id	sid	tid	token	lemma	pos
cord-351941-fgtatt40	1	1	key	key	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	1	2	:	:	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	1	3	cord-351941-fgtatt40	cord-351941-fgtatt40	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	1	4	authors	author	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	1	5	:	:	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	1	6	Ghaffarzadegan	Ghaffarzadegan	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	1	7	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	1	8	Navid	Navid	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	1	9	;	;	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	1	10	Rahmandad	Rahmandad	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	1	11	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	1	12	Hazhir	Hazhir	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	1	13	title	title	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	1	14	:	:	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	1	15	Simulation‐based	simulation‐based	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	1	16	estimation	estimation	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	1	17	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	1	18	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	1	19	early	early	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	1	20	spread	spread	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	1	21	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	1	22	COVID‐19	covid‐19	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	1	23	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	1	24	Iran	Iran	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	1	25	:	:	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	2	1	actual	actual	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	2	2	versus	versus	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	2	3	confirmed	confirmed	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	2	4	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	2	5	date	date	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	2	6	:	:	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	2	7	2020	2020	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	2	8	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	2	9	07	07	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	2	10	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	2	11	06	06	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	2	12	journal	journal	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	2	13	:	:	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	3	1	Syst	Syst	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	3	2	Dyn	Dyn	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	3	3	Rev	Rev	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	3	4	DOI	DOI	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	3	5	:	:	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	3	6	10.1002	10.1002	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	3	7	/	/	SYM
cord-351941-fgtatt40	3	8	sdr.1655	sdr.1655	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	3	9	sha	sha	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	3	10	:	:	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	3	11	222513a7918e8cdaa911d0e3cbdc7da967c8d385	222513a7918e8cdaa911d0e3cbdc7da967c8d385	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	3	12	doc_id	doc_id	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	3	13	:	:	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	3	14	351941	351941	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	3	15	cord_uid	cord_uid	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	3	16	:	:	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	3	17	fgtatt40	fgtatt40	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	4	1	Understanding	understand	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	4	2	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	4	3	state	state	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	4	4	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	4	5	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	4	6	COVID‐19	COVID‐19	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	4	7	pandemic	pandemic	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	4	8	relies	rely	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	4	9	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	4	10	infection	infection	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	4	11	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	4	12	mortality	mortality	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	4	13	data	datum	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	4	14	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	5	1	Yet	yet	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	5	2	official	official	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	5	3	data	datum	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	5	4	may	may	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	5	5	underestimate	underestimate	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	5	6	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	5	7	actual	actual	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	5	8	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	5	9	due	due	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	5	10	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	5	11	limited	limited	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	5	12	symptoms	symptom	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	5	13	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	5	14	testing	testing	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	5	15	capacity	capacity	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	5	16	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	6	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	6	2	offer	offer	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	6	3	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	6	4	simulation‐based	simulation‐based	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	6	5	approach	approach	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	6	6	which	which	WDT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	6	7	combines	combine	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	6	8	various	various	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	6	9	sources	source	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	6	10	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	6	11	data	datum	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	6	12	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	6	13	estimate	estimate	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	6	14	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	6	15	magnitude	magnitude	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	6	16	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	6	17	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	6	18	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	7	1	Early	early	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	7	2	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	7	3	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	7	4	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	7	5	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	7	6	applied	apply	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	7	7	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	7	8	method	method	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	7	9	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	7	10	Iran	Iran	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	7	11	's	's	POS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	7	12	case	case	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	7	13	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	7	14	an	an	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	7	15	epicenter	epicenter	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	7	16	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	7	17	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	7	18	pandemic	pandemic	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	7	19	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	7	20	winter	winter	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	7	21	2020	2020	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	7	22	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	8	1	Estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	8	2	using	use	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	8	3	data	datum	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	8	4	up	up	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	8	5	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	8	6	March	March	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	8	7	20th	20th	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	8	8	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	8	9	2020	2020	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	8	10	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	8	11	point	point	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	8	12	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	8	13	916,000	916,000	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	8	14	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	8	15	90	90	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	8	16	%	%	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	8	17	UI	UI	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	8	18	:	:	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	9	1	508	508	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	9	2	K	K	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	9	3	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	9	4	1.5	1.5	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	9	5	M	M	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	9	6	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	9	7	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	9	8	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	9	9	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	9	10	15,485	15,485	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	9	11	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	9	12	90	90	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	9	13	%	%	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	9	14	UI	UI	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	9	15	:	:	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	9	16	8.4	8.4	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	9	17	K	K	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	9	18	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	9	19	25.8	25.8	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	9	20	K	K	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	9	21	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	9	22	total	total	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	9	23	deaths	death	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	9	24	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	9	25	numbers	number	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	9	26	an	an	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	9	27	order	order	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	9	28	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	9	29	magnitude	magnitude	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	9	30	higher	high	JJR
cord-351941-fgtatt40	9	31	than	than	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	9	32	official	official	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	9	33	statistics	statistic	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	9	34	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	10	1	Our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	10	2	projections	projection	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	10	3	suggest	suggest	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	10	4	that	that	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	10	5	absent	absent	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	10	6	strong	strong	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	10	7	sustaining	sustain	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	10	8	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	10	9	contact	contact	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	10	10	reductions	reduction	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	10	11	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	10	12	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	10	13	may	may	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	10	14	resurface	resurface	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	10	15	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	11	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	11	2	also	also	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	11	3	use	use	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	11	4	data	datum	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	11	5	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	11	6	studies	study	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	11	7	from	from	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	11	8	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	11	9	succeeding	succeed	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	11	10	months	month	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	11	11	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	11	12	reflect	reflect	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	11	13	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	11	14	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	11	15	quality	quality	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	11	16	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	11	17	original	original	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	11	18	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	11	19	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	12	1	Our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	12	2	proposed	propose	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	12	3	approach	approach	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	12	4	can	can	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	12	5	be	be	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	12	6	used	use	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	12	7	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	12	8	similar	similar	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	12	9	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	12	10	elsewhere	elsewhere	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	12	11	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	12	12	provide	provide	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	12	13	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	12	14	more	more	RBR
cord-351941-fgtatt40	12	15	accurate	accurate	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	12	16	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	12	17	early	early	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	12	18	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	12	19	estimate	estimate	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	12	20	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	12	21	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	12	22	state	state	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	12	23	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	13	1	©	©	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	13	2	2020	2020	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	14	1	System	system	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	14	2	Dynamics	dynamics	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	14	3	Society	Society	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	15	1	The	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	15	2	2019	2019	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	15	3	novel	novel	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	15	4	Coronavirus	Coronavirus	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	15	5	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	15	6	SARS	SARS	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	15	7	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	15	8	Cov-2	Cov-2	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	15	9	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	15	10	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	15	11	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	15	12	pathogen	pathogen	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	15	13	that	that	WDT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	15	14	causes	cause	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	15	15	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	15	16	infection	infection	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	15	17	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	15	18	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	15	19	exposing	expose	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	15	20	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	15	21	world	world	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	15	22	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	15	23	one	one	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	15	24	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	15	25	its	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	15	26	largest	large	JJS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	15	27	global	global	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	15	28	health	health	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	15	29	challenges	challenge	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	15	30	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	15	31	recent	recent	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	15	32	decades	decade	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	15	33	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	16	1	From	from	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	16	2	public	public	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	16	3	understanding	understanding	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	16	4	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	16	5	policy	policy	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	16	6	choices	choice	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	16	7	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	16	8	much	much	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	16	9	depends	depend	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	16	10	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	16	11	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	16	12	data	datum	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	16	13	about	about	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	16	14	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	16	15	epidemics	epidemic	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	16	16	spread	spread	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	16	17	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	16	18	models	model	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	16	19	that	that	WDT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	16	20	integrate	integrate	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	16	21	such	such	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	16	22	data	datum	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	16	23	into	into	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	16	24	actionable	actionable	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	16	25	policies	policy	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	16	26	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	16	27	Kaplan	Kaplan	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	16	28	et	et	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	16	29	al	al	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	16	30	.	.	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	16	31	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	16	32	2002	2002	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	16	33	;	;	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	16	34	Thompson	Thompson	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	16	35	et	et	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	16	36	al	al	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	16	37	.	.	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	16	38	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	16	39	2008	2008	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	16	40	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	16	41	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	17	1	Yet	yet	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	17	2	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	17	3	official	official	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	17	4	data	datum	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	17	5	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	17	6	highly	highly	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	17	7	uncertain	uncertain	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	17	8	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	17	9	with	with	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	17	10	large	large	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	17	11	variations	variation	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	17	12	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	17	13	quality	quality	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	17	14	depending	depend	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	17	15	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	17	16	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	17	17	country	country	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	17	18	reporting	report	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	17	19	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	17	20	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	17	21	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	17	22	regularly	regularly	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	17	23	offering	offer	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	17	24	lower	low	JJR
cord-351941-fgtatt40	17	25	bounds	bound	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	17	26	that	that	WDT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	17	27	have	have	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	17	28	unknown	unknown	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	17	29	error	error	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	17	30	bounds	bound	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	17	31	compared	compare	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	17	32	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	17	33	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	17	34	reality	reality	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	17	35	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	17	36	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	17	37	ground	ground	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	17	38	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	18	1	Other	other	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	18	2	sources	source	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	18	3	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	18	4	data	datum	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	18	5	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	18	6	often	often	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	18	7	based	base	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	18	8	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	18	9	smaller	small	JJR
cord-351941-fgtatt40	18	10	samples	sample	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	18	11	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	18	12	travel	travel	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	18	13	screening	screening	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	18	14	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	18	15	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	18	16	anecdotal	anecdotal	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	18	17	evidence	evidence	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	18	18	may	may	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	18	19	offer	offer	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	18	20	relevant	relevant	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	18	21	hints	hint	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	18	22	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	18	23	but	but	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	18	24	they	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	18	25	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	18	26	not	not	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	18	27	easily	easily	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	18	28	generalized	generalize	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	18	29	or	or	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	18	30	combined	combine	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	18	31	with	with	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	18	32	official	official	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	18	33	data	datum	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	18	34	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	19	1	The	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	19	2	current	current	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	19	3	paper	paper	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	19	4	focuses	focus	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	19	5	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	19	6	using	use	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	19	7	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	19	8	standard	standard	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	19	9	dynamic	dynamic	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	19	10	epidemiological	epidemiological	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	19	11	model	model	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	19	12	as	as	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	19	13	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	19	14	tool	tool	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	19	15	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	19	16	incorporating	incorporate	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	19	17	various	various	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	19	18	sources	source	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	19	19	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	19	20	data	datum	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	19	21	into	into	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	19	22	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	19	23	unified	unified	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	19	24	estimation	estimation	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	19	25	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	19	26	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	19	27	actual	actual	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	19	28	trajectory	trajectory	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	19	29	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	19	30	disease	disease	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	19	31	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	19	32	applying	apply	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	19	33	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	19	34	method	method	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	19	35	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	19	36	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	19	37	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	19	38	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	19	39	Iran	Iran	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	19	40	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	20	1	Our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	20	2	focus	focus	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	20	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	20	4	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	20	5	how	how	WRB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	20	6	well	well	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	20	7	one	one	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	20	8	can	can	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	20	9	realistically	realistically	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	20	10	estimate	estimate	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	20	11	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	20	12	magnitude	magnitude	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	20	13	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	20	14	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	20	15	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	20	16	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	20	17	early	early	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	20	18	stages	stage	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	20	19	when	when	WRB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	20	20	disease	disease	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	20	21	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	20	22	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	20	23	uncertain	uncertain	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	20	24	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	20	25	data	datum	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	20	26	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	20	27	limited	limited	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	20	28	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	20	29	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	20	30	projections	projection	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	20	31	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	20	32	highly	highly	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	20	33	volatile	volatile	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	20	34	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	21	1	Current	current	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	21	2	information	information	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	21	3	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	21	4	as	as	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	21	5	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	21	6	May	May	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	21	7	15	15	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	21	8	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	21	9	2020	2020	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	21	10	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	21	11	point	point	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	21	12	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	21	13	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	21	14	spread	spread	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	21	15	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	21	16	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	21	17	starting	start	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	21	18	from	from	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	21	19	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	21	20	food	food	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	21	21	market	market	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	21	22	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	21	23	Wuhan	Wuhan	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	21	24	China	China	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	21	25	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	21	26	mid	mid	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	21	27	-	-	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	21	28	November	November	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	21	29	2019	2019	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	21	30	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	22	1	The	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	22	2	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	22	3	initially	initially	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	22	4	spread	spread	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	22	5	mostly	mostly	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	22	6	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	22	7	China	China	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	22	8	but	but	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	22	9	has	have	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	22	10	become	become	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	22	11	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	22	12	global	global	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	22	13	pandemic	pandemic	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	22	14	by	by	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	22	15	May	May	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	22	16	with	with	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	22	17	over	over	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	22	18	4	4	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	22	19	million	million	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	22	20	official	official	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	22	21	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	22	22	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	22	23	280	280	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	22	24	thousand	thousand	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	22	25	deaths	death	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	22	26	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	22	27	Worldmeters	Worldmeters	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	22	28	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	22	29	2020	2020	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	22	30	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	22	31	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	23	1	The	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	23	2	situation	situation	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	23	3	may	may	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	23	4	also	also	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	23	5	be	be	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	23	6	worse	bad	JJR
cord-351941-fgtatt40	23	7	than	than	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	23	8	official	official	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	23	9	statistics	statistic	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	23	10	portray	portray	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	23	11	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	24	1	For	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	24	2	example	example	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	24	3	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	24	4	despite	despite	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	24	5	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	24	6	massive	massive	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	24	7	screening	screening	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	24	8	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	24	9	response	response	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	24	10	campaign	campaign	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	24	11	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	24	12	China	China	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	24	13	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	24	14	Li	Li	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	24	15	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	24	16	colleagues	colleague	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	24	17	estimate	estimate	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	24	18	that	that	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	24	19	86	86	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	24	20	%	%	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	24	21	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	24	22	early	early	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	24	23	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	24	24	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	24	25	China	China	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	24	26	were	be	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	24	27	undocumented	undocumented	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	24	28	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	25	1	The	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	25	2	situation	situation	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	25	3	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	25	4	Iran	Iran	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	25	5	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	25	6	another	another	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	25	7	early	early	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	25	8	epicenter	epicenter	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	25	9	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	25	10	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	25	11	instructive	instructive	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	25	12	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	26	1	The	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	26	2	first	first	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	26	3	official	official	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	26	4	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	26	5	were	be	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	26	6	reported	report	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	26	7	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	26	8	February	February	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	26	9	19th	19th	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	26	10	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	26	11	2020	2020	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	26	12	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	26	13	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	26	14	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	26	15	city	city	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	26	16	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	26	17	Qom	Qom	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	26	18	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	26	19	Wikipedia	Wikipedia	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	26	20	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	26	21	2020	2020	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	26	22	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	26	23	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	27	1	Yet	yet	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	27	2	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	27	3	later	later	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	27	4	reports	report	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	27	5	suggested	suggest	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	27	6	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	27	7	disease	disease	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	27	8	was	be	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	27	9	likely	likely	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	27	10	circulating	circulate	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	27	11	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	27	12	Iran	Iran	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	27	13	as	as	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	27	14	early	early	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	27	15	as	as	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	27	16	January	January	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	27	17	2020	2020	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	28	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	28	2	Iran	Iran	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	28	3	International	International	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	28	4	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	28	5	2020	2020	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	28	6	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	28	7	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	29	1	Thus	thus	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	29	2	from	from	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	29	3	February	February	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	29	4	19th	19th	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	29	5	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	29	6	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	29	7	spread	spread	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	29	8	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	29	9	disease	disease	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	29	10	was	be	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	29	11	very	very	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	29	12	rapid	rapid	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	29	13	according	accord	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	29	14	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	29	15	official	official	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	29	16	statistics	statistic	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	29	17	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	30	1	By	by	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	30	2	March	March	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	30	3	20th	20th	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	30	4	some	some	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	30	5	19,644	19,644	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	30	6	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	30	7	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	30	8	1,433	1,433	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	30	9	deaths	death	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	30	10	were	be	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	30	11	recorded	record	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	30	12	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	31	1	The	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	31	2	question	question	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	31	3	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	31	4	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	31	5	minds	mind	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	31	6	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	31	7	policy	policy	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	31	8	makers	maker	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	31	9	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	31	10	public	public	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	31	11	was	be	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	31	12	:	:	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	31	13	how	how	WRB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	31	14	far	far	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	31	15	will	will	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	31	16	this	this	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	31	17	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	31	18	go	go	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	31	19	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	31	20	what	what	WDT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	31	21	policies	policy	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	31	22	should	should	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	31	23	be	be	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	31	24	put	put	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	31	25	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	31	26	place	place	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	31	27	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	31	28	control	control	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	31	29	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	31	30	mitigate	mitigate	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	31	31	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	31	32	risks	risk	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	31	33	?	?	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	32	1	The	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	32	2	answers	answer	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	32	3	heavily	heavily	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	32	4	depend	depend	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	32	5	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	32	6	understanding	understand	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	32	7	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	32	8	true	true	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	32	9	magnitude	magnitude	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	32	10	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	32	11	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	32	12	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	32	13	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	33	1	Any	any	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	33	2	under	under	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	33	3	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	33	4	estimation	estimation	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	33	5	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	33	6	worrisome	worrisome	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	33	7	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	33	8	but	but	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	33	9	early	early	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	33	10	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	33	11	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	33	12	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	33	13	growth	growth	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	33	14	phase	phase	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	33	15	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	33	16	an	an	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	33	17	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	33	18	such	such	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	33	19	errors	error	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	33	20	could	could	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	33	21	be	be	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	33	22	extremely	extremely	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	33	23	costly	costly	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	33	24	as	as	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	33	25	those	those	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	33	26	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	33	27	drive	drive	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	33	28	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	33	29	mobilization	mobilization	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	33	30	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	33	31	public	public	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	33	32	health	health	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	33	33	resources	resource	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	33	34	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	33	35	government	government	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	33	36	responses	response	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	33	37	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	34	1	The	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	34	2	risk	risk	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	34	3	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	34	4	under	under	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	34	5	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	34	6	estimation	estimation	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	34	7	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	34	8	partly	partly	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	34	9	driven	drive	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	34	10	by	by	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	34	11	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	34	12	characteristics	characteristic	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	34	13	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	34	14	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	34	15	disease	disease	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	34	16	such	such	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	34	17	as	as	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	34	18	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	34	19	potentially	potentially	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	34	20	large	large	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	34	21	population	population	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	34	22	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	34	23	unrecognized	unrecognized	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	34	24	patients	patient	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	34	25	with	with	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	34	26	mild	mild	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	34	27	symptoms	symptom	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	34	28	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	34	29	at	at	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	34	30	least	least	JJS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	34	31	80	80	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	34	32	%	%	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	34	33	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	34	34	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	34	35	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	34	36	have	have	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	34	37	symptoms	symptom	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	34	38	not	not	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	34	39	very	very	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	34	40	different	different	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	34	41	from	from	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	34	42	common	common	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	34	43	cold	cold	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	34	44	or	or	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	34	45	flu	flu	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	34	46	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	35	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	35	2	Novel	Novel	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	35	3	Coronavirus	Coronavirus	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	35	4	Pneumonia	Pneumonia	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	35	5	Emergency	Emergency	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	35	6	Response	Response	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	35	7	Epidemiology	Epidemiology	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	35	8	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	35	9	2020	2020	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	35	10	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	35	11	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	36	1	As	as	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	36	2	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	36	3	result	result	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	36	4	no	no	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	36	5	consensus	consensus	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	36	6	also	also	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	36	7	exists	exist	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	36	8	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	36	9	other	other	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	36	10	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	36	11	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	36	12	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	36	13	disease	disease	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	36	14	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	36	15	such	such	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	36	16	as	as	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	36	17	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	36	18	rate	rate	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	36	19	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	36	20	Fauci	Fauci	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	36	21	et	et	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	36	22	al	al	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	36	23	.	.	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	36	24	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	36	25	2020	2020	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	36	26	;	;	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	36	27	Wu	Wu	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	36	28	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	36	29	McGoogan	McGoogan	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	36	30	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	36	31	2020	2020	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	36	32	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	36	33	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	37	1	Moreover	moreover	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	37	2	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	37	3	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	37	4	country	country	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	37	5	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	37	6	specific	specific	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	37	7	variations	variation	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	37	8	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	37	9	measurement	measurement	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	37	10	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	37	11	reporting	reporting	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	37	12	may	may	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	37	13	exceed	exceed	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	37	14	those	those	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	37	15	due	due	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	37	16	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	37	17	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	37	18	nature	nature	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	37	19	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	37	20	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	37	21	disease	disease	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	37	22	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	38	1	To	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	38	2	illustrate	illustrate	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	38	3	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	38	4	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	38	5	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	38	6	next	next	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	38	7	section	section	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	38	8	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	38	9	provide	provide	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	38	10	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	38	11	quick	quick	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	38	12	survey	survey	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	38	13	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	38	14	various	various	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	38	15	early	early	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	38	16	clues	clue	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	38	17	related	relate	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	38	18	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	38	19	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	38	20	magnitude	magnitude	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	38	21	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	38	22	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	38	23	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	38	24	Iran	Iran	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	38	25	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	38	26	which	which	WDT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	38	27	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	38	28	then	then	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	38	29	build	build	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	38	30	on	on	RP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	38	31	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	38	32	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	38	33	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	38	34	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	39	1	There	there	EX
cord-351941-fgtatt40	39	2	have	have	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	39	3	been	be	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	39	4	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	39	5	few	few	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	39	6	clues	clue	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	39	7	from	from	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	39	8	Iran	Iran	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	39	9	which	which	WDT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	39	10	may	may	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	39	11	inform	inform	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	39	12	efforts	effort	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	39	13	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	39	14	estimate	estimate	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	39	15	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	39	16	true	true	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	39	17	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	39	18	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	40	1	First	first	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	40	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	40	3	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	40	4	number	number	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	40	5	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	40	6	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	40	7	identified	identify	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	40	8	among	among	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	40	9	travelers	traveler	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	40	10	arriving	arrive	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	40	11	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	40	12	other	other	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	40	13	countries	country	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	40	14	from	from	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	40	15	Iran	Iran	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	40	16	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	41	1	Screening	screening	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	41	2	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	41	3	passengers	passenger	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	41	4	from	from	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	41	5	high	high	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	41	6	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	41	7	risk	risk	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	41	8	countries	country	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	41	9	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	41	10	airports	airport	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	41	11	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	41	12	more	more	RBR
cord-351941-fgtatt40	41	13	reliable	reliable	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	41	14	than	than	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	41	15	most	most	JJS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	41	16	country	country	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	41	17	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	41	18	level	level	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	41	19	screening	screening	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	41	20	statistics	statistic	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	41	21	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	42	1	One	one	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	42	2	study	study	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	42	3	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	42	4	pre	pre	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	42	5	-	-	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	42	6	print	print	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	42	7	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	42	8	18,300	18,300	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	42	9	total	total	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	42	10	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	42	11	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	42	12	infected	infected	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	42	13	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	42	14	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	42	15	Iran	Iran	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	42	16	by	by	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	42	17	February	February	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	42	18	25	25	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	43	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	43	2	Tuite	Tuite	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	43	3	et	et	FW
cord-351941-fgtatt40	43	4	al	al	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	43	5	.	.	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	43	6	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	43	7	2020	2020	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	43	8	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	43	9	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	44	1	The	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	44	2	method	method	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	44	3	relied	rely	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	44	4	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	44	5	estimation	estimation	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	44	6	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	44	7	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	44	8	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	44	9	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	44	10	whole	whole	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	44	11	country	country	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	44	12	based	base	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	44	13	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	44	14	three	three	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	44	15	diagnosed	diagnose	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	44	16	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	44	17	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	44	18	infection	infection	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	44	19	upon	upon	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	44	20	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	44	21	'	'	POS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	44	22	arrival	arrival	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	44	23	from	from	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	44	24	Iran	Iran	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	44	25	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	44	26	various	various	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	44	27	international	international	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	44	28	airports	airport	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	44	29	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	44	30	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	44	31	likelihood	likelihood	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	44	32	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	44	33	such	such	PDT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	44	34	an	an	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	44	35	incident	incident	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	44	36	given	give	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	44	37	approximately	approximately	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	44	38	7500	7500	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	44	39	daily	daily	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	44	40	outbound	outbound	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	44	41	passengers	passenger	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	44	42	from	from	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	44	43	Iran	Iran	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	44	44	during	during	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	44	45	those	those	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	44	46	early	early	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	44	47	days	day	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	44	48	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	44	49	Fraser	Fraser	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	44	50	et	et	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	44	51	al	al	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	44	52	.	.	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	44	53	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	44	54	2009	2009	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	44	55	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	44	56	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	45	1	This	this	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	45	2	number	number	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	45	3	was	be	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	45	4	two	two	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	45	5	orders	order	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	45	6	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	45	7	magnitude	magnitude	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	45	8	larger	large	JJR
cord-351941-fgtatt40	45	9	than	than	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	45	10	official	official	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	45	11	statistics	statistic	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	45	12	at	at	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	45	13	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	45	14	time	time	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	45	15	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	46	1	Later	later	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	46	2	reports	report	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	46	3	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	46	4	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	46	5	number	number	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	46	6	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	46	7	infected	infected	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	46	8	travelers	traveler	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	46	9	from	from	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	46	10	Iran	Iran	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	46	11	rose	rise	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	46	12	rapidly	rapidly	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	46	13	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	46	14	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	46	15	97	97	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	46	16	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	46	17	by	by	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	46	18	February	February	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	46	19	28	28	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	46	20	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	46	21	RadioFarda	RadioFarda	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	46	22	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	46	23	2020	2020	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	46	24	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	46	25	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	47	1	An	an	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	47	2	article	article	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	47	3	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	47	4	The	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	47	5	Atlantic	Atlantic	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	47	6	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	47	7	offered	offer	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	47	8	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	47	9	series	series	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	47	10	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	47	11	back	back	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	47	12	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	47	13	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	47	14	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	47	15	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	47	16	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	47	17	envelope	envelope	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	47	18	calculations	calculation	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	47	19	which	which	WDT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	47	20	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	47	21	with	with	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	47	22	strong	strong	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	47	23	simplifying	simplify	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	47	24	assumptions	assumption	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	47	25	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	47	26	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	47	27	2	2	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	47	28	million	million	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	47	29	accumulated	accumulate	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	47	30	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	47	31	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	47	32	infected	infected	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	47	33	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	47	34	by	by	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	47	35	March	March	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	47	36	9th	9th	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	47	37	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	47	38	Wood	wood	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	47	39	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	47	40	2020	2020	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	47	41	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	47	42	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	48	1	One	one	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	48	2	may	may	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	48	3	expect	expect	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	48	4	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	48	5	death	death	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	48	6	statistics	statistic	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	48	7	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	48	8	be	be	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	48	9	more	more	RBR
cord-351941-fgtatt40	48	10	reliable	reliable	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	48	11	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	49	1	But	but	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	49	2	test	test	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	49	3	kits	kit	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	49	4	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	49	5	identifying	identify	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	49	6	have	have	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	49	7	been	be	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	49	8	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	49	9	short	short	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	49	10	supply	supply	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	49	11	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	49	12	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	49	13	post	post	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	49	14	-	-	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	49	15	mortem	mortem	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	49	16	testing	testing	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	49	17	may	may	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	49	18	not	not	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	49	19	have	have	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	49	20	been	be	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	49	21	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	49	22	priority	priority	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	49	23	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	49	24	officials	official	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	49	25	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	49	26	Iran	Iran	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	49	27	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	50	1	On	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	50	2	February	February	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	50	3	24th	24th	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	50	4	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	50	5	member	member	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	50	6	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	50	7	Iran	Iran	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	50	8	's	's	POS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	50	9	parliament	parliament	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	50	10	reported	report	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	50	11	50	50	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	50	12	deaths	death	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	50	13	only	only	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	50	14	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	50	15	Qom	Qom	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	50	16	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	50	17	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	50	18	city	city	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	50	19	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	50	20	1.2	1.2	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	50	21	million	million	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	50	22	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	50	23	Wikipedia	Wikipedia	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	50	24	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	50	25	2020	2020	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	50	26	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	50	27	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	51	1	Several	several	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	51	2	reports	report	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	51	3	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	51	4	government	government	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	51	5	officials	official	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	51	6	contracting	contract	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	51	7	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	51	8	disease	disease	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	51	9	have	have	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	51	10	also	also	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	51	11	been	be	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	51	12	released	release	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	51	13	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	51	14	including	include	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	51	15	reports	report	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	51	16	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	51	17	infection	infection	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	51	18	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	51	19	20	20	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	51	20	member	member	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	51	21	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	51	22	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	51	23	Iranian	iranian	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	51	24	parliament	parliament	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	51	25	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	51	26	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	51	27	body	body	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	51	28	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	51	29	270	270	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	51	30	members	member	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	51	31	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	51	32	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	51	33	as	as	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	51	34	well	well	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	51	35	as	as	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	51	36	several	several	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	51	37	deaths	death	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	51	38	among	among	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	51	39	officials	official	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	51	40	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	51	41	BBCPersian	BBCPersian	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	51	42	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	51	43	2020b	2020b	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	51	44	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	51	45	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	52	1	A	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	52	2	BBC	BBC	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	52	3	Persian	persian	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	52	4	report	report	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	52	5	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	52	6	February	February	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	52	7	28th	28th	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	52	8	used	use	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	52	9	interviews	interview	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	52	10	with	with	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	52	11	an	an	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	52	12	unspecified	unspecified	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	52	13	number	number	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	52	14	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	52	15	hospitals	hospital	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	52	16	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	52	17	Iran	Iran	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	52	18	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	52	19	put	put	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	52	20	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	52	21	death	death	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	52	22	from	from	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	52	23	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	52	24	disease	disease	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	52	25	at	at	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	52	26	210	210	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	52	27	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	52	28	an	an	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	52	29	order	order	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	52	30	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	52	31	magnitude	magnitude	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	52	32	larger	large	JJR
