id	sid	tid	token	lemma	pos
cord-354133-11b0d499	1	1	key	key	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	1	2	:	:	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	2	1	cord-354133	cord-354133	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	2	2	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	2	3	11b0d499	11b0d499	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	2	4	authors	author	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	2	5	:	:	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	2	6	Thomas	Thomas	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	2	7	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	2	8	B.	B.	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	2	9	S.	S.	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	2	10	;	;	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	2	11	Marks	Marks	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	2	12	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	2	13	N.	N.	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	2	14	A.	a.	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	2	15	title	title	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	2	16	:	:	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	2	17	Estimating	estimate	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	2	18	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	2	19	Case	Case	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	2	20	Fatality	Fatality	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	2	21	Ratio	Ratio	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	2	22	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	2	23	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	2	24	using	use	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	2	25	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	2	26	Time	Time	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	2	27	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	2	28	Shifted	Shifted	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	2	29	Distribution	Distribution	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	2	30	Analysis	Analysis	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	2	31	date	date	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	2	32	:	:	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	2	33	2020	2020	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	2	34	-	-	SYM
cord-354133-11b0d499	2	35	10	10	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	2	36	-	-	SYM
cord-354133-11b0d499	2	37	27	27	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	2	38	journal	journal	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	2	39	:	:	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	2	40	nan	nan	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	3	1	DOI	DOI	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	3	2	:	:	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	3	3	10.1101/2020.10.25.20216671	10.1101/2020.10.25.20216671	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	3	4	sha	sha	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	3	5	:	:	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	4	1	971634bdbdd718221e46de27e3a1edce17f5648b	971634bdbdd718221e46de27e3a1edce17f5648b	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	4	2	doc_id	doc_id	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	4	3	:	:	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	4	4	354133	354133	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	4	5	cord_uid	cord_uid	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	4	6	:	:	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	4	7	11b0d499	11b0d499	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	5	1	Estimating	estimate	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	5	2	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	5	3	case	case	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	5	4	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	5	5	ratio	ratio	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	5	6	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	5	7	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	5	8	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	5	9	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	5	10	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	5	11	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	5	12	an	an	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	5	13	important	important	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	5	14	aspect	aspect	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	5	15	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	5	16	public	public	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	5	17	health	health	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	5	18	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	6	1	However	however	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	6	2	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	6	3	calculating	calculate	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	6	4	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	6	5	accurately	accurately	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	6	6	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	6	7	problematic	problematic	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	6	8	early	early	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	6	9	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	6	10	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	6	11	novel	novel	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	6	12	disease	disease	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	6	13	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	6	14	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	6	15	due	due	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	6	16	to	to	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	6	17	uncertainties	uncertainty	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	6	18	regarding	regard	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	6	19	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	6	20	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	6	21	course	course	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	6	22	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	6	23	disease	disease	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	6	24	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	6	25	difficulties	difficulty	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	6	26	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	6	27	diagnosis	diagnosis	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	6	28	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	6	29	reporting	reporting	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	6	30	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	6	31	cases	case	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	6	32	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	7	1	In	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	7	2	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	7	3	work	work	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	7	4	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	7	5	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-354133-11b0d499	7	6	present	present	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	7	7	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	7	8	simple	simple	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	7	9	method	method	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	7	10	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	7	11	calculating	calculate	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	7	12	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	7	13	case	case	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	7	14	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	7	15	ratio	ratio	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	7	16	using	use	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	7	17	only	only	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	7	18	public	public	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	7	19	case	case	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	7	20	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	7	21	death	death	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	7	22	data	datum	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	7	23	over	over	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	7	24	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	7	25	by	by	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	7	26	exploiting	exploit	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	7	27	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	7	28	correspondence	correspondence	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	7	29	between	between	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	7	30	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	7	31	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	7	32	distributions	distribution	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	7	33	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	7	34	cases	case	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	7	35	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	7	36	deaths	death	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	7	37	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	8	1	The	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	8	2	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	8	3	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	8	4	shifted	shift	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	8	5	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	8	6	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	8	7	TSD	TSD	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	8	8	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	8	9	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	8	10	generates	generate	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	8	11	two	two	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	8	12	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	8	13	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	8	14	interest	interest	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	8	15	:	:	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	8	16	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	8	17	delay	delay	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	8	18	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	8	19	between	between	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	8	20	reporting	reporting	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	8	21	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	8	22	cases	case	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	8	23	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	8	24	deaths	death	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	8	25	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	8	26	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	8	27	case	case	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	8	28	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	8	29	ratio	ratio	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	8	30	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	9	1	These	these	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	9	2	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	9	3	converge	converge	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	9	4	reliably	reliably	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	9	5	over	over	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	9	6	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	9	7	once	once	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	9	8	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	9	9	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	9	10	growth	growth	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	9	11	phase	phase	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	9	12	has	have	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	9	13	finished	finish	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	9	14	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	10	1	Analysis	analysis	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	10	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	10	3	performed	perform	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	10	4	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	10	5	early	early	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	10	6	COVID	covid	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	10	7	19	19	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	10	8	outbreaks	outbreak	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	10	9	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	10	10	many	many	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	10	11	countries	country	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	10	12	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	10	13	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	10	14	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-354133-11b0d499	10	15	discuss	discuss	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	10	16	corrections	correction	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	10	17	to	to	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	10	18	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	10	19	values	value	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	10	20	using	use	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	10	21	excess	excess	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	10	22	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	10	23	death	death	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	10	24	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	10	25	seroprevalence	seroprevalence	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	10	26	data	datum	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	10	27	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	10	28	estimate	estimate	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	10	29	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	10	30	infection	infection	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	10	31	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	10	32	ratio	ratio	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	10	33	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	10	34	IFR	IFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	10	35	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	10	36	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	11	1	While	while	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	11	2	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	11	3	values	value	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	11	4	range	range	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	11	5	from	from	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	11	6	0.2	0.2	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	11	7	-	-	SYM
cord-354133-11b0d499	11	8	20	20	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	11	9	%	%	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	11	10	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	11	11	different	different	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	11	12	countries	country	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	11	13	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	11	14	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	11	15	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	11	16	IFR	IFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	11	17	are	be	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	11	18	mostly	mostly	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	11	19	around	around	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	11	20	0.5	0.5	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	11	21	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	11	22	0.8	0.8	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	11	23	%	%	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	11	24	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	11	25	countries	country	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	11	26	that	that	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	11	27	experienced	experience	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	11	28	moderate	moderate	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	11	29	outbreaks	outbreak	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	11	30	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	11	31	1	1	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	11	32	-	-	SYM
cord-354133-11b0d499	11	33	3	3	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	11	34	%	%	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	11	35	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	11	36	severe	severe	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	11	37	outbreaks	outbreak	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	11	38	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	12	1	The	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	12	2	simplicity	simplicity	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	12	3	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	12	4	transparency	transparency	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	12	5	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	12	6	TSD	TSD	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	12	7	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	12	8	enhance	enhance	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	12	9	its	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-354133-11b0d499	12	10	usefulness	usefulness	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	12	11	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	12	12	characterizing	characterize	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	12	13	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	12	14	new	new	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	12	15	disease	disease	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	12	16	as	as	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	12	17	well	well	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	12	18	as	as	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	12	19	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	12	20	state	state	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	12	21	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	12	22	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	12	23	health	health	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	12	24	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	12	25	reporting	reporting	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	12	26	systems	system	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	12	27	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	13	1	The	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	13	2	novel	novel	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	13	3	coronavirus	coronavirus	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	13	4	SARS	SARS	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	13	5	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	13	6	CoV-2	CoV-2	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	13	7	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	13	8	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	13	9	its	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-354133-11b0d499	13	10	attendant	attendant	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	13	11	disease	disease	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	13	12	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	13	13	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	13	14	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	13	15	first	first	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	13	16	appeared	appear	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	13	17	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	13	18	late	late	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	13	19	2019	2019	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	13	20	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	13	21	Wuhan	Wuhan	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	13	22	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	13	23	China	China	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	13	24	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	14	1	Since	since	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	14	2	then	then	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	14	3	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	14	4	studies	study	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	14	5	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	14	6	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	14	7	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	14	8	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	14	9	transmissibility	transmissibility	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	14	10	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	14	11	virulence	virulence	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	14	12	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	14	13	COVID-19	covid-19	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	14	14	have	have	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	14	15	abounded	abound	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	14	16	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	14	17	with	with	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	14	18	widely	widely	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	14	19	varying	vary	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	14	20	results	result	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	14	21	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	14	22	1	1	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	14	23	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	14	24	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	14	25	2	2	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	14	26	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	14	27	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	14	28	3	3	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	14	29	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	14	30	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	14	31	4	4	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	14	32	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	14	33	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	14	34	5	5	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	14	35	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	14	36	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	14	37	6	6	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	14	38	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	14	39	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	15	1	Virulence	virulence	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	15	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	15	3	often	often	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	15	4	measured	measure	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	15	5	using	use	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	15	6	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	15	7	case	case	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	15	8	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	15	9	ratio	ratio	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	15	10	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	15	11	also	also	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	15	12	called	call	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	15	13	case	case	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	15	14	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	15	15	rate	rate	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	15	16	or	or	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	15	17	case	case	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	15	18	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	15	19	risk	risk	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	15	20	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	15	21	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	15	22	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	15	23	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	15	24	which	which	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	15	25	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	15	26	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	15	27	number	number	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	15	28	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	15	29	deaths	death	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	15	30	due	due	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	15	31	to	to	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	15	32	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	15	33	disease	disease	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	15	34	as	as	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	15	35	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	15	36	proportion	proportion	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	15	37	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	15	38	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	15	39	number	number	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	15	40	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	15	41	people	people	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	15	42	diagnosed	diagnose	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	15	43	with	with	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	15	44	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	15	45	disease	disease	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	15	46	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	16	1	The	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	16	2	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	16	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	16	4	dependent	dependent	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	16	5	on	on	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	16	6	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	16	7	particular	particular	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	16	8	pathogen	pathogen	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	16	9	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	16	10	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	16	11	its	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-354133-11b0d499	16	12	mechanism	mechanism	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	16	13	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	16	14	action	action	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	16	15	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	16	16	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	16	17	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	16	18	immune	immune	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	16	19	response	response	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	16	20	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	16	21	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	16	22	host	host	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	16	23	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	16	24	which	which	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	16	25	can	can	MD
cord-354133-11b0d499	16	26	depend	depend	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	16	27	on	on	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	16	28	age	age	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	16	29	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	16	30	sex	sex	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	16	31	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	16	32	genetic	genetic	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	16	33	factors	factor	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	16	34	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	16	35	pre	pre	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	16	36	-	-	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	16	37	existing	existing	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	16	38	medical	medical	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	16	39	conditions	condition	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	16	40	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	17	1	Environmental	environmental	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	17	2	factors	factor	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	17	3	such	such	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	17	4	as	as	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	17	5	climate	climate	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	17	6	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	17	7	health	health	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	17	8	system	system	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	17	9	may	may	MD
cord-354133-11b0d499	17	10	also	also	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	17	11	affect	affect	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	17	12	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	17	13	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	18	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-354133-11b0d499	18	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	18	3	important	important	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	18	4	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	18	5	accurately	accurately	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	18	6	quantify	quantify	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	18	7	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	18	8	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	18	9	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	18	10	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	18	11	new	new	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	18	12	disease	disease	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	18	13	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	18	14	inform	inform	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	18	15	policy	policy	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	18	16	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	18	17	communication	communication	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	18	18	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	18	19	public	public	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	18	20	health	health	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	18	21	measures	measure	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	18	22	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	19	1	Calculating	calculate	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	19	2	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	19	3	case	case	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	19	4	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	19	5	ratio	ratio	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	19	6	requires	require	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	19	7	data	datum	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	19	8	on	on	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	19	9	cases	case	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	19	10	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	19	11	deaths	death	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	19	12	over	over	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	19	13	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	19	14	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	19	15	either	either	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	19	16	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	19	17	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	19	18	or	or	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	19	19	populations	population	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	19	20	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	20	1	In	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	20	2	general	general	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	20	3	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	20	4	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	20	5	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	20	6	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	20	7	based	base	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	20	8	on	on	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	20	9	diagnosed	diagnosed	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	20	10	cases	case	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	20	11	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	20	12	disease	disease	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	20	13	rather	rather	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	20	14	than	than	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	20	15	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	20	16	number	number	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	20	17	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	20	18	actual	actual	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	20	19	infections	infection	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	20	20	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	20	21	which	which	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	20	22	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	20	23	difficult	difficult	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	20	24	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	20	25	measure	measure	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	20	26	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	20	27	;	;	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	20	28	there	there	EX
cord-354133-11b0d499	20	29	may	may	MD
cord-354133-11b0d499	20	30	be	be	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	20	31	many	many	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	20	32	more	more	JJR
cord-354133-11b0d499	20	33	infections	infection	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	20	34	than	than	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	20	35	reported	report	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	20	36	cases	case	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	20	37	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	20	38	depending	depend	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	20	39	on	on	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	20	40	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	20	41	expression	expression	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	20	42	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	20	43	symptoms	symptom	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	20	44	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	20	45	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	20	46	degree	degree	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	20	47	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	20	48	testing	testing	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	20	49	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	21	1	The	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	21	2	simplest	simple	JJS
cord-354133-11b0d499	21	3	estimate	estimate	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	21	4	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	21	5	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	21	6	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	21	7	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	21	8	divide	divide	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	21	9	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	21	10	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	21	11	number	number	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	21	12	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	21	13	deaths	death	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	21	14	by	by	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	21	15	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	21	16	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	21	17	number	number	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	21	18	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	21	19	cases	case	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	21	20	at	at	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	21	21	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	21	22	given	give	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	21	23	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	21	24	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	21	25	known	know	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	21	26	as	as	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	21	27	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	21	28	crude	crude	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	21	29	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	21	30	or	or	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	21	31	naïve	naïve	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	21	32	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	21	33	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	21	34	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	22	1	However	however	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	22	2	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	22	3	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	22	4	crude	crude	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	22	5	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	22	6	tends	tend	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	22	7	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	22	8	underestimate	underestimate	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	22	9	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	22	10	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	22	11	during	during	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	22	12	an	an	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	22	13	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	22	14	because	because	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	22	15	at	at	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	22	16	any	any	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	22	17	given	give	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	22	18	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	22	19	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	22	20	some	some	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	22	21	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	22	22	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	22	23	existing	exist	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	22	24	known	know	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	22	25	cases	case	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	22	26	will	will	MD
cord-354133-11b0d499	22	27	prove	prove	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	22	28	fatal	fatal	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	22	29	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	22	30	need	need	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	22	31	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	22	32	be	be	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	22	33	included	include	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	22	34	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	22	35	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	22	36	death	death	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	22	37	count	count	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	22	38	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	23	1	This	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	23	2	bias	bias	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	23	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	23	4	known	know	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	23	5	as	as	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	23	6	right	right	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	23	7	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	23	8	censoring	censoring	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	23	9	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	23	10	obscures	obscure	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	23	11	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	23	12	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	23	13	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	23	14	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	23	15	new	new	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	23	16	disease	disease	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	23	17	early	early	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	23	18	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	23	19	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	23	20	course	course	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	23	21	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	23	22	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	23	23	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	23	24	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	23	25	particularly	particularly	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	23	26	before	before	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	23	27	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	23	28	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	23	29	course	course	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	23	30	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	23	31	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	23	32	disease	disease	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	23	33	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	23	34	characterised	characterise	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	23	35	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	24	1	Further	further	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	24	2	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	24	3	even	even	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	24	4	once	once	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	24	5	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	24	6	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	24	7	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	24	8	times	time	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	24	9	from	from	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	24	10	onset	onset	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	24	11	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	24	12	disease	disease	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	24	13	to	to	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	24	14	death	death	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	24	15	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	24	16	known	know	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	24	17	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	24	18	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-354133-11b0d499	24	19	can	can	MD
cord-354133-11b0d499	24	20	be	be	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	24	21	difficult	difficult	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	24	22	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	24	23	use	use	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	24	24	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	24	25	information	information	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	24	26	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	24	27	accurately	accurately	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	24	28	correct	correct	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	24	29	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	24	30	crude	crude	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	24	31	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	24	32	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	25	1	An	an	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	25	2	alternative	alternative	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	25	3	method	method	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	25	4	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	25	5	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	25	6	use	use	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	25	7	data	datum	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	25	8	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	25	9	closed	closed	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	25	10	cases	case	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	25	11	only	only	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	25	12	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	25	13	once	once	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	25	14	patients	patient	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	25	15	have	have	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	25	16	recovered	recover	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	25	17	or	or	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	25	18	died	die	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	25	19	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	25	20	eg	eg	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	25	21	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	25	22	7	7	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	25	23	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	25	24	8	8	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	25	25	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	25	26	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	25	27	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	25	28	yet	yet	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	25	29	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	25	30	information	information	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	25	31	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	25	32	also	also	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	25	33	difficult	difficult	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	25	34	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	25	35	obtain	obtain	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	25	36	during	during	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	25	37	an	an	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	25	38	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	25	39	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	25	40	may	may	MD
cord-354133-11b0d499	25	41	be	be	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	25	42	biased	bias	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	25	43	towards	towards	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	25	44	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	25	45	particular	particular	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	25	46	demographic	demographic	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	25	47	or	or	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	25	48	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	26	1	CC	CC	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	26	2	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	26	3	BY	BY	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	26	4	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	26	5	NC	NC	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	26	6	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	26	7	ND	ND	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	26	8	4.0	4.0	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	26	9	International	international	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	26	10	license	license	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	26	11	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-354133-11b0d499	26	12	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	26	13	made	make	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	26	14	available	available	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	26	15	under	under	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	26	16	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	26	17	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	26	18	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	27	1	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	27	2	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	27	3	author	author	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	27	4	/	/	SYM
cord-354133-11b0d499	27	5	funder	funder	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	27	6	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	27	7	who	who	WP
cord-354133-11b0d499	27	8	has	have	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	27	9	granted	grant	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	27	10	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	27	11	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	27	12	license	license	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	27	13	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	27	14	display	display	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	27	15	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	27	16	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	27	17	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	27	18	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	27	19	which	which	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	27	20	was	be	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	27	21	not	not	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	27	22	certified	certify	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	27	23	by	by	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	27	24	peer	peer	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	27	25	review	review	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	27	26	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	27	27	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	28	1	The	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	28	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	28	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	28	4	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	28	5	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	28	6	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	28	7	version	version	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	28	8	posted	post	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	28	9	October	October	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	28	10	27	27	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	28	11	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	28	12	2020	2020	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	28	13	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	29	1	;	;	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	29	2	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	29	3	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	30	1	10.25.20216671	10.25.20216671	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	30	2	doi	doi	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	30	3	:	:	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	31	1	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	31	2	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	31	3	3	3	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	31	4	skewed	skewed	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	31	5	by	by	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	31	6	delays	delay	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	31	7	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	31	8	reporting	reporting	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	31	9	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	31	10	recoveries	recovery	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	31	11	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	32	1	Other	other	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	32	2	biases	bias	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	32	3	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	32	4	calculating	calculate	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	32	5	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	32	6	include	include	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	32	7	underascertainment	underascertainment	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	32	8	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	32	9	mild	mild	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	32	10	or	or	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	32	11	asymptomatic	asymptomatic	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	32	12	cases	case	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	32	13	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	32	14	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	32	15	lags	lag	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	32	16	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	32	17	testing	testing	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	32	18	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	32	19	reporting	reporting	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	32	20	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	32	21	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	32	22	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	32	23	effects	effect	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	32	24	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	32	25	intervention	intervention	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	32	26	approach	approach	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	32	27	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	32	28	demographics	demographic	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	32	29	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	32	30	reporting	reporting	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	32	31	schemes	scheme	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	32	32	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	32	33	9	9	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	32	34	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	32	35	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	33	1	There	there	EX
cord-354133-11b0d499	33	2	are	be	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	33	3	many	many	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	33	4	published	publish	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	33	5	calculations	calculation	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	33	6	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	33	7	case	case	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	33	8	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	33	9	ratios	ratio	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	33	10	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	33	11	COVID-19	covid-19	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	33	12	using	use	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	33	13	various	various	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	33	14	datasets	dataset	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	33	15	from	from	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	33	16	different	different	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	33	17	countries	country	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	33	18	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	33	19	using	use	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	33	20	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	33	21	range	range	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	33	22	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	33	23	methods	method	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	33	24	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	34	1	In	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	34	2	some	some	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	34	3	places	place	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	34	4	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	34	5	initial	initial	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	34	6	outbreaks	outbreak	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	34	7	have	have	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	34	8	now	now	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	34	9	concluded	conclude	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	34	10	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	34	11	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	34	12	final	final	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	34	13	crude	crude	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	34	14	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	34	15	accurately	accurately	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	34	16	reflects	reflect	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	34	17	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	34	18	overall	overall	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	34	19	ratio	ratio	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	34	20	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	34	21	reported	report	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	34	22	deaths	death	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	34	23	to	to	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	34	24	cases	case	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	34	25	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	35	1	In	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	35	2	many	many	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	35	3	other	other	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	35	4	places	place	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	35	5	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	35	6	outbreaks	outbreak	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	35	7	are	be	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	35	8	continuing	continue	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	35	9	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	36	1	Questions	question	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	36	2	remain	remain	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	36	3	regarding	regard	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	36	4	quality	quality	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	36	5	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	36	6	data	datum	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	36	7	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	36	8	methods	method	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	36	9	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	36	10	calculation	calculation	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	36	11	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	36	12	even	even	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	36	13	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	36	14	possibility	possibility	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	36	15	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	36	16	changes	change	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	36	17	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	36	18	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	36	19	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	36	20	over	over	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	36	21	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	36	22	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	37	1	These	these	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	37	2	continuing	continue	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	37	3	uncertainties	uncertainty	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	37	4	make	make	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	37	5	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-354133-11b0d499	37	6	necessary	necessary	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	37	7	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	37	8	improve	improve	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	37	9	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	37	10	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	37	11	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	37	12	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	37	13	by	by	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	37	14	refining	refine	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	37	15	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	37	16	methods	method	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	37	17	used	use	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	37	18	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	37	19	calculate	calculate	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	37	20	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-354133-11b0d499	37	21	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	38	1	In	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	38	2	essence	essence	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	38	3	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	38	4	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	38	5	means	mean	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	38	6	finding	find	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	38	7	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	38	8	best	good	JJS
cord-354133-11b0d499	38	9	way	way	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	38	10	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	38	11	correct	correct	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	38	12	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	38	13	crude	crude	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	38	14	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	38	15	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	38	16	biases	bias	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	38	17	due	due	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	38	18	to	to	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	38	19	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	38	20	lags	lag	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	38	21	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	38	22	other	other	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	38	23	factors	factor	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	38	24	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	1	Most	most	RBS
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	2	previously	previously	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	3	published	publish	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	4	studies	study	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	5	make	make	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	6	use	use	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	7	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	8	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	9	parametrised	parametrised	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	10	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	11	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	12	times	time	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	13	from	from	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	14	onset	onset	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	15	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	16	or	or	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	17	hospitalisation	hospitalisation	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	18	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	19	to	to	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	20	death	death	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	21	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	22	determined	determine	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	23	from	from	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	24	individual	individual	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	25	case	case	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	26	data	datum	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	27	from	from	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	28	early	early	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	29	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	30	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	31	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	32	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	33	largely	largely	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	34	from	from	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	35	China	China	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	36	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	37	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	38	5	5	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	39	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	40	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	41	10	10	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	42	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	43	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	44	11	11	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	45	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	46	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	47	12	12	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	48	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	49	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	50	which	which	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	51	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	52	then	then	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	53	used	use	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	54	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	55	combination	combination	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	56	with	with	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	57	statistical	statistical	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	58	methods	method	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	59	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	60	estimate	estimate	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	61	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	62	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	63	using	use	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	64	population	population	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	65	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	66	level	level	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	67	data	datum	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	68	on	on	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	69	cases	case	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	70	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	71	deaths	death	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	72	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	73	5	5	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	74	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	75	10	10	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	76	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	77	11	11	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	78	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	79	13	13	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	80	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	39	81	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	40	1	Various	various	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	40	2	assumptions	assumption	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	40	3	are	be	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	40	4	made	make	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	40	5	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	40	6	these	these	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	40	7	analyses	analysis	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	40	8	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	40	9	including	include	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	40	10	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	40	11	form	form	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	40	12	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	40	13	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	40	14	transferability	transferability	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	40	15	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	40	16	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	40	17	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	40	18	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	40	19	course	course	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	40	20	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	40	21	cases	case	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	40	22	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	40	23	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	40	24	lags	lag	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	40	25	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	40	26	reporting	report	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	40	27	or	or	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	40	28	testing	testing	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	40	29	or	or	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	40	30	hospitalisation	hospitalisation	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	40	31	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	40	32	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	40	33	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	40	34	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	40	35	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	40	36	proportion	proportion	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	40	37	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	40	38	cases	case	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	40	39	being	be	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	40	40	detected	detect	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	40	41	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	41	1	Early	early	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	41	2	values	value	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	41	3	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	41	4	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	41	5	obtained	obtain	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	41	6	using	use	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	41	7	these	these	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	41	8	methods	method	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	41	9	range	range	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	41	10	from	from	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	41	11	1	1	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	41	12	-	-	SYM
cord-354133-11b0d499	41	13	18	18	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	41	14	%	%	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	41	15	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	41	16	with	with	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	41	17	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	41	18	highest	high	JJS
cord-354133-11b0d499	41	19	values	value	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	41	20	obtained	obtain	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	41	21	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	41	22	China	China	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	41	23	:	:	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	41	24	4	4	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	41	25	-	-	SYM
