id sid tid token lemma pos cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 1 1 key key JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 1 2 : : : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 1 3 cord-227268 cord-227268 VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 1 4 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 1 5 8k9zaqsy 8k9zaqsy CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 1 6 authors author NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 1 7 : : : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 1 8 Wick Wick NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 1 9 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 1 10 W. W. NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 1 11 David David NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 2 1 title title NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 2 2 : : : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 3 1 Stopping stop VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 3 2 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 3 3 SuperSpreader SuperSpreader NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 3 4 Epidemic Epidemic NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 3 5 : : : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 3 6 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 3 7 lessons lesson NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 3 8 from from IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 3 9 SARS SARS NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 3 10 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 3 11 with with IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 3 12 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 3 13 perhaps perhaps RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 3 14 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 3 15 applications application NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 3 16 to to IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 3 17 MERS MERS NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 3 18 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 3 19 date date NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 3 20 : : : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 3 21 2013 2013 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 3 22 - - SYM cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 3 23 08 08 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 3 24 - - SYM cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 3 25 29 29 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 3 26 journal journal NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 3 27 : : : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 3 28 nan nan NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 3 29 DOI DOI NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 3 30 : : : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 3 31 nan nan NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 3 32 sha sha NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 3 33 : : : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 3 34 9542e98ee6f8190099c9152b2688009cfd005c95 9542e98ee6f8190099c9152b2688009cfd005c95 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 3 35 doc_id doc_id CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 3 36 : : : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 3 37 227268 227268 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 3 38 cord_uid cord_uid NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 3 39 : : : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 3 40 8k9zaqsy 8k9zaqsy CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 4 1 I -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 4 2 discuss discuss VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 4 3 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 4 4 so so RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 4 5 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 4 6 called call VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 4 7 SuperSpreader SuperSpreader NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 4 8 epidemic epidemic NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 4 9 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 4 10 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 4 11 which which WDT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 4 12 SARS SARS NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 4 13 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 4 14 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 4 15 canonical canonical JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 4 16 examples example NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 4 17 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 4 18 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 4 19 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 4 20 perhaps perhaps RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 4 21 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 4 22 MERS MERS NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 4 23 will will MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 4 24 be be VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 4 25 another another DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 4 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 4 27 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 5 1 I -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 5 2 use use VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 5 3 simulation simulation NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 5 4 by by IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 5 5 an an DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 5 6 agent agent NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 5 7 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 5 8 based base VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 5 9 model model NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 5 10 as as RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 5 11 well well RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 5 12 as as IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 5 13 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 5 14 mathematics mathematic NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 5 15 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 5 16 multi multi JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 5 17 - - JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 5 18 type type JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 5 19 branching branching NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 5 20 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 5 21 processes process NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 5 22 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 5 23 illustrate illustrate VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 5 24 how how WRB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 5 25 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 5 26 SS SS NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 5 27 epidemic epidemic NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 5 28 differs differ VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 5 29 from from IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 5 30 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 5 31 more more RBR cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 5 32 familiar familiar JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 5 33 uniform uniform JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 5 34 epidemic epidemic NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 5 35 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 5 36 e.g. e.g. RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 5 37 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 5 38 caused cause VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 5 39 by by IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 5 40 influenza influenza NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 5 41 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 5 42 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 6 1 The the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 6 2 conclusions conclusion NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 6 3 may may MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 6 4 surprise surprise VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 6 5 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 6 6 reader reader NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 6 7 : : : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 6 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 6 9 a a LS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 6 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 7 1 The the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 7 2 SS SS NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 7 3 epidemic epidemic NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 7 4 must must MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 7 5 be be VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 7 6 described describe VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 7 7 by by IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 7 8 at at RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 7 9 least least RBS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 7 10 two two CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 7 11 numbers number NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 7 12 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 7 13 such such JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 7 14 as as IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 7 15 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 7 16 mean mean JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 7 17 reproductive reproductive JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 7 18 number number NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 7 19 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 7 20 of"secondary"cases of"secondary"cases CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 7 21 caused cause VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 7 22 by by IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 7 23 a"primary a"primary NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 7 24 case case NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 7 25 " " '' cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 7 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 7 27 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 7 28 R0 R0 NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 7 29 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 7 30 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 7 31 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 7 32 variance variance NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 7 33 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 7 34 same same JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 7 35 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 7 36 call call VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 7 37 it -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 7 38 V0 v0 NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 7 39 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 7 40 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 7 41 b b NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 7 42 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 8 1 Even even RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 8 2 if if IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 8 3 R0>1 R0>1 NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 8 4 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 8 5 if if IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 8 6 V0>>R0 V0>>R0 NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 8 7 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 8 8 probability probability NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 8 9 that that IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 8 10 an an DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 8 11 infection infection NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 8 12 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 8 13 chain chain NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 8 14 caused cause VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 8 15 by by IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 8 16 one one CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 8 17 primary primary JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 8 18 case case NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 8 19 goes go VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 8 20 extinct extinct JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 8 21 without without IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 8 22 intervention intervention NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 8 23 may may MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 8 24 be be VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 8 25 close close JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 8 26 to to IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 8 27 one one CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 8 28 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 8 29 e.g. e.g. RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 8 30 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 8 31 0.97 0.97 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 8 32 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 8 33 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 8 34 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 8 35 c c NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 8 36 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 1 The the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 2 SS SS NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 3 epidemic epidemic NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 4 may may MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 5 have have VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 6 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 7 long"kindling long"kindle VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 8 period"in period"in NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 9 which which WDT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 10 sporadic sporadic JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 11 cases case NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 12 appear appear VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 14 transmitted transmit VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 15 from from IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 16 some some DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 17 unknown unknown JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 18 host host NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 19 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 20 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 21 generate generate VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 22 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 23 cluster cluster NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 24 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 25 cases case NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 26 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 27 but but CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 28 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 29 chains chain NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 30 peter peter NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 31 out out RP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 32 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 33 perhaps perhaps RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 34 generating generate VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 35 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 36 false false JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 37 sense sense NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 38 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 39 security security NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 40 that that WDT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 41 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 42 pandemic pandemic NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 43 will will MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 44 not not RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 45 occur occur VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 46 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 47 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 48 d d LS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 49 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 50 Interventions intervention NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 51 such such JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 52 as as IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 53 isolation isolation NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 54 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 55 or or CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 56 contact contact NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 57 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 58 tracing tracing NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 59 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 60 secondary secondary JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 61 case case NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 62 isolation isolation NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 63 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 64 may may MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 65 prove prove VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 66 efficacious efficacious JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 67 even even RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 68 without without IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 69 driving drive VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 70 R0 R0 NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 71 below below IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 72 one one CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 73 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 74 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 75 e e NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 9 76 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 10 1 The the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 10 2 efficacy efficacy NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 10 3 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 10 4 such such JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 10 5 interventions intervention NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 10 6 diminishes diminish VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 10 7 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 10 8 but but CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 10 9 slowly slowly RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 10 10 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 10 11 with with IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 10 12 increasing increase VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 10 13 V0 v0 NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 10 14 at at IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 10 15 fixed fix VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 10 16 R0 r0 NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 10 17 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 11 1 From from IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 11 2 these these DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 11 3 considerations consideration NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 11 4 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 11 5 I -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 11 6 argue argue VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 11 7 that that IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 11 8 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 11 9 SS SS NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 11 10 epidemic epidemic NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 11 11 has have VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 11 12 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 11 13 sufficiently sufficiently RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 11 14 distinct distinct JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 11 15 from from IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 11 16 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 11 17 uniform uniform JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 11 18 case case NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 11 19 that that IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 11 20 efficacious efficacious JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 11 21 public public JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 11 22 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 11 23 health health NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 11 24 interventions intervention NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 11 25 can can MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 11 26 be be VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 11 27 designed design VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 11 28 even even RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 11 29 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 11 30 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 11 31 absence absence NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 11 32 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 11 33 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 11 34 vaccine vaccine NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 11 35 or or CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 11 36 other other JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 11 37 form form NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 11 38 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 11 39 treatment treatment NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 11 40 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 12 1 Abstract Abstract NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 13 1 I -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 13 2 discuss discuss VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 13 3 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 13 4 so so RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 13 5 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 13 6 called call VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 13 7 SuperSpreader SuperSpreader NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 13 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 13 9 SS SS NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 13 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 13 11 epidemic epidemic NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 13 12 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 13 13 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 13 14 which which WDT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 13 15 SARS SARS NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 13 16 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 13 17 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 13 18 canonical canonical JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 13 19 example example NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 13 20 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 13 21 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 13 22 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 13 23 perhaps perhaps RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 13 24 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 13 25 MERS MERS NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 13 26 will will MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 13 27 be be VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 13 28 another another DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 13 29 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 13 30 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 14 1 I -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 14 2 use use VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 14 3 simulation simulation NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 14 4 by by IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 14 5 an an DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 14 6 agent agent NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 14 7 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 14 8 based base VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 14 9 model model NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 14 10 as as RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 14 11 well well RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 14 12 as as IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 14 13 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 14 14 mathematics mathematic NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 14 15 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 14 16 multi multi JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 14 17 - - JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 14 18 type type JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 14 19 branchingprocesses branchingprocesse NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 14 20 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 14 21 illustrate illustrate VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 14 22 how how WRB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 14 23 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 14 24 SS SS NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 14 25 epidemic epidemic NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 14 26 differs differ VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 14 27 from from IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 14 28 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 14 29 more more RBR cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 14 30 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 14 31 familiar familiar JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 14 32 uniform uniform JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 14 33 epidemic epidemic NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 14 34 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 14 35 e.g. e.g. RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 14 36 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 14 37 caused cause VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 14 38 by by IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 14 39 influenza influenza NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 14 40 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 14 41 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 1 The the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 2 conclusions conclusion NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 3 may may MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 4 surprise surprise VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 5 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 6 reader reader NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 7 : : : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 9 a a LS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 11 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 12 SS SS NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 13 epidemic epidemic NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 14 must must MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 15 be be VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 16 described describe VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 17 by by IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 18 at at RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 19 least least RBS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 20 two two CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 21 numbers number NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 22 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 23 such such JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 24 as as IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 25 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 26 mean mean JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 27 reproductive reproductive JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 28 number number NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 29 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 30 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 31 " " `` cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 32 secondary secondary JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 33 " " '' cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 34 infections infection NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 35 caused cause VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 36 by by IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 37 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 38 " " `` cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 39 primary primary JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 40 " " '' cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 41 case case NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 42 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 43 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 44 R r NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 45 0 0 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 46 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 47 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 48 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 49 variance variance NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 50 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 51 same same JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 52 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 53 call call VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 54 it -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 55 V v NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 56 0 0 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 57 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 58 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 59 b b NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 60 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 61 Even even RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 62 with with IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 63 R r NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 64 0 0 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 65 > > SYM cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 66 1 1 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 67 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 68 if if IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 69 V v NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 70 0 0 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 71 R r NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 72 0 0 NFP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 73 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 74 probability probability NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 75 that that IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 76 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 77 infection infection NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 78 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 79 chain chain NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 80 caused cause VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 81 by by IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 82 one one CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 83 primary primary JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 84 case case NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 85 goes go VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 86 extinct extinct JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 87 without without IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 88 intervention intervention NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 89 may may MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 90 be be VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 91 close close JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 92 to to IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 93 one one CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 94 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 95 e.g. e.g. RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 96 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 97 0.97 0.97 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 98 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 99 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 100 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 101 c c NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 15 102 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 1 The the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 2 SS SS NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 3 epidemic epidemic NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 4 may may MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 5 have have VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 6 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 7 long long JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 8 " " `` cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 9 kindling kindling NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 10 period period NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 11 " " '' cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 12 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 13 which which WDT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 14 sporadic sporadic JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 15 cases case NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 16 appear appear VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 17 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 18 transmitted transmit VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 19 from from IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 20 some some DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 21 unknown unknown JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 22 host host NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 23 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 24 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 25 generate generate VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 26 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 27 cluster cluster NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 28 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 29 cases case NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 30 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 31 but but CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 32 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 33 chains chain NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 34 peter peter NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 35 out out RP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 36 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 37 perhaps perhaps RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 38 generating generate VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 39 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 40 false false JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 41 sense sense NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 42 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 43 security security NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 44 that that WDT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 45 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 46 pandemic pandemic NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 47 will will MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 48 not not RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 49 occur occur VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 50 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 51 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 52 d d LS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 53 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 54 Interventions intervention NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 55 such such JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 56 as as IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 57 isolating isolate VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 58 primary primary JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 59 cases case NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 60 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 61 or or CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 62 contact contact NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 63 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 64 tracing trace VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 65 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 66 secondary secondary JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 67 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 68 case case NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 69 isolation isolation NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 70 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 71 can can MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 72 be be VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 73 efficacious efficacious JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 74 even even RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 75 without without IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 76 driving drive VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 77 R r NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 78 0 0 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 79 below below IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 80 one one CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 81 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 82 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 83 e e NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 16 84 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 17 1 The the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 17 2 efficacy efficacy NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 17 3 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 17 4 such such JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 17 5 interventions intervention NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 17 6 diminishes diminish VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 17 7 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 17 8 but but CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 17 9 slowly slowly RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 17 10 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 17 11 with with IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 17 12 increasing increase VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 17 13 V v NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 17 14 0 0 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 17 15 at at IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 17 16 fixed fix VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 17 17 R r NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 17 18 0 0 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 17 19 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 18 1 From from IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 18 2 these these DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 18 3 considerations consideration NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 18 4 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 18 5 I -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 18 6 argue argue VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 18 7 that that IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 18 8 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 18 9 SS SS NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 18 10 epidemic epidemic NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 18 11 has have VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 18 12 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 18 13 sufficiently sufficiently RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 18 14 distinct distinct JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 18 15 from from IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 18 16 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 18 17 uniform uniform JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 18 18 case case NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 18 19 that that IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 18 20 efficacious efficacious JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 18 21 public public JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 18 22 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 18 23 health health NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 18 24 interventions intervention NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 18 25 can can MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 18 26 be be VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 18 27 designed design VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 18 28 even even RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 18 29 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 18 30 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 18 31 absence absence NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 18 32 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 18 33 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 18 34 vaccine vaccine NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 18 35 or or CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 18 36 other other JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 18 37 form form NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 18 38 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 18 39 treatment treatment NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 18 40 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 19 1 This this DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 19 2 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 19 3 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 19 4 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 19 5 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 19 6 modeling model VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 19 7 paper paper NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 19 8 about about IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 19 9 certain certain JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 19 10 types type NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 19 11 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 19 12 epidemics epidemic NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 19 13 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 19 14 corresponding correspond VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 19 15 public public JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 19 16 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 19 17 health health NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 19 18 interventions intervention NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 19 19 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 19 20 other other JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 19 21 than than IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 19 22 by by IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 19 23 vaccines vaccine NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 19 24 or or CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 19 25 drugs drug NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 19 26 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 20 1 My -PRON- PRP$ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 20 2 desire desire NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 20 3 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 20 4 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 20 5 communicate communicate VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 20 6 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 20 7 main main JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 20 8 points point NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 20 9 to to IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 20 10 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 20 11 wider wide JJR cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 20 12 audience audience NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 20 13 then then RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 20 14 just just RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 20 15 my -PRON- PRP$ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 20 16 fellow fellow JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 20 17 math math NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 20 18 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 20 19 modelers modeler NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 20 20 : : : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 20 21 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 20 22 particular particular JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 20 23 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 20 24 infectious infectious JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 20 25 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 20 26 disease disease NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 20 27 doctors doctor NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 20 28 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 20 29 public public JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 20 30 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 20 31 health health NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 20 32 officials official NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 20 33 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 20 34 who who WP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 20 35 are be VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 20 36 charged charge VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 20 37 with with IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 20 38 responding respond VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 20 39 to to IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 20 40 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 20 41 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 20 42 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 20 43 if if IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 20 44 possible possible JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 20 45 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 20 46 halting halt VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 20 47 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 20 48 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 20 49 future future JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 20 50 epidemic epidemic NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 20 51 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 20 52 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 20 53 deadly deadly JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 20 54 disease disease NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 20 55 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 21 1 So so RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 21 2 I -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 21 3 have have VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 21 4 chosen choose VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 21 5 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 21 6 relegate relegate VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 21 7 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 21 8 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 21 9 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 21 10 computational computational JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 21 11 details detail NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 21 12 to to IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 21 13 appendices appendix NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 21 14 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 21 15 which which WDT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 21 16 are be VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 21 17 meant mean VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 21 18 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 21 19 be be VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 21 20 accessible accessible JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 21 21 to to IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 21 22 anyone anyone NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 21 23 with with IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 21 24 some some DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 21 25 background background NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 21 26 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 21 27 math math NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 21 28 modeling modeling NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 21 29 or or CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 21 30 computer computer NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 21 31 science science NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 21 32 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 21 33 with with IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 21 34 no no DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 21 35 prerequisites prerequisite NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 21 36 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 21 37 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 22 1 I -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 22 2 also also RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 22 3 eschew eschew VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 22 4 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 22 5 usual usual JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 22 6 Introduction introduction NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 22 7 / / SYM cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 22 8 Methods method NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 22 9 / / SYM cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 22 10 Results Results NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 22 11 / / SYM cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 22 12 Discussion Discussion NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 22 13 format format NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 22 14 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 22 15 adopt adopt VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 22 16 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 22 17 form form NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 22 18 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 22 19 an an DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 22 20 essay essay NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 22 21 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 22 22 because because IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 22 23 I -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 22 24 believe believe VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 22 25 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 22 26 flow flow NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 22 27 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 22 28 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 22 29 argument argument NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 22 30 will will MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 22 31 be be VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 22 32 easier easy JJR cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 22 33 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 22 34 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 22 35 general general JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 22 36 reader reader NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 22 37 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 22 38 follow follow VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 22 39 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 23 1 To to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 23 2 begin begin VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 23 3 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 23 4 recall recall VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 23 5 SARS SARS NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 23 6 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 23 7 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 23 8 acronym acronym NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 23 9 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 23 10 " " `` cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 23 11 Severe severe JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 23 12 Acute acute JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 23 13 Respiratory Respiratory NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 23 14 Syndrome Syndrome NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 23 15 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 23 16 " " '' cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 23 17 an an DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 23 18 atypical atypical JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 23 19 form form NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 23 20 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 23 21 pneumonia pneumonia NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 23 22 caused cause VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 23 23 by by IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 23 24 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 23 25 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 23 26 that that WDT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 23 27 generated generate VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 23 28 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 23 29 gobal gobal JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 23 30 pandemic pandemic NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 23 31 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 23 32 2003 2003 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 23 33 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 24 1 The the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 24 2 large large JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 24 3 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 24 4 scale scale NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 24 5 spread spread NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 24 6 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 24 7 SARS SARS NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 24 8 began begin VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 24 9 on on IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 24 10 February February NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 24 11 21 21 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 24 12 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 24 13 that that DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 24 14 year year NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 24 15 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 24 16 when when WRB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 24 17 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 24 18 professor professor NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 24 19 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 24 20 medicine medicine NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 24 21 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 24 22 Guangdong Guangdong NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 24 23 Province Province NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 24 24 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 24 25 China China NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 24 26 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 24 27 who who WP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 24 28 had have VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 24 29 been be VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 24 30 treating treat VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 24 31 patients patient NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 24 32 with with IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 24 33 pneumonia pneumonia NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 24 34 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 24 35 traveled travel VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 24 36 to to IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 24 37 Hong Hong NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 24 38 Kong Kong NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 24 39 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 24 40 checked check VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 24 41 into into IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 24 42 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 24 43 Metropole Metropole NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 24 44 Hotel Hotel NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 24 45 downtown downtown NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 24 46 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 25 1 For for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 25 2 reasons reason NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 25 3 still still RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 25 4 unclear unclear JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 25 5 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 25 6 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 25 7 Professor Professor NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 25 8 passed pass VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 25 9 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 25 10 virus virus NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 25 11 on on IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 25 12 to to IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 25 13 about about RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 25 14 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 25 15 dozen dozen NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 25 16 persons person NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 25 17 staying stay VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 25 18 at at IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 25 19 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 25 20 hotel hotel NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 25 21 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 26 1 1 1 LS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 27 1 Then then RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 27 2 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 27 3 Professor Professor NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 27 4 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 27 5 feeling feel VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 27 6 unwell unwell JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 27 7 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 27 8 checked check VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 27 9 himself -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 27 10 into into IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 27 11 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 27 12 teaching teaching NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 27 13 hospital hospital NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 27 14 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 27 15 told tell VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 27 16 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 27 17 staff staff NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 27 18 that that IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 27 19 he -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 27 20 had have VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 27 21 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 27 22 dangerous dangerous JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 27 23 infectious infectious JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 27 24 disease disease NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 27 25 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 27 26 should should MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 27 27 be be VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 27 28 isolated isolate VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 27 29 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 27 30 which which WDT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 27 31 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 27 32 staff staff NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 27 33 accomplished accomplish VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 27 34 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 28 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 28 2 The the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 28 3 Professor Professor NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 28 4 died die VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 28 5 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 28 6 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 28 7 disease disease NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 28 8 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 28 9 hospital hospital NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 28 10 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 28 11 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 29 1 When when WRB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 29 2 another another DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 29 3 patient patient NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 29 4 from from IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 29 5 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 29 6 hotel hotel NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 29 7 cluster cluster NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 29 8 arrived arrive VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 29 9 at at IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 29 10 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 29 11 hospital hospital NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 29 12 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 29 13 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 29 14 staff staff NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 29 15 made make VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 29 16 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 29 17 medical medical JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 29 18 mistake mistake NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 29 19 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 29 20 administering administer VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 29 21 an an DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 29 22 expectorant expectorant JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 29 23 or or CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 29 24 performing perform VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 29 25 aspiration aspiration NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 29 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 29 27 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 29 28 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 29 29 subsequently subsequently RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 29 30 every every DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 29 31 doctor doctor NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 29 32 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 29 33 nurse nurse NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 29 34 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 29 35 medical medical JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 29 36 student student NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 29 37 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 29 38 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 29 39 orderly orderly JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 29 40 who who WP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 29 41 entered enter VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 29 42 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 29 43 room-50 room-50 NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 29 44 or or CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 29 45 more more RBR cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 29 46 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 29 47 developed develop VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 29 48 SARS SARS NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 29 49 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 30 1 This this DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 30 2 was be VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 30 3 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 30 4 first first JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 30 5 " " `` cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 30 6 superspreader superspreader NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 30 7 " " '' cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 30 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 30 9 SS SS NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 30 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 30 11 event event NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 30 12 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 30 13 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 30 14 epidemic epidemic NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 30 15 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 31 1 More More JJR cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 31 2 such such JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 31 3 events event NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 31 4 followed follow VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 31 5 : : : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 31 6 15 15 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 31 7 + + SYM cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 31 8 infected infect VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 31 9 on on IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 31 10 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 31 11 plane plane NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 