cord-351941-fgtatt40	52	33	than	than	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	52	34	official	official	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	52	35	numbers	number	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	52	36	at	at	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	52	37	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	52	38	time	time	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	52	39	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	52	40	BBCPersian	BBCPersian	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	52	41	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	52	42	2020a	2020a	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	52	43	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	52	44	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	53	1	Another	another	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	53	2	news	news	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	53	3	agency	agency	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	53	4	quoted	quote	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	53	5	similar	similar	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	53	6	sources	source	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	53	7	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	53	8	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	53	9	total	total	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	53	10	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	53	11	416	416	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	53	12	deaths	death	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	53	13	by	by	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	53	14	March	March	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	53	15	1st	1st	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	54	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	54	2	Iran	Iran	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	54	3	International	International	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	54	4	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	54	5	2020	2020	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	54	6	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	54	7	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	54	8	5000	5000	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	54	9	by	by	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	54	10	March	March	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	54	11	18th	18th	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	54	12	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	55	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	55	2	develop	develop	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	55	3	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	55	4	dynamic	dynamic	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	55	5	simulation	simulation	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	55	6	model	model	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	55	7	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	55	8	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	55	9	spread	spread	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	55	10	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	55	11	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	55	12	disease	disease	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	55	13	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	55	14	Iran	Iran	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	55	15	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	55	16	estimate	estimate	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	55	17	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	55	18	likely	likely	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	55	19	trajectory	trajectory	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	55	20	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	55	21	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	55	22	disease	disease	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	55	23	that	that	WDT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	55	24	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	55	25	consistent	consistent	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	55	26	with	with	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	55	27	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	55	28	evidence	evidence	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	55	29	summarized	summarize	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	55	30	above	above	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	55	31	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	56	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	56	2	start	start	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	56	3	with	with	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	56	4	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	56	5	traditional	traditional	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	56	6	SEIR	seir	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	56	7	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	56	8	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	56	9	Susceptible	susceptible	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	56	10	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	56	11	Exposed	exposed	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	56	12	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	56	13	Infectious	Infectious	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	56	14	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	56	15	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	56	16	Recovered	recovered	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	56	17	stocks	stock	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	56	18	representing	represent	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	56	19	population	population	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	56	20	groups	group	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	56	21	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	56	22	model	model	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	56	23	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	56	24	incorporate	incorporate	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	56	25	feedbacks	feedback	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	56	26	regulating	regulate	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	56	27	endogenous	endogenous	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	56	28	changes	change	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	56	29	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	56	30	contact	contact	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	56	31	rate	rate	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	56	32	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	56	33	screening	screening	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	56	34	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	56	35	diagnosis	diagnosis	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	56	36	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	56	37	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	56	38	reporting	report	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	56	39	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	56	40	response	response	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	56	41	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	56	42	risk	risk	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	56	43	perception	perception	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	56	44	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	56	45	other	other	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	56	46	relevant	relevant	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	56	47	factors	factor	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	56	48	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	57	1	Thus	thus	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	57	2	not	not	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	57	3	only	only	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	57	4	reported	report	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	57	5	statistics	statistic	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	57	6	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	57	7	but	but	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	57	8	also	also	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	57	9	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	57	10	effective	effective	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	57	11	reproduction	reproduction	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	57	12	number	number	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	57	13	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	57	14	R	r	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	57	15	e	e	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	57	16	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	57	17	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	57	18	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	57	19	endogenously	endogenously	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	57	20	generated	generate	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	57	21	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	57	22	can	can	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	57	23	change	change	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	57	24	as	as	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	57	25	people	people	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	57	26	respond	respond	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	57	27	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	57	28	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	57	29	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	57	30	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	58	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	58	2	use	use	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	58	3	this	this	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	58	4	model	model	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	58	5	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	58	6	along	along	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	58	7	with	with	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	58	8	various	various	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	58	9	strands	strand	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	58	10	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	58	11	data	datum	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	58	12	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	58	13	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	58	14	weave	weave	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	58	15	together	together	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	58	16	an	an	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	58	17	estimate	estimate	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	58	18	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	58	19	disease	disease	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	58	20	trajectory	trajectory	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	58	21	early	early	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	58	22	on	on	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	58	23	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	58	24	Simulation	simulation	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	58	25	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	58	26	based	base	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	58	27	estimation	estimation	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	58	28	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	58	29	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	58	30	early	early	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	58	31	spread	spread	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	58	32	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	58	33	COVID-19	covid-19	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	58	34	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	58	35	Iran	Iran	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	58	36	103	103	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	58	37	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	58	38	offer	offer	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	58	39	projections	projection	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	58	40	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	58	41	medium	medium	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	58	42	term	term	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	58	43	future	future	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	58	44	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	59	1	Keeping	keep	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	59	2	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	59	3	mind	mind	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	59	4	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	59	5	various	various	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	59	6	uncertainties	uncertainty	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	59	7	involved	involve	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	59	8	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	59	9	this	this	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	59	10	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	59	11	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	59	12	reflected	reflect	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	59	13	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	59	14	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	59	15	wide	wide	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	59	16	uncertainty	uncertainty	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	59	17	intervals	interval	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	59	18	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	59	19	UI	UI	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	59	20	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	59	21	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	59	22	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	59	23	estimate	estimate	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	59	24	over	over	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	59	25	916,000	916,000	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	59	26	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	59	27	90	90	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	59	28	%	%	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	59	29	UI	UI	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	59	30	:	:	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	60	1	508	508	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	60	2	K	K	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	60	3	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	60	4	1.5	1.5	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	60	5	M	M	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	60	6	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	60	7	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	60	8	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	60	9	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	60	10	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	60	11	disease	disease	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	60	12	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	60	13	Iran	Iran	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	60	14	as	as	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	60	15	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	60	16	March	March	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	60	17	20th	20th	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	60	18	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	60	19	with	with	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	60	20	over	over	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	60	21	15,485	15,485	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	60	22	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	60	23	90	90	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	60	24	%	%	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	60	25	UI	UI	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	60	26	:	:	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	60	27	8.4	8.4	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	60	28	K	K	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	60	29	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	60	30	25.8	25.8	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	60	31	K	k	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	60	32	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	60	33	deaths	death	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	60	34	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	61	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	61	2	thus	thus	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	61	3	estimate	estimate	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	61	4	that	that	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	61	5	only	only	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	61	6	2.1	2.1	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	61	7	%	%	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	61	8	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	61	9	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	61	10	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	61	11	9.3	9.3	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	61	12	%	%	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	61	13	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	61	14	deaths	death	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	61	15	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	61	16	officially	officially	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	61	17	attributed	attribute	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	61	18	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	61	19	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	61	20	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	61	21	with	with	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	61	22	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	61	23	rest	rest	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	61	24	going	go	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	61	25	undetected	undetected	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	61	26	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	62	1	These	these	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	62	2	results	result	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	62	3	point	point	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	62	4	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	62	5	extreme	extreme	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	62	6	gaps	gap	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	62	7	between	between	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	62	8	official	official	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	62	9	data	datum	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	62	10	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	62	11	actual	actual	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	62	12	trajectory	trajectory	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	62	13	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	62	14	disease	disease	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	62	15	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	62	16	which	which	WDT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	62	17	may	may	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	62	18	lead	lead	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	62	19	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	62	20	slow	slow	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	62	21	response	response	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	62	22	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	62	23	under	under	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	62	24	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	62	25	appreciation	appreciation	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	62	26	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	62	27	risks	risk	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	62	28	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	62	29	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	62	30	diseases	disease	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	62	31	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	63	1	The	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	63	2	rest	rest	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	63	3	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	63	4	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	63	5	paper	paper	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	63	6	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	63	7	largely	largely	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	63	8	focused	focused	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	63	9	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	63	10	documenting	document	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	63	11	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	63	12	original	original	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	63	13	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	63	14	developed	develop	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	63	15	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	63	16	March	March	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	63	17	20th	20th	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	63	18	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	64	1	As	as	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	64	2	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	64	3	secondary	secondary	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	64	4	goal	goal	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	64	5	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	64	6	also	also	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	64	7	consider	consider	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	64	8	their	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	64	9	accuracy	accuracy	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	64	10	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	64	11	light	light	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	64	12	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	64	13	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	64	14	data	datum	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	64	15	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	64	16	findings	finding	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	64	17	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	64	18	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	64	19	two	two	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	64	20	months	month	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	64	21	following	follow	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	64	22	original	original	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	64	23	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	64	24	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	65	1	This	this	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	65	2	latter	latter	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	65	3	exercise	exercise	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	65	4	provides	provide	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	65	5	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	65	6	window	window	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	65	7	into	into	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	65	8	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	65	9	actual	actual	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	65	10	challenges	challenge	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	65	11	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	65	12	promises	promise	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	65	13	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	65	14	conducting	conduct	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	65	15	policy	policy	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	65	16	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	65	17	relevant	relevant	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	65	18	projections	projection	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	65	19	early	early	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	65	20	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	65	21	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	65	22	crisis	crisis	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	65	23	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	66	1	Figure	figure	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	66	2	1	1	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	66	3	offers	offer	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	66	4	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	66	5	simple	simple	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	66	6	representation	representation	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	66	7	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	66	8	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	66	9	model	model	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	66	10	's	's	POS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	66	11	structure	structure	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	66	12	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	67	1	Model	model	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	67	2	equations	equation	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	67	3	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	67	4	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	67	5	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	67	6	values	value	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	67	7	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	67	8	documented	document	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	67	9	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	67	10	Appendix	Appendix	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	67	11	A.	a.	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	68	1	The	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	68	2	model	model	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	68	3	builds	build	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	68	4	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	68	5	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	68	6	well	well	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	68	7	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	68	8	known	know	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	68	9	SEIR	seir	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	68	10	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	68	11	Susceptible	susceptible	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	68	12	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	68	13	Exposed	exposed	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	68	14	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	68	15	Infectious	Infectious	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	68	16	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	68	17	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	68	18	Recovered	Recovered	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	68	19	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	68	20	framework	framework	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	68	21	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	69	1	The	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	69	2	model	model	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	69	3	includes	include	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	69	4	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	69	5	'	'	``
cord-351941-fgtatt40	69	6	Infection	infection	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	69	7	'	'	''
cord-351941-fgtatt40	69	8	reinforcing	reinforce	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	69	9	loop	loop	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	69	10	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	69	11	R1	r1	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	69	12	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	69	13	which	which	WDT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	69	14	creates	create	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	69	15	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	69	16	initial	initial	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	69	17	exponential	exponential	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	69	18	growth	growth	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	69	19	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	69	20	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	69	21	number	number	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	69	22	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	69	23	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	69	24	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	70	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	70	2	divide	divide	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	70	3	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	70	4	population	population	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	70	5	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	70	6	infected	infect	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	70	7	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	70	8	early	early	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	70	9	infected	infected	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	70	10	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	70	11	late	late	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	70	12	infected	infect	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	70	13	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	70	14	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	70	15	assume	assume	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	70	16	that	that	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	70	17	early	early	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	70	18	infected	infect	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	70	19	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	70	20	while	while	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	70	21	largely	largely	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	70	22	asymptomatic	asymptomatic	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	70	23	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	70	24	might	may	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	70	25	also	also	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	70	26	be	be	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	70	27	infective	infective	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	70	28	though	though	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	70	29	at	at	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	70	30	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	70	31	lower	low	JJR
cord-351941-fgtatt40	70	32	rate	rate	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	70	33	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	70	34	Bai	Bai	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	70	35	et	et	FW
cord-351941-fgtatt40	70	36	al	al	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	70	37	.	.	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	70	38	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	70	39	2020	2020	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	70	40	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	70	41	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	71	1	The	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	71	2	infected	infected	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	71	3	population	population	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	71	4	will	will	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	71	5	follow	follow	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	71	6	two	two	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	71	7	different	different	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	71	8	paths	path	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	71	9	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	71	10	recovery	recovery	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	71	11	or	or	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	71	12	death	death	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	71	13	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	72	1	A	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	72	2	fraction	fraction	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	72	3	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	72	4	late	late	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	72	5	infected	infect	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	72	6	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	72	7	symptomatic	symptomatic	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	72	8	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	72	9	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	72	10	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	72	11	Figure	figure	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	72	12	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	72	13	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	72	14	variable	variable	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	72	15	"	"	``
cord-351941-fgtatt40	72	16	symptomatic	symptomatic	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	72	17	late	late	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	72	18	infected	infect	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	72	19	"	"	''
cord-351941-fgtatt40	72	20	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	72	21	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	73	1	To	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	73	2	avoid	avoid	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	73	3	proliferation	proliferation	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	73	4	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	73	5	free	free	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	73	6	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	73	7	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	73	8	use	use	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	73	9	general	general	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	73	10	population	population	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	73	11	averages	average	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	73	12	rather	rather	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	73	13	than	than	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	73	14	disaggregating	disaggregate	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	73	15	into	into	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	73	16	population	population	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	73	17	groups	group	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	73	18	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	74	1	To	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	74	2	this	this	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	74	3	basic	basic	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	74	4	epidemiological	epidemiological	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	74	5	model	model	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	74	6	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	74	7	add	add	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	74	8	two	two	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	74	9	endogenous	endogenous	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	74	10	mechanisms	mechanism	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	74	11	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	75	1	First	first	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	75	2	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	75	3	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	75	4	formulate	formulate	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	75	5	contact	contact	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	75	6	rate	rate	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	75	7	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	75	8	be	be	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	75	9	endogenously	endogenously	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	75	10	changing	change	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	75	11	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	75	12	response	response	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	75	13	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	75	14	perceived	perceive	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	75	15	risk	risk	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	75	16	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	75	17	infection	infection	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	75	18	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	75	19	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	75	20	function	function	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	75	21	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	75	22	death	death	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	75	23	statistics	statistic	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	75	24	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	75	25	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	76	1	This	this	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	76	2	feedback	feedback	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	76	3	captures	capture	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	76	4	changes	change	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	76	5	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	76	6	social	social	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	76	7	interactions	interaction	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	76	8	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	76	9	gatherings	gathering	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	76	10	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	76	11	self	self	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	76	12	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	76	13	isolation	isolation	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	76	14	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	76	15	suspected	suspect	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	76	16	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	76	17	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	76	18	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	76	19	hygiene	hygiene	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	76	20	as	as	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	76	21	well	well	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	76	22	as	as	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	76	23	government	government	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	76	24	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	76	25	mandated	mandate	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	76	26	closure	closure	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	76	27	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	76	28	events	event	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	76	29	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	76	30	schools	school	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	76	31	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	76	32	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	76	33	businesses	business	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	76	34	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	76	35	response	response	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	76	36	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	76	37	perceived	perceive	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	76	38	risk	risk	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	76	39	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	77	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	77	2	assume	assume	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	77	3	public	public	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	77	4	risk	risk	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	77	5	perception	perception	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	77	6	depends	depend	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	77	7	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	77	8	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	77	9	number	number	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	77	10	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	77	11	recent	recent	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	77	12	reported	report	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	77	13	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	77	14	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	77	15	death	death	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	77	16	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	78	1	This	this	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	78	2	balancing	balance	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	78	3	feedback	feedback	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	78	4	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	78	5	loop	loop	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	78	6	B	B	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	78	7	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	78	8	can	can	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	78	9	bring	bring	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	78	10	down	down	RP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	78	11	contact	contact	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	78	12	rate	rate	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	78	13	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	78	14	potentially	potentially	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	78	15	enough	enough	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	78	16	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	78	17	slow	slow	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	78	18	down	down	RP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	78	19	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	78	20	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	78	21	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	79	1	Second	second	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	79	2	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	79	3	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	79	4	explicitly	explicitly	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	79	5	model	model	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	79	6	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	79	7	endogenous	endogenous	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	79	8	changes	change	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	79	9	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	79	10	screening	screening	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	79	11	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	79	12	reporting	reporting	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	79	13	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	79	14	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	79	15	over	over	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	79	16	time	time	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	79	17	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	80	1	Here	here	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	80	2	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	80	3	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	80	4	increased	increased	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	80	5	understanding	understanding	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	80	6	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	80	7	risks	risk	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	80	8	leads	lead	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	80	9	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	80	10	mobilization	mobilization	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	80	11	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	80	12	screening	screening	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	80	13	resources	resource	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	80	14	that	that	WDT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	80	15	expand	expand	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	80	16	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	80	17	fraction	fraction	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	80	18	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	80	19	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	80	20	that	that	WDT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	80	21	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	80	22	tested	test	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	80	23	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	80	24	thus	thus	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	80	25	will	will	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	80	26	show	show	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	80	27	up	up	RP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	80	28	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	80	29	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	80	30	official	official	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	80	31	statistics	statistic	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	80	32	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	81	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	81	2	note	note	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	81	3	that	that	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	81	4	even	even	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	81	5	with	with	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	81	6	good	good	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	81	7	screening	screening	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	81	8	many	many	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	81	9	mild	mild	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	81	10	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	81	11	will	will	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	81	12	go	go	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	81	13	undiagnosed	undiagnosed	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	81	14	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	81	15	will	will	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	81	16	not	not	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	81	17	be	be	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	81	18	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	81	19	official	official	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	81	20	statistics	statistic	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	81	21	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	82	1	This	this	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	82	2	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	82	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	82	4	focused	focus	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	82	5	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	82	6	understanding	understand	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	82	7	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	82	8	spread	spread	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	82	9	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	82	10	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	82	11	disease	disease	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	82	12	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	82	13	its	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	82	14	early	early	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	82	15	phases	phase	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	82	16	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	82	17	about	about	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	82	18	one	one	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	82	19	month	month	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	82	20	after	after	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	82	21	first	first	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	82	22	diagnosed	diagnose	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	82	23	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	82	24	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	82	25	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	82	26	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	82	27	core	core	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	82	28	estimations	estimation	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	82	29	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	82	30	this	this	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	82	31	paper	paper	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	82	32	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	82	33	based	base	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	82	34	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	82	35	data	datum	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	82	36	only	only	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	82	37	from	from	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	82	38	that	that	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	82	39	early	early	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	82	40	period	period	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	82	41	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	82	42	until	until	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	82	43	March	March	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	82	44	20th	20th	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	82	45	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	82	46	2020	2020	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	82	47	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	83	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	83	2	use	use	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	83	3	time	time	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	83	4	series	series	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	83	5	data	datum	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	83	6	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	83	7	official	official	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	83	8	reports	report	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	83	9	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	83	10	death	death	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	83	11	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	83	12	recovered	recover	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	83	13	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	83	14	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	83	15	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	83	16	number	number	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	83	17	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	83	18	infection	infection	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	83	19	over	over	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	83	20	time	time	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	83	21	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	84	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	84	2	also	also	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	84	3	use	use	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	84	4	unofficial	unofficial	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	84	5	data	data	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	84	6	points	point	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	84	7	including	include	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	84	8	four	four	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	84	9	observations	observation	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	84	10	about	about	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	84	11	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	84	12	number	number	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	84	13	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	84	14	Iranian	iranian	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	84	15	passengers	passenger	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	84	16	diagnosed	diagnose	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	84	17	with	with	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	84	18	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	84	19	upon	upon	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	84	20	arrival	arrival	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	84	21	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	84	22	international	international	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	84	23	airports	airport	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	84	24	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	84	25	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	84	26	three	three	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	84	27	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	84	28	aggregated	aggregate	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	84	29	by	by	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	84	30	healthcare	healthcare	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	84	31	providers	provider	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	84	32	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	84	33	Iran	Iran	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	84	34	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	84	35	reported	report	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	84	36	by	by	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	84	37	BBC	BBC	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	84	38	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	84	39	Iran	Iran	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	84	40	International	International	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	84	41	news	news	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	84	42	agencies	agency	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	84	43	about	about	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	84	44	total	total	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	84	45	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	84	46	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	84	47	death	death	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	84	48	from	from	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	84	49	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	84	50	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	85	1	The	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	85	2	model	model	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	85	3	includes	include	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	85	4	three	three	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	85	5	biological	biological	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	85	6	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	85	7	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	85	8	early	early	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	85	9	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	85	10	stage	stage	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	85	11	exposed	expose	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	85	12	period	period	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	85	13	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	85	14	average	average	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	85	15	duration	duration	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	85	16	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	85	17	illness	illness	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	85	18	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	85	19	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	85	20	fractional	fractional	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	85	21	infectivity	infectivity	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	85	22	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	85	23	early	early	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	85	24	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	85	25	stage	stage	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	85	26	exposed	expose	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	85	27	group	group	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	85	28	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	85	29	which	which	WDT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	85	30	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	85	31	specify	specify	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	85	32	based	base	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	85	33	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	85	34	prior	prior	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	85	35	literature	literature	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	85	36	Novel	Novel	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	85	37	Coronavirus	Coronavirus	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	85	38	Pneumonia	Pneumonia	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	85	39	Emergency	Emergency	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	85	40	Response	Response	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	85	41	Epidemiology	Epidemiology	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	85	42	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	85	43	2020	2020	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	85	44	;	;	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	85	45	Wu	Wu	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	85	46	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	85	47	McGoogan	McGoogan	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	85	48	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	85	49	2020	2020	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	85	50	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	85	51	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	86	1	Population	population	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	86	2	size	size	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	86	3	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	86	4	travel	travel	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	86	5	scope	scope	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	86	6	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	86	7	also	also	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	86	8	input	input	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	86	9	using	use	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	86	10	existing	exist	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	86	11	data	datum	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	86	12	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	87	1	Nine	nine	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	87	2	uncertain	uncertain	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	87	3	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	87	4	remain	remain	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	87	5	that	that	WDT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	87	6	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	87	7	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	87	8	using	use	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	87	9	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	87	10	above	above	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	87	11	data	datum	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	87	12	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	88	1	Three	three	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	88	2	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	88	3	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	88	4	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	88	5	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	88	6	used	use	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	88	7	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	88	8	specify	specify	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	88	9	how	how	WRB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	88	10	official	official	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	88	11	measurement	measurement	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	88	12	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	88	13	reporting	reporting	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	88	14	relates	relate	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	88	15	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	88	16	"	"	``
cord-351941-fgtatt40	88	17	true	true	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	88	18	"	"	''
cord-351941-fgtatt40	88	19	values	value	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	88	20	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	88	21	infection	infection	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	88	22	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	88	23	death	death	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	88	24	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	88	25	three	three	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	88	26	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	88	27	estimate	estimate	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	88	28	public	public	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	88	29	reaction	reaction	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	88	30	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	88	31	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	88	32	reports	report	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	88	33	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	88	34	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	88	35	two	two	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	88	36	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	88	37	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	88	38	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	88	39	mortality	mortality	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	88	40	rate	rate	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	88	41	among	among	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	88	42	two	two	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	88	43	different	different	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	88	44	groups	group	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	88	45	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	88	46	patients	patient	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	88	47	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	89	1	Finally	finally	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	89	2	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	89	3	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	89	4	arrival	arrival	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	89	5	time	time	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	89	6	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	89	7	first	first	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	89	8	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	89	9	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	89	10	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	89	11	virus	virus	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	89	12	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	89	13	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	89	14	as	as	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	89	15	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	89	16	separate	separate	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	89	17	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	89	18	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	90	1	Simulation	simulation	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	90	2	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	90	3	based	base	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	90	4	estimation	estimation	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	90	5	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	90	6	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	90	7	early	early	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	90	8	spread	spread	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	90	9	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	90	10	COVID-19	covid-19	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	90	11	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	90	12	Iran	Iran	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	90	13	105	105	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	90	14	Our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	90	15	calibration	calibration	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	90	16	method	method	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	90	17	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	90	18	based	base	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	90	19	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	90	20	forming	form	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	90	21	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	90	22	likelihood	likelihood	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	90	23	function	function	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	90	24	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	90	25	observing	observe	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	90	26	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	90	27	actual	actual	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	90	28	time	time	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	90	29	series	series	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	90	30	data	data	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	90	31	conditional	conditional	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	90	32	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	90	33	model	model	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	90	34	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	90	35	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	91	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	91	2	then	then	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	91	3	conduct	conduct	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	91	4	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	91	5	Markov	Markov	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	91	6	Chain	Chain	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	91	7	Monte	Monte	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	91	8	Carlo	Carlo	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	91	9	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	91	10	MCMC	MCMC	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	91	11	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	91	12	simulation	simulation	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	91	13	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	91	14	estimate	estimate	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	91	15	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	91	16	joint	joint	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	91	17	posterior	posterior	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	91	18	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	91	19	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	91	20	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	91	21	model	model	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	91	22	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	91	23	subject	subject	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	91	24	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	91	25	observed	observed	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	91	26	data	datum	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	91	27	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	92	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	92	2	define	define	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	92	3	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	92	4	likelihood	likelihood	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	92	5	function	function	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	92	6	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	92	7	change	change	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	92	8	over	over	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	92	9	time	time	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	92	10	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	92	11	net	net	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	92	12	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	92	13	inflow	inflow	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	92	14	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	92	15	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	92	16	official	official	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	92	17	reports	report	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	92	18	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	92	19	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	92	20	death	death	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	92	21	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	92	22	recovered	recover	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	92	23	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	92	24	infection	infection	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	92	25	assuming	assume	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	92	26	they	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	92	27	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	92	28	count	count	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	92	29	events	event	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	92	30	drawn	draw	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	92	31	from	from	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	92	32	model	model	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	92	33	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	92	34	predicted	predict	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	92	35	rates	rate	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	92	36	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	92	37	Poisson	Poisson	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	92	38	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	92	39	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	92	40	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	93	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	93	2	use	use	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	93	3	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	93	4	similar	similar	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	93	5	Poisson	Poisson	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	93	6	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	93	7	assumption	assumption	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	93	8	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	93	9	number	number	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	93	10	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	93	11	infected	infected	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	93	12	passengers	passenger	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	93	13	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	93	14	unofficial	unofficial	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	93	15	reports	report	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	93	16	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	93	17	death	death	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	93	18	as	as	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	93	19	well	well	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	93	20	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	93	21	since	since	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	93	22	they	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	93	23	both	both	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	93	24	fit	fit	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	93	25	well	well	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	93	26	into	into	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	93	27	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	93	28	count	count	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	93	29	measure	measure	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	93	30	framework	framework	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	93	31	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	94	1	The	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	94	2	MCMC	MCMC	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	94	3	method	method	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	94	4	searches	search	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	94	5	over	over	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	94	6	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	94	7	feasible	feasible	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	94	8	ranges	range	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	94	9	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	94	10	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	94	11	uncertain	uncertain	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	94	12	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	94	13	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	94	14	accepts	accept	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	94	15	combinations	combination	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	94	16	that	that	WDT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	94	17	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	94	18	consistent	consistent	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	94	19	with	with	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	94	20	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	94	21	observed	observed	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	94	22	data	datum	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	94	23	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	95	1	Similar	similar	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	95	2	methods	method	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	95	3	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	95	4	used	use	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	95	5	frequently	frequently	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	95	6	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	95	7	estimating	estimate	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	95	8	dynamic	dynamic	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	95	9	models	model	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	95	10	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	95	11	this	this	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	95	12	domain	domain	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	95	13	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	96	1	Our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	96	2	prior	prior	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	96	3	experience	experience	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	96	4	with	with	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	96	5	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	96	6	use	use	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	96	7	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	96	8	MCMC	MCMC	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	96	9	methods	method	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	96	10	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	96	11	nonlinear	nonlinear	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	96	12	dynamic	dynamic	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	96	13	models	model	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	96	14	highlights	highlight	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	96	15	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	96	16	risk	risk	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	96	17	that	that	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	96	18	uncertainty	uncertainty	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	96	19	intervals	interval	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	96	20	do	do	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	96	21	not	not	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	96	22	capture	capture	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	96	23	model	model	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	96	24	mis	mis	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	96	25	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	96	26	specifications	specification	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	96	27	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	96	28	thus	thus	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	96	29	may	may	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	96	30	be	be	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	96	31	too	too	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	96	32	tight	tight	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	96	33	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	97	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	97	2	therefore	therefore	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	97	3	downscale	downscale	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	97	4	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	97	5	likelihood	likelihood	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	97	6	function	function	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	97	7	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	97	8	expand	expand	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	97	9	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	97	10	uncertainty	uncertainty	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	97	11	intervals	interval	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	97	12	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	97	13	details	detail	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	97	14	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	97	15	sensitivity	sensitivity	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	97	16	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	97	17	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	97	18	online	online	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	97	19	supplement	supplement	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	97	20	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	97	21	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	97	22	err	err	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	97	23	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	97	24	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	97	25	side	side	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	97	26	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	97	27	caution	caution	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	97	28	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	97	29	assessing	assess	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	97	30	uncertainties	uncertainty	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	97	31	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	97	32	structural	structural	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	97	33	nuances	nuance	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	97	34	not	not	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	97	35	explicitly	explicitly	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	97	36	modeled	model	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	97	37	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	98	1	More	More	JJR
cord-351941-fgtatt40	98	2	details	detail	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	98	3	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	98	4	reported	report	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	98	5	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	98	6	Appendix	Appendix	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	98	7	A.	A.	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	99	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	99	2	follow	follow	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	99	3	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	99	4	procedure	procedure	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	99	5	described	describe	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	99	6	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	99	7	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	99	8	modeling	modeling	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	99	9	section	section	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	99	10	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	99	11	calibrate	calibrate	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	99	12	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	99	13	model	model	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	99	14	using	use	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	99	15	multiple	multiple	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	99	16	data	datum	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	99	17	sources	source	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	99	18	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	99	19	find	find	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	99	20	uncertainty	uncertainty	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	99	21	ranges	range	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	99	22	using	use	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	99	23	MCMC	MCMC	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	99	24	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	100	1	Figure	figure	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	100	2	2a	2a	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	100	3	compares	compare	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	100	4	best	well	RBS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	100	5	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	100	6	fitting	fit	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	100	7	simulation	simulation	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	100	8	results	result	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	100	9	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	100	10	official	official	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	100	11	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	100	12	death	death	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	100	13	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	100	14	recovered	recover	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	100	15	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	100	16	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	100	17	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	100	18	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	100	19	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	100	20	infection	infection	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	100	21	against	against	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	100	22	data	datum	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	100	23	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	101	1	Root	root	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	101	2	mean	mean	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	101	3	squared	squared	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	101	4	percentage	percentage	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	101	5	error	error	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	101	6	values	value	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	101	7	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	101	8	reported	report	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	101	9	recovered	recover	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	101	10	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	101	11	death	death	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	101	12	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	101	13	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	101	14	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	101	15	infected	infect	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	101	16	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	101	17	16	16	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	101	18	%	%	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	101	19	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	101	20	26	26	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	101	21	%	%	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	101	22	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	101	23	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	101	24	5	5	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	101	25	%	%	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	101	26	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	101	27	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	101	28	root	root	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	101	29	mean	mean	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	101	30	squared	squared	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	101	31	error	error	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	101	32	values	value	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	101	33	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	101	34	877	877	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	101	35	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	101	36	116	116	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	101	37	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	101	38	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	101	39	794	794	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	101	40	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	102	1	Simulation	simulation	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	102	2	runs	run	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	102	3	almost	almost	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	102	4	perfectly	perfectly	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	102	5	correlate	correlate	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	102	6	with	with	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	102	7	data	datum	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	102	8	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	103	1	Table	Table	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	103	2	A1	A1	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	103	3	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	103	4	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	103	5	Appendix	Appendix	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	103	6	A	A	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	104	1	reports	report	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	104	2	estimated	estimate	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	104	3	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	104	4	along	along	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	104	5	with	with	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	104	6	those	those	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	104	7	adopted	adopt	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	104	8	from	from	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	104	9	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	104	10	literature	literature	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	104	11	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	105	1	Figure	figure	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	105	2	2b	2b	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	105	3	shows	show	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	105	4	how	how	WRB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	105	5	simulation	simulation	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	105	6	runs	run	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	105	7	replicate	replicate	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	105	8	unofficial	unofficial	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	105	9	statistics	statistic	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	105	10	including	include	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	105	11	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	105	12	number	number	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	105	13	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	105	14	infected	infected	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	105	15	travelers	traveler	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	105	16	diagnosed	diagnose	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	105	17	before	before	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	105	18	air	air	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	105	19	travel	travel	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	105	20	patterns	pattern	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	105	21	changed	change	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	105	22	substantially	substantially	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	105	23	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	105	24	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	105	25	medical	medical	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	105	26	community	community	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	105	27	's	's	POS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	105	28	counts	count	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	105	29	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	105	30	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	105	31	death	death	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	105	32	reported	report	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	105	33	by	by	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	105	34	media	medium	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	105	35	sources	source	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	105	36	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	106	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	106	2	use	use	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	106	3	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	106	4	calibrated	calibrate	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	106	5	simulation	simulation	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	106	6	model	model	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	106	7	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	106	8	estimate	estimate	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	106	9	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	106	10	number	number	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	106	11	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	106	12	infected	infected	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	106	13	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	106	14	panel	panel	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	106	15	c	c	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	106	16	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	106	17	Figure	Figure	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	106	18	2	2	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	106	19	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	106	20	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	106	21	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	106	22	number	number	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	106	23	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	106	24	death	death	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	106	25	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	106	26	panel	panel	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	106	27	d	d	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	106	28	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	106	29	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	106	30	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	106	31	current	current	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	106	32	number	number	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	106	33	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	106	34	infected	infected	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	106	35	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	106	36	panel	panel	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	106	37	e	e	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	106	38	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	106	39	until	until	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	106	40	March	March	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	106	41	20	20	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	106	42	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	106	43	2020	2020	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	106	44	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	106	45	starting	start	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	106	46	from	from	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	106	47	December	December	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	106	48	31st	31st	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	106	49	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	106	50	2019	2019	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	106	51	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	106	52	day	day	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	106	53	0	0	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	106	54	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	106	55	simulation	simulation	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	106	56	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	106	57	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	107	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	107	2	find	find	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	107	3	that	that	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	107	4	total	total	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	107	5	infected	infected	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	107	6	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	107	7	may	may	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	107	8	have	have	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	107	9	been	be	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	107	10	closer	close	JJR
