 8 9,258 9,258 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 181 9 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 181 10 9,960 9,960 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 181 11 with with IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 181 12 5,520 5,520 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 181 13 men man NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 181 14 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 181 15 4,440 4,440 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 181 16 women woman NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 181 17 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 182 1 By by IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 182 2 31 31 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 182 3 October October NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 182 4 2020 2020 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 182 5 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 182 6 infection infection NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 182 7 rates rate NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 182 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 182 9 Table table NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 182 10 2 2 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 182 11 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 182 12 were be VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 182 13 highest high JJS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 182 14 among among IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 182 15 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 182 16 10 10 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 182 17 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 182 18 19-year 19-year JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 182 19 old old JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 182 20 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 182 21 men man NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 182 22 33.5 33.5 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 182 23 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 182 24 women woman NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 182 25 36.7 36.7 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 182 26 per per IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 182 27 1000 1000 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 182 28 individuals individual NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 182 29 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 182 30 followed follow VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 182 31 by by IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 182 32 ages age NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 182 33 20 20 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 182 34 to to TO cord-260039-k9rs3dql 182 35 49 49 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 182 36 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 182 37 18.1 18.1 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 182 38 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 182 39 27.3 27.3 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 182 40 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 182 41 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 182 42 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 182 43 ages age NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 182 44 0 0 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 182 45 - - SYM cord-260039-k9rs3dql 182 46 9 9 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 182 47 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 182 48 22.2 22.2 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 182 49 - - SYM cord-260039-k9rs3dql 182 50 23.1 23.1 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 182 51 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 182 52 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 183 1 At at IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 183 2 ages age NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 183 3 above above IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 183 4 50 50 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 183 5 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 183 6 infection infection NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 183 7 rates rate NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 183 8 declined decline VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 183 9 rapidly rapidly RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 183 10 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 183 11 almost almost RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 183 12 halving halve VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 183 13 from from IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 183 14 individuals individual NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 183 15 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 183 16 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 183 17 fifties fifty NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 183 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 183 19 16.2 16.2 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 183 20 - - SYM cord-260039-k9rs3dql 183 21 18.9 18.9 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 183 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 183 23 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 183 24 those those DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 183 25 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 183 26 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 183 27 sixties sixty NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 183 28 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 183 29 8.7 8.7 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 183 30 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 183 31 10.4 10.4 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 183 32 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 183 33 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 183 34 while while IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 183 35 at at IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 183 36 older old JJR cord-260039-k9rs3dql 183 37 ages age NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 183 38 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 183 39 decline decline NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 183 40 followed follow VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 183 41 at at IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 183 42 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 183 43 much much RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 183 44 lower low JJR cord-260039-k9rs3dql 183 45 pace pace NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 183 46 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 183 47 ages age NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 183 48 70 70 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 183 49 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 183 50 79 79 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 183 51 : : SYM cord-260039-k9rs3dql 183 52 6.7 6.7 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 183 53 - - SYM cord-260039-k9rs3dql 183 54 6.5 6.5 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 183 55 ; ; : cord-260039-k9rs3dql 183 56 ages age NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 183 57 80 80 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 184 1 + + CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 184 2 : : : cord-260039-k9rs3dql 184 3 4.9 4.9 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 184 4 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 184 5 5.6 5.6 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 184 6 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 184 7 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 185 1 Sex sex NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 185 2 ratios ratio NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 185 3 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 185 4 infections infection NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 185 5 were be VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 185 6 below below IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 185 7 1 1 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 185 8 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 185 9 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 185 10 age age NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 185 11 interval interval NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 185 12 10 10 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 185 13 to to TO cord-260039-k9rs3dql 185 14 39 39 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 185 15 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 185 16 indicating indicate VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 185 17 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 185 18 higher high JJR cord-260039-k9rs3dql 185 19 risk risk NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 185 20 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 185 21 infections infection NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 185 22 among among IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 185 23 women woman NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 185 24 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 186 1 From from IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 186 2 age age NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 186 3 50 50 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 186 4 onwards onwards RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 186 5 they -PRON- PRP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 186 6 were be VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 186 7 generally generally RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 186 8 above above IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 186 9 1 1 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 186 10 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 186 11 thus thus RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 186 12 turning turn VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 186 13 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 186 14 disadvantage disadvantage NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 186 15 towards towards IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 186 16 men man NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 186 17 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 187 1 As as IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 187 2 expected expect VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 187 3 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 187 4 death death NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 187 5 rates rate NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 187 6 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 187 7 Table table NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 187 8 2 2 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 187 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 187 10 increased increase VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 187 11 with with IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 187 12 age age NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 187 13 with with IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 187 14 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 187 15 decline decline NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 187 16 at at IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 187 17 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 187 18 oldest old JJS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 187 19 ages age NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 187 20 probably probably RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 187 21 reflecting reflect VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 187 22 health health NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 187 23 selection selection NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 187 24 or or CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 187 25 better well JJR cord-260039-k9rs3dql 187 26 protection protection NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 187 27 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 187 28 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 187 29 oldest old JJS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 187 30 old old JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 187 31 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 188 1 They -PRON- PRP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 188 2 were be VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 188 3 more more JJR cord-260039-k9rs3dql 188 4 than than IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 188 5 twice twice RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 188 6 as as RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 188 7 high high JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 188 8 among among IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 188 9 men man NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 188 10 than than IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 188 11 women woman NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 188 12 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 188 13 again again RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 188 14 with with IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 188 15 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 188 16 exception exception NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 188 17 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 188 18 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 188 19 oldest old JJS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 188 20 age age NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 188 21 group group NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 188 22 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 188 23 where where WRB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 188 24 men man NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 188 25 might may MD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 188 26 be be VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 188 27 positively positively RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 188 28 selected select VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 188 29 by by IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 188 30 health health NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 188 31 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 189 1 Scenario scenario NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 189 2 2 2 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 189 3 assumed assume VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 189 4 increased increase VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 189 5 contacts contact NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 189 6 at at IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 189 7 working work VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 189 8 ages age NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 189 9 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 189 10 arrived arrive VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 189 11 at at IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 189 12 28,520 28,520 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 189 13 active active JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 189 14 infections infection NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 189 15 by by IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 189 16 31 31 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 189 17 October October NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 189 18 2020 2020 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 189 19 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 189 20 therefore therefore RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 189 21 8,520 8,520 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 189 22 active active JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 189 23 infections infection NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 189 24 more more JJR cord-260039-k9rs3dql 189 25 than than IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 189 26 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 189 27 scenario scenario NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 189 28 1 1 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 189 29 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 189 30 men man NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 189 31 4,434 4,434 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 189 32 ; ; : cord-260039-k9rs3dql 189 33 women woman NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 189 34 4,274 4,274 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 189 35 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 189 36 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 190 1 These these DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 190 2 additional additional JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 190 3 infections infection NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 190 4 stemmed stem VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 190 5 from from IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 190 6 all all DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 190 7 ages age NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 190 8 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 190 9 even even RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 190 10 if if IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 190 11 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 190 12 risk risk NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 190 13 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 190 14 infections infection NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 190 15 increased increase VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 190 16 most most RBS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 190 17 among among IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 190 18 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 190 19 working work VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 190 20 ages age NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 190 21 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 191 1 Sex sex NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 191 2 ratios ratio NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 191 3 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 191 4 infection infection NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 191 5 rates rate NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 191 6 remained remain VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 191 7 8 8 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 191 8 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 192 1 CC CC NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 192 2 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 192 3 BY BY NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 192 4 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 192 5 NC NC NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 192 6 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 192 7 ND ND NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 192 8 4.0 4.0 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 192 9 International international JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 192 10 license license NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 192 11 It -PRON- PRP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 192 12 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 192 13 made make VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 192 14 available available JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 192 15 under under IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 192 16 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 192 17 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 192 18 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 193 1 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 193 2 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 193 3 author author NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 193 4 / / SYM cord-260039-k9rs3dql 193 5 funder funder NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 193 6 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 193 7 who who WP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 193 8 has have VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 193 9 granted grant VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 193 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 193 11 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 193 12 license license NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 193 13 to to TO cord-260039-k9rs3dql 193 14 display display VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 193 15 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 193 16 preprint preprint NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 193 17 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 193 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 193 19 which which WDT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 193 20 was be VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 193 21 not not RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 193 22 certified certify VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 193 23 by by IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 193 24 peer peer NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 193 25 review review NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 193 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 193 27 preprint preprint NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 194 1 The the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 194 2 copyright copyright NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 194 3 holder holder NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 194 4 for for IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 194 5 this this DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 194 6 this this DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 194 7 version version NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 194 8 posted post VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 194 9 October October NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 194 10 8 8 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 194 11 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 194 12 2020 2020 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 194 13 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 194 14 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 195 1 unchanged unchanged JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 195 2 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 195 3 because because IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 195 4 we -PRON- PRP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 195 5 increased increase VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 195 6 contact contact NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 195 7 rates rate NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 195 8 at at IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 195 9 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 195 10 same same JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 195 11 proportion proportion NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 195 12 for for IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 195 13 both both DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 195 14 genders gender NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 195 15 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 196 1 The the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 196 2 additional additional JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 196 3 infections infection NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 196 4 translated translate VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 196 5 into into IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 196 6 an an DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 196 7 additional additional JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 196 8 422 422 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 196 9 deaths death NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 196 10 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 196 11 men man NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 196 12 : : : cord-260039-k9rs3dql 196 13 234 234 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 196 14 ; ; : cord-260039-k9rs3dql 196 15 women woman NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 196 16 188 188 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 196 17 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 196 18 ; ; : cord-260039-k9rs3dql 196 19 among among IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 196 20 women woman NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 196 21 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 196 22 three three CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 196 23 quarters quarter NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 196 24 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 196 25 these these DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 196 26 deaths death NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 196 27 resulted result VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 196 28 at at IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 196 29 ages age NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 196 30 80 80 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 196 31 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 196 32 above above RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 196 33 ; ; : cord-260039-k9rs3dql 196 34 among among IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 196 35 men man NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 196 36 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 196 37 53 53 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 196 38 % % NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 196 39 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 196 40 reflecting reflect VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 196 41 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 196 42 higher high JJR cord-260039-k9rs3dql 196 43 mortality mortality NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 196 44 already already RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 196 45 at at IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 196 46 younger young JJR cord-260039-k9rs3dql 196 47 ages age NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 196 48 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 197 1 Sex sex NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 197 2 ratios ratio NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 197 3 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 197 4 death death NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 197 5 rates rate NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 197 6 remained remain VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 197 7 unchanged unchanged JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 197 8 as as IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 197 9 compared compare VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 197 10 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 197 11 Scenario scenario NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 197 12 1 1 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 197 13 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 197 14 reflecting reflect VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 197 15 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 197 16 model model NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 197 17 assumption assumption NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 197 18 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 197 19 parallel parallel JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 197 20 increase increase NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 197 21 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 197 22 contact contact NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 197 23 rates rate NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 197 24 for for IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 197 25 both both DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 197 26 genders gender NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 197 27 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 198 1 Scenario scenario NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 198 2 3 3 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 198 3 with with IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 198 4 increased increase VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 198 5 contacts contact NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 198 6 at at IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 198 7 young young JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 198 8 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 198 9 working working JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 198 10 ages age NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 198 11 resulted result VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 198 12 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 198 13 42,369 42,369 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 198 14 active active JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 198 15 infections infection NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 198 16 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 198 17 thus thus RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 198 18 22,555 22,555 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 198 19 more more JJR cord-260039-k9rs3dql 198 20 than than IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 198 21 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 198 22 Scenario scenario NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 198 23 1 1 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 198 24 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 198 25 men man NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 198 26 11,147 11,147 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 198 27 ; ; : cord-260039-k9rs3dql 198 28 women woman NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 198 29 11,410 11,410 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 198 30 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 198 31 which which WDT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 198 32 translated translate VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 198 33 into into IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 198 34 an an DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 198 35 additional additional JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 198 36 566 566 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 198 37 deaths death NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 198 38 with with IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 198 39 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 198 40 majority majority NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 198 41 resulting result VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 198 42 from from IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 198 43 ages age NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 198 44 80 80 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 198 45 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 198 46 above above RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 198 47 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 198 48 women woman NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 198 49 75 75 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 198 50 % % NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 198 51 ; ; : cord-260039-k9rs3dql 198 52 men man NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 198 53 53 53 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 198 54 % % NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 198 55 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 198 56 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 199 1 There there EX cord-260039-k9rs3dql 199 2 was be VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 199 3 little little JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 199 4 change change NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 199 5 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 199 6 sex sex NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 199 7 ratios ratio NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 199 8 as as IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 199 9 compared compare VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 199 10 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 199 11 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 199 12 other other JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 199 13 two two CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 199 14 scenarios scenario NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 199 15 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 200 1 Incorporating incorporate VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 200 2 age age NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 200 3 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 200 4 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 200 5 sex sex NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 200 6 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 200 7 specific specific JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 200 8 contact contact NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 200 9 rates rate NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 200 10 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 200 11 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 200 12 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 200 13 compartment compartment NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 200 14 model model NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 200 15 permits permit VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 200 16 exploration exploration NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 200 17 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 200 18 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 200 19 effects effect NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 200 20 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 200 21 changes change NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 200 22 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 200 23 mitigation mitigation NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 200 24 measures measure NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 200 25 on on IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 200 26 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 200 27 two two CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 200 28 genders gender NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 200 29 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 201 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 201 2 developed develop VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 201 3 three three CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 201 4 scenarios scenario NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 201 5 which which WDT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 201 6 assumed assume VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 201 7 ongoing ongoing JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 201 8 distancing distance VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 201 9 measures measure NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 201 10 versus versus IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 201 11 easing ease VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 201 12 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 201 13 contact contact NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 201 14 restrictions restriction NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 201 15 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 201 16 working work VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 201 17 ages age NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 201 18 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 201 19 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 201 20 among among IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 201 21 adolescents adolescent NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 201 22 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 201 23 young young JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 201 24 adults adult NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 201 25 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 202 1 Our -PRON- PRP$ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 202 2 projections projection NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 202 3 do do VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 202 4 not not RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 202 5 set set VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 202 6 out out RP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 202 7 to to TO cord-260039-k9rs3dql 202 8 forecast forecast VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 202 9 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 202 10 actual actual JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 202 11 number number NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 202 12 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 202 13 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 202 14 infections infection NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 202 15 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 202 16 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 202 17 time time NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 202 18 span span NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 202 19 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 202 20 about about RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 202 21 two two CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 202 22 months month NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 202 23 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 202 24 they -PRON- PRP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 202 25 rather rather RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 202 26 assess assess VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 202 27 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 202 28 effect effect NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 202 29 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 202 30 increased increase VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 202 31 contacts contact NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 202 32 on on IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 202 33 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 202 34 infection infection NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 202 35 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 202 36 mortality mortality NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 202 37 risks risk NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 202 38 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 202 39 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 202 40 two two CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 202 41 genders gender NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 202 42 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 202 43 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 202 44 various various JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 202 45 age age NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 202 46 groups group NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 202 47 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 203 1 The the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 203 2 fit fit NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 203 3 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 203 4 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 203 5 model model NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 203 6 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 203 7 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 203 8 baseline baseline JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 203 9 period period NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 203 10 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 203 11 February February NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 203 12 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 203 13 March March NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 203 14 results result VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 203 15 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 203 16 an an DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 203 17 estimated estimated JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 203 18 secondary secondary JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 203 19 attack attack NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 203 20 rate rate NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 204 1 w w NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 204 2 ≈ ≈ NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 205 1 13 13 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 205 2 % % NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 205 3 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 205 4 putting put VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 205 5 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 205 6 findings finding NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 205 7 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 205 8 close close JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 205 9 agreement agreement NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 205 10 with with IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 205 11 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 205 12 rates rate NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 205 13 reported report VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 205 14 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 205 15 Ghangdou Ghangdou NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 205 16 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 205 17 where where WRB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 205 18 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 205 19 household household NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 205 20 w w NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 205 21 varied varied JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 205 22 between between IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 205 23 12 12 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 205 24 % % NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 205 25 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 205 26 17 17 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 205 27 % % NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 205 28 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 205 29 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 205 30 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 205 31 non non JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 205 32 - - JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 205 33 household household JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 205 34 w w NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 205 35 between between IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 205 36 6 6 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 205 37 % % NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 205 38 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 205 39 9 9 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 205 40 % % NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 205 41 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 205 42 Jing Jing NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 205 43 et et FW cord-260039-k9rs3dql 205 44 al al NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 205 45 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 206 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 206 2 2020 2020 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 206 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 206 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 206 5 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 206 6 although although IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 206 7 higher high JJR cord-260039-k9rs3dql 206 8 attack attack NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 206 9 rates rate NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 206 10 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 206 11 up up IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 206 12 to to TO cord-260039-k9rs3dql 206 13 35 35 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 206 14 % % NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 206 15 have have VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 206 16 been be VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 206 17 reported report VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 206 18 e.g. e.g. RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 206 19 for for IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 206 20 meals meal NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 206 21 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 206 22 holiday holiday NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 206 23 visits visit NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 206 24 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 206 25 Liu Liu NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 206 26 et et NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 206 27 al al NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 206 28 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 207 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 207 2 2020b 2020b CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 207 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 207 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 207 5 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 208 1 Three three CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 208 2 important important JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 208 3 lessons lesson NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 208 4 can can MD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 208 5 be be VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 208 6 learned learn VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 208 7 from from IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 208 8 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 208 9 scenarios scenario NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 208 10 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 209 1 First first RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 209 2 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 209 