id sid tid token lemma pos cord-300570-xes201g7 1 1 key key JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 1 2 : : : cord-300570-xes201g7 1 3 cord-300570-xes201g7 cord-300570-xes201g7 NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 1 4 authors author NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 1 5 : : : cord-300570-xes201g7 1 6 Patwardhan Patwardhan NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 1 7 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 1 8 J. J. NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 1 9 title title NN cord-300570-xes201g7 1 10 : : : cord-300570-xes201g7 1 11 PREDICTIONS prediction NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 1 12 FOR for IN cord-300570-xes201g7 1 13 EUROPE EUROPE NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 1 14 FOR for IN cord-300570-xes201g7 1 15 THE the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 1 16 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 1 17 PANDEMICAFTER PANDEMICAFTER NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 1 18 LOCKDOWN LOCKDOWN NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 1 19 WAS be VBD cord-300570-xes201g7 1 20 LIFTED lift VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 1 21 USING use VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 1 22 AN an DT cord-300570-xes201g7 1 23 SIR SIR NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 1 24 MODEL model NN cord-300570-xes201g7 1 25 date date NN cord-300570-xes201g7 1 26 : : : cord-300570-xes201g7 1 27 2020 2020 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 1 28 - - SYM cord-300570-xes201g7 1 29 10 10 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 1 30 - - HYPH cord-300570-xes201g7 1 31 06 06 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 1 32 journal journal NN cord-300570-xes201g7 1 33 : : : cord-300570-xes201g7 2 1 nan nan NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 2 2 DOI DOI NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 2 3 : : : cord-300570-xes201g7 2 4 10.1101/2020.10.03.20206359 10.1101/2020.10.03.20206359 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 2 5 sha sha NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 2 6 : : : cord-300570-xes201g7 2 7 e692136f6970accff402832b1510a4f7daf82235 e692136f6970accff402832b1510a4f7daf82235 NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 2 8 doc_id doc_id NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 2 9 : : : cord-300570-xes201g7 2 10 300570 300570 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 2 11 cord_uid cord_uid NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 2 12 : : : cord-300570-xes201g7 3 1 xes201g7 xes201g7 NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 4 1 I -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 4 2 analyze analyze VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 4 3 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 4 4 simplified simplified JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 4 5 SIR SIR NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 4 6 model model NN cord-300570-xes201g7 4 7 developed develop VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 4 8 from from IN cord-300570-xes201g7 4 9 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 4 10 paper paper NN cord-300570-xes201g7 4 11 written write VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 4 12 by by IN cord-300570-xes201g7 4 13 Gyan Gyan NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 4 14 Bhanot Bhanot NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 4 15 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 4 16 Charles Charles NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 4 17 de de NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 4 18 Lisi Lisi NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 4 19 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 4 20 May May NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 4 21 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 4 22 2020 2020 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 4 23 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 4 24 find find VB cord-300570-xes201g7 4 25 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 4 26 successes success NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 4 27 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 4 28 limitations limitation NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 4 29 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 4 30 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-300570-xes201g7 4 31 predictions prediction NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 4 32 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 5 1 In in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 5 2 particular particular JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 5 3 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 5 4 I -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 5 5 study study VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 5 6 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 5 7 predicted predict VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 5 8 cases case NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 5 9 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 5 10 deaths death NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 5 11 fitted fit VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 5 12 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 5 13 data datum NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 5 14 from from IN cord-300570-xes201g7 5 15 March March NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 5 16 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 5 17 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-300570-xes201g7 5 18 potential potential JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 5 19 application application NN cord-300570-xes201g7 5 20 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 5 21 data datum NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 5 22 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 5 23 September September NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 5 24 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 6 1 The the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 6 2 data datum NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 6 3 is be VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 6 4 observed observe VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 6 5 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 6 6 fit fit VB cord-300570-xes201g7 6 7 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 6 8 model model NN cord-300570-xes201g7 6 9 as as IN cord-300570-xes201g7 6 10 predicted predict VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 6 11 until until IN cord-300570-xes201g7 6 12 around around IN cord-300570-xes201g7 6 13 150 150 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 6 14 days day NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 6 15 after after IN cord-300570-xes201g7 6 16 December December NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 6 17 31 31 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 6 18 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 6 19 2019 2019 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 6 20 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 6 21 after after IN cord-300570-xes201g7 6 22 which which WDT cord-300570-xes201g7 6 23 many many JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 6 24 countries country NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 6 25 lift lift VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 6 26 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-300570-xes201g7 6 27 lockdowns lockdown NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 6 28 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 6 29 begin begin VB cord-300570-xes201g7 6 30 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 6 31 reopen reopen VB cord-300570-xes201g7 6 32 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 7 1 A a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 7 2 plateau plateau NN cord-300570-xes201g7 7 3 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 7 4 cases case NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 7 5 followed follow VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 7 6 by by IN cord-300570-xes201g7 7 7 an an DT cord-300570-xes201g7 7 8 increase increase NN cord-300570-xes201g7 7 9 approximately approximately RB cord-300570-xes201g7 7 10 1.5 1.5 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 7 11 months month NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 7 12 after after RB cord-300570-xes201g7 7 13 is be VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 7 14 also also RB cord-300570-xes201g7 7 15 observed observe VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 7 16 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 8 1 In in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 8 2 terms term NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 8 3 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 8 4 deaths death NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 8 5 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 8 6 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 8 7 data data NN cord-300570-xes201g7 8 8 fits fit VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 8 9 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 8 10 shape shape NN cord-300570-xes201g7 8 11 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 8 12 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 8 13 model model NN cord-300570-xes201g7 8 14 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 8 15 but but CC cord-300570-xes201g7 8 16 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 8 17 model model NN cord-300570-xes201g7 8 18 mostly mostly RB cord-300570-xes201g7 8 19 underestimates underestimate VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 8 20 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 8 21 death death NN cord-300570-xes201g7 8 22 toll toll NN cord-300570-xes201g7 8 23 after after IN cord-300570-xes201g7 8 24 around around IN cord-300570-xes201g7 8 25 160 160 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 8 26 days day NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 8 27 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 9 1 An an DT cord-300570-xes201g7 9 2 analysis analysis NN cord-300570-xes201g7 9 3 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 9 4 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 9 5 residuals residual NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 9 6 is be VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 9 7 provided provide VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 9 8 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 9 9 locate locate VB cord-300570-xes201g7 9 10 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 9 11 precise precise JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 9 12 date date NN cord-300570-xes201g7 9 13 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 9 14 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 9 15 departure departure NN cord-300570-xes201g7 9 16 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 9 17 each each DT cord-300570-xes201g7 9 18 country country NN cord-300570-xes201g7 9 19 from from IN cord-300570-xes201g7 9 20 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-300570-xes201g7 9 21 accepted accept VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 9 22 data datum NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 9 23 estimates estimate NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 9 24 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 9 25 test test VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 9 26 each each DT cord-300570-xes201g7 9 27 data datum NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 9 28 point point NN cord-300570-xes201g7 9 29 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 9 30 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-300570-xes201g7 9 31 predicted predict VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 9 32 value value NN cord-300570-xes201g7 9 33 using use VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 9 34 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 9 35 Z z NN cord-300570-xes201g7 9 36 - - HYPH cord-300570-xes201g7 9 37 test test NN cord-300570-xes201g7 9 38 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 9 39 determine determine VB cord-300570-xes201g7 9 40 whether whether IN cord-300570-xes201g7 9 41 each each DT cord-300570-xes201g7 9 42 observation observation NN cord-300570-xes201g7 9 43 can can MD cord-300570-xes201g7 9 44 fit fit VB cord-300570-xes201g7 9 45 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 9 46 given give VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 9 47 model model NN cord-300570-xes201g7 9 48 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 10 1 The the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 10 2 observed observed JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 10 3 behavior behavior NN cord-300570-xes201g7 10 4 is be VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 10 5 matched match VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 10 6 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 10 7 policy policy NN cord-300570-xes201g7 10 8 measures measure NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 10 9 taken take VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 10 10 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 10 11 each each DT cord-300570-xes201g7 10 12 country country NN cord-300570-xes201g7 10 13 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 10 14 attach attach VB cord-300570-xes201g7 10 15 an an DT cord-300570-xes201g7 10 16 explanation explanation NN cord-300570-xes201g7 10 17 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 10 18 these these DT cord-300570-xes201g7 10 19 observations observation NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 10 20 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 11 1 I -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 11 2 notice notice VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 11 3 that that IN cord-300570-xes201g7 11 4 an an DT cord-300570-xes201g7 11 5 international international JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 11 6 reopening reopen VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 11 7 results result NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 11 8 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 11 9 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 11 10 sharp sharp JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 11 11 increase increase NN cord-300570-xes201g7 11 12 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 11 13 cases case NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 11 14 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 11 15 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 11 16 aim aim VB cord-300570-xes201g7 11 17 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 11 18 plot plot VB cord-300570-xes201g7 11 19 this this DT cord-300570-xes201g7 11 20 new new JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 11 21 growth growth NN cord-300570-xes201g7 11 22 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 11 23 cases case NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 11 24 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 11 25 predict predict VB cord-300570-xes201g7 11 26 when when WRB cord-300570-xes201g7 11 27 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 11 28 pandemic pandemic NN cord-300570-xes201g7 11 29 will will MD cord-300570-xes201g7 11 30 end end VB cord-300570-xes201g7 11 31 for for IN cord-300570-xes201g7 11 32 each each DT cord-300570-xes201g7 11 33 country country NN cord-300570-xes201g7 11 34 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 12 1 The the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 12 2 novel novel JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 12 3 Sars Sars NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 12 4 - - HYPH cord-300570-xes201g7 12 5 CoV-2 CoV-2 NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 12 6 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-300570-xes201g7 12 7 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 12 8 first first RB cord-300570-xes201g7 12 9 appearing appear VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 12 10 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 12 11 Wuhan Wuhan NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 12 12 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 12 13 China China NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 12 14 at at IN cord-300570-xes201g7 12 15 around around IN cord-300570-xes201g7 12 16 December December NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 12 17 31 31 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 12 18 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 12 19 2019 2019 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 12 20 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 12 21 has have VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 12 22 caused cause VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 12 23 an an DT cord-300570-xes201g7 12 24 ongoing ongoing JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 12 25 worldwide worldwide JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 12 26 pandemic pandemic NN cord-300570-xes201g7 12 27 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 13 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 13 2 differs differ VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 13 3 from from IN cord-300570-xes201g7 13 4 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 13 5 initial initial JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 13 6 Sars Sars NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 13 7 - - HYPH cord-300570-xes201g7 13 8 CoV CoV NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 13 9 virus virus NN cord-300570-xes201g7 13 10 strain strain NN cord-300570-xes201g7 13 11 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 13 12 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 13 13 multitude multitude NN cord-300570-xes201g7 13 14 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 13 15 ways way NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 13 16 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 13 17 from from IN cord-300570-xes201g7 13 18 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-300570-xes201g7 13 19 only only JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 13 20 79 79 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 13 21 percent percent NN cord-300570-xes201g7 13 22 similarity similarity NN cord-300570-xes201g7 13 23 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 13 24 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 13 25 original original JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 13 26 [ [ -LRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 13 27 8 8 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 13 28 ] ] -RRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 13 29 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 13 30 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 13 31 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 13 32 wider wide JJR cord-300570-xes201g7 13 33 range range NN cord-300570-xes201g7 13 34 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 13 35 mortality mortality NN cord-300570-xes201g7 13 36 rates rate NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 13 37 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 14 1 While while IN cord-300570-xes201g7 14 2 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 14 3 Sars Sars NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 14 4 - - HYPH cord-300570-xes201g7 14 5 CoV cov NN cord-300570-xes201g7 14 6 strain strain NN cord-300570-xes201g7 14 7 had have VBD cord-300570-xes201g7 14 8 about about RB cord-300570-xes201g7 14 9 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 14 10 9.6 9.6 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 14 11 percent percent NN cord-300570-xes201g7 14 12 mortality mortality NN cord-300570-xes201g7 14 13 [ [ -LRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 14 14 6 6 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 14 15 ] ] -RRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 14 16 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 14 17 this this DT cord-300570-xes201g7 14 18 new new JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 14 19 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-300570-xes201g7 14 20 has have VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 14 21 death death NN cord-300570-xes201g7 14 22 rates rate NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 14 23 ranging range VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 14 24 from from IN cord-300570-xes201g7 14 25 13.9 13.9 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 14 26 percent percent NN cord-300570-xes201g7 14 27 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 14 28 Italy Italy NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 14 29 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 14 30 3.1 3.1 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 14 31 percent percent NN cord-300570-xes201g7 14 32 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 14 33 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 14 34 US US NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 14 35 [ [ -LRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 14 36 5 5 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 14 37 ] ] -RRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 14 38 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 15 1 Despite despite IN cord-300570-xes201g7 15 2 this this DT cord-300570-xes201g7 15 3 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 15 4 it -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 15 5 appears appear VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 15 6 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 15 7 have have VB cord-300570-xes201g7 15 8 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 15 9 more more RBR cord-300570-xes201g7 15 10 favorable favorable JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 15 11 transmission transmission NN cord-300570-xes201g7 15 12 rate rate NN cord-300570-xes201g7 15 13 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 15 14 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 15 15 prolonged prolonged JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 15 16 latency latency NN cord-300570-xes201g7 15 17 period period NN cord-300570-xes201g7 15 18 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 16 1 Since since IN cord-300570-xes201g7 16 2 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 16 3 onset onset NN cord-300570-xes201g7 16 4 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 16 5 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 16 6 global global JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 16 7 lockdown lockdown NN cord-300570-xes201g7 16 8 earlier early RBR cord-300570-xes201g7 16 9 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 16 10 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 16 11 year year NN cord-300570-xes201g7 16 12 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 16 13 many many JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 16 14 countries country NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 16 15 throughout throughout IN cord-300570-xes201g7 16 16 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 16 17 world world NN cord-300570-xes201g7 16 18 have have VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 16 19 begun begin VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 16 20 reopening reopen VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 16 21 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 16 22 albeit albeit IN cord-300570-xes201g7 16 23 not not RB cord-300570-xes201g7 16 24 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 16 25 full full JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 16 26 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 17 1 Nonetheless nonetheless RB cord-300570-xes201g7 17 2 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 17 3 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 17 4 measures measure NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 17 5 taken take VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 17 6 by by IN cord-300570-xes201g7 17 7 governments government NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 17 8 during during IN cord-300570-xes201g7 17 9 quarantine quarantine NN cord-300570-xes201g7 17 10 have have VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 17 11 significantly significantly RB cord-300570-xes201g7 17 12 eased ease VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 17 13 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 17 14 although although IN cord-300570-xes201g7 17 15 many many JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 17 16 countries country NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 17 17 continue continue VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 17 18 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 17 19 encourage encourage VB cord-300570-xes201g7 17 20 proper proper JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 17 21 social social JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 17 22 distancing distancing NN cord-300570-xes201g7 17 23 measures measure NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 17 24 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 17 25 from from IN cord-300570-xes201g7 17 26 wearing wear VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 17 27 masks mask NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 17 28 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 17 29 staying stay VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 17 30 6 6 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 17 31 feet foot NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 17 32 apart apart RB cord-300570-xes201g7 17 33 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 18 1 Around around IN cord-300570-xes201g7 18 2 140 140 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 18 3 days day NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 18 4 after after IN cord-300570-xes201g7 18 5 December December NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 18 6 31 31 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 18 7 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 18 8 2019 2019 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 18 9 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 18 10 an an DT cord-300570-xes201g7 18 11 SIR SIR NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 18 12 model model NN cord-300570-xes201g7 18 13 [ [ -LRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 18 14 10 10 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 18 15 ] ] -RRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 18 16 was be VBD cord-300570-xes201g7 18 17 created create VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 18 18 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 18 19 model model VB cord-300570-xes201g7 18 20 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 18 21 flow flow NN cord-300570-xes201g7 18 22 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 18 23 this this DT cord-300570-xes201g7 18 24 novel novel JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 18 25 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-300570-xes201g7 18 26 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 18 27 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 18 28 European european JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 18 29 countries country NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 18 30 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 18 31 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 18 32 Netherlands Netherlands NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 18 33 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 18 34 Denmark Denmark NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 18 35 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 18 36 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 18 37 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 18 38 Norway Norway NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 18 39 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 18 40 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 18 41 UK UK NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 18 42 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 18 43 Spain Spain NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 18 44 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 18 45 Germany Germany NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 18 46 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 18 47 Italy Italy NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 18 48 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 18 49 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 18 50 France France NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 18 51 [ [ -LRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 18 52 4 4 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 18 53 ] ] -RRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 18 54 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 19 1 The the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 19 2 lack lack NN cord-300570-xes201g7 19 3 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 19 4 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 19 5 common common JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 19 6 policy policy NN cord-300570-xes201g7 19 7 amongst amongst IN cord-300570-xes201g7 19 8 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 19 9 world world NN cord-300570-xes201g7 19 10 has have VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 19 11 led lead VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 19 12 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 19 13 different different JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 19 14 responses response NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 19 15 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 19 16 outbreaks outbreak NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 19 17 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 19 18 different different JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 19 19 countries country NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 19 20 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 19 21 as as IN cord-300570-xes201g7 19 22 we -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 19 23 will will MD cord-300570-xes201g7 19 24 come come VB cord-300570-xes201g7 19 25 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 19 26 see see VB cord-300570-xes201g7 19 27 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 20 1 Varying vary VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 20 2 reopening reopen VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 20 3 policies policy NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 20 4 between between IN cord-300570-xes201g7 20 5 each each DT cord-300570-xes201g7 20 6 country country NN cord-300570-xes201g7 20 7 has have VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 20 8 resulted result VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 20 9 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 20 10 varying vary VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 20 11 levels level NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 20 12 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 20 13 success success NN cord-300570-xes201g7 20 14 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 20 15 virus virus NN cord-300570-xes201g7 20 16 containment containment NN cord-300570-xes201g7 20 17 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 20 18 with with IN cord-300570-xes201g7 20 19 some some DT cord-300570-xes201g7 20 20 countries country NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 20 21 almost almost RB cord-300570-xes201g7 20 22 entirely entirely RB cord-300570-xes201g7 20 23 shutting shut VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 20 24 down down RP cord-300570-xes201g7 20 25 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 20 26 virus virus NN cord-300570-xes201g7 20 27 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 20 28 other other JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 20 29 countries country NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 20 30 seeing see VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 20 31 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 20 32 plateauing plateauing JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 20 33 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 20 34 subsequent subsequent JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 20 35 growth growth NN cord-300570-xes201g7 20 36 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 20 37 cases case NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 20 38 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 21 1 In in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 21 2 my -PRON- PRP$ cord-300570-xes201g7 21 3 study study NN cord-300570-xes201g7 21 4 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 21 5 I -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 21 6 focus focus VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 21 7 on on IN cord-300570-xes201g7 21 8 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 21 9 two two CD cord-300570-xes201g7 21 10 differential differential JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 21 11 equations equation NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 21 12 modelling model VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 21 13 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 21 14 S S NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 21 15 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 21 16 I -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 21 17 part part NN cord-300570-xes201g7 21 18 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 21 19 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 21 20 SIR SIR NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 21 21 model model NN cord-300570-xes201g7 21 22 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 21 23 meaning mean VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 21 24 Susceptible susceptible JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 21 25 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 21 26 Infected infected JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 21 27 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 21 28 respectively respectively RB cord-300570-xes201g7 21 29 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 22 1 This this DT cord-300570-xes201g7 22 2 uses use VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 22 3 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 22 4 variables variable NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 22 5 X1 X1 NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 22 6 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 22 7 denoting denote VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 22 8 S S NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 22 9 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 22 10 X2 X2 NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 22 11 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 22 12 denoting denote VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 22 13 I -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 22 14 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 22 15 α α NN cord-300570-xes201g7 22 16 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 22 17 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 22 18 transmission transmission NN cord-300570-xes201g7 22 19 rate rate NN cord-300570-xes201g7 22 20 ( ( -LRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 22 21 number number NN cord-300570-xes201g7 22 22 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 22 23 infections infection NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 22 24 per per IN cord-300570-xes201g7 22 25 day day NN cord-300570-xes201g7 22 26 per per IN cord-300570-xes201g7 22 27 contact contact NN cord-300570-xes201g7 22 28 ) ) -RRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 22 29 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 22 30 γ γ NN cord-300570-xes201g7 22 31 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 22 32 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 22 33 rate rate NN cord-300570-xes201g7 22 34 at at IN cord-300570-xes201g7 22 35 which which WDT cord-300570-xes201g7 22 36 individuals individual NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 22 37 leave leave VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 22 38 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 22 39 infected infected JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 22 40 population population NN cord-300570-xes201g7 22 41 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 22 42 N N NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 22 43 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 22 44 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 22 45 total total JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 22 46 individuals individual NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 22 47 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 22 48 an an DT cord-300570-xes201g7 22 49 interacting interact VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 22 50 pool pool NN cord-300570-xes201g7 22 51 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 22 52 Susceptibles Susceptibles NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 22 53 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 22 54 δ δ NN cord-300570-xes201g7 22 55 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 22 56 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 22 57 fraction fraction NN cord-300570-xes201g7 22 58 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 22 59 individuals individual NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 22 60 who who WP cord-300570-xes201g7 22 61 die die VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 22 62 after after IN cord-300570-xes201g7 22 63 being be VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 22 64 infected infect VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 22 65 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 22 66 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 22 67 P p NN cord-300570-xes201g7 22 68 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 22 69 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 22 70 maximum maximum JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 22 71 value value NN cord-300570-xes201g7 22 72 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 22 73 X2 x2 NN cord-300570-xes201g7 22 74 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 23 1 The the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 23 2 fits fit NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 23 3 for for IN cord-300570-xes201g7 23 4 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 23 5 amount amount NN cord-300570-xes201g7 23 6 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 23 7 deaths death NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 23 8 are be VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 23 9 found find VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 23 10 by by IN cord-300570-xes201g7 23 11 scaling scale VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 23 12 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 23 13 cases case NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 23 14 by by IN cord-300570-xes201g7 23 15 δ δ NN cord-300570-xes201g7 23 16 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 23 17 shifting shift VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 23 18 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 23 19 graph graph NN cord-300570-xes201g7 23 20 forward forward RB cord-300570-xes201g7 23 21 by by IN cord-300570-xes201g7 23 22 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 23 23 certain certain JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 23 24 amount amount NN cord-300570-xes201g7 23 25 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 23 26 days day NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 23 27 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 24 1 All all DT cord-300570-xes201g7 24 2 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 24 3 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 24 4 relevant relevant JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 24 5 equations equation NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 24 6 used use VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 24 7 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 24 8 build build VB cord-300570-xes201g7 24 9 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 24 10 model model NN cord-300570-xes201g7 24 11 are be VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 24 12 taken take VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 24 13 from from IN cord-300570-xes201g7 24 14 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 24 15 paper paper NN cord-300570-xes201g7 24 16 that that WDT cord-300570-xes201g7 24 17 develops develop VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 24 18 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 24 19 model model NN cord-300570-xes201g7 24 20 [ [ -LRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 24 21 4 4 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 24 22 ] ] -RRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 24 23 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 25 1 The