id sid tid token lemma pos cord-321104-0rk1ef53 1 1 key key NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 1 2 : : : cord-321104-0rk1ef53 2 1 cord-321104 cord-321104 NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 2 2 - - HYPH cord-321104-0rk1ef53 2 3 0rk1ef53 0rk1ef53 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 2 4 authors author NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 2 5 : : : cord-321104-0rk1ef53 2 6 Etchenique Etchenique NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 2 7 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 2 8 R. R. NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 2 9 ; ; : cord-321104-0rk1ef53 2 10 Quiroga Quiroga NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 2 11 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 2 12 R. R. NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 2 13 title title NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 2 14 : : : cord-321104-0rk1ef53 3 1 Estimate estimate NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 3 2 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 3 3 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 3 4 actual actual JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 3 5 number number NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 3 6 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 3 7 COVID-19 covid-19 JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 3 8 cases case NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 3 9 from from IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 3 10 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 3 11 analysis analysis NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 3 12 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 3 13 deaths death NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 3 14 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 4 1 date date NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 4 2 : : : cord-321104-0rk1ef53 4 3 2020 2020 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 4 4 - - HYPH cord-321104-0rk1ef53 4 5 09 09 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 4 6 - - SYM cord-321104-0rk1ef53 4 7 23 23 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 4 8 journal journal NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 4 9 : : : cord-321104-0rk1ef53 4 10 nan nan NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 4 11 DOI DOI NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 4 12 : : : cord-321104-0rk1ef53 5 1 10.1101/2020.09.21.20198416 10.1101/2020.09.21.20198416 LS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 6 1 sha sha NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 6 2 : : : cord-321104-0rk1ef53 7 1 2c6149056f1de7cb7204694facf70d27d9e7c8fa 2c6149056f1de7cb7204694facf70d27d9e7c8fa CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 7 2 doc_id doc_id CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 7 3 : : : cord-321104-0rk1ef53 7 4 321104 321104 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 7 5 cord_uid cord_uid NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 7 6 : : : cord-321104-0rk1ef53 7 7 0rk1ef53 0rk1ef53 NFP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 8 1 Using use VBG cord-321104-0rk1ef53 8 2 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 8 3 calculated calculate VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 8 4 values value NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 8 5 for for IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 8 6 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 8 7 Infection Infection NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 8 8 Fatality Fatality NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 8 9 Rate rate NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 8 10 ( ( -LRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 8 11 IFR IFR NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 8 12 ) ) -RRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 8 13 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 8 14 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 8 15 it -PRON- PRP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 8 16 is be VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 8 17 possible possible JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 8 18 to to TO cord-321104-0rk1ef53 8 19 estimate estimate VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 8 20 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 8 21 prevalence prevalence NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 8 22 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 8 23 cases case NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 8 24 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 8 25 infection infection NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 8 26 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 8 27 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 8 28 city city NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 8 29 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 8 30 Buenos Buenos NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 8 31 Aires Aires NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 8 32 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 8 33 Argentina Argentina NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 8 34 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 8 35 throughout throughout IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 8 36 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 8 37 pandemic pandemic NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 8 38 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 9 1 The the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 9 2 use use NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 9 3 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 9 4 confirmed confirm VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 9 5 cases case NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 9 6 as as IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 9 7 a a DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 9 8 metric metric NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 9 9 and and CC cord-321104-0rk1ef53 9 10 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 9 11 replacement replacement NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 9 12 by by IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 9 13 more more JJR cord-321104-0rk1ef53 9 14 reliable reliable JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 9 15 parameters parameter NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 9 16 such such JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 9 17 as as IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 9 18 death death NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 9 19 figures figure NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 9 20 are be VBP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 9 21 discussed discuss VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 9 22 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 10 1 The the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 10 2 results result NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 10 3 are be VBP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 10 4 analyzed analyze VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 10 5 according accord VBG cord-321104-0rk1ef53 10 6 to to IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 10 7 age age NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 10 8 ranges range NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 10 9 and and CC cord-321104-0rk1ef53 10 10 possible possible JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 10 11 sources source NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 10 12 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 10 13 error error NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 10 14 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 10 15 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 10 16 estimates estimate NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 10 17 are be VBP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 10 18 established establish VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 10 19 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 11 1 The the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 11 2 number number NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 11 3 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 11 4 confirmed confirm VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 11 5 cases case NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 11 6 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 11 7 COVID COVID NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 11 8 is be VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 11 9 usually usually RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 11 10 established establish VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 11 11 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 11 12 all all DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 11 13 countries country NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 11 14 through through IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 11 15 testing testing NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 11 16 ( ( -LRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 11 17 usually usually RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 11 18 RT RT NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 11 19 - - HYPH cord-321104-0rk1ef53 11 20 qPCR qPCR NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 11 21 ) ) -RRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 11 22 which which WDT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 11 23 is be VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 11 24 done do VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 11 25 under under IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 11 26 passive passive JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 11 27 ( ( -LRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 11 28 person person NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 11 29 using use VBG cord-321104-0rk1ef53 11 30 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 11 31 health health NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 11 32 system system NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 11 33 ) ) -RRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 11 34 or or CC cord-321104-0rk1ef53 11 35 active active JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 11 36 surveillance surveillance NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 11 37 plans plan NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 11 38 ( ( -LRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 11 39 search search NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 11 40 and and CC cord-321104-0rk1ef53 11 41 tracing tracing NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 11 42 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 11 43 cases case NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 11 44 through through IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 11 45 street street NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 11 46 or or CC cord-321104-0rk1ef53 11 47 home home NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 11 48 operations operation NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 11 49 ) ) -RRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 11 50 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 12 1 There there EX cord-321104-0rk1ef53 12 2 are be VBP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 12 3 enormous enormous JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 12 4 differences difference NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 12 5 between between IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 12 6 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 12 7 various various JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 12 8 testing testing NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 12 9 systems system NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 12 10 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 12 11 which which WDT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 12 12 leads lead VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 12 13 to to IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 12 14 very very RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 12 15 different different JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 12 16 figures figure NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 12 17 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 12 18 positivity positivity NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 12 19 : : : cord-321104-0rk1ef53 12 20 from from IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 12 21 more more JJR cord-321104-0rk1ef53 12 22 than than IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 12 23 3000 3000 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 12 24 tests test NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 12 25 / / SYM cord-321104-0rk1ef53 12 26 case case NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 12 27 confirmed confirm VBD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 12 28 ( ( -LRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 12 29 New New NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 12 30 Zealand Zealand NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 12 31 ) ) -RRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 12 32 to to IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 12 33 1.9 1.9 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 12 34 test test NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 12 35 / / SYM cord-321104-0rk1ef53 12 36 case case NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 12 37 confirmed confirm VBD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 12 38 ( ( -LRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 12 39 Mexico Mexico NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 12 40 ) ) -RRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 12 41 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 13 1 Argentina Argentina NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 13 2 is be VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 13 3 close close JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 13 4 to to IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 13 5 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 13 6 lower low JJR cord-321104-0rk1ef53 13 7 limit limit NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 13 8 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 13 9 with with IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 13 10 only only RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 13 11 2.4 2.4 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 13 12 tests test NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 13 13 / / SYM cord-321104-0rk1ef53 13 14 cc cc NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 13 15 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 13 16 which which WDT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 13 17 corresponds correspond VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 13 18 to to IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 13 19 a a DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 13 20 positivity positivity NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 13 21 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 13 22 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 13 23 order order NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 13 24 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 13 25 40 40 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 13 26 % % NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 13 27 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 14 1 [ [ -LRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 14 2 1 1 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 14 3 ] ] -RRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 14 4 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 15 1 These these DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 15 2 differences difference NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 15 3 make make VBP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 15 4 virtually virtually RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 15 5 useless useless JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 15 6 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 15 7 comparisons comparison NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 15 8 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 15 9 case case NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 15 10 numbers number NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 15 11 between between IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 15 12 countries country NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 15 13 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 15 14 between between IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 15 15 districts district NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 15 16 within within IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 15 17 a a DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 15 18 country country NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 15 19 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 15 20 or or CC cord-321104-0rk1ef53 15 21 even even RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 15 22 between between IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 15 23 different different JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 15 24 times time NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 15 25 within within IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 15 26 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 15 27 same same JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 15 28 district district NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 15 29 or or CC cord-321104-0rk1ef53 15 30 country country NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 15 31 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 15 32 as as IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 15 33 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 15 34 number number NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 15 35 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 15 36 confirmed confirm VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 15 37 cases case NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 15 38 is be VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 15 39 strongly strongly RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 15 40 influenced influence VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 15 41 by by IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 15 42 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 15 43 testing testing NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 15 44 strategy strategy NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 15 45 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 16 1 While while IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 16 2 with with IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 16 3 low low JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 16 4 positive positive JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 16 5 rates rate NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 16 6 and and CC cord-321104-0rk1ef53 16 7 efficient efficient JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 16 8 tracking track VBG cord-321104-0rk1ef53 16 9 a a DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 16 10 high high JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 16 11 percentage percentage NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 16 12 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 16 13 actual actual JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 16 14 cases case NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 16 15 can can MD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 16 16 be be VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 16 17 detected detect VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 16 18 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 16 19 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 16 20 a a DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 16 21 test test NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 16 22 saturation saturation NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 16 23 situation situation NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 16 24 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 16 25 proportion proportion NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 16 26 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 16 27 detected detect VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 16 28 cases case NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 16 29 to to IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 16 30 real real JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 16 31 cases case NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 16 32 can can MD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 16 33 be be VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 16 34 very very RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 16 35 low low JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 16 36 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 17 1 For for IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 17 2 this this DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 17 3 reason reason NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 17 4 it -PRON- PRP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 17 5 is be VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 17 6 convenient convenient JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 17 7 to to TO cord-321104-0rk1ef53 17 8 use use VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 17 9 other other JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 17 10 methods method NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 17 11 for for IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 17 12 prevalence prevalence NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 17 13 estimation estimation NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 17 14 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 17 15 which which WDT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 17 16 do do VBP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 17 17 not not RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 17 18 imply imply VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 17 19 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 17 20 use use NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 17 21 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 17 22 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 17 23 number number NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 17 24 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 17 25 confirmed confirm VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 17 26 cases case NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 17 27 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 17 28 which which WDT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 17 29 is be VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 17 30 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 17 31 little little JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 17 32 value value NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 17 33 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 18 1 In in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 18 2 countries country NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 18 3 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 18 4 advanced advanced JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 18 5 stages stage NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 18 6 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 18 7 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 18 8 epidemic epidemic NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 18 9 it -PRON- PRP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 18 10 is be VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 18 11 useful useful JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 18 12 to to TO cord-321104-0rk1ef53 18 13 use use VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 18 14 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 18 15 number number NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 18 16 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 18 17 deaths death NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 18 18 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 19 1 Statistically statistically RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 19 2 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 19 3 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 19 4 relationship relationship NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 19 5 between between IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 19 6 infected infected JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 19 7 and and CC cord-321104-0rk1ef53 19 8 deaths death NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 19 9 has have VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 19 10 been be VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 19 11 estimated estimate VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 19 12 through through IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 19 13 large large JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 19 14 serology serology NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 19 15 studies study NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 19 16 [ [ -LRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 19 17 2 2 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 19 18 ] ] -RRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 19 19 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 20 1 One one CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 20 2 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 20 3 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 20 4 most most RBS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 20 5 advanced advanced JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 20 6 studies study NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 20 7 was be VBD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 20 8 done do VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 20 9 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 20 10 Spain Spain NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 20 11 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 20 12 using use VBG cord-321104-0rk1ef53 20 13 seroprevalence seroprevalence NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 20 14 studies study NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 20 15 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 20 16 distributed distribute VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 20 17 by by IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 20 18 age age NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 20 19 and and CC cord-321104-0rk1ef53 20 20 district district NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 20 21 [ [ -LRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 20 22 3 3 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 20 23 ] ] -RRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 20 24 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 21 1 By by IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 21 2 having have VBG cord-321104-0rk1ef53 21 3 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 21 4 fraction fraction NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 21 5 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 21 6 IgG IgG NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 21 7 positive positive JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 21 8 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 21 9 each each DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 21 10 age age NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 21 11 range range NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 21 12 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 21 13 and and CC cord-321104-0rk1ef53 21 14 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 21 15 data datum NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 21 16 on on IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 21 17 deaths death NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 21 18 due due JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 21 19 to to IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 21 20 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 21 21 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 21 22 which which WDT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 21 23 are be VBP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 21 24 more more RBR cord-321104-0rk1ef53 21 25 reliable reliable JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 21 26 than than IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 21 27 confirmed confirmed JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 21 28 cases case NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 21 29 ( ( -LRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 21 30 despite despite IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 21 31 possible possible JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 21 32 undercounts undercount NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 21 33 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 21 34 vide vide NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 21 35 infra infra NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 21 36 ) ) -RRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 21 37 it -PRON- PRP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 21 38 is be VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 21 39 possible possible JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 21 40 to to TO cord-321104-0rk1ef53 21 41 determine determine VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 21 42 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 21 43 Infection Infection NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 21 44 - - HYPH cord-321104-0rk1ef53 21 45 Fatality Fatality NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 21 46 Ratio Ratio NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 21 47 ( ( -LRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 21 48 IFR IFR NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 21 49 ) ) -RRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 21 50 for for IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 21 51 each each DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 21 52 age age NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 21 53 range range NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 21 54 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 22 1 Through through IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 22 2 these these DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 22 3 rates rate NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 22 4 it -PRON- PRP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 22 5 is be VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 22 6 possible possible JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 22 7 to to TO cord-321104-0rk1ef53 22 8 determine determine VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 22 9 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 22 10 probable probable JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 22 11 number number NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 22 12 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 22 13 actual actual JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 22 14 cases case NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 22 15 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 22 16 infection infection NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 22 17 that that WDT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 22 18 generated generate VBD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 22 19 a a DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 22 20 certain certain JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 22 21 number number NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 22 22 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 22 23 deaths death NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 22 24 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 23 1 This this DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 23 2 can can MD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 23 3 be be VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 23 4 done do VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 23 5 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 23 6 multiple multiple JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 23 7 ways way NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 23 8 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 24 1 A a DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 24 2 Rule rule NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 24 3 - - HYPH cord-321104-0rk1ef53 24 4 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 24 5 - - HYPH cord-321104-0rk1ef53 24 6 Thumb thumb NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 24 7 rule rule NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 24 8 known know VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 24 9 as as IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 24 10 Garber Garber NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 24 11 's 's POS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 24 12 Theorem theorem NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 24 13 was be VBD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 24 14 used use VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 24 15 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 24 16 estimating estimate VBG cord-321104-0rk1ef53 24 17 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 24 18 infections infection NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 24 19 as as IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 24 20 200 200 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 24 21 times time NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 24 22 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 24 23 deaths death NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 24 24 figures figure NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 24 25 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 25 1 Guillermo Guillermo NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 25 2 Durán Durán NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 25 3 and and CC cord-321104-0rk1ef53 25 4 Rodrigo Rodrigo NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 25 5 Maidana Maidana NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 25 6 calculated calculate VBD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 25 7 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 25 8 proportion proportion NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 25 9 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 25 10 cases case NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 25 11 detected detect VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 25 12 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 25 13 each each DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 25 14 province province NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 25 15 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 25 16 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 25 17 country country NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 25 18 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 25 19 [ [ -LRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 25 20 4 4 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 25 21 ] ] -RRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 25 22 as as IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 25 23 shown show VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 25 24 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 25 25 Table Table NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 25 26 2 2 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 25 27 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 26 1 This this DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 26 2 estimate estimate NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 26 3 uses use VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 26 4 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 26 5 age age NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 26 6 pyramid pyramid NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 26 7 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 26 8 each each DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 26 9 district district NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 26 10 to to TO cord-321104-0rk1ef53 26 11 calculate calculate VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 26 12 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 26 13 expected expect VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 26 14 IFR IFR NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 26 15 if if IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 26 16 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 26 17 prevalence prevalence NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 26 18 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 26 19 infections infection NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 26 20 was be VBD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 26 21 homogeneous homogeneous JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 26 22 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 26 23 all all DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 26 24 age age NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 26 25 groups group NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 26 26 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 27 1 CC CC NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 27 2 - - HYPH cord-321104-0rk1ef53 27 3 BY BY NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 27 4 - - HYPH cord-321104-0rk1ef53 27 5 NC NC NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 27 6 - - HYPH cord-321104-0rk1ef53 27 7 ND ND NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 27 8 4.0 4.0 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 27 9 International international JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 27 10 license license NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 28 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 28 2 is be VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 28 3 made make VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 28 4 available available JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 28 5 under under IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 28 6 a a DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 29 1 is be VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 29 2 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 29 3 author author NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 29 4 / / SYM cord-321104-0rk1ef53 29 5 funder funder NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 29 6 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 29 7 who who WP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 29 8 has have VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 29 9 granted grant VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 29 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 29 11 a a DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 29 12 license license NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 29 13 to to TO cord-321104-0rk1ef53 29 14 display display VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 29 15 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 29 16 preprint preprint NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 29 17 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 29 18 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 29 19 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 30 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 30 2 which which WDT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 30 3 was be VBD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 30 4 not not RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 30 5 certified certify VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 30 6 by by IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 30 7 peer peer NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 30 8 review review NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 30 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 31 1 preprint preprint NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 32 1 The the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 32 2 copyright copyright NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 32 3 holder holder NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 32 4 for for IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 32 5 this this DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 32 6 this this DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 32 7 version version NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 32 8 posted post VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 32 9 September September NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 32 10 23 23 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 32 11 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 32 12 2020 2020 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 32 13 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 32 14 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 33 1 This this DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 33 2 calculation calculation NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 33 3 considers consider VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 33 4 that that IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 33 5 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 33 6 infections infection NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 33 7 are be VBP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 33 8 reflected reflect VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 33 9 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 33 10 deaths death NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 33 11 14 14 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 33 12 days day NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 33 13 after after IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 33 14 they -PRON- PRP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 33 15 occurred occur VBD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 33 16 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 33 17 which which WDT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 33 18 is be VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 33 19 a a DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 33 20 reasonable reasonable JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 33 21 approximation approximation NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 33 22 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 33 23 compatible compatible JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 33 24 with with IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 33 25 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 33 26 data datum NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 33 27 obtained obtain VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 33 28 from from IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 33 29 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 33 30 Argentinean argentinean JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 33 31 centralized centralized JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 33 32 data datum NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 33 33 system system NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 33 34 ( ( -LRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 33 35 SISA SISA NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 33 36 ) ) -RRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 33 37 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 34 1 With with IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 34 2 this this DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 34 3 estimate estimate NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 34 4 it -PRON- PRP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 34 5 is be VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 34 6 possible possible JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 34 7 to to TO cord-321104-0rk1ef53 34 8 reconstruct reconstruct VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 34 9 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 34 10 current current JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 34 11 value value NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 34 12 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 34 13 prevalence prevalence NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 34 14 by by IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 34 15 extrapolating extrapolate VBG cord-321104-0rk1ef53 34 16 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 34 17 values value NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 34 18 according accord VBG cord-321104-0rk1ef53 34 19 to to IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 34 20 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 34 21 rate rate NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 34 22 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 34 23 increase increase NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 34 24 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 34 25 deaths death NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 34 26 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 34 27 recent recent JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 34 28 weeks week NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 34 29 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 35 1 However however RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 35 2 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 35 3 there there EX cord-321104-0rk1ef53 35 4 are be VBP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 35 5 strong strong JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 35 6 reasons reason NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 35 7 to to TO cord-321104-0rk1ef53 35 8 expect expect VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 35 9 that that IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 35 10 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 35 11 prevalence prevalence NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 35 12 will will MD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 35 13 be be VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 35 14 higher high JJR cord-321104-0rk1ef53 35 15 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 35 16 some some DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 35 17 particular particular JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 35 18 age age NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 35 19 groups group NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 35 20 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 36 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 36 2 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 36 3 these these DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 36 4 estimates estimate NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 36 5 may may MD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 36 6 be be VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 36 7 closer close JJR cord-321104-0rk1ef53 36 8 to to IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 36 9 reality reality NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 36 10 if if IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 36 11 we -PRON- PRP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 36 12 take take VBP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 36 13 into into IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 36 14 account account NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 36 15 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 36 16 true true JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 36 17 age age NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 36 18 pyramid pyramid NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 36 19 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 36 20 deaths death NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 36 21 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 36 22 which which WDT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 36 23 will will MD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 36 24 have have VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 36 25 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 36 26 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 36 27 composition composition NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 36 28 not not RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 36 29 only only RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 36 30 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 36 31 population population NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 36 32 age age NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 36 33 pyramid pyramid NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 36 34 and and CC cord-321104-0rk1ef53 36 35 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 36 36 IFR IFR NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 36 37 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 36 38 each each DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 36 39 range range NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 36 40 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 36 41 but but CC cord-321104-0rk1ef53 36 42 also also RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 36 43 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 36 44 proportion proportion NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 36 45 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 36 46 which which WDT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 36 47 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 36 48 due due IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 36 49 to to IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 36 50 behavioral behavioral JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 36 51 differences difference NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 36 52 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 36 53 each each DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 36 54 age age NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 36 55 range range NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 36 56 is be VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 36 57 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 36 58 to to IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 36 59 infection infection NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 36 60 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 37 1 This this DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 37 2 preliminary preliminary JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 37 3 work work NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 37 4 addresses address VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 37 5 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 37 6 case case NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 37 7 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 37 8 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 37 9 Autonomous Autonomous NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 37 10 City City NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 37 11 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 37 12 Buenos Buenos NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 37 13 Aires Aires NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 37 14 ( ( -LRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 37 15 CABA CABA NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 37 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 37 17 as as IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 37 18 an an DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 37 19 example example NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 37 20 for for IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 37 21 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 37 22 determination determination NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 37 23 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 37 24 infections infection NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 37 25 by by IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 37 26 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 37 27 IFR IFR NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 37 28 method method NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 37 29 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 37 30 cases case NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 37 31 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 37 32 death death NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 37 33 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 38 1 The the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 38 2 basis basis NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 38 3 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 38 4 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 38 5 proposed propose VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 38 6 calculation calculation NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 38 7 is be VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 38 8 to to TO cord-321104-0rk1ef53 38 9 use use VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 38 10 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 38 11 reciprocal reciprocal JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 38 12 function function NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 38 13 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 38 14 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 38 15 IFR IFR NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 38 16 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 38 17 which which WDT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 38 18 indicates indicate VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 38 19 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 38 20 number number NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 38 21 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 38 22 infections infection NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 38 23 corresponding correspond VBG cord-321104-0rk1ef53 38 24 to to IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 38 25 each each DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 38 26 death death NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 38 27 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 39 1 Although although IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 39 2 this this DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 39 3 can can MD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 39 4 be be VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 39 5 done do VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 39 6 directly directly RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 39 7 with with IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 39 8 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 39 9 data datum NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 39 10 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 39 11 each each DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 39 12 range range NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 39 13 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 39 14 we -PRON- PRP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 39 15 chose choose VBD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 39 16 to to TO cord-321104-0rk1ef53 39 17 fit fit VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 39 18 a a DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 39 19 smooth smooth JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 39 20 log log NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 39 21 - - HYPH cord-321104-0rk1ef53 39 22 polynomial polynomial NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 39 23 curve curve NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 39 24 ( ( -LRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 39 25 to to TO cord-321104-0rk1ef53 39 26 reduce reduce VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 39 27 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 39 28 noise noise NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 39 29 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 39 30 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 39 31 determination determination NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 39 32 ) ) -RRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 39 33 to to IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 39 34 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 39 35 IFR IFR NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 39 36 values value NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 39 37 obtained obtain VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 39 38 from from IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 39 39 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 39 40 Spanish spanish JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 39 41 study study NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 39 42 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 40 1 To to TO cord-321104-0rk1ef53 40 2 do do VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 40 3 this this DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 40 4 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 40 5 equation equation NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 40 6 ( ( -LRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 40 7 1 1 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 40 8 ) ) -RRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 40 9 was be VBD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 40 10 fitted fit VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 40 11 to to IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 40 12 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 40 13 centers center NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 40 14 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 40 15 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 40 16 ranges range NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 40 17 referred refer VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 40 18 to to IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 40 19 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 40 20 Table Table NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 40 21 1 1 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 40 22 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 40 23 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 41 1 CC CC NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 41 2 - - HYPH cord-321104-0rk1ef53 41 3 BY BY NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 41 4 - - HYPH cord-321104-0rk1ef53 41 5 NC NC NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 41 6 - - HYPH cord-321104-0rk1ef53 41 7 ND ND NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 41 8 4.0 4.0 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 41 9 International international JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 41 10 license license NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 42 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 42 2 is be VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 42 3 made make VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 42 4 available available JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 42 5 under under IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 42 6 a a DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 43 1 is be VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 43 2 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 43 3 author author NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 43 4 / / SYM cord-321104-0rk1ef53 43 5 funder funder NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 43 6 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 43 7 who who WP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 43 8 has have VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 43 9 granted grant VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 43 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 43 11 a a DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 43 12 license license NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 43 13 to to TO cord-321104-0rk1ef53 43 14 display display VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 43 15 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 43 16 preprint preprint NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 43 17 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 43 18 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 43 19 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 44 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 44 2 which which WDT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 44 3 was be VBD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 44 4 not not RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 44 5 certified certify VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 44 6 by by IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 44 7 peer peer NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 44 8 review review NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 44 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 45 1 preprint preprint NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 46 1 The the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 46 2 copyright copyright NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 46 3 holder holder NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 46 4 for for IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 46 5 this this DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 