cord-351941-fgtatt40	107	11	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	107	12	916,000	916,000	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	107	13	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	107	14	than	than	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	107	15	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	107	16	reported	report	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	107	17	19,644	19,644	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	107	18	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	107	19	March	March	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	107	20	20th	20th	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	107	21	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	108	1	Cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	108	2	deaths	death	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	108	3	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	108	4	over	over	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	108	5	15,000	15,000	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	108	6	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	108	7	may	may	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	108	8	also	also	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	108	9	be	be	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	108	10	an	an	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	108	11	order	order	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	108	12	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	108	13	magnitude	magnitude	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	108	14	higher	high	JJR
cord-351941-fgtatt40	108	15	than	than	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	108	16	official	official	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	108	17	statistics	statistic	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	108	18	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	108	19	might	may	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	108	20	have	have	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	108	21	almost	almost	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	108	22	tripled	triple	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	108	23	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	108	24	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	108	25	last	last	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	108	26	10	10	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	108	27	days	day	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	108	28	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	108	29	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	108	30	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	108	31	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	109	1	There	there	EX
cord-351941-fgtatt40	109	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	109	3	also	also	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	109	4	much	much	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	109	5	uncertainty	uncertainty	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	109	6	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	109	7	these	these	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	109	8	numbers	number	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	109	9	:	:	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	109	10	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	109	11	baseline	baseline	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	109	12	estimate	estimate	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	109	13	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	109	14	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	109	15	infected	infect	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	109	16	may	may	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	109	17	be	be	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	109	18	as	as	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	109	19	low	low	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	109	20	as	as	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	109	21	508,000	508,000	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	109	22	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	109	23	as	as	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	109	24	high	high	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	109	25	as	as	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	109	26	1.5	1.5	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	109	27	million	million	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	109	28	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	109	29	90	90	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	109	30	%	%	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	109	31	uncertainty	uncertainty	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	109	32	interval	interval	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	109	33	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	109	34	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	110	1	Similarly	similarly	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	110	2	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	110	3	deaths	death	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	110	4	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	110	5	between	between	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	110	6	8400	8400	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	110	7	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	110	8	25,800	25,800	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	110	9	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	110	10	90	90	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	110	11	%	%	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	110	12	confidence	confidence	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	110	13	interval	interval	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	110	14	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	110	15	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	111	1	The	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	111	2	wide	wide	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	111	3	uncertainty	uncertainty	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	111	4	intervals	interval	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	111	5	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	111	6	partly	partly	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	111	7	due	due	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	111	8	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	111	9	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	111	10	nature	nature	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	111	11	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	111	12	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	111	13	data	datum	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	111	14	:	:	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	111	15	absent	absent	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	111	16	data	datum	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	111	17	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	111	18	testing	test	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	111	19	coverage	coverage	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	111	20	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	111	21	Iran	Iran	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	112	1	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	112	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	112	3	very	very	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	112	4	hard	hard	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	112	5	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	112	6	fully	fully	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	112	7	know	know	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	112	8	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	112	9	underlying	underlie	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	112	10	diffusion	diffusion	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	112	11	patterns	pattern	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	112	12	based	base	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	112	13	only	only	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	112	14	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	112	15	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	112	16	formal	formal	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	112	17	statistics	statistic	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	112	18	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	113	1	The	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	113	2	travel	travel	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	113	3	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	113	4	informal	informal	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	113	5	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	113	6	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	113	7	death	death	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	113	8	partially	partially	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	113	9	address	address	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	113	10	these	these	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	113	11	limitations	limitation	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	113	12	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	113	13	but	but	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	113	14	much	much	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	113	15	uncertainty	uncertainty	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	113	16	remains	remain	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	113	17	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	114	1	Our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	114	2	conservative	conservative	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	114	3	assumption	assumption	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	114	4	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	114	5	downscaling	downscale	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	114	6	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	114	7	likelihood	likelihood	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	114	8	function	function	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	114	9	may	may	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	114	10	also	also	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	114	11	have	have	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	114	12	contributed	contribute	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	114	13	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	114	14	this	this	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	114	15	wide	wide	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	114	16	interval	interval	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	114	17	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	115	1	Nevertheless	nevertheless	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	115	2	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	115	3	even	even	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	115	4	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	115	5	lower	lower	RBR
cord-351941-fgtatt40	115	6	bound	bind	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	115	7	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	115	8	26	26	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	115	9	times	time	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	115	10	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	115	11	official	official	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	115	12	statistics	statistic	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	115	13	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	115	14	total	total	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	115	15	infections	infection	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	115	16	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	115	17	6	6	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	115	18	times	time	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	115	19	larger	large	JJR
cord-351941-fgtatt40	115	20	than	than	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	115	21	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	115	22	death	death	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	115	23	statistics	statistic	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	115	24	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	116	1	There	there	EX
cord-351941-fgtatt40	116	2	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	116	3	some	some	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	116	4	glimmers	glimmer	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	116	5	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	116	6	hope	hope	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	116	7	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	116	8	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	116	9	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	116	10	as	as	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	116	11	well	well	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	116	12	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	117	1	The	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	117	2	drop	drop	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	117	3	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	117	4	contact	contact	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	117	5	rate	rate	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	117	6	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	117	7	response	response	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	117	8	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	117	9	perceived	perceive	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	117	10	risk	risk	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	117	11	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	117	12	which	which	WDT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	117	13	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	117	14	have	have	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	117	15	captured	capture	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	117	16	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	117	17	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	117	18	model	model	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	117	19	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	117	20	might	may	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	117	21	have	have	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	117	22	reduced	reduce	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	117	23	R	r	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	117	24	e	e	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	117	25	significantly	significantly	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	117	26	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	117	27	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	117	28	just	just	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	117	29	below	below	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	117	30	1	1	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	117	31	as	as	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	117	32	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	117	33	late	late	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	117	34	March	March	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	117	35	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	117	36	panel	panel	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	117	37	f	f	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	117	38	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	117	39	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	118	1	That	that	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	118	2	reduction	reduction	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	118	3	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	118	4	which	which	WDT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	118	5	was	be	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	118	6	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	118	7	by	by	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	118	8	later	later	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	118	9	data	datum	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	118	10	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	118	11	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	118	12	if	if	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	118	13	sustained	sustain	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	118	14	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	118	15	would	would	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	118	16	help	help	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	118	17	bring	bring	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	118	18	down	down	RP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	118	19	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	118	20	number	number	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	118	21	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	118	22	new	new	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	118	23	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	118	24	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	119	1	Thus	thus	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	119	2	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	119	3	Figure	figure	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	119	4	2e	2e	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	119	5	shows	show	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	119	6	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	119	7	number	number	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	119	8	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	119	9	currently	currently	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	119	10	infected	infect	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	119	11	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	119	12	may	may	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	119	13	well	well	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	119	14	be	be	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	119	15	reaching	reach	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	119	16	its	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	119	17	peak	peak	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	119	18	at	at	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	119	19	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	119	20	end	end	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	119	21	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	119	22	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	119	23	simulation	simulation	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	119	24	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	120	1	The	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	120	2	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	120	3	seems	seem	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	120	4	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	120	5	have	have	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	120	6	raged	rage	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	120	7	with	with	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	120	8	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	120	9	reproduction	reproduction	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	120	10	number	number	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	120	11	close	close	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	120	12	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	120	13	2.72	2.72	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	120	14	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	120	15	90	90	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	120	16	%	%	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	120	17	UI	UI	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	120	18	:	:	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	120	19	2.57	2.57	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	120	20	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	120	21	2.92	2.92	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	120	22	UI	UI	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	120	23	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	120	24	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	120	25	more	more	JJR
cord-351941-fgtatt40	120	26	than	than	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	120	27	six	six	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	120	28	weeks	week	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	120	29	before	before	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	120	30	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	120	31	behavioral	behavioral	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	120	32	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	120	33	policy	policy	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	120	34	interventions	intervention	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	120	35	have	have	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	120	36	slowed	slow	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	120	37	down	down	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	120	38	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	120	39	diffusion	diffusion	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	120	40	rate	rate	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	120	41	starting	start	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	120	42	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	120	43	late	late	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	120	44	February	February	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	120	45	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	121	1	Some	some	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	121	2	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	121	3	this	this	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	121	4	drop	drop	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	121	5	may	may	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	121	6	also	also	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	121	7	be	be	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	121	8	attributed	attribute	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	121	9	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	121	10	weather	weather	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	121	11	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	121	12	but	but	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	121	13	current	current	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	121	14	research	research	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	121	15	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	121	16	mixed	mix	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	121	17	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	121	18	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	121	19	impact	impact	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	121	20	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	121	21	weather	weather	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	121	22	Wang	Wang	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	121	23	et	et	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	121	24	al	al	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	121	25	.	.	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	121	26	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	121	27	2020	2020	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	121	28	;	;	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	122	1	Xu	Xu	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	122	2	et	et	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	122	3	al	al	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	122	4	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	123	1	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	123	2	2020	2020	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	123	3	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	124	1	so	so	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	124	2	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	124	3	did	do	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	124	4	not	not	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	124	5	include	include	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	124	6	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	124	7	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	124	8	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	124	9	estimation	estimation	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	124	10	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	124	11	but	but	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	124	12	would	would	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	124	13	explore	explore	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	124	14	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	124	15	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	124	16	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	124	17	forward	forward	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	124	18	projection	projection	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	124	19	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	124	20	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	124	21	next	next	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	124	22	sections	section	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	124	23	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	124	24	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	125	1	Those	those	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	125	2	factors	factor	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	125	3	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	125	4	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	125	5	estimate	estimate	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	125	6	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	125	7	brought	bring	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	125	8	down	down	RP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	125	9	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	125	10	aggregate	aggregate	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	125	11	contact	contact	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	125	12	rate	rate	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	125	13	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	125	14	26	26	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	125	15	%	%	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	125	16	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	125	17	90	90	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	125	18	%	%	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	125	19	UI	UI	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	125	20	:	:	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	125	21	22%-31	22%-31	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	125	22	%	%	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	125	23	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	125	24	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	125	25	pre	pre	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	125	26	-	-	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	125	27	epidemic	epidemic	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	125	28	levels	level	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	125	29	by	by	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	125	30	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	125	31	date	date	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	125	32	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	125	33	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	125	34	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	126	1	This	this	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	126	2	number	number	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	126	3	may	may	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	126	4	just	just	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	126	5	succeed	succeed	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	126	6	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	126	7	bringing	bring	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	126	8	down	down	RP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	126	9	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	126	10	reproduction	reproduction	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	126	11	number	number	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	126	12	below	below	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	126	13	1	1	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	126	14	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	126	15	which	which	WDT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	126	16	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	126	17	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	126	18	necessary	necessary	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	126	19	condition	condition	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	126	20	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	126	21	containment	containment	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	126	22	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	126	23	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	126	24	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	126	25	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	127	1	Whereas	whereas	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	127	2	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	127	3	case	case	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	127	4	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	127	5	rate	rate	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	127	6	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	127	7	Iran	Iran	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	127	8	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	127	9	based	base	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	127	10	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	127	11	official	official	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	127	12	statistics	statistic	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	127	13	until	until	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	127	14	March	March	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	127	15	20th	20th	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	127	16	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	127	17	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	127	18	18.4	18.4	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	127	19	%	%	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	127	20	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	127	21	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	127	22	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	127	23	infection	infection	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	127	24	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	127	25	rate	rate	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	127	26	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	127	27	3.7	3.7	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	127	28	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	127	29	0.4)%	0.4)%	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	127	30	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	127	31	standard	standard	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	127	32	errors	error	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	127	33	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	127	34	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	127	35	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	127	36	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	127	37	parentheses	parenthesis	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	127	38	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	127	39	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	128	1	This	this	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	128	2	estimate	estimate	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	128	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	128	4	consistent	consistent	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	128	5	with	with	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	128	6	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	128	7	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	128	8	somewhat	somewhat	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	128	9	higher	high	JJR
cord-351941-fgtatt40	128	10	than	than	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	128	11	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	128	12	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	128	13	2.3	2.3	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	128	14	%	%	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	128	15	reported	report	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	128	16	by	by	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	128	17	Wu	Wu	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	128	18	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	128	19	McGoogan	McGoogan	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	128	20	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	128	21	2020	2020	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	128	22	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	128	23	based	base	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	128	24	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	128	25	tracing	trace	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	128	26	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	128	27	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	128	28	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	128	29	China	China	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	128	30	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	129	1	If	if	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	129	2	correct	correct	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	129	3	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	129	4	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	129	5	toll	toll	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	129	6	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	129	7	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	129	8	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	129	9	Iran	Iran	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	129	10	would	would	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	129	11	have	have	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	129	12	been	be	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	129	13	larger	large	JJR
cord-351941-fgtatt40	129	14	than	than	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	129	15	that	that	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	129	16	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	129	17	most	most	JJS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	129	18	other	other	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	129	19	countries	country	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	129	20	by	by	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	129	21	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	129	22	estimation	estimation	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	129	23	date	date	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	129	24	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	129	25	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	129	26	limits	limit	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	129	27	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	129	28	healthcare	healthcare	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	129	29	services	service	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	129	30	may	may	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	129	31	explain	explain	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	129	32	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	129	33	increased	increase	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	129	34	death	death	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	129	35	rate	rate	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	129	36	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	130	1	This	this	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	130	2	finding	finding	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	130	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	130	4	reinforced	reinforce	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	130	5	by	by	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	130	6	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	130	7	limited	limited	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	130	8	coverage	coverage	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	130	9	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	130	10	testing	testing	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	130	11	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	130	12	Iran	Iran	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	130	13	that	that	WDT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	130	14	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	130	15	indicated	indicate	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	130	16	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	130	17	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	130	18	estimation	estimation	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	130	19	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	131	1	Many	many	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	131	2	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	131	3	go	go	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	131	4	un	un	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	131	5	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	131	6	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	131	7	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	131	8	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	131	9	at	at	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	131	10	its	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	131	11	maximum	maximum	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	131	12	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	131	13	formal	formal	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	131	14	testing	testing	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	131	15	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	131	16	covering	cover	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	131	17	only	only	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	131	18	2.5	2.5	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	131	19	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	131	20	0.9)%	0.9)%	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	131	21	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	131	22	infections	infection	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	131	23	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	132	1	These	these	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	132	2	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	132	3	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	132	4	consistent	consistent	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	132	5	with	with	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	132	6	qualitative	qualitative	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	132	7	media	medium	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	132	8	reports	report	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	132	9	from	from	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	132	10	Iran	Iran	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	132	11	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	132	12	very	very	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	132	13	limited	limited	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	132	14	availability	availability	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	132	15	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	132	16	testing	testing	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	132	17	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	132	18	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	132	19	doctors	doctor	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	132	20	'	'	POS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	132	21	need	need	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	132	22	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	132	23	getting	get	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	132	24	authorization	authorization	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	132	25	before	before	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	132	26	conducting	conduct	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	132	27	tests	test	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	132	28	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	132	29	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	132	30	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	132	31	multi	multi	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	132	32	-	-	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	132	33	day	day	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	132	34	delays	delay	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	132	35	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	132	36	receiving	receive	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	132	37	test	test	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	132	38	results	result	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	132	39	that	that	WDT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	132	40	render	render	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	132	41	them	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	132	42	ineffective	ineffective	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	132	43	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	132	44	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	132	45	clinical	clinical	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	132	46	decision	decision	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	132	47	making	make	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	132	48	processes	process	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	132	49	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	133	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	133	2	estimate	estimate	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	133	3	that	that	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	133	4	hospital	hospital	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	133	5	sources	source	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	133	6	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	133	7	news	news	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	133	8	organizations	organization	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	133	9	who	who	WP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	133	10	have	have	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	133	11	offered	offer	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	133	12	alternative	alternative	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	133	13	versions	version	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	133	14	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	133	15	actual	actual	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	133	16	death	death	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	133	17	statistics	statistic	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	133	18	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	133	19	Iran	Iran	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	133	20	have	have	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	133	21	had	have	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	133	22	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	133	23	much	much	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	133	24	wider	wide	JJR
cord-351941-fgtatt40	133	25	coverage	coverage	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	133	26	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	133	27	true	true	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	133	28	death	death	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	133	29	statistics	statistic	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	133	30	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	133	31	42	42	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	133	32	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	133	33	15)%	15)%	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	133	34	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	133	35	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	133	36	true	true	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	133	37	values	value	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	133	38	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	133	39	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	134	1	Their	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	134	2	count	count	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	134	3	offers	offer	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	134	4	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	134	5	lower	lower	RBR
cord-351941-fgtatt40	134	6	bound	bind	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	134	7	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	134	8	true	true	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	134	9	deaths	death	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	134	10	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	134	11	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	134	12	also	also	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	134	13	close	close	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	134	14	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	134	15	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	134	16	lower	low	JJR
cord-351941-fgtatt40	134	17	confidence	confidence	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	134	18	bound	bind	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	134	19	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	134	20	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	134	21	suggests	suggest	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	134	22	that	that	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	134	23	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	134	24	true	true	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	134	25	number	number	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	134	26	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	134	27	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	134	28	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	134	29	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	134	30	even	even	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	134	31	with	with	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	134	32	an	an	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	134	33	infection	infection	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	134	34	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	134	35	rate	rate	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	134	36	as	as	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	134	37	high	high	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	134	38	as	as	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	134	39	3.7	3.7	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	134	40	%	%	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	134	41	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	134	42	would	would	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	134	43	not	not	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	134	44	be	be	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	134	45	lower	low	JJR
cord-351941-fgtatt40	134	46	than	than	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	134	47	380,000	380,000	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	134	48	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	135	1	Nevertheless	nevertheless	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	135	2	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	135	3	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	135	4	estimate	estimate	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	135	5	that	that	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	135	6	even	even	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	135	7	those	those	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	135	8	medical	medical	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	135	9	community	community	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	135	10	reports	report	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	135	11	offer	offer	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	135	12	coverage	coverage	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	135	13	significantly	significantly	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	135	14	below	below	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	135	15	100	100	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	135	16	%	%	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	135	17	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	135	18	consistent	consistent	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	135	19	with	with	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	135	20	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	135	21	lessthan	lessthan	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	135	22	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	135	23	perfect	perfect	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	135	24	coverage	coverage	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	135	25	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	135	26	hospital	hospital	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	135	27	reports	report	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	135	28	by	by	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	135	29	media	medium	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	135	30	sources	source	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	135	31	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	135	32	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	135	33	anecdotal	anecdotal	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	135	34	evidence	evidence	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	135	35	that	that	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	135	36	hospital	hospital	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	135	37	system	system	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	135	38	has	have	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	135	39	been	be	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	135	40	overwhelmed	overwhelmed	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	135	41	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	135	42	many	many	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	135	43	hot	hot	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	135	44	spots	spot	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	135	45	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	135	46	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	135	47	disease	disease	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	135	48	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	135	49	many	many	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	135	50	patients	patient	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	135	51	have	have	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	135	52	died	die	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	135	53	at	at	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	135	54	home	home	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	135	55	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	135	56	been	be	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	135	57	buried	bury	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	135	58	with	with	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	135	59	no	no	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	135	60	testing	testing	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	135	61	or	or	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	135	62	proper	proper	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	135	63	association	association	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	135	64	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	135	65	cause	cause	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	135	66	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	135	67	death	death	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	135	68	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	135	69	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	135	70	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	136	1	The	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	136	2	model	model	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	136	3	used	use	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	136	4	prior	prior	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	136	5	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	136	6	from	from	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	136	7	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	136	8	literature	literature	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	136	9	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	136	10	three	three	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	136	11	important	important	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	136	12	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	136	13	:	:	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	136	14	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	136	15	total	total	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	136	16	duration	duration	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	136	17	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	136	18	illness	illness	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	136	19	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	136	20	d	d	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	136	21	=	=	SYM
cord-351941-fgtatt40	136	22	14	14	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	136	23	days	day	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	136	24	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	136	25	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	136	26	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	136	27	exposure	exposure	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	136	28	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	136	29	early	early	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	136	30	infection	infection	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	136	31	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	136	32	period	period	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	136	33	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	136	34	τ	τ	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	136	35	=	=	SYM
cord-351941-fgtatt40	136	36	4	4	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	136	37	days	day	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	136	38	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	136	39	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	136	40	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	136	41	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	136	42	fractional	fractional	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	136	43	infectivity	infectivity	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	136	44	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	136	45	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	136	46	exposure	exposure	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	136	47	period	period	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	136	48	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	136	49	θ	θ	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	136	50	=	=	SYM
cord-351941-fgtatt40	136	51	0.25	0.25	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	136	52	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	136	53	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	137	1	Noting	note	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	137	2	significant	significant	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	137	3	uncertainty	uncertainty	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	137	4	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	137	5	such	such	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	137	6	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	137	7	early	early	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	137	8	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	137	9	an	an	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	137	10	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	137	11	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	137	12	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	137	13	assess	assess	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	137	14	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	137	15	projections	projection	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	137	16	'	'	POS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	137	17	sensitivity	sensitivity	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	137	18	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	137	19	these	these	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	137	20	structural	structural	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	137	21	assumptions	assumption	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	137	22	by	by	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	137	23	re	re	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	137	24	-	-	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	137	25	estimating	estimate	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	137	26	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	137	27	model	model	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	137	28	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	137	29	different	different	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	137	30	values	value	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	137	31	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	137	32	each	each	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	137	33	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	137	34	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	138	1	In	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	138	2	this	this	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	138	3	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	138	4	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	138	5	find	find	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	138	6	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	138	7	new	new	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	138	8	set	set	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	138	9	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	138	10	best	well	RBS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	138	11	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	138	12	fitting	fit	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	138	13	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	138	14	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	138	15	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	138	16	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	138	17	true	true	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	138	18	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	138	19	given	give	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	138	20	each	each	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	138	21	different	different	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	138	22	assumption	assumption	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	138	23	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	138	24	disease	disease	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	138	25	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	138	26	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	139	1	In	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	139	2	Table	table	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	139	3	1	1	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	139	4	results	result	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	139	5	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	139	6	summarized	summarize	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	139	7	as	as	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	139	8	percentage	percentage	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	139	9	changes	change	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	139	10	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	139	11	key	key	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	139	12	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	139	13	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	139	14	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	139	15	infections	infection	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	139	16	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	139	17	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	139	18	death	death	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	139	19	until	until	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	139	20	March	March	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	139	21	20th	20th	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	139	22	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	139	23	2020	2020	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	139	24	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	139	25	compared	compare	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	139	26	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	139	27	baseline	baseline	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	139	28	best	well	RBS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	139	29	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	139	30	fitting	fitting	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	139	31	projections	projection	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	139	32	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	140	1	Results	result	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	140	2	suggest	suggest	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	140	3	these	these	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	140	4	structural	structural	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	140	5	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	140	6	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	140	7	important	important	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	140	8	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	140	9	identifying	identify	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	140	10	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	140	11	true	true	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	140	12	magnitude	magnitude	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	140	13	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	140	14	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	140	15	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	140	16	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	140	17	may	may	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	140	18	propagate	propagate	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	140	19	additional	additional	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	140	20	uncertainty	uncertainty	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	140	21	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	140	22	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	140	23	projections	projection	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	140	24	due	due	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	140	25	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	140	26	limited	limited	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	140	27	early	early	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	140	28	data	datum	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	140	29	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	140	30	their	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	140	31	exact	exact	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	140	32	values	value	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	140	33	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	141	1	Specifically	specifically	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	141	2	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	141	3	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	141	4	smaller	small	JJR
cord-351941-fgtatt40	141	5	fractional	fractional	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	141	6	infectivity	infectivity	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	141	7	during	during	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	141	8	exposure	exposure	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	141	9	period	period	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	141	10	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	141	11	θ	θ	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	141	12	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	141	13	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	141	14	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	141	15	longer	long	JJR
cord-351941-fgtatt40	141	16	exposure	exposure	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	141	17	period	period	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	141	18	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	141	19	τ	τ	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	141	20	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	141	21	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	141	22	or	or	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	141	23	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	141	24	shorter	short	JJR
cord-351941-fgtatt40	141	25	duration	duration	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	141	26	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	141	27	illness	illness	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	141	28	all	all	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	141	29	significantly	significantly	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	141	30	increase	increase	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	141	31	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	141	32	projections	projection	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	141	33	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	141	34	total	total	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	141	35	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	141	36	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	141	37	deaths	death	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	141	38	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	142	1	Reductions	reduction	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	142	2	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	142	3	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	142	4	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	142	5	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	142	6	less	less	RBR
cord-351941-fgtatt40	142	7	significant	significant	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	142	8	when	when	WRB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	142	9	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	142	10	move	move	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	142	11	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	142	12	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	142	13	opposite	opposite	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	142	14	direction	direction	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	142	15	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	142	16	though	though	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	142	17	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	142	18	very	very	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	142	19	high	high	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	142	20	level	level	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	142	21	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	142	22	θ	θ	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	142	23	would	would	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	142	24	bring	bring	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	142	25	down	down	RP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	142	26	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	142	27	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	142	28	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	142	29	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	142	30	notably	notably	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	142	31	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	143	1	In	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	143	2	lower	low	JJR
cord-351941-fgtatt40	143	3	values	value	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	143	4	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	143	5	θ	θ	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	143	6	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	143	7	model	model	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	143	8	calibration	calibration	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	143	9	suggests	suggest	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	143	10	earlier	early	JJR
cord-351941-fgtatt40	143	11	arrival	arrival	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	143	12	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	143	13	first	first	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	143	14	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	143	15	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	143	16	infection	infection	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	143	17	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	143	18	which	which	WDT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	143	19	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	143	20	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	143	21	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	143	22	few	few	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	143	23	days	day	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	143	24	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	143	25	can	can	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	143	26	make	make	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	143	27	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	143	28	difference	difference	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	143	29	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	143	30	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	143	31	number	number	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	143	32	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	143	33	late	late	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	143	34	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	143	35	infected	infect	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	143	36	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	143	37	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	143	38	increase	increase	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	143	39	exposure	exposure	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	143	40	rate	rate	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	143	41	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	144	1	Current	current	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	144	2	evidence	evidence	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	144	3	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	144	4	transmission	transmission	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	144	5	during	during	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	144	6	early	early	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	144	7	infection	infection	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	144	8	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	144	9	exposure	exposure	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	144	10	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	144	11	period	period	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	144	12	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	144	13	rather	rather	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	144	14	limited	limited	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	144	15	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	144	16	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	144	17	thus	thus	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	144	18	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	144	19	baseline	baseline	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	144	20	projections	projection	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	144	21	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	144	22	total	total	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	144	23	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	144	24	may	may	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	144	25	be	be	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	144	26	somewhat	somewhat	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	144	27	conservative	conservative	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	144	28	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	145	1	Nevertheless	nevertheless	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	145	2	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	145	3	given	give	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	145	4	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	145	5	conservative	conservative	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	145	6	treatment	treatment	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	145	7	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	145	8	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	145	9	uncertainty	uncertainty	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	145	10	intervals	interval	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	145	11	all	all	PDT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	145	12	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	145	13	best	well	RBS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	145	14	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	145	15	fitting	fitting	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	145	16	projections	projection	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	145	17	with	with	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	145	18	different	different	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	145	19	disease	disease	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	145	20	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	145	21	remain	remain	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	145	22	within	within	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	145	23	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	145	24	90	90	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	145	25	%	%	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	145	26	bounds	bound	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	145	27	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	145	28	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	145	29	baseline	baseline	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	145	30	projections	projection	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	145	31	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	146	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	146	2	run	run	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	146	3	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	146	4	model	model	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	146	5	until	until	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	146	6	July	July	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	146	7	1st	1st	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	146	8	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	146	9	2020	2020	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	146	10	under	under	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	146	11	six	six	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	146	12	scenarios	scenario	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	146	13	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	146	14	three	three	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	146	15	alternative	alternative	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	146	16	assumptions	assumption	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	146	17	about	about	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	146	18	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	146	19	impact	impact	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	146	20	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	146	21	seasonality	seasonality	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	146	22	times	time	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	146	23	two	two	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	146	24	policy	policy	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	146	25	measures	measure	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	146	26	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	146	27	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	1	Specifically	specifically	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	2	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	3	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	4	scenarios	scenario	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	5	about	about	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	6	seasonality	seasonality	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	7	include	include	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	8	no	no	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	9	effect	effect	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	10	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	11	status	status	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	12	quo	quo	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	13	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	14	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	15	moderate	moderate	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	16	effect	effect	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	17	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	18	infectivity	infectivity	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	19	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	20	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	21	virus	virus	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	22	decreases	decrease	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	23	linearly	linearly	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	24	from	from	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	25	May	May	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	26	1st	1st	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	27	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	28	halves	half	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	29	by	by	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	30	June	June	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	31	1st	1st	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	32	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	33	then	then	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	34	stays	stay	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	35	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	36	same	same	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	37	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	38	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	39	rest	rest	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	40	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	41	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	42	simulation	simulation	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	43	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	44	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	45	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	46	very	very	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	47	strong	strong	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	48	mitigating	mitigate	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	49	effect	effect	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	50	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	51	infectivity	infectivity	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	52	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	53	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	54	virus	virus	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	55	decreases	decrease	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	56	from	from	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	57	May	May	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	58	1st	1st	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	59	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	60	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	61	quarter	quarter	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	62	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	63	its	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	64	base	base	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	65	value	value	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	66	by	by	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	67	June	June	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	68	1st	1st	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	69	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	70	then	then	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	71	stays	stay	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	72	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	73	same	same	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	74	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	75	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	76	rest	rest	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	77	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	78	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	79	simulation	simulation	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	80	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	147	81	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	148	1	For	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	148	2	policy	policy	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	148	3	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	148	4	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	148	5	focus	focus	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	148	6	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	148	7	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	148	8	contact	contact	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	148	9	rate	rate	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	148	10	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	148	11	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	148	12	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	148	13	include	include	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	148	14	two	two	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	148	15	conditions	condition	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	148	16	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	148	17	status	status	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	148	18	quo	quo	FW
cord-351941-fgtatt40	148	19	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	148	20	i.e.	i.e.	FW