cord-354133-11b0d499	41	26	18	18	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	41	27	%	%	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	41	28	early	early	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	41	29	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	41	30	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	41	31	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	41	32	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	41	33	5	5	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	41	34	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	41	35	10	10	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	41	36	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	41	37	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	41	38	12	12	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	41	39	%	%	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	41	40	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	41	41	Wuhan	Wuhan	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	41	42	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	41	43	as	as	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	41	44	low	low	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	41	45	as	as	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	41	46	1	1	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	41	47	%	%	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	41	48	outside	outside	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	41	49	Hubei	Hubei	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	41	50	province	province	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	41	51	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	41	52	11	11	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	41	53	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	41	54	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	42	1	Values	value	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	42	2	reported	report	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	42	3	outside	outside	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	42	4	China	China	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	42	5	include	include	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	42	6	1	1	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	42	7	-	-	SYM
cord-354133-11b0d499	42	8	5	5	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	42	9	%	%	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	42	10	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	42	11	early	early	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	42	12	cases	case	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	42	13	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	42	14	travellers	traveller	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	42	15	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	42	16	5	5	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	42	17	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	42	18	10	10	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	42	19	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	42	20	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	42	21	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	42	22	1	1	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	42	23	-	-	SYM
cord-354133-11b0d499	42	24	4	4	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	42	25	%	%	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	42	26	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	42	27	Korea	Korea	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	42	28	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	42	29	13	13	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	42	30	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	42	31	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	43	1	Case	case	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	43	2	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	43	3	ratios	ratio	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	43	4	have	have	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	43	5	also	also	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	43	6	been	be	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	43	7	shown	show	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	43	8	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	43	9	vary	vary	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	43	10	greatly	greatly	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	43	11	with	with	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	43	12	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	43	13	age	age	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	43	14	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	43	15	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	43	16	patient	patient	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	43	17	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	43	18	5	5	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	43	19	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	43	20	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	43	21	which	which	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	43	22	limits	limit	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	43	23	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	43	24	transferability	transferability	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	43	25	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	43	26	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	43	27	based	base	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	43	28	on	on	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	43	29	case	case	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	43	30	studies	study	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	43	31	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	44	1	The	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	44	2	specific	specific	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	44	3	data	data	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	44	4	requirements	requirement	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	44	5	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	44	6	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	44	7	range	range	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	44	8	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	44	9	approximations	approximation	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	44	10	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	44	11	assumptions	assumption	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	44	12	required	require	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	44	13	by	by	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	44	14	statistical	statistical	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	44	15	methods	method	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	44	16	can	can	MD
cord-354133-11b0d499	44	17	make	make	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	44	18	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-354133-11b0d499	44	19	difficult	difficult	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	44	20	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	44	21	interpret	interpret	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	44	22	or	or	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	44	23	rely	rely	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	44	24	on	on	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	44	25	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	44	26	results	result	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	44	27	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	44	28	such	such	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	44	29	analyses	analysis	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	44	30	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	44	31	since	since	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	44	32	biases	bias	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	44	33	can	can	MD
cord-354133-11b0d499	44	34	be	be	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	44	35	obscured	obscure	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	44	36	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	45	1	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	45	2	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	45	3	author	author	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	45	4	/	/	SYM
cord-354133-11b0d499	45	5	funder	funder	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	45	6	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	45	7	who	who	WP
cord-354133-11b0d499	45	8	has	have	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	45	9	granted	grant	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	45	10	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	45	11	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	45	12	license	license	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	45	13	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	45	14	display	display	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	45	15	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	45	16	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	45	17	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	45	18	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	45	19	which	which	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	45	20	was	be	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	45	21	not	not	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	45	22	certified	certify	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	45	23	by	by	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	45	24	peer	peer	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	45	25	review	review	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	45	26	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	45	27	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	46	1	The	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	46	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	46	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	46	4	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	46	5	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	46	6	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	46	7	version	version	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	46	8	posted	post	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	46	9	October	October	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	46	10	27	27	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	46	11	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	46	12	2020	2020	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	46	13	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	47	1	;	;	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	47	2	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.25.20216671	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.25.20216671	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	47	3	doi	doi	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	47	4	:	:	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	48	1	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	48	2	preprint	preprint	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	49	1	The	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	49	2	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	49	3	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	49	4	shifted	shift	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	49	5	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	49	6	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	49	7	TSD	TSD	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	49	8	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	49	9	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	49	10	method	method	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	49	11	began	begin	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	49	12	with	with	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	49	13	an	an	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	49	14	observation	observation	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	49	15	that	that	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	49	16	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	49	17	shape	shape	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	49	18	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	49	19	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	49	20	evolving	evolve	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	49	21	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	49	22	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	49	23	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	49	24	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	49	25	cases	case	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	49	26	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	49	27	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	49	28	given	give	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	49	29	country	country	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	49	30	often	often	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	49	31	closely	closely	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	49	32	matches	match	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	49	33	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	49	34	shape	shape	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	49	35	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	49	36	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	49	37	corresponding	corresponding	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	49	38	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	49	39	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	49	40	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	49	41	deaths	death	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	49	42	-simply	-simply	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	49	43	shifted	shift	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	49	44	by	by	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	49	45	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	49	46	number	number	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	49	47	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	49	48	days	day	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	49	49	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	49	50	linearly	linearly	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	49	51	scaled	scale	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	49	52	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	49	53	magnitude	magnitude	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	49	54	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	50	1	This	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	50	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	50	3	illustrated	illustrate	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	50	4	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	50	5	Figure	Figure	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	50	6	1	1	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	50	7	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	50	8	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	50	9	cases	case	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	50	10	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	50	11	deaths	death	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	50	12	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	50	13	Italy	Italy	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	51	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	51	2	data	datum	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	51	3	from	from	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	51	4	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	51	5	14	14	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	51	6	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	51	7	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	51	8	3-day	3-day	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	51	9	averaged	average	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	51	10	data	datum	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	51	11	shown	show	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	51	12	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	51	13	;	;	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	51	14	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	51	15	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	51	16	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	51	17	shifted	shift	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	51	18	relationship	relationship	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	51	19	between	between	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	51	20	case	case	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	51	21	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	51	22	death	death	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	51	23	distributions	distribution	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	51	24	can	can	MD
cord-354133-11b0d499	51	25	be	be	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	51	26	seen	see	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	51	27	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	51	28	both	both	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	51	29	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	51	30	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	51	31	daily	daily	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	51	32	tallies	tally	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	51	33	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	52	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-354133-11b0d499	52	2	can	can	MD
cord-354133-11b0d499	52	3	understand	understand	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	52	4	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	52	5	shift	shift	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	52	6	from	from	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	52	7	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	52	8	perspective	perspective	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	52	9	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	52	10	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	52	11	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	52	12	delay	delay	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	52	13	between	between	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	52	14	diagnosis	diagnosis	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	52	15	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	52	16	death	death	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	52	17	or	or	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	52	18	recovery	recovery	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	52	19	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	53	1	However	however	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	53	2	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	53	3	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	53	4	closeness	closeness	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	53	5	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	53	6	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	53	7	match	match	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	53	8	reflects	reflect	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	53	9	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	53	10	much	much	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	53	11	simpler	simple	JJR
cord-354133-11b0d499	53	12	apparent	apparent	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	53	13	relationship	relationship	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	53	14	than	than	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	53	15	that	that	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	53	16	suggested	suggest	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	53	17	or	or	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	53	18	assumed	assume	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	53	19	by	by	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	53	20	conventional	conventional	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	53	21	analyses	analysis	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	53	22	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	53	23	which	which	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	53	24	relate	relate	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	53	25	deaths	death	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	53	26	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	53	27	cases	case	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	53	28	using	use	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	53	29	statistical	statistical	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	53	30	parametric	parametric	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	53	31	models	model	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	53	32	that	that	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	53	33	incorporate	incorporate	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	53	34	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	53	35	broad	broad	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	53	36	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	53	37	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	53	38	expected	expect	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	53	39	times	time	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	53	40	between	between	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	53	41	diagnosis	diagnosis	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	53	42	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	53	43	or	or	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	53	44	onset	onset	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	53	45	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	53	46	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	53	47	death	death	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	53	48	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	53	49	usually	usually	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	53	50	generated	generate	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	53	51	from	from	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	53	52	case	case	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	53	53	study	study	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	53	54	data	datum	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	53	55	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	53	56	e.g.	e.g.	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	53	57	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	53	58	15	15	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	53	59	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	53	60	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	53	61	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	54	1	This	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	54	2	observation	observation	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	54	3	suggests	suggest	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	54	4	that	that	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	54	5	there	there	EX
cord-354133-11b0d499	54	6	are	be	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	54	7	two	two	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	54	8	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	54	9	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	54	10	interest	interest	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	54	11	:	:	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	54	12	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	54	13	number	number	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	54	14	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	54	15	days	day	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	54	16	separating	separate	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	54	17	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	54	18	case	case	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	54	19	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	54	20	death	death	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	54	21	distributions	distribution	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	54	22	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	54	23	called	call	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	54	24	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	54	25	delay	delay	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	54	26	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	54	27	or	or	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	54	28	!	!	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	54	29	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	54	30	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	54	31	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	54	32	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	54	33	scaling	scale	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	54	34	factor	factor	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	54	35	between	between	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	54	36	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	54	37	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	54	38	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	54	39	shifted	shift	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	54	40	case	case	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	54	41	data	datum	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	54	42	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	54	43	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	54	44	death	death	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	54	45	data	datum	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	54	46	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	54	47	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	55	1	For	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	55	2	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	55	3	optimal	optimal	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	55	4	value	value	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	55	5	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	55	6	!	!	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	56	1	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	56	2	there	there	EX
cord-354133-11b0d499	56	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	56	4	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	56	5	simple	simple	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	56	6	linear	linear	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	56	7	relationship	relationship	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	56	8	between	between	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	56	9	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	56	10	number	number	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	56	11	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	56	12	deaths	death	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	56	13	at	at	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	56	14	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	56	15	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	56	16	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	56	17	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	56	18	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	56	19	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	56	20	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	56	21	number	number	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	56	22	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	56	23	cases	case	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	56	24	at	at	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	56	25	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	56	26	−	−	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	56	27	!	!	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	56	28	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	56	29	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	56	30	−	−	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	56	31	!	!	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	56	32	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	56	33	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	56	34	with	with	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	56	35	gradient	gradient	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	56	36	:	:	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	57	1	To	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	57	2	find	find	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	57	3	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	57	4	optimal	optimal	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	57	5	value	value	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	57	6	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	57	7	!	!	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	58	1	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	58	2	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-354133-11b0d499	58	3	test	test	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	58	4	integer	integ	JJR
cord-354133-11b0d499	58	5	values	value	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	58	6	from	from	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	58	7	zero	zero	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	58	8	to	to	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	58	9	25	25	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	58	10	days	day	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	58	11	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	59	1	For	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	59	2	each	each	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	59	3	value	value	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	59	4	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	59	5	!	!	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	59	6	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	59	7	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-354133-11b0d499	59	8	plot	plot	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	59	9	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	59	10	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	59	11	as	as	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	59	12	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	59	13	function	function	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	59	14	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	59	15	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	59	16	−	−	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	59	17	!	!	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	59	18	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	59	19	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	59	20	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	59	21	all	all	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	59	22	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	59	23	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	59	24	perform	perform	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	59	25	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	59	26	linear	linear	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	59	27	regression	regression	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	59	28	using	use	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	59	29	Matlab	Matlab	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	59	30	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	60	1	The	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	60	2	value	value	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	60	3	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	60	4	!	!	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	60	5	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	60	6	chosen	choose	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	60	7	on	on	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	60	8	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	60	9	basis	basis	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	60	10	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	60	11	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	60	12	lowest	low	JJS
cord-354133-11b0d499	60	13	root	root	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	60	14	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	60	15	mean	mean	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	60	16	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	60	17	squared	squared	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	60	18	error	error	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	60	19	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	60	20	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	60	21	linear	linear	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	60	22	regression	regression	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	60	23	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	60	24	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	60	25	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	60	26	value	value	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	60	27	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	60	28	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	60	29	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	60	30	gradient	gradient	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	60	31	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	60	32	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	60	33	corresponding	corresponding	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	60	34	line	line	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	60	35	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	61	1	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	61	2	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	61	3	author	author	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	61	4	/	/	SYM
cord-354133-11b0d499	61	5	funder	funder	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	61	6	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	61	7	who	who	WP
cord-354133-11b0d499	61	8	has	have	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	61	9	granted	grant	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	61	10	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	61	11	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	61	12	license	license	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	61	13	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	61	14	display	display	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	61	15	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	61	16	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	61	17	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	61	18	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	61	19	which	which	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	61	20	was	be	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	61	21	not	not	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	61	22	certified	certify	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	61	23	by	by	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	61	24	peer	peer	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	61	25	review	review	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	61	26	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	61	27	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	62	1	The	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	62	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	62	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	62	4	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	62	5	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	62	6	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	62	7	version	version	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	62	8	posted	post	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	62	9	October	October	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	62	10	27	27	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	62	11	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	62	12	2020	2020	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	62	13	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	63	1	;	;	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	63	2	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.25.20216671	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.25.20216671	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	63	3	doi	doi	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	63	4	:	:	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	64	1	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	64	2	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	64	3	respectively	respectively	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	64	4	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	64	5	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	64	6	using	use	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	64	7	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	64	8	delay	delay	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	64	9	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	64	10	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	64	11	four	four	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	64	12	days	day	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	64	13	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	64	14	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	64	15	linear	linear	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	64	16	scaling	scaling	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	64	17	factor	factor	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	64	18	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	64	19	0.144	0.144	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	64	20	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	65	1	What	what	WP
cord-354133-11b0d499	65	2	do	do	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	65	3	these	these	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	65	4	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	65	5	represent	represent	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	65	6	?	?	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	66	1	The	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	66	2	delay	delay	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	66	3	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	66	4	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	66	5	presumably	presumably	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	66	6	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	66	7	measure	measure	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	66	8	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	66	9	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	66	10	delay	delay	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	66	11	between	between	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	66	12	reporting	reporting	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	66	13	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	66	14	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	66	15	cases	case	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	66	16	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	66	17	reporting	reporting	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	66	18	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	66	19	COVID-19-related	covid-19-related	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	66	20	deaths	death	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	66	21	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	1	While	while	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	2	four	four	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	3	days	day	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	4	seems	seem	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	5	very	very	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	6	short	short	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	7	compared	compare	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	8	to	to	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	9	current	current	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	10	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	11	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	12	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	13	mean	mean	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	14	delay	delay	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	15	between	between	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	16	onset	onset	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	17	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	18	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	19	symptoms	symptom	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	20	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	21	death	death	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	22	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	23	or	or	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	24	even	even	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	25	between	between	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	26	hospitalisation	hospitalisation	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	27	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	28	death	death	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	29	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	30	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	31	which	which	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	32	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	33	around	around	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	34	12	12	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	35	-	-	SYM
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	36	22	22	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	37	days	day	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	38	with	with	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	39	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	40	large	large	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	41	variance	variance	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	42	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	43	2	2	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	44	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	45	5	5	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	46	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	47	7	7	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	48	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	49	10	10	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	50	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	51	16	16	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	52	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	53	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	54	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	55	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	56	possible	possible	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	57	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	58	rationalise	rationalise	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	59	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	60	shorter	short	JJR
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	61	apparent	apparent	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	62	delay	delay	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	63	on	on	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	64	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	65	basis	basis	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	66	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	67	delays	delay	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	68	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	69	testing	testing	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	70	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	71	diagnosis	diagnosis	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	72	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	73	reporting	reporting	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	74	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	75	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	76	disease	disease	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	77	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	78	particularly	particularly	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	79	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	80	countries	country	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	81	where	where	WRB
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	82	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	83	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	84	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	85	severe	severe	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	67	86	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	1	For	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	2	example	example	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	3	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	4	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	5	Italy	Italy	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	6	from	from	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	7	late	late	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	8	February	February	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	9	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	10	testing	testing	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	11	was	be	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	12	prioritized	prioritize	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	13	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	14	"	"	``
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	15	patients	patient	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	16	with	with	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	17	more	more	RBR
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	18	severe	severe	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	19	clinical	clinical	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	20	symptoms	symptom	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	21	who	who	WP
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	22	were	be	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	23	suspected	suspect	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	24	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	25	having	have	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	26	COVID-19	covid-19	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	27	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	28	required	require	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	29	hospitalization	hospitalization	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	30	"	"	''
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	31	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	32	17	17	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	33	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	34	;	;	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	35	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	36	subsequent	subsequent	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	37	delay	delay	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	38	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	39	test	test	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	40	results	result	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	41	could	could	MD
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	42	account	account	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	43	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	44	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	45	rather	rather	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	46	short	short	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	47	delay	delay	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	48	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	49	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	50	author	author	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	51	/	/	SYM
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	52	funder	funder	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	53	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	54	who	who	WP
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	55	has	have	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	56	granted	grant	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	57	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	58	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	59	license	license	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	60	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	61	display	display	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	62	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	63	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	64	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	65	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	66	which	which	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	67	was	be	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	68	not	not	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	69	certified	certify	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	70	by	by	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	71	peer	peer	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	72	review	review	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	73	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	68	74	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	69	1	The	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	69	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	69	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	69	4	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	69	5	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	69	6	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	69	7	version	version	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	69	8	posted	post	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	69	9	October	October	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	69	10	27	27	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	69	11	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	69	12	2020	2020	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	69	13	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	70	1	between	between	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	70	2	reported	reported	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	70	3	diagnosis	diagnosis	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	70	4	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	70	5	death	death	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	70	6	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	71	1	This	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	71	2	shows	show	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	71	3	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	71	4	inherent	inherent	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	71	5	danger	danger	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	71	6	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	71	7	analysing	analyse	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	71	8	such	such	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	71	9	datasets	dataset	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	71	10	using	use	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	71	11	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	71	12	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	71	13	delay	delay	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	71	14	distributions	distribution	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	71	15	from	from	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	71	16	specific	specific	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	71	17	case	case	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	71	18	data	datum	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	71	19	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	71	20	which	which	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	71	21	presumes	presume	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	71	22	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	71	23	much	much	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	71	24	longer	long	JJR
cord-354133-11b0d499	71	25	delay	delay	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	71	26	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	71	27	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	71	28	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	72	1	Moreover	moreover	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	72	2	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	72	3	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	72	4	delay	delay	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	72	5	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	72	6	may	may	MD
cord-354133-11b0d499	72	7	provide	provide	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	72	8	some	some	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	72	9	useful	useful	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	72	10	information	information	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	72	11	about	about	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	72	12	relative	relative	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	72	13	conditions	condition	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	72	14	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	72	15	various	various	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	72	16	countries	country	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	72	17	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	73	1	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	73	2	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	73	3	author	author	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	73	4	/	/	SYM
cord-354133-11b0d499	73	5	funder	funder	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	73	6	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	73	7	who	who	WP
cord-354133-11b0d499	73	8	has	have	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	73	9	granted	grant	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	73	10	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	73	11	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	73	12	license	license	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	73	13	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	73	14	display	display	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	73	15	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	73	16	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	73	17	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	73	18	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	73	19	which	which	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	73	20	was	be	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	73	21	not	not	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	73	22	certified	certify	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	73	23	by	by	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	73	24	peer	peer	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	73	25	review	review	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	73	26	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	73	27	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	74	1	The	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	74	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	74	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	74	4	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	74	5	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	74	6	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	74	7	version	version	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	74	8	posted	post	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	74	9	October	October	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	74	10	27	27	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	74	11	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	74	12	2020	2020	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	74	13	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	75	1	;	;	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	75	2	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.25.20216671	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.25.20216671	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	75	3	doi	doi	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	75	4	:	:	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	76	1	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	76	2	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	76	3	7	7	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	76	4	Using	use	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	76	5	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	76	6	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	76	7	delay	delay	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	76	8	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	76	9	four	four	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	76	10	days	day	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	76	11	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	76	12	Italy	Italy	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	76	13	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	76	14	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	76	15	scaling	scale	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	76	16	factor	factor	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	76	17	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	76	18	0.144	0.144	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	76	19	represents	represent	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	76	20	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	76	21	ratio	ratio	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	76	22	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	76	23	deaths	death	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	76	24	to	to	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	76	25	cases	case	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	76	26	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	76	27	or	or	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	76	28	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	76	29	other	other	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	76	30	words	word	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	76	31	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	76	32	an	an	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	76	33	estimate	estimate	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	76	34	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	76	35	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	76	36	case	case	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	76	37	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	76	38	ratio	ratio	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	76	39	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	76	40	converging	converge	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	76	41	towards	towards	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	76	42	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	76	43	crude	crude	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	76	44	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	76	45	with	with	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	76	46	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	76	47	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	77	1	The	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	77	2	calculated	calculate	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	77	3	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	77	4	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	77	5	14.4	14.4	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	77	6	%	%	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	77	7	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	77	8	almost	almost	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	77	9	identical	identical	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	77	10	to	to	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	77	11	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	77	12	crude	crude	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	77	13	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	77	14	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	77	15	14.5	14.5	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	77	16	%	%	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	77	17	at	at	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	77	18	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	77	19	end	end	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	77	20	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	77	21	June	June	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	77	22	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	77	23	which	which	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	77	24	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	77	25	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	77	26	good	good	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	77	27	estimate	estimate	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	77	28	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	77	29	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	77	30	"	"	``
cord-354133-11b0d499	77	31	true	true	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	77	32	"	"	''
cord-354133-11b0d499	77	33	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	77	34	at	at	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	77	35	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	77	36	end	end	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	77	37	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	77	38	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	77	39	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	77	40	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	78	1	An	an	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	78	2	interesting	interesting	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	78	3	question	question	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	78	4	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	78	5	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	78	6	at	at	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	78	7	what	what	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	78	8	point	point	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	78	9	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	78	10	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	78	11	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	78	12	does	do	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	78	13	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	78	14	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	78	15	calculated	calculate	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	78	16	using	use	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	78	17	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	78	18	TSD	TSD	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	78	19	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	78	20	give	give	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	78	21	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	78	22	good	good	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	78	23	approximation	approximation	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	78	24	to	to	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	78	25	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	78	26	final	final	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	78	27	value	value	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	78	28	?	?	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	79	1	This	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	79	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	79	3	important	important	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	79	4	because	because	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	79	5	early	early	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	79	6	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	79	7	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	79	8	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	79	9	are	be	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	79	10	vital	vital	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	79	11	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	79	12	informing	inform	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	79	13	public	public	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	79	14	health	health	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	79	15	decisions	decision	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	79	16	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	80	1	Figure	figure	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	80	2	3	3	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	80	3	shows	show	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	80	4	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	80	5	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	80	6	calculated	calculate	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	80	7	at	at	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	80	8	various	various	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	80	9	stages	stage	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	80	10	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	80	11	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	80	12	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	80	13	using	use	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	80	14	data	datum	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	80	15	available	available	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	80	16	to	to	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	80	17	that	that	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	80	18	point	point	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	80	19	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	81	1	Errors	error	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	81	2	represent	represent	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	81	3	uncertainty	uncertainty	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	81	4	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	81	5	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	81	6	linear	linear	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	81	7	regression	regression	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	81	8	as	as	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	81	9	well	well	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	81	10	as	as	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	81	11	in	in	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	81	12	!	!	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	81	13	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	82	1	The	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	82	2	earliest	early	JJS
cord-354133-11b0d499	82	3	data	datum	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	82	4	predict	predict	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	82	5	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	82	6	longer	long	JJR
cord-354133-11b0d499	82	7	delay	delay	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	82	8	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	82	9	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	82	10	which	which	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	82	11	results	result	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	82	12	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	82	13	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	82	14	higher	high	JJR
cord-354133-11b0d499	82	15	predicted	predict	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	82	16	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	82	17	;	;	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	82	18	once	once	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	82	19	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	82	20	value	value	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	82	21	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	82	22	!	!	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	82	23	has	have	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	82	24	stabilised	stabilise	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	82	25	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	82	26	from	from	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	82	27	26	26	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	82	28	March	March	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	82	29	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	82	30	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	82	31	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	82	32	predicted	predict	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	82	33	value	value	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	82	34	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	82	35	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	82	36	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	82	37	also	also	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	82	38	very	very	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	82	39	stable	stable	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	82	40	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	82	41	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	82	42	also	also	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	82	43	remarkably	remarkably	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	82	44	accurate	accurate	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	82	45	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	82	46	14.4	14.4	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	82	47	%	%	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	82	48	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	82	49	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	82	50	compared	compare	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	82	51	to	to	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	82	52	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	82	53	crude	crude	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	82	54	value	value	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	82	55	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	82	56	10.3	10.3	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	82	57	%	%	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	82	58	at	at	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	82	59	that	that	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	82	60	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	82	61	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	83	1	Even	even	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	83	2	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	83	3	week	week	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	83	4	earlier	early	RBR
cord-354133-11b0d499	83	5	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	83	6	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	83	7	calculated	calculate	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	83	8	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	83	9	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	83	10	16.6	16.6	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	83	11	%	%	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	83	12	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	83	13	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	83	14	better	well	JJR