46 6 this this DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 46 7 version version NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 46 8 posted post VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 46 9 September September NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 46 10 23 23 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 46 11 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 46 12 2020 2020 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 46 13 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 46 14 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 47 1 Figure figure NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 47 2 2 2 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 47 3 shows show VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 47 4 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 47 5 result result NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 47 6 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 47 7 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 47 8 transformation transformation NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 47 9 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 47 10 each each DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 47 11 death death NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 47 12 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 47 13 a a DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 47 14 number number NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 47 15 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 47 16 cases case NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 47 17 according accord VBG cord-321104-0rk1ef53 47 18 to to IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 47 19 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 47 20 curve curve NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 47 21 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 47 22 Figure figure NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 47 23 1 1 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 47 24 for for IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 47 25 CABA CABA NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 47 26 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 48 1 The the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 48 2 high high JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 48 3 peaks peak NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 48 4 that that WDT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 48 5 are be VBP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 48 6 seen see VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 48 7 are be VBP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 48 8 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 48 9 product product NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 48 10 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 48 11 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 48 12 few few JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 48 13 deaths death NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 48 14 that that WDT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 48 15 occurred occur VBD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 48 16 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 48 17 individuals individual NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 48 18 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 48 19 low low JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 48 20 age age NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 48 21 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 48 22 which which WDT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 48 23 are be VBP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 48 24 interpreted interpret VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 48 25 as as IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 48 26 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 48 27 product product NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 48 28 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 48 29 a a DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 48 30 large large JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 48 31 number number NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 48 32 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 48 33 point point NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 48 34 infections infection NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 48 35 with with IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 48 36 a a DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 48 37 delay delay NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 48 38 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 48 39 11 11 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 48 40 days day NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 48 41 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 48 42 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 48 43 death death NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 48 44 with with IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 48 45 respect respect NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 48 46 to to IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 48 47 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 48 48 date date NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 48 49 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 48 50 infection infection NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 48 51 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 49 1 While while IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 49 2 these these DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 49 3 curves curve NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 49 4 can can MD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 49 5 be be VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 49 6 smoothed smooth VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 49 7 out out RP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 49 8 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 49 9 they -PRON- PRP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 49 10 do do VBP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 49 11 not not RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 49 12 reflect reflect VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 49 13 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 49 14 likely likely JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 49 15 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 49 16 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 49 17 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 49 18 deaths death NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 49 19 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 50 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 50 2 is be VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 50 3 important important JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 50 4 to to TO cord-321104-0rk1ef53 50 5 note note VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 50 6 that that IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 50 7 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 50 8 final final JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 50 9 drop drop NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 50 10 does do VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 50 11 not not RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 50 12 correspond correspond VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 50 13 to to IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 50 14 a a DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 50 15 real real JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 50 16 trend trend NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 50 17 but but CC cord-321104-0rk1ef53 50 18 rather rather RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 50 19 to to IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 50 20 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 50 21 undercounting undercounting NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 50 22 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 50 23 deaths death NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 50 24 by by IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 50 25 two two CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 50 26 factors factor NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 50 27 : : : cord-321104-0rk1ef53 50 28 1 1 LS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 50 29 ) ) -RRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 50 30 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 50 31 infection infection NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 50 32 - - HYPH cord-321104-0rk1ef53 50 33 death death NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 50 34 time time NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 50 35 is be VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 50 36 very very RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 50 37 variable variable JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 50 38 and and CC cord-321104-0rk1ef53 50 39 2 2 LS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 50 40 ) ) -RRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 50 41 many many JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 50 42 districts district NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 50 43 are be VBP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 50 44 slow slow JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 50 45 to to TO cord-321104-0rk1ef53 50 46 register register VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 50 47 a a DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 50 48 large large JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 50 49 proportion proportion NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 50 50 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 50 51 deaths death NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 50 52 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 50 53 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 50 54 system system NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 50 55 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 51 1 Thus thus RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 51 2 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 51 3 each each DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 51 4 death death NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 51 5 registered register VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 51 6 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 51 7 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 51 8 Argentinean Argentinean NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 51 9 Integrated Integrated NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 51 10 Health Health NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 51 11 Information Information NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 51 12 System System NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 51 13 will will MD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 51 14 have have VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 51 15 a a DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 51 16 previous previous JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 51 17 number number NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 51 18 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 51 19 cases case NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 51 20 1 1 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 51 21 / / SYM cord-321104-0rk1ef53 51 22 IFR IFR NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 51 23 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 52 1 Although although IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 52 2 this this DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 52 3 number number NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 52 4 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 52 5 estimated estimate VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 52 6 actual actual JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 52 7 infections infection NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 52 8 can can MD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 52 9 be be VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 52 10 entered enter VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 52 11 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 52 12 a a DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 52 13 single single JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 52 14 day day NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 52 15 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 52 16 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 52 17 that that DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 52 18 case case NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 52 19 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 52 20 temporary temporary JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 52 21 values value NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 52 22 obtained obtain VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 52 23 will will MD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 52 24 be be VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 52 25 noisy noisy JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 52 26 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 52 27 especially especially RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 52 28 for for IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 52 29 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 52 30 age age NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 52 31 ranges range NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 52 32 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 52 33 lower low JJR cord-321104-0rk1ef53 52 34 IFR IFR NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 52 35 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 52 36 _SP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 53 1 To to TO cord-321104-0rk1ef53 53 2 eliminate eliminate VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 53 3 these these DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 53 4 problems problem NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 53 5 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 53 6 an an DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 53 7 infection infection NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 53 8 - - HYPH cord-321104-0rk1ef53 53 9 to to IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 53 10 - - HYPH cord-321104-0rk1ef53 53 11 death death NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 53 12 function function NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 53 13 obtained obtain VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 53 14 from from IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 53 15 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 53 16 experimental experimental JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 53 17 data datum NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 53 18 was be VBD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 53 19 used use VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 53 20 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 54 1 Figure figure NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 54 2 3 3 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 54 3 shows show VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 54 4 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 54 5 histogram histogram NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 54 6 from from IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 54 7 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 54 8 recorded record VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 54 9 date date NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 54 10 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 54 11 symptom symptom NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 54 12 onset onset NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 54 13 to to IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 54 14 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 54 15 date date NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 54 16 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 54 17 death death NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 54 18 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 55 1 The the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 55 2 data datum NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 55 3 were be VBD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 55 4 fitted fit VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 55 5 with with IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 55 6 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 55 7 following following JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 55 8 empirical empirical JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 55 9 expression expression NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 55 10 : : : cord-321104-0rk1ef53 55 11 Once once IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 55 12 this this DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 55 13 statistical statistical JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 55 14 dependency dependency NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 55 15 is be VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 55 16 established establish VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 55 17 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 55 18 each each DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 55 19 death death NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 55 20 will will MD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 55 21 be be VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 55 22 counted count VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 55 23 as as IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 55 24 1 1 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 55 25 / / SYM cord-321104-0rk1ef53 55 26 IFR ifr NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 55 27 number number NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 55 28 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 55 29 cases case NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 55 30 distributed distribute VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 55 31 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 55 32 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 55 33 previous previous JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 55 34 44 44 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 55 35 days day NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 55 36 according accord VBG cord-321104-0rk1ef53 55 37 to to IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 55 38 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 55 39 previous previous JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 55 40 curve curve NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 55 41 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 56 1 A a DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 56 2 typical typical JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 56 3 result result NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 56 4 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 56 5 this this DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 56 6 procedure procedure NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 56 7 is be VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 56 8 shown show VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 56 9 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 56 10 Figure Figure NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 56 11 4 4 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 56 12 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 56 13 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 57 1 CC CC NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 57 2 - - HYPH cord-321104-0rk1ef53 57 3 BY BY NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 57 4 - - HYPH cord-321104-0rk1ef53 57 5 NC NC NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 57 6 - - HYPH cord-321104-0rk1ef53 57 7 ND ND NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 57 8 4.0 4.0 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 57 9 International international JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 57 10 license license NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 58 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 58 2 is be VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 58 3 made make VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 58 4 available available JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 58 5 under under IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 58 6 a a DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 59 1 is be VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 59 2 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 59 3 author author NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 59 4 / / SYM cord-321104-0rk1ef53 59 5 funder funder NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 59 6 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 59 7 who who WP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 59 8 has have VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 59 9 granted grant VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 59 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 59 11 a a DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 59 12 license license NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 59 13 to to TO cord-321104-0rk1ef53 59 14 display display VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 59 15 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 59 16 preprint preprint NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 59 17 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 59 18 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 59 19 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 60 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 60 2 which which WDT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 60 3 was be VBD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 60 4 not not RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 60 5 certified certify VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 60 6 by by IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 60 7 peer peer NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 60 8 review review NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 60 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 61 1 preprint preprint NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 62 1 The the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 62 2 copyright copyright NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 62 3 holder holder NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 62 4 for for IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 62 5 this this DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 62 6 this this DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 62 7 version version NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 62 8 posted post VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 62 9 September September NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 62 10 23 23 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 62 11 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 62 12 2020 2020 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 62 13 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 62 14 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 63 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.09.21.20198416 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.09.21.20198416 ADD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 64 1 doi doi NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 64 2 : : : cord-321104-0rk1ef53 65 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 65 2 preprint preprint NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 66 1 The the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 66 2 local local JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 66 3 maxima maxima NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 66 4 observed observe VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 66 5 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 66 6 mid mid NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 66 7 - - NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 66 8 May May NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 66 9 and and CC cord-321104-0rk1ef53 66 10 June June NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 66 11 correspond correspond VBP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 66 12 to to IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 66 13 events event NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 66 14 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 66 15 death death NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 66 16 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 66 17 young young JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 66 18 people people NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 66 19 with with IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 66 20 very very RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 66 21 low low JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 66 22 IFR ifr NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 66 23 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 67 1 If if IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 67 2 restricted restrict VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 67 3 to to IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 67 4 those those DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 67 5 over over IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 67 6 30 30 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 67 7 years year NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 67 8 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 67 9 age age NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 67 10 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 67 11 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 67 12 dependency dependency NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 67 13 takes take VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 67 14 on on RP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 67 15 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 67 16 appearance appearance NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 67 17 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 67 18 Figure figure NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 67 19 5 5 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 67 20 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 68 1 The the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 68 2 decrease decrease NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 68 3 observed observe VBD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 68 4 at at IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 68 5 dates date NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 68 6 at at IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 68 7 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 68 8 end end NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 68 9 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 68 10 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 68 11 graph graph NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 68 12 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 68 13 close close JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 68 14 to to IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 68 15 that that DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 68 16 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 68 17 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 68 18 used use VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 68 19 dataset dataset NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 69 1 is be VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 69 2 again again RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 69 3 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 69 4 result result NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 69 5 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 69 6 data datum NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 69 7 censoring censoring NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 69 8 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 70 1 Many many JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 70 2 cases case NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 70 3 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 70 4 infection infection NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 70 5 that that WDT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 70 6 will will MD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 70 7 end end VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 70 8 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 70 9 death death NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 70 10 are be VBP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 70 11 not not RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 70 12 yet yet RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 70 13 counted count VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 70 14 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 70 15 and and CC cord-321104-0rk1ef53 70 16 a a DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 70 17 proportion proportion NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 70 18 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 70 19 cases case NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 70 20 that that WDT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 70 21 have have VBP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 70 22 already already RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 70 23 died die VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 70 24 have have VBP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 70 25 not not RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 70 26 been be VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 70 27 loaded load VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 70 28 into into IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 70 29 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 70 30 system system NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 70 31 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 71 1 To to TO cord-321104-0rk1ef53 71 2 solve solve VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 71 3 this this DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 71 4 problem problem NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 71 5 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 71 6 a a DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 71 7 normalizing normalize VBG cord-321104-0rk1ef53 71 8 