id	sid	tid	token	lemma	pos
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	1	1	key	key	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	1	2	:	:	:
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	1	3	cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	1	4	authors	author	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	1	5	:	:	:
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	1	6	Narayanan	Narayanan	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	1	7	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	1	8	C.	C.	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	1	9	S.	S.	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	1	10	title	title	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	1	11	:	:	:
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	2	1	Modeling	model	VBG
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	2	2	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	2	3	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	2	4	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	2	5	in	in	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	2	6	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	2	7	United	United	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	2	8	States	States	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	2	9	date	date	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	3	1	:	:	:
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	3	2	2020	2020	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	3	3	-	-	HYPH
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	3	4	05	05	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	3	5	-	-	HYPH
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	3	6	05	05	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	3	7	journal	journal	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	3	8	:	:	:
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	4	1	nan	nan	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	4	2	DOI	DOI	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	4	3	:	:	:
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	5	1	10.1101/2020.04.30.20086884	10.1101/2020.04.30.20086884	LS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	6	1	sha	sha	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	6	2	:	:	:
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	7	1	fc3b98b5f37bd00c145f0fda25b463e922a03809	fc3b98b5f37bd00c145f0fda25b463e922a03809	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	8	1	doc_id	doc_id	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	8	2	:	:	:
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	8	3	279539	279539	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	8	4	cord_uid	cord_uid	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	8	5	:	:	:
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	8	6	s2zv7hr4	s2zv7hr4	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	9	1	The	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	9	2	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	9	3	contagion	contagion	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	9	4	has	have	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	9	5	developed	develop	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	9	6	at	at	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	9	7	an	an	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	9	8	alarming	alarming	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	9	9	rate	rate	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	9	10	in	in	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	9	11	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	9	12	US	US	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	9	13	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	9	14	as	as	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	9	15	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	9	16	April	April	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	9	17	24	24	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	9	18	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	9	19	2020	2020	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	9	20	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	9	21	tens	ten	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	9	22	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	9	23	thousands	thousand	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	9	24	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	9	25	people	people	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	9	26	have	have	VBP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	9	27	already	already	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	9	28	died	die	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	9	29	from	from	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	9	30	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	9	31	disease	disease	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	9	32	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	10	1	In	in	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	10	2	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	10	3	event	event	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	10	4	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	10	5	an	an	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	10	6	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	10	7	like	like	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	10	8	such	such	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	10	9	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	10	10	forecasting	forecast	VBG
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	10	11	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	10	12	extent	extent	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	10	13	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	10	14	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	10	15	mortality	mortality	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	10	16	that	that	WDT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	10	17	will	will	MD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	10	18	occur	occur	VB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	10	19	is	be	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	10	20	crucial	crucial	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	10	21	to	to	TO
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	10	22	aid	aid	VB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	10	23	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	10	24	implementation	implementation	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	10	25	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	10	26	effective	effective	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	10	27	interventions	intervention	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	10	28	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	11	1	Mortality	mortality	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	11	2	depends	depend	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	11	3	on	on	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	11	4	two	two	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	11	5	factors	factor	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	11	6	:	:	:
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	11	7	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	11	8	case	case	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	11	9	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	11	10	rate	rate	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	11	11	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	11	12	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	11	13	case	case	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	11	14	incidence	incidence	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	11	15	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	12	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	12	2	combine	combine	VBP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	12	3	a	a	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	12	4	cohort	cohort	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	12	5	-	-	HYPH
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	12	6	based	base	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	12	7	model	model	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	12	8	that	that	WDT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	12	9	determines	determine	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	12	10	case	case	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	12	11	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	12	12	rates	rate	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	12	13	along	along	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	12	14	with	with	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	12	15	a	a	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	12	16	modified	modify	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	12	17	logistic	logistic	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	12	18	model	model	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	12	19	that	that	WDT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	12	20	evaluates	evaluate	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	12	21	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	12	22	case	case	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	12	23	incidence	incidence	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	12	24	to	to	TO
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	12	25	determine	determine	VB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	12	26	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	12	27	number	number	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	12	28	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	12	29	deaths	death	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	12	30	in	in	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	12	31	all	all	PDT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	12	32	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	12	33	US	US	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	12	34	states	state	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	12	35	over	over	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	12	36	time	time	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	12	37	;	;	:
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	12	38	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	12	39	model	model	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	12	40	is	be	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	12	41	also	also	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	12	42	able	able	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	12	43	to	to	TO
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	12	44	include	include	VB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	12	45	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	12	46	impact	impact	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	12	47	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	12	48	interventions	intervention	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	12	49	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	13	1	Both	both	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	13	2	models	model	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	13	3	yield	yield	VBP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	13	4	exceptional	exceptional	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	13	5	goodness	goodness	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	13	6	-	-	HYPH
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	13	7	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	13	8	-	-	HYPH
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	13	9	fit	fit	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	13	10	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	14	1	The	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	14	2	model	model	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	14	3	predicted	predict	VBD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	14	4	a	a	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	14	5	range	range	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	14	6	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	14	7	death	death	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	14	8	outcomes	outcome	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	14	9	(	(	-LRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	14	10	79k	79k	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	14	11	to	to	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	14	12	246k	246k	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	14	13	)	)	-RRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	14	14	all	all	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	14	15	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	14	16	which	which	WDT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	14	17	are	be	VBP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	14	18	considerably	considerably	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	14	19	greater	great	JJR
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	14	20	than	than	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	14	21	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	14	22	figures	figure	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	14	23	presented	present	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	14	24	in	in	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	14	25	mainstream	mainstream	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	14	26	media	medium	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	14	27	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	15	1	This	this	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	15	2	model	model	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	15	3	can	can	MD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	15	4	be	be	VB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	15	5	used	use	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	15	6	more	more	RBR
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	15	7	effectively	effectively	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	15	8	than	than	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	15	9	current	current	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	15	10	models	model	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	15	11	to	to	TO
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	15	12	estimate	estimate	VB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	15	13	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	15	14	number	number	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	15	15	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	15	16	deaths	death	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	15	17	during	during	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	15	18	an	an	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	15	19	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	15	20	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	15	21	allowing	allow	VBG
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	15	22	for	for	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	15	23	better	well	JJR
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	15	24	planning	planning	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	15	25	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	16	1	The	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	16	2	first	first	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	16	3	case	case	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	16	4	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	16	5	coronavirus	coronavirus	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	16	6	disease	disease	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	16	7	2019	2019	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	16	8	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	16	9	or	or	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	16	10	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	16	11	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	16	12	a	a	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	16	13	respiratory	respiratory	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	16	14	infection	infection	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	16	15	caused	cause	VBD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	16	16	2	2	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	16	17	by	by	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	16	18	severe	severe	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	16	19	acute	acute	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	16	20	respiratory	respiratory	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	16	21	syndrome	syndrome	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	16	22	coronavirus	coronavirus	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	16	23	2	2	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	17	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	17	2	SARS	SARS	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	17	3	-	-	HYPH
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	17	4	CoV-2	CoV-2	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	17	5	)	)	-RRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	17	6	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	17	7	was	be	VBD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	17	8	first	first	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	17	9	identified	identify	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	17	10	3	3	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	17	11	in	in	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	17	12	Wuhan	Wuhan	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	17	13	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	17	14	China	China	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	17	15	in	in	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	17	16	late	late	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	17	17	2019	2019	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	17	18	[	[	-LRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	17	19	1	1	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	17	20	]	]	-RRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	17	21	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	18	1	Subsequently	subsequently	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	18	2	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	18	3	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	18	4	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	18	5	has	have	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	18	6	spread	spread	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	18	7	to	to	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	18	8	212	212	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	18	9	[	[	-LRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	18	10	2	2	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	18	11	]	]	-RRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	18	12	4	4	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	18	13	countries	country	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	18	14	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	18	15	including	include	VBG
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	18	16	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	18	17	United	United	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	18	18	States	States	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	18	19	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	18	20	where	where	WRB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	18	21	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	18	22	first	first	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	18	23	case	case	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	18	24	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	18	25	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	18	26	was	be	VBD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	18	27	detected	detect	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	18	28	5	5	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	18	29	in	in	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	18	30	Washington	Washington	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	18	31	state	state	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	18	32	on	on	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	18	33	January	January	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	18	34	20	20	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	18	35	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	18	36	2020	2020	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	18	37	[	[	-LRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	18	38	3	3	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	18	39	]	]	-RRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	18	40	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	19	1	As	as	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	19	2	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	19	3	April	April	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	19	4	24	24	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	19	5	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	19	6	2020	2020	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	19	7	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	19	8	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	19	9	U.S	U.S	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	19	10	has	have	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	19	11	6	6	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	19	12	reported	report	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	19	13	830053	830053	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	19	14	cases	case	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	19	15	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	19	16	42311	42311	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	19	17	deaths	death	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	19	18	[	[	-LRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	19	19	4	4	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	19	20	]	]	-RRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	19	21	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	20	1	7	7	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	21	1	As	as	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	21	2	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	21	3	pandemic	pandemic	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	21	4	progresses	progress	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	21	5	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	21	6	determining	determine	VBG
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	21	7	its	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	21	8	prognosis	prognosis	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	21	9	is	be	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	21	10	essential	essential	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	21	11	to	to	TO
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	21	12	inform	inform	VB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	21	13	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	21	14	8	8	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	21	15	adoption	adoption	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	21	16	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	21	17	adequate	adequate	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	21	18	mitigation	mitigation	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	21	19	efforts	effort	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	21	20	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	22	1	Many	many	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	22	2	have	have	VBP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	22	3	attempted	attempt	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	22	4	to	to	TO
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	22	5	forecast	forecast	VB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	22	6	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	22	7	trajectory	trajectory	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	22	8	9	9	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	22	9	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	22	10	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	22	11	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	22	12	in	in	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	22	13	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	22	14	United	United	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	22	15	States	States	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	22	16	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	22	17	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	22	18	at	at	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	22	19	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	22	20	forefront	forefront	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	22	21	is	be	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	22	22	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	22	23	White	White	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	22	24	House	House	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	22	25	11	11	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	22	26	Dr.	Dr.	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	22	27	Fauci	Fauci	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	22	28	suggested	suggest	VBD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	22	29	that	that	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	22	30	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	22	31	US	US	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	22	32	would	would	MD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	22	33	likely	likely	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	22	34	face	face	VB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	22	35	100,000	100,000	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	22	36	to	to	TO
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	22	37	200,000	200,000	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	22	38	deaths	death	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	22	39	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	22	40	with	with	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	22	41	12	12	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	22	42	millions	million	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	22	43	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	22	44	cases	case	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	22	45	[	[	-LRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	22	46	7	7	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	22	47	]	]	-RRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	22	48	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	23	1	However	however	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	23	2	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	23	3	on	on	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	23	4	April	April	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	23	5	9	9	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	23	6	he	-PRON-	PRP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	23	7	said	say	VBD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	23	8	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	23	9	estimate	estimate	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	23	10	had	have	VBD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	23	11	been	be	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	23	12	revised	revise	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	23	13	down	down	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	23	14	13	13	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	23	15	to	to	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	23	16	60,000	60,000	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	23	17	[	[	-LRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	23	18	8	8	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	23	19	]	]	-RRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	23	20	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	24	1	Moreover	moreover	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	24	2	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	24	3	a	a	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	24	4	model	model	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	24	5	by	by	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	24	6	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	24	7	University	University	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	24	8	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	24	9	Washington	Washington	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	24	10	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	24	11	closely	closely	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	24	12	followed	follow	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	24	13	by	by	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	24	14	14	14	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	24	15	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	24	16	White	White	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	24	17	House	House	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	24	18	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	24	19	projects	project	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	24	20	67,000	67,000	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	24	21	deaths	death	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	24	22	as	as	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	24	23	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	24	24	April	April	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	24	25	24	24	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	24	26	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	24	27	2020	2020	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	24	28	[	[	-LRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	24	29	9	9	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	24	30	]	]	-RRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	24	31	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	24	32	in	in	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	24	33	line	line	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	24	34	with	with	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	24	35	Dr.	Dr.	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	24	36	15	15	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	24	37	Fauci	Fauci	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	24	38	's	's	POS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	24	39	statement	statement	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	24	40	[	[	-LRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	24	41	8	8	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	24	42	]	]	-RRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	24	43	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	25	1	16	16	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	26	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	26	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	26	3	well	well	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	26	4	-	-	HYPH
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	26	5	known	know	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	26	6	that	that	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	26	7	there	there	EX
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	26	8	is	be	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	26	9	a	a	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	26	10	wide	wide	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	26	11	variance	variance	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	26	12	in	in	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	26	13	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	26	14	sizes	size	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	26	15	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	26	16	outbreaks	outbreak	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	26	17	between	between	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	26	18	states	state	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	26	19	17	17	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	26	20	as	as	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	26	21	well	well	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	26	22	as	as	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	26	23	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	26	24	resulting	result	VBG
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	26	25	incidence	incidence	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	26	26	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	26	27	deaths	death	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	26	28	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	27	1	The	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	27	2	primary	primary	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	27	3	reason	reason	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	27	4	for	for	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	27	5	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	27	6	variance	variance	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	27	7	is	be	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	27	8	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	27	9	18	18	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	27	10	uncertainty	uncertainty	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	27	11	in	in	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	27	12	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	27	13	prediction	prediction	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	27	14	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	27	15	infections	infection	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	27	16	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	27	17	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	27	18	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	27	19	rate	rate	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	27	20	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	27	21	infected	infected	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	27	22	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	27	23	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	28	1	improved	improve	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	28	2	models	model	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	28	3	to	to	TO
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	28	4	determine	determine	VB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	28	5	both	both	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	28	6	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	28	7	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	28	8	case	case	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	28	9	incidence	incidence	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	28	10	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	28	11	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	28	12	case	case	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	28	13	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	28	14	21	21	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	28	15	rate	rate	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	28	16	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	29	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	29	2	calculated	calculate	VBD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	29	3	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	29	4	case	case	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	29	5	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	29	6	rate	rate	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	29	7	(	(	-LRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	29	8	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	29	9	)	)	-RRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	29	10	for	for	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	29	11	each	each	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	29	12	state	state	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	29	13	using	use	VBG
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	29	14	a	a	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	29	15	cohort	cohort	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	29	16	-	-	HYPH