31 12 to to IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 31 13 Beijing Beijing NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 31 14 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 31 15 37 37 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 31 16 at at IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 31 17 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 31 18 hospital hospital NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 31 19 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 31 20 Vietnam Vietnam NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 31 21 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 31 22 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 31 23 so so RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 31 24 forth forth RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 31 25 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 32 1 But but CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 32 2 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 32 3 godzilla godzilla NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 32 4 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 32 5 all all DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 32 6 known know VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 32 7 SS SS NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 32 8 events event NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 32 9 occurred occur VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 32 10 at at IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 32 11 an an DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 32 12 apartment apartment NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 32 13 complex complex NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 32 14 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 32 15 Hong Hong NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 32 16 Kong Kong NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 32 17 called call VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 32 18 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 32 19 Amoy Amoy NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 32 20 Gardens Gardens NNPS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 32 21 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 32 22 where where WRB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 32 23 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 32 24 sick sick JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 32 25 person person NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 32 26 visited visit VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 32 27 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 32 28 one one CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 32 29 night night NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 32 30 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 32 31 generated generate VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 32 32 300 300 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 32 33 + + CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 32 34 secondary secondary JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 32 35 cases case NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 32 36 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 33 1 2 2 LS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 34 1 Virologists Virologists NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 34 2 eventually eventually RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 34 3 traced trace VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 34 4 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 34 5 source source NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 34 6 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 34 7 SARS SARS NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 34 8 to to IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 34 9 bats bat NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 34 10 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 34 11 with with IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 34 12 an an DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 34 13 intermediate intermediate JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 34 14 host host NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 34 15 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 34 16 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 34 17 civet civet NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 34 18 cat cat NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 34 19 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 34 20 which which WDT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 34 21 was be VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 34 22 sold sell VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 34 23 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 34 24 live live JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 34 25 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 34 26 animal animal NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 34 27 markets market NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 34 28 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 34 29 Guangdong Guangdong NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 34 30 Province Province NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 34 31 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 35 1 The the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 35 2 final final JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 35 3 toll toll NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 35 4 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 35 5 November November NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 35 6 2002 2002 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 35 7 to to IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 35 8 July July NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 35 9 11 11 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 35 10 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 35 11 2003 2003 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 35 12 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 35 13 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 35 14 date date NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 35 15 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 35 16 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 35 17 last last JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 35 18 known know VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 35 19 case case NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 35 20 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 35 21 was be VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 35 22 : : : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 35 23 29 29 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 35 24 countries country NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 35 25 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 35 26 including include VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 35 27 Canada Canada NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 35 28 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 35 29 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 35 30 United United NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 35 31 States States NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 35 32 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 35 33 affected affect VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 35 34 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 35 35 8098 8098 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 35 36 cases case NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 35 37 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 35 38 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 35 39 774 774 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 35 40 deaths death NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 35 41 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 36 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 36 2 Thus thus RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 36 3 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 36 4 case case NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 36 5 mortality mortality NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 36 6 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 36 7 SARS SARS NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 36 8 was be VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 36 9 around around RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 36 10 10 10 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 36 11 percent percent NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 36 12 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 36 13 compare compare VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 36 14 to to IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 36 15 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 36 16 two two CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 36 17 percent percent NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 36 18 estimated estimate VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 36 19 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 36 20 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 36 21 1918 1918 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 36 22 flu flu NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 36 23 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 36 24 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 37 1 The the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 37 2 pandemic pandemic NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 37 3 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 37 4 thought think VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 37 5 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 37 6 have have VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 37 7 been be VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 37 8 brought bring VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 37 9 under under IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 37 10 control control NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 37 11 by by IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 37 12 introduction introduction NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 37 13 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 37 14 better well JJR cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 37 15 hospital hospital NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 37 16 procedures procedure NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 37 17 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 37 18 rapidly rapidly RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 37 19 isolating isolate VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 37 20 cases case NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 37 21 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 37 22 most most JJS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 37 23 clusters cluster NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 37 24 were be VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 37 25 " " `` cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 37 26 nosocomial nosocomial JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 37 27 " " '' cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 37 28 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 37 29 occurring occur VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 37 30 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 37 31 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 37 32 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 37 33 specific specific JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 37 34 to to IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 37 35 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 37 36 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 37 37 medical medical JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 37 38 setting setting NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 37 39 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 37 40 with with IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 37 41 few few JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 37 42 secondary secondary JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 37 43 clusters cluster NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 37 44 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 37 45 beyond beyond IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 37 46 those those DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 37 47 mentioned mention VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 37 48 above above RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 37 49 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 37 50 occurring occur VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 37 51 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 37 52 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 37 53 community community NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 37 54 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 38 1 As as IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 38 2 I -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 38 3 write write VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 38 4 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 38 5 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 38 6 new new JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 38 7 disease disease NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 38 8 caused cause VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 38 9 by by IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 38 10 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 38 11 different different JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 38 12 coronovirus coronovirus NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 38 13 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 38 14 called call VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 38 15 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 38 16 Middle Middle NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 38 17 East East NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 38 18 Respiratory Respiratory NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 38 19 Syndrome Syndrome NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 38 20 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 38 21 MERS MERS NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 38 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 38 23 virus virus NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 38 24 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 38 25 has have VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 38 26 appeared appear VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 38 27 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 38 28 generated generate VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 38 29 cases case NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 38 30 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 38 31 Saudi Saudi NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 38 32 Arabia Arabia NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 38 33 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 38 34 Jordan Jordan NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 38 35 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 38 36 Qatar Qatar NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 38 37 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 38 38 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 38 39 other other JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 38 40 countries country NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 38 41 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 38 42 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 38 43 Arabian Arabian NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 38 44 Penninsula Penninsula NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 38 45 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 38 46 at at IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 38 47 this this DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 38 48 time time NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 38 49 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 38 50 all all DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 38 51 cases case NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 38 52 outside outside IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 38 53 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 38 54 region region NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 38 55 have have VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 38 56 occurred occur VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 38 57 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 38 58 persons person NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 38 59 who who WP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 38 60 had have VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 38 61 recently recently RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 38 62 visited visit VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 38 63 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 38 64 Middle Middle NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 38 65 East East NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 38 66 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 38 67 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 39 1 A a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 39 2 steady steady JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 39 3 drumbeat drumbeat NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 39 4 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 39 5 sporadic sporadic JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 39 6 cases case NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 39 7 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 39 8 91 91 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 39 9 since since IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 39 10 September September NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 39 11 2012 2012 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 39 12 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 39 13 as as IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 39 14 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 39 15 25 25 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 39 16 July July NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 39 17 2013 2013 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 39 18 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 39 19 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 39 20 some some DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 39 21 generating generate VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 39 22 small small JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 39 23 SS SS NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 39 24 events event NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 39 25 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 39 26 mostly mostly RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 39 27 nosocomial nosocomial JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 39 28 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 39 29 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 39 30 have have VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 39 31 been be VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 39 32 reported report VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 39 33 to to IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 39 34 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 39 35 World World NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 39 36 Health Health NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 39 37 Agency Agency NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 39 38 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 39 39 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 39 40 can can MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 39 41 be be VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 39 42 followed follow VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 39 43 on on IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 39 44 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 39 45 listservice listservice NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 39 46 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 39 47 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 39 48 International International NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 39 49 Society Society NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 39 50 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 39 51 Infectious Infectious NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 39 52 Diseases Diseases NNPS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 39 53 called call VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 39 54 ProMed ProMed NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 39 55 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 39 56 mail mail NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 39 57 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 39 58 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 40 1 The the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 40 2 current current JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 40 3 estimate estimate NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 40 4 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 40 5 MERS MERS NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 40 6 case case NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 40 7 mortality mortality NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 40 8 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 40 9 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 40 10 frightening frightening JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 40 11 50 50 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 40 12 percent percent NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 40 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 40 14 but but CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 40 15 " " `` cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 40 16 case case NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 40 17 mortality mortality NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 40 18 " " '' cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 40 19 has have VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 40 20 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 40 21 denominator denominator NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 40 22 problem problem NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 40 23 : : : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 40 24 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 40 25 " " `` cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 40 26 cases case NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 40 27 " " '' cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 40 28 are be VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 40 29 hospitalized hospitalize VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 40 30 patients patient NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 40 31 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 40 32 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 40 33 we -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 40 34 do do VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 40 35 not not RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 40 36 as as RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 40 37 yet yet RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 40 38 know know VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 40 39 how how WRB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 40 40 many many JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 40 41 milder mild JJR cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 40 42 cases case NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 40 43 are be VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 40 44 occurring occur VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 40 45 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 40 46 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 40 47 community community NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 40 48 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 40 49 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 41 1 SARS SARS NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 41 2 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 41 3 MERS MERS NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 41 4 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 41 5 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 42 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 42 2 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 42 3 one one CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 42 4 theory theory NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 42 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 43 1 HIV HIV NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 43 2 3 3 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 43 3 all all DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 43 4 represent represent VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 43 5 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 43 6 different different JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 43 7 kind kind NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 43 8 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 43 9 epidemic epidemic NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 43 10 than than IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 43 11 usually usually RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 43 12 treated treat VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 43 13 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 43 14 textbooks textbook NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 43 15 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 43 16 particularly particularly RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 43 17 those those DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 43 18 that that WDT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 43 19 emphasize emphasize VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 43 20 modeling modeling NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 43 21 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 43 22 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 44 1 I -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 44 2 will will MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 44 3 refer refer VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 44 4 to to IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 44 5 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 44 6 " " `` cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 44 7 SuperSpreader SuperSpreader NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 44 8 epidemic epidemic NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 44 9 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 44 10 " " '' cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 44 11 SSe SSe NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 44 12 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 44 13 shorthand shorthand NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 44 14 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 45 1 Much much JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 45 2 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 45 3 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 45 4 conventional conventional JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 45 5 wisdom wisdom NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 45 6 about about IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 45 7 epidemics epidemic NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 45 8 does do VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 45 9 not not RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 45 10 apply apply VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 45 11 to to IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 45 12 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 45 13 SSe SSe NNPS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 45 14 case case NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 45 15 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 46 1 Next next RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 46 2 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 46 3 I -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 46 4 informally informally RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 46 5 describe describe VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 46 6 models model NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 46 7 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 46 8 an an DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 46 9 SSe SSe NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 46 10 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 46 11 leaving leave VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 46 12 details detail NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 46 13 about about IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 46 14 software software NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 46 15 implementation implementation NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 46 16 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 46 17 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 46 18 issues issue NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 46 19 to to IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 46 20 appendices appendix NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 46 21 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 47 1 The the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 47 2 approbathrooms approbathroom NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 47 3 had have VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 47 4 floor floor NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 47 5 drains drain NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 47 6 that that WDT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 47 7 were be VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 47 8 supposed suppose VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 47 9 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 47 10 be be VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 47 11 isolated isolate VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 47 12 by by IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 47 13 U u NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 47 14 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 47 15 traps trap NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 47 16 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 47 17 but but CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 47 18 these these DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 47 19 only only JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 47 20 function function VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 47 21 if if IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 47 22 filled fill VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 47 23 with with IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 47 24 water water NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 47 25 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 47 26 but but CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 47 27 no no DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 47 28 one one NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 47 29 had have VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 47 30 told tell VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 47 31 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 47 32 residents resident NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 47 33 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 47 34 regularly regularly RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 47 35 dump dump VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 47 36 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 47 37 gallon gallon NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 47 38 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 47 39 water water NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 47 40 on on IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 47 41 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 47 42 bathroom bathroom NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 47 43 floors floor NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 47 44 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 48 1 3 3 LS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 48 2 Studies study NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 48 3 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 48 4 transmission transmission NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 48 5 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 48 6 HIV HIV NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 48 7 between between IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 48 8 an an DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 48 9 infected infected JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 48 10 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 48 11 an an DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 48 12 uninfected uninfected JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 48 13 partner partner NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 48 14 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 48 15 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 48 16 long long JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 48 17 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 48 18 term term NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 48 19 relationship relationship NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 48 20 found find VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 48 21 very very RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 48 22 low low JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 48 23 transmission transmission NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 48 24 rates rate NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 48 25 ; ; , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 48 26 e.g. e.g. RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 48 27 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 48 28 one one CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 48 29 transmission transmission NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 48 30 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 48 31 1,000 1,000 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 48 32 unprotected unprotected JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 48 33 sex sex NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 48 34 acts act NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 48 35 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 1 This this DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 2 gave give VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 3 rise rise NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 4 to to IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 5 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 6 theory theory NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 7 that that IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 8 HIV HIV NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 9 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 10 an an DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 11 SS SS NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 12 epidemic epidemic NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 13 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 14 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 15 candidates candidate NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 16 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 17 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 18 superpreaders superpreader NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 19 are be VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 20 : : : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 21 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 22 a a LS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 23 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 24 persons person NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 25 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 26 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 27 primary primary JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 28 retroviral retroviral NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 29 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 30 infection infection NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 31 period period NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 32 that that WDT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 33 lasts last VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 34 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 35 few few JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 36 weeks week NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 37 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 38 who who WP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 39 have have VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 40 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 41 thousand thousand CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 42 times time NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 43 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 44 level level NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 45 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 46 virus virus NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 47 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 48 blood blood NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 49 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 50 semen semen NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 51 found find VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 52 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 53 chronically chronically RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 54 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 55 infected infect VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 56 patients patient NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 57 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 58 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 59 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 60 b b NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 61 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 62 cases case NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 63 like like IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 64 " " `` cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 65 patient patient JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 66 zero zero CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 67 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 68 " " '' cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 69 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 70 Canadian canadian JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 71 airline airline NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 72 attendant attendant NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 73 with with IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 74 an an DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 75 impressive impressive JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 76 Rolodex Rolodex NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 77 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 78 sexual sexual JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 79 partners partner NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 80 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 81 many many JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 82 cities city NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 83 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 84 described describe VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 85 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 86 ' ' `` cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 87 Randy Randy NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 88 Shilts Shilts NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 89 's 's POS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 90 1987 1987 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 91 book book NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 92 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 49 93 And and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 50 1 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 50 2 Band Band NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 50 3 Played play VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 50 4 On on RP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 50 5 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 51 1 priate priate JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 51 2 kind kind NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 51 3 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 51 4 model model NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 51 5 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 51 6 called call VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 51 7 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 51 8 " " `` cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 51 9 stochastic stochastic JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 51 10 multi multi JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 51 11 - - JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 51 12 type type JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 51 13 branching branching NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 51 14 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 51 15 process process NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 51 16 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 52 1 " " '' cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 53 1 The the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 53 2 adjective adjective JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 53 3 " " `` cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 53 4 stochastic stochastic JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 53 5 " " '' cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 53 6 refers refer VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 53 7 to to IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 53 8 random random JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 53 9 events event NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 53 10 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 53 11 as as IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 53 12 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 53 13 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 53 14 dice dice NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 53 15 game game NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 53 16 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 53 17 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 53 18 computer computer NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 53 19 terms term NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 53 20 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 53 21 when when WRB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 53 22 simulating simulate VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 53 23 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 53 24 model model NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 53 25 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 53 26 program program NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 53 27 makes make VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 53 28 calls call NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 53 29 on on IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 53 30 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 53 31 random random JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 53 32 number number NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 53 33 generator generator NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 53 34 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 53 35 abbreviated abbreviate VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 53 36 RNG rng NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 53 37 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 53 38 supplied supply VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 53 39 with with IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 53 40 your -PRON- PRP$ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 53 41 operating operating NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 53 42 system system NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 53 43 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 53 44 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 53 45 when when WRB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 53 46 making make VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 53 47 updates update NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 53 48 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 54 1 The the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 54 2 " " `` cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 54 3 branching branch VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 54 4 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 54 5 process process NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 54 6 " " '' cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 54 7 was be VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 54 8 introduced introduce VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 54 9 by by IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 54 10 mathematicians mathematician NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 54 11 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 54 12 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 54 13 1920s 1920s CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 54 14 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 54 15 describe describe VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 54 16 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 54 17 among among IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 54 18 other other JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 54 19 things thing NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 54 20 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 54 21 epidemics epidemic NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 54 22 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 55 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 55 2 Other other JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 55 3 applications application NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 55 4 include include VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 55 5 demographic demographic JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 55 6 population population NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 55 7 growth growth NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 55 8 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 55 9 nuclear nuclear JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 55 10 chain chain NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 55 11 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 55 12 reactions reaction NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 55 13 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 55 14 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 56 1 In in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 56 2 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 56 3 branching branch VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 56 4 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 56 5 process process NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 56 6 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 56 7 some some DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 56 8 entity entity NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 56 9 produces produce VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 56 10 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 56 11 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 56 12 random random JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 56 13 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 56 14 number number NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 56 15 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 56 16 " " `` cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 56 17 offspring offspring NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 56 18 " " '' cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 56 19 at at IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 56 20 some some DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 56 21 rate rate NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 56 22 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 56 23 not not RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 56 24 depending depend VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 56 25 on on IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 56 26 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 56 27 number number NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 56 28 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 56 29 other other JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 56 30 entities entity NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 56 31 existing exist VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 56 32 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 56 33 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 56 34 some some DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 56 35 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 56 36 also also RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 56 37 possibly possibly RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 56 38 random random JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 56 39 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 56 40 reproductive reproductive JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 56 41 period period NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 56 42 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 56 43 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 56 44 offspring offspring NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 56 45 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 56 46 which which WDT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 56 47 may may MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 56 48 be be VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 56 49 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 56 50 various various JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 56 51 types type NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 56 52 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 56 53 can can MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 56 54 generate generate VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 56 55 descendants descendant NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 56 56 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 56 57 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 56 58 similar similar JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 56 59 manner manner NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 56 60 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 57 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 57 2 The the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 57 3 particular particular JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 57 4 sort sort NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 57 5 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 57 6 branching branch VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 57 7 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 57 8 processes process NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 57 9 I -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 57 10 use use VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 57 11 may may MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 57 12 differ differ VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 57 13 from from IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 57 14 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 57 15 kind kind NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 57 16 described describe VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 57 17 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 57 18 math math NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 57 19 texts text NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 57 20 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 57 21 however however RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 57 22 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 57 23 see see VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 57 24 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 57 25 appendices appendix NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 57 26 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 57 27 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 57 28 details detail NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 57 29 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 57 30 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 58 1 Mathematical mathematical JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 58 2 biologists biologist NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 58 3 also also RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 58 4 introduced introduce VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 58 5 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 58 6 deterministic deterministic JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 58 7 model model NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 58 8 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 58 9 epidemics epidemic NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 58 10 dubbed dub VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 58 11 " " `` cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 58 12 SIR SIR NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 58 13 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 58 14 " " '' cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 58 15 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 58 16 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 58 17 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 58 18 infected infected JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 58 19 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 58 20 recovered recovered JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 58 21 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 58 22 appropriate appropriate JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 58 23 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 58 24 describe describe VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 58 25 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 58 26 measles measles NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 58 27 or or CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 58 28 influenza influenza NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 58 29 epidemic epidemic NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 58 30 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 59 1 Here here RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 59 2 I -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 59 3 am be VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 59 4 interested interested JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 59 5 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 59 6 interventions intervention NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 59 7 that that WDT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 59 8 bring bring VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 59 9 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 59 10 disease disease NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 59 11 to to IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 59 12 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 59 13 halt halt NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 59 14 before before IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 59 15 it -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 59 16 establishes establish VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 59 17 an an DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 59 18 epidemic epidemic NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 59 19 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 59 20 so so CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 59 21 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 59 22 susceptible susceptible JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 59 23 population population NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 59 24 can can MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 59 25 be be VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 59 26 regarded regard VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 59 27 as as IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 59 28 fixed fix VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 59 29 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 60 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 60 2 By by IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 60 3 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 60 4 time time NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 60 5 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 60 6 moderate moderate JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 60 7 fraction fraction NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 60 8 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 60 9 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 60 10 population population NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 60 11 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 60 12 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 60 13 major major JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 60 14 city city NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 60 15 or or CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 60 16 country country NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 60 17 had have VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 60 18 SARS SARS NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 60 19 or or CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 60 20 MERS MERS NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 60 21 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 60 22 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 60 23 pandemic pandemic NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 60 24 would would MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 60 25 long long RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 60 26 since since RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 60 27 have have VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 60 28 been be VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 60 29 declared declare VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 60 30 by by IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 60 31 WHO WHO NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 60 32 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 60 33 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 60 34 given give VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 60 35 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 60 36 modern modern JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 60 37 phenomenon phenomenon NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 60 38 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 60 39 " " `` cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 60 40 jet jet NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 60 41 spread spread NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 60 42 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 60 43 " " `` cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 60 44 airport airport NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 60 45 closures closure NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 60 46 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 60 47 international international JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 60 48 panic panic NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 60 49 would would MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 60 50 soon soon RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 60 51 follow follow VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 60 52 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 60 53 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 61 1 In in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 61 2 addition addition NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 61 3 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 61 4 as as IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 61 5 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 61 6 reader reader NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 61 7 will will MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 61 8 understand understand VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 61 9 from from IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 61 10 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 61 11 results result NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 61 12 described describe VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 61 13 below below RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 61 14 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 61 15 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 61 16 deterministic deterministic JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 61 17 model model NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 61 18 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 61 19 an an DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 61 20 SSe SSe NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 61 21 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 61 22 totally totally RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 61 23 inappropriate inappropriate JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 61 24 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 62 1 4 4 LS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 63 1 This this DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 63 2 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 63 3 true true JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 63 4 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 63 5 much much JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 63 6 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 63 7 biology biology NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 63 8 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 63 9 despite despite IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 63 10 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 63 11 widespread widespread JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 63 12 use use NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 63 13 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 63 14 deterministic deterministic JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 63 15 equations equation NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 63 16 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 63 17 called call VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 63 18 by by IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 63 19 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 63 20 ancient ancient JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 63 21 acronym acronym NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 63 22 " " `` cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 63 23 ODEs ode NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 63 24 " " '' cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 63 25 whose whose WP$ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 63 26 significance significance NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 63 27 nobody nobody NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 63 28 recalls recall VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 63 29 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 63 30 by by IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 63 31 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 63 32 biologists biologist NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 63 33 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 63 34 see see VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 63 35 my -PRON- PRP$ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 63 36 book book NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 63 37 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 63 38 [ [ -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 63 39 5 5 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 63 40 ] ] -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 63 41 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 64 1 Now now RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 64 2 we -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 64 3 come come VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 64 4 to to IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 64 5 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 64 6 famous famous JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 64 7 " " `` cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 64 8 R r NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 64 9 0 0 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 64 10 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 64 11 " " '' cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 64 12 also also RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 64 13 called call VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 64 14 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 64 15 basic basic JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 64 16 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 64 17 or or CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 64 18 mean mean VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 64 19 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 64 20 reproduc-4 reproduc-4 NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 64 21 Full full JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 64 22 disclosure disclosure NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 65 1 : : : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 65 2 In in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 65 3 March March NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 65 4 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 65 5 2003 2003 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 65 6 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 65 7 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 65 8 author author NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 65 9 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 65 10 two two CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 65 11 colleagues colleague NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 65 12 sent send VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 65 13 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 65 14 paper paper NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 65 15 to to IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 65 16 Science science NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 65 17 proposing propose VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 65 18 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 65 19 stochastic stochastic JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 65 20 branching branch VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 65 21 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 65 22 process process NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 65 23 model model NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 65 24 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 65 25 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 65 26 SARS SARS NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 65 27 epidemic epidemic NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 65 28 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 65 29 concluding conclude VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 65 30 that that IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 65 31 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 65 32 epidemic epidemic NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 65 33 could could MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 65 34 be be VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 65 35 controlled control VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 65 36 by by IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 65 37 rapid rapid JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 65 38 isolation isolation NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 65 39 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 65 40 infected infected JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 65 41 patients patient NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 65 42 if if IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 65 43 R r NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 65 44 0 0 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 65 45 was be VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 65 46 not not RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 65 47 too too RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 65 48 large large JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 65 49 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 66 1 Science Science NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 66 2 rejected reject VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 66 3 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 66 4 paper paper NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 66 5 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 66 6 with with IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 66 7 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 66 8 sole sole JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 66 9 reviewer reviewer NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 66 10 's 's POS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 66 11 comment comment NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 66 12 being being NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 66 13 : : : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 66 14 " " `` cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 66 15 The the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 66 16 model model NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 66 17 looks look VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 66 18 right right RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 66 19 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 66 20 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 66 21 conclusion conclusion NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 66 22 looks look VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 66 23 right right JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 66 24 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 66 25 but but CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 66 26 it -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 66 27 does do VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 66 28 n't not RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 66 29 penetrate penetrate VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 66 30 ! ! . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 66 31 " " '' cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 67 1 In in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 67 2 fact fact NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 67 3 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 67 4 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 67 5 outcome outcome NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 67 6 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 67 7 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 67 8 epidemic epidemic NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 67 9 was be VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 67 10 as as IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 67 11 we -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 67 12 predicted predict VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 67 13 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 68 1 Later later RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 68 2 that that DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 68 3 Spring Spring NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 68 4 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 68 5 Science Science NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 68 6 published publish VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 68 7 papers paper NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 68 8 from from IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 68 9 two two CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 68 10 modeling model VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 68 11 groups group NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 68 12 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 68 13 one one CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 68 14 used use VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 68 15 ODEs ode NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 68 16 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 68 17 [ [ -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 68 18 3 3 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 68 19 ] ] -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 68 20 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 68 21 which which WDT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 68 22 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 68 23 absurd absurd JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 68 24 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 68 25 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 68 26 another another DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 68 27 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 68 28 [ [ -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 68 29 4 4 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 68 30 ] ] -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 68 31 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 68 32 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 68 33 model model NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 68 34 like like IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 68 35 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 68 36 authors author NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 68 37 ' ' POS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 68 38 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 68 39 with with IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 68 40 similar similar JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 68 41 conclusions conclusion NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 68 42 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 69 1 The the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 69 2 latter latter JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 69 3 group group NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 69 4 had have VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 69 5 access access NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 69 6 to to IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 69 7 case case NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 69 8 incidence incidence NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 69 9 data datum NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 69 10 from from IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 69 11 Hong Hong NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 69 12 Kong Kong NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 69 13 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 69 14 which which WDT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 69 15 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 69 16 group group NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 69 17 lacked lack VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 69 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 69 19 we -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 69 20 derived derive VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 69 21 our -PRON- PRP$ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 69 22 model model NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 69 23 from from IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 69 24 published publish VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 69 25 accounts account NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 69 26 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 69 27 mostly mostly RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 69 28 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 69 29 newspapers newspaper NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 69 30 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 69 31 on on IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 69 32 WHO WHO NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 69 33 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 69 34 CDC CDC NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 69 35 websites website NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 69 36 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 69 37 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 70 1 Later later RBR cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 70 2 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 70 3 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 70 4 present present JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 70 5 author author NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 70 6 fit fit VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 70 7 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 70 8 stochastic stochastic JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 70 9 model model NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 70 10 to to IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 70 11 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 70 12 Hong Hong NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 70 13 Kong Kong NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 70 14 data datum NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 70 15 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 70 16 see see VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 70 17 [ [ -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 70 18 5 5 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 70 19 ] ] -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 70 20 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 70 21 Chapter chapter NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 70 22 6 6 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 70 23 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 70 24 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 70 25 order order NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 70 26 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 70 27 derive derive VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 70 28 disease disease NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 70 29 transmission transmission NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 70 30 parameters parameter NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 70 31 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 70 32 demonstrate demonstrate VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 70 33 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 70 34 new new JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 70 35 fitting fitting JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 70 36 technique technique NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 70 37 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 71 1 tive tive JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 71 2 number number NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 71 3 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 71 4 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 71 5 virus virus NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 71 6 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 71 7 which which WDT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 71 8 was be VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 71 9 historically historically RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 71 10 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 71 11 original original JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 71 12 " " `` cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 71 13 tipping tipping NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 71 14 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 71 15 point point NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 71 16 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 72 1 " " `` cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 72 2 It -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 72 3 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 72 4 defined define VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 72 5 as as IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 72 6 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 72 7 average average JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 72 8 number number NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 72 9 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 72 10 secondary secondary JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 72 11 cases case NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 72 12 caused cause VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 72 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 72 14 infected infect VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 72 15 directly directly RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 72 16 by by IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 72 17 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 72 18 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 72 19 primary primary JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 72 20 case case NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 72 21 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 72 22 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 72 23 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 72 24 absence absence NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 72 25 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 72 26 any any DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 72 27 treatment treatment NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 72 28 or or CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 72 29 intervention intervention NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 72 30 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 73 1 As as IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 73 2 we -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 73 3 will will MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 73 4 see see VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 73 5 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 73 6 that that DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 73 7 number number NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 73 8 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 73 9 secondary secondary JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 73 10 infections infection NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 73 11 should should MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 73 12 be be VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 73 13 thought think VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 73 14 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 73 15 as as IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 73 16 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 73 17 random random JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 73 18 variable variable NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 73 19 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 73 20 so so CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 73 21 it -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 73 22 has have VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 73 23 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 73 24 variance variance NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 73 25 as as RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 73 26 well well RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 73 27 as as IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 73 28 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 73 29 mean mean NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 73 30 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 73 31 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 73 32 uphold uphold VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 73 33 tradition tradition NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 73 34 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 73 35 I -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 73 36 denote denote VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 73 37 it -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 73 38 by by IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 73 39 V v NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 73 40 0 0 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 73 41 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 74 1 Now now RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 74 2 we -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 74 3 must must MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 74 4 carefully carefully RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 74 5 distinguish distinguish VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 74 6 two two CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 74 7 epidemic epidemic NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 74 8 scenarios scenario NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 74 9 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 74 10 which which WDT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 74 11 I -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 74 12 will will MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 74 13 call call VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 74 14 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 74 15 " " `` cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 74 16 uniform uniform NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 74 17 " " '' cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 74 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 74 19 or or CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 74 20 Poisson Poisson NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 74 21 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 74 22 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 74 23 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 74 24 SuperSpreader SuperSpreader NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 74 25 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 74 26 SS SS NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 74 27 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 74 28 epidemics epidemic NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 74 29 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 75 1 In in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 75 2 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 75 3 former former JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 75 4 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 75 5 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 75 6 number number NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 75 7 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 75 8 secondary secondary JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 75 9 cases case NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 75 10 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 75 11 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 75 12 primary primary JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 75 13 case case NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 75 14 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 75 15 assumed assume VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 75 16 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 75 17 this this DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 75 18 discussion discussion NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 75 19 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 75 20 have have VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 75 21 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 75 22 fixed fix VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 75 23 infectious infectious JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 75 24 period period NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 75 25 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 75 26 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 75 27 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 75 28 Poisson Poisson NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 75 29 random random JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 75 30 variable variable NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 75 31 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 75 32 which which WDT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 75 33 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 75 34 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 75 35 name name NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 75 36 given give VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 75 37 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 75 38 probability probability NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 75 39 theory theory NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 75 40 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 75 41 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 75 42 number number NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 75 43 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 75 44 events event NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 75 45 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 75 46 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 75 47 random random JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 75 48 but but CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 75 49 constant constant JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 75 50 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 75 51 rate rate NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 75 52 accrual accrual NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 75 53 process process NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 75 54 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 75 55 like like IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 75 56 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 75 57 number number NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 75 58 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 75 59 hits hit NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 75 60 inside inside IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 75 61 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 75 62 ring ring NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 75 63 by by IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 75 64 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 75 65 darts darts NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 75 66 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 75 67 player player NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 75 68 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 75 69 little little JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 75 70 skill skill NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 75 71 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 76 1 The the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 76 2 Poisson Poisson NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 76 3 random random JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 76 4 variable variable NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 76 5 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 76 6 characterized characterize VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 76 7 by by IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 76 8 V v NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 76 9 0 0 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 76 10 = = NFP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 77 1 R r NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 77 2 0 0 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 77 3 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 77 4 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 77 5 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 77 6 super super JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 77 7 - - JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 77 8 exponential exponential JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 77 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 77 10 fall fall VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 77 11 off off RP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 77 12 beyond beyond IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 77 13 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 77 14 mean mean NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 77 15 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 77 16 e.g. e.g. RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 77 17 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 77 18 if if IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 77 19 R r NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 77 20 0 0 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 77 21 = = SYM cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 77 22 2 2 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 77 23 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 77 24 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 77 25 probability probability NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 77 26 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 77 27 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 77 28 primary primary JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 77 29 case case NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 77 30 producing produce VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 77 31 10 10 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 77 32 secondary secondary JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 77 33 infections infection NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 77 34 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 77 35 infinitesimal infinitesimal JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 77 36 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 78 1 Models model NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 78 2 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 78 3 which which WDT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 78 4 such such JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 78 5 accruals accrual NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 78 6 have have VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 78 7 larger large JJR cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 78 8 variances variance NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 78 9 are be VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 78 10 said say VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 78 11 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 78 12 possess possess VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 78 13 " " `` cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 78 14 extra extra JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 78 15 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 78 16 Poisson poisson JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 78 17 variation variation NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 78 18 " " '' cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 78 19 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 78 20 EPV EPV NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 78 21 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 78 22 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 79 1 What what WP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 79 2 could could MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 79 3 be be VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 79 4 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 79 5 meaning meaning NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 79 6 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 79 7 this this DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 79 8 EPV EPV NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 79 9 ? ? . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 1 The the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 2 more more RBR cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 3 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 4 infectious infectious JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 5 case case NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 6 - - : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 7 I -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 8 will will MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 9 also also RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 10 refer refer VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 11 to to IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 12 this this DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 13 person person NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 14 as as IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 15 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 16 superspreader superspreader NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 17 - - : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 18 might may MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 19 have have VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 20 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 21 special special JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 22 biological biological JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 23 ability ability NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 24 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 25 spread spread VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 26 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 27 infection infection NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 28 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 29 perhaps perhaps RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 30 through through IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 31 vomiting vomiting NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 32 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 33 diarrhea diarrhea NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 34 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 35 or or CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 36 just just RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 37 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 38 deep deep JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 39 cough cough NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 40 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 41 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 42 or or CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 43 might may MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 44 be be VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 45 situated situate VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 46 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 47 some some DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 48 place place NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 49 that that WDT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 50 facilitates facilitate VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 51 transmission transmission NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 52 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 53 e.g. e.g. RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 54 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 55 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 56 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 57 crowded crowded JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 58 ICU ICU NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 59 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 60 but but CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 61 not not RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 62 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 63 isolation isolation NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 64 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 65 on on IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 66 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 67 plane plane NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 68 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 69 or or CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 70 visiting visit VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 71 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 72 Amoy Amoy NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 73 Gardens Gardens NNPS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 74 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 80 75 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 81 1 The the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 81 2 simplest simple JJS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 81 3 example example NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 81 4 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 81 5 that that IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 81 6 I -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 81 7 use use VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 81 8 throughout throughout IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 81 9 this this DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 81 10 paper paper NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 81 11 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 81 12 illustrations illustration NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 81 13 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 81 14 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 81 15 an an DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 81 16 epidemic epidemic NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 81 17 model model NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 81 18 with with IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 81 19 two two CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 81 20 types type NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 81 21 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 81 22 infected infected JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 81 23 persons person NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 81 24 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 81 25 each each DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 81 26 making make VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 81 27 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 81 28 Poissondistributed poissondistributed JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 81 29 number number NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 81 30 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 81 31 secondary secondary JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 81 32 cases case NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 81 33 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 1 The the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 2 person person NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 3 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 4 type type NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 5 one one NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 6 has have VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 7 an an DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 8 average average JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 9 number number NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 10 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 11 secondary secondary JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 12 cases case NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 13 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 14 R R NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 15 l l NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 16 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 17 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 18 subscript subscript NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 19 meaning mean VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 20 lower low JJR cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 21 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 22 value value NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 23 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 24 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 25 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 26 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 27 type type NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 28 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 29 two two CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 30 person person NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 31 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 32 R r NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 33 h h NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 34 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 35 high high JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 36 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 37 level level NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 38 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 39 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 40 these these DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 41 occur occur VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 42 with with IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 43 probabilities probability NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 44 p p NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 45 l l NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 46 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 47 p p NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 48 h h NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 49 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 50 so so CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 51 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 52 population population NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 53 average average NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 54 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 55 : : : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 56 For for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 57 instance instance NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 58 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 59 suppose suppose VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 60 R r NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 61 l l NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 62 = = NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 63 0.7 0.7 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 64 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 65 R r NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 66 h h NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 67 = = SYM cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 68 30.0 30.0 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 69 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 70 with with IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 71 p p NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 72 l l NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 73 = = NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 74 0.9556 0.9556 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 75 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 76 p p NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 77 h h NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 78 = = SYM cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 79 0.04437 0.04437 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 80 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 81 then then RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 82 R r NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 83 0 0 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 82 84 = = NFP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 83 1 2.0 2.0 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 83 2 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 83 3 while while IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 83 4 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 83 5 easy easy JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 83 6 computation computation NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 83 7 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 83 8 V v NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 83 9 0 0 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 83 10 = = SYM cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 83 11 38.4 38.4 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 83 12 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 84 1 Mathematicians mathematician NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 84 2 proved prove VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 84 3 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 84 4 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 84 5 1920s 1920s CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 84 6 that that IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 84 7 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 84 8 branching branch VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 84 9 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 84 10 process process NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 84 11 with with IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 84 12 R r NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 84 13 0 0 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 84 14 > > SYM cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 84 15 1 1 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 84 16 can can MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 84 17 grow grow VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 84 18 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 84 19 while while IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 84 20 one one CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 84 21 with with IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 84 22 R r NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 84 23 0 0 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 84 24 ≤ ≤ NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 84 25 1 1 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 84 26 eventually eventually RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 84 27 dies die VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 84 28 out out RP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 84 29 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 85 1 But but CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 85 2 it -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 85 3 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 85 4 often often RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 85 5 overlooked overlook VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 85 6 that that IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 85 7 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 85 8 branching branch VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 85 9 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 85 10 process process NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 85 11 with with IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 85 12 R r NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 85 13 0 0 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 85 14 > > SYM cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 85 15 1 1 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 85 16 can can MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 85 17 nevertheless nevertheless RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 85 18 go go VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 85 19 extinct extinct JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 85 20 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 86 1 The the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 86 2 outcome outcome NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 86 3 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 86 4 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 86 5 branching branch VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 86 6 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 86 7 process process NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 86 8 with with IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 86 9 R r NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 86 10 0 0 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 86 11 > > SYM cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 86 12 1 1 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 86 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 86 14 mathematicians mathematician NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 86 15 use use VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 86 16 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 86 17 phrase phrase NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 86 18 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 86 19 " " `` cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 86 20 supercritical supercritical JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 86 21 " " '' cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 86 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 86 23 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 86 24 dichotomous dichotomous JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 86 25 : : : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 86 26 either either CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 86 27 heading head VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 86 28 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 86 29 infinity infinity NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 86 30 or or CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 86 31 destined destine VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 86 32 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 86 33 die die VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 86 34 out out RP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 86 35 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 86 36 with with IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 86 37 certain certain JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 86 38 probabilities probability NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 86 39 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 87 1 For for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 87 2 instance instance NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 87 3 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 87 4 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 87 5 process process NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 87 6 with with IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 87 7 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 87 8 R r NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 87 9 's 's POS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 87 10 above above JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 87 11 plus plus CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 87 12 assumptions assumption NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 87 13 about about IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 87 14 incubation incubation NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 87 15 periods period NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 87 16 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 87 17 infectious infectious JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 87 18 periods period NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 87 19 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 87 20 etc etc FW cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 87 21 . . FW cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 87 22 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 87 23 resulting result VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 87 24 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 87 25 various various JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 87 26 models model NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 87 27 ; ; , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 87 28 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 87 29 see see VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 87 30 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 87 31 appendices appendix NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 87 32 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 87 33 will will MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 87 34 disappear disappear VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 87 35 eventually eventually RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 87 36 with with IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 87 37 probability probability NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 87 38 p p NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 87 39 e e NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 87 40 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 87 41 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 87 42 range range NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 87 43 0.88 0.88 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 87 44 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 87 45 0.91 0.91 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 87 46 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 88 1 For for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 88 2 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 88 3 uniform uniform JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 88 4 case case NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 88 5 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 88 6 R r NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 88 7 l l NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 88 8 = = NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 88 9 R r NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 88 10 h h NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 88 11 = = SYM cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 88 12 2.0 2.0 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 88 13 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 88 14 p p NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 88 15 e e NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 88 16 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 88 17 about about RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 88 18 0.2 0.2 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 88 19 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 89 1 As as IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 89 2 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 89 3 rule rule NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 89 4 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 89 5 p p NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 89 6 e e NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 89 7 increases increase NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 89 8 with with IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 89 9 increasing increase VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 89 10 V v NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 89 11 0 0 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 89 12 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 89 13 fixed fix VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 89 14 R r NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 89 15 0 0 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 89 16 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 90 1 This this DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 90 2 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 90 3 easy easy JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 90 4 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 90 5 understand understand VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 90 6 : : : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 90 7 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 90 8 most most RBS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 90 9 probable probable JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 90 10 " " `` cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 90 11 index index NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 90 12 " " '' cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 90 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 90 14 epidemiology epidemiology NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 90 15 jargon jargon NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 90 16 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 90 17 initial initial JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 90 18 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 90 19 case case NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 90 20 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 90 21 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 90 22 low low JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 90 23 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 90 24 infectivity infectivity NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 90 25 patient patient NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 90 26 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 90 27 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 90 28 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 90 29 although although IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 90 30 one one CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 90 31 or or CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 90 32 more more JJR cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 90 33 secondary secondary JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 90 34 cases case NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 90 35 might may MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 90 36 follow follow VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 90 37 while while IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 90 38 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 90 39 patient patient NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 90 40 remains remain VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 90 41 infectious infectious JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 90 42 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 90 43 even even RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 90 44 if if IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 90 45 R r NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 90 46 l l NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 90 47 < < XX cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 90 48 1 1 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 90 49 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 90 50 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 90 51 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 90 52 infection infection NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 90 53 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 90 54 chain chain NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 90 55 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 90 56 likely likely JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 90 57 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 90 58 die die VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 90 59 out out RP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 90 60 unless unless IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 90 61 preserved preserve VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 90 62 by by IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 90 63 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 90 64 appearance appearance NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 90 65 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 90 66 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 90 67 superspreader superspreader NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 90 68 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 91 1 See see VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 91 2 Table table NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 91 3 1 1 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 91 4 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 91 5 some some DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 91 6 illustrative illustrative JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 91 7 examples example NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 91 8 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 92 1 The the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 92 2 simulation simulation NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 92 3 technique technique NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 92 4 I -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 92 5 used use VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 92 6 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 92 7 described describe VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 92 8 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 92 9 appendix appendix NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 92 10 one one CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 92 11 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 92 12 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 92 13 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 92 14 parameters parameter NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 92 15 are be VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 92 16 listed list VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 92 17 there there RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 92 18 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 92 19 Table Table NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 92 20 A A NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 92 21 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 93 1 I -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 93 2 also also RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 93 3 included include VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 93 4 results result NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 93 5 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 93 6 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 93 7 table table NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 93 8 from from IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 93 9 an an DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 93 10 exactly exactly RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 93 11 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 93 12 solvable solvable JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 93 13 model model NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 93 14 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 93 15 meaning mean VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 93 16 explicit explicit JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 93 17 formulas formula NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 93 18 exist exist VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 93 19 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 93 20 extinction extinction NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 93 21 probabilities probability NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 93 22 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 93 23 see see VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 93 24 appendix appendix NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 93 25 two two CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 93 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 93 27 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 93 28 called call VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 93 29 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 93 30 Markov Markov NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 93 31 case case NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 93 32 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 94 1 I -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 94 2 included include VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 94 3 it -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 94 4 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 94 5 satisfy satisfy VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 94 6 mathematicians mathematician NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 94 7 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 94 8 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 94 9 check check VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 94 10 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 94 11 software software NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 94 12 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 94 13 by by IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 94 14 comparing compare VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 94 15 probabilities probability NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 94 16 from from IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 94 17 repeated repeat VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 94 18 simulations simulation NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 94 19 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 94 20 exact exact VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 94 21 answers answer NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 94 22 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 94 23 but but CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 94 24 it -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 94 25 has have VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 94 26 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 94 27 feature feature NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 94 28 that that WDT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 94 29 renders render VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 94 30 it -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 94 31 dubious dubious JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 94 32 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 94 33 use use NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 94 34 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 94 35 biology biology NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 94 36 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 95 1 The the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 95 2 Markov Markov NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 95 3 case case NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 95 4 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 95 5 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 95 6 model model NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 95 7 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 95 8 which which WDT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 95 9 all all DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 95 10 waiting wait VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 95 11 times time NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 95 12 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 95 13 times time NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 95 14 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 95 15 end end VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 95 16 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 95 17 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 95 18 incubation incubation NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 95 19 period period NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 95 20 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 95 21 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 95 22 end end VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 95 23 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 95 24 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 95 25 infectious infectious JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 95 26 period period NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 95 27 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 95 28 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 95 29 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 95 30 generate generate VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 95 31 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 