cord-351941-fgtatt40	148	21	only	only	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	148	22	behavioral	behavioral	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	148	23	responses	response	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	148	24	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	148	25	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	148	26	aggressive	aggressive	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	148	27	efforts	effort	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	148	28	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	148	29	decrease	decrease	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	148	30	contact	contact	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	148	31	rate	rate	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	148	32	by	by	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	148	33	half	half	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	148	34	what	what	WP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	148	35	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	148	36	would	would	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	148	37	be	be	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	148	38	otherwise	otherwise	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	148	39	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	149	1	These	these	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	149	2	six	six	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	149	3	conditions	condition	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	149	4	provide	provide	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	149	5	intuitions	intuition	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	149	6	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	149	7	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	149	8	potentially	potentially	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	149	9	wide	wide	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	149	10	range	range	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	149	11	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	149	12	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	149	13	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	150	1	Both	both	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	150	2	intervention	intervention	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	150	3	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	150	4	weather	weather	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	150	5	impacts	impact	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	150	6	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	150	7	assumed	assume	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	150	8	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	150	9	include	include	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	150	10	rather	rather	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	150	11	strong	strong	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	150	12	options	option	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	150	13	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	150	14	inform	inform	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	150	15	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	150	16	range	range	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	150	17	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	150	18	possibilities	possibility	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	150	19	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	150	20	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	150	21	should	should	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	150	22	not	not	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	150	23	be	be	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	150	24	interpreted	interpret	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	150	25	as	as	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	150	26	predictions	prediction	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	150	27	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	151	1	Moreover	moreover	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	151	2	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	151	3	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	151	4	also	also	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	151	5	note	note	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	151	6	that	that	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	151	7	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	151	8	wide	wide	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	151	9	cone	cone	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	151	10	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	151	11	uncertainty	uncertainty	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	151	12	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	151	13	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	151	14	baseline	baseline	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	151	15	simulations	simulation	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	151	16	will	will	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	151	17	continue	continue	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	151	18	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	151	19	expand	expand	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	151	20	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	151	21	future	future	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	151	22	projections	projection	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	151	23	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	152	1	Keeping	keep	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	152	2	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	152	3	uncertainty	uncertainty	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	152	4	considerations	consideration	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	152	5	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	152	6	mind	mind	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	152	7	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	152	8	but	but	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	152	9	not	not	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	152	10	graphed	graph	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	152	11	due	due	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	152	12	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	152	13	clutter	clutter	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	152	14	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	152	15	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	152	16	Figure	figure	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	152	17	3	3	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	152	18	shows	show	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	152	19	results	result	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	152	20	based	base	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	152	21	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	152	22	best	good	JJS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	152	23	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	152	24	fit	fit	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	152	25	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	152	26	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	153	1	If	if	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	153	2	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	153	3	best	good	JJS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	153	4	case	case	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	153	5	scenario	scenario	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	153	6	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	153	7	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	153	8	reduction	reduction	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	153	9	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	153	10	contacts	contact	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	153	11	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	153	12	benefits	benefit	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	153	13	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	153	14	seasonality	seasonality	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	153	15	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	153	16	containment	containment	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	153	17	materialize	materialize	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	153	18	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	153	19	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	153	20	number	number	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	153	21	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	153	22	infected	infected	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	153	23	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	153	24	would	would	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	153	25	be	be	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	153	26	expected	expect	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	153	27	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	153	28	peak	peak	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	153	29	soon	soon	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	153	30	after	after	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	153	31	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	153	32	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	153	33	date	date	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	153	34	at	at	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	153	35	approximately	approximately	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	153	36	494,000	494,000	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	153	37	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	153	38	90	90	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	153	39	%	%	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	153	40	UI	UI	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	153	41	:	:	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	153	42	274	274	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	153	43	K-813	k-813	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	153	44	K	K	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	153	45	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	153	46	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	153	47	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	153	48	will	will	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	153	49	go	go	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	153	50	down	down	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	153	51	later	later	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	153	52	on	on	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	153	53	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	154	1	This	this	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	154	2	optimistic	optimistic	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	154	3	scenario	scenario	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	154	4	will	will	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	154	5	still	still	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	154	6	lead	lead	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	154	7	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	154	8	over	over	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	154	9	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	154	10	million	million	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	154	11	infections	infection	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	154	12	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	154	13	some	some	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	154	14	58,000	58,000	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	154	15	deaths	death	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	154	16	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	154	17	90	90	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	154	18	%	%	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	154	19	UI	UI	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	154	20	:	:	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	154	21	32	32	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	154	22	K-97	K-97	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	154	23	K	K	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	154	24	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	154	25	by	by	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	154	26	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	154	27	end	end	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	154	28	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	154	29	June	June	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	154	30	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	155	1	The	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	155	2	less	less	RBR
cord-351941-fgtatt40	155	3	aggressive	aggressive	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	155	4	scenarios	scenario	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	155	5	point	point	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	155	6	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	155	7	continued	continued	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	155	8	spread	spread	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	155	9	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	155	10	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	155	11	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	155	12	at	at	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	155	13	large	large	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	155	14	rates	rate	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	155	15	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	156	1	A	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	156	2	reduction	reduction	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	156	3	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	156	4	contagion	contagion	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	156	5	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	156	6	realized	realize	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	156	7	only	only	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	156	8	when	when	WRB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	156	9	reproduction	reproduction	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	156	10	number	number	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	156	11	remains	remain	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	156	12	below	below	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	156	13	one	one	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	156	14	as	as	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	156	15	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	156	16	result	result	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	156	17	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	156	18	reduced	reduce	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	156	19	physical	physical	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	156	20	contact	contact	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	156	21	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	156	22	government	government	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	156	23	interventions	intervention	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	156	24	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	156	25	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	156	26	seasonality	seasonality	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	156	27	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	157	1	Among	among	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	157	2	these	these	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	157	3	three	three	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	157	4	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	157	5	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	157	6	first	first	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	157	7	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	157	8	behavioral	behavioral	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	157	9	response	response	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	157	10	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	157	11	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	157	12	endogenous	endogenous	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	157	13	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	157	14	recent	recent	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	157	15	death	death	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	157	16	rate	rate	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	157	17	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	158	1	When	when	WRB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	158	2	death	death	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	158	3	rate	rate	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	158	4	comes	come	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	158	5	under	under	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	158	6	control	control	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	158	7	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	158	8	due	due	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	158	9	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	158	10	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	158	11	combination	combination	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	158	12	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	158	13	all	all	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	158	14	three	three	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	158	15	factors	factor	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	158	16	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	158	17	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	158	18	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	158	19	model	model	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	158	20	assumes	assume	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	158	21	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	158	22	contract	contract	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	158	23	rate	rate	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	158	24	rebounds	rebound	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	158	25	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	158	26	weakening	weaken	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	158	27	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	158	28	first	first	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	158	29	channel	channel	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	158	30	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	158	31	increasing	increase	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	158	32	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	158	33	transmission	transmission	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	158	34	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	159	1	Economic	economic	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	159	2	pressures	pressure	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	159	3	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	159	4	normalization	normalization	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	159	5	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	159	6	death	death	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	159	7	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	159	8	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	159	9	behavioral	behavioral	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	159	10	modeling	modeling	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	159	11	after	after	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	159	12	those	those	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	159	13	not	not	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	159	14	practicing	practice	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	159	15	distancing	distance	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	159	16	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	159	17	or	or	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	159	18	those	those	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	159	19	already	already	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	159	20	recovered	recover	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	159	21	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	159	22	thus	thus	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	159	23	presumably	presumably	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	159	24	immune	immune	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	159	25	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	159	26	could	could	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	159	27	all	all	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	159	28	weaken	weaken	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	159	29	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	159	30	behavioral	behavioral	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	159	31	response	response	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	159	32	when	when	WRB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	159	33	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	159	34	perceived	perceive	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	159	35	risks	risk	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	159	36	fade	fade	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	159	37	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	160	1	The	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	160	2	increased	increase	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	160	3	transmission	transmission	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	160	4	would	would	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	160	5	then	then	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	160	6	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	160	7	with	with	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	160	8	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	160	9	delay	delay	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	160	10	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	160	11	bring	bring	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	160	12	up	up	RP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	160	13	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	160	14	death	death	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	160	15	rate	rate	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	160	16	close	close	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	160	17	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	160	18	levels	level	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	160	19	sustaining	sustain	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	160	20	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	160	21	reproduction	reproduction	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	160	22	number	number	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	160	23	around	around	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	160	24	one	one	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	160	25	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	161	1	This	this	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	161	2	creates	create	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	161	3	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	161	4	strong	strong	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	161	5	attractor	attractor	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	161	6	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	161	7	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	161	8	dynamics	dynamic	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	161	9	where	where	WRB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	161	10	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	161	11	steady	steady	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	161	12	state	state	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	161	13	contact	contact	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	161	14	rate	rate	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	161	15	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	161	16	high	high	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	161	17	enough	enough	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	161	18	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	161	19	sustain	sustain	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	161	20	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	161	21	contagion	contagion	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	161	22	but	but	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	161	23	not	not	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	161	24	so	so	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	161	25	high	high	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	161	26	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	161	27	lead	lead	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	161	28	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	161	29	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	161	30	rapid	rapid	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	161	31	infection	infection	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	161	32	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	161	33	all	all	PDT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	161	34	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	161	35	population	population	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	161	36	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	162	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	162	2	may	may	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	162	3	also	also	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	162	4	lead	lead	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	162	5	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	162	6	oscillations	oscillation	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	162	7	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	162	8	peak	peak	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	162	9	transmission	transmission	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	162	10	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	163	1	Therefore	therefore	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	163	2	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	163	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	163	4	only	only	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	163	5	with	with	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	163	6	strong	strong	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	163	7	weather	weather	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	163	8	and/or	and/or	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	163	9	government	government	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	163	10	interventions	intervention	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	163	11	that	that	WDT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	163	12	reduced	reduce	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	163	13	reproduction	reproduction	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	163	14	number	number	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	163	15	brings	bring	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	163	16	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	163	17	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	163	18	under	under	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	163	19	control	control	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	163	20	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	164	1	This	this	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	164	2	dynamic	dynamic	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	164	3	offers	offer	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	164	4	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	164	5	cautionary	cautionary	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	164	6	tale	tale	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	164	7	against	against	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	164	8	declaring	declare	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	164	9	victory	victory	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	164	10	early	early	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	164	11	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	164	12	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	164	13	fight	fight	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	164	14	against	against	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	164	15	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	164	16	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	164	17	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	165	1	However	however	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	165	2	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	165	3	actual	actual	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	165	4	magnitude	magnitude	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	165	5	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	165	6	such	such	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	165	7	rebound	rebound	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	165	8	effect	effect	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	165	9	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	165	10	not	not	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	165	11	known	know	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	165	12	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	165	13	this	this	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	165	14	setting	setting	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	165	15	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	165	16	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	165	17	data	data	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	165	18	offers	offer	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	165	19	no	no	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	165	20	guidance	guidance	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	165	21	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	165	22	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	165	23	relevant	relevant	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	165	24	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	165	25	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	166	1	Therefore	therefore	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	166	2	these	these	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	166	3	results	result	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	166	4	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	166	5	only	only	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	166	6	qualitatively	qualitatively	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	166	7	suggestive	suggestive	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	166	8	but	but	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	166	9	not	not	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	166	10	quantitatively	quantitatively	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	166	11	reliable	reliable	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	166	12	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	167	1	This	this	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	167	2	research	research	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	167	3	was	be	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	167	4	conducted	conduct	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	167	5	under	under	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	167	6	extreme	extreme	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	167	7	urgency	urgency	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	167	8	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	167	9	inform	inform	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	167	10	decisions	decision	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	167	11	amidst	amidst	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	167	12	crisis	crisis	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	167	13	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	168	1	The	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	168	2	primary	primary	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	168	3	objective	objective	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	168	4	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	168	5	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	168	6	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	168	7	was	be	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	168	8	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	168	9	understand	understand	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	168	10	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	168	11	magnitude	magnitude	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	168	12	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	168	13	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	168	14	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	168	15	during	during	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	168	16	early	early	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	168	17	stages	stage	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	168	18	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	168	19	infection	infection	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	168	20	when	when	WRB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	168	21	uncertainties	uncertainty	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	168	22	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	168	23	large	large	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	168	24	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	168	25	major	major	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	168	26	decisions	decision	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	168	27	at	at	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	168	28	stake	stake	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	168	29	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	169	1	The	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	169	2	main	main	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	169	3	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	169	4	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	169	5	this	this	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	169	6	paper	paper	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	169	7	was	be	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	169	8	completed	complete	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	169	9	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	169	10	March	March	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	169	11	20th	20th	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	169	12	2020	2020	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	169	13	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	169	14	first	first	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	169	15	reported	report	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	169	16	publicly	publicly	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	169	17	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	169	18	March	March	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	169	19	27th	27th	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	169	20	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	169	21	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	169	22	pre	pre	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	169	23	-	-	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	169	24	print	print	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	169	25	server	server	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	169	26	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	170	1	Thus	thus	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	170	2	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	170	3	intentionally	intentionally	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	170	4	leave	leave	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	170	5	those	those	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	170	6	projections	projection	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	170	7	untouched	untouched	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	170	8	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	170	9	avoid	avoid	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	170	10	post	post	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	170	11	-	-	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	170	12	hoc	hoc	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	170	13	justification	justification	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	170	14	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	170	15	corrections	correction	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	170	16	that	that	WDT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	170	17	would	would	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	170	18	cover	cover	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	170	19	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	170	20	true	true	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	170	21	uncertainties	uncertainty	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	170	22	involved	involve	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	170	23	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	170	24	real	real	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	170	25	world	world	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	170	26	modeling	model	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	170	27	projects	project	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	170	28	targeting	target	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	170	29	fast	fast	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	170	30	evolving	evolve	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	170	31	situations	situation	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	170	32	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	171	1	Furthermore	furthermore	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	171	2	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	171	3	given	give	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	171	4	that	that	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	171	5	March	March	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	171	6	20th	20th	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	171	7	marks	mark	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	171	8	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	171	9	end	end	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	171	10	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	171	11	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	171	12	Winter	winter	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	171	13	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	171	14	beginning	beginning	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	171	15	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	171	16	Persian	persian	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	171	17	new	new	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	171	18	year	year	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	171	19	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	171	20	emerging	emerge	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	171	21	annual	annual	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	171	22	reports	report	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	171	23	can	can	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	171	24	be	be	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	171	25	used	use	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	171	26	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	171	27	assess	assess	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	171	28	some	some	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	171	29	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	171	30	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	171	31	findings	finding	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	171	32	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	172	1	In	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	172	2	this	this	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	172	3	section	section	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	172	4	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	172	5	summarize	summarize	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	172	6	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	172	7	few	few	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	172	8	such	such	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	172	9	tests	test	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	172	10	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	172	11	observations	observation	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	172	12	made	make	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	172	13	based	base	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	172	14	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	172	15	findings	finding	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	172	16	post	post	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	172	17	initial	initial	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	172	18	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	172	19	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	173	1	First	first	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	173	2	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	173	3	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	173	4	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	173	5	can	can	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	173	6	be	be	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	173	7	partially	partially	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	173	8	tested	test	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	173	9	against	against	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	173	10	official	official	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	173	11	all	all	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	173	12	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	173	13	cause	cause	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	173	14	mortality	mortality	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	173	15	data	datum	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	173	16	which	which	WDT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	173	17	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	173	18	reported	report	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	173	19	seasonally	seasonally	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	173	20	by	by	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	173	21	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	173	22	Iranian	iranian	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	173	23	government	government	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	173	24	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	174	1	The	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	174	2	data	datum	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	174	3	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	174	4	winter	winter	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	174	5	2020	2020	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	174	6	were	be	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	174	7	released	release	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	174	8	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	174	9	May	May	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	174	10	7th	7th	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	174	11	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	174	12	during	during	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	174	13	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	174	14	final	final	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	174	15	preparations	preparation	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	174	16	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	174	17	this	this	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	174	18	manuscript	manuscript	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	174	19	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	175	1	Based	base	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	175	2	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	175	3	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	175	4	regression	regression	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	175	5	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	175	6	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	175	7	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	175	8	all	all	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	175	9	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	175	10	cause	cause	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	175	11	mortality	mortality	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	175	12	data	datum	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	175	13	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	175	14	find	find	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	175	15	that	that	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	175	16	COVID-19	covid-19	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	175	17	related	related	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	175	18	deaths	death	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	175	19	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	175	20	likely	likely	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	175	21	7.1	7.1	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	175	22	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	175	23	95	95	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	175	24	%	%	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	175	25	CI	ci	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	175	26	:	:	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	175	27	3.8	3.8	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	175	28	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	175	29	10.4	10.4	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	175	30	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	175	31	times	time	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	175	32	more	more	JJR
cord-351941-fgtatt40	175	33	than	than	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	175	34	official	official	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	175	35	death	death	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	175	36	counts	count	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	175	37	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	175	38	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	175	39	disease	disease	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	175	40	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	175	41	see	see	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	175	42	Appendix	Appendix	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	175	43	C	C	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	175	44	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	175	45	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	176	1	Our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	176	2	simulation	simulation	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	176	3	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	176	4	based	base	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	176	5	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	176	6	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	176	7	suggesting	suggest	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	176	8	10.8	10.8	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	176	9	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	176	10	90	90	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	176	11	%	%	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	176	12	CI	ci	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	176	13	:	:	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	176	14	5.9,18.0	5.9,18.0	LS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	176	15	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	176	16	times	time	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	176	17	more	more	JJR
cord-351941-fgtatt40	176	18	deaths	death	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	176	19	than	than	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	176	20	official	official	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	176	21	data	datum	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	176	22	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	176	23	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	176	24	consistent	consistent	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	176	25	with	with	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	176	26	this	this	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	176	27	new	new	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	176	28	information	information	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	176	29	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	177	1	A	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	177	2	second	second	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	177	3	study	study	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	177	4	informed	inform	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	177	5	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	177	6	true	true	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	177	7	magnitude	magnitude	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	177	8	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	177	9	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	177	10	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	177	11	one	one	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	177	12	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	177	13	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	177	14	provinces	province	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	177	15	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	177	16	Iran	Iran	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	177	17	using	use	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	177	18	anti	anti	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	177	19	-	-	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	177	20	body	body	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	177	21	testing	testing	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	177	22	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	178	1	Specifically	specifically	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	178	2	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	178	3	testing	test	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	178	4	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	178	5	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	178	6	antibodies	antibody	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	178	7	informs	inform	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	178	8	whether	whether	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	178	9	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	178	10	person	person	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	178	11	has	have	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	178	12	been	be	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	178	13	previously	previously	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	178	14	infected	infect	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	178	15	by	by	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	178	16	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	178	17	disease	disease	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	178	18	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	178	19	offering	offer	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	178	20	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	178	21	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	178	22	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	178	23	infection	infection	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	178	24	when	when	WRB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	178	25	randomly	randomly	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	178	26	conducted	conduct	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	178	27	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	178	28	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	178	29	population	population	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	178	30	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	179	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	179	2	have	have	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	179	3	found	find	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	179	4	one	one	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	179	5	such	such	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	179	6	study	study	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	179	7	conducted	conduct	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	179	8	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	179	9	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	179	10	random	random	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	179	11	population	population	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	179	12	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	179	13	Iran	Iran	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	179	14	's	's	POS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	179	15	Guilan	Guilan	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	179	16	province	province	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	179	17	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	179	18	population	population	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	179	19	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	179	20	2.5	2.5	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	179	21	million	million	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	179	22	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	180	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	180	2	Shakiba	Shakiba	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	180	3	et	et	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	180	4	al	al	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	180	5	.	.	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	180	6	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	180	7	2020	2020	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	180	8	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	180	9	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	181	1	These	these	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	181	2	researchers	researcher	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	181	3	estimate	estimate	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	181	4	that	that	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	181	5	21	21	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	181	6	-	-	SYM
cord-351941-fgtatt40	181	7	33	33	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	181	8	%	%	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	181	9	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	181	10	Guilan	Guilan	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	181	11	residents	resident	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	181	12	were	be	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	181	13	infected	infect	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	181	14	by	by	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	181	15	late	late	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	181	16	April	April	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	181	17	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	182	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	182	2	did	do	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	182	3	not	not	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	182	4	simulate	simulate	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	182	5	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	182	6	model	model	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	182	7	at	at	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	182	8	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	182	9	province	province	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	182	10	level	level	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	182	11	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	182	12	but	but	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	182	13	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	182	14	March	March	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	182	15	20th	20th	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	182	16	estimate	estimate	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	182	17	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	182	18	47	47	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	182	19	times	time	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	182	20	undercounting	undercounting	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	182	21	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	182	22	combined	combine	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	182	23	with	with	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	182	24	1090	1090	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	182	25	confirmed	confirm	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	182	26	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	182	27	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	182	28	Guilan	Guilan	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	182	29	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	182	30	0.04	0.04	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	182	31	%	%	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	182	32	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	182	33	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	182	34	residents	resident	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	182	35	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	182	36	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	182	37	gives	give	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	182	38	an	an	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	182	39	estimate	estimate	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	182	40	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	182	41	2	2	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	182	42	%	%	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	182	43	prevalence	prevalence	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	182	44	at	at	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	182	45	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	182	46	end	end	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	182	47	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	182	48	winter	winter	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	182	49	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	183	1	Our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	183	2	model	model	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	183	3	estimates	estimate	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	183	4	about	about	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	183	5	50%-100	50%-100	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	183	6	%	%	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	183	7	growth	growth	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	183	8	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	183	9	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	183	10	over	over	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	183	11	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	183	12	following	follow	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	183	13	month	month	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	183	14	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	183	15	see	see	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	183	16	Figure	Figure	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	183	17	3b	3b	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	183	18	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	183	19	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	183	20	so	so	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	183	21	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	183	22	estimate	estimate	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	183	23	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	183	24	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	183	25	infections	infection	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	183	26	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	183	27	Guilan	Guilan	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	183	28	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	183	29	at	at	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	183	30	3%-4	3%-4	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	183	31	%	%	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	183	32	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	183	33	late	late	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	183	34	April	April	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	183	35	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	183	36	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	183	37	still	still	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	183	38	five	five	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	183	39	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	183	40	ten	ten	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	183	41	times	time	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	183	42	lower	low	JJR
cord-351941-fgtatt40	183	43	than	than	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	183	44	this	this	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	183	45	new	new	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	183	46	study	study	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	183	47	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	184	1	These	these	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	184	2	findings	finding	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	184	3	would	would	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	184	4	suggest	suggest	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	184	5	that	that	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	184	6	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	184	7	rather	rather	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	184	8	high	high	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	184	9	fraction	fraction	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	184	10	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	184	11	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	184	12	were	be	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	184	13	asymptomatic	asymptomatic	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	184	14	and/or	and/or	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	184	15	not	not	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	184	16	included	include	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	184	17	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	184	18	any	any	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	184	19	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	184	20	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	184	21	data	datum	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	184	22	sources	source	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	184	23	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	184	24	infection	infection	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	184	25	that	that	WDT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	184	26	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	184	27	used	use	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	184	28	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	184	29	official	official	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	184	30	data	datum	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	184	31	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	184	32	infected	infected	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	184	33	traveler	traveler	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	184	34	counts	count	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	184	35	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	184	36	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	185	1	Incidentally	incidentally	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	185	2	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	185	3	if	if	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	185	4	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	185	5	assume	assume	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	185	6	that	that	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	185	7	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	185	8	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	185	9	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	185	10	infection	infection	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	185	11	were	be	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	185	12	7	7	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	185	13	times	time	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	185	14	below	below	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	185	15	true	true	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	185	16	numbers	number	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	185	17	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	185	18	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	185	19	infection	infection	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	185	20	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	185	21	rate	rate	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	185	22	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	185	23	COVID-19	covid-19	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	185	24	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	185	25	Iran	Iran	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	185	26	goes	go	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	185	27	down	down	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	185	28	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	185	29	close	close	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	185	30	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	185	31	0.5	0.5	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	185	32	%	%	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	185	33	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	185	34	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	185	35	number	number	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	185	36	much	much	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	185	37	closer	close	JJR
cord-351941-fgtatt40	185	38	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	185	39	some	some	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	185	40	recent	recent	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	185	41	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	185	42	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	185	43	this	this	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	185	44	key	key	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	185	45	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	185	46	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	185	47	Basu	Basu	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	185	48	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	185	49	2020	2020	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	185	50	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	185	51	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	186	1	Third	third	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	186	2	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	186	3	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	186	4	can	can	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	186	5	test	test	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	186	6	model	model	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	186	7	's	's	POS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	186	8	capability	capability	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	186	9	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	186	10	projecting	project	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	186	11	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	186	12	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	186	13	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	187	1	Although	although	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	187	2	prediction	prediction	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	187	3	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	187	4	official	official	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	187	5	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	187	6	was	be	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	187	7	not	not	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	187	8	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	187	9	purpose	purpose	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	187	10	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	187	11	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	187	12	model	model	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	187	13	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	187	14	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	187	15	present	present	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	187	16	this	this	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	187	17	out	out	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	187	18	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	187	19	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	187	20	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	187	21	sample	sample	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	187	22	test	test	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	187	23	as	as	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	187	24	an	an	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	187	25	indirect	indirect	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	187	26	way	way	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	187	27	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	187	28	assessing	assess	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	187	29	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	187	30	model	model	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	187	31	's	's	POS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	187	32	predictive	predictive	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	187	33	power	power	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	187	34	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	188	1	The	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	188	2	model	model	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	188	3	was	be	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	188	4	calibrated	calibrate	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	188	5	with	with	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	188	6	30	30	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	188	7	days	day	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	188	8	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	188	9	data	datum	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	188	10	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	188	11	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	188	12	since	since	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	188	13	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	188	14	pre	pre	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	188	15	-	-	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	188	16	print	print	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	188	17	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	188	18	55	55	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	188	19	days	day	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	188	20	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	188	21	more	more	JJR
cord-351941-fgtatt40	188	22	data	datum	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	188	23	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	188	24	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	188	25	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	188	26	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	188	27	deaths	death	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	188	28	have	have	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	188	29	become	become	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	188	30	available	available	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	188	31	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	188	32	which	which	WDT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	188	33	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	188	34	use	use	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	188	35	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	188	36	compare	compare	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	188	37	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	188	38	model	model	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	188	39	's	's	POS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	188	40	predictive	predictive	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	188	41	performance	performance	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	188	42	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	188	43	official	official	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	188	44	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	188	45	reported	report	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	188	46	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	188	47	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	189	1	These	these	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	189	2	results	result	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	189	3	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	189	4	provided	provide	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	189	5	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	189	6	Appendix	Appendix	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	189	7	B	B	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	189	8	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	189	9	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	189	10	show	show	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	189	11	that	that	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	189	12	while	while	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	189	13	qualitative	qualitative	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	189	14	trends	trend	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	189	15	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	189	16	consistent	consistent	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	189	17	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	189	18	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	189	19	model	model	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	189	20	misses	miss	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	189	21	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	189	22	major	major	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	189	23	increase	increase	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	189	24	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	189	25	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	189	26	number	number	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	189	27	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	189	28	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	189	29	right	right	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	189	30	after	after	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	189	31	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	189	32	first	first	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	189	33	30	30	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	189	34	days	day	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	189	35	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	190	1	Confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	190	2	death	death	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	190	3	projections	projection	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	190	4	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	190	5	closer	close	JJR
cord-351941-fgtatt40	190	6	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	190	7	data	datum	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	190	8	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	191	1	Two	two	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	191	2	mechanisms	mechanism	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	191	3	may	may	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	191	4	explain	explain	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	191	5	this	this	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	191	6	gap	gap	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	191	7	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	192	1	First	first	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	192	2	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	192	3	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	192	4	simple	simple	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	192	5	formulation	formulation	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	192	6	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	192	7	testing	test	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	192	8	only	only	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	192	9	tracks	track	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	192	10	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	192	11	fraction	fraction	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	192	12	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	192	13	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	192	14	tested	test	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	192	15	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	192	16	saturating	saturate	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	192	17	that	that	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	192	18	fraction	fraction	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	192	19	at	at	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	192	20	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	192	21	maximum	maximum	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	192	22	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	193	1	That	that	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	193	2	formulation	formulation	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	193	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	193	4	fine	fine	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	193	5	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	193	6	capturing	capture	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	193	7	growth	growth	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	193	8	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	193	9	test	test	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	193	10	capacity	capacity	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	193	11	during	during	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	193	12	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	193	13	rise	rise	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	193	14	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	193	15	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	193	16	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	193	17	but	but	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	193	18	would	would	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	193	19	underestimate	underestimate	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	193	20	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	193	21	when	when	WRB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	193	22	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	193	23	growth	growth	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	193	24	slows	slow	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	193	25	down	down	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	193	26	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	193	27	milder	mild	JJR
cord-351941-fgtatt40	193	28	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	193	29	can	can	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	193	30	be	be	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	193	31	found	find	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	193	32	with	with	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	193	33	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	193	34	already	already	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	193	35	enhanced	enhance	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	193	36	test	test	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	193	37	capacity	capacity	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	193	38	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	194	1	Indeed	indeed	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	194	2	since	since	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	194	3	estimation	estimation	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	194	4	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	194	5	have	have	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	194	6	found	find	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	194	7	that	that	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	194	8	initial	initial	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	194	9	test	test	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	194	10	capacity	capacity	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	194	11	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	194	12	Iran	Iran	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	194	13	grew	grow	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	194	14	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	194	15	about	about	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	194	16	6000	6000	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	194	17	tests	test	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	194	18	per	per	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	194	19	day	day	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	194	20	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	194	21	stayed	stay	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	194	22	at	at	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	194	23	that	that	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	194	24	level	level	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	194	25	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	194	26	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	194	27	later	later	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	194	28	part	part	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	194	29	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	194	30	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	194	31	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	194	32	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	194	33	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	194	34	then	then	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	194	35	jumped	jump	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	194	36	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	194	37	10,000	10,000	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	194	38	tests	test	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	194	39	per	per	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	194	40	day	day	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	194	41	;	;	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	194	42	similar	similar	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	194	43	increasing	increase	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	194	44	patterns	pattern	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	194	45	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	194	46	tests	test	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	194	47	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	194	48	seen	see	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	194	49	across	across	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	194	50	nations	nation	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	194	51	globally	globally	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	194	52	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	195	1	Thus	thus	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	195	2	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	195	3	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	195	4	testing	testing	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	195	5	formulation	formulation	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	195	6	likely	likely	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	195	7	introduces	introduce	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	195	8	under	under	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	195	9	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	195	10	counting	counting	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	195	11	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	195	12	simulating	simulate	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	195	13	official	official	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	195	14	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	195	15	later	later	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	195	16	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	195	17	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	195	18	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	195	19	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	195	20	but	but	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	195	21	this	this	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	195	22	does	do	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	195	23	not	not	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	195	24	mean	mean	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	195	25	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	195	26	model	model	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	195	27	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	195	28	under	under	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	195	29	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	195	30	predicting	predict	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	195	31	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	195	32	actual	actual	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	195	33	infections	infection	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	195	34	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	195	35	deaths	death	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	195	36	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	196	1	A	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	196	2	second	second	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	196	3	factor	factor	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	196	4	may	may	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	196	5	explain	explain	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	196	6	why	why	WRB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	196	7	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	196	8	model	model	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	196	9	predicted	predict	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	196	10	an	an	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	196	11	earlier	early	JJR