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	29	17	based	base	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	29	18	22	22	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	29	19	approach	approach	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	29	20	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	29	21	which	which	WDT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	29	22	has	have	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	29	23	demonstrated	demonstrate	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	29	24	greater	great	JJR
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	29	25	accuracy	accuracy	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	29	26	than	than	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	29	27	traditional	traditional	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	29	28	methods	method	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	29	29	[	[	-LRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	29	30	10	10	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	29	31	]	]	-RRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	29	32	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	30	1	23	23	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	31	1	Additionally	additionally	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	31	2	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	31	3	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	31	4	number	number	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	31	5	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	31	6	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	31	7	cases	case	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	31	8	in	in	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	31	9	each	each	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	31	10	state	state	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	31	11	is	be	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	31	12	predicted	predict	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	31	13	using	use	VBG
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	31	14	a	a	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	31	15	modified	modify	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	31	16	24	24	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	31	17	logistic	logistic	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	31	18	model	model	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	31	19	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	32	1	Combining	combine	VBG
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	32	2	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	32	3	two	two	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	32	4	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	32	5	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	32	6	are	be	VBP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	32	7	able	able	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	32	8	to	to	TO
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	32	9	forecast	forecast	VB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	32	10	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	32	11	number	number	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	32	12	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	32	13	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	32	14	25	25	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	32	15	deaths	death	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	32	16	by	by	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	32	17	state	state	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	32	18	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	33	1	Additionally	additionally	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	33	2	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	33	3	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	33	4	analyze	analyze	VBP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	33	5	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	33	6	drivers	driver	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	33	7	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	33	8	deaths	death	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	33	9	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	33	10	discuss	discuss	VB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	33	11	implications	implication	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	33	12	26	26	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	33	13	on	on	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	33	14	policy	policy	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	33	15	formation	formation	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	33	16	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	34	1	27	27	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	34	2	 	 	_SP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	35	1	Data	datum	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	35	2	sources	source	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	35	3	29	29	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	36	1	The	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	36	2	primary	primary	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	36	3	data	datum	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	36	4	for	for	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	36	5	this	this	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	36	6	study	study	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	36	7	is	be	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	36	8	publicly	publicly	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	36	9	available	available	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	36	10	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	36	11	was	be	VBD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	36	12	obtained	obtain	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	36	13	from	from	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	36	14	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	36	15	Center	Center	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	36	16	30	30	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	36	17	for	for	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	36	18	Systems	Systems	NNPS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	36	19	Science	Science	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	36	20	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	36	21	Engineering	Engineering	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	36	22	(	(	-LRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	36	23	CSSE	CSSE	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	36	24	)	)	-RRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	36	25	at	at	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	36	26	Johns	Johns	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	36	27	Hopkins	Hopkins	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	36	28	University	University	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	36	29	[	[	-LRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	36	30	11	11	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	36	31	]	]	-RRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	36	32	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	37	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	37	2	31	31	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	37	3	obtained	obtain	VBD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	37	4	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	37	5	data	datum	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	37	6	pertaining	pertain	VBG
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	37	7	to	to	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	37	8	daily	daily	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	37	9	new	new	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	37	10	cases	case	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	37	11	/	/	SYM
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	37	12	deaths	death	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	37	13	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	37	14	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	37	15	cases	case	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	37	16	/	/	SYM
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	37	17	deaths	death	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	37	18	for	for	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	37	19	32	32	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	37	20	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	37	21	period	period	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	37	22	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	37	23	January	January	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	37	24	22	22	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	37	25	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	37	26	2020	2020	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	37	27	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	37	28	to	to	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	37	29	April	April	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	37	30	24	24	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	37	31	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	37	32	2020	2020	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	37	33	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	38	1	In	in	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	38	2	addition	addition	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	38	3	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	38	4	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	38	5	obtained	obtain	VBD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	38	6	US	US	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	38	7	state	state	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	38	8	33	33	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	38	9	population	population	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	38	10	data	datum	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	38	11	from	from	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	38	12	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	38	13	2010	2010	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	38	14	United	United	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	38	15	States	States	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	38	16	Census	Census	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	38	17	Bureau	Bureau	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	38	18	[	[	-LRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	38	19	12	12	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	38	20	]	]	-RRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	38	21	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	39	1	The	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	39	2	number	number	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	39	3	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	39	4	34	34	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	39	5	deaths	death	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	39	6	is	be	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	39	7	a	a	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	39	8	product	product	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	39	9	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	39	10	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	39	11	case	case	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	39	12	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	39	13	rate	rate	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	39	14	(	(	-LRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	39	15	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	39	16	)	)	-RRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	39	17	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	39	18	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	39	19	population	population	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	39	20	confirmed	confirm	VBD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	39	21	to	to	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	39	22	35	35	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	39	23	have	have	VBP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	39	24	been	be	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	39	25	infected	infect	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	39	26	[	[	-LRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	39	27	13	13	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	39	28	]	]	-RRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	39	29	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	40	1	Therefore	therefore	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	40	2	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	40	3	in	in	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	40	4	order	order	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	40	5	to	to	TO
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	40	6	determine	determine	VB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	40	7	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	40	8	fatalities	fatality	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	40	9	due	due	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	40	10	to	to	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	40	11	36	36	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	40	12	COVID-19	covid-19	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	40	13	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	40	14	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	40	15	is	be	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	40	16	necessary	necessary	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	40	17	to	to	TO
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	40	18	first	first	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	40	19	predict	predict	VB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	40	20	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	40	21	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	40	22	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	40	23	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	40	24	number	number	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	40	25	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	40	26	cases	case	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	40	27	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	41	1	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	41	2	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	41	3	case	case	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	41	4	37	37	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	41	5	incidence	incidence	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	41	6	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	41	7	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	41	8	deaths	death	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	41	9	were	be	VBD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	41	10	evaluated	evaluate	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	41	11	for	for	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	41	12	all	all	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	41	13	fifty	fifty	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	41	14	states	state	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	41	15	as	as	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	41	16	well	well	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	41	17	as	as	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	41	18	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	41	19	District	District	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	41	20	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	41	21	38	38	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	41	22	Columbia	Columbia	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	41	23	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	42	1	Calculating	calculate	VBG
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	42	2	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	42	3	There	there	EX
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	42	4	are	be	VBP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	42	5	three	three	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	42	6	principal	principal	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	42	7	measures	measure	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	42	8	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	42	9	disease	disease	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	42	10	lethality	lethality	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	42	11	:	:	:
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	42	12	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	42	13	case	case	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	42	14	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	42	15	rate	rate	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	42	16	(	(	-LRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	42	17	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	42	18	)	)	-RRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	42	19	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	42	20	41	41	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	42	21	infection	infection	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	42	22	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	42	23	rate	rate	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	42	24	(	(	-LRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	42	25	IFR	IFR	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	42	26	)	)	-RRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	42	27	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	42	28	mortality	mortality	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	42	29	rate	rate	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	42	30	(	(	-LRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	42	31	MR	MR	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	42	32	)	)	-RRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	42	33	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	43	1	The	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	43	2	mortality	mortality	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	43	3	rate	rate	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	43	4	is	be	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	43	5	represented	represent	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	43	6	42	42	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	43	7	by	by	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	43	8	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	43	9	proportion	proportion	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	43	10	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	43	11	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	43	12	deaths	death	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	43	13	to	to	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	43	14	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	43	15	total	total	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	43	16	at	at	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	43	17	-	-	HYPH
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	43	18	risk	risk	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	43	19	population	population	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	43	20	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	44	1	This	this	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	44	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	44	3	43	43	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	44	4	ultimately	ultimately	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	44	5	indicative	indicative	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	44	6	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	44	7	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	44	8	probability	probability	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	44	9	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	44	10	any	any	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	44	11	individual	individual	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	44	12	's	's	POS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	44	13	mortality	mortality	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	44	14	among	among	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	44	15	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	44	16	total	total	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	44	17	44	44	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	44	18	population	population	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	44	19	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	45	1	The	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	45	2	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	45	3	uses	use	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	45	4	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	45	5	same	same	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	45	6	numerator	numerator	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	45	7	(	(	-LRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	45	8	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	45	9	deaths	death	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	45	10	)	)	-RRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	45	11	but	but	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	45	12	instead	instead	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	45	13	divides	divide	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	45	14	45	45	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	45	15	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	45	16	by	by	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	45	17	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	45	18	number	number	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	45	19	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	45	20	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	45	21	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	45	22	cases	case	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	45	23	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	46	1	The	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	46	2	case	case	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	46	3	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	47	1	[	[	-LRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	47	2	14	14	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	47	3	]	]	-RRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	47	4	rate	rate	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	47	5	is	be	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	47	6	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	47	7	46	46	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	47	8	proportion	proportion	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	47	9	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	47	10	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	47	11	who	who	WP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	47	12	die	die	VBP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	47	13	from	from	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	47	14	a	a	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	47	15	disease	disease	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	47	16	among	among	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	47	17	all	all	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	47	18	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	47	19	diagnosed	diagnose	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	47	20	with	with	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	47	21	47	47	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	47	22	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	47	23	disease	disease	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	47	24	within	within	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	47	25	a	a	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	47	26	specified	specify	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	47	27	timeframe	timeframe	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	47	28	[	[	-LRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	47	29	15	15	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	47	30	]	]	-RRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	47	31	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	48	1	That	that	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	48	2	is	is	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	48	3	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	48	4	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	48	5	reveals	reveal	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	48	6	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	48	7	percentage	percentage	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	48	8	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	48	9	48	48	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	48	10	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	48	11	that	that	WDT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	48	12	die	die	VBP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	48	13	among	among	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	48	14	all	all	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	48	15	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	48	16	who	who	WP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	48	17	test	test	VBP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	48	18	positive	positive	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	48	19	for	for	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	48	20	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	48	21	disease	disease	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	48	22	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	49	1	The	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	49	2	IFR	IFR	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	49	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	49	4	49	49	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	49	5	similar	similar	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	49	6	to	to	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	49	7	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	49	8	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	49	9	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	49	10	except	except	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	49	11	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	49	12	represents	represent	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	49	13	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	49	14	ratio	ratio	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	49	15	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	49	16	deaths	death	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	49	17	to	to	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	49	18	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	49	19	total	total	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	49	20	number	number	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	49	21	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	49	22	50	50	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	49	23	people	people	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	49	24	who	who	WP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	49	25	are	be	VBP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	49	26	infected	infect	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	49	27	;	;	:
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	49	28	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	49	29	accounts	account	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	49	30	for	for	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	49	31	all	all	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	49	32	infected	infect	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	49	33	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	49	34	regardless	regardless	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	49	35	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	49	36	whether	whether	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	49	37	51	51	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	49	38	their	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	49	39	disease	disease	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	49	40	is	be	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	49	41	reported	report	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	49	42	or	or	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	49	43	not	not	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	49	44	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	50	1	In	in	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	50	2	an	an	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	50	3	ideal	ideal	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	50	4	scenario	scenario	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	50	5	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	50	6	where	where	WRB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	50	7	zero	zero	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	50	8	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	50	9	with	with	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	50	10	52	52	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	50	11	COVID-19	covid-19	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	50	12	went	go	VBD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	50	13	unnoticed	unnoticed	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	50	14	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	50	15	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	50	16	surveillance	surveillance	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	50	17	was	be	VBD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	50	18	faultless	faultless	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	50	19	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	50	20	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	50	21	IFR	IFR	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	50	22	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	50	23	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	50	24	would	would	MD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	50	25	be	be	VB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	50	26	53	53	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	50	27	equivalent	equivalent	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	50	28	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	51	1	However	however	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	51	2	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	51	3	this	this	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	51	4	is	be	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	51	5	not	not	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	51	6	truly	truly	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	51	7	plausible	plausible	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	51	8	;	;	:
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	51	9	testing	testing	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	51	10	is	be	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	51	11	limited	limit	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	51	12	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	51	13	asymptomatic	asymptomatic	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	51	14	54	54	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	51	15	infections	infection	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	51	16	commonly	commonly	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	51	17	are	be	VBP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	51	18	not	not	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	51	19	surveilled	surveille	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	51	20	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	51	21	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	52	1	not	not	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	52	2	all	all	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	52	3	instances	instance	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	52	4	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	52	5	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	52	6	disease	disease	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	52	7	are	be	VBP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	52	8	55	55	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	52	9	accounted	account	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	52	10	for	for	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	52	11	in	in	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	52	12	reality	reality	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	52	13	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	53	1	As	as	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	53	2	a	a	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	53	3	result	result	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	53	4	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	53	5	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	53	6	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	53	7	that	that	WDT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	53	8	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	53	9	calculate	calculate	VBP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	53	10	will	will	MD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	53	11	be	be	VB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	53	12	much	much	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	53	13	higher	high	JJR
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	53	14	56	56	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	53	15	than	than	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	53	16	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	53	17	IFR	IFR	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	53	18	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	53	19	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	53	20	mortality	mortality	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	53	21	rate	rate	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	53	22	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	54	1	In	in	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	54	2	this	this	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	54	3	paper	paper	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	54	4	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	54	5	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	54	6	use	use	VBP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	54	7	a	a	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	54	8	logistical	logistical	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	54	9	function	function	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	54	10	[	[	-LRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	54	11	10	10	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	54	12	]	]	-RRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	54	13	to	to	TO
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	54	14	describe	describe	VB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	54	15	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	54	16	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	54	17	growth	growth	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	54	18	58	58	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	54	19	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	54	20	subsequent	subsequent	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	54	21	flattening	flattening	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	54	22	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	54	23	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	54	24	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	54	25	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	55	1	The	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	55	2	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	55	3	depends	depend	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	55	4	on	on	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	55	5	three	three	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	55	6	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	55	7	:	:	:
