id sid tid token lemma pos cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 1 1 key key JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 1 2 : : : cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 1 3 cord-032231 cord-032231 NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 1 4 - - HYPH cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 1 5 7pwy8cyq 7pwy8cyq CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 1 6 authors author NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 1 7 : : : cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 2 1 Cho Cho NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 2 2 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 2 3 Sang Sang NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 2 4 - - HYPH cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 2 5 Wook Wook NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 2 6 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 2 7 Stanley Stanley NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 2 8 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 2 9 title title NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 2 10 : : : cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 2 11 Quantifying quantify VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 2 12 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 2 13 impact impact NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 2 14 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 2 15 nonpharmaceutical nonpharmaceutical JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 2 16 interventions intervention NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 2 17 during during IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 2 18 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 2 19 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 2 20 outbreak outbreak NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 2 21 : : : cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 3 1 The the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 3 2 case case NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 3 3 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 3 4 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 3 5 date date NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 3 6 : : : cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 3 7 2020 2020 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 3 8 - - HYPH cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 3 9 08 08 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 3 10 - - SYM cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 3 11 29 29 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 3 12 journal journal NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 3 13 : : : cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 4 1 Econom Econom NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 4 2 J J NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 4 3 DOI DOI NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 4 4 : : : cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 5 1 10.1093 10.1093 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 5 2 / / SYM cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 5 3 ectj ectj NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 5 4 / / SYM cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 5 5 utaa025 utaa025 NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 6 1 sha sha NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 6 2 : : : cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 7 1 af5b4e32abbfd1ad737236f0760f4e95b7166a33 af5b4e32abbfd1ad737236f0760f4e95b7166a33 NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 7 2 doc_id doc_id NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 7 3 : : : cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 7 4 32231 32231 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 7 5 cord_uid cord_uid NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 7 6 : : : cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 8 1 7pwy8cyq 7pwy8cyq RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 9 1 This this DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 9 2 paper paper NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 9 3 estimates estimate VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 9 4 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 9 5 effect effect NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 9 6 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 9 7 nonpharmaceutical nonpharmaceutical JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 9 8 intervention intervention NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 9 9 policies policy NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 9 10 on on IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 9 11 public public JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 9 12 health health NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 9 13 during during IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 9 14 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 9 15 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 9 16 outbreak outbreak NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 9 17 by by IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 9 18 considering consider VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 9 19 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 9 20 counterfactual counterfactual JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 9 21 case case NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 9 22 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 9 23 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 9 24 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 10 1 Using use VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 10 2 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 10 3 synthetic synthetic JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 10 4 control control NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 10 5 approach approach NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 10 6 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 10 7 I -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 10 8 find find VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 10 9 that that IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 10 10 strict strict JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 10 11 initial initial JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 10 12 lockdown lockdown NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 10 13 measures measure NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 10 14 play play VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 10 15 an an DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 10 16 important important JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 10 17 role role NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 10 18 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 10 19 limiting limit VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 10 20 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 10 21 spread spread NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 10 22 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 10 23 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 10 24 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 10 25 infection infection NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 10 26 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 10 27 as as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 10 28 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 10 29 infection infection NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 10 30 cases case NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 10 31 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 10 32 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 10 33 would would MD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 10 34 have have VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 10 35 been be VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 10 36 reduced reduce VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 10 37 by by IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 10 38 almost almost RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 10 39 75 75 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 10 40 percent percent NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 10 41 had have VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 10 42 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 10 43 policymakers policymaker NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 10 44 followed follow VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 10 45 stricter strict JJR cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 10 46 containment containment NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 10 47 policies policy NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 10 48 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 11 1 As as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 11 2 people people NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 11 3 dynamically dynamically RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 11 4 adjust adjust VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 11 5 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 11 6 behaviour behaviour NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 11 7 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 11 8 response response NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 11 9 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 11 10 information information NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 11 11 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 11 12 policies policy NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 11 13 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 11 14 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 11 15 impact impact NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 11 16 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 11 17 nonpharmaceutical nonpharmaceutical JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 11 18 interventions intervention NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 11 19 becomes become VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 11 20 visible visible JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 11 21 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 11 22 with with IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 11 23 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 11 24 time time NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 11 25 lag lag NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 11 26 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 11 27 around around IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 11 28 5 5 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 11 29 weeks week NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 11 30 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 12 1 Supplementary supplementary JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 12 2 robustness robustness NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 12 3 checks check NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 12 4 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 12 5 an an DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 12 6 alternative alternative JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 12 7 difference difference NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 12 8 - - HYPH cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 12 9 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 12 10 - - HYPH cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 12 11 differences difference NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 12 12 framework framework NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 12 13 analysis analysis NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 12 14 do do VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 12 15 not not RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 12 16 fundamentally fundamentally RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 12 17 alter alter VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 12 18 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 12 19 main main JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 12 20 conclusions conclusion NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 12 21 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 13 1 Finally finally RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 13 2 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 13 3 extending extend VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 13 4 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 13 5 analysis analysis NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 13 6 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 13 7 excess excess JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 13 8 mortality mortality NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 13 9 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 13 10 I -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 13 11 find find VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 13 12 that that IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 13 13 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 13 14 lockdown lockdown NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 13 15 measures measure NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 13 16 would would MD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 13 17 have have VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 13 18 been be VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 13 19 associated associate VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 13 20 with with IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 13 21 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 13 22 lower low JJR cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 13 23 excess excess JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 13 24 mortality mortality NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 13 25 rate rate NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 13 26 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 13 27 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 13 28 by by IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 13 29 25 25 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 13 30 percentage percentage NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 13 31 points point NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 13 32 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 13 33 with with IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 13 34 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 13 35 steep steep JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 13 36 age age NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 13 37 gradient gradient NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 13 38 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 13 39 29 29 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 13 40 percentage percentage NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 13 41 points point NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 13 42 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 13 43 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 13 44 most most RBS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 13 45 vulnerable vulnerable JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 13 46 elderly elderly JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 13 47 cohort cohort NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 13 48 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 14 1 The the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 14 2 outcome outcome NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 14 3 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 14 4 this this DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 14 5 study study NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 14 6 can can MD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 14 7 assist assist VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 14 8 policymakers policymaker NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 14 9 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 14 10 laying lay VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 14 11 out out RP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 14 12 future future JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 14 13 guidelines guideline NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 14 14 to to TO cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 14 15 further further RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 14 16 protect protect VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 14 17 public public JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 14 18 health health NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 14 19 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 14 20 as as RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 14 21 well well RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 14 22 as as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 14 23 facilitate facilitate JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 14 24 plans plan NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 14 25 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 14 26 economic economic JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 14 27 recovery recovery NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 14 28 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 15 1 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 15 2 disease disease NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 15 3 2019 2019 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 15 4 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 15 5 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 15 6 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 15 7 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 15 8 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 15 9 viral viral JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 15 10 respiratory respiratory JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 15 11 illness illness NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 15 12 caused cause VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 15 13 by by IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 15 14 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 15 15 new new JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 15 16 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 15 17 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 15 18 first first RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 15 19 reported report VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 15 20 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 15 21 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 15 22 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 15 23 Hubei Hubei NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 15 24 Province Province NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 15 25 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 15 26 China China NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 15 27 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 15 28 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 15 29 November November NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 15 30 2019 2019 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 15 31 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 16 1 Over over IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 16 2 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 16 3 following follow VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 16 4 few few JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 16 5 months month NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 16 6 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 16 7 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 16 8 illness illness NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 16 9 rapidly rapidly RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 16 10 spread spread VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 16 11 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 16 12 almost almost RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 16 13 every every DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 16 14 country country NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 16 15 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 17 1 In in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 17 2 response response NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 17 3 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 17 4 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 17 5 World World NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 17 6 Health Health NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 17 7 Organization Organization NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 17 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 17 9 WHO who WP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 17 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 17 11 declared declare VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 17 12 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 17 13 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 17 14 pandemic pandemic NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 17 15 on on IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 17 16 March March NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 17 17 11 11 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 17 18 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 17 19 2020 2020 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 17 20 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 18 1 As as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 18 2 vaccines vaccine NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 18 3 or or CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 18 4 medicines medicine NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 18 5 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 18 6 COVID-19 covid-19 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 18 7 have have VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 18 8 yet yet RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 18 9 to to TO cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 18 10 be be VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 18 11 available available JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 18 12 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 18 13 most most JJS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 18 14 countries country NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 18 15 around around IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 18 16 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 18 17 world world NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 18 18 have have VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 18 19 resorted resort VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 18 20 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 18 21 nonpharmaceutical nonpharmaceutical JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 18 22 interventions intervention NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 18 23 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 18 24 NPIs NPIs NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 18 25 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 18 26 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 18 27 or or CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 18 28 community community NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 18 29 mitigation mitigation NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 18 30 strategies strategy NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 18 31 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 18 32 to to TO cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 18 33 help help VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 18 34 slow slow VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 18 35 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 18 36 spread spread NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 18 37 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 18 38 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 18 39 illness illness NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 18 40 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 19 1 Some some DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 19 2 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 19 3 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 19 4 NPIs npi NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 19 5 involve involve VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 19 6 government government NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 19 7 measures measure NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 19 8 to to TO cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 19 9 close close VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 19 10 schools school NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 19 11 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 19 12 workplaces workplace NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 19 13 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 19 14 cancel cancel VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 19 15 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 19 16 restrict restrict VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 19 17 public public JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 19 18 events event NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 19 19 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 19 20 gatherings gathering NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 19 21 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 19 22 shut shut VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 19 23 down down RP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 19 24 public public JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 19 25 transport transport NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 19 26 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 19 27 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 19 28 implement implement VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 19 29 stayat stayat JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 19 30 - - HYPH cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 19 31 home home NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 19 32 requirements requirement NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 19 33 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 19 34 as as RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 19 35 well well RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 19 36 as as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 19 37 restrictions restriction NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 19 38 on on IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 19 39 domestic domestic JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 19 40 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 19 41 international international JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 19 42 travel travel NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 19 43 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 19 44 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 19 45 addition addition NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 19 46 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 19 47 general general JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 19 48 public public JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 19 49 information information NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 19 50 campaigns campaign NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 19 51 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 20 1 By by IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 20 2 late late JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 20 3 March March NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 20 4 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 20 5 nearly nearly RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 20 6 all all DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 20 7 countries country NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 20 8 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 20 9 Europe Europe NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 20 10 had have VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 20 11 implemented implement VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 20 12 these these DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 20 13 policies policy NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 20 14 by by IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 20 15 placing place VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 20 16 themselves -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 20 17 into into IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 20 18 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 20 19 nationwide nationwide JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 20 20 lockdown lockdown NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 20 21 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 21 1 These these DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 21 2 government government NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 21 3 policies policy NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 21 4 remained remain VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 21 5 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 21 6 place place NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 21 7 until until IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 21 8 May May NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 21 9 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 21 10 with with IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 21 11 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 21 12 gradual gradual JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 21 13 easing easing NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 21 14 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 21 15 some some DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 21 16 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 21 17 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 21 18 harshest harsh JJS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 21 19 measures measure NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 21 20 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 22 1 One one CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 22 2 country country NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 22 3 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 22 4 however however RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 22 5 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 22 6 stood stand VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 22 7 out out RP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 22 8 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 22 9 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 22 10 decision decision NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 22 11 to to TO cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 22 12 remain remain VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 22 13 open open JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 22 14 : : : cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 22 15 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 22 16 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 23 1 In in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 23 2 fact fact NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 23 3 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 23 4 Swedish swedish JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 23 5 officials official NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 23 6 2 2 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 23 7 S. S. NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 23 8 Cho Cho NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 23 9 chose choose VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 23 10 not not RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 23 11 to to TO cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 23 12 implement implement VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 23 13 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 23 14 nationwide nationwide JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 23 15 lockdown lockdown NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 23 16 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 23 17 trusting trust VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 23 18 that that IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 23 19 people people NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 23 20 would would MD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 23 21 voluntarily voluntarily RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 23 22 do do VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 23 23 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 23 24 part part NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 23 25 to to TO cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 23 26 stay stay VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 23 27 safe safe JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 23 28 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 24 1 For for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 24 2 example example NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 24 3 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 24 4 although although IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 24 5 high high JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 24 6 schools school NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 24 7 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 24 8 universities university NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 24 9 have have VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 24 10 switched switch VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 24 11 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 24 12 distance distance NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 24 13 learning learning NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 24 14 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 24 15 elementary elementary JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 24 16 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 24 17 preschools preschool NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 24 18 have have VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 24 19 remained remain VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 24 20 open open JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 24 21 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 25 1 Besides besides RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 25 2 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 25 3 although although IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 25 4 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 25 5 government government NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 25 6 recommended recommend VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 25 7 that that IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 25 8 people people NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 25 9 stay stay VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 25 10 at at IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 25 11 home home NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 25 12 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 25 13 many many JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 25 14 nonessential nonessential JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 25 15 businesses business NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 25 16 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 25 17 such such JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 25 18 as as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 25 19 restaurants restaurant NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 25 20 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 25 21 gyms gym NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 25 22 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 25 23 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 25 24 bars bar NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 25 25 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 25 26 remained remain VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 25 27 open open JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 25 28 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 25 29 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 25 30 gatherings gathering NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 25 31 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 25 32 up up IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 25 33 to to TO cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 25 34 50 50 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 25 35 people people NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 25 36 were be VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 25 37 allowed allow VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 25 38 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 26 1 Given give VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 26 2 this this DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 26 3 divergence divergence NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 26 4 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 26 5 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 26 6 policy policy NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 26 7 measures measure NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 26 8 between between IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 26 9 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 26 10 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 26 11 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 26 12 rest rest NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 26 13 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 26 14 Europe Europe NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 26 15 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 26 16 I -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 26 17 study study VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 26 18 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 26 19 public public JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 26 20 health health NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 26 21 impact impact NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 26 22 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 26 23 NPIs npi NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 26 24 by by IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 26 25 comparing compare VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 26 26 how how WRB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 26 27 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 26 28 trajectories trajectory NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 26 29 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 26 30 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 26 31 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 26 32 infection infection NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 26 33 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 26 34 mortality mortality NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 26 35 rates rate NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 26 36 would would MD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 26 37 have have VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 26 38 evolved evolve VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 26 39 had have VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 26 40 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 26 41 opted opt VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 26 42 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 26 43 more more RBR cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 26 44 stringent stringent JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 26 45 lockdown lockdown NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 26 46 measures measure NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 26 47 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 27 1 To to TO cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 27 2 study study VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 27 3 this this DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 27 4 counterfactual counterfactual JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 27 5 scenario scenario NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 27 6 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 27 7 I -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 27 8 use use VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 27 9 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 27 10 synthetic synthetic JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 27 11 control control NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 27 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 27 13 SC SC NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 27 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 27 15 method method NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 27 16 pioneered pioneer VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 27 17 by by IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 27 18 Abadie Abadie NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 27 19 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 27 20 Gardeazabal Gardeazabal NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 27 21 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 27 22 2003 2003 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 27 23 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 27 24 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 27 25 analyse analyse VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 27 26 how how WRB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 27 27 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 27 28 parallel parallel JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 27 29 version version NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 27 30 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 27 31 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 27 32 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 27 33 or or CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 27 34 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 27 35 " " `` cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 27 36 synthetic synthetic JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 27 37 " " '' cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 27 38 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 27 39 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 27 40 would would MD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 27 41 have have VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 27 42 evolved evolve VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 27 43 had have VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 27 44 it -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 27 45 enforced enforce VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 27 46 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 27 47 mandatory mandatory JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 27 48 lockdown lockdown NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 27 49 policy policy NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 27 50 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 28 1 This this DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 28 2 parallel parallel JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 28 3 version version NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 28 4 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 28 5 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 28 6 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 28 7 first first RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 28 8 constructed construct VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 28 9 through through IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 28 10 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 28 11 data data NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 28 12 - - HYPH cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 28 13 driven drive VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 28 14 process process NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 28 15 with with IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 28 16 weights weight NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 28 17 assigned assign VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 28 18 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 28 19 all all DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 28 20 possible possible JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 28 21 donor donor NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 28 22 countries country NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 28 23 that that WDT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 28 24 would would MD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 28 25 best well RBS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 28 26 approximate approximate VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 28 27 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 28 28 pre pre JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 28 29 - - JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 28 30 lockdown lockdown JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 28 31 characteristics characteristic NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 28 32 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 28 33 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 28 34 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 28 35 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 28 36 " " `` cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 28 37 treatment treatment NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 28 38 " " '' cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 28 39 unit unit NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 28 40 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 28 41 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 29 1 Once once IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 29 2 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 29 3 policy policy NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 29 4 intervention intervention NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 29 5 takes take VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 29 6 place place NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 29 7 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 29 8 I -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 29 9 can can MD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 29 10 trace trace VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 29 11 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 29 12 effect effect NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 29 13 with with IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 29 14 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 29 15 evolution evolution NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 29 16 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 29 17 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 29 18 untreated untreated JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 29 19 SC SC NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 29 20 unit unit NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 29 21 to to TO cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 29 22 assess assess VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 29 23 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 29 24 counterfactual counterfactual JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 29 25 situation situation NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 29 26 corresponding correspond VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 29 27 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 29 28 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 29 29 regime regime NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 29 30 where where WRB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 29 31 strict strict JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 29 32 lockdown lockdown NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 29 33 measures measure NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 29 34 were be VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 29 35 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 29 36 place place NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 29 37 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 30 1 The the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 30 2 causal causal JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 30 3 effect effect NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 30 4 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 30 5 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 30 6 lockdown lockdown NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 30 7 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 30 8 then then RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 30 9 measured measure VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 30 10 by by IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 30 11 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 30 12 post post JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 30 13 - - JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 30 14 intervention intervention JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 30 15 difference difference NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 30 16 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 30 17 infection infection NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 30 18 rates rate NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 30 19 between between IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 30 20 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 30 21 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 30 22 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 30 23 synthetic synthetic JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 30 24 counterpart counterpart NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 30 25 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 2 has have VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 3 been be VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 4 shown show VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 5 that that IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 6 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 7 SC SC NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 8 method method NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 9 offers offer VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 10 several several JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 11 advantages advantage NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 12 over over IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 13 traditional traditional JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 14 difference difference NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 15 - - HYPH cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 16 indifferences indifference NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 17 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 18 DD DD NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 19 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 20 or or CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 21 fixed fix VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 22 - - HYPH cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 23 effect effect NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 24 models model NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 25 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 26 as as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 27 not not RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 28 only only RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 29 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 30 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 31 procedure procedure NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 32 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 33 transparent transparent JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 34 data data NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 35 - - HYPH cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 36 driven drive VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 37 one one CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 38 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 39 but but CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 40 it -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 41 also also RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 42 allows allow VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 43 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 44 effect effect NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 45 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 46 unobservable unobservable JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 47 country country NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 48 heterogeneity heterogeneity NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 49 to to TO cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 50 vary vary VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 51 over over IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 52 time time NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 53 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 54 as as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 55 discussed discuss VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 56 by by IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 57 Abadie Abadie NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 58 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 59 Diamond Diamond NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 60 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 61 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 62 Hainmueller Hainmueller NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 63 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 64 2010 2010 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 65 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 66 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 67 Imbens Imbens NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 68 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 69 Wooldridge Wooldridge NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 70 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 71 2009 2009 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 72 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 31 73 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 32 1 I -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 32 2 further further RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 32 3 quantify quantify VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 32 4 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 32 5 causal causal JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 32 6 effect effect NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 32 7 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 32 8 counter counter JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 32 9 - - JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 32 10 COVID covid JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 32 11 measures measure NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 32 12 by by IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 32 13 using use VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 32 14 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 32 15 DD DD NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 32 16 research research NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 32 17 design design NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 32 18 that that WDT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 32 19 controls control VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 32 20 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 32 21 additional additional JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 32 22 variables variable NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 32 23 regarding regard VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 32 24 people people NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 32 25 's 's POS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 32 26 behaviour behaviour NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 32 27 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 33 1 This this DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 33 2 helps help VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 33 3 us -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 33 4 to to TO cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 33 5 assess assess VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 33 6 how how WRB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 33 7 much much JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 33 8 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 33 9 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 33 10 observed observed JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 33 11 infection infection NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 33 12 rate rate NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 33 13 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 33 14 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 33 15 attributed attribute VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 33 16 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 33 17 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 33 18 NPIs npi NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 33 19 by by IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 33 20 themselves -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 33 21 relative relative JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 33 22 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 33 23 voluntary voluntary JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 33 24 changes change NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 33 25 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 33 26 people people NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 33 27 's 's POS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 33 28 behaviour behaviour NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 33 29 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 33 30 fear fear NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 33 31 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 33 32 infection infection NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 33 33 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 34 1 The the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 34 2 key key JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 34 3 findings finding NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 34 4 from from IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 34 5 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 34 6 analysis analysis NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 34 7 are be VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 34 8 as as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 34 9 follows follow VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 34 10 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 35 1 One one CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 35 2 hundred hundred CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 35 3 days day NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 35 4 after after IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 35 5 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 35 6 infection infection NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 35 7 case case NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 35 8 per per IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 35 9 one one CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 35 10 million million CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 35 11 population population NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 35 12 exceeds exceed VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 35 13 one one CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 35 14 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 35 15 I -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 35 16 find find VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 35 17 that that IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 35 18 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 35 19 infection infection NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 35 20 case case NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 35 21 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 35 22 synthetic synthetic JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 35 23 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 35 24 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 35 25 around around RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 35 26 75 75 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 35 27 percent percent NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 35 28 lower low JJR cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 35 29 than than IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 35 30 that that DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 35 31 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 35 32 actual actual JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 35 33 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 35 34 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 35 35 which which WDT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 35 36 implies imply VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 35 37 that that IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 35 38 stricter strict JJR cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 35 39 containment containment NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 35 40 measures measure NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 35 41 are be VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 35 42 associated associate VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 35 43 with with IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 35 44 limiting limit VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 35 45 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 35 46 spread spread NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 35 47 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 35 48 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 35 49 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 35 50 infection infection NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 35 51 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 36 1 I -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 36 2 also also RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 36 3 find find VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 36 4 that that IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 36 5 as as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 36 6 people people NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 36 7 dynamically dynamically RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 36 8 adjust adjust VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 36 9 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 36 10 behaviour behaviour NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 36 11 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 36 12 response response NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 36 13 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 36 14 information information NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 36 15 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 36 16 policies policy NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 36 17 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 36 18 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 36 19 impact impact NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 36 20 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 36 21 NPIs NPIs NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 36 22 does do VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 36 23 not not RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 36 24 manifest manifest VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 36 25 immediately immediately RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 36 26 but but CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 36 27 only only RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 36 28 with with IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 36 29 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 36 30 time time NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 36 31 lag lag NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 36 32 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 36 33 approximately approximately RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 36 34 5 5 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 36 35 weeks week NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 36 36 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 37 1 Supplementing supplement VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 37 2 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 37 3 main main JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 37 4 findings finding NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 37 5 with with IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 37 6 several several JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 37 7 robustness robustness NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 37 8 checks check NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 37 9 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 37 10 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 37 11 complementary complementary JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 37 12 analysis analysis NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 37 13 using use VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 37 14 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 37 15 DD DD NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 37 16 approach approach NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 37 17 does do VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 37 18 not not RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 37 19 fundamentally fundamentally RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 37 20 alter alter VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 37 21 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 37 22 main main JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 37 23 findings finding NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 37 24 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 38 1 Furthermore furthermore RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 38 2 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 38 3 profiling profile VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 38 4 excess excess JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 38 5 mortality mortality NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 38 6 trends trend NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 38 7 between between IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 38 8 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 38 9 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 38 10 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 38 11 synthetic synthetic JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 38 12 counterpart counterpart NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 38 13 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 38 14 I -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 38 15 find find VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 38 16 that that IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 38 17 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 38 18 excess excess JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 38 19 mortality mortality NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 38 20 rate rate NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 38 21 under under IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 38 22 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 38 23 counterfactual counterfactual JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 38 24 lockdown lockdown NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 38 25 would would MD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 38 26 have have VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 38 27 been be VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 38 28 reduced reduce VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 38 29 by by IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 38 30 25 25 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 38 31 percentage percentage NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 38 32 points point NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 38 33 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 39 1 The the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 39 2 effectiveness effectiveness NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 39 3 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 39 4 death death NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 39 5 prevention prevention NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 39 6 follows follow VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 39 7 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 39 8 disproportionately disproportionately RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 39 9 steep steep JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 39 10 age age NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 39 11 gradient gradient NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 39 12 that that WDT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 39 13 ranges range VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 39 14 from from IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 39 15 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 39 16 14-percentage 14-percentage CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 39 17 point point NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 39 18 reduction reduction NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 39 19 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 39 20 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 39 21 excess excess JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 39 22 mortality mortality NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 39 23 rate rate NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 39 24 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 39 25 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 39 26 working work VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 39 27 - - HYPH cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 39 28 age age NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 39 29 cohort cohort NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 39 30 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 39 31 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 39 32 29-percentage 29-percentage CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 39 33 point point NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 39 34 reduction reduction NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 39 35 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 39 36 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 39 37 elderly elderly JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 39 38 cohort cohort NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 39 39 85 85 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 39 40 years year NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 39 41 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 39 42 age age NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 39 43 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 39 44 above above RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 39 45 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 40 1 The the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 40 2 present present JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 40 3 paper paper NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 40 4 contributes contribute VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 40 5 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 40 6 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 40 7 ongoing ongoing JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 40 8 discussion discussion NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 40 9 on on IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 40 10 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 40 11 effectiveness effectiveness NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 40 12 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 40 13 NPI NPI NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 40 14 policy policy NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 40 15 response response NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 40 16 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 40 17 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 40 18 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 40 19 shock shock NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 40 20 ; ; : cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 40 21 see see VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 40 22 Chernozhukov Chernozhukov NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 40 23 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 40 24 Kasahara Kasahara NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 40 25 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 40 26 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 40 27 Schrimpf Schrimpf NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 40 28 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 40 29 2020 2020 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 40 30 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 40 31 ; ; : cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 40 32 Chen Chen NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 40 33 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 40 34 Qiu Qiu NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 40 35 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 40 36 2020 2020 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 40 37 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 40 38 ; ; : cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 40 39 Gonzalez Gonzalez NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 40 40 - - HYPH cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 40 41 Eiras Eiras NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 40 42 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 40 43 Niepelt Niepelt NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 40 44 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 40 45 2020 2020 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 40 46 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 40 47 ; ; : cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 40 48 Ullah Ullah NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 40 49 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 40 50 Ajala Ajala NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 40 51 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 40 52 2020 2020 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 40 53 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 40 54 ; ; : cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 40 55 Goodman Goodman NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 40 56 - - HYPH cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 40 57 Bacon Bacon NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 40 58 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 40 59 Marcus Marcus NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 40 60 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 40 61 2020 2020 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 40 62 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 40 63 ; ; : cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 40 64 Gupta Gupta NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 40 65 et et NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 40 66 al al NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 40 67 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 41 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 41 2 2020 2020 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 41 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 41 4 ; ; : cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 41 5 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 41 6 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 41 7 contributions contribution NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 41 8 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 41 9 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 41 10 volume volume NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 41 11 by by IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 41 12 Baldwin Baldwin NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 41 13 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 41 14 di di NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 41 15 Mauro Mauro NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 41 16 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 41 17 2020 2020 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 41 18 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 41 19 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 42 1 Empirically empirically RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 42 2 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 42 3 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 42 4 present present JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 42 5 paper paper NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 42 6 extends extend VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 42 7 cross cross NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 42 8 - - JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 42 9 country country JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 42 10 experiences experience NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 42 11 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 42 12 policy policy NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 42 13 effectiveness effectiveness NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 42 14 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 43 1 Castex Castex NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 43 2 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 43 3 Dechter Dechter NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 43 4 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 43 5 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 43 6 Lorca Lorca NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 43 7 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 43 8 2020 2020 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 43 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 43 10 showed show VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 43 11 that that IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 43 12 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 43 13 effectiveness effectiveness NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 43 14 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 43 15 lockdown lockdown NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 43 16 policies policy NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 43 17 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 43 18 declining decline VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 43 19 with with IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 43 20 GDP gdp NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 43 21 per per IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 43 22 capita capita NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 43 23 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 43 24 population population NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 43 25 density density NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 43 26 but but CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 43 27 increasing increase VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 43 28 with with IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 43 29 health health NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 43 30 expenditure expenditure NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 43 31 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 43 32 proportion proportion NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 43 33 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 43 34 physicians physician NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 43 35 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 43 36 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 43 37 population population NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 43 38 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 44 1 Focusing focus VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 44 2 on on IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 44 3 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 44 4 policy policy NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 44 5 choices choice NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 44 6 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 44 7 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 44 8 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 44 9 Conyon Conyon NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 44 10 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 44 11 He -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 44 12 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 44 13 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 44 14 Thomsen Thomsen NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 44 15 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 44 16 2020 2020 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 44 17 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 44 18 compared compare VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 44 19 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 44 20 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 44 21 deaths death NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 44 22 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 44 23 while while IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 44 24 Andersen Andersen NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 44 25 et et NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 44 26 al al NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 44 27 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 45 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 45 2 2020 2020 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 45 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 45 4 examined examine VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 45 5 aggregate aggregate JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 45 6 spending spending NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 45 7 patterns pattern NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 45 8 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 45 9 comparison comparison NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 45 10 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 45 11 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 45 12 's 's POS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 45 13 neighbours neighbour NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 45 14 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 46 1 In in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 46 2 terms term NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 46 3 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 46 4 scope scope NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 46 5 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 46 6 methodology methodology NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 46 7 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 46 8 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 46 9 present present JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 46 10 paper paper NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 46 11 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 46 12 closest close JJS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 46 13 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 46 14 spirit spirit NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 46 15 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 46 16 Born Born NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 46 17 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 46 18 Dietrich Dietrich NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 46 19 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 46 20 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 46 21 Müller Müller NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 46 22 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 46 23 2020 2020 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 46 24 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 47 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 47 2 hereinafter hereinafter NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 47 3 BDM BDM NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 47 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 47 5 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 47 6 who who WP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 47 7 conducted conduct VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 47 8 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 47 9 similar similar JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 47 10 counterfactual counterfactual JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 47 11 lockdown lockdown NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 47 12 scenario scenario NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 47 13 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 47 14 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 47 15 using use VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 47 16 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 47 17 SC SC NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 47 18 method method NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 47 19 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 48 1 Documenting document VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 48 2 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 48 3 infection infection NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 48 4 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 48 5 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 48 6 one one CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 48 7 month month NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 48 8 after after IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 48 9 lockdown lockdown NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 48 10 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 48 11 they -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 48 12 found find VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 48 13 that that IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 48 14 counterfactual counterfactual JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 48 15 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 48 16 did do VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 48 17 not not RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 48 18 differ differ VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 48 19 from from IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 48 20 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 48 21 actual actual JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 48 22 infection infection NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 48 23 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 48 24 observed observe VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 48 25 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 48 26 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 48 27 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 49 1 In in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 49 2 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 49 3 discussion discussion NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 49 4 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 49 5 they -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 49 6 attributed attribute VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 49 7 this this DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 49 8 outcome outcome NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 49 9 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 49 10 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 49 11 voluntary voluntary JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 49 12 precautions precaution NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 49 13 taken take VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 49 14 by by IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 49 15 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 49 16 general general JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 49 17 public public NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 49 18 that that WDT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 49 19 essentially essentially RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 49 20 had have VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 49 21 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 49 22 same same JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 49 23 impact impact NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 49 24 as as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 49 25 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 49 26 mandatory mandatory JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 49 27 lockdown lockdown NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 49 28 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 50 1 The the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 50 2 present present JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 50 3 paper paper NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 50 4 extends extend VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 50 5 BDM BDM NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 50 6 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 50 7 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 50 8 following follow VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 50 9 aspects aspect NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 50 10 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 51 1 First first RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 51 2 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 51 3 I -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 51 4 consider consider VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 51 5 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 51 6 post post JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 51 7 - - JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 51 8 lockdown lockdown JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 51 9 period period NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 51 10 as as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 51 11 extending extend VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 51 12 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 51 13 around around RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 51 14 75 75 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 51 15 days day NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 51 16 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 51 17 which which WDT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 51 18 mostly mostly RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 51 19 covers cover VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 51 20 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 51 21 time time NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 51 22 horizon horizon NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 51 23 during during IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 51 24 which which WDT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 51 25 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 51 26 initial initial JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 51 27 lockdown lockdown NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 51 28 measures measure NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 51 29 were be VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 51 30 fully fully RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 51 31 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 51 32 place place NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 51 33 outside outside IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 51 34 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 51 35 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 52 1 Consistent consistent JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 52 2 with with IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 52 3 BDM BDM NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 52 4 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 52 5 I -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 52 6 also also RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 52 7 find find VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 52 8 that that IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 52 9 during during IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 52 10 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 52 11 first first JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 52 12 5 5 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 52 13 weeks week NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 52 14 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 52 15 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 52 16 infection infection NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 52 17 rate rate NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 52 18 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 52 19 synthetic synthetic JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 52 20 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 52 21 was be VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 52 22 not not RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 52 23 significantly significantly RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 52 24 lower low JJR cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 52 25 than than IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 52 26 that that DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 52 27 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 52 28 actual actual JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 52 29 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 52 30 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 53 1 However however RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 53 2 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 53 3 over over IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 53 4 time time NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 53 5 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 53 6 synthetic synthetic JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 53 7 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 53 8 shows show VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 53 9 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 53 10 significant significant JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 53 11 slowdown slowdown NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 53 12 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 53 13 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 53 14 infection infection NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 53 15 rate rate NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 53 16 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 53 17 which which WDT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 53 18 demonstrates demonstrate VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 53 19 that that IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 53 20 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 53 21 lockdown lockdown NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 53 22 measures measure NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 53 23 would would MD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 53 24 eventually eventually RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 53 25 have have VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 53 26 had have VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 53 27 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 53 28 containment containment NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 53 29 effect effect NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 53 30 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 53 31 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 53 32 longer long JJR cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 53 33 horizon horizon NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 53 34 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 54 1 Second second RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 54 2 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 54 3 using use VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 54 4 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 54 5 DD DD NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 54 6 approach approach NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 54 7 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 54 8 Google Google NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 54 9 Mobility Mobility NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 54 10 Tracker Tracker NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 54 11 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 54 12 I -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 54 13 formally formally RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 54 14 control control VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 54 15 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 54 16 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 54 17 behavioural behavioural JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 54 18 changes change NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 54 19 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 54 20 show show VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 54 21 that that IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 54 22 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 54 23 mandatory mandatory JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 54 24 lockdown lockdown NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 54 25 measures measure NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 54 26 would would MD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 54 27 have have VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 54 28 significantly significantly RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 54 29 reduced reduce VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 54 30 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 54 31 infection infection NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 54 32 rate rate NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 54 33 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 54 34 comparison comparison NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 54 35 with with IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 54 36 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 54 37 voluntary voluntary JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 54 38 social social JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 54 39 distancing distancing NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 54 40 scenario scenario NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 54 41 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 55 1 The the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 55 2 rest rest NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 55 3 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 55 4 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 55 5 paper paper NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 55 6 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 55 7 organised organise VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 55 8 as as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 55 9 follows follow NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 55 10 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 56 1 Section section NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 56 2 2 2 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 56 3 describes describe VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 56 4 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 56 5 methodology methodology NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 56 6 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 56 7 data datum NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 56 8 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 56 9 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 56 10 SC SC NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 56 11 approach approach NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 56 12 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 57 1 Section section NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 57 2 3 3 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 57 3 presents present VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 57 4 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 57 5 main main JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 57 6 estimation estimation NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 57 7 results result NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 57 8 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 57 9 robustness robustness NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 57 10 checks check NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 57 11 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 58 1 Section section NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 58 2 4 4 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 58 3 extends extend VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 58 4 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 58 5 analysis analysis NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 58 6 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 58 7 mortality mortality NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 58 8 rate rate NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 58 9 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 58 10 discusses discuss VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 58 11 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 58 12 role role NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 58 13 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 58 14 voluntary voluntary JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 58 15 social social JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 58 16 distancing distancing NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 58 17 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 58 18 followed follow VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 58 19 by by IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 58 20 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 58 21 DD DD NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 58 22 estimation estimation NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 58 23 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 58 24 Section section NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 58 25 5 5 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 58 26 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 59 1 Finally finally RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 59 2 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 59 3 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 59 4 conclusion conclusion NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 59 5 provided provide VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 59 6 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 59 7 Section section NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 59 8 6 6 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 59 9 discusses discuss VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 59 10 some some DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 59 11 limitations limitation NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 59 12 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 59 13 caveats caveat NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 59 14 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 60 1 The the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 60 2 main main JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 60 3 methodology methodology NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 60 4 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 60 5 choice choice NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 60 6 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 60 7 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 60 8 SC SC NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 60 9 method method NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 60 10 proposed propose VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 60 11 by by IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 60 12 Abadie Abadie NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 60 13 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 60 14 Gardeazabal Gardeazabal NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 60 15 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 60 16 2003 2003 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 60 17 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 60 18 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 60 19 later later RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 60 20 developed develop VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 60 21 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 60 22 Abadie Abadie NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 60 23 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 60 24 Diamond Diamond NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 60 25 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 60 26 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 60 27 Hainmueller Hainmueller NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 60 28 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 60 29 2010 2010 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 60 30 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 60 31 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 60 32 Abadie Abadie NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 60 33 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 60 34 Diamond Diamond NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 60 35 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 60 36 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 60 37 Hainmueller Hainmueller NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 60 38 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 60 39 2015 2015 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 60 40 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 60 41 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 61 1 The the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 61 2 SC SC NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 61 3 method method NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 61 4 has have VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 61 5 recently recently RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 61 6 become become VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 61 7 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 61 8 popular popular JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 61 9 approach approach NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 61 10 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 61 11 comparative comparative JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 61 12 case case NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 61 13 studies study NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 61 14 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 61 15 has have VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 61 16 also also RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 61 17 been be VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 61 18 used use VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 61 19 to to TO cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 61 20 quantify quantify VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 61 21 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 61 22 economic economic JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 61 23 effects effect NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 61 24 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 61 25 shocks shock NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 61 26 or or CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 61 27 policy policy NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 61 28 interventions intervention NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 61 29 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 62 1 Under under IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 62 2 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 62 3 standard standard JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 62 4 SC SC NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 62 5 approach approach NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 62 6 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 62 7 one one PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 62 8 would would MD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 62 9 compare compare VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 62 10 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 62 11 lockdown lockdown NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 62 12 country country NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 62 13 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 62 14 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 62 15 synthetic synthetic JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 62 16 unit unit NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 62 17 composed compose VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 62 18 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 62 19 countries country NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 62 20 where where WRB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 62 21 no no DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 62 22 lockdown lockdown NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 62 23 was be VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 62 24 imposed impose VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 62 25 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 63 1 In in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 63 2 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 63 3 context context NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 63 4 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 63 5 this this DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 63 6 analysis analysis NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 63 7 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 63 8 I -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 63 9 swap swap VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 63 10 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 63 11 setting setting NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 63 12 by by IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 63 13 assigning assign VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 63 14 treatment treatment NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 63 15 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 63 16 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 63 17 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 63 18 where where WRB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 63 19 no no DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 63 20 lockdown lockdown NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 63 21 was be VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 63 22 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 63 23 place place NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 63 24 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 63 25 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 63 26 compare compare VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 63 27 it -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 63 28 with with IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 63 29 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 63 30 counterfactual counterfactual JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 63 31 designed design VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 63 32 to to TO cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 63 33 capture capture VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 63 34 how how WRB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 63 35 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 63 36 infection infection NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 63 37 rates rate NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 63 38 would would MD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 63 39 have have VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 63 40 evolved evolve VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 63 41 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 63 42 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 63 43 had have VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 63 44 it -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 63 45 followed follow VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 63 46 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 63 47 policy policy NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 63 48 approach approach NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 63 49 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 63 50 or or CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 63 51 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 63 52 mandatory mandatory JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 63 53 lockdown lockdown NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 63 54 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 63 55 similar similar JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 63 56 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 63 57 that that DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 63 58 taken take VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 63 59 by by IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 63 60 other other JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 63 61 European european JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 63 62 countries country NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 63 63 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 64 1 This this DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 64 2 counterfactual counterfactual JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 64 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 64 4 or or CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 64 5 SC SC NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 64 6 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 64 7 unit unit NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 64 8 tracks track VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 64 9 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 64 10 actual actual JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 64 11 path path NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 64 12 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 64 13 infection infection NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 64 14 rates rate NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 64 15 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 64 16 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 64 17 as as RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 64 18 closely closely RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 64 19 as as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 64 20 possible possible JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 64 21 before before IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 64 22 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 64 23 policy policy NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 64 24 intervention intervention NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 64 25 but but CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 64 26 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 64 27 at at IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 64 28 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 64 29 same same JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 64 30 time time NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 64 31 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 64 32 shares share NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 64 33 other other JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 64 34 similar similar JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 64 35 characteristics characteristic NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 64 36 with with IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 64 37 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 64 38 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 65 1 After after IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 65 2 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 65 3 policy policy NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 65 4 intervention intervention NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 65 5 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 65 6 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 65 7 control control NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 65 8 unit unit NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 65 9 follows follow VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 65 10 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 65 11 path path NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 65 12 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 65 13 mandatory mandatory JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 65 14 lockdown lockdown NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 65 15 measures measure NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 65 16 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 65 17 whereas whereas IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 65 18 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 65 19 does do VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 65 20 not not RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 65 21 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 66 1 As as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 66 2 such such JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 66 3 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 66 4 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 66 5 notion notion NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 66 6 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 66 7 policy policy NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 66 8 intervention intervention NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 66 9 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 66 10 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 66 11 setting setting NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 66 12 refers refer VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 66 13 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 66 14 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 66 15 absence absence NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 66 16 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 66 17 mandatory mandatory JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 66 18 lockdown lockdown NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 66 19 measures measure NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 66 20 or or CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 66 21 no no DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 66 22 changes change NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 66 23 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 66 24 government government NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 66 25 policy policy NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 66 26 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 67 1 Because because IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 67 2 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 67 3 difficulties difficulty NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 67 4 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 67 5 picking pick VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 67 6 individual individual JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 67 7 countries country NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 67 8 that that WDT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 67 9 satisfy satisfy VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 67 10 these these DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 67 11 criteria criterion NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 67 12 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 67 13 I -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 67 14 resort resort VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 67 15 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 67 16 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 67 17 weighted weighted JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 67 18 average average NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 67 19 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 67 20 potentially potentially RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 67 21 comparable comparable JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 67 22 countries country NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 67 23 that that WDT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 67 24 best well RBS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 67 25 resemble resemble VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 67 26 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 67 27 characteristics characteristic NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 67 28 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 67 29 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 67 30 before before IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 67 31 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 67 32 policy policy NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 67 33 intervention intervention NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 67 34 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 68 1 Any any DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 68 2 discrepancy discrepancy NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 68 3 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 68 4 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 68 5 infection infection NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 68 6 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 68 7 between between IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 68 8 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 68 9 two two CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 68 10 units unit NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 68 11 during during IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 68 12 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 68 13 post post JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 68 14 - - JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 68 15 intervention intervention JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 68 16 period period NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 68 17 can can MD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 68 18 be be VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 68 19 interpreted interpret VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 68 20 as as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 68 21 an an DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 68 22 outcome outcome NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 68 23 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 68 24 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 68 25 policy policy NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 68 26 or or CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 68 27 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 68 28 treatment treatment NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 68 29 effect effect NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 68 30 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 69 1 This this DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 69 2 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 69 3 also also RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 69 4 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 69 5 setup setup NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 69 6 used use VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 69 7 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 69 8 BDM BDM NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 69 9 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 69 10 labelled label VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 69 11 as as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 69 12 an an DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 69 13 " " `` cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 69 14 upside upside JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 69 15 - - HYPH cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 69 16 down down NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 69 17 " " '' cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 69 18 approach approach NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 69 19 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 70 1 Because because IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 70 2 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 70 3 SC SC NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 70 4 method method NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 70 5 exploits exploit VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 70 6 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 70 7 pre pre JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 70 8 - - JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 70 9 intervention intervention JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 70 10 data datum NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 70 11 to to TO cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 70 12 form form VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 70 13 better well JJR cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 70 14 counterfactual counterfactual JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 70 15 values value NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 70 16 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 70 17 it -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 70 18 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 70 19 often often RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 70 20 preferred prefer VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 70 21 over over IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 70 22 other other JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 70 23 program program NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 70 24 evaluation evaluation NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 70 25 methods method NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 70 26 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 70 27 such such JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 70 28 as as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 70 29 DD DD NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 70 30 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 70 31 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 70 32 comparative comparative JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 70 33 case case NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 70 34 studies study NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 70 35 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 71 1 See see VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 71 2 Abadie Abadie NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 71 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 71 4 2020 2020 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 71 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 71 6 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 71 7 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 71 8 broader broad JJR cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 71 9 overview overview NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 71 10 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 71 11 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 71 12 methodology methodology NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 71 13 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 71 14 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 71 15 applicability applicability NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 71 16 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 72 1 The the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 72 2 outcome outcome NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 72 3 variable variable NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 72 4 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 72 5 interest interest NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 72 6 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 72 7 daily daily JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 72 8 infection infection NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 72 9 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 72 10 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 72 11 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 72 12 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 72 13 as as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 72 14 measured measure VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 72 15 by by IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 72 16 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 72 17 confirmed confirm VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 72 18 cases case NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 72 19 per per IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 72 20 million million CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 72 21 population population NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 72 22 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 73 1 As as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 73 2 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 73 3 potential potential JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 73 4 donors donor NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 73 5 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 73 6 I -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 73 7 select select VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 73 8 30 30 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 73 9 countries country NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 73 10 consisting consist VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 73 11 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 73 12 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 73 13 other other JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 73 14 European European NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 73 15 Union Union NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 73 16 members member NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 73 17 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 73 18 excluding exclude VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 73 19 Malta Malta NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 73 20 because because IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 73 21 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 73 22 lack lack NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 73 23 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 73 24 data datum NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 73 25 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 73 26 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 73 27 as as RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 73 28 well well RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 73 29 as as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 73 30 Iceland Iceland NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 73 31 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 73 32 Israel Israel NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 73 33 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 73 34 Norway Norway NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 73 35 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 73 36 Switzerland Switzerland NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 73 37 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 73 38 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 73 39 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 73 40 United United NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 73 41 Kingdom Kingdom NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 73 42 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 74 1 1 1 LS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 75 1 Because because IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 75 2 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 75 3 infection infection NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 75 4 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 75 5 vary vary VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 75 6 across across IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 75 7 countries country NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 75 8 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 75 9 I -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 75 10 normalise normalise VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 75 11 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 75 12 time time NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 75 13 unit unit NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 75 14 such such JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 75 15 that that IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 75 16 " " `` cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 75 17 Day day NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 75 18 1 1 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 75 19 " " '' cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 75 20 refers refer VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 75 21 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 75 22 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 75 23 day day NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 75 24 on on IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 75 25 which which WDT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 75 26 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 75 27 infection infection NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 75 28 cases case NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 75 29 per per IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 75 30 million million CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 75 31 exceed exceed VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 75 32 one one CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 75 33 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 76 1 Next next RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 76 2 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 76 3 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 76 4 policy policy NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 76 5 intervention intervention NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 76 6 term term NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 76 7 " " `` cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 76 8 lockdown lockdown NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 76 9 " " '' cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 76 10 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 76 11 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 76 12 policy policy NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 76 13 package package NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 76 14 consisting consist VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 76 15 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 76 16 various various JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 76 17 socioeconomic socioeconomic JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 76 18 measures measure NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 76 19 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 76 20 including include VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 76 21 school school NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 76 22 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 76 23 workplace workplace NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 76 24 closings closing NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 76 25 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 76 26 cancellation cancellation NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 76 27 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 76 28 public public JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 76 29 events event NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 76 30 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 76 31 restrictions restriction NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 76 32 on on IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 76 33 gatherings gathering NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 76 34 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 76 35 closing closing NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 76 36 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 76 37 public public JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 76 38 transport transport NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 76 39 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 76 40 stay stay VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 76 41 - - HYPH cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 76 42 at at IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 76 43 - - HYPH cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 76 44 home home NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 76 45 requirements requirement NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 76 46 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 76 47 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 76 48 restrictions restriction NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 76 49 on on IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 76 50 domestic domestic JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 76 51 / / SYM cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 76 52 international international JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 76 53 travel travel NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 76 54 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 76 55 as as RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 76 56 well well RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 76 57 as as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 76 58 public public JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 76 59 information information NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 76 60 campaigns campaign NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 76 61 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 77 1 Because because IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 77 2 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 77 3 different different JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 77 4 sequence sequence NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 77 5 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 77 6 measures measure NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 77 7 took take VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 77 8 place place NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 77 9 over over IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 77 10 time time NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 77 11 with with IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 77 12 varying vary VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 77 13 magnitudes magnitude NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 77 14 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 77 15 I -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 77 16 resort resort VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 77 17 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 77 18 an an DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 77 19 all all RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 77 20 - - HYPH cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 77 21 inclusive inclusive JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 77 22 index index NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 77 23 measure measure NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 77 24 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 78 1 The the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 78 2 Oxford Oxford NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 78 3 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 78 4 Government Government NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 78 5 Response Response NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 78 6 Tracker Tracker NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 78 7 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 78 8 OxCGRT OxCGRT NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 78 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 78 10 collects collect VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 78 11 information information NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 78 12 on on IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 78 13 several several JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 78 14 different different JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 78 15 common common JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 