cord-354133-11b0d499	83	15	estimate	estimate	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	83	16	than	than	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	83	17	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	83	18	crude	crude	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	83	19	estimate	estimate	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	83	20	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	83	21	8.4	8.4	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	83	22	%	%	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	83	23	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	84	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-354133-11b0d499	84	2	appears	appear	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	84	3	that	that	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	84	4	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	84	5	simple	simple	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	84	6	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	84	7	generates	generate	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	84	8	two	two	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	84	9	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	84	10	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	84	11	significant	significant	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	84	12	interest	interest	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	84	13	:	:	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	84	14	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	84	15	apparent	apparent	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	84	16	delay	delay	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	84	17	between	between	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	84	18	reporting	reporting	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	84	19	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	84	20	related	related	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	84	21	cases	case	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	84	22	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	84	23	deaths	death	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	84	24	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	84	25	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	84	26	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	84	27	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	84	28	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	85	1	The	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	85	2	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	85	3	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	85	4	these	these	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	85	5	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	85	6	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	85	7	which	which	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	85	8	can	can	MD
cord-354133-11b0d499	85	9	be	be	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	85	10	determined	determine	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	85	11	unequivocally	unequivocally	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	85	12	once	once	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	85	13	an	an	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	85	14	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	85	15	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	85	16	concluded	conclude	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	85	17	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	85	18	can	can	MD
cord-354133-11b0d499	85	19	be	be	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	85	20	calculated	calculate	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	85	21	during	during	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	85	22	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	85	23	course	course	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	85	24	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	85	25	an	an	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	85	26	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	85	27	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	85	28	give	give	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	85	29	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	85	30	better	well	JJR
cord-354133-11b0d499	85	31	approximation	approximation	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	85	32	than	than	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	85	33	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	85	34	crude	crude	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	85	35	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	85	36	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	86	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-354133-11b0d499	86	2	should	should	MD
cord-354133-11b0d499	86	3	be	be	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	86	4	noted	note	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	86	5	that	that	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	86	6	such	such	PDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	86	7	an	an	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	86	8	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	86	9	can	can	MD
cord-354133-11b0d499	86	10	not	not	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	86	11	be	be	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	86	12	applied	apply	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	86	13	during	during	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	86	14	purely	purely	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	86	15	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	86	16	growth	growth	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	86	17	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	86	18	because	because	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	86	19	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	86	20	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	86	21	shifting	shifting	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	86	22	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	86	23	horizontally	horizontally	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	86	24	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	86	25	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	86	26	scaling	scale	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	86	27	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	86	28	vertically	vertically	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	86	29	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	86	30	an	an	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	86	31	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	86	32	function	function	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	86	33	are	be	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	86	34	equivalent	equivalent	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	86	35	operations	operation	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	86	36	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	86	37	as	as	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	86	38	:	:	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	86	39	"	"	``
cord-354133-11b0d499	86	40	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	86	41	$	$	$
cord-354133-11b0d499	86	42	%	%	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	86	43	$	$	$
cord-354133-11b0d499	86	44	!	!	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	86	45	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	87	1	=	=	NFP
cord-354133-11b0d499	87	2	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	87	3	%	%	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	87	4	"	"	``
cord-354133-11b0d499	87	5	$	$	$
cord-354133-11b0d499	87	6	!	!	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	87	7	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	88	1	"	"	``
cord-354133-11b0d499	88	2	$	$	$
cord-354133-11b0d499	88	3	=	=	SYM
cord-354133-11b0d499	88	4	"	"	''
cord-354133-11b0d499	88	5	$	$	$
cord-354133-11b0d499	88	6	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	88	7	which	which	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	88	8	means	mean	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	88	9	that	that	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	88	10	any	any	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	88	11	value	value	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	88	12	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	88	13	!	!	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	88	14	will	will	MD
cord-354133-11b0d499	88	15	give	give	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	88	16	an	an	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	88	17	equivalent	equivalent	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	88	18	relationship	relationship	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	88	19	between	between	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	88	20	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	88	21	−	−	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	88	22	!	!	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	88	23	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	89	1	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	89	2	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	89	3	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	89	4	with	with	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	89	5	gradient	gradient	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	89	6	depending	depend	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	89	7	on	on	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	89	8	!	!	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	89	9	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	90	1	Therefore	therefore	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	90	2	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	90	3	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	90	4	TSD	TSD	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	90	5	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	90	6	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	90	7	only	only	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	90	8	valid	valid	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	90	9	once	once	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	90	10	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	90	11	growth	growth	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	90	12	ends	end	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	90	13	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	90	14	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	90	15	daily	daily	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	90	16	case	case	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	90	17	rate	rate	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	90	18	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	90	19	approaching	approach	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	90	20	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	90	21	or	or	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	90	22	past	past	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	90	23	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	91	1	its	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-354133-11b0d499	91	2	peak	peak	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	91	3	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	92	1	Alternatively	alternatively	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	92	2	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	92	3	an	an	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	92	4	estimate	estimate	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	92	5	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	92	6	!	!	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	92	7	could	could	MD
cord-354133-11b0d499	92	8	be	be	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	92	9	used	use	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	92	10	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	92	11	but	but	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	92	12	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	92	13	reduces	reduce	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	92	14	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	92	15	simplicity	simplicity	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	92	16	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	92	17	transparency	transparency	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	92	18	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	92	19	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	92	20	model	model	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	92	21	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	93	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-354133-11b0d499	93	2	note	note	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	93	3	that	that	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	93	4	others	other	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	93	5	have	have	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	93	6	calculated	calculate	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	93	7	an	an	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	93	8	"	"	``
cord-354133-11b0d499	93	9	adjusted	adjust	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	93	10	"	"	''
cord-354133-11b0d499	93	11	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	93	12	early	early	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	93	13	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	93	14	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	93	15	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	93	16	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	93	17	using	use	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	93	18	an	an	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	93	19	equivalent	equivalent	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	93	20	method	method	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	93	21	with	with	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	93	22	an	an	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	93	23	assumed	assume	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	93	24	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	94	1	CC	CC	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	94	2	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	94	3	BY	BY	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	94	4	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	94	5	NC	NC	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	94	6	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	94	7	ND	ND	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	94	8	4.0	4.0	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	94	9	International	international	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	94	10	license	license	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	94	11	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-354133-11b0d499	94	12	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	94	13	made	make	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	94	14	available	available	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	94	15	under	under	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	94	16	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	94	17	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	94	18	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	95	1	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	95	2	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	95	3	author	author	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	95	4	/	/	SYM
cord-354133-11b0d499	95	5	funder	funder	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	95	6	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	95	7	who	who	WP
cord-354133-11b0d499	95	8	has	have	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	95	9	granted	grant	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	95	10	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	95	11	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	95	12	license	license	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	95	13	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	95	14	display	display	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	95	15	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	95	16	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	95	17	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	95	18	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	95	19	which	which	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	95	20	was	be	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	95	21	not	not	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	95	22	certified	certify	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	95	23	by	by	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	95	24	peer	peer	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	95	25	review	review	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	95	26	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	95	27	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	96	1	The	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	96	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	96	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	96	4	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	96	5	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	96	6	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	96	7	version	version	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	96	8	posted	post	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	96	9	October	October	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	96	10	27	27	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	96	11	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	96	12	2020	2020	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	96	13	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	97	1	;	;	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	97	2	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.25.20216671	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.25.20216671	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	97	3	doi	doi	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	97	4	:	:	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	98	1	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	98	2	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	98	3	value	value	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	98	4	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	98	5	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	98	6	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	98	7	delay	delay	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	98	8	between	between	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	98	9	onset	onset	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	98	10	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	98	11	death	death	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	98	12	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	98	13	because	because	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	98	14	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	98	15	true	true	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	98	16	value	value	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	98	17	was	be	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	98	18	not	not	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	98	19	known	know	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	98	20	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	98	21	:	:	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	99	1	Yuan	yuan	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	99	2	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	99	3	colleagues	colleague	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	99	4	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	99	5	18	18	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	99	6	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	99	7	chose	choose	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	99	8	sample	sample	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	99	9	values	value	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	99	10	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	99	11	one	one	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	99	12	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	99	13	three	three	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	99	14	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	99	15	five	five	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	99	16	days	day	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	99	17	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	99	18	give	give	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	99	19	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	99	20	from	from	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	99	21	3	3	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	99	22	-	-	SYM
cord-354133-11b0d499	99	23	13	13	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	99	24	%	%	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	99	25	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	99	26	Italy	Italy	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	99	27	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	99	28	early	early	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	99	29	March	March	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	99	30	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	99	31	while	while	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	99	32	Wilson	Wilson	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	99	33	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	99	34	colleagues	colleague	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	99	35	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	99	36	19	19	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	99	37	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	99	38	used	use	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	99	39	13	13	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	99	40	days	day	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	99	41	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	99	42	give	give	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	99	43	0.8	0.8	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	99	44	-	-	SYM
cord-354133-11b0d499	99	45	3.5	3.5	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	99	46	%	%	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	99	47	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	99	48	China	China	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	99	49	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	99	50	early	early	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	99	51	March	March	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	99	52	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	100	1	To	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	100	2	test	test	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	100	3	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	100	4	TSD	TSD	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	100	5	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	100	6	method	method	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	100	7	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	100	8	determining	determine	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	100	9	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	100	10	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	100	11	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	100	12	middle	middle	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	100	13	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	100	14	an	an	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	100	15	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	100	16	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	100	17	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	100	18	compare	compare	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	100	19	to	to	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	100	20	alternative	alternative	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	100	21	methods	method	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	100	22	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	100	23	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-354133-11b0d499	100	24	analyse	analyse	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	100	25	data	datum	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	100	26	from	from	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	100	27	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	100	28	SARS	SARS	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	100	29	2003	2003	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	100	30	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	100	31	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	100	32	Hong	Hong	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	100	33	Kong	Kong	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	100	34	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	100	35	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	100	36	author	author	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	100	37	/	/	SYM
cord-354133-11b0d499	100	38	funder	funder	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	100	39	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	100	40	who	who	WP
cord-354133-11b0d499	100	41	has	have	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	100	42	granted	grant	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	100	43	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	100	44	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	100	45	license	license	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	100	46	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	100	47	display	display	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	100	48	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	100	49	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	100	50	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	100	51	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	100	52	which	which	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	100	53	was	be	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	100	54	not	not	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	100	55	certified	certify	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	100	56	by	by	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	100	57	peer	peer	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	100	58	review	review	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	100	59	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	100	60	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	101	1	The	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	101	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	101	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	101	4	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	101	5	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	101	6	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	101	7	version	version	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	101	8	posted	post	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	101	9	October	October	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	101	10	27	27	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	101	11	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	101	12	2020	2020	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	101	13	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	102	1	;	;	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	102	2	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.25.20216671	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.25.20216671	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	102	3	doi	doi	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	102	4	:	:	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	102	5	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	102	6	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	102	7	Figure	Figure	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	102	8	6	6	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	102	9	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	103	1	To	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	103	2	compare	compare	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	103	3	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	103	4	on	on	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	103	5	17	17	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	103	6	April	April	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	103	7	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	103	8	crude	crude	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	103	9	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	103	10	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	103	11	5.3	5.3	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	103	12	%	%	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	103	13	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	103	14	which	which	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	103	15	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	103	16	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	103	17	significant	significant	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	103	18	underestimate	underestimate	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	103	19	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	103	20	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	103	21	true	true	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	103	22	value	value	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	103	23	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	104	1	The	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	104	2	delay	delay	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	104	3	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	104	4	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	104	5	22	22	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	104	6	days	day	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	104	7	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	104	8	consistent	consistent	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	104	9	with	with	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	104	10	observations	observation	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	104	11	that	that	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	104	12	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	104	13	delay	delay	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	104	14	between	between	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	104	15	onset	onset	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	104	16	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	104	17	death	death	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	104	18	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	104	19	SARS	SARS	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	104	20	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	104	21	approximately	approximately	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	104	22	three	three	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	104	23	weeks	week	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	104	24	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	104	25	21	21	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	104	26	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	104	27	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	105	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-354133-11b0d499	105	2	also	also	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	105	3	applied	apply	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	105	4	TSD	TSD	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	105	5	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	105	6	to	to	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	105	7	SARS	SARS	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	105	8	data	datum	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	105	9	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	105	10	other	other	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	105	11	countries	country	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	105	12	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	105	13	giving	give	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	105	14	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	105	15	calculated	calculate	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	105	16	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	105	17	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	105	18	15	15	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	105	19	%	%	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	105	20	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	105	21	Singapore	Singapore	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	105	22	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	105	23	Canada	Canada	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	105	24	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	105	25	although	although	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	105	26	data	datum	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	105	27	are	be	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	105	28	noisy	noisy	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	105	29	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	105	30	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	105	31	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	105	32	13	13	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	105	33	%	%	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	105	34	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	105	35	Taiwan	Taiwan	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	105	36	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	106	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-354133-11b0d499	106	2	can	can	MD
cord-354133-11b0d499	106	3	compare	compare	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	106	4	these	these	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	106	5	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	106	6	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	106	7	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	106	8	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	106	9	with	with	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	106	10	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	106	11	more	more	RBR
cord-354133-11b0d499	106	12	complex	complex	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	106	13	mathematical	mathematical	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	106	14	models	model	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	106	15	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	106	16	Nishiura	Nishiura	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	106	17	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	106	18	coworkers	coworker	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	106	19	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	106	20	22	22	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	106	21	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	106	22	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	106	23	Ghani	Ghani	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	106	24	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	106	25	coworkers	coworker	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	106	26	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	106	27	15	15	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	106	28	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	106	29	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	106	30	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	106	31	same	same	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	106	32	SARS	SARS	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	106	33	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	106	34	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	107	1	The	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	107	2	simple	simple	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	107	3	TSD	TSD	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	107	4	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	107	5	gives	give	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	107	6	better	well	JJR
cord-354133-11b0d499	107	7	predictions	prediction	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	107	8	than	than	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	107	9	both	both	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	107	10	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	107	11	parametric	parametric	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	107	12	mixture	mixture	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	107	13	model	model	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	107	14	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	107	15	modified	modify	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	107	16	Kaplan	Kaplan	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	107	17	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	107	18	Meier	Meier	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	107	19	method	method	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	107	20	described	describe	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	107	21	by	by	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	107	22	Ghani	Ghani	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	107	23	et	et	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	107	24	al	al	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	107	25	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	108	1	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	108	2	15	15	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	108	3	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	108	4	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	108	5	which	which	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	108	6	use	use	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	108	7	individual	individual	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	108	8	case	case	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	108	9	data	datum	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	108	10	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	109	1	CC	CC	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	109	2	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	109	3	BY	BY	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	109	4	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	109	5	NC	NC	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	109	6	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	109	7	ND	ND	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	109	8	4.0	4.0	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	109	9	International	international	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	109	10	license	license	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	109	11	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-354133-11b0d499	109	12	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	109	13	made	make	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	109	14	available	available	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	109	15	under	under	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	109	16	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	109	17	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	109	18	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	110	1	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	110	2	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	110	3	author	author	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	110	4	/	/	SYM
cord-354133-11b0d499	110	5	funder	funder	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	110	6	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	110	7	who	who	WP
cord-354133-11b0d499	110	8	has	have	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	110	9	granted	grant	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	110	10	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	110	11	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	110	12	license	license	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	110	13	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	110	14	display	display	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	110	15	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	110	16	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	110	17	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	110	18	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	110	19	which	which	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	110	20	was	be	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	110	21	not	not	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	110	22	certified	certify	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	110	23	by	by	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	110	24	peer	peer	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	110	25	review	review	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	110	26	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	110	27	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	111	1	The	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	111	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	111	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	111	4	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	111	5	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	111	6	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	111	7	version	version	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	111	8	posted	post	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	111	9	October	October	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	111	10	27	27	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	111	11	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	111	12	2020	2020	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	111	13	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	112	1	;	;	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	112	2	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.25.20216671	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.25.20216671	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	112	3	doi	doi	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	112	4	:	:	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	113	1	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	113	2	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	113	3	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	113	4	dates	date	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	113	5	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	113	6	hospitalisation	hospitalisation	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	113	7	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	113	8	death	death	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	113	9	or	or	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	113	10	discharge	discharge	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	113	11	from	from	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	113	12	hospital	hospital	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	113	13	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	113	14	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	113	15	estimate	estimate	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	113	16	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	113	17	using	use	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	113	18	statistical	statistical	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	113	19	methods	method	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	113	20	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	114	1	Such	such	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	114	2	methods	method	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	114	3	can	can	MD
cord-354133-11b0d499	114	4	provide	provide	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	114	5	earlier	early	JJR
cord-354133-11b0d499	114	6	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	114	7	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	114	8	from	from	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	114	9	1	1	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	114	10	April	April	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	114	11	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	114	12	giving	give	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	114	13	around	around	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	114	14	7	7	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	114	15	-	-	SYM
cord-354133-11b0d499	114	16	8	8	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	114	17	%	%	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	114	18	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	114	19	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	114	20	but	but	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	114	21	are	be	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	114	22	less	less	RBR
cord-354133-11b0d499	114	23	accurate	accurate	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	114	24	at	at	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	114	25	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	114	26	early	early	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	114	27	stage	stage	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	114	28	than	than	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	114	29	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	114	30	simple	simple	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	114	31	estimate	estimate	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	114	32	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	114	33	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	114	34	from	from	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	114	35	data	datum	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	114	36	on	on	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	114	37	closed	closed	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	114	38	cases	case	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	114	39	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	114	40	recoveries	recovery	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	114	41	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	114	42	deaths	death	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	114	43	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	114	44	at	at	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	114	45	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	114	46	same	same	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	114	47	dates	date	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	114	48	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	114	49	15	15	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	114	50	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	114	51	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	114	52	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	114	53	are	be	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	114	54	later	later	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	114	55	outperformed	outperform	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	114	56	by	by	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	114	57	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-354133-11b0d499	114	58	simple	simple	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	114	59	TSD	TSD	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	114	60	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	115	1	CC	CC	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	115	2	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	115	3	BY	BY	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	115	4	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	115	5	NC	NC	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	115	6	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	115	7	ND	ND	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	115	8	4.0	4.0	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	115	9	International	international	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	115	10	license	license	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	115	11	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-354133-11b0d499	115	12	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	115	13	made	make	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	115	14	available	available	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	115	15	under	under	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	115	16	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	115	17	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	115	18	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	116	1	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	116	2	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	116	3	author	author	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	116	4	/	/	SYM
cord-354133-11b0d499	116	5	funder	funder	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	116	6	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	116	7	who	who	WP
cord-354133-11b0d499	116	8	has	have	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	116	9	granted	grant	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	116	10	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	116	11	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	116	12	license	license	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	116	13	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	116	14	display	display	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	116	15	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	116	16	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	116	17	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	116	18	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	116	19	which	which	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	116	20	was	be	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	116	21	not	not	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	116	22	certified	certify	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	116	23	by	by	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	116	24	peer	peer	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	116	25	review	review	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	116	26	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	116	27	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	117	1	The	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	117	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	117	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	117	4	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	117	5	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	117	6	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	117	7	version	version	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	117	8	posted	post	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	117	9	October	October	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	117	10	27	27	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	117	11	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	117	12	2020	2020	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	117	13	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	118	1	;	;	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	118	2	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.25.20216671	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.25.20216671	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	118	3	doi	doi	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	118	4	:	:	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	119	1	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	119	2	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	119	3	Similarly	similarly	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	119	4	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	119	5	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	119	6	model	model	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	119	7	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	119	8	Nishiura	Nishiura	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	119	9	et	et	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	119	10	al	al	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	119	11	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	120	1	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	120	2	22	22	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	120	3	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	120	4	can	can	MD
cord-354133-11b0d499	120	5	provide	provide	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	120	6	much	much	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	120	7	earlier	early	JJR
cord-354133-11b0d499	120	8	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	120	9	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	120	10	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	120	11	than	than	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	120	12	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-354133-11b0d499	120	13	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	120	14	but	but	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	120	15	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	120	16	accuracy	accuracy	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	120	17	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	120	18	these	these	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	120	19	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	120	20	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	120	21	uncertain	uncertain	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	120	22	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	120	23	depends	depend	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	120	24	on	on	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	120	25	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	120	26	assumptions	assumption	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	120	27	made	make	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	120	28	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	121	1	Their	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-354133-11b0d499	121	2	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	121	3	requires	require	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	121	4	data	datum	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	121	5	on	on	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	121	6	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	121	7	dates	date	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	121	8	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	121	9	onset	onset	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	121	10	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	121	11	confirmed	confirmed	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	121	12	cases	case	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	121	13	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	121	14	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	121	15	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	121	16	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	121	17	times	time	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	121	18	from	from	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	121	19	onset	onset	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	121	20	to	to	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	121	21	death	death	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	121	22	;	;	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	121	23	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	121	24	latter	latter	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	121	25	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	121	26	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	121	27	particular	particular	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	121	28	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	121	29	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	121	30	poorly	poorly	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	121	31	known	know	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	121	32	at	at	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	121	33	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	121	34	start	start	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	121	35	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	121	36	an	an	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	121	37	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	121	38	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	121	39	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	121	40	new	new	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	121	41	disease	disease	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	121	42	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	122	1	Nishiura	Nishiura	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	122	2	et	et	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	122	3	al	al	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	122	4	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	1	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	2	22	22	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	3	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	4	analyse	analyse	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	5	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	6	Hong	Hong	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	7	Kong	Kong	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	8	SARS	SARS	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	9	data	datum	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	10	by	by	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	11	assuming	assume	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	12	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	13	simple	simple	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	14	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	15	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	16	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	17	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	18	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	19	between	between	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	20	onset	onset	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	21	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	22	death	death	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	23	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	24	with	with	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	25	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	26	mean	mean	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	27	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	28	36	36	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	29	days	day	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	30	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	31	from	from	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	32	Donnelly	Donnelly	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	33	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	34	21	21	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	35	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	36	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	37	SARS	SARS	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	38	cases	case	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	39	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	40	Hong	Hong	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	41	Kong	Kong	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	42	up	up	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	43	to	to	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	44	28	28	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	45	April	April	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	46	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	47	although	although	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	48	Donnelly	Donnelly	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	49	used	use	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	50	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	51	gamma	gamma	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	52	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	53	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	54	author	author	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	55	/	/	SYM
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	56	funder	funder	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	57	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	58	who	who	WP
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	59	has	have	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	60	granted	grant	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	61	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	62	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	63	license	license	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	64	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	65	display	display	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	66	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	67	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	68	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	69	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	70	which	which	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	71	was	be	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	72	not	not	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	73	certified	certify	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	74	by	by	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	75	peer	peer	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	76	review	review	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	77	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	123	78	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	124	1	The	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	124	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	124	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	124	4	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	124	5	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	124	6	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	124	7	version	version	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	124	8	posted	post	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	124	9	October	October	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	124	10	27	27	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	124	11	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	124	12	2020	2020	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	124	13	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	125	1	;	;	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	125	2	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.25.20216671	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.25.20216671	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	125	3	doi	doi	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	125	4	:	:	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	125	5	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	125	6	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	125	7	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	125	8	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	125	9	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	125	10	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	125	11	using	use	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	125	12	statistical	statistical	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	125	13	sampling	sampling	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	125	14	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	125	15	predict	predict	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	125	16	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	125	17	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	125	18	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	126	1	The	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	126	2	fact	fact	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	126	3	that	that	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	126	4	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	126	5	model	model	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	126	6	provides	provide	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	126	7	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	126	8	reasonable	reasonable	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	126	9	prediction	prediction	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	126	10	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	126	11	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	126	12	at	at	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	126	13	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	126	14	specific	specific	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	126	15	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	126	16	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	126	17	around	around	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	126	18	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	126	19	end	end	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	126	20	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	126	21	March	March	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	126	22	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	126	23	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	126	24	likely	likely	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	126	25	fortuitous	fortuitous	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	126	26	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	126	27	given	give	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	126	28	that	that	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	126	29	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-354133-11b0d499	126	30	involves	involve	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	126	31	scaling	scale	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	126	32	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	126	33	crude	crude	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	126	34	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	126	35	by	by	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	126	36	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	126	37	constant	constant	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	126	38	factor	factor	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	126	39	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	126	40	will	will	MD
cord-354133-11b0d499	126	41	therefore	therefore	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	126	42	overestimate	overestimate	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	126	43	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	126	44	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	126	45	at	at	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	126	46	later	later	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	126	47	times	time	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	126	48	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	126	49	as	as	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	126	50	well	well	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	126	51	as	as	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	126	52	very	very	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	126	53	early	early	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	126	54	times	time	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	126	55	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	126	56	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	127	1	Further	further	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	127	2	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	127	3	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	127	4	method	method	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	127	5	requires	require	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	127	6	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	127	7	use	use	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	127	8	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	127	9	parametrised	parametrised	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	127	10	data	datum	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	127	11	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	127	12	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	127	13	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	127	14	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	127	15	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	127	16	onset	onset	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	127	17	to	to	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	127	18	death	death	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	127	19	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	127	20	that	that	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	127	21	are	be	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	127	22	not	not	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	127	23	available	available	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	127	24	at	at	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	127	25	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	127	26	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	127	27	that	that	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	127	28	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	127	29	predictions	prediction	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	127	30	are	be	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	127	31	purported	purport	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	127	32	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	127	33	be	be	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	127	34	made	make	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	127	35	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	128	1	In	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	128	2	fact	fact	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	128	3	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	128	4	when	when	WRB
cord-354133-11b0d499	128	5	Nishiura	Nishiura	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	128	6	et	et	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	128	7	al	al	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	128	8	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	1	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	2	22	22	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	3	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	4	apply	apply	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	5	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	6	method	method	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	7	to	to	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	8	early	early	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	9	H1N1	H1N1	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	10	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	11	swine	swine	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	12	flu	flu	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	13	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	14	data	datum	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	15	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	16	2009	2009	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	17	they	-PRON-	PRP
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	18	are	be	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	19	forced	force	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	20	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	21	use	use	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	22	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	23	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	24	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	25	calculated	calculate	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	26	from	from	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	27	historical	historical	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	28	data	datum	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	29	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	30	H1N1	H1N1	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	31	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	32	Spanish	Spanish	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	33	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	34	influenza	influenza	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	35	from	from	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	36	1918	1918	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	37	-	-	SYM