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	55	8	59	59	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	55	9	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	55	10	final	final	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	55	11	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	55	12	(	(	-LRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	55	13	L	L	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	55	14	)	)	-RRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	55	15	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	55	16	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	55	17	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	55	18	growth	growth	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	55	19	rate	rate	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	55	20	(	(	-LRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	55	21	k	k	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	55	22	)	)	-RRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	55	23	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	55	24	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	55	25	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	55	26	onset	onset	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	55	27	-	-	HYPH
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	55	28	to	to	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	55	29	-	-	HYPH
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	55	30	death	death	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	55	31	interval	interval	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	55	32	(	(	-LRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	55	33	t	t	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	55	34	0	0	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	55	35	)	)	-RRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	55	36	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	55	37	is	be	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	55	38	60	60	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	55	39	expressed	express	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	55	40	as	as	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	55	41	:	:	:
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	56	1	Using	use	VBG
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	56	2	this	this	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	56	3	model	model	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	56	4	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	56	5	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	56	6	calculate	calculate	VBP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	56	7	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	56	8	number	number	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	56	9	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	56	10	deaths	death	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	56	11	each	each	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	56	12	day	day	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	56	13	for	for	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	56	14	each	each	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	56	15	cohort	cohort	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	56	16	or	or	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	56	17	62	62	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	56	18	group	group	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	56	19	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	56	20	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	56	21	infected	infect	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	56	22	on	on	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	56	23	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	56	24	same	same	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	56	25	day	day	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	56	26	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	57	1	Next	next	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	57	2	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	57	3	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	57	4	build	build	VBP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	57	5	an	an	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	57	6	objective	objective	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	57	7	function	function	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	57	8	that	that	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	57	9	63	63	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	57	10	April	April	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	57	11	30	30	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	57	12	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	57	13	2020	2020	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	57	14	2/10	2/10	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	57	15	minimizes	minimize	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	57	16	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	57	17	root	root	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	57	18	mean	mean	VBP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	57	19	square	square	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	57	20	error	error	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	57	21	between	between	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	57	22	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	57	23	actual	actual	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	57	24	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	57	25	predicted	predict	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	57	26	values	value	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	57	27	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	57	28	64	64	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	57	29	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	57	30	deaths	death	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	57	31	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	58	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	58	2	ran	run	VBD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	58	3	125,000	125,000	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	58	4	simulations	simulation	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	58	5	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	58	6	using	use	VBG
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	58	7	numerous	numerous	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	58	8	values	value	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	58	9	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	58	10	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	58	11	65	65	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	58	12	onset	onset	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	58	13	-	-	HYPH
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	58	14	to	to	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	58	15	-	-	HYPH
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	58	16	death	death	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	58	17	interval	interval	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	58	18	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	58	19	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	58	20	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	58	21	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	58	22	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	58	23	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	58	24	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	58	25	growth	growth	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	58	26	rate	rate	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	58	27	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	59	1	The	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	59	2	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	59	3	was	be	VBD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	59	4	kept	keep	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	59	5	in	in	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	59	6	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	59	7	66	66	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	59	8	range	range	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	59	9	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	59	10	0.5	0.5	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	59	11	%	%	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	59	12	to	to	TO
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	59	13	20	20	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	59	14	%	%	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	59	15	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	59	16	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	59	17	slope	slope	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	59	18	was	be	VBD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	59	19	kept	keep	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	59	20	in	in	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	59	21	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	59	22	range	range	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	59	23	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	59	24	0.005	0.005	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	59	25	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	59	26	0.7	0.7	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	59	27	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	59	28	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	59	29	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	59	30	67	67	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	59	31	onset	onset	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	59	32	-	-	HYPH
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	59	33	to	to	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	59	34	-	-	HYPH
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	59	35	death	death	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	59	36	interval	interval	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	59	37	bounded	bound	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	59	38	between	between	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	59	39	0	0	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	59	40	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	59	41	60	60	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	59	42	days	day	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	59	43	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	60	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	60	2	assigned	assign	VBD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	60	3	these	these	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	60	4	bounds	bound	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	60	5	68	68	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	60	6	because	because	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	60	7	after	after	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	60	8	in	in	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	60	9	-	-	HYPH
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	60	10	depth	depth	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	60	11	explorations	exploration	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	60	12	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	60	13	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	60	14	model	model	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	60	15	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	60	16	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	60	17	were	be	VBD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	60	18	convinced	convince	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	60	19	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	60	20	solutions	solution	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	60	21	would	would	MD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	60	22	69	69	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	60	23	be	be	VB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	60	24	within	within	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	60	25	these	these	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	60	26	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	60	27	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	61	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	61	2	then	then	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	61	3	identify	identify	VBP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	61	4	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	61	5	model	model	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	61	6	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	61	7	that	that	WDT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	61	8	best	good	JJS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	61	9	fit	fit	VBP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	61	10	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	61	11	70	70	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	61	12	data	datum	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	61	13	(	(	-LRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	61	14	top	top	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	61	15	1	1	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	61	16	%	%	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	61	17	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	61	18	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	61	19	best	well	RBS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	61	20	-	-	HYPH
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	61	21	fit	fit	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	61	22	RMSE	rmse	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	61	23	)	)	-RRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	61	24	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	62	1	With	with	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	62	2	a	a	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	62	3	kernel	kernel	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	62	4	density	density	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	62	5	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	62	6	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	62	7	case	case	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	62	8	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	62	9	71	71	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	62	10	rates	rate	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	62	11	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	62	12	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	62	13	determined	determine	VBD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	62	14	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	62	15	low	low	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	62	16	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	62	17	(	(	-LRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	62	18	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	62	19	lowest	low	JJS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	62	20	value	value	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	62	21	regardless	regardless	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	62	22	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	62	23	its	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	62	24	frequency	frequency	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	62	25	)	)	-RRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	62	26	;	;	:
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	62	27	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	62	28	72	72	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	62	29	mode	mode	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	62	30	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	62	31	(	(	-LRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	62	32	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	62	33	most	most	RBS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	62	34	probable	probable	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	62	35	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	62	36	)	)	-RRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	62	37	;	;	:
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	62	38	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	62	39	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	62	40	high	high	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	62	41	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	62	42	(	(	-LRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	62	43	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	62	44	highest	high	JJS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	62	45	value	value	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	62	46	regardless	regardless	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	62	47	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	62	48	73	73	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	62	49	its	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	62	50	frequency	frequency	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	62	51	)	)	-RRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	62	52	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	63	1	methods	method	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	63	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	63	3	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	63	4	incorporation	incorporation	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	63	5	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	63	6	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	63	7	growth	growth	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	63	8	rate	rate	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	63	9	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	64	1	In	in	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	64	2	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	64	3	SIR	SIR	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	64	4	model	model	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	64	5	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	64	6	this	this	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	64	7	is	be	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	64	8	R	r	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	64	9	0	0	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	64	10	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	64	11	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	64	12	81	81	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	64	13	transmission	transmission	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	64	14	rate	rate	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	64	15	-	-	HYPH
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	64	16	given	give	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	64	17	that	that	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	64	18	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	64	19	population	population	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	64	20	lacks	lack	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	64	21	immunity	immunity	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	64	22	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	64	23	there	there	EX
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	64	24	are	be	VBP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	64	25	no	no	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	64	26	deliberate	deliberate	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	64	27	82	82	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	64	28	interventions	intervention	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	64	29	to	to	TO
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	64	30	impede	impede	VB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	64	31	disease	disease	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	64	32	transmission	transmission	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	64	33	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	65	1	The	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	65	2	number	number	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	65	3	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	65	4	infections	infection	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	65	5	will	will	MD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	65	6	continuously	continuously	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	65	7	83	83	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	65	8	rise	rise	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	65	9	in	in	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	65	10	a	a	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	65	11	population	population	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	65	12	if	if	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	65	13	R	r	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	65	14	0	0	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	65	15	>	>	SYM
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	65	16	1	1	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	65	17	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	65	18	will	will	MD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	65	19	remain	remain	VB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	65	20	steady	steady	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	65	21	if	if	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	65	22	R	r	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	65	23	0	0	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	65	24	=	=	SYM
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	65	25	1	1	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	65	26	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	65	27	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	65	28	will	will	MD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	65	29	decrease	decrease	VB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	65	30	if	if	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	65	31	R	r	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	65	32	0	0	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	65	33	<	<	XX
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	65	34	1	1	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	65	35	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	66	1	84	84	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	67	1	To	to	TO
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	67	2	explicitly	explicitly	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	67	3	account	account	VB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	67	4	for	for	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	67	5	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	67	6	impact	impact	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	67	7	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	67	8	mitigation	mitigation	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	67	9	efforts	effort	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	67	10	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	67	11	models	model	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	67	12	must	must	MD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	67	13	support	support	VB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	67	14	gradual	gradual	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	67	15	85	85	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	67	16	changes	change	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	67	17	in	in	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	67	18	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	67	19	shape	shape	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	67	20	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	67	21	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	67	22	case	case	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	67	23	growth	growth	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	67	24	rate	rate	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	67	25	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	68	1	The	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	68	2	logistic	logistic	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	68	3	model	model	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	68	4	forecasts	forecast	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	68	5	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	68	6	slow	slow	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	68	7	initial	initial	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	68	8	rise	rise	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	68	9	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	68	10	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	68	11	growth	growth	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	68	12	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	68	13	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	68	14	eventual	eventual	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	68	15	87	87	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	68	16	decay	decay	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	68	17	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	68	18	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	68	19	cases	case	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	68	20	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	68	21	but	but	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	68	22	can	can	MD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	68	23	not	not	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	68	24	account	account	VB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	68	25	for	for	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	68	26	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	68	27	changes	change	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	68	28	that	that	WDT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	68	29	result	result	VBP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	68	30	from	from	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	68	31	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	68	32	:	:	:
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	68	33	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	68	34	terminal	terminal	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	68	35	number	number	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	68	36	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	68	37	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	68	38	cases	case	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	68	39	(	(	-LRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	68	40	C	C	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	68	41	)	)	-RRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	68	42	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	68	43	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	68	44	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	68	45	growth	growth	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	68	46	rate	rate	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	68	47	(	(	-LRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	68	48	r	r	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	68	49	)	)	-RRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	68	50	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	68	51	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	68	52	94	94	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	68	53	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	68	54	days	day	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	68	55	to	to	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	68	56	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	68	57	inflection	inflection	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	68	58	point	point	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	68	59	(	(	-LRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	68	60	t	t	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	68	61	i	i	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	68	62	)	)	-RRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	68	63	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	69	1	The	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	69	2	inflection	inflection	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	69	3	point	point	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	69	4	indicates	indicate	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	69	5	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	69	6	day	day	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	69	7	at	at	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	69	8	which	which	WDT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	69	9	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	69	10	95	95	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	69	11	number	number	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	69	12	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	69	13	daily	daily	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	69	14	cases	case	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	69	15	reaches	reach	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	69	16	its	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	69	17	maximum	maximum	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	69	18	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	70	1	This	this	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	70	2	function	function	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	70	3	that	that	WDT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	70	4	describes	describe	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	70	5	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	70	6	change	change	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	70	7	in	in	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	70	8	96	96	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	70	9	case	case	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	70	10	incidencei(t	incidencei(t	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	70	11	)	)	-RRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	70	12	over	over	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	70	13	time	time	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	70	14	can	can	MD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	70	15	be	be	VB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	70	16	expressed	express	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	70	17	as	as	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	70	18	:	:	:
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	70	19	The	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	70	20	modified	modify	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	70	21	logistic	logistic	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	70	22	model	model	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	70	23	has	have	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	70	24	five	five	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	70	25	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	70	26	;	;	:
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	70	27	however	however	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	70	28	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	70	29	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	70	30	terminal	terminal	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	70	31	number	number	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	70	32	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	70	33	98	98	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	70	34	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	70	35	cases	case	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	70	36	(	(	-LRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	70	37	C	C	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	70	38	)	)	-RRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	70	39	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	70	40	inflection	inflection	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	70	41	point	point	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	70	42	(	(	-LRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	70	43	t0	t0	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	70	44	)	)	-RRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	70	45	remain	remain	VBP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	70	46	unchanged	unchanged	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	70	47	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	71	1	The	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	71	2	set	set	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	71	3	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	71	4	equations	equation	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	71	5	99	99	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	71	6	that	that	WDT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	71	7	describe	describe	VBP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	71	8	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	71	9	incidence	incidence	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	71	10	using	use	VBG
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	71	11	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	71	12	modified	modify	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	71	13	logistic	logistic	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	71	14	model	model	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	71	15	are	be	VBP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	71	16	:	:	:
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	71	17	April	April	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	71	18	30	30	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	71	19	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	71	20	2020	2020	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	71	21	3/10	3/10	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	71	22	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	72	1	CC	CC	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	72	2	-	-	HYPH
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	72	3	BY	BY	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	72	4	-	-	HYPH
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	72	5	ND	ND	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	72	6	4.0	4.0	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	72	7	International	international	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	72	8	license	license	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	72	9	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	72	10	is	be	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	72	11	made	make	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	72	12	available	available	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	72	13	under	under	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	72	14	a	a	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	73	1	is	be	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	73	2	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	73	3	author	author	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	73	4	/	/	SYM
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	73	5	funder	funder	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	73	6	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	73	7	who	who	WP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	73	8	has	have	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	73	9	granted	grant	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	73	10	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	73	11	a	a	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	73	12	license	license	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	73	13	to	to	TO
