id sid tid token lemma pos cord-317184-vz829rsy 1 1 key key JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 1 2 : : : cord-317184-vz829rsy 1 3 cord-317184-vz829rsy cord-317184-vz829rsy CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 1 4 authors author NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 1 5 : : : cord-317184-vz829rsy 1 6 Wodarz Wodarz NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 1 7 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 1 8 Dominik Dominik NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 1 9 ; ; : cord-317184-vz829rsy 1 10 Komarova Komarova NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 1 11 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 1 12 Natalia Natalia NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 1 13 L. L. NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 1 14 title title NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 1 15 : : : cord-317184-vz829rsy 1 16 Patterns pattern NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 1 17 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 1 18 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 1 19 COVID19 COVID19 NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 1 20 epidemic epidemic NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 1 21 spread spread VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 1 22 around around IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 1 23 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 1 24 world world NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 1 25 : : : cord-317184-vz829rsy 1 26 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 1 27 vs vs IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 1 28 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 1 29 laws law NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 1 30 date date NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 1 31 : : : cord-317184-vz829rsy 1 32 2020 2020 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 1 33 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 1 34 04 04 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 1 35 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 1 36 01 01 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 1 37 journal journal NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 1 38 : : : cord-317184-vz829rsy 2 1 nan nan NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 2 2 DOI DOI NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 2 3 : : : cord-317184-vz829rsy 3 1 10.1101/2020.03.30.20047274 10.1101/2020.03.30.20047274 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 4 1 sha sha NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 4 2 : : : cord-317184-vz829rsy 5 1 a7d9440cb3a45994c274d4de41cbaf14343c8a89 a7d9440cb3a45994c274d4de41cbaf14343c8a89 NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 5 2 doc_id doc_id CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 6 1 : : : cord-317184-vz829rsy 6 2 317184 317184 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 6 3 cord_uid cord_uid NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 6 4 : : : cord-317184-vz829rsy 6 5 vz829rsy vz829rsy CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 7 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 7 2 have have VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 7 3 analyzed analyze VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 7 4 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 7 5 COVID19 COVID19 NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 7 6 epidemic epidemic NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 7 7 data datum NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 7 8 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 7 9 more more JJR cord-317184-vz829rsy 7 10 than than IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 7 11 174 174 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 7 12 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 7 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 7 14 excluding exclude VBG cord-317184-vz829rsy 7 15 China China NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 7 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 7 17 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 7 18 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 7 19 period period NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 7 20 between between IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 7 21 January January NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 7 22 22 22 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 7 23 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 7 24 March March NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 7 25 28 28 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 7 26 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 7 27 2020 2020 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 7 28 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 8 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 8 2 found find VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 8 3 that that IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 8 4 some some DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 8 5 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 8 6 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 8 7 such such JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 8 8 as as IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 8 9 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 8 10 US US NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 8 11 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 8 12 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 8 13 UK UK NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 8 14 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 8 15 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 8 16 Canada Canada NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 8 17 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 8 18 follow follow VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 8 19 an an DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 8 20 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 8 21 epidemic epidemic NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 8 22 growth growth NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 8 23 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 8 24 while while IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 8 25 others other NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 8 26 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 8 27 like like IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 8 28 Italy Italy NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 8 29 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 8 30 several several JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 8 31 other other JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 8 32 European european JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 8 33 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 8 34 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 8 35 show show VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 8 36 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 8 37 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 8 38 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 8 39 like like IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 8 40 growth growth NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 8 41 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 9 1 At at IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 9 2 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 9 3 same same JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 9 4 time time NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 9 5 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 9 6 regardless regardless RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 9 7 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 9 8 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 9 9 best good JJS cord-317184-vz829rsy 9 10 fitting fitting JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 9 11 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 9 12 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 9 13 most most JJS cord-317184-vz829rsy 9 14 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 9 15 can can MD cord-317184-vz829rsy 9 16 be be VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 9 17 shown show VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 9 18 to to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 9 19 follow follow VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 9 20 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 9 21 trajectory trajectory NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 9 22 similar similar JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 9 23 to to IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 9 24 that that DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 9 25 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 9 26 Italy Italy NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 9 27 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 9 28 but but CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 9 29 with with IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 9 30 varying vary VBG cord-317184-vz829rsy 9 31 degrees degree NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 9 32 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 9 33 delay delay NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 9 34 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 10 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 10 2 found find VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 10 3 that that IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 10 4 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 10 5 with with IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 10 6 ` ` '' cord-317184-vz829rsy 10 7 ` ` '' cord-317184-vz829rsy 10 8 younger young JJR cord-317184-vz829rsy 10 9 " " `` cord-317184-vz829rsy 10 10 epidemics epidemic NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 10 11 tend tend VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 10 12 to to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 10 13 exhibit exhibit VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 10 14 more more RBR cord-317184-vz829rsy 10 15 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 10 16 like like IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 10 17 behavior behavior NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 10 18 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 10 19 while while IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 10 20 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 10 21 that that WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 10 22 are be VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 10 23 closer close JJR cord-317184-vz829rsy 10 24 behind behind IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 10 25 Italy Italy NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 10 26 tend tend VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 10 27 to to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 10 28 follow follow VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 10 29 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 10 30 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 10 31 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 10 32 growth growth NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 10 33 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 11 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 11 2 hypothesize hypothesize VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 11 3 that that IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 11 4 there there EX cord-317184-vz829rsy 11 5 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 11 6 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 11 7 universal universal JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 11 8 growth growth NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 11 9 pattern pattern NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 11 10 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 11 11 this this DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 11 12 infection infection NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 11 13 that that WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 11 14 starts start VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 11 15 off off RP cord-317184-vz829rsy 11 16 as as RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 11 17 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 11 18 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 11 19 subsequently subsequently RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 11 20 becomes become VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 11 21 more more JJR cord-317184-vz829rsy 11 22 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 11 23 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 11 24 like like IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 11 25 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 12 1 Although although IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 12 2 it -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 12 3 can can MD cord-317184-vz829rsy 12 4 not not RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 12 5 be be VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 12 6 excluded exclude VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 12 7 that that IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 12 8 this this DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 12 9 growth growth NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 12 10 pattern pattern NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 12 11 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 12 12 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 12 13 consequence consequence NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 12 14 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 12 15 social social JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 12 16 distancing distancing NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 12 17 measures measure NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 12 18 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 12 19 an an DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 12 20 alternative alternative JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 12 21 explanation explanation NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 12 22 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 12 23 that that IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 12 24 it -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 12 25 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 12 26 an an DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 12 27 intrinsic intrinsic JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 12 28 epidemic epidemic NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 12 29 growth growth NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 12 30 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 12 31 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 12 32 dictated dictate VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 12 33 by by IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 12 34 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 12 35 spatially spatially RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 12 36 distributed distribute VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 12 37 community community NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 12 38 structure structure NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 12 39 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 12 40 where where WRB cord-317184-vz829rsy 12 41 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 12 42 growth growth NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 12 43 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 12 44 individual individual JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 12 45 highly highly RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 12 46 mixed mixed JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 12 47 communities community NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 12 48 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 12 49 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 12 50 but but CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 13 1 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 13 2 longer long JJR cord-317184-vz829rsy 13 3 term term NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 13 4 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 13 5 local local JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 13 6 geographical geographical JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 13 7 spread spread NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 13 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 13 9 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 13 10 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 13 11 absence absence NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 13 12 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 13 13 global global JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 13 14 mixing mixing NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 13 15 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 13 16 results result NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 13 17 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 13 18 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 13 19 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 13 20 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 13 21 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 13 22 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 14 1 This this DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 14 2 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 14 3 supported support VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 14 4 by by IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 14 5 computer computer NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 14 6 simulations simulation NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 14 7 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 14 8 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 14 9 metapopulation metapopulation NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 14 10 model model NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 14 11 that that WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 14 12 gives give VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 14 13 rise rise NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 14 14 to to IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 14 15 predictions prediction NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 14 16 about about IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 14 17 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 14 18 growth growth NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 14 19 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 14 20 that that WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 14 21 are be VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 14 22 consistent consistent JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 14 23 with with IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 14 24 correlations correlation NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 14 25 found find VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 14 26 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 14 27 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 14 28 epidemiological epidemiological JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 14 29 data datum NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 14 30 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 15 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 15 2 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 15 3 seeing see VBG cord-317184-vz829rsy 15 4 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 15 5 deviation deviation NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 15 6 from from IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 15 7 straight straight JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 15 8 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 15 9 growth growth NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 15 10 may may MD cord-317184-vz829rsy 15 11 not not RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 15 12 be be VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 15 13 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 15 14 consequence consequence NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 15 15 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 15 16 working work VBG cord-317184-vz829rsy 15 17 non non JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 15 18 - - JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 15 19 pharmaceutical pharmaceutical JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 15 20 interventions intervention NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 15 21 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 15 22 except except IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 15 23 for for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 15 24 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 15 25 perhaps perhaps RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 15 26 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 15 27 restricting restrict VBG cord-317184-vz829rsy 15 28 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 15 29 air air NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 15 30 travel travel NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 15 31 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 15 32 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 16 1 Instead instead RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 16 2 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 16 3 this this DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 16 4 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 16 5 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 16 6 normal normal JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 16 7 course course NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 16 8 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 16 9 raging rage VBG cord-317184-vz829rsy 16 10 infection infection NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 16 11 spread spread NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 16 12 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 17 1 On on IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 17 2 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 17 3 practical practical JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 17 4 side side NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 17 5 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 17 6 this this DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 17 7 cautions caution VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 17 8 us -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 17 9 against against IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 17 10 overly overly RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 17 11 optimistic optimistic JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 17 12 interpretations interpretation NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 17 13 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 17 14 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 17 15 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 17 16 epidemic epidemic NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 17 17 development development NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 17 18 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 17 19 emphasizes emphasize VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 17 20 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 17 21 need need NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 17 22 to to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 17 23 continue continue VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 17 24 improving improve VBG cord-317184-vz829rsy 17 25 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 17 26 compliance compliance NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 17 27 with with IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 17 28 social social JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 17 29 distancing distance VBG cord-317184-vz829rsy 17 30 behavior behavior NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 17 31 recommendations recommendation NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 17 32 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 18 1 to to IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 18 2 some some DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 18 3 extent extent NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 18 4 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 18 5 younger young JJR cord-317184-vz829rsy 18 6 segments segment NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 18 7 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 18 8 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 18 9 population population NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 18 10 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 19 1 The the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 19 2 overall overall JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 19 3 mortality mortality NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 19 4 rate rate NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 19 5 further further RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 19 6 depends depend VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 19 7 on on IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 19 8 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 19 9 prevalence prevalence NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 19 10 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 19 11 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 19 12 infection infection NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 19 13 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 19 14 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 19 15 population population NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 19 16 : : : cord-317184-vz829rsy 20 1 Once once RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 20 2 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 20 3 number number NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 20 4 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 20 5 infected infected JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 20 6 individuals individual NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 20 7 has have VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 20 8 reached reach VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 20 9 sufficiently sufficiently RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 20 10 large large JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 20 11 sizes size NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 20 12 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 20 13 health health NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 20 14 care care NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 20 15 systems system NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 20 16 become become VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 20 17 overwhelmed overwhelmed JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 20 18 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 20 19 lose lose VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 20 20 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 20 21 capacity capacity NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 20 22 to to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 20 23 treat treat VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 20 24 all all DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 20 25 patients patient NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 20 26 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 20 27 need need NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 20 28 [ [ -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 20 29 4 4 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 20 30 ] ] -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 20 31 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 21 1 In in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 21 2 particular particular JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 21 3 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 21 4 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 21 5 number number NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 21 6 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 21 7 respirator respirator NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 21 8 units unit NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 21 9 poses pose VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 21 10 an an DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 21 11 important important JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 21 12 limitation limitation NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 21 13 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 21 14 which which WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 21 15 has have VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 21 16 resulted result VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 21 17 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 21 18 difficult difficult JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 21 19 triaging triage VBG cord-317184-vz829rsy 21 20 policies policy NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 21 21 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 21 22 some some DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 21 23 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 21 24 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 21 25 most most RBS cord-317184-vz829rsy 21 26 notably notably RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 21 27 Italy Italy NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 21 28 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 21 29 Spain Spain NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 21 30 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 22 1 Non non JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 22 2 - - JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 22 3 pharmaceutical pharmaceutical JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 22 4 intervention intervention NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 22 5 methods method NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 22 6 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 22 7 such such JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 22 8 as as IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 22 9 social social JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 22 10 distancing distancing NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 22 11 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 22 12 have have VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 22 13 become become VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 22 14 an an DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 22 15 important important JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 22 16 tool tool NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 22 17 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 22 18 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 22 19 fight fight NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 22 20 against against IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 22 21 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 22 22 spread spread VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 22 23 [ [ -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 22 24 5 5 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 22 25 ] ] -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 22 26 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 23 1 The the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 23 2 idea idea NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 23 3 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 23 4 to to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 23 5 slow slow VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 23 6 down down RP cord-317184-vz829rsy 23 7 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 23 8 rate rate NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 23 9 at at IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 23 10 which which WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 23 11 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 23 12 virus virus NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 23 13 spreads spread VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 23 14 through through IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 23 15 human human JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 23 16 populations population NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 23 17 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 23 18 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 23 19 thus thus RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 23 20 to to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 23 21 maintain maintain VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 23 22 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 23 23 number number NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 23 24 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 23 25 infected infected JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 23 26 individuals individual NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 23 27 that that WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 23 28 require require VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 23 29 treatment treatment NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 23 30 below below IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 23 31 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 23 32 threshold threshold NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 23 33 level level NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 23 34 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 23 35 thus thus RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 23 36 avoiding avoid VBG cord-317184-vz829rsy 23 37 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 23 38 situation situation NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 23 39 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 23 40 which which WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 23 41 hospitals hospital NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 23 42 become become VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 23 43 overwhelmed overwhelmed JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 23 44 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 24 1 Hence hence RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 24 2 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 24 3 wide wide JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 24 4 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 24 5 spread spread NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 24 6 closures closure NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 24 7 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 24 8 schools school NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 24 9 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 24 10 businesses business NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 24 11 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 24 12 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 24 13 stay stay VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 24 14 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 24 15 home home NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 24 16 orders order NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 24 17 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 24 18 have have VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 24 19 been be VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 24 20 implemented implement VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 24 21 across across IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 24 22 Asia Asia NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 24 23 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 24 24 America America NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 24 25 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 24 26 Europe Europe NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 24 27 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 24 28 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 24 29 other other JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 24 30 affected affected JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 24 31 regions region NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 24 32 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 25 1 A a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 25 2 number number NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 25 3 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 25 4 studies study NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 25 5 have have VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 25 6 been be VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 25 7 performed perform VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 25 8 that that WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 25 9 investigated investigate VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 25 10 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 25 11 kinetics kinetic NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 25 12 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 25 13 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 25 14 spread spread VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 25 15 through through IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 25 16 human human JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 25 17 populations population NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 25 18 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 26 1 The the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 26 2 pattern pattern NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 26 3 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 26 4 virus virus NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 26 5 spread spread NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 26 6 was be VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 26 7 found find VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 26 8 to to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 26 9 be be VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 26 10 approximately approximately RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 26 11 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 26 12 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 26 13 at at IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 26 14 least least JJS cord-317184-vz829rsy 26 15 during during IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 26 16 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 26 17 early early JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 26 18 stages stage NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 26 19 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 26 20 virus virus NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 26 21 spread spread VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 26 22 [ [ -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 26 23 6 6 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 26 24 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 26 25 7 7 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 26 26 ] ] -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 26 27 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 26 28 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 26 29 importantly importantly RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 26 30 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 26 31 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 26 32 basic basic JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 26 33 reproductive reproductive JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 26 34 ratio ratio NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 26 35 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 26 36 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 26 37 virus virus NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 26 38 has have VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 26 39 been be VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 26 40 estimated estimate VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 26 41 [ [ -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 26 42 8 8 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 26 43 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 26 44 9 9 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 26 45 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 26 46 10 10 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 26 47 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 26 48 11 11 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 26 49 ] ] -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 26 50 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 27 1 The the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 27 2 implementation implementation NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 27 3 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 27 4 social social JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 27 5 distancing distancing NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 27 6 measures measure NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 27 7 are be VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 27 8 expected expect VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 27 9 to to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 27 10 have have VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 27 11 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 27 12 significant significant JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 27 13 impact impact NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 27 14 on on IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 27 15 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 27 16 virus virus NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 27 17 spread spread NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 27 18 kinetics kinetics NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 27 19 [ [ -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 27 20 5 5 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 27 21 ] ] -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 27 22 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 27 23 which which WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 27 24 has have VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 27 25 been be VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 27 26 observed observe VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 27 27 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 27 28 some some DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 27 29 Asian asian JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 27 30 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 27 31 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 27 32 such such JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 27 33 as as IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 27 34 China China NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 27 35 [ [ -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 27 36 12 12 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 27 37 ] ] -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 27 38 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 28 1 While while IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 28 2 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 28 3 effect effect NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 28 4 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 28 5 containment containment NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 28 6 efforts effort NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 28 7 have have VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 28 8 been be VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 28 9 very very RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 28 10 pronounced pronounced JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 28 11 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 28 12 these these DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 28 13 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 28 14 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 28 15 they -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 28 16 might may MD cord-317184-vz829rsy 28 17 be be VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 28 18 more more RBR cord-317184-vz829rsy 28 19 subtle subtle JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 28 20 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 28 21 other other JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 28 22 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 28 23 across across IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 28 24 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 28 25 globe globe NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 28 26 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 28 27 especially especially RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 28 28 during during IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 28 29 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 28 30 initial initial JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 28 31 phase phase NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 28 32 following follow VBG cord-317184-vz829rsy 28 33 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-317184-vz829rsy 28 34 implementation implementation NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 28 35 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 29 1 To to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 29 2 better well RBR cord-317184-vz829rsy 29 3 assess assess VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 29 4 observed observe VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 29 5 virus virus NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 29 6 spread spread NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 29 7 trajectories trajectory NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 29 8 following follow VBG cord-317184-vz829rsy 29 9 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 29 10 implementation implementation NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 29 11 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 29 12 social social JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 29 13 distancing distancing NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 29 14 measures measure NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 29 15 , , . cord-317184-vz829rsy 30 1 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 30 2 more more RBR cord-317184-vz829rsy 30 3 detailed detailed JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 30 4 understanding understanding NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 30 5 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 30 6 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 30 7 basic basic JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 30 8 kinetics kinetic NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 30 9 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 30 10 virus virus NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 30 11 spread spread VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 30 12 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 30 13 different different JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 30 14 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 30 15 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 30 16 required require VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 30 17 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 31 1 While while IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 31 2 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 31 3 virus virus NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 31 4 spread spread NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 31 5 pattern pattern NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 31 6 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 31 7 often often RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 31 8 quoted quote VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 31 9 to to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 31 10 be be VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 31 11 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 31 12 [ [ -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 31 13 6 6 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 31 14 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 31 15 7 7 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 31 16 ] ] -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 31 17 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 31 18 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 31 19 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 31 20 patterns pattern NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 31 21 have have VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 31 22 been be VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 31 23 reported report VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 31 24 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 31 25 data datum NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 31 26 from from IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 31 27 China China NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 31 28 [ [ -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 31 29 13 13 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 31 30 ] ] -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 31 31 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 32 1 In in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 32 2 this this DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 32 3 study study NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 32 4 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 32 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 32 6 compare compare VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 32 7 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 32 8 per per IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 32 9 capita capita FW cord-317184-vz829rsy 32 10 virus virus NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 32 11 spread spread VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 32 12 kinetics kinetic NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 32 13 observed observe VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 32 14 for for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 32 15 many many JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 32 16 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 32 17 around around IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 32 18 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 32 19 globe globe NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 32 20 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 32 21 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 32 22 order order NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 32 23 to to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 32 24 obtain obtain VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 32 25 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 32 26 better well JJR cord-317184-vz829rsy 32 27 understanding understanding NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 32 28 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 32 29 similarities similarity NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 32 30 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 32 31 differences difference NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 32 32 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 33 1 Interestingly interestingly RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 33 2 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 33 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 33 4 find find VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 33 5 that that IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 33 6 as as IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 33 7 per per IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 33 8 capita capita FW cord-317184-vz829rsy 33 9 infections infection NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 33 10 grow grow VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 33 11 towards towards IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 33 12 larger large JJR cord-317184-vz829rsy 33 13 numbers number NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 33 14 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 33 15 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 33 16 growth growth NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 33 17 pattern pattern NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 33 18 deviates deviate VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 33 19 from from IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 33 20 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 33 21 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 33 22 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 33 23 better well RBR cord-317184-vz829rsy 33 24 described describe VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 33 25 by by IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 33 26 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 33 27 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 33 28 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 33 29 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 34 1 This this DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 34 2 can can MD cord-317184-vz829rsy 34 3 be be VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 34 4 hypothesized hypothesize VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 34 5 to to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 34 6 be be VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 34 7 due due JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 34 8 to to IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 34 9 social social JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 34 10 distancing distancing NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 34 11 measures measure NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 34 12 [ [ -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 34 13 5 5 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 34 14 ] ] -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 34 15 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 34 16 or or CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 34 17 potentially potentially RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 34 18 to to IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 34 19 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 34 20 build build NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 34 21 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 34 22 up up NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 34 23 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 34 24 immunity immunity NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 34 25 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 34 26 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 34 27 population population NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 34 28 [ [ -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 34 29 14 14 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 34 30 ] ] -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 34 31 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 35 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 35 2 show show VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 35 3 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 35 4 however however RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 35 5 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 35 6 that that IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 35 7 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 35 8 longer long JJR cord-317184-vz829rsy 35 9 term term NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 35 10 per per IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 35 11 capita capita FW cord-317184-vz829rsy 35 12 infection infection NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 35 13 levels level NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 35 14 over over IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 35 15 time time NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 35 16 across across IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 35 17 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 35 18 wide wide JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 35 19 array array NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 35 20 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 35 21 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 35 22 can can MD cord-317184-vz829rsy 35 23 be be VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 35 24 remarkably remarkably RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 35 25 similar similar JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 35 26 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 35 27 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 35 28 follow follow VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 35 29 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 35 30 same same JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 35 31 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 35 32 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 35 33 trajectory trajectory NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 35 34 as as IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 35 35 seen see VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 35 36 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 35 37 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 35 38 that that WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 35 39 are be VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 35 40 most most RBS cord-317184-vz829rsy 35 41 strongly strongly RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 35 42 affected affect VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 35 43 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 35 44 such such JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 35 45 as as IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 35 46 Italy Italy NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 35 47 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 36 1 This this DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 36 2 indicates indicate VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 36 3 that that IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 36 4 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 36 5 long long JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 36 6 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 36 7 term term NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 36 8 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 36 9 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 36 10 COVID19 COVID19 NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 36 11 spread spread VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 36 12 might may MD cord-317184-vz829rsy 36 13 be be VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 36 14 intrinsically intrinsically RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 36 15 governed govern VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 36 16 by by IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 36 17 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 36 18 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 36 19 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 36 20 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 36 21 even even RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 36 22 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 36 23 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 36 24 absence absence NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 36 25 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 36 26 non non JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 36 27 - - JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 36 28 pharmaceutical pharmaceutical JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 36 29 interventions