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	38	1919	1919	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	39	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	40	which	which	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	41	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	42	problematic	problematic	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	43	;	;	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	44	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	45	sensitivity	sensitivity	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	46	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	47	shows	show	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	48	that	that	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	49	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	50	predicted	predict	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	51	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	52	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	53	sensitive	sensitive	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	54	to	to	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	55	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	56	choice	choice	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	57	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	58	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	59	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	60	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	61	making	make	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	62	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	63	method	method	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	64	somewhat	somewhat	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	65	difficult	difficult	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	66	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	67	apply	apply	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	68	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	69	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	70	circumstances	circumstance	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	71	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	72	which	which	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	73	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	74	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	75	proposed	propose	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	129	76	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	130	1	In	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	130	2	comparison	comparison	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	130	3	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	130	4	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	130	5	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	130	6	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	130	7	shifted	shift	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	130	8	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	130	9	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	130	10	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	130	11	both	both	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	130	12	transparent	transparent	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	130	13	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	130	14	straightforward	straightforward	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	130	15	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	130	16	implement	implement	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	130	17	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	130	18	using	use	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	130	19	only	only	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	130	20	publicly	publicly	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	130	21	available	available	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	130	22	data	datum	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	130	23	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	130	24	no	no	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	130	25	assumptions	assumption	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	130	26	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	130	27	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	130	28	can	can	MD
cord-354133-11b0d499	130	29	provide	provide	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	130	30	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	130	31	reasonably	reasonably	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	130	32	early	early	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	130	33	estimate	estimate	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	130	34	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	130	35	once	once	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	130	36	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	130	37	growth	growth	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	130	38	has	have	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	130	39	sufficiently	sufficiently	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	130	40	slowed	slow	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	130	41	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	130	42	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	130	43	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	130	44	that	that	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	130	45	converges	converge	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	130	46	to	to	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	130	47	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	130	48	"	"	``
cord-354133-11b0d499	130	49	true	true	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	130	50	"	"	''
cord-354133-11b0d499	130	51	value	value	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	130	52	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	131	1	If	if	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	131	2	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	131	3	value	value	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	131	4	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	131	5	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	131	6	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	131	7	delay	delay	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	131	8	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	131	9	approximately	approximately	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	131	10	known	know	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	131	11	early	early	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	131	12	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	131	13	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	131	14	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	131	15	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	131	16	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	131	17	could	could	MD
cord-354133-11b0d499	131	18	be	be	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	131	19	used	use	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	131	20	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	131	21	constrain	constrain	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	131	22	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	131	23	fitting	fitting	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	131	24	procedure	procedure	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	131	25	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	131	26	but	but	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	131	27	as	as	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	131	28	observed	observe	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	131	29	already	already	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	131	30	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	131	31	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-354133-11b0d499	131	32	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	131	33	difficult	difficult	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	131	34	either	either	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	131	35	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	131	36	know	know	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	131	37	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	131	38	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	131	39	delay	delay	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	131	40	between	between	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	131	41	onset	onset	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	131	42	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	131	43	death	death	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	131	44	or	or	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	131	45	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	131	46	apply	apply	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	131	47	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-354133-11b0d499	131	48	to	to	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	131	49	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	131	50	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	131	51	delay	delay	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	131	52	between	between	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	131	53	reporting	reporting	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	131	54	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	131	55	cases	case	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	131	56	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	131	57	deaths	death	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	131	58	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	132	1	Time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	132	2	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	132	3	shifted	shift	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	132	4	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	132	5	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	132	6	was	be	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	132	7	performed	perform	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	132	8	on	on	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	132	9	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	132	10	data	datum	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	132	11	from	from	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	132	12	an	an	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	132	13	extensive	extensive	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	132	14	range	range	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	132	15	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	132	16	countries	country	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	132	17	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	132	18	using	use	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	132	19	datasets	dataset	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	132	20	from	from	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	132	21	Johns	Johns	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	132	22	Hopkins	Hopkins	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	132	23	Center	Center	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	132	24	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	132	25	Systems	Systems	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	132	26	Science	Science	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	132	27	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	132	28	Engineering	Engineering	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	132	29	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	132	30	14	14	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	132	31	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	132	32	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	132	33	cross	cross	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	132	34	-	-	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	132	35	checked	check	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	132	36	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	132	37	supplemented	supplement	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	132	38	with	with	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	132	39	data	datum	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	132	40	from	from	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	132	41	Worldometers.com	worldometers.com	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	132	42	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	132	43	3-day	3-day	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	132	44	averaged	average	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	132	45	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	133	1	For	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	133	2	most	most	JJS
cord-354133-11b0d499	133	3	countries	country	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	133	4	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	133	5	as	as	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	133	6	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	133	7	Italy	Italy	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	133	8	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	133	9	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	133	10	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	133	11	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	133	12	results	result	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	133	13	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	133	14	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	133	15	robust	robust	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	133	16	linear	linear	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	133	17	fit	fit	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	133	18	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	133	19	provides	provide	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	133	20	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	133	21	stable	stable	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	133	22	estimate	estimate	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	133	23	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	133	24	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	133	25	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	133	26	delay	delay	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	133	27	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	133	28	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	134	1	These	these	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	134	2	data	datum	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	134	3	are	be	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	134	4	shown	show	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	134	5	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	134	6	Table	Table	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	134	7	1	1	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	134	8	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	134	9	organised	organise	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	134	10	by	by	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	134	11	region	region	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	134	12	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	134	13	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	134	14	author	author	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	134	15	/	/	SYM
cord-354133-11b0d499	134	16	funder	funder	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	134	17	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	134	18	who	who	WP
cord-354133-11b0d499	134	19	has	have	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	134	20	granted	grant	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	134	21	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	134	22	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	134	23	license	license	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	134	24	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	134	25	display	display	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	134	26	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	134	27	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	134	28	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	134	29	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	134	30	which	which	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	134	31	was	be	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	134	32	not	not	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	134	33	certified	certify	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	134	34	by	by	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	134	35	peer	peer	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	134	36	review	review	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	134	37	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	134	38	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	135	1	The	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	135	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	135	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	135	4	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	135	5	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	135	6	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	135	7	version	version	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	135	8	posted	post	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	135	9	October	October	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	135	10	27	27	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	135	11	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	135	12	2020	2020	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	135	13	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	136	1	Table	table	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	136	2	1	1	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	136	3	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	136	4	most	most	JJS
cord-354133-11b0d499	136	5	analyses	analysis	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	136	6	use	use	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	136	7	data	datum	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	136	8	up	up	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	136	9	until	until	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	136	10	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	136	11	end	end	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	136	12	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	136	13	May	May	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	136	14	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	136	15	which	which	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	136	16	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	136	17	generally	generally	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	136	18	representative	representative	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	136	19	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	136	20	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	136	21	initial	initial	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	136	22	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	136	23	;	;	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	136	24	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	136	25	some	some	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	136	26	countries	country	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	136	27	with	with	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	136	28	later	later	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	136	29	outbreaks	outbreak	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	136	30	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	136	31	later	later	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	136	32	end	end	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	136	33	dates	date	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	136	34	are	be	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	136	35	used	use	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	136	36	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	137	1	In	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	137	2	many	many	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	137	3	countries	country	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	137	4	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	137	5	more	more	RBR
cord-354133-11b0d499	137	6	recent	recent	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	137	7	outbreaks	outbreak	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	137	8	have	have	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	137	9	had	have	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	137	10	dramatically	dramatically	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	137	11	different	different	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	137	12	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	137	13	values	value	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	137	14	to	to	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	137	15	initial	initial	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	137	16	outbreaks	outbreak	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	137	17	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	137	18	due	due	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	137	19	largely	largely	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	137	20	to	to	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	137	21	improved	improve	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	137	22	testing	testing	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	137	23	rates	rate	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	137	24	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	137	25	;	;	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	137	26	these	these	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	137	27	can	can	MD
cord-354133-11b0d499	137	28	be	be	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	137	29	analysed	analyse	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	137	30	independently	independently	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	137	31	by	by	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	137	32	selecting	select	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	137	33	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	137	34	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	137	35	frame	frame	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	137	36	studied	study	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	137	37	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	137	38	but	but	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	137	39	values	value	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	137	40	presented	present	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	137	41	here	here	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	137	42	are	be	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	137	43	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	137	44	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	137	45	initial	initial	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	137	46	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	137	47	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	137	48	each	each	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	137	49	country	country	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	137	50	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	138	1	The	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	138	2	most	most	RBS
cord-354133-11b0d499	138	3	notable	notable	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	138	4	result	result	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	138	5	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	138	6	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	138	7	huge	huge	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	138	8	range	range	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	138	9	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	138	10	both	both	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	138	11	delay	delay	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	138	12	times	time	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	138	13	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	138	14	calculated	calculate	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	138	15	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	138	16	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	138	17	over	over	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	138	18	different	different	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	138	19	countries	country	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	138	20	:	:	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	138	21	from	from	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	138	22	zero	zero	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	138	23	to	to	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	138	24	24	24	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	138	25	days	day	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	138	26	'	'	POS
cord-354133-11b0d499	138	27	delay	delay	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	138	28	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	138	29	from	from	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	138	30	less	less	JJR
cord-354133-11b0d499	138	31	than	than	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	138	32	one	one	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	138	33	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	138	34	20	20	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	138	35	%	%	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	138	36	case	case	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	138	37	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	138	38	ratio	ratio	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	138	39	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	139	1	The	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	139	2	highest	high	JJS
cord-354133-11b0d499	139	3	ratios	ratio	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	139	4	are	be	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	139	5	calculated	calculate	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	139	6	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	139	7	Western	Western	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	139	8	Europe	Europe	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	139	9	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	139	10	up	up	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	139	11	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	139	12	20	20	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	139	13	%	%	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	139	14	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	139	15	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	139	16	followed	follow	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	139	17	by	by	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	139	18	North	North	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	139	19	America	America	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	139	20	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	139	21	up	up	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	139	22	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	139	23	15	15	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	139	24	%	%	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	139	25	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	139	26	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	139	27	South	South	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	139	28	America	America	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	139	29	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	139	30	up	up	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	139	31	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	139	32	10	10	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	139	33	%	%	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	139	34	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	139	35	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	139	36	Africa	Africa	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	139	37	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	139	38	up	up	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	139	39	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	139	40	7	7	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	139	41	%	%	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	139	42	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	139	43	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	139	44	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	139	45	lowest	low	JJS
cord-354133-11b0d499	139	46	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	139	47	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	139	48	Middle	Middle	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	139	49	East	East	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	139	50	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	139	51	Asia	Asia	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	139	52	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	139	53	Oceania	Oceania	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	139	54	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	139	55	up	up	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	139	56	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	139	57	5	5	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	139	58	%	%	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	139	59	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	139	60	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	140	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-354133-11b0d499	140	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	140	3	problematic	problematic	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	140	4	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	140	5	draw	draw	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	140	6	conclusions	conclusion	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	140	7	about	about	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	140	8	relative	relative	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	140	9	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	140	10	virulence	virulence	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	140	11	by	by	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	140	12	comparing	compare	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	140	13	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	140	14	values	value	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	140	15	between	between	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	140	16	countries	country	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	140	17	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	140	18	because	because	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	140	19	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	140	20	vast	vast	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	140	21	differences	difference	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	140	22	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	140	23	testing	testing	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	140	24	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	140	25	reporting	reporting	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	140	26	regimes	regime	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	140	27	-in	-in	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	140	28	particular	particular	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	140	29	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	140	30	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	140	31	under	under	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	140	32	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	140	33	reporting	reporting	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	140	34	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	140	35	cases	case	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	140	36	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	140	37	including	include	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	140	38	mild	mild	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	140	39	or	or	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	140	40	asymptomatic	asymptomatic	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	140	41	cases	case	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	140	42	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	140	43	due	due	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	140	44	to	to	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	140	45	inadequate	inadequate	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	140	46	testing	testing	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	140	47	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	140	48	but	but	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	140	49	also	also	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	140	50	differences	difference	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	140	51	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	140	52	classification	classification	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	140	53	or	or	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	140	54	recognition	recognition	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	140	55	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	140	56	COVID-19-related	covid-19-related	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	140	57	deaths	death	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	140	58	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	141	1	However	however	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	141	2	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	141	3	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-354133-11b0d499	141	4	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	141	5	instructive	instructive	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	141	6	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	141	7	calculate	calculate	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	141	8	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	141	9	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	141	10	way	way	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	141	11	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	141	12	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	141	13	any	any	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	141	14	given	give	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	141	15	country	country	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	141	16	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	141	17	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	141	18	proportion	proportion	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	141	19	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	141	20	detected	detect	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	141	21	cases	case	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	141	22	that	that	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	141	23	are	be	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	141	24	currently	currently	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	141	25	proving	prove	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	141	26	fatal	fatal	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	141	27	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	141	28	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	141	29	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	141	30	purposes	purpose	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	141	31	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	141	32	public	public	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	141	33	health	health	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	141	34	management	management	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	141	35	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	141	36	planning	planning	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	141	37	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	142	1	For	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	142	2	comparison	comparison	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	142	3	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	142	4	Mazumder	Mazumder	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	142	5	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	142	6	colleagues	colleague	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	142	7	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	142	8	8	8	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	142	9	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	142	10	calculated	calculate	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	142	11	case	case	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	142	12	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	142	13	ratios	ratio	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	142	14	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	142	15	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	142	16	range	range	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	142	17	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	142	18	countries	country	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	142	19	using	use	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	142	20	recovery	recovery	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	142	21	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	142	22	death	death	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	142	23	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	142	24	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	142	25	author	author	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	142	26	/	/	SYM
cord-354133-11b0d499	142	27	funder	funder	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	142	28	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	142	29	who	who	WP
cord-354133-11b0d499	142	30	has	have	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	142	31	granted	grant	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	142	32	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	142	33	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	142	34	license	license	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	142	35	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	142	36	display	display	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	142	37	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	142	38	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	142	39	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	142	40	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	142	41	which	which	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	142	42	was	be	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	142	43	not	not	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	142	44	certified	certify	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	142	45	by	by	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	142	46	peer	peer	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	142	47	review	review	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	142	48	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	143	1	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	144	1	The	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	144	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	144	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	144	4	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	144	5	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	144	6	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	144	7	version	version	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	144	8	posted	post	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	144	9	October	October	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	144	10	27	27	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	144	11	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	144	12	2020	2020	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	144	13	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	145	1	;	;	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	145	2	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.25.20216671	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.25.20216671	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	145	3	doi	doi	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	145	4	:	:	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	146	1	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	146	2	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	146	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	146	4	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	146	5	author	author	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	146	6	/	/	SYM
cord-354133-11b0d499	146	7	funder	funder	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	146	8	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	146	9	who	who	WP
cord-354133-11b0d499	146	10	has	have	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	146	11	granted	grant	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	146	12	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	146	13	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	146	14	license	license	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	146	15	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	146	16	display	display	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	146	17	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	146	18	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	146	19	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	146	20	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	146	21	which	which	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	146	22	was	be	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	146	23	not	not	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	146	24	certified	certify	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	146	25	by	by	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	146	26	peer	peer	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	146	27	review	review	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	146	28	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	147	1	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	147	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	147	3	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	147	4	author	author	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	147	5	/	/	SYM
cord-354133-11b0d499	147	6	funder	funder	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	147	7	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	147	8	who	who	WP
cord-354133-11b0d499	147	9	has	have	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	147	10	granted	grant	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	147	11	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	147	12	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	147	13	license	license	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	147	14	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	147	15	display	display	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	147	16	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	147	17	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	147	18	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	147	19	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	147	20	which	which	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	147	21	was	be	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	147	22	not	not	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	147	23	certified	certify	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	147	24	by	by	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	147	25	peer	peer	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	147	26	review	review	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	147	27	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	148	1	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	148	2	data	datum	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	148	3	from	from	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	148	4	closed	closed	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	148	5	cases	case	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	148	6	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	1	They	-PRON-	PRP
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	2	analysed	analyse	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	3	eleven	eleven	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	4	countries	country	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	5	with	with	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	6	high	high	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	7	outcome	outcome	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	8	rates	rate	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	9	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	10	sufficient	sufficient	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	11	progression	progression	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	12	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	13	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	14	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	15	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	16	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	17	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	18	at	at	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	19	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	20	end	end	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	21	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	22	April	April	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	23	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	24	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	25	but	but	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	26	many	many	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	27	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	28	their	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	29	calculated	calculate	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	30	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	31	values	value	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	32	are	be	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	33	much	much	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	34	higher	high	JJR
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	35	than	than	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	36	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	37	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	38	-for	-for	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	39	example	example	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	40	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	41	estimated	estimate	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	42	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	43	above	above	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	44	30	30	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	45	%	%	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	46	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	47	Italy	Italy	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	48	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	49	France	France	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	50	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	51	USA	USA	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	52	at	at	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	53	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	54	end	end	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	55	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	56	April	April	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	57	-probably	-probably	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	58	due	due	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	59	to	to	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	60	delays	delay	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	61	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	62	recovery	recovery	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	63	reporting	reporting	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	64	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	65	whereas	whereas	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	66	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	67	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	68	values	value	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	69	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	70	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	71	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	72	China	China	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	73	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	74	South	South	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	75	Korea	Korea	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	76	match	match	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	77	ours	-PRON-	PRP
cord-354133-11b0d499	149	78	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	150	1	The	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	150	2	TSD	TSD	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	150	3	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	150	4	provides	provide	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	150	5	more	more	RBR
cord-354133-11b0d499	150	6	reliable	reliable	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	150	7	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	150	8	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	150	9	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	150	10	broader	broad	JJR
cord-354133-11b0d499	150	11	range	range	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	150	12	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	150	13	countries	country	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	150	14	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	150	15	due	due	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	150	16	to	to	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	150	17	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	150	18	greater	great	JJR
cord-354133-11b0d499	150	19	availability	availability	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	150	20	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	150	21	death	death	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	150	22	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	150	23	case	case	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	150	24	data	datum	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	150	25	over	over	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	150	26	recovery	recovery	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	150	27	data	datum	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	150	28	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	151	1	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	151	2	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	151	3	author	author	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	151	4	/	/	SYM
cord-354133-11b0d499	151	5	funder	funder	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	151	6	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	151	7	who	who	WP
cord-354133-11b0d499	151	8	has	have	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	151	9	granted	grant	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	151	10	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	151	11	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	151	12	license	license	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	151	13	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	151	14	display	display	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	151	15	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	151	16	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	151	17	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	151	18	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	151	19	which	which	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	151	20	was	be	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	151	21	not	not	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	151	22	certified	certify	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	151	23	by	by	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	151	24	peer	peer	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	151	25	review	review	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	151	26	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	151	27	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	152	1	The	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	152	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	152	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	152	4	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	152	5	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	152	6	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	152	7	version	version	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	152	8	posted	post	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	152	9	October	October	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	152	10	27	27	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	152	11	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	152	12	2020	2020	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	152	13	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	153	1	;	;	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	153	2	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.25.20216671	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.25.20216671	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	153	3	doi	doi	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	153	4	:	:	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	154	1	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	154	2	preprint	preprint	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	155	1	The	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	155	2	differences	difference	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	155	3	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	155	4	delay	delay	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	155	5	times	time	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	155	6	are	be	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	155	7	also	also	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	155	8	startling	startling	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	155	9	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	155	10	ranging	range	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	155	11	from	from	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	155	12	zero	zero	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	155	13	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	155	14	24	24	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	155	15	days	day	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	155	16	with	with	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	155	17	no	no	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	155	18	clear	clear	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	155	19	pattern	pattern	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	155	20	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	156	1	This	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	156	2	delay	delay	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	156	3	between	between	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	156	4	reported	report	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	156	5	cases	case	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	156	6	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	156	7	deaths	death	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	156	8	may	may	MD
cord-354133-11b0d499	156	9	be	be	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	156	10	informative	informative	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	156	11	regarding	regard	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	156	12	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	156	13	state	state	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	156	14	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	156	15	reporting	reporting	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	156	16	or	or	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	156	17	testing	testing	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	156	18	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	156	19	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	156	20	country	country	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	157	1	but	but	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	157	2	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-354133-11b0d499	157	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	157	4	difficult	difficult	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	157	5	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	157	6	interpret	interpret	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	157	7	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	158	1	The	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	158	2	mean	mean	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	158	3	delay	delay	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	158	4	between	between	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	158	5	onset	onset	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	158	6	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	158	7	symptoms	symptom	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	158	8	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	158	9	death	death	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	158	10	has	have	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	158	11	been	be	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	158	12	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	158	13	at	at	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	158	14	12	12	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	158	15	-	-	SYM
cord-354133-11b0d499	158	16	22	22	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	158	17	days	day	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	158	18	using	use	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	158	19	case	case	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	158	20	data	datum	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	158	21	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	158	22	2	2	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	158	23	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	158	24	5	5	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	158	25	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	158	26	7	7	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	158	27	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	158	28	10	10	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	158	29	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	158	30	12	12	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	158	31	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	158	32	16	16	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	158	33	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	158	34	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	158	35	but	but	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	158	36	there	there	EX
cord-354133-11b0d499	158	37	are	be	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	158	38	also	also	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	158	39	delays	delay	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	158	40	between	between	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	158	41	onset	onset	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	158	42	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	158	43	symptoms	symptom	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	158	44	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	158	45	testing	testing	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	158	46	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	158	47	between	between	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	158	48	testing	testing	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	158	49	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	158	50	reporting	reporting	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	158	51	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	158	52	results	result	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	158	53	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	158	54	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	158	55	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	158	56	reporting	reporting	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	158	57	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	158	58	deaths	death	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	158	59	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	159	1	For	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	159	2	example	example	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	159	3	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	159	4	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	159	5	Sweden	Sweden	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	159	6	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	159	7	mean	mean	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	159	8	delay	delay	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	159	9	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	159	10	five	five	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	159	11	days	day	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	159	12	between	between	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	159	13	onset	onset	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	159	14	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	159	15	symptoms	symptom	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	159	16	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	159	17	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	159	18	"	"	``
cord-354133-11b0d499	159	19	statistical	statistical	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	159	20	date	date	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	159	21	"	"	''
cord-354133-11b0d499	159	22	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	159	23	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	159	24	reported	report	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	159	25	case	case	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	159	26	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	159	27	including	include	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	159	28	one	one	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	159	29	day	day	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	159	30	from	from	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	159	31	test	test	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	159	32	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	159	33	statistic	statistic	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	159	34	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	159	35	was	be	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	159	36	reported	report	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	159	37	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	159	38	7	7	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	159	39	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	159	40	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	160	1	In	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	160	2	some	some	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	160	3	countries	country	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	160	4	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	160	5	tests	test	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	160	6	are	be	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	160	7	only	only	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	160	8	administered	administer	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	160	9	to	to	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	160	10	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	160	11	sickest	sick	JJS
cord-354133-11b0d499	160	12	patients	patient	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	160	13	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	160	14	many	many	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	160	15	days	day	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	160	16	after	after	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	160	17	onset	onset	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	160	18	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	160	19	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	160	20	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	160	21	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	160	22	others	other	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	160	23	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	160	24	test	test	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	160	25	results	result	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	160	26	can	can	MD
cord-354133-11b0d499	160	27	take	take	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	160	28	up	up	RP
cord-354133-11b0d499	160	29	to	to	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	160	30	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	160	31	few	few	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	160	32	weeks	week	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	160	33	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	161	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-354133-11b0d499	161	2	note	note	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	161	3	that	that	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	161	4	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	161	5	Australia	Australia	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	161	6	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	161	7	New	New	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	161	8	Zealand	Zealand	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	161	9	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	161	10	where	where	WRB
cord-354133-11b0d499	161	11	case	case	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	161	12	numbers	number	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	161	13	have	have	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	161	14	been	be	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	161	15	low	low	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	161	16	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	161	17	testing	test	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	161	18	extensive	extensive	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	161	19	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	161	20	rapid	rapid	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	161	21	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	161	22	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	161	23	calculated	calculate	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	161	24	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	161	25	delay	delay	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	161	26	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	161	27	more	more	JJR
cord-354133-11b0d499	161	28	than	than	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	161	29	ten	ten	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	161	30	days	day	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	161	31	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	161	32	whereas	whereas	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	161	33	many	many	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	161	34	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	161	35	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	161	36	harder	hard	RBR
cord-354133-11b0d499	161	37	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	161	38	hit	hit	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	161	39	countries	country	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	161	40	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	161	41	western	western	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	161	42	Europe	Europe	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	161	43	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	161	44	North	North	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	161	45	America	America	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	161	46	have	have	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	161	47	much	much	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	161	48	shorter	short	JJR
cord-354133-11b0d499	161	49	calculated	calculate	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	161	50	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	161	51	delays	delay	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	161	52	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	162	1	Spain	Spain	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	162	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	162	3	an	an	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	162	4	interesting	interesting	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	162	5	case	case	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	162	6	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	163	1	Until	until	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	163	2	12	12	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	163	3	August	August	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	163	4	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	163	5	TSD	TSD	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	163	6	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	163	7	using	use	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	163	8	Spanish	spanish	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	163	9	data	datum	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	163	10	from	from	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	163	11	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	163	12	Worldometer	Worldometer	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	163	13	website	website	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	163	14	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	163	15	23	23	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	163	16	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	163	17	gave	give	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	163	18	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	163	19	stable	stable	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	163	20	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	163	21	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	163	22	10	10	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	163	23	%	%	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	163	24	with	with	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	163	25	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	163	26	delay	delay	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	163	27	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	163	28	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	163	29	one	one	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	163	30	day	day	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	163	31	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	164	1	On	on	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	164	2	that	that	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	164	3	day	day	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	164	4	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	164	5	data	datum	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	164	6	were	be	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	164	7	"	"	``