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	73	14	display	display	VB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	73	15	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	73	16	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	73	17	in	in	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	73	18	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	73	19	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	74	1	The	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	74	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	74	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	74	4	for	for	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	74	5	this	this	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	74	6	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	74	7	this	this	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	74	8	version	version	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	74	9	posted	post	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	74	10	May	May	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	74	11	5	5	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	74	12	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	74	13	2020	2020	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	74	14	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	74	15	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	75	1	The	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	75	2	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	75	3	r	r	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	75	4	m	m	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	75	5	is	be	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	75	6	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	75	7	modified	modify	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	75	8	growth	growth	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	75	9	function	function	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	75	10	that	that	WDT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	75	11	changes	change	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	75	12	over	over	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	75	13	time	time	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	75	14	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	75	15	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	75	16	f	f	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	75	17	is	be	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	75	18	a	a	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	75	19	101	101	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	75	20	smoothing	smoothing	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	75	21	function	function	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	75	22	that	that	WDT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	75	23	determines	determine	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	75	24	how	how	WRB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	75	25	quickly	quickly	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	75	26	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	75	27	rate	rate	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	75	28	diverges	diverge	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	75	29	around	around	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	75	30	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	75	31	point	point	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	75	32	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	75	33	102	102	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	75	34	inflection	inflection	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	75	35	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	75	36	as	as	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	75	37	well	well	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	75	38	as	as	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	75	39	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	75	40	magnitude	magnitude	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	75	41	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	75	42	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	75	43	transformation	transformation	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	75	44	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	76	1	Using	use	VBG
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	76	2	this	this	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	76	3	model	model	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	76	4	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	76	5	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	76	6	103	103	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	76	7	calculated	calculate	VBD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	76	8	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	76	9	number	number	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	76	10	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	76	11	cases	case	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	76	12	for	for	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	76	13	each	each	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	76	14	state	state	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	76	15	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	77	1	104	104	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	78	1	Next	next	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	78	2	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	78	3	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	78	4	built	build	VBD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	78	5	an	an	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	78	6	objective	objective	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	78	7	function	function	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	78	8	that	that	WDT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	78	9	minimizes	minimize	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	78	10	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	78	11	root	root	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	78	12	mean	mean	VBP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	78	13	square	square	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	78	14	error	error	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	78	15	105	105	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	78	16	between	between	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	78	17	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	78	18	actual	actual	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	78	19	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	78	20	predicted	predict	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	78	21	values	value	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	78	22	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	78	23	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	78	24	cases	case	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	78	25	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	78	26	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	78	27	ran	run	VBD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	78	28	numerous	numerous	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	78	29	106	106	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	78	30	simulations	simulation	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	78	31	by	by	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	78	32	varying	vary	VBG
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	78	33	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	78	34	four	four	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	78	35	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	78	36	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	79	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	79	2	held	hold	VBD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	79	3	P	p	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	79	4	constant	constant	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	79	5	at	at	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	79	6	0.1	0.1	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	79	7	in	in	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	79	8	all	all	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	79	9	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	79	10	107	107	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	79	11	simulations	simulation	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	79	12	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	80	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	80	2	ran	run	VBD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	80	3	375,000	375,000	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	80	4	simulations	simulation	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	80	5	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	80	6	using	use	VBG
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	80	7	numerous	numerous	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	80	8	values	value	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	80	9	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	80	10	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	80	11	days	day	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	80	12	to	to	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	80	13	108	108	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	80	14	inflection	inflection	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	80	15	:	:	:
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	80	16	t0	t0	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	80	17	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	80	18	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	80	19	terminal	terminal	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	80	20	number	number	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	80	21	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	80	22	cases	case	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	80	23	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	80	24	C	C	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	80	25	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	80	26	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	80	27	growth	growth	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	80	28	rate	rate	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	80	29	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	80	30	r	r	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	80	31	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	80	32	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	80	33	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	80	34	growth	growth	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	80	35	rate	rate	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	80	36	109	109	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	80	37	multiplier	multiplier	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	80	38	,	,	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	81	1	K.	K.	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	82	1	The	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	82	2	terminal	terminal	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	82	3	number	number	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	82	4	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	82	5	cases	case	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	82	6	was	be	VBD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	82	7	kept	keep	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	82	8	in	in	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	82	9	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	82	10	range	range	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	82	11	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	82	12	0.01	0.01	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	82	13	%	%	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	82	14	to	to	TO
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	82	15	3	3	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	82	16	%	%	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	82	17	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	82	18	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	82	19	110	110	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	82	20	each	each	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	82	21	state	state	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	82	22	's	's	POS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	82	23	penetration	penetration	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	82	24	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	82	25	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	82	26	growth	growth	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	82	27	rate	rate	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	82	28	was	be	VBD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	82	29	kept	keep	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	82	30	in	in	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	82	31	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	82	32	range	range	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	82	33	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	82	34	0.01	0.01	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	82	35	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	82	36	0.3	0.3	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	82	37	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	82	38	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	82	39	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	82	40	111	111	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	82	41	number	number	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	82	42	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	82	43	days	day	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	82	44	to	to	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	82	45	inflection	inflection	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	82	46	was	be	VBD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	82	47	bounded	bound	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	82	48	between	between	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	82	49	10	10	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	82	50	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	82	51	50	50	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	82	52	days	day	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	82	53	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	83	1	The	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	83	2	growth	growth	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	83	3	rate	rate	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	83	4	112	112	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	83	5	multiplier	multiplier	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	83	6	was	be	VBD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	83	7	kept	keep	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	83	8	in	in	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	83	9	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	83	10	range	range	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	83	11	between	between	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	83	12	0	0	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	83	13	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	83	14	40	40	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	83	15	%	%	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	83	16	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	84	1	The	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	84	2	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	84	3	mortality	mortality	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	84	4	is	be	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	84	5	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	84	6	product	product	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	84	7	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	84	8	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	84	9	case	case	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	84	10	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	84	11	rate	rate	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	84	12	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	84	13	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	84	14	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	84	15	120	120	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	84	16	case	case	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	84	17	incidence	incidence	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	84	18	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	85	1	With	with	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	85	2	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	85	3	low	low	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	85	4	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	85	5	mode	mode	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	85	6	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	85	7	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	85	8	high	high	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	85	9	values	value	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	85	10	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	85	11	both	both	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	85	12	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	85	13	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	85	14	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	85	15	case	case	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	85	16	121	121	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	85	17	incidence	incidence	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	85	18	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	85	19	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	85	20	evaluate	evaluate	VBP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	85	21	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	85	22	nine	nine	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	85	23	possible	possible	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	85	24	death	death	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	85	25	tolls	toll	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	85	26	for	for	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	85	27	each	each	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	85	28	state	state	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	85	29	by	by	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	85	30	finding	find	VBG
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	85	31	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	85	32	product	product	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	85	33	122	122	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	85	34	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	85	35	each	each	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	85	36	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	85	37	value	value	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	85	38	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	85	39	each	each	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	85	40	value	value	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	85	41	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	85	42	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	85	43	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	85	44	case	case	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	85	45	incidence	incidence	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	85	46	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	86	1	To	to	TO
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	86	2	determine	determine	VB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	86	3	123	123	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	86	4	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	86	5	mortality	mortality	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	86	6	on	on	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	86	7	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	86	8	national	national	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	86	9	scale	scale	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	86	10	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	86	11	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	86	12	add	add	VBP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	86	13	up	up	RP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	86	14	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	86	15	respective	respective	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	86	16	cells	cell	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	86	17	for	for	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	86	18	all	all	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	86	19	states	state	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	86	20	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	87	1	124	124	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	88	1	Predicting	predict	VBG
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	88	2	case	case	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	88	3	incidence	incidence	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	88	4	126	126	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	89	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	89	2	calculated	calculate	VBD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	89	3	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	89	4	case	case	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	89	5	incidence	incidence	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	89	6	for	for	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	89	7	each	each	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	89	8	jurisdiction	jurisdiction	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	89	9	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	90	1	Fig	fig	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	90	2	1	1	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	90	3	shows	show	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	90	4	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	90	5	goodness	goodness	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	90	6	-	-	HYPH
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	90	7	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	90	8	-	-	HYPH
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	90	9	fit	fit	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	90	10	127	127	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	90	11	between	between	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	90	12	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	90	13	forecasted	forecast	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	90	14	cases	case	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	90	15	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	90	16	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	90	17	true	true	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	90	18	number	number	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	90	19	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	90	20	cases	case	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	90	21	for	for	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	90	22	New	New	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	90	23	York	York	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	90	24	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	91	1	The	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	91	2	two	two	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	91	3	sets	set	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	91	4	128	128	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	91	5	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	91	6	figures	figure	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	91	7	show	show	VBP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	91	8	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	91	9	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	91	10	case	case	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	91	11	incidence	incidence	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	91	12	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	91	13	new	new	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	91	14	case	case	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	91	15	incidence	incidence	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	91	16	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	92	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	92	2	demonstrates	demonstrate	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	92	3	129	129	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	92	4	that	that	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	92	5	there	there	EX
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	92	6	is	be	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	92	7	an	an	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	92	8	excellent	excellent	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	92	9	fit	fit	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	92	10	for	for	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	92	11	both	both	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	92	12	new	new	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	92	13	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	92	14	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	92	15	cases	case	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	92	16	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	93	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	93	2	calculated	calculate	VBD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	93	3	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	93	4	R	r	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	93	5	2	2	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	93	6	130	130	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	93	7	for	for	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	93	8	all	all	PDT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	93	9	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	93	10	states	state	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	93	11	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	93	12	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	93	13	fit	fit	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	93	14	was	be	VBD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	93	15	excellent	excellent	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	93	16	(	(	-LRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	93	17	greater	great	JJR
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	93	18	than	than	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	93	19	98	98	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	93	20	%	%	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	93	21	for	for	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	93	22	all	all	PDT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	93	23	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	93	24	states	state	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	93	25	)	)	-RRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	93	26	for	for	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	93	27	all	all	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	93	28	131	131	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	93	29	states	state	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	93	30	indicating	indicate	VBG
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	93	31	that	that	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	93	32	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	93	33	modified	modify	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	93	34	logistical	logistical	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	93	35	function	function	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	93	36	does	do	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	93	37	a	a	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	93	38	great	great	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	93	39	job	job	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	93	40	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	93	41	modeling	model	VBG
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	93	42	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	93	43	132	132	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	93	44	transition	transition	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	93	45	after	after	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	93	46	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	93	47	intervention	intervention	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	93	48	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	94	1	More	More	JJR
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	94	2	information	information	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	94	3	regarding	regard	VBG
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	94	4	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	94	5	model	model	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	94	6	's	's	POS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	94	7	goodness	goodness	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	94	8	-	-	HYPH
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	94	9	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	94	10	-	-	HYPH
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	94	11	fit	fit	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	94	12	133	133	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	94	13	for	for	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	94	14	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	94	15	states	state	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	94	16	is	be	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	94	17	provided	provide	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	94	18	in	in	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	94	19	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	94	20	supplemental	supplemental	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	94	21	information	information	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	94	22	(	(	-LRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	94	23	see	see	VB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	94	24	S1	S1	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	94	25	Table	Table	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	94	26	)	)	-RRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	94	27	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	95	1	S2	S2	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	95	2	Table	Table	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	95	3	)	)	-RRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	95	4	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	96	1	However	however	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	96	2	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	96	3	New	New	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	96	4	York	York	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	96	5	is	be	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	96	6	a	a	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	96	7	substantial	substantial	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	96	8	outlier	outlier	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	96	9	:	:	:
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	96	10	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	96	11	model	model	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	96	12	137	137	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	96	13	predicts	predict	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	96	14	500,000	500,000	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	96	15	cases	case	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	96	16	for	for	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	96	17	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	96	18	mode	mode	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	96	19	case	case	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	96	20	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	97	1	All	all	PDT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	97	2	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	97	3	numbers	number	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	97	4	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	97	5	will	will	MD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	97	6	quote	quote	VB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	97	7	in	in	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	97	8	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	97	9	rest	rest	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	97	10	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	97	11	138	138	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	97	12	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	97	13	document	document	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	97	14	will	will	MD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	97	15	be	be	VB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	97	16	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	97	17	mode	mode	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	97	18	case	case	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	97	19	(	(	-LRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	97	20	unless	unless	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	97	21	otherwise	otherwise	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	97	22	specified	specify	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	97	23	)	)	-RRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	97	24	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	97	25	as	as	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	97	26	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	97	27	has	have	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	97	28	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	97	29	highest	high	JJS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	97	30	139	139	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	97	31	likelihood	likelihood	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	97	32	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	98	1	Even	even	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	98	2	if	if	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	98	3	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	98	4	best	good	JJS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	98	5	-	-	HYPH
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	98	6	case	case	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	98	7	scenario	scenario	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	98	8	transpires	transpire	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	98	9	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	98	10	its	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	98	11	case	case	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	98	12	incidence	incidence	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	98	13	will	will	MD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	98	14	probably	probably	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	98	15	140	140	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	98	16	exceed	exceed	VB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	98	17	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	98	18	incidence	incidence	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	98	19	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	98	20	any	any	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	98	21	other	other	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	98	22	state	state	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	98	23	by	by	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	98	24	over	over	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	98	25	200000	200000	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	98	26	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	99	1	Next	next	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	99	2	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	99	3	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	99	4	evaluated	evaluate	VBD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	99	5	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	99	6	forecasted	forecast	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	99	7	case	case	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	99	8	incidence	incidence	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	99	9	for	for	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	99	10	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	99	11	entire	entire	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	99	12	United	United	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	99	13	States	States	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	99	14	(	(	-LRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	99	15	Fig	Fig	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	99	16	3	3	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	99	17	)	)	-RRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	99	18	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	100	1	142	142	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	101	1	The	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	101	2	total	total	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	101	3	number	number	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	101	4	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	101	5	cases	case	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	101	6	predicted	predict	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	101	7	is	be	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	101	8	above	above	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	101	9	1.2	1.2	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	101	10	M	M	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	101	11	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	101	12	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	101	13	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	101	14	number	number	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	101	15	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	101	16	new	new	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	101	17	daily	daily	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	101	18	cases	case	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	101	19	143	143	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	101	20	April	April	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	101	21	30	30	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	101	22	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	101	23	2020	2020	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	101	24	4/10	4/10	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	101	25	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	102	1	CC	CC	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	102	2	-	-	HYPH