cord-351941-fgtatt40	196	12	peak	peak	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	196	13	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	196	14	by	by	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	196	15	about	about	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	196	16	two	two	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	196	17	weeks	week	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	196	18	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	197	1	Iran	Iran	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	197	2	's	's	POS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	197	3	new	new	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	197	4	year	year	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	197	5	holiday	holiday	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	197	6	season	season	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	197	7	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	197	8	Nowruz	Nowruz	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	197	9	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	197	10	which	which	WDT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	197	11	starts	start	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	197	12	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	197	13	March	March	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	197	14	20th	20th	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	197	15	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	197	16	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	197	17	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	197	18	major	major	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	197	19	time	time	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	197	20	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	197	21	travel	travel	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	197	22	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	197	23	family	family	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	197	24	visits	visit	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	197	25	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	197	26	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	197	27	social	social	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	197	28	interaction	interaction	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	197	29	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	198	1	Those	those	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	198	2	activities	activity	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	198	3	may	may	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	198	4	well	well	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	198	5	have	have	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	198	6	increased	increase	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	198	7	contact	contact	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	198	8	rates	rate	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	198	9	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	198	10	later	later	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	198	11	March	March	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	198	12	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	198	13	but	but	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	198	14	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	198	15	decided	decide	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	198	16	against	against	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	198	17	post	post	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	198	18	hoc	hoc	FW
cord-351941-fgtatt40	198	19	introduction	introduction	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	198	20	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	198	21	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	198	22	Nowruz	Nowruz	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	198	23	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	198	24	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	198	25	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	198	26	model	model	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	198	27	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	199	1	Finally	finally	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	199	2	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	199	3	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	199	4	note	note	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	199	5	that	that	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	199	6	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	199	7	model	model	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	199	8	predicted	predict	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	199	9	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	199	10	resurgence	resurgence	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	199	11	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	199	12	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	199	13	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	199	14	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	199	15	early	early	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	199	16	May	May	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	199	17	due	due	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	199	18	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	199	19	reduced	reduce	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	199	20	risk	risk	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	199	21	perception	perception	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	199	22	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	199	23	which	which	WDT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	199	24	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	199	25	consistent	consistent	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	199	26	with	with	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	199	27	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	199	28	rise	rise	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	199	29	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	199	30	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	199	31	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	199	32	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	199	33	real	real	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	199	34	world	world	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	199	35	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	199	36	May.	May	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	200	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	200	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	200	3	harder	hard	JJR
cord-351941-fgtatt40	200	4	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	200	5	fully	fully	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	200	6	assess	assess	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	200	7	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	200	8	impact	impact	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	200	9	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	200	10	these	these	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	200	11	discrepancies	discrepancy	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	200	12	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	200	13	future	future	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	200	14	estimation	estimation	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	200	15	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	200	16	true	true	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	200	17	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	200	18	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	200	19	had	have	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	200	20	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	200	21	decided	decide	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	200	22	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	200	23	extend	extend	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	200	24	those	those	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	200	25	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	200	26	beyond	beyond	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	200	27	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	200	28	original	original	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	200	29	timeline	timeline	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	200	30	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	201	1	Nevertheless	nevertheless	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	201	2	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	201	3	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	201	4	seems	seem	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	201	5	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	201	6	model	model	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	201	7	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	201	8	somewhat	somewhat	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	201	9	conservative	conservative	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	201	10	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	201	11	predicting	predict	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	201	12	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	201	13	'	'	``
cord-351941-fgtatt40	201	14	reported	report	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	201	15	'	'	''
cord-351941-fgtatt40	201	16	infections	infection	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	201	17	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	201	18	deaths	death	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	201	19	after	after	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	201	20	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	201	21	estimation	estimation	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	201	22	period	period	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	201	23	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	201	24	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	201	25	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	201	26	more	more	RBR
cord-351941-fgtatt40	201	27	explicit	explicit	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	201	28	account	account	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	201	29	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	201	30	physical	physical	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	201	31	test	test	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	201	32	capacity	capacity	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	201	33	would	would	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	201	34	add	add	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	201	35	value	value	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	201	36	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	201	37	longer	long	JJR
cord-351941-fgtatt40	201	38	term	term	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	201	39	projections	projection	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	201	40	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	1	Finally	finally	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	2	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	3	upon	upon	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	4	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	5	release	release	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	6	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	7	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	8	first	first	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	9	draft	draft	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	10	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	11	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	12	paper	paper	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	13	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	14	have	have	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	15	received	receive	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	16	reports	report	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	17	from	from	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	18	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	19	few	few	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	20	hospitals	hospital	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	21	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	22	officials	official	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	23	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	24	Iran	Iran	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	25	that	that	WDT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	26	confirm	confirm	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	27	:	:	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	28	a	a	LS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	29	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	30	Unofficial	unofficial	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	31	death	death	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	32	counts	count	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	33	by	by	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	34	hospital	hospital	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	35	sources	source	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	36	that	that	WDT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	37	continue	continue	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	38	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	39	be	be	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	40	about	about	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	41	five	five	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	42	times	time	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	43	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	44	official	official	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	45	death	death	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	46	statistics	statistic	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	47	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	48	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	49	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	50	some	some	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	51	states	state	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	52	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	53	Iran	Iran	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	54	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	55	close	close	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	56	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	57	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	58	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	59	;	;	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	60	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	61	b	b	LS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	62	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	63	The	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	64	low	low	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	65	sensitivity	sensitivity	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	66	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	67	false	false	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	68	negative	negative	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	69	risk	risk	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	70	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	71	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	72	tests	test	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	73	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	74	at	at	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	75	about	about	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	76	50	50	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	77	%	%	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	78	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	79	when	when	WRB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	80	conducted	conduct	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	81	by	by	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	82	hospital	hospital	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	83	staff	staff	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	202	84	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	203	1	Moreover	moreover	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	203	2	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	203	3	availability	availability	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	203	4	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	203	5	tests	test	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	203	6	even	even	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	203	7	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	203	8	major	major	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	203	9	hospitals	hospital	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	203	10	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	203	11	limited	limited	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	203	12	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	203	13	covering	cover	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	203	14	about	about	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	203	15	50	50	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	203	16	%	%	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	203	17	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	203	18	those	those	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	203	19	clinically	clinically	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	203	20	diagnosed	diagnose	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	203	21	using	use	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	203	22	other	other	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	203	23	methods	method	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	203	24	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	203	25	often	often	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	203	26	CT	CT	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	203	27	Scans	Scans	NNPS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	203	28	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	203	29	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	204	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	204	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	204	3	important	important	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	204	4	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	204	5	note	note	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	204	6	that	that	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	204	7	some	some	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	204	8	evidence	evidence	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	204	9	from	from	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	204	10	random	random	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	204	11	testing	testing	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	204	12	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	204	13	other	other	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	204	14	countries	country	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	204	15	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	204	16	including	include	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	204	17	Iceland	Iceland	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	204	18	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	204	19	Germany	Germany	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	204	20	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	204	21	point	point	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	204	22	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	204	23	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	204	24	very	very	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	204	25	high	high	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	204	26	asymptomatic	asymptomatic	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	204	27	fraction	fraction	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	204	28	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	204	29	patients	patient	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	204	30	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	204	31	which	which	WDT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	204	32	would	would	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	204	33	not	not	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	204	34	be	be	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	204	35	captured	capture	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	204	36	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	204	37	any	any	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	204	38	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	204	39	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	204	40	data	datum	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	204	41	sources	source	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	204	42	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	204	43	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	204	44	consistent	consistent	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	204	45	with	with	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	204	46	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	204	47	comparisons	comparison	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	204	48	with	with	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	204	49	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	204	50	Guilan	Guilan	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	204	51	study	study	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	204	52	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	205	1	Furthermore	furthermore	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	205	2	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	205	3	new	new	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	205	4	evidence	evidence	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	205	5	suggests	suggest	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	205	6	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	205	7	might	may	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	205	8	have	have	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	205	9	used	use	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	205	10	under	under	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	205	11	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	205	12	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	205	13	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	205	14	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	205	15	delay	delay	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	205	16	between	between	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	205	17	exposure	exposure	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	205	18	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	205	19	onset	onset	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	205	20	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	205	21	symptoms	symptom	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	205	22	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	205	23	about	about	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	205	24	5	5	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	205	25	days	day	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	205	26	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	205	27	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	205	28	from	from	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	205	29	onset	onset	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	205	30	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	205	31	testing	test	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	205	32	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	205	33	another	another	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	205	34	5	5	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	205	35	days	day	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	205	36	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	205	37	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	205	38	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	205	39	from	from	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	205	40	testing	test	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	205	41	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	205	42	resolution	resolution	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	205	43	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	205	44	about	about	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	205	45	10	10	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	205	46	days	day	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	205	47	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	206	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	206	2	Lauer	Lauer	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	206	3	et	et	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	206	4	al	al	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	206	5	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	207	1	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	207	2	2020	2020	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	207	3	;	;	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	207	4	Linton	Linton	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	207	5	et	et	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	207	6	al	al	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	207	7	.	.	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	207	8	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	207	9	2020	2020	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	207	10	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	207	11	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	208	1	Adjusting	adjust	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	208	2	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	208	3	these	these	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	208	4	parametric	parametric	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	208	5	assumptions	assumption	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	208	6	would	would	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	208	7	increase	increase	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	208	8	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	208	9	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	208	10	case	case	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	208	11	count	count	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	208	12	as	as	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	208	13	discussed	discuss	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	208	14	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	208	15	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	208	16	sensitivity	sensitivity	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	208	17	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	208	18	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	208	19	may	may	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	208	20	bring	bring	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	208	21	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	208	22	overall	overall	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	208	23	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	208	24	closer	close	RBR
cord-351941-fgtatt40	208	25	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	208	26	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	208	27	new	new	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	208	28	evidence	evidence	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	208	29	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	208	30	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	208	31	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	208	32	infections	infection	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	208	33	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	209	1	In	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	209	2	this	this	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	209	3	paper	paper	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	209	4	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	209	5	provide	provide	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	209	6	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	209	7	more	more	RBR
cord-351941-fgtatt40	209	8	sobering	sobering	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	209	9	picture	picture	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	209	10	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	209	11	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	209	12	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	209	13	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	209	14	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	209	15	Iran	Iran	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	209	16	using	use	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	209	17	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	209	18	dynamic	dynamic	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	209	19	model	model	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	209	20	that	that	WDT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	209	21	goes	go	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	209	22	beyond	beyond	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	209	23	official	official	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	209	24	statistics	statistic	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	209	25	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	210	1	Integrating	integrate	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	210	2	data	datum	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	210	3	from	from	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	210	4	various	various	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	210	5	sources	source	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	210	6	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	210	7	suggest	suggest	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	210	8	that	that	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	210	9	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	210	10	official	official	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	210	11	statistics	statistic	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	210	12	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	210	13	at	at	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	210	14	least	least	JJS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	210	15	an	an	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	210	16	order	order	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	210	17	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	210	18	magnitude	magnitude	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	210	19	below	below	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	210	20	actual	actual	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	210	21	spread	spread	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	210	22	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	210	23	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	210	24	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	210	25	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	210	26	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	210	27	even	even	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	210	28	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	210	29	optimistic	optimistic	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	210	30	scenarios	scenario	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	210	31	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	210	32	burden	burden	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	210	33	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	210	34	disease	disease	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	210	35	will	will	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	210	36	be	be	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	210	37	large	large	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	210	38	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	210	39	lasting	last	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	210	40	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	210	41	many	many	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	210	42	months	month	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	210	43	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	211	1	Implementing	implement	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	211	2	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	211	3	sustaining	sustain	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	211	4	strong	strong	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	211	5	policies	policy	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	211	6	that	that	WDT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	211	7	target	target	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	211	8	physical	physical	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	211	9	distancing	distancing	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	211	10	offers	offer	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	211	11	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	211	12	main	main	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	211	13	hope	hope	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	211	14	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	211	15	containing	contain	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	211	16	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	211	17	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	211	18	until	until	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	211	19	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	211	20	vaccine	vaccine	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	211	21	becomes	become	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	211	22	available	available	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	211	23	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	212	1	The	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	212	2	gap	gap	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	212	3	between	between	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	212	4	official	official	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	212	5	statistics	statistic	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	212	6	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	212	7	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	212	8	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	212	9	may	may	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	212	10	be	be	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	212	11	due	due	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	212	12	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	212	13	various	various	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	212	14	complications	complication	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	212	15	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	212	16	measurement	measurement	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	212	17	as	as	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	212	18	well	well	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	212	19	as	as	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	212	20	policy	policy	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	212	21	choices	choice	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	212	22	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	213	1	The	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	213	2	availability	availability	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	213	3	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	213	4	testing	test	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	213	5	infrastructure	infrastructure	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	213	6	has	have	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	213	7	been	be	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	213	8	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	213	9	major	major	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	213	10	bottleneck	bottleneck	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	213	11	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	213	12	detecting	detect	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	213	13	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	213	14	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	213	15	Iran	Iran	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	213	16	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	214	1	Citizens	citizen	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	214	2	with	with	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	214	3	suspicious	suspicious	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	214	4	symptoms	symptom	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	214	5	have	have	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	214	6	had	have	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	214	7	no	no	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	214	8	easy	easy	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	214	9	way	way	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	214	10	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	214	11	getting	get	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	214	12	tested	test	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	214	13	;	;	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	214	14	most	most	JJS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	214	15	tests	test	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	214	16	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	214	17	conducted	conduct	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	214	18	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	214	19	hospitalized	hospitalize	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	214	20	patients	patient	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	214	21	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	214	22	require	require	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	214	23	specific	specific	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	214	24	authorization	authorization	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	214	25	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	214	26	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	214	27	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	214	28	processed	process	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	214	29	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	214	30	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	214	31	few	few	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	214	32	centralized	centralized	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	214	33	labs	lab	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	214	34	adding	add	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	214	35	significant	significant	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	214	36	delays	delay	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	214	37	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	214	38	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	214	39	process	process	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	214	40	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	215	1	Not	not	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	215	2	only	only	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	215	3	mild	mild	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	215	4	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	215	5	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	215	6	missed	miss	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	215	7	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	215	8	but	but	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	215	9	also	also	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	215	10	many	many	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	215	11	critical	critical	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	215	12	patients	patient	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	215	13	have	have	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	215	14	been	be	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	215	15	unable	unable	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	215	16	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	215	17	access	access	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	215	18	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	215	19	care	care	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	215	20	they	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	215	21	need	need	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	215	22	due	due	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	215	23	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	215	24	hospital	hospital	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	215	25	congestion	congestion	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	215	26	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	216	1	The	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	216	2	fact	fact	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	216	3	that	that	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	216	4	majority	majority	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	216	5	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	216	6	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	216	7	have	have	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	216	8	mild	mild	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	216	9	symptoms	symptom	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	216	10	similar	similar	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	216	11	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	216	12	flu	flu	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	217	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	217	2	Wu	Wu	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	217	3	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	217	4	McGoogan	McGoogan	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	217	5	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	217	6	2020	2020	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	217	7	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	217	8	adds	add	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	217	9	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	217	10	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	217	11	risk	risk	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	217	12	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	217	13	under	under	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	217	14	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	217	15	counting	counting	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	217	16	even	even	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	217	17	if	if	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	217	18	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	217	19	testing	testing	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	217	20	capacity	capacity	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	217	21	was	be	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	217	22	ample	ample	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	217	23	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	218	1	In	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	218	2	fact	fact	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	218	3	many	many	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	218	4	mild	mild	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	218	5	or	or	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	218	6	moderately	moderately	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	218	7	sick	sick	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	218	8	patients	patient	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	218	9	may	may	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	218	10	have	have	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	218	11	preferred	prefer	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	218	12	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	218	13	stay	stay	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	218	14	home	home	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	218	15	than	than	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	218	16	risk	risk	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	218	17	being	be	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	218	18	infected	infect	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	218	19	upon	upon	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	218	20	visiting	visit	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	218	21	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	218	22	congested	congested	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	218	23	hospital	hospital	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	218	24	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	218	25	further	further	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	218	26	reducing	reduce	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	218	27	demand	demand	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	218	28	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	218	29	testing	testing	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	218	30	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	219	1	Finally	finally	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	219	2	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	219	3	false	false	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	219	4	negative	negative	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	219	5	test	test	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	219	6	results	result	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	219	7	seem	seem	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	219	8	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	219	9	be	be	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	219	10	common	common	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	219	11	among	among	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	219	12	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	219	13	patients	patient	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	219	14	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	219	15	Iran	Iran	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	219	16	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	219	17	with	with	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	219	18	healthcare	healthcare	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	219	19	providers	provider	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	219	20	indicating	indicate	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	219	21	sensitivity	sensitivity	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	219	22	levels	level	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	219	23	as	as	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	219	24	low	low	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	219	25	as	as	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	219	26	50	50	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	219	27	%	%	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	219	28	due	due	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	219	29	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	219	30	challenges	challenge	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	219	31	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	219	32	sample	sample	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	219	33	extraction	extraction	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	219	34	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	219	35	varying	vary	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	219	36	concentration	concentration	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	219	37	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	219	38	viral	viral	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	219	39	load	load	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	219	40	over	over	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	219	41	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	219	42	course	course	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	219	43	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	219	44	disease	disease	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	219	45	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	220	1	The	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	220	2	problem	problem	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	220	3	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	220	4	undercounting	undercounte	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	220	5	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	220	6	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	220	7	infection	infection	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	220	8	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	220	9	death	death	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	220	10	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	220	11	not	not	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	220	12	limited	limited	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	220	13	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	220	14	Iran	Iran	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	220	15	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	221	1	Due	due	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	221	2	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	221	3	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	221	4	relatively	relatively	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	221	5	long	long	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	221	6	period	period	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	221	7	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	221	8	incubation	incubation	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	221	9	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	221	10	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	221	11	considerable	considerable	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	221	12	proportion	proportion	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	221	13	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	221	14	asymptomatic	asymptomatic	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	221	15	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	221	16	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	221	17	significant	significant	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	221	18	fraction	fraction	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	221	19	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	221	20	false	false	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	221	21	negatives	negative	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	221	22	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	221	23	existing	exist	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	221	24	tests	test	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	221	25	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	221	26	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	221	27	especially	especially	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	221	28	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	221	29	limits	limit	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	221	30	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	221	31	test	test	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	221	32	capacity	capacity	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	221	33	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	221	34	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	221	35	undercounting	undercounting	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	221	36	problem	problem	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	221	37	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	221	38	common	common	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	221	39	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	221	40	but	but	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	221	41	its	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	221	42	magnitude	magnitude	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	221	43	would	would	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	221	44	vary	vary	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	221	45	across	across	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	221	46	different	different	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	221	47	countries	country	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	221	48	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	222	1	Even	even	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	222	2	with	with	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	222	3	ample	ample	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	222	4	test	test	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	222	5	capacity	capacity	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	222	6	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	222	7	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	222	8	undercounting	undercounting	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	222	9	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	222	10	infection	infection	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	222	11	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	222	12	likely	likely	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	222	13	large	large	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	222	14	due	due	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	222	15	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	222	16	both	both	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	222	17	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	222	18	asymptomatic	asymptomatic	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	222	19	patients	patient	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	222	20	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	222	21	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	222	22	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	222	23	be	be	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	222	24	more	more	JJR
cord-351941-fgtatt40	222	25	than	than	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	222	26	40	40	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	222	27	%	%	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	223	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	223	2	Mizumoto	Mizumoto	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	223	3	et	et	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	223	4	al	al	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	223	5	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	224	1	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	224	2	2020	2020	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	224	3	;	;	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	224	4	Nishiura	Nishiura	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	224	5	et	et	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	224	6	al	al	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	224	7	.	.	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	224	8	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	224	9	2020	2020	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	224	10	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	224	11	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	224	12	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	224	13	those	those	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	224	14	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	224	15	with	with	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	224	16	false	false	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	224	17	negative	negative	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	224	18	results	result	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	224	19	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	224	20	about	about	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	224	21	30	30	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	224	22	%	%	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	224	23	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	224	24	positives	positive	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	224	25	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	224	26	case	case	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	224	27	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	224	28	PCR	PCR	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	224	29	based	base	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	224	30	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	224	31	tests	test	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	224	32	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	224	33	Fang	Fang	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	224	34	et	et	FW
cord-351941-fgtatt40	224	35	al	al	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	224	36	.	.	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	224	37	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	224	38	2020	2020	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	224	39	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	224	40	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	224	41	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	225	1	For	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	225	2	example	example	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	225	3	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	225	4	pre	pre	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	225	5	-	-	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	225	6	print	print	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	225	7	paper	paper	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	225	8	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	225	9	that	that	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	225	10	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	225	11	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	225	12	US	US	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	225	13	less	less	JJR
cord-351941-fgtatt40	225	14	than	than	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	225	15	10	10	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	225	16	%	%	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	225	17	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	225	18	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	225	19	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	225	20	infection	infection	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	225	21	were	be	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	225	22	diagnosed	diagnose	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	225	23	until	until	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	225	24	March	March	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	225	25	13	13	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	225	26	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	225	27	Pei	Pei	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	225	28	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	225	29	Shaman	Shaman	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	225	30	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	225	31	2020	2020	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	225	32	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	225	33	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	226	1	Others	other	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	226	2	have	have	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	226	3	made	make	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	226	4	similar	similar	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	226	5	claims	claim	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	226	6	about	about	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	226	7	official	official	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	226	8	data	datum	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	226	9	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	226	10	China	China	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	226	11	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	227	1	The	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	227	2	undercounting	undercounting	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	227	3	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	227	4	deaths	death	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	227	5	may	may	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	227	6	be	be	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	227	7	less	less	JJR
cord-351941-fgtatt40	227	8	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	227	9	magnitude	magnitude	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	227	10	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	227	11	but	but	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	227	12	still	still	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	227	13	very	very	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	227	14	common	common	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	227	15	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	228	1	Under	under	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	228	2	significant	significant	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	228	3	strain	strain	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	228	4	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	228	5	limited	limited	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	228	6	testing	testing	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	228	7	capacity	capacity	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	228	8	may	may	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	228	9	not	not	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	228	10	be	be	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	228	11	allocated	allocate	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	228	12	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	228	13	post	post	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	228	14	-	-	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	228	15	mortem	mortem	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	228	16	testing	testing	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	228	17	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	228	18	suspected	suspect	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	228	19	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	228	20	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	228	21	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	228	22	thus	thus	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	228	23	country	country	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	228	24	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	228	25	specific	specific	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	228	26	routines	routine	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	228	27	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	228	28	categorizing	categorize	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	228	29	death	death	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	228	30	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	228	31	those	those	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	228	32	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	228	33	may	may	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	228	34	lead	lead	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	228	35	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	228	36	large	large	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	228	37	variations	variation	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	228	38	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	229	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	229	2	suspect	suspect	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	229	3	this	this	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	229	4	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	229	5	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	229	6	major	major	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	229	7	reason	reason	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	229	8	why	why	WRB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	229	9	Iran	Iran	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	229	10	's	's	POS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	229	11	official	official	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	229	12	death	death	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	229	13	counts	count	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	229	14	may	may	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	229	15	be	be	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	229	16	significantly	significantly	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	229	17	below	below	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	229	18	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	229	19	actual	actual	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	229	20	numbers	number	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	229	21	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	230	1	But	but	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	230	2	other	other	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	230	3	countries	country	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	230	4	may	may	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	230	5	have	have	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	230	6	similar	similar	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	230	7	issues	issue	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	230	8	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	231	1	For	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	231	2	example	example	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	231	3	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	231	4	recent	recent	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	231	5	article	article	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	231	6	estimates	estimate	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	231	7	much	much	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	231	8	higher	high	JJR
cord-351941-fgtatt40	231	9	number	number	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	231	10	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	231	11	deaths	death	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	231	12	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	231	13	Italy	Italy	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	231	14	than	than	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	231	15	official	official	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	231	16	numbers	number	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	231	17	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	231	18	Stancati	Stancati	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	231	19	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	231	20	Sylvers	Sylvers	NNPS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	231	21	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	231	22	2020	2020	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	231	23	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	231	24	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	232	1	Moreover	moreover	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	232	2	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	232	3	recent	recent	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	232	4	investigative	investigative	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	232	5	reporting	reporting	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	232	6	by	by	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	232	7	Financial	Financial	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	232	8	Times	Times	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	232	9	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	232	10	New	New	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	232	11	York	York	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	232	12	Times	Times	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	232	13	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	232	14	Wall	Wall	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	232	15	Street	Street	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	232	16	Journal	Journal	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	232	17	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	232	18	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	232	19	Economist	Economist	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	232	20	has	have	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	232	21	used	use	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	232	22	all	all	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	232	23	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	232	24	cause	cause	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	232	25	death	death	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	232	26	data	datum	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	232	27	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	232	28	different	different	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	232	29	countries	country	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	232	30	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	232	31	cities	city	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	232	32	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	232	33	estimated	estimate	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	232	34	that	that	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	232	35	globally	globally	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	232	36	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	232	37	as	as	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	232	38	much	much	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	232	39	as	as	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	232	40	50	50	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	232	41	%	%	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	232	42	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	232	43	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	232	44	death	death	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	232	45	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	232	46	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	232	47	missed	miss	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	232	48	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	232	49	Burn	Burn	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	232	50	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	232	51	Murdoch	Murdoch	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	232	52	et	et	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	232	53	al	al	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	232	54	.	.	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	232	55	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	232	56	2020	2020	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	232	57	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	232	58	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	233	1	For	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	233	2	example	example	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	233	3	Italy	Italy	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	233	4	's	's	POS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	233	5	excess	excess	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	233	6	death	death	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	233	7	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	233	8	March	March	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	233	9	2020	2020	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	233	10	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	233	11	24,600	24,600	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	233	12	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	233	13	out	out	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	233	14	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	233	15	which	which	WDT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	233	16	only	only	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	233	17	13,710	13,710	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	233	18	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	233	19	attributed	attribute	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	233	20	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	233	21	COVID	COVID	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	233	22	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	234	1	Jakarta	Jakarta	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	234	2	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	234	3	Indonesia	Indonesia	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	234	4	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	234	5	had	have	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	234	6	3300	3300	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	234	7	excess	excess	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	234	8	deaths	death	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	234	9	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	234	10	March	March	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	234	11	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	234	12	April	April	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	234	13	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	234	14	with	with	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	234	15	only	only	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	234	16	381	381	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	234	17	attributed	attribute	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	234	18	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	234	19	COVID	COVID	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	234	20	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	235	1	Absent	absent	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	235	2	extended	extend	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	235	3	testing	testing	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	235	4	capacity	capacity	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	235	5	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	235	6	expanded	expand	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	235	7	post	post	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	235	8	-	-	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	235	9	mortem	mortem	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	235	10	testing	testing	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	235	11	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	235	12	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	235	13	random	random	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	235	14	testing	testing	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	235	15	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	235	16	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	235	17	population	population	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	235	18	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	235	19	policymakers	policymaker	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	235	20	may	may	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	235	21	face	face	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	235	22	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	235	23	significant	significant	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	235	24	undercount	undercount	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	235	25	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	235	26	existing	exist	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	235	27	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	235	28	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	235	29	thus	thus	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	235	30	miscalculate	miscalculate	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	235	31	their	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	235	32	response	response	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	235	33	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	236	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	236	2	hope	hope	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	236	3	that	that	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	236	4	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	236	5	proposed	propose	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	236	6	approach	approach	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	236	7	can	can	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	236	8	be	be	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	236	9	used	use	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	236	10	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	236	11	similar	similar	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	236	12	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	236	13	elsewhere	elsewhere	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	236	14	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	236	15	de	de	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	236	16	-	-	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	236	17	bias	bias	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	236	18	such	such	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	236	19	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	236	20	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	237	1	Methodologically	methodologically	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	237	2	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	237	3	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	237	4	faced	face	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	237	5	important	important	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	237	6	challenges	challenge	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	237	7	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	237	8	estimation	estimation	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	237	9	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	237	10	projection	projection	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	237	11	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	237	12	s	s	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	237	13	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	237	14	shaped	shape	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	237	15	behavior	behavior	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	237	16	based	base	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	237	17	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	237	18	early	early	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	237	19	data	datum	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	237	20	that	that	WDT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	237	21	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	237	22	worth	worth	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	237	23	highlighting	highlight	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	237	24	here	here	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	237	25	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	238	1	First	first	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	238	2	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	238	3	estimating	estimate	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	238	4	s	s	POS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	238	5	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	238	6	shaped	shape	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	238	7	curves	curve	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	238	8	before	before	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	238	9	observing	observe	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	238	10	their	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	238	11	inflection	inflection	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	238	12	point	point	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	238	13	can	can	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	238	14	be	be	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	238	15	unreliable	unreliable	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	238	16	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	239	1	Minor	minor	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	239	2	changes	change	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	239	3	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	239	4	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	239	5	slope	slope	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	239	6	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	239	7	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	239	8	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	239	9	curve	curve	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	239	10	can	can	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	239	11	significantly	significantly	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	239	12	change	change	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	239	13	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	239	14	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	239	15	future	future	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	239	16	trajectory	trajectory	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	239	17	when	when	WRB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	239	18	simple	simple	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	239	19	curve	curve	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	239	20	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	239	21	fitting	fitting	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	239	22	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	239	23	pursued	pursue	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	239	24	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	240	1	Overcoming	overcome	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	240	2	this	this	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	240	3	risk	risk	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	240	4	requires	require	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	240	5	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	240	6	more	more	RBR
cord-351941-fgtatt40	240	7	mechanistic	mechanistic	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	240	8	model	model	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	240	9	that	that	WDT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	240	10	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	240	11	fitted	fit	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	240	12	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	240	13	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	240	14	flow	flow	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	240	15	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	240	16	infections	infection	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	240	17	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	240	18	this	this	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	240	19	case	case	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	240	20	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	240	21	rather	rather	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	240	22	than	than	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	240	23	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	240	24	stock	stock	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	240	25	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	240	26	so	so	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	240	27	that	that	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	240	28	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	240	29	slope	slope	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	240	30	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	240	31	constrained	constrain	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	240	32	by	by	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	240	33	physical	physical	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	240	34	mechanisms	mechanism	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	240	35	determining	determine	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	240	36	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	240	37	flow	flow	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	240	38	variable	variable	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	240	39	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	240	40	e.g.	e.g.	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	240	41	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	240	42	size	size	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	240	43	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	240	44	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	240	45	susceptible	susceptible	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	240	46	population	population	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	240	47	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	240	48	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	241	1	The	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	241	2	calibration	calibration	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	241	3	should	should	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	241	4	also	also	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	241	5	properly	properly	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	241	6	weigh	weigh	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	241	7	different	different	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	241	8	data	data	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	241	9	points	point	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	241	10	so	so	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	241	11	that	that	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	241	12	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	241	13	larger	large	JJR