cord-354133-11b0d499	164	8	adjusted	adjust	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	164	9	retrospectively	retrospectively	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	164	10	by	by	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	164	11	national	national	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	164	12	authorities	authority	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	164	13	:	:	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	164	14	case	case	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	164	15	counts	count	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	164	16	adjusted	adjust	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	164	17	from	from	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	164	18	2	2	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	164	19	February	February	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	164	20	to	to	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	165	1	11	11	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	165	2	August	August	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	165	3	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	165	4	death	death	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	165	5	counts	count	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	165	6	adjusted	adjust	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	165	7	from	from	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	165	8	26	26	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	165	9	April	April	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	165	10	to	to	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	165	11	11	11	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	165	12	August	August	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	165	13	"	"	''
cord-354133-11b0d499	165	14	according	accord	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	165	15	to	to	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	165	16	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	165	17	World	World	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	165	18	Health	Health	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	165	19	Organisation	Organisation	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	165	20	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	165	21	WHO	who	WP
cord-354133-11b0d499	165	22	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	165	23	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	165	24	24	24	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	165	25	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	165	26	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	166	1	Using	use	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	166	2	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	166	3	revised	revise	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	166	4	data	datum	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	166	5	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	166	6	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	166	7	TSD	TSD	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	166	8	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	166	9	provided	provide	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	166	10	an	an	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	166	11	even	even	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	166	12	more	more	RBR
cord-354133-11b0d499	166	13	robust	robust	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	166	14	fit	fit	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	166	15	;	;	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	166	16	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	166	17	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	166	18	was	be	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	166	19	almost	almost	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	166	20	unchanged	unchanged	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	166	21	at	at	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	166	22	11	11	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	166	23	%	%	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	166	24	but	but	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	166	25	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	166	26	delay	delay	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	166	27	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	166	28	was	be	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	166	29	increased	increase	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	166	30	to	to	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	166	31	14	14	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	166	32	days	day	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	166	33	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	167	1	This	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	167	2	means	mean	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	167	3	that	that	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	167	4	early	early	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	167	5	data	datum	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	167	6	from	from	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	167	7	Spain	Spain	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	167	8	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	167	9	which	which	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	167	10	were	be	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	167	11	erratic	erratic	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	167	12	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	167	13	reflected	reflect	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	167	14	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	167	15	much	much	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	167	16	shorter	short	JJR
cord-354133-11b0d499	167	17	delay	delay	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	167	18	between	between	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	167	19	reported	report	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	167	20	cases	case	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	167	21	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	167	22	deaths	death	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	167	23	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	168	1	In	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	168	2	fact	fact	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	168	3	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	168	4	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	168	5	death	death	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	168	6	data	datum	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	168	7	were	be	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	168	8	largely	largely	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	168	9	unaffected	unaffected	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	168	10	by	by	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	168	11	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	168	12	August	August	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	168	13	revision	revision	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	168	14	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	168	15	but	but	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	168	16	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	168	17	dates	date	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	168	18	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	168	19	reported	report	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	168	20	cases	case	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	168	21	had	have	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	168	22	shifted	shift	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	168	23	nearly	nearly	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	168	24	two	two	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	168	25	weeks	week	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	168	26	earlier	early	RBR
cord-354133-11b0d499	168	27	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	168	28	presumably	presumably	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	168	29	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	168	30	better	better	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	168	31	capture	capture	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	168	32	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	168	33	onset	onset	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	168	34	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	168	35	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	169	1	This	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	169	2	shows	show	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	169	3	that	that	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	169	4	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	169	5	short	short	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	169	6	delay	delay	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	169	7	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	169	8	can	can	MD
cord-354133-11b0d499	169	9	reflect	reflect	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	169	10	late	late	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	169	11	reporting	reporting	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	169	12	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	169	13	cases	case	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	169	14	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	169	15	due	due	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	169	16	either	either	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	169	17	to	to	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	169	18	testing	test	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	169	19	late	late	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	169	20	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	169	21	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	169	22	progress	progress	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	169	23	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	169	24	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	169	25	disease	disease	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	169	26	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	169	27	well	well	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	169	28	after	after	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	169	29	onset	onset	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	169	30	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	169	31	or	or	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	169	32	delays	delay	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	169	33	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	169	34	providing	provide	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	169	35	test	test	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	169	36	results	result	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	169	37	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	169	38	or	or	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	169	39	both	both	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	169	40	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	169	41	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	170	1	This	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	170	2	may	may	MD
cord-354133-11b0d499	170	3	explain	explain	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	170	4	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	170	5	short	short	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	170	6	delay	delay	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	170	7	times	time	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	170	8	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	170	9	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	170	10	United	United	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	170	11	Kingdom	Kingdom	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	170	12	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	170	13	Italy	Italy	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	170	14	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	170	15	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	170	16	Netherlands	Netherlands	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	170	17	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	170	18	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	170	19	USA	USA	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	170	20	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	170	21	as	as	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	170	22	well	well	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	170	23	as	as	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	170	24	many	many	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	170	25	other	other	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	170	26	countries	country	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	170	27	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	170	28	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	170	29	example	example	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	170	30	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	170	31	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	170	32	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	170	33	author	author	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	170	34	/	/	SYM
cord-354133-11b0d499	170	35	funder	funder	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	170	36	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	170	37	who	who	WP
cord-354133-11b0d499	170	38	has	have	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	170	39	granted	grant	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	170	40	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	170	41	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	170	42	license	license	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	170	43	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	170	44	display	display	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	170	45	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	170	46	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	170	47	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	170	48	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	170	49	which	which	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	170	50	was	be	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	170	51	not	not	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	170	52	certified	certify	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	170	53	by	by	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	170	54	peer	peer	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	170	55	review	review	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	170	56	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	171	1	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	172	1	An	an	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	172	2	important	important	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	172	3	conclusion	conclusion	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	172	4	from	from	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	172	5	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	172	6	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	172	7	concerns	concern	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	172	8	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	172	9	perils	peril	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	172	10	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	172	11	calculating	calculate	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	172	12	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	172	13	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	172	14	using	use	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	172	15	established	establish	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	172	16	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	172	17	distributions	distribution	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	172	18	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	172	19	onset	onset	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	172	20	to	to	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	172	21	death	death	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	172	22	obtained	obtain	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	172	23	from	from	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	172	24	case	case	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	172	25	studies	study	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	172	26	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	172	27	as	as	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	172	28	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	172	29	common	common	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	172	30	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	173	1	The	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	173	2	beauty	beauty	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	173	3	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	173	4	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	173	5	simple	simple	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	173	6	method	method	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	173	7	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	173	8	its	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-354133-11b0d499	173	9	transparency	transparency	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	174	1	-nothing	-nothing	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	174	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	174	3	assumed	assume	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	174	4	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	174	5	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	174	6	data	datum	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	174	7	are	be	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	174	8	enabled	enable	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	174	9	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	174	10	speak	speak	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	174	11	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	174	12	themselves	-PRON-	PRP
cord-354133-11b0d499	174	13	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	174	14	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	174	15	can	can	MD
cord-354133-11b0d499	174	16	therefore	therefore	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	174	17	give	give	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	174	18	us	-PRON-	PRP
cord-354133-11b0d499	174	19	information	information	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	174	20	that	that	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	174	21	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-354133-11b0d499	174	22	might	may	MD
cord-354133-11b0d499	174	23	not	not	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	174	24	expect	expect	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	174	25	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	174	26	rather	rather	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	174	27	than	than	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	174	28	merely	merely	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	174	29	reflecting	reflect	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	174	30	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-354133-11b0d499	174	31	assumptions	assumption	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	174	32	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	175	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-354133-11b0d499	175	2	are	be	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	175	3	interested	interested	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	175	4	not	not	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	175	5	only	only	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	175	6	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	175	7	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	175	8	versatility	versatility	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	175	9	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	175	10	simplicity	simplicity	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	175	11	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	175	12	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	175	13	method	method	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	175	14	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	175	15	but	but	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	175	16	also	also	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	175	17	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	175	18	what	what	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	175	19	conclusions	conclusion	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	175	20	may	may	MD
cord-354133-11b0d499	175	21	be	be	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	175	22	drawn	draw	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	175	23	from	from	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	175	24	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	175	25	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	175	26	calculated	calculate	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	175	27	-namely	-namely	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	175	28	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	175	29	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	175	30	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	175	31	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	175	32	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	175	33	delay	delay	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	175	34	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	175	35	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	176	1	Reported	report	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	176	2	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	176	3	values	value	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	176	4	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	176	5	COVID-19	covid-19	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	176	6	vary	vary	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	176	7	widely	widely	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	176	8	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	176	9	but	but	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	176	10	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	176	11	best	good	JJS
cord-354133-11b0d499	176	12	current	current	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	176	13	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	176	14	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	176	15	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	176	16	true	true	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	176	17	infection	infection	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	176	18	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	176	19	ratio	ratio	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	176	20	or	or	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	176	21	IFR	IFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	176	22	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	176	23	taking	take	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	176	24	into	into	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	176	25	account	account	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	176	26	all	all	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	176	27	infections	infection	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	176	28	including	include	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	176	29	undiagnosed	undiagnosed	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	176	30	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	176	31	asymptomatic	asymptomatic	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	176	32	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	176	33	are	be	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	176	34	around	around	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	176	35	0.6	0.6	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	176	36	-	-	SYM
cord-354133-11b0d499	176	37	0.7	0.7	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	176	38	%	%	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	176	39	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	176	40	4	4	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	176	41	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	176	42	6	6	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	176	43	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	176	44	based	base	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	176	45	on	on	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	176	46	cruise	cruise	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	176	47	ship	ship	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	176	48	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	176	49	population	population	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	176	50	serology	serology	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	176	51	data	datum	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	176	52	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	177	1	The	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	177	2	very	very	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	177	3	high	high	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	177	4	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	177	5	values	value	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	177	6	calculated	calculate	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	177	7	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	177	8	many	many	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	177	9	European	european	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	177	10	countries	country	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	177	11	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	177	12	particular	particular	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	177	13	are	be	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	177	14	probably	probably	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	177	15	vastly	vastly	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	177	16	inflated	inflated	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	177	17	due	due	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	177	18	to	to	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	177	19	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	177	20	inadequate	inadequate	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	177	21	testing	testing	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	177	22	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	177	23	overwhelmed	overwhelmed	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	177	24	health	health	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	177	25	systems	system	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	177	26	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	177	27	these	these	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	177	28	countries	country	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	177	29	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	177	30	which	which	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	177	31	result	result	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	177	32	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	177	33	underestimation	underestimation	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	177	34	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	177	35	case	case	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	177	36	numbers	number	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	177	37	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	178	1	However	however	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	178	2	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	178	3	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-354133-11b0d499	178	4	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	178	5	an	an	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	178	6	oversimplification	oversimplification	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	178	7	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	178	8	assume	assume	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	178	9	that	that	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	178	10	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	178	11	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	178	12	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	178	13	only	only	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	178	14	relevant	relevant	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	178	15	factor	factor	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	178	16	that	that	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	178	17	differs	differ	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	178	18	between	between	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	178	19	countries	country	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	178	20	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	178	21	since	since	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	178	22	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-354133-11b0d499	178	23	know	know	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	178	24	that	that	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	178	25	demographics	demographic	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	178	26	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	178	27	health	health	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	178	28	systems	system	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	178	29	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	178	30	among	among	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	178	31	other	other	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	178	32	things	thing	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	178	33	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	178	34	can	can	MD
cord-354133-11b0d499	178	35	also	also	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	178	36	affect	affect	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	178	37	survival	survival	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	178	38	probability	probability	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	178	39	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	179	1	Such	such	PDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	179	2	an	an	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	179	3	assumption	assumption	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	179	4	has	have	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	179	5	been	be	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	179	6	used	use	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	179	7	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	179	8	various	various	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	179	9	studies	study	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	179	10	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	179	11	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	179	12	order	order	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	179	13	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	179	14	compare	compare	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	179	15	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	179	16	effectiveness	effectiveness	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	179	17	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	179	18	different	different	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	179	19	countries	country	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	179	20	'	'	POS
cord-354133-11b0d499	179	21	reporting	reporting	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	179	22	systems	system	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	179	23	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	179	24	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	179	25	correct	correct	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	179	26	case	case	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	179	27	numbers	number	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	179	28	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	179	29	4	4	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	179	30	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	179	31	25	25	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	179	32	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	179	33	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	180	1	However	however	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	180	2	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	180	3	by	by	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	180	4	assuming	assume	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	180	5	that	that	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	180	6	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	180	7	IFR	IFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	180	8	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	180	9	identical	identical	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	180	10	everywhere	everywhere	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	180	11	at	at	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	180	12	all	all	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	180	13	times	time	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	180	14	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	180	15	valuable	valuable	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	180	16	information	information	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	180	17	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	180	18	lost	lose	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	180	19	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	180	20	conclusions	conclusion	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	180	21	may	may	MD
cord-354133-11b0d499	180	22	be	be	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	180	23	misleading	misleading	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	180	24	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	181	1	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	181	2	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	181	3	author	author	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	181	4	/	/	SYM
cord-354133-11b0d499	181	5	funder	funder	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	181	6	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	181	7	who	who	WP
cord-354133-11b0d499	181	8	has	have	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	181	9	granted	grant	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	181	10	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	181	11	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	181	12	license	license	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	181	13	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	181	14	display	display	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	181	15	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	181	16	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	181	17	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	181	18	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	181	19	which	which	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	181	20	was	be	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	181	21	not	not	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	181	22	certified	certify	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	181	23	by	by	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	181	24	peer	peer	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	181	25	review	review	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	181	26	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	181	27	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	182	1	The	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	182	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	182	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	182	4	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	182	5	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	182	6	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	182	7	version	version	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	182	8	posted	post	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	182	9	October	October	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	182	10	27	27	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	182	11	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	182	12	2020	2020	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	182	13	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	183	1	;	;	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	183	2	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	183	3	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	184	1	10.25.20216671	10.25.20216671	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	184	2	doi	doi	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	184	3	:	:	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	185	1	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	185	2	preprint	preprint	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	186	1	In	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	186	2	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	186	3	study	study	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	186	4	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	186	5	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-354133-11b0d499	186	6	estimate	estimate	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	186	7	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	186	8	IFR	IFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	186	9	from	from	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	186	10	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	186	11	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	186	12	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	186	13	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	186	14	subset	subset	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	186	15	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	186	16	countries	country	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	186	17	using	use	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	186	18	seroprevalence	seroprevalence	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	186	19	data	datum	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	186	20	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	186	21	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	186	22	correct	correct	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	186	23	case	case	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	186	24	numbers	number	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	186	25	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	186	26	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	186	27	excess	excess	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	186	28	death	death	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	186	29	data	datum	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	186	30	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	186	31	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	186	32	correct	correct	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	186	33	death	death	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	186	34	numbers	number	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	186	35	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	186	36	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	1	Along	along	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	2	similar	similar	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	3	lines	line	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	4	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	5	Ioannidis	Ioannidis	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	6	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	7	26	26	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	8	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	9	previously	previously	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	10	estimated	estimate	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	11	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	12	IFR	IFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	13	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	14	various	various	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	15	countries	country	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	16	using	use	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	17	seroprevalence	seroprevalence	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	18	data	datum	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	19	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	20	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	21	reported	report	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	22	deaths	death	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	23	at	at	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	24	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	25	corresponding	corresponding	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	26	date	date	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	27	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	28	although	although	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	29	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	30	does	do	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	31	not	not	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	32	account	account	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	33	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	34	either	either	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	35	excess	excess	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	36	deaths	death	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	37	or	or	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	38	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	39	relationship	relationship	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	40	between	between	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	41	cases	case	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	42	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	43	deaths	death	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	44	over	over	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	45	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	46	;	;	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	47	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	48	fact	fact	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	49	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	50	using	use	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	51	seroprevalence	seroprevalence	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	52	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	53	death	death	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	54	data	datum	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	55	alone	alone	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	56	reintroduces	reintroduce	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	57	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	58	issue	issue	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	59	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	60	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	61	unknown	unknown	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	62	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	63	delay	delay	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	64	between	between	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	65	cases	case	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	66	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	67	deaths	death	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	68	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	69	which	which	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	70	must	must	MD
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	71	be	be	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	72	approximated	approximate	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	187	73	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	2	note	note	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	3	that	that	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	4	studies	study	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	5	from	from	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	6	very	very	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	7	early	early	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	8	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	9	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	10	pandemic	pandemic	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	11	provided	provide	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	12	initial	initial	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	13	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	14	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	15	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	16	true	true	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	17	prevalence	prevalence	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	18	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	19	COVID-19	covid-19	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	20	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	21	specific	specific	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	22	places	place	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	23	;	;	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	24	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	25	spatiotemporal	spatiotemporal	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	26	transmission	transmission	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	27	model	model	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	28	applied	apply	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	29	to	to	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	30	Wuhan	Wuhan	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	31	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	32	27	27	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	33	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	34	gave	give	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	35	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	36	prevalence	prevalence	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	37	factor	factor	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	38	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	39	seven	seven	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	40	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	41	January	January	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	42	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	43	published	publish	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	44	mid	mid	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	45	-	-	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	46	March	March	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	47	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	48	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	49	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	50	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	51	statistical	statistical	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	52	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	53	study	study	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	54	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	55	testing	test	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	56	data	datum	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	57	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	58	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	59	USA	USA	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	60	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	61	28	28	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	62	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	63	estimated	estimate	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	64	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	65	prevalence	prevalence	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	66	factor	factor	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	67	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	68	nine	nine	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	69	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	70	April	April	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	71	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	72	published	publish	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	73	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	74	May	May	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	75	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	188	76	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	189	1	These	these	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	189	2	early	early	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	189	3	prevalence	prevalence	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	189	4	studies	study	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	189	5	can	can	MD
cord-354133-11b0d499	189	6	be	be	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	189	7	useful	useful	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	189	8	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	189	9	roughly	roughly	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	189	10	correcting	correct	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	189	11	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	189	12	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	189	13	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	189	14	estimate	estimate	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	189	15	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	189	16	IFR	IFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	189	17	before	before	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	189	18	rigorous	rigorous	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	189	19	seroprevalence	seroprevalence	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	189	20	data	datum	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	189	21	are	be	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	189	22	available	available	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	189	23	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	190	1	In	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	190	2	Australia	Australia	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	190	3	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	190	4	case	case	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	190	5	numbers	number	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	190	6	have	have	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	190	7	been	be	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	190	8	generally	generally	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	190	9	low	low	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	190	10	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	190	11	especially	especially	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	190	12	before	before	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	190	13	June	June	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	190	14	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	190	15	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	190	16	testing	testing	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	190	17	rates	rate	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	190	18	high	high	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	190	19	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	191	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-354133-11b0d499	191	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	191	3	unlikely	unlikely	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	191	4	that	that	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	191	5	there	there	EX
cord-354133-11b0d499	191	6	have	have	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	191	7	been	be	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	191	8	appreciable	appreciable	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	191	9	unreported	unreported	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	191	10	COVID	covid	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	191	11	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	191	12	related	relate	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	191	13	deaths	death	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	191	14	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	191	15	29	29	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	191	16	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	191	17	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	192	1	However	however	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	192	2	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	192	3	even	even	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	192	4	with	with	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	192	5	robust	robust	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	192	6	testing	test	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	192	7	many	many	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	192	8	cases	case	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	192	9	will	will	MD
cord-354133-11b0d499	192	10	be	be	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	192	11	undiagnosed	undiagnosed	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	192	12	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	192	13	especially	especially	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	192	14	asymptomatic	asymptomatic	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	192	15	cases	case	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	192	16	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	192	17	which	which	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	192	18	could	could	MD
cord-354133-11b0d499	192	19	constitute	constitute	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	192	20	half	half	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	192	21	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	192	22	all	all	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	192	23	infections	infection	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	192	24	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	192	25	30	30	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	192	26	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	192	27	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	193	1	A	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	193	2	recent	recent	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	193	3	seroprevalence	seroprevalence	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	193	4	study	study	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	193	5	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	193	6	elective	elective	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	193	7	surgery	surgery	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	193	8	patients	patient	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	193	9	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	193	10	four	four	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	193	11	states	state	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	193	12	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	193	13	31	31	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	193	14	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	193	15	estimated	estimate	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	193	16	that	that	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	193	17	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	193	18	number	number	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	193	19	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	193	20	true	true	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	193	21	infections	infection	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	193	22	was	be	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	193	23	around	around	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	193	24	5	5	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	193	25	-	-	SYM
cord-354133-11b0d499	193	26	10	10	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	193	27	times	time	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	193	28	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	193	29	number	number	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	193	30	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	193	31	reported	report	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	193	32	cases	case	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	193	33	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	193	34	although	although	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	193	35	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	193	36	authors	author	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	193	37	state	state	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	193	38	that	that	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	193	39	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	193	40	study	study	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	193	41	cohort	cohort	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	193	42	may	may	MD
cord-354133-11b0d499	193	43	not	not	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	193	44	reflect	reflect	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	193	45	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	193	46	general	general	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	193	47	population	population	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	193	48	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	193	49	older	old	JJR
cord-354133-11b0d499	193	50	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	193	51	overrepresented	overrepresente	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	193	52	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	193	53	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	194	1	This	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	194	2	prevalence	prevalence	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	194	3	ratio	ratio	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	194	4	gives	give	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	194	5	an	an	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	194	6	approximate	approximate	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	194	7	IFR	IFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	194	8	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	194	9	Australia	Australia	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	194	10	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	194	11	0.1	0.1	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	194	12	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	194	13	0.3	0.3	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	194	14	%	%	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	194	15	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	195	1	Note	note	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	195	2	that	that	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	195	3	before	before	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	195	4	June	June	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	195	5	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	195	6	most	most	JJS
cord-354133-11b0d499	195	7	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	195	8	Australia	Australia	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	195	9	's	's	POS
cord-354133-11b0d499	195	10	COVID-19	covid-19	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	195	11	cases	case	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	195	12	were	be	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	195	13	returned	return	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	195	14	travellers	traveller	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	195	15	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	195	16	which	which	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	195	17	may	may	MD
cord-354133-11b0d499	195	18	affect	affect	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	195	19	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	195	20	age	age	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	195	21	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	195	22	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	195	23	baseline	baseline	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	195	24	health	health	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	195	25	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	195	26	cases	case	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	195	27	compared	compare	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	195	28	to	to	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	195	29	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	195	30	general	general	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	195	31	population	population	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	195	32	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	196	1	New	New	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	196	2	Zealand	Zealand	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	196	3	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	196	4	Taiwan	Taiwan	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	196	5	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	196	6	Thailand	Thailand	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	196	7	are	be	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	196	8	similarly	similarly	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	196	9	circumstanced	circumstance	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	196	10	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	196	11	have	have	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	196	12	very	very	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	196	13	similar	similar	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	196	14	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	196	15	values	value	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	196	16	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	196	17	which	which	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	196	18	are	be	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	196	19	expected	expect	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	196	20	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	196	21	reflect	reflect	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	196	22	similar	similar	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	196	23	IFR	IFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	196	24	values	value	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	196	25	to	to	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	196	26	Australia	Australia	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	196	27	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	197	1	Singapore	Singapore	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	197	2	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	197	3	with	with	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	197	4	its	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-354133-11b0d499	197	5	extremely	extremely	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	197	6	low	low	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	197	7	fatalities	fatality	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	197	8	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	197	9	extensive	extensive	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	197	10	testing	testing	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	197	11	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	197	12	did	do	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	197	13	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	198	1	CC	CC	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	198	2	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	198	3	BY	BY	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	198	4	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	198	5	NC	NC	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	198	6	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	198	7	ND	ND	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	198	8	4.0	4.0	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	198	9	International	international	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	198	10	license	license	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	198	11	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-354133-11b0d499	198	12	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	198	13	made	make	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	198	14	available	available	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	198	15	under	under	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	198	16	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	198	17	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	198	18	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	199	1	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	199	2	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	199	3	author	author	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	199	4	/	/	SYM
cord-354133-11b0d499	199	5	funder	funder	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	199	6	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	199	7	who	who	WP
cord-354133-11b0d499	199	8	has	have	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	199	9	granted	grant	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	199	10	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	199	11	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	199	12	license	license	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	199	13	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	199	14	display	display	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	199	15	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	199	16	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	199	17	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	199	18	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	199	19	which	which	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	199	20	was	be	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	199	21	not	not	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	199	22	certified	certify	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	199	23	by	by	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	199	24	peer	peer	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	199	25	review	review	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	199	26	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	199	27	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	200	1	The	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	200	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	200	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	200	4	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	200	5	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	200	6	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	200	7	version	version	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	200	8	posted	post	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	200	9	October	October	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	200	10	27	27	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	200	11	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	200	12	2020	2020	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	200	13	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	201	1	;	;	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	201	2	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.25.20216671	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.25.20216671	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	201	3	doi	doi	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	201	4	:	:	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	201	5	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	201	6	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	201	7	not	not	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	201	8	return	return	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	201	9	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	201	10	robust	robust	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	201	11	result	result	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	201	12	from	from	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	201	13	TSD	TSD	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	201	14	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	201	15	;	;	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	201	16	nonetheless	nonetheless	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	201	17	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	201	18	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	201	19	crude	crude	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	201	20	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	201	21	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	201	22	0.07	0.07	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	201	23	%	%	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	201	24	at	at	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	201	25	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	201	26	end	end	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	201	27	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	201	28	May	May	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	201	29	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	201	30	likely	likely	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	201	31	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	201	32	lower	lower	RBR