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	102	3	BY	BY	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	102	4	-	-	HYPH
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	102	5	ND	ND	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	102	6	4.0	4.0	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	102	7	International	international	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	102	8	license	license	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	102	9	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	102	10	is	be	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	102	11	made	make	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	102	12	available	available	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	102	13	under	under	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	102	14	a	a	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	103	1	is	be	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	103	2	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	103	3	author	author	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	103	4	/	/	SYM
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	103	5	funder	funder	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	103	6	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	103	7	who	who	WP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	103	8	has	have	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	103	9	granted	grant	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	103	10	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	103	11	a	a	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	103	12	license	license	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	103	13	to	to	TO
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	103	14	display	display	VB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	103	15	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	103	16	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	103	17	in	in	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	103	18	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	103	19	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	104	1	The	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	104	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	104	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	104	4	for	for	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	104	5	this	this	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	104	6	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	104	7	this	this	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	104	8	version	version	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	104	9	posted	post	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	104	10	May	May	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	104	11	5	5	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	104	12	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	104	13	2020	2020	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	104	14	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	105	1	Forecasted	forecast	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	105	2	case	case	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	105	3	incidence	incidence	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	105	4	for	for	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	105	5	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	105	6	top	top	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	105	7	US	US	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	105	8	states	state	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	105	9	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	106	1	The	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	106	2	range	range	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	106	3	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	106	4	forecasted	forecast	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	106	5	total	total	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	106	6	case	case	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	106	7	incidence	incidence	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	106	8	for	for	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	106	9	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	106	10	top	top	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	106	11	states	state	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	106	12	that	that	WDT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	106	13	contribute	contribute	VBP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	106	14	90	90	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	106	15	%	%	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	106	16	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	106	17	all	all	PDT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	106	18	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	106	19	deaths	death	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	106	20	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	107	1	The	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	107	2	low	low	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	107	3	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	107	4	mode	mode	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	107	5	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	107	6	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	107	7	high	high	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	107	8	cases	case	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	107	9	are	be	VBP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	107	10	displayed	display	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	107	11	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	108	1	The	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	108	2	low	low	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	108	3	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	108	4	high	high	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	108	5	cases	case	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	108	6	are	be	VBP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	108	7	determined	determine	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	108	8	as	as	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	108	9	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	108	10	low	low	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	108	11	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	108	12	high	high	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	108	13	end	end	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	108	14	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	108	15	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	108	16	95	95	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	108	17	%	%	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	108	18	confidence	confidence	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	108	19	interval	interval	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	108	20	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	109	1	peaks	peak	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	109	2	at	at	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	109	3	more	more	JJR
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	109	4	than	than	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	109	5	35000	35000	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	109	6	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	110	1	As	as	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	110	2	New	New	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	110	3	York	York	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	110	4	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	110	5	New	New	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	110	6	Jersey	Jersey	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	110	7	contribute	contribute	VBP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	110	8	significantly	significantly	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	110	9	toward	toward	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	110	10	144	144	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	110	11	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	110	12	overall	overall	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	110	13	case	case	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	110	14	incidence	incidence	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	110	15	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	110	16	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	110	17	United	United	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	110	18	States	States	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	110	19	peak	peak	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	110	20	daily	daily	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	110	21	cases	case	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	110	22	is	be	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	110	23	strongly	strongly	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	110	24	dependent	dependent	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	110	25	on	on	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	110	26	145	145	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	110	27	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	110	28	peak	peak	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	110	29	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	110	30	these	these	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	110	31	two	two	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	110	32	states	state	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	110	33	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	111	1	In	in	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	111	2	order	order	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	111	3	to	to	TO
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	111	4	understand	understand	VB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	111	5	whether	whether	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	111	6	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	111	7	different	different	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	111	8	states	state	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	111	9	have	have	VBP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	111	10	a	a	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	111	11	case	case	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	111	12	incidence	incidence	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	111	13	147	147	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	111	14	proportionate	proportionate	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	111	15	to	to	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	111	16	their	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	111	17	populations	population	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	111	18	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	111	19	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	111	20	calculated	calculate	VBD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	111	21	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	111	22	discrepancy	discrepancy	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	111	23	between	between	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	111	24	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	111	25	projected	project	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	111	26	148	148	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	111	27	cases	case	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	111	28	per	per	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	111	29	capita	capita	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	111	30	for	for	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	111	31	individual	individual	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	111	32	states	state	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	111	33	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	111	34	U.S	U.S	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	111	35	average	average	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	111	36	projected	project	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	111	37	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	111	38	cases	case	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	111	39	per	per	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	111	40	149	149	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	111	41	capita	capita	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	111	42	(	(	-LRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	111	43	Fig	Fig	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	111	44	4	4	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	111	45	)	)	-RRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	111	46	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	112	1	New	New	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	112	2	York	York	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	112	3	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	112	4	New	New	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	112	5	Jersey	Jersey	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	112	6	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	112	7	Massachusetts	Massachusetts	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	112	8	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	112	9	Connecticut	Connecticut	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	112	10	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	112	11	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	112	12	Louisiana	Louisiana	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	112	13	have	have	VBP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	112	14	150	150	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	112	15	much	much	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	112	16	higher	high	JJR
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	112	17	case	case	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	112	18	incidence	incidence	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	112	19	per	per	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	112	20	capita	capita	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	112	21	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	113	1	This	this	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	113	2	means	mean	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	113	3	that	that	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	113	4	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	113	5	disease	disease	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	113	6	affected	affect	VBD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	113	7	these	these	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	113	8	areas	area	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	113	9	151	151	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	113	10	disproportionately	disproportionately	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	113	11	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	114	1	In	in	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	114	2	contrast	contrast	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	114	3	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	114	4	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	114	5	states	state	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	114	6	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	114	7	California	California	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	114	8	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	114	9	Texas	Texas	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	114	10	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	114	11	Florida	Florida	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	114	12	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	114	13	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	114	14	Ohio	Ohio	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	114	15	did	do	VBD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	114	16	152	152	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	114	17	much	much	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	114	18	better	well	JJR
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	114	19	in	in	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	114	20	controlling	control	VBG
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	114	21	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	114	22	spread	spread	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	114	23	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	114	24	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	114	25	infection	infection	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	114	26	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	115	1	Difference	difference	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	115	2	in	in	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	115	3	forecasted	forecast	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	115	4	case	case	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	115	5	incidence	incidence	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	115	6	between	between	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	115	7	states	state	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	115	8	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	116	1	Difference	difference	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	116	2	in	in	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	116	3	forecasted	forecast	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	116	4	case	case	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	116	5	incidence	incidence	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	116	6	between	between	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	116	7	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	116	8	top	top	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	116	9	states	state	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	116	10	that	that	WDT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	116	11	contributed	contribute	VBD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	116	12	90	90	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	116	13	%	%	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	116	14	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	116	15	all	all	PDT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	116	16	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	116	17	deaths	death	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	116	18	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	117	1	This	this	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	117	2	was	be	VBD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	117	3	calculated	calculate	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	117	4	by	by	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	117	5	subtracting	subtract	VBG
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	117	6	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	117	7	difference	difference	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	117	8	between	between	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	117	9	projected	project	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	117	10	cases	case	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	117	11	per	per	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	117	12	capita	capita	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	117	13	for	for	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	117	14	individual	individual	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	117	15	states	state	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	117	16	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	117	17	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	117	18	U.S	U.S	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	117	19	average	average	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	117	20	projected	project	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	117	21	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	117	22	cases	case	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	117	23	per	per	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	117	24	capita	capita	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	117	25	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	118	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	118	2	previously	previously	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	118	3	calculated	calculate	VBD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	118	4	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	118	5	case	case	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	118	6	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	118	7	rates	rate	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	118	8	for	for	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	118	9	Hubei	Hubei	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	118	10	province	province	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	118	11	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	118	12	showed	show	VBD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	118	13	that	that	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	118	14	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	118	15	155	155	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	118	16	goodness	goodness	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	118	17	-	-	HYPH
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	118	18	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	118	19	-	-	HYPH
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	118	20	fit	fit	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	118	21	was	be	VBD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	118	22	excellent	excellent	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	118	23	[	[	-LRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	118	24	10	10	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	118	25	]	]	-RRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	118	26	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	119	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	119	2	used	use	VBD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	119	3	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	119	4	same	same	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	119	5	methodology	methodology	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	119	6	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	119	7	calculated	calculate	VBD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	119	8	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	119	9	156	156	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	119	10	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	119	11	for	for	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	119	12	all	all	PDT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	119	13	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	119	14	states	state	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	119	15	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	120	1	The	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	120	2	model	model	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	120	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	120	4	able	able	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	120	5	to	to	TO
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	120	6	fit	fit	VB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	120	7	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	120	8	data	datum	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	120	9	extremely	extremely	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	120	10	well	well	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	120	11	showing	show	VBG
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	120	12	that	that	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	120	13	157	157	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	120	14	both	both	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	120	15	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	120	16	model	model	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	120	17	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	120	18	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	120	19	methodology	methodology	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	120	20	are	be	VBP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	120	21	sound	sound	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	120	22	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	121	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	121	2	provide	provide	VBP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	121	3	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	121	4	R	r	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	121	5	2	2	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	121	6	value	value	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	121	7	for	for	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	121	8	all	all	PDT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	121	9	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	121	10	158	158	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	121	11	states	state	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	121	12	in	in	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	121	13	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	121	14	supplemental	supplemental	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	121	15	information	information	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	121	16	(	(	-LRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	121	17	see	see	VB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	121	18	S1	S1	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	121	19	Table	Table	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	121	20	)	)	-RRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	121	21	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	122	1	159	159	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	123	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	123	2	calculated	calculate	VBD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	123	3	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	123	4	range	range	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	123	5	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	123	6	final	final	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	123	7	case	case	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	123	8	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	123	9	rates	rate	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	123	10	for	for	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	123	11	each	each	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	123	12	state	state	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	123	13	(	(	-LRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	123	14	Fig	Fig	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	123	15	5	5	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	123	16	)	)	-RRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	123	17	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	124	1	The	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	124	2	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	124	3	160	160	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	124	4	for	for	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	124	5	most	most	JJS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	124	6	states	state	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	124	7	is	be	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	124	8	between	between	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	124	9	5	5	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	124	10	%	%	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	124	11	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	124	12	10	10	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	124	13	%	%	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	124	14	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	125	1	Compared	compare	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	125	2	to	to	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	125	3	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	125	4	case	case	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	125	5	incidence	incidence	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	125	6	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	125	7	case	case	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	125	8	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	125	9	161	161	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	125	10	rates	rate	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	125	11	have	have	VBP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	125	12	far	far	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	125	13	less	less	JJR
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	125	14	variability	variability	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	125	15	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	126	1	Massachusetts	Massachusetts	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	126	2	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	126	3	Connecticut	Connecticut	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	126	4	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	126	5	New	New	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	126	6	York	York	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	126	7	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	126	8	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	126	9	Maryland	Maryland	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	126	10	162	162	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	126	11	have	have	VBP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	126	12	relatively	relatively	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	126	13	higher	high	JJR
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	126	14	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	126	15	's	's	POS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	126	16	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	127	1	In	in	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	127	2	contrast	contrast	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	127	3	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	127	4	Texas	Texas	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	127	5	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	127	6	California	California	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	127	7	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	127	8	Georgia	Georgia	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	127	9	have	have	VBP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	127	10	much	much	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	127	11	163	163	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	127	12	lower	low	JJR
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	127	13	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	127	14	's	's	POS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	127	15	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	128	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	128	2	also	also	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	128	3	provide	provide	VBP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	128	4	supplemental	supplemental	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	128	5	information	information	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	128	6	for	for	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	128	7	all	all	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	128	8	state	state	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	128	9	(	(	-LRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	128	10	see	see	VB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	128	11	S3	S3	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	128	12	Table	Table	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	128	13	)	)	-RRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	128	14	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	129	1	In	in	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	129	2	order	order	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	129	3	to	to	TO
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	129	4	measure	measure	VB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	129	5	how	how	WRB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	129	6	well	well	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	129	7	states	state	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	129	8	are	be	VBP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	129	9	faring	fare	VBG
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	129	10	relative	relative	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	129	11	to	to	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	129	12	each	each	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	129	13	other	other	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	129	14	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	129	15	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	129	16	calculate	calculate	VBP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	129	17	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	129	18	165	165	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	129	19	difference	difference	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	129	20	between	between	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	129	21	projected	project	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	129	22	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	129	23	's	's	POS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	129	24	for	for	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	129	25	each	each	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	129	26	state	state	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	129	27	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	129	28	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	129	29	average	average	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	129	30	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	129	31	for	for	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	129	32	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	129	33	US	US	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	129	34	166	166	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	130	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	130	2	Fig	Fig	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	130	3	6	6	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	130	4	)	)	-RRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	130	5	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	131	1	Positive	positive	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	131	2	(	(	-LRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	131	3	negative	negative	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	131	4	)	)	-RRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	131	5	values	value	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	131	6	indicate	indicate	VBP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	131	7	that	that	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	131	8	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	131	9	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	131	10	is	be	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	131	11	worse	bad	JJR
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	131	12	(	(	-LRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	131	13	better	well	RBR