function function NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 71 9 was be VBD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 71 10 built build VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 71 11 by by IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 71 12 using use VBG cord-321104-0rk1ef53 71 13 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 71 14 data datum NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 71 15 recorded record VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 71 16 on on IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 71 17 1/8/2020 1/8/2020 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 71 18 and and CC cord-321104-0rk1ef53 71 19 comparing compare VBG cord-321104-0rk1ef53 71 20 it -PRON- PRP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 71 21 with with IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 71 22 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 71 23 data datum NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 71 24 from from IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 71 25 11/9/2020 11/9/2020 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 71 26 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 71 27 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 71 28 date date NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 71 29 on on IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 71 30 which which WDT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 71 31 all all PDT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 71 32 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 71 33 July July NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 71 34 data datum NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 71 35 are be VBP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 71 36 supposed suppose VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 71 37 to to TO cord-321104-0rk1ef53 71 38 be be VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 71 39 stable stable JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 71 40 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 72 1 This this DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 72 2 function function NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 72 3 is be VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 72 4 defined define VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 72 5 by by IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 72 6 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 72 7 following following JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 72 8 empirical empirical JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 72 9 expression expression NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 72 10 Equation equation NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 72 11 ( ( -LRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 72 12 3 3 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 72 13 ) ) -RRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 72 14 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 72 15 which which WDT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 72 16 t t VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 72 17 is be VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 72 18 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 72 19 temporal temporal JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 72 20 distance distance NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 72 21 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 72 22 days day NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 72 23 between between IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 72 24 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 72 25 last last JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 72 26 date date NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 72 27 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 72 28 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 72 29 dataset dataset NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 72 30 and and CC cord-321104-0rk1ef53 72 31 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 72 32 date date NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 72 33 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 72 34 estimated estimate VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 72 35 cases case NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 72 36 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 72 37 infection infection NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 72 38 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 72 39 A a NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 72 40 = = SYM cord-321104-0rk1ef53 72 41 53.84 53.84 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 72 42 and and CC cord-321104-0rk1ef53 72 43 B=1.29 B=1.29 NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 72 44 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 72 45 values value NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 72 46 obtained obtain VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 72 47 by by IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 72 48 fitting fit VBG cord-321104-0rk1ef53 72 49 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 72 50 old old JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 72 51 data datum NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 72 52 to to IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 72 53 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 72 54 new new JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 72 55 one one CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 72 56 using use VBG cord-321104-0rk1ef53 72 57 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 72 58 transformation transformation NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 72 59 D D NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 72 60 old old JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 72 61 •Y •Y NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 72 62 = = NFP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 73 1 D D NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 73 2 new new NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 74 1 The the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 74 2 result result NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 74 3 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 74 4 applying apply VBG cord-321104-0rk1ef53 74 5 this this DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 74 6 transformation transformation NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 74 7 is be VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 74 8 shown show VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 74 9 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 74 10 Figure Figure NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 74 11 _SP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 74 12 6 6 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 74 13 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 74 14 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 75 1 CC CC NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 75 2 - - HYPH cord-321104-0rk1ef53 75 3 BY BY NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 75 4 - - HYPH cord-321104-0rk1ef53 75 5 NC NC NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 75 6 - - HYPH cord-321104-0rk1ef53 75 7 ND ND NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 75 8 4.0 4.0 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 75 9 International international JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 75 10 license license NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 76 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 76 2 is be VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 76 3 made make VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 76 4 available available JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 76 5 under under IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 76 6 a a DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 77 1 is be VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 77 2 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 77 3 author author NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 77 4 / / SYM cord-321104-0rk1ef53 77 5 funder funder NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 77 6 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 77 7 who who WP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 77 8 has have VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 77 9 granted grant VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 77 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 77 11 a a DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 77 12 license license NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 77 13 to to TO cord-321104-0rk1ef53 77 14 display display VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 77 15 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 77 16 preprint preprint NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 77 17 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 77 18 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 77 19 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 78 1 Since since IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 78 2 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 78 3 data datum NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 78 4 have have VBP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 78 5 been be VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 78 6 obtained obtain VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 78 7 with with IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 78 8 IFR IFR NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 78 9 as as IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 78 10 a a DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 78 11 function function NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 78 12 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 78 13 age age NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 78 14 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 78 15 it -PRON- PRP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 78 16 is be VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 78 17 possible possible JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 78 18 to to TO cord-321104-0rk1ef53 78 19 determine determine VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 78 20 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 78 21 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 78 22 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 78 23 each each DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 78 24 age age NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 78 25 range range VBP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 78 26 individually individually RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 78 27 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 79 1 The the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 79 2 result result NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 79 3 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 79 4 once once RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 79 5 normalized normalize VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 79 6 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 79 7 is be VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 79 8 shown show VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 79 9 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 79 10 Figure Figure NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 79 11 7 7 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 79 12 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 79 13 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 80 1 CC CC NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 80 2 - - HYPH cord-321104-0rk1ef53 80 3 BY BY NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 80 4 - - HYPH cord-321104-0rk1ef53 80 5 NC NC NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 80 6 - - HYPH cord-321104-0rk1ef53 80 7 ND ND NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 80 8 4.0 4.0 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 80 9 International international JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 80 10 license license NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 81 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 81 2 is be VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 81 3 made make VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 81 4 available available JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 81 5 under under IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 81 6 a a DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 82 1 is be VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 82 2 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 82 3 author author NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 82 4 / / SYM cord-321104-0rk1ef53 82 5 funder funder NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 82 6 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 82 7 who who WP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 82 8 has have VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 82 9 granted grant VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 82 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 82 11 a a DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 82 12 license license NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 82 13 to to TO cord-321104-0rk1ef53 82 14 display display VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 82 15 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 82 16 preprint preprint NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 82 17 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 82 18 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 82 19 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 83 1 The the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 83 2 time time NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 83 3 integration integration NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 83 4 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 83 5 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 83 6 curves curve NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 83 7 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 83 8 Figure figure NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 83 9 7 7 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 83 10 corresponds correspond VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 83 11 to to IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 83 12 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 83 13 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 83 14 prevalence prevalence NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 83 15 for for IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 83 16 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 83 17 city city NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 83 18 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 83 19 Buenos Buenos NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 83 20 Aires Aires NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 83 21 and and CC cord-321104-0rk1ef53 83 22 can can MD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 83 23 be be VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 83 24 seen see VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 83 25 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 83 26 Figure Figure NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 83 27 8 8 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 83 28 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 84 1 The the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 84 2 estimated estimate VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 84 3 prevalence prevalence NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 84 4 as as IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 84 5 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 84 6 August August NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 84 7 31 31 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 84 8 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 84 9 2020 2020 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 84 10 is be VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 84 11 shown show VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 84 12 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 84 13 Figure Figure NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 84 14 9 9 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 84 15 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 84 16 _SP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 85 1 The the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 85 2 use use NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 85 3 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 85 4 " " `` cord-321104-0rk1ef53 85 5 confirmed confirm VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 85 6 cases case NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 85 7 " " '' cord-321104-0rk1ef53 85 8 as as IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 85 9 a a DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 85 10 widespread widespread JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 85 11 metric metric NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 85 12 throughout throughout IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 85 13 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 85 14 world world NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 85 15 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 85 16 especially especially RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 85 17 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 85 18 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 85 19 media medium NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 85 20 and and CC cord-321104-0rk1ef53 85 21 social social JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 85 22 networks network NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 85 23 has have VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 85 24 many many JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 85 25 implications implication NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 85 26 not not RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 85 27 usually usually RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 85 28 considered consider VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 85 29 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 86 1 One one CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 86 2 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 86 3 them -PRON- PRP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 86 4 is be VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 86 5 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 86 6 factual factual JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 86 7 impossibility impossibility NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 86 8 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 86 9 comparing compare VBG cord-321104-0rk1ef53 86 10 situations situation NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 86 11 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 86 12 2 2 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 86 13 different different JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 86 14 regions region NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 86 15 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 86 16 countries country NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 86 17 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 86 18 districts district NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 86 19 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 86 20 and and CC cord-321104-0rk1ef53 86 21 even even RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 86 22 within within IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 86 23 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 86 24 same same JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 86 25 area area NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 86 26 at at IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 86 27 two two CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 86 28 different different JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 86 29 times time NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 86 30 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 87 1 This this DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 87 2 is be VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 87 3 because because IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 87 4 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 87 5 relationship relationship NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 87 6 between between IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 87 7 " " `` cord-321104-0rk1ef53 87 8 confirmed confirm VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 87 9 cases case NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 87 10 " " '' cord-321104-0rk1ef53 87 11 and and CC cord-321104-0rk1ef53 87 12 actual actual JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 87 13 cases case NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 87 14 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 87 15 SARS SARS NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 87 16 - - HYPH cord-321104-0rk1ef53 87 17 COV-2 COV-2 NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 87 18 infection infection NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 87 19 is be VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 87 20 extremely extremely RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 87 21 uncertain uncertain JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 87 22 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 87 23 and and CC cord-321104-0rk1ef53 87 24 depends depend VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 87 25 heavily heavily RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 87 26 on on IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 87 27 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 87 28 testing testing NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 87 29 policy policy NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 87 30 and and CC cord-321104-0rk1ef53 87 31 strategy strategy NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 87 32 and and CC cord-321104-0rk1ef53 87 33 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 87 34 capacity capacity NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 87 35 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 87 36 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 87 37 system system NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 87 38 to to TO cord-321104-0rk1ef53 87 39 manage manage VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 87 40 large large JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 87 41 numbers number NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 87 42 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 87 43 infections infection NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 87 44 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 87 45 a a DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 87 46 timely timely JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 87 47 manner manner NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 87 48 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 88 1 Only only RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 88 2 a a DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 88 3 tiny tiny JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 88 4 minority minority NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 88 5 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 88 6 countries country NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 88 7 have have VBP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 88 8 achieved achieve VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 88 9 a a DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 88 10 testing testing NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 88 11 system system NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 88 12 that that WDT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 88 13 roughly roughly RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 88 14 reflects reflect VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 88 15 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 88 16 actual actual JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 88 17 number number NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 88 18 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 88 19 infections infection NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 88 20 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 88 21 which which WDT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 88 22 is be VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 88 23 particularly particularly RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 88 24 difficult difficult JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 88 25 since since IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 88 26 many many JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 88 27 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 88 28 them -PRON- PRP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 88 29 are be VBP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 88 30 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 88 31 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 88 32 with with IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 88 33 estimates estimate NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 88 34 varied vary VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 88 35 from from IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 88 36 15 15 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 88 37 % % NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 88 38 to to TO cord-321104-0rk1ef53 88 39 80 80 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 88 40 % % NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 88 41 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 88 42 those those DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 88 43 infected infect VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 88 44 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 89 1 [ [ -LRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 89 2 6 6 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 89 3 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 89 4 7 7 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 89 5 ] ] -RRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 90 1 The the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 90 2 terminology terminology NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 90 3 frequently frequently RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 90 4 used use VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 90 5 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 90 6 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 90 7 media medium NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 90 8 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 90 9 calling call VBG cord-321104-0rk1ef53 90 10 confirmed confirm VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 90 11 cases case NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 90 12 " " `` cord-321104-0rk1ef53 90 13 contagions contagion NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 90 14 " " '' cord-321104-0rk1ef53 90 15 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 90 16 suggests suggest VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 90 17 that that IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 90 18 this this DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 90 19 number number NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 90 20 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 90 21 reported report VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 90 22 cases case NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 90 23 actually actually RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 90 24 corresponds correspond VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 90 25 to to IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 90 26 those those DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 90 27 infected infect VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 90 28 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 91 1 However however RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 91 2 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 91 3 it -PRON- PRP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 91 4 is be VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 91 5 common common JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 91 6 to to TO cord-321104-0rk1ef53 91 7 find find VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 91 8 whole whole JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 91 9 countries country NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 91 10 where where WRB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 91 11 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 91 12 number number NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 91 13 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 91 14 confirmed confirm VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 91 15 cases case NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 91 16 can can MD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 91 17 be be VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 91 18 estimated estimate VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 91 19 to to TO cord-321104-0rk1ef53 91 20 be be VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 91 21 20 20 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 91 22 - - SYM cord-321104-0rk1ef53 91 23 30 30 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 91 24 times time NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 91 25 lower low JJR cord-321104-0rk1ef53 91 26 than than IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 91 27 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 91 28 actual actual JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 91 29 number number NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 91 30 ( ( -LRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 91 31 e.g. e.g. RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 91 32 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 91 33 Belgium Belgium NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 91 34 ) ) -RRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 91 35 or or CC cord-321104-0rk1ef53 91 36 cities city NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 91 37 where where WRB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 91 38 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 91 39 ratio ratio NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 91 40 was be VBD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 91 41 50 50 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 91 42 to to TO cord-321104-0rk1ef53 91 43 1 1 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 91 44 ( ( -LRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 