cord-354133-11b0d499	201	33	bound	bind	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	201	34	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	201	35	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	201	36	IFR	IFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	201	37	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	202	1	The	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	202	2	USA	USA	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	202	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	202	4	an	an	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	202	5	interesting	interesting	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	202	6	case	case	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	202	7	study	study	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	202	8	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	203	1	The	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	203	2	TSD	TSD	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	203	3	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	203	4	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	203	5	problematic	problematic	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	203	6	because	because	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	203	7	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	203	8	relationship	relationship	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	203	9	between	between	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	203	10	cases	case	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	203	11	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	203	12	deaths	death	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	203	13	changes	change	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	203	14	over	over	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	203	15	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	203	16	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	203	17	causing	cause	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	203	18	mismatch	mismatch	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	203	19	between	between	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	203	20	case	case	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	203	21	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	203	22	death	death	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	203	23	distributions	distribution	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	203	24	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	203	25	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	203	26	downward	downward	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	203	27	drift	drift	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	203	28	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	203	29	both	both	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	203	30	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	203	31	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	203	32	delay	delay	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	203	33	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	203	34	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	204	1	This	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	204	2	may	may	MD
cord-354133-11b0d499	204	3	be	be	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	204	4	due	due	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	204	5	to	to	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	204	6	incomplete	incomplete	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	204	7	data	datum	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	204	8	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	204	9	or	or	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	204	10	changes	change	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	204	11	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	204	12	testing	testing	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	204	13	or	or	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	204	14	reporting	report	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	204	15	over	over	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	204	16	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	204	17	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	204	18	which	which	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	204	19	can	can	MD
cord-354133-11b0d499	204	20	affect	affect	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	204	21	both	both	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	204	22	delay	delay	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	204	23	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	204	24	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	204	25	case	case	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	204	26	numbers	number	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	204	27	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	205	1	Alternatively	alternatively	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	205	2	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	205	3	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	205	4	case	case	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	205	5	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	205	6	ratio	ratio	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	205	7	may	may	MD
cord-354133-11b0d499	205	8	be	be	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	205	9	truly	truly	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	205	10	changing	change	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	205	11	over	over	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	205	12	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	205	13	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	205	14	due	due	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	205	15	to	to	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	205	16	changes	change	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	205	17	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	205	18	treatment	treatment	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	205	19	approach	approach	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	205	20	or	or	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	205	21	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	205	22	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	205	23	demographics	demographic	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	205	24	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	205	25	or	or	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	205	26	location	location	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	205	27	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	205	28	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	206	1	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	206	2	cases	case	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	206	3	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	206	4	32	32	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	206	5	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	206	6	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	207	1	In	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	207	2	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	207	3	USA	USA	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	207	4	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	207	5	there	there	EX
cord-354133-11b0d499	207	6	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	207	7	also	also	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	207	8	heterogeneity	heterogeneity	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	207	9	between	between	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	207	10	states	state	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	207	11	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	208	1	To	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	208	2	demonstrate	demonstrate	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	208	3	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	208	4	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-354133-11b0d499	208	5	present	present	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	208	6	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	208	7	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	208	8	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	208	9	shifted	shift	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	208	10	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	208	11	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	208	12	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	208	13	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	208	14	USA	USA	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	208	15	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	208	16	Figure	Figure	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	208	17	7	7	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	208	18	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	208	19	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	208	20	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	208	21	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	208	22	state	state	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	208	23	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	208	24	New	New	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	208	25	Jersey	Jersey	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	208	26	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	208	27	which	which	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	208	28	has	have	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	208	29	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	208	30	highest	high	JJS
cord-354133-11b0d499	208	31	mortality	mortality	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	208	32	rate	rate	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	208	33	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	208	34	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	208	35	USA	USA	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	208	36	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	208	37	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	208	38	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	208	39	Illinois	Illinois	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	208	40	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	208	41	New	New	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	208	42	Mexico	Mexico	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	208	43	give	give	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	208	44	5	5	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	208	45	%	%	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	208	46	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	209	1	One	one	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	209	2	potential	potential	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	209	3	reason	reason	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	209	4	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	209	5	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	209	6	mismatch	mismatch	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	209	7	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	209	8	case	case	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	209	9	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	209	10	death	death	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	209	11	data	datum	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	209	12	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	209	13	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	209	14	USA	USA	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	209	15	as	as	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	209	16	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	209	17	whole	whole	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	209	18	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	209	19	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	209	20	many	many	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	209	21	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	209	22	its	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-354133-11b0d499	209	23	states	state	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	209	24	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	209	25	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	209	26	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	209	27	under	under	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	209	28	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	209	29	reporting	reporting	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	209	30	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	209	31	cases	case	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	209	32	due	due	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	209	33	to	to	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	209	34	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	209	35	low	low	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	209	36	level	level	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	209	37	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	209	38	testing	testing	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	209	39	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	209	40	which	which	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	209	41	varies	vary	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	209	42	over	over	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	209	43	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	209	44	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	210	1	One	one	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	210	2	measure	measure	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	210	3	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	210	4	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	210	5	adequacy	adequacy	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	210	6	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	210	7	testing	testing	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	210	8	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	210	9	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	210	10	share	share	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	210	11	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	210	12	daily	daily	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	210	13	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	210	14	tests	test	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	210	15	that	that	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	210	16	return	return	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	210	17	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	210	18	positive	positive	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	210	19	result	result	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	210	20	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	210	21	known	know	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	210	22	as	as	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	210	23	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	210	24	positive	positive	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	210	25	test	test	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	210	26	rate	rate	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	210	27	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	210	28	PTR	ptr	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	210	29	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	210	30	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	211	1	The	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	211	2	WHO	who	WP
cord-354133-11b0d499	211	3	has	have	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	211	4	suggested	suggest	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	211	5	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	211	6	PTR	ptr	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	211	7	around	around	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	211	8	3	3	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	211	9	-	-	SYM
cord-354133-11b0d499	211	10	12	12	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	211	11	%	%	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	211	12	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	211	13	or	or	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	211	14	less	less	RBR
cord-354133-11b0d499	211	15	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	211	16	as	as	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	211	17	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	211	18	benchmark	benchmark	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	211	19	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	211	20	adequate	adequate	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	211	21	testing	testing	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	211	22	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	211	23	33	33	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	211	24	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	211	25	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	212	1	In	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	212	2	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	212	3	USA	USA	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	212	4	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	212	5	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	212	6	positive	positive	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	212	7	test	test	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	212	8	rate	rate	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	212	9	reached	reach	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	212	10	maximum	maximum	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	212	11	levels	level	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	212	12	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	212	13	April	April	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	212	14	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	212	15	with	with	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	212	16	values	value	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	212	17	between	between	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	212	18	18	18	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	212	19	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	212	20	22	22	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	212	21	%	%	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	212	22	from	from	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	212	23	1	1	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	212	24	-	-	SYM
cord-354133-11b0d499	212	25	21	21	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	212	26	April	April	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	212	27	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	212	28	33	33	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	212	29	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	212	30	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	212	31	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	212	32	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	212	33	author	author	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	212	34	/	/	SYM
cord-354133-11b0d499	212	35	funder	funder	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	212	36	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	212	37	who	who	WP
cord-354133-11b0d499	212	38	has	have	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	212	39	granted	grant	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	212	40	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	212	41	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	212	42	license	license	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	212	43	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	212	44	display	display	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	212	45	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	212	46	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	212	47	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	212	48	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	212	49	which	which	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	212	50	was	be	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	212	51	not	not	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	212	52	certified	certify	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	212	53	by	by	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	212	54	peer	peer	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	212	55	review	review	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	212	56	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	212	57	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	213	1	The	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	213	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	213	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	213	4	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	213	5	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	213	6	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	213	7	version	version	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	213	8	posted	post	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	213	9	October	October	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	213	10	27	27	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	213	11	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	213	12	2020	2020	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	213	13	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	214	1	which	which	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	214	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	214	3	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	214	4	region	region	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	214	5	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	214	6	greatest	great	JJS
cord-354133-11b0d499	214	7	discrepancy	discrepancy	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	214	8	between	between	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	214	9	case	case	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	214	10	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	214	11	death	death	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	214	12	profiles	profile	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	214	13	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	214	14	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	214	15	initial	initial	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	214	16	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	214	17	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	214	18	as	as	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	214	19	seen	see	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	214	20	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	214	21	Figure	Figure	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	214	22	7	7	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	214	23	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	215	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-354133-11b0d499	215	2	would	would	MD
cord-354133-11b0d499	215	3	expect	expect	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	215	4	that	that	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	215	5	such	such	PDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	215	6	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	215	7	high	high	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	215	8	PTR	ptr	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	215	9	indicates	indicate	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	215	10	that	that	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	215	11	case	case	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	215	12	numbers	number	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	215	13	during	during	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	215	14	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	215	15	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	215	16	are	be	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	215	17	greatly	greatly	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	215	18	underestimated	underestimate	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	215	19	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	215	20	which	which	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	215	21	may	may	MD
cord-354133-11b0d499	215	22	explain	explain	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	215	23	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	215	24	poor	poor	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	215	25	fit	fit	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	215	26	from	from	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	215	27	TSD	TSD	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	215	28	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	215	29	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	215	30	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	215	31	high	high	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	215	32	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	215	33	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	216	1	Similar	similar	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	216	2	effects	effect	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	216	3	are	be	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	216	4	seen	see	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	216	5	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	216	6	data	datum	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	216	7	from	from	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	216	8	Sweden	Sweden	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	216	9	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	216	10	Brazil	Brazil	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	216	11	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	216	12	which	which	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	216	13	also	also	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	216	14	had	have	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	216	15	low	low	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	216	16	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	216	17	variable	variable	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	216	18	testing	testing	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	216	19	rates	rate	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	216	20	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	216	21	high	high	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	216	22	PTR	ptr	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	216	23	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	217	1	Recent	recent	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	217	2	seroprevalence	seroprevalence	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	217	3	studies	study	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	217	4	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	217	5	many	many	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	217	6	states	state	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	217	7	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	218	1	CC	CC	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	218	2	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	218	3	BY	BY	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	218	4	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	218	5	NC	NC	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	218	6	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	218	7	ND	ND	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	218	8	4.0	4.0	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	218	9	International	international	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	218	10	license	license	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	218	11	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-354133-11b0d499	218	12	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	218	13	made	make	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	218	14	available	available	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	218	15	under	under	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	218	16	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	218	17	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	218	18	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	219	1	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	219	2	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	219	3	author	author	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	219	4	/	/	SYM
cord-354133-11b0d499	219	5	funder	funder	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	219	6	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	219	7	who	who	WP
cord-354133-11b0d499	219	8	has	have	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	219	9	granted	grant	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	219	10	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	219	11	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	219	12	license	license	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	219	13	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	219	14	display	display	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	219	15	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	219	16	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	219	17	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	219	18	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	219	19	which	which	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	219	20	was	be	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	219	21	not	not	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	219	22	certified	certify	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	219	23	by	by	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	219	24	peer	peer	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	219	25	review	review	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	219	26	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	219	27	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	220	1	The	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	220	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	220	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	220	4	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	220	5	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	220	6	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	220	7	version	version	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	220	8	posted	post	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	220	9	October	October	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	220	10	27	27	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	220	11	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	220	12	2020	2020	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	220	13	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	221	1	;	;	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	221	2	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.25.20216671	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.25.20216671	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	221	3	doi	doi	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	221	4	:	:	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	222	1	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	222	2	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	222	3	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	222	4	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	222	5	USA	USA	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	222	6	from	from	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	222	7	March	March	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	222	8	to	to	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	222	9	May	May	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	222	10	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	222	11	34	34	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	222	12	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	222	13	suggest	suggest	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	222	14	that	that	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	222	15	there	there	EX
cord-354133-11b0d499	222	16	were	be	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	222	17	at	at	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	222	18	least	least	RBS
cord-354133-11b0d499	222	19	eleven	eleven	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	222	20	times	time	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	222	21	as	as	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	222	22	many	many	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	222	23	infections	infection	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	222	24	as	as	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	222	25	reported	report	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	222	26	cases	case	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	222	27	before	before	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	222	28	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	222	29	end	end	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	222	30	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	222	31	May.	May	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	222	32	Excess	Excess	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	222	33	death	death	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	222	34	data	datum	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	222	35	indicate	indicate	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	222	36	that	that	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	222	37	COVIDrelated	covidrelate	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	222	38	deaths	death	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	222	39	may	may	MD
cord-354133-11b0d499	222	40	be	be	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	222	41	higher	high	JJR
cord-354133-11b0d499	222	42	than	than	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	222	43	reported	report	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	222	44	by	by	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	222	45	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	222	46	factor	factor	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	222	47	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	222	48	1.4	1.4	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	222	49	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	222	50	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	222	51	same	same	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	222	52	period	period	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	222	53	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	222	54	35	35	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	222	55	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	222	56	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	223	1	Using	use	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	223	2	these	these	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	223	3	correction	correction	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	223	4	factors	factor	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	223	5	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	223	6	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	223	7	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	223	8	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	223	9	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	223	10	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	223	11	IFR	IFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	223	12	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	223	13	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	223	14	USA	USA	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	223	15	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	223	16	1.0	1.0	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	223	17	%	%	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	223	18	or	or	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	223	19	below	below	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	223	20	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	224	1	For	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	224	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	224	3	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	224	4	author	author	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	224	5	/	/	SYM
cord-354133-11b0d499	224	6	funder	funder	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	224	7	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	224	8	who	who	WP
cord-354133-11b0d499	224	9	has	have	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	224	10	granted	grant	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	224	11	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	224	12	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	224	13	license	license	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	224	14	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	224	15	display	display	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	224	16	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	224	17	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	224	18	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	224	19	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	224	20	which	which	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	224	21	was	be	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	224	22	not	not	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	224	23	certified	certify	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	224	24	by	by	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	224	25	peer	peer	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	224	26	review	review	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	224	27	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	225	1	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	226	1	The	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	226	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	226	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	226	4	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	226	5	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	226	6	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	226	7	version	version	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	226	8	posted	post	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	226	9	October	October	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	226	10	27	27	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	226	11	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	226	12	2020	2020	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	226	13	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	227	1	;	;	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	227	2	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.25.20216671	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.25.20216671	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	227	3	doi	doi	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	227	4	:	:	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	228	1	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	228	2	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	228	3	comparison	comparison	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	228	4	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	228	5	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	228	6	Worldometers	Worldometers	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	228	7	calculation	calculation	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	228	8	estimated	estimate	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	228	9	an	an	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	228	10	IFR	IFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	228	11	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	228	12	1.4	1.4	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	228	13	%	%	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	228	14	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	228	15	New	New	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	228	16	York	York	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	228	17	City	City	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	228	18	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	228	19	May	May	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	228	20	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	228	21	23	23	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	228	22	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	228	23	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	228	24	using	use	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	228	25	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	228	26	prevalence	prevalence	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	228	27	ratio	ratio	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	228	28	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	228	29	ten	ten	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	228	30	from	from	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	228	31	an	an	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	228	32	early	early	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	228	33	antibody	antibody	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	228	34	study	study	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	228	35	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	228	36	36	36	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	228	37	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	228	38	37	37	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	228	39	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	228	40	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	229	1	In	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	229	2	Europe	Europe	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	229	3	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	229	4	many	many	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	229	5	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	229	6	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	229	7	most	most	RBS
cord-354133-11b0d499	229	8	affected	affected	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	229	9	countries	country	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	229	10	have	have	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	229	11	very	very	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	229	12	high	high	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	229	13	case	case	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	229	14	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	229	15	ratios	ratio	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	229	16	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	229	17	often	often	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	229	18	combined	combine	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	229	19	with	with	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	229	20	relatively	relatively	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	229	21	short	short	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	229	22	delay	delay	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	229	23	times	time	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	229	24	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	230	1	For	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	230	2	some	some	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	230	3	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	230	4	these	these	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	230	5	countries	country	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	230	6	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	230	7	seroprevalence	seroprevalence	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	230	8	studies	study	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	230	9	provide	provide	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	230	10	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	230	11	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	230	12	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	230	13	degree	degree	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	230	14	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	230	15	undercounting	undercounting	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	230	16	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	230	17	cases	case	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	230	18	during	during	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	230	19	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	230	20	initial	initial	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	230	21	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	230	22	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	230	23	38	38	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	230	24	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	230	25	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	230	26	39	39	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	230	27	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	230	28	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	230	29	40	40	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	230	30	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	230	31	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	230	32	41	41	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	230	33	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	230	34	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	230	35	42	42	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	230	36	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	230	37	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	230	38	43	43	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	230	39	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	230	40	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	230	41	44	44	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	230	42	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	230	43	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	230	44	45	45	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	230	45	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	230	46	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	230	47	46	46	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	230	48	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	230	49	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	230	50	which	which	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	230	51	can	can	MD
cord-354133-11b0d499	230	52	be	be	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	230	53	utilised	utilise	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	230	54	along	along	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	230	55	with	with	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	230	56	excess	excess	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	230	57	death	death	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	230	58	data	datum	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	230	59	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	230	60	35	35	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	230	61	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	230	62	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	230	63	estimate	estimate	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	230	64	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	230	65	infection	infection	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	230	66	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	230	67	ratio	ratio	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	230	68	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	231	1	These	these	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	231	2	IFR	IFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	231	3	values	value	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	231	4	are	be	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	231	5	shown	show	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	231	6	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	231	7	Table	Table	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	231	8	2	2	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	231	9	along	along	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	231	10	with	with	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	231	11	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	231	12	correction	correction	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	231	13	factors	factor	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	231	14	used	use	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	231	15	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	232	1	Some	some	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	232	2	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	232	3	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	232	4	seroprevalence	seroprevalence	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	232	5	data	data	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	232	6	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	232	7	preliminary	preliminary	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	232	8	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	232	9	including	include	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	232	10	studies	study	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	232	11	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	232	12	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	232	13	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	232	14	Sweden	Sweden	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	232	15	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	232	16	Italy	Italy	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	232	17	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	232	18	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	232	19	others	other	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	232	20	are	be	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	232	21	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	232	22	specific	specific	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	232	23	regions	region	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	232	24	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	232	25	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	232	26	country	country	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	232	27	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	232	28	may	may	MD
cord-354133-11b0d499	232	29	not	not	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	232	30	be	be	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	232	31	representative	representative	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	232	32	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	233	1	Nonetheless	nonetheless	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	233	2	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	233	3	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	233	4	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	233	5	IFR	IFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	233	6	values	value	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	233	7	are	be	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	233	8	reasonable	reasonable	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	233	9	:	:	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	233	10	Switzerland	Switzerland	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	233	11	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	233	12	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	233	13	are	be	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	233	14	around	around	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	233	15	0.6	0.6	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	233	16	%	%	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	233	17	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	233	18	above	above	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	233	19	Australia	Australia	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	233	20	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	233	21	below	below	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	233	22	Sweden	Sweden	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	233	23	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	233	24	USA	USA	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	233	25	at	at	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	233	26	around	around	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	233	27	0.8	0.8	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	233	28	%	%	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	233	29	;	;	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	233	30	Belgium	Belgium	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	233	31	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	233	32	UK	UK	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	233	33	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	233	34	Spain	Spain	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	233	35	are	be	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	233	36	between	between	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	233	37	one	one	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	233	38	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	233	39	two	two	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	233	40	percent	percent	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	233	41	;	;	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	233	42	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	233	43	Italy	Italy	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	233	44	higher	higher	RBR
cord-354133-11b0d499	233	45	at	at	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	233	46	around	around	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	233	47	3	3	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	233	48	%	%	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	233	49	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	234	1	Ioannidis	Ioannidis	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	234	2	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	234	3	26	26	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	234	4	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	234	5	also	also	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	234	6	calculated	calculate	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	234	7	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	234	8	IFR	IFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	234	9	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	234	10	many	many	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	234	11	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	234	12	these	these	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	234	13	countries	country	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	234	14	using	use	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	234	15	seroprevalence	seroprevalence	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	234	16	studies	study	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	234	17	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	234	18	but	but	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	234	19	using	use	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	234	20	only	only	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	234	21	single	single	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	234	22	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	234	23	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	234	24	seroprevalence	seroprevalence	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	234	25	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	234	26	death	death	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	234	27	data	datum	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	234	28	with	with	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	234	29	an	an	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	234	30	assumed	assume	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	234	31	delay	delay	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	234	32	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	234	33	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	234	34	generally	generally	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	234	35	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	234	36	week	week	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	234	37	after	after	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	234	38	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	234	39	midpoint	midpoint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	234	40	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	234	41	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	234	42	seroprevalence	seroprevalence	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	234	43	survey	survey	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	234	44	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	234	45	;	;	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	234	46	these	these	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	234	47	are	be	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	234	48	also	also	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	234	49	shown	show	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	234	50	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	234	51	Table	Table	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	234	52	2	2	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	234	53	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	234	54	are	be	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	234	55	broadly	broadly	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	234	56	consistent	consistent	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	234	57	with	with	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	234	58	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-354133-11b0d499	234	59	values	value	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	234	60	except	except	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	234	61	where	where	WRB
cord-354133-11b0d499	234	62	excess	excess	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	234	63	deaths	death	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	234	64	are	be	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	234	65	significant	significant	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	234	66	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	234	67	e.g.	e.g.	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	234	68	Spain	Spain	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	234	69	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	234	70	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	235	1	Our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-354133-11b0d499	235	2	value	value	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	235	3	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	235	4	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	235	5	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	235	6	somewhat	somewhat	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	235	7	higher	high	JJR
cord-354133-11b0d499	235	8	but	but	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	235	9	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-354133-11b0d499	235	10	expect	expect	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	235	11	that	that	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	235	12	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-354133-11b0d499	235	13	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	235	14	more	more	RBR
cord-354133-11b0d499	235	15	reliable	reliable	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	235	16	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	235	17	using	use	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	235	18	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	235	19	scaling	scale	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	235	20	factor	factor	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	235	21	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	235	22	cases	case	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	235	23	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	235	24	38	38	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	235	25	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	235	26	with	with	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	235	27	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-354133-11b0d499	235	28	calculated	calculate	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	235	29	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	235	30	rather	rather	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	235	31	than	than	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	235	32	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	235	33	absolute	absolute	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	235	34	number	number	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	235	35	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	235	36	deaths	death	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	235	37	at	at	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	235	38	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	235	39	certain	certain	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	235	40	date	date	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	235	41	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	235	42	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	235	43	German	german	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	235	44	town	town	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	235	45	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	235	46	Gangelt	Gangelt	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	235	47	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	235	48	26	26	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	235	49	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	235	50	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	235	51	which	which	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	235	52	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	235	53	very	very	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	235	54	low	low	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	235	55	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	235	56	reflects	reflect	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	235	57	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	235	58	date	date	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	235	59	early	early	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	235	60	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	235	61	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	235	62	German	german	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	235	63	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	235	64	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	236	1	Although	although	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	236	2	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	236	3	calculated	calculate	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	236	4	IFR	IFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	236	5	values	value	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	236	6	are	be	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	236	7	only	only	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	236	8	approximate	approximate	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	236	9	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	236	10	subject	subject	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	236	11	to	to	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	236	12	revision	revision	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	236	13	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	236	14	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-354133-11b0d499	236	15	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	236	16	conceivable	conceivable	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	236	17	that	that	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	236	18	higher	high	JJR
cord-354133-11b0d499	236	19	IFR	IFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	236	20	values	value	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	236	21	may	may	MD
cord-354133-11b0d499	236	22	reflect	reflect	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	236	23	higher	high	JJR
cord-354133-11b0d499	236	24	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	236	25	ratios	ratio	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	236	26	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	236	27	particular	particular	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	236	28	places	place	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	236	29	at	at	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	236	30	particular	particular	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	236	31	times	time	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	236	32	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	236	33	due	due	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	236	34	to	to	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	236	35	overwhelmed	overwhelmed	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	236	36	health	health	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	236	37	systems	system	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	236	38	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	236	39	hard	hard	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	236	40	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	236	41	hit	hit	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	236	42	areas	area	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	236	43	or	or	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	236	44	specific	specific	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	236	45	demographics	demographic	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	236	46	or	or	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	236	47	baseline	baseline	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	236	48	health	health	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	236	49	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	236	50	affected	affected	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	236	51	populations	population	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	236	52	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	237	1	For	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	237	2	example	example	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	237	3	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	237	4	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-354133-11b0d499	237	5	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	237	6	reasonable	reasonable	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	237	7	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	237	8	conclude	conclude	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	237	9	that	that	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	237	10	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	237	11	Lombardy	Lombardy	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	237	12	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	237	13	Italy	Italy	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	237	14	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	237	15	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	237	16	older	old	JJR
cord-354133-11b0d499	237	17	population	population	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	237	18	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	237	19	overwhelmed	overwhelmed	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	237	20	health	health	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	237	21	system	system	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	237	22	caused	cause	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	237	23	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	237	24	higher	high	JJR
cord-354133-11b0d499	237	25	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	237	26	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	238	1	CC	CC	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	238	2	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	238	3	BY	BY	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	238	4	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	238	5	NC	NC	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	238	6	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	238	7	ND	ND	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	238	8	4.0	4.0	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	238	9	International	international	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	238	10	license	license	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	238	11	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-354133-11b0d499	238	12	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	238	13	made	make	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	238	14	available	available	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	238	15	under	under	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	238	16	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	238	17	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	238	18	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	239	1	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	239	2	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	239	3	author	author	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	239	4	/	/	SYM
cord-354133-11b0d499	239	5	funder	funder	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	239	6	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	239	7	who	who	WP
cord-354133-11b0d499	239	8	has	have	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	239	9	granted	grant	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	239	10	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	239	11	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	239	12	license	license	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	239	13	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	239	14	display	display	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	239	15	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	239	16	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	239	17	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	239	18	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	239	19	which	which	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	239	20	was	be	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	239	21	not	not	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	239	22	certified	certify	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	239	23	by	by	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	239	24	peer	peer	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	239	25	review	review	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	239	26	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	240	1	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	240	2	ratio	ratio	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	240	3	compared	compare	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	240	4	to	to	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	240	5	other	other	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	240	6	places	place	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	240	7	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	241	1	In	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	241	2	fact	fact	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	241	3	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	241	4	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	241	5	difference	difference	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	241	6	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	241	7	age	age	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	241	8	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	241	9	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	241	10	cases	case	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	241	11	between	between	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	241	12	Italy	Italy	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	241	13	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	241	14	Australia	Australia	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	241	15	up	up	RP
cord-354133-11b0d499	241	16	to	to	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	241	17	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	241	18	end	end	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	241	19	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	241	20	May	May	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	241	21	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	241	22	using	use	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	241	23	data	datum	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	241	24	from	from	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	241	25	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	241	26	47	47	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	241	27	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	241	28	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	241	29	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	241	30	48	48	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	241	31	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	241	32	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	242	1	can	can	MD