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	131	14	)	)	-RRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	131	15	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	132	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	132	2	clearly	clearly	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	132	3	167	167	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	132	4	shows	show	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	132	5	that	that	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	132	6	there	there	EX
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	132	7	is	be	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	132	8	a	a	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	132	9	wide	wide	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	132	10	disparity	disparity	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	132	11	between	between	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	132	12	states	state	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	132	13	'	'	POS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	132	14	case	case	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	132	15	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	132	16	rates	rate	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	132	17	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	133	1	Furthermore	furthermore	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	133	2	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	133	3	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	133	4	168	168	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	133	5	difference	difference	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	133	6	in	in	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	133	7	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	133	8	closely	closely	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	133	9	corresponds	correspond	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	133	10	with	with	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	133	11	projected	project	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	133	12	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	133	13	deaths	death	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	133	14	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	134	1	This	this	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	134	2	shows	show	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	134	3	169	169	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	134	4	even	even	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	134	5	more	more	RBR
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	134	6	dramatically	dramatically	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	134	7	how	how	WRB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	134	8	much	much	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	134	9	greater	great	JJR
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	134	10	New	New	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	134	11	York	York	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	134	12	's	's	POS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	134	13	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	134	14	Connecticut	Connecticut	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	134	15	's	's	POS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	134	16	outbreaks	outbreak	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	134	17	are	be	VBP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	134	18	170	170	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	134	19	compared	compare	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	134	20	to	to	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	134	21	other	other	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	134	22	states	state	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	134	23	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	135	1	April	April	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	135	2	30	30	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	135	3	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	135	4	2020	2020	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	135	5	5/10	5/10	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	135	6	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	136	1	CC	CC	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	136	2	-	-	HYPH
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	136	3	BY	BY	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	136	4	-	-	HYPH
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	136	5	ND	ND	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	136	6	4.0	4.0	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	136	7	International	international	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	136	8	license	license	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	137	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	137	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	137	3	made	make	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	137	4	available	available	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	137	5	under	under	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	137	6	a	a	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	138	1	is	be	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	138	2	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	138	3	author	author	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	138	4	/	/	SYM
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	138	5	funder	funder	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	138	6	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	138	7	who	who	WP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	138	8	has	have	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	138	9	granted	grant	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	138	10	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	138	11	a	a	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	138	12	license	license	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	138	13	to	to	TO
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	138	14	display	display	VB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	138	15	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	138	16	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	138	17	in	in	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	138	18	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	138	19	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	139	1	The	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	139	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	139	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	139	4	for	for	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	139	5	this	this	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	139	6	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	139	7	this	this	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	139	8	version	version	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	139	9	posted	post	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	139	10	May	May	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	139	11	5	5	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	139	12	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	139	13	2020	2020	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	139	14	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	139	15	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	140	1	Fig	Fig	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	140	2	6	6	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	140	3	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	141	1	Difference	difference	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	141	2	in	in	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	141	3	forecasted	forecast	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	141	4	case	case	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	141	5	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	141	6	rates	rate	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	141	7	between	between	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	141	8	states	state	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	141	9	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	142	1	Difference	difference	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	142	2	in	in	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	142	3	forecasted	forecast	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	142	4	case	case	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	142	5	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	142	6	rates	rate	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	142	7	between	between	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	142	8	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	142	9	top	top	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	142	10	states	state	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	142	11	that	that	WDT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	142	12	contributed	contribute	VBD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	142	13	90	90	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	142	14	%	%	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	142	15	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	142	16	all	all	PDT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	142	17	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	142	18	deaths	death	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	142	19	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	143	1	This	this	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	143	2	was	be	VBD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	143	3	calculated	calculate	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	143	4	by	by	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	143	5	subtracting	subtract	VBG
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	143	6	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	143	7	difference	difference	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	143	8	between	between	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	143	9	projected	project	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	143	10	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	143	11	for	for	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	143	12	individual	individual	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	143	13	states	state	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	143	14	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	143	15	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	143	16	U.S	U.S	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	143	17	average	average	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	143	18	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	143	19	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	144	1	Considering	consider	VBG
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	144	2	that	that	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	144	3	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	144	4	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	144	5	case	case	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	144	6	incidence	incidence	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	144	7	are	be	VBP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	144	8	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	144	9	factors	factor	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	144	10	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	144	11	death	death	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	144	12	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	144	13	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	144	14	is	be	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	144	15	fitting	fitting	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	144	16	now	now	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	144	17	to	to	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	144	18	173	173	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	144	19	discuss	discuss	VB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	144	20	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	144	21	projected	project	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	144	22	incidence	incidence	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	144	23	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	144	24	deaths	death	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	144	25	(	(	-LRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	144	26	Fig	Fig	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	144	27	7	7	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	144	28	)	)	-RRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	144	29	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	145	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	145	2	calculated	calculate	VBD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	145	3	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	145	4	number	number	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	145	5	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	145	6	deaths	death	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	145	7	174	174	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	145	8	for	for	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	145	9	each	each	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	145	10	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	145	11	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	145	12	top	top	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	145	13	15	15	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	145	14	states	state	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	145	15	that	that	WDT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	145	16	contribute	contribute	VBP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	145	17	90	90	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	145	18	%	%	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	145	19	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	145	20	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	145	21	deaths	death	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	145	22	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	146	1	This	this	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	146	2	reveals	reveal	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	146	3	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	146	4	175	175	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	146	5	tremendous	tremendous	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	146	6	disparity	disparity	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	146	7	between	between	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	146	8	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	146	9	size	size	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	146	10	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	146	11	outbreaks	outbreak	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	146	12	in	in	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	146	13	different	different	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	146	14	states	state	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	146	15	(	(	-LRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	146	16	see	see	VB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	146	17	also	also	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	146	18	S4	S4	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	146	19	176	176	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	146	20	Table	Table	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	146	21	)	)	-RRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	146	22	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	147	1	The	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	147	2	majority	majority	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	147	3	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	147	4	states	state	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	147	5	will	will	MD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	147	6	experience	experience	VB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	147	7	less	less	JJR
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	147	8	than	than	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	147	9	10,000	10,000	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	147	10	deaths	death	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	147	11	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	148	1	New	New	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	148	2	York	York	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	148	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	148	4	once	once	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	148	5	177	177	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	148	6	again	again	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	148	7	a	a	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	148	8	significant	significant	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	148	9	outlier	outlier	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	148	10	;	;	:
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	148	11	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	148	12	model	model	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	148	13	returns	return	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	148	14	a	a	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	148	15	minimum	minimum	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	148	16	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	148	17	40,000	40,000	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	148	18	deaths	death	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	148	19	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	148	20	a	a	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	148	21	mode	mode	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	148	22	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	148	23	178	178	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	148	24	65,000	65,000	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	148	25	deaths	death	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	148	26	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	148	27	45	45	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	148	28	%	%	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	148	29	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	148	30	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	148	31	U.S.	U.S.	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	148	32	total	total	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	148	33	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	148	34	more	more	JJR
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	148	35	than	than	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	148	36	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	148	37	next	next	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	148	38	five	five	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	148	39	jurisdictions	jurisdiction	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	148	40	combined	combine	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	148	41	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	149	1	179	179	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	150	1	This	this	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	150	2	can	can	MD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	150	3	be	be	VB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	150	4	traced	trace	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	150	5	back	back	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	150	6	to	to	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	150	7	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	150	8	state	state	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	150	9	's	's	POS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	150	10	relatively	relatively	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	150	11	high	high	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	150	12	projected	project	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	150	13	case	case	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	150	14	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	150	15	rate	rate	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	150	16	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	150	17	indicative	indicative	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	150	18	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	150	19	differences	difference	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	150	20	in	in	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	150	21	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	150	22	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	150	23	case	case	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	150	24	incidence	incidence	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	150	25	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	151	1	Sources	source	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	151	2	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	151	3	variation	variation	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	151	4	include	include	VBP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	151	5	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	151	6	185	185	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	151	7	chronology	chronology	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	151	8	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	151	9	success	success	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	151	10	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	151	11	mitigation	mitigation	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	151	12	efforts	effort	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	151	13	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	151	14	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	151	15	prevalence	prevalence	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	151	16	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	151	17	testing	testing	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	151	18	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	151	19	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	151	20	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	151	21	186	186	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	151	22	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	151	23	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	151	24	age	age	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	151	25	[	[	-LRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	151	26	19	19	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	151	27	]	]	-RRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	151	28	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	151	29	comorbidities	comorbiditie	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	151	30	[	[	-LRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	151	31	20	20	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	151	32	]	]	-RRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	151	33	within	within	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	151	34	populations	population	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	151	35	at	at	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	151	36	risk	risk	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	151	37	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	151	38	infection	infection	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	151	39	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	152	1	187	187	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	152	2	Fig	Fig	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	152	3	7	7	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	152	4	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	153	1	Forecasted	forecast	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	153	2	deaths	death	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	153	3	for	for	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	153	4	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	153	5	top	top	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	153	6	US	US	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	153	7	states	state	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	153	8	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	154	1	The	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	154	2	range	range	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	154	3	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	154	4	forecasted	forecast	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	154	5	deaths	death	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	154	6	for	for	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	154	7	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	154	8	top	top	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	154	9	states	state	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	154	10	that	that	WDT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	154	11	contribute	contribute	VBP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	154	12	90	90	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	154	13	%	%	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	154	14	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	154	15	all	all	PDT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	154	16	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	154	17	deaths	death	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	154	18	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	155	1	The	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	155	2	low	low	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	155	3	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	155	4	mode	mode	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	155	5	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	155	6	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	155	7	high	high	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	155	8	cases	case	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	155	9	are	be	VBP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	155	10	displayed	display	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	155	11	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	156	1	The	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	156	2	low	low	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	156	3	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	156	4	high	high	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	156	5	cases	case	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	156	6	are	be	VBP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	156	7	determined	determine	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	156	8	as	as	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	156	9	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	156	10	low	low	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	156	11	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	156	12	high	high	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	156	13	end	end	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	156	14	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	156	15	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	156	16	95	95	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	156	17	%	%	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	156	18	confidence	confidence	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	156	19	interval	interval	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	156	20	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	157	1	Table	table	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	157	2	1	1	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	157	3	summarizes	summarize	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	157	4	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	157	5	various	various	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	157	6	possible	possible	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	157	7	death	death	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	157	8	tolls	toll	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	157	9	under	under	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	157	10	each	each	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	157	11	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	157	12	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	157	13	9	9	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	157	14	conditions	condition	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	157	15	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	158	1	188	188	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	159	1	There	there	EX
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	159	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	159	3	a	a	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	159	4	95	95	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	159	5	%	%	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	159	6	likelihood	likelihood	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	159	7	that	that	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	159	8	any	any	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	159	9	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	159	10	these	these	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	159	11	results	result	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	159	12	are	be	VBP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	159	13	possible	possible	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	159	14	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	160	1	The	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	160	2	lowest	low	JJS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	160	3	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	160	4	189	189	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	160	5	deaths	death	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	160	6	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	160	7	U.S.	U.S.	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	160	8	could	could	MD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	160	9	experience	experience	VB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	160	10	is	be	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	160	11	78,000	78,000	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	160	12	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	160	13	considerably	considerably	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	160	14	higher	high	JJR
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	160	15	than	than	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	160	16	both	both	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	160	17	Fauci	Fauci	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	160	18	's	's	POS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	160	19	245904	245904	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	160	20	Predicted	predict	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	160	21	deaths	death	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	160	22	tolls	toll	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	160	23	for	for	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	160	24	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	160	25	nine	nine	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	160	26	different	different	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	160	27	scenarios	scenario	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	160	28	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	161	1	These	these	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	161	2	scenarios	scenario	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	161	3	are	be	VBP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	161	4	constructed	construct	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	161	5	using	use	VBG
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	161	6	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	161	7	low	low	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	161	8	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	161	9	mode	mode	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	161	10	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	161	11	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	161	12	high	high	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	161	13	cases	case	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	161	14	for	for	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	161	15	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	161	16	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	161	17	cases	case	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	161	18	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	162	1	The	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	162	2	low	low	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	162	3	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	162	4	high	high	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	162	5	cases	case	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	162	6	are	be	VBP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	162	7	determined	determine	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	162	8	as	as	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	162	9	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	162	10	low	low	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	162	11	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	162	12	high	high	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	162	13	end	end	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	162	14	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	162	15	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	162	16	95	95	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	162	17	%	%	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	162	18	confidence	confidence	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	162	19	interval	interval	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	162	20	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	163	1	For	for	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	163	2	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	163	3	best	well	RBS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	163	4	-	-	HYPH
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	163	5	fit	fit	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	163	6	case	case	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	163	7	in	in	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	163	8	all	all	PDT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	163	9	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	163	10	states	state	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	163	11	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	163	12	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	163	13	calculated	calculate	VBD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	163	14	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	163	15	number	number	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	163	16	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	163	17	deaths	death	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	163	18	per	per	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	163	19	day	day	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	163	20	193	193	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	163	21	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	163	22	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	163	23	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	163	24	number	number	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	163	25	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	163	26	deaths	death	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	163	27	(	(	-LRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	163	28	Fig	Fig	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	163	29	8)	8)	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	163	30	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	164	1	This	this	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	164	2	shows	show	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	164	3	that	that	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	164	4	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	164	5	number	number	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	164	6	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	164	7	deaths	death	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	164	8	194	194	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	164	9	will	will	MD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	164	10	reach	reach	VB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	164	11	an	an	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	164	12	asymptote	asymptote	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	164	13	in	in	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	164	14	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	164	15	end	end	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	164	16	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	164	17	June	June	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	164	18	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	164	19	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	164	20	number	number	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	164	21	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	164	22	daily	daily	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	164	23	deaths	death	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	164	24	will	will	MD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	164	25	peak	peak	VB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	164	26	in	in	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	164	27	195	195	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	164	28	early	early	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	164	29	May.	May	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	164	30	 	 	_SP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	165	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	165	2	used	use	VBD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	165	3	a	a	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	165	4	cohort	cohort	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	165	5	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	165	6	approach	approach	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	165	7	to	to	TO