intervention NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 36 30 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 37 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 37 2 interpret interpret VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 37 3 these these DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 37 4 findings finding NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 37 5 with with IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 37 6 computer computer NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 37 7 simulations simulation NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 37 8 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 37 9 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 37 10 metapopulation metapopulation NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 37 11 model model NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 37 12 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 37 13 which which WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 37 14 can can MD cord-317184-vz829rsy 37 15 account account VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 37 16 for for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 37 17 an an DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 37 18 initial initial JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 37 19 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 37 20 spread spread NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 37 21 phase phase NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 37 22 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 37 23 followed follow VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 37 24 by by IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 37 25 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 37 26 longer long JJR cord-317184-vz829rsy 37 27 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 37 28 term term NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 37 29 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 37 30 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 37 31 behavior behavior NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 37 32 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 37 33 by by IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 37 34 assuming assume VBG cord-317184-vz829rsy 37 35 that that IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 37 36 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 37 37 infection infection NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 37 38 spreads spread VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 37 39 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 37 40 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 37 41 well well RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 37 42 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 37 43 mixed mix VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 37 44 manner manner NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 37 45 inside inside IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 37 46 local local JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 37 47 demes deme NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 37 48 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 37 49 while while IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 37 50 also also RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 37 51 spreading spread VBG cord-317184-vz829rsy 37 52 spatially spatially RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 37 53 across across IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 37 54 different different JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 37 55 demes deme NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 37 56 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 38 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 38 2 relate relate VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 38 3 model model NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 38 4 predictions prediction NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 38 5 to to IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 38 6 epidemiological epidemiological JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 38 7 correlations correlation NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 38 8 found find VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 38 9 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 38 10 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 38 11 data datum NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 38 12 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 39 1 These these DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 39 2 insights insight NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 39 3 into into IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 39 4 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 39 5 spread spread NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 39 6 kinetics kinetics NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 39 7 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 39 8 COVID19 COVID19 NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 39 9 might may MD cord-317184-vz829rsy 39 10 be be VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 39 11 useful useful JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 39 12 for for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 39 13 assessing assess VBG cord-317184-vz829rsy 39 14 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 39 15 impact impact NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 39 16 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 39 17 non non JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 39 18 - - JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 39 19 pharmaceutical pharmaceutical JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 39 20 intervention intervention NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 39 21 methods method NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 39 22 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 39 23 different different JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 39 24 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 39 25 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 40 1 The the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 40 2 data datum NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 40 3 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 40 4 confirmed confirm VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 40 5 COVID19 covid19 IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 40 6 cases case NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 40 7 over over IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 40 8 time time NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 40 9 have have VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 40 10 been be VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 40 11 obtained obtain VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 40 12 from from IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 40 13 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 40 14 data data NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 40 15 repository repository NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 40 16 maintained maintain VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 40 17 by by IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 40 18 Johns Johns NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 40 19 Hopkins Hopkins NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 40 20 University University NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 40 21 Center Center NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 40 22 for for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 40 23 Systems Systems NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 40 24 Science Science NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 40 25 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 40 26 Engineering Engineering NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 40 27 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 40 28 CSSE CSSE NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 40 29 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 40 30 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 40 31 https://datahub.io/core/covid-19#data-cli https://datahub.io/core/covid-19#data-cli ADD cord-317184-vz829rsy 40 32 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 40 33 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 41 1 As as IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 41 2 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 41 3 March March NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 41 4 28 28 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 41 5 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 41 6 174 174 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 41 7 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 41 8 were be VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 41 9 represented represent VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 41 10 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 41 11 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 41 12 database database NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 41 13 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 41 14 as as RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 41 15 well well RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 41 16 as as IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 41 17 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 41 18 cases case NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 41 19 on on IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 41 20 " " `` cord-317184-vz829rsy 41 21 Diamond Diamond NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 41 22 Princess Princess NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 41 23 " " '' cord-317184-vz829rsy 41 24 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 41 25 which which WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 41 26 were be VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 41 27 not not RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 41 28 used use VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 41 29 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 41 30 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 41 31 analysis analysis NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 41 32 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 41 33 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 42 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 42 2 only only RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 42 3 included include VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 42 4 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 42 5 total total JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 42 6 counts count NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 42 7 for for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 42 8 each each DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 42 9 country country NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 42 10 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 42 11 even even RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 42 12 though though IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 42 13 information information NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 42 14 on on IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 42 15 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 42 16 different different JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 42 17 provinces province NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 42 18 was be VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 42 19 available available JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 42 20 for for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 42 21 several several JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 42 22 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 42 23 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 43 1 The the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 43 2 number number NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 43 3 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 43 4 confirmed confirm VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 43 5 cases case NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 43 6 has have VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 43 7 been be VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 43 8 recorded record VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 43 9 since since IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 43 10 January January NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 43 11 22 22 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 43 12 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 43 13 2020 2020 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 43 14 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 43 15 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 43 16 has have VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 43 17 been be VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 43 18 updated update VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 43 19 daily daily RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 43 20 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 44 1 To to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 44 2 compare compare VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 44 3 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 44 4 time time NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 44 5 course course NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 44 6 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 44 7 COVID19 covid19 NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 44 8 cases case NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 44 9 across across IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 44 10 different different JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 44 11 locations location NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 44 12 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 44 13 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 44 14 per per IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 44 15 capita capita FW cord-317184-vz829rsy 44 16 incidence incidence NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 44 17 was be VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 44 18 calculated calculate VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 44 19 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 44 20 normalizing normalize VBG cord-317184-vz829rsy 44 21 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 44 22 numbers number NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 44 23 by by IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 44 24 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 44 25 total total JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 44 26 population population NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 44 27 size size NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 44 28 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 44 29 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 44 30 country country NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 44 31 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 45 1 The the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 45 2 information information NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 45 3 on on IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 45 4 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 45 5 population population NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 45 6 size size NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 45 7 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 45 8 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 45 9 area area NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 45 10 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 45 11 different different JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 45 12 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 45 13 was be VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 45 14 taken take VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 45 15 from from IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 45 16 Wolfram Wolfram NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 45 17 Mathematica Mathematica NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 45 18 's 's POS cord-317184-vz829rsy 45 19 database database NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 45 20 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 45 21 " " `` cord-317184-vz829rsy 45 22 CountryData CountryData NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 45 23 " " '' cord-317184-vz829rsy 45 24 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 46 1 Here here RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 46 2 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 46 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 46 4 present present VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 46 5 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 46 6 comparison comparison NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 46 7 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 46 8 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 46 9 kinetics kinetic NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 46 10 according accord VBG cord-317184-vz829rsy 46 11 to to IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 46 12 which which WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 46 13 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 46 14 COVID19 covid19 IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 46 15 cases case NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 46 16 grow grow VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 46 17 over over IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 46 18 time time NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 46 19 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 46 20 different different JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 46 21 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 46 22 around around IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 46 23 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 46 24 world world NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 46 25 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 47 1 Figure figure NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 47 2 1 1 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 47 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 47 4 a a NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 47 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 47 6 presents present VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 47 7 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 47 8 raw raw JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 47 9 data datum NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 47 10 showing show VBG cord-317184-vz829rsy 47 11 total total JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 47 12 case case NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 47 13 counts count VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 47 14 for for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 47 15 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 47 16 select select JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 47 17 number number NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 47 18 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 47 19 key key JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 47 20 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 47 21 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 48 1 Figure figure NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 48 2 1 1 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 48 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 48 4 b b NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 48 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 48 6 shows show VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 48 7 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 48 8 corresponding corresponding JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 48 9 per per IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 48 10 million million CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 48 11 case case NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 48 12 counts count NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 48 13 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 49 1 A a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 49 2 complication complication NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 49 3 for for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 49 4 comparing compare VBG cord-317184-vz829rsy 49 5 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 49 6 growth growth NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 49 7 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 49 8 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 49 9 that that IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 49 10 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 49 11 timing timing NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 49 12 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 49 13 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 49 14 onset onset NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 49 15 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 49 16 community community NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 49 17 spread spread NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 49 18 varies vary VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 49 19 across across IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 49 20 locations location NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 49 21 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 50 1 The the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 50 2 growth growth NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 50 3 curve curve NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 50 4 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 50 5 confirmed confirm VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 50 6 cases case NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 50 7 was be VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 50 8 therefore therefore RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 50 9 shifted shift VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 50 10 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 50 11 time time NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 50 12 to to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 50 13 make make VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 50 14 them -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 50 15 comparable comparable JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 50 16 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 50 17 according accord VBG cord-317184-vz829rsy 50 18 to to IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 50 19 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 50 20 following follow VBG cord-317184-vz829rsy 50 21 procedure procedure NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 50 22 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 51 1 The the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 51 2 cumulative cumulative NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 51 3 confirmed confirm VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 51 4 COVID19 COVID19 NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 51 5 case case NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 51 6 counts count VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 51 7 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 51 8 Italy Italy NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 51 9 were be VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 51 10 chosen choose VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 51 11 to to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 51 12 be be VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 51 13 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 51 14 example example NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 51 15 against against IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 51 16 which which WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 51 17 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 51 18 growth growth NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 51 19 curves curve VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 51 20 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 51 21 all all DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 51 22 other other JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 51 23 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 51 24 were be VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 51 25 compared compare VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 51 26 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 51 27 due due IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 51 28 to to IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 51 29 Italy Italy NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 51 30 being be VBG cord-317184-vz829rsy 51 31 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 51 32 current current JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 51 33 epicenter epicenter NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 51 34 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 51 35 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 51 36 outbreak outbreak NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 51 37 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 52 1 The the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 52 2 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 52 3 normalized normalize VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 52 4 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 52 5 cases case NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 52 6 per per IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 52 7 million million CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 52 8 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 52 9 infection infection NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 52 10 growth growth NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 52 11 curves curve NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 52 12 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 52 13 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 52 14 other other JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 52 15 locations location NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 52 16 were be VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 52 17 shifted shift VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 52 18 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 52 19 time time NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 52 20 such such JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 52 21 that that IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 52 22 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 52 23 difference difference NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 52 24 between between IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 52 25 all all DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 52 26 data datum NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 52 27 points point NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 52 28 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 52 29 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 52 30 country country NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 52 31 under under IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 52 32 consideration consideration NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 52 33 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 52 34 Italy Italy NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 52 35 was be VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 52 36 minimized minimize VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 52 37 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 53 1 The the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 53 2 shift shift NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 53 3 that that WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 53 4 minimized minimize VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 53 5 this this DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 53 6 Euclidean euclidean JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 53 7 distance distance NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 53 8 between between IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 53 9 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 53 10 curves curve NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 53 11 was be VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 53 12 assumed assume VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 53 13 to to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 53 14 indicate indicate VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 53 15 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 53 16 number number NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 53 17 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 53 18 days day NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 53 19 that that WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 53 20 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 53 21 country country NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 53 22 lags lag VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 53 23 behind behind IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 53 24 Italy Italy NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 53 25 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 54 1 Some some DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 54 2 examples example NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 54 3 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 54 4 such such JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 54 5 results result NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 54 6 are be VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 54 7 presented present VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 54 8 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 54 9 figure figure NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 54 10 2 2 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 54 11 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 55 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 55 2 note note VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 55 3 that that IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 55 4 this this DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 55 5 assumes assume VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 55 6 that that IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 55 7 all all PDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 55 8 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 55 9 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 55 10 test test VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 55 11 for for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 55 12 COVID19 COVID19 NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 55 13 at at IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 55 14 comparable comparable JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 55 15 levels level NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 55 16 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 55 17 which which WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 55 18 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 55 19 an an DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 55 20 over over IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 55 21 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 55 22 simplification simplification NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 55 23 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 56 1 If if IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 56 2 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 56 3 country country NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 56 4 tests test VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 56 5 less less JJR cord-317184-vz829rsy 56 6 than than IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 56 7 Italy Italy NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 56 8 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 56 9 it -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 56 10 will will MD cord-317184-vz829rsy 56 11 lag lag VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 56 12 behind behind IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 56 13 Italy Italy NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 56 14 to to IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 56 15 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 56 16 lesser less JJR cord-317184-vz829rsy 56 17 extent extent NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 56 18 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 57 1 Conversely conversely RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 57 2 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 57 3 if if IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 57 4 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 57 5 country country NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 57 6 tests test VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 57 7 more more JJR cord-317184-vz829rsy 57 8 than than IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 57 9 Italy Italy NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 57 10 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 57 11 3 3 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 57 12 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 58 1 CC CC NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 58 2 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 58 3 BY BY NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 58 4 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 58 5 NC NC NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 58 6 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 58 7 ND ND NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 58 8 4.0 4.0 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 58 9 International international JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 58 10 license license NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 58 11 It -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 58 12 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 58 13 made make VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 58 14 available available JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 58 15 under under IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 58 16 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 58 17 author author NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 58 18 / / SYM cord-317184-vz829rsy 58 19 funder funder NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 58 20 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 58 21 who who WP cord-317184-vz829rsy 58 22 has have VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 58 23 granted grant VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 58 24 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 58 25 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 58 26 license license NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 58 27 to to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 58 28 display display VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 58 29 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 58 30 preprint preprint NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 58 31 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 58 32 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 58 33 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 59 1 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 59 2 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 59 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 59 4 which which WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 59 5 was be VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 59 6 not not RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 59 7 peer peer NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 59 8 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 59 9 reviewed review VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 59 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 60 1 The the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 60 2 copyright copyright NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 60 3 holder holder NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 60 4 for for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 60 5 this this DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 60 6 preprint preprint NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 60 7 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 61 1 it -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 61 2 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 61 3 predicted predict VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 61 4 to to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 61 5 be be VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 61 6 further further RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 61 7 behind behind IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 61 8 Italy Italy NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 61 9 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 62 1 Reliable reliable JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 62 2 data datum NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 62 3 on on IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 62 4 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 62 5 total total JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 62 6 number number NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 62 7 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 62 8 tests test NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 62 9 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 62 10 different different JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 62 11 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 62 12 are be VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 62 13 currently currently RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 62 14 not not RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 62 15 available available JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 62 16 to to IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 62 17 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-317184-vz829rsy 62 18 knowledge knowledge NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 62 19 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 63 1 In in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 63 2 this this DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 63 3 way way NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 63 4 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 63 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 63 6 obtained obtain VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 63 7 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 63 8 time time NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 63 9 course course NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 63 10 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 63 11 confirmed confirm VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 63 12 COVID19 covid19 IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 63 13 cases case NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 63 14 that that WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 63 15 are be VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 63 16 temporally temporally RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 63 17 synchronized synchronize VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 63 18 with with IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 63 19 Italy Italy NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 63 20 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 63 21 which which WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 63 22 allows allow VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 63 23 for for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 63 24 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 63 25 more more RBR cord-317184-vz829rsy 63 26 straightforward straightforward JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 63 27 comparison comparison NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 63 28 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 63 29 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 63 30 kinetics kinetic NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 63 31 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 63 32 _SP cord-317184-vz829rsy 64 1 Heterogeneity heterogeneity NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 64 2 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 64 3 growth growth NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 64 4 laws law NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 64 5 across across IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 64 6 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 64 7 different different JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 64 8 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 64 9 are be VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 64 10 observed observe VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 64 11 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 65 1 While while IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 65 2 some some DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 65 3 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 65 4 appear appear VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 65 5 to to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 65 6 show show VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 65 7 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 65 8 growth growth NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 65 9 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 65 10 confirmed confirm VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 65 11 COVID19 covid19 IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 65 12 cases case NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 65 13 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 65 14 other other JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 65 15 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 65 16 appear appear VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 65 17 to to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 65 18 exhibit exhibit VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 65 19 growth growth NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 65 20 laws law NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 65 21 that that WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 65 22 deviate deviate VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 65 23 from from IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 65 24 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 65 25 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 66 1 Previous previous JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 66 2 work work NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 66 3 [ [ -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 66 4 13 13 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 66 5 ] ] -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 66 6 has have VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 66 7 suggested suggest VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 66 8 that that IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 66 9 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 66 10 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 66 11 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 66 12 might may MD cord-317184-vz829rsy 66 13 be be VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 66 14 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 66 15 better well JJR cord-317184-vz829rsy 66 16 description description NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 66 17 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 66 18 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 66 19 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 66 20 COVID19 COVID19 NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 66 21 cases case NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 66 22 over over IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 66 23 time time NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 66 24 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 66 25 China China NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 66 26 during during IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 66 27 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 66 28 earlier early JJR cord-317184-vz829rsy 66 29 stages stage NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 66 30 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 66 31 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 66 32 epidemic epidemic NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 66 33 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 66 34 before before IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 66 35 it -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 66 36 was be VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 66 37 controlled control VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 66 38 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 66 39 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 67 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 67 2 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 67 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 67 4 hypothesized hypothesize VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 67 5 that that IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 67 6 for for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 67 7 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 67 8 subset subset NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 67 9 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 67 10 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 67 11 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 67 12 that that WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 67 13 were be VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 67 14 analyzed analyze VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 67 15 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 67 16 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 67 17 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 67 18 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 67 19 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 67 20 an an DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 67 21 appropriate appropriate JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 67 22 description description NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 67 23 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 68 1 To to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 68 2 test test VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 68 3 this this DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 68 4 hypothesis hypothesis NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 68 5 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 68 6 we -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 68 7 fit fit VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 68 8 both both DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 68 9 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 68 10 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 68 11 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 68 12 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 68 13 curves curve NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 68 14 to to IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 68 15 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 68 16 data datum NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 68 17 for for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 68 18 each each DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 68 19 country country NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 68 20 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 68 21 determined determine VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 68 22 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 68 23 goodness goodness NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 68 24 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 68 25 fit fit NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 68 26 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 69 1 This this DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 69 2 data datum NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 69 3 fitting fitting NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 69 4 was be VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 69 5 performed perform VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 69 6 as as IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 69 7 follows follow VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 69 8 : : : cord-317184-vz829rsy 69 9 Only only RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 69 10 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 69 11 data data NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 69 12 points point NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 69 13 were be VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 69 14 considered consider VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 69 15 where where WRB cord-317184-vz829rsy 69 16 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 69 17 number number NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 69 18 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 69 19 COVID19 covid19 NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 69 20 cases case NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 69 21 had have VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 69 22 risen rise VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 69 23 above above IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 69 24 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 69 25 threshold threshold NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 69 26 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 69 27 which which WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 69 28 we -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 69 29 set set VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 69 30 at at IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 69 31 1 1 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 69 32 case case NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 69 33 per per IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 69 34 million million CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 69 35 people people NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 69 36 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 69 37 see see VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 69 38 Appendix Appendix NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 69 39 for for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 69 40 variations variation NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 69 41 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 69 42 this this DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 69 43 threshold threshold NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 69 44 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 69 45 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 70 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 70 2 fit fit VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 70 3 both both CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 70 4 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 70 5 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 70 6 function function NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 70 7 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 70 8 an an DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 70 9 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 70 10 function function NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 70 11 to to IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 70 12 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 70 13 data datum NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 70 14 to to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 70 15 determine determine VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 70 16 which which WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 70 17 model model NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 70 18 fits fit VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 70 19 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 70 20 data datum NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 70 21 better well RBR cord-317184-vz829rsy 70 22 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 71 1 For for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 71 2 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 71 3 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 71 4 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 71 5 function function NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 71 6 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 71 7 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 71 8 complication complication NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 71 9 arose arise VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 71 10 because because IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 71 11 fitting fitting NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 71 12 requires require VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 71 13 knowledge knowledge NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 71 14 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 71 15 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 71 16 " " `` cord-317184-vz829rsy 71 17 zero zero CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 71 18 " " '' cord-317184-vz829rsy 71 19 point point NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 71 20 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 71 21 that that RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 71 22 is is RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 71 23 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 71 24 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 71 25 moment moment NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 71 26 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 71 27 time time NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 71 28 when when WRB cord-317184-vz829rsy 71 29 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 71 30 growth growth NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 71 31 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 71 32 according accord VBG cord-317184-vz829rsy 71 33 to to IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 71 34 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 71 35 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 71 36 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 71 37 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 71 38 began begin VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 71 39 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 72 1 The the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 72 2 fits fit NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 72 3 to to IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 72 4 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 72 5 data data NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 72 6 change change NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 72 7 if if IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 72 8 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 72 9 time time NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 72 10 scale scale NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 72 11 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 72 12 changed change VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 72 13 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 73 1 Hence hence RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 73 2 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 73 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 73 4 started start VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 73 5 by by IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 73 6 assuming assume VBG cord-317184-vz829rsy 73 7 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 73 8 first first JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 73 9 data data NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 73 10 point point NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 73 11 to to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 73 12 be be VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 73 13 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 73 14 day day NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 73 15 when when WRB cord-317184-vz829rsy 73 16 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 73 17 infection infection NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 73 18 frequency frequency NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 73 19 first first RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 73 20 exceeded exceed VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 73 21 1 1 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 73 22 case case NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 73 23 per per IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 73 24 million million CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 73 25 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 73 26 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 73 27 fitted fit VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 73 28 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 73 29 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 73 30 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 73 31 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 73 32 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 73 33 1 1 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 73 34 x x SYM cord-317184-vz829rsy 73 35 b b NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 73 36 1 1 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 73 37 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 73 38 for for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 73 39 some some DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 73 40 constants constant NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 73 41 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 73 42 1 1 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 73 43 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 73 44 Figure figure NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 73 45 2 2 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 73 46 : : : cord-317184-vz829rsy 74 1 The the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 74 2 same same JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 74 3 data datum NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 74 4 as as IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 74 5 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 74 6 figure figure NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 74 7 1 1 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 74 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 74 9 bottom bottom NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 74 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 74 11 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 74 12 presented present VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 74 13 by by IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 74 14 shifting shift VBG cord-317184-vz829rsy 74 15 individuals individual NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 74 16 lines line NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 74 17 to to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 74 18 match match VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 74 19 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 74 20 Italy Italy NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 74 21 curve curve NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 74 22 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 75 1 The the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 