the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 25 2 primary primary JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 25 3 equations equation NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 25 4 used use VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 25 5 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 25 6 graph graph VB cord-300570-xes201g7 25 7 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 25 8 curves curve NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 25 9 are be VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 25 10 : : : cord-300570-xes201g7 25 11 Finding find VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 25 12 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 25 13 residuals residual NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 25 14 themselves -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 25 15 is be VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 25 16 an an DT cord-300570-xes201g7 25 17 easy easy JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 25 18 enough enough JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 25 19 equation equation NN cord-300570-xes201g7 25 20 : : : cord-300570-xes201g7 25 21 If if IN cord-300570-xes201g7 25 22 R r NN cord-300570-xes201g7 25 23 = = VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 25 24 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 25 25 value value NN cord-300570-xes201g7 25 26 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 25 27 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 25 28 residual residual NN cord-300570-xes201g7 25 29 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 25 30 x x NN cord-300570-xes201g7 25 31 = = NFP cord-300570-xes201g7 25 32 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 25 33 observed observed JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 25 34 number number NN cord-300570-xes201g7 25 35 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 25 36 cases case NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 25 37 or or CC cord-300570-xes201g7 25 38 deaths death NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 25 39 at at IN cord-300570-xes201g7 25 40 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 25 41 point point NN cord-300570-xes201g7 25 42 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 25 43 time time NN cord-300570-xes201g7 25 44 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 25 45 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 25 46 X2 x2 NN cord-300570-xes201g7 25 47 = = NFP cord-300570-xes201g7 26 1 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 26 2 predicted predict VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 26 3 number number NN cord-300570-xes201g7 26 4 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 26 5 cases case NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 26 6 or or CC cord-300570-xes201g7 26 7 deaths death NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 26 8 at at IN cord-300570-xes201g7 26 9 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 26 10 point point NN cord-300570-xes201g7 26 11 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 26 12 time time NN cord-300570-xes201g7 26 13 using use VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 26 14 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 26 15 main main JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 26 16 curve curve NN cord-300570-xes201g7 26 17 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 26 18 then then RB cord-300570-xes201g7 26 19 The the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 26 20 associated associated JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 26 21 error error NN cord-300570-xes201g7 26 22 bars bar NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 26 23 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 26 24 each each DT cord-300570-xes201g7 26 25 residual residual NN cord-300570-xes201g7 26 26 are be VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 26 27 found find VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 26 28 from from IN cord-300570-xes201g7 26 29 subtracting subtract VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 26 30 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 26 31 observed observed JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 26 32 number number NN cord-300570-xes201g7 26 33 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 26 34 cases case NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 26 35 or or CC cord-300570-xes201g7 26 36 deaths death NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 26 37 from from IN cord-300570-xes201g7 26 38 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 26 39 predicted predict VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 26 40 number number NN cord-300570-xes201g7 26 41 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 26 42 cases case NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 26 43 or or CC cord-300570-xes201g7 26 44 deaths death NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 26 45 at at IN cord-300570-xes201g7 26 46 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 26 47 point point NN cord-300570-xes201g7 26 48 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 26 49 time time NN cord-300570-xes201g7 26 50 using use VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 26 51 each each DT cord-300570-xes201g7 26 52 value value NN cord-300570-xes201g7 26 53 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 26 54 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 26 55 error error NN cord-300570-xes201g7 26 56 bar bar NN cord-300570-xes201g7 26 57 curve curve NN cord-300570-xes201g7 26 58 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 27 1 To to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 27 2 each each DT cord-300570-xes201g7 27 3 point point NN cord-300570-xes201g7 27 4 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 27 5 time time NN cord-300570-xes201g7 27 6 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 27 7 I -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 27 8 also also RB cord-300570-xes201g7 27 9 associate associate VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 27 10 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 27 11 p p NN cord-300570-xes201g7 27 12 value value NN cord-300570-xes201g7 27 13 denoting denote VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 27 14 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 27 15 probability probability NN cord-300570-xes201g7 27 16 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 27 17 finding find VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 27 18 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 27 19 observed observed JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 27 20 data data NN cord-300570-xes201g7 27 21 result result NN cord-300570-xes201g7 27 22 if if IN cord-300570-xes201g7 27 23 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 27 24 model model NN cord-300570-xes201g7 27 25 was be VBD cord-300570-xes201g7 27 26 true true JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 27 27 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 28 1 This this DT cord-300570-xes201g7 28 2 is be VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 28 3 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 28 4 matter matter NN cord-300570-xes201g7 28 5 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 28 6 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 28 7 simple simple JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 28 8 hypothesis hypothesis NN cord-300570-xes201g7 28 9 test test NN cord-300570-xes201g7 28 10 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 29 1 The the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 29 2 standard standard JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 29 3 deviation deviation NN cord-300570-xes201g7 29 4 is be VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 29 5 found find VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 29 6 by by IN cord-300570-xes201g7 29 7 using use VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 29 8 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-300570-xes201g7 29 9 formula formula NN cord-300570-xes201g7 29 10 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 29 11 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 29 12 values value NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 29 13 X2U X2U , cord-300570-xes201g7 29 14 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 29 15 X2L x2l NN cord-300570-xes201g7 29 16 representing represent VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 29 17 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 29 18 upper upper JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 29 19 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 29 20 lower low JJR cord-300570-xes201g7 29 21 bounds bound NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 29 22 from from IN cord-300570-xes201g7 29 23 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 29 24 estimation estimation NN cord-300570-xes201g7 29 25 model model NN cord-300570-xes201g7 29 26 : : : cord-300570-xes201g7 29 27 Using use VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 29 28 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 29 29 formula formula NN cord-300570-xes201g7 29 30 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 29 31 we -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 29 32 can can MD cord-300570-xes201g7 29 33 then then RB cord-300570-xes201g7 29 34 find find VB cord-300570-xes201g7 29 35 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 29 36 corresponding correspond VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 29 37 z z NN cord-300570-xes201g7 29 38 score score NN cord-300570-xes201g7 29 39 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 29 40 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 29 41 area area NN cord-300570-xes201g7 29 42 under under IN cord-300570-xes201g7 29 43 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 29 44 curve curve NN cord-300570-xes201g7 29 45 representing represent VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 29 46 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 29 47 p p NN cord-300570-xes201g7 29 48 value value NN cord-300570-xes201g7 29 49 using use VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 29 50 Alternatively alternatively RB cord-300570-xes201g7 29 51 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 29 52 using use VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 29 53 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 29 54 pnorm pnorm NN cord-300570-xes201g7 29 55 function function NN cord-300570-xes201g7 29 56 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 29 57 R r NN cord-300570-xes201g7 29 58 yields yield NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 29 59 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 29 60 same same JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 29 61 results result NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 29 62 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 30 1 Reasons reason NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 30 2 for for IN cord-300570-xes201g7 30 3 Data Data NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 30 4 Analysis Analysis NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 30 5 tools tool NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 30 6 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 31 1 In in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 31 2 this this DT cord-300570-xes201g7 31 3 exploration exploration NN cord-300570-xes201g7 31 4 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 31 5 both both CC cord-300570-xes201g7 31 6 residual residual JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 31 7 plots plot NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 31 8 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 31 9 p p NN cord-300570-xes201g7 31 10 value value NN cord-300570-xes201g7 31 11 plots plot NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 31 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 31 13 at at IN cord-300570-xes201g7 31 14 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 31 15 α α NN cord-300570-xes201g7 31 16 = = SYM cord-300570-xes201g7 31 17 0.05 0.05 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 31 18 level level NN cord-300570-xes201g7 31 19 corresponding correspond VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 31 20 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 31 21 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 31 22 95 95 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 31 23 percent percent NN cord-300570-xes201g7 31 24 level level NN cord-300570-xes201g7 31 25 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 31 26 confidence confidence NN cord-300570-xes201g7 31 27 ) ) -RRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 31 28 are be VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 31 29 utilized utilize VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 31 30 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 31 31 find find VB cord-300570-xes201g7 31 32 results result NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 31 33 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 32 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 32 2 can can MD cord-300570-xes201g7 32 3 observe observe VB cord-300570-xes201g7 32 4 both both CC cord-300570-xes201g7 32 5 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 32 6 advantages advantage NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 32 7 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 32 8 drawbacks drawback NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 32 9 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 32 10 each each DT cord-300570-xes201g7 32 11 tool tool NN cord-300570-xes201g7 32 12 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 32 13 which which WDT cord-300570-xes201g7 32 14 provide provide VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 32 15 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 32 16 need need NN cord-300570-xes201g7 32 17 for for IN cord-300570-xes201g7 32 18 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 32 19 other other JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 32 20 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 33 1 With with IN cord-300570-xes201g7 33 2 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 33 3 residual residual JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 33 4 plot plot NN cord-300570-xes201g7 33 5 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 33 6 we -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 33 7 can can MD cord-300570-xes201g7 33 8 better better RB cord-300570-xes201g7 33 9 analyze analyze VB cord-300570-xes201g7 33 10 how how WRB cord-300570-xes201g7 33 11 far far RB cord-300570-xes201g7 33 12 each each DT cord-300570-xes201g7 33 13 data data NN cord-300570-xes201g7 33 14 point point NN cord-300570-xes201g7 33 15 falls fall VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 33 16 from from IN cord-300570-xes201g7 33 17 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 33 18 predicted predict VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 33 19 value value NN cord-300570-xes201g7 33 20 on on IN cord-300570-xes201g7 33 21 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 33 22 linear linear JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 33 23 scale scale NN cord-300570-xes201g7 33 24 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 34 1 This this DT cord-300570-xes201g7 34 2 clears clear VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 34 3 up up RP cord-300570-xes201g7 34 4 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 34 5 confusion confusion NN cord-300570-xes201g7 34 6 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 34 7 distances distance NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 34 8 on on IN cord-300570-xes201g7 34 9 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 34 10 log log NN cord-300570-xes201g7 34 11 scale scale NN cord-300570-xes201g7 34 12 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 34 13 as as IN cord-300570-xes201g7 34 14 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 34 15 model model NN cord-300570-xes201g7 34 16 may may MD cord-300570-xes201g7 34 17 show show VB cord-300570-xes201g7 34 18 an an DT cord-300570-xes201g7 34 19 overprediction overprediction NN cord-300570-xes201g7 34 20 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 34 21 1000 1000 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 34 22 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 34 23 be be VB cord-300570-xes201g7 34 24 miniscule miniscule JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 34 25 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 34 26 comparison comparison NN cord-300570-xes201g7 34 27 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 34 28 an an DT cord-300570-xes201g7 34 29 overprediction overprediction NN cord-300570-xes201g7 34 30 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 34 31 10 10 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 34 32 based base VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 34 33 on on IN cord-300570-xes201g7 34 34 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 34 35 data data NN cord-300570-xes201g7 34 36 point point NN cord-300570-xes201g7 34 37 's 's POS cord-300570-xes201g7 34 38 location location NN cord-300570-xes201g7 34 39 on on IN cord-300570-xes201g7 34 40 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 34 41 y y NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 34 42 axis axis NN cord-300570-xes201g7 34 43 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 35 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 35 2 also also RB cord-300570-xes201g7 35 3 gain gain VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 35 4 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 35 5 better well JJR cord-300570-xes201g7 35 6 understanding understanding NN cord-300570-xes201g7 35 7 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 35 8 both both DT cord-300570-xes201g7 35 9 how how WRB cord-300570-xes201g7 35 10 well well RB cord-300570-xes201g7 35 11 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 35 12 data data NN cord-300570-xes201g7 35 13 fits fit VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 35 14 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 35 15 model model NN cord-300570-xes201g7 35 16 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 35 17 when when WRB cord-300570-xes201g7 35 18 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 35 19 data data NN cord-300570-xes201g7 35 20 starts start VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 35 21 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 35 22 stops stop VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 35 23 fitting fit VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 35 24 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 35 25 model model NN cord-300570-xes201g7 35 26 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 36 1 The the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 36 2 drawback drawback NN cord-300570-xes201g7 36 3 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 36 4 however however RB cord-300570-xes201g7 36 5 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 36 6 is be VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 36 7 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 36 8 lack lack NN cord-300570-xes201g7 36 9 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 36 10 knowledge knowledge NN cord-300570-xes201g7 36 11 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 36 12 whether whether IN cord-300570-xes201g7 36 13 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 36 14 certain certain JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 36 15 residual residual NN cord-300570-xes201g7 36 16 is be VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 36 17 expected expect VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 36 18 from from IN cord-300570-xes201g7 36 19 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 36 20 data datum NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 36 21 for for IN cord-300570-xes201g7 36 22 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 36 23 same same JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 36 24 reason reason NN cord-300570-xes201g7 36 25 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 37 1 CC CC NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 37 2 - - HYPH cord-300570-xes201g7 37 3 BY BY NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 37 4 - - HYPH cord-300570-xes201g7 37 5 ND ND NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 37 6 4.0 4.0 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 37 7 International international JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 37 8 license license NN cord-300570-xes201g7 38 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 38 2 is be VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 38 3 made make VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 38 4 available available JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 38 5 under under IN cord-300570-xes201g7 38 6 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 39 1 is be VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 39 2 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 39 3 author author NN cord-300570-xes201g7 39 4 / / SYM cord-300570-xes201g7 39 5 funder funder NN cord-300570-xes201g7 39 6 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 39 7 who who WP cord-300570-xes201g7 39 8 has have VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 39 9 granted grant VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 39 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 39 11 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 39 12 license license NN cord-300570-xes201g7 39 13 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 39 14 display display VB cord-300570-xes201g7 39 15 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 39 16 preprint preprint NN cord-300570-xes201g7 39 17 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 39 18 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-300570-xes201g7 39 19 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 40 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 40 2 which which WDT cord-300570-xes201g7 40 3 was be VBD cord-300570-xes201g7 40 4 not not RB cord-300570-xes201g7 40 5 certified certify VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 40 6 by by IN cord-300570-xes201g7 40 7 peer peer NN cord-300570-xes201g7 40 8 review review NN cord-300570-xes201g7 40 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 41 1 The the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 41 2 copyright copyright NN cord-300570-xes201g7 41 3 holder holder NN cord-300570-xes201g7 41 4 for for IN cord-300570-xes201g7 41 5 this this DT cord-300570-xes201g7 41 6 preprint preprint NN cord-300570-xes201g7 41 7 this this DT cord-300570-xes201g7 41 8 version version NN cord-300570-xes201g7 41 9 posted post VBD cord-300570-xes201g7 41 10 October October NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 41 11 6 6 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 41 12 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 41 13 2020 2020 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 41 14 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 41 15 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 42 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.03.20206359 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.03.20206359 NFP cord-300570-xes201g7 42 2 doi doi NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 42 3 : : : cord-300570-xes201g7 43 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 43 2 preprint preprint NN cord-300570-xes201g7 43 3 that that IN cord-300570-xes201g7 43 4 there there EX cord-300570-xes201g7 43 5 is be VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 43 6 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 43 7 distinction distinction NN cord-300570-xes201g7 43 8 between between IN cord-300570-xes201g7 43 9 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 43 10 aforementioned aforementioned JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 43 11 difference difference NN cord-300570-xes201g7 43 12 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 43 13 1000 1000 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 43 14 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 43 15 10 10 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 43 16 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 44 1 The the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 44 2 error error NN cord-300570-xes201g7 44 3 bars bar NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 44 4 expand expand VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 44 5 as as IN cord-300570-xes201g7 44 6 time time NN cord-300570-xes201g7 44 7 goes go VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 44 8 on on RP cord-300570-xes201g7 44 9 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 44 10 encompassing encompass VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 44 11 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 44 12 larger large JJR cord-300570-xes201g7 44 13 expanse expanse NN cord-300570-xes201g7 44 14 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 44 15 area area NN cord-300570-xes201g7 44 16 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 44 17 but but CC cord-300570-xes201g7 44 18 deceptively deceptively RB cord-300570-xes201g7 44 19 accounting account VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 44 20 for for IN cord-300570-xes201g7 44 21 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 44 22 less less RBR cord-300570-xes201g7 44 23 inclusive inclusive JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 44 24 interval interval NN cord-300570-xes201g7 44 25 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 44 26 error error NN cord-300570-xes201g7 44 27 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 45 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 45 2 is be VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 45 3 useful useful JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 45 4 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 45 5 gather gather VB cord-300570-xes201g7 45 6 whether whether IN cord-300570-xes201g7 45 7 an an DT cord-300570-xes201g7 45 8 observed observed JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 45 9 data data NN cord-300570-xes201g7 45 10 point point NN cord-300570-xes201g7 45 11 's 's POS cord-300570-xes201g7 45 12 deviation deviation NN cord-300570-xes201g7 45 13 from from IN cord-300570-xes201g7 45 14 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 45 15 model model NN cord-300570-xes201g7 45 16 is be VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 45 17 expected expect VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 45 18 or or CC cord-300570-xes201g7 45 19 not not RB cord-300570-xes201g7 45 20 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 46 1 A a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 46 2 statistical statistical JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 46 3 analysis analysis NN cord-300570-xes201g7 46 4 into into IN cord-300570-xes201g7 46 5 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 46 6 probability probability NN cord-300570-xes201g7 46 7 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 46 8 observing observe VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 46 9 such such PDT cord-300570-xes201g7 46 10 an an DT cord-300570-xes201g7 46 11 extreme extreme JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 46 12 or or CC cord-300570-xes201g7 46 13 more more RBR cord-300570-xes201g7 46 14 extreme extreme JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 46 15 data data NN cord-300570-xes201g7 46 16 point point NN cord-300570-xes201g7 46 17 tells tell VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 46 18 us -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 46 19 that that IN cord-300570-xes201g7 46 20 even even RB cord-300570-xes201g7 46 21 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 46 22 large large JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 46 23 difference difference NN cord-300570-xes201g7 46 24 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 46 25 1000 1000 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 46 26 can can MD cord-300570-xes201g7 46 27 be be VB cord-300570-xes201g7 46 28 expected expect VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 46 29 given give VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 46 30 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 46 31 large large JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 46 32 standard standard JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 46 33 deviation deviation NN cord-300570-xes201g7 46 34 as as IN cord-300570-xes201g7 46 35 dictated dictate VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 46 36 by by IN cord-300570-xes201g7 46 37 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 46 38 error error NN cord-300570-xes201g7 46 39 bars bar NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 46 40 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 47 1 A a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 47 2 problem problem NN cord-300570-xes201g7 47 3 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 47 4 however however RB cord-300570-xes201g7 47 5 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 47 6 arises arise VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 47 7 when when WRB cord-300570-xes201g7 47 8 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 47 9 R r NN cord-300570-xes201g7 47 10 value value NN cord-300570-xes201g7 47 11 derived derive VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 47 12 from from IN cord-300570-xes201g7 47 13 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 47 14 model model NN cord-300570-xes201g7 47 15 [ [ -LRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 47 16 4 4 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 47 17 ] ] -RRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 47 18 increases increase NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 47 19 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 48 1 As as IN cord-300570-xes201g7 48 2 R r NN cord-300570-xes201g7 48 3 increases increase VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 48 4 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 48 5 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 48 6 fit fit NN cord-300570-xes201g7 48 7 becomes become VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 48 8 tighter tight JJR cord-300570-xes201g7 48 9 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 48 10 tighter tighter RBR cord-300570-xes201g7 48 11 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 48 12 decreasing decrease VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 48 13 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 48 14 standard standard JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 48 15 deviation deviation NN cord-300570-xes201g7 48 16 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 48 17 potentially potentially RB cord-300570-xes201g7 48 18 making make VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 48 19 even even RB cord-300570-xes201g7 48 20 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 48 21 deviation deviation NN cord-300570-xes201g7 48 22 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 48 23 10 10 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 48 24 seem seem VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 48 25 probabilistically probabilistically RB cord-300570-xes201g7 48 26 impossible impossible JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 48 27 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 49 1 This this DT cord-300570-xes201g7 49 2 is be VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 49 3 where where WRB cord-300570-xes201g7 49 4 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 49 5 look look NN cord-300570-xes201g7 49 6 at at IN cord-300570-xes201g7 49 7 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 49 8 residuals residual NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 49 9 clears clear VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 49 10 up up RP cord-300570-xes201g7 49 11 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 49 12 problems problem NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 49 13 caused cause VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 49 14 by by IN cord-300570-xes201g7 49 15 small small JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 49 16 standards standard NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 49 17 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 49 18 deviation deviation NN cord-300570-xes201g7 49 19 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 50 1 In in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 50 2 other other JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 50 3 words word NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 50 4 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 50 5 residuals residual NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 50 6 are be VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 50 7 particularly particularly RB cord-300570-xes201g7 50 8 useful useful JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 50 9 when when WRB cord-300570-xes201g7 50 10 studying study VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 50 11 smaller small JJR cord-300570-xes201g7 50 12 values value NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 50 13 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 50 14 while while IN cord-300570-xes201g7 50 15 p p NN cord-300570-xes201g7 50 16 values value NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 50 17 are be VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 50 18 more more RBR cord-300570-xes201g7 50 19 useful useful JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 50 20 when when WRB cord-300570-xes201g7 50 21 studying study VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 50 22 larger large JJR cord-300570-xes201g7 50 23 values value NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 50 24 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 51 1 A a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 51 2 final final JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 51 3 useful useful JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 51 4 note note NN cord-300570-xes201g7 51 5 is be VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 51 6 that that IN cord-300570-xes201g7 51 7 all all DT cord-300570-xes201g7 51 8 labeled label VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 51 9 days day NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 51 10 represent represent VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 51 11 days day NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 51 12 starting start VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 51 13 after after IN cord-300570-xes201g7 51 14 December December NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 51 15 31 31 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 51 16 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 51 17 2019 2019 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 51 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 51 19 January January NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 51 20 1 1 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 51 21 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 51 22 2020 2020 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 51 23 is be VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 51 24 Day day NN cord-300570-xes201g7 51 25 1 1 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 51 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 51 27 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 52 1 Analysis analysis NN cord-300570-xes201g7 52 2 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 52 3 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 52 4 Case Case NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 52 5 Model Model NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 52 6 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 53 1 In in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 53 2 general general JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 53 3 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 53 4 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 53 5 model model NN cord-300570-xes201g7 53 6 matches match VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 53 7 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 53 8 observed observed JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 53 9 data data NN cord-300570-xes201g7 53 10 points point NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 53 11 well well RB cord-300570-xes201g7 53 12 until until IN cord-300570-xes201g7 53 13 around around IN cord-300570-xes201g7 53 14 Day Day NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 53 15 150 150 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 53 16 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 54 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 54 2 note note VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 54 3 an an DT cord-300570-xes201g7 54 4 initial initial NN cord-300570-xes201g7 54 5 almost almost RB cord-300570-xes201g7 54 6 linear linear JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 54 7 climb climb NN cord-300570-xes201g7 54 8 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 54 9 log log NN cord-300570-xes201g7 54 10 space space NN cord-300570-xes201g7 54 11 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 54 12 accounting account VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 54 13 for for IN cord-300570-xes201g7 54 14 an an DT cord-300570-xes201g7 54 15 exponential exponential JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 54 16 growth growth NN cord-300570-xes201g7 54 17 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 54 18 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 54 19 virus virus NN cord-300570-xes201g7 54 20 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 55 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 55 2 note note VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 55 3 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 55 4 maximum maximum JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 55 5 point point NN cord-300570-xes201g7 55 6 at at IN cord-300570-xes201g7 55 7 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 55 8 median median NN cord-300570-xes201g7 55 9 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 55 10 about about RB cord-300570-xes201g7 55 11 40 40 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 55 12 days day NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 55 13 after after IN cord-300570-xes201g7 55 14 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 55 15 first first JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 55 16 case case NN cord-300570-xes201g7 55 17 detected detect VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 55 18 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 55 19 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 55 20 country country NN cord-300570-xes201g7 55 21 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 55 22 followed follow VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 55 23 by by IN cord-300570-xes201g7 55 24 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 55 25 more more RBR cord-300570-xes201g7 55 26 gradual gradual JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 55 27 drop drop NN cord-300570-xes201g7 55 28 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 55 29 cases case NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 55 30 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 56 1 Instead instead RB cord-300570-xes201g7 56 2 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 56 3 seeing see VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 56 4 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 56 5 continuous continuous JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 56 6 decrease decrease NN cord-300570-xes201g7 56 7 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 56 8 cases case NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 56 9 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 56 10 we -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 56 11 observe observe VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 56 12 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 56 13 plateau plateau NN cord-300570-xes201g7 56 14 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 56 15 sometimes sometimes RB cord-300570-xes201g7 56 16 followed follow VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 56 17 by by IN cord-300570-xes201g7 56 18 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 56 19 small small JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 56 20 drop drop NN cord-300570-xes201g7 56 21 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 56 22 cases case NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 56 23 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 56 24 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 56 25 then then RB cord-300570-xes201g7 56 26 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 56 27 rise rise NN cord-300570-xes201g7 56 28 which which WDT cord-300570-xes201g7 56 29 on on IN cord-300570-xes201g7 56 30 occasion occasion NN cord-300570-xes201g7 56 31 exceeds exceed VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 56 32 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 56 33 initial initial JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 56 34 peak peak NN cord-300570-xes201g7 56 35 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 57 1 This this DT cord-300570-xes201g7 57 2 plateau plateau NN cord-300570-xes201g7 57 3 starts start VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 57 4 at at IN cord-300570-xes201g7 57 5 different different JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 57 6 locations location NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 57 7 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 57 8 most most JJS cord-300570-xes201g7 57 9 after after IN cord-300570-xes201g7 57 10 an an DT cord-300570-xes201g7 57 11 initial initial JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 57 12 drop drop NN cord-300570-xes201g7 57 13 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 57 14 cases case NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 57 15 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 57 16 but but CC cord-300570-xes201g7 57 17 some some DT cord-300570-xes201g7 57 18 at at IN cord-300570-xes201g7 57 19 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 57 20 peak peak NN cord-300570-xes201g7 57 21 itself -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 57 22 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 58 1 The the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 58 2 peaks peak NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 58 3 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 58 4 each each DT cord-300570-xes201g7 58 5 country country NN cord-300570-xes201g7 58 6 vary vary VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 58 7 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 58 8 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 58 9 we -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 58 10 can can MD cord-300570-xes201g7 58 11 see see VB cord-300570-xes201g7 58 12 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 58 13 clear clear JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 58 14 relationship relationship NN cord-300570-xes201g7 58 15 between between IN cord-300570-xes201g7 58 16 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 58 17 country country NN cord-300570-xes201g7 58 18 's 's POS cord-300570-xes201g7 58 19 population population NN cord-300570-xes201g7 58 20 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 58 21 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-300570-xes201g7 58 22 number number NN cord-300570-xes201g7 58 23 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 58 24 cases case NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 58 25 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 59 1 Looking look VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 59 2 at at IN cord-300570-xes201g7 59 3 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 59 4 number number NN cord-300570-xes201g7 59 5 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 59 6 cases case NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 59 7 per per IN cord-300570-xes201g7 59 8 million million CD cord-300570-xes201g7 59 9 population population NN cord-300570-xes201g7 59 10 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 59 11 however however RB cord-300570-xes201g7 59 12 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 59 13 does do VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 59 14 not not RB cord-300570-xes201g7 59 15 show show VB cord-300570-xes201g7 59 16 any any DT cord-300570-xes201g7 59 17 such such JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 59 18 relationship relationship NN cord-300570-xes201g7 59 19 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 59 20 suggesting suggest VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 59 21 that that IN cord-300570-xes201g7 59 22 this this DT cord-300570-xes201g7 59 23 factor factor NN cord-300570-xes201g7 59 24 depends depend VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 59 25 more more RBR cord-300570-xes201g7 59 26 on on IN cord-300570-xes201g7 59 27 federal federal JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 59 28 action action NN cord-300570-xes201g7 59 29 rather rather RB cord-300570-xes201g7 59 30 than than IN cord-300570-xes201g7 59 31 just just RB cord-300570-xes201g7 59 32 population population NN cord-300570-xes201g7 59 33 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 59 34 population population NN cord-300570-xes201g7 59 35 density density NN cord-300570-xes201g7 59 36 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 60 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 60 2 notice notice VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 60 3 that that IN cord-300570-xes201g7 60 4 both both CC cord-300570-xes201g7 60 5 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 60 6 UK UK NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 60 7 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 60 8 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 60 9 plateau plateau NN cord-300570-xes201g7 60 10 immediately immediately RB cord-300570-xes201g7 60 11 after after IN cord-300570-xes201g7 60 12 peaking peak VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 60 13 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 60 14 making make VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 60 15 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 60 16 model model NN cord-300570-xes201g7 60 17 mostly mostly RB cord-300570-xes201g7 60 18 inaccurate inaccurate JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 60 19 for for IN cord-300570-xes201g7 60 20 both both DT cord-300570-xes201g7 60 21 countries country NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 60 22 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 61 1 For for IN cord-300570-xes201g7 61 2 this this DT cord-300570-xes201g7 61 3 reason reason NN cord-300570-xes201g7 61 4 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 61 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 61 6 ca can MD cord-300570-xes201g7 61 7 n't not RB cord-300570-xes201g7 61 8 do do VB cord-300570-xes201g7 61 9 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 61 10 p p NN cord-300570-xes201g7 61 11 value value NN cord-300570-xes201g7 61 12 analysis analysis NN cord-300570-xes201g7 61 13 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 62 1 Along along IN cord-300570-xes201g7 62 2 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 62 3 similar similar JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 62 4 vein vein NN cord-300570-xes201g7 62 5 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 62 6 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 62 7 observed observed JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 62 8 drop drop NN cord-300570-xes201g7 62 9 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 62 10 cases case NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 62 11 for for IN cord-300570-xes201g7 62 12 Italy Italy NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 62 13 did do VBD cord-300570-xes201g7 62 14 n't not RB cord-300570-xes201g7 62 15 match match VB cord-300570-xes201g7 62 16 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 62 17 model model NN cord-300570-xes201g7 62 18 as as IN cord-300570-xes201g7 62 19 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 62 20 drop drop NN cord-300570-xes201g7 62 21 was be VBD cord-300570-xes201g7 62 22 much much RB cord-300570-xes201g7 62 23 more more RBR cord-300570-xes201g7 62 24 gradual gradual JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 62 25 than than IN cord-300570-xes201g7 62 26 expected expect VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 62 27 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 62 28 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 62 29 for for IN cord-300570-xes201g7 62 30 that that DT cord-300570-xes201g7 62 31 reason reason NN cord-300570-xes201g7 62 32 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 62 33 model model NN cord-300570-xes201g7 62 34 is be VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 62 35 mostly mostly RB cord-300570-xes201g7 62 36 inaccurate inaccurate JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 62 37 for for IN cord-300570-xes201g7 62 38 this this DT cord-300570-xes201g7 62 39 country country NN cord-300570-xes201g7 62 40 as as RB cord-300570-xes201g7 62 41 well well RB cord-300570-xes201g7 62 42 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 63 1 For for IN cord-300570-xes201g7 63 2 every every DT cord-300570-xes201g7 63 3 other other JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 63 4 country country NN cord-300570-xes201g7 63 5 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 63 6 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 63 7 data data NN cord-300570-xes201g7 63 8 points point NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 63 9 began begin VBD cord-300570-xes201g7 63 10 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 63 11 deviate deviate VB cord-300570-xes201g7 63 12 from from IN cord-300570-xes201g7 63 13 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 63 14 model model NN cord-300570-xes201g7 63 15 at at IN cord-300570-xes201g7 63 16 about about IN cord-300570-xes201g7 63 17 Day day NN cord-300570-xes201g7 63 18 142 142 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 63 19 ± ± CD cord-300570-xes201g7 63 20 20 20 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 63 21 days day NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 63 22 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 64 1 These these DT cord-300570-xes201g7 64 2 plateaus plateaus NN cord-300570-xes201g7 64 3 lasted last VBD cord-300570-xes201g7 64 4 for for IN cord-300570-xes201g7 64 5 about about RB cord-300570-xes201g7 64 6 42.75 42.75 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 64 7 ± ± CD cord-300570-xes201g7 64 8 15 15 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 64 9 days day NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 64 10 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 64 11 with with IN cord-300570-xes201g7 64 12 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 64 13 exception exception NN cord-300570-xes201g7 64 14 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 64 15 Norway Norway NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 64 16 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 64 17 with with IN cord-300570-xes201g7 64 18 an an DT cord-300570-xes201g7 64 19 83 83 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 64 20 day day NN cord-300570-xes201g7 64 21 plateau plateau NN cord-300570-xes201g7 64 22 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 65 1 Given give VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 65 2 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 65 3 relatively relatively RB cord-300570-xes201g7 65 4 small small JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 65 5 size size NN cord-300570-xes201g7 65 6 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 65 7 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 65 8 outbreak outbreak NN cord-300570-xes201g7 65 9 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 65 10 Norway Norway NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 65 11 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 65 12 it -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 65 13 is be VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 65 14 expected expect VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 65 15 that that IN cord-300570-xes201g7 65 16 there there EX cord-300570-xes201g7 65 17 would would MD cord-300570-xes201g7 65 18 be be VB cord-300570-xes201g7 65 19 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 65 20 thickly thickly RB cord-300570-xes201g7 65 21 shaped shape VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 65 22 plateau plateau NN cord-300570-xes201g7 65 23 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 65 24 cases case NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 65 25 due due JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 65 26 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 65 27 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 65 28 smallness smallness NN cord-300570-xes201g7 65 29 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 65 30 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 65 31 numbers number NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 65 32 involved involve VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 65 33 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 66 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 66 2 can can MD cord-300570-xes201g7 66 3 also also RB cord-300570-xes201g7 66 4 be be VB cord-300570-xes201g7 66 5 argued argue VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 66 6 that that IN cord-300570-xes201g7 66 7 France France NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 66 8 does do VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 66 9 n't not RB cord-300570-xes201g7 66 10 have have VB cord-300570-xes201g7 66 11 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 66 12 plateau plateau NN cord-300570-xes201g7 66 13 at at RB cord-300570-xes201g7 66 14 all all RB cord-300570-xes201g7 66 15 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 66 16 instead instead RB cord-300570-xes201g7 66 17 going go VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 66 18 from from IN cord-300570-xes201g7 66 19 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 66 20 decrease decrease NN cord-300570-xes201g7 66 21 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 66 22 cases case NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 66 23 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 66 24 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 66 25 sudden sudden JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 66 26 increase increase NN cord-300570-xes201g7 66 27 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 67 1 Another another DT cord-300570-xes201g7 67 2 interpretation interpretation NN cord-300570-xes201g7 67 3 would would MD cord-300570-xes201g7 67 4 be be VB cord-300570-xes201g7 67 5 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 67 6 observe observe VB cord-300570-xes201g7 67 7 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 67 8 wide wide JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 67 9 plateau plateau NN cord-300570-xes201g7 67 10 akin akin JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 67 11 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 67 12 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 67 13 shapes shape NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 67 14 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 67 15 Norway Norway NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 67 16 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 67 17 Denmark Denmark NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 67 18 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 67 19 followed follow VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 67 20 by by IN cord-300570-xes201g7 67 21 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 67 22 rise rise NN cord-300570-xes201g7 67 23 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 67 24 cases case NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 67 25 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 68 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 68 2 notice notice VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 68 3 an an DT cord-300570-xes201g7 68 4 increase increase NN cord-300570-xes201g7 68 5 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 68 6 cases case NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 68 7 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 68 8 every every DT cord-300570-xes201g7 68 9 country country NN cord-300570-xes201g7 68 10 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 68 11 with with IN cord-300570-xes201g7 68 12 most most JJS cord-300570-xes201g7 68 13 increases increase NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 68 14 being be VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 68 15 sharply sharply RB cord-300570-xes201g7 68 16 exponential exponential JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 68 17 ( ( -LRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 68 18 with with IN cord-300570-xes201g7 68 19 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 68 20 exception exception NN cord-300570-xes201g7 68 21 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 68 22 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 68 23 ) ) -RRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 68 24 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 69 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 69 2 also also RB cord-300570-xes201g7 69 3 observe observe VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 69 4 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 69 5 small small JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 69 6 decline decline NN cord-300570-xes201g7 69 7 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 69 8 cases case NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 69 9 right right RB cord-300570-xes201g7 69 10 prior prior RB cord-300570-xes201g7 69 11 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 69 12 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 69 13 aforementioned aforementioned JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 69 14 increase increase NN cord-300570-xes201g7 69 15 ( ( -LRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 69 16 with with IN cord-300570-xes201g7 69 17 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 69 18 exception exception NN cord-300570-xes201g7 69 19 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 69 20 Spain Spain NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 69 21 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 69 22 Germany Germany NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 69 23 ) ) -RRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 69 24 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 69 25 suggesting suggest VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 69 26 that that IN cord-300570-xes201g7 69 27 many many JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 69 28 countries country NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 69 29 had have VBD cord-300570-xes201g7 69 30 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 69 31 potential potential NN cord-300570-xes201g7 69 32 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 69 33 drop drop VB cord-300570-xes201g7 69 34 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-300570-xes201g7 69 35 cases case NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 69 36 once once RB cord-300570-xes201g7 69 37 again again RB cord-300570-xes201g7 69 38 before before IN cord-300570-xes201g7 69 39 whatever whatever WDT cord-300570-xes201g7 69 40 event event NN cord-300570-xes201g7 69 41 caused cause VBD cord-300570-xes201g7 69 42 them -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 69 43 all all DT cord-300570-xes201g7 69 44 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 69 45 grow grow VB cord-300570-xes201g7 69 46 so so RB cord-300570-xes201g7 69 47 suddenly suddenly RB cord-300570-xes201g7 69 48 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 70 1 Finally finally RB cord-300570-xes201g7 70 2 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 70 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 70 4 observe observe VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 70 5 this this DT cord-300570-xes201g7 70 6 rise rise NN cord-300570-xes201g7 70 7 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 70 8 cases case NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 70 9 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 70 10 occur occur VB cord-300570-xes201g7 70 11 roughly roughly RB cord-300570-xes201g7 70 12 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 70 13 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 70 14 same same JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 70 15 timeframe timeframe NN cord-300570-xes201g7 70 16 : : : cord-300570-xes201g7 70 17 from from IN cord-300570-xes201g7 70 18 Day day NN cord-300570-xes201g7 70 19 190 190 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 70 20 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 70 21 day day NN cord-300570-xes201g7 70 22 205 205 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 70 23 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 71 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 71 2 can can MD cord-300570-xes201g7 71 3 likely likely RB cord-300570-xes201g7 71 4 attribute attribute VB cord-300570-xes201g7 71 5 this this DT cord-300570-xes201g7 71 6 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 71 7 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 71 8 policy policy NN cord-300570-xes201g7 71 9 either either CC cord-300570-xes201g7 71 10 made make VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 71 11 by by IN cord-300570-xes201g7 71 12 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 71 13 EU EU NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 71 14 or or CC cord-300570-xes201g7 71 15 by by IN cord-300570-xes201g7 71 16 each each DT cord-300570-xes201g7 71 17 government government NN cord-300570-xes201g7 71 18 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 71 19 close close JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 71 20 proximity proximity NN cord-300570-xes201g7 71 21 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 71 22 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 71 23 other other JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 71 24 regarding regard VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 71 25 reopening reopen VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 71 26 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 72 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 72 2 'll will MD cord-300570-xes201g7 72 3 explore explore VB cord-300570-xes201g7 72 4 this this DT cord-300570-xes201g7 72 5 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 72 6 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 72 7 later later JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 72 8 section section NN cord-300570-xes201g7 72 9 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 73 1 The the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 73 2 residual residual JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 73 3 plots plot NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 73 4 were be VBD cord-300570-xes201g7 73 5 useful useful JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 73 6 when when WRB cord-300570-xes201g7 73 7 attaching attach VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 73 8 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 73 9 rough rough JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 73 10 start start NN cord-300570-xes201g7 73 11 date date NN cord-300570-xes201g7 73 12 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 73 13 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 73 14 plateau plateau NN cord-300570-xes201g7 73 15 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 73 16 as as IN cord-300570-xes201g7 73 17 it -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 73 18 roughly roughly RB cord-300570-xes201g7 73 19 corresponds correspond VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 73 20 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 73 21 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 73 22 deviation deviation NN cord-300570-xes201g7 73 23 from from IN cord-300570-xes201g7 73 24 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 73 25 Covid Covid NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 73 26 model model NN cord-300570-xes201g7 73 27 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 74 1 A a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 74 2 point point NN cord-300570-xes201g7 74 3 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 74 4 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-300570-xes201g7 74 5 error error NN cord-300570-xes201g7 74 6 bars bar NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 74 7 not not RB cord-300570-xes201g7 74 8 intersecting intersect VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 74 9 with with IN cord-300570-xes201g7 74 10 0 0 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 75 1 whose whose WP$ cord-300570-xes201g7 75 2 future future JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 75 3 points point NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 75 4 also also RB cord-300570-xes201g7 75 5 do do VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 75 6 not not RB cord-300570-xes201g7 75 7 intersect intersect VB cord-300570-xes201g7 75 8 with with IN cord-300570-xes201g7 75 9 0 0 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 75 10 is be VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 75 11 thus thus RB cord-300570-xes201g7 75 12 marked mark VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 75 13 as as IN cord-300570-xes201g7 75 14 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 75 15 starting starting NN cord-300570-xes201g7 75 16 point point NN cord-300570-xes201g7 75 17 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 75 18 locate locate VB cord-300570-xes201g7 75 19 these these DT cord-300570-xes201g7 75 20 plateaus plateaus NN cord-300570-xes201g7 75 21 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 76 1 As as IN cord-300570-xes201g7 76 2 time time NN cord-300570-xes201g7 76 3 went go VBD cord-300570-xes201g7 76 4 on on RP cord-300570-xes201g7 76 5 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 76 6 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 76 7 model model NN cord-300570-xes201g7 76 8 predicted predict VBD cord-300570-xes201g7 76 9 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 76 10 virus virus NN cord-300570-xes201g7 76 11 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 76 12 be be VB cord-300570-xes201g7 76 13 gone go VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 76 14 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 76 15 most most JJS cord-300570-xes201g7 76 16 countries country NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 76 17 before before IN cord-300570-xes201g7 76 18 Day Day NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 76 19 180 180 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 76 20 [ [ -LRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 76 21 4 4 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 76 22 ] ] -RRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 76 23 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 76 24 with with IN cord-300570-xes201g7 76 25 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 76 26 exception exception NN cord-300570-xes201g7 76 27 being be VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 76 28 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 76 29 UK UK NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 76 30 at at IN cord-300570-xes201g7 76 31 around around IN cord-300570-xes201g7 76 32 Day Day NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 76 33 210 210 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 76 34 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 77 1 After after IN cord-300570-xes201g7 77 2 around around IN cord-300570-xes201g7 77 3 Day Day NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 77 4 170 170 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 77 5 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 77 6 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 77 7 model model NN cord-300570-xes201g7 77 8 predicts predict VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 77 9 small small JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 77 10 X2 x2 NN cord-300570-xes201g7 77 11 values value NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 77 12 with with IN cord-300570-xes201g7 77 13 small small JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 77 14 standards standard NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 77 15 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 77 16 deviation deviation NN cord-300570-xes201g7 77 17 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 77 18 so so CC cord-300570-xes201g7 77 19 observed observed JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 77 20 residuals residual NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 77 21 at at IN cord-300570-xes201g7 77 22 this this DT cord-300570-xes201g7 77 23 point point NN cord-300570-xes201g7 77 24 mostly mostly RB cord-300570-xes201g7 77 25 represent represent VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 77 26 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 77 27 growth growth NN cord-300570-xes201g7 77 28 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 77 29 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 77 30 virus virus NN cord-300570-xes201g7 77 31 itself -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 77 32 during during IN cord-300570-xes201g7 77 33 that that DT cord-300570-xes201g7 77 34 time time NN cord-300570-xes201g7 77 35 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 78 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 78 2 can can MD cord-300570-xes201g7 78 3 clearly clearly RB cord-300570-xes201g7 78 4 see see VB cord-300570-xes201g7 78 5 an an DT cord-300570-xes201g7 78 6 exponential exponential JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 78 7 increase increase NN cord-300570-xes201g7 78 8 both both DT cord-300570-xes201g7 78 9 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 78 10 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 78 11 model model NN cord-300570-xes201g7 78 12 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 78 13 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 78 14 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 78 15 residual residual JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 78 16 plots plot NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 78 17 at at IN cord-300570-xes201g7 78 18 nearly nearly RB cord-300570-xes201g7 78 19 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 79 1 CC CC NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 79 2 - - HYPH cord-300570-xes201g7 79 3 BY BY NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 79 4 - - HYPH cord-300570-xes201g7 79 5 ND ND NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 79 6 4.0 4.0 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 79 7 International international JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 79 8 license license NN cord-300570-xes201g7 80 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 80 2 is be VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 80 3 made make VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 80 4 available available JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 80 5 under under IN cord-300570-xes201g7 80 6 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 81 1 is be VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 81 2 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 81 3 author author NN cord-300570-xes201g7 81 4 / / SYM cord-300570-xes201g7 81 5 funder funder NN cord-300570-xes201g7 81 6 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 81 7 who who WP cord-300570-xes201g7 81 8 has have VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 81 9 granted grant VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 81 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 81 11 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 81 12 license license NN cord-300570-xes201g7 81 13 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 81 14 display display VB cord-300570-xes201g7 81 15 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 81 16 preprint preprint NN cord-300570-xes201g7 81 17 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 81 18 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-300570-xes201g7 81 19 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 82 1 The the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 82 2 copyright copyright NN cord-300570-xes201g7 82 3 holder holder NN cord-300570-xes201g7 82 4 for for IN cord-300570-xes201g7 82 5 this this DT cord-300570-xes201g7 82 6 preprint preprint NN cord-300570-xes201g7 82 7 this this DT cord-300570-xes201g7 82 8 version version NN cord-300570-xes201g7 82 9 posted post VBD cord-300570-xes201g7 82 10 October October NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 82 11 6 6 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 82 12 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 82 13 2020 2020 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 82 14 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 82 15 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 83 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.03.20206359 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.03.20206359 NFP cord-300570-xes201g7 83 2 doi doi NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 83 3 : : : cord-300570-xes201g7 84 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 84 2 preprint preprint NN cord-300570-xes201g7 84 3 identical identical JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 84 4 times time NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 84 5 for for IN cord-300570-xes201g7 84 6 this this DT cord-300570-xes201g7 84 7 reason reason NN cord-300570-xes201g7 84 8 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 85 1 Similarly similarly RB cord-300570-xes201g7 85 2 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 85 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 85 4 mark mark VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 85 5 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 85 6 date date NN cord-300570-xes201g7 85 7 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 85 8 which which WDT cord-300570-xes201g7 85 9 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 85 10 observed observed JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 85 11 data data NN cord-300570-xes201g7 85 12 points point NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 85 13 are be VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 85 14 first first RB cord-300570-xes201g7 85 15 statistically statistically RB cord-300570-xes201g7 85 16 improbable improbable JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 85 17 given give VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 85 18 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 85 19 model model NN cord-300570-xes201g7 85 20 curve curve NN cord-300570-xes201g7 85 21 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 85 22 continue continue VB cord-300570-xes201g7 85 23 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 85 24 be be VB cord-300570-xes201g7 85 25 ( ( -LRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 85 26 mostly mostly RB cord-300570-xes201g7 85 27 ) ) -RRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 85 28 improbable improbable JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 85 29 as as IN cord-300570-xes201g7 85 30 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 85 31 date date NN cord-300570-xes201g7 85 32 at at IN cord-300570-xes201g7 85 33 which which WDT cord-300570-xes201g7 85 34 point point NN cord-300570-xes201g7 85 35 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 85 36 model model NN cord-300570-xes201g7 85 37 becomes become VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 85 38 obsolete obsolete JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 85 39 using use VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 85 40 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-300570-xes201g7 85 41 p p NN cord-300570-xes201g7 85 42 value value NN cord-300570-xes201g7 85 43 plots plot NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 85 44 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 86 1 This this DT cord-300570-xes201g7 86 2 also also RB cord-300570-xes201g7 86 3 matches match VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 86 4 quite quite RB cord-300570-xes201g7 86 5 well well RB cord-300570-xes201g7 86 6 with with IN cord-300570-xes201g7 86 7 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 86 8 start start NN cord-300570-xes201g7 86 9 date date NN cord-300570-xes201g7 86 10 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 86 11 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 86 12 plateau plateau NN cord-300570-xes201g7 86 13 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 87 1 Analysis analysis NN cord-300570-xes201g7 87 2 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 87 3 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 87 4 Death Death NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 87 5 Model Model NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 87 6 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 88 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 88 2 can can MD cord-300570-xes201g7 88 3 observe observe VB cord-300570-xes201g7 88 4 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 88 5 similar similar JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 88 6 shape shape NN cord-300570-xes201g7 88 7 for for IN cord-300570-xes201g7 88 8 each each DT cord-300570-xes201g7 88 9 death death NN cord-300570-xes201g7 88 10 graph graph NN cord-300570-xes201g7 88 11 as as IN cord-300570-xes201g7 88 12 that that DT cord-300570-xes201g7 88 13 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 88 14 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 88 15 cases case NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 88 16 graph graph NN cord-300570-xes201g7 88 17 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 88 18 but but CC cord-300570-xes201g7 88 19 with with IN cord-300570-xes201g7 88 20 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 88 21 values value NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 88 22 on on IN cord-300570-xes201g7 88 23 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 88 24 y y NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 88 25 axis axis NN cord-300570-xes201g7 88 26 scaled scale VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 88 27 down down RP cord-300570-xes201g7 88 28 by by IN cord-300570-xes201g7 88 29 whatever whatever WDT cord-300570-xes201g7 88 30 fraction fraction NN cord-300570-xes201g7 88 31 δ δ NN cord-300570-xes201g7 88 32 was be VBD cord-300570-xes201g7 88 33 found find VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 88 34 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 89 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 89 2 notice notice VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 89 3 almost almost RB cord-300570-xes201g7 89 4 consistently consistently RB cord-300570-xes201g7 89 5 that that IN cord-300570-xes201g7 89 6 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 89 7 model model NN cord-300570-xes201g7 89 8 underestimates underestimate VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 89 9 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 89 10 total total JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 89 11 death death NN cord-300570-xes201g7 89 12 rate rate NN cord-300570-xes201g7 89 13 after after IN cord-300570-xes201g7 89 14 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-300570-xes201g7 89 15 peak peak NN cord-300570-xes201g7 89 16 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 89 17 with with IN cord-300570-xes201g7 89 18 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 89 19 exception exception NN cord-300570-xes201g7 89 20 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 89 21 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 89 22 Netherlands Netherlands NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 89 23 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 89 24 which which WDT cord-300570-xes201g7 89 25 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 89 26 model model NN cord-300570-xes201g7 89 27 surprisingly surprisingly RB cord-300570-xes201g7 89 28 overestimates overestimate VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 89 29 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 90 1 The the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 90 2 model model NN cord-300570-xes201g7 90 3 accounts account VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 90 4 for for IN cord-300570-xes201g7 90 5 deaths death NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 90 6 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 90 7 be be VB cord-300570-xes201g7 90 8 0 0 NFP cord-300570-xes201g7 90 9 at at IN cord-300570-xes201g7 90 10 around around IN cord-300570-xes201g7 90 11 160 160 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 90 12 days day NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 90 13 for for IN cord-300570-xes201g7 90 14 each each DT cord-300570-xes201g7 90 15 country country NN cord-300570-xes201g7 90 16 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 90 17 but but CC cord-300570-xes201g7 90 18 instead instead RB cord-300570-xes201g7 90 19 we -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 90 20 see see VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 90 21 that that IN cord-300570-xes201g7 90 22 there there EX cord-300570-xes201g7 90 23 are be VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 90 24 still still RB cord-300570-xes201g7 90 25 deaths death NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 90 26 after after IN cord-300570-xes201g7 90 27 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 90 28 predicted predict VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 90 29 end end NN cord-300570-xes201g7 90 30 date date NN cord-300570-xes201g7 90 31 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 90 32 albeit albeit IN cord-300570-xes201g7 90 33 very very RB cord-300570-xes201g7 90 34 few few JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 90 35 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 91 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 91 2 can can MD cord-300570-xes201g7 91 3 see see VB cord-300570-xes201g7 91 4 this this DT cord-300570-xes201g7 91 5 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 91 6 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-300570-xes201g7 91 7 residual residual JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 91 8 plots plot NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 91 9 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 