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	165	8	estimate	estimate	VB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	165	9	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	165	10	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	165	11	a	a	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	165	12	modified	modify	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	165	13	logistic	logistic	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	165	14	model	model	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	165	15	198	198	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	165	16	(	(	-LRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	165	17	that	that	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	165	18	explicitly	explicitly	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	165	19	accounts	account	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	165	20	for	for	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	165	21	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	165	22	impact	impact	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	165	23	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	165	24	mitigation	mitigation	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	165	25	efforts	effort	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	165	26	)	)	-RRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	165	27	to	to	TO
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	165	28	forecast	forecast	VB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	165	29	case	case	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	165	30	incidence	incidence	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	165	31	199	199	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	165	32	on	on	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	165	33	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	165	34	state	state	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	165	35	level	level	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	165	36	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	165	37	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	165	38	afterwards	afterwards	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	165	39	calculated	calculate	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	165	40	mortality	mortality	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	165	41	on	on	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	165	42	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	165	43	state	state	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	165	44	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	165	45	national	national	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	165	46	levels	level	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	165	47	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	166	1	200	200	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	166	2	Our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	166	3	model	model	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	166	4	showed	show	VBD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	166	5	a	a	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	166	6	wide	wide	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	166	7	range	range	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	166	8	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	166	9	mortality	mortality	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	166	10	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	166	11	with	with	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	166	12	79,000	79,000	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	166	13	deaths	death	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	166	14	on	on	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	166	15	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	166	16	low	low	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	166	17	end	end	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	166	18	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	166	19	a	a	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	166	20	201	201	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	166	21	maximum	maximum	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	166	22	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	166	23	245,000	245,000	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	166	24	deaths	death	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	166	25	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	167	1	Every	every	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	167	2	possibility	possibility	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	167	3	predicted	predict	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	167	4	by	by	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	167	5	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	167	6	model	model	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	167	7	exceeds	exceed	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	167	8	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	167	9	202	202	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	167	10	prognostications	prognostication	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	167	11	produced	produce	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	167	12	by	by	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	167	13	both	both	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	167	14	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	167	15	White	White	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	167	16	House	House	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	167	17	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	167	18	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	167	19	University	University	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	167	20	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	167	21	Washington	Washington	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	167	22	203	203	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	167	23	model	model	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	167	24	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	168	1	Our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	168	2	model	model	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	168	3	also	also	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	168	4	revealed	reveal	VBD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	168	5	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	168	6	deep	deep	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	168	7	disparity	disparity	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	168	8	in	in	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	168	9	deaths	death	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	168	10	among	among	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	168	11	different	different	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	168	12	states	state	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	168	13	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	168	14	204	204	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	168	15	which	which	WDT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	168	16	is	be	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	168	17	attributable	attributable	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	168	18	to	to	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	168	19	differences	difference	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	168	20	in	in	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	168	21	case	case	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	168	22	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	168	23	rate	rate	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	168	24	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	168	25	case	case	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	168	26	incidence	incidence	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	168	27	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	169	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	169	2	postulate	postulate	VBP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	169	3	205	205	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	169	4	reasons	reason	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	169	5	for	for	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	169	6	these	these	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	169	7	variations	variation	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	169	8	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	170	1	Many	many	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	170	2	states	state	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	170	3	in	in	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	170	4	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	170	5	US	US	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	170	6	Northeast	Northeast	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	170	7	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	170	8	including	include	VBG
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	170	9	New	New	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	170	10	York	York	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	170	11	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	170	12	New	New	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	170	13	Jersey	Jersey	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	170	14	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	170	15	Massachusetts	Massachusetts	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	170	16	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	170	17	207	207	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	170	18	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	170	19	Connecticut	Connecticut	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	170	20	are	be	VBP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	170	21	disproportionately	disproportionately	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	170	22	represented	represent	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	170	23	in	in	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	170	24	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	170	25	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	170	26	death	death	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	170	27	toll	toll	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	170	28	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	171	1	This	this	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	171	2	208	208	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	171	3	disparity	disparity	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	171	4	is	be	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	171	5	primarily	primarily	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	171	6	because	because	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	171	7	these	these	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	171	8	states	state	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	171	9	have	have	VBP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	171	10	much	much	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	171	11	worse	bad	JJR
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	171	12	case	case	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	171	13	incidence	incidence	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	171	14	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	171	15	case	case	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	171	16	209	209	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	171	17	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	171	18	rates	rate	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	171	19	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	172	1	New	New	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	172	2	York	York	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	172	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	172	4	forecasted	forecast	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	172	5	to	to	TO
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	172	6	experience	experience	VB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	172	7	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	172	8	largest	large	JJS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	172	9	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	172	10	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	172	11	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	172	12	greatest	great	JJS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	172	13	210	210	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	172	14	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	172	15	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	172	16	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	172	17	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	172	18	highest	high	JJS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	172	19	mortality	mortality	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	172	20	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	172	21	any	any	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	172	22	state	state	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	172	23	by	by	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	172	24	far	far	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	172	25	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	173	1	One	one	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	173	2	explanation	explanation	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	173	3	for	for	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	173	4	its	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	173	5	high	high	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	173	6	case	case	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	173	7	211	211	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	173	8	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	173	9	rate	rate	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	173	10	is	be	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	173	11	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	173	12	strain	strain	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	173	13	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	173	14	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	173	15	has	have	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	173	16	placed	place	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	173	17	on	on	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	173	18	its	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	173	19	healthcare	healthcare	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	173	20	system	system	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	173	21	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	174	1	As	as	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	174	2	a	a	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	174	3	result	result	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	174	4	212	212	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	174	5	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	174	6	its	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	174	7	high	high	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	174	8	case	case	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	174	9	incidence	incidence	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	174	10	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	174	11	more	more	JJR
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	174	12	hospitalizations	hospitalization	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	174	13	will	will	MD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	174	14	be	be	VB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	174	15	required	require	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	174	16	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	174	17	overwhelming	overwhelm	VBG
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	174	18	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	174	19	213	213	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	174	20	medical	medical	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	174	21	care	care	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	174	22	system	system	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	174	23	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	175	1	This	this	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	175	2	could	could	MD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	175	3	result	result	VB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	175	4	in	in	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	175	5	diminished	diminished	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	175	6	quality	quality	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	175	7	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	175	8	medical	medical	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	175	9	care	care	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	175	10	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	175	11	resulting	result	VBG
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	175	12	214	214	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	175	13	in	in	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	175	14	a	a	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	175	15	high	high	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	175	16	case	case	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	175	17	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	175	18	rate	rate	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	175	19	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	176	1	Additionally	additionally	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	176	2	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	176	3	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	176	4	disease	disease	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	176	5	has	have	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	176	6	disproportionately	disproportionately	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	176	7	impacted	impact	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	176	8	215	215	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	176	9	low	low	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	176	10	-	-	HYPH
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	176	11	income	income	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	176	12	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	176	13	more	more	RBR
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	176	14	vulnerable	vulnerable	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	176	15	areas	area	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	176	16	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	177	1	[	[	-LRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	177	2	21	21	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	177	3	]	]	-RRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	177	4	216	216	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	178	1	The	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	178	2	reason	reason	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	178	3	for	for	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	178	4	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	178	5	high	high	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	178	6	case	case	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	178	7	incidence	incidence	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	178	8	itself	-PRON-	PRP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	178	9	is	be	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	178	10	more	more	RBR
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	178	11	perplexing	perplexing	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	178	12	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	179	1	Numerous	numerous	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	179	2	factors	factor	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	179	3	217	217	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	179	4	are	be	VBP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	179	5	likely	likely	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	179	6	at	at	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	179	7	play	play	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	179	8	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	179	9	such	such	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	179	10	as	as	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	179	11	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	179	12	popularity	popularity	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	179	13	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	179	14	public	public	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	179	15	transportation	transportation	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	179	16	[	[	-LRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	179	17	22	22	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	179	18	]	]	-RRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	179	19	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	179	20	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	179	21	high	high	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	179	22	218	218	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	179	23	population	population	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	179	24	density	density	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	179	25	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	179	26	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	179	27	New	New	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	179	28	York	York	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	179	29	City	City	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	179	30	metropolitan	metropolitan	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	179	31	area	area	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	179	32	[	[	-LRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	179	33	23	23	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	179	34	]	]	-RRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	179	35	]	]	-RRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	180	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	180	2	where	where	WRB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	180	3	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	180	4	vast	vast	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	180	5	219	219	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	180	6	majority	majority	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	180	7	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	180	8	cases	case	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	180	9	have	have	VBP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	180	10	been	be	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	180	11	reported	report	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	180	12	[	[	-LRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	180	13	24	24	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	180	14	]	]	-RRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	180	15	)	)	-RRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	180	16	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	181	1	However	however	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	181	2	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	181	3	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	181	4	is	be	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	181	5	difficult	difficult	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	181	6	to	to	TO
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	181	7	find	find	VB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	181	8	conclusive	conclusive	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	181	9	220	220	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	181	10	evidence	evidence	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	181	11	that	that	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	181	12	any	any	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	181	13	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	181	14	these	these	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	181	15	factors	factor	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	181	16	are	be	VBP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	181	17	directly	directly	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	181	18	accountable	accountable	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	181	19	for	for	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	181	20	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	181	21	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	181	22	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	182	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	182	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	182	3	very	very	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	182	4	221	221	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	182	5	likely	likely	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	182	6	that	that	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	182	7	luck	luck	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	182	8	played	play	VBD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	182	9	a	a	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	182	10	large	large	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	182	11	role	role	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	182	12	in	in	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	182	13	determining	determine	VBG
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	182	14	where	where	WRB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	182	15	clusters	cluster	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	182	16	appeared	appear	VBD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	182	17	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	183	1	There	there	EX
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	183	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	183	3	222	222	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	183	4	ample	ample	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	183	5	evidence	evidence	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	183	6	that	that	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	183	7	super	super	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	183	8	-	-	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	183	9	spreading	spread	VBG
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	183	10	events	event	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	183	11	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	183	12	or	or	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	183	13	SSE	SSE	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	183	14	's	's	POS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	183	15	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	183	16	can	can	MD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	183	17	cause	cause	VB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	183	18	sizable	sizable	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	183	19	outbreaks	outbreak	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	183	20	[	[	-LRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	183	21	25	25	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	183	22	]	]	-RRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	183	23	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	184	1	223	223	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	185	1	For	for	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	185	2	instance	instance	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	185	3	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	185	4	officials	official	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	185	5	in	in	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	185	6	New	New	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	185	7	York	York	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	185	8	stated	state	VBD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	185	9	that	that	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	185	10	as	as	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	185	11	many	many	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	185	12	as	as	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	185	13	fifty	fifty	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	185	14	infections	infection	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	185	15	could	could	MD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	185	16	be	be	VB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	185	17	224	224	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	185	18	traced	trace	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	185	19	back	back	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	185	20	to	to	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	185	21	a	a	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	185	22	single	single	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	185	23	man	man	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	185	24	in	in	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	185	25	Westchester	Westchester	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	185	26	County	County	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	185	27	[	[	-LRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	185	28	26	26	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	185	29	]	]	-RRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	185	30	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	186	1	225	225	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	187	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	187	2	propose	propose	VBP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	187	3	two	two	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	187	4	principal	principal	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	187	5	explanations	explanation	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	187	6	for	for	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	187	7	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	187	8	discrepancy	discrepancy	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	187	9	between	between	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	187	10	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	187	11	death	death	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	187	12	tolls	toll	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	187	13	226	226	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	187	14	forecasted	forecast	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	187	15	by	by	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	187	16	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	187	17	University	University	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	187	18	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	187	19	Washington	Washington	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	187	20	model	model	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	187	21	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	187	22	that	that	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	187	23	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	187	24	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	187	25	model	model	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	187	26	:	:	:
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	187	27	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	187	28	227	227	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	187	29	differences	difference	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	187	30	in	in	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	187	31	both	both	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	187	32	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	187	33	procedure	procedure	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	187	34	for	for	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	187	35	calculating	calculate	VBG
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	187	36	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	187	37	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	187	38	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	187	39	procedure	procedure	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	187	40	for	for	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	187	41	calculating	calculate	VBG
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	187	42	228	228	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	187	43	mortality	mortality	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	187	44	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	188	1	Our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	188	2	cohort	cohort	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	188	3	-	-	HYPH
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	188	4	based	base	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	188	5	method	method	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	188	6	to	to	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	188	7	determining	determine	VBG
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	188	8	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	188	9	's	's	POS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	188	10	predicts	predict	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	188	11	case	case	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	188	12	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	188	13	rates	rate	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	188	14	229	229	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	188	15	more	more	RBR
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	188	16	accurately	accurately	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	188	17	at	at	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	188	18	every	every	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	188	19	stage	stage	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	188	20	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	188	21	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	188	22	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	188	23	than	than	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	188	24	other	other	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	188	25	models	model	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	188	26	because	because	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	188	27	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	188	28	explicitly	explicitly	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	188	29	230	230	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	188	30	accounts	account	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	188	31	for	for	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	188	32	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	188	33	onset	onset	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	188	34	-	-	HYPH
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	188	35	to	to	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	188	36	-	-	HYPH