cord-354133-11b0d499	242	2	alone	alone	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	242	3	account	account	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	242	4	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	242	5	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	242	6	factor	factor	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	242	7	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	242	8	three	three	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	242	9	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	242	10	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	242	11	IFR	IFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	242	12	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	243	1	Therefore	therefore	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	243	2	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	243	3	while	while	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	243	4	differences	difference	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	243	5	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	243	6	testing	testing	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	243	7	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	243	8	reporting	reporting	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	243	9	between	between	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	243	10	different	different	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	243	11	countries	country	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	243	12	undoubtedly	undoubtedly	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	243	13	account	account	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	243	14	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	243	15	much	much	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	243	16	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	243	17	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	243	18	variation	variation	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	243	19	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	243	20	IFR	IFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	243	21	between	between	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	243	22	countries	country	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	243	23	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	243	24	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-354133-11b0d499	243	25	neither	neither	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	243	26	expect	expect	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	243	27	nor	nor	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	243	28	find	find	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	243	29	that	that	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	243	30	IFR	IFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	243	31	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	243	32	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	243	33	same	same	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	243	34	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	243	35	all	all	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	243	36	COVID-19	covid-19	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	243	37	outbreaks	outbreak	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	243	38	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	244	1	Country	country	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	244	2	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	244	3	specific	specific	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	244	4	factors	factor	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	244	5	that	that	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	244	6	influence	influence	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	244	7	IFR	IFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	244	8	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	244	9	differ	differ	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	244	10	between	between	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	244	11	countries	country	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	244	12	include	include	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	244	13	testing	test	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	244	14	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	244	15	reporting	reporting	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	244	16	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	244	17	age	age	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	244	18	demographics	demographic	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	244	19	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	244	20	49	49	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	244	21	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	244	22	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	244	23	health	health	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	244	24	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	244	25	care	care	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	244	26	systems	system	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	244	27	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	244	28	treatments	treatment	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	244	29	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	244	30	32	32	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	244	31	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	244	32	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	244	33	mask	mask	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	244	34	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	244	35	wearing	wear	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	244	36	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	244	37	other	other	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	244	38	behaviours	behaviour	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	244	39	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	244	40	climate	climate	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	244	41	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	244	42	culture	culture	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	244	43	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	244	44	transport	transport	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	244	45	infrastructure	infrastructure	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	244	46	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	244	47	community	community	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	244	48	mobility	mobility	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	244	49	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	244	50	50	50	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	244	51	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	244	52	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	244	53	genetic	genetic	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	244	54	factors	factor	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	244	55	or	or	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	244	56	prevalence	prevalence	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	244	57	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	244	58	particular	particular	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	244	59	antibodies	antibody	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	244	60	that	that	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	244	61	affect	affect	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	244	62	immune	immune	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	244	63	response	response	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	244	64	[	[	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	244	65	51	51	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	244	66	]	]	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	244	67	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	245	1	There	there	EX
cord-354133-11b0d499	245	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	245	3	some	some	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	245	4	evidence	evidence	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	245	5	that	that	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	245	6	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	245	7	IFR	IFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	245	8	might	may	MD
cord-354133-11b0d499	245	9	be	be	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	245	10	decreasing	decrease	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	245	11	over	over	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	245	12	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	245	13	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	245	14	some	some	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	245	15	countries	country	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	245	16	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	245	17	especially	especially	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	245	18	those	those	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	245	19	experiencing	experience	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	245	20	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	245	21	"	"	``
cord-354133-11b0d499	245	22	second	second	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	245	23	wave	wave	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	245	24	"	"	''
cord-354133-11b0d499	245	25	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	246	1	This	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	246	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	246	3	observed	observe	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	246	4	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	246	5	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	246	6	example	example	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	246	7	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	246	8	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	246	9	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	246	10	data	datum	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	246	11	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	246	12	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	246	13	USA	USA	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	246	14	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	246	15	Figure	Figure	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	246	16	7	7	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	246	17	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	246	18	demonstrated	demonstrate	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	246	19	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	246	20	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	246	21	increasing	increase	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	246	22	mismatch	mismatch	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	246	23	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	246	24	case	case	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	246	25	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	246	26	death	death	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	246	27	distributions	distribution	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	246	28	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	247	1	CC	CC	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	247	2	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	247	3	BY	BY	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	247	4	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	247	5	NC	NC	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	247	6	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	247	7	ND	ND	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	247	8	4.0	4.0	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	247	9	International	international	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	247	10	license	license	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	247	11	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-354133-11b0d499	247	12	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	247	13	made	make	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	247	14	available	available	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	247	15	under	under	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	247	16	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	247	17	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	247	18	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	248	1	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	248	2	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	248	3	author	author	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	248	4	/	/	SYM
cord-354133-11b0d499	248	5	funder	funder	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	248	6	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	248	7	who	who	WP
cord-354133-11b0d499	248	8	has	have	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	248	9	granted	grant	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	248	10	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	248	11	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	248	12	license	license	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	248	13	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	248	14	display	display	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	248	15	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	248	16	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	248	17	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	248	18	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	248	19	which	which	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	248	20	was	be	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	248	21	not	not	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	248	22	certified	certify	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	248	23	by	by	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	248	24	peer	peer	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	248	25	review	review	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	248	26	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	248	27	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	249	1	The	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	249	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	249	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	249	4	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	249	5	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	249	6	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	249	7	version	version	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	249	8	posted	post	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	249	9	October	October	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	249	10	27	27	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	249	11	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	249	12	2020	2020	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	249	13	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	250	1	;	;	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	250	2	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.25.20216671	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.25.20216671	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	250	3	doi	doi	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	250	4	:	:	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	251	1	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	251	2	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	251	3	25	25	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	251	4	later	later	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	251	5	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	251	6	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	251	7	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	251	8	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	252	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-354133-11b0d499	252	2	can	can	MD
cord-354133-11b0d499	252	3	use	use	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	252	4	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	252	5	TSD	TSD	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	252	6	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	252	7	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	252	8	analyse	analyse	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	252	9	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	252	10	latter	latter	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	252	11	part	part	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	252	12	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	252	13	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	252	14	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	252	15	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	252	16	from	from	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	252	17	July	July	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	252	18	to	to	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	252	19	September	September	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	252	20	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	252	21	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	252	22	giving	give	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	252	23	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	252	24	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	252	25	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	252	26	1.5	1.5	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	252	27	-	-	SYM
cord-354133-11b0d499	252	28	1.7	1.7	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	252	29	%	%	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	252	30	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	252	31	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	252	32	delay	delay	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	252	33	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	252	34	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	252	35	2	2	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	252	36	-	-	SYM
cord-354133-11b0d499	252	37	3	3	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	252	38	weeks	week	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	252	39	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	253	1	Similar	similar	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	253	2	analyses	analysis	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	253	3	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	253	4	individual	individual	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	253	5	states	state	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	253	6	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	253	7	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	253	8	USA	USA	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	253	9	give	give	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	253	10	stable	stable	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	253	11	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	253	12	values	value	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	253	13	from	from	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	253	14	1.1	1.1	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	253	15	-	-	SYM
cord-354133-11b0d499	253	16	2.3	2.3	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	253	17	%	%	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	253	18	with	with	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	253	19	delay	delay	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	253	20	times	time	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	253	21	between	between	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	253	22	four	four	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	253	23	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	253	24	24	24	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	253	25	days	day	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	253	26	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	253	27	with	with	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	253	28	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	253	29	mean	mean	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	253	30	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	253	31	1.6	1.6	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	253	32	%	%	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	253	33	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	253	34	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	253	35	17	17	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	253	36	days	day	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	253	37	'	'	POS
cord-354133-11b0d499	253	38	delay	delay	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	253	39	over	over	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	253	40	states	state	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	253	41	with	with	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	253	42	robust	robust	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	253	43	fits	fit	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	253	44	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	254	1	This	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	254	2	later	later	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	254	3	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	254	4	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	254	5	far	far	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	254	6	lower	low	JJR
cord-354133-11b0d499	254	7	than	than	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	254	8	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	254	9	value	value	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	254	10	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	254	11	7	7	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	254	12	%	%	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	254	13	calculated	calculate	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	254	14	early	early	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	254	15	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	254	16	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	254	17	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	254	18	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	255	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-354133-11b0d499	255	2	observe	observe	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	255	3	similar	similar	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	255	4	effects	effect	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	255	5	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	255	6	various	various	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	255	7	other	other	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	255	8	countries	country	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	255	9	post	post	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	255	10	-	-	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	255	11	July	July	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	255	12	including	include	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	255	13	Japan	Japan	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	255	14	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	255	15	reduced	reduce	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	255	16	to	to	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	255	17	1.1	1.1	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	255	18	%	%	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	255	19	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	255	20	22	22	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	255	21	days	day	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	255	22	'	'	POS
cord-354133-11b0d499	255	23	delay	delay	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	255	24	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	255	25	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	255	26	Spain	Spain	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	255	27	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	255	28	France	France	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	255	29	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	255	30	Portugal	Portugal	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	255	31	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	255	32	all	all	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	255	33	reduced	reduce	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	255	34	to	to	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	255	35	0.8	0.8	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	255	36	-	-	SYM
cord-354133-11b0d499	255	37	1.3	1.3	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	255	38	%	%	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	255	39	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	255	40	12	12	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	255	41	-	-	SYM
cord-354133-11b0d499	255	42	29	29	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	255	43	days	day	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	255	44	'	'	POS
cord-354133-11b0d499	255	45	delay	delay	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	255	46	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	255	47	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	256	1	These	these	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	256	2	values	value	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	256	3	are	be	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	256	4	all	all	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	256	5	similar	similar	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	256	6	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	256	7	may	may	MD
cord-354133-11b0d499	256	8	reflect	reflect	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	256	9	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	256	10	reasonable	reasonable	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	256	11	estimate	estimate	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	256	12	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	256	13	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	256	14	when	when	WRB
cord-354133-11b0d499	256	15	testing	testing	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	256	16	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	256	17	adequate	adequate	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	256	18	;	;	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	256	19	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-354133-11b0d499	256	20	would	would	MD
cord-354133-11b0d499	256	21	still	still	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	256	22	expect	expect	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	256	23	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	256	24	IFR	IFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	256	25	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	256	26	be	be	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	256	27	lower	low	JJR
cord-354133-11b0d499	256	28	by	by	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	256	29	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	256	30	factor	factor	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	256	31	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	256	32	at	at	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	256	33	least	least	RBS
cord-354133-11b0d499	256	34	two	two	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	256	35	due	due	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	256	36	to	to	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	256	37	undiagnosed	undiagnosed	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	256	38	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	256	39	asymptomatic	asymptomatic	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	256	40	cases	case	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	256	41	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	257	1	A	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	257	2	decrease	decrease	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	257	3	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	257	4	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	257	5	over	over	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	257	6	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	257	7	may	may	MD
cord-354133-11b0d499	257	8	also	also	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	257	9	indicate	indicate	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	257	10	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	257	11	change	change	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	257	12	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	257	13	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	257	14	demographics	demographic	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	257	15	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	257	16	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	257	17	case	case	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	257	18	load	load	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	257	19	or	or	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	257	20	improvements	improvement	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	257	21	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	257	22	treatment	treatment	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	257	23	or	or	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	257	24	even	even	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	257	25	an	an	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	257	26	increasing	increase	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	257	27	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	257	28	delay	delay	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	257	29	between	between	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	257	30	reported	report	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	257	31	cases	case	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	257	32	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	257	33	deaths	death	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	257	34	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	257	35	perhaps	perhaps	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	257	36	due	due	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	257	37	to	to	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	257	38	earlier	early	JJR
cord-354133-11b0d499	257	39	diagnosis	diagnosis	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	257	40	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	258	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-354133-11b0d499	258	2	also	also	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	258	3	find	find	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	258	4	that	that	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	258	5	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	258	6	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	258	7	countries	country	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	258	8	where	where	WRB
cord-354133-11b0d499	258	9	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	258	10	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	258	11	delay	delay	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	258	12	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	258	13	significant	significant	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	258	14	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	258	15	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	258	16	TSD	TSD	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	258	17	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	258	18	can	can	MD
cord-354133-11b0d499	258	19	serve	serve	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	258	20	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	258	21	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	258	22	predictive	predictive	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	258	23	capacity	capacity	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	258	24	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	258	25	numbers	number	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	258	26	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	258	27	deaths	death	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	258	28	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	258	29	using	use	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	258	30	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	258	31	linear	linear	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	258	32	relationship	relationship	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	258	33	between	between	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	258	34	deaths	death	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	258	35	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	258	36	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	258	37	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	258	38	shifted	shift	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	258	39	cases	case	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	258	40	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	259	1	Figure	figure	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	259	2	9	9	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	259	3	shows	show	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	259	4	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	259	5	prediction	prediction	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	259	6	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	259	7	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	259	8	second	second	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	259	9	phase	phase	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	259	10	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	259	11	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	259	12	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	259	13	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	259	14	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	259	15	France	France	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	259	16	from	from	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	259	17	August	August	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	259	18	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	260	1	Using	use	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	260	2	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	260	3	calculated	calculate	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	260	4	from	from	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	260	5	TSD	TSD	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	260	6	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	260	7	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	260	8	August	August	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	260	9	to	to	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	260	10	mid	mid	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	260	11	-	-	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	260	12	October	October	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	260	13	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	260	14	reported	report	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	260	15	case	case	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	260	16	data	datum	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	260	17	can	can	MD
cord-354133-11b0d499	260	18	be	be	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	260	19	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	260	20	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	260	21	shifted	shift	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	260	22	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	260	23	linearly	linearly	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	260	24	scaled	scale	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	260	25	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	260	26	predict	predict	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	260	27	daily	daily	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	260	28	deaths	death	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	260	29	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	260	30	France	France	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	260	31	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	260	32	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	260	33	next	next	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	260	34	three	three	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	260	35	weeks	week	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	260	36	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	261	1	This	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	261	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	261	3	useful	useful	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	261	4	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	261	5	public	public	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	261	6	health	health	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	261	7	planning	planning	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	261	8	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	261	9	as	as	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	261	10	well	well	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	261	11	as	as	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	261	12	decision	decision	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	261	13	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	261	14	making	make	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	261	15	regarding	regard	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	261	16	implementation	implementation	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	261	17	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	261	18	restrictions	restriction	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	261	19	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	262	1	The	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	262	2	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	262	3	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	262	4	shifted	shift	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	262	5	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	262	6	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	262	7	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	262	8	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	262	9	straightforward	straightforward	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	262	10	way	way	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	262	11	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	262	12	predict	predict	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	262	13	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	262	14	over	over	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	262	15	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	262	16	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	262	17	using	use	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	262	18	only	only	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	262	19	publicly	publicly	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	262	20	available	available	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	262	21	data	datum	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	262	22	on	on	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	262	23	cases	case	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	262	24	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	262	25	deaths	death	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	262	26	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	262	27	requiring	require	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	262	28	no	no	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	262	29	assumptions	assumption	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	262	30	or	or	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	262	31	parametrisations	parametrisation	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	262	32	regarding	regard	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	262	33	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	262	34	progress	progress	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	262	35	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	262	36	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	262	37	illness	illness	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	262	38	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	263	1	The	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	263	2	beauty	beauty	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	263	3	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	263	4	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	263	5	method	method	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	263	6	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	263	7	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	263	8	its	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-354133-11b0d499	263	9	transparency	transparency	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	263	10	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	263	11	simplicity	simplicity	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	263	12	;	;	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	263	13	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	263	14	lack	lack	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	263	15	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	263	16	assumptions	assumption	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	263	17	allows	allow	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	263	18	more	more	JJR
cord-354133-11b0d499	263	19	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	263	20	be	be	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	263	21	gained	gain	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	263	22	from	from	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	263	23	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	263	24	data	datum	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	263	25	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	263	26	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	263	27	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	263	28	author	author	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	263	29	/	/	SYM
cord-354133-11b0d499	263	30	funder	funder	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	263	31	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	263	32	who	who	WP
cord-354133-11b0d499	263	33	has	have	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	263	34	granted	grant	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	263	35	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	263	36	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	263	37	license	license	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	263	38	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	263	39	display	display	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	263	40	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	263	41	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	263	42	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	263	43	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	263	44	which	which	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	263	45	was	be	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	263	46	not	not	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	263	47	certified	certify	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	263	48	by	by	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	263	49	peer	peer	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	263	50	review	review	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	263	51	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	264	1	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	265	1	The	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	265	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	265	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	265	4	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	265	5	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	265	6	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	265	7	version	version	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	265	8	posted	post	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	265	9	October	October	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	265	10	27	27	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	265	11	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	265	12	2020	2020	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	265	13	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	266	1	;	;	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	266	2	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.25.20216671	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.25.20216671	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	266	3	doi	doi	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	266	4	:	:	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	267	1	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	267	2	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	267	3	including	include	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	267	4	trends	trend	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	267	5	that	that	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	267	6	may	may	MD
cord-354133-11b0d499	267	7	be	be	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	267	8	unexpected	unexpected	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	267	9	or	or	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	267	10	changing	change	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	267	11	over	over	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	267	12	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	267	13	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	268	1	This	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	268	2	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	268	3	method	method	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	268	4	has	have	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	268	5	particular	particular	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	268	6	utility	utility	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	268	7	early	early	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	268	8	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	268	9	an	an	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	268	10	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	268	11	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	268	12	once	once	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	268	13	sufficient	sufficient	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	268	14	data	datum	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	268	15	are	be	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	268	16	available	available	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	268	17	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	268	18	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	268	19	robust	robust	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	268	20	fit	fit	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	268	21	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	268	22	beyond	beyond	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	268	23	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	268	24	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	268	25	growth	growth	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	268	26	phase	phase	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	268	27	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	268	28	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	269	1	Without	without	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	269	2	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	269	3	benefit	benefit	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	269	4	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	269	5	hindsight	hindsight	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	269	6	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	269	7	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	269	8	TSD	TSD	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	269	9	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	269	10	calculated	calculate	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	269	11	values	value	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	269	12	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	269	13	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	269	14	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	269	15	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	269	16	delay	delay	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	269	17	between	between	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	269	18	cases	case	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	269	19	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	269	20	deaths	death	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	269	21	can	can	MD
cord-354133-11b0d499	269	22	shed	shed	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	269	23	light	light	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	269	24	on	on	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	269	25	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	269	26	virulence	virulence	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	269	27	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	269	28	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	269	29	disease	disease	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	269	30	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	269	31	on	on	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	269	32	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	269	33	conditions	condition	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	269	34	that	that	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	269	35	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	269	36	particular	particular	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	269	37	country	country	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	269	38	may	may	MD
cord-354133-11b0d499	269	39	be	be	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	269	40	facing	face	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	269	41	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	270	1	Excess	excess	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	270	2	death	death	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	270	3	data	datum	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	270	4	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	270	5	where	where	WRB
cord-354133-11b0d499	270	6	available	available	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	270	7	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	270	8	may	may	MD
cord-354133-11b0d499	270	9	be	be	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	270	10	used	use	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	270	11	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	270	12	correct	correct	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	270	13	death	death	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	270	14	data	datum	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	270	15	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	270	16	while	while	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	270	17	positive	positive	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	270	18	test	test	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	270	19	rates	rate	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	270	20	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	270	21	other	other	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	270	22	indicators	indicator	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	270	23	or	or	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	270	24	models	model	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	270	25	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	270	26	testing	test	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	270	27	adequacy	adequacy	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	270	28	can	can	MD
cord-354133-11b0d499	270	29	often	often	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	270	30	give	give	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	270	31	an	an	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	270	32	early	early	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	270	33	rough	rough	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	270	34	idea	idea	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	270	35	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	270	36	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	270	37	true	true	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	270	38	prevalence	prevalence	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	270	39	relative	relative	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	270	40	to	to	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	270	41	reported	report	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	270	42	case	case	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	270	43	numbers	number	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	270	44	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	271	1	These	these	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	271	2	data	datum	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	271	3	can	can	MD
cord-354133-11b0d499	271	4	be	be	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	271	5	used	use	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	271	6	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	271	7	interpret	interpret	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	271	8	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	271	9	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	271	10	calculated	calculate	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	271	11	using	use	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	271	12	TSD	TSD	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	271	13	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	271	14	early	early	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	271	15	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	271	16	an	an	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	271	17	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	271	18	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	271	19	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	271	20	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	271	21	approximate	approximate	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	271	22	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	271	23	IFR	IFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	271	24	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	272	1	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	272	2	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	272	3	author	author	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	272	4	/	/	SYM
cord-354133-11b0d499	272	5	funder	funder	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	272	6	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	272	7	who	who	WP
cord-354133-11b0d499	272	8	has	have	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	272	9	granted	grant	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	272	10	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	272	11	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	272	12	license	license	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	272	13	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	272	14	display	display	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	272	15	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	272	16	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	272	17	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	272	18	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	272	19	which	which	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	272	20	was	be	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	272	21	not	not	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	272	22	certified	certify	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	272	23	by	by	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	272	24	peer	peer	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	272	25	review	review	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	272	26	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	272	27	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	273	1	The	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	273	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	273	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	273	4	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	273	5	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	273	6	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	273	7	version	version	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	273	8	posted	post	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	273	9	October	October	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	273	10	27	27	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	273	11	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	273	12	2020	2020	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	273	13	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	274	1	;	;	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	274	2	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	274	3	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	275	1	10.25.20216671	10.25.20216671	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	275	2	doi	doi	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	275	3	:	:	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	276	1	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	276	2	preprint	preprint	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	277	1	Our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-354133-11b0d499	277	2	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	277	3	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	277	4	IFR	IFR	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	277	5	range	range	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	277	6	from	from	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	277	7	0.3	0.3	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	277	8	-	-	SYM
cord-354133-11b0d499	277	9	3	3	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	277	10	%	%	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	277	11	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	277	12	with	with	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	277	13	higher	high	JJR
cord-354133-11b0d499	277	14	values	value	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	277	15	observed	observe	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	277	16	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	277	17	countries	country	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	277	18	that	that	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	277	19	experienced	experience	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	277	20	more	more	RBR
cord-354133-11b0d499	277	21	severe	severe	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	277	22	outbreaks	outbreak	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	277	23	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	277	24	perhaps	perhaps	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	277	25	reflecting	reflect	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	277	26	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	277	27	negative	negative	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	277	28	influence	influence	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	277	29	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	277	30	overwhelmed	overwhelmed	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	277	31	health	health	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	277	32	systems	system	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	277	33	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	277	34	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	277	35	spread	spread	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	277	36	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	277	37	disease	disease	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	277	38	to	to	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	277	39	more	more	RBR
cord-354133-11b0d499	277	40	vulnerable	vulnerable	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	277	41	populations	population	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	277	42	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	278	1	The	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	278	2	calculated	calculate	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	278	3	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	278	4	delay	delay	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	278	5	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	278	6	also	also	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	278	7	potentially	potentially	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	278	8	informative	informative	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	278	9	;	;	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	278	10	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	278	11	example	example	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	278	12	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	278	13	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	278	14	one	one	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	278	15	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	278	16	day	day	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	278	17	delay	delay	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	278	18	calculated	calculate	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	278	19	from	from	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	278	20	early	early	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	278	21	data	datum	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	278	22	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	278	23	Spain	Spain	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	278	24	reflects	reflect	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	278	25	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	278	26	breakdown	breakdown	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	278	27	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	278	28	testing	testing	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	278	29	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	278	30	reporting	report	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	278	31	systems	system	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	278	32	at	at	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	278	33	that	that	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	278	34	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	278	35	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	278	36	whereas	whereas	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	278	37	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	278	38	revised	revise	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	278	39	delay	delay	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	278	40	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	278	41	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	278	42	14	14	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	278	43	days	day	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	278	44	shows	show	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	278	45	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	278	46	recovery	recovery	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	278	47	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	278	48	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	278	49	system	system	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	278	50	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	278	51	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	278	52	likely	likely	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	278	53	delay	delay	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	278	54	between	between	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	278	55	case	case	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	278	56	diagnosis	diagnosis	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	278	57	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	278	58	death	death	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	278	59	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	279	1	In	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	279	2	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	279	3	way	way	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	279	4	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	279	5	TSD	TSD	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	279	6	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	279	7	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	279	8	data	datum	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	279	9	from	from	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	279	10	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	279	11	particular	particular	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	279	12	place	place	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	279	13	at	at	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	279	14	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	279	15	particular	particular	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	279	16	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	279	17	can	can	MD
cord-354133-11b0d499	279	18	give	give	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	279	19	useful	useful	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	279	20	local	local	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	279	21	information	information	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	279	22	on	on	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	279	23	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	279	24	progression	progression	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	279	25	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	279	26	an	an	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	279	27	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	279	28	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	279	29	inform	inform	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	279	30	public	public	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	279	31	health	health	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	279	32	planning	planning	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	279	33	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	279	34	policy	policy	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	279	35	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	280	1	are	be	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	280	2	from	from	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	280	3	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	280	4	Economist	Economist	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	280	5	's	's	POS
cord-354133-11b0d499	280	6	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	280	7	excess	excess	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	280	8	deaths	death	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	280	9	tracker	tracker	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	280	10	repository	repository	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	280	11	at	at	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	280	12	https://github.com/TheEconomist/covid-19-excess-deaths-tracker	https://github.com/TheEconomist/covid-19-excess-deaths-tracker	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	280	13	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	280	14	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	280	15	positive	positive	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	280	16	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	280	17	test	test	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	280	18	rates	rate	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	280	19	are	be	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	280	20	from	from	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	280	21	Our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-354133-11b0d499	280	22	World	World	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	280	23	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	280	24	Data	Data	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	280	25	at	at	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	280	26	https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-testing	https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-testing	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	280	27	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	281	1	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	281	2	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	281	3	author	author	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	281	4	/	/	SYM
cord-354133-11b0d499	281	5	funder	funder	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	281	6	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	281	7	who	who	WP
cord-354133-11b0d499	281	8	has	have	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	281	9	granted	grant	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	281	10	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	281	11	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	281	12	license	license	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	281	13	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	281	14	display	display	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	281	15	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	281	16	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	281	17	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	281	18	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	281	19	which	which	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	281	20	was	be	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	281	21	not	not	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	281	22	certified	certify	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	281	23	by	by	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	281	24	peer	peer	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	281	25	review	review	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	281	26	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	281	27	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	282	1	The	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	282	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	282	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	282	4	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	282	5	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	282	6	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	282	7	version	version	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	282	8	posted	post	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	282	9	October	October	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	282	10	27	27	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	282	11	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	282	12	2020	2020	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	282	13	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	283	1	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	283	2	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	283	3	author	author	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	283	4	/	/	SYM
cord-354133-11b0d499	283	5	funder	funder	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	283	6	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	283	7	who	who	WP