91 10 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 91 11 which which WDT cord-300570-xes201g7 91 12 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 91 13 graphs graph NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 91 14 stabilize stabilize VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 91 15 around around IN cord-300570-xes201g7 91 16 0 0 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 91 17 after after IN cord-300570-xes201g7 91 18 around around IN cord-300570-xes201g7 91 19 Day day NN cord-300570-xes201g7 91 20 160 160 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 91 21 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 92 1 This this DT cord-300570-xes201g7 92 2 stabilization stabilization NN cord-300570-xes201g7 92 3 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 92 4 however however RB cord-300570-xes201g7 92 5 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 92 6 is be VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 92 7 not not RB cord-300570-xes201g7 92 8 an an DT cord-300570-xes201g7 92 9 indicator indicator NN cord-300570-xes201g7 92 10 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 92 11 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 92 12 accuracy accuracy NN cord-300570-xes201g7 92 13 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 92 14 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 92 15 model model NN cord-300570-xes201g7 92 16 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 92 17 which which WDT cord-300570-xes201g7 92 18 is be VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 92 19 proven prove VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 92 20 by by IN cord-300570-xes201g7 92 21 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 92 22 p p NN cord-300570-xes201g7 92 23 values value NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 92 24 dropping drop VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 92 25 below below IN cord-300570-xes201g7 92 26 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 92 27 α α NN cord-300570-xes201g7 92 28 = = SYM cord-300570-xes201g7 92 29 0.05 0.05 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 92 30 level level NN cord-300570-xes201g7 92 31 after after IN cord-300570-xes201g7 92 32 roughly roughly RB cord-300570-xes201g7 92 33 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 92 34 same same JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 92 35 date date NN cord-300570-xes201g7 92 36 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 92 37 but but CC cord-300570-xes201g7 92 38 because because IN cord-300570-xes201g7 92 39 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 92 40 deaths death NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 92 41 have have VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 92 42 also also RB cord-300570-xes201g7 92 43 fallen fall VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 92 44 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 92 45 fairly fairly RB cord-300570-xes201g7 92 46 small small JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 92 47 numbers number NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 92 48 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 92 49 usually usually RB cord-300570-xes201g7 92 50 around around IN cord-300570-xes201g7 92 51 1 1 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 92 52 - - SYM cord-300570-xes201g7 92 53 10 10 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 92 54 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 93 1 The the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 93 2 model model NN cord-300570-xes201g7 93 3 fails fail VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 93 4 around around IN cord-300570-xes201g7 93 5 15 15 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 93 6 days day NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 93 7 after after IN cord-300570-xes201g7 93 8 cases case NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 93 9 plateau plateau VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 93 10 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 93 11 because because IN cord-300570-xes201g7 93 12 we -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 93 13 expect expect VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 93 14 cases case NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 93 15 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 93 16 deaths death NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 93 17 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 93 18 decrease decrease VB cord-300570-xes201g7 93 19 continually continually RB cord-300570-xes201g7 93 20 until until IN cord-300570-xes201g7 93 21 they -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 93 22 reach reach VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 93 23 0 0 NFP cord-300570-xes201g7 93 24 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 93 25 but but CC cord-300570-xes201g7 93 26 instead instead RB cord-300570-xes201g7 93 27 we -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 93 28 get get VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 93 29 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 93 30 stagnation stagnation NN cord-300570-xes201g7 93 31 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 93 32 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 93 33 virus virus NN cord-300570-xes201g7 93 34 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 94 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 94 2 would would MD cord-300570-xes201g7 94 3 n't not RB cord-300570-xes201g7 94 4 be be VB cord-300570-xes201g7 94 5 apt apt JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 94 6 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 94 7 most most JJS cord-300570-xes201g7 94 8 cases case NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 94 9 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 94 10 call call VB cord-300570-xes201g7 94 11 this this DT cord-300570-xes201g7 94 12 persistence persistence NN cord-300570-xes201g7 94 13 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 94 14 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 94 15 virus virus NN cord-300570-xes201g7 94 16 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 94 17 plateau plateau NN cord-300570-xes201g7 94 18 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 94 19 but but CC cord-300570-xes201g7 94 20 rather rather RB cord-300570-xes201g7 94 21 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 94 22 failure failure NN cord-300570-xes201g7 94 23 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 94 24 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 94 25 model model NN cord-300570-xes201g7 94 26 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 94 27 graph graph VB cord-300570-xes201g7 94 28 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 94 29 much much RB cord-300570-xes201g7 94 30 less less RBR cord-300570-xes201g7 94 31 steep steep JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 94 32 falling fall VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 94 33 curve curve NN cord-300570-xes201g7 94 34 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 95 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 95 2 notice notice VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 95 3 that that IN cord-300570-xes201g7 95 4 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 95 5 UK UK NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 95 6 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 95 7 Italy Italy NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 95 8 almost almost RB cord-300570-xes201g7 95 9 immediately immediately RB cord-300570-xes201g7 95 10 deviate deviate VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 95 11 from from IN cord-300570-xes201g7 95 12 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 95 13 expected expect VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 95 14 curve curve NN cord-300570-xes201g7 95 15 after after IN cord-300570-xes201g7 95 16 reaching reach VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 95 17 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-300570-xes201g7 95 18 peak peak NN cord-300570-xes201g7 95 19 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 95 20 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 95 21 we -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 95 22 can can MD cord-300570-xes201g7 95 23 see see VB cord-300570-xes201g7 95 24 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 95 25 much much RB cord-300570-xes201g7 95 26 more more RBR cord-300570-xes201g7 95 27 gradual gradual JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 95 28 decrease decrease NN cord-300570-xes201g7 95 29 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 95 30 cases case NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 95 31 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 95 32 both both DT cord-300570-xes201g7 95 33 countries country NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 95 34 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 96 1 In in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 96 2 almost almost RB cord-300570-xes201g7 96 3 every every DT cord-300570-xes201g7 96 4 residual residual JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 96 5 plot plot NN cord-300570-xes201g7 96 6 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 96 7 we -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 96 8 see see VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 96 9 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 96 10 shape shape NN cord-300570-xes201g7 96 11 resembling resemble VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 96 12 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 96 13 damped damp VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 96 14 harmonic harmonic JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 96 15 oscillation oscillation NN cord-300570-xes201g7 96 16 curve curve NN cord-300570-xes201g7 96 17 as as IN cord-300570-xes201g7 96 18 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 96 19 residuals residual NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 96 20 approach approach NN cord-300570-xes201g7 96 21 0 0 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 96 22 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 97 1 As as IN cord-300570-xes201g7 97 2 x x NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 97 3 approaches approach VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 97 4 200 200 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 97 5 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 97 6 beyond beyond IN cord-300570-xes201g7 97 7 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 97 8 we -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 97 9 can can MD cord-300570-xes201g7 97 10 say say VB cord-300570-xes201g7 97 11 that that IN cord-300570-xes201g7 97 12 if if IN cord-300570-xes201g7 97 13 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 97 14 residuals residual NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 97 15 do do VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 97 16 n't not RB cord-300570-xes201g7 97 17 go go VB cord-300570-xes201g7 97 18 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 97 19 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 97 20 stay stay VB cord-300570-xes201g7 97 21 at at IN cord-300570-xes201g7 97 22 0 0 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 97 23 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 97 24 there there EX cord-300570-xes201g7 97 25 's be VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 97 26 an an DT cord-300570-xes201g7 97 27 anomaly anomaly NN cord-300570-xes201g7 97 28 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 98 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 98 2 observe observe VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 98 3 this this DT cord-300570-xes201g7 98 4 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 98 5 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 98 6 UK UK NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 98 7 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 98 8 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 98 9 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 98 10 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 99 1 In in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 99 2 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 99 3 UK UK NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 99 4 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 99 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 99 6 notice notice VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 99 7 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 99 8 fluctuation fluctuation NN cord-300570-xes201g7 99 9 between between IN cord-300570-xes201g7 99 10 0 0 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 99 11 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 99 12 125 125 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 99 13 from from IN cord-300570-xes201g7 99 14 Days day NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 99 15 163 163 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 99 16 onwards onwards RB cord-300570-xes201g7 99 17 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 99 18 indicating indicate VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 99 19 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 99 20 stagnation stagnation NN cord-300570-xes201g7 99 21 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 99 22 deaths death NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 99 23 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 100 1 Each each DT cord-300570-xes201g7 100 2 stagnation stagnation NN cord-300570-xes201g7 100 3 occurs occur VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 100 4 during during IN cord-300570-xes201g7 100 5 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 100 6 period period NN cord-300570-xes201g7 100 7 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 100 8 increased increase VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 100 9 cases case NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 100 10 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 101 1 While while IN cord-300570-xes201g7 101 2 we -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 101 3 may may MD cord-300570-xes201g7 101 4 expect expect VB cord-300570-xes201g7 101 5 an an DT cord-300570-xes201g7 101 6 increase increase NN cord-300570-xes201g7 101 7 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 101 8 cases case NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 101 9 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 101 10 signify signify VB cord-300570-xes201g7 101 11 an an DT cord-300570-xes201g7 101 12 increase increase NN cord-300570-xes201g7 101 13 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 101 14 deaths death NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 101 15 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 101 16 it -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 101 17 might may MD cord-300570-xes201g7 101 18 be be VB cord-300570-xes201g7 101 19 useful useful JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 101 20 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 101 21 consider consider VB cord-300570-xes201g7 101 22 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 101 23 possibility possibility NN cord-300570-xes201g7 101 24 that that IN cord-300570-xes201g7 101 25 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 101 26 lethality lethality NN cord-300570-xes201g7 101 27 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 101 28 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 101 29 virus virus NN cord-300570-xes201g7 101 30 itself -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 101 31 has have VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 101 32 decreased decrease VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 101 33 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 101 34 or or CC cord-300570-xes201g7 101 35 hospitals hospital NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 101 36 have have VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 101 37 adapted adapt VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 101 38 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 101 39 become become VB cord-300570-xes201g7 101 40 better well RBR cord-300570-xes201g7 101 41 equipped equipped JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 101 42 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 101 43 help help VB cord-300570-xes201g7 101 44 patients patient NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 101 45 survive survive VB cord-300570-xes201g7 101 46 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 101 47 virus virus NN cord-300570-xes201g7 101 48 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 102 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 102 2 know know VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 102 3 that that IN cord-300570-xes201g7 102 4 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 102 5 virus virus NN cord-300570-xes201g7 102 6 takes take VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 102 7 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 102 8 long long JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 102 9 time time NN cord-300570-xes201g7 102 10 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 102 11 mutate mutate VB cord-300570-xes201g7 102 12 [ [ -LRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 102 13 9 9 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 102 14 ] ] -RRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 102 15 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 102 16 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 102 17 that that IN cord-300570-xes201g7 102 18 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-300570-xes201g7 102 19 mutations mutation NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 102 20 are be VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 102 21 mostly mostly RB cord-300570-xes201g7 102 22 inconsequential inconsequential JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 102 23 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 102 24 so so IN cord-300570-xes201g7 102 25 we -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 102 26 could could MD cord-300570-xes201g7 102 27 choose choose VB cord-300570-xes201g7 102 28 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 102 29 focus focus VB cord-300570-xes201g7 102 30 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-300570-xes201g7 102 31 analysis analysis NN cord-300570-xes201g7 102 32 on on IN cord-300570-xes201g7 102 33 hospitals hospital NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 102 34 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 103 1 During during IN cord-300570-xes201g7 103 2 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 103 3 peak peak NN cord-300570-xes201g7 103 4 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 103 5 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 103 6 virus virus NN cord-300570-xes201g7 103 7 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 103 8 hospitals hospital NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 103 9 were be VBD cord-300570-xes201g7 103 10 mostly mostly RB cord-300570-xes201g7 103 11 swabbing swab VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 103 12 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 103 13 testing test VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 103 14 severely severely RB cord-300570-xes201g7 103 15 symptomatic symptomatic JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 103 16 patients patient NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 103 17 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 103 18 arguably arguably RB cord-300570-xes201g7 103 19 skewing skew VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 103 20 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 103 21 lethality lethality NN cord-300570-xes201g7 103 22 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 103 23 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 103 24 virus virus NN cord-300570-xes201g7 103 25 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 104 1 Considering consider VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 104 2 that that DT cord-300570-xes201g7 104 3 case case NN cord-300570-xes201g7 104 4 rises rise VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 104 5 could could MD cord-300570-xes201g7 104 6 be be VB cord-300570-xes201g7 104 7 associated associate VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 104 8 with with IN cord-300570-xes201g7 104 9 increased increase VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 104 10 numbers number NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 104 11 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 104 12 both both CC cord-300570-xes201g7 104 13 moderately moderately RB cord-300570-xes201g7 104 14 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 104 15 severely severely RB cord-300570-xes201g7 104 16 symptomatic symptomatic JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 104 17 patients patient NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 104 18 instead instead RB cord-300570-xes201g7 104 19 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 104 20 just just RB cord-300570-xes201g7 104 21 mostly mostly RB cord-300570-xes201g7 104 22 severely severely RB cord-300570-xes201g7 104 23 symptomatic symptomatic JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 104 24 patients patient NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 104 25 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 104 26 we -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 104 27 can can MD cord-300570-xes201g7 104 28 infer infer VB cord-300570-xes201g7 104 29 that that IN cord-300570-xes201g7 104 30 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 104 31 number number NN cord-300570-xes201g7 104 32 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 104 33 deaths death NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 104 34 would would MD cord-300570-xes201g7 104 35 n't not RB cord-300570-xes201g7 104 36 have have VB cord-300570-xes201g7 104 37 increased increase VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 104 38 [ [ -LRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 104 39 3 3 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 104 40 ] ] -RRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 104 41 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 105 1 In in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 105 2 addition addition NN cord-300570-xes201g7 105 3 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 105 4 this this DT cord-300570-xes201g7 105 5 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 105 6 younger young JJR cord-300570-xes201g7 105 7 people people NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 105 8 are be VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 105 9 getting get VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 105 10 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 105 11 virus virus NN cord-300570-xes201g7 105 12 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 105 13 leading lead VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 105 14 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 105 15 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 105 16 greater great JJR cord-300570-xes201g7 105 17 survival survival NN cord-300570-xes201g7 105 18 rate rate NN cord-300570-xes201g7 105 19 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 105 20 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 105 21 hospitals hospital NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 105 22 themselves -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 105 23 have have VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 105 24 become become VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 105 25 better well JJR cord-300570-xes201g7 105 26 at at IN cord-300570-xes201g7 105 27 preventing prevent VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 105 28 deaths death NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 105 29 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 105 30 due due IN cord-300570-xes201g7 105 31 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 105 32 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 105 33 efforts effort NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 105 34 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 105 35 medical medical JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 105 36 researchers researcher NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 105 37 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 106 1 All all DT cord-300570-xes201g7 106 2 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 106 3 this this DT cord-300570-xes201g7 106 4 has have VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 106 5 continued continue VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 106 6 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 106 7 keep keep VB cord-300570-xes201g7 106 8 deaths death NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 106 9 down down RP cord-300570-xes201g7 106 10 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 107 1 In in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 107 2 fact fact NN cord-300570-xes201g7 107 3 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 107 4 since since IN cord-300570-xes201g7 107 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 107 6 do do VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 107 7 n't not RB cord-300570-xes201g7 107 8 see see VB cord-300570-xes201g7 107 9 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 107 10 surge surge NN cord-300570-xes201g7 107 11 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 107 12 deaths death NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 107 13 as as IN cord-300570-xes201g7 107 14 we -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 107 15 see see VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 107 16 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 107 17 surge surge NN cord-300570-xes201g7 107 18 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 107 19 cases case NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 107 20 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 107 21 it -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 107 22 could could MD cord-300570-xes201g7 107 23 be be VB cord-300570-xes201g7 107 24 predicted predict VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 107 25 that that IN cord-300570-xes201g7 107 26 deaths death NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 107 27 would would MD cord-300570-xes201g7 107 28 increase increase VB cord-300570-xes201g7 107 29 after after IN cord-300570-xes201g7 107 30 day day NN cord-300570-xes201g7 107 31 227 227 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 107 32 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 107 33 order order NN cord-300570-xes201g7 107 34 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 107 35 compensate compensate VB cord-300570-xes201g7 107 36 for for IN cord-300570-xes201g7 107 37 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 107 38 rise rise NN cord-300570-xes201g7 107 39 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 107 40 cases case NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 107 41 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 107 42 but but CC cord-300570-xes201g7 107 43 it -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 107 44 is be VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 107 45 also also RB cord-300570-xes201g7 107 46 entirely entirely RB cord-300570-xes201g7 107 47 probable probable JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 107 48 that that IN cord-300570-xes201g7 107 49 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 107 50 persistence persistence NN cord-300570-xes201g7 107 51 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 107 52 " " `` cord-300570-xes201g7 107 53 plateau plateau NN cord-300570-xes201g7 107 54 " " '' cord-300570-xes201g7 107 55 that that WDT cord-300570-xes201g7 107 56 we -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 107 57 see see VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 107 58 prior prior RB cord-300570-xes201g7 107 59 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 107 60 day day NN cord-300570-xes201g7 107 61 227 227 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 107 62 is be VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 107 63 due due JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 107 64 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 107 65 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 107 66 surge surge NN cord-300570-xes201g7 107 67 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 107 68 cases case NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 107 69 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 107 70 each each DT cord-300570-xes201g7 107 71 country country NN cord-300570-xes201g7 107 72 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 108 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 108 2 is be VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 108 3 also also RB cord-300570-xes201g7 108 4 probable probable JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 108 5 that that IN cord-300570-xes201g7 108 6 it -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 108 7 takes take VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 108 8 longer long RBR cord-300570-xes201g7 108 9 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 108 10 die die VB cord-300570-xes201g7 108 11 now now RB cord-300570-xes201g7 108 12 with with IN cord-300570-xes201g7 108 13 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 108 14 virus virus NN cord-300570-xes201g7 108 15 than than IN cord-300570-xes201g7 108 16 it -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 108 17 did do VBD cord-300570-xes201g7 108 18 before before RB cord-300570-xes201g7 108 19 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 109 1 Finally finally RB cord-300570-xes201g7 109 2 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 109 3 an an DT cord-300570-xes201g7 109 4 examination examination NN cord-300570-xes201g7 109 5 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 109 6 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 109 7 date date NN cord-300570-xes201g7 109 8 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 109 9 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 109 10 first first JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 109 11 deaths death NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 109 12 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 109 13 each each DT cord-300570-xes201g7 109 14 country country NN cord-300570-xes201g7 109 15 compared compare VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 109 16 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 109 17 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 109 18 days day NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 109 19 until until IN cord-300570-xes201g7 109 20 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 109 21 model model NN cord-300570-xes201g7 109 22 began begin VBD cord-300570-xes201g7 109 23 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 109 24 deviate deviate VB cord-300570-xes201g7 109 25 from from IN cord-300570-xes201g7 109 26 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-300570-xes201g7 109 27 expected expect VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 109 28 behavior behavior NN cord-300570-xes201g7 109 29 yields yield VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 109 30 no no DT cord-300570-xes201g7 109 31 relation relation NN cord-300570-xes201g7 109 32 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 109 33 indicating indicate VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 109 34 that that IN cord-300570-xes201g7 109 35 any any DT cord-300570-xes201g7 109 36 failure failure NN cord-300570-xes201g7 109 37 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 109 38 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 109 39 observed observed JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 109 40 data data NN cord-300570-xes201g7 109 41 points point NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 109 42 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 109 43 conform conform VB cord-300570-xes201g7 109 44 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 109 45 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 109 46 model model NN cord-300570-xes201g7 109 47 is be VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 109 48 most most RBS cord-300570-xes201g7 109 49 likely likely JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 109 50 due due IN cord-300570-xes201g7 109 51 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 109 52 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 109 53 policy policy NN cord-300570-xes201g7 109 54 measures measure NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 109 55 taken take VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 109 56 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 109 57 each each DT cord-300570-xes201g7 109 58 country country NN cord-300570-xes201g7 109 59 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 110 1 Policy policy NN cord-300570-xes201g7 110 2 Measures measure NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 110 3 taken take VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 110 4 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 110 5 each each DT cord-300570-xes201g7 110 6 Country Country NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 110 7 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 111 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 111 2 have have VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 111 3 seen see VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 111 4 almost almost RB cord-300570-xes201g7 111 5 uniform uniform JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 111 6 behavior behavior NN cord-300570-xes201g7 111 7 amongst amongst IN cord-300570-xes201g7 111 8 all all DT cord-300570-xes201g7 111 9 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 111 10 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 111 11 countries country NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 111 12 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 111 13 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 111 14 shape shape NN cord-300570-xes201g7 111 15 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 111 16 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-300570-xes201g7 111 17 growth growth NN cord-300570-xes201g7 111 18 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 111 19 but but CC cord-300570-xes201g7 111 20 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 111 21 days day NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 111 22 for for IN cord-300570-xes201g7 111 23 each each DT cord-300570-xes201g7 111 24 significant significant JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 111 25 change change NN cord-300570-xes201g7 111 26 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 111 27 shape shape NN cord-300570-xes201g7 111 28 vary vary VB cord-300570-xes201g7 111 29 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 112 1 This this DT cord-300570-xes201g7 112 2 begs beg VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 112 3 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 112 4 question question NN cord-300570-xes201g7 112 5 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 112 6 what what WP cord-300570-xes201g7 112 7 changed change VBD cord-300570-xes201g7 112 8 ? ? . cord-300570-xes201g7 113 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 113 2 know know VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 113 3 that that IN cord-300570-xes201g7 113 4 it -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 113 5 takes take VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 113 6 about about RB cord-300570-xes201g7 113 7 15.5 15.5 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 113 8 days day NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 113 9 for for IN cord-300570-xes201g7 113 10 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 113 11 person person NN cord-300570-xes201g7 113 12 who who WP cord-300570-xes201g7 113 13 gets get VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 113 14 infected infect VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 113 15 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 113 16 be be VB cord-300570-xes201g7 113 17 recognized recognize VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 113 18 as as IN cord-300570-xes201g7 113 19 infected infect VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 113 20 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 113 21 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 113 22 get get VB cord-300570-xes201g7 113 23 removed remove VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 113 24 from from IN cord-300570-xes201g7 113 25 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 113 26 population population NN cord-300570-xes201g7 113 27 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 113 28 so so RB cord-300570-xes201g7 113 29 we -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 113 30 can can MD cord-300570-xes201g7 113 31 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 114 1 CC CC NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 114 2 - - HYPH cord-300570-xes201g7 114 3 BY BY NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 114 4 - - HYPH cord-300570-xes201g7 114 5 ND ND NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 114 6 4.0 4.0 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 114 7 International international JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 114 8 license license NN cord-300570-xes201g7 115 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 115 2 is be VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 115 3 made make VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 115 4 available available JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 115 5 under under IN cord-300570-xes201g7 115 6 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 116 1 is be VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 116 2 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 116 3 author author NN cord-300570-xes201g7 116 4 / / SYM cord-300570-xes201g7 116 5 funder funder NN cord-300570-xes201g7 116 6 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 116 7 who who WP cord-300570-xes201g7 116 8 has have VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 116 9 granted grant VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 116 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 116 11 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 116 12 license license NN cord-300570-xes201g7 116 13 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 116 14 display display VB cord-300570-xes201g7 116 15 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 116 16 preprint preprint NN cord-300570-xes201g7 116 17 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 116 18 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-300570-xes201g7 116 19 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 117 1 The the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 117 2 copyright copyright NN cord-300570-xes201g7 117 3 holder holder NN cord-300570-xes201g7 117 4 for for IN cord-300570-xes201g7 117 5 this this DT cord-300570-xes201g7 117 6 preprint preprint NN cord-300570-xes201g7 117 7 this this DT cord-300570-xes201g7 117 8 version version NN cord-300570-xes201g7 117 9 posted post VBD cord-300570-xes201g7 117 10 October October NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 117 11 6 6 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 117 12 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 117 13 2020 2020 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 117 14 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 117 15 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 118 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.03.20206359 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.03.20206359 NFP cord-300570-xes201g7 118 2 doi doi NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 118 3 : : : cord-300570-xes201g7 119 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 119 2 preprint preprint NN cord-300570-xes201g7 119 3 infer infer VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 119 4 that that IN cord-300570-xes201g7 119 5 any any DT cord-300570-xes201g7 119 6 action action NN cord-300570-xes201g7 119 7 taken take VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 119 8 will will MD cord-300570-xes201g7 119 9 have have VB cord-300570-xes201g7 119 10 repercussions repercussion NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 119 11 about about IN cord-300570-xes201g7 119 12 15 15 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 119 13 days day NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 119 14 later later RB cord-300570-xes201g7 119 15 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 120 1 However however RB cord-300570-xes201g7 120 2 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 120 3 seeing see VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 120 4 as as IN cord-300570-xes201g7 120 5 this this DT cord-300570-xes201g7 120 6 number number NN cord-300570-xes201g7 120 7 was be VBD cord-300570-xes201g7 120 8 recorded record VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 120 9 when when WRB cord-300570-xes201g7 120 10 mostly mostly RB cord-300570-xes201g7 120 11 severely severely RB cord-300570-xes201g7 120 12 affected affected JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 120 13 people people NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 120 14 were be VBD cord-300570-xes201g7 120 15 being be VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 120 16 diagnosed diagnose VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 120 17 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 120 18 it -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 120 19 can can MD cord-300570-xes201g7 120 20 be be VB cord-300570-xes201g7 120 21 assumed assume VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 120 22 that that IN cord-300570-xes201g7 120 23 it -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 120 24 'll will MD cord-300570-xes201g7 120 25 take take VB cord-300570-xes201g7 120 26 less less JJR cord-300570-xes201g7 120 27 time time NN cord-300570-xes201g7 120 28 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 120 29 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 120 30 months month NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 120 31 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 120 32 July July NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 120 33 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 120 34 August August NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 120 35 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 120 36 get get VB cord-300570-xes201g7 120 37 diagnosed diagnose VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 120 38 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 121 1 After after IN cord-300570-xes201g7 121 2 about about IN cord-300570-xes201g7 121 3 183 183 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 121 4 days day NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 121 5 since since IN cord-300570-xes201g7 121 6 December December NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 121 7 31 31 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 121 8 2019 2019 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 121 9 ( ( -LRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 121 10 July July NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 121 11 1 1 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 121 12 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 121 13 2020 2020 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 121 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 121 15 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 121 16 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 121 17 EU EU NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 121 18 began begin VBD cord-300570-xes201g7 121 19 lifting lift VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 121 20 restrictions restriction NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 121 21 on on IN cord-300570-xes201g7 121 22 nonessential nonessential JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 121 23 travel travel NN cord-300570-xes201g7 121 24 for for IN cord-300570-xes201g7 121 25 some some DT cord-300570-xes201g7 121 26 countries country NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 121 27 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 122 1 This this DT cord-300570-xes201g7 122 2 has have VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 122 3 caused cause VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 122 4 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 122 5 direct direct JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 122 6 increase increase NN cord-300570-xes201g7 122 7 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 122 8 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 122 9 number number NN cord-300570-xes201g7 122 10 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 122 11 cases case NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 122 12 for for IN cord-300570-xes201g7 122 13 Italy Italy NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 122 14 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 122 15 Germany Germany NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 122 16 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 122 17 Spain Spain NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 122 18 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 122 19 Norway Norway NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 122 20 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 122 21 Denmark Denmark NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 122 22 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 122 23 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 122 24 Netherlands Netherlands NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 122 25 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 122 26 France France NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 122 27 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 122 28 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 122 29 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 122 30 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 122 31 much much RB cord-300570-xes201g7 122 32 lesser less JJR cord-300570-xes201g7 122 33 extent extent NN cord-300570-xes201g7 122 34 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 122 35 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 122 36 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 123 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 123 2 can can MD cord-300570-xes201g7 123 3 see see VB cord-300570-xes201g7 123 4 these these DT cord-300570-xes201g7 123 5 effects effect NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 123 6 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 123 7 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 123 8 rise rise NN cord-300570-xes201g7 123 9 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 123 10 cases case NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 123 11 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 123 12 each each DT cord-300570-xes201g7 123 13 country country NN cord-300570-xes201g7 123 14 from from IN cord-300570-xes201g7 123 15 Days day NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 123 16 190 190 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 123 17 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 123 18 205 205 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 123 19 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 124 1 The the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 124 2 UK UK NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 124 3 announced announce VBD cord-300570-xes201g7 124 4 around around IN cord-300570-xes201g7 124 5 190 190 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 124 6 days day NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 124 7 since since IN cord-300570-xes201g7 124 8 December December NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 124 9 31 31 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 124 10 2019 2019 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 124 11 that that WDT cord-300570-xes201g7 124 12 restaurants restaurant NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 124 13 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 124 14 bars bar NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 124 15 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 124 16 hotels hotel NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 124 17 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 124 18 hairdressers hairdresser NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 124 19 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 124 20 cinemas cinema NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 124 21 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 124 22 museums museum NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 124 23 would would MD cord-300570-xes201g7 124 24 reopen reopen VB cord-300570-xes201g7 124 25 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 124 26 causing cause VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 124 27 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 124 28 surge surge NN cord-300570-xes201g7 124 29 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 124 30 cases case NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 124 31 almost almost RB cord-300570-xes201g7 124 32 immediately immediately RB cord-300570-xes201g7 124 33 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 125 1 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 125 2 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 125 3 which which WDT cord-300570-xes201g7 125 4 imposed impose VBD cord-300570-xes201g7 125 5 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 125 6 more more RBR cord-300570-xes201g7 125 7 voluntary voluntary JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 125 8 lockdown lockdown NN cord-300570-xes201g7 125 9 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 125 10 has have VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 125 11 experienced experience VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 125 12 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 125 13 more more RBR cord-300570-xes201g7 125 14 protracted protracted JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 125 15 outbreak outbreak NN cord-300570-xes201g7 125 16 than than IN cord-300570-xes201g7 125 17 other other JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 125 18 countries country NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 125 19 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 125 20 which which WDT cord-300570-xes201g7 125 21 we -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 125 22 can can MD cord-300570-xes201g7 125 23 see see VB cord-300570-xes201g7 125 24 by by IN cord-300570-xes201g7 125 25 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 125 26 plateauing plateauing NN cord-300570-xes201g7 125 27 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 125 28 cases case NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 125 29 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 125 30 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 125 31 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 125 32 with with IN cord-300570-xes201g7 125 33 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 125 34 exception exception NN cord-300570-xes201g7 125 35 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 125 36 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 125 37 sudden sudden JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 125 38 spike spike NN cord-300570-xes201g7 125 39 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 125 40 drop drop NN cord-300570-xes201g7 125 41 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 125 42 cases case NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 125 43 over over IN cord-300570-xes201g7 125 44 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 125 45 span span NN cord-300570-xes201g7 125 46 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 125 47 just just RB cord-300570-xes201g7 125 48 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 125 49 few few JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 125 50 days day NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 125 51 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 126 1 In in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 126 2 addition addition NN cord-300570-xes201g7 126 3 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 126 4 this this DT cord-300570-xes201g7 126 5 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 126 6 every every DT cord-300570-xes201g7 126 7 country country NN cord-300570-xes201g7 126 8 on on IN cord-300570-xes201g7 126 9 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 126 10 list list NN cord-300570-xes201g7 126 11 launched launch VBD cord-300570-xes201g7 126 12 some some DT cord-300570-xes201g7 126 13 phase phase NN cord-300570-xes201g7 126 14 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 126 15 reopening reopen VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 126 16 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 126 17 July July NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 126 18 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 126 19 August August NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 126 20 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 126 21 further further RB cord-300570-xes201g7 126 22 compounding compound VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 126 23 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 126 24 issue issue NN cord-300570-xes201g7 126 25 caused cause VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 126 26 by by IN cord-300570-xes201g7 126 27 opening open VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 126 28 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 126 29 borders border NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 126 30 [ [ -LRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 126 31 7 7 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 126 32 ] ] -RRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 126 33 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 127 1 This this DT cord-300570-xes201g7 127 2 still still RB cord-300570-xes201g7 127 3 begs beg VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 127 4 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 127 5 question question NN cord-300570-xes201g7 127 6 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 127 7 why why WRB cord-300570-xes201g7 127 8 did do VBD cord-300570-xes201g7 127 9 cases case NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 127 10 rise rise VB cord-300570-xes201g7 127 11 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 127 12 this this DT cord-300570-xes201g7 127 13 scenario scenario NN cord-300570-xes201g7 127 14 but but CC cord-300570-xes201g7 127 15 plateaued plateaue VBD cord-300570-xes201g7 127 16 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 127 17 prior prior JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 127 18 days day NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 127 19 ? ? . cord-300570-xes201g7 128 1 This this DT cord-300570-xes201g7 128 2 is be VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 128 3 likely likely JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 128 4 because because IN cord-300570-xes201g7 128 5 countries country NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 128 6 initially initially RB cord-300570-xes201g7 128 7 began begin VBD cord-300570-xes201g7 128 8 lifting lift VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 128 9 lockdowns lockdown NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 128 10 internally internally RB cord-300570-xes201g7 128 11 during during IN cord-300570-xes201g7 128 12 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 128 13 Day Day NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 128 14 140-Day 140-day CD cord-300570-xes201g7 128 15 160 160 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 128 16 period period NN cord-300570-xes201g7 128 17 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 128 18 launching launch VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 128 19 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-300570-xes201g7 128 20 initial initial JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 128 21 phases phase NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 128 22 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 128 23 reopening reopen VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 128 24 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 129 1 These these DT cord-300570-xes201g7 129 2 reopenings reopening NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 129 3 were be VBD cord-300570-xes201g7 129 4 largely largely RB cord-300570-xes201g7 129 5 internal internal JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 129 6 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 129 7 allowing allow VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 129 8 for for IN cord-300570-xes201g7 129 9 mobility mobility NN cord-300570-xes201g7 129 10 inside inside IN cord-300570-xes201g7 129 11 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 129 12 country country NN cord-300570-xes201g7 129 13 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 130 1 In in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 130 2 Germany Germany NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 130 3 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 130 4 smaller small JJR cord-300570-xes201g7 130 5 shops shop NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 130 6 began begin VBD cord-300570-xes201g7 130 7 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 130 8 reopen reopen VB cord-300570-xes201g7 130 9 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 130 10 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 130 11 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 130 12 travel travel NN cord-300570-xes201g7 130 13 ban ban NN cord-300570-xes201g7 130 14 was be VBD cord-300570-xes201g7 130 15 lifted lift VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 130 16 for for IN cord-300570-xes201g7 130 17 EU EU NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 130 18 member member NN cord-300570-xes201g7 130 19 states state NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 130 20 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 131 1 Italy Italy NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 131 2 ended end VBD cord-300570-xes201g7 131 3 travel travel NN cord-300570-xes201g7 131 4 restrictions restriction NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 131 5 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 131 6 bars bar NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 131 7 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 131 8 restaurants restaurant NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 131 9 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 131 10 shops shop NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 131 11 as as RB cord-300570-xes201g7 131 12 well well RB cord-300570-xes201g7 131 13 as as IN cord-300570-xes201g7 131 14 other other JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 131 15 public public JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 131 16 activities activity NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 131 17 such such JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 131 18 as as IN cord-300570-xes201g7 131 19 tourist tourist NN cord-300570-xes201g7 131 20 locations location NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 131 21 opened open VBD cord-300570-xes201g7 131 22 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 132 1 Such such JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 132 2 changes change NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 132 3 happened happen VBD cord-300570-xes201g7 132 4 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 132 5 essentially essentially RB cord-300570-xes201g7 132 6 every every DT cord-300570-xes201g7 132 7 country country NN cord-300570-xes201g7 132 8 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 132 9 with with IN cord-300570-xes201g7 132 10 restrictions restriction NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 132 11 being be VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 132 12 lifted lift VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 132 13 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 132 14 mid mid JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 132 15 May May NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 132 16 ( ( -LRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 132 17 Day day NN cord-300570-xes201g7 132 18 130-Day 130-day CD cord-300570-xes201g7 132 19 140 140 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 132 20 ) ) -RRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 132 21 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 133 1 A a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 133 2 smaller small JJR cord-300570-xes201g7 133 3 scale scale NN cord-300570-xes201g7 133 4 reopening reopen VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 133 5 coupled couple VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 133 6 with with IN cord-300570-xes201g7 133 7 falling fall VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 133 8 cases case NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 133 9 likely likely RB cord-300570-xes201g7 133 10 contributed contribute VBD cord-300570-xes201g7 133 11 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 133 12 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 133 13 smaller small JJR cord-300570-xes201g7 133 14 growth growth NN cord-300570-xes201g7 133 15 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 133 16 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 133 17 virus virus NN cord-300570-xes201g7 133 18 causing cause VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 133 19 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 133 20 plateau plateau NN cord-300570-xes201g7 133 21 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 133 22 whereas whereas IN cord-300570-xes201g7 133 23 larger large JJR cord-300570-xes201g7 133 24 scale scale NN cord-300570-xes201g7 133 25 reopenings reopening NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 133 26 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 133 27 later later JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 133 28 months month NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 133 29 almost almost RB cord-300570-xes201g7 133 30 uniformly uniformly RB cord-300570-xes201g7 133 31 caused cause VBD cord-300570-xes201g7 133 32 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 133 33 significant significant JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 133 34 rise rise NN cord-300570-xes201g7 133 35 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 133 36 cases case NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 133 37 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 134 1 Spain Spain NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 134 2 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 134 3 particular particular JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 134 4 has have VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 134 5 been be VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 134 6 hit hit VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 134 7 hard hard RB cord-300570-xes201g7 134 8 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 134 9 with with IN cord-300570-xes201g7 134 10 many many JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 134 11 cases case NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 134 12 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 134 13 Aragon Aragon NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 134 14 [ [ -LRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 134 15 2 2 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 134 16 ] ] -RRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 134 17 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 134 18 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 134 19 most most RBS cord-300570-xes201g7 134 20 heavy heavy JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 134 21 hit hit VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 134 22 county county NN cord-300570-xes201g7 134 23 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 134 24 due due IN cord-300570-xes201g7 134 25 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 134 26 infections infection NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 134 27 with with IN cord-300570-xes201g7 134 28 wandering wander VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 134 29 seasonal seasonal JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 134 30 fruit fruit NN cord-300570-xes201g7 134 31 pickers picker NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 134 32 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 135 1 Nonetheless nonetheless RB cord-300570-xes201g7 135 2 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 135 3 while while IN cord-300570-xes201g7 135 4 cases case NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 135 5 continue continue VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 135 6 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 135 7 increase increase VB cord-300570-xes201g7 135 8 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 135 9 only only RB cord-300570-xes201g7 135 10 about about RB cord-300570-xes201g7 135 11 3 3 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 135 12 percent percent NN cord-300570-xes201g7 135 13 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 135 14 cases case NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 135 15 need need VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 135 16 hospital hospital NN cord-300570-xes201g7 135 17 treatment treatment NN cord-300570-xes201g7 135 18 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 135 19 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 135 20 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 135 21 mortality mortality NN cord-300570-xes201g7 135 22 rate rate NN cord-300570-xes201g7 135 23 is be VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 135 24 as as RB cord-300570-xes201g7 135 25 low low JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 135 26 as as IN cord-300570-xes201g7 135 27 0.3 0.3 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 135 28 percent percent NN cord-300570-xes201g7 135 29 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 135 30 some some DT cord-300570-xes201g7 135 31 areas area NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 135 32 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 136 1 This this DT cord-300570-xes201g7 136 2 provides provide VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 136 3 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 136 4 cause cause NN cord-300570-xes201g7 136 5 for for IN cord-300570-xes201g7 136 6 hope hope NN cord-300570-xes201g7 136 7 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 136 8 but but CC cord-300570-xes201g7 136 9 also also RB cord-300570-xes201g7 136 10 indicates indicate VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 136 11 an an DT cord-300570-xes201g7 136 12 inaccuracy inaccuracy NN cord-300570-xes201g7 136 13 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 136 14 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 136 15 Covid Covid NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 136 16 model model NN cord-300570-xes201g7 136 17 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 136 18 both both CC cord-300570-xes201g7 136 19 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-300570-xes201g7 136 20 measurements measurement NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 136 21 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 136 22 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 136 23 fraction fraction NN cord-300570-xes201g7 136 24 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 136 25 cases case NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 136 26 that that WDT cord-300570-xes201g7 136 27 result result VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 136 28 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 136 29 deaths death NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 136 30 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 136 31 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 136 32 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 136 33 time time NN cord-300570-xes201g7 136 34 it -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 136 35 takes take VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 136 36 for for IN cord-300570-xes201g7 136 37 an an DT cord-300570-xes201g7 136 38 infected infected JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 136 39 person person NN cord-300570-xes201g7 136 40 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 136 41 die die VB cord-300570-xes201g7 136 42 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 137 1 A a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 137 2 new new JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 137 3 model model NN cord-300570-xes201g7 137 4 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 137 5 chart chart VB cord-300570-xes201g7 137 6 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 137 7 post post JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 137 8 Lockdown Lockdown NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 137 9 Case Case NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 137 10 Growth Growth NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 137 11 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 138 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 138 2 then then RB cord-300570-xes201g7 138 3 sought seek VBD cord-300570-xes201g7 138 4 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 138 5 chart chart VB cord-300570-xes201g7 138 6 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 138 7 new new JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 138 8 growth growth NN cord-300570-xes201g7 138 9 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 138 10 Covid-19 covid-19 NN cord-300570-xes201g7 138 11 using use VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 138 12 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 138 13 same same JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 138 14 equations equation NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 138 15 as as IN cord-300570-xes201g7 138 16 before before RB cord-300570-xes201g7 138 17 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 139 1 Using use VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 139 2 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 139 3 times time NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 139 4 indicated indicate VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 139 5 by by IN cord-300570-xes201g7 139 6 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-300570-xes201g7 139 7 analysis analysis NN cord-300570-xes201g7 139 8 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 139 9 we -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 139 10 charted chart VBD cord-300570-xes201g7 139 11 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 139 12 new new JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 139 13 wave wave NN cord-300570-xes201g7 139 14 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 139 15 cases case NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 139 16 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 140 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 140 2 found find VBD cord-300570-xes201g7 140 3 that that IN cord-300570-xes201g7 140 4 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 140 5 time time NN cord-300570-xes201g7 140 6 before before IN cord-300570-xes201g7 140 7 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 140 8 person person NN cord-300570-xes201g7 140 9 removes remove VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 140 10 him -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 140 11 / / SYM cord-300570-xes201g7 140 12 herself -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 140 13 from from IN cord-300570-xes201g7 140 14 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 140 15 population population NN cord-300570-xes201g7 140 16 ( ( -LRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 140 17 1 1 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 140 18 / / SYM cord-300570-xes201g7 140 19 γ γ NN cord-300570-xes201g7 140 20 ) ) -RRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 140 21 increases increase VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 140 22 dramatically dramatically RB cord-300570-xes201g7 140 23 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 140 24 as as RB cord-300570-xes201g7 140 25 well well RB cord-300570-xes201g7 140 26 as as IN cord-300570-xes201g7 140 27 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 140 28 infectivity infectivity NN cord-300570-xes201g7 140 29 rate rate NN cord-300570-xes201g7 140 30 α α NN cord-300570-xes201g7 140 31 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 141 1 However however RB cord-300570-xes201g7 141 2 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 141 3 we -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 141 4 notice notice VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 141 5 no no DT cord-300570-xes201g7 141 6 upward upward JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 141 7 trends trend NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 141 8 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 141 9 deaths death NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 141 10 as as IN cord-300570-xes201g7 141 11 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 141 12 yet yet RB cord-300570-xes201g7 141 13 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 141 14 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 141 15 any any DT cord-300570-xes201g7 141 16 increase increase NN cord-300570-xes201g7 141 17 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 141 18 deaths death NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 141 19 is be VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 141 20 slow slow JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 141 21 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 141 22 not not RB cord-300570-xes201g7 141 23 profound profound JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 141 24 as as IN cord-300570-xes201g7 141 25 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 141 26 yet yet RB cord-300570-xes201g7 141 27 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 141 28 suggesting suggest VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 141 29 that that IN cord-300570-xes201g7 141 30 while while IN cord-300570-xes201g7 141 31 cases case NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 141 32 are be VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 141 33 indeed indeed RB cord-300570-xes201g7 141 34 on on IN cord-300570-xes201g7 141 35 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 141 36 rise rise NN cord-300570-xes201g7 141 37 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 141 38 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 141 39 death death NN cord-300570-xes201g7 141 40 rate rate NN cord-300570-xes201g7 141 41 has have VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 141 42 stabilized stabilize VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 141 43 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 142 1 This this DT cord-300570-xes201g7 142 2 can can MD cord-300570-xes201g7 142 3 be be VB cord-300570-xes201g7 142 4 linked link VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 142 5 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 142 6 younger young JJR cord-300570-xes201g7 142 7 people people NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 142 8 getting get VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 142 9 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 142 10 virus virus NN cord-300570-xes201g7 142 11 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 142 12 as as IN cord-300570-xes201g7 142 13 older old JJR cord-300570-xes201g7 142 14 age age NN cord-300570-xes201g7 142 15 patients patient NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 142 16 are be VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 142 17 more more RBR cord-300570-xes201g7 142 18 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 142 19 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 142 20 receiving receive VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 142 21 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 142 22 virus virus NN cord-300570-xes201g7 142 23 [ [ -LRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 142 24 1 1 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 142 25 ] ] -RRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 142 26 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 143 1 An an DT cord-300570-xes201g7 143 2 appropriate appropriate JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 143 3 residual residual JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 143 4 graph graph NN cord-300570-xes201g7 143 5 analysis analysis NN cord-300570-xes201g7 143 6 shows show VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 143 7 that that IN cord-300570-xes201g7 143 8 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 143 9 residual residual JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 143 10 cases case NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 143 11 have have VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 143 12 mostly mostly RB cord-300570-xes201g7 143 13 dropped drop VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 143 14 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 143 15 with with IN cord-300570-xes201g7 143 16 some some DT cord-300570-xes201g7 143 17 exceptions exception NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 143 18 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 144 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 144 2 ca can MD cord-300570-xes201g7 144 3 n't not RB cord-300570-xes201g7 144 4 do do VB cord-300570-xes201g7 144 5 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 144 6 p p NN cord-300570-xes201g7 144 7 value value NN cord-300570-xes201g7 144 8 analysis analysis NN cord-300570-xes201g7 144 9 due due IN cord-300570-xes201g7 144 10 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 144 11 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 144 12 tightness tightness NN cord-300570-xes201g7 144 13 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 144 14 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 144 15 graphs graph NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 144 16 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 144 17 addition addition NN cord-300570-xes201g7 144 18 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 144 19 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 144 20 flatter flat JJR cord-300570-xes201g7 144 21 shape shape NN cord-300570-xes201g7 144 22 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 144 23 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 144 24 incline incline NN cord-300570-xes201g7 144 25 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 144 26 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 144 27 odd odd JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 144 28 rises rise NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 144 29 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 144 30 falls fall VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 144 31 due due IN cord-300570-xes201g7 144 32 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 144 33 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 144 34 peculiarities peculiarity NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 144 35 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 144 36 each each DT cord-300570-xes201g7 144 37 country country NN cord-300570-xes201g7 144 38 's 's POS cord-300570-xes201g7 144 39 reopening reopen VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 144 40 format format NN cord-300570-xes201g7 144 41 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 145 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 145 2 plot plot VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 145 3 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 145 4 best good JJS cord-300570-xes201g7 145 5 case case NN cord-300570-xes201g7 145 6 scenario scenario NN cord-300570-xes201g7 145 7 for for IN cord-300570-xes201g7 145 8 each each DT cord-300570-xes201g7 145 9 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 145 10 these these DT cord-300570-xes201g7 145 11 countries country NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 145 12 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 145 13 as as IN cord-300570-xes201g7 145 14 we -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 145 15 see see VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 145 16 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 145 17 general general JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 145 18 easing easing NN cord-300570-xes201g7 145 19 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 145 20 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 145 21 growth growth NN cord-300570-xes201g7 145 22 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 145 23 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 145 24 parabolic parabolic JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 145 25 curve curve NN cord-300570-xes201g7 145 26 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 145 27 each each DT cord-300570-xes201g7 145 28 plot plot NN cord-300570-xes201g7 145 29 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 146 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 146 2 were be VBD cord-300570-xes201g7 146 3 unable unable JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 146 4 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 146 5 do do VB cord-300570-xes201g7 146 6 so so RB cord-300570-xes201g7 146 7 for for IN cord-300570-xes201g7 146 8 Sweden Sweden NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 146 9 due due IN cord-300570-xes201g7 146 10 because because IN cord-300570-xes201g7 146 11 we -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 146 12 failed fail VBD cord-300570-xes201g7 146 13 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 146 14 observe observe VB cord-300570-xes201g7 146 15 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 146 16 sharp sharp JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 146 17 rise rise NN cord-300570-xes201g7 146 18 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 146 19 cases case NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 146 20 akin akin JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 146 21 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 146 22 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 146 23 initial initial JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 146 24 growth growth NN cord-300570-xes201g7 146 25 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 147 1 The the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 147 