78 16 government government NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 78 17 responses response NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 78 18 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 78 19 provides provide VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 78 20 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 78 21 daily daily JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 78 22 Government Government NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 78 23 Response Response NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 78 24 Stringency Stringency NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 78 25 Index Index NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 78 26 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 78 27 Stringency Stringency NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 78 28 Index Index NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 78 29 ; ; : cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 78 30 SI SI NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 78 31 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 78 32 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 78 33 which which WDT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 78 34 ranges range VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 78 35 from from IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 78 36 0 0 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 78 37 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 78 38 100 100 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 78 39 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 78 40 with with IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 78 41 each each DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 78 42 additional additional JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 78 43 policy policy NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 78 44 response response NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 78 45 leading lead VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 78 46 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 78 47 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 78 48 higher high JJR cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 78 49 index index NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 78 50 value value NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 78 51 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 79 1 2 2 LS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 80 1 In in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 80 2 Figure figure NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 80 3 1 1 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 80 4 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 80 5 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 80 6 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 80 7 average average NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 80 8 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 80 9 all all DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 80 10 donors donor NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 80 11 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 81 1 The the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 81 2 data datum NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 81 3 are be VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 81 4 taken take VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 81 5 from from IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 81 6 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 81 7 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 81 8 Pandemic Pandemic NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 81 9 section section NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 81 10 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 81 11 Our -PRON- PRP$ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 81 12 World World NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 81 13 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 81 14 Data Data NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 81 15 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 81 16 Roser Roser NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 81 17 et et NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 81 18 al al NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 81 19 . . NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 81 20 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 81 21 2020 2020 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 81 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 81 23 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 82 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 82 2 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 82 3 worth worth JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 82 4 noting note VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 82 5 that that IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 82 6 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 82 7 average average JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 82 8 profile profile NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 82 9 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 82 10 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 82 11 SI SI NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 82 12 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 82 13 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 82 14 donors donor NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 82 15 shows show VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 82 16 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 82 17 rapid rapid JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 82 18 increase increase NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 82 19 that that WDT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 82 20 peaks peak VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 82 21 at at IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 82 22 around around IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 82 23 Day Day NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 82 24 25 25 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 82 25 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 83 1 Despite despite IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 83 2 variations variation NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 83 3 across across IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 83 4 countries country NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 83 5 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 83 6 no no DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 83 7 country country NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 83 8 peaked peak VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 83 9 below below IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 83 10 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 83 11 index index NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 83 12 value value NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 83 13 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 83 14 50 50 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 83 15 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 84 1 The the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 84 2 average average JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 84 3 index index NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 84 4 gradually gradually RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 84 5 decreases decrease VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 84 6 as as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 84 7 many many JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 84 8 countries country NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 84 9 later later RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 84 10 eased ease VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 84 11 some some DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 84 12 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 84 13 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 84 14 lockdown lockdown NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 84 15 measures measure NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 84 16 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 85 1 On on IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 85 2 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 85 3 other other JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 85 4 hand hand NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 85 5 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 85 6 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 85 7 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 85 8 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 85 9 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 85 10 index index NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 85 11 rises rise VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 85 12 slowly slowly RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 85 13 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 85 14 always always RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 85 15 stays stay VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 85 16 below below IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 85 17 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 85 18 average average JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 85 19 profile profile NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 85 20 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 85 21 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 85 22 donors donor NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 85 23 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 85 24 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 85 25 at at IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 85 26 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 85 27 same same JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 85 28 time time NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 85 29 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 85 30 never never RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 85 31 exceeds exceed VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 85 32 50 50 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 85 33 over over IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 85 34 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 85 35 whole whole JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 85 36 period period NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 85 37 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 85 38 observation observation NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 85 39 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 86 1 3 3 LS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 87 1 Because because IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 87 2 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 87 3 SC SC NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 87 4 approach approach NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 87 5 requires require VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 87 6 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 87 7 dichotomisation dichotomisation NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 87 8 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 87 9 policy policy NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 87 10 intervention intervention NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 87 11 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 87 12 I -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 87 13 pick pick VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 87 14 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 87 15 average average JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 87 16 day day NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 87 17 on on IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 87 18 which which WDT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 87 19 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 87 20 SI SI NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 87 21 peaked peak VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 87 22 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 87 23 each each DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 87 24 donor donor NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 87 25 country country NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 87 26 to to TO cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 87 27 pinpoint pinpoint VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 87 28 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 87 29 timing timing NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 87 30 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 87 31 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 87 32 lockdown lockdown NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 87 33 treatment treatment NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 87 34 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 88 1 This this DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 88 2 occurs occur VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 88 3 on on IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 88 4 Day Day NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 88 5 25 25 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 88 6 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 89 1 In in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 89 2 Table Table NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 89 3 1 1 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 89 4 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 89 5 I -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 89 6 summarise summarise VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 89 7 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 89 8 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 89 9 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 89 10 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 89 11 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 89 12 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 89 13 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 89 14 average average NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 89 15 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 89 16 all all DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 89 17 donors donor NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 89 18 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 89 19 as as RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 89 20 well well RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 89 21 as as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 89 22 some some DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 89 23 relevant relevant JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 89 24 country country NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 89 25 - - HYPH cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 89 26 specific specific JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 89 27 demographic demographic JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 89 28 covariates covariate NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 89 29 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 90 1 Rather rather RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 90 2 than than IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 90 3 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 90 4 overall overall JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 90 5 population population NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 90 6 size size NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 90 7 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 90 8 it -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 90 9 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 90 10 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 90 11 immediate immediate JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 90 12 access access NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 90 13 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 90 14 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 90 15 population population NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 90 16 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 90 17 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 90 18 infection infection NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 90 19 that that WDT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 90 20 matters matter VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 90 21 more more RBR cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 90 22 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 90 23 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 90 24 transmission transmission NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 90 25 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 90 26 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 91 1 As as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 91 2 such such JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 91 3 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 91 4 I -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 91 5 compare compare VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 91 6 population population NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 91 7 density density NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 91 8 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 91 9 because because IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 91 10 early early JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 91 11 epidemiological epidemiological JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 91 12 studies study NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 91 13 such such JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 91 14 as as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 91 15 Rocklöv Rocklöv NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 91 16 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 91 17 Sjödin Sjödin NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 91 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 91 19 2020 2020 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 91 20 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 91 21 found find VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 91 22 that that IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 91 23 high high JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 91 24 population population NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 91 25 density density NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 91 26 can can MD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 91 27 catalyse catalyse VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 91 28 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 91 29 spread spread NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 91 30 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 91 31 COVID-19 covid-19 NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 91 32 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 92 1 In in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 92 2 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 92 3 similar similar JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 92 4 manner manner NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 92 5 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 92 6 I -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 92 7 also also RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 92 8 include include VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 92 9 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 92 10 fraction fraction NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 92 11 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 92 12 population population NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 92 13 living live VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 92 14 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 92 15 urban urban JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 92 16 areas area NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 92 17 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 93 1 Finally finally RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 93 2 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 93 3 at at IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 93 4 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 93 5 more more RBR cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 93 6 disaggregate disaggregate JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 93 7 level level NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 93 8 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 93 9 Sá Sá NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 93 10 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 93 11 2020 2020 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 93 12 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 93 13 found find VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 93 14 that that IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 93 15 regions region NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 93 16 with with IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 93 17 larger large JJR cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 93 18 average average JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 93 19 household household NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 93 20 size size NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 93 21 experienced experience VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 93 22 higher high JJR cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 93 23 infection infection NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 93 24 rates rate NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 93 25 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 94 1 The the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 94 2 latest late JJS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 94 3 available available JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 94 4 figures figure NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 94 5 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 94 6 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 94 7 countryspecific countryspecific NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 94 8 demographic demographic JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 94 9 covariates covariate NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 94 10 were be VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 94 11 taken take VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 94 12 from from IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 94 13 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 94 14 World World NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 94 15 Development Development NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 94 16 Indicators Indicators NNPS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 94 17 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 94 18 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 94 19 United United NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 94 20 Nations Nations NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 94 21 report report NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 94 22 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 94 23 United United NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 94 24 Nations Nations NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 94 25 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 94 26 2019 2019 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 94 27 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 94 28 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 95 1 Descriptive descriptive JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 95 2 statistics statistic NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 95 3 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 95 4 Table table NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 95 5 1 1 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 95 6 indicate indicate VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 95 7 that that IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 95 8 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 95 9 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 95 10 infection infection NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 95 11 started start VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 95 12 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 95 13 few few JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 95 14 days day NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 95 15 earlier early RBR cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 95 16 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 95 17 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 95 18 than than IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 95 19 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 95 20 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 95 21 average average NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 95 22 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 95 23 donor donor NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 95 24 countries country NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 95 25 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 95 26 but but CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 95 27 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 95 28 latter latter JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 95 29 group group NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 95 30 experienced experience VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 95 31 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 95 32 faster fast JJR cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 95 33 rise rise NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 95 34 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 95 35 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 95 36 infection infection NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 95 37 cases case NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 95 38 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 95 39 prompting prompt VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 95 40 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 95 41 swift swift JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 95 42 government government NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 95 43 response response NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 95 44 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 96 1 On on IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 96 2 Day Day NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 96 3 25 25 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 96 4 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 96 5 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 96 6 average average JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 96 7 SI si NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 96 8 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 96 9 all all DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 96 10 donors donor NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 96 11 reached reach VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 96 12 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 96 13 peak peak NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 96 14 at at IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 96 15 78.6 78.6 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 96 16 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 96 17 whereas whereas IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 96 18 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 96 19 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 96 20 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 96 21 SI SI NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 96 22 remained remain VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 96 23 much much RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 96 24 lower low JJR cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 96 25 at at IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 96 26 28.7 28.7 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 96 27 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 97 1 As as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 97 2 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 97 3 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 97 4 demographic demographic JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 97 5 covariates covariate NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 97 6 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 97 7 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 97 8 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 97 9 characterised characterise VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 97 10 by by IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 97 11 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 97 12 smaller small JJR cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 97 13 population population NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 97 14 density density NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 97 15 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 97 16 household household NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 97 17 size size NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 97 18 than than IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 97 19 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 97 20 pool pool NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 97 21 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 97 22 donors donor NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 97 23 but but CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 97 24 has have VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 97 25 one one CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 97 26 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 97 27 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 97 28 highest high JJS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 97 29 urbanisation urbanisation NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 97 30 rates rate NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 97 31 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 97 32 Europe Europe NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 97 33 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 98 1 Because because IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 98 2 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 98 3 disparities disparity NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 98 4 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 98 5 demographic demographic JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 98 6 characteristics characteristic NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 98 7 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 98 8 as as RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 98 9 well well RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 98 10 as as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 98 11 pre pre JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 98 12 - - JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 98 13 lockdown lockdown JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 98 14 infection infection NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 98 15 patterns pattern NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 98 16 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 98 17 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 98 18 two two CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 98 19 groups group NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 98 20 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 98 21 I -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 98 22 proceed proceed VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 98 23 with with IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 98 24 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 98 25 SC SC NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 98 26 approach approach NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 98 27 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 98 28 find find VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 98 29 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 98 30 weighted weighted JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 98 31 average average NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 98 32 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 98 33 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 98 34 S. S. NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 98 35 Cho Cho NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 98 36 countries country NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 98 37 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 98 38 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 98 39 donor donor NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 98 40 pool pool NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 98 41 that that WDT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 98 42 generates generate VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 98 43 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 98 44 SC SC NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 98 45 unit unit NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 98 46 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 98 47 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 98 48 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 99 1 The the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 99 2 weights weight NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 99 3 are be VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 99 4 assigned assign VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 99 5 by by IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 99 6 minimising minimise VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 99 7 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 99 8 distance distance NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 99 9 between between IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 99 10 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 99 11 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 99 12 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 99 13 SC SC NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 99 14 unit unit NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 99 15 along along IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 99 16 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 99 17 set set NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 99 18 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 99 19 predictors predictor NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 99 20 that that WDT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 99 21 balances balance VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 99 22 aforementioned aforementioned JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 99 23 demographic demographic JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 99 24 covariates covariate NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 99 25 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 99 26 pre pre JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 99 27 - - JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 99 28 lockdown lockdown JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 99 29 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 99 30 transmission transmission NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 99 31 profiles profile NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 99 32 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 100 1 For for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 100 2 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 100 3 latter latter JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 100 4 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 100 5 I -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 100 6 choose choose VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 100 7 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 100 8 average average JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 100 9 deaths death NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 100 10 per per IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 100 11 million million CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 100 12 reported report VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 100 13 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 100 14 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 100 15 first first JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 100 16 20 20 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 100 17 days day NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 100 18 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 100 19 as as RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 100 20 well well RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 100 21 as as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 100 22 three three CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 100 23 lagged lag VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 100 24 values value NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 100 25 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 100 26 infection infection NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 100 27 cases case NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 100 28 per per IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 100 29 million million CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 100 30 on on IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 100 31 Days day NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 100 32 7 7 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 100 33 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 100 34 14 14 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 100 35 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 100 36 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 100 37 23 23 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 100 38 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 101 1 Including include VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 101 2 lagged lag VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 101 3 terms term NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 101 4 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 101 5 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 101 6 outcome outcome NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 101 7 variable variable NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 101 8 often often RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 101 9 helps help VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 101 10 mitigate mitigate VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 101 11 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 101 12 problem problem NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 101 13 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 101 14 omitting omit VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 101 15 important important JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 101 16 predictor predictor NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 101 17 effects effect NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 101 18 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 101 19 as as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 101 20 suggested suggest VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 101 21 by by IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 101 22 Athey Athey NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 101 23 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 101 24 Imbens Imbens NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 101 25 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 101 26 2006 2006 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 101 27 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 101 28 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 102 1 The the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 102 2 benchmark benchmark NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 102 3 set set NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 102 4 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 102 5 predictors predictor NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 102 6 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 102 7 subject subject JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 102 8 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 102 9 various various JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 102 10 robustness robustness NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 102 11 checks check NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 102 12 later later RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 102 13 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 102 14 Section Section NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 102 15 3.3 3.3 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 102 16 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 103 1 In in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 103 2 this this DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 103 3 section section NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 103 4 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 103 5 I -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 103 6 present present VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 103 7 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 103 8 results result NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 103 9 from from IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 103 10 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 103 11 SC SC NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 103 12 analysis analysis NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 103 13 by by IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 103 14 first first RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 103 15 showing show VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 103 16 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 103 17 benchmark benchmark NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 103 18 profile profile NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 103 19 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 103 20 synthetic synthetic JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 103 21 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 103 22 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 103 23 followed follow VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 103 24 by by IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 103 25 an an DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 103 26 inference inference NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 103 27 test test NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 103 28 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 103 29 various various JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 103 30 robustness robustness NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 103 31 checks check NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 103 32 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 104 1 Table table NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 104 2 2 2 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 104 3 summarises summarise VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 104 4 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 104 5 seven seven CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 104 6 predictors predictor NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 104 7 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 104 8 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 104 9 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 104 10 synthetic synthetic JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 104 11 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 104 12 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 104 13 where where WRB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 104 14 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 104 15 latter latter NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 104 16 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 104 17 constructed construct VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 104 18 with with IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 104 19 positive positive JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 104 20 weights weight NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 104 21 assigned assign VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 104 22 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 104 23 Finland Finland NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 104 24 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 104 25 Greece Greece NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 104 26 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 104 27 Norway Norway NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 104 28 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 104 29 Denmark Denmark NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 104 30 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 104 31 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 104 32 Estonia Estonia NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 104 33 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 104 34 descending descend VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 104 35 order order NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 104 36 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 104 37 4 4 LS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 105 1 Compared compare VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 105 2 with with IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 105 3 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 105 4 simple simple JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 105 5 average average NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 105 6 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 105 7 all all DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 105 8 countries country NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 105 9 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 105 10 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 105 11 donor donor NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 105 12 pool pool NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 105 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 105 14 as as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 105 15 shown show VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 105 16 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 105 17 Table Table NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 105 18 1 1 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 105 19 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 105 20 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 105 21 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 105 22 SC SC NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 105 23 unit unit NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 105 24 provides provide VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 105 25 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 105 26 much much RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 105 27 better well RBR cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 105 28 - - HYPH cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 105 29 matched match VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 105 30 profile profile NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 105 31 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 105 32 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 105 33 along along IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 105 34 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 105 35 predictors predictor NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 105 36 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 106 1 In in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 106 2 other other JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 106 3 words word NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 106 4 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 106 5 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 106 6 weighted weighted JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 106 7 selection selection NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 106 8 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 106 9 countries country NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 106 10 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 106 11 more more RBR cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 106 12 appropriate appropriate JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 106 13 as as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 106 14 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 106 15 control control NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 106 16 unit unit NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 106 17 than than IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 106 18 taking take VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 106 19 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 106 20 simple simple JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 106 21 average average NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 106 22 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 106 23 all all DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 106 24 countries country NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 106 25 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 106 26 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 106 27 donor donor NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 106 28 pool pool NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 106 29 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 107 1 In in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 107 2 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 107 3 SC SC NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 107 4 approach approach NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 107 5 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 107 6 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 107 7 root root NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 107 8 mean mean VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 107 9 square square JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 107 10 prediction prediction NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 107 11 error error NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 107 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 107 13 RMSPE RMSPE NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 107 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 107 15 measures measure VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 107 16 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 107 17 gap gap NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 107 18 between between IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 107 19 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 107 20 variable variable NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 107 21 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 107 22 interest interest NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 107 23 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 107 24 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 107 25 treated treat VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 107 26 unit unit NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 107 27 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 107 28 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 107 29 synthetic synthetic JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 107 30 counterpart counterpart NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 107 31 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 107 32 all all DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 107 33 pre pre JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 107 34 - - JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 107 35 treatment treatment JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 107 36 periods period NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 107 37 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 107 38 which which WDT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 107 39 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 107 40 reported report VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 107 41 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 107 42 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 107 43 last last JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 107 44 row row NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 107 45 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 107 46 Table table NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 107 47 2 2 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 107 48 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 108 1 Next next RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 108 2 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 108 3 Figure figure NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 108 4 2 2 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 108 5 compares compare VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 108 6 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 108 7 profile profile NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 108 8 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 108 9 infection infection NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 108 10 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 108 11 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 108 12 synthetic synthetic JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 108 13 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 108 14 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 108 15 actual actual JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 108 16 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 108 17 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 109 1 The the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 109 2 left left JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 109 3 panel panel NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 109 4 covers cover VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 109 5 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 109 6 entire entire JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 109 7 100 100 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 109 8 days day NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 109 9 since since IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 109 10 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 109 11 cases case NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 109 12 per per IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 109 13 million million CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 109 14 exceed exceed VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 109 15 1 1 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 109 16 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 109 17 which which WDT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 109 18 roughly roughly RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 109 19 includes include VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 109 20 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 109 21 entire entire JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 109 22 months month NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 109 23 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 109 24 March March NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 109 25 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 109 26 May May NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 109 27 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 109 28 early early JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 109 29 June June NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 109 30 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 110 1 The the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 110 2 right right JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 110 3 panel panel NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 110 4 zooms zoom VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 110 5 into into IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 110 6 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 110 7 pre pre JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 110 8 - - JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 110 9 treatment treatment JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 110 10 period period NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 110 11 to to TO cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 110 12 visually visually RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 110 13 assess assess VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 110 14 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 110 15 quality quality NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 110 16 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 110 17 fit fit NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 110 18 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 110 19 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 110 20 first first JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 110 21 25 25 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 110 22 days day NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 110 23 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 111 1 The the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 111 2 policy policy NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 111 3 intervention intervention NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 111 4 takes take VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 111 5 place place NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 111 6 on on IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 111 7 Day day NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 111 8 25-as 25-as CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 111 9 indicated indicate VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 111 10 by by IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 111 11 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 111 12 dashed dash VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 111 13 vertical vertical JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 111 14 linewhich linewhich NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 111 15 falls fall VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 111 16 on on IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 111 17 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 111 18 midpoint midpoint NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 111 19 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 111 20 actual actual JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 111 21 lockdown lockdown NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 111 22 dates date NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 111 23 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 111 24 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 111 25 five five CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 111 26 countries country NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 111 27 comprising comprise VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 111 28 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 111 29 SC SC NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 111 30 unit unit NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 111 31 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 112 1 Although although IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 112 2 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 112 3 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 112 4 infection infection NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 112 5 cases case NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 112 6 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 112 7 synthetic synthetic JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 112 8 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 112 9 follow follow VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 112 10 those those DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 112 11 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 112 12 actual actual JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 112 13 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 112 14 quite quite RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 112 15 closely closely RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 112 16 before before IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 112 17 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 112 18 policy policy NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 112 19 intervention intervention NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 112 20 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 112 21 there there EX cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 112 22 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 112 23 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 112 24 visible visible JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 112 25 divergence divergence NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 112 26 shortly shortly RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 112 27 after after IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 112 28 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 112 29 intervention intervention NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 112 30 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 112 31 from from IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 112 32 which which WDT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 112 33 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 112 34 follows follow VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 112 35 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 112 36 much much RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 112 37 steeper steep JJR cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 112 38 path path NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 112 39 than than IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 112 40 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 112 41 synthetic synthetic JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 112 42 counterpart counterpart NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 112 43 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 113 1 5 5 LS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 114 1 By by IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 114 2 Day Day NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 114 3 100 100 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 114 4 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 114 5 or or CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 114 6 roughly roughly RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 114 7 11 11 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 114 8 weeks week NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 114 9 after after IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 114 10 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 114 11 lockdown lockdown NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 114 12 intervention intervention NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 114 13 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 114 14 synthetic synthetic JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 114 15 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 114 16 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 114 17 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 114 18 infection infection NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 114 19 cases case NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 114 20 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 114 21 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 114 22 exceed exceed VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 114 23 4,300 4,300 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 114 24 per per IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 114 25 million million CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 114 26 population population NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 114 27 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 115 1 On on IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 115 2 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 115 3 other other JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 115 4 hand hand NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 115 5 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 115 6 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 115 7 corresponding corresponding JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 115 8 figure figure NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 115 9 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 115 10 synthetic synthetic JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 115 11 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 115 12 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 115 13 around around RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 115 14 1,100 1,100 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 115 15 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 116 1 In in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 116 2 other other JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 116 3 words word NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 116 4 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 116 5 with with IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 116 6 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 116 7 gap gap NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 116 8 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 116 9 around around RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 116 10 3,200 3,200 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 116 11 cases case NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 116 12 per per IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 116 13 million million CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 116 14 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 116 15 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 116 16 infection infection NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 116 17 case case NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 116 18 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 116 19 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 116 20 would would MD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 116 21 have have VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 116 22 been be VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 116 23 lower low JJR cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 116 24 by by IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 116 25 almost almost RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 116 26 75 75 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 116 27 percent percent NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 116 28 had have VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 116 29 there there EX cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 116 30 been be VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 116 31 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 116 32 similar similar JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 116 33 policy policy NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 116 34 implemented implement VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 116 35 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 116 36 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 116 37 most most RBS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 116 38 comparable comparable JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 116 39 version version NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 116 40 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 116 41 itself -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 116 42 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 117 1 To to TO cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 117 2 evaluate evaluate VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 117 3 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 117 4 significance significance NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 117 5 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 117 6 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 117 7 benchmark benchmark NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 117 8 results result NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 117 9 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 117 10 I -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 117 11 conduct conduct VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 117 12 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 117 13 test test NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 117 14 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 117 15 inference inference NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 117 16 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 117 17 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 117 18 SC SC NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 117 19 framework framework NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 117 20 based base VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 117 21 on on IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 117 22 permutation permutation NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 117 23 techniques technique NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 117 24 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 117 25 as as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 117 26 suggested suggest VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 117 27 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 117 28 Abadie Abadie NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 117 29 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 117 30 Diamond Diamond NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 117 31 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 117 32 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 117 33 Hainmueller Hainmueller NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 117 34 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 117 35 2010 2010 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 117 36 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 117 37 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 118 1 First first RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 118 2 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 118 3 I -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 118 4 run run VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 118 5 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 118 6 cross cross JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 118 7 - - JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 118 8 sectional sectional JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 118 9 placebo