3 even even RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 209 4 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 209 5 small small JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 209 6 change change NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 209 7 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 209 8 contact contact NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 209 9 rates rate NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 209 10 has have VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 209 11 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 209 12 large large JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 209 13 impact impact NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 209 14 on on IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 209 15 infections infection NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 209 16 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 209 17 deaths death NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 209 18 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 210 1 In in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 210 2 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 210 3 projections projection NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 210 4 we -PRON- PRP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 210 5 assumed assume VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 210 6 an an DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 210 7 increase increase NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 210 8 ranging range VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 210 9 from from IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 210 10 4 4 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 210 11 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 210 12 2 2 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 210 13 PP pp NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 210 14 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 211 1 This this DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 211 2 reflects reflect VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 211 3 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 211 4 fact fact NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 211 5 that that IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 211 6 without without IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 211 7 non non JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 211 8 - - JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 211 9 pharmaceutical pharmaceutical JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 211 10 mitigation mitigation NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 211 11 measures measure NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 211 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 211 13 NPMM NPMM NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 211 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 211 15 such such JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 211 16 as as IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 211 17 masks mask NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 211 18 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 211 19 physical physical JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 211 20 distance distance NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 211 21 between between IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 211 22 individuals individual NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 211 23 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 211 24 better well JJR cord-260039-k9rs3dql 211 25 air air NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 211 26 ventilation ventilation NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 211 27 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 211 28 hygiene hygiene NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 211 29 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 211 30 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 211 31 without without IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 211 32 contact contact NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 211 33 tracing tracing NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 211 34 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 211 35 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 211 36 infection infection NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 211 37 rates rate NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 211 38 would would MD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 211 39 return return VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 211 40 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 211 41 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 211 42 initial initial JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 211 43 exponential exponential JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 211 44 increase increase NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 211 45 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 212 1 This this DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 212 2 was be VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 212 3 reflected reflect VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 212 4 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 212 5 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 212 6 reproduction reproduction NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 212 7 rate rate NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 212 8 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 212 9 3.3 3.3 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 212 10 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 212 11 3.8 3.8 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 212 12 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 212 13 as as IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 212 14 observed observe VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 212 15 at at IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 212 16 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 212 17 beginning beginning NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 212 18 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 212 19 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 212 20 pandemic pandemic NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 213 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 213 2 Lin Lin NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 213 3 et et NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 213 4 al al NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 213 5 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 214 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 214 2 2020 2020 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 214 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 214 4 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 214 5 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 214 6 Alimohamadi Alimohamadi NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 214 7 et et NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 214 8 al al NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 214 9 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 215 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 215 2 2020 2020 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 215 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 215 4 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 215 5 RKI RKI NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 215 6 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 215 7 2020 2020 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 215 8 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 215 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 215 10 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 216 1 However however RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 216 2 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 216 3 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 216 4 presence presence NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 216 5 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 216 6 NPMM NPMM NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 216 7 also also RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 216 8 mitigates mitigate VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 216 9 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 216 10 effect effect NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 216 11 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 216 12 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 216 13 increase increase NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 216 14 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 216 15 contacts contact NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 216 16 due due JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 216 17 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 216 18 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 216 19 return return NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 216 20 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 216 21 office office NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 216 22 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 216 23 opening opening NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 216 24 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 216 25 shops shop NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 216 26 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 216 27 restaurants restaurant NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 216 28 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 216 29 as as RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 216 30 well well RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 216 31 as as IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 216 32 schools school NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 216 33 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 216 34 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 216 35 venues venue NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 216 36 visited visit VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 216 37 by by IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 216 38 young young JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 216 39 adults adult NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 216 40 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 216 41 leaving leave VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 216 42 it -PRON- PRP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 216 43 far far RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 216 44 from from IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 216 45 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 216 46 initial initial JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 216 47 impact impact NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 216 48 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 217 1 In in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 217 2 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 217 3 present present JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 217 4 scenarios scenario NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 217 5 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 217 6 both both DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 217 7 effects effect NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 217 8 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 217 9 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 217 10 change change NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 217 11 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 217 12 contact contact NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 217 13 rates rate NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 217 14 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 217 15 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 217 16 change change NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 217 17 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 217 18 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 217 19 impact impact NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 217 20 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 217 21 are be VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 217 22 captured capture VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 217 23 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 217 24 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 217 25 reduction reduction NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 217 26 matrix matrix NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 217 27 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 217 28 m m NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 217 29 ab ab NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 217 30 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 217 31 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 217 32 which which WDT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 217 33 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 217 34 multiplied multiply VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 217 35 with with IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 217 36 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 217 37 matrix matrix NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 217 38 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 217 39 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 217 40 contact contact NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 217 41 rates rate NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 217 42 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 218 1 One one CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 218 2 alternative alternative JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 218 3 approach approach NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 218 4 would would MD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 218 5 be be VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 218 6 to to TO cord-260039-k9rs3dql 218 7 develop develop VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 218 8 separate separate JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 218 9 scenarios scenario NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 218 10 for for IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 218 11 changes change NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 218 12 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 218 13 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 218 14 secondary secondary JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 218 15 attack attack NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 218 16 rate rate NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 218 17 w w NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 218 18 due due IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 218 19 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 218 20 NPMM NPMM NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 218 21 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 218 22 changes change NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 218 23 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 218 24 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 218 25 contact contact NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 218 26 rates rate NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 218 27 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 218 28 m m NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 218 29 ab ab NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 218 30 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 218 31 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 218 32 which which WDT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 218 33 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 218 34 one one CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 218 35 possibility possibility NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 218 36 to to TO cord-260039-k9rs3dql 218 37 modify modify VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 218 38 this this DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 218 39 analysis analysis NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 218 40 further further RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 218 41 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 219 1 At at IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 219 2 any any DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 219 3 rate rate NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 219 4 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 219 5 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 219 6 scenarios scenario NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 219 7 show show VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 219 8 that that IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 219 9 small small JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 219 10 changes change NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 219 11 already already RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 219 12 have have VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 219 13 large large JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 219 14 impacts impact NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 219 15 on on IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 219 16 infections infection NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 219 17 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 219 18 deaths death NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 219 19 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 220 1 This this DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 220 2 implies imply VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 220 3 that that IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 220 4 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 220 5 impact impact NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 220 6 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 220 7 contacts contact NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 220 8 must must MD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 220 9 be be VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 220 10 diminished diminish VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 220 11 considerably considerably RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 220 12 to to TO cord-260039-k9rs3dql 220 13 allow allow VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 220 14 increases increase NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 220 15 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 220 16 contacts contact NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 220 17 without without IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 220 18 returning return VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 220 19 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 220 20 exponential exponential JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 220 21 growth growth NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 220 22 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 220 23 infections infection NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 220 24 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 220 25 hence hence RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 220 26 underlining underline VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 220 27 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 220 28 high high JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 220 29 importance importance NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 220 30 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 220 31 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 220 32 NPMM NPMM NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 220 33 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 220 34 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 220 35 current current JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 220 36 phase phase NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 220 37 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 220 38 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 220 39 pandemic pandemic NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 220 40 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 221 1 Second second JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 221 2 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 221 3 due due IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 221 4 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 221 5 intergenerational intergenerational JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 221 6 contacts contact NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 221 7 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 221 8 any any DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 221 9 easing easing NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 221 10 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 221 11 measures measure NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 221 12 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 221 13 working work VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 221 14 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 221 15 young young JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 221 16 ages age NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 221 17 will will MD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 221 18 inevitably inevitably RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 221 19 lead lead VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 221 20 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 221 21 an an DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 221 22 increase increase NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 221 23 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 221 24 infections infection NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 221 25 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 221 26 deaths death NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 221 27 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 221 28 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 221 29 latter latter JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 221 30 mainly mainly RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 221 31 at at IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 221 32 old old JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 221 33 ages age NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 221 34 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 222 1 Over over IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 222 2 all all DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 222 3 ages age NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 222 4 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 222 5 deaths death NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 222 6 will will MD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 222 7 increase increase VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 222 8 by by IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 222 9 60 60 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 222 10 % % NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 222 11 when when WRB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 222 12 contacts contact NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 222 13 increase increase VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 222 14 at at IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 222 15 working work VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 222 16 ages age NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 222 17 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 222 18 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 222 19 increase increase VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 222 20 by by IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 222 21 80 80 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 222 22 % % NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 222 23 when when WRB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 222 24 contacts contact NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 222 25 also also RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 222 26 rise rise VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 222 27 among among IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 222 28 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 222 29 young young JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 222 30 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 223 1 The the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 223 2 vast vast JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 223 3 majority majority NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 223 4 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 223 5 these these DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 223 6 increases increase NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 223 7 occur occur VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 223 8 at at IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 223 9 old old JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 223 10 ages age NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 223 11 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 223 12 with with IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 223 13 75 75 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 223 14 % % NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 223 15 among among IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 223 16 women woman NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 223 17 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 223 18 60 60 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 223 19 % % NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 223 20 among among IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 223 21 men man NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 223 22 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 223 23 whereby whereby WRB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 223 24 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 223 25 fatality fatality NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 223 26 among among IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 223 27 men man NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 223 28 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 223 29 more more JJR cord-260039-k9rs3dql 223 30 than than IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 223 31 twice twice RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 223 32 as as RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 223 33 high high JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 223 34 as as IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 223 35 among among IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 223 36 women woman NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 223 37 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 224 1 Thus thus RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 224 2 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 224 3 elderly elderly JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 224 4 men man NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 224 5 are be VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 224 6 at at IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 224 7 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 224 8 particular particular JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 224 9 risk risk NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 224 10 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 224 11 death death NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 224 12 due due IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 224 13 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 224 14 increased increase VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 224 15 contacts contact NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 224 16 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 225 1 However however RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 225 2 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 225 3 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 225 4 model model NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 225 5 assumptions assumption NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 225 6 are be VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 225 7 based base VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 225 8 on on IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 225 9 fatality fatality NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 225 10 rates rate NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 225 11 at at IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 225 12 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 225 13 beginning beginning NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 225 14 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 225 15 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 225 16 pandemic pandemic NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 225 17 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 225 18 which which WDT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 225 19 may may MD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 225 20 have have VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 225 21 changed change VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 225 22 because because IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 225 23 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 225 24 better well JJR cord-260039-k9rs3dql 225 25 treatment treatment NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 225 26 options option NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 225 27 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 225 28 critically critically RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 225 29 severe severe JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 225 30 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 225 31 cases case NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 225 32 using use VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 225 33 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 225 34 e.g. e.g. RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 225 35 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 225 36 dexamethasone dexamethasone FW cord-260039-k9rs3dql 225 37 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 225 38 Cain Cain NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 225 39 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 225 40 Cidlowski Cidlowski NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 225 41 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 225 42 2020 2020 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 225 43 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 225 44 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 225 45 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 226 1 Thus thus RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 226 2 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 226 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 226 4 might may MD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 226 5 overestimate overestimate VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 226 6 mortality mortality NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 226 7 under under IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 226 8 current current JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 226 9 knowledge knowledge NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 226 10 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 226 11 treatment treatment NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 226 12 options option NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 226 13 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 227 1 Still still RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 227 2 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 227 3 increases increase NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 227 4 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 227 5 contacts contact NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 227 6 need need VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 227 7 to to TO cord-260039-k9rs3dql 227 8 be be VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 227 9 accompanied accompany VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 227 10 by by IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 227 11 special special JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 227 12 measures measure NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 227 13 protecting protect VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 227 14 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 227 15 elderly elderly JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 227 16 from from IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 227 17 death death NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 227 18 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 227 19 without without IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 227 20 negative negative JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 227 21 physical physical JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 227 22 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 227 23 mental mental JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 227 24 health health NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 227 25 consequences consequence NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 227 26 due due JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 227 27 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 227 28 quarantine quarantine NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 227 29 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 227 30 isolation isolation NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 227 31 measures measure NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 227 32 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 227 33 Galea Galea NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 227 34 et et NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 227 35 al al NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 227 36 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 228 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 228 2 2020 2020 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 228 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 228 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 228 5 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 229 1 Contrary contrary JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 229 2 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 229 3 deaths death NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 229 4 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 229 5 infections infection NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 229 6 will will MD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 229 7 mainly mainly RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 229 8 increase increase VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 229 9 at at IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 229 10 young young JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 229 11 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 229 12 middle middle JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 229 13 ages age NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 229 14 with with IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 229 15 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 229 16 lower low JJR cord-260039-k9rs3dql 229 17 risk risk NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 229 18 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 229 19 severe severe JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 229 20 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 229 21 symptoms symptom NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 229 22 or or CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 229 23 even even RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 229 24 asymptotic asymptotic JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 229 25 disease disease NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 229 26 courses course NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 229 27 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 230 1 Third third JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 230 2 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 230 3 small small JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 230 4 changes change NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 230 5 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 230 6 contact contact NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 230 7 rates rate NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 230 8 will will MD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 230 9 not not RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 230 10 change change VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 230 11 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 230 12 sex sex NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 230 13 ratios ratio NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 230 14 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 230 15 infections infection NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 230 16 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 230 17 deaths death NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 230 18 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 231 1 At at IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 231 2 all all DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 231 3 ages age NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 231 4 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 231 5 men man NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 231 6 will will MD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 231 7 have have VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 231 8 more more JJR cord-260039-k9rs3dql 231 9 than than IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 231 10 twice twice PDT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 231 11 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 231 12 mortality mortality NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 231 13 risk risk NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 231 14 from from IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 231 15 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 231 16 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 231 17 while while IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 231 18 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 231 19 risk risk NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 231 20 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 231 21 infections infection NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 231 22 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 231 23 more more RBR cord-260039-k9rs3dql 231 24 frequent frequent JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 231 25 among among IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 231 26 working work VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 231 27 age age NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 231 28 women woman NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 231 29 than than IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 231 30 men man NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 231 31 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 232 1 At at IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 232 2 old old JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 232 3 ages age NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 232 4 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 232 5 men man NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 232 6 have have VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 232 7 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 232 8 higher high JJR cord-260039-k9rs3dql 232 9 infection infection NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 232 10 risk risk NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 232 11 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 233 1 Note note VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 233 2 that that IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 233 3 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 233 4 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 233 5 absolute absolute JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 233 6 numbers number NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 233 7 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 233 8 more more JJR cord-260039-k9rs3dql 233 9 women woman NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 233 10 are be VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 233 11 diagnosed diagnose VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 233 12 with with IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 233 13 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 233 14 at at IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 233 15 old old JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 233 16 age age NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 233 17 due due JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 233 18 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 233 19 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 233 20 higher high JJR cord-260039-k9rs3dql 233 21 life life NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 233 22 expectancy expectancy NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 233 23 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 234 1 Here here RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 234 2 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 234 3 more more RBR cord-260039-k9rs3dql 234 4 substantial substantial JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 234 5 question question NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 234 6 arises arise VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 234 7 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 234 8 namely namely RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 234 9 whether whether IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 234 10 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 234 11 infection infection NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 234 12 rates rate NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 234 13 are be VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 234 14 indeed indeed RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 234 15 gender gender NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 234 16 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 234 17 specific specific JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 234 18 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 235 1 German german JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 235 2 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 235 3 infection infection NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 235 4 rates rate NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 235 5 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 235 6 as as IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 235 7 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 235 8 any any DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 235 9 other other JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 235 10 country country NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 235 11 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 235 12 are be VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 235 13 biased bias VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 235 14 by by IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 235 15 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 235 16 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 236 1 CC CC NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 236 2 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 236 3 BY BY NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 236 4 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 236 5 NC NC NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 236 6 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 236 7 ND ND NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 236 8 4.0 4.0 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 236 9 International international JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 236 10 license license NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 237 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 237 2 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 237 3 made make VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 237 4 available available JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 237 5 under under IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 237 6 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 237 7 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 237 8 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 238 1 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 238 2 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 238 3 author author NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 238 4 / / SYM cord-260039-k9rs3dql 238 5 funder funder NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 238 6 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 238 7 who who WP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 238 8 has have VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 238 9 granted grant VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 238 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 238 11 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 238 12 license license NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 238 13 to to TO cord-260039-k9rs3dql 238 14 display display VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 238 15 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 238 16 preprint preprint NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 238 17 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 238 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 238 19 which which WDT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 238 20 was be VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 238 21 not not RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 238 22 certified certify VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 238 23 by by IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 238 24 peer peer NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 238 25 review review NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 238 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 238 27 preprint preprint NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 239 1 The the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 239 2 copyright copyright NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 239 3 holder holder NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 239 4 for for IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 239 5 this this DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 239 6 this this DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 239 7 version version NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 239 8 posted post VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 239 9 October October NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 239 10 8 8 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 239 11 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 239 12 2020 2020 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 239 13 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 239 14 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 240 1 time time NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 240 2 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 240 3 lag lag NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 240 4 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 240 5 reporting reporting NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 240 6 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 240 7 by by IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 240 8 differential differential JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 240 9 availability availability NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 240 10 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 240 11 PCR pcr NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 240 12 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 240 13 tests test NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 240 14 over over IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 240 15 time time NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 240 16 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 240 17 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 240 18 subgroups subgroup NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 240 19 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 240 20 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 240 21 population population NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 240 22 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 240 23 RKI RKI NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 240 24 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 240 25 2020 2020 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 240 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 240 27 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 240 28 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 241 1 Gender gender NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 241 2 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 241 3 specific specific JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 241 4 diagnoses diagnosis NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 241 5 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 241 6 favour favour NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 241 7 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 241 8 women woman NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 241 9 may may MD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 241 10 reflect reflect VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 241 11 that that IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 241 12 higher high JJR cord-260039-k9rs3dql 241 13 contact contact NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 241 14 intensities intensity NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 241 15 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 241 16 women woman NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 241 17 may may MD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 241 18 have have VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 241 19 led lead VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 241 20 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 241 21 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 241 22 higher high JJR cord-260039-k9rs3dql 241 23 rate rate NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 241 24 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 241 25 PCR PCR NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 241 26 tests test NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 241 27 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 241 28 therefore therefore RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 241 29 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 241 30 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 241 31 smaller small JJR cord-260039-k9rs3dql 241 32 number number NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 241 33 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 241 34 undiagnosed undiagnosed JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 241 35 cases case NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 241 36 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 242 1 In in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 242 2 addition addition NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 242 3 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 242 4 women woman NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 242 5 are be VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 242 6 more more JJR cord-260039-k9rs3dql 242 7 health health NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 242 8 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 242 9 conscious conscious JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 242 10 than than IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 242 11 men man NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 242 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 242 13 Oksuzyan Oksuzyan NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 242 14 et et NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 242 15 al al NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 242 16 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 243 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 243 2 2020 2020 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 243 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 243 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 244 1 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 244 2 may may MD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 244 3 have have VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 244 4 sought seek VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 244 5 PCR PCR NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 244 6 testing testing NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 244 7 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 244 8 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 244 9 higher high JJR cord-260039-k9rs3dql 244 10 degree degree NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 244 11 even even RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 244 12 when when WRB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 244 13 presenting present VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 244 14 with with IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 244 15 weaker weak JJR cord-260039-k9rs3dql 244 16 symptoms symptom NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 244 17 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 245 1 On on IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 245 2 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 245 3 other other JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 245 4 hand hand NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 245 5 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 245 6 Takahashi Takahashi NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 245 7 et et FW cord-260039-k9rs3dql 245 8 al al NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 245 9 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 246 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 246 2 2020 2020 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 246 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 246 4 found find VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 246 5 sex sex NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 246 6 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 246 7 specific specific JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 246 8 differences difference NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 246 9 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 246 10 immune immune JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 246 11 response response NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 246 12 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 246 13 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 246 14 infections infection NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 246 15 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 247 1 For for IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 247 2 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 247 3 further further JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 247 4 discussion discussion NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 247 5 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 247 6 potential potential JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 247 7 sex sex NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 247 8 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 247 9 specific specific JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 247 10 mechanisms mechanism NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 247 11 modulating modulate VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 247 12 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 247 13 course course NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 247 14 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 247 15 disease disease NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 247 16 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 247 17 see see VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 247 18 also also RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 247 19 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 247 20 Gebhard Gebhard NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 247 21 et et FW cord-260039-k9rs3dql 247 22 al al NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 247 23 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 248 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 248 2 2020 2020 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 248 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 248 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 248 5 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 249 1 Thus thus RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 249 2 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 249 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 249 4 can can MD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 249 5 conclude conclude VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 249 6 that that IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 249 7 both both CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 249 8 biological biological JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 249 9 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 249 10 social social JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 249 11 factors factor NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 249 12 contribute contribute VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 249 13 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 249 14 sex sex NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 249 15 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 249 16 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 249 17 gender gender NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 249 18 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 249 19 specific specific JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 249 20 infection infection NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 249 21 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 249 22 mortality mortality NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 249 23 rates rate NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 249 24 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 249 25 that that IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 249 26 they -PRON- PRP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 249 27 are be VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 249 28 stable stable JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 249 29 given give VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 249 30 small small JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 249 31 changes change NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 249 32 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 249 33 contact contact NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 249 34 rates rate NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 249 35 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 250 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 250 2 focused focus VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 250 3 on on IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 250 4 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 250 5 practical practical JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 250 6 emulation emulation NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 250 7 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 250 8 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 250 9 dynamic dynamic JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 250 10 behaviour behaviour NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 250 11 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 250 12 process process NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 250 13 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 250 14 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 250 15 spreading spreading NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 250 16 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 250 17 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 250 18 while while IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 250 19 incorporating incorporate VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 250 20 specific specific JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 250 21 epidemiological epidemiological JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 250 22 information information NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 250 23 on on IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 250 24 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 250 25 virus virus NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 250 26 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 250 27 disease disease NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 250 28 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 251 1 To to TO cord-260039-k9rs3dql 251 2 achieve achieve VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 251 3 this this DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 251 4 aim aim NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 251 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 251 6 used use VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 251 7 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 251 8 compartment compartment NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 251 9 modeling modeling NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 251 10 framework framework NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 251 11 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 251 12 which which WDT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 251 13 has have VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 251 14 become become VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 251 15 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 251 16 standard standard JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 251 17 approach approach NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 251 18 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 251 19 epidemiology epidemiology NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 251 20 due due IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 251 21 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 251 22 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 251 23 flexibility flexibility NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 251 24 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 251 25 accessibility accessibility NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 251 26 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 252 1 The the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 252 2 main main JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 252 3 advantage advantage NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 252 4 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 252 5 this this DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 252 6 modeling modeling NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 252 7 framework framework NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 252 8 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 252 9 that that IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 252 10 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 252 11 considerable considerable JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 252 12 amount amount NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 252 13 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 252 14 demographic demographic JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 252 15 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 252 16 epidemiological epidemiological JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 252 17 information information NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 252 18 can can MD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 252 19 be be VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 252 20 incorporated incorporate VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 252 21 while while IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 252 22 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 252 23 essential essential JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 252 24 model model NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 252 25 structure structure NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 252 26 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 252 27 implementation implementation NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 252 28 remain remain VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 252 29 relatively relatively RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 252 30 simple simple JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 252 31 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 253 1 Similarly similarly RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 253 2 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 253 3 it -PRON- PRP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 253 4 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 253 5 possible possible JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 253 6 to to TO cord-260039-k9rs3dql 253 7 extend extend VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 253 8 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 253 9 model model NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 253 10 to to TO cord-260039-k9rs3dql 253 11 incorporate incorporate VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 253 12 parameter parameter NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 253 13 uncertainty uncertainty NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 253 14 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 253 15 as as IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 253 16 described describe VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 253 17 above above RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 253 18 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 254 1 Furthermore furthermore RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 254 2 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 254 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 254 4 want want VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 254 5 to to TO cord-260039-k9rs3dql 254 6 emphasize emphasize VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 254 7 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 254 8 Markovlike Markovlike NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 254 9 property property NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 254 10 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 254 11 compartment compartment NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 254 12 modeling modeling NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 254 13 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 254 14 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 254 15 sense sense NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 254 16 that that IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 254 17 current current JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 254 18 compartment compartment NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 254 19 sizes size NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 254 20 on on IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 254 21 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 254 22 specific specific JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 254 23 date date NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 254 24 are be VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 254 25 sufficient sufficient JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 254 26 for for IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 254 27 deducing deduce VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 254 28 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 254 29 subsequent subsequent JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 254 30 behaviour behaviour NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 254 31 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 254 32 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 254 33 epidemiological epidemiological JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 254 34 process process NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 254 35 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 254 36 which which WDT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 254 37 makes make VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 254 38 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 254 39 framework framework NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 254 40 particularly particularly RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 254 41 attractive attractive JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 254 42 for for IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 254 43 forecasting forecast VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 254 44 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 254 45 investigating investigate VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 254 46 hypothetical hypothetical JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 254 47 scenarios scenario NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 254 48 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 255 1 However however RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 255 2 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 255 3 there there EX cord-260039-k9rs3dql 255 4 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 255 5 one one CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 255 6 drawback drawback NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 255 7 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 255 8 compartment compartment NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 255 9 modelling modelling NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 255 10 