cord-351941-fgtatt40	241	14	numbers	number	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	241	15	during	during	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	241	16	peak	peak	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	241	17	period	period	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	241	18	do	do	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	241	19	not	not	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	241	20	overwhelm	overwhelm	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	241	21	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	241	22	signal	signal	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	241	23	from	from	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	241	24	other	other	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	241	25	periods	period	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	241	26	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	242	1	In	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	242	2	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	242	3	case	case	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	242	4	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	242	5	achieved	achieve	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	242	6	this	this	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	242	7	using	use	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	242	8	Poisson	Poisson	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	242	9	log	log	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	242	10	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	242	11	likelihood	likelihood	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	242	12	error	error	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	242	13	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	243	1	Other	other	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	243	2	promising	promising	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	243	3	alternatives	alternative	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	243	4	may	may	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	243	5	include	include	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	243	6	Negative	negative	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	243	7	Binomial	Binomial	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	243	8	log	log	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	243	9	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	243	10	likelihood	likelihood	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	243	11	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	243	12	among	among	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	243	13	others	other	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	243	14	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	244	1	A	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	244	2	second	second	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	244	3	challenge	challenge	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	244	4	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	244	5	teasing	tease	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	244	6	out	out	RP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	244	7	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	244	8	various	various	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	244	9	potential	potential	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	244	10	reasons	reason	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	244	11	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	244	12	reduction	reduction	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	244	13	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	244	14	new	new	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	244	15	infections	infection	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	244	16	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	245	1	For	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	245	2	example	example	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	245	3	those	those	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	245	4	may	may	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	245	5	include	include	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	245	6	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	245	7	reduction	reduction	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	245	8	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	245	9	susceptible	susceptible	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	245	10	population	population	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	245	11	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	245	12	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	245	13	change	change	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	245	14	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	245	15	contact	contact	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	245	16	rate	rate	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	245	17	due	due	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	245	18	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	245	19	social	social	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	245	20	distancing	distancing	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	245	21	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	245	22	or	or	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	245	23	exogenous	exogenous	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	245	24	changes	change	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	245	25	such	such	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	245	26	as	as	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	245	27	weather	weather	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	245	28	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	246	1	While	while	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	246	2	mechanistically	mechanistically	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	246	3	proper	proper	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	246	4	model	model	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	246	5	specification	specification	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	246	6	can	can	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	246	7	partially	partially	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	246	8	address	address	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	246	9	this	this	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	246	10	challenge	challenge	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	246	11	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	246	12	one	one	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	246	13	needs	need	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	246	14	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	246	15	be	be	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	246	16	cognizant	cognizant	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	246	17	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	246	18	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	246	19	uncertainty	uncertainty	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	246	20	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	246	21	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	246	22	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	246	23	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	246	24	e.g.	e.g.	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	246	25	by	by	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	246	26	using	use	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	246	27	MCMC	MCMC	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	246	28	methods	method	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	246	29	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	246	30	identify	identify	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	246	31	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	246	32	various	various	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	246	33	combinations	combination	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	246	34	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	246	35	those	those	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	246	36	effects	effect	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	246	37	that	that	WDT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	246	38	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	246	39	broadly	broadly	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	246	40	consistent	consistent	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	246	41	with	with	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	246	42	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	246	43	data	datum	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	246	44	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	247	1	The	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	247	2	problem	problem	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	247	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	247	4	rapidly	rapidly	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	247	5	changing	change	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	247	6	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	247	7	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	247	8	timely	timely	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	247	9	estimation	estimation	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	247	10	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	247	11	critical	critical	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	247	12	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	248	1	Therefore	therefore	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	248	2	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	248	3	have	have	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	248	4	made	make	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	248	5	several	several	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	248	6	simplifying	simplify	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	248	7	assumptions	assumption	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	248	8	that	that	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	248	9	readers	reader	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	248	10	should	should	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	248	11	be	be	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	248	12	aware	aware	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	248	13	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	248	14	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	248	15	interpreting	interpret	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	248	16	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	248	17	results	result	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	248	18	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	249	1	First	first	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	249	2	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	249	3	consistent	consistent	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	249	4	with	with	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	249	5	prior	prior	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	249	6	findings	finding	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	249	7	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	249	8	Rahmandad	Rahmandad	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	249	9	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	249	10	Sterman	Sterman	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	249	11	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	249	12	2008	2008	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	249	13	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	249	14	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	249	15	have	have	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	249	16	focused	focus	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	249	17	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	249	18	capturing	capture	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	249	19	behavioral	behavioral	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	249	20	feedbacks	feedback	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	249	21	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	249	22	contacts	contact	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	249	23	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	249	24	testing	testing	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	249	25	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	249	26	have	have	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	249	27	adopted	adopt	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	249	28	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	249	29	formal	formal	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	249	30	estimation	estimation	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	249	31	process	process	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	249	32	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	249	33	but	but	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	249	34	have	have	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	249	35	done	do	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	249	36	so	so	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	249	37	at	at	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	249	38	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	249	39	cost	cost	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	249	40	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	249	41	abstracting	abstract	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	249	42	away	away	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	249	43	from	from	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	249	44	much	much	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	249	45	detail	detail	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	249	46	complexity	complexity	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	249	47	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	249	48	heterogeneity	heterogeneity	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	249	49	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	249	50	populations	population	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	249	51	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	249	52	risks	risk	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	249	53	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	250	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	250	2	converged	converge	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	250	3	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	250	4	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	250	5	current	current	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	250	6	model	model	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	250	7	structure	structure	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	250	8	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	250	9	an	an	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	250	10	iterative	iterative	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	250	11	process	process	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	250	12	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	250	13	attempting	attempt	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	250	14	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	250	15	keep	keep	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	250	16	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	250	17	model	model	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	250	18	simple	simple	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	250	19	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	250	20	feasible	feasible	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	250	21	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	250	22	estimate	estimate	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	250	23	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	250	24	but	but	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	250	25	not	not	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	250	26	missing	miss	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	250	27	components	component	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	250	28	that	that	WDT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	250	29	would	would	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	250	30	qualitatively	qualitatively	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	250	31	change	change	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	250	32	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	250	33	results	result	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	250	34	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	251	1	For	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	251	2	example	example	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	251	3	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	251	4	tested	test	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	251	5	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	251	6	inclusion	inclusion	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	251	7	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	251	8	healthcare	healthcare	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	251	9	capacity	capacity	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	251	10	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	251	11	test	test	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	251	12	accuracy	accuracy	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	251	13	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	251	14	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	251	15	physical	physical	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	251	16	test	test	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	251	17	capacity	capacity	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	251	18	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	251	19	rather	rather	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	251	20	than	than	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	251	21	as	as	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	251	22	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	251	23	percentage	percentage	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	251	24	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	251	25	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	251	26	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	251	27	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	251	28	decided	decide	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	251	29	against	against	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	251	30	including	include	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	251	31	them	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	251	32	explicitly	explicitly	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	251	33	because	because	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	251	34	they	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	251	35	did	do	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	251	36	not	not	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	251	37	change	change	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	251	38	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	251	39	conclusions	conclusion	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	251	40	qualitatively	qualitatively	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	251	41	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	251	42	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	251	43	data	datum	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	251	44	did	do	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	251	45	not	not	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	251	46	offer	offer	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	251	47	reliable	reliable	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	251	48	ways	way	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	251	49	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	251	50	estimate	estimate	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	251	51	those	those	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	251	52	effects	effect	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	251	53	beyond	beyond	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	251	54	what	what	WP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	251	55	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	251	56	informed	inform	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	251	57	by	by	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	251	58	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	251	59	current	current	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	251	60	structures	structure	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	251	61	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	252	1	Generally	generally	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	252	2	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	252	3	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	252	4	more	more	RBR
cord-351941-fgtatt40	252	5	detailed	detailed	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	252	6	model	model	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	252	7	may	may	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	252	8	be	be	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	252	9	appealing	appeal	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	252	10	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	252	11	but	but	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	252	12	if	if	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	252	13	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	252	14	purpose	purpose	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	252	15	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	252	16	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	252	17	offer	offer	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	252	18	quantitative	quantitative	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	252	19	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	252	20	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	252	21	projections	projection	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	252	22	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	252	23	constraining	constrain	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	252	24	additional	additional	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	252	25	model	model	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	252	26	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	252	27	during	during	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	252	28	calibration	calibration	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	252	29	would	would	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	252	30	be	be	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	252	31	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	252	32	major	major	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	252	33	constraint	constraint	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	252	34	that	that	WDT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	252	35	should	should	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	252	36	be	be	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	252	37	weighed	weigh	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	252	38	against	against	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	252	39	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	252	40	value	value	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	252	41	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	252	42	additional	additional	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	252	43	structure	structure	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	252	44	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	253	1	Second	second	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	253	2	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	253	3	during	during	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	253	4	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	253	5	early	early	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	253	6	periods	period	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	253	7	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	253	8	infection	infection	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	253	9	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	253	10	there	there	EX
cord-351941-fgtatt40	253	11	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	253	12	considerable	considerable	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	253	13	uncertainty	uncertainty	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	253	14	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	253	15	most	most	JJS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	253	16	data	datum	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	253	17	sources	source	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	253	18	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	254	1	For	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	254	2	example	example	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	254	3	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	254	4	infected	infected	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	254	5	passenger	passenger	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	254	6	data	datum	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	254	7	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	254	8	while	while	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	254	9	useful	useful	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	254	10	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	254	11	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	254	12	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	254	13	not	not	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	254	14	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	254	15	perfect	perfect	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	254	16	data	data	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	254	17	source	source	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	254	18	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	254	19	modeling	modeling	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	254	20	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	255	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	255	2	can	can	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	255	3	be	be	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	255	4	argued	argue	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	255	5	that	that	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	255	6	exposed	expose	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	255	7	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	255	8	more	more	JJR
cord-351941-fgtatt40	255	9	travel	travel	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	255	10	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	255	11	this	this	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	255	12	population	population	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	255	13	may	may	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	255	14	be	be	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	255	15	exposed	expose	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	255	16	earlier	early	RBR
cord-351941-fgtatt40	255	17	than	than	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	255	18	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	255	19	random	random	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	255	20	sample	sample	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	255	21	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	256	1	On	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	256	2	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	256	3	other	other	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	256	4	hand	hand	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	256	5	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	256	6	this	this	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	256	7	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	256	8	typically	typically	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	256	9	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	256	10	higher	high	JJR
cord-351941-fgtatt40	256	11	income	income	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	256	12	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	256	13	more	more	RBR
cord-351941-fgtatt40	256	14	educated	educate	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	256	15	population	population	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	256	16	that	that	WDT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	256	17	may	may	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	256	18	be	be	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	256	19	more	more	RBR
cord-351941-fgtatt40	256	20	aware	aware	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	256	21	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	256	22	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	256	23	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	256	24	responsive	responsive	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	256	25	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	256	26	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	256	27	infection	infection	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	256	28	risks	risk	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	256	29	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	257	1	Similar	similar	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	257	2	issues	issue	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	257	3	can	can	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	257	4	be	be	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	257	5	raised	raise	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	257	6	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	257	7	informal	informal	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	257	8	death	death	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	257	9	reports	report	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	257	10	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	257	11	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	257	12	media	medium	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	257	13	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	257	14	which	which	WDT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	257	15	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	257	16	based	base	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	257	17	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	257	18	potentially	potentially	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	257	19	limited	limited	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	257	20	samples	sample	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	257	21	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	257	22	hospitals	hospital	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	257	23	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	257	24	may	may	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	257	25	include	include	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	257	26	subjective	subjective	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	257	27	assessments	assessment	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	257	28	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	257	29	medical	medical	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	257	30	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	257	31	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	258	1	Such	such	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	258	2	uncertainties	uncertainty	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	258	3	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	258	4	part	part	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	258	5	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	258	6	any	any	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	258	7	emerging	emerge	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	258	8	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	258	9	fastmoving	fastmove	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	258	10	situation	situation	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	258	11	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	258	12	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	258	13	one	one	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	258	14	should	should	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	258	15	be	be	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	258	16	cognizant	cognizant	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	258	17	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	258	18	these	these	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	258	19	factors	factor	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	258	20	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	258	21	interpreting	interpret	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	258	22	modeling	modeling	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	258	23	results	result	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	258	24	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	259	1	Third	third	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	259	2	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	259	3	model	model	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	259	4	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	259	5	scoped	scope	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	259	6	only	only	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	259	7	around	around	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	259	8	Iran	Iran	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	260	1	--we	--we	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	260	2	ignore	ignore	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	260	3	potential	potential	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	260	4	effects	effect	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	260	5	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	260	6	global	global	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	260	7	spread	spread	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	260	8	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	260	9	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	260	10	disease	disease	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	260	11	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	260	12	Iran	Iran	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	260	13	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	260	14	including	include	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	260	15	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	260	16	risk	risk	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	260	17	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	260	18	reintroduction	reintroduction	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	260	19	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	260	20	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	260	21	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	260	22	future	future	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	260	23	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	261	1	Forth	forth	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	261	2	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	261	3	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	261	4	assumed	assume	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	261	5	that	that	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	261	6	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	261	7	recovered	recover	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	261	8	population	population	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	261	9	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	261	10	immune	immune	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	261	11	during	during	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	261	12	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	261	13	simulation	simulation	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	261	14	horizon	horizon	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	261	15	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	262	1	Fifth	fifth	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	262	2	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	262	3	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	262	4	ignore	ignore	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	262	5	mutations	mutation	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	262	6	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	262	7	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	262	8	virus	virus	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	262	9	which	which	WDT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	262	10	may	may	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	262	11	change	change	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	262	12	its	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	262	13	contagiousness	contagiousness	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	262	14	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	262	15	case	case	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	262	16	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	262	17	rate	rate	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	262	18	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	263	1	Despite	despite	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	263	2	these	these	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	263	3	limits	limit	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	263	4	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	263	5	hope	hope	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	263	6	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	263	7	paper	paper	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	263	8	offers	offer	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	263	9	an	an	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	263	10	accurate	accurate	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	263	11	assessment	assessment	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	263	12	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	263	13	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	263	14	risks	risk	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	263	15	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	263	16	scope	scope	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	263	17	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	263	18	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	263	19	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	263	20	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	263	21	Iran	Iran	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	263	22	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	263	23	beyond	beyond	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	263	24	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	264	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	264	2	also	also	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	264	3	hope	hope	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	264	4	other	other	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	264	5	researchers	researcher	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	264	6	build	build	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	264	7	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	264	8	this	this	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	264	9	work	work	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	264	10	using	use	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	264	11	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	264	12	publicly	publicly	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	264	13	available	available	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	264	14	data	datum	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	264	15	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	264	16	models	model	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	264	17	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	264	18	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	264	19	replication	replication	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	264	20	instructions	instruction	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	264	21	provided	provide	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	264	22	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	264	23	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	264	24	online	online	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	264	25	supplement	supplement	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	264	26	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	265	1	Finally	finally	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	265	2	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	265	3	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	265	4	hope	hope	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	265	5	that	that	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	265	6	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	265	7	study	study	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	265	8	contributes	contribute	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	265	9	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	265	10	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	265	11	system	system	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	265	12	dynamics	dynamic	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	265	13	modeling	model	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	265	14	literature	literature	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	265	15	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	266	1	There	there	EX
cord-351941-fgtatt40	266	2	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	266	3	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	266	4	wide	wide	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	266	5	range	range	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	266	6	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	266	7	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	266	8	models	model	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	266	9	with	with	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	266	10	different	different	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	266	11	levels	level	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	266	12	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	266	13	dynamic	dynamic	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	266	14	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	266	15	detailed	detailed	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	266	16	complexity	complexity	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	266	17	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	266	18	Darabi	Darabi	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	266	19	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	266	20	Hosseinichimeh	Hosseinichimeh	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	266	21	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	266	22	2020	2020	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	266	23	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	266	24	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	266	25	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	266	26	large	large	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	266	27	number	number	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	266	28	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	266	29	models	model	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	266	30	have	have	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	266	31	been	be	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	266	32	built	build	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	266	33	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	266	34	response	response	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	266	35	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	266	36	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	266	37	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	267	1	While	while	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	267	2	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	267	3	models	model	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	267	4	with	with	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	267	5	interesting	interesting	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	267	6	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	267	7	relevant	relevant	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	267	8	feedback	feedback	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	267	9	mechanisms	mechanism	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	267	10	could	could	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	267	11	be	be	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	267	12	built	build	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	267	13	rather	rather	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	267	14	quickly	quickly	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	267	15	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	267	16	their	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	267	17	results	result	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	267	18	depend	depend	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	267	19	heavily	heavily	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	267	20	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	267	21	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	267	22	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	267	23	regulating	regulate	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	267	24	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	267	25	strength	strength	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	267	26	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	267	27	contagion	contagion	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	267	28	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	267	29	behavioral	behavioral	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	267	30	response	response	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	267	31	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	267	32	testing	testing	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	267	33	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	267	34	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	267	35	other	other	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	267	36	mechanisms	mechanism	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	267	37	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	268	1	For	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	268	2	example	example	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	268	3	reputable	reputable	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	268	4	research	research	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	268	5	groups	group	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	268	6	have	have	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	268	7	offered	offer	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	268	8	models	model	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	268	9	with	with	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	268	10	forecasted	forecast	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	268	11	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	268	12	deaths	death	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	268	13	that	that	WDT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	268	14	vary	vary	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	268	15	significantly	significantly	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	268	16	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	268	17	Ferguson	Ferguson	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	268	18	et	et	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	268	19	al	al	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	268	20	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	269	1	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	269	2	2020	2020	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	269	3	;	;	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	269	4	Murray	Murray	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	269	5	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	269	6	IHME	IHME	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	269	7	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	269	8	2020	2020	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	269	9	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	269	10	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	270	1	Without	without	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	270	2	quantitative	quantitative	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	270	3	estimation	estimation	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	270	4	methods	method	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	270	5	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	270	6	different	different	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	270	7	models	model	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	270	8	may	may	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	270	9	point	point	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	270	10	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	270	11	starkly	starkly	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	270	12	different	different	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	270	13	conclusions	conclusion	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	270	14	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	270	15	with	with	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	270	16	little	little	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	270	17	guidance	guidance	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	270	18	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	270	19	how	how	WRB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	270	20	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	270	21	select	select	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	270	22	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	270	23	appropriate	appropriate	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	270	24	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	270	25	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	271	1	Our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	271	2	contribution	contribution	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	271	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	271	4	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	271	5	offer	offer	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	271	6	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	271	7	model	model	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	271	8	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	271	9	based	base	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	271	10	estimation	estimation	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	271	11	approach	approach	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	271	12	during	during	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	271	13	an	an	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	271	14	on	on	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	271	15	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	271	16	going	go	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	271	17	pandemic	pandemic	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	271	18	where	where	WRB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	271	19	data	datum	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	271	20	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	271	21	uncertain	uncertain	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	271	22	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	271	23	limited	limited	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	271	24	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	272	1	This	this	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	272	2	requires	require	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	272	3	combining	combine	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	272	4	all	all	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	272	5	sources	source	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	272	6	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	272	7	available	available	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	272	8	data	datum	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	272	9	with	with	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	272	10	different	different	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	272	11	levels	level	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	272	12	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	272	13	uncertainty	uncertainty	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	272	14	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	272	15	each	each	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	272	16	one	one	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	272	17	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	272	18	potentially	potentially	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	272	19	an	an	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	272	20	imperfect	imperfect	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	272	21	indicator	indicator	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	272	22	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	272	23	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	272	24	reality	reality	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	272	25	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	272	26	yet	yet	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	272	27	collectively	collectively	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	272	28	providing	provide	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	272	29	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	272	30	better	well	JJR
cord-351941-fgtatt40	272	31	picture	picture	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	272	32	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	273	1	Our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	273	2	data	data	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	273	3	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	273	4	driven	drive	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	273	5	approach	approach	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	273	6	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	273	7	consistent	consistent	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	273	8	with	with	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	273	9	recent	recent	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	273	10	calls	call	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	273	11	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	273	12	detailed	detailed	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	273	13	data	data	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	273	14	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	273	15	informed	inform	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	273	16	modeling	modeling	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	273	17	approaches	approach	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	273	18	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	273	19	Sterman	Sterman	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	273	20	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	273	21	2018	2018	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	273	22	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	273	23	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	273	24	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	273	25	combining	combine	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	273	26	different	different	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	273	27	methods	method	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	273	28	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	273	29	techniques	technique	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	273	30	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	273	31	enrich	enrich	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	273	32	dynamic	dynamic	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	273	33	modeling	modeling	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	273	34	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	273	35	Duintjer	Duintjer	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	273	36	Tebbens	Tebbens	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	273	37	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	273	38	Thompson	Thompson	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	273	39	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	273	40	2018	2018	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	273	41	;	;	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	273	42	Ghaffarzadegan	Ghaffarzadegan	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	273	43	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	273	44	Larson	Larson	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	273	45	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	273	46	2018	2018	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	273	47	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	273	48	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	274	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	274	2	hope	hope	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	274	3	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	274	4	methods	method	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	274	5	used	use	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	274	6	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	274	7	this	this	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	274	8	paper	paper	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	274	9	can	can	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	274	10	be	be	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	274	11	extended	extend	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	274	12	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	274	13	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	274	14	variety	variety	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	274	15	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	274	16	other	other	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	274	17	system	system	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	274	18	dynamics	dynamic	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	274	19	applications	application	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	274	20	where	where	WRB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	274	21	actionable	actionable	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	274	22	insights	insight	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	274	23	rely	rely	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	274	24	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	274	25	rigorous	rigorous	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	274	26	combination	combination	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	274	27	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	274	28	feedback	feedback	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	274	29	rich	rich	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	274	30	models	model	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	274	31	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	274	32	quantitative	quantitative	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	274	33	data	datum	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	274	34	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	275	1	data	datum	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	275	2	sources	source	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	275	3	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	275	4	study	study	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	275	5	dynamic	dynamic	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	275	6	problems	problem	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	275	7	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	275	8	organizational	organizational	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	275	9	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	275	10	health	health	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	275	11	domains	domain	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	275	12	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	276	1	As	as	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	276	2	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	276	3	number	number	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	276	4	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	276	5	infected	infected	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	276	6	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	276	7	increase	increase	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	276	8	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	276	9	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	276	10	probability	probability	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	276	11	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	276	12	infection	infection	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	276	13	increases	increase	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	276	14	given	give	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	276	15	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	276	16	increased	increase	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	276	17	number	number	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	276	18	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	276	19	contacts	contact	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	276	20	between	between	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	276	21	infected	infected	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	276	22	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	276	23	susceptible	susceptible	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	276	24	populations	population	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	276	25	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	277	1	Some	some	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	277	2	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	277	3	these	these	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	277	4	contacts	contact	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	277	5	lead	lead	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	277	6	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	277	7	new	new	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	277	8	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	277	9	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	277	10	infection	infection	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	277	11	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	277	12	loops	loop	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	277	13	R1	R1	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	277	14	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	277	15	R2	R2	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	277	16	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	277	17	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	278	1	Infections	infection	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	278	2	may	may	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	278	3	be	be	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	278	4	due	due	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	278	5	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	278	6	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	278	7	fraction	fraction	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	278	8	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	278	9	early	early	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	278	10	infected	infected	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	278	11	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	278	12	who	who	WP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	278	13	can	can	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	278	14	infect	infect	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	278	15	others	other	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	278	16	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	278	17	Bai	Bai	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	278	18	et	et	FW
cord-351941-fgtatt40	278	19	al	al	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	278	20	.	.	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	278	21	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	278	22	2020	2020	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	278	23	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	278	24	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	278	25	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	278	26	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	278	27	late	late	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	278	28	infected	infected	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	278	29	population	population	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	278	30	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	279	1	Exposure	exposure	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	279	2	rate	rate	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	279	3	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	279	4	i	i	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	279	5	E	E	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	279	6	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	279	7	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	279	8	formulated	formulate	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	279	9	as	as	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	279	10	following	follow	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	279	11	:	:	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	279	12	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	279	13	set	set	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	279	14	e	e	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	279	15	at	at	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	279	16	1	1	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	279	17	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	279	18	no	no	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	279	19	seasonal	seasonal	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	279	20	effect	effect	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	279	21	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	279	22	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	279	23	historical	historical	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	279	24	calibration	calibration	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	279	25	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	279	26	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	279	27	later	later	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	279	28	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	279	29	scenario	scenario	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	279	30	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	279	31	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	279	32	check	check	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	279	33	different	different	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	279	34	functions	function	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	279	35	that	that	WDT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	279	36	give	give	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	279	37	lower	low	JJR
cord-351941-fgtatt40	279	38	values	value	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	279	39	during	during	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	279	40	summer	summer	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	279	41	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	280	1	The	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	280	2	equation	equation	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	280	3	has	have	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	280	4	two	two	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	280	5	degrees	degree	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	280	6	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	280	7	freedom	freedom	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	280	8	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	280	9	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	280	10	since	since	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	280	11	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	280	12	actual	actual	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	280	13	value	value	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	280	14	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	280	15	c	c	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	281	1	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	281	2	i	i	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	281	3	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	281	4	not	not	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	281	5	independently	independently	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	281	6	knowable	knowable	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	281	7	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	281	8	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	281	9	assume	assume	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	281	10	i	i	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	281	11	=	=	SYM
cord-351941-fgtatt40	281	12	0.02	0.02	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	281	13	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	281	14	vary	vary	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	281	15	c	c	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	281	16	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	281	17	fit	fit	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	281	18	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	281	19	model	model	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	281	20	output	output	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	281	21	against	against	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	281	22	data	datum	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	281	23	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	281	24	details	detail	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	281	25	below	below	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	281	26	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	281	27	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	282	1	Death	death	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	282	2	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	282	3	recovery	recovery	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	282	4	rates	rate	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	282	5	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	282	6	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	282	7	using	use	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	282	8	fractional	fractional	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	282	9	death	death	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	282	10	rate	rate	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	282	11	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	283	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	283	2	have	have	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	283	3	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	283	4	where	where	WRB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	283	5	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	283	6	disease	disease	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	283	7	duration	duration	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	283	8	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	283	9	assumed	assume	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	283	10	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	283	11	be	be	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	283	12	total	total	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	283	13	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	283	14	τ	τ	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	283	15	E	e	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	283	16	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	283	17	early	early	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	283	18	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	283	19	stage	stage	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	284	1	asymp-	asymp-	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	285	1	Contact	contact	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	285	2	rate	rate	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	285	3	can	can	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	285	4	change	change	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	285	5	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	285	6	response	response	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	285	7	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	285	8	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	285	9	progression	progression	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	285	10	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	285	11	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	285	12	disease	disease	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	285	13	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	285	14	consequently	consequently	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	285	15	change	change	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	285	16	infection	infection	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	285	17	rate	rate	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	285	18	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	285	19	see	see	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	285	20	Figure	Figure	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	285	21	A1	A1	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	285	22	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	285	23	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	286	1	The	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	286	2	impact	impact	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	286	3	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	286	4	perceived	perceive	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	286	5	risk	risk	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	286	6	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	286	7	contact	contact	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	286	8	rate	rate	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	286	9	captures	capture	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	286	10	not	not	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	286	11	only	only	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	286	12	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	286	13	endogenous	endogenous	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	286	14	changes	change	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	286	15	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	286	16	social	social	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	286	17	interactions	interaction	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	286	18	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	286	19	gatherings	gathering	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	286	20	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	286	21	self	self	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	286	22	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	286	23	isolation	isolation	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	286	24	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	286	25	suspected	suspect	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	286	26	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	286	27	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	286	28	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	286	29	hygiene	hygiene	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	286	30	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	286	31	but	but	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	286	32	also	also	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	286	33	government	government	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	286	34	mandated	mandate	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	286	35	closure	closure	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	286	36	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	286	37	events	event	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	286	38	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	286	39	schools	school	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	286	40	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	286	41	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	286	42	businesses	business	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	286	43	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	286	44	name	name	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	286	45	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	286	46	few	few	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	286	47	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	287	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	287	2	assume	assume	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	287	3	public	public	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	287	4	risk	risk	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	287	5	perception	perception	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	287	6	depends	depend	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	287	7	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	287	8	reported	report	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	287	9	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	287	10	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	287	11	death	death	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	287	12	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	288	1	Finding	find	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	288	2	infected	infected	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	288	3	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	288	4	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	288	5	challenging	challenge	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	288	6	given	give	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	288	7	that	that	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	288	8	many	many	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	288	9	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	288	10	remain	remain	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	288	11	mild	mild	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	288	12	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	288	13	unknown	unknown	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	288	14	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	288	15	yet	yet	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	288	16	potentially	potentially	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	288	17	infectious	infectious	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	288	18	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	289	1	Furthermore	furthermore	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	289	2	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	289	3	especially	especially	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	289	4	early	early	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	289	5	on	on	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	289	6	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	289	7	many	many	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	289	8	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	289	9	were	be	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	289	10	misdiagnosed	misdiagnose	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	289	11	as	as	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	289	12	healthcare	healthcare	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	289	13	providers	provider	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	289	14	were	be	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	289	15	unaware	unaware	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	289	16	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	289	17	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	289	18	existence	existence	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	289	19	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	289	20	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	289	21	virus	virus	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	289	22	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	289	23	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	289	24	country	country	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	289	25	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	290	1	As	as	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	290	2	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	290	3	first	first	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	290	4	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	290	5	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	290	6	revealed	reveal	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	290	7	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	290	8	reported	report	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	290	9	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	290	10	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	290	11	higher	high	JJR
cord-351941-fgtatt40	290	12	fraction	fraction	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	290	13	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	290	14	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	290	15	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	290	16	found	find	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	290	17	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	290	18	Loop	Loop	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	290	19	R3	R3	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	290	20	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	290	21	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	291	1	There	there	EX
cord-351941-fgtatt40	291	2	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	291	3	three	three	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	291	4	death	death	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	291	5	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	291	6	rate	rate	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	291	7	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	291	8	related	relate	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	291	9	variables	variable	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	291	10	:	:	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	291	11	actual	actual	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	291	12	death	death	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	291	13	rate	rate	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	291	14	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	291	15	c	c	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	291	16	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	291	17	inversely	inversely	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	291	18	related	relate	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	291	19	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	291	20	O	o	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	291	21	D	d	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	291	22	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	292	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	292	2	bound	bind	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	292	3	c	c	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	292	4	between	between	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	292	5	0	0	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	292	6	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	292	7	c	c	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	292	8	max	max	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	292	9	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	292	10	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	292	11	use	use	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	292	12	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	292	13	following	follow	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	292	14	sigmoid	sigmoid	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	292	15	function	function	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	292	16	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	292	17	represent	represent	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	292	18	c	c	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	292	19	:	:	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	293	1	ρ	ρ	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	293	2	represents	represent	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	293	3	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	293	4	impact	impact	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	293	5	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	293	6	other	other	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	293	7	policy	policy	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	293	8	measures	measure	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	293	9	beyond	beyond	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	293	10	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	293	11	perception	perception	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	293	12	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	293	13	death	death	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	293	14	that	that	WDT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	293	15	may	may	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	293	16	impact	impact	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	293	17	c	c	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	293	18	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	293	19	e.g.	e.g.	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	293	20	various	various	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	293	21	government	government	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	293	22	interventions	intervention	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	293	23	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	293	24	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	293	25	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	293	26	set	set	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	293	27	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	293	28	1	1	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	293	29	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	293	30	base	base	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	293	31	run	run	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	293	32	simulations	simulation	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	293	33	but	but	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	293	34	experimented	experiment	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	293	35	with	with	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	293	36	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	293	37	policy	policy	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	293	38	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	293	39	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	294	1	O	o	UH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	294	2	Ã	ã	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	294	3	D	d	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	294	4	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	294	5	s	s	NNPS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	294	6	represent	represent	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	294	7	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	294	8	relation	relation	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	294	9	between	between	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	294	10	O	o	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	294	11	D	d	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	294	12	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	294	13	c.	c.	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	295	1	Conceptually	conceptually	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	295	2	O	o	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	295	3	Ã	ã	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	295	4	D	d	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	295	5	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	295	6	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	295	7	threshold	threshold	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	295	8	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	295	9	public	public	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	295	10	report	report	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	295	11	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	295	12	death	death	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	295	13	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	295	14	at	at	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	295	15	which	which	WDT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	295	16	contact	contact	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	295	17	rate	rate	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	295	18	endogenously	endogenously	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	295	19	declines	decline	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	295	20	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	295	21	half	half	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	295	22	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	295	23	c	c	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	295	24	max	max	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	295	25	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	295	26	s	s	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	296	1	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	296	2	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	296	3	sensitivity	sensitivity	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	296	4	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	296	5	public	public	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	296	6	behavior	behavior	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	296	7	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	296	8	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	296	9	reported	report	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	296	10	death	death	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	296	11	rate	rate	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	296	12	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	297	1	The	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	297	2	free	free	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	297	3	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	297	4	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	297	5	O	o	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	297	6	Ã	ã	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	297	7	D	d	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	297	8	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	297	9	s	s	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	297	10	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	297	11	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	297	12	c	c	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	297	13	max	max	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	297	14	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	297	15	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	297	16	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	297	17	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	298	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	298	2	assume	assume	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	298	3	only	only	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	298	4	symptomatic	symptomatic	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	298	5	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	298	6	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	298	7	patients	patient	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	298	8	can	can	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	298	9	be	be	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	298	10	diagnosed	diagnose	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	298	11	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	299	1	Let	let	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	299	2	f	f	XX