75 2 table table NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 75 3 shows show VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 75 4 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 75 5 lag lag NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 75 6 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 75 7 that that RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 75 8 is is RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 75 9 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 75 10 by by IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 75 11 how how WRB cord-317184-vz829rsy 75 12 many many JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 75 13 days day NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 75 14 each each DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 75 15 country country NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 75 16 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 75 17 behind behind IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 75 18 Italy Italy NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 75 19 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 76 1 b b LS cord-317184-vz829rsy 76 2 1 1 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 76 3 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 77 1 Then then RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 77 2 we -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 77 3 shifted shift VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 77 4 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 77 5 time time NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 77 6 series series NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 77 7 incrementally incrementally RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 77 8 by by IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 77 9 one one CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 77 10 day day NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 77 11 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 77 12 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 77 13 for for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 77 14 each each DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 77 15 shift shift NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 77 16 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 77 17 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 77 18 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 77 19 was be VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 77 20 fitted fit VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 77 21 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 78 1 For for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 78 2 each each DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 78 3 fitting fitting JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 78 4 frame frame NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 78 5 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 78 6 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 78 7 different different JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 78 8 value value NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 78 9 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 78 10 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 78 11 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 78 12 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 78 13 exponent exponent NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 78 14 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 78 15 b b NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 78 16 1 1 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 78 17 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 78 18 was be VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 78 19 obtained obtain VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 78 20 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 79 1 Subsequently subsequently RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 79 2 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 79 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 79 4 fit fit VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 79 5 an an DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 79 6 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 79 7 function function NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 79 8 to to IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 79 9 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 79 10 same same JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 79 11 data datum NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 79 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 79 13 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 79 14 2 2 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 79 15 e e NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 79 16 b b NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 79 17 2 2 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 79 18 x x SYM cord-317184-vz829rsy 79 19 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 79 20 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 80 1 The the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 80 2 estimated estimate VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 80 3 exponent exponent NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 80 4 does do VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 80 5 not not RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 80 6 depend depend VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 80 7 on on IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 80 8 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 80 9 time time NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 80 10 shift shift NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 80 11 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 80 12 so so RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 80 13 fitting fit VBG cord-317184-vz829rsy 80 14 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 80 15 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 80 16 function function NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 80 17 was be VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 80 18 straightforward straightforward JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 80 19 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 80 20 yields yield VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 80 21 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 80 22 unique unique JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 80 23 value value NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 80 24 b b NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 80 25 2 2 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 80 26 for for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 80 27 all all PDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 80 28 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 80 29 fitting fitting JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 80 30 frames frame NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 80 31 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 81 1 For for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 81 2 both both CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 81 3 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 81 4 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 81 5 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 81 6 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 81 7 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 81 8 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 81 9 fits fit VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 81 10 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 81 11 we -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 81 12 determined determine VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 81 13 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 81 14 sum sum NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 81 15 squared squared JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 81 16 error error NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 81 17 between between IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 81 18 observed observed JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 81 19 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 81 20 expected expect VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 81 21 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 81 22 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 81 23 compared compare VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 81 24 them -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 81 25 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 82 1 For for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 82 2 more more JJR cord-317184-vz829rsy 82 3 details detail NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 82 4 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 82 5 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 82 6 fitting fitting JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 82 7 procedure procedure NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 82 8 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 82 9 see see VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 82 10 Appendix Appendix NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 82 11 A. a. NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 82 12 Figure figure NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 82 13 3 3 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 82 14 shows show VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 82 15 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 82 16 fitting fitting JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 82 17 errors error NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 82 18 calculated calculate VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 82 19 for for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 82 20 75 75 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 82 21 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 82 22 ; ; : cord-317184-vz829rsy 82 23 we -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 82 24 included include VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 82 25 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 82 26 country country NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 82 27 if if IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 82 28 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 82 29 number number NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 82 30 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 82 31 cases case NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 82 32 reached reach VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 82 33 20 20 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 82 34 per per IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 82 35 million million CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 82 36 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 82 37 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 82 38 excluded exclude VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 82 39 China China NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 82 40 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 82 41 South South NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 82 42 Korea Korea NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 82 43 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 82 44 since since IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 82 45 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-317184-vz829rsy 82 46 epidemics epidemic NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 82 47 clearly clearly RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 82 48 deviate deviate VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 82 49 from from IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 82 50 an an DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 82 51 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 82 52 or or CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 82 53 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 82 54 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 82 55 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 82 56 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 83 1 The the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 83 2 yellow yellow JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 83 3 horizontal horizontal JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 83 4 lines line NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 83 5 represent represent VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 83 6 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 83 7 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 83 8 fitting fitting NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 83 9 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 83 10 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 83 11 blue blue JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 83 12 lines line NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 83 13 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 83 14 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 83 15 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 83 16 fitting fitting NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 83 17 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 84 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 84 2 observe observe VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 84 3 that that IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 84 4 there there EX cord-317184-vz829rsy 84 5 are be VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 84 6 several several JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 84 7 different different JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 84 8 configurations configuration NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 84 9 that that WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 84 10 are be VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 84 11 repeatedly repeatedly RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 84 12 encountered encounter VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 84 13 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 85 1 • • NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 86 1 For for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 86 2 some some DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 86 3 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 86 4 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 86 5 like like IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 86 6 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 86 7 US US NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 86 8 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 86 9 see see VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 86 10 also also RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 86 11 figure figure VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 86 12 4(a 4(a CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 86 13 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 86 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 86 15 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 86 16 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 86 17 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 86 18 fitting fitting NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 86 19 error error NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 86 20 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 86 21 always always RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 86 22 above above IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 86 23 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 86 24 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 86 25 fitting fitting NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 86 26 error error NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 86 27 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 87 1 Such such JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 87 2 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 87 3 are be VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 87 4 clearly clearly RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 87 5 showing show VBG cord-317184-vz829rsy 87 6 an an DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 87 7 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 87 8 epidemic epidemic NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 87 9 growth growth NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 87 10 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 88 1 • • NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 89 1 There there EX cord-317184-vz829rsy 89 2 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 89 3 another another DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 89 4 group group NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 89 5 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 89 6 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 89 7 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 89 8 such such JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 89 9 as as IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 89 10 Italy Italy NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 89 11 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 89 12 see see VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 89 13 also also RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 89 14 figure figure VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 89 15 4(b 4(b CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 89 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 89 17 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 89 18 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 89 19 where where WRB cord-317184-vz829rsy 89 20 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 89 21 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 89 22 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 89 23 fitting fitting NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 89 24 error error NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 89 25 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 89 26 always always RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 89 27 below below IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 89 28 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 89 29 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 89 30 error error NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 89 31 ; ; : cord-317184-vz829rsy 89 32 here here RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 89 33 we -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 89 34 clearly clearly RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 89 35 have have VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 89 36 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 89 37 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 89 38 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 89 39 growth growth NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 89 40 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 90 1 • • NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 91 1 There there EX cord-317184-vz829rsy 91 2 are be VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 91 3 some some DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 91 4 other other JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 91 5 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 91 6 that that WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 91 7 we -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 91 8 can can MD cord-317184-vz829rsy 91 9 classify classify VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 91 10 as as IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 91 11 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 91 12 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 91 13 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 91 14 like like JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 91 15 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 91 16 exponential-5 exponential-5 NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 91 17 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 92 1 CC CC NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 92 2 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 92 3 BY BY NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 92 4 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 92 5 NC NC NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 92 6 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 92 7 ND ND NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 92 8 4.0 4.0 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 92 9 International international JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 92 10 license license NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 92 11 It -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 92 12 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 92 13 made make VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 92 14 available available JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 92 15 under under IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 92 16 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 92 17 author author NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 92 18 / / SYM cord-317184-vz829rsy 92 19 funder funder NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 92 20 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 92 21 who who WP cord-317184-vz829rsy 92 22 has have VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 92 23 granted grant VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 92 24 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 92 25 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 92 26 license license NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 92 27 to to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 92 28 display display VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 92 29 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 92 30 preprint preprint NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 92 31 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 92 32 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 92 33 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 93 1 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 93 2 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 93 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 93 4 which which WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 93 5 was be VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 93 6 not not RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 93 7 peer peer NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 93 8 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 93 9 reviewed review VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 93 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 94 1 The the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 94 2 copyright copyright NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 94 3 holder holder NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 94 4 for for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 94 5 this this DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 94 6 preprint preprint NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 94 7 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 95 1 like like UH cord-317184-vz829rsy 95 2 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 96 1 Suppose suppose VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 96 2 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 96 3 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 96 4 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 96 5 error error NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 96 6 curve curve NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 96 7 crosses cross VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 96 8 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 96 9 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 96 10 error error NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 96 11 line line NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 96 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 96 13 see see VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 96 14 Greece Greece NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 96 15 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 96 16 figure figure VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 96 17 4(c 4(c CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 96 18 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 96 19 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 96 20 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 96 21 at at IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 96 22 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 96 23 given give VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 96 24 frame frame NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 96 25 shift shift NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 96 26 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 97 1 In in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 97 2 this this DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 97 3 case case NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 97 4 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 97 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 97 6 will will MD cord-317184-vz829rsy 97 7 classify classify VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 97 8 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 97 9 growth growth NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 97 10 as as IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 97 11 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 97 12 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 97 13 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 97 14 like like JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 97 15 if if IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 97 16 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 97 17 value value NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 97 18 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 97 19 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 97 20 exponent exponent NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 97 21 b b NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 97 22 1 1 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 97 23 that that WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 97 24 corresponds correspond VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 97 25 to to IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 97 26 this this DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 97 27 frame frame NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 97 28 shift shift NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 97 29 satisfies satisfy VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 97 30 b b NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 97 31 1 1 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 97 32 < < XX cord-317184-vz829rsy 97 33 5 5 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 97 34 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 98 1 Otherwise otherwise RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 98 2 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 98 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 98 4 will will MD cord-317184-vz829rsy 98 5 classify classify VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 98 6 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 98 7 growth growth NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 98 8 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 98 9 as as IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 98 10 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 98 11 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 98 12 like like JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 98 13 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 99 1 For for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 99 2 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 99 3 examples example NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 99 4 mentioned mention VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 99 5 here here RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 99 6 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 99 7 figure figure NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 99 8 4 4 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 99 9 shows show VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 99 10 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 99 11 best good JJS cord-317184-vz829rsy 99 12 fits fit NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 99 13 obtained obtain VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 99 14 by by IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 99 15 this this DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 99 16 method method NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 99 17 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 100 1 For for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 100 2 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 100 3 b b NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 100 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 100 5 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 100 6 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 100 7 c c NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 100 8 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 100 9 it -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 100 10 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 100 11 clear clear JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 100 12 that that IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 100 13 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 100 14 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 100 15 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 100 16 provides provide VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 100 17 more more RBR cord-317184-vz829rsy 100 18 satisfactory satisfactory JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 100 19 fits fit NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 100 20 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 101 1 More More JJR cord-317184-vz829rsy 101 2 details detail NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 101 3 are be VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 101 4 provided provide VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 101 5 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 101 6 Appendix Appendix NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 101 7 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 102 1 Since since IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 102 2 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 102 3 smaller small JJR cord-317184-vz829rsy 102 4 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 102 5 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 102 6 such such JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 102 7 as as IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 102 8 for for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 102 9 example example NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 102 10 Luxembourg Luxembourg NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 102 11 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 102 12 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 102 13 laws law NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 102 14 may may MD cord-317184-vz829rsy 102 15 be be VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 102 16 harder hard JJR cord-317184-vz829rsy 102 17 to to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 102 18 determine determine VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 102 19 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 102 20 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 102 21 data datum NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 102 22 are be VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 102 23 subject subject JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 102 24 to to IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 102 25 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 102 26 higher high JJR cord-317184-vz829rsy 102 27 degree degree NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 102 28 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 102 29 noise noise NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 102 30 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 102 31 for for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 102 32 classification classification NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 102 33 purposes purpose NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 102 34 we -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 102 35 restricted restrict VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 102 36 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 102 37 pool pool NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 102 38 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 102 39 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 102 40 to to IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 102 41 those those DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 102 42 with with IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 102 43 over over IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 102 44 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 102 45 million million CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 102 46 inhabitants inhabitant NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 102 47 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 103 1 Then then RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 103 2 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 103 3 following follow VBG cord-317184-vz829rsy 103 4 country country NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 103 5 's 's POS cord-317184-vz829rsy 103 6 epidemics epidemic NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 103 7 were be VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 103 8 classified classify VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 103 9 as as IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 103 10 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 103 11 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 103 12 as as IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 103 13 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 103 14 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 103 15 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 103 16 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 103 17 see see VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 103 18 also also RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 103 19 figure figure VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 103 20 5 5 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 103 21 : : : cord-317184-vz829rsy 104 1 In in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 104 2 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 104 3 lists list NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 104 4 above above RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 104 5 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 104 6 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 104 7 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 104 8 that that WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 104 9 are be VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 104 10 classified classify VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 104 11 as as IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 104 12 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 104 13 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 104 14 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 104 15 like like JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 104 16 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 104 17 exponentiallike exponentiallike JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 104 18 are be VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 104 19 printed print VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 104 20 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 104 21 gray gray JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 104 22 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 105 1 There there EX cord-317184-vz829rsy 105 2 are be VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 105 3 18 18 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 105 4 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 105 5 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 105 6 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 105 7 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 105 8 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 105 9 class class NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 105 10 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 105 11 with with IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 105 12 9 9 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 105 13 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 105 14 them -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 105 15 being be VBG cord-317184-vz829rsy 105 16 truly truly RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 105 17 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 105 18 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 105 19 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 105 20 rest rest NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 105 21 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 105 22 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 105 23 like like JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 105 24 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 106 1 There there EX cord-317184-vz829rsy 106 2 are be VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 106 3 43 43 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 106 4 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 106 5 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 106 6 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 106 7 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 106 8 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 106 9 class class NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 106 10 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 106 11 with with IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 106 12 20 20 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 106 13 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 106 14 them -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 106 15 being be VBG cord-317184-vz829rsy 106 16 truly truly RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 106 17 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 106 18 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 106 19 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 106 20 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 106 21 rest rest NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 106 22 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 106 23 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 106 24 like like IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 106 25 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 107 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 107 2 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 107 3 interesting interesting JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 107 4 that that IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 107 5 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 107 6 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 107 7 showing show VBG cord-317184-vz829rsy 107 8 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 107 9 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 107 10 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 107 11 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 107 12 or or CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 107 13 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 107 14 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 107 15 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 107 16 like like JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 107 17 behavior behavior NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 107 18 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 107 19 are be VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 107 20 different different JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 107 21 with with IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 107 22 respect respect NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 107 23 to to IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 107 24 some some DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 107 25 characteristics characteristic NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 107 26 compared compare VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 107 27 to to IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 107 28 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 107 29 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 107 30 showing show VBG cord-317184-vz829rsy 107 31 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 107 32 or or CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 107 33 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 107 34 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 107 35 like like JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 107 36 behavior behavior NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 107 37 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 108 1 Figure figure NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 108 2 6 6 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 108 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 108 4 a a NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 108 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 108 6 shows show VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 108 7 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 108 8 numerical numerical JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 108 9 probability probability NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 108 10 distribution distribution NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 108 11 for for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 108 12 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 108 13 day day NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 108 14 when when WRB cord-317184-vz829rsy 108 15 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 108 16 infection infection NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 108 17 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 108 18 each each DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 108 19 country country NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 108 20 reached reach VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 108 21 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 108 22 level level NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 108 23 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 108 24 1 1 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 108 25 case case NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 108 26 per per IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 108 27 million million CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 108 28 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 109 1 Blue Blue NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 109 2 represents represent VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 109 3 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 109 4 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 109 5 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 109 6 set set NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 109 7 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 109 8 yellow yellow JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 109 9 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 109 10 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 109 11 set set NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 110 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 110 2 grey grey NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 110 3 means mean VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 110 4 an an DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 110 5 overlap overlap NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 110 6 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 110 7 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 110 8 two two CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 110 9 colors color NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 110 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 110 11 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 111 1 The the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 111 2 average average JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 111 3 date date NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 111 4 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 111 5 reaching reach VBG cord-317184-vz829rsy 111 6 1 1 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 111 7 case case NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 111 8 per per IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 111 9 million million CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 111 10 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 111 11 counting count VBG cord-317184-vz829rsy 111 12 from from IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 111 13 Jan Jan NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 111 14 22 22 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 111 15 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 111 16 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 111 17 about about RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 111 18 48 48 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 111 19 days day NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 111 20 for for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 111 21 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 111 22 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 111 23 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 111 24 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 111 25 52 52 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 111 26 days day NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 111 27 for for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 111 28 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 111 29 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 111 30 set set NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 111 31 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 111 32 p p NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 111 33 = = SYM cord-317184-vz829rsy 111 34 0.035 0.035 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 111 35 by by IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 111 36 T T NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 111 37 test test NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 111 38 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 111 39 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 112 1 In in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 112 2 other other JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 112 3 words word NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 112 4 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 112 5 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 112 6 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 112 7 that that WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 112 8 are be VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 112 9 demonstrating demonstrate VBG cord-317184-vz829rsy 112 10 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 112 11 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 112 12 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 112 13 infection infection NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 112 14 spread spread VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 112 15 have have VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 112 16 had have VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 112 17 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 112 18 relative relative JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 112 19 infection infection NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 112 20 level level NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 112 21 slightly slightly RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 112 22 longer long RBR cord-317184-vz829rsy 112 23 than than IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 112 24 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 112 25 exponentially exponentially RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 112 26 developing develop VBG cord-317184-vz829rsy 112 27 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 112 28 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 113 1 This this DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 113 2 points point VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 113 3 us -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 113 4 towards towards IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 113 5 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 113 6 hypothesis hypothesis NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 113 7 that that IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 113 8 perhaps perhaps RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 113 9 it -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 113 10 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 113 11 typical typical JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 113 12 to to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 113 13 observe observe VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 113 14 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 113 15 transition transition NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 113 16 between between IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 113 17 an an DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 113 18 early early JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 113 19 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 113 20 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 113 21 stage stage NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 113 22 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 113 23 growth growth NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 113 24 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 113 25 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 113 26 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 113 27 later later NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 113 28 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 113 29 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 113 30 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 113 31 like like JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 113 32 stage stage NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 113 33 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 113 34 growth growth NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 113 35 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 114 1 Figure figure NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 114 2 6 6 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 114 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 114 4 b b NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 114 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 114 6 shows show VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 114 7 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 114 8 difference difference NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 114 9 between between IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 114 10 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 114 11 two two CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 114 12 classes class NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 114 13 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 114 14 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 114 15 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 114 16 terms term NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 114 17 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 114 18 6 6 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 114 19 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 115 1 CC CC NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 115 2 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 115 3 BY BY NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 115 4 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 115 5 NC NC NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 115 6 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 115 7 ND ND NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 115 8 4.0 4.0 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 115 9 International international JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 115 10 license license NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 115 11 It -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 115 12 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 115 13 made make VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 115 14 available available JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 115 15 under under IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 115 16 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 115 17 author author NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 115 18 / / SYM cord-317184-vz829rsy 115 19 funder funder NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 115 20 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 115 21 who who WP cord-317184-vz829rsy 115 22 has have VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 115 23 granted grant VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 115 24 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 115 25 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 115 26 license license NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 115 27 to to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 115 28 display display VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 115 29 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 115 30 preprint preprint NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 115 31 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 115 32 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 115 33 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 116 1 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 116 2 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 116 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 116 4 which which WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 116 5 was be VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 116 6 not not RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 116 7 peer peer NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 116 8 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 116 9 reviewed review VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 116 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 117 1 The the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 117 2 copyright copyright NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 117 3 holder holder NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 117 4 for for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 117 5 this this DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 117 6 preprint preprint NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 117 7 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 118 1 CC CC NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 118 2 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 118 3 BY BY NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 118 4 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 118 5 NC NC NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 118 6 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 118 7 ND ND NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 118 8 4.0 4.0 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 118 9 International international JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 118 10 license license NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 118 11 It -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 118 12 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 118 13 made make VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 118 14 available available JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 118 15 under under IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 118 16 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 118 17 author author NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 118 18 / / SYM cord-317184-vz829rsy 118 19 funder funder NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 118 20 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 118 21 who who WP cord-317184-vz829rsy 118 22 has have VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 118 23 granted grant VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 118 24 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 118 25 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 118 26 license license NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 118 27 to to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 118 28 display display VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 118 29 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 118 30 preprint preprint NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 118 31 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 118 32 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 118 33 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 119 1 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 119 2 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 119 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 119 4 which which WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 119 5 was be VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 119 6 not not RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 119 7 peer peer NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 119 8 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 119 9 reviewed review VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 119 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 120 1 The the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 120 2 copyright copyright NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 120 3 holder holder NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 120 4 for for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 120 5 this this DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 120 6 preprint preprint NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 120 7 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 121 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.30.20047274 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.30.20047274 NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 121 2 doi doi NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 121 3 : : : cord-317184-vz829rsy 122 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 122 2 preprint preprint VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 122 3 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-317184-vz829rsy 122 4 area area NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 122 5 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 123 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 123 2 find find VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 123 3 that that IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 123 4 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 123 5 exponentially exponentially RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 123 6 growing grow VBG cord-317184-vz829rsy 123 7 infection infection NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 123 8 class class NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 123 9 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 123 10 associated associate VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 123 11 with with IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 123 12 larger large JJR cord-317184-vz829rsy 123 13 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 123 14 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 123 15 mean mean JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 123 16 area area NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 123 17 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 123 18 