that that IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 255 11 it -PRON- PRP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 255 12 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 255 13 inherently inherently RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 255 14 based base VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 255 15 on on IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 255 16 an an DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 255 17 averaging average VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 255 18 rationale rationale NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 255 19 which which WDT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 255 20 treats treat VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 255 21 population population NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 255 22 groups group NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 255 23 homogenously homogenously RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 255 24 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 255 25 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 255 26 average average JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 255 27 number number NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 255 28 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 255 29 contacts contact NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 255 30 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 255 31 each each DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 255 32 group group NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 255 33 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 255 34 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 255 35 determining determine VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 255 36 parameter parameter NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 255 37 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 256 1 In in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 256 2 contrast contrast NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 256 3 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 256 4 truly truly RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 256 5 stochastic stochastic JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 256 6 models model NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 256 7 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 256 8 such such JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 256 9 as as IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 256 10 agent agent NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 256 11 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 256 12 based base VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 256 13 models model NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 256 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 256 15 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 256 16 no no DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 256 17 random random JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 256 18 or or CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 256 19 systematic systematic JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 256 20 individual individual JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 256 21 deviations deviation NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 256 22 from from IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 256 23 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 256 24 fundamental fundamental JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 256 25 contact contact NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 256 26 patterns pattern NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 256 27 are be VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 256 28 taken take VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 256 29 into into IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 256 30 consideration consideration NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 256 31 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 257 1 In in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 257 2 addition addition NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 257 3 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 257 4 geographical geographical JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 257 5 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 257 6 spatial spatial JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 257 7 information information NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 257 8 are be VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 257 9 not not RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 257 10 explicitly explicitly RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 257 11 considered consider VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 257 12 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 257 13 compartment compartment NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 257 14 modeling modeling NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 257 15 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 257 16 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 257 17 this this DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 257 18 further further JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 257 19 limits limit VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 257 20 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 257 21 scope scope NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 257 22 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 257 23 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 257 24 forecasting forecasting NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 257 25 results result NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 257 26 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 258 1 In in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 258 2 general general JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 258 3 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 258 4 assessing assess VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 258 5 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 258 6 impact impact NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 258 7 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 258 8 introducing introduce VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 258 9 or or CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 258 10 easing ease VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 258 11 different different JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 258 12 lockdown lockdown NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 258 13 measures measure NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 258 14 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 258 15 remarkably remarkably RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 258 16 difficult difficult JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 258 17 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 258 18 especially especially RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 258 19 because because IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 258 20 several several JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 258 21 aspects aspect NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 258 22 are be VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 258 23 usually usually RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 258 24 changed change VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 258 25 simultaneously simultaneously RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 258 26 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 258 27 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 258 28 general general JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 258 29 behaviour behaviour NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 258 30 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 258 31 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 258 32 population population NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 258 33 may may MD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 258 34 change change VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 258 35 dynamically dynamically RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 258 36 at at IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 258 37 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 258 38 same same JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 258 39 time time NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 258 40 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 259 1 Some some DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 259 2 efforts effort NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 259 3 have have VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 259 4 been be VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 259 5 made make VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 259 6 to to TO cord-260039-k9rs3dql 259 7 address address VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 259 8 these these DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 259 9 issues issue NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 259 10 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 259 11 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 259 12 literature literature NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 259 13 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 259 14 however however RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 259 15 we -PRON- PRP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 259 16 advise advise VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 259 17 against against IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 259 18 using use VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 259 19 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 259 20 proposed propose VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 259 21 model model NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 259 22 for for IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 259 23 such such JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 259 24 purposes purpose NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 259 25 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 260 1 One one CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 260 2 main main JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 260 3 reason reason NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 260 4 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 260 5 that that IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 260 6 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 260 7 initial initial JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 260 8 state state NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 260 9 for for IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 260 10 forecasting forecasting NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 260 11 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 260 12 fitting fitting NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 260 13 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 260 14 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 260 15 model model NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 260 16 relies rely VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 260 17 primarily primarily RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 260 18 on on IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 260 19 available available JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 260 20 data data NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 260 21 sources source NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 260 22 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 260 23 which which WDT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 260 24 are be VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 260 25 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 260 26 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 260 27 form form NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 260 28 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 260 29 reported report VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 260 30 count count NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 260 31 data datum NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 260 32 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 261 1 In in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 261 2 addition addition NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 261 3 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 261 4 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 261 5 general general NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 261 6 limited limited JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 261 7 validity validity NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 261 8 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 261 9 observational observational JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 261 10 data datum NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 261 11 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 261 12 there there EX cord-260039-k9rs3dql 261 13 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 261 14 still still RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 261 15 insufficient insufficient JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 261 16 knowledge knowledge NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 261 17 on on IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 261 18 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 261 19 specific specific JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 261 20 characteristics characteristic NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 261 21 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 261 22 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 261 23 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 261 24 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 261 25 actual actual JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 261 26 current current JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 261 27 spread spread NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 261 28 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 261 29 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 261 30 virus virus NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 261 31 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 262 1 Naturally naturally RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 262 2 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 262 3 other other JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 262 4 modeling modeling NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 262 5 approaches approach NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 262 6 face face VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 262 7 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 262 8 same same JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 262 9 issues issue NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 262 10 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 262 11 data datum NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 262 12 quality quality NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 262 13 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 263 1 In in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 263 2 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 263 3 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 263 4 forecasts forecast NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 263 5 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 263 6 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 263 7 number number NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 263 8 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 263 9 infections infection NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 263 10 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 263 11 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 263 12 number number NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 263 13 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 263 14 deaths death NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 263 15 differ differ VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 263 16 only only RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 263 17 slightly slightly RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 263 18 from from IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 263 19 models model NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 263 20 which which WDT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 263 21 do do VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 263 22 not not RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 263 23 differentiate differentiate VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 263 24 by by IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 263 25 sex sex NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 263 26 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 263 27 data datum NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 263 28 not not RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 263 29 shown show VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 263 30 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 263 31 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 264 1 However however RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 264 2 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 264 3 age age NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 264 4 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 264 5 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 264 6 sex sex NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 264 7 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 264 8 specific specific JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 264 9 models model NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 264 10 provide provide VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 264 11 better well JJR cord-260039-k9rs3dql 264 12 insight insight NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 264 13 into into IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 264 14 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 264 15 risk risk NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 264 16 populations population NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 264 17 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 264 18 infections infection NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 264 19 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 264 20 mortality mortality NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 264 21 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 265 1 This this DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 265 2 helps help VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 265 3 to to TO cord-260039-k9rs3dql 265 4 target target VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 265 5 health health NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 265 6 policy policy NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 265 7 measures measure NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 265 8 under under IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 265 9 scarce scarce JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 265 10 resources resource NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 265 11 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 265 12 such such JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 265 13 as as IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 265 14 who who WP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 265 15 should should MD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 265 16 be be VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 265 17 tested test VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 265 18 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 265 19 vaccinated vaccinate VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 265 20 first first RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 265 21 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 266 1 Both both DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 266 2 biological biological JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 266 3 sex sex NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 266 4 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 266 5 social social JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 266 6 gender gender NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 266 7 appear appear VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 266 8 to to TO cord-260039-k9rs3dql 266 9 affect affect VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 266 10 COVID-19 covid-19 DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 266 11 infection infection NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 266 12 rates rate NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 266 13 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 266 14 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 266 15 outcomes outcome NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 266 16 ; ; : cord-260039-k9rs3dql 266 17 this this DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 266 18 needs need VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 266 19 to to TO cord-260039-k9rs3dql 266 20 be be VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 266 21 acknowledged acknowledge VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 266 22 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 266 23 health health NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 266 24 policy policy NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 266 25 decisions decision NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 266 26 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 266 27 medical medical JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 266 28 treatment treatment NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 266 29 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 267 1 To to TO cord-260039-k9rs3dql 267 2 further further RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 267 3 explore explore VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 267 4 social social JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 267 5 factors factor NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 267 6 on on IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 267 7 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 267 8 transmission transmission NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 267 9 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 267 10 more more JJR cord-260039-k9rs3dql 267 11 information information NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 267 12 that that WDT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 267 13 includes include VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 267 14 socio socio JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 267 15 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 267 16 demographic demographic JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 267 17 data data NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 267 18 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 267 19 needed need VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 267 20 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 267 21 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 268 1 CC CC NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 268 2 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 268 3 BY BY NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 268 4 