cord-351941-fgtatt40	299	3	symp	symp	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	299	4	<	<	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	299	5	1	1	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	299	6	be	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	299	7	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	299	8	fraction	fraction	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	299	9	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	299	10	late	late	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	299	11	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	299	12	infected	infect	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	299	13	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	299	14	that	that	WDT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	299	15	develop	develop	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	299	16	symptoms	symptom	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	299	17	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	300	1	Let	let	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	300	2	α	α	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	300	3	be	be	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	300	4	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	300	5	fraction	fraction	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	300	6	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	300	7	symptomatic	symptomatic	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	300	8	who	who	WP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	300	9	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	300	10	tested	test	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	300	11	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	300	12	then	then	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	300	13	αf	αf	XX
cord-351941-fgtatt40	300	14	symp	symp	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	300	15	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	300	16	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	300	17	fraction	fraction	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	300	18	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	300	19	I	I	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	300	20	L	L	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	300	21	who	who	WP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	300	22	will	will	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	300	23	be	be	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	300	24	tested	test	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	300	25	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	301	1	More	More	JJR
cord-351941-fgtatt40	301	2	severe	severe	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	301	3	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	301	4	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	301	5	more	more	RBR
cord-351941-fgtatt40	301	6	likely	likely	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	301	7	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	301	8	be	be	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	301	9	diagnosed	diagnose	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	301	10	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	301	11	so	so	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	301	12	mortality	mortality	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	301	13	rate	rate	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	301	14	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	301	15	diagnosed	diagnose	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	301	16	cases(f	cases(f	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	301	17	0	0	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	301	18	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	301	19	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	301	20	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	301	21	likely	likely	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	301	22	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	301	23	be	be	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	301	24	higher	high	JJR
cord-351941-fgtatt40	301	25	than	than	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	301	26	average	average	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	301	27	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	301	28	rate	rate	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	301	29	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	301	30	f	f	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	301	31	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	301	32	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	302	1	Death	death	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	302	2	rate	rate	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	302	3	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	302	4	diagnosed	diagnose	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	302	5	individuals	individual	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	302	6	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	302	7	f	f	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	302	8	0	0	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	302	9	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	302	10	αf	αf	XX
cord-351941-fgtatt40	302	11	symp	symp	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	302	12	I	I	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	302	13	L	L	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	302	14	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	302	15	/τ	/τ	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	303	1	L	L	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	303	2	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	303	3	with	with	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	303	4	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	303	5	constraint	constraint	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	303	6	αf	αf	XX
cord-351941-fgtatt40	303	7	symp	symp	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	303	8	f	f	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	303	9	0	0	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	303	10	≤	≤	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	303	11	f.	f.	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	304	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	304	2	assume	assume	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	304	3	no	no	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	304	4	post	post	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	304	5	-	-	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	304	6	mortem	mortem	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	304	7	diagnosis	diagnosis	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	304	8	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	305	1	Including	include	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	305	2	first	first	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	305	3	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	305	4	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	305	5	death	death	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	305	6	discovery	discovery	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	305	7	diagnosed	diagnose	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	305	8	early	early	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	305	9	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	305	10	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	305	11	X	x	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	305	12	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	305	13	:	:	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	305	14	where	where	WRB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	305	15	D	D	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	305	16	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	305	17	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	305	18	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	305	19	reported	report	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	305	20	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	305	21	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	305	22	death	death	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	305	23	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	306	1	X	X	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	306	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	306	3	equal	equal	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	306	4	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	306	5	2	2	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	306	6	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	306	7	t	t	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	306	8	1	1	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	306	9	=	=	SYM
cord-351941-fgtatt40	306	10	February	February	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	306	11	19th	19th	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	306	12	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	306	13	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	306	14	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	306	15	rest	rest	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	306	16	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	306	17	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	306	18	simulation	simulation	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	307	1	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	307	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	307	3	zero	zero	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	307	4	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	308	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	308	2	set	set	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	308	3	α	α	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	308	4	=	=	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	308	5	Min	min	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	308	6	aD,1	ad,1	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	308	7	À	à	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	308	8	Á	á	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	308	9	Á	á	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	308	10	α	α	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	308	11	max	max	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	308	12	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	308	13	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	308	14	let	let	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	308	15	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	308	16	model	model	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	308	17	estimate	estimate	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	308	18	α	α	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	308	19	max	max	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	308	20	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	308	21	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	308	22	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	308	23	through	through	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	308	24	calibration	calibration	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	308	25	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	308	26	explained	explain	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	308	27	below	below	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	308	28	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	308	29	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	309	1	For	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	309	2	reported	report	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	309	3	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	309	4	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	309	5	recovered	recover	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	309	6	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	309	7	R	r	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	309	8	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	309	9	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	309	10	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	309	11	use	use	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	309	12	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	309	13	following	follow	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	309	14	equations	equation	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	309	15	:	:	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	309	16	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	309	17	reported	report	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	309	18	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	309	19	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	309	20	recovery	recovery	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	309	21	per	per	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	309	22	day	day	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	309	23	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	310	1	This	this	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	310	2	formulation	formulation	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	310	3	assumes	assume	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	310	4	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	310	5	reporting	reporting	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	310	6	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	310	7	recovered	recover	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	310	8	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	310	9	happens	happen	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	310	10	with	with	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	310	11	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	310	12	same	same	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	310	13	rate	rate	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	310	14	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	310	15	α	α	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	310	16	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	310	17	as	as	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	310	18	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	310	19	reporting	reporting	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	310	20	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	310	21	infections	infection	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	310	22	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	310	23	death	death	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	310	24	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	311	1	While	while	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	311	2	Iran	Iran	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	311	3	's	's	POS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	311	4	data	datum	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	311	5	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	311	6	supportive	supportive	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	311	7	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	311	8	this	this	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	311	9	assumption	assumption	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	311	10	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	311	11	exploration	exploration	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	311	12	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	311	13	statistics	statistic	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	311	14	from	from	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	311	15	other	other	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	311	16	countries	country	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	311	17	suggests	suggest	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	311	18	many	many	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	311	19	do	do	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	311	20	not	not	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	311	21	track	track	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	311	22	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	311	23	recovered	recover	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	311	24	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	311	25	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	312	1	For	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	312	2	total	total	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	312	3	infected	infected	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	312	4	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	312	5	I	i	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	312	6	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	312	7	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	312	8	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	312	9	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	312	10	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	312	11	I	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	312	12	cum	cum	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	312	13	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	312	14	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	312	15	reported	report	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	312	16	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	312	17	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	312	18	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	312	19	infection	infection	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	312	20	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	312	21	I	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	312	22	cum	cum	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	312	23	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	313	1	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	313	2	have	have	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	313	3	:	:	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	314	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	314	2	set	set	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	314	3	f	f	XX
cord-351941-fgtatt40	314	4	symp	symp	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	314	5	=	=	SYM
cord-351941-fgtatt40	314	6	0.8	0.8	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	314	7	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	314	8	but	but	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	314	9	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	314	10	model	model	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	314	11	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	314	12	not	not	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	314	13	sensitive	sensitive	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	314	14	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	314	15	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	314	16	value	value	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	314	17	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	314	18	f	f	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	314	19	symp	symp	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	314	20	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	314	21	as	as	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	314	22	any	any	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	314	23	change	change	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	314	24	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	314	25	f	f	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	314	26	symp	symp	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	314	27	will	will	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	314	28	be	be	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	314	29	compensated	compensate	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	314	30	by	by	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	314	31	α	α	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	314	32	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	314	33	match	match	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	314	34	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	314	35	simulation	simulation	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	314	36	with	with	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	314	37	Simulation	Simulation	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	314	38	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	314	39	based	base	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	314	40	estimation	estimation	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	314	41	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	314	42	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	314	43	early	early	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	314	44	spread	spread	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	314	45	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	314	46	COVID-19	covid-19	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	314	47	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	314	48	Iran	Iran	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	314	49	123	123	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	314	50	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	314	51	data	datum	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	314	52	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	314	53	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	314	54	calculate	calculate	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	314	55	total	total	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	314	56	fraction	fraction	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	314	57	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	314	58	infected	infected	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	314	59	who	who	WP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	314	60	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	314	61	diagnosed	diagnose	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	314	62	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	315	1	The	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	315	2	reproduction	reproduction	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	315	3	number	number	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	315	4	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	315	5	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	315	6	asR	asr	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	316	1	=	=	NFP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	316	2	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	316	3	τ	τ	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	316	4	E	e	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	316	5	+	+	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	316	6	τ	τ	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	316	7	L	l	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	316	8	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	317	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	317	2	i	i	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	317	3	E	E	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	317	4	/I	/I	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	317	5	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	317	6	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	318	1	Besides	besides	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	318	2	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	318	3	official	official	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	318	4	data	datum	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	318	5	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	318	6	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	318	7	use	use	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	318	8	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	318	9	few	few	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	318	10	unofficial	unofficial	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	318	11	data	data	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	318	12	points	point	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	318	13	:	:	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	318	14	four	four	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	318	15	observations	observation	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	318	16	about	about	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	318	17	number	number	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	318	18	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	318	19	Iranian	iranian	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	318	20	passengers	passenger	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	318	21	diagnosed	diagnose	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	318	22	with	with	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	318	23	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	318	24	upon	upon	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	318	25	arrival	arrival	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	318	26	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	318	27	international	international	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	318	28	airports	airport	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	318	29	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	318	30	P	p	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	318	31	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	318	32	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	318	33	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	318	34	three	three	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	318	35	unofficial	unofficial	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	318	36	estimations	estimation	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	318	37	from	from	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	318	38	BBC	BBC	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	318	39	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	318	40	Iran	Iran	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	318	41	International	International	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	318	42	news	news	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	318	43	sources	source	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	318	44	about	about	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	318	45	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	318	46	death	death	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	318	47	from	from	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	318	48	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	318	49	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	318	50	D	D	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	318	51	u	u	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	318	52	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	319	1	early	early	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	319	2	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	319	3	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	319	4	epidemic	epidemic	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	319	5	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	320	1	In	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	320	2	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	320	3	model	model	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	320	4	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	320	5	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	320	6	estimate	estimate	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	320	7	them	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	320	8	as	as	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	320	9	following	follow	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	320	10	:	:	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	320	11	where	where	WRB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	320	12	D	D	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	320	13	u,0	u,0	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	320	14	=	=	SYM
cord-351941-fgtatt40	320	15	0	0	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	320	16	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	320	17	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	320	18	μ	μ	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	320	19	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	320	20	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	320	21	ratio	ratio	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	320	22	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	320	23	number	number	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	320	24	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	320	25	passengers	passenger	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	320	26	going	go	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	320	27	from	from	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	320	28	Iran	Iran	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	320	29	abroad	abroad	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	320	30	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	320	31	early	early	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	320	32	days	day	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	320	33	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	320	34	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	320	35	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	320	36	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	321	1	The	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	321	2	term	term	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	321	3	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	321	4	t	t	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	321	5	+	+	SYM
cord-351941-fgtatt40	321	6	1	1	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	321	7	−	−	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	321	8	t	t	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	321	9	1	1	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	321	10	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	321	11	represents	represent	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	321	12	days	day	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	321	13	since	since	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	321	14	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	321	15	first	first	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	321	16	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	321	17	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	321	18	infection	infection	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	321	19	were	be	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	321	20	diagnosed	diagnose	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	321	21	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	322	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	322	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	322	3	assumed	assume	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	322	4	that	that	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	322	5	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	322	6	daily	daily	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	322	7	number	number	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	322	8	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	322	9	passengers	passenger	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	322	10	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	322	11	fixed	fix	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	322	12	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	323	1	death	death	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	323	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	323	3	minimum	minimum	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	323	4	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	323	5	thus	thus	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	323	6	this	this	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	323	7	estimation	estimation	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	323	8	only	only	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	323	9	works	work	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	323	10	during	during	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	323	11	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	323	12	first	first	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	323	13	few	few	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	323	14	days	day	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	323	15	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	323	16	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	323	17	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	323	18	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	324	1	For	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	324	2	D	D	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	324	3	u	u	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	324	4	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	324	5	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	324	6	assume	assume	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	324	7	γ	γ	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	324	8	represents	represent	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	324	9	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	324	10	fraction	fraction	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	324	11	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	324	12	actual	actual	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	324	13	deaths	death	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	324	14	identified	identify	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	324	15	by	by	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	324	16	these	these	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	324	17	sources	source	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	324	18	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	325	1	Note	note	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	325	2	that	that	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	325	3	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	325	4	unofficial	unofficial	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	325	5	reports	report	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	325	6	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	325	7	death	death	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	325	8	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	325	9	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	325	10	media	medium	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	325	11	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	325	12	based	base	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	325	13	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	325	14	unofficial	unofficial	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	325	15	reports	report	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	325	16	from	from	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	325	17	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	325	18	medical	medical	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	325	19	community	community	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	325	20	with	with	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	325	21	limited	limited	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	325	22	samples	sample	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	325	23	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	325	24	thus	thus	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	325	25	γ	γ	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	325	26	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	325	27	likely	likely	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	325	28	below	below	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	325	29	one	one	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	325	30	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	326	1	γ	γ	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	326	2	will	will	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	326	3	be	be	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	326	4	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	326	5	through	through	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	326	6	model	model	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	326	7	calibration	calibration	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	326	8	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	327	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	327	2	initialize	initialize	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	327	3	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	327	4	model	model	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	327	5	as	as	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	327	6	I	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	327	7	E	E	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	327	8	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	327	9	0	0	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	327	10	=	=	NFP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	328	1	I	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	328	2	L	L	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	328	3	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	328	4	0	0	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	328	5	=	=	NFP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	329	1	R	r	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	329	2	0	0	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	329	3	=	=	NFP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	330	1	D	d	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	330	2	0	0	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	330	3	=	=	SYM
cord-351941-fgtatt40	330	4	0	0	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	330	5	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	330	6	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	330	7	S	s	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	330	8	0	0	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	330	9	=	=	SYM
cord-351941-fgtatt40	330	10	81	81	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	330	11	million	million	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	330	12	people	people	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	330	13	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	331	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	331	2	set	set	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	331	3	R	r	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	331	4	0	0	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	331	5	=	=	NFP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	332	1	D	d	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	332	2	0	0	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	332	3	=	=	SYM
cord-351941-fgtatt40	332	4	0	0	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	332	5	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	333	1	New	new	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	333	2	infected	infected	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	333	3	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	333	4	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	333	5	injected	inject	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	333	6	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	333	7	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	333	8	model	model	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	333	9	through	through	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	333	10	i	i	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	333	11	F	F	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	333	12	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	333	13	at	at	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	333	14	time	time	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	333	15	t	t	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	333	16	0	0	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	333	17	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	333	18	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	333	19	be	be	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	333	20	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	333	21	through	through	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	333	22	model	model	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	333	23	calibration	calibration	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	333	24	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	334	1	Although	although	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	334	2	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	334	3	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	334	4	not	not	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	334	5	aware	aware	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	334	6	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	334	7	number	number	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	334	8	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	334	9	foreign	foreign	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	334	10	patients	patient	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	334	11	entering	enter	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	334	12	Iran	Iran	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	334	13	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	334	14	since	since	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	334	15	t	t	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	334	16	0	0	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	334	17	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	334	18	also	also	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	334	19	unknown	unknown	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	334	20	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	334	21	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	334	22	have	have	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	334	23	two	two	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	334	24	degrees	degree	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	334	25	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	334	26	freedom	freedom	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	334	27	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	334	28	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	334	29	one	one	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	334	30	can	can	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	334	31	be	be	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	334	32	assumed	assume	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	334	33	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	334	34	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	334	35	other	other	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	334	36	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	334	37	through	through	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	334	38	model	model	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	334	39	calibration	calibration	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	334	40	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	335	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	335	2	set	set	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	335	3	i	i	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	335	4	F	F	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	335	5	equal	equal	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	335	6	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	335	7	100	100	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	335	8	patients	patient	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	335	9	per	per	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	335	10	day	day	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	335	11	at	at	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	335	12	t	t	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	335	13	0	0	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	335	14	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	335	15	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	335	16	0	0	NFP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	335	17	throughout	throughout	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	335	18	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	335	19	rest	rest	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	335	20	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	335	21	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	335	22	simulation	simulation	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	335	23	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	336	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	336	2	run	run	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	336	3	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	336	4	model	model	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	336	5	from	from	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	336	6	t	t	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	336	7	=	=	SYM
cord-351941-fgtatt40	336	8	0	0	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	336	9	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	336	10	December	December	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	336	11	31	31	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	336	12	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	336	13	2019	2019	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	336	14	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	336	15	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	336	16	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	336	17	time	time	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	336	18	unit	unit	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	336	19	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	336	20	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	336	21	day	day	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	336	22	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	337	1	t	t	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	337	2	1	1	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	337	3	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	337	4	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	337	5	time	time	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	337	6	first	first	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	337	7	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	337	8	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	337	9	diagnosed	diagnose	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	337	10	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	337	11	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	337	12	February	February	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	337	13	19	19	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	337	14	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	337	15	2020	2020	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	337	16	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	338	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	338	2	have	have	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	338	3	time	time	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	338	4	series	series	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	338	5	data	datum	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	338	6	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	338	7	D	D	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	338	8	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	338	9	R	r	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	338	10	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	338	11	I	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	338	12	cum	cum	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	338	13	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	338	14	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	338	15	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	338	16	few	few	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	338	17	data	datum	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	338	18	points	point	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	338	19	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	338	20	P	p	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	338	21	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	338	22	D	d	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	338	23	u	u	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	338	24	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	339	1	Our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	339	2	method	method	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	339	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	339	4	mainly	mainly	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	339	5	based	base	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	339	6	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	339	7	forming	form	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	339	8	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	339	9	likelihood	likelihood	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	339	10	function	function	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	339	11	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	339	12	observing	observe	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	339	13	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	339	14	actual	actual	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	339	15	time	time	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	339	16	series	series	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	339	17	data	data	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	339	18	conditional	conditional	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	339	19	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	339	20	model	model	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	339	21	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	339	22	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	340	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	340	2	then	then	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	340	3	conduct	conduct	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	340	4	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	340	5	Markov	Markov	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	340	6	Chain	Chain	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	340	7	Monte	Monte	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	340	8	Carlo	Carlo	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	340	9	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	340	10	MCMC	MCMC	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	340	11	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	340	12	simulation	simulation	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	340	13	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	340	14	estimate	estimate	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	340	15	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	340	16	joint	joint	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	340	17	posterior	posterior	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	340	18	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	340	19	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	340	20	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	340	21	model	model	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	340	22	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	340	23	subject	subject	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	340	24	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	340	25	observed	observed	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	340	26	data	datum	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	340	27	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	341	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	341	2	define	define	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	341	3	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	341	4	likelihood	likelihood	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	341	5	function	function	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	341	6	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	341	7	change	change	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	341	8	over	over	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	341	9	time	time	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	341	10	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	341	11	net	net	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	341	12	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	341	13	flow	flow	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	341	14	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	341	15	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	341	16	D	D	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	341	17	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	342	1	R	r	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	342	2	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	342	3	I	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	342	4	cum	cum	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	342	5	assuming	assume	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	342	6	they	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	342	7	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	342	8	count	count	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	342	9	events	event	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	342	10	drawn	draw	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	342	11	from	from	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	342	12	model	model	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	342	13	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	342	14	predicted	predict	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	342	15	rates	rate	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	342	16	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	342	17	Poisson	Poisson	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	342	18	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	342	19	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	342	20	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	343	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	343	2	use	use	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	343	3	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	343	4	similar	similar	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	343	5	Poisson	Poisson	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	343	6	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	343	7	assumption	assumption	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	343	8	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	343	9	P	p	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	343	10	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	343	11	D	d	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	343	12	u	u	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	343	13	as	as	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	343	14	well	well	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	343	15	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	343	16	since	since	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	343	17	they	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	343	18	both	both	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	343	19	fit	fit	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	343	20	well	well	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	343	21	into	into	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	343	22	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	343	23	count	count	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	343	24	measure	measure	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	343	25	framework	framework	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	343	26	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	344	1	The	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	344	2	MCMC	MCMC	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	344	3	method	method	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	344	4	searches	search	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	344	5	over	over	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	344	6	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	344	7	feasible	feasible	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	344	8	ranges	range	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	344	9	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	344	10	nine	nine	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	344	11	uncertain	uncertain	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	344	12	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	344	13	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	344	14	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	344	15	model	model	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	344	16	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	345	1	These	these	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	345	2	include	include	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	345	3	:	:	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	345	4	three	three	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	345	5	data	datum	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	345	6	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	345	7	related	relate	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	345	8	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	345	9	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	345	10	α	α	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	345	11	max	max	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	345	12	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	345	13	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	345	14	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	345	15	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	345	16	γ	γ	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	345	17	;	;	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	345	18	three	three	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	345	19	public	public	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	345	20	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	345	21	behavior	behavior	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	345	22	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	345	23	related	relate	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	345	24	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	345	25	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	345	26	c	c	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	345	27	max	max	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	345	28	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	345	29	O	o	UH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	345	30	Ã	ã	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	345	31	D	d	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	345	32	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	345	33	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	345	34	s	s	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	345	35	;	;	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	345	36	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	345	37	three	three	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	345	38	disease	disease	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	345	39	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	345	40	related	relate	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	345	41	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	345	42	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	345	43	fractional	fractional	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	345	44	death	death	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	345	45	rate	rate	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	345	46	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	345	47	f	f	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	345	48	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	345	49	f	f	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	345	50	0	0	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	345	51	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	345	52	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	345	53	time	time	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	345	54	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	345	55	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	345	56	injection	injection	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	345	57	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	345	58	first	first	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	345	59	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	345	60	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	345	61	infection	infection	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	345	62	into	into	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	345	63	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	345	64	population	population	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	345	65	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	345	66	t	t	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	345	67	0	0	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	345	68	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	345	69	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	346	1	Prior	prior	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	346	2	experience	experience	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	346	3	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	346	4	this	this	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	346	5	exercise	exercise	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	346	6	point	point	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	346	7	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	346	8	rather	rather	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	346	9	tight	tight	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	346	10	confidence	confidence	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	346	11	intervals	interval	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	346	12	coming	come	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	346	13	from	from	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	346	14	MCMC	MCMC	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	346	15	methods	method	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	346	16	directly	directly	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	346	17	applied	apply	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	346	18	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	346	19	large	large	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	346	20	nonlinear	nonlinear	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	346	21	models	model	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	346	22	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	347	1	The	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	347	2	problem	problem	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	347	3	could	could	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	347	4	be	be	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	347	5	addressed	address	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	347	6	using	use	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	347	7	filtering	filter	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	347	8	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	347	9	e.g.	e.g.	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	347	10	extended	extend	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	347	11	Kalman	Kalman	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	347	12	filtering	filtering	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	347	13	or	or	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	347	14	particle	particle	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	347	15	filter	filter	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	347	16	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	347	17	methods	method	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	347	18	or	or	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	347	19	heuristics	heuristic	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	347	20	that	that	WDT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	347	21	scale	scale	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	347	22	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	347	23	likelihood	likelihood	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	347	24	function	function	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	347	25	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	347	26	MCMC	MCMC	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	347	27	method	method	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	347	28	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	347	29	be	be	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	347	30	consistent	consistent	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	347	31	with	with	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	347	32	model	model	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	347	33	's	's	POS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	347	34	predictive	predictive	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	347	35	performance	performance	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	347	36	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	348	1	In	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	348	2	light	light	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	348	3	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	348	4	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	348	5	computational	computational	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	348	6	costs	cost	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	348	7	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	348	8	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	348	9	former	former	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	348	10	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	348	11	time	time	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	348	12	sensitivity	sensitivity	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	348	13	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	348	14	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	348	15	research	research	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	348	16	topic	topic	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	348	17	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	348	18	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	348	19	chose	choose	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	348	20	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	348	21	latter	latter	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	348	22	option	option	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	348	23	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	349	1	To	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	349	2	be	be	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	349	3	conservative	conservative	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	349	4	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	349	5	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	349	6	therefore	therefore	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	349	7	downgrade	downgrade	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	349	8	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	349	9	confidence	confidence	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	349	10	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	349	11	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	349	12	data	datum	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	349	13	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	349	14	scaling	scale	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	349	15	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	349	16	likelihood	likelihood	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	349	17	function	function	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	349	18	by	by	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	349	19	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	349	20	factor	factor	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	349	21	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	349	22	0.1	0.1	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	349	23	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	349	24	which	which	WDT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	349	25	allows	allow	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	349	26	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	349	27	algorithm	algorithm	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	349	28	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	349	29	explore	explore	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	349	30	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	349	31	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	349	32	space	space	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	349	33	much	much	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	349	34	more	more	RBR
cord-351941-fgtatt40	349	35	freely	freely	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	349	36	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	350	1	This	this	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	350	2	approach	approach	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	350	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	350	4	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	350	5	heuristic	heuristic	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	350	6	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	350	7	use	use	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	350	8	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	350	9	avoid	avoid	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	350	10	putting	put	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	350	11	too	too	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	350	12	much	much	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	350	13	confidence	confidence	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	350	14	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	350	15	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	350	16	estimation	estimation	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	350	17	results	result	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	350	18	;	;	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	350	19	however	however	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	350	20	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	350	21	without	without	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	350	22	strong	strong	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	350	23	theoretical	theoretical	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	350	24	reasons	reason	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	350	25	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	350	26	support	support	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	350	27	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	350	28	specific	specific	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	350	29	scaling	scaling	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	350	30	factor	factor	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	350	31	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	350	32	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	350	33	caution	caution	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	350	34	against	against	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	350	35	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	350	36	strong	strong	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	350	37	interpretation	interpretation	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	350	38	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	350	39	these	these	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	350	40	results	result	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	350	41	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	351	1	With	with	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	351	2	this	this	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	351	3	caveat	caveat	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	351	4	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	351	5	mind	mind	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	351	6	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	351	7	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	351	8	MCMC	MCMC	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	351	9	method	method	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	351	10	offers	offer	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	351	11	90	90	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	351	12	%	%	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	351	13	confidence	confidence	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	351	14	intervals	interval	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	351	15	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	351	16	joint	joint	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	351	17	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	351	18	distribution	distribution	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	351	19	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	351	20	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	351	21	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	351	22	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	352	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	352	2	conducted	conduct	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	352	3	additional	additional	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	352	4	sensitivity	sensitivity	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	352	5	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	352	6	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	352	7	this	this	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	352	8	downscaling	downscaling	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	352	9	parameter	parameter	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	352	10	choice	choice	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	352	11	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	353	1	The	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	353	2	rest	rest	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	353	3	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	353	4	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	353	5	parameters	parameter	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	353	6	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	353	7	specified	specify	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	353	8	based	base	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	353	9	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	353	10	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	353	11	literature	literature	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	353	12	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	354	1	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	354	2	counter	counter	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	354	3	factual	factual	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	354	4	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	354	5	"	"	``
cord-351941-fgtatt40	354	6	what	what	WP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	354	7	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	354	8	expected	expect	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	354	9	absent	absent	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	354	10	COVID-19	covid-19	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	354	11	"	"	''
cord-351941-fgtatt40	354	12	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	354	13	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	355	1	A	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	355	2	simple	simple	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	355	3	counter	counter	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	355	4	-	-	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	355	5	factual	factual	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	355	6	would	would	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	355	7	compare	compare	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	355	8	deaths	death	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	355	9	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	355	10	previous	previous	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	355	11	winters	winter	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	355	12	with	with	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	355	13	that	that	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	355	14	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	355	15	Winter	Winter	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	355	16	2020	2020	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	355	17	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	356	1	Yet	yet	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	356	2	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	356	3	depending	depend	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	356	4	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	356	5	which	which	WDT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	356	6	previous	previous	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	356	7	years	year	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	356	8	one	one	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	356	9	includes	include	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	356	10	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	356	11	such	such	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	356	12	counter	counter	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	356	13	-	-	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	356	14	factual	factual	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	356	15	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	356	16	excess	excess	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	356	17	deaths	death	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	356	18	between	between	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	356	19	5	5	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	356	20	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	356	21	15	15	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	356	22	thousands	thousand	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	356	23	could	could	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	356	24	be	be	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	356	25	estimated	estimate	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	356	26	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	357	1	However	however	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	357	2	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	357	3	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	357	4	released	release	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	357	5	death	death	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	357	6	data	datum	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	357	7	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	357	8	disaggregate	disaggregate	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	357	9	at	at	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	357	10	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	357	11	province	province	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	357	12	level	level	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	357	13	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	357	14	31	31	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	357	15	provinces	province	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	357	16	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	357	17	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	358	1	This	this	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	358	2	provides	provide	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	358	3	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	358	4	unique	unique	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	358	5	opportunity	opportunity	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	358	6	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	358	7	more	more	RBR
cord-351941-fgtatt40	358	8	accurately	accurately	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	358	9	estimate	estimate	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	358	10	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	358	11	excess	excess	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	358	12	deaths	death	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	358	13	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	358	14	Iran	Iran	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	358	15	by	by	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	358	16	comparing	compare	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	358	17	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	358	18	variations	variation	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	358	19	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	358	20	death	death	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	358	21	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	358	22	different	different	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	358	23	provinces	province	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	358	24	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	358	25	how	how	WRB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	358	26	those	those	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	358	27	variations	variation	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	358	28	could	could	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	358	29	be	be	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	358	30	explained	explain	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	358	31	by	by	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	358	32	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	358	33	official	official	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	358	34	death	death	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	358	35	toll	toll	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	358	36	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	358	37	each	each	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	358	38	providence	providence	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	358	39	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	359	1	Formally	formally	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	359	2	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	359	3	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	359	4	run	run	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	359	5	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	359	6	following	following	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	359	7	regression	regression	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	359	8	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	359	9	estimate	estimate	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	359	10	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	359	11	undercounting	undercounting	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	359	12	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	359	13	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	359	14	related	related	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	359	15	deaths	death	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	359	16	:	:	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	359	17	ExcessDeath	ExcessDeath	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	359	18	i	i	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	359	19	=	=	NFP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	360	1	β	β	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	360	2	0	0	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	360	3	+	+	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	360	4	β	β	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	360	5	1	1	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	361	1	:	:	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	361	2	PastDeath	PastDeath	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	361	3	i	i	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	361	4	+	+	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	361	5	β	β	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	361	6	2	2	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	361	7	:	:	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	361	8	ConfCovidDeath	ConfCovidDeath	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	362	1	i	i	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	362	2	:	:	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	363	1	where	where	WRB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	363	2	ExcessDeath	ExcessDeath	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	363	3	i	i	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	363	4	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	363	5	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	363	6	difference	difference	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	363	7	between	between	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	363	8	death	death	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	363	9	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	363	10	Winter	Winter	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	363	11	2020	2020	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	363	12	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	363	13	Winter	Winter	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	363	14	2019	2019	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	363	15	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	363	16	province	province	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	363	17	i	i	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	363	18	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	363	19	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	363	20	PastDeath	PastDeath	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	363	21	i	i	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	363	22	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	363	23	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	363	24	vector	vector	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	363	25	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	363	26	death	death	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	363	27	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	363	28	past	past	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	363	29	seasons	season	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	363	30	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	363	31	e.g.	e.g.	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	363	32	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	363	33	Winter	Winter	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	363	34	2019	2019	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	363	35	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	363	36	2018	2018	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	363	37	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	363	38	etc	etc	FW