placebo NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 118 10 test test NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 118 11 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 118 12 or or CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 118 13 " " `` cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 118 14 placebo placebo NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 118 15 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 118 16 - - HYPH cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 118 17 space space NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 118 18 " " '' cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 118 19 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 118 20 by by IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 118 21 sequentially sequentially RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 118 22 applying apply VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 118 23 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 118 24 SC SC NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 118 25 algorithm algorithm NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 118 26 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 118 27 each each DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 118 28 country country NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 118 29 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 118 30 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 118 31 pool pool NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 118 32 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 118 33 all all DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 118 34 donors donor NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 118 35 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 118 36 which which WDT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 118 37 generates generate VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 118 38 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 118 39 distribution distribution NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 118 40 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 118 41 placebo placebo NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 118 42 estimates estimate NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 118 43 across across IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 118 44 30 30 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 118 45 countries country NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 118 46 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 119 1 6 6 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 120 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 120 2 can can MD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 120 3 then then RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 120 4 compare compare VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 120 5 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 120 6 benchmark benchmark JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 120 7 estimates estimate NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 120 8 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 120 9 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 120 10 truly truly RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 120 11 treated treat VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 120 12 economy economy NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 120 13 with with IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 120 14 this this DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 120 15 distribution distribution NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 120 16 to to TO cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 120 17 assess assess VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 120 18 whether whether IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 120 19 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 120 20 's 's POS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 120 21 treatment treatment NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 120 22 effect effect NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 120 23 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 120 24 extreme extreme JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 120 25 relative relative NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 120 26 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 120 27 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 120 28 donor donor NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 120 29 pool pool NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 120 30 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 121 1 This this DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 121 2 cross cross JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 121 3 - - JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 121 4 sectional sectional JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 121 5 distribution distribution NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 121 6 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 121 7 placebo placebo NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 121 8 tests test NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 121 9 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 121 10 shown show VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 121 11 on on IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 121 12 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 121 13 left left JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 121 14 side side NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 121 15 panel panel NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 121 16 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 121 17 Figure Figure NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 121 18 3 3 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 121 19 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 122 1 The the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 122 2 grey grey JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 122 3 lines line NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 122 4 show show VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 122 5 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 122 6 gap gap NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 122 7 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 122 8 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 122 9 infection infection NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 122 10 rates rate NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 122 11 between between IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 122 12 each each DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 122 13 country country NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 122 14 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 122 15 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 122 16 donor donor NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 122 17 pool pool NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 122 18 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 122 19 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 122 20 respective respective JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 122 21 synthetic synthetic JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 122 22 version version NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 122 23 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 123 1 The the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 123 2 thick thick JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 123 3 red red JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 123 4 line line NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 123 5 depicts depict VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 123 6 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 123 7 baseline baseline JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 123 8 results result NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 123 9 obtained obtain VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 123 10 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 123 11 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 123 12 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 124 1 A a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 124 2 visual visual JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 124 3 inspection inspection NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 124 4 suggests suggest VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 124 5 that that IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 124 6 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 124 7 joins join VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 124 8 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 124 9 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 124 10 list list NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 124 11 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 124 12 countries country NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 124 13 with with IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 124 14 positive positive JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 124 15 treatment treatment NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 124 16 effects effect NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 124 17 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 124 18 but but CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 124 19 not not RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 124 20 necessarily necessarily RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 124 21 at at IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 124 22 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 124 23 right right JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 124 24 tail tail NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 124 25 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 124 26 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 124 27 distribution distribution NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 124 28 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 124 29 treatment treatment NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 124 30 effects effect NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 124 31 throughout throughout IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 124 32 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 124 33 whole whole JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 124 34 post post JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 124 35 - - JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 124 36 treatment treatment JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 124 37 period period NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 124 38 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 125 1 However however RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 125 2 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 125 3 toward toward IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 125 4 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 125 5 end end NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 125 6 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 125 7 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 125 8 sample sample NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 125 9 period period NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 125 10 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 125 11 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 125 12 treatment treatment NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 125 13 effect effect NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 125 14 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 125 15 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 125 16 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 125 17 distinctly distinctly RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 125 18 higher high JJR cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 125 19 than than IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 125 20 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 125 21 most most JJS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 125 22 other other JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 125 23 countries country NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 125 24 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 126 1 Although although IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 126 2 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 126 3 cross cross JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 126 4 - - JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 126 5 sectional sectional JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 126 6 distribution distribution NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 126 7 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 126 8 placebo placebo NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 126 9 tests test NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 126 10 offers offer VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 126 11 visual visual JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 126 12 evidence evidence NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 126 13 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 126 14 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 126 15 treatment treatment NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 126 16 effects effect NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 126 17 over over IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 126 18 time time NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 126 19 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 126 20 it -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 126 21 does do VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 126 22 not not RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 126 23 provide provide VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 126 24 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 126 25 measurement measurement NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 126 26 that that WDT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 126 27 quantifies quantify VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 126 28 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 126 29 overall overall JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 126 30 significance significance NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 126 31 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 126 32 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 126 33 results result NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 126 34 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 127 1 To to TO cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 127 2 tackle tackle VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 127 3 this this DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 127 4 issue issue NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 127 5 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 127 6 I -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 127 7 follow follow VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 127 8 Abadie Abadie NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 127 9 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 127 10 Diamond Diamond NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 127 11 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 127 12 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 127 13 Hainmueller Hainmueller NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 127 14 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 127 15 2010 2010 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 127 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 127 17 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 127 18 who who WP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 127 19 offered offer VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 127 20 an an DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 127 21 alternative alternative JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 127 22 test test NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 127 23 statistic statistic NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 127 24 by by IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 127 25 constructing construct VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 127 26 exact exact JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 127 27 p p NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 127 28 - - HYPH cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 127 29 values value NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 127 30 based base VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 127 31 on on IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 127 32 Fisher Fisher NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 127 33 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 127 34 1935 1935 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 127 35 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 127 36 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 128 1 Because because IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 128 2 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 128 3 RMSPE RMSPE NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 128 4 measures measure VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 128 5 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 128 6 gap gap NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 128 7 between between IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 128 8 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 128 9 variable variable NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 128 10 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 128 11 interest interest NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 128 12 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 128 13 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 128 14 treated treat VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 128 15 country country NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 128 16 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 128 17 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 128 18 synthetic synthetic JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 128 19 counterpart counterpart NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 128 20 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 128 21 we -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 128 22 can can MD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 128 23 calculate calculate VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 128 24 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 128 25 set set NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 128 26 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 128 27 RMSPE RMSPE NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 128 28 values value NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 128 29 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 128 30 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 128 31 pre pre NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 128 32 - - JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 128 33 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 128 34 post post JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 128 35 - - JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 128 36 treatment treatment JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 128 37 period period NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 128 38 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 128 39 all all DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 128 40 units unit NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 128 41 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 128 42 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 128 43 cross cross JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 128 44 - - JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 128 45 sectional sectional JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 128 46 placebo placebo NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 128 47 test test NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 128 48 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 129 1 I -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 129 2 then then RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 129 3 compute compute VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 129 4 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 129 5 country country NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 129 6 - - HYPH cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 129 7 specific specific JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 129 8 ratio ratio NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 129 9 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 129 10 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 129 11 post post NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 129 12 - - JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 129 13 to to TO cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 129 14 pre pre JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 129 15 - - JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 129 16 treatment treatment JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 129 17 RMSPE RMSPE NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 129 18 to to TO cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 129 19 quantify quantify VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 129 20 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 129 21 post post JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 129 22 - - JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 129 23 treatment treatment JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 129 24 divergence divergence NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 129 25 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 129 26 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 129 27 infection infection NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 129 28 rate rate NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 129 29 relative relative JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 129 30 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 129 31 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 129 32 estimated estimate VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 129 33 pre pre JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 129 34 - - JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 129 35 treatment treatment JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 129 36 gap gap NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 129 37 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 130 1 The the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 130 2 distribution distribution NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 130 3 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 130 4 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 130 5 RMSPE RMSPE NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 130 6 ratios ratio NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 130 7 from from IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 130 8 highest high JJS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 130 9 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 130 10 lowest low JJS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 130 11 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 130 12 shown show VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 130 13 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 130 14 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 130 15 right right JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 130 16 - - HYPH cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 130 17 hand hand NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 130 18 panel panel NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 130 19 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 130 20 Figure Figure NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 130 21 3 3 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 130 22 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 131 1 For for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 131 2 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 131 3 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 131 4 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 131 5 RMSPE RMSPE NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 131 6 ratio ratio NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 131 7 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 131 8 around around IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 131 9 335 335 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 131 10 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 131 11 far far RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 131 12 higher high JJR cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 131 13 than than IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 131 14 those those DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 131 15 obtained obtain VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 131 16 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 131 17 most most JJS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 131 18 other other JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 131 19 countries country NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 131 20 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 131 21 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 131 22 control control NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 131 23 group group NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 131 24 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 131 25 only only RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 131 26 following follow VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 131 27 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 131 28 United United NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 131 29 Kingdom Kingdom NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 131 30 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 131 31 Ireland Ireland NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 131 32 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 132 1 The the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 132 2 ranking ranking NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 132 3 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 132 4 converted convert VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 132 5 into into IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 132 6 fractions fraction NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 132 7 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 132 8 provides provide VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 132 9 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 132 10 basis basis NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 132 11 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 132 12 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 132 13 p p NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 132 14 - - HYPH cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 132 15 value value NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 132 16 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 132 17 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 132 18 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 132 19 which which WDT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 132 20 measures measure VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 132 21 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 132 22 probability probability NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 132 23 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 132 24 observing observe VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 132 25 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 132 26 ratio ratio NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 132 27 as as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 132 28 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 132 29 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 132 30 present present JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 132 31 comparative comparative JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 132 32 case case NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 132 33 study study NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 132 34 context context NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 132 35 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 132 36 one one PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 132 37 could could MD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 132 38 interpret interpret VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 132 39 this this DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 132 40 as as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 132 41 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 132 42 scenario scenario NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 132 43 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 132 44 which which WDT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 132 45 an an DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 132 46 alternative alternative JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 132 47 containment containment NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 132 48 strategy strategy NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 132 49 was be VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 132 50 randomly randomly RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 132 51 assigned assign VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 132 52 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 132 53 one one CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 132 54 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 132 55 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 132 56 countries country NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 132 57 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 132 58 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 132 59 donor donor NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 132 60 pool pool NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 132 61 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 133 1 high high JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 133 2 as as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 133 3 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 133 4 one one NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 133 5 obtained obtain VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 133 6 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 133 7 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 133 8 if if IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 133 9 one one CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 133 10 were be VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 133 11 to to TO cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 133 12 pick pick VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 133 13 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 133 14 country country NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 133 15 at at IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 133 16 random random JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 133 17 from from IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 133 18 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 133 19 list list NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 133 20 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 133 21 potential potential JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 133 22 controls control NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 133 23 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 134 1 In in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 134 2 this this DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 134 3 case case NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 134 4 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 134 5 an an DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 134 6 exact exact JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 134 7 p p NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 134 8 - - HYPH cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 134 9 value value NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 134 10 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 134 11 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 134 12 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 134 13 0.097 0.097 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 134 14 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 134 15 as as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 134 16 it -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 134 17 ranks rank VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 134 18 third third RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 134 19 out out IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 134 20 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 134 21 31 31 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 134 22 countries country NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 134 23 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 134 24 which which WDT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 134 25 falls fall VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 134 26 within within IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 134 27 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 134 28 conventional conventional JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 134 29 range range NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 134 30 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 134 31 statistical statistical JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 134 32 significance significance NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 134 33 used use VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 134 34 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 134 35 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 134 36 SC SC NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 134 37 literature literature NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 134 38 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 135 1 7 7 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 136 1 Inverting invert VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 136 2 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 136 3 permutation permutation NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 136 4 test test NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 136 5 statistics statistic NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 136 6 allows allow VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 136 7 me -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 136 8 to to TO cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 136 9 construct construct VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 136 10 uniform uniform JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 136 11 confidence confidence NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 136 12 sets set NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 136 13 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 136 14 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 136 15 treatment treatment NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 136 16 effect effect NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 136 17 function function NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 136 18 with with IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 136 19 equal equal JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 136 20 weights weight NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 136 21 on on IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 136 22 all all DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 136 23 observed observed JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 136 24 units unit NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 136 25 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 137 1 Using use VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 137 2 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 137 3 methodology methodology NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 137 4 first first RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 137 5 proposed propose VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 137 6 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 137 7 Firpo Firpo NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 137 8 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 137 9 Possebom Possebom NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 137 10 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 137 11 2018 2018 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 137 12 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 137 13 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 137 14 further further RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 137 15 elaborated elaborate VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 137 16 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 137 17 Ferman Ferman NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 137 18 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 137 19 Pinto Pinto NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 137 20 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 137 21 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 137 22 Possebom Possebom NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 137 23 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 137 24 2020 2020 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 137 25 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 137 26 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 137 27 I -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 137 28 compute compute VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 137 29 confidence confidence NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 137 30 sets set NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 137 31 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 137 32 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 137 33 treatment treatment NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 137 34 effect effect NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 137 35 by by IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 137 36 considering consider VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 137 37 functions function NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 137 38 that that WDT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 137 39 deviate deviate VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 137 40 from from IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 137 41 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 137 42 estimated estimate VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 137 43 treatment treatment NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 137 44 effect effect NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 137 45 by by IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 137 46 an an DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 137 47 additive additive NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 137 48 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 137 49 constant constant JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 137 50 factor factor NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 137 51 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 137 52 are be VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 137 53 not not RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 137 54 rejected reject VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 137 55 by by IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 137 56 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 137 57 placebo placebo NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 137 58 test test NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 137 59 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 138 1 As as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 138 2 presented present VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 138 3 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 138 4 Figure Figure NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 138 5 4 4 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 138 6 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 138 7 although although IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 138 8 I -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 138 9 can can MD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 138 10 not not RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 138 11 reject reject VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 138 12 treatment treatment NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 138 13 effects effect NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 138 14 that that WDT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 138 15 are be VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 138 16 initially initially RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 138 17 positive positive JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 138 18 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 138 19 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 138 20 treatment treatment NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 138 21 effect effect NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 138 22 function function NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 138 23 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 138 24 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 138 25 confidence confidence NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 138 26 set set NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 138 27 turns turn VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 138 28 significantly significantly RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 138 29 positive positive JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 138 30 over over IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 138 31 time time NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 138 32 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 138 33 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 138 34 long long JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 138 35 run run NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 138 36 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 139 1 A a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 139 2 quick quick JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 139 3 visual visual JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 139 4 assessment assessment NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 139 5 shows show VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 139 6 that that IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 139 7 this this DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 139 8 significance significance NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 139 9 occurs occur VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 139 10 around around IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 139 11 Day Day NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 139 12 60 60 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 139 13 onward onward RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 139 14 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 139 15 or or CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 139 16 5 5 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 139 17 weeks week NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 139 18 after after IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 139 19 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 139 20 implementation implementation NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 139 21 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 139 22 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 139 23 lockdown lockdown NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 139 24 measures measure NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 139 25 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 140 1 On on IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 140 2 one one CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 140 3 hand hand NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 140 4 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 140 5 this this DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 140 6 result result NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 140 7 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 140 8 consistent consistent JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 140 9 with with IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 140 10 BDM BDM NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 140 11 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 140 12 which which WDT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 140 13 looked look VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 140 14 at at IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 140 15 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 140 16 first first JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 140 17 5 5 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 140 18 weeks week NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 140 19 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 140 20 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 140 21 lockdown lockdown NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 140 22 measures measure NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 140 23 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 140 24 concluded conclude VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 140 25 that that IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 140 26 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 140 27 mandatory mandatory JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 140 28 lockdown lockdown NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 140 29 would would MD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 140 30 not not RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 140 31 have have VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 140 32 made make VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 140 33 significant significant JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 140 34 differences difference NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 140 35 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 140 36 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 140 37 infection infection NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 140 38 rate rate NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 140 39 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 140 40 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 140 41 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 141 1 However however RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 141 2 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 141 3 expanding expand VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 141 4 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 141 5 horizon horizon NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 141 6 over over IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 141 7 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 141 8 entire entire JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 141 9 lockdown lockdown NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 141 10 period period NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 141 11 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 141 12 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 141 13 epidemiological epidemiological JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 141 14 impact impact NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 141 15 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 141 16 lockdown lockdown NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 141 17 measures measure NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 141 18 takes take VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 141 19 places place NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 141 20 with with IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 141 21 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 141 22 time time NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 141 23 lag lag NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 141 24 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 141 25 eventually eventually RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 141 26 becomes become VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 141 27 more more RBR cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 141 28 visible visible JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 141 29 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 141 30 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 141 31 longer long JJR cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 141 32 horizon horizon NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 141 33 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 142 1 7 7 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 143 1 An an DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 143 2 underlying underlying JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 143 3 assumption assumption NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 143 4 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 143 5 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 143 6 inference inference NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 143 7 test test NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 143 8 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 143 9 that that IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 143 10 if if IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 143 11 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 143 12 estimated estimate VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 143 13 effects effect NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 143 14 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 143 15 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 143 16 are be VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 143 17 vastly vastly RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 143 18 different different JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 143 19 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 143 20 then then RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 143 21 I -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 143 22 reject reject VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 143 23 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 143 24 null null JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 143 25 hypothesis hypothesis NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 143 26 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 143 27 no no DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 143 28 effect effect NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 143 29 whatsoever whatsoever RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 143 30 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 144 1 As as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 144 2 such such JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 144 3 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 144 4 rejecting reject VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 144 5 this this DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 144 6 exact exact JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 144 7 null null JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 144 8 hypothesis hypothesis NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 144 9 does do VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 144 10 not not RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 144 11 rule rule VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 144 12 out out RP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 144 13 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 144 14 possibility possibility NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 144 15 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 144 16 countries country NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 144 17 with with IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 144 18 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 144 19 sizeable sizeable JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 144 20 treatment treatment NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 144 21 effect effect NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 144 22 - - : cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 144 23 either either CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 144 24 positive positive JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 144 25 or or CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 144 26 negative negative JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 144 27 - - HYPH cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 144 28 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 144 29 parts part NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 144 30 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 144 31 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 144 32 post post JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 144 33 - - JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 144 34 treatment treatment JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 144 35 period period NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 144 36 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 144 37 _SP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 145 1 To to TO cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 145 2 evaluate evaluate VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 145 3 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 145 4 credibility credibility NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 145 5 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 145 6 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 145 7 benchmark benchmark JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 145 8 settings setting NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 145 9 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 145 10 results result NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 145 11 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 145 12 I -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 145 13 follow follow VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 145 14 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 145 15 suggestions suggestion NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 145 16 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 145 17 Abadie Abadie NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 145 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 145 19 2020 2020 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 145 20 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 145 21 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 145 22 conduct conduct VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 145 23 various various JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 145 24 robustness robustness NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 145 25 checks check NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 145 26 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 146 1 One one CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 146 2 way way NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 146 3 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 146 4 design design NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 146 5 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 146 6 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 146 7 study study NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 146 8 may may MD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 146 9 influence influence VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 146 10 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 146 11 result result NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 146 12 comes come VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 146 13 from from IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 146 14 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 146 15 choice choice NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 146 16 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 146 17 countries country NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 146 18 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 146 19 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 146 20 donor donor NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 146 21 pool pool NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 146 22 with with IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 146 23 positive positive JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 146 24 weights weight NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 146 25 assigned assign VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 146 26 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 147 1 If if IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 147 2 dropping drop VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 147 3 one one CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 147 4 country country NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 147 5 from from IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 147 6 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 147 7 donor donor NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 147 8 pool pool NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 147 9 creates create VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 147 10 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 147 11 large large JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 147 12 effect effect NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 147 13 on on IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 147 14 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 147 15 outcomes outcome NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 147 16 without without IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 147 17 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 147 18 discernible discernible JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 147 19 change change NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 147 20 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 147 21 pre pre JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 147 22 - - NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 147 23 intervention intervention JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 147 24 fit fit NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 147 25 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 147 26 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 147 27 re re NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 147 28 - - NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 147 29 examination examination NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 147 30 might may MD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 147 31 be be VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 147 32 necessary necessary JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 147 33 to to TO cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 147 34 assess assess VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 147 35 whether whether IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 147 36 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 147 37 change change NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 147 38 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 147 39 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 147 40 magnitude magnitude NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 147 41 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 147 42 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 147 43 estimate estimate NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 147 44 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 147 45 caused cause VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 147 46 by by IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 147 47 large large JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 147 48 idiosyncratic idiosyncratic JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 147 49 shocks shock NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 147 50 on on IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 147 51 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 147 52 outcome outcome NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 147 53 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 147 54 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 147 55 removed remove VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 147 56 country country NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 147 57 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 148 1 As as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 148 2 such such JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 148 3 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 148 4 I -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 148 5 perform perform VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 148 6 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 148 7 leave leave NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 148 8 - - HYPH cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 148 9 one one CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 148 10 - - HYPH cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 148 11 out out NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 148 12 analysis analysis NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 148 13 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 148 14 where where WRB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 148 15 I -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 148 16 exclude exclude VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 148 17 from from IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 148 18 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 148 19 sample sample NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 148 20 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 148 21 one one CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 148 22 at at IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 148 23 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 148 24 time time NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 148 25 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 148 26 each each DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 148 27 country country NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 148 28 that that WDT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 148 29 contributes contribute VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 148 30 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 148 31 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 148 32 SC SC NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 148 33 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 148 34 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 148 35 benchmark benchmark NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 148 36 specification specification NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 148 37 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 149 1 For for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 149 2 each each DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 149 3 case case NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 149 4 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 149 5 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 149 6 new new JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 149 7 list list NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 149 8 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 149 9 donors donor NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 149 10 with with IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 149 11 positive positive JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 149 12 weights weight NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 149 13 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 149 14 as as RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 149 15 well well RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 149 16 as as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 149 17 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 149 18 values value NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 149 19 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 149 20 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 149 21 predictors predictor NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 149 22 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 149 23 pre pre JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 149 24 - - JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 149 25 treatment treatment JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 149 26 fit fit NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 149 27 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 149 28 are be VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 149 29 shown show VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 149 30 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 149 31 Table Table NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 149 32 3 3 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 149 33 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 150 1 In in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 150 2 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 150 3 benchmark benchmark NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 150 4 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 150 5 Finland Finland NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 150 6 was be VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 150 7 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 150 8 country country NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 150 9 assigned assign VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 150 10 with with IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 150 11 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 150 12 largest large JJS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 150 13 weight weight NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 150 14 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 150 15 followed follow VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 150 16 by by IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 150 17 Greece Greece NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 150 18 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 150 19 Norway Norway NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 150 20 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 151 1 Dropping drop VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 151 2 Finland Finland NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 151 3 from from IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 151 4 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 151 5 donor donor NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 151 6 pool pool NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 151 7 generates generate VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 151 8 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 151 9 new new JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 151 10 set set NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 151 11 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 151 12 donors donor NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 151 13 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 151 14 with with IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 151 15 large large JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 151 16 weights weight NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 151 17 on on IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 151 18 Hungary Hungary NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 151 19 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 151 20 Bulgaria Bulgaria NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 151 21 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 151 22 followed follow VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 151 23 by by IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 151 24 Norway Norway NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 151 25 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 151 26 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 151 27 Baltic baltic JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 151 28 countries country NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 151 29 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 152 1 Although although IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 152 2 this this DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 152 3 synthetic synthetic JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 152 4 unit unit NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 152 5 does do VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 152 6 not not RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 152 7 match match VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 152 8 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 152 9 demographic demographic JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 152 10 profile profile NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 152 11 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 152 12 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 152 13 as as RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 152 14 well well RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 152 15 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 152 16 it -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 152 17 does do VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 152 18 match match VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 152 19 pre pre JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 152 20 - - JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 152 21 treatment treatment JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 152 22 outcomes outcome NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 152 23 better better RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 152 24 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 152 25 with with IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 152 26 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 152 27 lower low JJR cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 152 28 RMSPE rmspe NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 152 29 than than IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 152 30 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 152 31 benchmark benchmark NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 152 32 case case NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 152 33 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 153 1 8 8 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 154 1 On on IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 154 2 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 154 3 other other JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 154 4 hand hand NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 154 5 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 154 6 dropping drop VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 154 7 other other JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 