about about IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 123 19 1.7 1.7 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 123 20 × × CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 123 21 10 10 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 123 22 6 6 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 123 23 km km NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 123 24 2 2 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 123 25 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 123 26 compared compare VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 123 27 to to IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 123 28 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 123 29 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 123 30 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 123 31 class class NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 123 32 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 123 33 mean mean JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 123 34 area area NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 123 35 about about IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 123 36 2.3 2.3 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 123 37 × × NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 123 38 10 10 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 123 39 5 5 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 123 40 km km NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 123 41 2 2 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 123 42 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 123 43 p p NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 123 44 = = SYM cord-317184-vz829rsy 123 45 0.018 0.018 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 123 46 by by IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 123 47 T T NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 123 48 test test NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 123 49 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 123 50 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 124 1 Similarly similarly RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 124 2 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 124 3 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 124 4 epidemic epidemic NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 124 5 spread spread NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 124 6 tends tend VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 124 7 to to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 124 8 correlate correlate VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 124 9 with with IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 124 10 lower low JJR cord-317184-vz829rsy 124 11 density density NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 124 12 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 124 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 124 14 figure figure NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 124 15 6(c 6(c CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 124 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 124 17 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 124 18 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 125 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 125 2 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 125 3 possible possible JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 125 4 that that IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 125 5 it -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 125 6 takes take VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 125 7 longer long RBR cord-317184-vz829rsy 125 8 for for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 125 9 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 125 10 larger large JJR cord-317184-vz829rsy 125 11 country country NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 125 12 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 125 13 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 125 14 lower low JJR cord-317184-vz829rsy 125 15 density density NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 125 16 to to IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 125 17 transition transition NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 125 18 to to IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 125 19 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 125 20 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 125 21 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 125 22 growth growth NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 125 23 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 126 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 126 2 provide provide VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 126 3 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 126 4 possible possible JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 126 5 explanation explanation NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 126 6 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 126 7 this this DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 126 8 correlation correlation NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 126 9 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 126 10 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 126 11 context context NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 126 12 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 126 13 metapopulation metapopulation NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 126 14 modeling modeling NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 126 15 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 127 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 127 2 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 127 3 important important JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 127 4 to to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 127 5 understand understand VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 127 6 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 127 7 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 127 8 with with IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 127 9 which which WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 127 10 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 127 11 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 127 12 case case NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 127 13 counts count VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 127 14 increase increase NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 127 15 over over IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 127 16 time time NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 127 17 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 127 18 such such JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 127 19 that that IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 127 20 we -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 127 21 have have VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 127 22 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 127 23 better well JJR cord-317184-vz829rsy 127 24 ability ability NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 127 25 to to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 127 26 judge judge VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 127 27 whether whether IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 127 28 non non JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 127 29 - - JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 127 30 pharmaceutical pharmaceutical JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 127 31 8 8 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 127 32 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 128 1 CC CC NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 128 2 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 128 3 BY BY NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 128 4 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 128 5 NC NC NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 128 6 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 128 7 ND ND NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 128 8 4.0 4.0 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 128 9 International international JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 128 10 license license NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 128 11 It -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 128 12 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 128 13 made make VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 128 14 available available JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 128 15 under under IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 128 16 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 128 17 author author NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 128 18 / / SYM cord-317184-vz829rsy 128 19 funder funder NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 128 20 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 128 21 who who WP cord-317184-vz829rsy 128 22 has have VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 128 23 granted grant VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 128 24 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 128 25 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 128 26 license license NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 128 27 to to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 128 28 display display VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 128 29 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 128 30 preprint preprint NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 128 31 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 128 32 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 128 33 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 129 1 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 129 2 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 129 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 129 4 which which WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 129 5 was be VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 129 6 not not RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 129 7 peer peer NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 129 8 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 129 9 reviewed review VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 129 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 130 1 The the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 130 2 copyright copyright NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 130 3 holder holder NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 130 4 for for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 130 5 this this DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 130 6 preprint preprint NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 130 7 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 131 1 interventions intervention NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 131 2 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 131 3 e.g. e.g. IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 131 4 social social JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 131 5 distancing distancing NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 131 6 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 131 7 have have VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 131 8 an an DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 131 9 impact impact NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 131 10 on on IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 131 11 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 131 12 course course NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 131 13 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 131 14 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 131 15 epidemic epidemic NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 131 16 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 132 1 The the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 132 2 COVID19 COVID19 NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 132 3 epidemic epidemic NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 132 4 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 132 5 often often RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 132 6 thought think VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 132 7 to to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 132 8 grow grow VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 132 9 exponentially exponentially RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 132 10 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 133 1 If if IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 133 2 this this DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 133 3 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 133 4 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 133 5 case case NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 133 6 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 133 7 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 133 8 deviation deviation NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 133 9 from from IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 133 10 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 133 11 growth growth NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 133 12 following follow VBG cord-317184-vz829rsy 133 13 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 133 14 introduction introduction NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 133 15 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 133 16 non non JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 133 17 - - JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 133 18 pharmaceutical pharmaceutical JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 133 19 interventions intervention NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 133 20 can can MD cord-317184-vz829rsy 133 21 indicate indicate VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 133 22 success success NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 133 23 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 133 24 those those DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 133 25 interventions intervention NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 133 26 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 134 1 In in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 134 2 contrast contrast NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 134 3 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 134 4 if if IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 134 5 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 134 6 infection infection NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 134 7 grows grow VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 134 8 according accord VBG cord-317184-vz829rsy 134 9 to to IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 134 10 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 134 11 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 134 12 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 134 13 while while IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 134 14 growth growth NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 134 15 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 134 16 incorrectly incorrectly RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 134 17 assumed assume VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 134 18 to to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 134 19 be be VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 134 20 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 134 21 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 134 22 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 134 23 slow slow JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 134 24 down down RP cord-317184-vz829rsy 134 25 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 134 26 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 134 27 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 134 28 COVID19 COVID19 NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 134 29 cases case NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 134 30 over over IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 134 31 time time NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 134 32 on on IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 134 33 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 134 34 log log NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 134 35 scale scale NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 134 36 can can MD cord-317184-vz829rsy 134 37 result result VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 134 38 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 134 39 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 134 40 false false JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 134 41 conclusion conclusion NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 134 42 that that IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 134 43 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 134 44 non non JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 134 45 - - JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 134 46 pharmaceutical pharmaceutical JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 134 47 intervention intervention NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 134 48 methods method NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 134 49 are be VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 134 50 working work VBG cord-317184-vz829rsy 134 51 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 135 1 If if IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 135 2 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 135 3 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 135 4 cases case NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 135 5 grow grow VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 135 6 like like IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 135 7 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 135 8 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 135 9 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 135 10 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 135 11 successful successful JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 135 12 intervention intervention NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 135 13 would would MD cord-317184-vz829rsy 135 14 result result VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 135 15 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 135 16 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 135 17 growth growth NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 135 18 deviating deviate VBG cord-317184-vz829rsy 135 19 from from IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 135 20 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 135 21 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 135 22 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 135 23 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 135 24 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 135 25 not not RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 135 26 from from IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 135 27 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 135 28 growth growth NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 135 29 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 136 1 One one CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 136 2 interpretation interpretation NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 136 3 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 136 4 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-317184-vz829rsy 136 5 analysis analysis NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 136 6 could could MD cord-317184-vz829rsy 136 7 be be VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 136 8 that that IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 136 9 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 136 10 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 136 11 absence absence NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 136 12 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 136 13 non non JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 136 14 - - JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 136 15 pharmaceutical pharmaceutical JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 136 16 interventions intervention NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 136 17 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 136 18 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 136 19 disease disease NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 136 20 burden burden NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 136 21 grows grow VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 136 22 exponentially exponentially RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 136 23 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 136 24 but but CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 136 25 that that IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 136 26 over over IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 136 27 time time NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 136 28 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 136 29 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 136 30 nonpharmaceutical nonpharmaceutical JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 136 31 interventions intervention NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 136 32 slow slow VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 136 33 down down IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 136 34 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 136 35 spread spread NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 136 36 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 137 1 Hence hence RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 137 2 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 137 3 overall overall RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 137 4 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 137 5 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 137 6 disease disease NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 137 7 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 137 8 are be VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 137 9 described describe VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 137 10 better well RBR cord-317184-vz829rsy 137 11 by by IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 137 12 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 137 13 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 137 14 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 137 15 than than IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 137 16 by by IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 137 17 an an DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 137 18 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 137 19 function function NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 137 20 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 137 21 because because IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 137 22 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 137 23 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 137 24 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 137 25 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 137 26 characterized characterize VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 137 27 by by IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 137 28 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 137 29 slow slow RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 137 30 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 137 31 down down NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 137 32 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 137 33 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 137 34 growth growth NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 137 35 rate rate NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 137 36 over over IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 137 37 time time NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 137 38 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 138 1 Italy Italy NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 138 2 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 138 3 where where WRB cord-317184-vz829rsy 138 4 one one CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 138 5 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 138 6 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 138 7 most most RBS cord-317184-vz829rsy 138 8 pronounced pronounce VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 138 9 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 138 10 laws law NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 138 11 was be VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 138 12 observed observe VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 138 13 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 138 14 implemented implement VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 138 15 some some DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 138 16 degrees degree NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 138 17 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 138 18 social social JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 138 19 distancing distancing NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 138 20 relatively relatively RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 138 21 early early RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 138 22 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 138 23 although although IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 138 24 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 138 25 more more RBR cord-317184-vz829rsy 138 26 strict strict JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 138 27 measures measure NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 138 28 were be VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 138 29 implemented implement VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 138 30 only only RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 138 31 recently recently RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 138 32 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 138 33 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 139 1 CC CC NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 139 2 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 139 3 BY BY NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 139 4 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 139 5 NC NC NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 139 6 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 139 7 ND ND NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 139 8 4.0 4.0 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 139 9 International international JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 139 10 license license NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 139 11 It -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 139 12 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 139 13 made make VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 139 14 available available JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 139 15 under under IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 139 16 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 139 17 author author NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 139 18 / / SYM cord-317184-vz829rsy 139 19 funder funder NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 139 20 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 139 21 who who WP cord-317184-vz829rsy 139 22 has have VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 139 23 granted grant VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 139 24 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 139 25 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 139 26 license license NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 139 27 to to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 139 28 display display VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 139 29 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 139 30 preprint preprint NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 139 31 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 139 32 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 139 33 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 140 1 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 140 2 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 140 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 140 4 which which WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 140 5 was be VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 140 6 not not RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 140 7 peer peer NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 140 8 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 140 9 reviewed review VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 140 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 141 1 The the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 141 2 copyright copyright NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 141 3 holder holder NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 141 4 for for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 141 5 this this DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 141 6 preprint preprint NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 141 7 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 142 1 While while IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 142 2 this this DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 142 3 can can MD cord-317184-vz829rsy 142 4 not not RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 142 5 be be VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 142 6 excluded exclude VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 142 7 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 142 8 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 142 9 comparative comparative JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 142 10 plots plot NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 142 11 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 142 12 figure figure NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 142 13 2 2 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 142 14 might may MD cord-317184-vz829rsy 142 15 argue argue VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 142 16 against against IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 142 17 this this DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 142 18 hypothesis hypothesis NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 142 19 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 143 1 These these DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 143 2 graphs graph NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 143 3 shows show VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 143 4 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 143 5 spread spread NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 143 6 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 143 7 for for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 143 8 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 143 9 few few JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 143 10 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 143 11 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 143 12 whose whose WP$ cord-317184-vz829rsy 143 13 epidemics epidemic NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 143 14 are be VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 143 15 relatively relatively RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 143 16 advanced advanced JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 143 17 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 143 18 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 143 19 they -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 143 20 have have VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 143 21 all all DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 143 22 been be VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 143 23 shifted shift VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 143 24 to to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 143 25 be be VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 143 26 temporally temporally RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 143 27 synchronized synchronize VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 143 28 with with IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 143 29 Italy Italy NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 143 30 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 144 1 As as IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 144 2 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 144 3 infection infection NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 144 4 spreads spread VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 144 5 to to IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 144 6 higher high JJR cord-317184-vz829rsy 144 7 levels level NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 144 8 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 144 9 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 144 10 curves curve NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 144 11 for for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 144 12 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 144 13 different different JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 144 14 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 144 15 converge converge VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 144 16 towards towards IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 144 17 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 144 18 common common JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 144 19 trajectory trajectory NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 144 20 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 144 21 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 144 22 per per FW cord-317184-vz829rsy 144 23 capita capita FW cord-317184-vz829rsy 144 24 cases case NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 144 25 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 144 26 COVID19 COVID19 NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 144 27 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 145 1 In in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 145 2 other other JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 145 3 words word NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 145 4 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 145 5 as as IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 145 6 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 145 7 infection infection NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 145 8 spreads spread VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 145 9 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 145 10 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 145 11 per per IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 145 12 capita capita NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 145 13 number number NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 145 14 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 145 15 cases case NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 145 16 converge converge VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 145 17 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 145 18 follow follow VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 145 19 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 145 20 same same JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 145 21 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 145 22 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 145 23 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 146 1 If if IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 146 2 this this DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 146 3 deviation deviation NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 146 4 from from IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 146 5 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 146 6 growth growth NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 146 7 was be VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 146 8 due due JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 146 9 to to IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 146 10 nonpharmaceutical nonpharmaceutical JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 146 11 interventions intervention NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 146 12 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 146 13 then then RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 146 14 it -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 146 15 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 146 16 surprising surprising JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 146 17 that that IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 146 18 those those DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 146 19 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 146 20 follow follow VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 146 21 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 146 22 same same JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 146 23 trajectory trajectory NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 146 24 because because IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 146 25 they -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 146 26 implemented implement VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 146 27 those those DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 146 28 interventions intervention NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 146 29 at at IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 146 30 different different JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 146 31 times time NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 146 32 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 146 33 to to IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 146 34 different different JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 146 35 degrees degree NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 146 36 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 147 1 The the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 147 2 percentage percentage NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 147 3 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 147 4 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 147 5 with with IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 147 6 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 147 7 given give VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 147 8 delay delay NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 147 9 that that WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 147 10 belong belong VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 147 11 to to IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 147 12 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 147 13 Power Power NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 147 14 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 147 15 group group NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 147 16 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 147 17 to to IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 147 18 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 147 19 Exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 147 20 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 147 21 group group NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 147 22 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 148 1 The the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 148 2 trend trend NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 148 3 that that IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 148 4 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 148 5 percentage percentage NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 148 6 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 148 7 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 148 8 growth growth NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 148 9 increases increase NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 148 10 with with IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 148 11 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 148 12 time time NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 148 13 lag lag NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 148 14 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 148 15 that that RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 148 16 is is RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 148 17 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 148 18 decreases decrease VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 148 19 with with IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 148 20 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 148 21 epidemic epidemic NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 148 22 " " `` cord-317184-vz829rsy 148 23 age age NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 148 24 " " '' cord-317184-vz829rsy 148 25 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 148 26 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 148 27 significant significant JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 148 28 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 148 29 p p NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 148 30 < < XX cord-317184-vz829rsy 148 31 10 10 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 148 32 −4 −4 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 148 33 by by IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 148 34 linear linear JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 148 35 fitting fitting NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 148 36 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 148 37 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 149 1 Alternatively alternatively RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 149 2 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 149 3 it -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 149 4 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 149 5 possible possible JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 149 6 that that IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 149 7 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 149 8 local local JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 149 9 epidemics epidemic NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 149 10 characterized characterize VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 149 11 by by IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 149 12 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 149 13 laws law NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 149 14 demonstrate demonstrate VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 149 15 an an DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 149 16 intrinsic intrinsic JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 149 17 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 149 18 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 149 19 spread spread NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 149 20 that that WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 149 21 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 149 22 independent independent JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 149 23 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 149 24 interventions intervention NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 149 25 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 150 1 Computational computational JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 150 2 models model NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 150 3 suggest suggest VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 150 4 that that IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 150 5 infection infection NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 150 6 spread spread VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 150 7 across across IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 150 8 networks network NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 150 9 or or CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 150 10 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 150 11 spatially spatially RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 150 12 structured structured JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 150 13 populations population NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 150 14 can can MD cord-317184-vz829rsy 150 15 lead lead VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 150 16 to to IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 150 17 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 150 18 that that WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 150 19 follow follow VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 150 20 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 150 21 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 150 22 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 150 23 rather rather RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 150 24 than than IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 150 25 an an DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 150 26 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 150 27 trajectory trajectory NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 150 28 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 150 29 see see VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 150 30 below below RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 150 31 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 151 1 If if IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 151 2 some some DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 151 3 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 151 4 truly truly RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 151 5 show show VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 151 6 infection infection NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 151 7 spread spread VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 151 8 that that WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 151 9 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 151 10 governed govern VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 151 11 by by IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 151 12 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 151 13 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 151 14 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 151 15 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 151 16 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 151 17 question question NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 151 18 arises arise VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 151 19 why why WRB cord-317184-vz829rsy 151 20 other other JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 151 21 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 151 22 show show VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 151 23 clear clear JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 151 24 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 151 25 spread spread NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 151 26 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 151 27 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 151 28 why why WRB cord-317184-vz829rsy 151 29 yet yet CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 151 30 other other JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 151 31 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 151 32 are be VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 151 33 more more RBR cord-317184-vz829rsy 151 34 difficult difficult JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 151 35 to to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 151 36 classify classify VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 151 37 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 152 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 152 2 hypothesize hypothesize VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 152 3 that that IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 152 4 different different JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 152 5 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 152 6 are be VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 152 7 at at IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 152 8 different different JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 152 9 stages stage NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 152 10 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 152 11 epidemic epidemic NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 152 12 development development NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 152 13 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 152 14 but but CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 152 15 they -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 152 16 all all DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 152 17 roughly roughly RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 152 18 follow follow VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 152 19 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 152 20 same same JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 152 21 trajectory trajectory NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 152 22 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 152 23 where where WRB cord-317184-vz829rsy 152 24 an an DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 152 25 initial initial JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 152 26 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 152 27 growth growth NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 152 28 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 152 29 gradually gradually RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 152 30 replaced replace VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 152 31 by by IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 152 32 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 152 33 more more JJR cord-317184-vz829rsy 152 34 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 152 35 like like IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 152 36 behavior behavior NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 152 37 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 153 1 author author NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 153 2 / / SYM cord-317184-vz829rsy 153 3 funder funder NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 153 4 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 153 5 who who WP cord-317184-vz829rsy 153 6 has have VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 153 7 granted grant VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 153 8 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 153 9 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 153 10 license license NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 153 11 to to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 153 12 display display VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 153 13 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 153 14 preprint preprint NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 153 15 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 153 16 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 153 17 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 154 1 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 154 2 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 154 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 154 4 which which WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 154 5 was be VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 154 6 not not RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 154 7 peer peer NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 154 8 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 154 9 reviewed review VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 154 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 155 1 The the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 155 2 copyright copyright NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 155 3 holder holder NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 155 4 for for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 155 5 this this DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 155 6 preprint preprint NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 155 7 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 156 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.30.20047274 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.30.20047274 NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 156 2 doi doi NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 156 3 : : : cord-317184-vz829rsy 157 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 157 2 preprint preprint NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 157 3 tries try VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 157 4 until until IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 157 5 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 157 6 for for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 157 7 each each DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 157 8 country country NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 157 9 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 157 10 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 157 11 best good JJS cord-317184-vz829rsy 157 12 match match NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 157 13 with with IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 157 14 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 157 15 Italian italian JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 157 16 curve curve NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 157 17 was be VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 157 18 obtained obtain VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 157 19 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 158 1 As as IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 158 2 we -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 158 3 can can MD cord-317184-vz829rsy 158 4 see see VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 158 5 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 158 6 figure figure NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 158 7 7(a 7(a CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 158 8 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 158 9 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 158 10 there there EX cord-317184-vz829rsy 158 11 are be VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 158 12 only only RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 158 13 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 158 14 few few JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 158 15 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 158 16 that that WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 158 17 are be VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 158 18 just just RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 158 19 behind behind IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 158 20 Italy Italy NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 158 21 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 158 22 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 158 23 as as IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 158 24 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 158 25 number number NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 158 26 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 158 27 lag lag NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 158 28 days day NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 158 29 increases increase NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 158 30 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 158 31 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 158 32 number number NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 158 33 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 158 34 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 158 35 grows grow VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 158 36 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 159 1 This this DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 159 2 corresponds correspond VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 159 3 to to IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 159 4 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 159 5 world world NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 159 6 wide wide JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 159 7 spread spread NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 159 8 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 159 9 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 159 10 pandemic pandemic NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 159 11 : : : cord-317184-vz829rsy 159 12 more more JJR cord-317184-vz829rsy 159 13 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 159 14 more more JJR cord-317184-vz829rsy 159 15 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 159 16 become become VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 159 17 affected affect VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 159 18 as as IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 159 19 time time NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 159 20 goes go VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 159 21 by by RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 159 22 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 160 1 Figure figure NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 160 2 7(b 7(b CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 160 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 160 4 calculates calculate VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 160 5 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 160 6 for for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 160 7 each each DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 160 8 lag lag NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 160 9 time time NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 160 10 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 160 11 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 160 12 percentage percentage NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 160 13 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 160 14 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 160 15 that that WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 160 16 were be VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 160 17 classified classify VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 160 18 as as IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 160 19 following follow VBG cord-317184-vz829rsy 160 20 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 160 21 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 160 22 or or CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 160 23 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 160 24 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 160 25 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 161 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 161 2 can can MD cord-317184-vz829rsy 161 3 see see VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 161 4 that that DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 161 5 for for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 161 6 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 161 7 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 161 8 that that WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 161 9 are be VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 161 10 just just RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 161 11 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 161 12 few few JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 161 13 days day NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 161 14 behind behind IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 161 15 Italy Italy NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 161 16 