95 32 next next JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 95 33 secondary secondary JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 95 34 case case NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 95 35 - - : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 95 36 have have VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 95 37 exponential exponential JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 95 38 distributions distribution NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 95 39 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 95 40 see see VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 95 41 appendix appendix NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 95 42 two two CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 95 43 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 95 44 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 95 45 explanation explanation NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 95 46 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 95 47 why why WRB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 95 48 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 95 49 famous famous JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 95 50 " " `` cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 95 51 Markov Markov NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 95 52 property property NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 95 53 " " `` cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 95 54 requires require VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 95 55 exponential exponential JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 95 56 distributions distribution NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 95 57 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 95 58 all all DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 95 59 waiting wait VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 95 60 times time NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 95 61 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 95 62 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 96 1 But but CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 96 2 only only RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 96 3 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 96 4 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 96 5 last last JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 96 6 mentioned mention VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 96 7 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 96 8 this this DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 96 9 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 96 10 realistic realistic JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 96 11 choice choice NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 96 12 : : : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 96 13 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 96 14 exponential exponential JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 96 15 law law NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 96 16 was be VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 96 17 derived derive VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 96 18 from from IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 96 19 physics physics NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 96 20 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 96 21 where where WRB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 96 22 it -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 96 23 represents represent VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 96 24 radioactive radioactive JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 96 25 decay decay NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 96 26 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 96 27 but but CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 96 28 people people NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 96 29 are be VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 96 30 not not RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 96 31 atoms atom NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 96 32 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 97 1 For for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 97 2 applications application NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 97 3 I -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 97 4 assumed assume VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 97 5 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 97 6 pending pende VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 97 7 more more JJR cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 97 8 data datum NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 97 9 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 97 10 normal normal JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 97 11 distributions distribution NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 97 12 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 97 13 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 97 14 incubation incubation NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 97 15 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 97 16 infectious infectious JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 97 17 periods period NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 97 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 97 19 conditional conditional JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 97 20 on on IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 97 21 non non JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 97 22 - - JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 97 23 negativity negativity JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 97 24 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 97 25 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 97 26 course course NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 97 27 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 97 28 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 98 1 For for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 98 2 these these DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 98 3 models model NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 98 4 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 98 5 simulation simulation NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 98 6 must must MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 98 7 be be VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 98 8 used use VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 98 9 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 98 10 compute compute VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 98 11 probabilities probability NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 98 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 98 13 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 98 14 reasons reason NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 98 15 spelled spell VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 98 16 out out RP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 98 17 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 98 18 appendix appendix NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 98 19 two two CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 98 20 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 98 21 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 99 1 So so RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 99 2 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 99 3 last last JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 99 4 column column NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 99 5 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 99 6 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 99 7 Table Table NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 99 8 represents represent VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 99 9 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 99 10 biologically biologically RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 99 11 more more RBR cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 99 12 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 99 13 realistic realistic JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 99 14 case case NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 99 15 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 100 1 The the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 100 2 reason reason NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 100 3 that that IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 100 4 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 100 5 entries entry NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 100 6 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 100 7 this this DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 100 8 column column NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 100 9 are be VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 100 10 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 100 11 smallest small JJS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 100 12 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 100 13 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 100 14 rows row NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 100 15 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 100 16 that that IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 100 17 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 100 18 Markov Markov NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 100 19 case case NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 100 20 has have VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 100 21 more more JJR cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 100 22 EPV EPV NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 100 23 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 100 24 see see VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 100 25 appendix appendix NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 100 26 two two CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 100 27 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 101 1 Next next JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 101 2 consider consider VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 101 3 MERS MERS NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 101 4 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 101 5 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 101 6 which which WDT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 101 7 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 101 8 as as IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 101 9 I -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 101 10 write write VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 101 11 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 101 12 another another DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 101 13 sporadic sporadic JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 101 14 case case NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 101 15 apparently apparently RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 101 16 shows show VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 101 17 up up RP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 101 18 on on IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 101 19 average average JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 101 20 every every DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 101 21 three three CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 101 22 days day NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 101 23 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 102 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 102 2 A a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 102 3 " " `` cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 102 4 case case NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 102 5 " " '' cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 102 6 means mean VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 102 7 laboratoryconfirmed laboratoryconfirme VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 102 8 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 102 9 hospital hospital NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 102 10 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 102 11 which which WDT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 102 12 may may MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 102 13 represent represent VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 102 14 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 102 15 very very RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 102 16 sick sick JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 102 17 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 102 18 potential potential JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 102 19 superspreaders superspreader NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 102 20 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 102 21 there there EX cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 102 22 are be VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 102 23 probably probably RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 102 24 more more JJR cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 102 25 cases case NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 102 26 appearing appear VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 102 27 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 102 28 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 102 29 community community NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 102 30 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 102 31 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 103 1 Let let VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 103 2 " " `` cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 103 3 Sp Sp NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 103 4 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 103 5 int int NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 103 6 " " '' cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 103 7 stand stand NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 103 8 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 103 9 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 103 10 average average JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 103 11 interval interval NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 103 12 between between IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 103 13 appearances appearance NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 103 14 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 103 15 sporadic sporadic JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 103 16 infections infection NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 103 17 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 104 1 Sp Sp NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 104 2 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 104 3 int int NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 104 4 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 104 5 hard hard JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 104 6 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 104 7 estimate estimate VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 104 8 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 104 9 because because IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 104 10 it -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 104 11 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 104 12 difficult difficult JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 104 13 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 104 14 distinguish distinguish VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 104 15 sporadic sporadic JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 104 16 from from IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 104 17 secondary secondary JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 104 18 cases case NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 104 19 ; ; , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 104 20 e.g. e.g. RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 104 21 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 104 22 if if IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 104 23 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 104 24 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 104 25 family family NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 104 26 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 104 27 father father NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 104 28 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 104 29 two two CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 104 30 children child NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 104 31 become become VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 104 32 infected infected JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 104 33 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 104 34 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 104 35 father father NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 104 36 becomes become VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 104 37 ill ill RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 104 38 first first JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 104 39 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 104 40 should should MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 104 41 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 104 42 children child NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 104 43 be be VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 104 44 counted count VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 104 45 as as IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 104 46 secondary secondary JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 104 47 cases case NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 104 48 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 104 49 or or CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 104 50 were be VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 104 51 they -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 104 52 exposed expose VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 104 53 to to IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 104 54 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 104 55 same same JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 104 56 external external JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 104 57 source source NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 104 58 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 104 59 virus virus NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 104 60 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 104 61 so so RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 104 62 additional additional JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 104 63 sporadic sporadic JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 104 64 cases case NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 104 65 ? ? . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 105 1 Thus thus RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 105 2 Sp Sp NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 105 3 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 105 4 int int NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 105 5 might may MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 105 6 be be VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 105 7 considerably considerably RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 105 8 larger large JJR cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 105 9 than than IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 105 10 three three CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 105 11 days day NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 105 12 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 106 1 The the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 106 2 law law NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 106 3 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 106 4 first first JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 106 5 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 106 6 time time NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 106 7 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 106 8 to to IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 106 9 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 106 10 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 106 11 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 106 12 Bernoulli bernoulli NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 106 13 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 106 14 event event NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 106 15 gives give VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 106 16 : : : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 106 17 E.g. e.g. IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 106 18 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 106 19 if if IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 106 20 p p NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 106 21 e e NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 106 22 = = NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 106 23 0.98 0.98 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 106 24 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 106 25 Sp Sp NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 106 26 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 106 27 int int NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 106 28 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 106 29 3 3 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 106 30 days day NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 106 31 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 106 32 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 106 33 mean mean JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 106 34 initiation initiation NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 106 35 time time NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 106 36 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 106 37 150 150 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 106 38 days day NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 106 39 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 106 40 but but CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 106 41 it -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 106 42 could could MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 106 43 be be VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 106 44 much much RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 106 45 longer long RBR cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 106 46 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 106 47 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 107 1 Because because IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 107 2 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 107 3 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 107 4 dichotomy dichotomy NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 107 5 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 107 6 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 107 7 tendency tendency NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 107 8 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 107 9 most most JJS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 107 10 infection infection NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 107 11 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 107 12 chains chain NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 107 13 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 107 14 go go VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 107 15 extinct extinct JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 107 16 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 107 17 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 107 18 SSe SSe NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 107 19 with with IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 107 20 large large JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 107 21 EPV epv NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 107 22 seeded seed VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 107 23 by by IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 107 24 sporadic sporadic JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 107 25 cases case NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 107 26 can can MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 107 27 be be VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 107 28 very very RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 107 29 surprising surprising JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 107 30 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 108 1 For for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 108 2 instance instance NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 108 3 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 108 4 Figure figure NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 108 5 1 1 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 108 6 shows show VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 108 7 an an DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 108 8 epidemic epidemic NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 108 9 with with IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 108 10 R R NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 108 11 's 's POS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 108 12 as as IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 108 13 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 108 14 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 108 15 example example NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 108 16 above above RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 108 17 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 108 18 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 108 19 several several JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 108 20 months month NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 108 21 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 108 22 epidemic epidemic NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 108 23 seems seem VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 108 24 indolent indolent JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 108 25 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 108 26 then then RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 108 27 around around IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 108 28 70 70 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 108 29 days day NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 108 30 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 108 31 it -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 108 32 takes take VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 108 33 off off RP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 108 34 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 109 1 Figure figure NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 109 2 2 2 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 109 3 shows show VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 109 4 another another DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 109 5 epidemic epidemic NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 109 6 with with IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 109 7 parameters parameter NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 109 8 from from IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 109 9 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 109 10 last last JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 109 11 row row NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 109 12 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 109 13 most most RBS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 109 14 extreme extreme JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 109 15 case case NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 109 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 109 17 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 109 18 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 109 19 Table table NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 109 20 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 109 21 nothing nothing NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 109 22 exciting exciting JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 109 23 happens happen VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 109 24 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 109 25 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 109 26 year year NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 109 27 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 109 28 which which WDT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 109 29 might may MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 109 30 cause cause VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 109 31 premature premature JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 109 32 optimism optimism NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 109 33 among among IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 109 34 public public JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 109 35 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 109 36 health health NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 109 37 officials official NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 109 38 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 109 39 then then RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 109 40 comes come VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 109 41 disaster disaster NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 109 42 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 110 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 110 2 Rerunning rerun VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 110 3 with with IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 110 4 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 110 5 same same JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 110 6 parameters parameter NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 110 7 but but CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 110 8 different different JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 110 9 " " `` cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 110 10 seeds seed NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 110 11 " " '' cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 110 12 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 110 13 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 110 14 RNG rng NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 110 15 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 110 16 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 110 17 timing timing NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 110 18 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 110 19 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 110 20 pandemic pandemic NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 110 21 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 110 22 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 110 23 figures figure NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 110 24 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 110 25 highly highly RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 110 26 variable variable JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 110 27 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 110 28 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 111 1 Note note VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 111 2 that that IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 111 3 no no DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 111 4 spontaneous spontaneous JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 111 5 modifications modification NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 111 6 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 111 7 genetic genetic JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 111 8 or or CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 111 9 otherwise otherwise RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 111 10 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 111 11 are be VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 111 12 assumed assume VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 111 13 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 111 14 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 111 15 virus virus NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 111 16 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 111 17 these these DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 111 18 simulations simulation NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 111 19 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 111 20 disease disease NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 111 21 parameters parameter NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 111 22 are be VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 111 23 fixed fix VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 111 24 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 112 1 The the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 112 2 patterns pattern NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 112 3 are be VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 112 4 entirely entirely RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 112 5 due due JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 112 6 to to IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 112 7 EPV EPV NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 112 8 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 112 9 chance chance VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 112 10 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 113 1 Now now RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 113 2 to to IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 113 3 interventions intervention NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 113 4 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 114 1 Neither neither DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 114 2 vaccines vaccine NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 114 3 nor nor CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 114 4 therapeutic therapeutic JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 114 5 drugs drug NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 114 6 currently currently RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 114 7 exist exist VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 114 8 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 114 9 human human JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 114 10 coronaviruses coronaviruse NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 114 11 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 114 12 considering consider VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 114 13 that that IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 114 14 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 114 15 SARS SARS NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 114 16 virus virus NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 114 17 has have VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 114 18 disappeared disappear VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 114 19 while while IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 114 20 MERS MERS NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 114 21 remains remain VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 114 22 contained contain VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 114 23 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 114 24 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 114 25 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 114 26 enormous enormous JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 114 27 cost cost NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 114 28 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 114 29 developing develop VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 114 30 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 114 31 testing testing NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 114 32 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 114 33 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 114 34 licensing license VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 114 35 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 114 36 new new JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 114 37 vaccine vaccine NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 114 38 or or CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 114 39 drug drug NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 114 40 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 114 41 this this DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 114 42 unfortunate unfortunate JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 114 43 situation situation NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 114 44 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 114 45 likely likely JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 114 46 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 114 47 persist persist VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 114 48 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 115 1 Therefore therefore RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 115 2 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 115 3 let let VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 115 4 us -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 115 5 explore explore VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 115 6 other other JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 115 7 interventions intervention NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 115 8 that that WDT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 115 9 could could MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 115 10 prevent prevent VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 115 11 an an DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 115 12 SSe SSe NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 115 13 pandemic pandemic NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 115 14 by by IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 115 15 these these DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 115 16 viruses virus NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 115 17 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 116 1 The the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 116 2 interventions intervention NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 116 3 are be VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 116 4 restricted restrict VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 116 5 to to IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 116 6 isolation isolation NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 116 7 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 116 8 cases case NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 116 9 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 116 10 preventing prevent VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 116 11 some some DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 116 12 secondary secondary JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 116 13 infections infection NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 116 14 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 117 1 The the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 117 2 intervention intervention NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 117 3 might may MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 117 4 be be VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 117 5 primary primary JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 117 6 : : : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 117 7 rapidly rapidly RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 117 8 isolating isolate VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 117 9 an an DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 117 10 infected infected JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 117 11 patient patient NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 117 12 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 117 13 hospital hospital NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 117 14 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 117 15 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 117 16 negativepressure negativepressure JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 117 17 room room NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 117 18 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 117 19 requiring require VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 117 20 all all DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 117 21 attendant attendant JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 117 22 personel personel NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 117 23 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 117 24 wear wear VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 117 25 gowns gown NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 117 26 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 117 27 P99 P99 NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 117 28 masks mask NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 117 29 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 117 30 hopefully hopefully RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 117 31 decreasing decrease VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 117 32 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 117 33 patient patient NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 117 34 's 's POS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 117 35 infectious infectious JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 117 36 period period NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 117 37 ; ; , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 117 38 or or CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 117 39 secondary secondary JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 117 40 : : : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 117 41 tracing trace VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 117 42 contacts contact NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 117 43 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 117 44 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 117 45 primary primary JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 117 46 case case NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 117 47 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 117 48 getting get VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 117 49 as as RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 117 50 many many JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 117 51 as as IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 117 52 possible possible JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 117 53 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 117 54 go go VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 117 55 into into IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 117 56 isolation isolation NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 117 57 at at IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 117 58 home home NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 117 59 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 117 60 thus thus RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 117 61 diminishing diminish VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 117 62 secondary secondary JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 117 63 infections infection NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 117 64 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 118 1 The the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 118 2 secondary secondary JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 118 3 intervention intervention NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 118 4 has have VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 118 5 one one CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 118 6 advantage advantage NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 118 7 over over IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 118 8 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 118 9 primary primary NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 118 10 : : : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 118 11 it -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 118 12 can can MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 118 13 be be VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 118 14 instigated instigate VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 118 15 even even RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 118 16 if if IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 118 17 laboratory laboratory NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 118 18 tests test NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 118 19 are be VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 118 20 delayed delay VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 118 21 beyond beyond IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 118 22 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 118 23 lifetime lifetime NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 118 24 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 118 25 or or CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 118 26 infectious infectious JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 118 27 period period NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 118 28 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 118 29 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 118 30 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 118 31 patient patient NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 118 32 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 118 33 which which WDT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 118 34 may may MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 118 35 be be VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 118 36 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 118 37 consideration consideration NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 118 38 early early RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 118 39 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 118 40 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 118 41 epidemic epidemic NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 118 42 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 119 1 Both both DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 119 2 interventions intervention NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 119 3 have have VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 119 4 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 119 5 same same JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 119 6 effect effect NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 119 7 : : : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 119 8 decreasing decrease VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 119 9 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 119 10 effective effective JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 119 11 " " `` cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 119 12 R r NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 119 13 " " '' cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 119 14 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 119 15 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 119 16 patient patient NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 119 17 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 120 1 An an DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 120 2 interesting interesting JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 120 3 special special JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 120 4 case case NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 120 5 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 120 6 which which WDT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 120 7 I -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 120 8 will will MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 120 9 refer refer VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 120 10 to to IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 120 11 as as IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 120 12 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 120 13 " " `` cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 120 14 SS SS NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 120 15 intervention intervention NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 120 16 " " '' cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 120 17 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 120 18 SSi SSi NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 120 19 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 120 20 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 120 21 limits limit VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 120 22 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 120 23 intervention intervention NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 120 24 to to IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 120 25 high high JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 120 26 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 120 27 infectivity infectivity NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 120 28 cases case NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 120 29 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 121 1 Possible possible JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 121 2 scenarios scenario NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 121 3 where where WRB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 121 4 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 121 5 SSi SSi NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 121 6 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 121 7 effective effective JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 121 8 might may MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 121 9 include include VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 121 10 : : : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 121 11 SS SS NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 121 12 patients patient NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 121 13 are be VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 121 14 sicker sick JJR cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 121 15 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 121 16 usually usually RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 121 17 hospitalized hospitalize VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 121 18 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 121 19 while while IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 121 20 low low JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 121 21 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 121 22 infectivity infectivity NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 121 23 cases case NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 121 24 remain remain VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 121 25 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 121 26 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 121 27 community community NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 121 28 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 121 29 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 121 30 where where WRB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 121 31 SS SS NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 121 32 patients patient NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 121 33 can can MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 121 34 be be VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 121 35 detected detect VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 121 36 by by IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 121 37 some some DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 121 38 physiological physiological JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 121 39 or or CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 121 40 virological virological JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 121 41 measurement measurement NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 121 42 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 122 1 In in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 122 2 most most JJS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 122 3 discussions discussion NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 122 4 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 122 5 interventions intervention NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 122 6 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 122 7 infectious infectious JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 122 8 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 122 9 disease disease NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 122 10 epidemiology epidemiology NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 122 11 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 122 12 it -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 122 13 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 122 14 assumed assume VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 122 15 that that IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 122 16 an an DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 122 17 efficacious efficacious JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 122 18 intervention intervention NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 122 19 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 122 20 one one NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 122 21 that that WDT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 122 22 drives drive VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 122 23 R r NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 122 24 0 0 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 122 25 below below IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 122 26 one one CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 122 27 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 123 1 I -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 123 2 argue argue VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 123 3 that that IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 123 4 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 123 5 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 123 6 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 123 7 SSe SSe NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 123 8 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 123 9 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 123 10 proper proper JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 123 11 quantity quantity NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 123 12 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 123 13 look look VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 123 14 at at IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 123 15 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 123 16 not not RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 123 17 R r NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 123 18 0 0 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 123 19 but but CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 123 20 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 123 21 extinction extinction NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 123 22 probability probability NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 123 23 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 123 24 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 123 25 infection infection NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 123 26 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 123 27 chain chain NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 123 28 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 123 29 which which WDT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 123 30 I -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 123 31 have have VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 123 32 denoted denote VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 123 33 by by IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 123 34 p p NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 123 35 e e NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 123 36 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 124 1 Thus thus RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 124 2 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 124 3 goal goal NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 124 4 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 124 5 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 124 6 intervention intervention NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 124 7 must must MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 124 8 be be VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 124 9 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 124 10 increase increase VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 124 11 p p NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 124 12 e e NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 124 13 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 124 14 indeed indeed RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 124 15 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 124 16 I -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 124 17 define define VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 124 18 intervention intervention NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 124 19 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 124 20 efficacy efficacy NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 124 21 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 124 22 IE IE NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 124 23 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 124 24 by by IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 124 25 : : : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 124 26 where where WRB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 124 27 p p NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 124 28 e e NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 124 29 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 124 30 i i PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 124 31 stands stand VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 124 32 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 124 33 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 124 34 extinction extinction NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 124 35 probability probability NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 124 36 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 124 37 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 124 38 presence presence NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 124 39 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 124 40 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 124 41 intervention intervention NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 124 42 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 125 1 Thus thus RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 125 2 IE IE NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 125 3 = = SYM cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 125 4 1.0 1.0 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 125 5 if if IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 125 6 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 125 7 intervention intervention NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 125 8 drives drive VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 125 9 p p NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 125 10 e e NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 125 11 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 125 12 i i PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 125 13 all all PDT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 125 14 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 125 15 way way NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 125 16 to to IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 125 17 one one CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 125 18 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 125 19 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 125 20 zero zero CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 125 21 if if IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 125 22 p p NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 125 23 e e NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 126 1 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 126 2 i i PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 126 3 = = SYM cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 126 4 p p NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 126 5 e e NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 126 6 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 127 1 Of of RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 127 2 course course RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 127 3 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 127 4 if if IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 127 5 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 127 6 intervention intervention NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 127 7 should should MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 127 8 push push VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 127 9 R r NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 127 10 0 0 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 127 11 below below IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 127 12 one one CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 127 13 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 127 14 then then RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 127 15 IE IE NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 127 16 will will MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 127 17 be be VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 127 18 one one CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 127 19 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 127 20 but but CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 127 21 IE IE NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 127 22 could could MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 127 23 be be VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 127 24 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 127 25 e.g. e.g. RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 127 26 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 127 27 0.75 0.75 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 127 28 even even RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 127 29 with with IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 127 30 an an DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 127 31 R r NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 127 32 0 0 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 127 33 still still RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 127 34 greater great JJR cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 127 35 than than IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 127 36 one one CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 127 37 after after IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 127 38 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 127 39 intervention intervention NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 127 40 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 127 41 active active JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 127 42 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 127 43 as as IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 127 44 we -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 127 45 will will MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 127 46 see see VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 127 47 below below RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 127 48 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 127 49 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 128 1 IE IE NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 128 2 depends depend VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 128 3 on on IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 128 4 both both DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 128 5 R r NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 128 6 0 0 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 128 7 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 128 8 V v NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 128 9 0 0 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 128 10 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 128 11 as as IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 128 12 we -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 128 13 will will MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 128 14 see see VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 128 15 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 129 1 If if IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 129 2 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 129 3 reader reader NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 129 4 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 129 5 dubious dubious JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 129 6 about about IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 129 7 this this DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 129 8 redefinition redefinition NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 129 9 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 129 10 efficacy efficacy NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 129 11 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 129 12 consider consider VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 129 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 129 14 a a LS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 129 15 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 129 16 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 129 17 disease disease NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 129 18 introduced introduce VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 129 19 into into IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 129 20 1000 1000 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 129 21 cities city NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 129 22 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 130 1 If if IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 130 2 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 130 3 e.g. e.g. RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 130 4 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 130 5 p p NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 130 6 e e NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 130 7 = = SYM cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 130 8 0.7 0.7 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 130 9 while while IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 130 10 p p NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 130 11 e e NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 130 12 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 130 13 i i PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 130 14 = = VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 130 15 0.9 0.9 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 130 16 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 130 17 efficacy efficacy NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 130 18 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 130 19 67 67 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 130 20 percent percent NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 130 21 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 130 22 these these DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 130 23 numbers number NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 130 24 are be VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 130 25 not not RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 130 26 implausible implausible JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 130 27 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 130 28 see see VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 130 29 Table table NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 130 30 1 1 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 130 31 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 130 32 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 130 33 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 130 34 effect effect NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 130 35 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 130 36 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 130 37 intervention intervention NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 130 38 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 130 39 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 130 40 spare spare VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 130 41 200 200 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 130 42 cities city NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 130 43 on on IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 130 44 average average JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 130 45 from from IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 130 46 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 130 47 local local JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 130 48 epidemic epidemic NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 130 49 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 131 1 More more RBR cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 131 2 convincing convincing JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 131 3 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 131 4 perhaps perhaps RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 131 5 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 131 6 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 131 7 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 131 8 think think VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 131 9 about about IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 131 10 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 131 11 b b NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 131 12 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 131 13 : : : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 131 14 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 131 15 time time NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 131 16 before before IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 131 17 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 131 18 epidemic epidemic NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 131 19 takes take VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 131 20 off off RP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 131 21 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 131 22 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 131 23 given give VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 131 24 region region NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 131 25 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 131 26 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 131 27 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 131 28 sporadically sporadically RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 131 29 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 131 30 appearing appear VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 131 31 disease disease NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 131 32 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 132 1 In in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 132 2 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 132 3 scenario scenario NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 132 4 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 132 5 Table Table NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 132 6 1 1 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 132 7 fourth fourth JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 132 8 row row NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 132 9 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 132 10 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 132 11 epidemic epidemic NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 132 12 takes take VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 132 13 off off RP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 132 14 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 132 15 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 132 16 few few JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 132 17 months month NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 132 18 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 132 19 but but CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 132 20 with with IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 132 21 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 132 22 intervention intervention NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 132 23 increasing increase VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 132 24 p p NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 132 25 e e NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 132 26 to to IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 132 27 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 132 28 value value NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 132 29 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 132 30 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 132 31 last last JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 132 32 row row NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 132 33 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 132 34 it -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 132 35 takes take VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 132 36 roughly roughly RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 132 37 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 132 38 half half JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 132 39 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 132 40 year year NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 132 41 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 132 42 perhaps perhaps RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 132 43 enough enough JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 132 44 time time NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 132 45 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 132 46 epidemiologists epidemiologist NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 132 47 or or CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 132 48 veterinarians veterinarian NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 132 49 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 132 50 find find VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 132 51 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 132 52 eliminate eliminate VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 132 53 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 132 54 source source NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 132 55 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 132 56 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 132 57 virus virus NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 132 58 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 133 1 I -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 133 2 therefore therefore RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 133 3 explored explore VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 133 4 efficacy efficacy NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 133 5 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 133 6 such such JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 133 7 interventions intervention NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 133 8 through through IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 133 9 simulating simulate VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 133 10 an an DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 133 11 SSe SSe NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 133 12 epidemic epidemic NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 133 13 with with IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 133 14 SSi SSi NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 133 15 's 's POS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 133 16 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 133 17 various various JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 133 18 efficiencies efficiency NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 133 19 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 133 20 at at IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 133 21 lowering lower VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 133 22 R r NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 133 23 h h NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 133 24 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 133 25 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 134 1 See see VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 134 2 Figures figure NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 134 3 _SP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 134 4 3 3 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 134 5 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 134 6 4 4 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 134 7 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 135 1 Efficacy efficacy NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 135 2 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 135 3 partially partially RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 135 4 mediated mediate VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 135 5 by by IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 135 6 decreasing decrease VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 135 7 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 135 8 effective effective JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 135 9 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 135 10 withintervention withintervention NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 135 11 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 135 12 R r NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 135 13 0 0 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 135 14 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 135 15 which which WDT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 135 16 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 135 17 any any DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 135 18 case case NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 135 19 remains remain VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 135 20 above above IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 135 21 one one CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 135 22 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 135 23 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 135 24 figures figure NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 135 25 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 136 1 Note note VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 136 2 that that IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 136 3 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 136 4 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 136 5 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 136 6 high high JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 136 7 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 136 8 V v NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 136 9 0 0 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 136 10 epidemic epidemic NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 136 11 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 136 12 even even RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 136 13 an an DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 136 14 intervention intervention NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 136 15 with with IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 136 16 efficiency efficiency NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 136 17 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 136 18 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 136 19 60 60 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 136 20 - - SYM cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 136 21 70 70 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 136 22 percent percent NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 136 23 range range NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 136 24 can can MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 136 25 be be VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 136 26 quite quite RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 136 27 valuable valuable JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 136 28 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 137 1 I -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 137 2 next next RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 137 3 asked ask VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 137 4 whether whether IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 137 5 it -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 137 6 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 137 7 easier easy JJR cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 137 8 or or CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 137 9 harder hard JJR cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 137 10 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 137 11 stop stop VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 137 12 an an DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 137 13 epidemic epidemic NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 137 14 with with IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 137 15 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 137 16 large large JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 137 17 V v NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 137 18 0 0 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 137 19 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 137 20 equivalently equivalently RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 137 21 here here RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 137 22 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 137 23 large large JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 137 24 R r NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 137 25 h h NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 137 26 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 137 27 than than IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 137 28 an an DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 137 29 epidemic epidemic NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 137 30 with with IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 137 31 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 137 32 smaller small JJR cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 137 33 value value NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 137 34 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 137 35 at at IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 137 36 fixed fix VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 137 37 intervention intervention NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 137 38 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 138 1 The the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 138 2 question question NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 138 3 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 138 4 hard hard JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 138 5 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 138 6 answer answer VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 138 7 through through IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 138 8 introspection introspection NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 138 9 or or CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 138 10 analysis analysis NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 138 11 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 139 1 On on IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 139 2 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 139 3 one one CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 139 4 hand hand NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 139 5 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 139 6 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 139 7 larger large JJR cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 139 8 R r NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 139 9 h h NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 139 10 should should MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 139 11 mean mean VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 139 12 that that IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 139 13 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 139 14 SSi SSi NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 139 15 intervention intervention NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 139 16 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 139 17 more more RBR cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 139 18 relevant relevant JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 139 19 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 139 20 on on IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 139 21 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 139 22 other other JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 139 23 hand hand NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 139 24 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 139 25 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 139 26 explosive explosive JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 139 27 nature nature NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 139 28 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 139 29 case case NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 139 30 growth growth NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 139 31 suggests suggest VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 139 32 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 139 33 intervention intervention NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 139 34 would would MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 139 35 have have VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 139 36 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 139 37 be be VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 139 38 larger large JJR cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 139 39 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 140 1 One one CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 140 2 thought thought NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 140 3 suggests suggest VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 140 4 that that IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 140 5 efficacy efficacy NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 140 6 should should MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 140 7 be be VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 140 8 an an DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 140 9 increasing increase VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 140 10 function function NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 140 11 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 140 12 R R NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 140 13 h h NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 140 14 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 140 15 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 140 16 other other JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 140 17 that that IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 140 18 it -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 140 19 should should MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 140 20 be be VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 140 21 decreasing decrease VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 140 22 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 141 1 See see VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 141 2 Figures figure NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 141 3 5 5 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 141 4 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 141 5 6 6 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 141 6 : : : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 141 7 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 141 8 fact fact NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 141 9 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 141 10 efficacy efficacy NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 141 11 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 141 12 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 141 13 models model NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 141 14 does do VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 141 15 diminish diminish VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 141 16 with with IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 141 17 increasing increase VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 141 18 R r NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 141 19 h h NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 141 20 at at IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 141 21 fixed fix VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 141 22 intervention intervention NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 141 23 efficiency efficiency NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 141 24 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 141 25 but but CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 141 26 falls fall VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 141 27 off off RP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 141 28 remarkably remarkably RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 141 29 slowly slowly RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 141 30 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 142 1 As as IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 142 2 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 142 3 August August NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 142 4 2013 2013 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 142 5 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 142 6 MERS MERS NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 142 7 has have VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 142 8 not not RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 142 9 generated generate VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 142 10 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 142 11 pandemic pandemic NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 142 12 after after IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 142 13 10 10 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 142 14 months month NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 142 15 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 142 16 sporadic sporadic JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 142 17 cases case NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 142 18 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 143 1 The the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 143 2 obvious obvious JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 143 3 explanation explanation NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 143 4 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 143 5 that that IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 143 6 R r NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 143 7 0 0 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 143 8 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 143 9 less less JJR cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 143 10 than than IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 143 11 one one CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 143 12 - - : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 143 13 but but CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 143 14 that that DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 143 15 could could MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 143 16 be be VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 143 17 an an DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 143 18 illusion illusion NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 143 19 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 143 20 recall recall VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 143 21 Figure Figure NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 143 22 2 2 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 143 23 ! ! . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 144 1 In in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 144 2 July July NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 144 3 2013 2013 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 144 4 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 144 5 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 144 6 group group NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 144 7 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 144 8 epidemiologists epidemiologist NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 144 9 published publish VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 144 10 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 144 11 Lancet Lancet NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 144 12 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 144 13 [ [ -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 144 14 1 1 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 144 15 ] ] -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 144 16 an an DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 144 17 estimate estimate NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 144 18 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 144 19 based base VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 144 20 on on IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 144 21 55 55 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 144 22 cases case NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 144 23 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 144 24 there there EX cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 144 25 were be VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 144 26 more more JJR cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 144 27 as as IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 144 28 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 144 29 July July NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 144 30 but but CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 144 31 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 144 32 authors author NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 144 33 culled cull VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 144 34 some some DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 144 35 due due IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 144 36 to to IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 144 37 ambiguities ambiguity NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 144 38 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 144 39 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 144 40 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 144 41 R r NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 144 42 0 0 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 144 43 as as IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 144 44 about about RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 144 45 0.7 0.7 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 144 46 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 144 47 which which WDT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 144 48 I -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 144 49 used use VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 144 50 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 144 51 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 144 52 lower low JJR cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 144 53 figure figure NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 144 54 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 144 55 R r NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 144 56 l l NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 144 57 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 144 58 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 144 59 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 144 60 simulations simulation NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 144 61 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 145 1 However however RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 145 2 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 145 3 they -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 145 4 made make VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 145 5 an an DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 145 6 " " `` cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 145 7 Occam Occam NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 145 8 's 's POS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 145 9 Razor Razor NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 145 10 " " '' cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 145 11 simplifying simplify VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 145 12 assumption assumption NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 145 13 which which WDT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 145 14 may may MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 145 15 have have VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 145 16 biased bias VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 145 17 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 145 18 analysis analysis NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 145 19 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 146 1 Despite despite IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 146 2 being be VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 146 3 critical critical JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 146 4 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 146 5 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 146 6 authors author NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 146 7 ' ' POS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 146 8 methodology methodology NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 146 9 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 146 10 I -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 146 11 agree agree VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 146 12 with with IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 146 13 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 146 14 conclusion conclusion NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 146 15 that that IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 146 16 R r NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 146 17 0 0 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 146 18 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 146 19 MERS MERS NNPS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 146 20 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 146 21 currently currently RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 146 22 less less JJR cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 146 23 than than IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 146 24 one one CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 146 25 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 147 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 147 2 The the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 147 3 best good JJS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 147 4 fit fit NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 147 5 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 147 6 my -PRON- PRP$ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 147 7 model model NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 147 8 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 147 9 class class NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 147 10 to to IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 147 11 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 147 12 cluster cluster NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 147 13 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 147 14 data datum NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 147 15 reported report VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 147 16 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 147 17 [ [ -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 147 18 1 1 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 147 19 ] ] -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 148 1 had have VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 148 2 R r NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 148 3 0 0 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 148 4 = = SYM cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 148 5 0.813 0.813 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 148 6 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 149 1 R r NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 149 2 l l NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 149 3 = = NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 149 4 0.402 0.402 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 149 5 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 149 6 R r NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 149 7 h h NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 149 8 = = SYM cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 149 9 17.9 17.9 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 149 10 ; ; , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 149 11 normal normal JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 149 12 periods period NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 149 13 ; ; , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 149 14 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 149 15 Sp Sp NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 149 16 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 149 17 int int NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 149 18 = = SYM cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 149 19 3 3 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 149 20 days day NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 149 21 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 150 1 I.e. i.e. LS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 150 2 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 150 3 an an DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 150 4 SSe SSe NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 150 5 but but CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 150 6 not not RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 150 7 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 150 8 pandemic pandemic NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 150 9 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 151 1 See see VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 151 2 appendix appendix NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 151 3 three three CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 151 4 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 151 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 152 1 Whatever whatever WDT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 152 2 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 152 3 truth truth NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 152 4 may may MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 152 5 be be VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 152 6 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 152 7 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 152 8 two two CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 152 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 153 1 Saudi Saudi NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 153 2 Arabia Arabia NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 153 3 has have VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 153 4 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 153 5 population population NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 153 6 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 153 7 26 26 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 153 8 million million CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 153 9 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 153 10 so so CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 153 11 this this DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 153 12 represents represent VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 153 13 less less JJR cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 153 14 than than IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 153 15 an an DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 153 16 eight eight CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 153 17 percent percent NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 153 18 increase increase NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 153 19 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 153 20 however however RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 153 21 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 153 22 these these DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 153 23 pilgrims pilgrim NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 153 24 will will MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 153 25 be be VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 153 26 congregating congregate VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 153 27 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 153 28 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 153 29 few few JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 153 30 sites site NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 153 31 where where WRB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 153 32 there there EX cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 153 33 may may MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 153 34 be be VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 153 35 increased increase VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 153 36 opportunity opportunity NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 153 37 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 153 38 viral viral JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 153 39 transmission transmission NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 153 40 from from IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 153 41 infected infected JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 153 42 cases case NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 153 43 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 153 44 possibly possibly RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 153 45 locally locally RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 153 46 raising raise VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 153 47 R r NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 153 48 0 0 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 153 49 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 153 50 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 153 51 more more RBR cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 153 52 likely likely JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 153 53 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 153 54 V v NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 153 55 0 0 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 153 56 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 154 1 Also also RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 154 2 at at IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 154 3 present present JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 154 4 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 154 5 source source NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 154 6 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 154 7 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 154 8 sporadic sporadic JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 154 9 cases case NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 154 10 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 154 11 under under IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 154 12 investigation investigation NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 154 13 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 154 14 with with IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 154 15 reports report NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 154 16 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 154 17 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 154 18 related related JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 154 19 virus virus NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 154 20 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 154 21 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 154 22 bat bat NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 154 23 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 154 24 not not RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 154 25 found find VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 154 26 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 154 27 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 154 28 Middle Middle NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 154 29 East East NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 154 30 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 154 31 however however RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 154 32 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 154 33 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 154 34 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 154 35 antibodies antibody NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 154 36 to to IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 154 37 coronaviruses coronaviruse NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 154 38 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 154 39 camels camel NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 154 40 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 154 41 but but CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 154 42 not not RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 154 43 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 154 44 Saudi Saudi NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 154 45 Arabia Arabia NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 154 46 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 154 47 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 154 48 without without IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 154 49 recovery recovery NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 154 50 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 154 51 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 154 52 virus virus NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 154 53 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 154 54 because because IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 154 55 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 154 56 cross cross NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 154 57 - - NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 154 58 reactivity reactivity JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 154 59 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 154 60 latter latter JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 154 61 report report NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 154 62 may may MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 154 63 be be VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 154 64 noise noise NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 154 65 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 154 66 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 155 1 The the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 155 2 situation situation NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 155 3 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 155 4 too too RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 155 5 uncertain uncertain JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 155 6 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 155 7 make make VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 155 8 definite definite JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 155 9 predictions prediction NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 155 10 about about IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 155 11 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 155 12 MERS MERS NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 155 13 epidemic epidemic NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 155 14 at at IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 155 15 this this DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 155 16 time time NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 155 17 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 156 1 Here here RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 156 2 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 156 3 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 156 4 summary summary NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 156 5 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 156 6 my -PRON- PRP$ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 156 7 conclusions conclusion NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 156 8 about about IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 156 9 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 156 10 SS SS NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 156 11 epidemic epidemic NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 156 12 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 156 13 interventions intervention NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 156 14 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 156 15 based base VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 156 16 on on IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 156 17 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 156 18 modeling modeling NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 156 19 exercise exercise NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 156 20 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 157 1 First first RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 157 2 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 157 3 it -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 157 4 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 157 5 better well JJR cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 157 6 not not RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 157 7 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 157 8 be be VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 157 9 complacent complacent JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 157 10 about about IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 157 11 an an DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 157 12 often often RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 157 13 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 157 14 fatal fatal JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 157 15 disease disease NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 157 16 occurring occur VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 157 17 at at IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 157 18 low low JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 157 19 frequency frequency NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 157 20 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 157 21 generating generate VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 157 22 small small JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 157 23 clusters cluster NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 157 24 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 157 25 secondary secondary JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 157 26 cases case NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 157 27 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 158 1 Despite despite IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 158 2 appearances appearance NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 158 3 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 158 4 it -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 158 5 may may MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 158 6 represent represent VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 158 7 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 158 8 " " `` cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 158 9 kindling kindling NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 158 10 " " '' cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 158 11 phase phase NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 158 12 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 158 13 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 158 14 future future JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 158 15 pandemic pandemic NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 158 16 - - : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 158 17 which which WDT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 158 18 may may MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 158 19 develop develop VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 158 20 even even RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 158 21 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 158 22 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 158 23 absence absence NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 158 24 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 158 25 genetic genetic JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 158 26 modification modification NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 158 27 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 158 28 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 158 29 pathogen pathogen NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 158 30 increasing increase VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 158 31 transmission transmission NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 158 32 rates rate NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 158 33 to to IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 158 34 or or CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 158 35 among among IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 158 36 humans human NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 158 37 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 158 38 as as IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 158 39 occurred occur VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 158 40 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 158 41 decade decade NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 158 42 ago ago RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 158 43 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 158 44 SARS SARS NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 158 45 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 158 46 but but CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 158 47 an an DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 158 48 event event NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 158 49 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 158 50 given give VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 158 51 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 158 52 current current JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 158 53 state state NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 158 54 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 158 55 genetics genetic NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 158 56 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 158 57 which which WDT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 158 58 nobody nobody NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 158 59 can can MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 158 60 predict predict VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 158 61 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 158 62 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 159 1 Second second RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 159 2 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 159 3 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 159 4 SSe SSe NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 159 5 has have VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 159 6 very very RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 159 7 different different JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 159 8 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 159 9 from from IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 159 10 more more JJR cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 159 11 uniform uniform JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 159 12 epidemics epidemic NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 159 13 caused cause VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 159 14 by by IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 159 15 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 159 16 e.g. e.g. RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 159 17 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 159 18 influenza influenza NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 159 19 or or CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 159 20 measles measles NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 159 21 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 159 22 remarkably remarkably RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 159 23 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 159 24 this this DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 159 25 permits permit VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 159 26 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 159 27 design design NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 159 28 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 159 29 interventions intervention NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 159 30 which which WDT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 159 31 are be VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 159 32 not not RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 159 33 available available JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 159 34 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 159 35 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 159 36 latter latter JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 159 37 cases case NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 159 38 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 160 1 For for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 160 2 instance instance NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 160 3 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 160 4 because because IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 160 5 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 160 6 superspreader superspreader NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 160 7 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 160 8 rare rare JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 160 9 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 160 10 possibly possibly RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 160 11 detectable detectable JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 160 12 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 160 13 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 160 14 specifically specifically RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 160 15 targeted target VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 160 16 intervention intervention NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 160 17 may may MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 160 18 at at IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 160 19 least least JJS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 160 20 delay delay VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 160 21 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 160 22 onset onset NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 160 23 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 160 24 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 160 25 pandemic pandemic NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 160 26 long long RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 160 27 enough enough RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 160 28 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 160 29 allow allow VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 160 30 epidemiologists epidemiologist NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 160 31 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 160 32 locate locate VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 160 33 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 160 34 eliminate eliminate VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 160 35 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 160 36 source source NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 160 37 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 160 38 sporadic sporadic JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 160 39 infections infection NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 160 40 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 161 1 Even even RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 161 2 detection detection NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 161 3 after after IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 161 4 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 161 5 end end NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 161 6 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 161 7 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 161 8 superspreader superspreader NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 161 9 's 's POS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 161 10 infectious infectious JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 161 11 period period NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 161 12 can can MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 161 13 be be VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 161 14 efficacious efficacious JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 161 15 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 161 16 through through IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 161 17 contact contact NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 161 18 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 161 19 tracing tracing NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 161 20 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 161 21 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 162 1 Finally finally RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 162 2 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 162 3 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 162 4 my -PRON- PRP$ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 162 5 fellow fellow JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 162 6 math math NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 162 7 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 162 8 modelers modeler NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 162 9 : : : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 162 10 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 162 11 story story NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 162 12 related relate VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 162 13 here here RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 162 14 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 162 15 an an DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 162 16 instance instance NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 162 17 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 162 18 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 162 19 important important JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 162 20 role role NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 162 21 played play VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 162 22 by by IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 162 23 heterogeneity heterogeneity NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 162 24 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 162 25 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 162 26 stochasticity stochasticity NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 162 27 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 162 28 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 162 29 biology biology NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 162 30 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 163 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 163 2 For for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 163 3 other other JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 163 4 examples example NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 163 5 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 163 6 see see VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 163 7 my -PRON- PRP$ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 163 8 books book NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 163 9 [ [ -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 163 10 5 5 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 163 11 ] ] -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 163 12 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 163 13 [ [ -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 163 14 6 6 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 163 15 ] ] -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 163 16 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 163 17 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 164 1 A a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 164 2 desire desire NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 164 3 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 164 4 simplicity simplicity NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 164 5 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 164 6 modeling modeling NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 164 7 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 164 8 not not RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 164 9 an an DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 164 10 excuse excuse NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 164 11 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 164 12 overlooking overlook VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 164 13 these these DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 164 14 possibilities possibility NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 164 15 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 165 1 The the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 165 2 model model NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 165 3 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 165 4 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 165 5 " " `` cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 165 6 agent agent NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 165 7 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 165 8 based base VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 165 9 " " `` cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 165 10 type type NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 165 11 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 165 12 which which WDT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 165 13 means mean VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 165 14 that that IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 165 15 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 165 16 characteristics characteristic NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 165 17 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 165 18 each each DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 165 19 case case NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 165 20 are be VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 165 21 stored store VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 165 22 separately separately RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 165 23 