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 268 5 NC NC NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 268 6 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 268 7 ND ND NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 268 8 4.0 4.0 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 268 9 International international JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 268 10 license license NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 268 11 It -PRON- PRP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 268 12 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 268 13 made make VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 268 14 available available JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 268 15 under under IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 268 16 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 268 17 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 268 18 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 269 1 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 269 2 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 269 3 author author NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 269 4 / / SYM cord-260039-k9rs3dql 269 5 funder funder NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 269 6 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 269 7 who who WP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 269 8 has have VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 269 9 granted grant VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 269 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 269 11 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 269 12 license license NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 269 13 to to TO cord-260039-k9rs3dql 269 14 display display VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 269 15 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 269 16 preprint preprint NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 269 17 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 269 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 269 19 which which WDT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 269 20 was be VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 269 21 not not RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 269 22 certified certify VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 269 23 by by IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 269 24 peer peer NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 269 25 review review NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 269 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 269 27 preprint preprint NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 270 1 The the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 270 2 copyright copyright NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 270 3 holder holder NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 270 4 for for IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 270 5 this this DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 270 6 this this DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 270 7 version version NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 270 8 posted post VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 270 9 October October NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 270 10 8 8 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 270 11 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 270 12 2020 2020 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 270 13 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 270 14 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 271 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.06.20207951 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.06.20207951 UH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 271 2 doi doi NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 271 3 : : : cord-260039-k9rs3dql 272 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 272 2 preprint preprint NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 272 3 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 273 1 CC CC NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 273 2 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 273 3 BY BY NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 273 4 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 273 5 NC NC NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 273 6 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 273 7 ND ND NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 273 8 4.0 4.0 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 273 9 International international JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 273 10 license license NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 273 11 It -PRON- PRP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 273 12 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 273 13 made make VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 273 14 available available JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 273 15 under under IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 273 16 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 273 17 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 273 18 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 274 1 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 274 2 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 274 3 author author NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 274 4 / / SYM cord-260039-k9rs3dql 274 5 funder funder NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 274 6 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 274 7 who who WP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 274 8 has have VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 274 9 granted grant VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 274 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 274 11 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 274 12 license license NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 274 13 to to TO cord-260039-k9rs3dql 274 14 display display VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 274 15 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 274 16 preprint preprint NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 274 17 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 274 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 274 19 which which WDT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 274 20 was be VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 274 21 not not RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 274 22 certified certify VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 274 23 by by IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 274 24 peer peer NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 274 25 review review NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 274 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 274 27 preprint preprint NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 275 1 The the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 275 2 copyright copyright NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 275 3 holder holder NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 275 4 for for IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 275 5 this this DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 275 6 this this DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 275 7 version version NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 275 8 posted post VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 275 9 October October NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 275 10 8 8 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 275 11 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 275 12 2020 2020 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 275 13 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 276 1 13 13 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 276 2 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 277 1 CC CC NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 277 2 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 277 3 BY BY NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 277 4 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 277 5 NC NC NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 277 6 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 277 7 ND ND NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 277 8 4.0 4.0 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 277 9 International international JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 277 10 license license NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 277 11 It -PRON- PRP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 277 12 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 277 13 made make VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 277 14 available available JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 277 15 under under IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 277 16 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 277 17 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 277 18 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 278 1 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 278 2 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 278 3 author author NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 278 4 / / SYM cord-260039-k9rs3dql 278 5 funder funder NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 278 6 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 278 7 who who WP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 278 8 has have VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 278 9 granted grant VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 278 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 278 11 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 278 12 license license NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 278 13 to to TO cord-260039-k9rs3dql 278 14 display display VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 278 15 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 278 16 preprint preprint NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 278 17 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 278 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 278 19 which which WDT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 278 20 was be VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 278 21 not not RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 278 22 certified certify VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 278 23 by by IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 278 24 peer peer NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 278 25 review review NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 278 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 278 27 preprint preprint NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 279 1 The the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 279 2 copyright copyright NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 279 3 holder holder NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 279 4 for for IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 279 5 this this DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 279 6 this this DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 279 7 version version NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 279 8 posted post VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 279 9 October October NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 279 10 8 8 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 279 11 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 279 12 2020 2020 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 279 13 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 280 1 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 280 2 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 280 3 author author NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 280 4 / / SYM cord-260039-k9rs3dql 280 5 funder funder NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 280 6 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 280 7 who who WP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 280 8 has have VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 280 9 granted grant VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 280 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 280 11 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 280 12 license license NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 280 13 to to TO cord-260039-k9rs3dql 280 14 display display VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 280 15 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 280 16 preprint preprint NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 280 17 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 280 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 280 19 which which WDT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 280 20 was be VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 280 21 not not RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 280 22 certified certify VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 280 23 by by IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 280 24 peer peer NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 280 25 review review NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 280 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 281 1 preprint preprint NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 282 1 The the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 282 2 copyright copyright NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 282 3 holder holder NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 282 4 for for IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 282 5 this this DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 282 6 this this DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 282 7 version version NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 282 8 posted post VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 282 9 October October NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 282 10 8 8 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 282 11 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 282 12 2020 2020 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 282 13 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 283 1 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 283 2 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 283 3 author author NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 283 4 / / SYM cord-260039-k9rs3dql 283 5 funder funder NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 283 6 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 283 7 who who WP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 283 8 has have VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 283 9 granted grant VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 283 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 283 11 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 283 12 license license NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 283 13 to to TO cord-260039-k9rs3dql 283 14 display display VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 283 15 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 283 16 preprint preprint NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 283 17 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 283 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 283 19 which which WDT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 283 20 was be VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 283 21 not not RB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 283 22 certified certify VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 283 23 by by IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 283 24 peer peer NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 283 25 review review NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 283 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 284 1 preprint preprint NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 285 1 The the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 285 2 copyright copyright NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 285 3 holder holder NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 285 4 for for IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 285 5 this this DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 285 6 this this DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 285 7 version version NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 285 8 posted post VBD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 285 9 October October NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 285 10 8 8 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 285 11 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 285 12 2020 2020 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 285 13 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 285 14 . . . cord-260039-k9rs3dql 286 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.06.20207951 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.06.20207951 UH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 286 2 doi doi NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 286 3 : : : cord-260039-k9rs3dql 287 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 287 2 preprint preprint NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 287 3 Estimate Estimate NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 287 4 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 287 5 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 287 6 Basic Basic NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 287 7 Reproduction Reproduction NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 287 8 Number Number NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 287 9 for for IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 287 10 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 287 11 : : : cord-260039-k9rs3dql 287 12 A a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 287 13 Systematic Systematic NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 287 14 Review Review NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 287 15 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 287 16 Meta Meta NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 287 17 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 287 18 Analysis Analysis NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 287 19 Age Age NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 287 20 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 287 21 Stratified Stratified NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 287 22 Model Model NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 287 23 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 287 24 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 287 25 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 287 26 Epidemic Epidemic NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 287 27 to to TO cord-260039-k9rs3dql 287 28 Analyze analyze VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 287 29 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 287 30 Impact Impact NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 287 31 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 287 32 Relaxing Relaxing NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 287 33 Lockdown Lockdown NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 287 34 Measures measure NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 287 35 : : : cord-260039-k9rs3dql 288 1 Nowcasting Nowcasting NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 288 2 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 288 3 Forecasting forecast VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 288 4 for for IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 288 5 Switzerland Switzerland NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 288 6 Effects Effects NNPS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 288 7 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 288 8 Latency Latency NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 288 9 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 288 10 Age Age NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 288 11 Structure Structure NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 288 12 on on IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 288 13 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 288 14 Dynamics Dynamics NNPS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 288 15 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 288 16 Containment Containment NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 288 17 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 288 18 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 288 19 Numerical Numerical NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 288 20 Methods Methods NNPS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 288 21 for for IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 288 22 Ordinary Ordinary NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 288 23 Differential Differential NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 288 24 Equations Equations NNPS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 288 25 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 288 26 3 3 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 288 27 rd rd NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 288 28 edition edition NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 289 1 After after IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 289 2 62 62 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 289 3 Years year NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 289 4 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 289 5 Regulating Regulating NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 289 6 Immunity Immunity NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 289 7 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 289 8 Dexamethasone Dexamethasone NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 289 9 Meets meet VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 289 10 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 290 1 An an DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 290 2 Age Age NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 290 3 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 290 4 Space Space NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 290 5 Structured Structured NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 290 6 SIR SIR NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 290 7 Model Model NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 290 8 Describing describe VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 290 9 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 290 10 Covid-19 Covid-19 NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 290 11 Pandemic Pandemic NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 290 12 Age Age NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 290 13 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 290 14 Dependent Dependent NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 290 15 Effects effect NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 290 16 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 290 17 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 290 18 Transmission Transmission NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 290 19 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 290 20 Control Control NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 290 21 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 290 22 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 290 23 Eepidemics Eepidemics NNPS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 