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 161 17 100 100 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 161 18 % % NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 161 19 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 161 20 them -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 161 21 belong belong VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 161 22 to to IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 161 23 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 161 24 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 161 25 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 161 26 group group NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 161 27 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 162 1 As as IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 162 2 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 162 3 lag lag NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 162 4 time time NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 162 5 increases increase NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 162 6 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 162 7 indicating indicate VBG cord-317184-vz829rsy 162 8 an an DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 162 9 earlier early JJR cord-317184-vz829rsy 162 10 stage stage NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 162 11 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 162 12 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 162 13 epidemic epidemic NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 162 14 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 162 15 more more JJR cord-317184-vz829rsy 162 16 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 162 17 more more JJR cord-317184-vz829rsy 162 18 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 162 19 exhibit exhibit VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 162 20 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 162 21 growth growth NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 163 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 163 2 p p NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 163 3 < < XX cord-317184-vz829rsy 163 4 10 10 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 163 5 −4 −4 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 163 6 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 163 7 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 164 1 The the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 164 2 same same JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 164 3 trend trend NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 164 4 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 164 5 also also RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 164 6 corroborated corroborate VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 164 7 by by IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 164 8 figure figure NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 164 9 6(a 6(a CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 164 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 164 11 that that WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 164 12 shows show VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 164 13 that that IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 164 14 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 164 15 epidemics epidemic NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 164 16 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 164 17 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 164 18 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 164 19 group group NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 164 20 are be VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 164 21 " " `` cord-317184-vz829rsy 164 22 younger young JJR cord-317184-vz829rsy 164 23 " " '' cord-317184-vz829rsy 164 24 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 165 1 How how WRB cord-317184-vz829rsy 165 2 can can MD cord-317184-vz829rsy 165 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 165 4 explain explain VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 165 5 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 165 6 existence existence NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 165 7 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 165 8 to to IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 165 9 different different JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 165 10 extents extent NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 165 11 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 165 12 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 165 13 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 165 14 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 165 15 like like IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 165 16 behavior behavior NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 165 17 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 165 18 different different JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 165 19 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 165 20 ? ? . cord-317184-vz829rsy 166 1 One one CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 166 2 possible possible JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 166 3 reason reason NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 166 4 could could MD cord-317184-vz829rsy 166 5 be be VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 166 6 non non JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 166 7 - - JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 166 8 pharmaceutical pharmaceutical JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 166 9 interventions intervention NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 166 10 that that WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 166 11 are be VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 166 12 only only RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 166 13 partially partially RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 166 14 effective effective JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 166 15 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 166 16 see see VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 166 17 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 166 18 schematic schematic NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 166 19 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 166 20 figure figure NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 166 21 8 8 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 166 22 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 167 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 167 2 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 167 3 possible possible JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 167 4 that that IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 167 5 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 167 6 early early JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 167 7 stages stage NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 167 8 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 167 9 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 167 10 infection infection NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 167 11 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 167 12 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 167 13 virus virus NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 167 14 spread spread NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 167 15 occurs occur VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 167 16 because because IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 167 17 people people NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 167 18 have have VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 167 19 not not RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 167 20 yet yet RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 167 21 altered alter VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 167 22 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-317184-vz829rsy 167 23 behavior behavior NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 167 24 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 167 25 continue continue VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 167 26 to to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 167 27 travel travel VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 167 28 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 167 29 socially socially RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 167 30 mix mix VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 167 31 with with IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 167 32 each each DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 167 33 other other JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 167 34 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 168 1 Mass mass JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 168 2 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 168 3 action action NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 168 4 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 168 5 are be VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 168 6 expected expect VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 168 7 to to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 168 8 yield yield VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 168 9 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 168 10 growth growth NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 168 11 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 169 1 As as IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 169 2 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 169 3 result result NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 169 4 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 169 5 non non JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 169 6 - - JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 169 7 pharmaceutical pharmaceutical JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 169 8 interventions intervention NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 169 9 that that WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 169 10 are be VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 169 11 only only RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 169 12 partially partially RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 169 13 effective effective JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 169 14 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 169 15 people people NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 169 16 might may MD cord-317184-vz829rsy 169 17 stop stop VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 169 18 traveling travel VBG cord-317184-vz829rsy 169 19 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 169 20 thus thus RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 169 21 slow slow VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 169 22 down down RP cord-317184-vz829rsy 169 23 large large JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 169 24 scale scale NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 169 25 mixing mixing NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 169 26 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 170 1 However however RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 170 2 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 170 3 they -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 170 4 would would MD cord-317184-vz829rsy 170 5 still still RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 170 6 be be VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 170 7 interacting interact VBG cord-317184-vz829rsy 170 8 locally locally RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 170 9 within within IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 170 10 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-317184-vz829rsy 170 11 social social JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 170 12 network network NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 170 13 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 170 14 which which WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 170 15 would would MD cord-317184-vz829rsy 170 16 lead lead VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 170 17 to to IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 170 18 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 170 19 transition transition NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 170 20 to to IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 170 21 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 170 22 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 170 23 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 170 24 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 171 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 171 2 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 171 3 possible possible JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 171 4 that that IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 171 5 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 171 6 number number NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 171 7 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 171 8 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 171 9 are be VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 171 10 difficult difficult JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 171 11 to to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 171 12 classify classify VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 171 13 because because IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 171 14 they -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 171 15 exhibit exhibit VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 171 16 early early JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 171 17 mass mass JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 171 18 action action NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 171 19 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 171 20 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 171 21 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 171 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 171 23 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 171 24 followed follow VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 171 25 by by IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 171 26 network network NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 171 27 interactions interaction NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 171 28 that that WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 171 29 lead lead VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 171 30 to to IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 171 31 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 171 32 transition transition NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 171 33 to to IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 171 34 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 171 35 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 171 36 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 171 37 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 172 1 This this DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 172 2 would would MD cord-317184-vz829rsy 172 3 indicate indicate VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 172 4 that that IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 172 5 stronger strong JJR cord-317184-vz829rsy 172 6 non non JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 172 7 - - JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 172 8 pharmaceutical pharmaceutical JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 172 9 intervention intervention NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 172 10 methods method NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 172 11 need need VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 172 12 to to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 172 13 be be VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 172 14 implemented implement VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 172 15 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 173 1 More more RBR cord-317184-vz829rsy 173 2 generally generally RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 173 3 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 173 4 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 173 5 results result NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 173 6 can can MD cord-317184-vz829rsy 173 7 be be VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 173 8 interpreted interpret VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 173 9 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 173 10 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 173 11 context context NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 173 12 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 173 13 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 173 14 minimally minimally RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 173 15 parameterized parameterize VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 173 16 metapopulation metapopulation NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 173 17 model model NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 173 18 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 173 19 see see VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 173 20 figure figure NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 173 21 8 8 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 173 22 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 174 1 Assume assume VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 174 2 that that IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 174 3 within within IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 174 4 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 174 5 local local JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 174 6 deme deme NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 174 7 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 174 8 such such JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 174 9 as as IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 174 10 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 174 11 local local JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 174 12 community community NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 174 13 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 174 14 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 174 15 people people NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 174 16 interact interact VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 174 17 with with IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 174 18 each each DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 174 19 other other JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 174 20 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 174 21 resulting result VBG cord-317184-vz829rsy 174 22 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 174 23 mass mass JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 174 24 action action NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 174 25 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 174 26 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 175 1 For for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 175 2 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 175 3 infection infection NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 175 4 to to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 175 5 spread spread VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 175 6 further further RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 175 7 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 175 8 however however RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 175 9 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 175 10 people people NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 175 11 have have VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 175 12 to to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 175 13 enter enter VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 175 14 other other JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 175 15 demes deme NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 175 16 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 175 17 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 175 18 seed seed VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 175 19 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 175 20 infection infection NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 175 21 there there RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 175 22 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 176 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 176 2 have have VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 176 3 performed perform VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 176 4 computer computer NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 176 5 simulations simulation NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 176 6 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 176 7 such such PDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 176 8 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 176 9 model model NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 176 10 to to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 176 11 explore explore VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 176 12 outcomes outcome NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 176 13 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 177 1 The the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 177 2 model model NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 177 3 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 177 4 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 177 5 two two CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 177 6 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 177 7 dimensional dimensional JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 177 8 metapopulation metapopulation NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 177 9 consisting consist VBG cord-317184-vz829rsy 177 10 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 177 11 N N NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 177 12 × × NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 177 13 N n CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 177 14 patches patch NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 177 15 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 178 1 In in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 178 2 each each DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 178 3 patch patch NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 178 4 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 178 5 i i PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 178 6 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 178 7 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 178 8 infection infection NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 178 9 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 178 10 are be VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 178 11 given give VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 178 12 by by IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 178 13 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 178 14 set set NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 178 15 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 178 16 ordinary ordinary JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 178 17 differential differential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 178 18 equations equation NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 178 19 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 178 20 ODEs ode NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 178 21 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 178 22 that that WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 178 23 take take VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 178 24 into into IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 178 25 account account NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 178 26 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 178 27 population population NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 178 28 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 178 29 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 178 30 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 178 31 S s NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 178 32 i i NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 178 33 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 178 34 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 178 35 infected infect VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 178 36 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 178 37 I -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 178 38 i i NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 178 39 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 178 40 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 178 41 recovered recover VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 178 42 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 178 43 R r NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 178 44 i i NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 178 45 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 178 46 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 178 47 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 178 48 dead dead JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 178 49 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 178 50 D d FW cord-317184-vz829rsy 178 51 i i NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 178 52 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 178 53 individuals individual NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 178 54 : : : cord-317184-vz829rsy 179 1 11 11 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 179 2 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 180 1 CC CC NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 180 2 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 180 3 BY BY NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 180 4 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 180 5 NC NC NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 180 6 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 180 7 ND ND NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 180 8 4.0 4.0 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 180 9 International international JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 180 10 license license NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 180 11 It -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 180 12 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 180 13 made make VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 180 14 available available JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 180 15 under under IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 180 16 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 180 17 author author NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 180 18 / / SYM cord-317184-vz829rsy 180 19 funder funder NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 180 20 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 180 21 who who WP cord-317184-vz829rsy 180 22 has have VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 180 23 granted grant VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 180 24 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 180 25 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 180 26 license license NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 180 27 to to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 180 28 display display VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 180 29 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 180 30 preprint preprint NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 180 31 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 180 32 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 180 33 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 181 1 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 181 2 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 181 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 181 4 which which WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 181 5 was be VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 181 6 not not RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 181 7 peer peer NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 181 8 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 181 9 reviewed review VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 181 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 182 1 The the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 182 2 copyright copyright NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 182 3 holder holder NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 182 4 for for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 182 5 this this DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 182 6 preprint preprint NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 182 7 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 183 1 Here here RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 183 2 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 183 3 infection infection NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 183 4 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 183 5 described describe VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 183 6 by by IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 183 7 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 183 8 frequency frequency NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 183 9 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 183 10 dependent dependent JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 183 11 infection infection NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 183 12 term term NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 183 13 [ [ -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 183 14 15 15 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 183 15 ] ] -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 183 16 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 183 17 characterized characterize VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 183 18 but but CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 183 19 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 183 20 rate rate NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 183 21 constant constant NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 183 22 β β NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 183 23 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 183 24 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 183 25 saturation saturation NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 183 26 constant constant JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 183 27 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 184 1 Infected infected JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 184 2 individuals individual NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 184 3 die die VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 184 4 with with IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 184 5 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 184 6 rate rate NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 184 7 ga ga NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 184 8 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 184 9 recover recover VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 184 10 with with IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 184 11 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 184 12 rate rate NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 184 13 g(1 g(1 NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 184 14 − − NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 184 15 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 184 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 184 17 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 185 1 The the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 185 2 migration migration NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 185 3 terms term NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 185 4 include include VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 185 5 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 185 6 outward outward JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 185 7 migration migration NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 185 8 to to IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 185 9 n n CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 185 10 neighbors neighbor NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 185 11 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 185 12 an an DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 185 13 inward inward JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 185 14 migration migration NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 185 15 from from IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 185 16 all all PDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 185 17 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 185 18 n n NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 185 19 neighboring neighboring NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 185 20 demes demes NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 185 21 that that WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 185 22 belong belong VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 185 23 to to IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 185 24 neighborhood neighborhood NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 186 1 B b NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 187 1 n n CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 187 2 i i PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 187 3 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 187 4 deme deme NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 188 1 i. i. NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 189 1 The the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 189 2 migration migration NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 189 3 rate rate NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 189 4 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 189 5 denoted denote VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 189 6 by by IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 189 7 f f NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 189 8 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 189 9 we -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 189 10 assume assume VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 189 11 that that IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 189 12 each each DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 189 13 patch patch NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 189 14 has have VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 189 15 eight eight CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 189 16 direct direct JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 189 17 neighbors neighbor NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 189 18 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 189 19 i.e. i.e. FW cord-317184-vz829rsy 189 20 n n NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 189 21 = = SYM cord-317184-vz829rsy 189 22 8 8 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 189 23 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 190 1 The the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 190 2 boundary boundary NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 190 3 demes deme NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 190 4 are be VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 190 5 characterize characterize VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 190 6 by by IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 190 7 fewer few JJR cord-317184-vz829rsy 190 8 inward inward JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 190 9 / / SYM cord-317184-vz829rsy 190 10 outward outward JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 190 11 migrations migration NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 190 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 190 13 that that RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 190 14 is is RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 190 15 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 190 16 they -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 190 17 have have VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 190 18 smaller small JJR cord-317184-vz829rsy 190 19 neighborhood neighborhood NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 190 20 sets set NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 190 21 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 190 22 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 191 1 Using use VBG cord-317184-vz829rsy 191 2 this this DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 191 3 model model NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 191 4 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 191 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 191 6 track track VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 191 7 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 191 8 predicted predict VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 191 9 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 191 10 for for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 191 11 I i NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 191 12 + + CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 191 13 R r NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 191 14 + + CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 191 15 D d NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 191 16 over over IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 191 17 time time NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 191 18 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 191 19 which which WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 191 20 represents represent VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 191 21 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 191 22 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 191 23 infection infection NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 191 24 case case NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 191 25 counts count VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 191 26 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 192 1 In in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 192 2 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 192 3 first first JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 192 4 scenario scenario NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 192 5 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 192 6 we -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 192 7 start start VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 192 8 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 192 9 computer computer NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 192 10 simulations simulation NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 192 11 with with IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 192 12 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 192 13 small small JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 192 14 amount amount NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 192 15 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 192 16 infected infected JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 192 17 individuals individual NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 192 18 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 192 19 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 192 20 single single JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 192 21 patch patch NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 192 22 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 192 23 located locate VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 192 24 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 192 25 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 192 26 center center NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 192 27 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 192 28 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 192 29 grid grid NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 192 30 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 193 1 All all DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 193 2 other other JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 193 3 patches patch NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 193 4 contain contain VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 193 5 only only RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 193 6 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 193 7 individuals individual NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 193 8 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 194 1 The the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 194 2 resulting result VBG cord-317184-vz829rsy 194 3 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 194 4 are be VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 194 5 shown show VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 194 6 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 194 7 figure figure NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 194 8 9 9 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 194 9 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 195 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 195 2 observe observe VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 195 3 an an DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 195 4 initial initial JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 195 5 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 195 6 phase phase NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 195 7 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 195 8 infection infection NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 195 9 spread spread NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 195 10 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 195 11 followed follow VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 195 12 by by IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 195 13 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 195 14 transition transition NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 195 15 to to IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 195 16 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 195 17 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 195 18 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 195 19 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 195 20 spread spread NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 195 21 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 196 1 The the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 196 2 spread spread NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 196 3 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 196 4 initially initially RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 196 5 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 196 6 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 196 7 because because IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 196 8 within within IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 196 9 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 196 10 single single JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 196 11 patch patch NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 196 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 196 13 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 196 14 first first JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 196 15 patch patch NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 196 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 196 17 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 196 18 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 196 19 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 196 20 are be VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 196 21 governed govern VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 196 22 by by IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 196 23 well well RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 196 24 mixed mixed JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 196 25 populations population NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 196 26 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 197 1 As as IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 197 2 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 197 3 infection infection NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 197 4 spreads spread VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 197 5 to to IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 197 6 other other JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 197 7 patches patch NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 197 8 by by IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 197 9 migration migration NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 197 10 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 197 11 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 197 12 overall overall JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 197 13 infection infection NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 197 14 spread spread NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 197 15 starts start VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 197 16 to to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 197 17 be be VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 197 18 governed govern VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 197 19 by by IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 197 20 spatial spatial JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 197 21 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 197 22 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 197 23 which which WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 197 24 explains explain VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 197 25 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 197 26 12 12 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 197 27 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 198 1 CC CC NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 198 2 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 198 3 BY BY NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 198 4 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 198 5 NC NC NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 198 6 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 198 7 ND ND NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 198 8 4.0 4.0 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 198 9 International international JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 198 10 license license NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 198 11 It -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 198 12 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 198 13 made make VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 198 14 available available JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 198 15 under under IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 198 16 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 198 17 author author NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 198 18 / / SYM cord-317184-vz829rsy 198 19 funder funder NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 198 20 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 198 21 who who WP cord-317184-vz829rsy 198 22 has have VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 198 23 granted grant VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 198 24 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 198 25 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 198 26 license license NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 198 27 to to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 198 28 display display VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 198 29 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 198 30 preprint preprint NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 198 31 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 198 32 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 198 33 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 199 1 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 199 2 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 199 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 199 4 which which WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 199 5 was be VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 199 6 not not RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 199 7 peer peer NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 199 8 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 199 9 reviewed review VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 199 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 200 1 The the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 200 2 copyright copyright NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 200 3 holder holder NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 200 4 for for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 200 5 this this DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 200 6 preprint preprint NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 200 7 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 201 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.30.20047274 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.30.20047274 NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 201 2 doi doi NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 201 3 : : : cord-317184-vz829rsy 202 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 203 1 preprint preprint NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 203 2 Next Next NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 203 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 203 4 assumed assume VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 203 5 that that IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 203 6 instead instead RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 203 7 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 203 8 starting start VBG cord-317184-vz829rsy 203 9 with with IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 203 10 infecteds infected NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 203 11 only only RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 203 12 being be VBG cord-317184-vz829rsy 203 13 present present JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 203 14 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 203 15 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 203 16 single single JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 203 17 patch patch NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 203 18 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 203 19 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 203 20 small small JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 203 21 amount amount NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 203 22 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 203 23 infected infected JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 203 24 individuals individual NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 203 25 are be VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 203 26 initially initially RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 203 27 present present JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 203 28 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 203 29 more more JJR cord-317184-vz829rsy 203 30 than than IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 203 31 one one CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 203 32 patch patch NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 203 33 around around IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 203 34 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 203 35 same same JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 203 36 time time NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 203 37 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 204 1 This this DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 204 2 could could MD cord-317184-vz829rsy 204 3 correspond correspond VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 204 4 to to IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 204 5 larger large JJR cord-317184-vz829rsy 204 6 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 204 7 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 204 8 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 204 9 which which WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 204 10 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 204 11 infection infection NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 204 12 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 204 13 simultaneously simultaneously RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 204 14 seeded seed VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 204 15 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 204 16 multiple multiple JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 204 17 areas area NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 204 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 204 19 e.g. e.g. RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 204 20 due due JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 204 21 to to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 204 22 travel travel VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 204 23 from from IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 204 24 other other JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 204 25 places place NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 204 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 204 27 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 205 1 Now now RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 205 2 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 205 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 205 4 observe observe VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 205 5 overall overall JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 205 6 growth growth NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 205 7 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 205 8 that that WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 205 9 are be VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 205 10 are be VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 205 11 more more RBR cord-317184-vz829rsy 205 12 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 205 13 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 205 14 like like JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 205 15 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 206 1 The the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 206 2 length length NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 206 3 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 206 4 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 206 5 predicted predict VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 206 6 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 206 7 phase phase NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 206 8 becomes become VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 206 9 longer long RBR cord-317184-vz829rsy 206 10 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 206 11 more more JJR cord-317184-vz829rsy 206 12 patches patch NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 206 13 are be VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 206 14 initially initially RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 206 15 seeded seed VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 206 16 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 207 1 The the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 207 2 reason reason NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 207 3 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 207 4 that that IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 207 5 with with IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 207 6 more more JJR cord-317184-vz829rsy 207 7 initial initial JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 207 8 seeding seed VBG cord-317184-vz829rsy 207 9 events event NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 207 10 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 207 11 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 207 12 importance importance NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 207 13 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 207 14 spatial spatial JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 207 15 spread spread NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 207 16 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 207 17 de de NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 207 18 - - VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 207 19 emphasized emphasize VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 207 20 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 208 1 The the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 208 2 metapopulation metapopulation NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 208 3 model model NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 208 4 can can MD cord-317184-vz829rsy 208 5 therefore therefore RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 208 6 predict predict VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 208 7 an an DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 208 8 array array NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 208 9 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 208 10 growth growth NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 208 11 patterns pattern NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 208 12 where where WRB cord-317184-vz829rsy 208 13 an an DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 208 14 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 208 15 phase phase NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 208 16 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 208 17 varying vary VBG cord-317184-vz829rsy 208 18 length length NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 208 19 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 208 20 followed follow VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 208 21 by by IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 208 22 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 208 23 transition transition NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 208 24 to to IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 208 25 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 208 26 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 208 27 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 208 28 depending depend VBG cord-317184-vz829rsy 208 29 on on IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 208 30 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 208 31 initial initial JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 208 32 conditions condition NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 208 33 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 208 34 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 208 35 simulation simulation NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 208 36 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 209 1 In in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 209 2 this this DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 209 3 paper paper NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 209 4 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 209 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 209 6 analyzed analyze VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 209 7 data datum NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 209 8 that that WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 209 9 document document VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 209 10 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 209 11 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 209 12 COVID19 COVID19 NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 209 13 case case NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 209 14 counts count VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 209 15 over over IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 209 16 time time NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 209 17 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 209 18 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 209 19 large large JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 209 20 number number NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 209 21 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 209 22 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 209 23 around around IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 209 24 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 209 25 world world NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 209 26 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 209 27 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 209 28 examined examine VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 209 29 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 209 30 laws law NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 209 31 according accord VBG cord-317184-vz829rsy 209 32 to to IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 209 33 which which WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 209 34 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 209 35 infection infection NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 209 36 spreads spread VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 209 37 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 210 1 This this DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 210 2 suggests suggest VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 210 3 that that IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 210 4 although although IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 210 5 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 210 6 initial initial JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 210 7 phase phase NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 210 8 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 210 9 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 210 10 spread spread NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 210 11 may may MD cord-317184-vz829rsy 210 12 be be VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 210 13 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 210 14 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 210 15 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 210 16 longer long JJR cord-317184-vz829rsy 210 17 term term NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 210 18 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 210 19 tend tend VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 210 20 to to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 210 21 be be VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 210 22 governed govern VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 210 23 by by IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 210 24 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 210 25 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 210 26 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 210 27 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 211 1 The the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 211 2 analysis analysis NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 211 3 indicates indicate VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 211 4 that that IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 211 5 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 211 6 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 211 7 that that WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 211 8 display display VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 211 9 clear clear JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 211 10 evidence evidence NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 211 11 for for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 211 12 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 211 13 growth growth NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 211 14 are be VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 211 15 currently currently RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 211 16 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 211 17 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 211 18 relatively relatively RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 211 19 early early JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 211 20 phase phase NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 211 21 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 211 22 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 211 23 epidemic epidemic NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 211 24 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 212 1 The the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 212 2 data datum NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 212 3 further further RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 212 4 suggest suggest VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 212 5 that that IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 212 6 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 212 7 that that WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 212 8 are be VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 212 9 further further RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 212 10 along along IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 212 11 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 212 12 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 212 13 epidemic epidemic NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 212 14 converge converge VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 212 15 to to IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 212 16 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 212 17 common common JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 212 18 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 212 19 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 212 20 13 13 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 212 21 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 213 1 CC CC NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 213 2 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 213 3 BY BY NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 213 4 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 213 5 NC NC NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 213 6 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 213 7 ND ND NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 213 8 4.0 4.0 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 213 9 International international JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 213 10 license license NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 213 11 It -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 213 12 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 213 13 made make VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 213 14 available available JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 213 15 under under IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 213 16 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 213 17 author author NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 213 18 / / SYM cord-317184-vz829rsy 213 19 funder funder NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 213 20 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 213 21 who who WP cord-317184-vz829rsy 213 22 has have VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 213 23 granted grant VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 213 24 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 213 25 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 213 26 license license NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 213 27 to to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 213 28 display display VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 213 29 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 213 30 preprint preprint NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 213 31 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 213 32 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 213 33 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 214 1 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 214 2 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 214 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 214 4 which which WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 214 5 was be VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 214 6 not not RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 214 7 peer peer NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 214 8 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 214 9 reviewed review VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 214 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 215 1 The the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 215 2 copyright copyright NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 215 3 holder holder NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 215 4 for for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 215 5 this this DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 215 6 preprint preprint NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 215 7 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 216 1 behavior behavior NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 216 2 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 216 3 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 216 4 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 216 5 per per IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 216 6 capita capita FW cord-317184-vz829rsy 216 7 case case NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 216 8 counts count NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 216 9 appear appear VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 216 10 to to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 216 11 converge converge VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 216 12 over over IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 216 13 time time NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 216 14 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 217 1 These these DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 217 2 observations observation NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 217 3 were be VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 217 4 interpreted interpret VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 217 5 by by IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 217 6 computer computer NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 217 7 simulations simulation NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 217 8 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 217 9 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 217 10 metapopulation metapopulation NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 217 11 model model NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 217 12 that that WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 217 13 takes take VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 217 14 into into IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 217 15 account account NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 217 16 both both CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 217 17 local local JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 217 18 spread spread NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 217 19 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 217 20 spread spread VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 217 21 across across IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 217 22 geographical geographical JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 217 23 space space NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 217 24 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 218 1 This this DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 218 2 model model NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 218 3 predicts predict VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 218 4 an an DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 218 5 initial initial JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 218 6 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 218 7 phase phase NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 218 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 218 9 due due IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 218 10 to to IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 218 11 local local JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 218 12 transmission transmission NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 218 13 events event NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 218 14 driving drive VBG cord-317184-vz829rsy 218 15 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 218 16 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 218 17 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 218 18 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 218 19 followed follow VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 218 20 by by IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 218 21 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 218 22 transition transition NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 218 23 to to IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 218 24 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 218 25 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 218 26 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 218 27 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 218 28 once once IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 218 29 spatial spatial JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 218 30 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 218 31 significantly significantly RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 218 32 drive drive VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 218 33 spread spread NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 218 34 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 218 35 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 219 1 The the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 219 2 duration duration NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 219 3 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 219 4 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 219 5 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 219 6 phase phase NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 219 7 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 219 8 determined determine VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 219 9 by by IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 219 10 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 219 11 number number NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 219 12 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 219 13 patches patch NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 219 14 that that WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 219 15 are be VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 219 16 initially initially RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 219 17 seeded seed VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 219 18 with with IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 219 19 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 219 20 infection infection NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 219 21 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 220 1 If if IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 220 2 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 220 3 infection infection NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 220 4 originates originate VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 220 5 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 220 6 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 220 7 single single JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 220 8 location location NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 220 9 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 220 10 patch patch NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 220 11 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 220 12 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 220 13 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 220 14 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 220 15 phase phase NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 220 16 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 220 17 likely likely JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 220 18 not not RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 220 19 very very RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 220 20 pronounced pronounce VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 220 21 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 220 22 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 220 23 most most JJS cord-317184-vz829rsy 220 24 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 220 25 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 220 26 growth growth NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 220 27 curve curve NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 220 28 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 220 29 predicted predict VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 220 30 to to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 220 31 follow follow VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 220 32 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 220 33 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 220 34 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 220 35 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 221 1 If if IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 221 2 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 221 3 infection infection NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 221 4 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 221 5 seeded seed VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 221 6 simultaneously simultaneously RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 221 7 or or CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 221 8 nearly nearly RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 221 9 simultaneously simultaneously RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 221 10 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 221 11 multiple multiple JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 221 12 locations location NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 221 13 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 221 14 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 221 15 duration duration NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 221 16 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 221 17 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 221 18 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 221 19 phase phase NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 221 20 becomes become VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 221 21 longer long RBR cord-317184-vz829rsy 221 22 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 222 1 The the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 222 2 larger large JJR cord-317184-vz829rsy 222 3 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 222 4 number number NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 222 5 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 222 6 initially initially RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 222 7 seeded seed VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 222 8 locations location NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 222 9 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 222 10 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 222 11 more more RBR cord-317184-vz829rsy 222 12 pronounced pronounce VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 222 13 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 222 14 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 222 15 phase phase NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 222 16 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 222 17 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 222 18 infection infection NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 222 19 spread spread VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 222 20 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 223 1 These these DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 223 2 predictions prediction NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 223 3 are be VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 223 4 further further JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 223 5 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 223 6 agreement agreement NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 223 7 with with IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 223 8 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 223 9 correlations correlation NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 223 10 that that WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 223 11 we -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 223 12 found find VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 223 13 between between IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 223 14 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 223 15 growth growth NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 223 16 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 223 17 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 223 18 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 223 19 infection infection NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 223 20 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 223 21 country country NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 223 22 size size NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 223 23 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 224 1 Exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 224 2 growth growth NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 224 3 was be VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 224 4 associated associate VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 224 5 with with IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 224 6 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 224 7 that that WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 224 8 are be VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 224 9 characterized characterize VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 224 10 by by IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 224 11 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 224 12 larger large JJR cord-317184-vz829rsy 224 13 area area NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 224 14 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 225 1 More more RBR cord-317184-vz829rsy 225 2 pronounced pronounce VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 225 3 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 225 4 laws law NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 225 5 tend tend VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 225 6 to to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 225 7 occur occur VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 225 8 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 225 9 counties county NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 225 10 with with IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 225 11 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 225 12 smaller small JJR cord-317184-vz829rsy 225 13 area area NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 225 14 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 226 1 If if IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 226 2 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 226 3 country country NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 226 4 has have VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 226 5 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 226 6 larger large JJR cord-317184-vz829rsy 226 7 area area NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 226 8 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 226 9 it -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 226 10 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 226 11 more more RBR cord-317184-vz829rsy 226 12 likely likely JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 226 13 that that IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 226 14 multiple multiple JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 226 15 locations location NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 226 16 are be VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 226 17 seeded seed VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 226 18 with with IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 226 19 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 226 20 infection infection NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 226 21 around around IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 226 22 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 226 23 similar similar JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 226 24 time time NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 226 25 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 226 26 for for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 226 27 example example NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 226 28 due due IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 226 29 to to IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 226 30 travelers traveler NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 226 31 returning return VBG cord-317184-vz829rsy 226 32 from from IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 226 33 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 226 34 country country NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 226 35 with with IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 226 36 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 226 37 larger large JJR cord-317184-vz829rsy 226 38 disease disease NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 226 39 incidence incidence NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 226 40 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 227 1 For for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 227 2 this this DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 227 3 scenario scenario NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 227 4 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 227 5 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 227 6 metapopulation metapopulation NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 227 7 model model NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 227 8 predicts predict VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 227 9 more more RBR cord-317184-vz829rsy 227 10 pronounced pronounce VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 227 11 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 227 12 growth growth NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 227 13 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 228 1 If if IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 228 2 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 228 3 country country NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 228 4 has have VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 228 5 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 228 6 smaller small JJR cord-317184-vz829rsy 228 7 area area NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 228 8 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 228 9 it -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 228 10 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 228 11 more more RBR cord-317184-vz829rsy 228 12 likely likely JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 228 13 that that IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 228 14 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 228 15 infection infection NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 228 16 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 228 17 seeded seed VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 228 18 within within IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 228 19 one one CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 228 20 geographical geographical JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 228 21 area area NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 228 22 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 228 23 spreads spread VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 228 24 outward outward RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 228 25 from from IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 228 26 there there RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 228 27 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 229 1 In in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 229 2 this this DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 229 3 case case NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 229 4 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 229 5 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 229 6 metapopulation metapopulation NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 229 7 predicts predict VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 229 8 an an DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 229 9 infection infection NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 229 10 spread spread NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 229 11 pattern pattern NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 229 12 that that WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 229 13 mostly mostly RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 229 14 follows follow VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 229 15 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 229 16 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 229 17 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 229 18 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 230 1 Beyond beyond IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 230 2 scientific scientific JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 230 3 interest interest NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 230 4 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 230 5 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 230 6 better well JJR cord-317184-vz829rsy 230 7 understanding understanding NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 230 8 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 230 9 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 230 10 laws law NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 230 11 according accord VBG cord-317184-vz829rsy 230 12 to to IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 230 13 which which WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 230 14 COVID19 COVID19 NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 230 15 spreads spread VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 230 16 through through IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 230 17 populations population NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 230 18 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 230 19 also also RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 230 20 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 230 21 practical practical JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 230 22 importance importance NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 230 23 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 231 1 Currently currently RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 231 2 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 231 3 emphasis emphasis NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 231 4 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 231 5 placed place VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 231 6 on on IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 231 7 non non JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 231 8 - - JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 231 9 pharmaceutical pharmaceutical JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 231 10 intervention intervention NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 231 11 measures measure NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 231 12 to to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 231 13 slow slow VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 231 14 down down RP cord-317184-vz829rsy 231 15 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 231 16 spread spread NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 231 17 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 231 18 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 231 19 infection infection NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 231 20 such such JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 231 21 that that IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 231 22 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 231 23 ability ability NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 231 24 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 231 25 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 231 26 health health NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 231 27 care care NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 231 28 system system NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 231 29 to to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 231 30 cope cope VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 231 31 with with IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 231 32 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 231 33 number number NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 231 34 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 231 35 incoming incoming JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 231 36 patients patient NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 231 37 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 231 38 preserved preserve VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 231 39 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 232 1 The the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 232 2 success success NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 232 3 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 232 4 these these DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 232 5 intervention intervention NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 232 6 measures measure NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 232 7 should should MD cord-317184-vz829rsy 232 8 be be VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 232 9 reflected reflect VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 232 10 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 232 11 slowed slow VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 232 12 infection infection NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 232 13 spread spread NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 232 14 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 233 1 An an DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 233 2 understanding understanding NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 233 3 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 233 4 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 233 5 infection infection NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 233 6 spread spread VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 233 7 laws law NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 233 8 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 233 9 crucial crucial JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 233 10 to to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 233 11 interpret interpret VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 233 12 such such JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 233 13 data datum NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 233 14 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 234 1 If if IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 234 2 we -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 234 3 assume assume VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 234 4 that that IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 234 5 infection infection NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 234 6 growth growth NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 234 7 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 234 8 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 234 9 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 234 10 if if IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 234 11 we -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 234 12 plot plot VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 234 13 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 234 14 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 234 15 number number NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 234 16 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 234 17 COVID19 covid19 NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 234 18 cases case NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 234 19 on on IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 234 20 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 234 21 log log NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 234 22 scale scale NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 234 23 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 234 24 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 234 25 deviation deviation NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 234 26 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 234 27 slow slow RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 234 28 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 234 29 down down NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 234 30 from from IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 234 31 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 234 32 growth growth NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 234 33 would would MD cord-317184-vz829rsy 234 34 lead lead VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 234 35 to to IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 234 36 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 234 37 conclusions conclusion NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 234 38 that that IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 234 39 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 234 40 non non JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 234 41 - - JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 234 42 pharmaceutical pharmaceutical JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 234 43 intervention intervention NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 234 44 measures measure NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 234 45 are be VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 234 46 successful successful JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 234 47 [ [ -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 234 48 16 16 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 234 49 ] ] -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 234 50 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 235 1 If if IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 235 2 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 235 3 however however RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 235 4 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 235 5 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 235 6 true true JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 235 7 spread spread NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 235 8 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 235 9 are be VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 235 10 characterized characterize VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 235 11 by by IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 235 12 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 235 13 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 235 14 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 235 15 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 235 16 we -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 235 17 expect expect VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 235 18 deviation deviation NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 235 19 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 235 20 slow slow RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 235 21 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 235 22 down down NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 235 23 compared compare VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 235 24 to to IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 235 25 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 235 26 growth growth NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 235 27 over over IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 235 28 time time NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 235 29 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 235 30 even even RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 235 31 if if IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 235 32 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 235 33 infection infection NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 235 34 continues continue VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 235 35 to to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 235 36 spread spread VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 235 37 at at IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 235 38 full full JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 235 39 force force NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 235 40 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 236 1 In in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 236 2 this this DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 236 3 case case NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 236 4 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 236 5 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 236 6 deviation deviation NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 236 7 from from IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 236 8 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 236 9 spread spread NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 236 10 can can MD cord-317184-vz829rsy 236 11 not not RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 236 12 be be VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 236 13 interpreted interpret VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 236 14 to to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 236 15 mean mean VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 236 16 that that IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 236 17 non non JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 236 18 - - JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 236 19 pharmaceutical pharmaceutical JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 236 20 intervention intervention NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 236 21 measures measure NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 236 22 are be VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 236 23 sufficient sufficient JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 236 24 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 237 1 To to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 237 2 come come VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 237 3 to to IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 237 4 that that DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 237 5 conclusion conclusion NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 237 6 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 237 7 we -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 237 8 would would MD cord-317184-vz829rsy 237 9 need need VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 237 10 to to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 237 11 observe observe VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 237 12 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 237 13 deviation deviation NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 237 14 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 237 15 slow slow RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 237 16 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 237 17 down down NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 237 18 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 237 19 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 237 20 infection infection NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 237 21 spread spread VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 237 22 compared compare VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 237 23 to to IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 237 24 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 237 25 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 237 26 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 237 27 null null NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 237 28 model model NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 237 29 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 238 1 As as IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 238 2 with with IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 238 3 any any DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 238 4 data datum NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 238 5 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 238 6 modeling modeling NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 238 7 studies study NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 238 8 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 238 9 it -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 238 10 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 238 11 important important JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 238 12 to to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 238 13 note note VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 238 14 that that IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 238 15 results result NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 238 16 can can MD cord-317184-vz829rsy 238 17 depend depend VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 238 18 on on IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 238 19 assumptions assumption NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 238 20 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 238 21 methodologies methodology NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 238 22 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 239 1 These these DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 239 2 are be VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 239 3 clearly clearly RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 239 4 spelt spell VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 239 5 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-317184-vz829rsy 239 6 here here RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 239 7 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 240 1 One one CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 240 2 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 240 3 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 240 4 larger large JJR cord-317184-vz829rsy 240 5 challenges challenge NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 240 6 we -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 240 7 faced face VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 240 8 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 240 9 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 240 10 data data NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 240 11 analysis analysis NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 240 12 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 240 13 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 240 14 lack lack NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 240 15 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 240 16 knowledge knowledge NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 240 17 at at IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 240 18 what what WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 240 19 time time NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 240 20 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 240 21 infection infection NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 240 22 was be VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 240 23 initiated initiate VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 240 24 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 240 25 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 240 26 individual individual JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 240 27 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 240 28 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 241 1 This this DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 241 2 information information NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 241 3 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 241 4 not not RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 241 5 available available JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 241 6 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 242 1 The the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 242 2 time time NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 242 3 frame frame NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 242 4 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 242 5 turn turn NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 242 6 influences influence VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 242 7 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 242 8 fit fit NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 242 9 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 242 10 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 242 11 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 242 12 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 242 13 to to IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 242 14 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 242 15 data datum NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 242 16 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 242 17 which which WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 242 18 we -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 242 19 have have VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 242 20 addressed address VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 242 21 with with IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 242 22 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-317184-vz829rsy 242 23 time time NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 242 24 shifting shift VBG cord-317184-vz829rsy 242 25 methodology methodology NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 242 26 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 243 1 If if IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 243 2 further further JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 243 3 information information NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 243 4 becomes become VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 243 5 available available JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 243 6 about about IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 243 7 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 243 8 time time NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 243 9 when when WRB cord-317184-vz829rsy 243 10 infections infection NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 243 11 are be VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 243 12 estimated estimate VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 243 13 to to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 243 14 have have VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 243 15 originated originate VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 243 16 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 243 17 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 243 18 individual individual JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 243 19 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 243 20 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 243 21 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 243 22 methodology methodology NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 243 23 can can MD cord-317184-vz829rsy 243 24 be be VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 243 25 updated update VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 243 26 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 244 1 Genetic genetic JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 244 2 studies study NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 244 3 could could MD cord-317184-vz829rsy 244 4 provide provide VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 244 5 valuable valuable JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 244 6 data datum NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 244 7 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 244 8 this this DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 244 9 respect respect NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 244 10 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 245 1 Another another DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 245 2 limitation limitation NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 245 3 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 245 4 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 245 5 data data NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 245 6 interpretation interpretation NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 245 7 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 245 8 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 245 9 degree degree NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 245 10 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 245 11 to to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 245 12 which which WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 245 13 different different JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 245 14 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 245 15 test test VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 245 16 for for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 245 17 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 245 18 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 245 19 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 246 1 If if IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 246 2 some some DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 246 3 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 246 4 test test VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 246 5 less less JJR cord-317184-vz829rsy 246 6 than than IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 246 7 others other NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 246 8 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 246 9 they -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 246 10 will will MD cord-317184-vz829rsy 246 11 appear appear VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 246 12 to to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 246 13 be be VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 246 14 further further RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 246 15 behind behind IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 246 16 Italy Italy NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 246 17 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 246 18 while while IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 246 19 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 246 20 reality reality NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 246 21 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 246 22 lag lag NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 246 23 could could MD cord-317184-vz829rsy 246 24 be be VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 246 25 shorter short JJR cord-317184-vz829rsy 246 26 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 247 1 This this DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 247 2 type type NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 247 3 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 247 4 uncertainty uncertainty NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 247 5 however however RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 247 6 does do VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 247 7 not not RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 247 8 change change VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 247 9 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 247 10 central central JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 247 11 finding finding NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 247 12 that that IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 247 13 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 247 14 long long JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 247 15 term term NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 247 16 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 247 17 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 247 18 COVID19 covid19 NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 247 19 cases case NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 247 20 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 247 21 different different JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 247 22 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 247 23 follow follow VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 247 24 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 247 25 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 247 26 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 247 27 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 247 28 after after IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 247 29 an an DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 247 30 initial initial JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 247 31 stage stage NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 247 32 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 247 33 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 247 34 growth growth NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 247 35 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 248 1 Here here RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 248 2 we -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 248 3 present present VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 248 4 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 248 5 details detail NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 248 6 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 248 7 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 248 8 fitting fitting JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 248 9 procedure procedure NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 248 10 used use VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 248 11 to to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 248 12 determine determine VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 248 13 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 248 14 growth growth NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 248 15 laws law NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 248 16 for for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 248 17 different different JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 248 18 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 248 19 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 249 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 249 2 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 249 3 illustrated illustrate VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 249 4 with with IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 