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 165 24 computer computer NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 165 25 memory memory NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 165 26 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 166 1 5 5 LS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 167 1 The the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 167 2 descriptors descriptor NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 167 3 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 167 4 each each DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 167 5 case case NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 167 6 are be VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 167 7 : : : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 167 8 infectious infectious JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 167 9 status status NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 167 10 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 167 11 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 167 12 incubation incubation NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 167 13 period period NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 167 14 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 167 15 so so RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 167 16 not not RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 167 17 infectious infectious JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 167 18 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 167 19 or or CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 167 20 infectious infectious JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 167 21 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 167 22 ; ; , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 167 23 infectious infectious JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 167 24 type type NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 167 25 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 167 26 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 167 27 some some DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 167 28 integers integer NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 167 29 assigned assign VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 167 30 at at IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 167 31 creation creation NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 167 32 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 167 33 identification identification NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 167 34 purposes purpose NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 167 35 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 167 36 including include VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 167 37 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 167 38 index index NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 167 39 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 167 40 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 167 41 primary primary NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 167 42 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 167 43 if if IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 167 44 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 167 45 secondary secondary JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 167 46 case case NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 167 47 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 167 48 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 167 49 an an DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 167 50 indentifier indentifier NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 167 51 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 167 52 cluster cluster NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 167 53 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 167 54 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 168 1 In in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 168 2 addition addition NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 168 3 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 168 4 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 168 5 each each DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 168 6 case case NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 168 7 some some DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 168 8 floating float VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 168 9 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 168 10 point point NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 168 11 numbers number NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 168 12 are be VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 168 13 stored store VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 168 14 : : : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 169 1 when when WRB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 169 2 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 169 3 case case NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 169 4 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 169 5 created create VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 169 6 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 169 7 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 169 8 incubation incubation NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 169 9 phase phase NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 169 10 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 169 11 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 169 12 predicted predict VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 169 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 169 14 clock clock NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 169 15 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 169 16 time time NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 169 17 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 169 18 entering enter VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 169 19 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 169 20 infectious infectious JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 169 21 phase phase NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 169 22 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 169 23 once once RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 169 24 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 169 25 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 169 26 latter latter JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 169 27 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 169 28 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 169 29 time time NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 169 30 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 169 31 creation creation NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 169 32 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 169 33 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 169 34 secondary secondary JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 169 35 case case NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 169 36 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 169 37 updated update VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 169 38 when when WRB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 169 39 that that DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 169 40 event event NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 169 41 occurs occur VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 169 42 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 169 43 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 169 44 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 169 45 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 169 46 time time NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 169 47 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 169 48 death death NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 169 49 or or CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 169 50 end end NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 169 51 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 169 52 infectious infectious JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 169 53 period period NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 169 54 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 170 1 Because because IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 170 2 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 170 3 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 170 4 agent agent NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 170 5 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 170 6 based base VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 170 7 modeling modeling NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 170 8 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 170 9 these these DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 170 10 times time NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 170 11 can can MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 170 12 be be VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 170 13 generated generate VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 170 14 with with IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 170 15 any any DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 170 16 desired desire VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 170 17 distributions distribution NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 170 18 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 171 1 For for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 171 2 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 171 3 time time NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 171 4 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 171 5 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 171 6 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 171 7 next next JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 171 8 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 171 9 secondary secondary JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 171 10 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 171 11 case case NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 171 12 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 171 13 an an DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 171 14 exponential exponential JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 171 15 random random JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 171 16 variable variable NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 171 17 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 171 18 appropriate appropriate JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 171 19 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 171 20 consistent consistent JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 171 21 with with IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 171 22 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 171 23 assumption assumption NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 171 24 that that IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 171 25 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 171 26 infections infection NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 171 27 caused cause VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 171 28 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 171 29 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 171 30 fixed fixed JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 171 31 period period NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 171 32 have have VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 171 33 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 171 34 Poisson Poisson NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 171 35 distribution distribution NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 171 36 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 171 37 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 172 1 But but CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 172 2 an an DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 172 3 exponential exponential JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 172 4 random random JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 172 5 variable variable NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 172 6 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 172 7 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 172 8 poor poor JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 172 9 choice choice NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 172 10 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 172 11 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 172 12 other other JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 172 13 waiting waiting NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 172 14 times time NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 172 15 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 172 16 time time NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 172 17 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 172 18 to to IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 172 19 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 172 20 infectivity infectivity NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 172 21 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 172 22 to to IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 172 23 death death NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 172 24 or or CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 172 25 end end NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 172 26 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 172 27 ofinfectious ofinfectious JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 172 28 period period NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 172 29 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 172 30 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 172 31 because because IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 172 32 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 172 33 exponential exponential JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 172 34 law law NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 172 35 has have VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 172 36 no no DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 172 37 memory memory NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 172 38 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 173 1 Conventional conventional JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 173 2 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 173 3 models model NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 173 4 assume assume VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 173 5 that that IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 173 6 all all DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 173 7 waiting wait VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 173 8 times time NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 173 9 are be VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 173 10 exponentials exponential NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 173 11 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 173 12 because because IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 173 13 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 173 14 Markov Markov NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 173 15 Property Property NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 173 16 then then RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 173 17 holds hold VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 173 18 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 173 19 permitting permit VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 173 20 mathematicians mathematician NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 173 21 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 173 22 write write VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 173 23 down down RP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 173 24 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 173 25 solve solve VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 173 26 equations equation NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 173 27 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 173 28 quantities quantity NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 173 29 like like IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 173 30 extinction extinction NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 173 31 probabilities probability NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 173 32 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 173 33 see see VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 173 34 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 173 35 math math NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 173 36 appendix appendix NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 173 37 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 173 38 discussion discussion NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 173 39 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 174 1 However however RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 174 2 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 174 3 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 174 4 convenience convenience NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 174 5 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 174 6 mathematicians mathematician NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 174 7 should should MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 174 8 not not RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 174 9 be be VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 174 10 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 174 11 determining determine VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 174 12 element element NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 174 13 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 174 14 science science NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 174 15 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 175 1 I -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 175 2 assumed assume VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 175 3 that that IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 175 4 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 175 5 waiting waiting NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 175 6 times time NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 175 7 other other JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 175 8 than than IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 175 9 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 175 10 secondary secondary JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 175 11 infections infection NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 175 12 had have VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 175 13 normal normal JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 175 14 distributions distribution NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 175 15 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 175 16 conditional conditional JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 175 17 on on IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 175 18 being be VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 175 19 non non JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 175 20 - - JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 175 21 negative negative JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 175 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 175 23 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 176 1 The the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 176 2 simulation simulation NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 176 3 starts start VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 176 4 by by IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 176 5 filling fill VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 176 6 in in RP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 176 7 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 176 8 characteristics characteristic NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 176 9 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 176 10 times time NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 176 11 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 176 12 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 176 13 index index NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 176 14 case case NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 176 15 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 176 16 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 176 17 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 176 18 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 176 19 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 176 20 sporadic sporadic JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 176 21 scenario scenario NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 176 22 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 176 23 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 176 24 conjectured conjecture VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 176 25 time time NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 176 26 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 176 27 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 176 28 appearance appearance NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 176 29 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 176 30 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 176 31 next next JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 176 32 sporadic sporadic JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 176 33 case case NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 176 34 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 176 35 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 177 1 Then then RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 177 2 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 177 3 smallest small JJS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 177 4 waiting waiting NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 177 5 time time NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 177 6 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 177 7 found find VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 177 8 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 177 9 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 177 10 corresponding correspond VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 177 11 changes change NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 177 12 are be VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 177 13 made make VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 177 14 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 177 15 including include VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 177 16 creation creation NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 177 17 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 177 18 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 177 19 new new JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 177 20 case case NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 177 21 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 177 22 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 177 23 characteristics characteristic NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 177 24 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 177 25 waiting wait VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 177 26 times time NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 177 27 if if IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 177 28 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 177 29 event event NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 177 30 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 177 31 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 177 32 sporadic sporadic JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 177 33 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 177 34 or or CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 177 35 secondaryinfection secondaryinfection NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 177 36 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 178 1 The the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 178 2 clock clock NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 178 3 time time NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 178 4 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 178 5 moved move VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 178 6 forward forward RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 178 7 to to IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 178 8 this this DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 178 9 event event NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 178 10 time time NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 178 11 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 179 1 At at IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 179 2 subsequent subsequent JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 179 3 iterations iteration NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 179 4 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 179 5 program program NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 179 6 runs run VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 179 7 through through IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 179 8 all all PDT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 179 9 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 179 10 stored store VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 179 11 waiting waiting NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 179 12 times time NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 179 13 looking look VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 179 14 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 179 15 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 179 16 next next JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 179 17 one one CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 179 18 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 179 19 then then RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 179 20 performs perform VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 179 21 those those DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 179 22 changes change NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 179 23 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 179 24 etc etc FW cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 179 25 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 180 1 In in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 180 2 other other JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 180 3 words word NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 180 4 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 180 5 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 180 6 process process NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 180 7 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 180 8 simulated simulate VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 180 9 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 180 10 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 180 11 most most RBS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 180 12 straightforward straightforward JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 180 13 manner manner NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 180 14 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 180 15 with with IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 180 16 no no DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 180 17 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 180 18 approximations approximation NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 180 19 whatsoever whatsoever RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 180 20 except except IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 180 21 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 180 22 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 180 23 belief belief NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 180 24 that that IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 180 25 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 180 26 RNG RNG NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 180 27 provides provide VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 180 28 truly truly RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 180 29 random random JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 180 30 digits digit NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 180 31 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 180 32 about about IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 180 33 which which WDT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 180 34 John John NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 180 35 von von NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 180 36 Neumann Neumann NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 180 37 made make VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 180 38 his -PRON- PRP$ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 180 39 famous famous JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 180 40 joke joke NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 180 41 : : : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 180 42 " " `` cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 180 43 Anyone anyone NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 180 44 who who WP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 180 45 believes believe VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 180 46 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 180 47 computer computer NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 180 48 can can MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 180 49 generate generate VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 180 50 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 180 51 random random JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 180 52 variable variable NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 180 53 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 180 54 living live VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 180 55 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 180 56 sin sin NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 180 57 " " '' cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 180 58 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 180 59 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 180 60 which which WDT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 180 61 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 180 62 unlikely unlikely JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 180 63 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 180 64 cause cause VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 180 65 trouble trouble NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 180 66 here here RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 180 67 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 181 1 When when WRB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 181 2 computing compute VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 181 3 extinction extinction NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 181 4 probabilities probability NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 181 5 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 181 6 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 181 7 process process NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 181 8 was be VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 181 9 run run VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 181 10 until until IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 181 11 either either DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 181 12 extinction extinction NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 181 13 occurred occur VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 181 14 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 181 15 500 500 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 181 16 incident incident NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 181 17 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 181 18 incubation incubation NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 181 19 or or CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 181 20 infectious infectious JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 181 21 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 181 22 cases case NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 181 23 existed exist VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 181 24 on on IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 181 25 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 181 26 single single JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 181 27 day day NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 181 28 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 181 29 after after IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 181 30 which which WDT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 181 31 I -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 181 32 assumed assume VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 181 33 extinction extinction NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 181 34 was be VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 181 35 unlikely unlikely JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 181 36 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 181 37 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 181 38 or or CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 181 39 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 181 40 clock clock NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 181 41 time time NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 181 42 reached reach VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 181 43 four four CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 181 44 years year NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 181 45 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 182 1 10,000 10,000 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 182 2 samples sample NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 182 3 were be VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 182 4 used use VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 182 5 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 182 6 simulations simulation NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 182 7 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 183 1 Table table NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 183 2 1 1 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 183 3 reports report VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 183 4 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 183 5 comparisons comparison NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 183 6 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 183 7 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 183 8 solvable solvable JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 183 9 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 183 10 Markov Markov NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 183 11 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 183 12 case case NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 183 13 with with IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 183 14 simulations simulation NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 183 15 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 183 16 same same JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 183 17 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 183 18 rerunning rerun VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 183 19 some some DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 183 20 cases case NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 183 21 with with IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 183 22 100,000 100,000 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 183 23 repetitions repetition NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 184 1 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 184 2 even even RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 184 3 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 184 4 third third JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 184 5 decimal decimal NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 184 6 came come VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 184 7 out out RP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 184 8 right right RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 184 9 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 185 1 Table Table NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 185 2 A a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 185 3 reports report VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 185 4 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 185 5 parameters parameter NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 185 6 used use VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 185 7 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 186 1 When when WRB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 186 2 more more JJR cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 186 3 data datum NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 186 4 about about IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 186 5 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 186 6 e.g. e.g. RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 186 7 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 186 8 MERS MERS NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 186 9 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 186 10 becomes become VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 186 11 available available JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 186 12 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 186 13 it -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 186 14 will will MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 186 15 be be VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 186 16 interesting interesting JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 186 17 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 186 18 fit fit VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 186 19 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 186 20 model model NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 186 21 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 186 22 order order NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 186 23 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 186 24 estimate estimate VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 186 25 parameters parameter NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 186 26 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 186 27 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 186 28 convenient convenient JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 186 29 method method NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 186 30 was be VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 186 31 introduced introduce VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 186 32 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 186 33 my -PRON- PRP$ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 186 34 book book NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 186 35 [ [ -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 186 36 5 5 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 186 37 ] ] -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 186 38 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 186 39 Chapter chapter NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 186 40 5 5 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 186 41 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 187 1 The the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 187 2 program program NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 187 3 was be VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 187 4 written write VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 187 5 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 187 6 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 187 7 C C NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 187 8 programming programming NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 187 9 language language NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 187 10 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 187 11 runs run VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 187 12 on on IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 187 13 anything anything NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 187 14 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 187 15 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 187 16 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 187 17 available available JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 187 18 from from IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 187 19 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 187 20 author author NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 187 21 by by IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 187 22 request request NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 187 23 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 188 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 188 2 But but CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 188 3 if if IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 188 4 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 188 5 reader reader NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 188 6 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 188 7 interested interested JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 188 8 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 188 9 modeling model VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 188 10 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 188 11 SSe SSe NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 188 12 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 188 13 it -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 188 14 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 188 15 always always RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 188 16 better well JJR cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 188 17 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 188 18 write write VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 188 19 your -PRON- PRP$ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 188 20 own own JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 188 21 program program NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 188 22 then then RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 188 23 rely rely VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 188 24 on on IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 188 25 somebody somebody NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 188 26 else else RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 188 27 's 's POS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 188 28 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 188 29 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 189 1 I -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 189 2 am be VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 189 3 an an DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 189 4 ex ex JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 189 5 - - JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 189 6 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 189 7 physicist physicist NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 189 8 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 190 1 So so RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 190 2 why why WRB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 190 3 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 190 4 resort resort NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 190 5 to to IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 190 6 programming program VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 190 7 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 190 8 laptop laptop NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 190 9 ? ? . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 191 1 My -PRON- PRP$ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 191 2 motivation motivation NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 191 3 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 191 4 simple simple JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 191 5 : : : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 191 6 I -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 191 7 intend intend VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 191 8 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 191 9 use use VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 191 10 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 191 11 model model NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 191 12 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 191 13 make make VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 191 14 predictions prediction NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 191 15 about about IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 191 16 MERS MERS NNPS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 191 17 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 191 18 other other JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 191 19 SS SS NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 191 20 epidemics epidemic NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 191 21 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 191 22 once once RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 191 23 transmission transmission NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 191 24 parameters parameter NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 191 25 become become VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 191 26 available available JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 191 27 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 192 1 In in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 192 2 my -PRON- PRP$ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 192 3 philosophy philosophy NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 192 4 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 192 5 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 192 6 proper proper JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 192 7 goal goal NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 192 8 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 192 9 any any DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 192 10 scientist scientist NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 192 11 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 192 12 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 192 13 make make VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 192 14 predictions prediction NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 192 15 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 192 16 future future JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 192 17 experiments experiment NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 192 18 or or CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 192 19 observations observation NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 192 20 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 192 21 because because IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 192 22 that that DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 192 23 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 192 24 ultimately ultimately RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 192 25 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 192 26 only only JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 192 27 way way NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 192 28 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 192 29 be be VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 192 30 sure sure JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 192 31 that that IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 192 32 you -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 192 33 are be VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 192 34 not not RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 192 35 modeling model VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 192 36 moonshine moonshine NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 192 37 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 193 1 So so RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 193 2 Marc Marc NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 193 3 Kac Kac NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 193 4 's 's POS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 193 5 fabled fabled JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 193 6 advice advice NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 193 7 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 193 8 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 193 9 physicists physicist NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 193 10 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 193 11 " " `` cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 193 12 mutilate mutilate VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 193 13 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 193 14 mutilate mutilate VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 193 15 until until IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 193 16 you -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 193 17 can can MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 193 18 solve solve VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 193 19 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 193 20 equations equation NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 193 21 " " '' cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 193 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 193 23 can can MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 193 24 not not RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 193 25 be be VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 193 26 accepted accept VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 193 27 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 194 1 I -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 194 2 may may MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 194 3 need need VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 194 4 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 194 5 employ employ VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 194 6 all all DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 194 7 sorts sort NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 194 8 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 194 9 peculiar peculiar JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 194 10 distributions distribution NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 194 11 taken take VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 194 12 from from IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 194 13 empirical empirical JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 194 14 data datum NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 194 15 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 195 1 However however RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 195 2 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 195 3 it -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 195 4 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 195 5 useful useful JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 195 6 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 195 7 solve solve VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 195 8 even even RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 195 9 an an DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 195 10 unrealistic unrealistic JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 195 11 scenario scenario NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 195 12 because because IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 195 13 it -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 195 14 provides provide VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 195 15 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 195 16 formula formula NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 195 17 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 195 18 compare compare VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 195 19 to to IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 195 20 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 195 21 output output NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 195 22 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 195 23 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 195 24 software software NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 195 25 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 195 26 that that DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 195 27 case case NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 195 28 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 195 29 helpful helpful JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 195 30 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 195 31 allay allay VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 195 32 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 195 33 suspicion suspicion NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 195 34 that that IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 195 35 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 195 36 results result NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 195 37 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 195 38 this this DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 195 39 paper paper NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 195 40 are be VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 195 41 due due JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 195 42 to to IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 195 43 bugs bug NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 195 44 or or CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 195 45 numerical numerical JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 195 46 issues issue NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 195 47 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 196 1 The the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 196 2 Markov Markov NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 196 3 case case NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 196 4 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 196 5 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 196 6 model model NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 196 7 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 196 8 which which WDT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 196 9 all all DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 196 10 waiting wait VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 196 11 times time NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 196 12 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 196 13 times time NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 196 14 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 196 15 end end VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 196 16 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 196 17 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 196 18 incubation incubation NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 196 19 period period NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 196 20 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 196 21 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 196 22 end end VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 196 23 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 196 24 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 196 25 infectious infectious JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 196 26 period period NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 196 27 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 196 28 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 196 29 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 196 30 generate generate VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 196 31 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 196 32 next next JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 196 33 secondary secondary JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 196 34 case case NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 196 35 - - : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 196 36 have have VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 196 37 exponential exponential JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 196 38 distributions distribution NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 196 39 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 197 1 As as IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 197 2 pointed point VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 197 3 out out RP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 197 4 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 197 5 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 197 6 text text NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 197 7 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 197 8 only only RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 197 9 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 197 10 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 197 11 last last JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 197 12 mentioned mention VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 197 13 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 197 14 this this DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 197 15 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 197 16 realistic realistic JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 197 17 choice choice NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 197 18 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 198 1 But but CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 198 2 it -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 198 3 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 198 4 required require VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 198 5 by by IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 198 6 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 198 7 Markov Markov NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 198 8 property property NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 198 9 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 198 10 " " `` cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 198 11 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 198 12 future future NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 198 13 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 198 14 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 198 15 past past NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 198 16 are be VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 198 17 independent independent JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 198 18 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 198 19 given give VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 198 20 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 198 21 present present NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 198 22 " " '' cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 198 23 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 198 24 because because IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 198 25 only only RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 198 26 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 198 27 exponential exponential NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 198 28 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 198 29 memoryless memoryless JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 198 30 : : : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 198 31 provided provide VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 198 32 τ τ NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 198 33 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 198 34 an an DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 198 35 exponential exponential JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 198 36 random random JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 198 37 variable variable NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 198 38 : : : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 199 1 P p NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 199 2 [ [ -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 199 3 τ τ NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 200 1 > > XX cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 201 1 t t NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 201 2 ] ] -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 201 3 = = VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 201 4 exp(−λ exp(−λ NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 201 5 t t NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 201 6 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 201 7 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 202 1 With with IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 202 2 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 202 3 exponential exponential NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 202 4 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 202 5 incubation incubation NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 202 6 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 202 7 infectious infectious JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 202 8 periods period NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 202 9 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 202 10 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 202 11 number number NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 202 12 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 202 13 secondary secondary JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 202 14 cases case NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 202 15 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 202 16 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 202 17 primary primary JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 202 18 case case NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 202 19 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 202 20 actually actually RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 202 21 geometric geometric JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 202 22 rather rather RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 202 23 than than IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 202 24 Poisson Poisson NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 202 25 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 202 26 with with IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 202 27 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 202 28 larger large JJR cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 202 29 variance variance NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 202 30 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 202 31 so so RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 202 32 this this DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 202 33 case case NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 202 34 has have VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 202 35 EPV epv NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 202 36 even even RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 202 37 even even RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 202 38 without without IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 202 39 multiple multiple JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 202 40 types type NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 202 41 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 202 42 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 203 1 It -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 203 2 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 203 3 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 203 4 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 203 5 course course NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 203 6 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 203 7 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 203 8 Markov Markov NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 203 9 property property NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 203 10 that that WDT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 203 11 makes make VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 203 12 it -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 203 13 easy easy JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 203 14 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 203 15 derive derive VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 203 16 equations equation NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 203 17 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 203 18 probabilities probability NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 203 19 associated associate VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 203 20 to to IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 203 21 stochastic stochastic JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 203 22 processes process NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 203 23 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 204 1 Here here RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 204 2 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 204 3 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 204 4 simple simple JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 204 5 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 204 6 non non JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 204 7 - - JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 204 8 rigorous rigorous JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 204 9 ? ? . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 204 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 204 11 derivation derivation NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 204 12 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 204 13 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 204 14 extinction extinction NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 204 15 probabilities probability NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 204 16 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 204 17 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 204 18 Markov Markov NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 204 19 version version NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 204 20 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 204 21 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 204 22 SS SS NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 204 23 epidemic epidemic NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 204 24 without without IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 204 25 sporadic sporadic JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 204 26 cases case NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 204 27 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 205 1 Let let VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 205 2 Ex Ex NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 205 3 stand stand VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 205 4 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 205 5 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 205 6 event event NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 205 7 : : : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 205 8 extinction extinction NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 205 9 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 205 10 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 205 11 infection infection NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 205 12 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 205 13 chain chain NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 205 14 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 205 15 P p NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 205 16 k k NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 205 17 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 205 18 probabilities probability NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 205 19 generated generate VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 205 20 by by IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 205 21 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 205 22 process process NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 205 23 begun begin VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 205 24 by by IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 205 25 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 205 26 type type NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 205 27 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 205 28 k k NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 205 29 case case NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 205 30 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 205 31 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 205 32 r r NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 205 33 k k XX cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 205 34 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 205 35 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 205 36 corresponding corresponding JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 205 37 extinction extinction NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 205 38 probability probability NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 205 39 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 205 40 so so RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 205 41 : : : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 205 42 r r NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 205 43 k k NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 205 44 = = SYM cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 205 45 P p NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 205 46 [ [ -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 205 47 extinction extinction NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 205 48 probability probability NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 205 49 given give VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 205 50 one one CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 205 51 initial initial JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 205 52 case case NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 205 53 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 205 54 type type NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 205 55 k k NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 205 56 ] ] -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 206 1 Then then RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 206 2 by by IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 206 3 conditioning conditioning NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 206 4 on on IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 206 5 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 206 6 first first JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 206 7 secondary secondary JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 206 8 case case NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 206 9 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 206 10 if if IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 206 11 there there EX cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 206 12 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 206 13 one one CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 206 14 : : : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 206 15 _SP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 206 16 where where WRB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 206 17 γ γ NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 206 18 k k NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 206 19 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 206 20 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 206 21 rate rate NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 206 22 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 206 23 generating generate VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 206 24 secondary secondary JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 206 25 cases case NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 206 26 by by IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 206 27 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 206 28 primary primary JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 206 29 case case NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 206 30 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 206 31 type type NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 206 32 k k NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 206 33 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 206 34 ρ ρ NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 206 35 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 206 36 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 206 37 reciprocal reciprocal JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 206 38 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 206 39 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 206 40 time time NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 206 41 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 206 42 to to IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 206 43 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 206 44 end end NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 206 45 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 206 46 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 206 47 infectious infectious JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 206 48 period period NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 206 49 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 207 1 Thus thus RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 207 2 we -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 207 3 obtain obtain VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 207 4 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 207 5 quadratic quadratic JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 207 6 system system NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 207 7 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 207 8 easily easily RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 207 9 reduced reduce VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 207 10 to to IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 207 11 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 207 12 single single JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 207 13 quadratic quadratic NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 207 14 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 207 15 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 207 16 two two CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 207 17 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 207 18 level level NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 207 19 case case NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 207 20 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 207 21 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 207 22 text text NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 207 23 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 207 24 below below RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 207 25 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 207 26 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 208 1 However however RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 208 2 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 208 3 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 208 4 reader reader NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 208 5 may may MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 208 6 doubt doubt VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 208 7 whether whether IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 208 8 this this DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 208 9 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 208 10 rigorous rigorous JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 208 11 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 209 1 There there EX cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 209 2 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 209 3 another another DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 209 4 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 209 5 long long RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 209 6 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 209 7 winded winded JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 209 8 but but CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 209 9 fully fully RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 209 10 rigorous rigorous JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 209 11 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 209 12 approach approach NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 209 13 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 209 14 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 209 15 Markov Markov NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 209 16 case case NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 209 17 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 209 18 which which WDT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 209 19 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 209 20 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 209 21 note note VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 209 22 that that IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 209 23 it -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 209 24 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 209 25 identical identical JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 209 26 to to IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 209 27 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 209 28 Markov Markov NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 209 29 birth birth NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 209 30 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 209 31 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 209 32 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 209 33 death death NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 209 34 compartmental compartmental JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 209 35 jump jump NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 209 36 process process NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 209 37 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 210 1 Here here RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 210 2 we -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 210 3 have have VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 210 4 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 210 5 distinguish distinguish VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 210 6 incubation incubation NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 210 7 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 210 8 infectious infectious JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 210 9 stages stage NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 210 10 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 210 11 each each DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 210 12 type type NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 210 13 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 210 14 call call VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 210 15 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 210 16 respective respective JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 210 17 compartments compartment NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 210 18 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 210 19 populations population NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 210 20 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 210 21 X x NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 210 22 k k NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 210 23 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 210 24 Y Y NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 210 25 k k XX cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 210 26 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 211 1 The the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 211 2 rates rate NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 211 3 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 211 4 jumps jump NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 211 5 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 211 6 this this DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 211 7 process process NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 211 8 are be VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 211 9 : : : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 211 10 Next next RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 211 11 given give VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 211 12 numbers number NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 211 13 0 0 NFP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 211 14 < < XX cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 211 15 r r NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 211 16 k k XX cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 211 17 < < XX cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 211 18 1 1 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 211 19 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 211 20 0 0 NFP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 211 21 < < XX cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 211 22 s s NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 211 23 k k XX cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 211 24 < < XX cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 211 25 1 1 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 211 26 introduce introduce VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 211 27 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 211 28 momentgenerating momentgenerating NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 211 29 function function NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 211 30 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 211 31 MGF MGF NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 211 32 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 211 33 : : : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 211 34 where where WRB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 211 35 E E NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 211 36 denotes denote VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 211 37 expectation expectation NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 211 38 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 212 1 Differentiating differentiate VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 212 2 using use VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 212 3 Kolmogorov Kolmogorov NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 212 4 's 's POS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 212 5 forward forward JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 212 6 equation equation NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 212 7 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 212 8 just just RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 212 9 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 212 10 consequence consequence NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 212 11 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 212 12 jumps jump NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 212 13 occurring occur VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 212 14 at at IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 212 15 given give VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 212 16 rates rate NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 212 17 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 212 18 : : : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 212 19 Now now RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 212 20 make make VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 212 21 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 212 22 substitutions substitution NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 212 23 : : : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 212 24 r r NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 212 25 k k NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 212 26 ∂/∂r ∂/∂r NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 212 27 k k NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 212 28 −→ −→ NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 212 29 X X NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 212 30 k k NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 212 31 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 212 32 s s NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 212 33 k k XX cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 212 34 ∂/∂s ∂/∂s NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 212 35 k k NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 212 36 −→ −→ NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 212 37 Y Y NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 212 38 k k NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 212 39 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 212 40 obtain obtain VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 212 41 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 212 42 PDE pde NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 212 43 : : : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 212 44 Solve solve VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 212 45 this this DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 212 46 system system NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 212 47 by by IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 212 48 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 212 49 method method NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 212 50 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 212 51 characteristics characteristic NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 212 52 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 212 53 that that RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 212 54 is is RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 212 55 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 212 56 define define VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 212 57 functions function NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 212 58 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 212 59 time time NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 213 1 r r NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 213 2 k k NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 213 3 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 213 4 t t NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 213 5 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 213 6 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 213 7 s s VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 213 8 k k XX cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 213 9 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 213 10 t t NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 213 11 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 213 12 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 213 13 satisfy satisfy VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 213 14 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 213 15 ODE ode NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 213 16 system system NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 213 17 : : : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 213 18 Now now RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 213 19 note note VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 213 20 that that IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 213 21 φ φ NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 213 22 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 213 23 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 213 24 function function NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 213 25 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 213 26 r r NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 213 27 = = NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 213 28 { { -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 213 29 r r NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 213 30 k k NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 213 31 } } -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 213 32 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 213 33 s s NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 213 34 = = SYM cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 213 35 { { -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 213 36 s s VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 213 37 k k NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 213 38 } } -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 213 39 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 213 40 t t NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 213 41 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 213 42 from from IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 213 43 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 213 44 above above JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 213 45 φ(r(t φ(r(t NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 213 46 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 213 47 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 213 48 s(t s(t NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 213 49 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 213 50 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 213 51 0 0 NFP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 213 52 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 214 1 = = SYM cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 214 2 φ(r(0 φ(r(0 NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 214 3 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 214 4 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 214 5 s(0 s(0 NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 214 6 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 214 7 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 214 8 t t NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 214 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 214 10 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 215 1 Also also RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 215 2 from from IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 215 3 its -PRON- PRP$ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 215 4 definition definition NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 215 5 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 215 6 if if IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 215 7 we -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 215 8 take take VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 215 9 as as IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 215 10 initial initial JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 215 11 conditions condition NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 215 12 X X NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 215 13 k k NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 215 14 = = SYM cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 215 15 1 1 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 215 16 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 215 17 Y Y NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 215 18 k k NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 215 19 = = SYM cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 215 20 0 0 NFP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 215 21 so so CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 215 22 setting set VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 215 23 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 215 24 right right JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 215 25 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 215 26 hand hand NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 215 27 sides side NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 215 28 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 215 29 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 215 30 ODEs ode NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 215 31 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 215 32 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 215 33 13 13 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 215 34 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 215 35 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 215 36 equal equal JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 215 37 to to IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 215 38 zero zero CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 215 39 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 215 40 find find VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 215 41 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 215 42 fixed fix VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 215 43 point point NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 216 1 gives give VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 216 2 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 216 3 required required JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 216 4 extinction extinction NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 216 5 probabilities probability NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 216 6 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 217 1 The the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 217 2 resulting result VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 217 3 equations equation NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 217 4 are be VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 217 5 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 217 6 same same JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 217 7 as as IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 217 8 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 217 9 9 9 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 217 10 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 217 11 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 218 1 For for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 218 2 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 218 3 two two CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 218 4 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 218 5 level level NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 218 6 case case NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 218 7 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 218 8 these these DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 218 9 equations equation NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 218 10 are be VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 218 11 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 218 12 using use VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 218 13 R r NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 218 14 k k NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 218 15 = = NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 218 16 γ γ NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 218 17 k k NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 218 18 /ρ /ρ NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 218 19 : : : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 218 20 which which WDT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 218 21 after after IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 218 22 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 218 23 little little JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 218 24 algebra algebra NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 218 25 yields yield VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 218 26 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 218 27 quadratic quadratic NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 218 28 : : : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 219 1 This this DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 219 2 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 219 3 solved solve VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 219 4 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 219 5 ψ ψ LS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 219 6 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 219 7 taking take VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 219 8 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 219 9 negative negative JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 219 10 sign sign NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 219 11 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 219 12 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 219 13 quadratic quadratic JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 219 14 formula formula NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 219 15 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 219 16 rationalizing rationalize VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 219 17 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 219 18 numerator numerator NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 219 19 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 219 20 by by IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 219 21 : : : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 220 1 Note note VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 220 2 that that IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 220 3 if if IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 220 4 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 220 5 extinction extinction NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 220 6 probabilities probability NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 220 7 r r NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 220 8 1 1 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 220 9 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 220 10 r r NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 220 11 2 2 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 220 12 are be VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 220 13 less less JJR cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 220 14 than than IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 220 15 one one CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 220 16 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 220 17 ψ ψ NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 220 18 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 220 19 negative negative JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 220 20 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 220 21 vice vice NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 220 22 versa versa RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 220 23 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 220 24 hence hence RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 220 25 that that DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 220 26 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 220 27 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 220 28 case case NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 220 29 if if IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 220 30 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 220 31 only only RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 220 32 if if IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 220 33 R r NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 220 34 0 0 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 220 35 > > SYM cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 220 36 1 1 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 220 37 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 221 1 Given give VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 221 2 ψ ψ NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 221 3 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 221 4 r r NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 221 5 1 1 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 221 6 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 221 7 r r NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 221 8 2 2 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 221 9 can can MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 221 10 then then RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 221 11 be be VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 221 12 found find VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 221 13 from from IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 221 14 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 221 15 16 16 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 221 16 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 221 17 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 222 1 p p NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 222 2 e e NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 222 3 = = NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 222 4 r r NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 222 5 1 1 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 222 6 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 222 7 r r NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 222 8 2 2 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 222 9 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 222 10 or or CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 222 11 p p NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 222 12 1 1 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 223 1 r r NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 223 2 1 1 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 223 3 + + CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 224 1 p p NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 224 2 2 2 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 224 3 r r NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 224 4 2 2 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 224 5 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 224 6 depending depend VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 224 7 on on IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 224 8 how how WRB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 224 9 you -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 224 10 choose choose VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 224 11 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 224 12 initial initial JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 224 13 condition condition NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 224 14 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 225 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 225 2 The the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 225 3 third third JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 225 4 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 225 5 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 225 6 realistic realistic JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 225 7 case case NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 225 8 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 225 9 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 226 1 We -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 226 2 used use VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 226 3 these these DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 226 4 results result NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 226 5 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 226 6 reproduce reproduce VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 226 7 tables table NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 226 8 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 226 9 figures figure NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 226 10 from from IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 226 11 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 226 12 text text NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 226 13 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 226 14 comparing compare VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 226 15 to to IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 226 16 output output NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 226 17 obtained obtain VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 226 18 by by IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 226 19 implementing implement VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 226 20 exponentials exponential NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 226 21 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 226 22 all all DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 226 23 waiting wait VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 226 24 times time NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 226 25 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 226 26 repeating repeat VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 226 27 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 226 28 simulations simulation NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 226 29 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 227 1 Why why WRB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 227 2 ca can MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 227 3 n't not RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 227 4 we -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 227 5 use use VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 227 6 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 227 7 informal informal JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 227 8 argument argument NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 227 9 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 227 10 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 227 11 general general JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 227 12 case case NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 227 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 227 14 without without IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 227 15 requiring require VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 227 16 everything everything NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 227 17 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 227 18 be be VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 227 19 exponential exponential JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 227 20 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 227 21 ? ? . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 228 1 Because because IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 228 2 there there EX cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 228 3 were be VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 228 4 several several JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 228 5 hidden hide VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 228 6 assumptions assumption NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 228 7 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 228 8 deriving derive VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 228 9 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 228 10 9 9 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 228 11 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 228 12 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 229 1 For for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 229 2 one one CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 229 3 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 229 4 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 229 5 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 229 6 6 6 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 229 7 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 229 8 we -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 229 9 used use VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 229 10 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 229 11 exponential exponential JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 229 12 integral integral NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 229 13 : : : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 229 14 which which WDT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 229 15 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 229 16 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 229 17 non non JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 229 18 - - JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 229 19 exponential exponential JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 229 20 case case NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 229 21 would would MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 229 22 have have VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 229 23 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 229 24 be be VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 229 25 done do VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 229 26 numerically numerically RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 229 27 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 230 1 Worse bad JJR cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 230 2 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 230 3 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 230 4 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 230 5 8) 8) LS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 230 6 there there EX cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 230 7 was be VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 230 8 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 230 9 concealed conceal VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 230 10 use use NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 230 11 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 230 12 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 230 13 Markov Markov NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 230 14 property property NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 230 15 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 230 16 I -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 230 17 erased erase VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 230 18 conditioning conditioning NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 230 19 as as IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 230 20 follows follow VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 230 21 : : : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 230 22 P p NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 230 23 [ [ -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 230 24 Ex Ex NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 230 25 | | NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 230 26 first first JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 230 27 secondary secondary JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 230 28 case case NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 230 29 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 230 30 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 230 31 type type NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 230 32 j j NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 230 33 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 230 34 at at IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 230 35 time time NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 230 36 τ τ NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 230 37 ] ] -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 231 1 = = NFP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 232 1 P p NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 233 1 [ [ -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 233 2 Ex Ex NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 233 3 | | NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 233 4 first first JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 233 5 secondary secondary JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 233 6 case case NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 233 7 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 233 8 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 233 9 type type NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 233 10 j j NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 233 11 ] ] -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 233 12 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 233 13 reasoning reason VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 233 14 that that IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 233 15 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 233 16 time time NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 233 17 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 233 18 creation creation NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 233 19 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 233 20 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 233 21 first first JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 233 22 secondary secondary JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 233 23 infection infection NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 233 24 was be VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 233 25 not not RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 233 26 informative informative JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 233 27 about about IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 233 28 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 233 29 time time NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 233 30 left leave VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 233 31 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 233 32 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 233 33 infectious infectious JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 233 34 period period NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 233 35 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 233 36 which which WDT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 233 37 invokes invoke VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 233 38 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 233 39 memorylessness memorylessness NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 233 40 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 233 41 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 233 42 exponential exponential JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 233 43 law law NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 233 44 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 233 45 or or CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 233 46 just just RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 233 47 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 233 48 Markov Markov NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 233 49 property property NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 233 50 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 234 1 In in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 234 2 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 234 3 non non JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 234 4 - - JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 234 5 Markov Markov NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 234 6 case case NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 234 7 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 234 8 that that DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 234 9 time time NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 234 10 would would MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 234 11 be be VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 234 12 informative informative JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 234 13 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 234 14 so so RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 234 15 one one PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 234 16 would would MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 234 17 have have VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 234 18 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 234 19 evaluate evaluate VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 234 20 that that DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 234 21 conditional conditional JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 234 22 probability probability NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 234 23 as as IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 234 24 stated state VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 234 25 somehow somehow RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 234 26 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 234 27 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 234 28 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 234 29 9 9 LS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 234 30 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 234 31 becomes become VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 234 32 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 234 33 system system NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 234 34 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 234 35 integral integral JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 234 36 equations equation NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 234 37 which which WDT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 234 38 would would MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 234 39 have have VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 234 40 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 234 41 be be VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 234 42 solved solve VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 234 43 on on IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 234 44 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 234 45 computer computer NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 234 46 by by IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 234 47 discretizing discretize VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 234 48 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 234 49 time time NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 234 50 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 234 51 solving solve VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 234 52 matrix matrix NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 234 53 equations equation NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 234 54 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 234 55 then then RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 234 56 letting let VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 234 57 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 234 58 discretization discretization NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 234 59 interval interval NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 234 60 shrink shrink NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 234 61 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 234 62 controlling control VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 234 63 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 234 64 numerical numerical JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 234 65 error error NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 234 66 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 234 67 etc etc FW cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 234 68 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 235 1 Relative relative JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 235 2 to to IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 235 3 simulating simulate VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 235 4 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 235 5 process process NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 235 6 on on IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 235 7 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 235 8 fast fast JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 235 9 computer computer NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 235 10 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 235 11 it -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 235 12 does do VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 235 13 n't not RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 235 14 seem seem VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 235 15 worth worth JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 235 16 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 235 17 effort effort NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 235 18 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 236 1 Appendix Appendix NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 236 2 3 3 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 236 3 : : : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 237 1 The the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 237 2 Lancet Lancet NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 237 3 transmission transmission NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 237 4 paper paper NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 237 5 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 237 6 [ [ -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 237 7 1 1 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 237 8 ] ] -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 238 1 The the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 238 2 Lancet Lancet NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 238 3 authors author NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 238 4 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 238 5 Breban Breban NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 238 6 et et NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 238 7 al al NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 238 8 . . NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 238 9 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 238 10 based base VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 238 11 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 238 12 analysis analysis NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 238 13 on on IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 238 14 certain certain JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 238 15 caseclusters casecluster NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 238 16 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 238 17 epidemiologically epidemiologically RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 238 18 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 238 19 linked link VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 238 20 cases case NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 238 21 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 238 22 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 238 23 which which WDT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 238 24 they -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 238 25 summarized summarize VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 238 26 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 238 27 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 238 28 table table NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 238 29 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 238 30 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 238 31 scenarios scenario NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 238 32 concern concern VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 238 33 how how WRB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 238 34 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 238 35 authors author NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 238 36 interpreted interpret VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 238 37 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 238 38 clusters cluster NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 238 39 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 238 40 terms term NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 238 41 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 238 42 sporadic sporadic JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 238 43 vs. vs. FW cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 238 44 secondary secondary JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 238 45 cases case NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 238 46 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 238 47 : : : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 239 1 Table table NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 239 2 B B NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 239 3 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 1 Distribution distribution NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 2 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 3 cluster cluster NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 4 sizes size NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 5 size size NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 6 scenario scenario NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 7 1 1 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 8 scenario scenario NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 9 2 2 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 10 _SP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 11 1 1 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 12 _SP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 13 17 17 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 14 _SP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 15 11 11 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 16 _SP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 17 2 2 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 18 _SP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 19 4 4 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 20 _SP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 21 2 2 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 22 _SP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 23 3 3 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 24 _SP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 25 3 3 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 26 _SP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 27 3 3 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 28 _SP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 29 4 4 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 30 _SP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 31 1 1 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 32 _SP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 33 1 1 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 34 _SP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 35 5 5 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 36 _SP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 37 0 0 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 38 _SP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 39 2 2 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 40 _SP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 41 24 24 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 42 _SP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 43 1 1 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 44 _SP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 45 1 1 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 46 Converting convert VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 47 from from IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 48 numbers number NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 49 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 50 clusters cluster NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 51 to to IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 52 frequencies frequency NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 53 : : : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 54 In in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 55 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 56 mathematical mathematical JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 57 appendix appendix NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 58 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 59 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 60 Lancet Lancet NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 61 authors author NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 62 begin begin VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 63 by by IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 64 citing cite VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 65 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 66 paper paper NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 67 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 68 PLoS PLoS NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 69 by by IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 70 others other NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 71 [ [ -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 72 2 2 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 73 ] ] -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 74 who who WP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 75 showed show VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 76 how how WRB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 77 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 78 use use VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 79 branching branching NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 80 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 81 processes process NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 82 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 83 Bayesian Bayesian NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 84 methodology methodology NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 85 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 86 estimate estimate VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 87 R r NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 88 0 0 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 89 from from IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 90 cluster cluster NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 91 data datum NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 92 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 93 allowing allow VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 94 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 95 some some DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 96 extra extra JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 97 variance variance NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 98 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 99 reproductive reproductive JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 100 number number NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 101 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 102 namely namely RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 103 by by IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 104 assuming assume VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 105 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 106 certain certain JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 107 distribution distribution NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 108 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 109 called call VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 110 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 111 " " `` cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 112 negative negative JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 113 binomial binomial NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 114 " " '' cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 115 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 116 that that WDT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 117 interpolates interpolate VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 118 between between IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 119 Poisson Poisson NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 120 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 121 geometric geometric JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 240 122 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 241 1 In in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 241 2 my -PRON- PRP$ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 241 3 terminology terminology NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 241 4 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 241 5 those those DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 241 6 two two CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 241 7 