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	188	37	death	death	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	188	38	interval	interval	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	188	39	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	189	1	Further	further	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	189	2	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	189	3	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	189	4	forecast	forecast	VBP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	189	5	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	189	6	mortality	mortality	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	189	7	by	by	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	189	8	231	231	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	189	9	independently	independently	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	189	10	evaluating	evaluate	VBG
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	189	11	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	189	12	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	189	13	case	case	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	189	14	incidence	incidence	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	189	15	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	190	1	In	in	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	190	2	contrast	contrast	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	190	3	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	190	4	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	190	5	University	University	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	190	6	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	190	7	232	232	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	190	8	Washington	Washington	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	190	9	model	model	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	190	10	directly	directly	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	190	11	predicts	predict	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	190	12	deaths	death	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	190	13	;	;	:
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	190	14	this	this	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	190	15	method	method	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	190	16	is	be	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	190	17	prone	prone	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	190	18	to	to	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	190	19	greater	great	JJR
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	190	20	errors	error	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	190	21	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	191	1	While	while	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	191	2	both	both	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	191	3	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	191	4	CFR	CFR	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	191	5	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	191	6	case	case	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	191	7	incidence	incidence	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	191	8	models	model	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	191	9	fit	fit	VBP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	191	10	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	191	11	data	datum	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	191	12	extremely	extremely	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	191	13	well	well	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	191	14	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	191	15	there	there	EX
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	191	16	are	be	VBP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	191	17	234	234	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	191	18	several	several	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	191	19	challenges	challenge	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	191	20	with	with	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	191	21	estimating	estimate	VBG
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	191	22	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	191	23	number	number	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	191	24	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	191	25	deaths	death	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	191	26	accurately	accurately	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	191	27	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	192	1	Our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	192	2	model	model	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	192	3	assumes	assume	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	192	4	235	235	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	192	5	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	192	6	scale	scale	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	192	7	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	192	8	methods	method	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	192	9	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	192	10	surveillance	surveillance	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	192	11	do	do	VBP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	192	12	not	not	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	192	13	significantly	significantly	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	192	14	change	change	VB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	192	15	between	between	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	192	16	today	today	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	192	17	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	192	18	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	192	19	236	236	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	192	20	future	future	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	192	21	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	193	1	Any	any	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	193	2	changes	change	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	193	3	to	to	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	193	4	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	193	5	testing	testing	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	193	6	process	process	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	193	7	will	will	MD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	193	8	affect	affect	VB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	193	9	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	193	10	number	number	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	193	11	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	193	12	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	193	13	cases	case	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	193	14	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	194	1	Breakthroughs	breakthrough	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	194	2	in	in	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	194	3	leveraging	leverage	VBG
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	194	4	telemedicine	telemedicine	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	194	5	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	194	6	for	for	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	194	7	instance	instance	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	194	8	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	194	9	would	would	MD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	194	10	result	result	VB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	194	11	in	in	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	194	12	increased	increase	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	194	13	238	238	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	194	14	detection	detection	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	194	15	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	194	16	infected	infected	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	194	17	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	194	18	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	195	1	In	in	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	195	2	this	this	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	195	3	case	case	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	195	4	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	195	5	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	195	6	model	model	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	195	7	's	's	POS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	195	8	current	current	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	195	9	forecasts	forecast	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	195	10	for	for	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	195	11	case	case	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	195	12	239	239	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	195	13	incidence	incidence	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	195	14	would	would	MD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	195	15	be	be	VB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	195	16	underestimates	underestimate	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	195	17	[	[	-LRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	195	18	27	27	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	195	19	]	]	-RRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	195	20	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	196	1	Additionally	additionally	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	196	2	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	196	3	if	if	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	196	4	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	196	5	shelter	shelter	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	196	6	-	-	HYPH
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	196	7	in	in	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	196	8	-	-	HYPH
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	196	9	place	place	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	196	10	order	order	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	196	11	is	be	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	196	12	240	240	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	196	13	withdrawn	withdraw	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	196	14	from	from	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	196	15	states	state	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	196	16	too	too	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	196	17	early	early	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	196	18	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	196	19	there	there	EX
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	196	20	will	will	MD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	196	21	likely	likely	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	196	22	be	be	VB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	196	23	an	an	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	196	24	increase	increase	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	196	25	in	in	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	196	26	both	both	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	196	27	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	196	28	case	case	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	196	29	241	241	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	196	30	incidence	incidence	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	196	31	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	196	32	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	196	33	mortality	mortality	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	196	34	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	197	1	The	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	197	2	model	model	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	197	3	itself	-PRON-	PRP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	197	4	has	have	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	197	5	limitations	limitation	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	197	6	;	;	:
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	197	7	if	if	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	197	8	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	197	9	assumptions	assumption	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	197	10	do	do	VBP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	197	11	not	not	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	197	12	242	242	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	197	13	hold	hold	VB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	197	14	true	true	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	197	15	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	197	16	then	then	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	197	17	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	197	18	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	197	19	will	will	MD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	197	20	not	not	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	197	21	hold	hold	VB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	197	22	true	true	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	197	23	either	either	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	197	24	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	197	25	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	198	1	CC	CC	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	198	2	-	-	HYPH
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	198	3	BY	BY	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	198	4	-	-	HYPH
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	198	5	ND	ND	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	198	6	4.0	4.0	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	198	7	International	international	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	198	8	license	license	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	199	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	199	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	199	3	made	make	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	199	4	available	available	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	199	5	under	under	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	199	6	a	a	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	200	1	is	be	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	200	2	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	200	3	author	author	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	200	4	/	/	SYM
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	200	5	funder	funder	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	200	6	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	200	7	who	who	WP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	200	8	has	have	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	200	9	granted	grant	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	200	10	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	200	11	a	a	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	200	12	license	license	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	200	13	to	to	TO
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	200	14	display	display	VB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	200	15	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	200	16	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	200	17	in	in	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	200	18	perpetuity	perpetuity	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	200	19	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	201	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	201	2	which	which	WDT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	201	3	was	be	VBD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	201	4	not	not	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	201	5	certified	certify	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	201	6	by	by	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	201	7	peer	peer	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	201	8	review	review	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	201	9	)	)	-RRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	202	1	The	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	202	2	copyright	copyright	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	202	3	holder	holder	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	202	4	for	for	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	202	5	this	this	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	202	6	preprint	preprint	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	202	7	this	this	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	202	8	version	version	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	202	9	posted	post	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	202	10	May	May	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	202	11	5	5	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	202	12	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	202	13	2020	2020	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	202	14	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	203	1	I	-PRON-	PRP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	203	2	would	would	MD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	203	3	like	like	VB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	203	4	to	to	TO
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	203	5	thank	thank	VB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	203	6	Chandra	Chandra	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	203	7	Narayanan	Narayanan	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	203	8	for	for	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	203	9	all	all	PDT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	203	10	his	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	203	11	guidance	guidance	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	203	12	on	on	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	203	13	building	build	VBG
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	203	14	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	203	15	best	good	JJS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	203	16	case	case	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	203	17	254	254	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	203	18	incidence	incidence	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	203	19	model	model	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	203	20	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	203	21	 	 	_SP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	204	1	First	first	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	204	2	known	know	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	204	3	person	person	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	204	4	-	-	HYPH
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	204	5	to	to	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	204	6	-	-	HYPH
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	204	7	person	person	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	204	8	transmission	transmission	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	204	9	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	204	10	severe	severe	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	204	11	acute	acute	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	204	12	respiratory	respiratory	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	204	13	syndrome	syndrome	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	204	14	coronavirus	coronavirus	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	204	15	2	2	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	205	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	205	2	SARS	SARS	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	205	3	-	-	HYPH
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	205	4	CoV-2	CoV-2	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	205	5	)	)	-RRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	205	6	in	in	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	205	7	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	205	8	USA	USA	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	206	1	WHO	who	WP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	206	2	Coronavirus	Coronavirus	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	206	3	Disease	Disease	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	206	4	First	First	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	206	5	case	case	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	206	6	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	206	7	2019	2019	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	206	8	novel	novel	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	206	9	coronavirus	coronavirus	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	206	10	in	in	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	206	11	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	206	12	United	United	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	206	13	States	States	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	206	14	WHO	WHO	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	206	15	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	207	1	Coronavirus	Coronavirus	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	207	2	disease	disease	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	207	3	2019	2019	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	208	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	208	2	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	208	3	)	)	-RRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	208	4	Situation	Situation	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	208	5	Report	Report	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	209	1	-95	-95	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	209	2	NPR	NPR	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	209	3	Fauci	Fauci	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	209	4	Estimates	estimate	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	209	5	That	that	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	209	6	100,000	100,000	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	209	7	to	to	TO
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	209	8	200,000	200,000	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	209	9	Americans	Americans	NNPS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	209	10	Could	Could	MD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	209	11	Die	die	VB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	209	12	From	from	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	209	13	The	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	209	14	Coronavirus	Coronavirus	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	209	15	NPR	NPR	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	210	1	The	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	210	2	Coronavirus	Coronavirus	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	210	3	Crisis	Crisis	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	211	1	-Fauci	-Fauci	:
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	211	2	Says	say	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	212	1	U.S.	U.S.	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	212	2	Coronavirus	Coronavirus	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	212	3	Deaths	death	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	212	4	May	May	MD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	212	5	Be	be	VB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	212	6	'	'	``
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	212	7	More	More	JJR
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	212	8	Like	like	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	212	9	60	60	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	212	10	Institute	Institute	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	212	11	for	for	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	212	12	Health	Health	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	212	13	Metrics	Metrics	NNPS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	212	14	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	212	15	Evaluation	Evaluation	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	212	16	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	213	1	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	213	2	Projections	Projections	NNPS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	213	3	A	a	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	213	4	novel	novel	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	213	5	cohort	cohort	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	213	6	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	213	7	approach	approach	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	213	8	to	to	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	213	9	determining	determine	VBG
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	213	10	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	213	11	case	case	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	213	12	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	213	13	rate	rate	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	213	14	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	213	15	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	213	16	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	213	17	other	other	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	213	18	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	213	19	diseases	disease	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	213	20	JHU	JHU	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	213	21	2019	2019	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	214	1	Novel	Novel	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	214	2	Coronavirus	Coronavirus	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	214	3	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	214	4	(	(	-LRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	214	5	2019-nCoV	2019-ncov	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	214	6	)	)	-RRB-
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	215	1	Data	datum	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	215	2	Repository	repository	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	215	3	by	by	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	215	4	Johns	Johns	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	215	5	Hopkins	Hopkins	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	215	6	CSSE	CSSE	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	215	7	United	United	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	215	8	States	States	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	215	9	Census	Census	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	215	10	Bureau	Bureau	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	215	11	State	State	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	215	12	Population	Population	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	215	13	Totals	Totals	NNPS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	215	14	Methods	method	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	215	15	for	for	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	215	16	estimating	estimate	VBG
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	215	17	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	215	18	case	case	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	215	19	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	215	20	ratio	ratio	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	215	21	for	for	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	215	22	a	a	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	215	23	novel	novel	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	215	24	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	215	25	emerging	emerge	VBG
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	215	26	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	215	27	disease	disease	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	216	1	How	how	WRB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	216	2	testing	test	VBG
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	216	3	completely	completely	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	216	4	skews	skew	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	216	5	Coronavirus	Coronavirus	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	216	6	case	case	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	216	7	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	216	8	rates	rate	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	217	1	Case	case	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	217	2	Fatality	fatality	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	217	3	Rate	rate	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	218	1	The	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	218	2	mathematics	mathematic	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	218	3	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	218	4	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	218	5	diseases	disease	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	219	1	Estimating	estimate	VBG
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	219	2	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	219	3	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	219	4	growth	growth	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	219	5	rate	rate	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	219	6	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	219	7	basic	basic	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	219	8	reproduction	reproduction	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	219	9	number	number	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	219	10	Estimation	estimation	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	219	11	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	219	12	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	219	13	final	final	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	219	14	size	size	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	219	15	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	219	16	the	the	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	219	17	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	219	18	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	219	19	Clinical	clinical	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	219	20	characteristics	characteristic	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	219	21	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	219	22	coronavirus	coronavirus	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	219	23	disease	disease	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	219	24	2019	2019	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	219	25	in	in	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	219	26	China	China	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	219	27	Comorbidity	Comorbidity	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	219	28	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	219	29	its	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	219	30	impact	impact	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	219	31	on	on	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	219	32	1590	1590	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	219	33	patients	patient	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	219	34	with	with	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	219	35	Covid-19	covid-19	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	219	36	in	in	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	219	37	China	China	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	219	38	:	:	:
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	220	1	A	a	DT
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	220	2	Nationwide	Nationwide	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	220	3	Analysis	Analysis	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	220	4	Data	Data	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	220	5	Suggests	suggest	VBZ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	220	6	Many	many	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	220	7	New	New	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	220	8	York	York	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	220	9	City	City	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	220	10	Neighborhoods	Neighborhoods	NNPS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	221	1	Hardest	hard	RBS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	221	2	Hit	Hit	VBN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	221	3	by	by	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	221	4	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	221	5	Are	be	VBP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	221	6	Also	also	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	221	7	Low	Low	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	221	8	Income	Income	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	221	9	Areas	Areas	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	221	10	Land	Land	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	221	11	Area	Area	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	221	12	,	,	,
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	221	13	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	221	14	Population	population	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	221	15	Density	Density	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	221	16	by	by	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	221	17	County	County	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	221	18	Identifying	identify	VBG
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	221	19	and	and	CC
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	221	20	Interrupting	interrupt	VBG
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	221	21	Superspreading	Superspreading	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	221	22	Events	event	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	221	23	-	-	:
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	221	24	Implications	Implications	NNPS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	221	25	for	for	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	221	26	Control	Control	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	221	27	of	of	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	221	28	Severe	Severe	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	221	29	Acute	acute	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	221	30	Respiratory	Respiratory	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	221	31	Syndrome	Syndrome	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	221	32	Coronavirus	Coronavirus	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	221	33	2	2	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	221	34	.	.	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	222	1	Emerg	Emerg	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	222	2	Infect	infect	VB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	222	3	Dis	Dis	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	222	4	New	New	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	222	5	York	York	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	222	6	Officials	official	NNS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	222	7	Traced	trace	VBD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	222	8	More	More	JJR
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	222	9	Than	than	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	222	10	50	50	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	222	11	Coronavirus	Coronavirus	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	222	12	Cases	Cases	NNPS
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	222	13	back	back	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	222	14	To	to	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	222	15	One	one	CD
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	222	16	Attorney	Attorney	NNP
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	222	17	Virtually	virtually	RB
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	222	18	perfect	perfect	JJ
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	222	19	?	?	.
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	223	1	Telemedicine	telemedicine	NN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	223	2	for	for	IN
cord-279539-s2zv7hr4	223	3	COVID-19	covid-19	NN