cord-354133-11b0d499	283	8	has	have	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	283	9	granted	grant	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	283	10	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	283	11	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	283	12	license	license	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	283	13	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	283	14	display	display	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	283	15	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	283	16	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	283	17	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	283	18	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	283	19	which	which	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	283	20	was	be	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	283	21	not	not	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	283	22	certified	certify	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	283	23	by	by	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	283	24	peer	peer	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	283	25	review	review	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	283	26	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	284	1	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	285	1	The	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	285	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	285	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	285	4	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	285	5	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	285	6	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	285	7	version	version	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	285	8	posted	post	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	285	9	October	October	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	285	10	27	27	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	285	11	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	285	12	2020	2020	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	285	13	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	286	1	;	;	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	286	2	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.25.20216671	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.25.20216671	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	286	3	doi	doi	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	286	4	:	:	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	287	1	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	287	2	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	287	3	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	288	1	CC	CC	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	288	2	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	288	3	BY	BY	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	288	4	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	288	5	NC	NC	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	288	6	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	288	7	ND	ND	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	288	8	4.0	4.0	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	288	9	International	international	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	288	10	license	license	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	288	11	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-354133-11b0d499	288	12	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	288	13	made	make	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	288	14	available	available	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	288	15	under	under	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	288	16	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	288	17	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	288	18	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	289	1	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	289	2	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	289	3	author	author	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	289	4	/	/	SYM
cord-354133-11b0d499	289	5	funder	funder	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	289	6	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	289	7	who	who	WP
cord-354133-11b0d499	289	8	has	have	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	289	9	granted	grant	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	289	10	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	289	11	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	289	12	license	license	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	289	13	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	289	14	display	display	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	289	15	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	289	16	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	289	17	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	289	18	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	289	19	which	which	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	289	20	was	be	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	289	21	not	not	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	289	22	certified	certify	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	289	23	by	by	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	289	24	peer	peer	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	289	25	review	review	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	289	26	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	289	27	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	290	1	The	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	290	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	290	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	290	4	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	290	5	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	290	6	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	290	7	version	version	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	290	8	posted	post	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	290	9	October	October	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	290	10	27	27	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	290	11	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	290	12	2020	2020	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	290	13	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	291	1	;	;	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	291	2	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.25.20216671	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.25.20216671	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	291	3	doi	doi	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	291	4	:	:	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	292	1	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	292	2	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	292	3	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	293	1	CC	CC	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	293	2	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	293	3	BY	BY	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	293	4	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	293	5	NC	NC	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	293	6	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	293	7	ND	ND	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	293	8	4.0	4.0	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	293	9	International	international	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	293	10	license	license	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	293	11	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-354133-11b0d499	293	12	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	293	13	made	make	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	293	14	available	available	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	293	15	under	under	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	293	16	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	293	17	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	293	18	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	294	1	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	294	2	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	294	3	author	author	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	294	4	/	/	SYM
cord-354133-11b0d499	294	5	funder	funder	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	294	6	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	294	7	who	who	WP
cord-354133-11b0d499	294	8	has	have	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	294	9	granted	grant	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	294	10	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	294	11	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	294	12	license	license	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	294	13	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	294	14	display	display	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	294	15	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	294	16	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	294	17	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	294	18	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	294	19	which	which	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	294	20	was	be	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	294	21	not	not	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	294	22	certified	certify	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	294	23	by	by	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	294	24	peer	peer	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	294	25	review	review	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	294	26	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	294	27	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	295	1	The	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	295	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	295	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	295	4	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	295	5	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	295	6	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	295	7	version	version	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	295	8	posted	post	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	295	9	October	October	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	295	10	27	27	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	295	11	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	295	12	2020	2020	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	295	13	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	296	1	;	;	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	296	2	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.25.20216671	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.25.20216671	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	296	3	doi	doi	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	296	4	:	:	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	297	1	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	297	2	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	297	3	Early	Early	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	297	4	Transmission	Transmission	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	297	5	Dynamics	Dynamics	NNPS
cord-354133-11b0d499	297	6	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	297	7	Wuhan	Wuhan	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	297	8	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	297	9	China	China	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	297	10	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	297	11	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	297	12	Novel	Novel	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	297	13	Coronavirus	Coronavirus	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	297	14	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	297	15	Infected	infect	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	297	16	Pneumonia	Pneumonia	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	297	17	Incubation	Incubation	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	297	18	Period	Period	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	297	19	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	297	20	Other	other	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	297	21	Epidemiological	epidemiological	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	297	22	Characteristics	Characteristics	NNPS
cord-354133-11b0d499	297	23	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	297	24	Novel	Novel	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	297	25	Coronavirus	Coronavirus	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	297	26	Infections	Infections	NNPS
cord-354133-11b0d499	297	27	with	with	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	297	28	Right	Right	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	297	29	Truncation	truncation	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	297	30	:	:	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	298	1	A	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	298	2	Statistical	Statistical	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	298	3	Analysis	Analysis	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	298	4	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	298	5	Publicly	publicly	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	298	6	Available	Available	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	298	7	Case	Case	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	298	8	Data	Data	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	299	1	The	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	299	2	many	many	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	299	3	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	299	4	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	299	5	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	299	6	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	299	7	case	case	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	299	8	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	299	9	rate	rate	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	299	10	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	300	1	The	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	300	2	Lancet	Lancet	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	301	1	On	on	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	301	2	Identifying	identify	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	301	3	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	301	4	Mitigating	mitigate	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	301	5	Bias	Bias	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	301	6	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	301	7	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	301	8	Estimation	Estimation	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	301	9	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	301	10	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	301	11	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	301	12	Case	Case	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	301	13	Fatality	Fatality	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	301	14	Rate	rate	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	301	15	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	302	1	Harvard	Harvard	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	302	2	Data	Data	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	302	3	Science	Science	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	302	4	Review	Review	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	302	5	Report	Report	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	302	6	4	4	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	302	7	:	:	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	302	8	severity	severity	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	302	9	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	302	10	2019-novel	2019-novel	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	302	11	coronavirus	coronavirus	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	302	12	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	302	13	nCoV	ncov	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	302	14	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	303	1	Estimating	estimate	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	303	2	Risk	Risk	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	303	3	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	303	4	Death	death	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	303	5	from	from	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	303	6	Coronavirus	Coronavirus	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	303	7	Disease	Disease	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	303	8	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	303	9	China	China	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	303	10	Updated	update	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	303	11	understanding	understanding	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	303	12	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	303	13	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	303	14	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	303	15	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	303	16	2019	2019	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	303	17	novel	novel	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	303	18	coronavirus	coronavirus	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	303	19	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	303	20	2019-nCoV	2019-ncov	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	303	21	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	303	22	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	303	23	Wuhan	Wuhan	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	303	24	Estimating	estimate	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	303	25	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	303	26	Risk	Risk	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	303	27	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	303	28	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	303	29	Death	Death	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	304	1	During	during	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	304	2	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	304	3	Course	course	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	304	4	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	304	5	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	304	6	Outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	304	7	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	304	8	Korea	Korea	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	1	An	an	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	2	interactive	interactive	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	3	web	web	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	4	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	5	based	base	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	6	dashboard	dashboard	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	7	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	8	track	track	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	9	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	10	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	11	real	real	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	12	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	13	Methods	method	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	14	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	15	estimating	estimate	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	16	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	17	case	case	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	18	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	19	ratio	ratio	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	20	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	21	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	22	novel	novel	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	23	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	24	emerging	emerge	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	25	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	26	disease	disease	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	27	Clinical	clinical	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	28	course	course	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	29	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	30	outcomes	outcome	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	31	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	32	critically	critically	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	33	ill	ill	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	34	patients	patient	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	35	with	with	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	36	SARS	SARS	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	37	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	38	CoV-2	CoV-2	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	39	pneumonia	pneumonia	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	40	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	41	Wuhan	Wuhan	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	42	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	43	China	China	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	44	:	:	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	45	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	46	single	single	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	47	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	48	centered	centered	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	49	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	50	retrospective	retrospective	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	51	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	52	observational	observational	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	53	study	study	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	54	Case	case	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	55	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	56	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	57	rate	rate	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	58	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	59	characteristics	characteristic	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	60	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	61	patients	patient	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	62	dying	die	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	63	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	64	relation	relation	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	65	to	to	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	66	COVID-19	covid-19	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	67	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	68	Italy	Italy	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	69	Monitoring	Monitoring	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	70	transmissibility	transmissibility	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	71	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	72	mortality	mortality	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	73	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	74	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	75	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	76	Europe	Europe	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	77	Case	Case	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	78	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	79	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	80	risk	risk	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	81	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	82	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	83	COVID-19	covid-19	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	84	calculated	calculate	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	85	by	by	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	86	using	use	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	87	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	88	lag	lag	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	89	time	time	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	90	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	91	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	92	World	World	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	93	Health	Health	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	94	Organization	Organization	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	305	95	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	306	1	Cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	306	2	Number	number	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	306	3	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	306	4	Reported	reported	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	306	5	Probable	probable	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	306	6	Cases	case	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	306	7	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	306	8	Severe	severe	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	306	9	Acute	acute	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	306	10	Respiratory	Respiratory	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	306	11	Syndrome	Syndrome	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	306	12	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	306	13	SARS	SARS	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	306	14	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	307	1	Epidemiological	epidemiological	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	307	2	determinants	determinant	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	307	3	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	307	4	spread	spread	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	307	5	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	307	6	causal	causal	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	307	7	agent	agent	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	307	8	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	307	9	severe	severe	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	307	10	acute	acute	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	307	11	respiratory	respiratory	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	307	12	syndrome	syndrome	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	307	13	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	307	14	Hong	Hong	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	307	15	Kong	Kong	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	308	1	Early	early	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	308	2	epidemiological	epidemiological	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	308	3	assessment	assessment	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	308	4	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	308	5	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	308	6	virulence	virulence	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	308	7	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	308	8	emerging	emerge	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	308	9	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	308	10	diseases	disease	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	308	11	:	:	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	308	12	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	308	13	case	case	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	308	14	study	study	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	308	15	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	308	16	an	an	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	308	17	influenza	influenza	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	308	18	pandemic	pandemic	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	308	19	COVID-19	covid-19	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	308	20	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	308	21	Mortality	mortality	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	308	22	Rate	rate	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	308	23	Coronavirus	Coronavirus	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	308	24	disease	disease	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	308	25	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	308	26	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	308	27	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	308	28	:	:	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	309	1	Log	Log	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	309	2	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	309	3	major	major	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	309	4	changes	change	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	309	5	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	309	6	errata	errata	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	309	7	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	309	8	WHO	WHO	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	309	9	daily	daily	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	309	10	aggregate	aggregate	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	309	11	case	case	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	309	12	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	309	13	death	death	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	309	14	count	count	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	309	15	data	datum	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	309	16	A	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	309	17	novel	novel	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	309	18	comprehensive	comprehensive	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	309	19	metric	metric	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	309	20	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	309	21	assess	assess	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	309	22	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	309	23	testing	testing	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	309	24	outcomes	outcome	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	309	25	:	:	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	309	26	Effects	effect	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	309	27	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	309	28	geography	geography	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	309	29	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	309	30	government	government	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	309	31	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	309	32	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	309	33	policy	policy	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	309	34	response	response	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	309	35	Infection	infection	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	309	36	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	309	37	rate	rate	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	309	38	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	309	39	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	309	40	inferred	infer	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	309	41	from	from	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	309	42	seroprevalence	seroprevalence	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	309	43	data	datum	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	309	44	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	310	1	Bulletin	bulletin	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	310	2	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	310	3	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	310	4	World	World	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	310	5	Health	Health	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	310	6	Organization	Organization	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	310	7	2020	2020	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	310	8	:	:	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	311	1	Article	article	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	311	2	ID	id	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	311	3	BLT	BLT	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	312	1	Substantial	substantial	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	312	2	undocumented	undocumented	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	312	3	infection	infection	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	312	4	facilitates	facilitate	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	312	5	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	312	6	rapid	rapid	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	312	7	dissemination	dissemination	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	312	8	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	312	9	novel	novel	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	312	10	coronavirus	coronavirus	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	312	11	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	312	12	SARS	SARS	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	312	13	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	312	14	CoV-2	CoV-2	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	312	15	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	313	1	Substantial	substantial	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	313	2	underestimation	underestimation	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	313	3	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	313	4	SARS	SARS	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	313	5	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	313	6	CoV-2	CoV-2	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	313	7	infection	infection	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	313	8	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	313	9	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	313	10	United	United	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	313	11	States	States	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	314	1	How	how	WRB
cord-354133-11b0d499	314	2	accurate	accurate	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	314	3	are	be	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	314	4	Australia	Australia	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	314	5	's	's	POS
cord-354133-11b0d499	314	6	coronavirus	coronavirus	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	314	7	numbers	number	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	314	8	?	?	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	315	1	The	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	315	2	answer	answer	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	315	3	lies	lie	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	315	4	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	315	5	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-354133-11b0d499	315	6	death	death	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	315	7	data	datum	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	315	8	Suppression	suppression	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	315	9	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	315	10	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	315	11	SARS	SARS	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	315	12	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	315	13	CoV-2	CoV-2	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	315	14	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	315	15	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	315	16	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	315	17	Italian	italian	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	315	18	municipality	municipality	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	315	19	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	315	20	Vo	Vo	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	315	21	'	'	POS
cord-354133-11b0d499	315	22	A	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	315	23	dual	dual	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	315	24	antigen	antigen	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	315	25	ELISA	ELISA	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	315	26	allows	allow	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	315	27	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	315	28	assessment	assessment	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	315	29	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	315	30	SARS	SARS	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	315	31	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	315	32	CoV-2	CoV-2	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	315	33	antibody	antibody	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	315	34	seroprevalence	seroprevalence	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	315	35	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	315	36	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	315	37	low	low	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	315	38	transmission	transmission	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	315	39	setting	set	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	315	40	Simpson	Simpson	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	315	41	's	's	POS
cord-354133-11b0d499	315	42	paradox	paradox	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	315	43	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	315	44	Covid-19	covid-19	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	315	45	case	case	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	315	46	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	315	47	rates	rate	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	315	48	:	:	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	315	49	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	315	50	mediation	mediation	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	315	51	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	315	52	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	315	53	age	age	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	315	54	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	315	55	related	relate	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	315	56	causal	causal	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	315	57	effects	effect	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	315	58	Our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-354133-11b0d499	315	59	World	World	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	315	60	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	315	61	Data	Data	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	315	62	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	316	1	Coronavirus	Coronavirus	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	316	2	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	316	3	COVID-19	covid-19	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	316	4	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	316	5	Testing	Testing	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	316	6	Seroprevalence	Seroprevalence	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	316	7	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	316	8	Antibodies	Antibodies	NNPS
cord-354133-11b0d499	316	9	to	to	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	316	10	SARS	SARS	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	316	11	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	316	12	CoV-2	CoV-2	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	316	13	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	316	14	10	10	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	316	15	Sites	site	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	316	16	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	316	17	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	316	18	United	United	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	316	19	States	States	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	316	20	The	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	316	21	Economist	Economist	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	316	22	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	317	1	Tracking	track	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	317	2	covid-19	covid-19	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	317	3	excess	excess	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	317	4	deaths	death	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	317	5	across	across	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	317	6	countries	country	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	317	7	Cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	317	8	incidence	incidence	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	317	9	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	317	10	diagnosis	diagnosis	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	317	11	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	317	12	SARS	SARS	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	317	13	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	317	14	CoV-2	CoV-2	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	317	15	infection	infection	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	317	16	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	317	17	New	New	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	317	18	York	York	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	318	1	Amid	amid	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	318	2	Ongoing	ongoing	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	318	3	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	318	4	Pandemic	Pandemic	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	318	5	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	318	6	Governor	Governor	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	318	7	Cuomo	Cuomo	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	318	8	Announces	announce	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	318	9	Results	result	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	318	10	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	318	11	Completed	Completed	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	318	12	Antibody	Antibody	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	318	13	Testing	Testing	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	318	14	Study	Study	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	318	15	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	318	16	15,000	15,000	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	318	17	People	People	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	318	18	Showing	show	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	318	19	12.3	12.3	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	318	20	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	319	1	CC	CC	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	319	2	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	319	3	BY	BY	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	319	4	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	319	5	NC	NC	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	319	6	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	319	7	ND	ND	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	319	8	4.0	4.0	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	319	9	International	International	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	319	10	license	license	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	319	11	Percent	Percent	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	319	12	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	319	13	Population	Population	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	319	14	Has	have	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	319	15	COVID-19	covid-19	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	319	16	Antibodies	Antibodies	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	319	17	Infection	infection	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	319	18	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	319	19	rate	rate	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	319	20	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	319	21	SARS	SARS	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	319	22	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	319	23	CoV-2	CoV-2	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	319	24	infection	infection	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	319	25	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	319	26	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	319	27	German	german	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	319	28	community	community	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	319	29	with	with	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	319	30	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	319	31	super	super	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	319	32	-	-	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	319	33	spreading	spread	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	319	34	event	event	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	319	35	Seroprevalence	Seroprevalence	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	319	36	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	319	37	anti	anti	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	319	38	-	-	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	319	39	SARS	SARS	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	319	40	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	319	41	CoV-2	CoV-2	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	319	42	IgG	igg	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	319	43	antibodies	antibody	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	319	44	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	319	45	Geneva	Geneva	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	319	46	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	319	47	Switzerland	Switzerland	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	319	48	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	319	49	SEROCoV	SEROCoV	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	319	50	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	319	51	POP	pop	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	319	52	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	319	53	:	:	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	319	54	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	319	55	population	population	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	319	56	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	319	57	based	base	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	319	58	study	study	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	319	59	Public	Public	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	319	60	Health	Health	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	319	61	Agency	Agency	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	319	62	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	319	63	Sweden	Sweden	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	319	64	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	319	65	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	320	1	Första	Första	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	320	2	resultaten	resultaten	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	320	3	om	om	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	320	4	antikroppar	antikroppar	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	320	5	efter	efter	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	320	6	genomgången	genomgången	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	321	1	covid-19	covid-19	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	321	2	hos	hos	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	321	3	blodgivare	blodgivare	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	321	4	Antibody	antibody	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	321	5	prevalence	prevalence	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	321	6	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	321	7	SARS	SARS	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	321	8	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	321	9	CoV-2	CoV-2	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	321	10	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	321	11	England	England	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	321	12	following	follow	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	321	13	first	first	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	321	14	peak	peak	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	321	15	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	321	16	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	321	17	pandemic	pandemic	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	321	18	:	:	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	322	1	REACT2	REACT2	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	322	2	study	study	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	322	3	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	322	4	100,000	100,000	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	322	5	adults	adult	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	322	6	Seroprevalence	Seroprevalence	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	322	7	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	322	8	IgG	IgG	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	322	9	antibodies	antibody	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	322	10	against	against	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	322	11	SARS	SARS	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	322	12	coronavirus	coronavirus	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	322	13	2	2	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	322	14	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	322	15	Belgium	Belgium	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	322	16	:	:	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	322	17	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	322	18	prospective	prospective	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	322	19	cross	cross	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	322	20	-	-	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	322	21	sectional	sectional	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	322	22	study	study	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	322	23	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	322	24	residual	residual	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	322	25	samples	sample	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	322	26	Prevalence	prevalence	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	322	27	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	322	28	SARS	SARS	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	322	29	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	322	30	CoV-2	CoV-2	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	322	31	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	322	32	Spain	Spain	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	323	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	323	2	ENE	ENE	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	323	3	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	323	4	COVID	COVID	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	323	5	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	323	6	:	:	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	324	1	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	324	2	nationwide	nationwide	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	324	3	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	324	4	population	population	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	324	5	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	324	6	based	base	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	324	7	seroepidemiological	seroepidemiological	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	324	8	study	study	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	324	9	SARS	SARS	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	324	10	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	324	11	CoV-2	CoV-2	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	324	12	infection	infection	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	324	13	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	324	14	risk	risk	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	324	15	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	324	16	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	324	17	nationwide	nationwide	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	324	18	seroepidemiological	seroepidemiological	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	324	19	study	study	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	324	20	Primi	Primi	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	324	21	risultati	risultati	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	324	22	dell'indagine	dell'indagine	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	325	1	di	di	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	325	2	sieroprevalenza	sieroprevalenza	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	326	1	SARS	SARS	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	326	2	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	326	3	CoV-2	CoV-2	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	326	4	Seroprevalence	Seroprevalence	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	326	5	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	326	6	SARS	SARS	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	326	7	-	-	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	326	8	CoV-2	CoV-2	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	326	9	significantly	significantly	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	326	10	varies	vary	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	326	11	with	with	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	326	12	age	age	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	326	13	:	:	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	327	1	Preliminary	preliminary	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	327	2	results	result	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	327	3	from	from	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	327	4	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	327	5	mass	mass	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	327	6	population	population	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	327	7	screening	screen	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	327	8	Australian	australian	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	327	9	Government	Government	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	327	10	:	:	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	327	11	Department	Department	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	327	12	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	327	13	Health	Health	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	327	14	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	328	1	Coronavirus	Coronavirus	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	328	2	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	328	3	COVID-19	covid-19	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	328	4	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	328	5	current	current	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	328	6	situation	situation	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	328	7	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	328	8	case	case	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	328	9	numbers	number	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	328	10	Assessing	assess	VBG
cord-354133-11b0d499	328	11	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	328	12	Age	Age	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	328	13	Specificity	Specificity	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	328	14	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	328	15	Infection	Infection	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	328	16	Fatality	Fatality	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	328	17	Rates	Rates	NNPS
cord-354133-11b0d499	328	18	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	328	19	COVID-19	covid-19	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	328	20	:	:	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	329	1	Meta	Meta	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	329	2	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	329	3	Analysis	Analysis	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	329	4	&	&	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	329	5	Public	Public	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	329	6	Policy	Policy	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	329	7	Implications	Implications	NNPS
cord-354133-11b0d499	329	8	Determinants	determinant	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	329	9	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	329	10	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	329	11	Number	Number	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	329	12	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	329	13	Deaths	Deaths	NNPS
cord-354133-11b0d499	329	14	from	from	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	329	15	COVID-19	covid-19	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	329	16	:	:	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	329	17	Differences	difference	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	329	18	between	between	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	329	19	Low	Low	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	329	20	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	329	21	Income	Income	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	329	22	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	329	23	High	High	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	329	24	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	329	25	Income	Income	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	329	26	Countries	Countries	NNPS
cord-354133-11b0d499	329	27	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	329	28	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	329	29	Initial	Initial	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	329	30	Stages	Stages	NNPS
cord-354133-11b0d499	329	31	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	329	32	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	329	33	Pandemic	Pandemic	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	329	34	Targets	Targets	NNPS
cord-354133-11b0d499	329	35	of	of	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	329	36	T	T	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	329	37	cell	cell	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	329	38	responses	response	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	329	39	to	to	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	329	40	SARS	SARS	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	329	41	-	-	HYPH
cord-354133-11b0d499	329	42	CoV-2	CoV-2	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	329	43	coronavirus	coronavirus	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	329	44	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	329	45	humans	human	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	329	46	with	with	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	329	47	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	329	48	disease	disease	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	329	49	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	329	50	unexposed	unexposed	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	329	51	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	330	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-354133-11b0d499	330	2	thank	thank	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	330	3	Dr	Dr	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	330	4	Nick	Nick	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	330	5	Golding	Golding	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	330	6	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	330	7	Curtin	Curtin	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	330	8	University	University	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	330	9	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	330	10	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	330	11	many	many	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	330	12	helpful	helpful	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	330	13	conversations	conversation	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	330	14	and	and	CC
cord-354133-11b0d499	330	15	comments	comment	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	330	16	on	on	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	330	17	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	330	18	manuscript	manuscript	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	330	19	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	331	1	The	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	331	2	data	datum	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	331	3	used	use	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	331	4	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	331	5	study	study	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	331	6	are	be	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	331	7	publicly	publicly	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	331	8	available	available	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	331	9	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	332	1	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	332	2	data	datum	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	332	3	are	be	VBP
cord-354133-11b0d499	332	4	from	from	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	332	5	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	332	6	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	332	7	Data	Data	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	332	8	 	 	_SP
cord-354133-11b0d499	333	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-354133-11b0d499	333	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	333	3	made	make	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	333	4	available	available	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	333	5	under	under	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	333	6	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	333	7	perpetuity.is	perpetuity.is	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	334	1	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	334	2	author	author	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	334	3	/	/	SYM
cord-354133-11b0d499	334	4	funder	funder	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	334	5	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	334	6	who	who	WP
cord-354133-11b0d499	334	7	has	have	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	334	8	granted	grant	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	334	9	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	334	10	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	334	11	license	license	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	334	12	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	334	13	display	display	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	334	14	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	334	15	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	334	16	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	334	17	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	334	18	which	which	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	334	19	was	be	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	334	20	not	not	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	334	21	certified	certify	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	334	22	by	by	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	334	23	peer	peer	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	334	24	review	review	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	334	25	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	335	1	preprintThe	preprintThe	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	335	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	335	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	335	4	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	335	5	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	335	6	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	335	7	version	version	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	335	8	posted	post	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	335	9	October	October	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	335	10	27	27	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	335	11	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	335	12	2020	2020	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	335	13	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	336	1	;	;	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	336	2	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.25.20216671	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.25.20216671	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	336	3	doi	doi	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	336	4	:	:	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	336	5	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	336	6	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	336	7	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-354133-11b0d499	336	8	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	336	9	made	make	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	336	10	available	available	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	336	11	under	under	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	336	12	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	336	13	perpetuity.is	perpetuity.is	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	337	1	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	337	2	author	author	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	337	3	/	/	SYM
cord-354133-11b0d499	337	4	funder	funder	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	337	5	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	337	6	who	who	WP
cord-354133-11b0d499	337	7	has	have	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	337	8	granted	grant	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	337	9	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	337	10	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	337	11	license	license	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	337	12	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	337	13	display	display	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	337	14	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	337	15	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	337	16	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	337	17	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	337	18	which	which	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	337	19	was	be	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	337	20	not	not	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	337	21	certified	certify	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	337	22	by	by	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	337	23	peer	peer	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	337	24	review	review	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	337	25	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	338	1	preprintThe	preprintThe	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	338	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	338	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	338	4	for	for	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	338	5	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	338	6	this	this	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	338	7	version	version	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	338	8	posted	post	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	338	9	October	October	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	338	10	27	27	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	338	11	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	338	12	2020	2020	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	338	13	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	339	1	;	;	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	339	2	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.25.20216671	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.25.20216671	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	339	3	doi	doi	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	339	4	:	:	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	339	5	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	339	6	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	339	7	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-354133-11b0d499	339	8	is	be	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	339	9	made	make	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	339	10	available	available	JJ
cord-354133-11b0d499	339	11	under	under	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	339	12	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	339	13	perpetuity.is	perpetuity.is	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	340	1	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	340	2	author	author	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	340	3	/	/	SYM
cord-354133-11b0d499	340	4	funder	funder	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	340	5	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	340	6	who	who	WP
cord-354133-11b0d499	340	7	has	have	VBZ
cord-354133-11b0d499	340	8	granted	grant	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	340	9	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-354133-11b0d499	340	10	a	a	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	340	11	license	license	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	340	12	to	to	TO
cord-354133-11b0d499	340	13	display	display	VB
cord-354133-11b0d499	340	14	the	the	DT
cord-354133-11b0d499	340	15	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	340	16	in	in	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	340	17	(	(	-LRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	340	18	which	which	WDT
cord-354133-11b0d499	340	19	was	be	VBD
cord-354133-11b0d499	340	20	not	not	RB
cord-354133-11b0d499	340	21	certified	certify	VBN
cord-354133-11b0d499	340	22	by	by	IN
cord-354133-11b0d499	340	23	peer	peer	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	340	24	review	review	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	340	25	)	)	-RRB-
cord-354133-11b0d499	341	1	preprintThe	preprintThe	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	341	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	341	3	holder	holder	NN
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cord-354133-11b0d499	341	6	this	this	DT
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cord-354133-11b0d499	341	9	October	October	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	341	10	27	27	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	341	11	,	,	,
cord-354133-11b0d499	341	12	2020	2020	CD
cord-354133-11b0d499	341	13	.	.	.
cord-354133-11b0d499	342	1	;	;	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	342	2	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.25.20216671	https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.25.20216671	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	342	3	doi	doi	NN
cord-354133-11b0d499	342	4	:	:	:
cord-354133-11b0d499	343	1	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNP
cord-354133-11b0d499	343	2	preprint	preprint	NNP