2 assumption assumption NN cord-300570-xes201g7 147 3 thus thus RB cord-300570-xes201g7 147 4 is be VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 147 5 that that IN cord-300570-xes201g7 147 6 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 147 7 trend trend NN cord-300570-xes201g7 147 8 will will MD cord-300570-xes201g7 147 9 continue continue VB cord-300570-xes201g7 147 10 downwards downwards RB cord-300570-xes201g7 147 11 as as IN cord-300570-xes201g7 147 12 it -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 147 13 is be VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 147 14 predicted predict VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 147 15 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 147 16 which which WDT cord-300570-xes201g7 147 17 will will MD cord-300570-xes201g7 147 18 likely likely RB cord-300570-xes201g7 147 19 require require VB cord-300570-xes201g7 147 20 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 147 21 continuation continuation NN cord-300570-xes201g7 147 22 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 147 23 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 147 24 current current JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 147 25 reopening reopen VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 147 26 phase phase NN cord-300570-xes201g7 147 27 without without IN cord-300570-xes201g7 147 28 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 147 29 introduction introduction NN cord-300570-xes201g7 147 30 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 147 31 more more RBR cord-300570-xes201g7 147 32 radical radical JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 147 33 changes change NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 147 34 that that WDT cord-300570-xes201g7 147 35 may may MD cord-300570-xes201g7 147 36 shift shift VB cord-300570-xes201g7 147 37 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 147 38 data datum NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 147 39 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 148 1 Studying study VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 148 2 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 148 3 parameters parameter NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 148 4 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 148 5 we -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 148 6 observe observe VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 148 7 that that IN cord-300570-xes201g7 148 8 not not RB cord-300570-xes201g7 148 9 only only RB cord-300570-xes201g7 148 10 has have VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 148 11 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 148 12 value value NN cord-300570-xes201g7 148 13 for for IN cord-300570-xes201g7 148 14 gamma gamma NN cord-300570-xes201g7 148 15 significantly significantly RB cord-300570-xes201g7 148 16 decreased decrease VBD cord-300570-xes201g7 148 17 for for IN cord-300570-xes201g7 148 18 all all DT cord-300570-xes201g7 148 19 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 148 20 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 148 21 countries country NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 148 22 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 148 23 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 148 24 value value NN cord-300570-xes201g7 148 25 for for IN cord-300570-xes201g7 148 26 alpha alpha NN cord-300570-xes201g7 148 27 has have VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 148 28 too too RB cord-300570-xes201g7 148 29 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 149 1 In in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 149 2 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 149 3 Netherlands Netherlands NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 149 4 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 149 5 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 149 6 value value NN cord-300570-xes201g7 149 7 for for IN cord-300570-xes201g7 149 8 gamma gamma NN cord-300570-xes201g7 149 9 drops drop NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 149 10 from from IN cord-300570-xes201g7 149 11 0.05676 0.05676 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 149 12 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 149 13 0.02647 0.02647 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 149 14 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 149 15 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 149 16 Denmark Denmark NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 149 17 from from IN cord-300570-xes201g7 149 18 0.06 0.06 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 149 19 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 149 20 0.028 0.028 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 149 21 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 149 22 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 149 23 Norway Norway NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 149 24 from from IN cord-300570-xes201g7 149 25 0.08 0.08 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 149 26 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 149 27 0.0355 0.0355 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 149 28 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 149 29 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 149 30 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 149 31 UK UK NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 149 32 from from IN cord-300570-xes201g7 149 33 0.0268 0.0268 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 149 34 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 149 35 0.00716 0.00716 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 149 36 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 149 37 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 149 38 Germany Germany NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 149 39 from from IN cord-300570-xes201g7 149 40 0.0676 0.0676 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 149 41 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 150 1 CC CC NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 150 2 - - HYPH cord-300570-xes201g7 150 3 BY BY NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 150 4 - - HYPH cord-300570-xes201g7 150 5 ND ND NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 150 6 4.0 4.0 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 150 7 International international JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 150 8 license license NN cord-300570-xes201g7 151 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 151 2 is be VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 151 3 made make VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 151 4 available available JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 151 5 under under IN cord-300570-xes201g7 151 6 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 152 1 is be VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 152 2 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 152 3 author author NN cord-300570-xes201g7 152 4 / / SYM cord-300570-xes201g7 152 5 funder funder NN cord-300570-xes201g7 152 6 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 152 7 who who WP cord-300570-xes201g7 152 8 has have VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 152 9 granted grant VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 152 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 152 11 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 152 12 license license NN cord-300570-xes201g7 152 13 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 152 14 display display VB cord-300570-xes201g7 152 15 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 152 16 preprint preprint NN cord-300570-xes201g7 152 17 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 152 18 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-300570-xes201g7 152 19 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 153 1 The the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 153 2 copyright copyright NN cord-300570-xes201g7 153 3 holder holder NN cord-300570-xes201g7 153 4 for for IN cord-300570-xes201g7 153 5 this this DT cord-300570-xes201g7 153 6 preprint preprint NN cord-300570-xes201g7 153 7 this this DT cord-300570-xes201g7 153 8 version version NN cord-300570-xes201g7 153 9 posted post VBD cord-300570-xes201g7 153 10 October October NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 153 11 6 6 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 153 12 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 153 13 2020 2020 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 153 14 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 153 15 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 154 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.03.20206359 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.03.20206359 NFP cord-300570-xes201g7 154 2 doi doi NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 154 3 : : : cord-300570-xes201g7 155 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 155 2 preprint preprint NN cord-300570-xes201g7 155 3 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 155 4 0.023 0.023 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 155 5 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 155 6 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 155 7 Italy Italy NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 155 8 from from IN cord-300570-xes201g7 155 9 0.0556 0.0556 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 155 10 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 155 11 0.0222 0.0222 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 155 12 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 155 13 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 155 14 Canada Canada NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 155 15 from from IN cord-300570-xes201g7 155 16 0.0267 0.0267 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 155 17 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 155 18 0.008 0.008 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 155 19 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 155 20 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 155 21 France France NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 155 22 from from IN cord-300570-xes201g7 155 23 0.06657 0.06657 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 155 24 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 155 25 0.02 0.02 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 155 26 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 155 27 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 155 28 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 155 29 USA USA NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 155 30 from from IN cord-300570-xes201g7 155 31 0.1676 0.1676 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 155 32 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 155 33 0.00972 0.00972 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 155 34 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 155 35 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 155 36 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 155 37 Spain Spain NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 155 38 from from IN cord-300570-xes201g7 155 39 0.689 0.689 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 155 40 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 155 41 0.0178 0.0178 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 155 42 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 156 1 Similarly similarly RB cord-300570-xes201g7 156 2 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 156 3 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 156 4 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 156 5 Netherlands Netherlands NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 156 6 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 156 7 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 156 8 value value NN cord-300570-xes201g7 156 9 for for IN cord-300570-xes201g7 156 10 alpha alpha NN cord-300570-xes201g7 156 11 drops drop NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 156 12 from from IN cord-300570-xes201g7 156 13 9.07e-5 9.07e-5 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 156 14 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 156 15 2.539e-5 2.539e-5 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 156 16 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 156 17 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 156 18 Denmark Denmark NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 156 19 from from IN cord-300570-xes201g7 156 20 0.000329 0.000329 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 156 21 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 156 22 6.205e-5 6.205e-5 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 156 23 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 156 24 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 156 25 Norway Norway NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 156 26 from from IN cord-300570-xes201g7 156 27 0.0005448 0.0005448 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 156 28 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 156 29 0.0003996 0.0003996 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 156 30 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 156 31 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 156 32 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 156 33 UK UK NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 156 34 from from IN cord-300570-xes201g7 156 35 3.62e-5 3.62e-5 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 156 36 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 156 37 8.528e-6 8.528e-6 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 156 38 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 156 39 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 156 40 Germany Germany NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 156 41 from from IN cord-300570-xes201g7 156 42 2.308e-5 2.308e-5 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 156 43 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 156 44 2.472e-5 2.472e-5 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 157 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 157 2 increasing increase VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 157 3 slightly slightly RB cord-300570-xes201g7 157 4 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 157 5 this this DT cord-300570-xes201g7 157 6 scenario scenario NN cord-300570-xes201g7 157 7 ) ) -RRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 157 8 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 157 9 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 157 10 Italy Italy NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 157 11 from from IN cord-300570-xes201g7 157 12 2.588e-5 2.588e-5 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 157 13 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 157 14 3.45e-5 3.45e-5 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 157 15 ( ( -LRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 157 16 also also RB cord-300570-xes201g7 157 17 increasing increase VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 157 18 slightly slightly RB cord-300570-xes201g7 157 19 here here RB cord-300570-xes201g7 157 20 ) ) -RRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 157 21 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 157 22 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 157 23 Canada Canada NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 157 24 from from IN cord-300570-xes201g7 157 25 7.94e-5 7.94e-5 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 157 26 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 157 27 2.858e-5 2.858e-5 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 157 28 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 157 29 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 157 30 France France NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 157 31 from from IN cord-300570-xes201g7 157 32 2.889e-5 2.889e-5 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 157 33 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 157 34 3.327e-6 3.327e-6 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 157 35 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 157 36 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 157 37 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 157 38 USA USA NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 157 39 from from IN cord-300570-xes201g7 157 40 1.04e-5 1.04e-5 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 157 41 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 157 42 2.518e-6 2.518e-6 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 157 43 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 157 44 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 157 45 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 157 46 Spain Spain NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 157 47 from from IN cord-300570-xes201g7 157 48 2.348e-5 2.348e-5 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 157 49 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 157 50 4.141e-6 4.141e-6 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 157 51 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 158 1 A a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 158 2 decrease decrease NN cord-300570-xes201g7 158 3 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 158 4 gamma gamma NN cord-300570-xes201g7 158 5 indicates indicate VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 158 6 that that IN cord-300570-xes201g7 158 7 each each DT cord-300570-xes201g7 158 8 infected infected JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 158 9 person person NN cord-300570-xes201g7 158 10 is be VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 158 11 taking take VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 158 12 more more JJR cord-300570-xes201g7 158 13 time time NN cord-300570-xes201g7 158 14 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 158 15 remove remove VB cord-300570-xes201g7 158 16 himself -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 158 17 / / SYM cord-300570-xes201g7 158 18 herself -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 158 19 from from IN cord-300570-xes201g7 158 20 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 158 21 population population NN cord-300570-xes201g7 158 22 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 158 23 suggesting suggest VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 158 24 that that IN cord-300570-xes201g7 158 25 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 158 26 symptoms symptom NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 158 27 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 158 28 harm harm NN cord-300570-xes201g7 158 29 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 158 30 them -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 158 31 is be VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 158 32 significantly significantly RB cord-300570-xes201g7 158 33 less less JJR cord-300570-xes201g7 158 34 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 159 1 A a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 159 2 lower low JJR cord-300570-xes201g7 159 3 alpha alpha NN cord-300570-xes201g7 159 4 value value NN cord-300570-xes201g7 159 5 indicates indicate VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 159 6 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 159 7 lesser less JJR cord-300570-xes201g7 159 8 transmission transmission NN cord-300570-xes201g7 159 9 rate rate NN cord-300570-xes201g7 159 10 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 159 11 which which WDT cord-300570-xes201g7 159 12 aligns align VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 159 13 with with IN cord-300570-xes201g7 159 14 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 159 15 prediction prediction NN cord-300570-xes201g7 159 16 that that IN cord-300570-xes201g7 159 17 younger young JJR cord-300570-xes201g7 159 18 people people NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 159 19 are be VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 159 20 getting get VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 159 21 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 159 22 virus virus NN cord-300570-xes201g7 159 23 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 160 1 Younger young JJR cord-300570-xes201g7 160 2 people people NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 160 3 have have VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 160 4 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 160 5 lesser less JJR cord-300570-xes201g7 160 6 history history NN cord-300570-xes201g7 160 7 with with IN cord-300570-xes201g7 160 8 preexisting preexisting JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 160 9 conditions condition NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 160 10 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 160 11 are be VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 160 12 generally generally RB cord-300570-xes201g7 160 13 stronger strong JJR cord-300570-xes201g7 160 14 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 160 15 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 160 16 better well JJR cord-300570-xes201g7 160 17 shape shape NN cord-300570-xes201g7 160 18 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 160 19 fight fight VB cord-300570-xes201g7 160 20 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 160 21 virus virus NN cord-300570-xes201g7 160 22 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 161 1 If if IN cord-300570-xes201g7 161 2 younger young JJR cord-300570-xes201g7 161 3 people people NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 161 4 are be VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 161 5 stronger strong JJR cord-300570-xes201g7 161 6 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 161 7 general general JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 161 8 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 161 9 show show VB cord-300570-xes201g7 161 10 less less JJR cord-300570-xes201g7 161 11 symptoms symptom NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 161 12 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 161 13 it -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 161 14 follows follow VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 161 15 naturally naturally RB cord-300570-xes201g7 161 16 that that IN cord-300570-xes201g7 161 17 they -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 161 18 would would MD cord-300570-xes201g7 161 19 take take VB cord-300570-xes201g7 161 20 longer long RBR cord-300570-xes201g7 161 21 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 161 22 go go VB cord-300570-xes201g7 161 23 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 161 24 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 161 25 hospital hospital NN cord-300570-xes201g7 161 26 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 162 1 Taking take VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 162 2 X2 x2 NN cord-300570-xes201g7 162 3 < < XX cord-300570-xes201g7 162 4 5 5 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 162 5 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 162 6 be be VB cord-300570-xes201g7 162 7 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 162 8 day day NN cord-300570-xes201g7 162 9 that that IN cord-300570-xes201g7 162 10 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 162 11 pandemic pandemic NN cord-300570-xes201g7 162 12 ends end VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 162 13 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 162 14 we -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 162 15 conclude conclude VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 162 16 that that IN cord-300570-xes201g7 162 17 it -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 162 18 will will MD cord-300570-xes201g7 162 19 end end VB cord-300570-xes201g7 162 20 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 162 21 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 162 22 Netherlands Netherlands NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 162 23 on on IN cord-300570-xes201g7 162 24 day day NN cord-300570-xes201g7 162 25 549 549 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 162 26 ( ( -LRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 162 27 July July NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 162 28 2 2 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 162 29 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 162 30 2021 2021 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 162 31 ) ) -RRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 162 32 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 162 33 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 162 34 Denmark Denmark NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 162 35 on on IN cord-300570-xes201g7 162 36 day day NN cord-300570-xes201g7 162 37 505 505 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 162 38 ( ( -LRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 162 39 May May NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 162 40 19 19 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 162 41 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 162 42 2021 2021 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 162 43 ) ) -RRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 162 44 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 162 45 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 162 46 Norway Norway NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 162 47 on on IN cord-300570-xes201g7 162 48 day day NN cord-300570-xes201g7 162 49 383 383 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 162 50 ( ( -LRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 162 51 January January NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 162 52 17 17 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 162 53 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 162 54 2021 2021 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 162 55 ) ) -RRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 162 56 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 162 57 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 162 58 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 162 59 UK UK NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 162 60 on on IN cord-300570-xes201g7 162 61 day day NN cord-300570-xes201g7 162 62 804 804 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 162 63 ( ( -LRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 162 64 March March NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 162 65 14 14 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 162 66 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 162 67 2022 2022 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 162 68 if if IN cord-300570-xes201g7 162 69 we -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 162 70 take take VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 162 71 50 50 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 162 72 as as IN cord-300570-xes201g7 162 73 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-300570-xes201g7 162 74 parameter parameter NN cord-300570-xes201g7 162 75 ) ) -RRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 162 76 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 162 77 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 162 78 Germany Germany NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 162 79 on on IN cord-300570-xes201g7 162 80 day day NN cord-300570-xes201g7 162 81 384 384 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 162 82 ( ( -LRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 162 83 January January NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 162 84 18 18 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 162 85 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 162 86 2021 2021 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 162 87 ) ) -RRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 162 88 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 162 89 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 162 90 Italy Italy NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 162 91 on on IN cord-300570-xes201g7 162 92 day day NN cord-300570-xes201g7 162 93 580 580 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 162 94 ( ( -LRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 162 95 August August NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 162 96 2 2 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 162 97 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 162 98 2021 2021 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 162 99 ) ) -RRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 162 100 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 162 101 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 162 102 Canada Canada NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 162 103 on on IN cord-300570-xes201g7 162 104 day day NN cord-300570-xes201g7 162 105 712 712 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 162 106 ( ( -LRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 162 107 December December NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 162 108 12 12 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 162 109 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 162 110 2021 2021 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 162 111 if if IN cord-300570-xes201g7 162 112 we -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 162 113 take take VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 162 114 50 50 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 162 115 as as IN cord-300570-xes201g7 162 116 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-300570-xes201g7 162 117 parameter parameter NN cord-300570-xes201g7 162 118 ) ) -RRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 162 119 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 162 120 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 162 121 France France NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 162 122 on on IN cord-300570-xes201g7 162 123 day day NN cord-300570-xes201g7 162 124 750 750 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 162 125 ( ( -LRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 162 126 January January NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 162 127 19 19 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 162 128 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 162 129 2022 2022 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 162 130 ) ) -RRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 162 131 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 162 132 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 162 133 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 162 134 USA USA NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 162 135 on on IN cord-300570-xes201g7 162 136 day day NN cord-300570-xes201g7 162 137 900 900 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 162 138 ( ( -LRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 162 139 June June NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 162 140 18 18 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 162 141 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 162 142 2022 2022 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 162 143 if if IN cord-300570-xes201g7 162 144 we -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 162 145 take take VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 162 146 100 100 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 162 147 as as IN cord-300570-xes201g7 162 148 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-300570-xes201g7 162 149 parameter parameter NN cord-300570-xes201g7 162 150 ) ) -RRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 162 151 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 162 152 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 162 153 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 162 154 Spain Spain NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 162 155 on on IN cord-300570-xes201g7 162 156 day day NN cord-300570-xes201g7 162 157 774 774 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 162 158 ( ( -LRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 162 159 February February NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 162 160 12 12 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 162 161 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 162 162 2022 2022 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 162 163 ) ) -RRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 162 164 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 163 1 While while IN cord-300570-xes201g7 163 2 this this DT cord-300570-xes201g7 163 3 is be VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 163 4 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 163 5 expected expect VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 163 6 fit fit NN cord-300570-xes201g7 163 7 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 163 8 we -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 163 9 hope hope VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 163 10 for for IN cord-300570-xes201g7 163 11 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 163 12 vaccine vaccine NN cord-300570-xes201g7 163 13 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 163 14 be be VB cord-300570-xes201g7 163 15 found find VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 163 16 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 163 17 or or CC cord-300570-xes201g7 163 18 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 163 19 development development NN cord-300570-xes201g7 163 20 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 163 21 herd herd NN cord-300570-xes201g7 163 22 immunity immunity NN cord-300570-xes201g7 163 23 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 163 24 which which WDT cord-300570-xes201g7 163 25 may may MD cord-300570-xes201g7 163 26 reduce reduce VB cord-300570-xes201g7 163 27 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 163 28 time time NN cord-300570-xes201g7 163 29 for for IN cord-300570-xes201g7 163 30 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 163 31 virus virus NN cord-300570-xes201g7 163 32 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 163 33 be be VB cord-300570-xes201g7 163 34 removed remove VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 163 35 from from IN cord-300570-xes201g7 163 36 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 163 37 population population NN cord-300570-xes201g7 163 38 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 164 1 This this DT cord-300570-xes201g7 164 2 paper paper NN cord-300570-xes201g7 164 3 thus thus RB cord-300570-xes201g7 164 4 aims aim VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 164 5 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 164 6 provide provide VB cord-300570-xes201g7 164 7 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 164 8 general general JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 164 9 shape shape NN cord-300570-xes201g7 164 10 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 164 11 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 164 12 future future NN cord-300570-xes201g7 164 13 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 164 14 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 164 15 Covid-19 Covid-19 NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 164 16 virus virus NN cord-300570-xes201g7 164 17 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 164 18 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 164 19 an an DT cord-300570-xes201g7 164 20 examination examination NN cord-300570-xes201g7 164 21 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 164 22 which which WDT cord-300570-xes201g7 164 23 policy policy NN cord-300570-xes201g7 164 24 measures measure NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 164 25 resulted result VBD cord-300570-xes201g7 164 26 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 164 27 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 164 28 growth growth NN cord-300570-xes201g7 164 29 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 164 30 cases case NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 164 31 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 165 1 In in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 165 2 almost almost RB cord-300570-xes201g7 165 3 every every DT cord-300570-xes201g7 165 4 European european JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 165 5 country country NN cord-300570-xes201g7 165 6 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 165 7 we -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 165 8 see see VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 165 9 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 165 10 case case NN cord-300570-xes201g7 165 11 model model NN cord-300570-xes201g7 165 12 begin begin VB cord-300570-xes201g7 165 13 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 165 14 fail fail VB cord-300570-xes201g7 165 15 at at IN cord-300570-xes201g7 165 16 around around IN cord-300570-xes201g7 165 17 Day Day NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 165 18 150 150 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 165 19 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 165 20 at at IN cord-300570-xes201g7 165 21 which which WDT cord-300570-xes201g7 165 22 point point NN cord-300570-xes201g7 165 23 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 165 24 cases case NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 165 25 stagnate stagnate VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 165 26 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 165 27 then then RB cord-300570-xes201g7 165 28 increase increase VB cord-300570-xes201g7 165 29 starting start VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 165 30 at at IN cord-300570-xes201g7 165 31 around around IN cord-300570-xes201g7 165 32 Day Day NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 165 33 190 190 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 165 34 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 166 1 This this DT cord-300570-xes201g7 166 2 increase increase NN cord-300570-xes201g7 166 3 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 166 4 cases case NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 166 5 is be VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 166 6 nowhere nowhere RB cord-300570-xes201g7 166 7 close close JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 166 8 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 166 9 reaching reach VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 166 10 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 166 11 peaks peak NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 166 12 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 166 13 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 166 14 initial initial JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 166 15 outbreak outbreak NN cord-300570-xes201g7 166 16 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 166 17 even even RB cord-300570-xes201g7 166 18 though though IN cord-300570-xes201g7 166 19 we -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 166 20 see see VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 166 21 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 166 22 sudden sudden JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 166 23 increase increase NN cord-300570-xes201g7 166 24 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 166 25 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 166 26 case case NN cord-300570-xes201g7 166 27 count count NN cord-300570-xes201g7 166 28 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 167 1 This this DT cord-300570-xes201g7 167 2 owes owe VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 167 3 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 167 4 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 167 5 deceptive deceptive JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 167 6 nature nature NN cord-300570-xes201g7 167 7 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 167 8 space space NN cord-300570-xes201g7 167 9 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 167 10 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 167 11 log log NN cord-300570-xes201g7 167 12 scale scale NN cord-300570-xes201g7 167 13 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 167 14 where where WRB cord-300570-xes201g7 167 15 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 167 16 sudden sudden JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 167 17 increase increase NN cord-300570-xes201g7 167 18 from from IN cord-300570-xes201g7 167 19 400 400 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 167 20 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 167 21 900 900 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 167 22 is be VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 167 23 seen see VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 167 24 as as IN cord-300570-xes201g7 167 25 more more RBR cord-300570-xes201g7 167 26 dramatic dramatic JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 167 27 than than IN cord-300570-xes201g7 167 28 an an DT cord-300570-xes201g7 167 29 increase increase NN cord-300570-xes201g7 167 30 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 167 31 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 167 32 thousands thousand NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 167 33 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 168 1 Spain Spain NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 168 2 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 168 3 however however RB cord-300570-xes201g7 168 4 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 