154 8 countries country NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 154 9 from from IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 154 10 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 154 11 benchmark benchmark JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 154 12 donor donor NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 154 13 list list NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 154 14 produced produce VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 154 15 new new JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 154 16 donor donor NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 154 17 lists list NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 154 18 with with IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 154 19 higher high JJR cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 154 20 weights weight NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 154 21 assigned assign VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 154 22 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 154 23 Finland Finland NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 154 24 or or CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 154 25 other other JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 154 26 Nordic nordic JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 154 27 countries country NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 154 28 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 155 1 As as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 155 2 shown show VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 155 3 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 155 4 Figure Figure NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 155 5 A2 A2 NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 155 6 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 155 7 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 155 8 Appendix Appendix NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 155 9 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 155 10 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 155 11 estimated estimate VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 155 12 gaps gap NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 155 13 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 155 14 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 155 15 infection infection NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 155 16 rate rate NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 155 17 under under IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 155 18 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 155 19 leave leave VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 155 20 - - HYPH cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 155 21 one one CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 155 22 - - HYPH cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 155 23 out out RP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 155 24 reanalysis reanalysis NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 155 25 all all RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 155 26 closely closely RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 155 27 revolve revolve VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 155 28 around around IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 155 29 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 155 30 benchmark benchmark JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 155 31 estimate estimate NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 155 32 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 156 1 Finally finally RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 156 2 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 156 3 with with IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 156 4 regard regard NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 156 5 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 156 6 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 156 7 significance significance NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 156 8 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 156 9 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 156 10 results result NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 156 11 under under IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 156 12 each each DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 156 13 analysis analysis NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 156 14 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 156 15 permutation permutation NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 156 16 - - HYPH cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 156 17 based base VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 156 18 inference inference NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 156 19 tests test NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 156 20 indicate indicate VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 156 21 that that IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 156 22 all all PDT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 156 23 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 156 24 p- p- NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 156 25 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 156 26 2 2 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 156 27 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 156 28 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 156 29 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 156 30 3 3 LS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 156 31 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 156 32 replace replace VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 156 33 benchmark benchmark JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 156 34 predictors predictor NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 156 35 with with IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 156 36 different different JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 156 37 dates date NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 156 38 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 156 39 sub sub JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 156 40 - - JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 156 41 period period JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 156 42 averages average NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 156 43 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 156 44 respectively respectively RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 156 45 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 157 1 Specification specification NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 157 2 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 157 3 4 4 LS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 157 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 157 5 replaces replace VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 157 6 household household NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 157 7 size size NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 157 8 with with IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 157 9 population population NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 157 10 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 158 1 Specification specification NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 158 2 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 158 3 5 5 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 158 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 158 5 matches match VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 158 6 pre pre JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 158 7 - - JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 158 8 treatment treatment JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 158 9 cases case NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 158 10 only only RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 158 11 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 159 1 Cells cell NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 159 2 marked mark VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 159 3 " " `` cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 159 4 - - : cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 159 5 " " `` cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 159 6 indicate indicate VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 159 7 predictors predictor NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 159 8 that that WDT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 159 9 are be VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 159 10 identical identical JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 159 11 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 159 12 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 159 13 benchmark benchmark NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 159 14 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 160 1 New new JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 160 2 donors donor NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 160 3 not not RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 160 4 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 160 5 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 160 6 benchmark benchmark NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 160 7 specification specification NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 160 8 are be VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 160 9 italicised italicise VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 160 10 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 161 1 values value NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 161 2 are be VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 161 3 within within IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 161 4 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 161 5 threshold threshold NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 161 6 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 161 7 10 10 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 161 8 percent percent NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 161 9 as as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 161 10 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 161 11 's 's POS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 161 12 ranking ranking NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 161 13 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 161 14 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 161 15 RMSPE RMSPE NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 161 16 ratios ratio NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 161 17 remain remain VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 161 18 unchanged unchanged JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 161 19 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 162 1 In in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 162 2 another another DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 162 3 robustness robustness NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 162 4 check check NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 162 5 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 162 6 I -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 162 7 test test VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 162 8 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 162 9 choice choice NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 162 10 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 162 11 predictors predictor NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 162 12 along along IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 162 13 both both CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 162 14 demographic demographic JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 162 15 covariates covariate NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 162 16 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 162 17 pre pre JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 162 18 - - JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 162 19 treatment treatment JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 162 20 infection infection NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 162 21 profiles profile NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 162 22 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 163 1 The the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 163 2 first first JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 163 3 test test NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 163 4 concerns concern VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 163 5 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 163 6 choice choice NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 163 7 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 163 8 three three CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 163 9 lagged lag VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 163 10 infection infection NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 163 11 outcomes outcome NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 163 12 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 164 1 I -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 164 2 change change VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 164 3 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 164 4 respective respective JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 164 5 dates date VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 164 6 one one CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 164 7 day day NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 164 8 forward forward RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 164 9 to to TO cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 164 10 match match VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 164 11 infection infection NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 164 12 cases case NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 164 13 on on IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 164 14 Days day NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 164 15 8 8 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 164 16 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 164 17 15 15 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 164 18 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 164 19 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 164 20 24 24 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 164 21 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 165 1 The the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 165 2 second second JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 165 3 check check NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 165 4 replaces replace VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 165 5 lagged lag VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 165 6 dates date NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 165 7 with with IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 165 8 lagged lagged JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 165 9 period period NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 165 10 averages average NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 165 11 by by IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 165 12 splitting split VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 165 13 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 165 14 pre pre JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 165 15 - - JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 165 16 treatment treatment JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 165 17 period period NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 165 18 into into IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 165 19 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 165 20 first first JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 165 21 two two CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 165 22 weekly weekly JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 165 23 averages average NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 165 24 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 165 25 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 165 26 last last JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 165 27 9-day 9-day JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 165 28 average average NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 165 29 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 166 1 The the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 166 2 third third JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 166 3 check check NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 166 4 concerns concern VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 166 5 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 166 6 choice choice NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 166 7 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 166 8 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 166 9 demographic demographic JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 166 10 covariates covariate NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 166 11 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 167 1 Because because IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 167 2 BDM BDM NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 167 3 included include VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 167 4 population population NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 167 5 size size NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 167 6 as as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 167 7 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 167 8 predictor predictor NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 167 9 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 167 10 I -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 167 11 replace replace VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 167 12 average average JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 167 13 household household NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 167 14 size size NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 167 15 variable variable NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 167 16 with with IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 167 17 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 167 18 total total JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 167 19 population population NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 167 20 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 167 21 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 167 22 list list NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 167 23 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 167 24 predictors predictor NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 167 25 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 168 1 Finally finally RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 168 2 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 168 3 Doudchenko Doudchenko NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 168 4 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 168 5 Imbens Imbens NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 168 6 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 168 7 2016 2016 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 168 8 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 168 9 suggested suggest VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 168 10 that that IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 168 11 lagged lag VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 168 12 outcomes outcome NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 168 13 tend tend VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 168 14 to to TO cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 168 15 be be VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 168 16 substantially substantially RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 168 17 more more RBR cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 168 18 important important JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 168 19 than than IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 168 20 other other JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 168 21 covariates covariate NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 168 22 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 168 23 terms term NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 168 24 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 168 25 predictive predictive JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 168 26 power power NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 168 27 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 169 1 Labelled label VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 169 2 as as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 169 3 constrained constrain VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 169 4 regression regression NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 169 5 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 169 6 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 169 7 approach approach NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 169 8 has have VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 169 9 become become VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 169 10 popular popular JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 169 11 recently recently RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 169 12 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 169 13 as as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 169 14 it -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 169 15 also also RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 169 16 mitigates mitigate VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 169 17 concerns concern NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 169 18 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 169 19 specification specification NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 169 20 search search NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 169 21 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 170 1 Following follow VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 170 2 this this DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 170 3 advice advice NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 170 4 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 170 5 I -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 170 6 estimate estimate VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 170 7 donor donor NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 170 8 weights weight NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 170 9 on on IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 170 10 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 170 11 basis basis NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 170 12 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 170 13 pre pre JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 170 14 - - JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 170 15 treatment treatment JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 170 16 outcomes outcome NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 170 17 only only RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 170 18 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 171 1 The the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 171 2 complete complete JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 171 3 list list NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 171 4 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 171 5 new new JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 171 6 predictors predictor NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 171 7 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 171 8 shown show VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 171 9 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 171 10 Table Table NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 171 11 4 4 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 171 12 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 172 1 Specification specification NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 172 2 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 172 3 1 1 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 172 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 172 5 refers refer VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 172 6 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 172 7 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 172 8 benchmark benchmark JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 172 9 case case NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 172 10 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 173 1 Specifications specification NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 173 2 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 173 3 2 2 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 173 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 173 5 through through IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 173 6 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 173 7 4 4 LS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 173 8 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 173 9 keep keep VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 173 10 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 173 11 set set NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 173 12 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 173 13 predictors predictor NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 173 14 with with IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 173 15 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 173 16 different different JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 173 17 balance balance NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 173 18 on on IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 173 19 demographic demographic JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 173 20 covariates covariate NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 173 21 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 173 22 pre pre JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 173 23 - - JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 173 24 treatment treatment JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 173 25 outcomes outcome NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 173 26 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 174 1 As as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 174 2 such such JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 174 3 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 174 4 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 174 5 estimated estimate VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 174 6 weights weight NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 174 7 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 174 8 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 174 9 chosen choose VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 174 10 control control NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 174 11 units unit NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 174 12 do do VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 174 13 not not RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 174 14 change change VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 174 15 much much RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 174 16 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 174 17 with with IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 174 18 Finland Finland NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 174 19 still still RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 174 20 receiving receive VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 174 21 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 174 22 largest large JJS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 174 23 weight weight NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 174 24 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 175 1 On on IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 175 2 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 175 3 other other JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 175 4 hand hand NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 175 5 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 175 6 when when WRB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 175 7 I -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 175 8 match match VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 175 9 only only RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 175 10 pre pre JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 175 11 - - JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 175 12 treatment treatment JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 175 13 outcomes outcome NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 175 14 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 175 15 specification specification NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 175 16 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 175 17 5 5 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 175 18 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 175 19 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 175 20 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 175 21 chosen choose VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 175 22 donors donor NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 175 23 change change VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 175 24 quite quite RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 175 25 drastically drastically RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 175 26 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 175 27 with with IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 175 28 Finland Finland NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 175 29 being be VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 175 30 replaced replace VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 175 31 by by IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 175 32 Hungary Hungary NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 175 33 as as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 175 34 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 175 35 country country NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 175 36 with with IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 175 37 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 175 38 largest large JJS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 175 39 weight weight NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 175 40 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 176 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 176 2 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 176 3 not not RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 176 4 surprising surprising JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 176 5 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 176 6 however however RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 176 7 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 176 8 that that IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 176 9 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 176 10 pre pre JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 176 11 - - JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 176 12 treatment treatment JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 176 13 fit fit NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 176 14 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 176 15 as as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 176 16 shown show VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 176 17 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 176 18 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 176 19 RMSPE RMSPE NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 176 20 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 176 21 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 176 22 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 176 23 lowest low JJS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 176 24 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 176 25 this this DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 176 26 case case NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 176 27 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 177 1 The the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 177 2 treatment treatment NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 177 3 estimates estimate VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 177 4 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 177 5 as as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 177 6 depicted depict VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 177 7 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 177 8 Figure Figure NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 177 9 A3 A3 NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 177 10 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 177 11 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 177 12 Appendix Appendix NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 177 13 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 177 14 show show VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 177 15 that that IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 177 16 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 177 17 estimates estimate NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 177 18 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 177 19 different different JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 177 20 specifications specification NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 177 21 mostly mostly RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 177 22 revolve revolve VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 177 23 around around IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 177 24 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 177 25 benchmark benchmark NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 177 26 estimates estimate NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 177 27 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 178 1 Inference inference NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 178 2 tests test NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 178 3 using use VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 178 4 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 178 5 permutation permutation NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 178 6 technique technique NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 178 7 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 178 8 Section section NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 178 9 3.2 3.2 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 178 10 show show VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 178 11 that that IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 178 12 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 178 13 p p NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 178 14 - - HYPH cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 178 15 values value NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 178 16 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 178 17 specifications specification NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 178 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 178 19 2 2 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 178 20 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 178 21 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 178 22 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 178 23 3 3 LS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 178 24 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 178 25 remain remain VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 178 26 below below IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 178 27 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 178 28 10 10 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 178 29 percent percent NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 178 30 threshold threshold NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 178 31 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 178 32 resulting result VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 178 33 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 178 34 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 178 35 rejection rejection NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 178 36 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 178 37 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 178 38 exact exact JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 178 39 null null JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 178 40 hypothesis hypothesis NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 178 41 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 179 1 For for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 179 2 specifications specification NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 179 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 179 4 4 4 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 179 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 179 6 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 179 7 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 179 8 5 5 LS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 179 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 179 10 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 179 11 on on IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 179 12 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 179 13 other other JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 179 14 hand hand NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 179 15 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 179 16 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 179 17 treatment treatment NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 179 18 effect effect NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 179 19 estimates estimate NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 179 20 are be VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 179 21 not not RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 179 22 significant significant JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 179 23 at at IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 179 24 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 179 25 10 10 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 179 26 percent percent NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 179 27 level level NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 179 28 with with IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 179 29 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 179 30 p p NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 179 31 - - HYPH cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 179 32 value value NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 179 33 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 179 34 0.129 0.129 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 179 35 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 180 1 9 9 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 180 2 3.3.3 3.3.3 NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 180 3 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 181 1 More More JJR cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 181 2 robustness robustness NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 181 3 checks check NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 181 4 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 182 1 In in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 182 2 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 182 3 last last JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 182 4 round round NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 182 5 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 182 6 robustness robustness NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 182 7 checks check NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 182 8 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 182 9 I -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 182 10 consider consider VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 182 11 three three CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 182 12 more more JJR cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 182 13 variations variation NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 182 14 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 182 15 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 182 16 original original JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 182 17 benchmark benchmark NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 182 18 specification specification NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 182 19 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 183 1 First first RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 183 2 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 183 3 I -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 183 4 apply apply VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 183 5 an an DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 183 6 alternative alternative JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 183 7 treatment treatment NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 183 8 date date NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 183 9 that that WDT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 183 10 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 183 11 3 3 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 183 12 days day NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 183 13 earlier early RBR cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 183 14 than than IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 183 15 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 183 16 baseline baseline JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 183 17 specification specification NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 183 18 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 184 1 Lagged lag VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 184 2 outcomes outcome NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 184 3 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 184 4 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 184 5 set set NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 184 6 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 184 7 predictors predictor NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 184 8 were be VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 184 9 accordingly accordingly RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 184 10 modified modify VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 184 11 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 184 12 infection infection NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 184 13 cases case NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 184 14 on on IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 184 15 Days day NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 184 16 7 7 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 184 17 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 184 18 14 14 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 184 19 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 184 20 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 184 21 20 20 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 184 22 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 185 1 Next next RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 185 2 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 185 3 I -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 185 4 calculate calculate VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 185 5 pre pre JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 185 6 - - JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 185 7 treatment treatment JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 185 8 averages average NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 185 9 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 185 10 apply apply VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 185 11 SCs sc NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 185 12 on on IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 185 13 demeaned demean VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 185 14 outcomes outcome NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 185 15 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 186 1 According accord VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 186 2 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 186 3 Ferman Ferman NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 186 4 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 186 5 Pinto Pinto NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 186 6 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 186 7 2019 2019 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 186 8 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 186 9 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 186 10 this this DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 186 11 specification specification NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 186 12 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 186 13 equivalent equivalent JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 186 14 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 186 15 adding add VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 186 16 an an DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 186 17 intercept intercept NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 186 18 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 186 19 can can MD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 186 20 be be VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 186 21 directly directly RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 186 22 comparable comparable JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 186 23 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 186 24 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 186 25 DD DD NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 186 26 approach approach NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 186 27 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 187 1 Finally finally RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 187 2 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 187 3 I -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 187 4 convert convert VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 187 5 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 187 6 infection infection NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 187 7 cases case NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 187 8 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 187 9 logs log NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 187 10 to to TO cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 187 11 check check VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 187 12 whether whether IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 187 13 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 187 14 outcome outcome NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 187 15 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 187 16 invariant invariant JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 187 17 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 187 18 functional functional JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 187 19 form form NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 187 20 transformations transformation NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 187 21 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 188 1 The the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 188 2 outcomes outcome NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 188 3 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 188 4 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 188 5 last last JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 188 6 set set NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 188 7 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 188 8 robustness robustness NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 188 9 check check NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 188 10 are be VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 188 11 summarised summarise VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 188 12 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 188 13 Table Table NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 188 14 5 5 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 188 15 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 188 16 while while IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 188 17 Figures figure NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 188 18 A4-A6 A4-A6 NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 188 19 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 188 20 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 188 21 Appendix Appendix NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 188 22 show show VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 188 23 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 188 24 profiles profile NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 188 25 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 188 26 infection infection NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 188 27 cases case NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 188 28 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 188 29 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 188 30 alternative alternative JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 188 31 specifications specification NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 188 32 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 189 1 With with IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 189 2 an an DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 189 3 earlier early JJR cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 189 4 assignment assignment NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 189 5 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 189 6 lockdown lockdown NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 189 7 treatment treatment NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 189 8 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 189 9 as as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 189 10 shown show VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 189 11 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 189 12 specification specification NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 189 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 189 14 2 2 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 189 15 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 189 16 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 189 17 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 189 18 estimated estimate VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 189 19 weights weight NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 189 20 do do VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 189 21 not not RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 189 22 change change VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 189 23 much much RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 189 24 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 189 25 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 189 26 Finland Finland NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 189 27 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 189 28 still still RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 189 29 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 189 30 donor donor NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 189 31 closest close JJS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 189 32 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 189 33 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 189 34 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 190 1 In in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 190 2 addition addition NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 190 3 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 190 4 more more JJR cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 190 5 weights weight NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 190 6 are be VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 190 7 assigned assign VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 190 8 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 190 9 other other JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 190 10 nearby nearby JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 190 11 countries country NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 190 12 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 190 13 such such JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 190 14 as as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 190 15 Lithuania Lithuania NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 190 16 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 190 17 Estonia Estonia NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 190 18 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 191 1 Although although IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 191 2 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 191 3 pre pre JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 191 4 - - JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 191 5 treatment treatment JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 191 6 fit fit NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 191 7 improves improve VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 191 8 with with IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 191 9 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 191 10 lower low JJR cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 191 11 RMSPE RMSPE NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 191 12 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 191 13 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 191 14 p p NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 191 15 - - HYPH cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 191 16 value value NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 191 17 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 191 18 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 191 19 permutation permutation NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 191 20 - - HYPH cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 191 21 based base VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 191 22 inference inference NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 191 23 test test NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 191 24 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 191 25 higher high JJR cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 191 26 than than IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 191 27 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 191 28 threshold threshold NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 191 29 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 191 30 0.1 0.1 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 191 31 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 191 32 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 191 33 thus thus RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 191 34 I -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 191 35 am be VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 191 36 unable unable JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 191 37 to to TO cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 191 38 reject reject VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 191 39 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 191 40 null null JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 191 41 hypothesis hypothesis NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 191 42 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 192 1 10 10 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 193 1 On on IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 193 2 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 193 3 other other JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 193 4 hand hand NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 193 5 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 193 6 with with IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 193 7 demeaned demean VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 193 8 series series NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 193 9 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 193 10 specification specification NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 193 11 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 193 12 3 3 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 193 13 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 193 14 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 193 15 there there EX cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 193 16 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 193 17 an an DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 193 18 improvement improvement NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 193 19 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 193 20 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 193 21 pre pre JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 193 22 - - NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 193 23 treatment treatment JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 193 24 fit fit NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 193 25 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 193 26 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 193 27 lower low JJR cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 193 28 p p NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 193 29 - - HYPH cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 193 30 value value NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 193 31 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 193 32 0.065 0.065 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 193 33 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 193 34 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 193 35 inference inference NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 193 36 test test NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 193 37 to to TO cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 193 38 reject reject VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 193 39 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 193 40 null null JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 193 41 hypothesis hypothesis NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 193 42 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 194 1 Finally finally RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 194 2 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 194 3 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 194 4 specification specification NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 194 5 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 194 6 4 4 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 194 7 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 194 8 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 194 9 scaling scale VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 194 10 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 194 11 infection infection NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 194 12 cases case NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 194 13 into into IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 194 14 logs logs NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 194 15 significantly significantly RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 194 16 reduces reduce VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 194 17 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 194 18 magnitude magnitude NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 194 19 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 194 20 post post JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 194 21 - - JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 194 22 intervention intervention JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 194 23 9 9 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 195 1 This this DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 195 2 reflects reflect VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 195 3 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 195 4 's 's POS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 195 5 ranking ranking NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 195 6 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 195 7 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 195 8 RMSPE RMSPE NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 195 9 ratios ratio NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 195 10 falling fall VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 195 11 from from IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 195 12 third third RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 195 13 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 195 14 fourth fourth RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 195 15 out out IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 195 16 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 195 17 31 31 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 195 18 observations observation NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 195 19 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 196 1 In in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 196 2 specification specification NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 196 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 196 4 4 4 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 196 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 196 6 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 196 7 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 196 8 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 196 9 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 196 10 placebo placebo NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 196 11 Italy Italy NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 196 12 swap swap VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 196 13 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 196 14 ranks rank NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 196 15 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 196 16 whereas whereas IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 196 17 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 196 18 specification specification NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 196 19 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 196 20 5 5 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 196 21 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 196 22 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 196 23 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 196 24 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 196 25 right right RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 196 26 behind behind IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 196 27 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 196 28 placebo placebo NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 196 29 Czech Czech NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 196 30 Republic Republic NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 196 31 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 196 32 whose whose WP$ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 196 33 treatment treatment NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 196 34 effect effect NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 196 35 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 196 36 predominantly predominantly RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 196 37 negative negative JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 196 38 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 197 1 10 10 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 198 1 A a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 198 2 closer close JJR cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 198 3 look look NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 198 4 at at IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 198 5 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 198 6 distribution distribution NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 198 7 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 198 8 RMSPE RMSPE NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 198 9 ratios ratio NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 198 10 shows show VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 198 11 that that IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 198 12 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 198 13 fall fall NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 198 14 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 198 15 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 198 16 's 's POS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 198 17 ranking ranking NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 198 18 from from IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 198 19 third third RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 198 20 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 198 21 fourth fourth JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 198 22 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 198 23 caused cause VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 198 24 by by IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 198 25 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 198 26 placebo placebo NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 198 27 The the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 198 28 Netherlands Netherlands NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 198 29 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 198 30 whose whose WP$ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 198 31 treatment treatment NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 198 32 effect effect NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 198 33 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 198 34 predominantly predominantly RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 198 35 negative negative JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 198 36 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 199 1 divergence divergence NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 199 2 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 199 3 as as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 199 4 shown show VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 199 5 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 199 6 Figure Figure NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 199 7 A6 A6 NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 199 8 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 200 1 As as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 200 2 such such JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 200 3 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 200 4 this this DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 200 5 leads lead VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 200 6 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 200 7 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 200 8 high high JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 200 9 p p NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 200 10 - - HYPH cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 200 11 value value NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 200 12 that that WDT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 200 13 prevents prevent VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 200 14 me -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 200 15 from from IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 200 16 rejecting reject VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 200 17 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 200 18 exact exact JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 200 19 null null JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 200 20 hypothesis hypothesis NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 200 21 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 201 1 So so RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 201 2 far far RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 201 3 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 201 4 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 201 5 focus focus NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 201 6 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 201 7 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 201 8 analysis analysis NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 201 9 has have VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 201 10 been be VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 201 11 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 201 12 rate rate NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 201 13 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 201 14 infection infection NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 201 15 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 202 1 One one CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 202 2 caveat caveat NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 202 3 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 202 4 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 202 5 analysis analysis NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 202 6 using use VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 202 7 infection infection NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 202 8 cases case NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 202 9 to to TO cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 202 10 assess assess VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 202 11 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 202 12 impact impact NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 202 13 on on IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 202 14 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 202 15 spread spread NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 202 16 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 202 17 COVID-19 covid-19 NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 202 18 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 202 19 that that IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 202 20 testing test VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 202 21 policies policy NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 202 22 were be VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 202 23 quite quite RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 202 24 idiosyncratic idiosyncratic JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 202 25 across across IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 202 26 countries country NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 202 27 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 202 28 terms term NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 202 29 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 202 30 eligibility eligibility NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 202 31 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 202 32 accessibility accessibility NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 202 33 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 203 1 Because because IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 203 2 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 203 3 these these DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 203 4 endogenous endogenous JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 203 5 differences difference NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 203 6 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 203 7 testing testing NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 203 8 rates rate NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 203 9 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 203 10 there there EX cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 203 11 are be VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 203 12 limitations limitation NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 203 13 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 203 14 using use VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 203 15 infection infection NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 203 16 cases case NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 203 17 to to TO cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 203 18 assess assess VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 203 19 true true JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 203 20 epidemiological epidemiological JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 203 21 effects effect NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 203 22 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 204 1 Although although IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 204 2 this this DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 204 3 issue issue NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 204 4 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 204 5 difficult difficult JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 204 6 to to TO cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 204 7 resolve resolve VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 204 8 under under IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 204 9 current current JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 204 10 data datum NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 204 11 availability availability NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 204 12 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 204 13 one one PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 204 14 could could MD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 204 15 investigate investigate VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 204 16 death death NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 204 17 counts count NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 204 18 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 204 19 compare compare VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 204 20 how how WRB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 204 21 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 204 22 NPIs npi NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 204 23 impacted impact VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 204 24 mortality mortality NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 204 25 rates rate NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 204 26 during during IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 204 27 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 204 28 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 204 29 crisis crisis NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 204 30 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 205 1 Although although IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 205 2 national national JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 205 3 health health NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 205 4 protection protection NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 205 5 agencies agency NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 205 6 report report VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 205 7 daily daily JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 205 8 death death NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 205 9 counts count NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 205 10 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 205 11 some some DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 205 12 jurisdictions jurisdiction NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 205 13 include include VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 205 14 both both DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 205 15 confirmed confirm VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 205 16 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 205 17 probable probable JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 205 18 cases case NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 205 19 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 205 20 deaths death NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 205 21 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 205 22 while while IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 205 23 others other NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 205 24 only only RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 205 25 report report NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 205 26 confirmed confirm VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 205 27 cases case NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 205 28 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 206 1 As as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 206 2 such such JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 206 3 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 206 4 daily daily RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 206 5 reported report VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 206 6 figures figure NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 206 7 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 206 8 deaths death NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 206 9 are be VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 206 10 equally equally RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 206 11 difficult difficult JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 206 12 to to TO cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 206 13 compare compare VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 206 14 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 206 15 qualify qualify VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 206 16 across across IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 206 17 countries country NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 206 18 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 206 19 which which WDT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 206 20 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 206 21 further far RBR cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 206 22 exacerbated exacerbate VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 206 23 by by IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 206 24 differences difference NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 206 25 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 206 26 health health NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 206 27 care care NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 206 28 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 206 29 aged aged JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 206 30 care care NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 206 31 systems system NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 206 32 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 207 1 Instead instead RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 207 2 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 207 3 I -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 207 4 use use VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 207 5 excess excess JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 207 6 mortality mortality NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 207 7 rate rate NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 207 8 - - : cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 207 9 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 207 10 ratio ratio NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 207 11 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 207 12 numbers number NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 207 13 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 207 14 deaths death NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 207 15 over over IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 207 16 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 207 17 above above IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 207 18 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 207 19 historical historical JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 207 20 average average NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 207 21 between between IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 207 22 2015 2015 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 207 23 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 207 24 2019-as 2019-as CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 207 25 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 207 26 more more RBR cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 207 27 reliable reliable JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 207 28 source source NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 207 29 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 207 30 information information NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 207 31 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 207 32 comparison comparison NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 207 33 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 208 1 The the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 208 2 Short Short NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 208 3 - - HYPH cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 208 4 Term Term NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 208 5 Mortality Mortality NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 208 6 Fluctuation fluctuation NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 208 7 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 208 8 STMF STMF NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 208 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 208 10 data datum NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 208 11 series series NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 208 12 from from IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 208 13 Human Human NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 208 14 Mortality Mortality NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 208 15 Database Database NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 208 16 offers offer VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 208 17 weekly weekly JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 208 18 death death NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 208 19 counts count NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 208 20 by by IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 208 21 age age NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 208 22 groups group NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 208 23 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 208 24 sex sex NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 208 25 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 208 26 22 22 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 208 27 countries country NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 208 28 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 208 29 including include VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 208 30 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 208 31 as as RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 208 32 well well RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 208 33 as as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 208 34 mostbut mostbut NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 208 35 not not RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 208 36 all all DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 208 37 - - HYPH cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 208 38 countries country NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 208 39 assigned assign VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 208 40 with with IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 208 41 positive positive JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 208 42 weights weight NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 208 43 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 208 44 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 208 45 construction construction NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 208 46 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 208 47 synthetic synthetic JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 208 48 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 208 49 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 208 50 Section section NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 208 51 3.1 3.1 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 208 52 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 209 1 11 11 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 210 1 This this DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 210 2 allows allow VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 210 3 me -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 210 4 to to TO cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 210 5 generate generate VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 210 6 weekly weekly JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 210 7 excess excess JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 210 8 mortality mortality NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 210 9 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 210 10 synthetic synthetic JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 210 11 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 210 12 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 210 13 compare compare VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 210 14 that that DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 210 15 with with IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 210 16 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 210 17 profile profile NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 210 18 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 210 19 actual actual JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 210 20 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 210 21 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 210 22 which which WDT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 210 23 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 210 24 shown show VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 210 25 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 210 26 Figure figure NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 210 27 5 5 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 210 28 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 211 1 As as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 211 2 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 211 3 reference reference NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 211 4 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 211 5 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 211 6 left left JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 211 7 panel panel NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 211 8 shows show VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 211 9 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 211 10 death death NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 211 11 counts count NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 211 12 per per IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 211 13 million million CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 211 14 population population NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 211 15 taken take VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 211 16 from from IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 211 17 Our -PRON- PRP$ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 211 18 World World NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 211 19 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 211 20 Data Data NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 211 21 on on IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 211 22 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 211 23 weekly weekly JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 211 24 basis basis NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 211 25 from from IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 211 26 Week week NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 211 27 9 9 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 211 28 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 211 29 starting start VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 211 30 February February NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 211 31 23 23 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 211 32 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 211 33 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 211 34 with with IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 211 35 Week week NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 211 36 13 13 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 211 37 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 211 38 starting start VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 211 39 March March NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 211 40 22 22 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 211 41 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 212 1 corresponding correspond VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 212 2 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 212 3 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 212 4 week week NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 212 5 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 212 6 policy policy NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 212 7 intervention intervention NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 212 8 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 213 1 The the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 213 2 right right JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 213 3 panel panel NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 213 4 shows show VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 213 5 excess excess JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 213 6 mortality mortality NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 213 7 rates rate NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 213 8 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 213 9 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 213 10 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 213 11 synthetic synthetic JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 213 12 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 213 13 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 214 1 Before before IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 214 2 Week Week NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 214 3 13 13 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 214 4 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 214 5 there there EX cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 214 6 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 214 7 no no DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 214 8 discernible discernible JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 214 9 difference difference NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 214 10 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 214 11 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 214 12 excess excess JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 214 13 mortality mortality NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 214 14 rates rate NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 214 15 between between IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 214 16 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 214 17 two two CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 214 18 groups group NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 214 19 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 215 1 Close close RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 215 2 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 215 3 Week week NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 215 4 13 13 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 215 5 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 215 6 however however RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 215 7 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 215 8 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 215 9 excess excess JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 215 10 mortality mortality NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 215 11 rate rate NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 215 12 rises rise VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 215 13 more more RBR cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 215 14 steeply steeply RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 215 15 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 215 16 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 215 17 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 215 18 remains remain VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 215 19 consistently consistently RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 215 20 higher high JJR cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 215 21 than than IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 215 22 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 215 23 synthetic synthetic JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 215 24 counterpart counterpart NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 215 25 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 216 1 At at IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 216 2 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 216 3 peak peak NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 216 4 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 216 5 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 216 6 mortality mortality NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 216 7 rate rate NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 216 8 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 216 9 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 216 10 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 216 11 more more JJR cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 216 12 than than IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 216 13 40 40 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 216 14 percent percent NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 216 15 above above IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 216 16 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 216 17 historic historic JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 216 18 average average NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 216 19 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 216 20 while while IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 216 21 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 216 22 corresponding corresponding JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 216 23 peak peak NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 216 24 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 216 25 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 216 26 synthetic synthetic JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 216 27 unit unit NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 216 28 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 216 29 around around RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 216 30 10 10 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 216 31 percent percent NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 216 32 above above IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 216 33 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 216 34 historic historic JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 216 35 average average NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 216 36 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 217 1 On on IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 217 2 average average JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 217 3 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 217 4 as as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 217 5 summarised summarise VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 217 6 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 217 7 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 217 8 first first JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 217 9 row row NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 217 10 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 217 11 Table Table NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 217 12 6 6 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 217 13 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 217 14 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 217 15 excess excess JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 217 16 death death NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 217 17 rate rate NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 217 18 over over IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 217 19 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 217 20 twelve twelve CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 217 21 weeks week NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 217 22 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 217 23 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 217 24 post post JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 217 25 - - JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 217 26 intervention intervention JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 217 27 period period NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 217 28 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 217 29 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 217 30 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 217 31 23.4 23.4 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 217 32 percent percent NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 217 33 higher high JJR cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 217 34 than than IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 217 35 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 217 36 historic historic JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 217 37 average average NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 217 38 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 218 1 In in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 218 2 contrast contrast NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 218 3 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 218 4 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 218 5 corresponding corresponding JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 218 6 gap gap NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 218 7 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 218 8 synthetic synthetic JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 218 9 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 218 10 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 218 11 3.1 3.1 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 218 12 percent percent NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 218 13 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 219 1 In in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 219 2 other other JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 219 3 words word NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 219 4 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 219 5 assuming assume VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 219 6 synthetic synthetic JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 219 7 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 219 8 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 219 9 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 219 10 comparable comparable JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 219 11 counterfactual counterfactual JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 219 12 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 219 13 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 219 14 excess excess JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 219 15 death death NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 219 16 rate rate NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 219 17 would would MD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 219 18 have have VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 219 19 been be VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 219 20 more more JJR cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 219 21 than than IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 219 22 20 20 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 219 23 percentage percentage NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 219 24 points point NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 219 25 lower lower RBR cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 219 26 had have VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 219 27 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 219 28 followed follow VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 219 29 policies policy NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 219 30 similar similar JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 219 31 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 219 32 those those DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 219 33 adopted adopt VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 219 34 by by IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 219 35 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 219 36 parallel parallel JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 219 37 counterpart counterpart NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 219 38 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 220 1 A a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 220 2 simple simple JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 220 3 back back NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 220 4 - - HYPH cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 220 5 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 220 6 - - HYPH cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 220 7 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 220 8 - - HYPH cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 220 9 envelope envelope NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 220 10 calculation calculation NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 220 11 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 220 12 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 220 13 DD DD NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 220 14 shown show VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 220 15 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 220 16 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 220 17 last last JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 220 18 column column NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 220 19 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 220 20 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 220 21 table table NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 220 22 suggests suggest VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 220 23 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 220 24 gap gap NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 220 25 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 220 26 25 25 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 220 27 percentage percentage NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 220 28 points point NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 220 29 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 221 1 Because because IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 221 2 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 221 3 database database NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 221 4 provides provide VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 221 5 mortality mortality NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 221 6 information information NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 221 7 by by IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 221 8 age age NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 221 9 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 221 10 I -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 221 11 extend extend VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 221 12 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 221 13 same same JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 221 14 analysis analysis NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 221 15 across across IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 221 16 different different JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 221 17 age age NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 221 18 groups group NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 221 19 as as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 221 20 shown show VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 221 21 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 221 22 Figure Figure NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 221 23 6 6 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 221 24 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 222 1 A a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 222 2 visual visual JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 222 3 inspection inspection NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 222 4 shows show VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 222 5 that that IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 222 6 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 222 7 gap gap NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 222 8 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 222 9 excess excess JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 222 10 mortality mortality NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 222 11 between between IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 222 12 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 222 13 two two CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 222 14 units unit NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 222 15 after after IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 222 16 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 222 17 lockdown lockdown NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 222 18 becomes become VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 222 19 significantly significantly RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 222 20 more more RBR cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 222 21 pronounced pronounced JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 222 22 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 222 23 S. S. NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 222 24 Cho Cho NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 222 25 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 222 26 1 1 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 222 27 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 222 28 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 222 29 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 222 30 2 2 LS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 222 31 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 222 32 measure measure VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 222 33 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 222 34 difference difference NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 222 35 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 222 36 excess excess JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 222 37 mortality mortality NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 222 38 rates rate NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 222 39 between between IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 222 40 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 222 41 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 222 42 synthetic synthetic JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 222 43 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 222 44 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 222 45 each each DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 222 46 sub sub NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 222 47 - - JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 222 48 period period NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 222 49 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 223 1 Column column NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 223 2 labelled label VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 223 3 " " '' cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 223 4 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 223 5 2)-(1 2)-(1 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 223 6 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 223 7 " " `` cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 223 8 measures measure VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 223 9 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 223 10 DD DD NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 223 11 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 224 1 older old JJR cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 224 2 age age NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 224 3 cohorts cohort NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 224 4 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 225 1 As as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 225 2 presented present VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 225 3 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 225 4 Table Table NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 225 5 6 6 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 225 6 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 225 7 this this DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 225 8 gap gap NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 225 9 grows grow VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 225 10 from from IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 225 11 around around IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 225 12 11 11 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 225 13 percentage percentage NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 225 14 points point NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 225 15 among among IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 225 16 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 225 17 working work VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 225 18 - - HYPH cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 225 19 age age NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 225 20 cohort cohort NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 225 21 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 225 22 approximately approximately RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 225 23 28 28 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 225 24 percentage percentage NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 225 25 points point NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 225 26 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 225 27 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 225 28 elderly elderly JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 225 29 cohort cohort NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 225 30 aged age VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 225 31 85 85 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 225 32 years year NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 225 33 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 225 34 above above RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 225 35 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 226 1 Applying apply VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 226 2 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 226 3 simple simple JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 226 4 DD DD NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 226 5 calculation calculation NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 226 6 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 226 7 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 226 8 corresponding correspond VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 226 9 gaps gap NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 226 10 range range VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 226 11 from from IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 226 12 14 14 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 226 13 to to TO cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 226 14 29 29 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 226 15 percentage percentage NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 226 16 points point NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 226 17 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 226 18 respectively respectively RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 226 19 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 227 1 Naturally naturally RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 227 2 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 227 3 infection infection NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 227 4 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 227 5 are be VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 227 6 dependent dependent JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 227 7 not not RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 227 8 only only RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 227 9 on on IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 227 10 lockdown lockdown NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 227 11 measures measure NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 227 12 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 228 1 There there EX cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 228 2 were be VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 228 3 indeed indeed RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 228 4 signs sign NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 228 5 that that IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 228 6 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 228 7 public public NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 228 8 was be VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 228 9 already already RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 228 10 taking take VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 228 11 precautionary precautionary JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 228 12 actions action NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 228 13 before before IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 228 14 various various JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 228 15 lockdown lockdown NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 228 16 measures measure NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 228 17 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 229 1 For for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 229 2 example example NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 229 3 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 229 4 as as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 229 5 infection infection NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 229 6 cases case NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 229 7 grew grow VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 229 8 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 229 9 people people NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 229 10 made make VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 229 11 more more JJR cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 229 12 trips trip NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 229 13 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 229 14 grocery grocery NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 229 15 stores store NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 229 16 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 229 17 pharmacies pharmacy NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 229 18 to to TO cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 229 19 stock stock VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 229 20 up up RP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 229 21 on on IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 229 22 essential essential JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 229 23 items item NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 229 24 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 230 1 On on IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 230 2 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 230 3 other other JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 230 4 hand hand NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 230 5 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 230 6 although although IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 230 7 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 230 8 Swedish swedish JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 230 9 government government NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 230 10 allowed allow VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 230 11 many many JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 230 12 businesses business NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 230 13 to to TO cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 230 14 remain remain VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 230 15 open open JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 230 16 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 230 17 most most JJS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 230 18 people people NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 230 19 stayed stay VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 230 20 at at IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 230 21 home home NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 230 22 or or CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 230 23 followed follow VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 230 24 social social JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 230 25 distancing distancing NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 230 26 protocols protocol NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 230 27 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 231 1 Born Born NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 231 2 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 231 3 Dietrich Dietrich NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 231 4 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 231 5 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 231 6 Müller Müller NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 231 7 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 231 8 2020 2020 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 231 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 231 10 speculated speculate VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 231 11 that that IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 231 12 voluntary voluntary JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 231 13 social social JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 231 14 distancing distancing NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 231 15 essentially essentially RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 231 16 had have VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 231 17 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 231 18 same same JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 231 19 impact impact NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 231 20 as as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 231 21 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 231 22 mandatory mandatory JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 231 23 lockdown lockdown NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 231 24 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 231 25 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 231 26 initial initial JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 231 27 weeks week NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 231 28 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 231 29 while while IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 231 30 Gupta Gupta NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 231 31 et et NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 231 32 al al NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 231 33 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 232 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 232 2 2020 2020 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 232 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 232 4 found find VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 232 5 that that IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 232 6 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 232 7 large large JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 232 8 share share NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 232 9 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 232 10 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 232 11 fall fall NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 232 12 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 232 13 mobility mobility NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 232 14 was be VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 232 15 not not RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 232 16 induced induce VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 232 17 by by IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 232 18 strong strong JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 232 19 stay stay NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 232 20 - - HYPH cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 232 21 at at IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 232 22 - - HYPH cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 232 23 home home NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 232 24 mandates mandate NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 232 25 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 233 1 In in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 233 2 fact fact NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 233 3 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 233 4 using use VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 233 5 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 233 6 location location NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 233 7 services service NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 233 8 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 233 9 Google Google NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 233 10 provides provide VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 233 11 mobility mobility NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 233 12 trends trend NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 233 13 by by IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 233 14 geography geography NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 233 15 across across IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 233 16 different different JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 233 17 categories category NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 233 18 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 233 19 places place NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 233 20 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 233 21 such such JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 233 22 as as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 233 23 retail retail NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 233 24 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 233 25 recreation recreation NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 233 26 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 233 27 groceries grocery NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 233 28 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 233 29 pharmacies pharmacy NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 233 30 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 233 31 parks park NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 233 32 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 233 33 transit transit NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 233 34 stations station NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 233 35 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 233 36 workplaces workplace NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 233 37 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 233 38 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 233 39 residential residential JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 233 40 areas area NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 233 41 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 234 1 12 12 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 235 1 The the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 235 2 mobility mobility NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 235 3 trends trend NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 235 4 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 235 5 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 235 6 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 235 7 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 235 8 benchmark benchmark JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 235 9 synthetic synthetic JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 235 10 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 235 11 are be VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 235 12 shown show VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 235 13 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 235 14 Figure Figure NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 235 15 7 7 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 235 16 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 235 17 where where WRB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 235 18 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 235 19 baseline baseline NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 235 20 - - HYPH cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 235 21 shown show VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 235 22 as as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 235 23 zero zero CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 235 24 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 235 25 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 235 26 vertical vertical JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 235 27 axis axis NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 235 28 - - : cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 235 29 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 235 30 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 235 31 median median JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 235 32 value value NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 235 33 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 235 34 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 235 35 corresponding corresponding JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 235 36 day day NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 235 37 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 235 38 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 235 39 week week NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 235 40 during during IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 235 41 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 235 42 5-week 5-week JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 235 43 period period NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 235 44 between between IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 235 45 January January NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 235 46 3 3 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 235 47 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 235 48 February February NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 235 49 6 6 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 235 50 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 235 51 2020 2020 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 235 52 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 236 1 13 13 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 237 1 A a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 237 2 first first JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 237 3 glance glance NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 237 4 at at IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 237 5 mobility mobility NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 237 6 patterns pattern NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 237 7 shows show VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 237 8 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 237 9 similar similar JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 237 10 trend trend NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 237 11 between between IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 237 12 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 237 13 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 237 14 synthetic synthetic JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 237 15 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 237 16 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 238 1 Except except IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 238 2 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 238 3 park park NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 238 4 visits visit NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 238 5 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 238 6 there there EX cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 238 7 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 238 8 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 238 9 significant significant JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 238 10 drop drop NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 238 11 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 238 12 visits visit NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 238 13 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 238 14 groceries grocery NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 238 15 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 238 16 transit transit NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 238 17 stations station NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 238 18 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 238 19 workplaces workplace NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 238 20 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 238 21 12 12 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 238 22 https://www.google.com/covid19/mobility/ https://www.google.com/covid19/mobility/ NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 238 23 13 13 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 239 1 One one PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 239 2 should should MD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 239 3 bear bear VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 239 4 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 239 5 mind mind NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 239 6 that that IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 239 7 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 239 8 Google Google NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 239 9 data datum NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 239 10 rely rely VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 239 11 on on IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 239 12 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 239 13 group group NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 239 14 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 239 15 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 239 16 population population NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 239 17 who who WP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 239 18 enables enable VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 239 19 Google Google NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 239 20 location location NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 239 21 services service NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 239 22 on on IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 239 23 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 239 24 mobile mobile JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 239 25 devices device NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 239 26 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 239 27 that that IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 239 28 this this DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 239 29 database database NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 239 30 has have VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 239 31 not not RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 239 32 been be VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 239 33 widely widely RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 239 34 used use VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 239 35 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 239 36 social social JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 239 37 science science NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 239 38 research research NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 239 39 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 239 40 as as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 239 41 mentioned mention VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 239 42 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 239 43 Gupta Gupta NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 239 44 et et NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 239 45 al al NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 239 46 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 240 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 240 2 2020 2020 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 240 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 240 4 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 241 1 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 241 2 outdoor outdoor JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 241 3 retail retail NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 241 4 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 241 5 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 241 6 month month NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 241 7 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 241 8 March March NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 241 9 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 242 1 A a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 242 2 noteworthy noteworthy JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 242 3 uptick uptick NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 242 4 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 242 5 shown show VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 242 6 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 242 7 trips trip NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 242 8 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 242 9 groceries grocery NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 242 10 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 242 11 pharmacies pharmacy NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 242 12 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 242 13 both both DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 242 14 units unit NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 242 15 shortly shortly RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 242 16 before before IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 242 17 they -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 242 18 fall fall VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 242 19 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 243 1 On on IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 243 2 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 243 3 contrary contrary NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 243 4 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 243 5 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 243 6 steep steep JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 243 7 increase increase NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 243 8 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 243 9 movements movement NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 243 10 within within IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 243 11 residential residential JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 243 12 areas area NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 243 13 reflects reflect VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 243 14 more more JJR cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 243 15 people people NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 243 16 staying stay VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 243 17 at at IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 243 18 home home NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 243 19 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 244 1 Comparing compare VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 244 2 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 244 3 two two CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 244 4 units unit NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 244 5 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 244 6 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 244 7 magnitude magnitude NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 244 8 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 244 9 drop drop NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 244 10 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 244 11 mobility mobility NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 244 12 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 244 13 March March NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 244 14 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 244 15 more more RBR cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 244 16 pronounced pronounced JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 244 17 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 244 18 synthetic synthetic JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 244 19 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 244 20 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 244 21 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 244 22 this this DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 244 23 may may MD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 244 24 reflect reflect VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 244 25 different different JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 244 26 behavioural behavioural JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 244 27 patterns pattern NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 244 28 due due JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 244 29 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 244 30 voluntary voluntary JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 244 31 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 244 32 involuntary involuntary JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 244 33 lockdown lockdown NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 244 34 measures measure NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 244 35 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 245 1 From from IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 245 2 April April NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 245 3 onward onward RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 245 4 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 245 5 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 245 6 trend trend NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 245 7 reverses reverse VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 245 8 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 245 9 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 245 10 by by IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 245 11 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 245 12 end end NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 245 13 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 245 14 May May NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 245 15 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 245 16 mobility mobility NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 245 17 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 245 18 both both DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 245 19 units unit NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 245 20 tends tend VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 245 21 to to TO cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 245 22 converge converge VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 245 23 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 245 24 revert revert VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 245 25 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 245 26 pre pre JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 245 27 - - JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 245 28 COVID covid JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 245 29 levels level NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 245 30 