291 1 An an DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 291 2 Age Age NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 291 3 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 291 4 Structured Structured NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 291 5 Epidemiological Epidemiological NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 291 6 Model Model NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 291 7 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 291 8 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 291 9 Belgian belgian JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 291 10 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 291 11 Epidemic Epidemic NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 291 12 Mathematical Mathematical NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 291 13 Models Models NNPS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 291 14 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 291 15 Contact Contact NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 291 16 Patterns pattern NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 291 17 Between between IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 291 18 Age Age NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 291 19 Groups Groups NNPS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 291 20 for for IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 291 21 Predicting predict VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 291 22 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 291 23 Spread Spread NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 291 24 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 291 25 Infectious Infectious NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 291 26 Diseases Diseases NNPS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 291 27 Monitoring Monitoring NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 291 28 Trends Trends NNPS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 291 29 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 291 30 Differences Differences NNPS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 291 31 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 291 32 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 291 33 Case Case NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 291 34 Fatality Fatality NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 291 35 Rates rate NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 291 36 using use VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 291 37 Decomposition decomposition NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 291 38 Methods method NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 291 39 : : : cord-260039-k9rs3dql 291 40 Contributions contribution NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 291 41 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 291 42 Age Age NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 291 43 Structure Structure NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 291 44 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 291 45 Age Age NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 291 46 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 291 47 Specific Specific NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 291 48 Fatality Fatality NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 291 49 National National NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 291 50 Age Age NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 291 51 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 291 52 Coresidence Coresidence NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 291 53 Patterns pattern NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 291 54 Shape shape VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 291 55 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 291 56 Vulnerability vulnerability NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 292 1 The the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 292 2 Mental Mental NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 292 3 Health Health NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 292 4 Consequences Consequences NNPS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 292 5 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 292 6 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 292 7 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 292 8 Physical Physical NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 292 9 Distancing distance VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 292 10 The the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 292 11 Need need NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 292 12 for for IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 292 13 Prevention Prevention NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 292 14 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 292 15 Early Early NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 292 16 Intervention Intervention NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 292 17 Impact Impact NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 292 18 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 292 19 sex sex NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 292 20 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 292 21 gender gender NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 292 22 on on IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 292 23 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 292 24 outcomes outcome NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 292 25 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 292 26 Europe Europe NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 293 1 The the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 293 2 Mathematics Mathematics NNPS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 293 3 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 293 4 Infectious Infectious NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 293 5 Diseases Diseases NNPS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 293 6 Impact Impact NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 293 7 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 293 8 Non Non NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 293 9 - - NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 293 10 Pharmaceutical pharmaceutical JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 293 11 Interventions Interventions NNPS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 293 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 293 13 NPIs NPIs NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 293 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 294 1 to to TO cord-260039-k9rs3dql 294 2 Reduce reduce VB cord-260039-k9rs3dql 294 3 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 294 4 Mortality Mortality NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 294 5 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 294 6 Healthcare Healthcare NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 294 7 Demand Demand NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 294 8 Household Household NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 294 9 Secondary Secondary NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 294 10 Attack Attack NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 294 11 Rate Rate NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 294 12 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 294 13 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 294 14 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 294 15 Associated Associated NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 294 16 Determinants Determinants NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 294 17 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 294 18 Guangzhou Guangzhou NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 294 19 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 294 20 China China NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 294 21 : : : cord-260039-k9rs3dql 295 1 A a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 295 2 Retrospective Retrospective NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 295 3 Cohort Cohort NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 295 4 Study Study NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 295 5 Case Case NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 295 6 Characteristics Characteristics NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 295 7 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 295 8 Resource resource NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 295 9 Use Use NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 295 10 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 295 11 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 295 12 Outcomes Outcomes NNPS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 295 13 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 295 14 10 10 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 295 15 021 021 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 295 16 Patients patient NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 295 17 with with IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 295 18 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 295 19 admitted admit VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 295 20 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 295 21 920 920 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 295 22 German german JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 295 23 Hospitals hospital NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 295 24 : : : cord-260039-k9rs3dql 295 25 an an DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 295 26 Observational Observational NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 295 27 Study Study NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 295 28 Efficient efficient JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 295 29 Estimation estimation NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 295 30 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 295 31 Age Age NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 295 32 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 295 33 Specific specific JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 295 34 Social social JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 295 35 Contact contact NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 295 36 Rates rate NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 295 37 Between between IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 295 38 Men Men NNPS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 295 39 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 295 40 Women woman NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 296 1 The the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 296 2 Contribution Contribution NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 296 3 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 296 4 Age Age NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 296 5 Structure Structure NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 296 6 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 296 7 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 296 8 Number Number NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 296 9 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 296 10 Deaths Deaths NNPS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 296 11 from from IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 296 12 Covid-19 covid-19 NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 296 13 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 296 14 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 296 15 UK UK NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 296 16 by by IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 296 17 Geographical Geographical NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 296 18 Units Units NNPS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 296 19 Spread Spread NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 296 20 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 296 21 Impact Impact NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 296 22 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 296 23 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 296 24 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 296 25 China China NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 296 26 : : : cord-260039-k9rs3dql 296 27 A a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 296 28 Systematic Systematic NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 296 29 Review Review NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 296 30 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 296 31 Synthesis Synthesis NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 296 32 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 296 33 Predictions Predictions NNPS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 296 34 From from IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 296 35 Transmission transmission NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 296 36 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 296 37 Dynamic Dynamic NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 296 38 Models Models NNPS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 296 39 Secondary secondary JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 296 40 Attack Attack NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 296 41 Rate rate NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 296 42 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 296 43 Superspreading Superspreading NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 296 44 Events event NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 296 45 for for IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 296 46 SARSCoV-2 sarscov-2 NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 297 1 The the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 297 2 Reproductive Reproductive NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 297 3 Number Number NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 297 4 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 297 5 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 297 6 is be VBZ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 297 7 Higher high JJR cord-260039-k9rs3dql 298 1 Compared compare VBN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 298 2 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 298 3 SARS SARS NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 298 4 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 298 5 Social Social NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 298 6 Contacts Contacts NNPS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 298 7 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 298 8 Mixing mix VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 298 9 Patterns pattern NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 299 1 Relevant relevant JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 299 2 to to IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 299 3 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 299 4 Spread Spread NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 299 5 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 299 6 Infectious Infectious NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 299 7 Diseases Diseases NNPS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 300 1 A a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 300 2 Demographic demographic JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 300 3 Perspective perspective NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 300 4 on on IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 300 5 Gender Gender NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 300 6 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 300 7 Family Family NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 300 8 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 300 9 Health Health NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 300 10 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 300 11 Europe Europe NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 301 1 Projecting project VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 301 2 Social Social NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 301 3 Contact Contact NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 301 4 Matrices Matrices NNPS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 301 5 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 301 6 152 152 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 301 7 Countries country NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 301 8 using use VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 301 9 Contact Contact NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 301 10 Surveys Surveys NNPS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 301 11 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 301 12 Demographic Demographic NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 301 13 Data Data NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 301 14 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 301 15 Disease Disease NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 301 16 2019 2019 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 302 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 302 2 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 302 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 302 4 Daily Daily NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 302 5 Situation Situation NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 302 6 Report Report NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 302 7 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 302 8 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 302 9 Robert Robert NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 302 10 Koch Koch NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 302 11 Institute Institute NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 302 12 Age Age NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 302 13 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 302 14 Structured Structured NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 302 15 Impact Impact NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 302 16 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 302 17 Social Social NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 302 18 Distancing distance VBG cord-260039-k9rs3dql 302 19 on on IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 302 20 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 302 21 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 302 22 Epidemic Epidemic NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 302 23 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 302 24 India India NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 302 25 Age Age NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 302 26 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 302 27 Gender Gender NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 302 28 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 302 29 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 302 30 Infections Infections NNPS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 302 31 Sex Sex NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 302 32 Differences difference NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 302 33 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 302 34 Immune Immune NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 302 35 Responses response NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 302 36 that that WDT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 302 37 underlie underlie VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 302 38 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 302 39 Disease Disease NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 302 40 Outcomes Outcomes NNPS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 302 41 Estimates estimate NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 302 42 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 302 43 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 302 44 Severity Severity NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 302 45 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 302 46 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 302 47 Disease Disease NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 302 48 2019 2019 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 302 49 : : : cord-260039-k9rs3dql 303 1 A a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 303 2 Model Model NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 303 3 - - HYPH cord-260039-k9rs3dql 303 4 Based Based NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 303 5 Analysis Analysis NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 303 6 Characteristics Characteristics NNPS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 303 7 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 303 8 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 303 9 Important important JJ cord-260039-k9rs3dql 303 10 Lessons lesson NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 303 11 From from IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 303 12 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 303 13 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 303 14 Disease Disease NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 303 15 2019 2019 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 304 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 304 2 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 304 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-260039-k9rs3dql 304 4 Outbreak outbreak NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 304 5 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 304 6 China China NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 304 7 , , , cord-260039-k9rs3dql 304 8 Summary Summary NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 304 9 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 304 10 a a DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 304 11 Report Report NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 304 12 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 304 13 72 72 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 304 14 314 314 CD cord-260039-k9rs3dql 304 15 Cases case NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 304 16 From from IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 304 17 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 304 18 Chinese Chinese NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 304 19 Center Center NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 304 20 for for IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 304 21 Disease Disease NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 304 22 Control Control NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 304 23 and and CC cord-260039-k9rs3dql 304 24 Prevention Prevention NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 304 25 Changes Changes NNPS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 304 26 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 304 27 Contact contact NN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 304 28 Patterns pattern NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 304 29 Shape shape VBP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 304 30 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 304 31 Dynamics dynamic NNS cord-260039-k9rs3dql 304 32 of of IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 304 33 the the DT cord-260039-k9rs3dql 304 34 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 304 35 Outbreak Outbreak NNP cord-260039-k9rs3dql 304 36 in in IN cord-260039-k9rs3dql 304 37 China China NNP