91 45 London London NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 91 46 ) ) -RRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 91 47 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 92 1 This this DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 92 2 effect effect NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 92 3 is be VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 92 4 exacerbated exacerbate VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 92 5 when when WRB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 92 6 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 92 7 a a DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 92 8 situation situation NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 92 9 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 92 10 mass mass JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 92 11 transmission transmission NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 92 12 and and CC cord-321104-0rk1ef53 92 13 system system NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 92 14 saturation saturation NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 92 15 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 93 1 The the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 93 2 Mandatory Mandatory NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 93 3 Social Social NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 93 4 Preventive Preventive NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 93 5 Isolation isolation NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 93 6 ( ( -LRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 93 7 ASPO ASPO NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 93 8 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 93 9 from from IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 93 10 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 93 11 initials initial NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 93 12 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 93 13 Spanish Spanish NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 93 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 93 15 was be VBD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 93 16 nationwide nationwide JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 93 17 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 93 18 Argentine Argentine NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 93 19 at at IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 93 20 March March NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 93 21 20th 20th NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 93 22 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 93 23 and and CC cord-321104-0rk1ef53 93 24 was be VBD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 93 25 effectively effectively RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 93 26 complied comply VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 93 27 with with IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 93 28 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 93 29 all all DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 93 30 districts district NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 93 31 for for IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 93 32 approximately approximately RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 93 33 2 2 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 93 34 to to TO cord-321104-0rk1ef53 93 35 3 3 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 93 36 weeks week NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 93 37 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 94 1 From from IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 94 2 that that DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 94 3 moment moment NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 94 4 on on IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 94 5 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 94 6 different different JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 94 7 districts district NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 94 8 carried carry VBD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 94 9 out out RP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 94 10 different different JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 94 11 policies policy NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 94 12 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 94 13 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 94 14 management management NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 94 15 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 94 16 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 94 17 pandemic pandemic NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 94 18 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 94 19 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 95 1 CC CC NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 95 2 - - HYPH cord-321104-0rk1ef53 95 3 BY BY NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 95 4 - - HYPH cord-321104-0rk1ef53 95 5 NC NC NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 95 6 - - HYPH cord-321104-0rk1ef53 95 7 ND ND NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 95 8 4.0 4.0 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 95 9 International international JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 95 10 license license NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 96 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 96 2 is be VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 96 3 made make VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 96 4 available available JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 96 5 under under IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 96 6 a a DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 97 1 is be VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 97 2 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 97 3 author author NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 97 4 / / SYM cord-321104-0rk1ef53 97 5 funder funder NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 97 6 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 97 7 who who WP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 97 8 has have VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 97 9 granted grant VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 97 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 97 11 a a DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 97 12 license license NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 97 13 to to TO cord-321104-0rk1ef53 97 14 display display VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 97 15 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 97 16 preprint preprint NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 97 17 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 97 18 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 97 19 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 98 1 The the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 98 2 copyright copyright NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 98 3 holder holder NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 98 4 for for IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 98 5 this this DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 98 6 this this DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 98 7 version version NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 98 8 posted post VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 98 9 September September NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 98 10 23 23 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 98 11 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 98 12 2020 2020 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 98 13 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 98 14 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 1 In in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 2 particular particular JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 3 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 4 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 5 Autonomous Autonomous NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 6 City City NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 7 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 8 Buenos Buenos NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 9 Aires Aires NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 10 had have VBD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 11 an an DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 12 openness openness NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 13 policy policy NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 14 from from IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 15 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 16 beginning beginning NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 17 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 18 taking take VBG cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 19 to to IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 20 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 21 extreme extreme JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 22 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 23 original original JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 24 idea idea NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 25 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 26 " " `` cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 27 flattening flatten VBG cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 28 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 29 curve curve NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 30 " " '' cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 31 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 32 infections infection NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 33 ( ( -LRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 34 aka aka RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 35 mitigation mitigation NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 36 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 37 as as IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 38 contrary contrary JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 39 to to IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 40 suppression suppression NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 41 ) ) -RRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 42 so so IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 43 that that IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 44 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 45 population population NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 46 would would MD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 47 be be VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 48 infected infect VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 49 at at IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 50 a a DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 51 low low JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 52 rate rate NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 53 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 54 order order NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 55 to to TO cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 56 prevent prevent VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 57 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 58 collapse collapse NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 59 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 60 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 61 health health NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 62 system system NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 63 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 64 but but CC cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 65 not not RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 66 adopting adopt VBG cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 67 active active JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 68 policies policy NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 69 that that WDT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 70 would would MD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 71 try try VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 72 to to TO cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 73 eliminate eliminate VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 74 or or CC cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 75 reduce reduce VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 76 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 77 number number NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 78 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 79 daily daily JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 80 infections infection NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 99 81 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 100 1 Additionally additionally RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 100 2 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 100 3 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 100 4 policy policy NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 100 5 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 100 6 control control NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 100 7 and and CC cord-321104-0rk1ef53 100 8 sanitary sanitary JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 100 9 isolation isolation NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 100 10 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 100 11 those those DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 100 12 who who WP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 100 13 arrived arrive VBD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 100 14 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 100 15 Argentina Argentina NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 100 16 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 100 17 repatriation repatriation NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 100 18 flights flight NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 100 19 from from IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 100 20 countries country NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 100 21 with with IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 100 22 very very RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 100 23 high high JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 100 24 viral viral JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 100 25 circulation circulation NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 100 26 was be VBD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 100 27 not not RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 100 28 very very RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 100 29 effective effective JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 100 30 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 101 1 They -PRON- PRP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 101 2 were be VBD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 101 3 isolated isolate VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 101 4 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 101 5 hotels hotel NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 101 6 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 101 7 with with IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 101 8 subsequent subsequent JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 101 9 swabbing swabbing NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 101 10 and and CC cord-321104-0rk1ef53 101 11 return return VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 101 12 home home RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 101 13 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 101 14 case case NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 101 15 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 101 16 negative negative JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 101 17 results result NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 101 18 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 102 1 The the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 102 2 high high JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 102 3 rate rate NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 102 4 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 102 5 false false JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 102 6 negatives negative NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 102 7 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 102 8 PCR PCR NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 102 9 during during IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 102 10 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 102 11 first first JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 102 12 days day NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 102 13 after after IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 102 14 infection infection NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 102 15 [ [ -LRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 102 16 8 8 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 102 17 ] ] -RRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 102 18 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 102 19 and and CC cord-321104-0rk1ef53 102 20 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 102 21 possible possible JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 102 22 subsequent subsequent JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 102 23 failure failure NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 102 24 to to TO cord-321104-0rk1ef53 102 25 comply comply VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 102 26 with with IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 102 27 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 102 28 mandatory mandatory JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 102 29 isolation isolation NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 102 30 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 102 31 homes home NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 102 32 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 102 33 may may MD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 102 34 have have VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 102 35 produced produce VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 102 36 a a DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 102 37 continuous continuous JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 102 38 influx influx NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 102 39 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 102 40 infected infect VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 102 41 during during IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 102 42 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 102 43 months month NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 102 44 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 102 45 March March NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 102 46 to to IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 102 47 June June NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 102 48 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 102 49 which which WDT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 102 50 may may MD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 102 51 explain explain VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 102 52 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 102 53 inability inability NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 102 54 to to TO cord-321104-0rk1ef53 102 55 reduce reduce VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 102 56 cases case NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 102 57 to to IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 102 58 very very RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 102 59 low low JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 102 60 levels level NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 102 61 as as IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 102 62 happened happen VBD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 102 63 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 102 64 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 102 65 rest rest NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 102 66 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 102 67 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 102 68 Argentine argentine JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 102 69 provinces province NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 102 70 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 103 1 After after IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 103 2 4 4 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 103 3 months month NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 103 4 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 103 5 rising rise VBG cord-321104-0rk1ef53 103 6 daily daily RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 103 7 confirmed confirm VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 103 8 cases case NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 103 9 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 103 10 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 103 11 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 103 12 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 103 13 cases case NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 103 14 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 103 15 CABA CABA NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 103 16 began begin VBD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 103 17 a a DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 103 18 series series NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 103 19 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 103 20 rises rise NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 103 21 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 103 22 stabilizations stabilization NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 103 23 and and CC cord-321104-0rk1ef53 103 24 gentle gentle JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 103 25 declines decline NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 103 26 that that WDT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 103 27 remained remain VBD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 103 28 around around IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 103 29 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 103 30 1000 1000 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 103 31 confirmed confirm VBD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 103 32 cases case NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 103 33 per per IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 103 34 day day NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 103 35 on on IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 103 36 average average JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 103 37 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 104 1 This this DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 104 2 trend trend NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 104 3 is be VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 104 4 shown show VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 104 5 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 104 6 Figure Figure NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 104 7 8 8 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 104 8 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 105 1 However however RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 105 2 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 105 3 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 105 4 positivity positivity NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 105 5 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 105 6 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 105 7 tests test NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 105 8 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 105 9 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 105 10 order order NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 105 11 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 105 12 40 40 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 105 13 to to TO cord-321104-0rk1ef53 105 14 50 50 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 105 15 % % NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 105 16 on on IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 105 17 most most JJS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 105 18 days day NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 105 19 indicates indicate VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 105 20 that that IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 105 21 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 105 22 actual actual JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 105 23 number number NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 105 24 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 105 25 cases case NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 105 26 per per IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 105 27 day day NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 105 28 should should MD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 105 29 be be VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 105 30 much much RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 105 31 higher high JJR cord-321104-0rk1ef53 105 32 than than IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 105 33 those those DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 105 34 reported report VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 105 35 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 106 1 For for IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 106 2 this this DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 106 3 purpose purpose NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 106 4 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 106 5 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 106 6 number number NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 106 7 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 106 8 deaths death NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 106 9 through through IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 106 10 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 106 11 IFR IFR NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 106 12 can can MD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 106 13 be be VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 106 14 used use VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 106 15 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 106 16 obtaining obtain VBG cord-321104-0rk1ef53 106 17 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 106 18 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 106 19 shown show VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 106 20 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 106 21 Figure Figure NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 106 22 6 6 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 106 23 and and CC cord-321104-0rk1ef53 106 24 following follow VBG cord-321104-0rk1ef53 106 25 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 107 1 Through through IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 107 2 this this DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 107 3 analysis analysis NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 107 4 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 107 5 it -PRON- PRP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 107 6 can can MD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 107 7 be be VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 107 8 seen see VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 107 9 that that IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 107 10 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 107 11 curve curve NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 107 12 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 107 13 cases case NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 107 14 estimated estimate VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 107 15 from from IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 107 16 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 107 17 IFR IFR NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 107 18 is be VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 107 19 approximately approximately RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 107 20 10 10 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 107 21 times time NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 107 22 higher high JJR cord-321104-0rk1ef53 107 23 than than IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 107 24 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 107 25 curve curve NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 107 26 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 107 27 confirmed confirm VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 107 28 cases case NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 107 29 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 107 30 indicating indicate VBG cord-321104-0rk1ef53 107 31 that that IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 107 32 90 90 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 107 33 % % NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 107 34 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 107 35 cases case NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 107 36 go go VBP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 107 37 undetected undetected JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 107 38 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 108 1 On on IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 108 2 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 108 3 other other JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 108 4 hand hand NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 108 5 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 108 6 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 108 7 shape shape NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 108 8 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 108 9 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 108 10 curve curve NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 108 11 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 108 12 confirmed confirm VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 108 13 cases case NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 108 14 shows show VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 108 15 a a DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 108 16 saturation saturation NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 108 17 effect effect NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 108 18 that that WDT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 108 19 is be VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 108 20 not not RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 108 21 observed observe VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 108 22 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 108 23 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 108 24 curve curve NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 108 25 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 108 26 infections infection NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 108 27 estimated estimate VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 108 28 from from IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 108 29 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 108 30 IFR IFR NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 108 31 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 108 32 suggesting suggest VBG cord-321104-0rk1ef53 108 33 that that IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 108 34 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 108 35 limit limit NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 108 36 imposed impose VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 108 37 by by IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 108 38 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 108 39 testing testing NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 108 40 system system NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 108 41 is be VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 108 42 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 109 1 CC CC NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 109 2 - - HYPH cord-321104-0rk1ef53 109 3 BY BY NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 109 4 - - HYPH cord-321104-0rk1ef53 109 5 NC NC NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 109 6 - - HYPH cord-321104-0rk1ef53 109 7 ND ND NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 109 8 4.0 4.0 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 109 9 International international JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 109 10 license license NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 109 11 It -PRON- PRP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 109 12 is be VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 109 13 made make VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 109 14 available available JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 109 15 under under IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 109 16 a a DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 110 1 is be VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 110 2 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 110 3 author author NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 110 4 / / SYM cord-321104-0rk1ef53 110 5 funder funder NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 110 6 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 110 7 who who WP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 110 8 has have VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 110 9 granted grant VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 110 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 110 11 a a DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 110 12 license license NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 110 13 to to TO cord-321104-0rk1ef53 110 14 display display VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 110 15 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 110 16 preprint preprint NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 110 17 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 110 18 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 110 19 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 111 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 111 2 which which WDT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 111 3 was be VBD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 111 4 not not RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 111 5 certified certify VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 111 6 by by IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 111 7 peer peer NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 111 8 review review NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 111 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 112 1 preprint preprint NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 113 1 The the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 113 2 copyright copyright NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 113 3 holder holder NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 113 4 for for IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 113 5 this this DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 113 6 this this DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 113 7 version version NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 113 8 posted post VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 113 9 September September NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 113 10 23 23 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 113 11 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 113 12 2020 2020 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 113 13 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 113 14 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 114 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.09.21.20198416 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.09.21.20198416 ADD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 115 1 doi doi NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 115 2 : : : cord-321104-0rk1ef53 116 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 116 2 preprint preprint NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 116 3 responsible responsible JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 116 4 for for IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 116 5 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 116 6 high high JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 116 7 positivity positivity NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 116 8 and and CC cord-321104-0rk1ef53 116 9 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 116 10 subsequent subsequent JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 116 11 loss loss NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 116 12 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 116 13 cases case NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 116 14 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 117 1 This this DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 117 2 behavior behavior NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 117 3 can can MD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 117 4 be be VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 117 5 seen see VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 117 6 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 117 7 Figure Figure NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 117 8 _SP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 117 9 9 9 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 117 10 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 118 1 This this DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 118 2 ratio ratio NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 118 3 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 118 4 approximately approximately RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 118 5 10 10 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 118 6 to to TO cord-321104-0rk1ef53 118 7 1 1 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 118 8 has have VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 118 9 important important JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 118 10 consequences consequence NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 118 11 when when WRB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 118 12 analyzing analyze VBG cord-321104-0rk1ef53 118 13 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 118 14 situation situation NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 118 15 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 118 16 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 118 17 City City NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 118 18 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 119 1 The the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 119 2 most most RBS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 119 3 important important JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 119 4 is be VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 119 5 that that IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 119 6 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 119 7 number number NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 119 8 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 119 9 confirmed confirm VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 119 10 cases case NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 119 11 accumulated accumulate VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 119 12 at at IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 119 13 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 119 14 end end NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 119 15 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 119 16 August August NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 119 17 corresponds correspond VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 119 18 to to IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 119 19 approximately approximately RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 119 20 3.3 3.3 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 119 21 % % NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 119 22 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 119 23 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 119 24 total total JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 119 25 population population NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 119 26 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 120 1 This this DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 120 2 number number NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 120 3 sets set VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 120 4 a a DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 120 5 lower low JJR cord-321104-0rk1ef53 120 6 limit limit NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 120 7 for for IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 120 8 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 120 9 prevalence prevalence NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 120 10 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 121 1 In in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 121 2 contrast contrast NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 121 3 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 121 4 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 121 5 integration integration NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 121 6 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 121 7 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 121 8 cases case NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 121 9 estimated estimate VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 121 10 by by IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 121 11 IFR IFR NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 121 12 corresponds correspond VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 121 13 to to IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 121 14 40 40 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 121 15 % % NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 121 16 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 121 17 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 121 18 total total JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 121 19 population population NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 121 20 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 121 21 CABA CABA NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 121 22 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 121 23 which which WDT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 121 24 would would MD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 121 25 indicate indicate VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 121 26 a a DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 121 27 completely completely RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 121 28 different different JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 121 29 situation situation NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 121 30 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 122 1 The the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 122 2 analysis analysis NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 122 3 by by IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 122 4 age age NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 122 5 range range NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 122 6 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 122 7 this this DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 122 8 40 40 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 122 9 % % NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 122 10 indicates indicate VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 122 11 that that IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 122 12 while while IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 122 13 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 122 14 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 122 15 range range NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 122 16 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 122 17 20 20 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 122 18 to to TO cord-321104-0rk1ef53 122 19 60 60 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 122 20 years year NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 122 21 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 122 22 contagion contagion NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 122 23 would would MD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 122 24 reach reach VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 122 25 about about RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 122 26 50 50 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 122 27 % % NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 122 28 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 122 29 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 122 30 population population NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 122 31 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 122 32 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 122 33 prevalence prevalence NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 122 34 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 122 35 senior senior JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 122 36 citizens citizen NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 122 37 is be VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 122 38 much much RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 122 39 lower low JJR cord-321104-0rk1ef53 122 40 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 123 1 This this DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 123 2 may may MD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 123 3 be be VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 123 4 due due JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 123 5 to to IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 123 6 fewer few JJR cord-321104-0rk1ef53 123 7 daily daily JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 123 8 social social JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 123 9 contacts contact NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 123 10 by by IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 123 11 seniors senior NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 123 12 [ [ -LRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 123 13 9 9 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 123 14 ] ] -RRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 123 15 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 123 16 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 123 17 greater great JJR cord-321104-0rk1ef53 123 18 caution caution NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 123 19 they -PRON- PRP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 123 20 have have VBP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 123 21 taken take VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 123 22 to to TO cord-321104-0rk1ef53 123 23 protect protect VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 123 24 themselves -PRON- PRP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 123 25 from from IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 123 26 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 123 27 virus virus NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 123 28 ( ( -LRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 123 29 fright fright NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 123 30 immunity immunity NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 123 31 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 123 32 " " '' cord-321104-0rk1ef53 123 33 inmunidad inmunidad NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 123 34 de de IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 123 35 cagazo cagazo NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 123 36 " " '' cord-321104-0rk1ef53 123 37 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 123 38 original original JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 123 39 Argentinean argentinean JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 123 40 slang slang NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 123 41 ) ) -RRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 123 42 and/or and/or CC cord-321104-0rk1ef53 123 43 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 123 44 fact fact NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 123 45 that that IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 123 46 people people NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 123 47 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 123 48 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 123 49 20s 20 NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 123 50 and and CC cord-321104-0rk1ef53 123 51 30s 30 NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 123 52 make make VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 123 53 up up RP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 123 54 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 123 55 majority majority NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 123 56 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 123 57 active active JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 123 58 workers worker NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 123 59 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 124 1 There there EX cord-321104-0rk1ef53 124 2 were be VBD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 124 3 no no DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 124 4 specific specific JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 124 5 health health NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 124 6 measures measure NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 124 7 to to TO cord-321104-0rk1ef53 124 8 reduce reduce VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 124 9 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 124 10 exposure exposure NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 124 11 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 124 12 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 124 13 older old JJR cord-321104-0rk1ef53 124 14 population population NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 124 15 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 124 16 except except IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 124 17 for for IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 124 18 some some DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 124 19 preventive preventive JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 124 20 and and CC cord-321104-0rk1ef53 124 21 early early JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 124 22 detection detection NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 124 23 measures measure NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 124 24 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 124 25 geriatric geriatric JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 124 26 hospitals hospital NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 124 27 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 125 1 On on IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 125 2 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 125 3 other other JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 125 4 hand hand NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 125 5 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 125 6 despite despite IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 125 7 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 125 8 noise noise NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 125 9 inherent inherent JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 125 10 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 125 11 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 125 12 low low JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 125 13 IFRs ifr NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 125 14 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 125 15 these these DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 125 16 age age NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 125 17 ranges range NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 125 18 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 125 19 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 125 20 curves curve NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 125 21 corresponding correspond VBG cord-321104-0rk1ef53 125 22 to to IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 125 23 individuals individual NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 125 24 aged age VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 125 25 20 20 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 125 26 - - SYM cord-321104-0rk1ef53 125 27 49 49 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 125 28 years year NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 125 29 suggest suggest VBP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 125 30 stagnation stagnation NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 125 31 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 125 32 perhaps perhaps RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 125 33 due due IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 125 34 to to IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 125 35 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 125 36 higher high JJR cord-321104-0rk1ef53 125 37 rate rate NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 125 38 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 125 39 previous previous JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 125 40 infection infection NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 125 41 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 126 1 This this DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 126 2 trend trend NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 126 3 is be VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 126 4 not not RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 126 5 clearly clearly RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 126 6 seen see VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 126 7 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 126 8 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 126 9 other other JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 126 10 ranges range NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 126 11 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 127 1 If if IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 127 2 this this DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 127 3 is be VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 127 4 indeed indeed RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 127 5 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 127 6 case case NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 127 7 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 127 8 this this DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 127 9 situation situation NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 127 10 poses pose VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 127 11 an an DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 127 12 imminent imminent JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 127 13 danger danger NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 127 14 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 1 By by IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 2 lowering lower VBG cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 3 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 4 number number NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 5 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 6 daily daily JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 7 cases case NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 8 due due JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 9 to to IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 10 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 11 reduction reduction NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 12 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 13 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 14 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 15 population population NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 16 through through IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 17 infection infection NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 18 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 19 conjunction conjunction NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 20 with with IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 21 reduced reduced JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 22 mobility mobility NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 23 and and CC cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 24 social social JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 25 connectivity connectivity NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 26 through through IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 27 current current JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 28 health health NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 29 regulations regulation NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 30 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 31 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 32 recovery recovery NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 33 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 34 confidence confidence NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 35 and and CC cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 36 " " `` cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 37 back back RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 38 to to IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 39 normality normality NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 40 " " '' cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 41 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 42 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 43 elderly elderly JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 44 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 45 an an DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 46 environment environment NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 47 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 48 high high JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 49 viral viral JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 50 circulation circulation NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 51 could could MD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 52 lead lead VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 53 to to IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 54 a a DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 55 significant significant JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 56 increase increase NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 57 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 58 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 59 death death NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 60 rate rate NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 61 without without IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 62 a a DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 63 large large JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 64 prior prior JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 65 increase increase NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 66 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 67 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 68 number number NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 69 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 70 cases case NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 71 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 72 given give VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 73 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 74 high high JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 75 IFR ifr NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 76 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 77 adults adult NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 78 over over IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 79 60 60 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 128 80 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 129 1 However however RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 129 2 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 129 3 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 129 4 case case NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 129 5 growth growth NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 129 6 curves curve NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 129 7 shown show VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 129 8 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 129 9 Figure figure NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 