168 5 is be VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 168 6 dealing deal VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 168 7 with with IN cord-300570-xes201g7 168 8 another another DT cord-300570-xes201g7 168 9 major major JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 168 10 outbreak outbreak NN cord-300570-xes201g7 168 11 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 168 12 with with IN cord-300570-xes201g7 168 13 cases case NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 168 14 approaching approach VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 168 15 that that DT cord-300570-xes201g7 168 16 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 168 17 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-300570-xes201g7 168 18 first first JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 168 19 peak peak NN cord-300570-xes201g7 168 20 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 169 1 The the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 169 2 model model NN cord-300570-xes201g7 169 3 also also RB cord-300570-xes201g7 169 4 largely largely RB cord-300570-xes201g7 169 5 underestimates underestimate VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 169 6 deaths death NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 169 7 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 169 8 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 169 9 continued continued JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 169 10 persistence persistence NN cord-300570-xes201g7 169 11 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 169 12 deaths death NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 169 13 after after IN cord-300570-xes201g7 169 14 Day day NN cord-300570-xes201g7 169 15 160 160 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 169 16 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 170 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 170 2 also also RB cord-300570-xes201g7 170 3 overestimates overestimate VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 170 4 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 170 5 lethality lethality NN cord-300570-xes201g7 170 6 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 170 7 underestimates underestimate VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 170 8 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 170 9 time time NN cord-300570-xes201g7 170 10 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 170 11 die die VB cord-300570-xes201g7 170 12 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 170 13 later later JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 170 14 months month NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 170 15 after after IN cord-300570-xes201g7 170 16 around around IN cord-300570-xes201g7 170 17 June June NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 170 18 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 171 1 The the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 171 2 deviation deviation NN cord-300570-xes201g7 171 3 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 171 4 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 171 5 observed observed JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 171 6 data data NN cord-300570-xes201g7 171 7 points point NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 171 8 from from IN cord-300570-xes201g7 171 9 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 171 10 expectations expectation NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 171 11 set set VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 171 12 by by IN cord-300570-xes201g7 171 13 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 171 14 model model NN cord-300570-xes201g7 171 15 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 171 16 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 171 17 model model NN cord-300570-xes201g7 171 18 can can MD cord-300570-xes201g7 171 19 be be VB cord-300570-xes201g7 171 20 understood understand VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 171 21 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 171 22 be be VB cord-300570-xes201g7 171 23 due due JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 171 24 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 171 25 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-300570-xes201g7 171 26 inability inability NN cord-300570-xes201g7 171 27 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 171 28 account account VB cord-300570-xes201g7 171 29 for for IN cord-300570-xes201g7 171 30 reopening reopen VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 171 31 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 171 32 instead instead RB cord-300570-xes201g7 171 33 assuming assume VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 171 34 that that IN cord-300570-xes201g7 171 35 each each DT cord-300570-xes201g7 171 36 country country NN cord-300570-xes201g7 171 37 would would MD cord-300570-xes201g7 171 38 remain remain VB cord-300570-xes201g7 171 39 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 171 40 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 171 41 state state NN cord-300570-xes201g7 171 42 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 171 43 total total JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 171 44 lockdown lockdown NN cord-300570-xes201g7 171 45 until until IN cord-300570-xes201g7 171 46 deaths death NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 171 47 go go VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 171 48 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 171 49 0 0 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 171 50 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 172 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 172 2 also also RB cord-300570-xes201g7 172 3 fails fail VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 172 4 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 172 5 account account VB cord-300570-xes201g7 172 6 for for IN cord-300570-xes201g7 172 7 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 172 8 outbreak outbreak NN cord-300570-xes201g7 172 9 amongst amongst IN cord-300570-xes201g7 172 10 younger young JJR cord-300570-xes201g7 172 11 people people NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 172 12 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 172 13 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 172 14 thus thus RB cord-300570-xes201g7 172 15 overestimates overestimate VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 172 16 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 172 17 survival survival NN cord-300570-xes201g7 172 18 rate rate NN cord-300570-xes201g7 172 19 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 173 1 Nonetheless nonetheless RB cord-300570-xes201g7 173 2 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 173 3 before before IN cord-300570-xes201g7 173 4 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 173 5 lifting lifting NN cord-300570-xes201g7 173 6 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 173 7 lockdown lockdown NN cord-300570-xes201g7 173 8 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 173 9 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 173 10 model model NN cord-300570-xes201g7 173 11 fits fit VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 173 12 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 173 13 data datum NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 173 14 quite quite RB cord-300570-xes201g7 173 15 well well RB cord-300570-xes201g7 173 16 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 174 1 An an DT cord-300570-xes201g7 174 2 attempt attempt NN cord-300570-xes201g7 174 3 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 174 4 extrapolate extrapolate VB cord-300570-xes201g7 174 5 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 174 6 results result NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 174 7 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 174 8 this this DT cord-300570-xes201g7 174 9 model model NN cord-300570-xes201g7 174 10 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 174 11 Asian asian JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 174 12 countries country NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 174 13 was be VBD cord-300570-xes201g7 174 14 attempted attempt VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 174 15 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 174 16 but but CC cord-300570-xes201g7 174 17 many many JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 174 18 countries country NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 174 19 there there EX cord-300570-xes201g7 174 20 are be VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 174 21 still still RB cord-300570-xes201g7 174 22 fighting fight VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 174 23 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 174 24 virus virus NN cord-300570-xes201g7 174 25 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 174 26 seeing see VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 174 27 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 174 28 growth growth NN cord-300570-xes201g7 174 29 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 174 30 cases case NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 174 31 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 175 1 Others other NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 175 2 observed observe VBD cord-300570-xes201g7 175 3 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 175 4 small small JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 175 5 peak peak NN cord-300570-xes201g7 175 6 around around IN cord-300570-xes201g7 175 7 April April NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 175 8 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 175 9 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 175 10 are be VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 175 11 suddenly suddenly RB cord-300570-xes201g7 175 12 seeing see VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 175 13 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 175 14 dramatic dramatic JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 175 15 resurgence resurgence NN cord-300570-xes201g7 175 16 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 175 17 August August NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 175 18 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 175 19 akin akin JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 175 20 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 175 21 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 175 22 peaks peak NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 175 23 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 175 24 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 175 25 European european JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 175 26 countries country NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 175 27 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 175 28 April April NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 175 29 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 176 1 While while IN cord-300570-xes201g7 176 2 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 176 3 model model NN cord-300570-xes201g7 176 4 could could MD cord-300570-xes201g7 176 5 be be VB cord-300570-xes201g7 176 6 adapted adapt VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 176 7 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 176 8 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 176 9 cases case NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 176 10 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 176 11 August August NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 176 12 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 176 13 an an DT cord-300570-xes201g7 176 14 analysis analysis NN cord-300570-xes201g7 176 15 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 176 16 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 176 17 data datum NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 176 18 would would MD cord-300570-xes201g7 176 19 n't not RB cord-300570-xes201g7 176 20 be be VB cord-300570-xes201g7 176 21 appropriate appropriate JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 176 22 until until IN cord-300570-xes201g7 176 23 much much JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 176 24 after after IN cord-300570-xes201g7 176 25 cases case NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 176 26 have have VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 176 27 subsided subside VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 176 28 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 177 1 Nonetheless nonetheless RB cord-300570-xes201g7 177 2 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 177 3 this this DT cord-300570-xes201g7 177 4 paper paper NN cord-300570-xes201g7 177 5 aims aim VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 177 6 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 177 7 change change VB cord-300570-xes201g7 177 8 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 177 9 notions notion NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 177 10 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 177 11 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 177 12 general general JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 177 13 public public NN cord-300570-xes201g7 177 14 as as IN cord-300570-xes201g7 177 15 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 177 16 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 177 17 situation situation NN cord-300570-xes201g7 177 18 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 177 19 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 177 20 Covid-19 Covid-19 NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 177 21 virus virus NN cord-300570-xes201g7 177 22 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 177 23 that that DT cord-300570-xes201g7 177 24 contrary contrary RB cord-300570-xes201g7 177 25 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 177 26 popular popular JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 177 27 opinion opinion NN cord-300570-xes201g7 177 28 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 177 29 it -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 177 30 is be VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 177 31 still still RB cord-300570-xes201g7 177 32 at at IN cord-300570-xes201g7 177 33 large large JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 177 34 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 177 35 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 177 36 affecting affect VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 177 37 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 177 38 younger young JJR cord-300570-xes201g7 177 39 crowd crowd NN cord-300570-xes201g7 177 40 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 178 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 178 2 also also RB cord-300570-xes201g7 178 3 aims aim VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 178 4 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 178 5 provide provide VB cord-300570-xes201g7 178 6 an an DT cord-300570-xes201g7 178 7 answer answer NN cord-300570-xes201g7 178 8 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 178 9 what what WDT cord-300570-xes201g7 178 10 forms form NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 178 11 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 178 12 reopening reopen VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 178 13 are be VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 178 14 still still RB cord-300570-xes201g7 178 15 acceptable acceptable JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 178 16 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 178 17 reducing reduce VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 178 18 net net JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 178 19 cases case NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 178 20 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 178 21 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 178 22 which which WDT cord-300570-xes201g7 178 23 mostly mostly RB cord-300570-xes201g7 178 24 internal internal JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 178 25 reopenings reopening NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 178 26 are be VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 178 27 suggested suggest VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 178 28 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 179 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 179 2 finally finally RB cord-300570-xes201g7 179 3 looks look VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 179 4 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 179 5 model model VB cord-300570-xes201g7 179 6 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 179 7 new new JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 179 8 growth growth NN cord-300570-xes201g7 179 9 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 179 10 Covid-19 covid-19 NN cord-300570-xes201g7 179 11 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 179 12 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 179 13 9 9 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 179 14 European european JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 179 15 countries country NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 179 16 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 179 17 addition addition NN cord-300570-xes201g7 179 18 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 179 19 two two CD cord-300570-xes201g7 179 20 new new JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 179 21 North north JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 179 22 American american JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 179 23 countries country NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 179 24 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 179 25 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 180 1 CC CC NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 180 2 - - HYPH cord-300570-xes201g7 180 3 BY BY NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 180 4 - - HYPH cord-300570-xes201g7 180 5 ND ND NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 180 6 4.0 4.0 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 180 7 International international JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 180 8 license license NN cord-300570-xes201g7 181 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 181 2 is be VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 181 3 made make VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 181 4 available available JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 181 5 under under IN cord-300570-xes201g7 181 6 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 182 1 is be VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 182 2 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 182 3 author author NN cord-300570-xes201g7 182 4 / / SYM cord-300570-xes201g7 182 5 funder funder NN cord-300570-xes201g7 182 6 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 182 7 who who WP cord-300570-xes201g7 182 8 has have VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 182 9 granted grant VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 182 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 182 11 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 182 12 license license NN cord-300570-xes201g7 182 13 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 182 14 display display VB cord-300570-xes201g7 182 15 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 182 16 preprint preprint NN cord-300570-xes201g7 182 17 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 182 18 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-300570-xes201g7 182 19 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 183 1 The the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 183 2 copyright copyright NN cord-300570-xes201g7 183 3 holder holder NN cord-300570-xes201g7 183 4 for for IN cord-300570-xes201g7 183 5 this this DT cord-300570-xes201g7 183 6 preprint preprint NN cord-300570-xes201g7 183 7 this this DT cord-300570-xes201g7 183 8 version version NN cord-300570-xes201g7 183 9 posted post VBD cord-300570-xes201g7 183 10 October October NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 183 11 6 6 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 183 12 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 183 13 2020 2020 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 183 14 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 183 15 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 184 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.03.20206359 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.03.20206359 NFP cord-300570-xes201g7 184 2 doi doi NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 184 3 : : : cord-300570-xes201g7 185 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 185 2 preprint preprint NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 185 3 Disclosure Disclosure NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 185 4 Statement Statement NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 185 5 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 186 1 The the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 186 2 author author NN cord-300570-xes201g7 186 3 has have VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 186 4 no no DT cord-300570-xes201g7 186 5 conflicts conflict NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 186 6 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 186 7 interest interest NN cord-300570-xes201g7 186 8 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 186 9 declare declare VB cord-300570-xes201g7 186 10 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 187 1 Declaration declaration NN cord-300570-xes201g7 187 2 regarding regard VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 187 3 data datum NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 187 4 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 187 5 software software NN cord-300570-xes201g7 187 6 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 188 1 The the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 188 2 data datum NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 188 3 used use VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 188 4 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 188 5 this this DT cord-300570-xes201g7 188 6 paper paper NN cord-300570-xes201g7 188 7 were be VBD cord-300570-xes201g7 188 8 all all DT cord-300570-xes201g7 188 9 derived derive VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 188 10 from from IN cord-300570-xes201g7 188 11 public public JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 188 12 sources source NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 188 13 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 189 1 Links link NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 189 2 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 189 3 these these DT cord-300570-xes201g7 189 4 data datum NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 189 5 are be VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 189 6 included include VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 189 7 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 189 8 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 189 9 paper paper NN cord-300570-xes201g7 189 10 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 190 1 The the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 190 2 main main JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 190 3 data data NN cord-300570-xes201g7 190 4 source source NN cord-300570-xes201g7 190 5 is be VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 190 6 taken take VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 190 7 from from IN cord-300570-xes201g7 190 8 https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-source-data https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-source-data NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 190 9 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 191 1 The the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 191 2 R r NN cord-300570-xes201g7 191 3 code code NN cord-300570-xes201g7 191 4 used use VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 191 5 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 191 6 analyze analyze VB cord-300570-xes201g7 191 7 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 191 8 data datum NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 191 9 along along IN cord-300570-xes201g7 191 10 with with IN cord-300570-xes201g7 191 11 all all DT cord-300570-xes201g7 191 12 data datum NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 191 13 files file NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 191 14 will will MD cord-300570-xes201g7 191 15 be be VB cord-300570-xes201g7 191 16 provided provide VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 191 17 on on IN cord-300570-xes201g7 191 18 request request NN cord-300570-xes201g7 192 1 -email -email : cord-300570-xes201g7 192 2 : : : cord-300570-xes201g7 193 1 jaypatwardhan3@gmail.com jaypatwardhan3@gmail.com ADD cord-300570-xes201g7 193 2 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 193 3 2 2 LS cord-300570-xes201g7 193 4 ) ) -RRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 193 5 using use VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 193 6 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 193 7 ODE ODE NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 193 8 solver solver NN cord-300570-xes201g7 193 9 ode ode NN cord-300570-xes201g7 193 10 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 193 11 R. R. NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 194 1 The the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 194 2 mean mean JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 194 3 values value NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 194 4 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 194 5 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 194 6 parameters parameter NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 194 7 obtained obtain VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 194 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 194 9 inset inset NN cord-300570-xes201g7 194 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 194 11 are be VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 194 12 from from IN cord-300570-xes201g7 194 13 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 194 14 solid solid JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 194 15 black black JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 194 16 line line NN cord-300570-xes201g7 194 17 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 194 18 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 194 19 error error NN cord-300570-xes201g7 194 20 bars bar NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 194 21 are be VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 194 22 from from IN cord-300570-xes201g7 194 23 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 194 24 two two CD cord-300570-xes201g7 194 25 red red JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 194 26 lines line NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 194 27 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 195 1 The the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 195 2 next next JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 195 3 plot plot NN cord-300570-xes201g7 195 4 is be VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 195 5 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 195 6 residual residual JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 195 7 plot plot NN cord-300570-xes201g7 195 8 for for IN cord-300570-xes201g7 195 9 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 195 10 cases case NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 195 11 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 195 12 found find VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 195 13 by by IN cord-300570-xes201g7 195 14 subtracting subtract VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 195 15 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 195 16 observed observed JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 195 17 value value NN cord-300570-xes201g7 195 18 from from IN cord-300570-xes201g7 195 19 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 195 20 fit fit JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 195 21 value value NN cord-300570-xes201g7 195 22 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 195 23 with with IN cord-300570-xes201g7 195 24 an an DT cord-300570-xes201g7 195 25 error error NN cord-300570-xes201g7 195 26 estimation estimation NN cord-300570-xes201g7 195 27 taken take VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 195 28 from from IN cord-300570-xes201g7 195 29 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 195 30 values value NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 195 31 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 195 32 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 195 33 fits fit NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 195 34 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 195 35 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 195 36 error error NN cord-300570-xes201g7 195 37 bars bar NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 195 38 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 196 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 196 2 can can MD cord-300570-xes201g7 196 3 observe observe VB cord-300570-xes201g7 196 4 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 196 5 error error NN cord-300570-xes201g7 196 6 getting get VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 196 7 smaller small JJR cord-300570-xes201g7 196 8 as as IN cord-300570-xes201g7 196 9 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 196 10 expected expect VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 196 11 data datum NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 196 12 from from IN cord-300570-xes201g7 196 13 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 196 14 fits fit NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 196 15 fall fall VB cord-300570-xes201g7 196 16 below below IN cord-300570-xes201g7 196 17 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 196 18 100 100 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 196 19 case case NN cord-300570-xes201g7 196 20 mark mark NN cord-300570-xes201g7 196 21 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 197 1 The the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 197 2 final final JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 197 3 plot plot NN cord-300570-xes201g7 197 4 is be VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 197 5 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 197 6 measure measure NN cord-300570-xes201g7 197 7 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 197 8 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 197 9 p p NN cord-300570-xes201g7 197 10 value value NN cord-300570-xes201g7 197 11 for for IN cord-300570-xes201g7 197 12 each each DT cord-300570-xes201g7 197 13 observed observe VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 197 14 data data NN cord-300570-xes201g7 197 15 point point NN cord-300570-xes201g7 197 16 given give VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 197 17 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 197 18 mean mean NN cord-300570-xes201g7 197 19 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 197 20 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 197 21 middle middle JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 197 22 fit fit NN cord-300570-xes201g7 197 23 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 197 24 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 197 25 standard standard JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 197 26 deviation deviation NN cord-300570-xes201g7 197 27 calculated calculate VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 197 28 from from IN cord-300570-xes201g7 197 29 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 197 30 values value NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 197 31 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 197 32 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 197 33 error error NN cord-300570-xes201g7 197 34 bars bar NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 197 35 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 198 1 The the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 198 2 horizontal horizontal JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 198 3 blue blue JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 198 4 line line NN cord-300570-xes201g7 198 5 indicates indicate VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 198 6 an an DT cord-300570-xes201g7 198 7 α α NN cord-300570-xes201g7 198 8 = = SYM cord-300570-xes201g7 198 9 0.05 0.05 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 198 10 level level NN cord-300570-xes201g7 198 11 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 198 12 significance significance NN cord-300570-xes201g7 198 13 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 198 14 leading lead VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 198 15 us -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 198 16 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 198 17 reject reject VB cord-300570-xes201g7 198 18 any any DT cord-300570-xes201g7 198 19 values value NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 198 20 below below IN cord-300570-xes201g7 198 21 that that DT cord-300570-xes201g7 198 22 line line NN cord-300570-xes201g7 198 23 as as IN cord-300570-xes201g7 198 24 expected expect VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 198 25 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 199 1 This this DT cord-300570-xes201g7 199 2 is be VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 199 3 replicated replicate VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 199 4 for for IN cord-300570-xes201g7 199 5 all all DT cord-300570-xes201g7 199 6 9 9 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 199 7 European european JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 199 8 countries country NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 199 9 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 200 1 Observed observed JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 200 2 data datum NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 200 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 200 4 red red JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 200 5 dots dot NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 200 6 ) ) -RRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 200 7 for for IN cord-300570-xes201g7 200 8 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 200 9 number number NN cord-300570-xes201g7 200 10 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 200 11 deaths death NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 200 12 per per IN cord-300570-xes201g7 200 13 day day NN cord-300570-xes201g7 200 14 ( ( -LRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 200 15 X4(t x4(t NN cord-300570-xes201g7 200 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 200 17 ) ) -RRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 200 18 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 200 19 fits fit VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 200 20 ( ( -LRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 200 21 solid solid JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 200 22 lines line NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 200 23 ) ) -RRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 200 24 obtained obtain VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 200 25 by by IN cord-300570-xes201g7 200 26 solving solve VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 200 27 ( ( -LRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 200 28 3.1 3.1 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 200 29 ) ) -RRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 200 30 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 200 31 ( ( -LRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 200 32 3.2 3.2 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 200 33 ) ) -RRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 200 34 using use VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 200 35 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 200 36 ODE ODE NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 200 37 solver solver NN cord-300570-xes201g7 200 38 ode ode NN cord-300570-xes201g7 200 39 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 200 40 R. R. NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 201 1 The the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 201 2 mean mean JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 201 3 values value NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 201 4 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 201 5 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 201 6 parameters parameter NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 201 7 obtained obtain VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 201 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 201 9 inset inset NN cord-300570-xes201g7 201 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 201 11 are be VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 201 12 from from IN cord-300570-xes201g7 201 13 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 201 14 solid solid JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 201 15 black black JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 201 16 line line NN cord-300570-xes201g7 201 17 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 201 18 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 201 19 error error NN cord-300570-xes201g7 201 20 bars bar NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 201 21 are be VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 201 22 from from IN cord-300570-xes201g7 201 23 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 201 24 two two CD cord-300570-xes201g7 201 25 red red JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 201 26 lines line NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 201 27 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 202 1 The the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 202 2 next next JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 202 3 plot plot NN cord-300570-xes201g7 202 4 is be VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 202 5 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 202 6 residual residual JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 202 7 plot plot NN cord-300570-xes201g7 202 8 for for IN cord-300570-xes201g7 202 9 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 202 10 deaths death NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 202 11 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 202 12 found find VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 202 13 by by IN cord-300570-xes201g7 202 14 subtracting subtract VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 202 15 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 202 16 observed observed JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 202 17 value value NN cord-300570-xes201g7 202 18 from from IN cord-300570-xes201g7 202 19 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 202 20 fit fit JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 202 21 value value NN cord-300570-xes201g7 202 22 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 202 23 with with IN cord-300570-xes201g7 202 24 an an DT cord-300570-xes201g7 202 25 error error NN cord-300570-xes201g7 202 26 estimation estimation NN cord-300570-xes201g7 202 27 taken take VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 202 28 from from IN cord-300570-xes201g7 202 29 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 202 30 values value NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 202 31 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 202 32 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 202 33 fits fit NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 202 34 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 202 35 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 202 36 error error NN cord-300570-xes201g7 202 37 bars bar NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 202 38 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 203 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 203 2 can can MD cord-300570-xes201g7 203 3 observe observe VB cord-300570-xes201g7 203 4 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 203 5 error error NN cord-300570-xes201g7 203 6 getting get VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 203 7 smaller small JJR cord-300570-xes201g7 203 8 as as IN cord-300570-xes201g7 203 9 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 203 10 expected expect VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 203 11 data datum NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 203 12 from from IN cord-300570-xes201g7 203 13 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 203 14 fits fit NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 203 15 fall fall VB cord-300570-xes201g7 203 16 below below IN cord-300570-xes201g7 203 17 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 203 18 100 100 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 203 19 case case NN cord-300570-xes201g7 203 20 mark mark NN cord-300570-xes201g7 203 21 ( ( -LRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 203 22 unless unless IN cord-300570-xes201g7 203 23 