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 246 1 Given give VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 246 2 that that IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 246 3 mobility mobility NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 246 4 levels level NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 246 5 fell fall VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 246 6 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 246 7 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 246 8 as as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 246 9 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 246 10 result result NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 246 11 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 246 12 voluntary voluntary JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 246 13 precaution precaution NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 246 14 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 246 15 one one PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 246 16 could could MD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 246 17 impute impute VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 246 18 this this DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 246 19 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 246 20 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 246 21 delay delay NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 246 22 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 246 23 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 246 24 divergence divergence NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 246 25 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 246 26 infection infection NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 246 27 rate rate NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 246 28 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 246 29 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 246 30 relative relative JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 246 31 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 246 32 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 246 33 synthetic synthetic JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 246 34 counterpart counterpart NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 246 35 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 247 1 However however RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 247 2 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 247 3 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 247 4 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 247 5 longer long JJR cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 247 6 horizon horizon NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 247 7 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 247 8 infection infection NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 247 9 rates rate NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 247 10 diverge diverge VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 247 11 significantly significantly RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 247 12 despite despite IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 247 13 voluntary voluntary JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 247 14 social social JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 247 15 distancing distancing NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 247 16 protocols protocol NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 247 17 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 248 1 To to TO cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 248 2 better well JJR cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 248 3 control control NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 248 4 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 248 5 this this DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 248 6 behavioural behavioural JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 248 7 change change NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 248 8 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 248 9 I -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 248 10 now now RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 248 11 consider consider VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 248 12 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 248 13 DD DD NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 248 14 approach approach NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 248 15 to to TO cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 248 16 complement complement VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 248 17 earlier early JJR cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 248 18 findings finding NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 248 19 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 248 20 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 248 21 SC SC NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 248 22 analysis analysis NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 248 23 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 249 1 A a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 249 2 more more RBR cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 249 3 standard standard JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 249 4 setting setting NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 249 5 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 249 6 applied apply VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 249 7 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 249 8 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 249 9 DD DD NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 249 10 analysis analysis NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 249 11 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 249 12 where where WRB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 249 13 treatment treatment NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 249 14 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 249 15 assigned assign VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 249 16 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 249 17 multiple multiple JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 249 18 countries country NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 249 19 that that WDT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 249 20 opted opt VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 249 21 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 249 22 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 249 23 hard hard JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 249 24 lockdown lockdown NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 249 25 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 249 26 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 249 27 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 249 28 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 249 29 assigned assign VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 249 30 as as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 249 31 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 249 32 control control NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 249 33 unit unit NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 249 34 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 250 1 This this DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 250 2 framework framework NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 250 3 also also RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 250 4 allows allow VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 250 5 different different JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 250 6 treatment treatment NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 250 7 times time NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 250 8 specific specific JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 250 9 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 250 10 each each DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 250 11 lockdown lockdown NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 250 12 country country NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 250 13 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 251 1 Although although IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 251 2 there there EX cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 251 3 are be VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 251 4 several several JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 251 5 benefits benefit NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 251 6 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 251 7 this this DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 251 8 arrangement arrangement NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 251 9 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 251 10 one one PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 251 11 should should MD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 251 12 bear bear VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 251 13 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 251 14 mind mind NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 251 15 that that IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 251 16 there there EX cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 251 17 may may MD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 251 18 also also RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 251 19 be be VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 251 20 issues issue NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 251 21 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 251 22 misspecification misspecification NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 251 23 with with IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 251 24 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 251 25 possibility possibility NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 251 26 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 251 27 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 251 28 heterogeneous heterogeneous JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 251 29 treatment treatment NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 251 30 effect effect NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 251 31 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 252 1 14 14 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 253 1 For for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 253 2 treatment treatment NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 253 3 units unit NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 253 4 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 253 5 I -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 253 6 choose choose VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 253 7 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 253 8 five five CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 253 9 donor donor NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 253 10 countries country NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 253 11 with with IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 253 12 positive positive JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 253 13 weights weight NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 253 14 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 253 15 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 253 16 benchmark benchmark NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 253 17 synthetic synthetic JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 253 18 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 253 19 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 253 20 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 253 21 direct direct JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 253 22 comparison comparison NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 253 23 between between IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 253 24 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 253 25 DD DD NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 253 26 analysis analysis NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 253 27 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 253 28 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 253 29 benchmark benchmark JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 253 30 SC SC NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 253 31 results result NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 253 32 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 254 1 Although although IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 254 2 most most JJS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 254 3 DD DD NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 254 4 applications application NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 254 5 customarily customarily RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 254 6 cluster cluster VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 254 7 standard standard JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 254 8 errors error NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 254 9 at at IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 254 10 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 254 11 aggregate aggregate JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 254 12 level level NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 254 13 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 254 14 there there EX cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 254 15 are be VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 254 16 too too RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 254 17 few few JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 254 18 units unit NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 254 19 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 254 20 observation observation NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 254 21 to to TO cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 254 22 follow follow VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 254 23 clustering clustering NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 254 24 methods method NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 254 25 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 255 1 As as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 255 2 such such JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 255 3 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 255 4 I -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 255 5 report report VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 255 6 heteroscedasticity heteroscedasticity NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 255 7 robust robust JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 255 8 standard standard JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 255 9 errors error NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 255 10 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 256 1 Taking take VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 256 2 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 256 3 standard standard JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 256 4 DD DD NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 256 5 approach approach NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 256 6 pioneered pioneer VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 256 7 by by IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 256 8 Card Card NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 256 9 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 256 10 Krueger Krueger NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 256 11 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 256 12 1994 1994 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 256 13 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 256 14 to to TO cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 256 15 quantify quantify VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 256 16 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 256 17 effects effect NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 256 18 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 256 19 lockdown lockdown NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 256 20 measures measure NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 256 21 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 256 22 I -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 256 23 consider consider VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 256 24 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 256 25 following follow VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 256 26 two two CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 256 27 - - HYPH cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 256 28 way way NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 256 29 fixed fix VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 256 30 - - HYPH cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 256 31 effects effect NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 256 32 specification specification NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 256 33 : : : cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 256 34 where where WRB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 256 35 Y Y NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 256 36 it -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 256 37 denotes denote VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 256 38 infection infection NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 256 39 cases case NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 256 40 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 256 41 country country NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 256 42 i i PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 256 43 at at IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 256 44 time time NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 256 45 t t NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 256 46 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 256 47 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 256 48 L L NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 257 1 it -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 257 2 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 257 3 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 257 4 binary binary JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 257 5 lockdown lockdown NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 257 6 treatment treatment NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 257 7 index index NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 257 8 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 258 1 15 15 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 258 2 X x NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 258 3 captures capture VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 258 4 additional additional JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 258 5 control control NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 258 6 variables variable NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 258 7 that that WDT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 258 8 include include VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 258 9 various various JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 258 10 mobility mobility NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 258 11 trends trend NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 258 12 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 258 13 as as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 258 14 shown show VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 258 15 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 258 16 Section section NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 258 17 4.2 4.2 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 258 18 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 258 19 as as RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 258 20 well well RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 258 21 as as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 258 22 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 258 23 SI SI NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 258 24 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 259 1 ν ν NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 259 2 t t NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 259 3 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 259 4 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 259 5 time time NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 259 6 fixed fix VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 259 7 effect effect NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 259 8 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 259 9 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 259 10 u u NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 259 11 i i PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 259 12 controls control VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 259 13 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 259 14 country country NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 259 15 fixed fix VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 259 16 effects effect NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 259 17 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 259 18 while while IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 259 19 it -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 259 20 denotes denote VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 259 21 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 259 22 error error NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 259 23 term term NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 259 24 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 260 1 Our -PRON- PRP$ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 260 2 focus focus NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 260 3 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 260 4 on on IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 260 5 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 260 6 coefficient coefficient NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 260 7 θ θ NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 260 8 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 260 9 which which WDT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 260 10 essentially essentially RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 260 11 captures capture VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 260 12 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 260 13 causal causal JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 260 14 impact impact NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 260 15 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 260 16 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 260 17 lockdown lockdown NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 260 18 policy policy NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 260 19 on on IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 260 20 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 260 21 infection infection NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 260 22 rate rate NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 260 23 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 260 24 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 261 1 A a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 261 2 negative negative JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 261 3 estimate estimate NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 261 4 would would MD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 261 5 imply imply VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 261 6 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 261 7 lower low JJR cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 261 8 post post JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 261 9 - - JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 261 10 lockdown lockdown JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 261 11 infection infection NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 261 12 rate rate NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 261 13 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 261 14 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 261 15 treatment treatment NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 261 16 countries country NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 261 17 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 261 18 comparison comparison NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 261 19 with with IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 261 20 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 261 21 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 262 1 The the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 262 2 regression regression NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 262 3 DD dd NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 262 4 estimates estimate NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 262 5 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 262 6 different different JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 262 7 specifications specification NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 262 8 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 262 9 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 262 10 model model NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 262 11 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 262 12 equation equation NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 262 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 262 14 5.1 5.1 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 262 15 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 262 16 are be VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 262 17 presented present VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 262 18 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 262 19 Table Table NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 262 20 7 7 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 262 21 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 263 1 16 16 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 264 1 The the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 264 2 first first JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 264 3 row row NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 264 4 shows show VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 264 5 average average JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 264 6 treatment treatment NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 264 7 effects effect NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 264 8 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 264 9 all all DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 264 10 specifications specification NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 264 11 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 265 1 Specification specification NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 265 2 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 265 3 1 1 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 265 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 265 5 considers consider VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 265 6 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 265 7 baseline baseline JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 265 8 effect effect NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 265 9 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 265 10 lockdown lockdown NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 265 11 without without IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 265 12 any any DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 265 13 controls control NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 265 14 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 266 1 The the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 266 2 estimated estimate VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 266 3 coefficient coefficient NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 266 4 shows show VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 266 5 that that IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 266 6 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 266 7 on on IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 266 8 average average JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 266 9 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 266 10 post post JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 266 11 - - JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 266 12 intervention intervention JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 266 13 infection infection NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 266 14 cases case NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 266 15 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 266 16 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 266 17 lockdown lockdown NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 266 18 countries country NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 266 19 were be VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 266 20 lower low JJR cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 266 21 than than IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 266 22 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 266 23 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 266 24 by by IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 266 25 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 266 26 magnitude magnitude NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 266 27 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 266 28 750 750 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 266 29 infection infection NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 266 30 cases case NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 266 31 per per IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 266 32 million million CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 266 33 population population NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 266 34 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 267 1 Specification specification NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 267 2 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 267 3 2 2 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 267 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 267 5 replaces replace VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 267 6 time time NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 267 7 fixed fix VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 267 8 effect effect NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 267 9 with with IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 267 10 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 267 11 common common JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 267 12 time time NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 267 13 trend trend NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 267 14 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 267 15 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 267 16 though though IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 267 17 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 267 18 average average JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 267 19 treatment treatment NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 267 20 effect effect NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 267 21 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 267 22 still still RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 267 23 significant significant JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 267 24 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 267 25 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 267 26 magnitude magnitude NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 267 27 drops drop VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 267 28 as as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 267 29 infection infection NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 267 30 cases case NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 267 31 grow grow VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 267 32 over over IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 267 33 time time NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 267 34 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 268 1 Specification specification NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 268 2 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 268 3 3 3 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 268 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 268 5 includes include VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 268 6 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 268 7 continuous continuous JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 268 8 stringency stringency NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 268 9 index index NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 268 10 into into IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 268 11 regressors regressor NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 268 12 to to TO cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 268 13 control control VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 268 14 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 268 15 different different JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 268 16 intensities intensity NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 268 17 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 268 18 government government NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 268 19 responses response NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 268 20 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 268 21 while while IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 268 22 specifications specification NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 268 23 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 268 24 4 4 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 268 25 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 268 26 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 268 27 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 268 28 9 9 LS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 268 29 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 268 30 individually individually RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 268 31 control control VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 268 32 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 268 33 changes change NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 268 34 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 268 35 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 268 36 Google Google NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 268 37 mobility mobility NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 268 38 index index NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 268 39 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 269 1 The the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 269 2 main main JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 269 3 findings finding NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 269 4 on on IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 269 5 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 269 6 average average JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 269 7 treatment treatment NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 269 8 effects effect NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 269 9 remain remain VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 269 10 robust robust JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 269 11 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 269 12 even even RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 269 13 stronger strong JJR cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 269 14 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 269 15 magnitude magnitude NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 269 16 than than IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 269 17 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 269 18 baseline baseline JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 269 19 result result NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 269 20 when when WRB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 269 21 additional additional JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 269 22 country country NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 269 23 - - HYPH cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 269 24 specific specific JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 269 25 mobility mobility NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 269 26 trends trend NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 269 27 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 269 28 government government NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 269 29 responses response NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 269 30 are be VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 269 31 controlled control VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 269 32 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 269 33 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 270 1 17 17 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 270 2 Finally finally RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 270 3 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 270 4 allowing allow VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 270 5 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 270 6 all all DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 270 7 covariates covariate NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 270 8 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 270 9 as as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 270 10 shown show VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 270 11 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 270 12 specification specification NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 270 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 270 14 10 10 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 270 15 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 270 16 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 270 17 shows show VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 270 18 that that IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 270 19 post post JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 270 20 - - JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 270 21 intervention intervention JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 270 22 infection infection NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 270 23 cases case NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 270 24 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 270 25 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 270 26 lockdown lockdown NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 270 27 countries country NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 270 28 were be VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 270 29 lower low JJR cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 270 30 than than IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 270 31 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 270 32 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 270 33 by by IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 270 34 around around IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 270 35 470 470 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 270 36 cases case NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 270 37 per per IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 270 38 million million CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 270 39 population population NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 270 40 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 271 1 These these DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 271 2 results result NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 271 3 confirm confirm VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 271 4 earlier early JJR cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 271 5 findings finding NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 271 6 that that IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 271 7 stricter strict JJR cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 271 8 containment containment NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 271 9 measures measure NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 271 10 are be VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 271 11 associated associate VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 271 12 with with IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 271 13 limiting limit VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 271 14 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 271 15 spread spread NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 271 16 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 271 17 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 271 18 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 271 19 infection infection NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 271 20 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 272 1 14 14 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 273 1 Although although IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 273 2 this this DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 273 3 paper paper NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 273 4 does do VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 273 5 not not RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 273 6 explore explore VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 273 7 such such JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 273 8 issues issue NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 273 9 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 273 10 depth depth NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 273 11 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 273 12 recent recent JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 273 13 papers paper NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 273 14 such such JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 273 15 as as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 273 16 de de NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 273 17 Chaisemartin Chaisemartin NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 273 18 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 273 19 D'Haultfoeuille D'Haultfoeuille NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 273 20 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 273 21 2020 2020 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 273 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 273 23 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 273 24 Goodman Goodman NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 273 25 - - HYPH cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 273 26 Bacon Bacon NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 273 27 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 273 28 2018 2018 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 273 29 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 274 1 address address NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 274 2 models model NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 274 3 with with IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 274 4 heterogeneous heterogeneous JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 274 5 treatment treatment NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 274 6 effects effect NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 274 7 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 275 1 15 15 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 275 2 Time time NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 275 3 horizon horizon NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 275 4 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 275 5 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 275 6 DD DD NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 275 7 setup setup NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 275 8 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 275 9 slightly slightly RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 275 10 different different JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 275 11 from from IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 275 12 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 275 13 SC SC NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 275 14 framework framework NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 275 15 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 275 16 as as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 275 17 I -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 275 18 use use VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 275 19 daily daily JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 275 20 observations observation NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 275 21 since since IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 275 22 February February NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 275 23 29 29 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 275 24 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 276 1 16 16 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 277 1 As as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 277 2 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 277 3 robustness robustness NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 277 4 check check NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 277 5 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 277 6 I -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 277 7 convert convert VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 277 8 variables variable NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 277 9 expressed express VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 277 10 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 277 11 first first JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 277 12 differences difference NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 277 13 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 277 14 report report VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 277 15 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 277 16 outcomes outcome NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 277 17 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 277 18 Table Table NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 277 19 A2 A2 NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 277 20 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 277 21 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 277 22 Appendix Appendix NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 277 23 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 278 1 17 17 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 279 1 As as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 279 2 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 279 3 individual individual JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 279 4 covariates covariate NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 279 5 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 279 6 I -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 279 7 refrain refrain VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 279 8 from from IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 279 9 making make VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 279 10 causal causal JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 279 11 interpretation interpretation NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 279 12 on on IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 279 13 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 279 14 basis basis NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 279 15 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 279 16 contemporaneous contemporaneous JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 279 17 correlation correlation NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 279 18 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 280 1 For for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 280 2 example example NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 280 3 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 280 4 initial initial JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 280 5 drop drop NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 280 6 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 280 7 subsequent subsequent JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 280 8 recovery recovery NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 280 9 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 280 10 mobility mobility NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 280 11 was be VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 280 12 also also RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 280 13 associated associate VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 280 14 with with IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 280 15 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 280 16 large large JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 280 17 spike spike NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 280 18 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 280 19 gradual gradual JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 280 20 slowdown slowdown NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 280 21 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 280 22 infection infection NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 280 23 cases case NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 280 24 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 280 25 _SP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 281 1 The the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 281 2 key key JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 281 3 identifying identify VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 281 4 assumption assumption NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 281 5 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 281 6 DD DD NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 281 7 regression regression NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 281 8 design design NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 281 9 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 281 10 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 281 11 common common JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 281 12 trend trend NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 281 13 assumption assumption NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 281 14 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 281 15 meaning mean VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 281 16 that that IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 281 17 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 281 18 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 281 19 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 281 20 absence absence NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 281 21 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 281 22 treatment treatment NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 281 23 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 281 24 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 281 25 average average JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 281 26 change change NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 281 27 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 281 28 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 281 29 treated treated JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 281 30 group group NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 281 31 would would MD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 281 32 have have VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 281 33 been be VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 281 34 identical identical JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 281 35 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 281 36 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 281 37 observed observed JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 281 38 average average JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 281 39 change change NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 281 40 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 281 41 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 281 42 control control NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 281 43 group group NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 281 44 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 282 1 In in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 282 2 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 282 3 setup setup NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 282 4 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 282 5 this this DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 282 6 implies imply VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 282 7 that that IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 282 8 infection infection NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 282 9 trends trend NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 282 10 would would MD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 282 11 have have VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 282 12 been be VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 282 13 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 282 14 same same JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 282 15 had have VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 282 16 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 282 17 lockdown lockdown NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 282 18 countries country NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 282 19 followed follow VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 282 20 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 282 21 same same JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 282 22 strategy strategy NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 282 23 as as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 282 24 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 282 25 did do VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 282 26 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 283 1 One one CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 283 2 strategy strategy NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 283 3 to to TO cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 283 4 deal deal VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 283 5 with with IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 283 6 this this DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 283 7 issue issue NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 283 8 - - : cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 283 9 referred refer VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 283 10 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 283 11 by by IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 283 12 Autor Autor NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 283 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 283 14 2003 2003 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 283 15 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 283 16 as as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 283 17 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 283 18 " " `` cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 283 19 placebo placebo NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 283 20 " " '' cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 283 21 test test NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 283 22 - - : cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 283 23 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 283 24 to to TO cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 283 25 examine examine VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 283 26 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 283 27 possibility possibility NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 283 28 that that IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 283 29 exposures exposure NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 283 30 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 283 31 future future JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 283 32 treatment treatment NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 283 33 are be VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 283 34 anticipated anticipate VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 283 35 by by IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 283 36 current current JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 283 37 outcomes outcome NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 283 38 by by IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 283 39 including include VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 283 40 lead lead JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 283 41 terms term NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 283 42 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 283 43 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 283 44 baseline baseline JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 283 45 regression regression NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 283 46 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 284 1 If if IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 284 2 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 284 3 coefficients coefficient NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 284 4 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 284 5 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 284 6 leads lead NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 284 7 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 284 8 shown show VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 284 9 as as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 284 10 γ γ NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 284 11 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 284 12 equation equation NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 284 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 284 14 5.2 5.2 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 284 15 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 284 16 below below RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 284 17 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 284 18 are be VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 284 19 very very RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 284 20 close close JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 284 21 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 284 22 zero zero CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 284 23 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 284 24 we -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 284 25 can can MD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 284 26 expect expect VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 284 27 that that IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 284 28 future future JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 284 29 policy policy NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 284 30 changes change NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 284 31 are be VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 284 32 unlikely unlikely JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 284 33 to to TO cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 284 34 be be VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 284 35 associated associate VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 284 36 with with IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 284 37 current current JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 284 38 outcomes outcome NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 284 39 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 285 1 Here here RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 285 2 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 285 3 I -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 285 4 include include VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 285 5 three three CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 285 6 weekly weekly JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 285 7 leads lead NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 285 8 right right RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 285 9 until until IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 285 10 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 285 11 day day NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 285 12 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 285 13 lockdown lockdown NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 285 14 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 285 15 each each DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 285 16 treatment treatment NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 285 17 country country NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 285 18 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 286 1 For for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 286 2 post post JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 286 3 - - JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 286 4 treatment treatment JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 286 5 effects effect NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 286 6 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 286 7 on on IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 286 8 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 286 9 other other JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 286 10 hand hand NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 286 11 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 286 12 I -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 286 13 have have VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 286 14 implicitly implicitly RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 286 15 assumed assume VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 286 16 that that IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 286 17 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 286 18 coefficient coefficient NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 286 19 θ θ NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 286 20 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 286 21 equation equation NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 286 22 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 286 23 5.1 5.1 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 286 24 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 286 25 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 286 26 constant constant JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 286 27 over over IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 286 28 time time NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 286 29 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 287 1 However however RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 287 2 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 287 3 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 287 4 impact impact NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 287 5 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 287 6 lockdowns lockdown NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 287 7 could could MD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 287 8 be be VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 287 9 immediate immediate JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 287 10 or or CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 287 11 lagged lag VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 287 12 over over IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 287 13 time time NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 287 14 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 287 15 may may MD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 287 16 possibly possibly RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 287 17 vary vary VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 287 18 with with IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 287 19 different different JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 287 20 intensities intensity NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 287 21 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 288 1 To to TO cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 288 2 explore explore VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 288 3 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 288 4 time time NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 288 5 - - HYPH cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 288 6 varying vary VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 288 7 effects effect NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 288 8 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 288 9 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 288 10 lockdown lockdown NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 288 11 measures measure NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 288 12 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 288 13 I -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 288 14 also also RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 288 15 allow allow VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 288 16 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 288 17 lagged lag VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 288 18 treatment treatment NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 288 19 variables variable NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 288 20 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 288 21 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 288 22 regression regression NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 288 23 specification specification NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 288 24 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 288 25 as as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 288 26 suggested suggest VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 288 27 by by IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 288 28 Autor Autor NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 288 29 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 288 30 2003 2003 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 288 31 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 288 32 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 288 33 Wing Wing NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 288 34 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 288 35 Simon Simon NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 288 36 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 288 37 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 288 38 Bello Bello NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 288 39 - - HYPH cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 288 40 Gomez Gomez NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 288 41 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 288 42 2018 2018 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 288 43 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 288 44 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 289 1 More more RBR cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 289 2 specifically specifically RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 289 3 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 289 4 I -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 289 5 add add VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 289 6 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 289 7 dummy dummy JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 289 8 variable variable NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 289 9 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 289 10 each each DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 289 11 week week NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 289 12 up up IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 289 13 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 289 14 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 289 15 seventh seventh JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 289 16 week week NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 289 17 after after IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 289 18 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 289 19 lockdown lockdown NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 289 20 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 289 21 as as RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 289 22 well well RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 289 23 as as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 289 24 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 289 25 dummy dummy NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 289 26 that that WDT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 289 27 captures capture VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 289 28 all all PDT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 289 29 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 289 30 periods period NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 289 31 after after IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 289 32 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 289 33 eighth eighth JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 289 34 week week NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 289 35 since since IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 289 36 lockdown lockdown NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 289 37 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 290 1 The the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 290 2 modified modify VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 290 3 specification specification NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 290 4 examining examine VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 290 5 both both CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 290 6 anticipatory anticipatory NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 290 7 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 290 8 time time NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 290 9 - - HYPH cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 290 10 varying vary VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 290 11 effects effect NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 290 12 combined combine VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 290 13 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 290 14 : : : cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 290 15 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 