129 10 7 7 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 129 11 suggest suggest VBP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 129 12 that that IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 129 13 an an DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 129 14 overall overall JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 129 15 prevalence prevalence NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 129 16 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 129 17 40 40 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 129 18 % % NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 129 19 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 129 20 with with IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 129 21 peaks peak NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 129 22 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 129 23 60 60 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 129 24 % % NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 129 25 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 129 26 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 129 27 most most RBS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 129 28 mobile mobile JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 129 29 sector sector NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 129 30 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 129 31 society society NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 129 32 may may MD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 129 33 be be VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 129 34 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 129 35 result result NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 129 36 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 129 37 an an DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 129 38 underestimation underestimation NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 129 39 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 129 40 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 129 41 IFR IFR NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 129 42 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 1 Assuming assume VBG cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 2 that that IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 3 individuals individual NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 4 are be VBP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 5 immune immune JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 6 to to IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 7 reinfection reinfection NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 9 at at IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 10 least least JJS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 11 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 12 short short JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 13 time time NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 15 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 16 for for IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 17 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 18 values value NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 19 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 20 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 21 expected expect VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 22 and and CC cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 23 estimated estimate VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 24 R r NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 25 reproduction reproduction NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 26 number number NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 27 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 28 conditions condition NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 29 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 30 social social JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 31 distancing distancing NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 32 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 33 and and CC cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 34 confirmed confirm VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 35 by by IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 36 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 37 low low JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 38 slope slope NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 39 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 40 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 41 infection infection NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 42 curve curve NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 43 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 44 a a DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 45 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 46 prevalence prevalence NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 47 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 48 40 40 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 49 % % NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 50 should should MD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 51 be be VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 52 accompanied accompany VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 53 by by IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 54 a a DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 55 clear clear JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 56 lowering lowering NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 57 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 58 cases case NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 59 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 60 beyond beyond IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 61 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 62 sanitary sanitary JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 63 measures measure NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 64 provided provide VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 65 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 66 which which WDT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 67 is be VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 68 not not RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 69 observed observe VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 70 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 71 although although IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 72 it -PRON- PRP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 73 is be VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 74 glimpsed glimpse VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 75 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 76 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 77 last last JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 78 week week NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 79 analyzed analyze VBD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 130 80 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 131 1 A a DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 131 2 possible possible JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 131 3 source source NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 131 4 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 131 5 error error NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 131 6 is be VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 131 7 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 131 8 undercounting undercounting NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 131 9 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 131 10 deaths death NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 131 11 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 131 12 Spain Spain NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 131 13 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 131 14 which which WDT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 131 15 is be VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 131 16 known know VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 131 17 given give VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 131 18 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 131 19 figures figure NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 131 20 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 131 21 excess excess JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 131 22 death death NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 131 23 over over IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 131 24 previous previous JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 131 25 years year NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 131 26 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 132 1 While while IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 132 2 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 132 3 confirmed confirm VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 132 4 COVID covid JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 132 5 deaths death NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 132 6 as as IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 132 7 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 132 8 June June NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 132 9 21 21 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 132 10 are be VBP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 132 11 22,000 22,000 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 132 12 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 132 13 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 132 14 excess excess JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 132 15 deaths death NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 132 16 for for IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 132 17 that that DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 132 18 date date NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 132 19 total total VBP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 132 20 48,000 48,000 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 132 21 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 133 1 Some some DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 133 2 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 133 3 these these DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 133 4 deaths death NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 133 5 may may MD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 133 6 be be VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 133 7 due due JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 133 8 to to IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 133 9 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 133 10 collapse collapse NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 133 11 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 133 12 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 133 13 health health NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 133 14 system system NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 133 15 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 133 16 but but CC cord-321104-0rk1ef53 133 17 many many JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 133 18 others other NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 133 19 probably probably RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 133 20 correspond correspond VBP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 133 21 to to IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 133 22 unrecorded unrecorded JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 133 23 cases case NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 133 24 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 133 25 COVID-19 covid-19 NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 133 26 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 134 1 This this DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 134 2 could could MD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 134 3 raise raise VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 134 4 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 134 5 IFR IFR NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 134 6 values value NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 134 7 to to IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 134 8 twice twice PDT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 134 9 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 134 10 reported report VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 134 11 value value NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 134 12 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 135 1 If if IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 135 2 this this DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 135 3 were be VBD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 135 4 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 135 5 case case NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 135 6 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 135 7 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 135 8 cumulative cumulative JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 135 9 prevalence prevalence NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 135 10 values value NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 135 11 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 135 12 CABA CABA NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 135 13 could could MD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 135 14 be be VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 135 15 around around RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 135 16 20 20 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 135 17 % % NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 135 18 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 136 1 The the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 136 2 only only JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 136 3 prevalence prevalence NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 136 4 study study NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 136 5 made make VBD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 136 6 public public JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 136 7 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 136 8 CABA CABA NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 136 9 was be VBD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 136 10 conducted conduct VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 136 11 between between IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 136 12 May May NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 136 13 15 15 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 136 14 and and CC cord-321104-0rk1ef53 136 15 July July NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 136 16 18 18 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 136 17 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 136 18 and and CC cord-321104-0rk1ef53 136 19 indicated indicate VBD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 136 20 about about RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 136 21 9 9 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 136 22 % % NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 136 23 for for IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 136 24 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 136 25 estimated estimate VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 136 26 dates date NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 136 27 [ [ -LRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 136 28 10 10 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 136 29 ] ] -RRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 136 30 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 137 1 However however RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 137 2 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 137 3 this this DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 137 4 low low JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 137 5 prevalence prevalence NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 137 6 would would MD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 137 7 indicate indicate VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 137 8 that that IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 137 9 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 137 10 IFR IFR NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 137 11 values value NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 137 12 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 137 13 Argentina Argentina NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 137 14 would would MD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 137 15 be be VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 137 16 much much RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 137 17 higher high JJR cord-321104-0rk1ef53 137 18 than than IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 137 19 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 137 20 values value NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 137 21 reported report VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 137 22 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 137 23 Europe Europe NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 137 24 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 138 1 On on IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 138 2 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 138 3 other other JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 138 4 hand hand NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 138 5 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 138 6 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 138 7 unreported unreported JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 138 8 deaths death NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 138 9 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 138 10 Spain Spain NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 138 11 are be VBP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 138 12 considered consider VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 138 13 to to TO cord-321104-0rk1ef53 138 14 have have VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 138 15 occurred occur VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 138 16 primarily primarily RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 138 17 among among IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 138 18 older old JJR cord-321104-0rk1ef53 138 19 people people NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 138 20 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 138 21 many many DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 138 22 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 138 23 whom whom WP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 138 24 lived live VBD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 138 25 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 138 26 nursing nursing NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 138 27 homes home NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 138 28 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 139 1 This this DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 139 2 would would MD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 139 3 imply imply VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 139 4 that that IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 139 5 only only RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 139 6 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 139 7 IFRs ifr NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 139 8 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 139 9 these these DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 139 10 ranges range NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 139 11 would would MD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 139 12 be be VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 139 13 higher high JJR cord-321104-0rk1ef53 139 14 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 139 15 further further RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 139 16 lowering lower VBG cord-321104-0rk1ef53 139 17 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 139 18 calculated calculate VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 139 19 prevalence prevalence NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 139 20 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 140 1 Another another DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 140 2 possible possible JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 140 3 cause cause NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 140 4 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 140 5 error error NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 140 6 due due IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 140 7 to to IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 140 8 excess excess JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 140 9 prevalence prevalence NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 140 10 could could MD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 140 11 be be VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 140 12 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 140 13 socioeconomic socioeconomic JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 140 14 conditions condition NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 140 15 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 140 16 CABA CABA NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 140 17 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 140 18 which which WDT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 140 19 on on IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 140 20 average average JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 140 21 could could MD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 140 22 be be VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 140 23 worse bad JJR cord-321104-0rk1ef53 140 24 than than IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 140 25 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 140 26 Spanish spanish JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 140 27 average average NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 140 28 weighted weight VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 140 29 by by IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 140 30 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 140 31 regions region NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 140 32 where where WRB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 140 33 there there EX cord-321104-0rk1ef53 140 34 were be VBD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 140 35 more more JJR cord-321104-0rk1ef53 140 36 infections infection NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 140 37 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 141 1 This this DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 141 2 situation situation NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 141 3 could could MD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 141 4 be be VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 141 5 aggravated aggravate VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 141 6 by by IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 141 7 factors factor NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 141 8 related relate VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 141 9 to to IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 141 10 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 141 11 health health NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 141 12 system system NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 141 13 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 142 1 However however RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 142 2 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 142 3 although although IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 142 4 this this DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 142 5 could could MD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 142 6 be be VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 142 7 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 142 8 reality reality NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 142 9 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 142 10 other other JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 142 11 regions region NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 142 12 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 142 13 Argentina Argentina NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 142 14 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 142 15 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 142 16 City City NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 142 17 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 142 18 Buenos Buenos NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 142 19 Aires Aires NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 142 20 has have VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 142 21 a a DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 142 22 GDP gdp NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 142 23 / / SYM cord-321104-0rk1ef53 142 24 capita capita NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 142 25 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 142 26 values value NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 142 27 close close JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 142 28 to to IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 142 29 those those DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 142 30 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 142 31 Europe Europe NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 142 32 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 142 33 although although IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 142 34 much much RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 142 35 more more RBR cord-321104-0rk1ef53 142 36 unevenly unevenly RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 142 37 distributed distribute VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 142 38 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 143 1 This this DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 143 2 situation situation NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 143 3 could could MD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 143 4 distort distort VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 143 5 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 143 6 age age NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 143 7 distribution distribution NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 143 8 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 143 9 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 143 10 IFR IFR NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 143 11 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 144 1 Of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 144 2 these these DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 144 3 possible possible JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 144 4 causes cause NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 144 5 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 144 6 error error NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 144 7 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 144 8 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 144 9 underestimation underestimation NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 144 10 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 144 11 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 144 12 IFRs ifr NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 144 13 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 144 14 Spain Spain NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 144 15 due due IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 144 16 to to IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 144 17 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 144 18 undercounting undercounting NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 144 19 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 144 20 deaths death NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 144 21 by by IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 144 22 COVID COVID NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 144 23 is be VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 144 24 more more RBR cord-321104-0rk1ef53 144 25 plausible plausible JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 144 26 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 145 1 More More JJR cord-321104-0rk1ef53 145 2 recent recent JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 145 3 estimates estimate NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 145 4 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 145 5 IFR IFR NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 145 6 values value NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 145 7 [ [ -LRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 145 8 3 3 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 145 9 ] ] -RRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 145 10 using use VBG cord-321104-0rk1ef53 145 11 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 145 12 figures figure NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 145 13 for for IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 145 14 excess excess JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 145 15 deaths death NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 145 16 during during IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 145 17 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 145 18 initial initial JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 145 19 period period NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 145 20 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 145 21 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 145 22 pandemic pandemic NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 145 23 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 145 24 Spain Spain NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 145 25 tend tend VBP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 145 26 to to TO cord-321104-0rk1ef53 145 27 confirm confirm VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 145 28 this this DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 145 29 possibility possibility NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 145 30 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 146 1 Although although IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 146 2 these these DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 146 3 new new JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 146 4 values value NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 