249 5 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 249 6 example example NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 249 7 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 249 8 Italy Italy NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 249 9 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 249 10 figure figure NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 249 11 10 10 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 249 12 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 250 1 The the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 250 2 full full JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 250 3 data datum NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 250 4 for for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 250 5 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 250 6 number number NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 250 7 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 250 8 cases case NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 250 9 per per IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 250 10 million million CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 250 11 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 250 12 Italy Italy NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 250 13 are be VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 250 14 presented present VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 250 15 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 250 16 figure figure NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 250 17 1(b 1(b CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 250 18 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 250 19 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 250 20 orange orange NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 250 21 curve curve NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 250 22 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 251 1 In in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 251 2 figure figure NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 251 3 10 10 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 251 4 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 251 5 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 251 6 subset subset NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 251 7 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 251 8 same same JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 251 9 data datum NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 251 10 starting start VBG cord-317184-vz829rsy 251 11 from from IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 251 12 1 1 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 251 13 case case NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 251 14 per per IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 251 15 million million CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 251 16 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 251 17 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 251 18 plotted plot VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 251 19 on on IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 251 20 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 251 21 log log NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 251 22 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 251 23 log log NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 251 24 scale scale NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 251 25 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 251 26 panel panel NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 251 27 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 251 28 a a NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 251 29 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 251 30 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 251 31 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 251 32 on on IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 251 33 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 251 34 linear linear JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 251 35 scale scale NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 251 36 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 251 37 panel panel NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 251 38 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 251 39 b b NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 251 40 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 251 41 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 251 42 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 251 43 with with IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 251 44 varying vary VBG cord-317184-vz829rsy 251 45 horizontal horizontal JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 251 46 shift shift NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 251 47 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 251 48 which which WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 251 49 corresponds correspond VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 251 50 to to IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 251 51 changing change VBG cord-317184-vz829rsy 251 52 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 251 53 position position NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 251 54 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 251 55 time time NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 251 56 zero zero CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 251 57 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 252 1 This this DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 252 2 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 252 3 what what WP cord-317184-vz829rsy 252 4 we -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 252 5 refer refer VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 252 6 to to IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 252 7 as as IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 252 8 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 252 9 " " `` cord-317184-vz829rsy 252 10 fitting fitting JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 252 11 frame frame NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 252 12 " " '' cord-317184-vz829rsy 252 13 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 253 1 The the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 253 2 fitting fitting JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 253 3 frame frame NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 253 4 number number NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 253 5 one one CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 253 6 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 253 7 when when WRB cord-317184-vz829rsy 253 8 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 253 9 first first JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 253 10 data data NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 253 11 point point NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 253 12 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 253 13 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 253 14 selected select VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 253 15 subset subset NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 253 16 corresponds correspond NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 253 17 to to IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 253 18 day day NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 253 19 1 1 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 253 20 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 254 1 The the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 254 2 ith ith FW cord-317184-vz829rsy 254 3 fitting fitting JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 254 4 frame frame NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 254 5 shifts shift NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 254 6 this this DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 254 7 point point NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 254 8 to to IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 254 9 day day NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 254 10 i. i. NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 255 1 For for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 255 2 each each DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 255 3 fitting fitting JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 255 4 frame frame NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 255 5 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 255 6 we -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 255 7 obtained obtain VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 255 8 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 255 9 best good JJS cord-317184-vz829rsy 255 10 fit fit NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 255 11 with with IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 255 12 function function NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 255 13 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 255 14 1 1 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 255 15 x x SYM cord-317184-vz829rsy 255 16 b b NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 255 17 1 1 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 255 18 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 255 19 by by IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 255 20 using use VBG cord-317184-vz829rsy 255 21 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 255 22 built build VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 255 23 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 255 24 in in RP cord-317184-vz829rsy 255 25 Mathematica Mathematica NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 255 26 routine routine NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 255 27 " " `` cord-317184-vz829rsy 255 28 FindFit FindFit NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 255 29 " " '' cord-317184-vz829rsy 255 30 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 256 1 Note note VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 256 2 that that IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 256 3 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 256 4 natural natural JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 256 5 logarithm logarithm NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 256 6 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 256 7 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 256 8 data datum NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 256 9 was be VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 256 10 fitted fit VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 256 11 for for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 256 12 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 256 13 figures figure NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 256 14 presented present VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 256 15 here here RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 256 16 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 257 1 1 1 LS cord-317184-vz829rsy 258 1 Clearly clearly RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 258 2 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 258 3 some some DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 258 4 fits fit NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 258 5 are be VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 258 6 better well JJR cord-317184-vz829rsy 258 7 than than IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 258 8 others other NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 258 9 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 258 10 see see VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 258 11 figure figure NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 258 12 10(a 10(a CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 258 13 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 258 14 b b LS cord-317184-vz829rsy 258 15 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 258 16 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 259 1 The the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 259 2 fitting fitting JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 259 3 error error NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 259 4 for for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 259 5 each each DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 259 6 fitting fitting JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 259 7 frame frame NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 259 8 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 259 9 i i PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 259 10 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 259 11 was be VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 259 12 calculated calculate VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 259 13 as as IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 259 14 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 259 15 distance distance NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 259 16 between between IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 259 17 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 259 18 data datum NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 259 19 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 259 20 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 259 21 fit fit JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 259 22 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 259 23 normalized normalize VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 259 24 by by IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 259 25 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 259 26 number number NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 259 27 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 259 28 points point NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 259 29 : : : cord-317184-vz829rsy 259 30 where where WRB cord-317184-vz829rsy 259 31 y y NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 259 32 Exponential Exponential NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 259 33 fits fit NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 259 34 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 259 35 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 259 36 same same JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 259 37 data datum NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 259 38 from from IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 259 39 Italy Italy NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 259 40 are be VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 259 41 shown show VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 259 42 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 259 43 figure figure NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 259 44 11(a 11(a CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 259 45 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 259 46 b b LS cord-317184-vz829rsy 259 47 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 259 48 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 260 1 In in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 260 2 panel panel NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 260 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 260 4 a a LS cord-317184-vz829rsy 260 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 260 6 we -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 260 7 used use VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 260 8 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 260 9 log log NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 260 10 scale scale NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 260 11 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 260 12 such such JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 260 13 that that IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 260 14 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 260 15 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 260 16 fits fit NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 260 17 look look VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 260 18 like like IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 260 19 straight straight JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 260 20 lines line NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 260 21 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 261 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 261 2 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 261 3 clear clear JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 261 4 that that IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 261 5 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 261 6 first first RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 261 7 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 261 8 all all DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 261 9 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 261 10 these these DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 261 11 fits fit NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 261 12 are be VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 261 13 all all DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 261 14 parallel parallel JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 261 15 lines line NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 261 16 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 261 17 thus thus RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 261 18 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 261 19 error error NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 261 20 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 261 21 exactly exactly RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 261 22 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 261 23 same same JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 261 24 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 261 25 thus thus RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 261 26 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 261 27 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 261 28 fitting fitting JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 261 29 errors error NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 261 30 as as IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 261 31 functions function NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 261 32 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 261 33 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 261 34 fitting fitting JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 261 35 frame frame NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 261 36 are be VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 261 37 horizontal horizontal JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 261 38 lines line NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 261 39 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 261 40 see see VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 261 41 figures figure NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 261 42 3 3 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 261 43 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 261 44 4 4 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 261 45 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 261 46 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 262 1 Second second RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 262 2 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 262 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 262 4 note note VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 262 5 that that IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 262 6 these these DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 262 7 fits fit NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 262 8 are be VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 262 9 not not RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 262 10 very very RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 262 11 good good JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 262 12 for for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 262 13 Italy Italy NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 262 14 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 262 15 that that DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 262 16 's be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 262 17 why why WRB cord-317184-vz829rsy 262 18 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 262 19 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 262 20 fit fit JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 262 21 errors error NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 262 22 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 262 23 always always RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 262 24 below below IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 262 25 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 262 26 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 262 27 error error NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 262 28 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 262 29 see see VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 262 30 figure figure NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 262 31 4 4 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 262 32 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 262 33 b b NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 262 34 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 262 35 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 263 1 For for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 263 2 comparison comparison NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 263 3 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 263 4 panels panel NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 263 5 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 263 6 c c NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 263 7 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 263 8 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 263 9 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 263 10 d d NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 263 11 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 263 12 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 263 13 figure figure NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 263 14 11 11 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 263 15 show show VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 263 16 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 263 17 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 263 18 fits fit NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 263 19 for for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 263 20 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 263 21 US US NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 263 22 data datum NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 263 23 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 264 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 264 2 can can MD cord-317184-vz829rsy 264 3 see see VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 264 4 that that IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 264 5 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 264 6 quality quality NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 264 7 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 264 8 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 264 9 fits fit NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 264 10 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 264 11 better well JJR cord-317184-vz829rsy 264 12 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 264 13 see see VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 264 14 also also RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 264 15 figure figure VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 264 16 4(b 4(b CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 264 17 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 264 18 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 265 1 In in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 265 2 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 265 3 main main JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 265 4 text text NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 265 5 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 265 6 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 265 7 this this DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 265 8 Appendix Appendix NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 265 9 so so RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 265 10 far far RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 265 11 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 265 12 we -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 265 13 describe describe VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 265 14 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 265 15 fitting fitting JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 265 16 procedure procedure NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 265 17 where where WRB cord-317184-vz829rsy 265 18 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 265 19 " " `` cord-317184-vz829rsy 265 20 confirmed confirm VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 265 21 cases case NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 265 22 " " '' cord-317184-vz829rsy 265 23 data datum NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 265 24 for for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 265 25 each each DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 265 26 country country NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 265 27 were be VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 265 28 used use VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 265 29 only only RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 265 30 if if IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 265 31 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 265 32 numbers number NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 265 33 exceeded exceed VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 265 34 1 1 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 265 35 case case NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 265 36 per per IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 265 37 million million CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 265 38 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 266 1 Here here RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 266 2 we -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 266 3 demonstrate demonstrate VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 266 4 how how WRB cord-317184-vz829rsy 266 5 this this DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 266 6 changes change VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 266 7 if if IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 266 8 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 266 9 different different JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 266 10 choice choice NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 266 11 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 266 12 made make VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 266 13 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 266 14 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 266 15 minimum minimum NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 266 16 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 266 17 5 5 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 266 18 cases case NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 266 19 per per IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 266 20 million million CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 266 21 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 266 22 required require VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 266 23 for for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 266 24 each each DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 266 25 data datum NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 266 26 point point NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 266 27 to to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 266 28 be be VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 266 29 included include VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 266 30 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 267 1 In in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 267 2 figure figure NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 267 3 12 12 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 267 4 we -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 267 5 demonstrate demonstrate VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 267 6 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 267 7 difference difference NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 267 8 for for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 267 9 30 30 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 267 10 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 267 11 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 268 1 The the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 268 2 choice choice NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 268 3 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 268 4 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 268 5 for for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 268 6 this this DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 268 7 graphics graphic NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 268 8 was be VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 268 9 somewhat somewhat RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 268 10 arbitrary arbitrary JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 268 11 : : : cord-317184-vz829rsy 268 12 we -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 268 13 included include VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 268 14 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 268 15 30 30 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 268 16 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 268 17 out out IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 268 18 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 268 19 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 268 20 subset subset NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 268 21 used use VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 268 22 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 268 23 figure figure NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 268 24 3 3 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 268 25 that that WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 268 26 had have VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 268 27 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 268 28 largest large JJS cord-317184-vz829rsy 268 29 infection infection NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 268 30 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 268 31 cases case NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 268 32 per per IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 268 33 million million CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 268 34 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 268 35 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 268 36 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 269 1 CC CC NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 269 2 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 269 3 BY BY NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 269 4 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 269 5 NC NC NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 269 6 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 269 7 ND ND NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 269 8 4.0 4.0 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 269 9 International international JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 269 10 license license NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 270 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 270 2 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 270 3 made make VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 270 4 available available JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 270 5 under under IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 270 6 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 270 7 author author NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 270 8 / / SYM cord-317184-vz829rsy 270 9 funder funder NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 270 10 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 270 11 who who WP cord-317184-vz829rsy 270 12 has have VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 270 13 granted grant VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 270 14 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 270 15 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 270 16 license license NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 270 17 to to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 270 18 display display VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 270 19 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 270 20 preprint preprint NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 270 21 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 270 22 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 270 23 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 271 1 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 271 2 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 271 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 271 4 which which WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 271 5 was be VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 271 6 not not RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 271 7 peer peer NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 271 8 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 271 9 reviewed review VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 271 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 272 1 The the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 272 2 copyright copyright NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 272 3 holder holder NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 272 4 for for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 272 5 this this DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 272 6 preprint preprint NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 272 7 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 273 1 Figure figure NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 273 2 11 11 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 273 3 : : : cord-317184-vz829rsy 273 4 Examples example NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 273 5 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 273 6 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 273 7 fits fit NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 273 8 for for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 273 9 Italy Italy NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 273 10 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 273 11 a a NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 273 12 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 273 13 b b NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 273 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 273 15 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 273 16 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 273 17 US US NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 273 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 273 19 c c NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 273 20 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 273 21 d d NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 273 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 273 23 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 273 24 where where WRB cord-317184-vz829rsy 273 25 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 273 26 log log NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 273 27 scale scale NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 273 28 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 273 29 used use VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 273 30 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 273 31 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 273 32 a a NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 273 33 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 273 34 c c NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 273 35 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 273 36 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 273 37 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 273 38 linear linear JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 273 39 scale scale NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 273 40 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 273 41 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 273 42 b b NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 273 43 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 273 44 d d NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 273 45 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 273 46 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 274 1 The the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 274 2 yellow yellow JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 274 3 lines line NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 274 4 show show VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 274 5 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 274 6 fits fit NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 274 7 for for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 274 8 7 7 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 274 9 different different JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 274 10 frames frame NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 274 11 from from IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 274 12 1 1 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 274 13 to to IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 274 14 21 21 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 274 15 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 274 16 as as IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 274 17 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 274 18 figure figure NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 274 19 10(a 10(a CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 274 20 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 274 21 b b LS cord-317184-vz829rsy 274 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 274 23 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 275 1 Here here RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 275 2 we -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 275 3 present present VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 275 4 plots plot NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 275 5 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 275 6 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 275 7 best good JJS cord-317184-vz829rsy 275 8 fits fit NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 275 9 for for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 275 10 different different JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 275 11 classes class NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 275 12 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 275 13 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 275 14 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 276 1 Figure figure NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 276 2 13 13 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 276 3 shows show NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 276 4 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 276 5 19 19 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 276 6 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 276 7 that that WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 276 8 were be VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 276 9 classified classify VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 276 10 as as IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 276 11 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 276 12 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 276 13 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 276 14 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 276 15 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 277 1 The the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 277 2 plots plot NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 277 3 are be VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 277 4 presented present VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 277 5 on on IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 277 6 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 277 7 log log NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 277 8 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 277 9 log log NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 277 10 scale scale NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 277 11 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 277 12 such such JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 277 13 that that IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 277 14 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 277 15 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 277 16 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 277 17 fits fit VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 277 18 are be VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 277 19 straight straight JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 277 20 lines line NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 277 21 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 278 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 278 2 can can MD cord-317184-vz829rsy 278 3 see see VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 278 4 that that IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 278 5 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 278 6 best good JJS cord-317184-vz829rsy 278 7 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 278 8 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 278 9 fit fit NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 278 10 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 278 11 blue blue NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 278 12 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 278 13 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 278 14 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 278 15 visibly visibly RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 278 16 better well JJR cord-317184-vz829rsy 278 17 match match NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 278 18 than than IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 278 19 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 278 20 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 278 21 fit fit NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 278 22 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 278 23 yellow yellow NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 278 24 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 278 25 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 279 1 Note note VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 279 2 that that IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 279 3 for for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 279 4 all all DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 279 5 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 279 6 these these DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 279 7 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 279 8 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 279 9 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 279 10 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 279 11 fitting fitting NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 279 12 error error NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 279 13 for for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 279 14 any any DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 279 15 frame frame NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 279 16 shift shift NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 279 17 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 279 18 smaller small JJR cord-317184-vz829rsy 279 19 than than IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 279 20 that that DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 279 21 obtained obtain VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 279 22 by by IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 279 23 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 279 24 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 279 25 fitting fitting NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 279 26 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 280 1 The the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 280 2 rest rest NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 280 3 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 280 4 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 280 5 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 280 6 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 280 7 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 280 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 280 9 those those DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 280 10 that that WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 280 11 were be VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 280 12 classified classify VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 280 13 as as IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 280 14 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 280 15 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 280 16 like like IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 280 17 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 280 18 are be VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 280 19 shown show VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 280 20 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 280 21 figure figure NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 280 22 14 14 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 280 23 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 281 1 This this DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 281 2 list list NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 281 3 contains contain VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 281 4 24 24 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 281 5 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 281 6 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 282 1 For for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 282 2 convenience convenience NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 282 3 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 282 4 we -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 282 5 present present VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 282 6 both both CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 282 7 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 282 8 log log NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 282 9 log log NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 282 10 plot plot NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 282 11 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 282 12 such such JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 282 13 that that IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 282 14 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 282 15 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 282 16 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 282 17 fits fit VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 282 18 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 282 19 blue blue JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 282 20 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 282 21 appear appear VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 282 22 as as IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 282 23 straight straight JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 282 24 lines line NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 282 25 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 282 26 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 282 27 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 282 28 log log NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 282 29 plot plot NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 282 30 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 282 31 such such JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 282 32 that that IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 282 33 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 282 34 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 282 35 fits fit NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 282 36 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 282 37 yellow yellow JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 282 38 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 282 39 appear appear VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 282 40 as as IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 282 41 straight straight JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 282 42 lines line NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 282 43 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 282 44 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 283 1 Figure figure NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 283 2 15 15 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 283 3 shows show NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 283 4 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 283 5 9 9 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 283 6 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 283 7 that that WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 283 8 are be VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 283 9 characterized characterize VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 283 10 by by IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 283 11 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 283 12 straight straight JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 283 13 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 283 14 growth growth NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 283 15 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 284 1 For for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 284 2 these these DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 284 3 data datum NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 284 4 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 284 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 284 6 used use VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 284 7 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 284 8 log log NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 284 9 scale scale NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 284 10 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 284 11 such such JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 284 12 that that IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 284 13 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 284 14 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 284 15 fits fit NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 284 16 are be VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 284 17 straight straight JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 284 18 lines line NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 284 19 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 285 1 For for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 285 2 all all DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 285 3 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 285 4 these these DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 285 5 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 285 6 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 285 7 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 285 8 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 285 9 fitting fitting NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 285 10 error error NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 285 11 for for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 285 12 any any DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 285 13 frame frame NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 285 14 shift shift NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 285 15 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 285 16 larger large JJR cord-317184-vz829rsy 285 17 than than IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 285 18 that that DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 285 19 obtained obtain VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 285 20 by by IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 285 21 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 285 22 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 285 23 fitting fitting NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 285 24 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 286 1 Note note VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 286 2 however however RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 286 3 that that IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 286 4 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 286 5 fits fit VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 286 6 that that WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 286 7 are be VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 286 8 almost almost RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 286 9 as as RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 286 10 good good JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 286 11 as as IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 286 12 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 286 13 fits fit NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 286 14 can can MD cord-317184-vz829rsy 286 15 always always RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 286 16 be be VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 286 17 found find VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 286 18 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 286 19 if if IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 286 20 we -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 286 21 we -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 286 22 shift shift VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 286 23 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 286 24 frame frame NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 286 25 far far RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 286 26 enough enough RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 286 27 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 287 1 These these DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 287 2 fits fit VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 287 3 correspond correspond VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 287 4 to to IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 287 5 very very RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 287 6 large large JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 287 7 values value NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 287 8 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 287 9 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 287 10 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 287 11 coefficient coefficient NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 287 12 b b NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 287 13 1 1 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 287 14 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 287 15 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 287 16 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 287 17 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 287 18 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 287 19 see see VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 287 20 for for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 287 21 example example NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 287 22 figure figure NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 287 23 4(a 4(a CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 287 24 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 287 25 which which WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 287 26 presents present VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 287 27 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 287 28 example example NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 287 29 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 287 30 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 287 31 US US NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 287 32 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 288 1 As as IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 288 2 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 288 3 fitting fitting JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 288 4 frame frame NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 288 5 index index NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 288 6 increases increase NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 288 7 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 288 8 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 288 9 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 288 10 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 288 11 fitting fitting NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 288 12 error error NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 288 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 288 14 top top JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 288 15 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 288 16 blue blue JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 288 17 line line NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 288 18 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 288 19 approaches approach VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 288 20 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 288 21 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 288 22 fitting fitting NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 288 23 error error NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 288 24 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 288 25 horizontal horizontal JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 288 26 yellow yellow JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 288 27 line line NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 288 28 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 288 29 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 289 1 This this DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 289 2 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 289 3 however however RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 289 4 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 289 5 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 289 6 meaningless meaningless JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 289 7 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 289 8 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 289 9 does do VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 289 10 not not RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 289 11 indicate indicate VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 289 12 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 289 13 presence presence NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 289 14 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 289 15 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 289 16 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 289 17 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 289 18 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 290 1 Figure figure NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 290 2 16 16 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 290 3 presents present VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 290 4 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 290 5 rest rest NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 290 6 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 290 7 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 290 8 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 290 9 from from IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 290 10 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 290 11 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 290 12 class class NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 290 13 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 291 1 that that DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 291 2 is is RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 291 3 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 291 4 those those DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 291 5 that that WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 291 6 were be VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 291 7 classified classify VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 291 8 as as IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 291 9 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 291 10 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 291 11 like like JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 291 12 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 291 13 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 292 1 CC CC NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 292 2 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 292 3 BY BY NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 292 4 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 292 5 NC NC NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 292 6 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 292 7 ND ND NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 292 8 4.0 4.0 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 292 9 International international JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 292 10 license license NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 293 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 293 2 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 293 3 made make VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 293 4 available available JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 293 5 under under IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 293 6 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 293 7 author author NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 293 8 / / SYM cord-317184-vz829rsy 293 9 funder funder NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 293 10 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 293 11 who who WP cord-317184-vz829rsy 293 12 has have VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 293 13 granted grant VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 293 14 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 293 15 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 293 16 license license NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 293 17 to to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 293 18 display display VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 293 19 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 293 20 preprint preprint NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 293 21 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 293 22 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 293 23 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 294 1 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 294 2 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 294 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 294 4 which which WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 294 5 was be VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 294 6 not not RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 294 7 peer peer NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 294 8 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 294 9 reviewed review VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 294 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 295 1 The the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 295 2 copyright copyright NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 295 3 holder holder NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 295 4 for for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 295 5 this this DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 295 6 preprint preprint NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 295 7 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 296 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.30.20047274 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.30.20047274 NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 296 2 doi doi NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 296 3 : : : cord-317184-vz829rsy 297 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 297 2 preprint preprint NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 297 3 Figure Figure NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 297 4 12 12 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 297 5 : : : cord-317184-vz829rsy 298 1 Comparison comparison NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 298 2 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 298 3 two two CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 298 4 different different JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 298 5 choices choice NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 298 6 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 298 7 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 298 8 fitting fitting JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 298 9 procedure procedure NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 298 10 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 298 11 for for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 298 12 30 30 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 298 13 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 298 14 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 299 1 Each each DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 299 2 panel panel NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 299 3 represents represent VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 299 4 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 299 5 country country NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 299 6 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 299 7 with with IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 299 8 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 299 9 hrizontal hrizontal JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 299 10 axes axis NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 299 11 being be VBG cord-317184-vz829rsy 299 12 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 299 13 fitting fitting JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 299 14 frame frame NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 299 15 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 299 16 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 299 17 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 299 18 vertical vertical JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 299 19 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 299 20 fitting fitting JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 299 21 error error NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 299 22 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 300 1 Red red JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 300 2 symbols symbol NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 300 3 correspond correspond VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 300 4 to to IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 300 5 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 300 6 1 1 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 300 7 case case NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 300 8 per per IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 300 9 million million CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 300 10 threshold threshold NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 300 11 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 300 12 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 300 13 blue blue JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 300 14 circles circle NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 300 15 to to IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 300 16 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 300 17 5 5 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 300 18 cases case NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 300 19 per per IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 300 20 million million CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 300 21 threshold threshold NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 300 22 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 301 1 Circles circle NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 301 2 represent represent VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 301 3 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 301 4 error error NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 301 5 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 301 6 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 301 7 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 301 8 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 301 9 fitting fitting NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 301 10 ; ; : cord-317184-vz829rsy 301 11 they -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 301 12 form form VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 301 13 non non JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 301 14 - - JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 301 15 constant constant JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 301 16 functions function NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 301 17 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 302 1 Squares square NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 302 2 represent represent VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 302 3 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 302 4 error error NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 302 5 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 302 6 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 302 7 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 302 8 fitting fitting NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 302 9 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 302 10 form form VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 302 11 horizontal horizontal JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 302 12 lines line NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 302 13 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 302 14 because because IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 302 15 these these DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 302 16 errors error NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 302 17 do do VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 302 18 not not RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 302 19 depend depend VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 302 20 on on IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 302 21 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 302 22 fitting fitting JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 302 23 frame frame NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 302 24 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 302 25 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 303 1 CC CC NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 303 2 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 303 3 BY BY NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 303 4 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 303 5 NC NC NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 303 6 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 303 7 ND ND NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 303 8 4.0 4.0 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 303 9 International international JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 303 10 license license NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 304 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 304 2 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 304 3 made make VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 304 4 available available JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 304 5 under under IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 304 6 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 304 7 author author NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 304 8 / / SYM cord-317184-vz829rsy 304 9 funder funder NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 304 10 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 304 11 who who WP cord-317184-vz829rsy 304 12 has have VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 304 13 granted grant VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 304 14 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 304 15 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 304 16 license license NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 304 17 to to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 304 18 display display VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 304 19 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 304 20 preprint preprint NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 304 21 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 304 22 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 304 23 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 305 1 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 305 2 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 305 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 305 4 which which WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 305 5 was be VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 305 6 not not RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 305 7 peer peer NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 305 8 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 305 9 reviewed review VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 305 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 306 1 The the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 306 2 copyright copyright NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 306 3 holder holder NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 306 4 for for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 306 5 this this DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 306 6 preprint preprint NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 306 7 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 307 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.30.20047274 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.30.20047274 NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 307 2 doi doi NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 307 3 : : : cord-317184-vz829rsy 308 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 308 2 preprint preprint NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 308 3 Figure Figure NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 308 4 13 13 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 308 5 : : : cord-317184-vz829rsy 309 1 The the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 309 2 19 19 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 309 3 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 309 4 that that WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 309 5 were be VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 309 6 classified classify VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 309 7 as as IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 309 8 those those DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 309 9 following follow VBG cord-317184-vz829rsy 309 10 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 309 11 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 309 12 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 309 13 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 310 1 For for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 310 2 each each DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 310 3 country country NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 310 4 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 310 5 two two CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 310 6 panels panel NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 310 7 are be VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 310 8 presented present VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 310 9 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 311 1 One one CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 311 2 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 311 3 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 311 4 full full JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 311 5 data datum NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 311 6 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 311 7 cases case NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 311 8 per per IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 311 9 million million CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 311 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 311 11 plotted plot VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 311 12 on on IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 311 13 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 311 14 log log NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 311 15 log log NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 311 16 scale scale NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 311 17 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 312 1 The the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 312 2 other other JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 312 3 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 312 4 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 312 5 subset subset NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 312 6 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 312 7 data datum NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 312 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 312 9 with with IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 312 10 1 1 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 312 11 or or CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 312 12 more more JJR cord-317184-vz829rsy 312 13 cases case NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 312 14 per per IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 312 15 mission mission NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 312 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 312 17 plotted plot VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 312 18 on on IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 312 19 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 312 20 log log NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 312 21 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 312 22 log log NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 312 23 scale scale NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 312 24 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 312 25 black black JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 312 26 circles circle NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 312 27 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 312 28 together together RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 312 29 with with IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 312 30 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 312 31 best good JJS cord-317184-vz829rsy 312 32 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 312 33 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 312 34 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 312 35 blue blue JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 312 36 line line NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 312 37 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 312 38 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 312 39 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 312 40 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 312 41 yellow yellow JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 312 42 line line NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 312 43 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 312 44 fits fit VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 312 45 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 312 46 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 313 1 CC CC NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 313 2 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 313 3 BY BY NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 313 4 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 313 5 NC NC NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 313 6 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 313 7 ND ND NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 313 8 4.0 4.0 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 313 9 International international JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 313 10 license license NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 314 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 314 2 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 314 3 made make VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 314 4 available available JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 314 5 under under IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 314 6 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 314 7 author author NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 314 8 / / SYM cord-317184-vz829rsy 314 9 funder funder NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 314 10 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 314 11 who who WP cord-317184-vz829rsy 314 12 has have VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 314 13 granted grant VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 314 14 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 314 15 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 314 16 license license NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 314 17 to to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 314 18 display display VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 314 19 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 314 20 preprint preprint NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 314 21 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 314 22 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 314 23 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 315 1 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 315 2 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 315 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 315 4 which which WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 315 5 was be VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 315 6 not not RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 315 7 peer peer NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 315 8 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 315 9 reviewed review VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 315 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 316 1 The the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 316 2 copyright copyright NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 316 3 holder holder NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 316 4 for for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 316 5 this this DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 316 6 preprint preprint NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 316 7 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 317 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.30.20047274 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.30.20047274 NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 317 2 doi doi NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 317 3 : : : cord-317184-vz829rsy 318 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 318 2 preprint preprint NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 318 3 Figure Figure NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 318 4 14 14 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 318 5 : : : cord-317184-vz829rsy 319 1 The the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 319 2 24 24 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 319 3 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 319 4 that that WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 319 5 were be VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 319 6 classified classify VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 319 7 as as IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 319 8 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 319 9 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 319 10 like like IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 319 11 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 320 1 For for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 320 2 each each DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 320 3 country country NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 320 4 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 320 5 three three CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 320 6 panels panel NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 320 7 are be VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 320 8 presented present VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 320 9 : : : cord-317184-vz829rsy 320 10 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 320 11 1 1 LS cord-317184-vz829rsy 320 12 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 320 13 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 320 14 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 320 15 full full JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 320 16 data datum NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 320 17 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 320 18 cases case NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 320 19 per per IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 320 20 million million CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 320 21 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 320 22 plotted plot VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 320 23 on on IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 320 24 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 320 25 log log NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 320 26 log log NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 320 27 scale scale NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 320 28 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 321 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 321 2 2 2 LS cord-317184-vz829rsy 321 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 321 4 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 321 5 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 321 6 subset subset NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 321 7 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 321 8 data datum NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 321 9 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 321 10 with with IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 321 11 1 1 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 321 12 or or CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 321 13 more more JJR cord-317184-vz829rsy 321 14 cases case NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 321 15 per per IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 321 16 mission mission NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 321 17 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 321 18 plotted plot VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 321 19 on on IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 321 20 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 321 21 log log NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 321 22 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 321 23 log log NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 321 24 scale scale NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 321 25 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 321 26 black black JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 321 27 circles circle NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 321 28 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 321 29 together together RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 321 30 with with IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 321 31 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 321 32 best good JJS cord-317184-vz829rsy 321 33 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 321 34 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 321 35 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 321 36 blue blue JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 321 37 line line NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 321 38 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 321 39 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 321 40 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 321 41 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 321 42 yellow yellow JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 321 43 line line NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 321 44 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 321 45 fits fit VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 321 46 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 322 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 322 2 3 3 LS cord-317184-vz829rsy 322 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 322 4 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 322 5 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 322 6 same same JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 322 7 as as IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 322 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 322 9 2 2 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 322 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 322 11 except except IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 322 12 on on IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 322 13 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 322 14 log log NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 322 15 scale scale NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 322 16 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 322 17 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 323 1 CC CC NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 323 2 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 323 3 BY BY NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 323 4 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 323 5 NC NC NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 323 6 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 323 7 ND ND NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 323 8 4.0 4.0 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 323 9 International international JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 323 10 license license NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 324 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 324 2 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 324 3 made make VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 324 4 available available JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 324 5 under under IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 324 6 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 324 7 author author NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 324 8 / / SYM cord-317184-vz829rsy 324 9 funder funder NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 324 10 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 324 11 who who WP cord-317184-vz829rsy 324 12 has have VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 324 13 granted grant VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 324 14 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 324 15 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 324 16 license license NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 324 17 to to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 324 18 display display VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 324 19 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 324 20 preprint preprint NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 324 21 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 324 22 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 324 23 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 325 1 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 325 2 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 325 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 325 4 which which WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 325 5 was be VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 325 6 not not RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 325 7 peer peer NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 325 8 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 325 9 reviewed review VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 325 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 326 1 The the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 326 2 copyright copyright NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 326 3 holder holder NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 326 4 for for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 326 5 this this DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 326 6 preprint preprint NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 326 7 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 327 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.30.20047274 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.30.20047274 NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 327 2 doi doi NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 327 3 : : : cord-317184-vz829rsy 328 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 328 2 preprint preprint NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 328 3 Figure Figure NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 328 4 15 15 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 328 5 : : : cord-317184-vz829rsy 329 1 The the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 329 2 9 9 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 329 3 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 329 4 that that WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 329 5 were be VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 329 6 classified classify VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 329 7 as as IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 329 8 those those DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 329 9 following follow VBG cord-317184-vz829rsy 329 10 an an DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 329 11 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 329 12 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 329 13 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 330 1 For for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 330 2 each each DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 330 3 country country NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 330 4 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 330 5 two two CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 330 6 panels panel NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 330 7 are be VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 330 8 presented present VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 330 9 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 331 1 One one CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 331 2 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 331 3 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 331 4 full full JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 331 5 data datum NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 331 6 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 331 7 cases case NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 331 8 per per IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 331 9 million million CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 331 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 331 11 plotted plot VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 331 12 on on IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 331 13 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 331 14 log log NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 331 15 log log NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 331 16 scale scale NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 331 17 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 332 1 The the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 332 2 other other JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 332 3 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 332 4 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 332 5 subset subset NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 332 6 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 332 7 data datum NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 332 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 332 9 with with IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 332 10 1 1 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 332 11 or or CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 332 12 more more JJR cord-317184-vz829rsy 332 13 cases case NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 332 14 per per IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 332 15 mission mission NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 332 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 332 17 plotted plot VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 332 18 on on IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 332 19 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 332 20 log log NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 332 21 scale scale NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 332 22 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 332 23 black black JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 332 24 circles circle NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 332 25 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 332 26 together together RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 332 27 with with IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 332 28 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 332 29 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 332 30 fit fit JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 332 31 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 332 32 yellow yellow JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 332 33 line line NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 332 34 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 332 35 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 333 1 Note note VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 333 2 that that IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 333 3 for for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 333 4 these these DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 333 5 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 333 6 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 333 7 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 333 8 power power NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 333 9 law law NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 333 10 fits fit VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 333 11 correspond correspond VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 333 12 to to IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 333 13 very very RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 333 14 high high JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 333 15 values value NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 333 16 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 333 17 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 333 18 exponent exponent NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 333 19 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 333 20 are be VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 333 21 therefore therefore RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 333 22 not not RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 333 23 significantly significantly RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 333 24 different different JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 333 25 from from IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 333 26 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 333 27 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 333 28 fits fit NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 333 29 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 334 1 Figure figure NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 334 2 16 16 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 334 3 : : : cord-317184-vz829rsy 335 1 The the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 335 2 9 9 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 335 3 countries country NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 335 4 that that WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 335 5 were be VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 335 6 classified classify VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 335 7 as as IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 335 8 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 335 9 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 335 10 like like JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 335 11 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 336 1 Panels panel NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 336 2 are be VBP cord-317184-vz829rsy 336 3 as as IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 336 4 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 336 5 figure figure NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 336 6 _SP cord-317184-vz829rsy 336 7 15 15 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 336 8 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 336 9 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 337 1 CC CC NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 337 2 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 337 3 BY BY NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 337 4 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 337 5 NC NC NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 337 6 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 337 7 ND ND NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 337 8 4.0 4.0 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 337 9 International international JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 337 10 license license NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 338 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-317184-vz829rsy 338 2 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 338 3 made make VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 338 4 available available JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 338 5 under under IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 338 6 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 338 7 author author NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 338 8 / / SYM cord-317184-vz829rsy 338 9 funder funder NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 338 10 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 338 11 who who WP cord-317184-vz829rsy 338 12 has have VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 338 13 granted grant VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 338 14 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 338 15 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 338 16 license license NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 338 17 to to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 338 18 display display VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 338 19 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 338 20 preprint preprint NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 338 21 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 338 22 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 338 23 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 339 1 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 339 2 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 339 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 339 4 which which WDT cord-317184-vz829rsy 339 5 was be VBD cord-317184-vz829rsy 339 6 not not RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 339 7 peer peer NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 339 8 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 339 9 reviewed review VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 339 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 340 1 The the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 340 2 copyright copyright NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 340 3 holder holder NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 340 4 for for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 340 5 this this DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 340 6 preprint preprint NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 340 7 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 341 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.30.20047274 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.30.20047274 NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 341 2 doi doi NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 341 3 : : : cord-317184-vz829rsy 342 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 342 2 preprint preprint NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 343 1 The the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 343 2 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 343 3 epidemic epidemic NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 344 1 The the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 344 2 epidemiology epidemiology NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 344 3 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 344 4 pathogenesis pathogenesis NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 344 5 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 344 6 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 344 7 disease disease NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 344 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 344 9 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 344 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 344 11 outbreak outbreak NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 345 1 Clinical clinical JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 345 2 course course NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 345 3 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 345 4 risk risk NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 345 5 factors factor NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 345 6 for for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 345 7 mortality mortality NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 345 8 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 345 9 adult adult NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 345 10 inpatients inpatient NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 345 11 with with IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 345 12 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 345 13 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 345 14 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 345 15 , , , cord-317184-vz829rsy 345 16 China China NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 345 17 : : : cord-317184-vz829rsy 345 18 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 345 19 retrospective retrospective JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 345 20 cohort cohort NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 345 21 study study NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 345 22 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 346 1 The the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 346 2 Lancet Lancet NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 346 3 Fair Fair NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 346 4 allocation allocation NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 346 5 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 346 6 scarce scarce JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 346 7 medical medical JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 346 8 resources resource NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 346 9 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 346 10 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 346 11 time time NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 346 12 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 346 13 Covid-19 Covid-19 NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 346 14 Impact Impact NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 346 15 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 346 16 non non JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 346 17 - - JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 346 18 pharmaceutical pharmaceutical JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 346 19 interventions intervention NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 346 20 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 346 21 NPIs NPIs NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 346 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 346 23 to to TO cord-317184-vz829rsy 346 24 reduce reduce VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 346 25 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 346 26 mortality mortality NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 346 27 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 346 28 healthcare healthcare NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 346 29 demand demand NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 346 30 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 346 31 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 346 32 Italy Italy NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 346 33 : : : cord-317184-vz829rsy 347 1 what what WP cord-317184-vz829rsy 347 2 next next JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 347 3 ? ? . cord-317184-vz829rsy 348 1 The the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 348 2 Lancet Lancet NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 348 3 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 348 4 Epidemic Epidemic NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 348 5 Outside Outside NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 348 6 China China NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 348 7 : : : cord-317184-vz829rsy 348 8 34 34 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 348 9 Founders founder NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 348 10 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 348 11 Exponential Exponential NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 348 12 Growth Growth NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 348 13 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 349 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 349 2 Estimation estimation NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 349 3 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 349 4 country country NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 349 5 - - HYPH cord-317184-vz829rsy 349 6 level level NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 349 7 basic basic JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 349 8 reproductive reproductive JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 349 9 ratios ratio NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 349 10 for for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 349 11 novel novel JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 349 12 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 349 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 349 14 COVID-19 covid-19 VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 349 15 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 349 16 using use VBG cord-317184-vz829rsy 349 17 synthetic synthetic JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 349 18 contact contact NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 349 19 matrices matrix NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 349 20 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 350 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 350 2 The the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 350 3 reproductive reproductive JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 350 4 number number NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 350 5 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 350 6 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 350 7 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 350 8 higher high JJR cord-317184-vz829rsy 350 9 compared compare VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 350 10 to to IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 350 11 SARS SARS NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 350 12 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 350 13 Estimating estimate VBG cord-317184-vz829rsy 350 14 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 350 15 reproductive reproductive JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 350 16 number number NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 350 17 and and CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 350 18 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 350 19 outbreak outbreak NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 350 20 size size NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 350 21 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 350 22 Novel Novel NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 350 23 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 350 24 disease disease NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 350 25 ( ( -LRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 350 26 COVID-19 covid-19 VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 350 27 ) ) -RRB- cord-317184-vz829rsy 350 28 using use VBG cord-317184-vz829rsy 350 29 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 350 30 model model NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 350 31 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 350 32 Republic Republic NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 350 33 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 350 34 Korea Korea NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 350 35 The the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 350 36 reproductive reproductive JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 350 37 number number NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 350 38 R0 R0 NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 350 39 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 350 40 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 350 41 based base VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 350 42 on on IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 350 43 estimate estimate NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 350 44 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 350 45 a a DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 350 46 statistical statistical JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 350 47 time time NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 350 48 delay delay NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 350 49 dynamical dynamical JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 350 50 system system NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 350 51 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 351 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 351 2 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 351 3 containment containment NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 351 4 : : : cord-317184-vz829rsy 351 5 China China NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 351 6 provides provide VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 351 7 important important JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 351 8 lessons lesson NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 351 9 for for IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 351 10 global global JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 351 11 response response NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 352 1 Scaling scaling NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 352 2 features feature NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 352 3 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 352 4 the the DT cord-317184-vz829rsy 352 5 spreading spreading NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 352 6 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 352 7 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 352 8 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 352 9 may may MD cord-317184-vz829rsy 352 10 have have VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 352 11 infected infect VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 352 12 half half NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 352 13 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 352 14 UK UK NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 352 15 population population NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 353 1 How how WRB cord-317184-vz829rsy 353 2 should should MD cord-317184-vz829rsy 353 3 pathogen pathogen VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 353 4 transmission transmission NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 353 5 be be VB cord-317184-vz829rsy 353 6 modelled model VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 353 7 ? ? . cord-317184-vz829rsy 354 1 Trends trend NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 354 2 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 354 3 ecology ecology NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 354 4 & & CC cord-317184-vz829rsy 354 5 evolution evolution NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 354 6 Effective effective JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 354 7 containment containment NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 354 8 explains explain VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 354 9 sub sub JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 354 10 - - JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 354 11 exponential exponential JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 354 12 growth growth NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 354 13 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 354 14 confirmed confirm VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 354 15 cases case NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 354 16 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 354 17 recent recent JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 354 18 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-317184-vz829rsy 354 19 outbreak outbreak NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 354 20 in in IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 354 21 Mainland Mainland NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 354 22 China China NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 354 23 Acknowledgements acknowledgement NNS cord-317184-vz829rsy 354 24 . . . cord-317184-vz829rsy 355 1 Support support NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 355 2 of of IN cord-317184-vz829rsy 355 3 grant grant NN cord-317184-vz829rsy 355 4 NSF NSF NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 355 5 DMS DMS NNP cord-317184-vz829rsy 355 6 1662146/1662096 1662146/1662096 CD cord-317184-vz829rsy 355 7 is be VBZ cord-317184-vz829rsy 355 8 gratefully gratefully RB cord-317184-vz829rsy 355 9 acknowledged acknowledge VBN cord-317184-vz829rsy 355 10 . . .