cord-351941-fgtatt40	363	39	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	363	40	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	364	1	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	364	2	province	province	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	364	3	i.	i.	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	364	4	ConfCovidDeath	ConfCovidDeath	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	365	1	i	i	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	365	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	365	3	an	an	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	365	4	estimation	estimation	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	365	5	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	365	6	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	365	7	death	death	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	365	8	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	365	9	based	base	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	365	10	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	365	11	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	365	12	total	total	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	365	13	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	365	14	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	365	15	each	each	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	365	16	province	province	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	365	17	which	which	WDT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	365	18	were	be	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	365	19	available	available	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	365	20	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	365	21	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	365	22	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	366	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	366	2	Iran	Iran	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	366	3	does	do	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	366	4	not	not	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	366	5	provide	provide	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	366	6	province	province	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	366	7	level	level	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	366	8	death	death	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	366	9	statistics	statistic	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	366	10	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	366	11	COVID	COVID	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	366	12	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	366	13	but	but	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	366	14	did	do	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	366	15	provide	provide	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	366	16	province	province	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	366	17	level	level	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	366	18	cumulative	cumulative	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	366	19	infection	infection	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	366	20	statistics	statistic	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	366	21	;	;	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	366	22	scaling	scale	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	366	23	total	total	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	366	24	death	death	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	366	25	based	base	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	366	26	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	366	27	province	province	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	366	28	level	level	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	366	29	infections	infection	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	366	30	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	366	31	calculate	calculate	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	366	32	"	"	``
cord-351941-fgtatt40	366	33	ConfCovidDeath	ConfCovidDeath	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	366	34	"	"	''
cord-351941-fgtatt40	366	35	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	366	36	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	367	1	β	β	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	367	2	2	2	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	367	3	will	will	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	367	4	represent	represent	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	367	5	death	death	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	367	6	undercounting	undercounting	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	367	7	factor	factor	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	367	8	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	368	1	Our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	368	2	estimate	estimate	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	368	3	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	368	4	15,485	15,485	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	368	5	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	368	6	90	90	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	368	7	%	%	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	368	8	UI	UI	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	368	9	:	:	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	368	10	8.4	8.4	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	368	11	K	K	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	368	12	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	368	13	25.8	25.8	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	368	14	K	k	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	368	15	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	368	16	death	death	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	368	17	implies	imply	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	368	18	that	that	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	368	19	this	this	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	368	20	ratio	ratio	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	368	21	should	should	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	368	22	be	be	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	368	23	around	around	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	368	24	10.8	10.8	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	368	25	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	368	26	90	90	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	368	27	%	%	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	368	28	CI	ci	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	368	29	:	:	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	368	30	5.9,18.0	5.9,18.0	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	368	31	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	368	32	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	369	1	Our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	369	2	regression	regression	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	369	3	models	model	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	369	4	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	369	5	reported	report	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	369	6	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	369	7	Table	Table	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	369	8	A2	A2	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	369	9	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	370	1	Based	base	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	370	2	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	370	3	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	370	4	best	good	JJS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	370	5	regression	regression	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	370	6	model	model	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	370	7	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	370	8	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	370	9	terms	term	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	370	10	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	370	11	adjusted	adjust	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	370	12	R	r	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	370	13	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	370	14	squared	squared	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	370	15	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	370	16	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	370	17	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	370	18	find	find	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	370	19	that	that	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	370	20	β	β	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	370	21	2	2	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	370	22	=	=	SYM
cord-351941-fgtatt40	370	23	7.15	7.15	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	371	1	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	371	2	95	95	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	371	3	%	%	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	371	4	CI	ci	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	371	5	:	:	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	371	6	3.85	3.85	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	371	7	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	371	8	10.44	10.44	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	371	9	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	371	10	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	372	1	This	this	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	373	1	*	*	NFP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	373	2	*	*	NFP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	373	3	*	*	NFP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	373	4	p	p	XX
cord-351941-fgtatt40	373	5	<	<	XX
cord-351941-fgtatt40	373	6	0.001	0.001	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	373	7	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	374	1	*	*	NFP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	374	2	*	*	NFP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	374	3	p	p	XX
cord-351941-fgtatt40	374	4	<	<	XX
cord-351941-fgtatt40	374	5	0.01	0.01	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	374	6	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	375	1	*	*	NFP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	375	2	p	p	XX
cord-351941-fgtatt40	375	3	<	<	XX
cord-351941-fgtatt40	375	4	0.05	0.05	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	375	5	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	376	1	Presumed	presume	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	376	2	asymptomatic	asymptomatic	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	376	3	carrier	carrier	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	376	4	transmission	transmission	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	376	5	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	376	6	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	376	7	Estimating	estimate	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	376	8	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	376	9	infection	infection	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	376	10	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	376	11	rate	rate	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	376	12	among	among	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	376	13	symptomatic	symptomatic	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	376	14	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	376	15	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	376	16	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	376	17	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	376	18	United	United	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	376	19	States	States	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	376	20	:	:	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	377	1	study	study	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	377	2	estimates	estimate	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	377	3	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	377	4	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	377	5	infection	infection	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	377	6	fatality	fatality	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	377	7	rate	rate	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	377	8	at	at	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	377	9	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	377	10	US	US	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	377	11	county	county	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	377	12	level	level	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	377	13	Corona	Corona	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	377	14	virus	virus	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	377	15	has	have	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	377	16	at	at	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	377	17	least	least	RBS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	377	18	claimed	claim	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	377	19	210	210	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	377	20	lives	life	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	377	21	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	377	22	Iran	Iran	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	378	1	Who	who	WP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	378	2	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	378	3	among	among	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	378	4	political	political	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	378	5	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	378	6	government	government	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	378	7	figures	figure	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	378	8	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	378	9	have	have	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	378	10	contracted	contract	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	378	11	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	378	12	corona	corona	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	378	13	virus	virus	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	378	14	?	?	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	379	1	Global	global	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	379	2	coronavirus	coronavirus	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	379	3	death	death	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	379	4	toll	toll	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	379	5	could	could	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	379	6	be	be	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	379	7	60	60	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	379	8	%	%	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	379	9	higher	high	JJR
cord-351941-fgtatt40	379	10	than	than	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	379	11	reported	report	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	379	12	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	380	1	Financial	Financial	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	380	2	Times	Times	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	380	3	System	System	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	380	4	dynamics	dynamic	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	380	5	modeling	model	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	380	6	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	380	7	health	health	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	380	8	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	380	9	medicine	medicine	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	380	10	:	:	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	380	11	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	380	12	systematic	systematic	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	380	13	literature	literature	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	380	14	review	review	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	380	15	Using	use	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	380	16	integrated	integrate	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	380	17	modeling	modeling	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	380	18	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	380	19	support	support	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	380	20	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	380	21	global	global	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	380	22	eradication	eradication	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	380	23	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	380	24	vaccine	vaccine	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	380	25	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	380	26	preventable	preventable	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	380	27	diseases	disease	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	380	28	Sensitivity	sensitivity	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	380	29	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	380	30	chest	chest	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	380	31	CT	CT	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	380	32	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	380	33	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	380	34	:	:	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	380	35	comparison	comparison	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	380	36	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	380	37	RT	RT	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	380	38	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	380	39	PCR	PCR	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	380	40	Covid-19	Covid-19	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	380	41	-navigating	-navigate	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	380	42	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	380	43	uncharted	uncharted	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	380	44	Impact	Impact	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	380	45	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	380	46	non	non	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	380	47	-	-	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	380	48	pharmaceutical	pharmaceutical	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	380	49	interventions	intervention	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	380	50	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	380	51	NPIs	NPIs	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	380	52	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	380	53	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	380	54	reduce	reduce	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	380	55	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	380	56	mortality	mortality	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	380	57	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	380	58	healthcare	healthcare	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	380	59	demand	demand	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	380	60	Pandemic	Pandemic	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	380	61	potential	potential	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	380	62	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	380	63	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	380	64	strain	strain	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	380	65	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	380	66	influenza	influenza	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	380	67	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	380	68	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	380	69	H1N1	H1N1	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	380	70	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	380	71	:	:	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	381	1	early	early	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	381	2	findings	finding	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	381	3	SD	sd	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	381	4	meets	meet	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	381	5	OR	OR	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	381	6	:	:	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	381	7	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	381	8	new	new	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	381	9	synergy	synergy	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	381	10	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	381	11	address	address	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	381	12	policy	policy	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	381	13	problems	problem	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	382	1	The	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	382	2	number	number	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	382	3	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	382	4	deaths	death	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	382	5	from	from	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	382	6	Corona	Corona	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	382	7	virus	virus	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	382	8	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	382	9	Iran	Iran	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	382	10	reach	reach	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	382	11	416	416	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	382	12	DB%8C%D8%B1%D8%A7%D9%86-%D8%A7%DB%8C%D9%86%D8%AA%	DB%8C%D8%B1%D8%A7%D9%86-%D8%A7%DB%8C%D9%86%D8%AA%	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	382	13	D8%B1%D9%86%D8%B4%D9%86%D8%A7%D9%84-%D8%B4%D9%85	d8%b1%d9%86%d8%b4%d9%86%d8%a7%d9%84-%d8%b4%d9%85	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	382	14	%	%	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	382	15	D8%A7%D8%B1-%D8%AC%D8%A7%D9%86%E2%80%8C%D8%A8%D8	D8%A7%D8%B1-%D8%AC%D8%A7%D9%86%E2%80%8C%D8%A8%D8	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	383	1	%	%	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	383	2	A7%D8%AE%D8%AA%DA%AF%D8%A7%D9%86-%DA%A9%D8%B1%D9	a7%d8%ae%d8%aa%da%af%d8%a7%d9%86-%da%a9%d8%b1%d9	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	383	3	%	%	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	383	4	88%D9%86%D8%A7-%D8%AF%D8%B1-%D8%A7%DB%8C%D8%B1%D8	88%d9%86%d8%a7-%d8%af%d8%b1-%d8%a7%db%8c%d8%b1%d8	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	383	5	%	%	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	383	6	A7%D9%86-%D8%A8%D9%87-%DB%B4%DB%B1%DB%B6-%D9%86%D9	A7%D9%86-%D8%A8%D9%87-%DB%B4%DB%B1%DB%B6-%D9%86%D9	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	383	7	%	%	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	383	8	81%D8%B1-%D8%B1%D8%B3%DB%8C%D8%AF	81%D8%B1-%D8%B1%D8%B3%DB%8C%D8%AF	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	383	9	Emergency	Emergency	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	383	10	response	response	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	383	11	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	383	12	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	383	13	smallpox	smallpox	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	383	14	attack	attack	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	383	15	:	:	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	383	16	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	383	17	case	case	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	383	18	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	383	19	mass	mass	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	383	20	vaccination	vaccination	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	384	1	The	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	384	2	incubation	incubation	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	384	3	period	period	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	384	4	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	384	5	coronavirus	coronavirus	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	384	6	disease	disease	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	384	7	2019	2019	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	384	8	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	384	9	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	384	10	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	384	11	from	from	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	384	12	publicly	publicly	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	384	13	reported	report	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	384	14	confirmed	confirm	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	384	15	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	384	16	:	:	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	384	17	estimation	estimation	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	384	18	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	384	19	application	application	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	384	20	Substantial	substantial	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	384	21	undocumented	undocumented	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	384	22	infection	infection	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	384	23	facilitates	facilitate	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	384	24	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	384	25	rapid	rapid	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	384	26	dissemination	dissemination	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	384	27	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	384	28	novel	novel	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	384	29	coronavirus	coronavirus	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	384	30	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	384	31	SARS	SARS	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	384	32	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	384	33	CoV-2	CoV-2	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	384	34	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	384	35	Incubation	incubation	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	384	36	period	period	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	384	37	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	384	38	other	other	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	384	39	epidemiological	epidemiological	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	384	40	characteristics	characteristic	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	384	41	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	384	42	2019	2019	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	384	43	novel	novel	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	384	44	coronavirus	coronavirus	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	384	45	infections	infection	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	384	46	with	with	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	384	47	right	right	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	384	48	truncation	truncation	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	384	49	:	:	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	384	50	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	384	51	statistical	statistical	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	384	52	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	384	53	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	384	54	publicly	publicly	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	384	55	available	available	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	384	56	case	case	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	384	57	data	datum	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	385	1	The	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	385	2	role	role	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	385	3	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	385	4	absolute	absolute	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	385	5	humidity	humidity	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	385	6	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	385	7	transmission	transmission	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	385	8	rates	rate	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	385	9	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	385	10	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	385	11	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	385	12	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	385	13	Estimating	estimate	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	385	14	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	385	15	asymptomatic	asymptomatic	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	385	16	proportion	proportion	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	385	17	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	385	18	coronavirus	coronavirus	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	385	19	disease	disease	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	385	20	2019	2019	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	385	21	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	385	22	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	385	23	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	385	24	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	385	25	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	385	26	board	board	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	385	27	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	385	28	diamond	diamond	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	385	29	princess	princess	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	385	30	cruise	cruise	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	385	31	ship	ship	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	385	32	Forecasting	Forecasting	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	385	33	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	385	34	impact	impact	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	385	35	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	385	36	hospital	hospital	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	385	37	bed	bed	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	385	38	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	385	39	days	day	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	385	40	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	385	41	ICUdays	icuday	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	385	42	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	385	43	ventilator	ventilator	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	385	44	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	385	45	days	day	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	385	46	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	385	47	deaths	death	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	385	48	by	by	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	385	49	US	US	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	385	50	state	state	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	385	51	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	385	52	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	385	53	next	next	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	385	54	4	4	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	385	55	months	month	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	385	56	Novel	Novel	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	385	57	Coronavirus	Coronavirus	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	385	58	Pneumonia	Pneumonia	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	385	59	Emergency	Emergency	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	385	60	Response	Response	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	385	61	Epidemiology	Epidemiology	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	385	62	Team	Team	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	385	63	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	386	1	2020	2020	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	386	2	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	1	The	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	2	epidemiological	epidemiological	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	3	characteristics	characteristic	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	4	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	5	an	an	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	6	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	7	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	8	2019	2019	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	9	novel	novel	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	10	coronavirus	coronavirus	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	11	diseases	disease	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	12	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	13	COVID-19	covid-19	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	14	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	15	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	16	China	China	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	17	Initial	Initial	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	18	simulation	simulation	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	19	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	20	SARS	SARS	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	21	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	22	CoV2	CoV2	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	23	spread	spread	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	24	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	25	intervention	intervention	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	26	effects	effect	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	27	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	28	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	29	continental	continental	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	30	US	US	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	31	WHO	who	WP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	32	chief	chief	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	33	says	say	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	34	97	97	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	35	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	36	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	37	coronavirus	coronavirus	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	38	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	39	11	11	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	40	countries	country	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	41	originated	originate	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	42	from	from	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	43	Iran	Iran	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	44	Heterogeneity	Heterogeneity	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	45	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	46	network	network	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	47	structure	structure	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	48	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	49	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	50	dynamics	dynamic	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	51	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	52	diffusion	diffusion	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	53	:	:	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	54	comparing	compare	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	55	agent	agent	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	56	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	57	based	base	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	58	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	59	differential	differential	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	60	equation	equation	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	61	models	model	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	62	Seroprevalence	Seroprevalence	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	63	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	64	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	65	virus	virus	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	66	infection	infection	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	67	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	68	Guilan	Guilan	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	69	Province	Province	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	70	Italy	Italy	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	71	's	's	POS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	72	coronavirus	coronavirus	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	73	death	death	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	74	toll	toll	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	75	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	76	far	far	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	77	higher	high	JJR
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	78	than	than	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	79	reported	report	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	80	System	system	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	81	dynamics	dynamic	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	82	at	at	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	83	sixty	sixty	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	387	84	:	:	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	388	1	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	388	2	path	path	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	388	3	forward	forward	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	388	4	The	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	388	5	risks	risk	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	388	6	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	388	7	costs	cost	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	388	8	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	388	9	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	388	10	benefits	benefit	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	388	11	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	388	12	possible	possible	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	388	13	future	future	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	388	14	global	global	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	388	15	policies	policy	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	388	16	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	388	17	managing	manage	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	388	18	polioviruses	poliovirus	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	388	19	Estimation	Estimation	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	388	20	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	388	21	COVID-2019	COVID-2019	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	388	22	burden	burden	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	388	23	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	388	24	potential	potential	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	388	25	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	388	26	international	international	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	388	27	dissemination	dissemination	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	388	28	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	388	29	infection	infection	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	388	30	from	from	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	388	31	Iran	Iran	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	388	32	Temperature	Temperature	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	388	33	significant	significant	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	388	34	change	change	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	389	1	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	389	2	transmission	transmission	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	389	3	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	389	4	429	429	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	389	5	cities	city	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	389	6	Wikipedia	Wikipedia	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	389	7	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	390	1	2020	2020	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	390	2	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	391	1	2020	2020	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	391	2	coronavirus	coronavirus	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	391	3	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	391	4	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	391	5	Iran	Iran	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	392	1	Iran	Iran	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	392	2	has	have	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	392	3	far	far	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	392	4	more	more	JJR
cord-351941-fgtatt40	392	5	coronavirus	coronavirus	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	392	6	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	392	7	than	than	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	392	8	it	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	392	9	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	392	10	letting	let	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	392	11	on	on	RP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	392	12	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	393	1	The	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	393	2	Atlantics	Atlantics	NNPS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	393	3	Nowcasting	Nowcasting	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	393	4	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	393	5	forecasting	forecast	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	393	6	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	393	7	potential	potential	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	393	8	domestic	domestic	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	393	9	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	393	10	international	international	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	393	11	spread	spread	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	393	12	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	393	13	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	393	14	2019-nCoV	2019-ncov	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	393	15	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	393	16	originating	originate	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	393	17	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	393	18	Wuhan	Wuhan	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	393	19	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	393	20	China	China	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	393	21	:	:	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	393	22	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	393	23	modelling	modelling	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	393	24	study	study	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	393	25	Characteristics	characteristic	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	393	26	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	393	27	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	393	28	important	important	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	393	29	lessons	lesson	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	393	30	from	from	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	393	31	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	393	32	coronavirus	coronavirus	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	393	33	disease	disease	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	393	34	2019	2019	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	393	35	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	393	36	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	393	37	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	393	38	outbreak	outbreak	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	393	39	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	393	40	China	China	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	393	41	:	:	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	393	42	summary	summary	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	393	43	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	393	44	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	393	45	report	report	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	393	46	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	393	47	72314	72314	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	393	48	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	393	49	from	from	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	393	50	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	393	51	Chinese	Chinese	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	393	52	Center	Center	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	393	53	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	393	54	Disease	Disease	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	393	55	Control	Control	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	393	56	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	393	57	Prevention	Prevention	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	393	58	Weather	Weather	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	393	59	conditions	condition	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	393	60	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	393	61	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	393	62	transmission	transmission	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	393	63	:	:	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	393	64	estimates	estimate	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	393	65	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	393	66	projections	projection	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	393	67	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	394	1	medRxiv	medRxiv	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	394	2	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	394	3	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	394	4	thankful	thankful	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	394	5	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	394	6	Mohammad	Mohammad	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	394	7	Akbarpour	Akbarpour	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	394	8	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	394	9	Narges	Narges	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	394	10	Doratoltaj	Doratoltaj	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	394	11	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	394	12	Babak	Babak	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	394	13	Heydari	Heydari	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	394	14	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	394	15	Hamed	Hamed	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	394	16	Ghoddusi	Ghoddusi	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	394	17	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	394	18	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	394	19	Tse	Tse	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	394	20	Yang	Yang	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	394	21	Lim	Lim	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	394	22	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	394	23	their	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	394	24	thoughtful	thoughtful	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	394	25	feedback	feedback	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	394	26	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	394	27	various	various	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	394	28	drafts	draft	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	394	29	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	394	30	this	this	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	394	31	paper	paper	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	394	32	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	395	1	Navid	Navid	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	395	2	Ghaffarzadegan	Ghaffarzadegan	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	395	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	395	4	an	an	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	395	5	Associate	Associate	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	395	6	Professor	Professor	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	395	7	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	395	8	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	395	9	department	department	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	395	10	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	395	11	Industrial	Industrial	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	395	12	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	395	13	Systems	Systems	NNPS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	395	14	Engineering	Engineering	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	395	15	at	at	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	395	16	Virginia	Virginia	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	395	17	Tech	Tech	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	395	18	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	396	1	He	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	396	2	develops	develop	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	396	3	system	system	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	396	4	dynamics	dynamic	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	396	5	simulation	simulation	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	396	6	models	model	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	396	7	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	396	8	study	study	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	396	9	complex	complex	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	396	10	social	social	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	396	11	systems	system	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	396	12	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	396	13	policy	policy	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	396	14	problems	problem	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	396	15	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	397	1	The	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	397	2	main	main	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	397	3	application	application	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	397	4	areas	area	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	397	5	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	397	6	his	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	397	7	research	research	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	397	8	include	include	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	397	9	science	science	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	397	10	policy	policy	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	397	11	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	397	12	health	health	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	397	13	policy	policy	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	397	14	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	398	1	Hazhir	Hazhir	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	398	2	Rahmandad	Rahmandad	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	398	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	398	4	an	an	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	398	5	Associate	Associate	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	398	6	Professor	Professor	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	398	7	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	398	8	System	System	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	398	9	Dynamics	Dynamics	NNPS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	398	10	at	at	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	398	11	MIT	MIT	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	398	12	Sloan	Sloan	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	398	13	School	School	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	398	14	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	398	15	Management	Management	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	398	16	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	399	1	He	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	399	2	combines	combine	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	399	3	simulation	simulation	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	399	4	models	model	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	399	5	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	399	6	various	various	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	399	7	Simulation	simulation	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	399	8	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	399	9	based	base	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	399	10	estimation	estimation	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	399	11	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	399	12	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	399	13	early	early	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	399	14	spread	spread	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	399	15	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	399	16	COVID-19	covid-19	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	399	17	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	399	18	Iran	Iran	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	399	19	117	117	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	399	20	Basic	basic	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	399	21	model	model	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	399	22	architectureThe	architecturethe	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	399	23	model	model	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	399	24	uses	use	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	399	25	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	399	26	country	country	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	399	27	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	399	28	level	level	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	399	29	system	system	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	399	30	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	399	31	differential	differential	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	399	32	equations	equation	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	399	33	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	399	34	capture	capture	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	399	35	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	399	36	dynamics	dynamic	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	399	37	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	399	38	contagion	contagion	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	399	39	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	399	40	Figure	Figure	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	399	41	A1	A1	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	399	42	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	399	43	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	400	1	The	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	400	2	infected	infected	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	400	3	population	population	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	400	4	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	400	5	first	first	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	400	6	asymptomatic	asymptomatic	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	400	7	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	400	8	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	400	9	represented	represent	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	400	10	as	as	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	400	11	"	"	``
cord-351941-fgtatt40	400	12	early	early	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	400	13	infected	infect	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	400	14	"	"	''
cord-351941-fgtatt40	400	15	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	400	16	later	later	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	400	17	becomes	become	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	400	18	"	"	``
cord-351941-fgtatt40	400	19	late	late	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	400	20	infected	infect	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	400	21	"	"	''
cord-351941-fgtatt40	400	22	with	with	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	400	23	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	400	24	majority	majority	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	400	25	being	be	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	400	26	symptomatic	symptomatic	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	400	27	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	401	1	The	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	401	2	following	following	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	401	3	equations	equation	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	401	4	represent	represent	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	401	5	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	401	6	aging	age	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	401	7	chain	chain	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	401	8	:	:	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	401	9	Appendix	Appendix	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	401	10	B	B	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	401	11	:	:	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	402	1	Out	out	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	402	2	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	402	3	sample	sample	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	402	4	prediction	prediction	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	402	5	testOur	testour	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	402	6	main	main	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	402	7	analysis	analysis	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	402	8	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	402	9	this	this	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	402	10	paper	paper	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	402	11	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	402	12	done	do	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	402	13	based	base	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	402	14	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	402	15	data	datum	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	402	16	up	up	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	402	17	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	402	18	March	March	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	402	19	20th	20th	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	402	20	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	402	21	2020	2020	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	402	22	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	402	23	total	total	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	402	24	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	402	25	30	30	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	402	26	days	day	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	402	27	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	402	28	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	403	1	Since	since	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	403	2	then	then	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	403	3	55	55	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	403	4	days	day	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	403	5	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	403	6	new	new	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	403	7	data	datum	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	403	8	have	have	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	403	9	become	become	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	403	10	available	available	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	403	11	which	which	WDT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	403	12	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	403	13	use	use	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	403	14	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	403	15	conduct	conduct	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	403	16	an	an	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	403	17	out	out	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	403	18	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	403	19	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	403	20	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	403	21	sample	sample	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	403	22	test	test	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	403	23	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	403	24	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	403	25	model	model	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	403	26	's	's	POS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	403	27	projection	projection	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	403	28	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	403	29	confirmed	confirmed	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	403	30	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	403	31	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	404	1	Figure	Figure	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	404	2	A2	A2	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	404	3	shows	show	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	404	4	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	404	5	results	result	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	404	6	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	405	1	The	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	405	2	model	model	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	405	3	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	405	4	better	well	JJR
cord-351941-fgtatt40	405	5	at	at	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	405	6	replicating	replicate	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	405	7	reported	report	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	405	8	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	405	9	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	405	10	death	death	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	405	11	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	405	12	panels	panel	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	405	13	c	c	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	405	14	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	405	15	d	d	LS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	405	16	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	405	17	than	than	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	405	18	reported	report	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	405	19	infection	infection	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	405	20	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	405	21	panels	panel	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	405	22	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	405	23	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	405	24	b	b	LS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	405	25	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	405	26	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	405	27	recovery	recovery	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	405	28	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	405	29	panels	panel	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	405	30	e	e	NFP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	405	31	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	405	32	f	f	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	405	33	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	405	34	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	406	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	406	2	appears	appear	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	406	3	that	that	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	406	4	by	by	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	406	5	increased	increase	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	406	6	testing	testing	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	406	7	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	406	8	milder	mild	JJR
cord-351941-fgtatt40	406	9	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	406	10	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	406	11	infection	infection	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	406	12	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	406	13	diagnosed	diagnose	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	406	14	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	406	15	Iran	Iran	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	406	16	than	than	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	406	17	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	406	18	predicted	predict	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	406	19	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	406	20	while	while	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	406	21	confirmed	confirm	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	406	22	death	death	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	406	23	rate	rate	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	406	24	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	406	25	still	still	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	406	26	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	406	27	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	406	28	same	same	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	406	29	range	range	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	406	30	as	as	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	406	31	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	406	32	model	model	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	406	33	's	's	POS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	406	34	prediction	prediction	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	406	35	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	407	1	In	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	407	2	recovery	recovery	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	407	3	data	datum	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	407	4	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	407	5	see	see	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	407	6	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	407	7	peak	peak	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	407	8	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	407	9	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	407	10	specific	specific	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	407	11	day	day	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	407	12	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	407	13	panel	panel	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	407	14	f	f	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	407	15	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	407	16	that	that	WDT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	407	17	might	may	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	407	18	relate	relate	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	407	19	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	407	20	some	some	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	407	21	follow	follow	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	407	22	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	407	23	up	up	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	407	24	or	or	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	407	25	closing	close	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	407	26	active	active	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	407	27	cases	case	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	407	28	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	408	1	The	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	408	2	data	datum	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	408	3	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	408	4	all	all	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	408	5	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	408	6	cause	cause	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	408	7	death	death	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	408	8	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	408	9	which	which	WDT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	408	10	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	408	11	Iran	Iran	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	408	12	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	408	13	reported	report	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	408	14	seasonally	seasonally	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	408	15	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	408	16	were	be	VBD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	408	17	released	release	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	408	18	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	408	19	May	May	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	408	20	7th	7th	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	408	21	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	408	22	2020	2020	CD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	408	23	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	408	24	during	during	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	408	25	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	408	26	final	final	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	408	27	preparation	preparation	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	408	28	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	408	29	this	this	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	408	30	manuscript	manuscript	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	408	31	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	409	1	Winter	winter	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	409	2	ends	end	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	409	3	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	409	4	March	March	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	409	5	20th	20th	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	409	6	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	409	7	thus	thus	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	409	8	seasonal	seasonal	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	409	9	reports	report	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	409	10	on	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	409	11	all	all	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	409	12	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	409	13	cause	cause	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	409	14	number	number	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	409	15	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	409	16	lower	low	JJR
cord-351941-fgtatt40	409	17	than	than	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	409	18	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	409	19	estimate	estimate	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	409	20	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	409	21	death	death	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	409	22	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	409	23	but	but	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	409	24	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	409	25	comparable	comparable	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	409	26	magnitude	magnitude	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	409	27	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	409	28	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	409	29	falls	fall	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	409	30	within	within	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	409	31	our	-PRON-	PRP$
cord-351941-fgtatt40	409	32	confidence	confidence	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	409	33	intervals	interval	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	409	34	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	410	1	It	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	410	2	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	410	3	worth	worth	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	410	4	noting	note	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	410	5	that	that	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	410	6	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	410	7	COVID	COVID	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	410	8	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	410	9	related	relate	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	410	10	excess	excess	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	410	11	death	death	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	410	12	may	may	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	410	13	not	not	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	410	14	be	be	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	410	15	all	all	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	410	16	attributed	attribute	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	410	17	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	410	18	COVID-19	covid-19	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	410	19	alone	alone	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	410	20	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	411	1	For	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	411	2	example	example	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	411	3	social	social	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	411	4	distancing	distance	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	411	5	policies	policy	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	411	6	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	411	7	response	response	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	411	8	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	411	9	COVID	COVID	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	411	10	may	may	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	411	11	reduce	reduce	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	411	12	traffic	traffic	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	411	13	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	411	14	accidents	accident	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	411	15	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	411	16	death	death	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	411	17	due	due	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	411	18	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	411	19	air	air	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	411	20	pollution	pollution	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	411	21	(	(	-LRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	411	22	both	both	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	411	23	major	major	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	411	24	causes	cause	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	411	25	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	411	26	mortality	mortality	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	411	27	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	411	28	Iran	Iran	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	411	29	)	)	-RRB-
cord-351941-fgtatt40	411	30	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	411	31	leading	lead	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	411	32	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	411	33	an	an	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	411	34	under	under	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	411	35	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	411	36	estimate	estimate	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	411	37	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	411	38	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	411	39	deaths	death	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	411	40	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	411	41	this	this	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	411	42	approach	approach	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	411	43	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	412	1	On	on	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	412	2	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	412	3	other	other	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	412	4	hand	hand	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	412	5	hospital	hospital	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	412	6	congestion	congestion	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	412	7	may	may	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	412	8	increase	increase	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	412	9	death	death	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	412	10	due	due	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	412	11	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	412	12	other	other	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	412	13	conditions	condition	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	412	14	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	412	15	leading	lead	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	412	16	to	to	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	412	17	over	over	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	412	18	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	412	19	estimation	estimation	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	412	20	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	412	21	COVID-19	covid-19	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	412	22	deaths	death	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	412	23	using	use	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	412	24	this	this	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	412	25	method	method	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	412	26	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	413	1	We	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	413	2	do	do	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	413	3	not	not	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	413	4	have	have	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	413	5	data	datum	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	413	6	to	to	TO
cord-351941-fgtatt40	413	7	correct	correct	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	413	8	for	for	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	413	9	these	these	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	413	10	potential	potential	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	413	11	biases	bias	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	413	12	,	,	,
cord-351941-fgtatt40	413	13	but	but	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	413	14	overall	overall	RB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	413	15	we	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	413	16	suspect	suspect	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	413	17	that	that	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	413	18	they	-PRON-	PRP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	413	19	are	be	VBP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	413	20	a	a	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	413	21	second	second	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	413	22	order	order	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	413	23	effect	effect	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	413	24	and	and	CC
cord-351941-fgtatt40	414	1	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	414	2	true	true	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	414	3	magnitude	magnitude	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	414	4	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	414	5	COVID-19	COVID-19	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	414	6	death	death	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	414	7	is	be	VBZ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	414	8	captured	capture	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	414	9	by	by	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	414	10	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	414	11	excess	excess	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	414	12	mortality	mortality	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	414	13	data	datum	NNS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	414	14	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	415	1	Additional	additional	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	415	2	supporting	support	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	415	3	information	information	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	415	4	may	may	MD
cord-351941-fgtatt40	415	5	be	be	VB
cord-351941-fgtatt40	415	6	found	find	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	415	7	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	415	8	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	415	9	online	online	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	415	10	version	version	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	415	11	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	415	12	this	this	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	415	13	article	article	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	415	14	at	at	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	415	15	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	415	16	publisher	publisher	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	415	17	's	's	POS
cord-351941-fgtatt40	415	18	website	website	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	415	19	.	.	.
cord-351941-fgtatt40	416	1	Appendix	Appendix	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	416	2	S1	S1	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	416	3	:	:	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	417	1	Supporting	support	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	417	2	Information	Information	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	417	3	Appendix	Appendix	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	417	4	S2	S2	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	417	5	:	:	:
cord-351941-fgtatt40	418	1	Supporting	support	VBG
cord-351941-fgtatt40	418	2	Information	Information	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	418	3	Simulation	Simulation	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	418	4	-	-	HYPH
cord-351941-fgtatt40	418	5	based	base	VBN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	418	6	estimation	estimation	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	418	7	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	418	8	the	the	DT
cord-351941-fgtatt40	418	9	early	early	JJ
cord-351941-fgtatt40	418	10	spread	spread	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	418	11	of	of	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	418	12	COVID-19	covid-19	NN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	418	13	in	in	IN
cord-351941-fgtatt40	418	14	Iran	Iran	NNP
cord-351941-fgtatt40	418	15	129	129	CD