290 16 5.2 5.2 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 290 17 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 291 1 Here here RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 291 2 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 291 3 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 291 4 first first JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 291 5 sum sum NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 291 6 on on IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 291 7 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 291 8 right right JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 291 9 - - HYPH cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 291 10 hand hand NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 291 11 side side NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 291 12 captures capture VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 291 13 weekly weekly JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 291 14 leads lead NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 291 15 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 291 16 while while IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 291 17 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 291 18 latter latter JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 291 19 sum sum NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 291 20 captures capture VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 291 21 weekly weekly JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 291 22 lags lag NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 291 23 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 291 24 with with IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 291 25 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 291 26 first first JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 291 27 term term NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 291 28 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 291 29 m m NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 291 30 = = SYM cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 291 31 0 0 NFP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 291 32 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 291 33 representing represent VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 291 34 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 291 35 immediate immediate JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 291 36 treatment treatment NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 291 37 effect effect NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 291 38 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 291 39 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 291 40 first first JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 291 41 7 7 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 291 42 days day NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 291 43 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 291 44 lockdown lockdown NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 291 45 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 292 1 If if IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 292 2 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 292 3 initial initial JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 292 4 effect effect NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 292 5 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 292 6 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 292 7 policy policy NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 292 8 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 292 9 negative negative JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 292 10 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 292 11 then then RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 292 12 negative negative JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 292 13 values value NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 292 14 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 292 15 subsequent subsequent JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 292 16 θ θ NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 292 17 m m NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 292 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 292 19 ∀m ∀m NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 292 20 > > XX cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 292 21 0 0 NFP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 292 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 292 23 imply imply VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 292 24 that that IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 292 25 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 292 26 initial initial JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 292 27 effect effect NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 292 28 amplifies amplify VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 292 29 over over IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 292 30 time time NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 292 31 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 292 32 whereas whereas IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 292 33 positive positive JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 292 34 values value NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 292 35 would would MD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 292 36 imply imply VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 292 37 that that IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 292 38 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 292 39 initial initial JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 292 40 impact impact NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 292 41 fades fade VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 292 42 with with IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 292 43 time time NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 292 44 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 293 1 Figure figure NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 293 2 8 8 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 293 3 plots plot NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 293 4 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 293 5 estimated estimate VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 293 6 leads lead NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 293 7 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 293 8 lags lag VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 293 9 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 293 10 running run VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 293 11 from from IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 293 12 3 3 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 293 13 weeks week NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 293 14 ahead ahead RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 293 15 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 293 16 8 8 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 293 17 weeks week NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 293 18 behind behind RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 293 19 with with IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 293 20 95 95 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 293 21 percent percent NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 293 22 confidence confidence NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 293 23 intervals interval NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 293 24 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 294 1 In in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 294 2 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 294 3 week week NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 294 4 leading lead VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 294 5 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 294 6 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 294 7 day day NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 294 8 before before IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 294 9 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 294 10 policy policy NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 294 11 implementation implementation NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 294 12 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 294 13 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 294 14 coefficient coefficient NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 294 15 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 294 16 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 294 17 fact fact NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 294 18 significantly significantly RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 294 19 different different JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 294 20 from from IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 294 21 zero zero CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 294 22 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 294 23 negative negative JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 294 24 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 295 1 Given give VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 295 2 that that IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 295 3 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 295 4 lockdown lockdown NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 295 5 treatment treatment NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 295 6 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 295 7 defined define VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 295 8 as as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 295 9 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 295 10 maximum maximum JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 295 11 accumulation accumulation NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 295 12 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 295 13 containment containment NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 295 14 measures measure NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 295 15 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 295 16 this this DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 295 17 notion notion NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 295 18 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 295 19 anticipatory anticipatory JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 295 20 effect effect NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 295 21 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 295 22 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 295 23 preceding precede VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 295 24 week week NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 295 25 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 295 26 not not RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 295 27 surprising surprising JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 295 28 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 295 29 as as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 295 30 earlier early JJR cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 295 31 policy policy NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 295 32 measures measure NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 295 33 may may MD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 295 34 have have VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 295 35 taken take VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 295 36 effect effect NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 295 37 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 295 38 additional additional JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 295 39 measures measure NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 295 40 could could MD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 295 41 be be VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 295 42 associated associate VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 295 43 with with IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 295 44 current current JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 295 45 outcomes outcome NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 295 46 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 296 1 On on IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 296 2 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 296 3 other other JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 296 4 hand hand NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 296 5 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 296 6 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 296 7 coefficients coefficient NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 296 8 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 296 9 2-and 2-and CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 296 10 3-week 3-week JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 296 11 leads lead NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 296 12 are be VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 296 13 not not RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 296 14 significantly significantly RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 296 15 different different JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 296 16 from from IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 296 17 zero zero CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 296 18 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 296 19 provide provide VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 296 20 some some DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 296 21 confidence confidence NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 296 22 that that IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 296 23 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 296 24 policy policy NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 296 25 intervention intervention NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 296 26 occurs occur VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 296 27 before before IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 296 28 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 296 29 effect effect NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 296 30 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 297 1 For for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 297 2 post post JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 297 3 - - JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 297 4 treatment treatment JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 297 5 periods period NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 297 6 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 297 7 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 297 8 coefficients coefficient NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 297 9 are be VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 297 10 significantly significantly RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 297 11 negative negative JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 297 12 from from IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 297 13 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 297 14 onset onset NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 297 15 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 297 16 lockdown lockdown NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 297 17 implementation implementation NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 297 18 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 297 19 monotonically monotonically RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 297 20 decrease decrease VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 297 21 over over IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 297 22 time time NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 297 23 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 298 1 Policymakers policymaker NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 298 2 have have VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 298 3 implemented implement VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 298 4 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 298 5 wide wide JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 298 6 range range NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 298 7 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 298 8 NPIs npi NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 298 9 to to TO cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 298 10 fight fight VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 298 11 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 298 12 spread spread NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 298 13 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 298 14 COVID-19 covid-19 NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 298 15 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 299 1 Using use VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 299 2 variation variation NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 299 3 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 299 4 policies policy NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 299 5 across across IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 299 6 countries country NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 299 7 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 299 8 over over IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 299 9 time time NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 299 10 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 299 11 I -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 299 12 use use VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 299 13 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 299 14 flexible flexible JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 299 15 statistical statistical JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 299 16 methodology methodology NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 299 17 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 299 18 data data NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 299 19 - - HYPH cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 299 20 driven drive VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 299 21 case case NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 299 22 studies study NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 299 23 - - , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 299 24 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 299 25 SC SC NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 299 26 method method NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 299 27 - - : cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 299 28 to to TO cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 299 29 investigate investigate VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 299 30 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 299 31 causal causal JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 299 32 effects effect NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 299 33 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 299 34 counter counter JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 299 35 - - JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 299 36 COVID covid JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 299 37 policies policy NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 299 38 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 300 1 I -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 300 2 find find VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 300 3 that that IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 300 4 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 300 5 lockdown lockdown NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 300 6 measures measure NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 300 7 played play VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 300 8 an an DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 300 9 important important JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 300 10 role role NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 300 11 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 300 12 limiting limit VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 300 13 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 300 14 spread spread NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 300 15 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 300 16 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 300 17 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 300 18 infection infection NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 300 19 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 300 20 that that IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 300 21 Swedish swedish JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 300 22 policymakers policymaker NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 300 23 would would MD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 300 24 have have VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 300 25 reduced reduce VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 300 26 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 300 27 infection infection NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 300 28 cases case NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 300 29 S. S. NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 300 30 Cho Cho NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 300 31 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 300 32 mortality mortality NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 300 33 rates rate NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 300 34 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 300 35 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 300 36 long long JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 300 37 run run NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 300 38 had have VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 300 39 they -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 300 40 followed follow VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 300 41 policies policy NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 300 42 similar similar JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 300 43 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 300 44 those those DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 300 45 implemented implement VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 300 46 elsewhere elsewhere RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 300 47 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 300 48 Europe Europe NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 300 49 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 301 1 Supplementing supplement VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 301 2 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 301 3 main main JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 301 4 analysis analysis NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 301 5 with with IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 301 6 several several JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 301 7 robustness robustness NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 301 8 checks check NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 301 9 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 301 10 as as RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 301 11 well well RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 301 12 as as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 301 13 one one CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 301 14 that that WDT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 301 15 uses use VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 301 16 an an DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 301 17 alternative alternative JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 301 18 DD DD NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 301 19 research research NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 301 20 design design NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 301 21 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 301 22 does do VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 301 23 not not RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 301 24 fundamentally fundamentally RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 301 25 alter alter VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 301 26 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 301 27 main main JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 301 28 findings finding NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 301 29 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 302 1 My -PRON- PRP$ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 302 2 analysis analysis NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 302 3 has have VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 302 4 some some DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 302 5 limitations limitation NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 302 6 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 302 7 caveats caveat NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 302 8 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 303 1 First first RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 303 2 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 303 3 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 303 4 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 303 5 policies policy NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 303 6 are be VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 303 7 not not RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 303 8 randomly randomly RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 303 9 assigned assign VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 303 10 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 303 11 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 303 12 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 303 13 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 303 14 many many JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 303 15 cases case NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 303 16 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 303 17 government government NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 303 18 policies policy NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 303 19 were be VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 303 20 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 303 21 direct direct JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 303 22 response response NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 303 23 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 303 24 past past JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 303 25 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 303 26 current current JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 303 27 epidemiological epidemiological JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 303 28 conditions condition NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 303 29 but but CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 303 30 also also RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 303 31 to to TO cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 303 32 contain contain VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 303 33 future future JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 303 34 spread spread NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 303 35 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 303 36 which which WDT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 303 37 complicates complicate VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 303 38 causal causal JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 303 39 identification identification NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 303 40 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 304 1 As as IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 304 2 such such JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 304 3 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 304 4 caution caution NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 304 5 is be VBZ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 304 6 needed need VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 304 7 to to TO cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 304 8 claim claim VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 304 9 that that IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 304 10 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 304 11 decision decision NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 304 12 to to TO cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 304 13 go go VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 304 14 lockdown lockdown NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 304 15 - - HYPH cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 304 16 free free JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 304 17 was be VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 304 18 completely completely RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 304 19 independent independent JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 304 20 from from IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 304 21 other other JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 304 22 considerations consideration NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 304 23 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 305 1 Next next RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 305 2 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 305 3 various various JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 305 4 policies policy NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 305 5 were be VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 305 6 introduced introduce VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 305 7 over over IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 305 8 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 305 9 short short JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 305 10 timeline timeline NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 305 11 across across IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 305 12 countries country NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 305 13 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 305 14 making make VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 305 15 it -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 305 16 difficult difficult JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 305 17 to to TO cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 305 18 compare compare VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 305 19 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 305 20 assess assess VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 305 21 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 305 22 intensity intensity NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 305 23 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 305 24 treatment treatment NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 305 25 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 306 1 In in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 306 2 particular particular JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 306 3 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 306 4 this this DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 306 5 can can MD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 306 6 become become VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 306 7 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 306 8 source source NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 306 9 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 306 10 bias bias NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 306 11 when when WRB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 306 12 using use VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 306 13 an an DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 306 14 all all RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 306 15 - - HYPH cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 306 16 inclusive inclusive JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 306 17 response response NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 306 18 index index NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 306 19 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 306 20 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 306 21 current current JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 306 22 context context NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 306 23 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 307 1 For for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 307 2 example example NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 307 3 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 307 4 mobility mobility NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 307 5 trends trend NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 307 6 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 307 7 visits visit NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 307 8 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 307 9 grocery grocery NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 307 10 stores store NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 307 11 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 307 12 pharmacies pharmacy NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 307 13 indicate indicate VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 307 14 possible possible JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 307 15 behavioural behavioural JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 307 16 changes change NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 307 17 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 307 18 response response NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 307 19 to to TO cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 307 20 stay stay VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 307 21 - - HYPH cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 307 22 at at IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 307 23 - - HYPH cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 307 24 home home NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 307 25 announcements announcement NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 307 26 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 307 27 whereas whereas IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 307 28 issuance issuance NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 307 29 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 307 30 travel travel NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 307 31 restrictions restriction NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 307 32 ahead ahead RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 307 33 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 307 34 time time NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 307 35 may may MD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 307 36 induce induce VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 307 37 possible possible JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 307 38 spillover spillover NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 307 39 effects effect NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 307 40 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 308 1 Discussions discussion NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 308 2 by by IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 308 3 Goodman Goodman NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 308 4 - - HYPH cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 308 5 Bacon Bacon NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 308 6 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 308 7 Marcus Marcus NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 308 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 308 9 2020 2020 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 308 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 308 11 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 308 12 Gupta Gupta NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 308 13 et et NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 308 14 al al NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 308 15 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 309 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 309 2 2020 2020 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 309 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 309 4 provide provide VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 309 5 several several JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 309 6 challenges challenge NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 309 7 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 309 8 suggestions suggestion NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 309 9 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 309 10 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 309 11 empirical empirical JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 309 12 research research NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 309 13 design design NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 309 14 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 309 15 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 309 16 policies policy NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 309 17 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 310 1 Finally finally RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 310 2 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 310 3 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 310 4 present present JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 310 5 study study NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 310 6 abstracts abstract NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 310 7 from from IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 310 8 exploring explore VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 310 9 individual individual JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 310 10 policies policy NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 310 11 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 310 12 how how WRB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 310 13 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 310 14 timing timing NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 310 15 can can MD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 310 16 have have VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 310 17 different different JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 310 18 epidemiological epidemiological JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 310 19 impacts impact NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 310 20 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 311 1 A a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 311 2 worthwhile worthwhile JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 311 3 project project NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 311 4 to to TO cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 311 5 pursue pursue VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 311 6 would would MD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 311 7 be be VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 311 8 one one CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 311 9 similar similar JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 311 10 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 311 11 Chernozhukov Chernozhukov NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 311 12 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 311 13 Kasahara Kasahara NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 311 14 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 311 15 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 311 16 Schrimpf Schrimpf NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 311 17 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 311 18 2020 2020 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 311 19 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 311 20 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 311 21 who who WP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 311 22 investigated investigate VBD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 311 23 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 311 24 impact impact NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 311 25 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 311 26 individual individual JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 311 27 measures measure NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 311 28 along along IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 311 29 both both CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 311 30 epidemiological epidemiological JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 311 31 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 311 32 economic economic JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 311 33 aspects aspect NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 311 34 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 312 1 Such such JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 312 2 explorations exploration NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 312 3 would would MD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 312 4 better better RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 312 5 inform inform VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 312 6 policymakers policymaker NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 312 7 seeking seek VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 312 8 to to TO cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 312 9 protect protect VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 312 10 public public JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 312 11 health health NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 312 12 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 312 13 facilitate facilitate VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 312 14 an an DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 312 15 eventual eventual JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 312 16 economic economic JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 312 17 recovery recovery NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 312 18 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 313 1 Using use VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 313 2 synthetic synthetic JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 313 3 controls control NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 313 4 : : : cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 313 5 feasibility feasibility NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 313 6 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 313 7 data data NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 313 8 requirements requirement NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 313 9 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 313 10 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 313 11 methodological methodological JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 313 12 aspects aspect NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 313 13 Synthetic synthetic JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 313 14 control control NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 313 15 methods method NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 313 16 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 313 17 comparative comparative JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 313 18 case case NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 313 19 studies study NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 313 20 : : : cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 313 21 estimating estimate VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 313 22 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 313 23 effect effect NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 313 24 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 313 25 California California NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 313 26 's 's POS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 313 27 tobacco tobacco NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 313 28 control control NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 313 29 program program NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 313 30 Comparative Comparative NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 313 31 politics politic NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 313 32 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 313 33 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 313 34 synthetic synthetic JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 313 35 control control NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 313 36 method method NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 314 1 The the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 314 2 economic economic JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 314 3 costs cost NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 314 4 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 314 5 conflict conflict NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 314 6 : : : cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 314 7 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 314 8 case case NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 314 9 study study NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 314 10 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 314 11 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 314 12 Basque basque JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 314 13 country country NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 314 14 Pandemic Pandemic NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 314 15 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 314 16 shutdown shutdown NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 314 17 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 314 18 consumer consumer NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 314 19 spending spending NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 314 20 : : : cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 314 21 lessons lesson NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 314 22 from from IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 314 23 Scandinavian scandinavian JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 314 24 policy policy NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 314 25 responses response NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 314 26 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 314 27 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 314 28 Identification Identification NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 314 29 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 314 30 inference inference NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 314 31 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 314 32 nonlinear nonlinear JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 314 33 difference difference NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 314 34 - - HYPH cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 314 35 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 314 36 - - HYPH cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 314 37 differences difference NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 314 38 models model NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 314 39 Outsourcing outsource VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 314 40 at at IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 314 41 will will MD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 314 42 : : : cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 314 43 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 314 44 contribution contribution NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 314 45 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 314 46 unjust unjust JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 314 47 dismissal dismissal NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 314 48 doctrine doctrine NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 314 49 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 314 50 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 314 51 growth growth NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 314 52 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 314 53 employment employment NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 314 54 outsourcing outsourcing NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 314 55 Economics Economics NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 314 56 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 314 57 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 314 58 Time Time NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 314 59 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 314 60 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 315 1 Do do VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 315 2 lockdowns lockdown NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 315 3 work work VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 315 4 ? ? . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 1 A a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 2 counterfactual counterfactual JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 3 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 4 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 5 On on IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 6 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 7 role role NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 8 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 9 covariates covariate NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 10 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 11 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 12 synthetic synthetic JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 13 control control NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 14 method method NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 15 Minimum minimum JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 16 wages wage NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 17 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 18 employment employment NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 19 : : : cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 20 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 21 case case NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 22 study study NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 23 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 24 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 25 fast fast JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 26 - - HYPH cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 27 food food NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 28 industry industry NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 29 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 30 New New NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 31 Jersey Jersey NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 32 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 33 Pennsylvania Pennsylvania NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 34 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 35 : : : cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 36 cross cross NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 37 - - JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 38 country country JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 39 heterogeneity heterogeneity NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 40 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 41 effectiveness effectiveness NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 42 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 43 non non JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 44 - - JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 45 pharmaceutical pharmaceutical JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 46 interventions intervention NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 47 Scenario Scenario NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 48 analysis analysis NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 49 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 50 nonpharmaceutical nonpharmaceutical JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 51 interventions intervention NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 52 on on IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 53 global global JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 54 Covid-19 covid-19 NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 55 transmissions transmission NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 56 Causal causal JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 57 impact impact NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 58 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 59 masks mask NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 60 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 61 policies policy NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 62 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 63 behavior behavior NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 64 on on IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 65 early early JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 66 Covid-19 covid-19 JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 67 pandemic pandemic NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 68 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 69 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 70 US US NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 71 Lockdowns Lockdowns NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 72 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 73 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 74 deaths death NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 75 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 76 Scandinavia Scandinavia NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 77 Two two CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 78 - - HYPH cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 79 way way NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 80 fixed fix VBN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 81 effects effect NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 82 estimators estimator NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 83 with with IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 84 heterogeneous heterogeneous JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 85 treatment treatment NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 86 effects effect NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 87 Balancing balancing NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 88 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 89 Regression regression NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 90 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 91 Difference difference NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 92 - - HYPH cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 93 In In NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 94 - - HYPH cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 95 Differences difference NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 96 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 97 Synthetic Synthetic NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 98 Control Control NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 99 Methods method NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 316 100 : : : cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 1 A a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 2 Synthesis Synthesis NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 3 Synthetic synthetic JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 4 controls control NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 5 with with IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 6 imperfect imperfect JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 7 pre pre JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 8 - - JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 9 treatment treatment JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 10 fit fit NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 11 Cherry cherry NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 12 picking pick VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 13 with with IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 14 synthetic synthetic JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 15 controls control NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 16 Synthetic synthetic JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 17 control control NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 18 method method NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 19 : : : cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 20 inference inference NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 21 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 22 sensitivity sensitivity NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 23 analysis analysis NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 24 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 25 confidence confidence NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 26 sets set NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 27 On on IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 28 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 29 optimal optimal JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 30 ' ' `` cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 31 lockdown lockdown NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 32 ' ' '' cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 33 during during IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 34 an an DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 35 epidemic epidemic NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 36 Difference difference NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 37 - - HYPH cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 38 in in NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 39 - - HYPH cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 40 differences difference NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 41 with with IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 42 variation variation NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 43 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 44 treatment treatment NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 45 timing timing NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 46 Using use VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 47 difference difference NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 48 - - HYPH cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 49 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 50 - - HYPH cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 51 differences difference NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 52 to to TO cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 53 identify identify VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 54 causal causal JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 55 effects effect NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 56 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 57 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 58 policies policy NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 59 Tracking track VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 60 public public JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 61 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 62 private private JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 63 responses response NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 64 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 65 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 66 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 67 epidemic epidemic NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 68 : : : cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 69 evidence evidence NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 70 from from IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 71 state state NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 72 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 73 local local JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 74 government government NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 75 actions action NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 76 Variation variation NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 77 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 78 government government NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 79 responses response NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 80 to to TO cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 81 COVID-19 covid-19 VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 82 Recent recent JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 83 developments development NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 84 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 85 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 86 econometrics econometric NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 87 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 88 program program NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 89 evaluation evaluation NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 90 High high JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 91 population population NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 92 densities density NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 93 catalyse catalyse VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 94 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 95 spread spread NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 96 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 97 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 98 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 99 pandemic pandemic NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 100 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 101 COVID-19 covid-19 VB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 317 102 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 318 1 Socioeconomic socioeconomic JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 318 2 determinants determinant NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 318 3 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 318 4 Covid-19 covid-19 JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 318 5 infections infection NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 318 6 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 318 7 mortality mortality NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 318 8 : : : cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 318 9 evidence evidence NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 318 10 from from IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 318 11 England England NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 318 12 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 318 13 Wales Wales NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 319 1 Do do VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 319 2 lockdown lockdown NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 319 3 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 319 4 testing testing NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 319 5 help help NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 319 6 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 319 7 curbing curb VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 319 8 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 319 9 transmission transmission NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 319 10 Patterns pattern NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 319 11 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 319 12 trends trend NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 319 13 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 319 14 household household NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 319 15 size size NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 319 16 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 319 17 composition composition NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 319 18 : : : cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 320 1 evidence evidence NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 320 2 from from IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 320 3 a a DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 320 4 United United NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 320 5 Nations Nations NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 320 6 dataset dataset NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 320 7 Designing designing NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 320 8 difference difference NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 320 9 in in IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 320 10 difference difference NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 320 11 studies study NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 320 12 : : : cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 320 13 best good JJS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 320 14 practices practice NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 320 15 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 320 16 public public JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 320 17 health health NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 320 18 policy policy NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 320 19 research research NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 320 20 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 321 1 I -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 321 2 thank thank VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 321 3 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 321 4 Editor Editor NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 321 5 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 321 6 two two CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 321 7 anonymous anonymous JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 321 8 referees referee NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 321 9 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 321 10 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 321 11 insightful insightful JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 321 12 comments comment NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 321 13 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 322 1 I -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 322 2 am be VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 322 3 also also RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 322 4 indebted indebted JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 322 5 to to IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 322 6 Seojeong Seojeong NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 322 7 ( ( -LRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 322 8 Jay Jay NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 322 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 322 10 Lee Lee NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 322 11 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 322 12 Nicola Nicola NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 322 13 Aravecchia Aravecchia NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 322 14 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 322 15 Hansoo Hansoo NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 322 16 Choi Choi NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 322 17 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 322 18 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 322 19 Julián Julián NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 322 20 P. P. NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 322 21 Díaz Díaz NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 322 22 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 322 23 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 322 24 constructive constructive JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 322 25 feedback feedback NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 322 26 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 322 27 comments comment NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 322 28 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 323 1 I -PRON- PRP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 323 2 also also RB cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 323 3 thank thank VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 323 4 Charles Charles NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 323 5 Wyplosz Wyplosz NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 323 6 for for IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 323 7 disseminating disseminate VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 323 8 an an DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 323 9 earlier early JJR cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 323 10 version version NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 323 11 of of IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 323 12 the the DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 323 13 paper paper NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 323 14 at at IN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 323 15 Covid Covid NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 323 16 Economics Economics NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 323 17 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 323 18 Vetted vetted JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 323 19 and and CC cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 323 20 Real Real NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 323 21 - - HYPH cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 323 22 Time Time NNP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 323 23 Papers Papers NNPS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 323 24 , , , cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 323 25 Issue issue NN cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 323 26 35 35 CD cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 323 27 . . . cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 324 1 All all DT cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 324 2 remaining remain VBG cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 324 3 mistakes mistake NNS cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 324 4 are be VBP cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 324 5 my -PRON- PRP$ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 324 6 own own JJ cord-032231-7pwy8cyq 324 7 . . .