cases case NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 241 8 represent represent VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 241 9 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 241 10 uniform uniform JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 241 11 epidemic epidemic NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 241 12 with with IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 241 13 either either CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 241 14 fixed fix VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 241 15 or or CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 241 16 exponential exponential JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 241 17 infectious infectious JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 241 18 period period NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 241 19 - - : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 241 20 so so RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 241 21 much much RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 241 22 smaller small JJR cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 241 23 EPV epv NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 241 24 than than IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 241 25 allowed allow VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 241 26 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 241 27 my -PRON- PRP$ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 241 28 two two CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 241 29 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 241 30 level level NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 241 31 model model NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 241 32 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 241 33 which which WDT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 241 34 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 241 35 fact fact NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 241 36 has have VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 241 37 three three CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 241 38 free free JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 241 39 parameters parameter NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 241 40 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 241 41 see see VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 241 42 last last JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 241 43 paragraph paragraph NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 241 44 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 241 45 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 242 1 The the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 242 2 Lancet Lancet NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 242 3 authors author NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 242 4 apply apply VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 242 5 Bayesian bayesian JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 242 6 analysis analysis NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 242 7 to to IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 242 8 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 242 9 PLoS PLoS NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 242 10 authors author NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 242 11 ' ' POS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 242 12 distribution distribution NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 242 13 but but CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 242 14 reject reject VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 242 15 it -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 242 16 as as IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 242 17 unable unable JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 242 18 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 242 19 resolve resolve VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 242 20 both both DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 242 21 parameters parameter NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 242 22 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 242 23 R r NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 242 24 0 0 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 242 25 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 242 26 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 242 27 dispersion dispersion NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 242 28 parameter parameter NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 242 29 affecting affect VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 242 30 V v NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 242 31 0 0 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 242 32 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 242 33 because because IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 242 34 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 242 35 latter latter JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 242 36 " " `` cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 242 37 could could MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 242 38 be be VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 242 39 very very RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 242 40 large large JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 242 41 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 242 42 even even RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 242 43 1000 1000 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 242 44 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 243 1 " " `` cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 243 2 It -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 243 3 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 243 4 here here RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 243 5 that that IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 243 6 they -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 243 7 abused abuse VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 243 8 poor poor JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 243 9 Occam Occam NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 243 10 6 6 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 243 11 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 243 12 retreated retreat VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 243 13 to to IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 243 14 an an DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 243 15 analysis analysis NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 243 16 using use VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 243 17 Poisson Poisson NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 243 18 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 243 19 estimating estimate VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 243 20 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 243 21 single single JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 243 22 parameter parameter NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 243 23 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 243 24 R r NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 243 25 0 0 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 243 26 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 244 1 Of of RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 244 2 course course RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 244 3 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 244 4 with with IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 244 5 this this DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 244 6 assumption assumption NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 244 7 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 244 8 big big JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 244 9 cluster cluster NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 244 10 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 244 11 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 244 12 last last JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 244 13 row row NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 244 14 must must MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 244 15 include include VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 244 16 tertiary tertiary JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 244 17 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 244 18 etc etc FW cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 244 19 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 245 1 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 245 2 cases case NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 245 3 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 245 4 because because IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 245 5 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 245 6 cluster cluster NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 245 7 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 245 8 24 24 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 245 9 secondary secondary JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 245 10 cases case NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 245 11 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 245 12 one one CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 245 13 primary primary JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 245 14 case case NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 245 15 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 245 16 with with IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 245 17 an an DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 245 18 R r NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 245 19 0 0 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 245 20 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 245 21 0.7 0.7 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 245 22 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 245 23 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 245 24 virtually virtually RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 245 25 impossible impossible JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 245 26 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 246 1 Here here RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 246 2 are be VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 246 3 simulated simulate VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 246 4 cluster cluster NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 246 5 frequencies frequency NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 246 6 under under IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 246 7 some some DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 246 8 models model NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 246 9 described describe VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 246 10 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 246 11 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 246 12 text text NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 246 13 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 246 14 10,000 10,000 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 246 15 simulations simulation NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 246 16 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 246 17 each each DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 246 18 run run NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 246 19 to to IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 246 20 91 91 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 246 21 cases case NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 246 22 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 246 23 per per IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 246 24 model model NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 246 25 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 246 26 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 246 27 " " `` cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 246 28 cluster cluster NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 246 29 " " '' cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 246 30 consists consist VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 246 31 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 246 32 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 246 33 tree tree NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 246 34 generated generate VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 246 35 by by IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 246 36 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 246 37 sporadic sporadic JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 246 38 primary primary JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 246 39 case case NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 246 40 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 246 41 : : : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 246 42 Not not RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 246 43 surprisingly surprisingly RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 246 44 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 246 45 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 246 46 uniform uniform NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 246 47 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 246 48 Poisson Poisson NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 246 49 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 246 50 model model NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 246 51 with with IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 246 52 R r NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 246 53 0 0 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 246 54 = = NFP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 247 1 0.7 0.7 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 247 2 has have VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 247 3 difficulty difficulty NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 247 4 fitting fit VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 247 5 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 247 6 big big JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 247 7 cluster cluster NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 247 8 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 247 9 24 24 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 247 10 cases case NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 247 11 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 247 12 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 247 13 last last JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 247 14 line line NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 247 15 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 247 16 Tables Tables NNPS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 247 17 B B NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 247 18 / / SYM cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 247 19 C c NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 247 20 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 247 21 indeed indeed RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 247 22 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 247 23 it -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 247 24 appears appear VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 247 25 as as IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 247 26 if if IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 247 27 Models Models NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 247 28 B B NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 247 29 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 247 30 D d NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 247 31 can can MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 247 32 be be VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 247 33 rejected reject VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 247 34 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 247 35 say say VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 247 36 by by IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 247 37 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 247 38 Fisherian Fisherian NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 247 39 p p NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 247 40 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 247 41 value value NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 247 42 test test NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 247 43 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 248 1 This this DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 248 2 suggests suggest VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 248 3 that that IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 248 4 what what WP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 248 5 happened happen VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 248 6 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 248 7 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 248 8 Lancet Lancet NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 248 9 authors author NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 248 10 ' ' POS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 248 11 Bayesian bayesian JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 248 12 fitting fitting NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 248 13 procedure procedure NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 248 14 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 248 15 that that IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 248 16 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 248 17 single single JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 248 18 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 248 19 type type NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 248 20 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 248 21 Poisson Poisson NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 248 22 likelihood likelihood NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 248 23 settled settle VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 248 24 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 248 25 fitting fit VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 248 26 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 248 27 small small JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 248 28 clusters cluster NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 248 29 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 248 30 ignored ignore VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 248 31 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 248 32 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 248 33 big big JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 248 34 one one NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 248 35 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 249 1 Which which WDT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 249 2 could could MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 249 3 render render VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 249 4 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 249 5 logic logic NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 249 6 circular circular JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 250 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 250 2 R r NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 250 3 0 0 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 250 4 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 250 5 less less JJR cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 250 6 than than IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 250 7 one one CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 250 8 because because IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 250 9 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 250 10 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 250 11 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 250 12 model model NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 250 13 with with IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 250 14 no no DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 250 15 higher high JJR cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 250 16 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 250 17 infectious infectious JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 250 18 types type NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 250 19 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 250 20 ignoring ignore VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 250 21 one one CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 250 22 data data NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 250 23 point point NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 250 24 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 251 1 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 251 2 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 252 1 R r NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 252 2 0 0 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 252 3 comes come VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 252 4 out out RP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 252 5 less less JJR cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 252 6 than than IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 252 7 one one CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 252 8 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 252 9 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 253 1 However however RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 253 2 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 253 3 does do VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 253 4 that that DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 253 5 mean mean VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 253 6 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 253 7 authors author NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 253 8 ' ' POS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 253 9 conclusion conclusion NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 253 10 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 253 11 wrong wrong JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 253 12 ? ? . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 254 1 To to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 254 2 answer answer VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 254 3 that that DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 254 4 question question NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 254 5 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 254 6 I -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 254 7 utilized utilize VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 254 8 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 254 9 NkNN NkNN NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 254 10 method method NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 254 11 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 254 12 advertised advertise VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 254 13 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 254 14 my -PRON- PRP$ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 254 15 book book NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 254 16 [ [ -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 254 17 5 5 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 254 18 ] ] -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 254 19 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 254 20 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 254 21 search search VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 254 22 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 254 23 best good JJS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 254 24 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 254 25 fitting fitting JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 254 26 models model NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 254 27 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 254 28 my -PRON- PRP$ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 254 29 model model NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 254 30 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 254 31 class class NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 254 32 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 255 1 This this DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 255 2 venerable venerable JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 255 3 method method NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 255 4 selects select VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 255 5 among among IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 255 6 various various JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 255 7 theories theory NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 255 8 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 255 9 given give VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 255 10 samples sample NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 255 11 from from IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 255 12 each each DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 255 13 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 255 14 that that IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 255 15 best good JJS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 255 16 explains explain VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 255 17 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 255 18 given give VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 255 19 data data NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 255 20 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 255 21 set set VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 255 22 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 255 23 it -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 255 24 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 255 25 commonly commonly RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 255 26 used use VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 255 27 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 255 28 pattern pattern NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 255 29 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 255 30 recognition recognition NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 255 31 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 256 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 256 2 It -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 256 3 reduces reduce VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 256 4 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 256 5 maximum maximum JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 256 6 likelihood likelihood NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 256 7 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 256 8 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 256 9 limit limit NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 256 10 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 256 11 infinitely infinitely RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 256 12 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 256 13 large large JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 256 14 samples sample NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 256 15 from from IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 256 16 each each DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 256 17 theory theory NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 256 18 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 256 19 i.e. i.e. FW cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 256 20 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 256 21 if if IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 256 22 you -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 256 23 have have VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 256 24 an an DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 256 25 infinitely infinitely RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 256 26 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 256 27 fast fast JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 256 28 computer computer NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 256 29 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 256 30 perform perform VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 256 31 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 256 32 simulations simulation NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 256 33 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 256 34 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 257 1 Here here RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 257 2 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 257 3 samples sample NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 257 4 were be VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 257 5 1,000 1,000 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 257 6 simulated simulate VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 257 7 epidemics epidemic NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 257 8 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 257 9 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 257 10 corresponding correspond VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 257 11 clusterfrequencies clusterfrequencie NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 257 12 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 257 13 from from IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 257 14 models model NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 257 15 chosen choose VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 257 16 at at IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 257 17 random random JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 257 18 with with IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 257 19 0.2 0.2 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 257 20 < < XX cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 257 21 R r NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 257 22 l l NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 257 23 < < XX cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 257 24 1 1 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 257 25 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 257 26 1 1 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 257 27 < < XX cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 257 28 R r NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 257 29 h h NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 257 30 < < XX cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 257 31 30 30 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 257 32 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 257 33 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 257 34 R r NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 257 35 l l NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 257 36 < < XX cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 257 37 R r NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 257 38 0 0 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 257 39 < < XX cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 257 40 min(R min(R NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 257 41 h h NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 257 42 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 257 43 2.0 2.0 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 257 44 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 257 45 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 257 46 with with IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 257 47 1,000 1,000 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 257 48 repetitions repetition NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 257 49 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 258 1 The the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 258 2 data data NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 258 3 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 258 4 set set NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 258 5 was be VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 258 6 column column NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 258 7 one one CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 258 8 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 258 9 Table Table NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 258 10 C C NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 258 11 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 259 1 The the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 259 2 search search NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 259 3 turned turn VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 259 4 up up RP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 259 5 excellent excellent JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 259 6 fits fit NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 259 7 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 259 8 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 259 9 frequency frequency NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 259 10 data datum NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 259 11 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 259 12 smallest small JJS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 259 13 sum sum NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 259 14 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 259 15 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 259 16 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 259 17 squares square NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 259 18 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 259 19 0.052 0.052 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 259 20 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 259 21 : : : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 259 22 On on IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 259 23 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 259 24 basis basis NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 259 25 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 259 26 this this DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 259 27 result result NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 259 28 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 259 29 I -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 259 30 must must MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 259 31 agree agree VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 259 32 that that IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 259 33 R r NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 259 34 0 0 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 259 35 < < XX cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 259 36 1 1 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 259 37 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 259 38 MERS MERS NNPS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 259 39 at at IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 259 40 present present NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 259 41 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 260 1 Note note VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 260 2 however however RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 260 3 that that IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 260 4 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 260 5 good good JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 260 6 fit fit NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 260 7 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 260 8 Table table NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 260 9 E e NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 260 10 to to IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 260 11 Table table NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 260 12 C C NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 260 13 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 260 14 attained attain VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 260 15 because because IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 260 16 an an DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 260 17 SS SS NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 260 18 model model NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 260 19 reproduces reproduce VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 260 20 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 260 21 big big JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 260 22 cluster cluster NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 260 23 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 260 24 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 260 25 last last JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 260 26 row row NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 260 27 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 260 28 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 260 29 latter latter JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 260 30 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 261 1 The the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 261 2 Lancet Lancet NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 261 3 authors author NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 261 4 ' ' POS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 261 5 choice choice NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 261 6 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 261 7 limit limit VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 261 8 their -PRON- PRP$ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 261 9 model model NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 261 10 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 261 11 class class NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 261 12 to to IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 261 13 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 261 14 Poisson Poisson NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 261 15 distribution distribution NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 261 16 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 261 17 secondary secondary JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 261 18 cases case NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 261 19 ruled rule VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 261 20 out out RP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 261 21 this this DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 261 22 possibility possibility NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 261 23 - - : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 261 24 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 261 25 SuperSpreader SuperSpreader NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 261 26 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 261 27 multiple multiple JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 261 28 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 261 29 levels level NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 261 30 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 261 31 epidemic epidemic NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 261 32 model model NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 261 33 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 261 34 but but CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 261 35 with with IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 261 36 R r NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 261 37 0 0 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 261 38 less less JJR cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 261 39 than than IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 261 40 one one CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 261 41 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 261 42 a a NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 261 43 priori priori FW cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 261 44 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 262 1 On on IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 262 2 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 262 3 other other JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 262 4 hand hand NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 262 5 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 262 6 " " `` cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 262 7 fitting fitting JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 262 8 " " '' cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 262 9 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 262 10 three three CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 262 11 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 262 12 parameter parameter NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 262 13 model model NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 262 14 to to IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 262 15 data datum NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 262 16 consisting consist VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 262 17 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 262 18 seven seven CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 262 19 frequencies frequency NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 262 20 can can MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 262 21 not not RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 262 22 be be VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 262 23 recommended recommend VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 262 24 either either RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 262 25 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 263 1 Now now RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 263 2 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 263 3 bit bit NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 263 4 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 263 5 preaching preach VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 263 6 about about IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 263 7 modeling model VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 263 8 traps trap NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 263 9 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 264 1 When when WRB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 264 2 you -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 264 3 have have VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 264 4 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 264 5 model model NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 264 6 with with IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 264 7 free free JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 264 8 parameters parameter NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 264 9 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 264 10 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 264 11 data data NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 264 12 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 264 13 set set VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 264 14 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 264 15 there there EX cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 264 16 are be VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 264 17 two two CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 264 18 ways way NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 264 19 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 264 20 delude delude VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 264 21 yourself -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 264 22 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 265 1 Methods method NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 265 2 like like IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 265 3 Bayesian Bayesian NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 265 4 analysis analysis NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 265 5 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 265 6 possible possible JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 265 7 if if IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 265 8 you -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 265 9 have have VBP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 265 10 an an DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 265 11 explicit explicit JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 265 12 likelihood likelihood NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 265 13 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 265 14 or or CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 265 15 my -PRON- PRP$ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 265 16 NkNN nknn NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 265 17 method method NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 265 18 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 265 19 which which WDT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 265 20 works work VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 265 21 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 265 22 anything anything NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 265 23 provided provide VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 265 24 you -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 265 25 can can MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 265 26 simulate simulate VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 265 27 fast fast RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 265 28 enough enough RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 265 29 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 265 30 will will MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 265 31 generate generate VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 265 32 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 265 33 " " `` cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 265 34 best well RBS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 265 35 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 265 36 fitting fitting JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 265 37 model model NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 265 38 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 1 " " `` cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 2 If if IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 3 some some DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 4 parameter parameter NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 5 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 6 like like IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 7 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 8 PLoS PLoS NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 9 authors author NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 10 ' ' POS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 11 dispersion dispersion NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 12 parameter parameter NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 13 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 14 fluctuates fluctuate VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 15 so so RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 16 much much RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 17 that that IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 18 it -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 19 ca can MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 20 n't not RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 21 be be VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 22 pinned pin VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 23 down down RP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 24 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 25 you -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 26 can can MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 27 choose choose VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 28 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 29 omit omit VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 30 it -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 31 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 32 i.e i.e NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 33 . . NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 34 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 35 mutilate mutilate VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 36 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 37 model model NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 38 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 39 order order NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 40 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 41 be be VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 42 able able JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 43 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 44 " " `` cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 45 estimate estimate VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 46 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 47 parameters parameter NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 48 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 49 " " `` cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 50 Or or CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 51 you -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 52 can can MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 53 keep keep VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 54 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 55 troublesome troublesome JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 56 parameter parameter NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 57 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 58 let let VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 59 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 60 software software NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 61 choose choose VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 62 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 63 " " `` cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 64 best good JJS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 65 model model NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 66 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 67 " " '' cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 68 Either either CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 69 way way NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 70 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 71 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 72 model model NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 73 selected select VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 74 may may MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 75 be be VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 76 false false JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 77 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 78 but but CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 79 you -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 80 wo will MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 81 n't not RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 82 discover discover VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 83 that that DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 84 until until IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 85 more more JJR cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 86 data data NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 87 arrives arrive VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 266 88 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 267 1 In in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 267 2 my -PRON- PRP$ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 267 3 book book NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 267 4 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 267 5 [ [ -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 267 6 5 5 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 267 7 ] ] -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 267 8 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 267 9 I -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 267 10 labeled label VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 267 11 these these DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 267 12 two two CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 267 13 pitfalls pitfall NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 267 14 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 267 15 " " `` cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 267 16 Simple Simple NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 267 17 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 267 18 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 267 19 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 267 20 Best Best NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 267 21 Trap trap NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 267 22 " " '' cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 267 23 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 267 24 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 267 25 " " `` cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 267 26 Etch etch VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 267 27 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 267 28 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 267 29 - - HYPH cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 267 30 Sketch Sketch NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 267 31 Trap trap NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 267 32 " " '' cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 267 33 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 267 34 argued argue VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 267 35 that that IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 267 36 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 267 37 modeler modeler NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 267 38 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 267 39 required require VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 267 40 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 267 41 steer steer VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 267 42 between between IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 267 43 these these DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 267 44 two two CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 267 45 hazards hazard NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 267 46 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 267 47 like like IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 267 48 Odysseus Odysseus NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 267 49 sailing sailing NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 267 50 between between IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 267 51 Skylla Skylla NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 267 52 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 267 53 Charybdis Charybdis NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 267 54 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 268 1 Fall fall VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 268 2 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 268 3 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 268 4 first first JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 268 5 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 268 6 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 268 7 your -PRON- PRP$ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 268 8 parameter parameter NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 268 9 estimates estimate NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 268 10 will will MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 268 11 be be VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 268 12 wrong wrong JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 268 13 or or CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 268 14 biologically biologically RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 268 15 unintelligible unintelligible JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 268 16 ; ; : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 268 17 fall fall VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 268 18 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 268 19 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 268 20 other other JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 268 21 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 268 22 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 268 23 your -PRON- PRP$ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 268 24 model model NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 268 25 can can MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 268 26 " " `` cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 268 27 explain explain VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 268 28 " " '' cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 268 29 anything anything NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 268 30 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 268 31 which which WDT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 268 32 Karl Karl NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 268 33 Popper Popper NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 268 34 decried decry VBD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 268 35 as as IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 268 36 not not RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 268 37 science science NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 268 38 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 268 39 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 269 1 Ultimately ultimately RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 269 2 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 269 3 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 269 4 best good JJS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 269 5 approach approach NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 269 6 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 269 7 to to TO cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 269 8 make make VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 269 9 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 269 10 prediction prediction NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 269 11 - - : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 269 12 even even RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 269 13 when when WRB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 269 14 it -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 269 15 fails fail VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 269 16 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 269 17 you -PRON- PRP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 269 18 will will MD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 269 19 have have VB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 269 20 learned learn VBN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 269 21 something something NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 269 22 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 270 1 ( ( -LRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 270 2 Unfortunately unfortunately RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 270 3 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 270 4 on on IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 270 5 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 270 6 basis basis NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 270 7 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 270 8 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 270 9 data datum NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 270 10 thus thus RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 270 11 far far RB cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 270 12 available available JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 270 13 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 270 14 making make VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 270 15 a a DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 270 16 prediction prediction NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 270 17 about about IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 270 18 MERS MERS NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 270 19 is be VBZ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 270 20 impossible impossible JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 270 21 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 270 22 ) ) -RRB- cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 271 1 Interhuman interhuman JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 271 2 transmissibility transmissibility NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 271 3 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 271 4 Middle Middle NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 271 5 East East NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 271 6 respiratory respiratory JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 271 7 syndrome syndrome NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 271 8 coronavirus coronavirus NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 271 9 : : : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 271 10 estimation estimation NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 271 11 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 271 12 pandemic pandemic JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 271 13 risk risk NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 271 14 Inference inference NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 271 15 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 271 16 R R NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 271 17 0 0 CD cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 271 18 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 271 19 transmission transmission NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 271 20 heterogeneity heterogeneity NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 271 21 from from IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 271 22 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 271 23 size size NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 271 24 distribution distribution NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 271 25 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 271 26 stuttering stutter VBG cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 271 27 chains chain NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 271 28 Transmission Transmission NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 271 29 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 271 30 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 271 31 control control NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 271 32 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 271 33 severe severe JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 271 34 acute acute JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 271 35 respiratory respiratory JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 271 36 syndrome syndrome NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 271 37 . . . cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 272 1 Science science NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 272 2 Transmission transmission NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 272 3 dynamics dynamic NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 272 4 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 272 5 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 272 6 etiological etiological JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 272 7 agent agent NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 272 8 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 272 9 SARS SARS NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 272 10 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 272 11 Hong Hong NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 272 12 Kong Kong NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 272 13 : : : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 272 14 impact impact NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 272 15 of of IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 272 16 public public JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 272 17 health health NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 272 18 interventions intervention NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 273 1 Fitting Fitting NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 273 2 Non Non NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 273 3 - - NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 273 4 Linear linear JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 273 5 , , , cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 273 6 Stochastic Stochastic NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 273 7 Models Models NNPS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 273 8 to to IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 273 9 Data Data NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 273 10 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 273 11 War War NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 273 12 in in IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 273 13 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 273 14 Body Body NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 273 15 : : : cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 273 16 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 273 17 evolutionary evolutionary JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 273 18 arms arm NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 273 19 race race NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 273 20 between between IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 273 21 HIV HIV NNP cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 273 22 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 273 23 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 273 24 human human JJ cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 273 25 immune immune NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 273 26 system system NN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 273 27 and and CC cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 273 28 the the DT cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 273 29 implications implication NNS cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 273 30 for for IN cord-227268-8k9zaqsy 273 31 vaccines vaccine NNS