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 203 24 peak peak NN cord-300570-xes201g7 203 25 is be VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 203 26 really really RB cord-300570-xes201g7 203 27 small small JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 203 28 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 203 29 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 203 30 which which WDT cord-300570-xes201g7 203 31 case case NN cord-300570-xes201g7 203 32 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 203 33 error error NN cord-300570-xes201g7 203 34 gets get VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 203 35 smaller small JJR cord-300570-xes201g7 203 36 as as IN cord-300570-xes201g7 203 37 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 203 38 expected expect VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 203 39 data data NN cord-300570-xes201g7 203 40 falls fall VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 203 41 below below IN cord-300570-xes201g7 203 42 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 203 43 10 10 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 203 44 case case NN cord-300570-xes201g7 203 45 mark mark NN cord-300570-xes201g7 203 46 ) ) -RRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 203 47 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 204 1 The the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 204 2 final final JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 204 3 plot plot NN cord-300570-xes201g7 204 4 is be VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 204 5 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 204 6 measure measure NN cord-300570-xes201g7 204 7 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 204 8 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 204 9 p p NN cord-300570-xes201g7 204 10 value value NN cord-300570-xes201g7 204 11 for for IN cord-300570-xes201g7 204 12 each each DT cord-300570-xes201g7 204 13 observed observe VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 204 14 data data NN cord-300570-xes201g7 204 15 point point NN cord-300570-xes201g7 204 16 given give VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 204 17 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 204 18 mean mean NN cord-300570-xes201g7 204 19 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 204 20 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 204 21 middle middle JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 204 22 fit fit NN cord-300570-xes201g7 204 23 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 204 24 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 204 25 standard standard JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 204 26 deviation deviation NN cord-300570-xes201g7 204 27 calculated calculate VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 204 28 from from IN cord-300570-xes201g7 204 29 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 204 30 values value NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 204 31 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 204 32 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 204 33 error error NN cord-300570-xes201g7 204 34 bars bar NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 204 35 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 205 1 The the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 205 2 horizontal horizontal JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 205 3 blue blue JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 205 4 line line NN cord-300570-xes201g7 205 5 indicates indicate VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 205 6 an an DT cord-300570-xes201g7 205 7 α α NN cord-300570-xes201g7 205 8 = = SYM cord-300570-xes201g7 205 9 0.05 0.05 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 205 10 level level NN cord-300570-xes201g7 205 11 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 205 12 significance significance NN cord-300570-xes201g7 205 13 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 205 14 leading lead VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 205 15 us -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 205 16 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 205 17 reject reject VB cord-300570-xes201g7 205 18 any any DT cord-300570-xes201g7 205 19 values value NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 205 20 below below IN cord-300570-xes201g7 205 21 that that DT cord-300570-xes201g7 205 22 line line NN cord-300570-xes201g7 205 23 as as IN cord-300570-xes201g7 205 24 expected expect VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 205 25 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 206 1 This this DT cord-300570-xes201g7 206 2 is be VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 206 3 replicated replicate VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 206 4 for for IN cord-300570-xes201g7 206 5 all all DT cord-300570-xes201g7 206 6 9 9 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 206 7 European european JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 206 8 countries country NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 206 9 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 207 1 Figure figure NN cord-300570-xes201g7 207 2 3 3 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 207 3 : : : cord-300570-xes201g7 207 4 Observed observe VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 207 5 data datum NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 207 6 ( ( -LRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 207 7 blue blue JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 207 8 dots dot NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 207 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 207 10 for for IN cord-300570-xes201g7 207 11 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 207 12 number number NN cord-300570-xes201g7 207 13 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 207 14 cases case NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 207 15 per per IN cord-300570-xes201g7 207 16 day day NN cord-300570-xes201g7 207 17 ( ( -LRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 207 18 X2(t X2(t NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 207 19 ) ) -RRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 207 20 ) ) -RRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 207 21 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 207 22 fits fit VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 207 23 ( ( -LRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 207 24 solid solid JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 207 25 lines line NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 207 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 207 27 obtained obtain VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 207 28 by by IN cord-300570-xes201g7 207 29 solving solve VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 207 30 ( ( -LRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 207 31 3.1 3.1 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 207 32 ) ) -RRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 207 33 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 207 34 ( ( -LRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 207 35 3.2 3.2 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 207 36 ) ) -RRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 207 37 using use VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 207 38 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 207 39 ODE ODE NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 207 40 solver solver NN cord-300570-xes201g7 207 41 ode ode NN cord-300570-xes201g7 207 42 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 207 43 R. R. NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 208 1 The the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 208 2 mean mean JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 208 3 values value NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 208 4 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 208 5 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 208 6 parameters parameter NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 208 7 obtained obtain VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 208 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 208 9 inset inset NN cord-300570-xes201g7 208 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 208 11 are be VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 208 12 from from IN cord-300570-xes201g7 208 13 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 208 14 solid solid JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 208 15 black black JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 208 16 line line NN cord-300570-xes201g7 208 17 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 208 18 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 208 19 error error NN cord-300570-xes201g7 208 20 bars bar NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 208 21 are be VBP cord-300570-xes201g7 208 22 from from IN cord-300570-xes201g7 208 23 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 208 24 two two CD cord-300570-xes201g7 208 25 red red JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 208 26 lines line NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 208 27 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 209 1 This this DT cord-300570-xes201g7 209 2 graph graph NN cord-300570-xes201g7 209 3 contains contain VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 209 4 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 209 5 model model NN cord-300570-xes201g7 209 6 fits fit VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 209 7 for for IN cord-300570-xes201g7 209 8 after after IN cord-300570-xes201g7 209 9 reopening reopen VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 209 10 starts start NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 209 11 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 210 1 Data datum NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 210 2 was be VBD cord-300570-xes201g7 210 3 obtained obtain VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 210 4 by by IN cord-300570-xes201g7 210 5 ending end VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 210 6 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 210 7 first first JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 210 8 curve curve NN cord-300570-xes201g7 210 9 at at IN cord-300570-xes201g7 210 10 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 210 11 certain certain JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 210 12 date date NN cord-300570-xes201g7 210 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 210 14 found find VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 210 15 using use VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 210 16 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 210 17 residual residual JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 210 18 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 210 19 p p NN cord-300570-xes201g7 210 20 plot plot NN cord-300570-xes201g7 210 21 analyses analysis NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 210 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 210 23 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 210 24 starting start VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 210 25 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 210 26 second second JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 210 27 curve curve NN cord-300570-xes201g7 210 28 around around IN cord-300570-xes201g7 210 29 that that DT cord-300570-xes201g7 210 30 date date NN cord-300570-xes201g7 210 31 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 210 32 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 211 1 CC CC NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 211 2 - - HYPH cord-300570-xes201g7 211 3 BY BY NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 211 4 - - HYPH cord-300570-xes201g7 211 5 ND ND NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 211 6 4.0 4.0 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 211 7 International international JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 211 8 license license NN cord-300570-xes201g7 212 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 212 2 is be VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 212 3 made make VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 212 4 available available JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 212 5 under under IN cord-300570-xes201g7 212 6 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 213 1 is be VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 213 2 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 213 3 author author NN cord-300570-xes201g7 213 4 / / SYM cord-300570-xes201g7 213 5 funder funder NN cord-300570-xes201g7 213 6 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 213 7 who who WP cord-300570-xes201g7 213 8 has have VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 213 9 granted grant VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 213 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 213 11 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 213 12 license license NN cord-300570-xes201g7 213 13 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 213 14 display display VB cord-300570-xes201g7 213 15 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 213 16 preprint preprint NN cord-300570-xes201g7 213 17 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 213 18 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-300570-xes201g7 213 19 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 214 1 The the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 214 2 copyright copyright NN cord-300570-xes201g7 214 3 holder holder NN cord-300570-xes201g7 214 4 for for IN cord-300570-xes201g7 214 5 this this DT cord-300570-xes201g7 214 6 preprint preprint NN cord-300570-xes201g7 214 7 this this DT cord-300570-xes201g7 214 8 version version NN cord-300570-xes201g7 214 9 posted post VBD cord-300570-xes201g7 214 10 October October NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 214 11 6 6 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 214 12 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 214 13 2020 2020 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 214 14 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 214 15 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 215 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.03.20206359 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.03.20206359 NFP cord-300570-xes201g7 215 2 doi doi NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 215 3 : : : cord-300570-xes201g7 216 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 216 2 preprint preprint NN cord-300570-xes201g7 216 3 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 217 1 CC CC NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 217 2 - - HYPH cord-300570-xes201g7 217 3 BY BY NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 217 4 - - HYPH cord-300570-xes201g7 217 5 ND ND NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 217 6 4.0 4.0 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 217 7 International international JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 217 8 license license NN cord-300570-xes201g7 218 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 218 2 is be VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 218 3 made make VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 218 4 available available JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 218 5 under under IN cord-300570-xes201g7 218 6 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 219 1 is be VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 219 2 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 219 3 author author NN cord-300570-xes201g7 219 4 / / SYM cord-300570-xes201g7 219 5 funder funder NN cord-300570-xes201g7 219 6 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 219 7 who who WP cord-300570-xes201g7 219 8 has have VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 219 9 granted grant VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 219 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 219 11 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 219 12 license license NN cord-300570-xes201g7 219 13 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 219 14 display display VB cord-300570-xes201g7 219 15 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 219 16 preprint preprint NN cord-300570-xes201g7 219 17 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 219 18 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-300570-xes201g7 219 19 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 220 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 220 2 which which WDT cord-300570-xes201g7 220 3 was be VBD cord-300570-xes201g7 220 4 not not RB cord-300570-xes201g7 220 5 certified certify VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 220 6 by by IN cord-300570-xes201g7 220 7 peer peer NN cord-300570-xes201g7 220 8 review review NN cord-300570-xes201g7 220 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 221 1 The the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 221 2 copyright copyright NN cord-300570-xes201g7 221 3 holder holder NN cord-300570-xes201g7 221 4 for for IN cord-300570-xes201g7 221 5 this this DT cord-300570-xes201g7 221 6 preprint preprint NN cord-300570-xes201g7 221 7 this this DT cord-300570-xes201g7 221 8 version version NN cord-300570-xes201g7 221 9 posted post VBD cord-300570-xes201g7 221 10 October October NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 221 11 6 6 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 221 12 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 221 13 2020 2020 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 221 14 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 221 15 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 222 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.03.20206359 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.03.20206359 NFP cord-300570-xes201g7 222 2 doi doi NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 222 3 : : : cord-300570-xes201g7 223 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 223 2 preprint preprint NN cord-300570-xes201g7 223 3 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 224 1 CC CC NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 224 2 - - HYPH cord-300570-xes201g7 224 3 BY BY NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 224 4 - - HYPH cord-300570-xes201g7 224 5 ND ND NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 224 6 4.0 4.0 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 224 7 International international JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 224 8 license license NN cord-300570-xes201g7 225 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 225 2 is be VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 225 3 made make VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 225 4 available available JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 225 5 under under IN cord-300570-xes201g7 225 6 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 226 1 is be VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 226 2 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 226 3 author author NN cord-300570-xes201g7 226 4 / / SYM cord-300570-xes201g7 226 5 funder funder NN cord-300570-xes201g7 226 6 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 226 7 who who WP cord-300570-xes201g7 226 8 has have VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 226 9 granted grant VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 226 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 226 11 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 226 12 license license NN cord-300570-xes201g7 226 13 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 226 14 display display VB cord-300570-xes201g7 226 15 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 226 16 preprint preprint NN cord-300570-xes201g7 226 17 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 226 18 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-300570-xes201g7 226 19 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 227 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 227 2 which which WDT cord-300570-xes201g7 227 3 was be VBD cord-300570-xes201g7 227 4 not not RB cord-300570-xes201g7 227 5 certified certify VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 227 6 by by IN cord-300570-xes201g7 227 7 peer peer NN cord-300570-xes201g7 227 8 review review NN cord-300570-xes201g7 227 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 228 1 The the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 228 2 copyright copyright NN cord-300570-xes201g7 228 3 holder holder NN cord-300570-xes201g7 228 4 for for IN cord-300570-xes201g7 228 5 this this DT cord-300570-xes201g7 228 6 preprint preprint NN cord-300570-xes201g7 228 7 this this DT cord-300570-xes201g7 228 8 version version NN cord-300570-xes201g7 228 9 posted post VBD cord-300570-xes201g7 228 10 October October NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 228 11 6 6 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 228 12 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 228 13 2020 2020 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 228 14 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 228 15 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 229 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.03.20206359 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.03.20206359 NFP cord-300570-xes201g7 229 2 doi doi NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 229 3 : : : cord-300570-xes201g7 230 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 230 2 preprint preprint NN cord-300570-xes201g7 230 3 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 231 1 CC CC NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 231 2 - - HYPH cord-300570-xes201g7 231 3 BY BY NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 231 4 - - HYPH cord-300570-xes201g7 231 5 ND ND NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 231 6 4.0 4.0 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 231 7 International international JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 231 8 license license NN cord-300570-xes201g7 232 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 232 2 is be VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 232 3 made make VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 232 4 available available JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 232 5 under under IN cord-300570-xes201g7 232 6 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 233 1 is be VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 233 2 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 233 3 author author NN cord-300570-xes201g7 233 4 / / SYM cord-300570-xes201g7 233 5 funder funder NN cord-300570-xes201g7 233 6 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 233 7 who who WP cord-300570-xes201g7 233 8 has have VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 233 9 granted grant VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 233 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 233 11 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 233 12 license license NN cord-300570-xes201g7 233 13 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 233 14 display display VB cord-300570-xes201g7 233 15 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 233 16 preprint preprint NN cord-300570-xes201g7 233 17 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 233 18 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-300570-xes201g7 233 19 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 234 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 234 2 which which WDT cord-300570-xes201g7 234 3 was be VBD cord-300570-xes201g7 234 4 not not RB cord-300570-xes201g7 234 5 certified certify VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 234 6 by by IN cord-300570-xes201g7 234 7 peer peer NN cord-300570-xes201g7 234 8 review review NN cord-300570-xes201g7 234 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 235 1 The the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 235 2 copyright copyright NN cord-300570-xes201g7 235 3 holder holder NN cord-300570-xes201g7 235 4 for for IN cord-300570-xes201g7 235 5 this this DT cord-300570-xes201g7 235 6 preprint preprint NN cord-300570-xes201g7 235 7 this this DT cord-300570-xes201g7 235 8 version version NN cord-300570-xes201g7 235 9 posted post VBD cord-300570-xes201g7 235 10 October October NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 235 11 6 6 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 235 12 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 235 13 2020 2020 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 235 14 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 235 15 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 236 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.03.20206359 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.03.20206359 NFP cord-300570-xes201g7 236 2 doi doi NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 236 3 : : : cord-300570-xes201g7 237 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 237 2 preprint preprint NN cord-300570-xes201g7 237 3 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 238 1 CC CC NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 238 2 - - HYPH cord-300570-xes201g7 238 3 BY BY NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 238 4 - - HYPH cord-300570-xes201g7 238 5 ND ND NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 238 6 4.0 4.0 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 238 7 International international JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 238 8 license license NN cord-300570-xes201g7 239 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 239 2 is be VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 239 3 made make VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 239 4 available available JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 239 5 under under IN cord-300570-xes201g7 239 6 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 240 1 is be VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 240 2 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 240 3 author author NN cord-300570-xes201g7 240 4 / / SYM cord-300570-xes201g7 240 5 funder funder NN cord-300570-xes201g7 240 6 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 240 7 who who WP cord-300570-xes201g7 240 8 has have VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 240 9 granted grant VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 240 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 240 11 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 240 12 license license NN cord-300570-xes201g7 240 13 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 240 14 display display VB cord-300570-xes201g7 240 15 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 240 16 preprint preprint NN cord-300570-xes201g7 240 17 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 240 18 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-300570-xes201g7 240 19 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 241 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 241 2 which which WDT cord-300570-xes201g7 241 3 was be VBD cord-300570-xes201g7 241 4 not not RB cord-300570-xes201g7 241 5 certified certify VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 241 6 by by IN cord-300570-xes201g7 241 7 peer peer NN cord-300570-xes201g7 241 8 review review NN cord-300570-xes201g7 241 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 242 1 The the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 242 2 copyright copyright NN cord-300570-xes201g7 242 3 holder holder NN cord-300570-xes201g7 242 4 for for IN cord-300570-xes201g7 242 5 this this DT cord-300570-xes201g7 242 6 preprint preprint NN cord-300570-xes201g7 242 7 this this DT cord-300570-xes201g7 242 8 version version NN cord-300570-xes201g7 242 9 posted post VBD cord-300570-xes201g7 242 10 October October NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 242 11 6 6 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 242 12 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 242 13 2020 2020 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 242 14 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 242 15 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 243 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.03.20206359 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.03.20206359 NFP cord-300570-xes201g7 243 2 doi doi NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 243 3 : : : cord-300570-xes201g7 244 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 244 2 preprint preprint NN cord-300570-xes201g7 244 3 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 245 1 CC CC NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 245 2 - - HYPH cord-300570-xes201g7 245 3 BY BY NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 245 4 - - HYPH cord-300570-xes201g7 245 5 ND ND NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 245 6 4.0 4.0 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 245 7 International international JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 245 8 license license NN cord-300570-xes201g7 246 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 246 2 is be VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 246 3 made make VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 246 4 available available JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 246 5 under under IN cord-300570-xes201g7 246 6 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 247 1 is be VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 247 2 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 247 3 author author NN cord-300570-xes201g7 247 4 / / SYM cord-300570-xes201g7 247 5 funder funder NN cord-300570-xes201g7 247 6 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 247 7 who who WP cord-300570-xes201g7 247 8 has have VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 247 9 granted grant VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 247 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 247 11 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 247 12 license license NN cord-300570-xes201g7 247 13 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 247 14 display display VB cord-300570-xes201g7 247 15 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 247 16 preprint preprint NN cord-300570-xes201g7 247 17 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 247 18 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-300570-xes201g7 247 19 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 248 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 248 2 which which WDT cord-300570-xes201g7 248 3 was be VBD cord-300570-xes201g7 248 4 not not RB cord-300570-xes201g7 248 5 certified certify VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 248 6 by by IN cord-300570-xes201g7 248 7 peer peer NN cord-300570-xes201g7 248 8 review review NN cord-300570-xes201g7 248 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 249 1 The the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 249 2 copyright copyright NN cord-300570-xes201g7 249 3 holder holder NN cord-300570-xes201g7 249 4 for for IN cord-300570-xes201g7 249 5 this this DT cord-300570-xes201g7 249 6 preprint preprint NN cord-300570-xes201g7 249 7 this this DT cord-300570-xes201g7 249 8 version version NN cord-300570-xes201g7 249 9 posted post VBD cord-300570-xes201g7 249 10 October October NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 249 11 6 6 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 249 12 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 249 13 2020 2020 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 249 14 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 249 15 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 250 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.03.20206359 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.03.20206359 NFP cord-300570-xes201g7 250 2 doi doi NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 250 3 : : : cord-300570-xes201g7 251 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 251 2 preprint preprint NN cord-300570-xes201g7 251 3 Figure Figure NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 251 4 3 3 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 251 5 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 252 1 New new JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 252 2 plot plot NN cord-300570-xes201g7 252 3 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 252 4 cases case NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 252 5 after after IN cord-300570-xes201g7 252 6 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 252 7 lockdown lockdown NN cord-300570-xes201g7 252 8 was be VBD cord-300570-xes201g7 252 9 lifted lift VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 252 10 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 253 1 CC CC NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 253 2 - - HYPH cord-300570-xes201g7 253 3 BY BY NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 253 4 - - HYPH cord-300570-xes201g7 253 5 ND ND NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 253 6 4.0 4.0 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 253 7 International international JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 253 8 license license NN cord-300570-xes201g7 253 9 It -PRON- PRP cord-300570-xes201g7 253 10 is be VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 253 11 made make VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 253 12 available available JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 253 13 under under IN cord-300570-xes201g7 253 14 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 254 1 is be VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 254 2 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 254 3 author author NN cord-300570-xes201g7 254 4 / / SYM cord-300570-xes201g7 254 5 funder funder NN cord-300570-xes201g7 254 6 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 254 7 who who WP cord-300570-xes201g7 254 8 has have VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 254 9 granted grant VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 254 10 medRxiv medRxiv NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 254 11 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 254 12 license license NN cord-300570-xes201g7 254 13 to to TO cord-300570-xes201g7 254 14 display display VB cord-300570-xes201g7 254 15 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 254 16 preprint preprint NN cord-300570-xes201g7 254 17 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 254 18 perpetuity perpetuity NN cord-300570-xes201g7 254 19 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 255 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 255 2 which which WDT cord-300570-xes201g7 255 3 was be VBD cord-300570-xes201g7 255 4 not not RB cord-300570-xes201g7 255 5 certified certify VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 255 6 by by IN cord-300570-xes201g7 255 7 peer peer NN cord-300570-xes201g7 255 8 review review NN cord-300570-xes201g7 255 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 256 1 The the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 256 2 copyright copyright NN cord-300570-xes201g7 256 3 holder holder NN cord-300570-xes201g7 256 4 for for IN cord-300570-xes201g7 256 5 this this DT cord-300570-xes201g7 256 6 preprint preprint NN cord-300570-xes201g7 256 7 this this DT cord-300570-xes201g7 256 8 version version NN cord-300570-xes201g7 256 9 posted post VBD cord-300570-xes201g7 256 10 October October NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 256 11 6 6 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 256 12 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 256 13 2020 2020 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 256 14 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 256 15 . . . cord-300570-xes201g7 257 1 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.03.20206359 https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.03.20206359 NFP cord-300570-xes201g7 257 2 doi doi NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 257 3 : : : cord-300570-xes201g7 258 1 medRxiv medRxiv NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 258 2 preprint preprint NN cord-300570-xes201g7 258 3 Incidence incidence NN cord-300570-xes201g7 258 4 , , , cord-300570-xes201g7 258 5 clinical clinical JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 258 6 characteristics characteristic NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 258 7 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 258 8 prognostic prognostic JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 258 9 factor factor NN cord-300570-xes201g7 258 10 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 258 11 patients patient NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 258 12 with with IN cord-300570-xes201g7 258 13 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 258 14 : : : cord-300570-xes201g7 258 15 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 258 16 systematic systematic JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 258 17 review review NN cord-300570-xes201g7 258 18 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 258 19 meta meta NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 258 20 - - HYPH cord-300570-xes201g7 258 21 analysis analysis NN cord-300570-xes201g7 258 22 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 258 23 : : : cord-300570-xes201g7 259 1 Why why WRB cord-300570-xes201g7 259 2 Spain Spain NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 259 3 is be VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 259 4 seeing see VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 259 5 second second JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 259 6 wave wave NN cord-300570-xes201g7 259 7 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 259 8 disease disease NN cord-300570-xes201g7 259 9 2019 2019 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 259 10 ( ( -LRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 259 11 COVID-19 COVID-19 NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 259 12 ) ) -RRB- cord-300570-xes201g7 259 13 in in IN cord-300570-xes201g7 259 14 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 259 15 EU EU NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 259 16 / / SYM cord-300570-xes201g7 259 17 EEA EEA NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 259 18 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 259 19 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 259 20 UK UK NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 259 21 -eleventh -eleventh NN cord-300570-xes201g7 259 22 update update NN cord-300570-xes201g7 259 23 : : : cord-300570-xes201g7 259 24 resurgence resurgence NN cord-300570-xes201g7 259 25 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 259 26 cases case NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 259 27 Predictions prediction NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 259 28 for for IN cord-300570-xes201g7 259 29 Europe Europe NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 259 30 for for IN cord-300570-xes201g7 259 31 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 259 32 Covid-19 covid-19 JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 259 33 pandemic pandemic NN cord-300570-xes201g7 259 34 from from IN cord-300570-xes201g7 259 35 a a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 259 36 SIR SIR NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 259 37 model model NN cord-300570-xes201g7 259 38 Update update NN cord-300570-xes201g7 259 39 : : : cord-300570-xes201g7 259 40 Severe severe JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 259 41 Acute acute JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 259 42 Respiratory Respiratory NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 259 43 Syndrome Syndrome NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 259 44 -Worldwide -Worldwide NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 259 45 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 259 46 United United NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 259 47 States States NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 259 48 Coronavirus Coronavirus NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 259 49 : : : cord-300570-xes201g7 260 1 How how WRB cord-300570-xes201g7 260 2 lockdown lockdown NN cord-300570-xes201g7 260 3 is be VBZ cord-300570-xes201g7 260 4 being be VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 260 5 lifted lift VBN cord-300570-xes201g7 260 6 across across IN cord-300570-xes201g7 260 7 Europe Europe NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 260 8 Genomic Genomic NNP cord-300570-xes201g7 260 9 characterisation characterisation NN cord-300570-xes201g7 260 10 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 260 11 epidemiology epidemiology NN cord-300570-xes201g7 260 12 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 260 13 2019 2019 CD cord-300570-xes201g7 260 14 novel novel JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 260 15 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-300570-xes201g7 260 16 : : : cord-300570-xes201g7 260 17 implications implication NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 260 18 for for IN cord-300570-xes201g7 260 19 virus virus NN cord-300570-xes201g7 260 20 origins origin NNS cord-300570-xes201g7 260 21 and and CC cord-300570-xes201g7 260 22 receptor receptor NN cord-300570-xes201g7 260 23 binding bind VBG cord-300570-xes201g7 260 24 A a DT cord-300570-xes201g7 260 25 contribution contribution NN cord-300570-xes201g7 260 26 to to IN cord-300570-xes201g7 260 27 the the DT cord-300570-xes201g7 260 28 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-300570-xes201g7 260 29 theory theory NN cord-300570-xes201g7 260 30 of of IN cord-300570-xes201g7 260 31 epidemics epidemic NNS