146 5 are be VBP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 146 6 erratic erratic JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 146 7 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 146 8 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 146 9 lower low JJR cord-321104-0rk1ef53 146 10 age age NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 146 11 ranges range NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 146 12 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 146 13 due due IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 146 14 to to IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 146 15 a a DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 146 16 significant significant JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 146 17 amount amount NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 146 18 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 146 19 excess excess JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 146 20 deaths death NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 146 21 which which WDT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 146 22 do do VBP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 146 23 not not RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 146 24 necessarily necessarily RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 146 25 have have VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 146 26 to to TO cord-321104-0rk1ef53 146 27 be be VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 146 28 attributed attribute VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 146 29 to to IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 146 30 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 146 31 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 146 32 a a DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 146 33 log log NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 146 34 - - HYPH cord-321104-0rk1ef53 146 35 linear linear JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 146 36 extrapolation extrapolation NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 146 37 to to IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 146 38 these these DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 146 39 low low JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 146 40 ranges range NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 146 41 allows allow VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 146 42 estimating estimate VBG cord-321104-0rk1ef53 146 43 these these DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 146 44 IFR IFR NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 146 45 values value NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 146 46 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 147 1 On on IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 147 2 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 147 3 other other JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 147 4 hand hand NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 147 5 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 147 6 this this DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 147 7 new new JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 147 8 work work NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 147 9 does do VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 147 10 not not RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 147 11 differentiate differentiate VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 147 12 between between IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 147 13 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 147 14 80 80 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 147 15 - - SYM cord-321104-0rk1ef53 147 16 89 89 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 147 17 and and CC cord-321104-0rk1ef53 147 18 90 90 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 147 19 + + CC cord-321104-0rk1ef53 147 20 age age NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 147 21 ranges range NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 147 22 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 147 23 an an DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 147 24 aspect aspect NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 147 25 that that WDT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 147 26 is be VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 147 27 particularly particularly RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 147 28 important important JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 147 29 due due IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 147 30 to to IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 147 31 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 147 32 large large JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 147 33 difference difference NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 147 34 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 147 35 IFR IFR NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 147 36 observed observe VBD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 147 37 between between IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 147 38 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 147 39 80 80 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 147 40 - - SYM cord-321104-0rk1ef53 147 41 89 89 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 147 42 and and CC cord-321104-0rk1ef53 147 43 90 90 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 147 44 + + CC cord-321104-0rk1ef53 147 45 age age NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 147 46 groups group NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 147 47 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 148 1 Figure figure NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 148 2 10 10 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 148 3 shows show NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 148 4 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 148 5 IFR IFR NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 148 6 values value NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 148 7 corresponding correspond VBG cord-321104-0rk1ef53 148 8 to to IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 148 9 both both DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 148 10 estimates estimate NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 148 11 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 149 1 Using use VBG cord-321104-0rk1ef53 149 2 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 149 3 loglinear loglinear JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 149 4 expression expression NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 149 5 for for IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 149 6 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 149 7 corrected correct VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 149 8 IFR IFR NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 149 9 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 149 10 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 149 11 prevalence prevalence NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 149 12 values value NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 149 13 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 149 14 Figure figure NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 149 15 11b 11b NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 149 16 are be VBP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 149 17 obtained obtain VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 149 18 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 149 19 more more JJR cord-321104-0rk1ef53 149 20 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 149 21 accordance accordance NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 149 22 with with IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 149 23 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 149 24 observed observed JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 149 25 slope slope NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 149 26 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 149 27 cases case NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 149 28 and and CC cord-321104-0rk1ef53 149 29 death death NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 149 30 curves curve NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 149 31 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 150 1 Other other JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 150 2 considerations consideration NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 150 3 will will MD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 150 4 be be VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 150 5 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 151 1 CC CC NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 151 2 - - HYPH cord-321104-0rk1ef53 151 3 BY BY NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 151 4 - - HYPH cord-321104-0rk1ef53 151 5 NC NC NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 151 6 - - HYPH cord-321104-0rk1ef53 151 7 ND ND NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 151 8 4.0 4.0 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 151 9 International international JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 151 10 license license NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 151 11 It -PRON- PRP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 151 12 is be VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 151 13 made make VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 151 14 available available JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 151 15 under under IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 151 16 a a DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 152 1 is be VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 152 2 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 152 3 author author NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 152 4 / / SYM cord-321104-0rk1ef53 152 5 funder funder NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 152 6 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 152 7 who who WP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 152 8 has have VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 152 9 granted grant VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 152 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 152 11 a a DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 152 12 license license NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 152 13 to to TO cord-321104-0rk1ef53 152 14 display display VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 152 15 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 152 16 preprint preprint NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 152 17 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 152 18 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 152 19 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 153 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 153 2 which which WDT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 153 3 was be VBD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 153 4 not not RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 153 5 certified certify VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 153 6 by by IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 153 7 peer peer NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 153 8 review review NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 153 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 154 1 preprint preprint NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 155 1 The the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 155 2 copyright copyright NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 155 3 holder holder NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 155 4 for for IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 155 5 this this DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 155 6 this this DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 155 7 version version NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 155 8 posted post VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 155 9 September September NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 155 10 23 23 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 155 11 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 155 12 2020 2020 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 155 13 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 155 14 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 156 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.09.21.20198416 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.09.21.20198416 ADD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 157 1 doi doi NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 157 2 : : : cord-321104-0rk1ef53 158 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 158 2 preprint preprint NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 158 3 included include VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 158 4 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 158 5 future future JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 158 6 versions version NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 158 7 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 158 8 this this DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 158 9 work work NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 159 1 and and CC cord-321104-0rk1ef53 159 2 it -PRON- PRP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 159 3 will will MD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 159 4 be be VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 159 5 extended extend VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 159 6 to to IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 159 7 other other JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 159 8 districts district NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 159 9 where where WRB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 159 10 death death NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 159 11 analysis analysis NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 159 12 is be VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 159 13 possible possible JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 159 14 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 160 1 Figure figure NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 160 2 10 10 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 160 3 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 161 1 a a LS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 161 2 ) ) -RRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 161 3 IFR IFR NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 161 4 originally originally RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 161 5 calculated calculate VBD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 161 6 from from IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 161 7 confirmed confirm VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 161 8 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 161 9 data datum NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 161 10 deaths death NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 161 11 from from IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 161 12 Spain Spain NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 161 13 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 162 1 Diamonds diamond NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 162 2 : : : cord-321104-0rk1ef53 162 3 Raw Raw NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 162 4 IFR IFR NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 162 5 by by IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 162 6 age age NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 162 7 range range NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 162 8 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 163 1 Blue blue JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 163 2 line line NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 163 3 : : : cord-321104-0rk1ef53 163 4 log log NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 163 5 - - HYPH cord-321104-0rk1ef53 163 6 polynomial polynomial JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 163 7 interpolation interpolation NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 163 8 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 164 1 Squares square NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 164 2 : : : cord-321104-0rk1ef53 165 1 New new JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 165 2 IFR IFR NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 165 3 using use VBG cord-321104-0rk1ef53 165 4 excess excess NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 165 5 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 165 6 deaths death NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 165 7 as as IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 165 8 estimator estimator NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 165 9 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 166 1 Red red JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 166 2 line line NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 166 3 : : : cord-321104-0rk1ef53 166 4 loglinear loglinear NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 166 5 interpolation interpolation NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 166 6 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 166 7 without without IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 166 8 taking take VBG cord-321104-0rk1ef53 166 9 into into IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 166 10 account account NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 166 11 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 166 12 lowest low JJS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 166 13 age age NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 166 14 ranges range NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 166 15 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 167 1 b b LS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 167 2 ) ) -RRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 167 3 Accumulated accumulate VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 167 4 prevalence prevalence NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 167 5 at at IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 167 6 31/8/2020 31/8/2020 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 167 7 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 167 8 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 167 9 Autonomous Autonomous NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 167 10 City City NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 167 11 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 167 12 Buenos Buenos NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 167 13 Aires Aires NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 167 14 according accord VBG cord-321104-0rk1ef53 167 15 to to IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 167 16 age age NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 167 17 range range NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 167 18 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 167 19 estimated estimate VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 167 20 from from IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 167 21 IFR IFR NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 167 22 values value NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 167 23 using use VBG cord-321104-0rk1ef53 167 24 excess excess JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 167 25 deaths death NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 167 26 values value NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 167 27 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 167 28 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 168 1 CC CC NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 168 2 - - HYPH cord-321104-0rk1ef53 168 3 BY BY NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 168 4 - - HYPH cord-321104-0rk1ef53 168 5 NC NC NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 168 6 - - HYPH cord-321104-0rk1ef53 168 7 ND ND NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 168 8 4.0 4.0 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 168 9 International international JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 168 10 license license NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 169 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 169 2 is be VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 169 3 made make VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 169 4 available available JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 169 5 under under IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 169 6 a a DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 170 1 is be VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 170 2 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 170 3 author author NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 170 4 / / SYM cord-321104-0rk1ef53 170 5 funder funder NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 170 6 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 170 7 who who WP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 170 8 has have VBZ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 170 9 granted grant VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 170 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 170 11 a a DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 170 12 license license NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 170 13 to to TO cord-321104-0rk1ef53 170 14 display display VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 170 15 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 170 16 preprint preprint NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 170 17 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 170 18 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 170 19 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 171 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 171 2 which which WDT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 171 3 was be VBD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 171 4 not not RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 171 5 certified certify VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 171 6 by by IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 171 7 peer peer NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 171 8 review review NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 171 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 172 1 preprint preprint NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 173 1 The the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 173 2 copyright copyright NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 173 3 holder holder NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 173 4 for for IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 173 5 this this DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 173 6 this this DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 173 7 version version NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 173 8 posted post VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 173 9 September September NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 173 10 23 23 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 173 11 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 173 12 2020 2020 CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 173 13 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 173 14 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 174 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.09.21.20198416 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.09.21.20198416 ADD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 175 1 doi doi NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 175 2 : : : cord-321104-0rk1ef53 176 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 177 1 preprint preprint NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 177 2 Prevalence prevalence NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 177 3 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 177 4 SARS SARS NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 177 5 - - HYPH cord-321104-0rk1ef53 177 6 CoV-2 CoV-2 NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 177 7 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 177 8 Spain Spain NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 177 9 ( ( -LRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 177 10 ENE ENE NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 177 11 - - HYPH cord-321104-0rk1ef53 177 12 COVID COVID NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 177 13 ) ) -RRB- cord-321104-0rk1ef53 177 14 : : : cord-321104-0rk1ef53 178 1 a a DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 178 2 nationwide nationwide JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 178 3 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 178 4 population population NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 178 5 - - HYPH cord-321104-0rk1ef53 178 6 based base VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 178 7 seroepidemiological seroepidemiological JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 178 8 study study NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 178 9 SARS SARS NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 178 10 - - HYPH cord-321104-0rk1ef53 178 11 CoV-2 CoV-2 NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 178 12 infection infection NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 178 13 fatality fatality NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 178 14 risk risk NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 178 15 in in IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 178 16 a a DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 178 17 nationwide nationwide JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 178 18 seroepidemiological seroepidemiological JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 178 19 study study NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 178 20 Estimating estimate VBG cord-321104-0rk1ef53 178 21 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 178 22 extent extent NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 178 23 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 178 24 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 178 25 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 178 26 and and CC cord-321104-0rk1ef53 178 27 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 178 28 potential potential NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 178 29 for for IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 178 30 community community NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 178 31 transmission transmission NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 178 32 : : : cord-321104-0rk1ef53 178 33 systematic systematic JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 178 34 review review NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 178 35 and and CC cord-321104-0rk1ef53 178 36 metaanalysis metaanalysis NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 178 37 Covid-19 Covid-19 NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 178 38 : : : cord-321104-0rk1ef53 178 39 four four CD cord-321104-0rk1ef53 178 40 fifths fifth NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 178 41 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 178 42 cases case NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 178 43 are be VBP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 178 44 asymptomatic asymptomatic JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 179 1 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 179 2 China China NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 179 3 figures figure NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 179 4 indicate indicate VBP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 179 5 Recommendations Recommendations NNPS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 179 6 for for IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 179 7 SARS SARS NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 179 8 - - HYPH cord-321104-0rk1ef53 179 9 CoV-2 CoV-2 NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 179 10 / / SYM cord-321104-0rk1ef53 179 11 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 179 12 Testing Testing NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 179 13 : : : cord-321104-0rk1ef53 179 14 A a DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 179 15 Systematic Systematic NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 179 16 Review Review NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 179 17 to to TO cord-321104-0rk1ef53 179 18 Consolidate consolidate VB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 179 19 Guidance guidance NN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 179 20 for for IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 179 21 Policy Policy NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 179 22 and and CC cord-321104-0rk1ef53 179 23 Practice Practice NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 179 24 Social Social NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 179 25 Contacts Contacts NNPS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 179 26 and and CC cord-321104-0rk1ef53 179 27 Mixing mix VBG cord-321104-0rk1ef53 179 28 Patterns pattern NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 180 1 Relevant relevant JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 180 2 to to IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 180 3 the the DT cord-321104-0rk1ef53 180 4 Spread Spread NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 180 5 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 180 6 Infectious Infectious NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 180 7 Diseases Diseases NNPS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 180 8 RE RE NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 180 9 and and CC cord-321104-0rk1ef53 180 10 RQ RQ NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 180 11 are be VBP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 180 12 members member NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 180 13 of of IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 180 14 CONICET CONICET NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 180 15 . . . cord-321104-0rk1ef53 181 1 Fruitful fruitful JJ cord-321104-0rk1ef53 181 2 discussions discussion NNS cord-321104-0rk1ef53 181 3 with with IN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 181 4 G.Duran G.Duran NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 181 5 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 181 6 R.Castro R.Castro NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 181 7 , , , cord-321104-0rk1ef53 181 8 J.Aliaga J.Aliaga NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 181 9 and and CC cord-321104-0rk1ef53 181 10 J.Tiffenberg J.Tiffenberg NNP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 181 11 are be VBP cord-321104-0rk1ef53 181 12 kindly kindly RB cord-321104-0rk1ef53 181 13 acknowledged acknowledge VBN cord-321104-0rk1ef53 181 14 . . .